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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that Action boss.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go throwing in job.

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Speaker 3: I'm saying it to catch stop. We'll see most gamblers

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Speaker 3: when they go to gamble, they go to win.

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Speaker 1: Oh my god, that's incredible. Big bank, small bank. I

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Speaker 1: like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabat.

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Speaker 2: And we are conderway.

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Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented

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Speaker 1: by Fan Duel. I'm your host, Chris Raybon, and this

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Speaker 1: is your NFL Week eighteen betting preview where we talk

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Speaker 1: about our favorite totals, teasers, underdogs, and crack open a

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Speaker 1: weekly Sunday six pack of against the spread vets with

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Speaker 1: the help of my co host, the Prime Minister of

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Speaker 1: Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuff. Yea, what is going on?

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Speaker 2: So, brother? I hope you're feeling a little better. I

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Speaker 2: know you're under the weather. Seems like everyone in the

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Speaker 2: world over the past month has been or is currently sick.

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Speaker 2: I think we should say right off the bat, our

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Speaker 2: thoughts are out with Damar Hamlin and his family, and

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Speaker 2: as far as football is concerned, we're not going to

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Speaker 2: speculate on the frame of mind of you know, the

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Speaker 2: Bills and the Bengals for that matter, this week. And

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Speaker 2: also we still don't know how the game is going

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Speaker 2: to be treated. We're recording this on a Wednesday night,

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Speaker 2: so just off the bat is Raven's Bengals for division.

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Speaker 2: We don't know yet. We don't know how the NFL

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Speaker 2: is going to treat that game, so it could be meaningless.

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Speaker 2: The Bills game could not mean much to them if

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Speaker 2: depending on how the NFL handles this, and if the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs went on Saturday, so we're not going to get

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Speaker 2: into those games. Those teams also probably worried about a

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Speaker 2: lot bigger things. So yeah, crazy week the NFL. Still

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Speaker 2: some info to come. So just wanted to throw that

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Speaker 2: out there because we are recording this on on a

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Speaker 2: Wednesday night. But we are going to move on and

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Speaker 2: talk some of the other games, and we eighteen one

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Speaker 2: of my favorites. It's they're always a very interesting week,

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Speaker 2: all right.

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Speaker 1: So last week of the regular season, no more Thursday

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Speaker 1: night football, so we are going to jump right into

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Speaker 1: the week eighteen Sunday six Pack Thursday for action. Let's

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Speaker 1: crack open the Sunday six pack, all right, stuck three

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Speaker 1: and three week for us, last Week sixty nine. Forty

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Speaker 1: nine's a score. I'll start us off for my first

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Speaker 1: pick of the week eighteen Sunday six pack presented by FanDuel.

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Speaker 1: I'm going with the Tennessee Titans plus six at the

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars. Listen, the Titans they punted last week. They're

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Speaker 1: starting Joshua Dobbs this week. Who's thinking up Greyhound week? Willis?

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Speaker 1: Based on what we saw and just based on how

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Speaker 1: bad Willis was. You know, they couldn't gain passing yards

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Speaker 1: with Willis on the field, so uh, you know, six

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Speaker 1: points in a division game, to me, with everything on

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Speaker 1: the line is still a lot, especially when you have

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Speaker 1: Tennessee very well coached team under Mike vrabel. Uh, when

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Speaker 1: he's been an underdog by field goal and more twenty

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Speaker 1: one and nine against the spread seventy percent in his

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Speaker 1: career and Tennessee. You know, the one thing about kind

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Speaker 1: of punting last week against Dallas is you know, as

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Speaker 1: many people as could get healthy are healthy for this game. Uh,

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Speaker 1: you know they really the only guys on the injury

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Speaker 1: report were guys that wouldn't play a ton of snaps anyway.

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Speaker 1: It's only a couple of guys but everyone else practiced

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Speaker 1: at least on a limited basis, So you know you're

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Speaker 1: gonna get a full strength Tennessee team that's been preparing

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Speaker 1: for two weeks for this uh and it should be

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Speaker 1: healthy enough. Not ideal with the backup quarterback, but that's

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Speaker 1: why you're getting, you know, the six points here. And

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Speaker 1: this is another one of those games you know should

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Speaker 1: be on the lower scoring side. And you know, this

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Speaker 1: year especially, we've seen those game games trend toward the

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Speaker 1: underdog when there's an underdog of a field goal or

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Speaker 1: more total forty seven or less seventy one and forty

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Speaker 1: six this year sixty one percent. So I just think,

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Speaker 1: you know, Tennessee, they've been the division champs for the

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Speaker 1: last fewyear. I don't think they're gonna let it go

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Speaker 1: that easy without a fight and let Jacksonville blow them

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Speaker 1: out here. Even if the Jags end up taking it,

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Speaker 1: I think it's going to be pretty close game. So

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Speaker 1: give me the Titans plus six in Jacksonville.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, classic Rabel spot. I think that this is bottom

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Speaker 2: of the market for the Titans, who have just been

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Speaker 2: dreadful over the past month and a half. Major rest

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Speaker 2: advantage here, and you know, Jaguars tried last week, played

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Speaker 2: all their starters tennesseee. Basically, he's had a couple weeks off,

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Speaker 2: get that defense healthy. Most importantly, they got Dobbs reps

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Speaker 2: against Dallas, but their defense will be as healthy as

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Speaker 2: it's been in a while, and their death piece has

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Speaker 2: got some experience over the past month or so. Lean

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Speaker 2: on Henry here. This is a position that the Jags

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Speaker 2: aren't used to being in see. I think it's too

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Speaker 2: many points with the low toe. I played some Tennessee,

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Speaker 2: so I show a little value in there because I

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Speaker 2: also have if anyone followed my Jags preseason division future,

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Speaker 2: so hoping for Jags by three to get a little

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Speaker 2: middle there. But I do show value, and I think

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Speaker 2: that this is probably going to end up being a

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Speaker 2: field goal game, one of those games where there's the

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Speaker 2: Titans find a way to keep it close. But there

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Speaker 2: Potter could have a big set. I think if he

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Speaker 2: has three punts, if he doesn't have eight punts, doesn't

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Speaker 2: punt more than eight times with an average below thirty three,

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Speaker 2: is gonna set the NFL single season record for net

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Speaker 2: punning average. But I agree with you there. For my

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Speaker 2: first pick of the week, eighteen Sunday six pack. I'm

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Speaker 2: going with.

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Speaker 4: The Philadelphia Eagles minus fourteen against the New York Football Giants,

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Speaker 4: and for well, let me I'll first talk about that game,

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Speaker 4: which leads me into my second game.

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Speaker 2: A lot of Week eighteen. Because the NFL is greedy

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Speaker 2: and they don't do it how they used to, like

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Speaker 2: all the games that means something should be played at

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Speaker 2: the same exact time. I think they do that in soccer,

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Speaker 2: but now we have to have set me at the

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Speaker 2: full Saturdays lost, we have to fill the prime time slot.

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Speaker 2: So there we'll get into some of that. But there's

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Speaker 2: also games that at the same time that will impact

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Speaker 2: each other, and there's teams that are watching, which I'll

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Speaker 2: get into them just a moment. But with the Eagles

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Speaker 2: here obviously heavily incentivized to win this game, they will

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Speaker 2: lock up the one seed home field advantas throughout Jalen

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Speaker 2: Hurch should play against the Giants team that's already locked

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Speaker 2: into the six They have probably spent the entire week

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Speaker 2: preparing for the Minnesota Vikings, they're likely opponent, and they

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Speaker 2: can't improve their positioning, and then if they win that game,

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Speaker 2: which they easily could, they're going to play the Eagles

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Speaker 2: most likely? Why show anything more here? This is a

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Speaker 2: Giants team that already lost by twenty six at home

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Speaker 2: when they were trying to the Eagles. It's not a

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Speaker 2: great matchup. I think that the Eagles come out with

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Speaker 2: their hair on fire here, build a lead, and the

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Speaker 2: Giants are starting a team that's gonna play from behind

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Speaker 2: and keep up. And I think their starters might play

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Speaker 2: or this spokes to me, but I've been I think

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Speaker 2: like a driver to and then it's pull everybody. They're

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Speaker 2: already dealing with a ton of injuries on both sides

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Speaker 2: of the ball. And then I think the Eagles just

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Speaker 2: run away and hide. This game ends up being like

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Speaker 2: thirty five ten. This isn't a play, not like me.

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Speaker 2: It will really late two touchdowns, but I think that's

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Speaker 2: how it plays out. And then for my second pick

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Speaker 2: of the week, eighteen Sunday six pack correlate to play here,

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Speaker 2: I played the Washington Commanders plus seven and a half

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Speaker 2: Sam Howe. Starting this, the Cowboys could sneak up to

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Speaker 2: potentially the one seed. They could win the division, but

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Speaker 2: the Eagles would have to lose to the Giants. I

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Speaker 2: think the Eagles blow out the Giants and then what happens, Well,

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys are going to see the score probably pull.

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Speaker 2: Your starters are already dealing with a lot of injuries.

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Speaker 2: Plus their pass offense isn't playing well, their pass defense

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Speaker 2: isn't playing well. Washington can still stop the run. I

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Speaker 2: don't mind Sam Howe playing here. Dallas hasn't been preparing

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Speaker 2: for him. I assume they've been spending most of this

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Speaker 2: week preparing for Tampa Bay. They're about ninety eight percent

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Speaker 2: probability that they're gonna go to Tampa Bay next week.

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Speaker 2: No no film on Sam Howe can run a little bit.

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Speaker 2: I think you're gonna get some Heinikey two. There's you know,

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Speaker 2: Washington's still playing their division rival. There's still going to care.

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Speaker 2: That's a theme that we'll talk about throughout. These teams

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Speaker 2: still care, with very very rare exceptions. Uh So, give

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Speaker 2: me the Eagles to blow out the Giants, and in

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Speaker 2: turn that leads to and I don't even mind the

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Speaker 2: Commanders a plus seven and a half with how starting

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Speaker 2: if they played the Cowboys entire game. Coboys could barely

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Speaker 2: blow out the Titans last week, but basically punt of

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Speaker 2: that game but I do think the Cowboys, if it

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Speaker 2: plays out how I think it does, will eventually sit

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Speaker 2: their starters, which will enable Washington to come back if

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Speaker 2: need be. So let's go with an NFC East pair

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Speaker 2: to start Philly in Washington.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the key is no Carson Wentz for Washington.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be it's gonna be howl and it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be Heinikey.

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Speaker 2: And the market has gone from like three and a

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Speaker 2: half up to four and a half up to all

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Speaker 2: we have is seven and a half. And I'm like,

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Speaker 2: why you're going for how much work? How much worse

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Speaker 2: can it get from Wentz? I don't think it really can.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, uh yeah, No, I mean the the key is

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Speaker 1: the egos, you know, have getting that big wead, which

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Speaker 1: you know, I know Dabo's saying, you know, will probably

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Speaker 1: try for a little bit, but it just doesn't make sense.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: It's a Giant's first playoff birth in so long, like

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Speaker 1: you said, so many injuries and it just wouldn't make

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Speaker 1: sense for them to go all out, especially when you're

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Speaker 1: gonna see Philly potentially again in a couple of weeks

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Speaker 1: if you handle business.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, I think if they're down big, they

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Speaker 2: would one sit like if they get down the one

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Speaker 2: everyone And I think that the way Philly is gonna

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Speaker 2: come out here and the way they match up with

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Speaker 2: their run game, they're gonna build a lead and then

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Speaker 2: it makes then if you're dayble and you have your

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Speaker 2: starters in there and someone gets hurt, you're gonna look

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Speaker 2: like an idiot. So I think eventually by the second half,

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Speaker 2: this snowballs on New York and then keep snowballing and

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Speaker 2: then it's a party in Philly.

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Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, I can't argue with it. For my

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Speaker 1: second pick and the fourth overall of the week, eighteen

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Speaker 1: Sunday sixth pack, I'm going with the Carolina Panthers plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half at the New Orleans States And

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Speaker 1: this is essentially a meaningless game. Essentially it is, I

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Speaker 1: mean I say when I say meetingless, I mean I'm

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Speaker 1: sure there's certain guys that you know, they're fighting for

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Speaker 1: jobs and stuff like that too.

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Speaker 2: There's a spread on it, so yeah, exactly right.

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay locked it up last week with the win

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Speaker 1: over Carolina, But you know this New Orleans team, I

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Speaker 1: think last week was the week to back them against Philly.

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Speaker 1: You know, they pulled through, ended up pulling the upset.

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Speaker 1: But I still think this Carolina team is going to

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Speaker 1: play feisty here. I still think Carolina has a good

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Speaker 1: chance to win this game. You look at New Orleans

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Speaker 1: and New Orentans is playing a lot better defense. That's

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Speaker 1: really what's kind of kept him in these these games lately.

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Speaker 1: But New Orleans has been a lot better against the

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Speaker 1: pass than the run. And we know Carolina wants to

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Speaker 1: run a football Mormon still just nineteenth in DVA against

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Speaker 1: the run. And then you know Sam Darnold. You know,

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Speaker 1: he had a couple of bad plays in that Tampa

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Speaker 1: Bay game, but overall he's still played very well. He's

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Speaker 1: still first out of forty two quarterbacks and ep EPA

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Speaker 1: plus completion percentage over expectation composite, he's third in EPA

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Speaker 1: per play, he's eighth in success rate. So this Panthers

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Speaker 1: offense is no joke. I think, whether they're running or passing,

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Speaker 1: and this Saints offense, it's kind of been. You know,

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Speaker 1: they're going to score between you know, thirteen and twenty

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Speaker 1: points in every game. And you know the way Carolina

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Speaker 1: came out even against Tampa Bay, on a road. I

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Speaker 1: built that twenty one three lead, you know, I think

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Speaker 1: I think that was a better defense than the Saints defense.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not knocking Carolina for being on the road.

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Speaker 1: Still divisional game, still both teams playing for pride here,

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Speaker 1: So I like the Panthers getting more than a field

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Speaker 1: goal against the team. I'm not convinced it's really that

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Speaker 1: much better, if at all, And just another one of

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Speaker 1: these games here where you have this low total and

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Speaker 1: a dog by a field goal and more that was

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Speaker 1: a hitting sixty one percent this year, So one more

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Speaker 1: time before we're out of here, got to go with

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Speaker 1: the Panthers plus three and a half in New Orleans.

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Speaker 2: I have zero opinion, feel, or wait or desire to

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Speaker 2: wager on this essentially meaningless game. But you are the Panthers, Whisper,

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Speaker 2: so who am I to complain? So I will be

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Speaker 2: rooting for you and the podcast on this. I'll be

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Speaker 2: in Vegas for Sunday, so I will have this on.

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Speaker 2: This will be on one TV, and I will make

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Speaker 2: sure to I probably won't have don't even have to

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Speaker 2: pay aitentition because you're the Panthers, Whisper. But I can't

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Speaker 2: complain with your I can't doubt your logic here all right.

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Speaker 2: For my third pick and the fifth overall of the

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Speaker 2: Week eighteen Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Los

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Speaker 2: Angeles Rams plus six and a half at the Seattle Seahawks.

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Speaker 2: If you can find a seven doesn't matter for this contest,

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Speaker 2: but up to like minus one, you know, below minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty five, that's what I played, and I don't

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Speaker 2: mind that. Still like it at six and a half.

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Speaker 2: This is a theme in Week eighteen teams that are eliminated,

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Speaker 2: so the Rams are playing teams that need to win

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Speaker 2: either to get in or for playoff positioning. Since nineteen

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Speaker 2: ninety ninety six fifty nine and four against the spread

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Speaker 2: sixty two percent. I'm gonna have an article out on

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Speaker 2: Action Network Dot common in the Action Network Gap detailing

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Speaker 2: a lot of these infamous examples in the past. But

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Speaker 2: look no further than last year when the Colts all

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Speaker 2: they did do was win against the lowly Jags has

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Speaker 2: fourteen point favorites and they got crushed. Happens every year.

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Speaker 2: This year you have the Jets who are eliminated at

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins. So though that's a little weird to situation

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Speaker 2: because we with the quarterback, but we'll talk about that later.

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Speaker 2: Get the Browns at the Steelers, which we'll talk about later,

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Speaker 2: and then the Rams are the Seahawks. And I think

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Speaker 2: the line is a little bit inflated by the way

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Speaker 2: you want to hear a crazy conspiracy theory. Matt Stafford

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Speaker 2: comes off the I R. I don't think this is

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Speaker 2: gonna happen. But Matt Safford could come off the IR

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Speaker 2: this week. Ah his most famous game is when he

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Speaker 2: was with Detroit, was when he lost to the Seahawks.

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Speaker 2: But he comes off I R to beat the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: to help his old Lions because the Lions are eliminated

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Speaker 2: if the Seahawks win. For what it's worth, but I

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Speaker 2: don't think that's gonna happen. But it would be pretty

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Speaker 2: wild if like Stafford's like, I'm gonna suit up and

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Speaker 2: get the Lions into the playoffs. But I think it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be Baker Mayfield here, who loves to starting. He's

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Speaker 2: playing a lot better than I than I thought he

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Speaker 2: would in the Fay's system. Loves the thro his tight ends,

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Speaker 2: loves the throt of his backs. Seattle is dead last NFL.

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Speaker 2: Defending both Rams run game, showing some signs of life lately,

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Speaker 2: which they could get going against Seattle. Seahawks, you know,

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Speaker 2: played well last week, relatively kind of. They got a

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Speaker 2: bunch of interceptions, just old team on the down trend

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Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball. Now you're asking them

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Speaker 2: to win by seven plus with all the pressure on them.

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Speaker 2: Rams with Wolfford a couple of weeks ago should have

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Speaker 2: beat Seattle. I was on them then I'm on them again. Here.

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Speaker 2: Give me that and a lot of times when you

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Speaker 2: get these teams that you get an a flated line.

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Speaker 2: But the teams that have to win a play tight

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Speaker 2: and you know McVeigh and company will have like t

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Speaker 2: trick plays that can come and play loose. This is

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Speaker 2: now their super Bowl. This is a team that you

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Speaker 2: know won the Super Bowl last year. This is their

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Speaker 2: super Bowl. Let's end the Seahawks season and this is

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Speaker 2: our final meaningful Okay, So everyone will show up and

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Speaker 2: they've been playing hard over the past few weeks, which

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Speaker 2: I liked. So yeah, give me a classic player minor

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Speaker 2: Week eighteen, a team that's eliminated playing a team that

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Speaker 2: needs to win as a road dog. Give me the

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Speaker 2: Rams here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, this is a lot of points, even

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Speaker 1: if regardless of the circumstances for Ram Seahawks. You know,

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Speaker 1: I know, I mean, I know the Seahowks played well

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Speaker 1: last week, but still, I mean the Rams, you know,

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Speaker 1: they're they're definitely improved from the Wolford Perkins whatever that

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Speaker 1: was with Baker Underess. So all right for my third

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Speaker 1: pick and the fifth overall the Week eighteen six pack

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Speaker 1: presented by FanDuel, going with the Las Vegas Raiders plus

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Speaker 1: nine and a half at the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be trying to win this game. But you

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Speaker 1: know the time you want to fade the Chiefs is

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Speaker 1: when they're playing these games with a huge spread. You know,

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Speaker 1: going back all the way back to November eighth of

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty and including the postseason, Kansas City more than

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Speaker 1: a field goal favorite with my homes starting just nine

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Speaker 1: and twenty four twenty seven percent against the spread this

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Speaker 1: year three and nine just twenty five percent against the spread.

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Speaker 1: And you know, this Raider team, we looked pretty feisty

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Speaker 1: against San Francisco last week. I'm both of the ball.

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Speaker 1: You know, it was a lot closer and that I

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Speaker 1: think people thought, and I think the Raiders, you know,

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Speaker 1: this is still gonna come out hard here Stidham. There's

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Speaker 1: still not a ton of film on him. With the

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Speaker 1: Raiders that end, they are healthier, you know, they got

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Speaker 1: Waller back, they got Renfro back. So I think the

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Speaker 1: Raiders come out here and still give a pretty good

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Speaker 1: effort here last game of the season, and the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: more or less just don't cover these big numbers a

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Speaker 1: really good chance, you know, usually over seventy percent that

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Speaker 1: they don't, so pretty much as simple as that, give

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Speaker 1: me the Raiders to cover the big number in case

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Speaker 1: on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Chiefs is a favorite of over seven, always worth

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Speaker 2: a look as a fade, and I agree with you. Look,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't matter for this contest taking the nine and

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Speaker 2: a half, but I'm gonna be on the Raiders too.

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Speaker 2: It's at nine and a half now, in a little

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Speaker 2: bit of a dead range with the chance to get

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Speaker 2: to ten. So if you're listening out there, if it's

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Speaker 2: not at ten already, or if it's you might just

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Speaker 2: want to wait and see if that's and pops. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: Stidham last week threw for more yards than Car did

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Speaker 2: at any game this season through for a higher average

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Speaker 2: than Car did at any game this season, and there

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Speaker 2: were as many touchdowns as Car did. And Max's longest

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Speaker 2: play from scrimmage against the number one defense in the NFL,

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Speaker 2: and we talked about it all year. Car doesn't really

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Speaker 2: fit in that system, right, and Stidham knows the system

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Speaker 2: and looked very comfortable running that scheme. And yeah, he's

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Speaker 2: got all his weapons back. It's not like the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: defense is going to put up a lot of resistance.

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Speaker 2: One thing that I really liked is Sidham, who I

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Speaker 2: think he had was the highestpread passer last week, had

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Speaker 2: like four hundred yards against the forty nine ers and

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Speaker 2: then you know, he had an unlucky pick and he

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Speaker 2: came into the locker room and was apologizing to his

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Speaker 2: teammates for not getting it done and that's all DeVonta

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Speaker 2: Adams was like, no, we shut that down right away.

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Speaker 2: It's like, I love like the accountability. And this goes

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Speaker 2: back to like, all right, Chiefs are playing for the

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Speaker 2: who knows, We don't know what the NFL is going

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Speaker 2: to send this other game, but they need to win

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Speaker 2: this game for the one seed regardless. And this goes

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Speaker 2: back to okay, little inflated lines and circumstances like this,

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Speaker 2: because the Raiders are you know, are no longer alive

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Speaker 2: and eliminated. This now becomes the Raiders' super Bowl right

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Speaker 2: at home. Let's and the Chiefs chances of potentially getting

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Speaker 2: the one seat we built some momentum last week. You

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Speaker 2: also have guys, like I said before, there just you're

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Speaker 2: playing your division arrival, you're at home. It's going to

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Speaker 2: be a pretty good atmosphere. There's incentives. You're playing for

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Speaker 2: contracts and jobs and et cetera, et cetera. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think this line's inflated Chiefs over touchdowns are favorite

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Speaker 2: is always worth a look as a fade. I agree

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Speaker 2: with you there.

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Speaker 1: All right, So that that's going to wrap it up

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Speaker 1: for the Week eighteen six pack recaps. That's going with

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Speaker 1: the Eagles minus fourteen, the Commanders plus seven, in the

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Speaker 1: Rams plus six and a half. Half, I'm going to

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Speaker 1: Titans plus six, the Panthers plus three and a half,

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Speaker 1: and the Raiders plus nine and a half. Now it's

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Speaker 1: time for our Week eighteen coaches pep talk.

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Speaker 2: Every time we get ready to play, I just want

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Speaker 2: to throw up. I'm sick. I'm wanting you.

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Speaker 1: Guys play this week's coaches pep talk comes to us

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Speaker 1: from the twenty nineteen mockumentary Any Given Saturday Afternoon, and

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Speaker 1: got to dedicate it to Mike Rabel here, always a baller,

400
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Speaker 1: as a dog, always has a team ready to go

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Speaker 1: as an underdog. And as you mentioned stuff, they've been

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Speaker 1: playing some of the worst football in the league over

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Speaker 1: this last what month, two months even, But all they

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Speaker 1: need is one win here with Joshua Dobbs and they're

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Speaker 1: in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm sure we'll have a great locker and speech

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Speaker 2: and have his guys ready to go on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Right. Yeah, there.

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Speaker 3: We are fighting a global fight for a share of

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Speaker 3: people's TVs. We need to make this sport more exciting.

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Speaker 3: You are not losers, You are not dorks. You don't suck.

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Speaker 3: What you do is not stupid and worthless. I don't

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Speaker 3: give a shit who tells you that. I don't care

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Speaker 3: if it's your kids, your wives, your parents. You go

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Speaker 3: up and you tell somebody you're an athlete, that asshole

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Speaker 3: shouldn't be laughing. It's gonna be the greatest underdog story

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Speaker 3: in the modern sports era. Now that is a hell

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Speaker 3: of a story.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get into our favorite total of the week.

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Speaker 1: All right, I went with the first pick, so we're

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Speaker 1: going with the total.

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Speaker 2: That's natural segue here with I'm gonna go with the

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Speaker 2: Titans Jaguars under what's it sitting out of fandor right now?

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Speaker 2: Thirty nine and a half. This is what we just

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Speaker 2: talked about. Brabell's gonna have this defense already. They should

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Speaker 2: be as healthy as they've been in weeks. Their death

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Speaker 2: pieces have got some experience. I expect their defense a

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Speaker 2: lot of familiarity here. It's also for the division. Teams

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Speaker 2: are gonna come out really tight, conservative, They're very familiar

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Speaker 2: with each other. Jags defense very strong against the run,

431
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 2: and after a fast start, they really bottled up Henry

432
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,600
Speaker 2: in the second half last start last time they met

433
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 2: earlier this season. The weakness of the Jags, besides Bason

434
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 2: Campbell is one of the most underrated corners in the

435
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 2: league right now, is their past defense across the board?

436
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,359
Speaker 2: Is that something that Josh Dobbs is really going to exploit. No,

437
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 2: I think this turns out a really low scoring game.

438
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:31,239
Speaker 2: Totals come down a little bit. I still like it

439
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 2: a bit like a little more over forty, but still

440
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 2: like it a third and a half. Let's call this seventeen.

441
00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say seventeen to thirteen final Jags win.

442
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:46,200
Speaker 1: Yep. Seems like a low scoring divisional type of matchup here,

443
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:51,280
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go with Pittsburgh Cleveland under forty and

444
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,120
Speaker 1: a half on FanDuel. You know, looking at this Pittsburgh

445
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,040
Speaker 1: team with TJ. Watt are playing a lot better defense

446
00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:03,400
Speaker 1: just the last five games Hitsburgh nineteen sixty, sixteen fourteen,

447
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:07,200
Speaker 1: twenty four, sixteen thirteen, ten, sixteen thirteen. And then you

448
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:09,880
Speaker 1: look at Cleveland with Watson. They've had only one game

449
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 1: hit forty one, and that was that game against Houston

450
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 1: where they scored three touchdowns on defense special teams. Besides that,

451
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:20,520
Speaker 1: it's twenty three, ten, thirteen to three, seventeen to ten,

452
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:22,919
Speaker 1: twenty four to ten, So both of these team has

453
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 1: been playing low scoring games. You have an outdoor divisional

454
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 1: under which since the start of last season seventy forty

455
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:34,119
Speaker 1: six and one sixty percent this season thirty four nineteen

456
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:39,760
Speaker 1: and one sixty four percent. So give me the Steelers

457
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:42,680
Speaker 1: Browns under forty and a half.

458
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 2: YEP, don't mind this at all. I'll have a little

459
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 2: bit more on it in a bit.

460
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:51,639
Speaker 1: All right, So yeah, th recap, Stucks, going Jacks, Titans

461
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:53,600
Speaker 1: under thirty nine and a half? Who going Steelers? Browns

462
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:57,680
Speaker 1: under forty and a half? Get into our favorite teasers

463
00:23:57,800 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 1: of the week.

464
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, six point teasers don't.

465
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:17,640
Speaker 1: Don't tease me please. For anyone not familiar with teasers,

466
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 1: it's when you get an additional allotment of points to

467
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 1: parlay with two more bets. So the standard is a

468
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:27,359
Speaker 1: six point teaser, which would mean a eight point favorite

469
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 1: would become a two point favorite, a two point underdog

470
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,080
Speaker 1: will become an eight point underdog. Stucky has a lot

471
00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 1: of great content out about teasers and which key numbers

472
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 1: you want to tease through and all that good stuff.

473
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,920
Speaker 1: So if you search, if you google Stucky teasers, you'll

474
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 1: find all of it. But where are you going with

475
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 1: your teaser for this week, Stuck?

476
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:49,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's let's go with a classic to close out

477
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 2: the regular season. Anytime that you can tease through three

478
00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:57,840
Speaker 2: and seven, either a underdog up or favorite down in

479
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:01,640
Speaker 2: a low scoring game, those are deal to team six

480
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 2: point teasers. So let's go at the Minnesota Vikings. Down

481
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 2: from seven and a half to one and a half.

482
00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:11,200
Speaker 2: And look, I mean, there's not much to say about

483
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,160
Speaker 2: this game. The Bears are clearly trying to tank. They're

484
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 2: starting Nathan Peterman, who's a historically bad quarterback, one of

485
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:21,439
Speaker 2: the worst of all time at ePaper play, and I

486
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 2: think Malik Willis is the only one worse. And they

487
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 2: have a historically bad defense, I mean is it is

488
00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:32,160
Speaker 2: bad bad? So Vikings should be able to get back

489
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,399
Speaker 2: on the tracker. They play at one. They still haven't sentith.

490
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:36,520
Speaker 2: I'm sure they want to get that taste out of

491
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:39,479
Speaker 2: their mouth from last week. They also could get up

492
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:41,760
Speaker 2: move up to the two seed, and the Bears are

493
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:45,320
Speaker 2: playing Nathan Peterman. Need I say more? And then let's

494
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:49,159
Speaker 2: pair the Vikings with the Browns. Sees them up from

495
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:50,520
Speaker 2: plus two and a half to plus eight and a

496
00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:54,000
Speaker 2: half against the Steelers. Look, Steelers have been covering machines

497
00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 2: of late, but they've also been pretty fortunate and Lake

498
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,080
Speaker 2: get like. They've got a number of fourth quarter, miraculous

499
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:05,680
Speaker 2: comebacks and scores in the final minute against the Raiders.

500
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:10,159
Speaker 2: The Ravens a couple other games when they outscored their

501
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:13,000
Speaker 2: opponent ten to nothing in the fourth quarter as well,

502
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 2: So I think you know, they had value about you know,

503
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,919
Speaker 2: a month and a half ago, and because they've had

504
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 2: a gaumpt of a schedule. Now I think it's the opposite.

505
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 2: I think that they're finally over valued because they need

506
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,240
Speaker 2: to win. This fits that that scenario that I talked

507
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:29,680
Speaker 2: about earlier. Browns are eliminated and playing their rival. But

508
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 2: I think this line's a bit inflated after the Steelers

509
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 2: have had a pretty easy, easy stretch here for the

510
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 2: past month plus. And most importantly, you know, you already

511
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,119
Speaker 2: laid out the case for the under. The should be

512
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 2: a lower scoring game. I could take the Browns from

513
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:43,720
Speaker 2: two and a half the plus a and a half.

514
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 2: It was also nice to see Watson, who had to

515
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 2: deal with you know, he obviously had a lot of rust,

516
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 2: He has had to deal with a lot of weather

517
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:53,679
Speaker 2: kit nasty weather conditions. He finally was productive in that

518
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 2: second half against Washington last week, so I think that

519
00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 2: he can carry over some of them them. Yeah, I'll

520
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,720
Speaker 2: make Pittsburgh and Kenny Pickett beat me by you know

521
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 2: ten plus here, which I don't think happens. So, yeah,

522
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 2: let's go Minnesota Cleveland.

523
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:12,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Minnesota as well. As you mentioned, it

524
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:14,800
Speaker 1: looks like the Bears are trying to tank. I know

525
00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:17,640
Speaker 1: they're saying, you know, Field has had some hip issues

526
00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,920
Speaker 1: this and that, but realistically at this point.

527
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 2: But even if they're not trying to tank, just playing

528
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:27,080
Speaker 2: Nathan Peterman with that their whole team is just fields running.

529
00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:30,520
Speaker 2: That's it. They're playing Nathan Peterman with that defense. Like

530
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:33,480
Speaker 2: they could try as hard as they want, they could.

531
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:35,880
Speaker 2: This could be one hundred and eighty percent max saffort

532
00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:40,000
Speaker 2: game and the Viking stick if they're down the bottom

533
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:41,880
Speaker 2: five debo ad, but it still won't be enough.

534
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 1: Oh these Vikings. Man, every week is just an adventure

535
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 1: with the Vikings. Yeah, I'm home with the Vikings as well,

536
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:54,160
Speaker 1: and I'll go Miami up from plus one to plus seven.

537
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,400
Speaker 1: I know it's kind of usually, you know, the Jets

538
00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:02,560
Speaker 1: now they're eliminated. The Dolphins, Uh still have reason to win,

539
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 1: but you know it, Skyra Thompson is gonna start here,

540
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:09,840
Speaker 1: and I still think, you know, last time.

541
00:28:10,520 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 2: You don't think they're gonna get they do.

542
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: Maybe they do, maybe both get in. I kind of

543
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,360
Speaker 1: hope it's Thompson, but you know, the last time they

544
00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 1: played it was, I mean obviously, but I just you know,

545
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 1: Jets coming off the you know, getting eliminated. I just think,

546
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,040
Speaker 1: you know, maybe maybe they win the game, but seven

547
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 1: still a lot for them. There still could be a letdown.

548
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:35,919
Speaker 1: This is not a team that's very experienced with with

549
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 1: that kind of thing. Uh And you know, Miami havn't

550
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,560
Speaker 1: already kind of been in this situation and it got

551
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 1: away from them in the fourth quarter. Miami still has

552
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 1: a lot of talent at the skill positions, you know,

553
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 1: So this is the kind of team I you know,

554
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 1: don't mind teasing up. I mean, even what happened last

555
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 1: week against the Patriots. You know, Patriots kind of controlled

556
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 1: that game in the you know, well not even controlled

557
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:57,840
Speaker 1: the game. They took the lead in the second half

558
00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:01,240
Speaker 1: and looked like they were gonna cover by the big number,

559
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 1: and then you know, Miami gets to score weight. I

560
00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 1: think you could see something similar here. So I'll take

561
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:08,640
Speaker 1: wouldn't bet the wouldn't bet the Dolphins at whatever it is,

562
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:12,000
Speaker 1: plus one, but don't mind them at seven here. Anytime

563
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 1: I can get you know, Tyreek and Waddle and McDaniel

564
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 1: against like seven at home, I'll take it. So give

565
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 1: me the Dolphins teased with the Vikes. You've got the

566
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 1: Bikes teased with the Browns one and a half to eight,

567
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 1: and eight and a half. I've got Vikings one and

568
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:32,560
Speaker 1: a half Dolphins to seven. Let's get into our money

569
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 1: line under dog parlay. Turning good weekends into great weekends.

570
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay. We both did

571
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:48,480
Speaker 1: not hit last week, so I think one of the

572
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 1: first I mean, you've been You've hit ten of these

573
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 1: this year. I've hit six, so rare, rare that neither

574
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:56,000
Speaker 1: of us hits any but close up the regular season

575
00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 1: strong where you're going for your money line dog partway

576
00:29:58,240 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 1: this week, Let's go the.

577
00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 2: First half for the first time this year, and we're

578
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 2: gonna fade the team I faded last week who almost

579
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:09,040
Speaker 2: lost to the Arizona Cardinals backups. They're tired, dec they

580
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:10,880
Speaker 2: didn't play any of the corners. They played David Blow.

581
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:13,840
Speaker 2: They were leading with you know, thirty seconds to go.

582
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Tampa Bay Bucks first half h

583
00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 2: plus you can get them. Let's see at Van Duel

584
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:27,080
Speaker 2: plus plus one thirty six, which I think is a joke. So,

585
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 2: I mean, obviously this line is assuming that the Bucks

586
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 2: are gonna sit there started they're playing for nothing. But

587
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 2: Todd Bowles already came out and said, we want to

588
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 2: play our starters. Brady is adamant that they're gonna play.

589
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 2: He wants to play everyone. They have a lot to

590
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 2: work on. Now, do I think they're gonna play all

591
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 2: their starters the entire game? No? Do I think that

592
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:50,280
Speaker 2: a couple of starters who are, you know, dealing with

593
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 2: knaging injuries may sit. Yes, But if you look historically,

594
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:57,440
Speaker 2: Brady always plays the entire first half in these games

595
00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:02,040
Speaker 2: every time, go back to twenty twelve ten, like any

596
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 2: time of the Patriots they have everything locked up, play

597
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 2: a meaningless game, he always plays the entire first half.

598
00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:10,400
Speaker 2: And I can see them wanting to do that because

599
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:11,680
Speaker 2: this is a team that does have a lot of

600
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 2: issues and Brady just always wants to do it do

601
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 2: it that way. And this is a Falcons team that's

602
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 2: playing Desmond Ritter, who's awful, and their defense is awful,

603
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 2: and the Bucks run dye is still good. And this

604
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,040
Speaker 2: is That's the fact that seemed David Blau and all

605
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 2: of the Cardinals backups and the ghost of Cliff Kingsbury

606
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,320
Speaker 2: on the sidelines. They had to eat the last second

607
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,120
Speaker 2: field goal to win at home last week. Bucks, I

608
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 2: think are gonna play their starters for most of the

609
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 2: first half. Here this is, and I can get a

610
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:42,840
Speaker 2: plus one forty five all day in the Bucks first half.

611
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 1: All right, I'm thinking, like, do you think, uh, that

612
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 1: was gonna go?

613
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 2: I think I think the Texans are gonna get a tank.

614
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, they might try to tank.

615
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:59,400
Speaker 2: Love Smith openly, which I'll talk about in twenty fourteen

616
00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 2: Sean PAYTONI talks about this. He openly tanked because they

617
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 2: had to lose to lock up the one seed, the

618
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,840
Speaker 2: number one pick for Jameis Winston, and he kept taking

619
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 2: out players and he sabotaged their plays so that they

620
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:18,120
Speaker 2: could get the number one pick. So with the Bears

621
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 2: making this move with Peterman, I think the Texans are

622
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 2: going to counter.

623
00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 1: Actually that's what I was thinking.

624
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:28,680
Speaker 2: Saturday will try, Like the Colts can't really improve their

625
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 2: draft pick unless the Cardinals lose, which isn't gonna happen.

626
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 1: The Cardinals win, and then where the Chargers doing. They're

627
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,240
Speaker 1: just well if.

628
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:40,560
Speaker 2: The Chargers, if the Ravens lose at one, the Chargers

629
00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 2: have nothing to play for okay, but if the Ravens

630
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 2: win against the Bengals we still don't know what that

631
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 2: game means yet, then the Chargers have it insteadied to

632
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:54,840
Speaker 2: move up the five because then instead of playing the

633
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:58,480
Speaker 2: Bengals or Bills, you play the winner of the AFC South.

634
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,400
Speaker 2: But that's why that line has moved, because they announced

635
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:04,880
Speaker 2: the Ravens games at one for some reason I don't

636
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 2: know why. Why Yeah, which means that if the Ravens

637
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 2: lose then there are seven point dogs, then the Chargers well,

638
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 2: nothing to play for, and they'll probably sit all their starters.

639
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:17,680
Speaker 1: All right for mine? You know, I would go Houston

640
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 1: against the Colts if I knew that they weren't going

641
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 1: to tank, but I think with Chicago going with Nathan Peterman,

642
00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 1: Houston still has to lose to make sure they get

643
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 1: that number one pick. So, you know, as bad as

644
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 1: the Colts are, I don't want Houston in a game

645
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 1: where they'll probably actively not be trying to win. So

646
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:37,760
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go back to the Carolina Panthers here

647
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,480
Speaker 1: plus one sixty. I think that's a pretty good number

648
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 1: in a game that's essentially I think a toss up

649
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:48,120
Speaker 1: between two teams pretty even even in strength, the markets

650
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 1: still may not have fully adjusted to sam Donold playing

651
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 1: as well as he has. And I already mentioned it.

652
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 1: I think that you know, the Saints, even though they've

653
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:57,240
Speaker 1: been playing good d their weakness has been against the run.

654
00:33:57,280 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 1: And when Carolina sees the weakness against the run, I mean,

655
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:03,200
Speaker 1: they tend to exploit it. And these players are still

656
00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:05,720
Speaker 1: gonna be, you know, playing hard at they still want

657
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 1: I think they still want Wilkes to get that job.

658
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:09,920
Speaker 1: So I don't think the Panthers are gonna mail it

659
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:12,359
Speaker 1: in here. Uh, you know, we'll see, we'll see what's

660
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,080
Speaker 1: going on with the Saints. But I think you have

661
00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:17,520
Speaker 1: a pretty good shot here, way closer than plus one sixties.

662
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 1: I think that line is pretty insulated. So yeah, give

663
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,880
Speaker 1: me the Panthers plus one sixty. You got the Bucks

664
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:26,120
Speaker 1: plus one thirty six first half. That's about just over

665
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:29,320
Speaker 1: a five x payouts. One hundred gets you five thirteen.

666
00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:32,080
Speaker 1: So hopefully we can end the regular season strong here

667
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,120
Speaker 1: with this money line dog parlay. All right, now, it's

668
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:37,239
Speaker 1: time for the best of the rest. Games we haven't

669
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,480
Speaker 1: covered in any other segment, but are still, as they say,

670
00:34:41,040 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 1: meaningful to some.

671
00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:45,880
Speaker 3: That's gonna be a touchdown, but that may be meaningful

672
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 3: to some of you, so you know.

673
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: Who I mean. So we're not gonna cover the Bills

674
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 1: and Patriots. We're not gonna cover the Bengals Ravens. Uh.

675
00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 1: But first up, we got the Chargers at the Denver Broncos.

676
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,480
Speaker 1: Bronco's favored by two and a half a mile high

677
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:05,479
Speaker 1: the total thirty nine and a half Chargers. It really

678
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:10,640
Speaker 1: depends on what happens in that you know, with that

679
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 1: Ravens game at one. If they lose, then Chargers would

680
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,799
Speaker 1: have really nothing to play for. They be locked in

681
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 1: so they could sit their starters, which is why you

682
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:25,280
Speaker 1: see the Broncos favored. Any thoughts in this one stuff.

683
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:27,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna depend on the Ravens res all at one.

684
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:30,319
Speaker 2: We don't know what that game means. Yeah, I can't

685
00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 2: really bet this. And by the way, the league not

686
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:34,799
Speaker 2: having all these meaningful games at the same time. I

687
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,400
Speaker 2: just retweeted the tweet that someone sent to me saying

688
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 2: the Raiders in Chargers still should have yielded out last year,

689
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:42,320
Speaker 2: so they both got in on Week eighteen. As a

690
00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:45,880
Speaker 2: big middle figure to the league for putting these different

691
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:48,440
Speaker 2: games at different times, but yeah, we don't know, so

692
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:50,360
Speaker 2: I can't really say because yeah, it depends on the

693
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:52,680
Speaker 2: Ravens game. If you want to watch something really interesting

694
00:35:53,040 --> 00:35:55,879
Speaker 2: in the market that only happens in Week eighteen, if

695
00:35:55,880 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 2: the Ravensals game is close around three thirty three point

696
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 2: thirty three forty, because regardless of what the NFL decides,

697
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 2: the Ravens winning or losing will impact the Chargers for

698
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 2: that wildcard. So if you'll watch, like, say the Ravens

699
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:13,840
Speaker 2: get a first down like in the fourth quarter and

700
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:18,320
Speaker 2: improve their wind powability, you'll see the Chargers Broncos line

701
00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:22,279
Speaker 2: move and then say the Ravens like turned it over,

702
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:26,000
Speaker 2: then you would see the Broncos take money. It will

703
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:29,200
Speaker 2: change in real time when there's like a big play

704
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 2: that will shift the win probability in that game. The

705
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:35,920
Speaker 2: odds of the Broncos Chargers game will change because it

706
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:39,360
Speaker 2: is presume that the Chargers would sit starters if the

707
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 2: Ravens lost and they are seven point underdogs once the

708
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:44,319
Speaker 2: league put that game at one o'clock, That's why you

709
00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 2: saw the Broncos take money. So yeah, just a little

710
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 2: tivot if you want to watch the live market there

711
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:53,280
Speaker 2: late in that game. It's really interesting happen during the

712
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:59,399
Speaker 2: Ravens Steelers game last year, which impacted the games later

713
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:02,439
Speaker 2: on the day. But anyway, so yeah, I can't really

714
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:03,759
Speaker 2: say it because we don't know the result of the

715
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:05,479
Speaker 2: Ravens games. We don't know what the Charges are gonna

716
00:37:05,480 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 2: do here, so wait and see.

717
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:11,400
Speaker 1: I will say I thought the Broncos did look a

718
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,719
Speaker 1: lot better under Rosberg. I thought he made some you know,

719
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:16,360
Speaker 1: like I like that one of the first things he

720
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 1: did was like, I'm gonna help albert O Black and

721
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:21,719
Speaker 1: uh you know, Alberto ends up catching the touchdown, catching

722
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,640
Speaker 1: the only touchdown pass in that game. But uh, yeah,

723
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 1: I mean I think the Broncos are going to be

724
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:29,880
Speaker 1: playing hard here regardless. You know, obviously it's not ideal

725
00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 1: to now, you know, not their favorites, but I wouldn't

726
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:36,000
Speaker 1: be completely surprised if if the Bronco the Broncos give

727
00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:37,480
Speaker 1: the charge of the hard time, even if the Chargers

728
00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:38,919
Speaker 1: are playing to win win this game.

729
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wish I see. It was stupid me. I

730
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 2: thought that they were gonna put the uh Ravens begals

731
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:47,480
Speaker 2: gave at four because I really did like the the

732
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 2: Broncos at three, three and a half, and I was

733
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:54,000
Speaker 2: going to bet it, like actually going to bet it,

734
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 2: and it was one and a half and I was like,

735
00:37:57,040 --> 00:37:59,399
Speaker 2: what the hell happened? And then I saw that one

736
00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 2: minute before or they announced the time at one o'clock.

737
00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:07,920
Speaker 2: So yeah, so yeah, now that the Broncos are favorite,

738
00:38:07,960 --> 00:38:11,399
Speaker 2: I think it's probably in the right place. But more

739
00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:13,560
Speaker 2: to come. Follow along on the action app to see

740
00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 2: if we have any plays there. All right, because it's

741
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 2: the Charter's back up if Herbert doesn't go, I forget again,

742
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:23,840
Speaker 2: it's uh, Chase Daniel, right, Chase Daniel, Yeah, but he

743
00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:28,520
Speaker 2: never plays, so it'll be her Yeah, all right.

744
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:32,920
Speaker 1: We got the Cardinals at the forty nine Ers Niners

745
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:38,440
Speaker 1: favored by two touchdowns. The total is forty and a half.

746
00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on this divisional clash tender here?

747
00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:45,719
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, what a joy? I don't know. I mean,

748
00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:47,320
Speaker 2: we got to find out. This is a big injury

749
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:51,200
Speaker 2: report game for the Cardinals, who are obviously a corpse

750
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:54,160
Speaker 2: right now, but they tried hard on the road last

751
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:57,440
Speaker 2: week even without all of their corners. With David Blau

752
00:38:57,520 --> 00:39:00,919
Speaker 2: at quarterback. I don't know who's They haven't said it's

753
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 2: going to be quarterback this week? Have you seen anything

754
00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:06,640
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be h Cole McCoy or David Blow.

755
00:39:07,200 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 2: We'll see if the hot plays, but you know, and

756
00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:15,080
Speaker 2: then here's the forty nine ers. We're niners played four again.

757
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:16,319
Speaker 2: I don't know why they don't play at the same

758
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 2: time as the Vikings, but if they still have an

759
00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 2: incentive because they could get the one seed if they

760
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,760
Speaker 2: win and the Eagles lose. So here's something to watch

761
00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 2: for as far as live betting. If the if the

762
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,399
Speaker 2: Vikings lose at one o'clock, which neither of us think

763
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:32,279
Speaker 2: is going to happen but they but it could. If

764
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:36,359
Speaker 2: the Vikings lose at one o'clock, then the forty nine

765
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:40,840
Speaker 2: ers are locked into the two seed. So if the

766
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 2: Eagles are then blowing out the Giants have a big

767
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:51,080
Speaker 2: lead and the forty nine Ers are, you know, it

768
00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:53,520
Speaker 2: doesn't matter what they're doing. If like the Eagles game

769
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 2: is in looks like it's going to be in doubt,

770
00:39:57,000 --> 00:40:01,239
Speaker 2: second half under live under, and then game because the

771
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 2: forty nine Ers are then gonna say, let's look, they

772
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 2: can't afford an injury to rock Party. They already lost

773
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:10,280
Speaker 2: two quarterbacks game is gonna be nothing. They already play slow.

774
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:13,040
Speaker 2: They're gonna just play super conservative. Let's get out of

775
00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 2: this game healthy. So I also think it could work

776
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:20,799
Speaker 2: even if the Vikings win. If the Vikings win and

777
00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:25,120
Speaker 2: the Eagles are rolling and the forty nine Ers just

778
00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 2: have a pretty good lead, I think they're gonna go

779
00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:30,320
Speaker 2: pretty conservative in the second half and just really shorten

780
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:34,440
Speaker 2: the game against Arizona. But especially if the Vikings lose

781
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:36,600
Speaker 2: and then the Eagles are up big, I think a

782
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,960
Speaker 2: live or second half under in that game will be

783
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 2: a perfect play. You should get a bounce back performance

784
00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:45,480
Speaker 2: from the forty nine Ers defense after getting shredded last week,

785
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:50,960
Speaker 2: So uh yeah, fourteen it's probably about right. I really

786
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:54,399
Speaker 2: still don't trust Shanahan as if I've got to play anything,

787
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:56,799
Speaker 2: that's gonna play Arizona. But no, thank there's too much

788
00:40:56,880 --> 00:40:59,600
Speaker 2: uncertainty with them because I don't trust Shanahan to cover

789
00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 2: these big numbers, especially in a case where he might

790
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:05,839
Speaker 2: not be incentivized to really pour it on or keep

791
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:08,359
Speaker 2: the starters in depending on the results of other games.

792
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:10,120
Speaker 2: So this is an easy pass for me. I actually

793
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 2: did money line. I think the four win the game.

794
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:16,919
Speaker 2: I used the Footnas. The money line parlay no matter

795
00:41:16,920 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 2: what happens, will be incentivized to win for seating use

796
00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:24,319
Speaker 2: them money line with the Colts. My and this is

797
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:28,840
Speaker 2: just pure speculation. You mentioned it earlier. Colts Texans. I

798
00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:32,720
Speaker 2: think the Texans are openly going to tank. You rarely

799
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:36,080
Speaker 2: see it in the NFL, but it happens in the

800
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:37,799
Speaker 2: final week of the regular season with these teams that

801
00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 2: can lock in the number one draft pick. One of

802
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:44,200
Speaker 2: the times that it's been in like publicly announced that

803
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:47,440
Speaker 2: this happened was Lovey Smith, the head coach of the

804
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:51,560
Speaker 2: Houston Texas, did it in twenty fourteen. Just google Sean

805
00:41:51,640 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 2: Payton Lovey Smith tank, and Sean Payton's been interviewed many

806
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:59,840
Speaker 2: times about it and talks about Lovey Smith openly taking

807
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 2: the final regular season game to lose on purpose so

808
00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:07,439
Speaker 2: that they could get h Jameis Winston as the number

809
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,239
Speaker 2: one overall pick, like to the point where Peyton and

810
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:11,480
Speaker 2: company were like, what are we doing? Why are why

811
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:13,239
Speaker 2: are we taking this guy out? And he just kept

812
00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 2: taking guys out, calling bad plays and so yeah, and

813
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:20,760
Speaker 2: I had the Colts that over a field goal favorite.

814
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:22,879
Speaker 2: It's awful. It's gonna be Sam Allinger, this is the worst.

815
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:24,480
Speaker 2: This is arguably the worst game of the year.

816
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,280
Speaker 1: The Colts could like lose the game to the Texans

817
00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:27,680
Speaker 1: trying to.

818
00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:30,400
Speaker 2: Tank, to the tanking Texans. Yeah, yeah, yeah, this is

819
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:34,160
Speaker 2: the word I think. Uh yeah, I mean both Falcons

820
00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 2: Cardinals is up there. But Colts, this cult have in

821
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:40,920
Speaker 2: some awful games this year. This, this could be the

822
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:42,359
Speaker 2: worst game of the year. This could be the worst

823
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:43,360
Speaker 2: game of the century.

824
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:46,520
Speaker 1: It's kind of funny that both teams that would want

825
00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:49,920
Speaker 1: to tank here, the Bears and the Texans are playing

826
00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 1: teams that could conceive that we just lose to them,

827
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 1: even if they're trying to tank, like the Vikings, like

828
00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:58,440
Speaker 1: you mentioned, twenty eighth and DVOA bottom five team, and

829
00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:02,400
Speaker 1: the Colts are thirty second and DVD the worst YE

830
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:05,120
Speaker 1: two bottom five teams, playing two teams that are trying

831
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:05,479
Speaker 1: to tank.

832
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:07,799
Speaker 2: Look, now, this is just that this sets up for

833
00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:12,359
Speaker 2: a classic Vikings Greg Joseph's sixty six yard field goal

834
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 2: to win by two to add to their one possession record.

835
00:43:18,200 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 2: But uh yeah, I think the Texans are going to

836
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:24,239
Speaker 2: openly tank, so maybe that game gets interesting at the end.

837
00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:28,880
Speaker 2: It's it's just Colts in competence versus Texans trying to

838
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:31,759
Speaker 2: tank like Texans are punting on first.

839
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 1: Down, Yeah, are fumbling the punt, alter.

840
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:39,920
Speaker 2: A fumbling the punt. Yes, maybe that maybe the game

841
00:43:40,000 --> 00:43:42,759
Speaker 2: ends up getting interesting from that aspect, but oh what

842
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:44,080
Speaker 2: an awful game on paper.

843
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:46,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, got Yeah, that's some of the monitor though. You know,

844
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:49,799
Speaker 1: if we can get any kind of signals headed into

845
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,240
Speaker 1: the games, I mean, obviously we got one from the Bears,

846
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:55,319
Speaker 1: but yeah, we can get any more confirmation because it's

847
00:43:55,360 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 1: interesting to me that the WHI is still two and

848
00:43:56,960 --> 00:44:00,239
Speaker 1: a half. I know it's Sam ellen Ellinger, but it

849
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:02,080
Speaker 1: is It is odd to me that that line.

850
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:03,879
Speaker 2: I just think that game is not taking much action

851
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:06,919
Speaker 2: at all yet, Like who's known, No one's betting that game.

852
00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:08,480
Speaker 1: But if you thought a team was going to show

853
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:10,200
Speaker 1: me tank, I feel like you would take a lot

854
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:11,360
Speaker 1: of action on it, like you know what I mean,

855
00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:12,440
Speaker 1: Like that's something like that.

856
00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:15,879
Speaker 2: I don't know if the market yeah better the week. Yeah,

857
00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 2: I don't know if the market is uh really got

858
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:21,920
Speaker 2: around to that yet or thinks or it is along

859
00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:24,040
Speaker 2: with my line of thinking, but that's that's my Yeah,

860
00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:25,560
Speaker 2: that's my line of thinking.

861
00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:27,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I agree but it's just odd that.

862
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:29,279
Speaker 1: That's why I kind of want to keep minoring. It's

863
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,759
Speaker 1: just odd to me that because I think the line

864
00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:33,359
Speaker 1: was three and it's actually gone to two and a half.

865
00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:35,920
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if people think the

866
00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:37,759
Speaker 1: Textants aren't going to tank. I don't know if they

867
00:44:37,800 --> 00:44:41,080
Speaker 1: think that because if the if the Bears lose, the

868
00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:45,239
Speaker 1: Textants have to lose, essentially, right, yes, yes, yes, yeah,

869
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:49,000
Speaker 1: and they both play at ten, so yeah, and it's huge.

870
00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:52,719
Speaker 2: For that franchise. They need a quarterback and like they

871
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:55,759
Speaker 2: they need it. But right now we're showing it's like

872
00:44:55,800 --> 00:45:00,360
Speaker 2: the money and the bets are split, so well, I

873
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:02,480
Speaker 2: don't know, maybe they're maybe we'll yeah, we'll say it'll

874
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:04,680
Speaker 2: be interesting to watch that market that I agree with you.

875
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, and that was that was Texans coach two and

876
00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:10,600
Speaker 1: a half total thirty eight. So we'll finish it off

877
00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:16,959
Speaker 1: with Lions Packers. Packers favored by four and a half

878
00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:21,080
Speaker 1: total forty and a half. You know, the Lions are

879
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 1: pretty tempting here. I don't I don't know that the

880
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:25,600
Speaker 1: Packers deserve to be four and a half point favorites,

881
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:28,920
Speaker 1: But I always come back to, you know, number one,

882
00:45:28,960 --> 00:45:32,280
Speaker 1: this Lions team not really used to these big moments.

883
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:35,440
Speaker 1: And number two just Jared Goff on the road in

884
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:37,839
Speaker 1: Lambeau just not the place I really want to back

885
00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:39,600
Speaker 1: Jared Goff. But I don't know, what do you think?

886
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:42,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the line's of value here. I've been

887
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 2: talking about all year about how the Packers are undervaled, underwrite, undervalued.

888
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:49,359
Speaker 2: Now I think it's it's gone too far the other way.

889
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:51,359
Speaker 2: Everyone's like, oh, they're gonna win the super Bowl. Now

890
00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:53,959
Speaker 2: if you look over their their recent stretch like they've

891
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 2: been their defense has still been hard, one of the

892
00:45:56,080 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 2: worst in the NFL from the yards for play perspective,

893
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 2: and they've gotten they've gotten finally they're getting the fourth downs,

894
00:46:03,239 --> 00:46:06,880
Speaker 2: they're getting the special teams touchdowns. They which has been

895
00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:08,279
Speaker 2: a big part of their turner out by the way,

896
00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:09,919
Speaker 2: they went from like the worst returner in the league

897
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 2: to want the best. But they're getting the turnovers, the

898
00:46:13,600 --> 00:46:18,319
Speaker 2: special team, all these you know to a concussion, like

899
00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:20,759
Speaker 2: everything break has gone their way. So now I think

900
00:46:20,760 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 2: they're a bit overvalued here. I but here's an interesting thing.

901
00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:27,560
Speaker 2: Like the Seahawks are favored by six and a half.

902
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:32,520
Speaker 2: If they win, then the Lions are eliminated, and I

903
00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:35,239
Speaker 2: personally don't think because I like the lines, I'll be

904
00:46:35,280 --> 00:46:37,719
Speaker 2: on the lines in some former fashion, but I personally

905
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:41,760
Speaker 2: don't think that that impacts the lines at all. Lions

906
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:45,000
Speaker 2: will be eliminated. Packers we're playing to get in. Lions

907
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:49,480
Speaker 2: will try just as hard they can end the Packers season.

908
00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 2: In fact, I think then they're professionals, like we talk about,

909
00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:55,320
Speaker 2: like it'll be again. They'll go back to that scenario

910
00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:59,359
Speaker 2: eliminated team versus team playing to get in, and in fact,

911
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:01,759
Speaker 2: they could play a lot looser like with with Dad

912
00:47:01,800 --> 00:47:05,279
Speaker 2: Campbell and some of their calls. So but I might

913
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:08,080
Speaker 2: wait because we see inflated lines. So I think the

914
00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 2: market will think it matters, like, oh, the Lions are

915
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 2: are done. They can't get in. They're gonna be deflated.

916
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:20,319
Speaker 2: So if the Seahawks win, then I think that you'll

917
00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:24,919
Speaker 2: see the Packers take money and then you can back

918
00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:27,080
Speaker 2: the lines potentially at a better price. So I'm gonna

919
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:29,279
Speaker 2: wait on that one because that was I won in

920
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:31,720
Speaker 2: the Rams, So you know, if they end up losing,

921
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:34,680
Speaker 2: the best cases of seats went by like three uh

922
00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:37,880
Speaker 2: three to six, and then I think that the Packers,

923
00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:41,600
Speaker 2: especially it's a Sunday night game in isolation, will end

924
00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:43,960
Speaker 2: up taking money on that narrative, which has been proven

925
00:47:44,120 --> 00:47:46,319
Speaker 2: not to be true. The lines are still gonna care,

926
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:48,720
Speaker 2: I think just as much divisional rival can end their season.

927
00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 2: And I think that this price is already been inflated.

928
00:47:51,680 --> 00:47:54,719
Speaker 2: Maybe get a little extra value if the lines are

929
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:55,920
Speaker 2: eliminated earlier in the day.

930
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:58,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think if the if the lines are eliminated,

931
00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 1: it will probably close Hackers minus six, maybe six and

932
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:06,399
Speaker 1: a half. The Seahawks lose, it might go, we might

933
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:09,440
Speaker 1: get you're still not getting. I still don't think you're

934
00:48:09,440 --> 00:48:12,239
Speaker 1: getting down to three either way. But yeah, I think

935
00:48:12,280 --> 00:48:14,000
Speaker 1: this is kind of a book. The book's just kind

936
00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:15,600
Speaker 1: of hedging based on how they think the.

937
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 2: Market will react. Yeah, all right.

938
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:21,600
Speaker 1: That is going to wrap it up for the Week

939
00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:27,640
Speaker 1: eighteen Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. For all of

940
00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:31,320
Speaker 1: our betting content, be sure to check out Actionnetwork dot com.

941
00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:33,759
Speaker 1: You can find Stucky on Twitter at Stucky Too. You

942
00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:36,319
Speaker 1: can find me at Chris Raybon. You can find us

943
00:48:36,320 --> 00:48:39,280
Speaker 1: at those same handles in a free award winning Action

944
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 1: Network act. Good luck to everybody this week, and let's

945
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:55,400
Speaker 1: get this money, Let's Go Action Network reminds you please

946
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:56,480
Speaker 1: gamble responsibly.

947
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:59,440
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948
00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:02,000
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949
00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:02,800
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