1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:06,640 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football show. 2 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:09,720 Speaker 1: The train lets off here in South Beach as it's 3 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: our final show of the season where we'll give you 4 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: our official picks and predictions for the college football National 5 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: Championship Games. One hundred and thirty six teams began the 6 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: year with dreams of hoisting the Crystal football, but in 7 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: the end, only the number one and undefeated Indiana Hoosiers 8 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: and the number ten Miami Hurricanes are left standing for 9 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 1: what should be an absolute banger of a game in 10 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:34,239 Speaker 1: Higher Rock Stadium on Monday night. I'm hero Seth Willcock, 11 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: joined by the birthday Boy himself, Scott Boggin, Bogg's happy 12 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,959 Speaker 1: birthday brother, And I said this last year to end 13 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: it that, you know, I thought my fandom, my just 14 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: overall knowledge of college football ten x last year during 15 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: the show since we started, well, I think it's safe 16 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 1: to say at ten x once again meaning I love 17 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: college football and no one hundred times more about this 18 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: game than I did when we first jumped on the 19 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: mics all the way back in August twenty twenty four. 20 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: And thanks for all the hard work over that time, 21 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: my friend. 22 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 2: Hey, and thank you Seth. It's been a great season, man. 23 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 2: We've had a great time here breaking down some college football. 24 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:12,199 Speaker 2: And I think you learn a little bit every single year. 25 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 2: You know, every year you dive a little deeper, you 26 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,839 Speaker 2: know more, And there's a lot to learn these days 27 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 2: because the teams are pretty brand new every single year. Right, 28 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 2: there's a lot of movement with the players. You never 29 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 2: know how guys are gonna gel. But what a fantastic year. 30 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:32,320 Speaker 2: I can't believe that, you know, Indiana of all that 31 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 2: it's gonna be pretty great if Indiana wins before Notre 32 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 2: Dame wins Anati right, like ye, the state of Indiana 33 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 2: would never have bet on that. So very interesting the 34 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 2: way that this year has broken out. And you know, 35 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 2: we knew that Signetty was a good coach after last year. 36 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,240 Speaker 2: We knew that Indiana is probably gonna be solid again. 37 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 2: Nobody had him here, so Miami was a pretty popular pick. 38 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 2: Good team, experienced quarterback. I don't think many people had 39 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 2: them here, but it was probably a little bit more 40 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 2: than Indiana because the ACC seemed like an easy walk through. 41 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: They weren't even in the ACC title game and here 42 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 2: we are in the Natty. So you know, this is 43 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:18,800 Speaker 2: it's an incredible run. Disappointment from my Longhorns, disappointment for 44 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 2: your nitty Lions because that's the that's the natty we wanted. 45 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, but of course, uh, it's not the way it 46 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 3: goes in. 47 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 2: Incredible year, a lot of a lot of learning, like 48 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 2: you said, caught fire at the end, which was nice. 49 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 2: But I feel like bold season's been pretty even for me. 50 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 2: But I do have a pretty good feel on this game. 51 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: I agree, been a very you know, five hundred, a 52 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: little bit above five hundred round was tracking the units 53 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 1: for the postseason definitely better than the regular season for me. Yeah, 54 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:47,119 Speaker 1: I can tell you that for sure. 55 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 2: And well, we finally know stuff about these teams and 56 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 2: then they go away. 57 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: For yes, six years, so yeah, absolutely, And it's it's 58 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,079 Speaker 1: one of those things, Bogs that at least we had 59 00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: Week one when your Texas Longhorns were ranked one. My 60 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:01,359 Speaker 1: Penn State nitty line for ranked too, so we'll always 61 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 1: have that in our back pocket. And dude, just like 62 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: how much the landscape has changed over these last couple 63 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 1: of seasons, with the coaches moving back and forth, all 64 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: the new changes, with the nil and now teams actually 65 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 1: being physically able to have you know, their own money 66 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: to get dedicate towards players and their you know, let's 67 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 1: just call them salaries at this point, because that's really 68 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: what they are, marketing deals if you if you. 69 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 3: Want to wild west, it is. 70 00:03:25,919 --> 00:03:27,799 Speaker 1: It is. And there's so much screwed up in this 71 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:30,359 Speaker 1: sport right now, whether it's the calendar, whether it is 72 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:33,240 Speaker 1: you know, the players kind of getting taken advantage of 73 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: buy some of these agents or quote unquote agents that 74 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 1: you know, there's a lot that needs to change, But 75 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 1: as far as the betting on the games go, it 76 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: doesn't get any better. 77 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 3: The on field product is it's still great. Yeah, And 78 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 3: that's the thing. 79 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 2: Like there's a lot of complaining about the external things 80 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 2: and the way things work and the transfer portal. 81 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, the coaching and all that stuff. 82 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 2: And I understand that, but that stuff is not ruining 83 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 2: college football. There's people that say that continuously and repeatedly 84 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 2: and loudly into microphones, that oh, this is ruining college sports. 85 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 3: It's not. 86 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 2: College sports are still fine, right. The way they're done 87 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 2: is different. I know we don't like change. 88 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 3: I get it. 89 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,159 Speaker 2: But as Brad Pitt said in Moneyball, right, adapt or 90 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 2: Die and Signetti. You never heard him complain about the 91 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 2: transfer portal. No ever, he just uses, he takes advantage 92 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 2: of it. He just says, this has changed. I need 93 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: to adapt if he adapted, so, I think you see 94 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:33,719 Speaker 2: guys like Jeff Hafley leaving Boston College because they don't 95 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,600 Speaker 2: want to deal with the NIL and the recruiting and 96 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 2: all that stuff, which is fine. You know your job 97 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 2: has become way harder, but I'm not going to feel 98 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 2: bad for any head coaches. They have to, you know, 99 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:46,040 Speaker 2: work a little harder to get their guys. I understand 100 00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 2: it's harder, but y'all are getting paid a lot, do 101 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 2: your job. 102 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 1: Well, and honestly, like the onfield product has never been 103 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: better because some of those transfer quarterbacks are coming in right. 104 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: I mean, look at the SEMIS. We had four teams 105 00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 1: with all transfer quarterbacks who would have not been on 106 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: these teams AFLs before the transfer portal era. So it's 107 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: been great. I'm very happy to break it down with 108 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 1: you one more time, and before we get to the 109 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:10,679 Speaker 1: nitty gritty one final time, huge shout to everyone who's 110 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: ridden alongside us all season long, either on the Bank 111 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:16,720 Speaker 1: pros YouTube channel or the audio feed. We thank you 112 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: for all the sport, through all the hits and the misses, 113 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 1: and as always, please just do a quick favor for us. 114 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 1: Give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy this 115 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:25,479 Speaker 1: type of concept. 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From the number 127 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 1: ten Miami Hurricanes travel to their home stadium right down 128 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 1: the road to face the number one Indiana Hoosiers in 129 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: the College Football National Championship Game, kicking off Monday, January 130 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 1: nineteenth at seven thirty pm Eastern Time at hard Rock 131 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:19,720 Speaker 1: Stadium in South Beach. This line originally opened at Indiana 132 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: minus seven and a half everywhere. This has now been 133 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: bought up a point to minus eight and a half. 134 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 1: I you now minus three thirty five on the money 135 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 1: line Miami plus two sixty five to win outright. The 136 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: total has been bought down as well, a point to 137 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,840 Speaker 1: forty seven and a half points Indiana. On the injuries, 138 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 1: nothing to report since our Early Lines episode. Edge Stephen 139 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: Dally he'll remain out of this one after being injured 140 00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 1: while celebrating that Big Ten Championship game, and we did 141 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:48,599 Speaker 1: hear the edge mcal kamara and everyone else who played 142 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:50,920 Speaker 1: in the Semis is good to go for the Hoosiers. 143 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: According to Kurt Signetti, Miami on their injury front, their 144 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 1: defensive tackle and run stuff for Amad Moten Junior, and 145 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 1: their edge a key Messador plus the cornerback OJ Frederique, 146 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 1: they are all good to go. Cornerback Demarti Brown he 147 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: remains day to day. Starting tight end Elijah Lofton also 148 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 1: popped up on the injury report this week as questionable. 149 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: Their defensive lineman Donta Simpson, he hit the portal earlier 150 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: this week. He's head to Missou. Many players are also 151 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: continued to recover from that flu. The more I dug 152 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: into this box, the more it seemed to be a 153 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:25,240 Speaker 1: last week type of issue, that this was actually something 154 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 1: that bothered Mark Fletcher and company going into the Fiesta Bowl. 155 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 1: So we're hoping by Monday most people are cleared up 156 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: and that they're one hundred percent to go. With those 157 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 1: immune systems. We're young, you know, we can fight off 158 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 1: a little fluing here and there at that age. I 159 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: hope BP projections have Indiana by over ten points, the 160 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: total over closer to fifty five and a half points. 161 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:49,000 Speaker 1: For the public betting trends right now, we have seventy 162 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, eighty seven percent of the cash 163 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 1: on IU. That has come down since earlier this year. 164 00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 1: This week, folks, also eighty six percent of the tickets, 165 00:07:57,360 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash is on the over still, 166 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: but that has also come down. Bogs. Earlier this week, 167 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 1: you were leaning towards Indiana and the points at that 168 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 1: time seven and a half and also the under at 169 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: forty eight and a half. Are you still there despite 170 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 1: the line movement we've been seeing. 171 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I just can't get away from it. It's not 172 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 2: my favorite bit of the year. And I feel like 173 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 2: if there were multiple games this week, this would be 174 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 2: pretty low on the total poll of me, you know, 175 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 2: taking Indiana here. You know, the more we dive in, 176 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 2: the more and more. I'm just convinced that Indiana is 177 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 2: just the best team by a decent stretch here. So 178 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:35,319 Speaker 2: maybe not, And that's not sure. It's definitely not what 179 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 2: has been said on podcasts or articles or any prognostication. 180 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 2: I feel like throughout the week has been Look, this 181 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 2: game is going to be closer, which that's. 182 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 3: What I said on Monday. 183 00:08:47,040 --> 00:08:48,959 Speaker 2: That's exactly what I said on Monday is I do 184 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:50,960 Speaker 2: think that this game is going to be closer. And 185 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 2: we give it credit for right because we saw Orgon 186 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 2: dominate or we saw Indiana dominate organ right the pick 187 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 2: six to start, just every mistake they made, they were taking. 188 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 3: Advantage of Hawns. 189 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, and we should have seen that from Miami because 190 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:10,840 Speaker 2: Old miss made massive Mistakesdada Shambliss had three turnover whethy plays. 191 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:12,960 Speaker 2: I think only one of them ended up going the 192 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 2: other way. They dropped bounce interceptions right that got tipped 193 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 2: at the line. So Miami missed their opportunities to walk 194 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 2: away with that game. And I think that is the 195 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 2: main difference. I think both these rosters are pretty equal. 196 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:33,400 Speaker 2: I would give the edge slightly towards Indiana because of 197 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:37,680 Speaker 2: the quarterback between him, between Mendoza and Becket's definitely Mendoza 198 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 2: by a pretty significant margin to me. But man beck 199 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,040 Speaker 2: has done a great job this year. I'm not turning 200 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 2: the ball over. I'm not having those crazy bounce plays, 201 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 2: which had been the bugaboo in that was his Georgia career. 202 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 2: That was his issue was massive moments eat him alive. 203 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 2: He's come alive in the big moments this year. So again, 204 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 2: I think this is going to be closer. But the 205 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 2: thing that Indiana does is they capitalize on mistakes and 206 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 2: they don't give you mistakes. Right, That's the thing. Mendoza 207 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 2: will take a sack, but he'll take a sack so 208 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 2: that he doesn't put the ball in harms way, right. 209 00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 2: They just tend to not make mistakes. Specifically on defense. 210 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 2: We saw Kiwan Lacey break that big run, and I 211 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 2: think we saw Craver have a fifty nine yarder against Miami. 212 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 2: We saw Jeremiah Smith have a fifty nine yard touchdown 213 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 2: against Miami. So I think the big play goes the 214 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 2: way of Indiana, and I think that's the difference in 215 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 2: this game still, right, I think it's gonna be low scoring. 216 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 2: I know the cash and tickets are on the over. 217 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 2: I mean Miami is I think twenty seven is the 218 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 2: most points that they've given up this year, and that 219 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 2: was last week. It's Ole miss, right, So yeah, they 220 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 2: gave up twenty six to SMU when they lost that, 221 00:10:55,840 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 2: and that was an overtime. They gave up twenty two 222 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 2: at Florida State. They give up twenty four in the 223 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:06,439 Speaker 2: loss to Louisville. But twenty seven points last week is 224 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 2: the most that anyone scored against Miami all year long. 225 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:12,959 Speaker 2: So I do respect Indiana's offense. I think they're gonna 226 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:14,680 Speaker 2: be good, but I don't think they're gonna have the 227 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 2: wild success that they had against Oregon. I don't think 228 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:20,320 Speaker 2: they're gonna be running the ball completely down their throat 229 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 2: like they did against Alabama either. I don't think they're 230 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 2: gonna be able to stop this team like they stopped 231 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:28,840 Speaker 2: Alabama either. Miami's offense has been humming recently, specifically with 232 00:11:28,880 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 2: the run game, but I think that's the issue, right 233 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:35,720 Speaker 2: is running into the teeth of that defense for Miami Hurricanes. 234 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:39,679 Speaker 2: Can Mark Fletcher hit his yardage prop Yeah, is that 235 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:41,280 Speaker 2: gonna be the difference in the game. I don't think 236 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 2: it will be. So I think this is a tight 237 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 2: game pretty close to the end, and I think Indiana 238 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:50,080 Speaker 2: scores late to cover. So I'm gonna go with the 239 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:54,600 Speaker 2: Hoosiers twenty eight seventeen as my final score here in 240 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 2: the Natty. 241 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 1: I'm glad you laid out that scenario because I also 242 00:11:58,040 --> 00:12:00,040 Speaker 1: think that is how this game could go. But I 243 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,320 Speaker 1: also think there's a whole second door that I want 244 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:04,640 Speaker 1: to open as well, because earlier this week I touched 245 00:12:04,679 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 1: on how you have to really play the perfect game 246 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 1: to beat IU right. First and turnover margin one point 247 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 1: four per game. Fifth and penalties very well coached three 248 00:12:12,960 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 1: point seven of those per games. Six and time possession 249 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 1: and sacks per game. Also third and explosive plays. Miami 250 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:21,439 Speaker 1: is worse than I you in most of those categories, 251 00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 1: but still very respectful except penalties. That's one thing I 252 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: think catches up with them in this game. Also, the 253 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: Hoosiers have won their two college football playoff games bugs 254 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:33,520 Speaker 1: by combining sixty nine points, and that is against blue 255 00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 1: bloods like Alabama, like Organ. If I told you that 256 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 1: a year ago, even six months ago, I don't think 257 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 1: you would believe me. 258 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 2: You know, your video game pal, Yeah, that's what everybody 259 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 2: would have say. 260 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 1: You think I'm running a dynasty out here. In NCAA 261 00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 1: twenty six or something, Miami, they won its three games 262 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 1: by an after twenty one points, so still winning by 263 00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:53,040 Speaker 1: an average of a touchdown. But in addition to playing 264 00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:55,680 Speaker 1: a cleaner game, one of these teams also as a 265 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 1: Sunday ready quarterback. The other team does not. Right PFF 266 00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:02,840 Speaker 1: ranks I first in receiving grade, second in passing grade. 267 00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 1: Miami's worst aspect of their entire team. In my opinion, 268 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 1: I love the trenches on offense. I love the trenches 269 00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:11,840 Speaker 1: on defense. The skill players have all showed up here 270 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 1: down the stretch. It's still that cornerback room, right, It's 271 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:17,640 Speaker 1: that secondary outside of their nickelback Kyante Scott, who's an 272 00:13:17,640 --> 00:13:21,480 Speaker 1: absolute dog out there. Their passing defense is ranked forty fifth, 273 00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:25,079 Speaker 1: So I think playing at a bottom ten clip in pace, 274 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 1: playing at a offensive rate where your thirtieth in scoring 275 00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:32,839 Speaker 1: does not help Miami. That where let's just put this 276 00:13:32,920 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 1: scenario out there, Bogs. If Miami gets the kickoff Indiana 277 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 1: to first, they go three and out, Ayu gets the ball, 278 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:42,360 Speaker 1: they go down, score a touchdown. Immediately, You're never gonna 279 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 1: see in my opinion, I think a single digit spread 280 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:48,959 Speaker 1: spread number in this game again, and immediately Miami starts 281 00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 1: to get tight, right And what happens though, if that 282 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 1: happens in the second time, Let's say they even get 283 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 1: one or two first downs, ball goes back to Indiana. 284 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:58,439 Speaker 1: Indiana goes back, drives down the field, I think there's 285 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:01,040 Speaker 1: a chance this game is over by the midway through 286 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 1: the second quarter, maybe first quarter, Like that is a possibility, 287 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: because I just don't think they have the horses to 288 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:09,440 Speaker 1: come back. Of course, that might not happen, but it 289 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: feels like Miami tickets could be dead early whole I 290 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 1: U tickets. I'm never going to feel like they are dead, 291 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 1: no matter the circumstance, because I have a guy like 292 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 1: Fernando Mendoza, like also on players like Sarah, like Omar 293 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:25,160 Speaker 1: Cooper Junior, like these great running backs in Henby and 294 00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 1: Black who can go down the field and make these plays. 295 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 1: So I really feel good about this, I'm gonna back Mendoza, 296 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 1: who in my opinion, has been the best player in 297 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,280 Speaker 1: college football and will be the number one overall pick 298 00:14:36,320 --> 00:14:38,400 Speaker 1: in the NFL draft as well. I just think that 299 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:41,680 Speaker 1: second door is very much open, and that is why 300 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:43,720 Speaker 1: I cannot bet Miami in this game, because I think 301 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 1: that ticket is washed up by halftime. If I'm betting Miami, 302 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 1: I'm doing it live. 303 00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 2: In my opinion, I do think that Miami has the 304 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 2: horses to come back, right, Okay, I do think they 305 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 2: have because Malachai TONI right, like when you're like that 306 00:14:57,320 --> 00:14:59,760 Speaker 2: on your shream, he kind of opens up everything on 307 00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 2: your as well. So if you get down quickly, I 308 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,000 Speaker 2: do think that Miami has the horses to come back, 309 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 2: but I don't want them in that position, right. You 310 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 2: don't want Carson back facing pressure for the majority of 311 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 2: the game because that's when he's going to hurry up 312 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:15,560 Speaker 2: his feet and make that mistake that he's avoided for 313 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:19,760 Speaker 2: most of the season. So I think that while Miami 314 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 2: does have the ability to come back, if they do 315 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 2: get down early, it's not the position you want to 316 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 2: be in at any point in this game, and it 317 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 2: really puts you behind the eight ball. If you are 318 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 2: down very quickly, if it happens like that, or if 319 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 2: a pick six to start the game like happening, it's 320 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 2: Oregon and then it's just a down hill drubbing from that. 321 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 2: And to Oregon's credit, they answered back real quick. They 322 00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 2: came back, they scored, they got right back in it. 323 00:15:44,800 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 2: But then they couldn't stop Indiana at all. You know, 324 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 2: the ball barely hit the ground when Mendoza was throwing it, 325 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 2: so you know, in this defense is very strong. And 326 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 2: the one the few games that Indiana has had issues, 327 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 2: it's been against a good pass rush. Iowa, Penn State, 328 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:04,720 Speaker 2: Ohio State, right like, these are the times where they 329 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:07,080 Speaker 2: did have issues against the good pass rush. And we 330 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:10,080 Speaker 2: even mentioned against Texas Tech that Oregon's pass rush was 331 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:13,360 Speaker 2: you know, below where everything else was on their fight. 332 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 2: So in Alabama had a bad pass rush the entire 333 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:19,400 Speaker 2: season as well. So you see these drubbing games and 334 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 2: you go, well, what is that. That's why I think 335 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 2: it is is because they don't put any pressure on Mendoza. 336 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 2: Mendoza is gonna face pressure in this game. He's gonna 337 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 2: get hit, he's gonna get rocked a couple times too. 338 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 2: But We've seen him answer the call every single time. 339 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 2: He's gotten up off the mat and made the plays 340 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 2: when necessary. And I think, you know, the thing on 341 00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 2: defense from Miami for me is the tackling, and that's 342 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 2: you saw Kewe Lacey go into the end zone untouched 343 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 2: right just in some bad spots. They opened themselves up 344 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 2: to some massive plays. And the thing for Indiana is 345 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 2: they have such a good team. They spread the ball 346 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 2: round so much you don't know who is going to 347 00:16:57,160 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 2: make that big play, and they don't care who makes it. 348 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 2: Someone going to make it, So just answer the call 349 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 2: when you're called upon, and that's what all the Hoosiers do. 350 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:07,680 Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm gonna have to keep rolling with the Hoosiers. 351 00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:09,680 Speaker 2: I got a twenty eight to seventeen. Where you going 352 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:11,399 Speaker 2: with this final score? 353 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 1: For me? I am going with Indiana thirty one Miami 354 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 1: twenty So kind of in that same same vein as you. 355 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of h No, I'm 356 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 1: gonna call it drubbing, But I think Indiana gets out 357 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:24,560 Speaker 1: and I think they you know, keep their foot on 358 00:17:24,600 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 1: the gas and Miami has to play a little catch 359 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:26,479 Speaker 1: up in here. 360 00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:27,400 Speaker 3: That's over. 361 00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:30,360 Speaker 2: Would you say you're confident on the over or would 362 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 2: you say you're I want nothing to. 363 00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,640 Speaker 1: Do with this total I want nothing because I could 364 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 1: really see because these are both two good defenses, so 365 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 1: my mind wants to tell me, hey, take the under here, right, 366 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 1: But at the same time. 367 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:46,080 Speaker 2: These Miami was just really EFFI man that that game 368 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:50,240 Speaker 2: plan against Old Miss was not complicated, right. Ole Miss 369 00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:52,760 Speaker 2: just could not tackle Malachai TONI. Yeah, they could match 370 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:56,080 Speaker 2: up with the blocking. Indiana's gonna be able to tackle that. Yeah, 371 00:17:56,160 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 2: Indiana doesn't make those those mistakes, so uh yeah, it's 372 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,920 Speaker 2: it's gonna be tough for Miami to make headways. Specifically, 373 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 2: if they get down, they have the horses to do it, 374 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 2: but you do not want to get behind against the Hoosiers. 375 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:12,400 Speaker 1: Yep, I'm completely in line with you. A random question, 376 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:17,359 Speaker 1: but better true freshman season Jeremiah Smith in twenty twenty 377 00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:20,400 Speaker 1: four or Malachi Tony in twenty twenty five. 378 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:23,439 Speaker 3: It is still Jeremiah Smith, but I think it. 379 00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:25,840 Speaker 1: Might be Tony. I think it might be Tony because 380 00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 1: he is less around him. He is less around him, 381 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 1: and he's like he really has been the whole offense. 382 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 1: Last year they had a Mecca BUCA. They still had Tate, 383 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,440 Speaker 1: they still had every better running backs. 384 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:41,119 Speaker 2: Is touch kissed by gold JSN, Garrett Wilson, Marvin Harrison Junior. 385 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:44,000 Speaker 2: They've had an incredible just lost a couple of wide 386 00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 2: factory Yeah, Brian. 387 00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 1: Hartline's departure meaning something there. So bo, let's go ahead, though, 388 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,480 Speaker 1: Let's jump forward and let's get to our top prop 389 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 1: bets where you have an absolute spread for us today. 390 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 1: You have three anytime touchdowns. Let's start there before we 391 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:01,760 Speaker 1: get to the player over unders. 392 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 2: All right, so the three touchdowns I'm gonna give you, 393 00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:07,239 Speaker 2: And these are hard to figure out at Indiana, right, 394 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 2: but we think Indiana is gonna score. I got him 395 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,280 Speaker 2: for four touchdowns. You have them for four touchdowns as well. 396 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:15,200 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna say Elijah Suratt, he just leads them 397 00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 2: with fifteen receiving touchdowns this year. God, this guy is 398 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,119 Speaker 2: just always open, I feel like. So I think he 399 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 2: scores in Kaylen Black as well scored twice last week. 400 00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 2: They're using them more by the goal line than they 401 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:29,440 Speaker 2: use him be at the goal line. So those two guys, 402 00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:32,200 Speaker 2: I think in particular. Plus we'll talk about this a 403 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:34,160 Speaker 2: little bit later, but I think if you do get 404 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,520 Speaker 2: that breakaway play, it's gonna be from Kaylen Black. And 405 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,760 Speaker 2: then for Miami, let's put Malachai Toni on there because 406 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,120 Speaker 2: like you and I both think this team is gonna 407 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 2: be losing late, they're gonna be throwing a lot in 408 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:48,040 Speaker 2: the third and fourth country quarter. Who in the country 409 00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 2: is more likely to take one, do one, wiggle and 410 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 2: take it to the house is Malachay Tony. 411 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:53,640 Speaker 3: Dude. 412 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 2: This dude has been incredible the whole year. They're setting 413 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 2: up screens for him, which I don't like them to run. 414 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 2: They ran it too much against All Miss, so it 415 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 2: kind of has to come off the plate a little 416 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 2: bit for this game against Indiana. But they're gonna run 417 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:06,040 Speaker 2: a couple screens for him and if he can slip 418 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:09,160 Speaker 2: one tackle, he could get in the end zone pretty easily. 419 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,200 Speaker 2: So those are my three touchdown calls to start. 420 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:15,760 Speaker 1: Okay, I love that Sarah has been absolute clinic as 421 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:18,920 Speaker 1: of lately. And Tony he's just so slippery man, and 422 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 1: he can do it all right. You think he's a 423 00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 1: guy who needs manufactured touches, He's not, right. He's someone 424 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 1: who can also. I mean there are multiple times in 425 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:28,920 Speaker 1: that Old Miss game too, where he was beating the 426 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,040 Speaker 1: reps deep and Carson Beck was missing him or not 427 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,600 Speaker 1: seeing him. So I love all those touchdown plays. Bogs, 428 00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 1: go ahead and hit us with your four over unders 429 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: that you have in the player prop market, two of 430 00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:43,640 Speaker 1: which are locking in on the Heisman Trophy winner. 431 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go the first one for Nandel Mendoz over 432 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 2: sixteen and a half ass completions, and I think it's 433 00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:51,720 Speaker 2: likely going to take a little bit more against Miami 434 00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,719 Speaker 2: passing the ball than it has in the first two games. Right, 435 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 2: Marcel Lead against him had thirty nine attempts, he completed 436 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:01,120 Speaker 2: twenty five. Julian sand had thirty five attempts, he completed 437 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:04,960 Speaker 2: twenty two. Shambles hid thirty seven completions, he completed twenty three. 438 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 2: So I know Indiana has been whooping people, and it 439 00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:11,159 Speaker 2: was seventeen of twenty last week, so it was just 440 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 2: a hair above this. But I do think that Indiana's 441 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:16,760 Speaker 2: gonna have to pass the ball a little bit more 442 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:20,159 Speaker 2: to seal this victory. So I think that sixteen and 443 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 2: a half pass completions is going to be I think 444 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,120 Speaker 2: you're gonna see a lot of short completions to try 445 00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 2: to counteract this pass rush, right, It's what everything wants 446 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,120 Speaker 2: to do. That's why you have a lot of completions 447 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:34,960 Speaker 2: against Miami already. So that one, I feel like is 448 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:40,000 Speaker 2: pretty easy. The next one we're gonna double up a gainer. Yeah, 449 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:42,440 Speaker 2: I thought you would like this one. I'm gonna take 450 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 2: Carson Beck and Fernana Mendoza both the thrown interception. 451 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,640 Speaker 3: That's plus two sixty in this game. 452 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:52,800 Speaker 2: So, look, Carson Beck has been great at not having 453 00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:56,520 Speaker 2: the turnover worthy play, right, but I think against Indiana 454 00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 2: he's going to get got, specifically if Indiana is leading late. 455 00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:01,920 Speaker 2: That is when you see guys throw picks at the 456 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,200 Speaker 2: end of games. It just happens that way, right, But 457 00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 2: I also know that, Look, Mendoz is not perfect. He 458 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:11,400 Speaker 2: has thrown interceptions. It has happened, and you are going 459 00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:14,680 Speaker 2: to get pressured. I love this Indiana O line. It 460 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:18,440 Speaker 2: doesn't matter. No one is keeping Mesador and Bain off 461 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:21,000 Speaker 2: of the quarterback for the entire game. So he's gonna 462 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 2: have probably happy feat specifically if he gets hit early, 463 00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:26,920 Speaker 2: and I think he's going to end up throwing a 464 00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:30,000 Speaker 2: pick too, So we're getting two and a half times 465 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,040 Speaker 2: for both of them throwing a pick. I think it's 466 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:35,040 Speaker 2: a pretty good assumption here, and I also like the under, 467 00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:38,120 Speaker 2: so okay, I like both these teams to turn it over. 468 00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,399 Speaker 2: Let's go to Mark Fletcher. We're gonna go over sixty 469 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,840 Speaker 2: nine and a half rushing yards and look running not 470 00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:48,399 Speaker 2: many running backs have hit this over against Indiana this year, Right, 471 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 2: Darry Hill last week he had the seventy one yard rush, 472 00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 2: so he got it. 473 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:53,119 Speaker 1: We did. 474 00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:55,919 Speaker 2: Week one, we saw Colton Joseph with his two seventy 475 00:22:56,000 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 2: yard plus touchdowns against Indiana for Jude my first bet 476 00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,640 Speaker 2: of the year, which you know made me very unhappy. 477 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 2: But in between that, it's these close games, right, the 478 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,200 Speaker 2: three close games that they played Kamari Moulton eighteen for 479 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:12,199 Speaker 2: seventy five, Nick Singleton ten for seventy one, and Bo 480 00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,720 Speaker 2: Jackson seventeen for eighty three. So they don't give up 481 00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 2: the rushing yards consistently. But again, we have seen the 482 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 2: rushing totals for the Hurricanes just spike in the playoff here, 483 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 2: twenty seven rush attempts against an m thirty five against 484 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 2: Ohio State, fifty against Ole Miss. Right, so they just 485 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 2: keep running. 486 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,359 Speaker 1: The ball flu during that Ole Miss game? Right? 487 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 4: Two? 488 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, Right, so he is their heavy hitter. He's the counterbalance. 489 00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 2: You have to rely on Mark Fletcher to hold the ball, 490 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,960 Speaker 2: keep it away from their offense, wear down this defense, 491 00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:47,440 Speaker 2: and then hit him over the top to Malachai Tony. 492 00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:49,480 Speaker 2: So I think Mark Fletcher is going to have a 493 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:51,600 Speaker 2: decent amount of carries. That's why I think he can 494 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,920 Speaker 2: go over this total. So we're gonna roll with Mark 495 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:56,840 Speaker 2: Fletcher to go over sixty nine and a half rushing 496 00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,640 Speaker 2: yards in the last one. I have another I didn't 497 00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,200 Speaker 2: want to do wide receiver ones right because, like sure, 498 00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:04,920 Speaker 2: they spread the ball out so much in Indiana, you 499 00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 2: don't know who's gonna come across these yards or whatever. 500 00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:10,720 Speaker 2: That's why I just picked Rot to score a touchdown 501 00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:14,080 Speaker 2: with Miami. It's you know who is going to get 502 00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 2: the ball, isn't gonna be Malachi Tony or they're just 503 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 2: gonna double him the whole game and open up somebody else. 504 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 2: I just don't know where the ball is going in 505 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 2: the past game. So let's go with Kaylen Black to 506 00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 2: go over seventeen and a half on his longest rush. 507 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:27,879 Speaker 2: And Miami has led up some rip plays here, right. 508 00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:30,560 Speaker 2: We saw Keywan Lacey with the seventy three yarder to 509 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:32,840 Speaker 2: the house. Last week we saw Jeremiah Smith with the 510 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 2: fifty nine yard of the Craver with the fifty nine yarder. 511 00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:39,960 Speaker 2: SO and Kaylen Black four hundred and one breakaway yards 512 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:43,879 Speaker 2: forty two percent. That's seventeenth in the nation among running 513 00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 2: backs with one hundred and fifty plus carries, which I 514 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,200 Speaker 2: believe there's eighty seventy nine or eighty somewhere in that 515 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,399 Speaker 2: neighborhood running backs with that SO, and he has the 516 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,200 Speaker 2: highest breakaway percentage on this team. We know the tackling 517 00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 2: has been one of the largest issues for Miami as well. 518 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:01,040 Speaker 2: So I think one rip run from Kayln Black here, 519 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 2: because he's got a big chunk of breakaway yards already 520 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,480 Speaker 2: forty two percent this season, I think he can have 521 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,280 Speaker 2: one big rip against the Canes here. 522 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, shout out to black Man. He was there RB 523 00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,679 Speaker 1: three last year in Bloomington and I would see him 524 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,360 Speaker 1: coming like like just in Spurts, and I always thought 525 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 1: that guy had a little more juice than Tyson Lotton 526 00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:22,400 Speaker 1: and Justice Ellison. He's kind of buried on the depth chart. 527 00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 1: I'm so happy he hung around and now he's getting 528 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:26,439 Speaker 1: his time to shine. You know, still in that one 529 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 1: two punch with him by, but he's been really good 530 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 1: and bugs. I love these over longest rushes that you have. 531 00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 1: I think you had one last week potentially on Kawan 532 00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:37,840 Speaker 1: Lacy or maybe just his yardist prop. 533 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,359 Speaker 3: And I was lazy, okay, and I had his. 534 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:42,680 Speaker 1: I had his any time touchdown. So we hit that 535 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:46,720 Speaker 1: one light again. Yeah, double cash on that. 536 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:48,440 Speaker 3: So love that play. 537 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 1: Man. Here's what we're gonna do. We're gonna fire up 538 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:53,080 Speaker 1: our same game parlay. We're gonna take my best bet 539 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,919 Speaker 1: of Indiana minus six and a half at minus one 540 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,080 Speaker 1: sixty three. That's gonna be our Leg one. That's gonna 541 00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: get us started here, right, that's gonna say, hey, Indiana, 542 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:02,120 Speaker 1: they just need to win by a touchdown here, let's 543 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 1: not take the hook. And also in leg two, then 544 00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 1: we're going to add that even money Elijah Sarah anytime 545 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 1: touchdown props, specifically because box do you know the last 546 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:12,920 Speaker 1: time that Sarah has played in the game and he 547 00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:14,200 Speaker 1: has not caught a touchdown? 548 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,960 Speaker 3: It was like Week five ors online, don't know week. 549 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 1: Three against Indiana State. Man, we're talking about I mean, 550 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,200 Speaker 1: we're talking in like ten straight games right now, coming 551 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,240 Speaker 1: into this one. He's had two games all season where 552 00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:28,879 Speaker 1: he didn't score, funny enough, one was against Old Dominion 553 00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:30,920 Speaker 1: where you were on him and number and the second 554 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 1: one was Indiana State where they just didn't need him 555 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:36,399 Speaker 1: that day. So absolutely insane run that Sarah has been on. 556 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 1: I think you have to have that. 557 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 3: Anytime touchdown they played, he scored against every. 558 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,720 Speaker 1: Every every p four. He didn't play against Maryland or 559 00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:46,920 Speaker 1: he was dressed, but he never went into the game, 560 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:48,600 Speaker 1: you know what I mean, he kind of he was 561 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:49,680 Speaker 1: available if needed. 562 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:52,360 Speaker 2: And of course every game he's been between the Lions, yeah, 563 00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:53,600 Speaker 2: he has scored a touchdown. 564 00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:57,160 Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, so I love that. And then Mark 565 00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 1: Fletcher over sixty nine and a half of rushing yards 566 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:01,959 Speaker 1: also even money, that's gonna be the third leg here, 567 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,639 Speaker 1: because I'm with you, we've seen I looked at all 568 00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:08,360 Speaker 1: those game logs these running backs have had against Indiana 569 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 1: and some of these more tighter games, and they've all 570 00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:14,520 Speaker 1: went over this, right. So I don't think Fletcher is 571 00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:17,919 Speaker 1: gonna have a seventy yard run like you know anything 572 00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:20,359 Speaker 1: we saw last week. But at the same time, I 573 00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,399 Speaker 1: think he's just gonna do enough and keep plowing his 574 00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 1: way forward and with how good this secondary and pass 575 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:28,359 Speaker 1: rush is for IU, I think Miami really is gonna 576 00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:30,680 Speaker 1: have to stay balanced even if they get down in 577 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 1: this one. So again that's Indiana minus six and a 578 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 1: half minus one sixty three for leg one. Leg two 579 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:38,720 Speaker 1: Elijah stat On the anytime touchdown at even money and 580 00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:41,800 Speaker 1: then that third leg Mark Fletcher with over sixty nine 581 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:44,120 Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards at even money as well. 582 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 1: Parlay that together Bogs plus five forty five. Go big 583 00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 1: or go home in the natty Baby, that is what 584 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:54,880 Speaker 1: we're doing. And speaking about going big or going home, 585 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,480 Speaker 1: it's time for our hard rock best bets of the Week, 586 00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:00,600 Speaker 1: presented by our friends over at hard rock Bet. Here's 587 00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,879 Speaker 1: our favorite bets for the week. I'm going Indiana minus 588 00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:06,280 Speaker 1: six and a half. And because our friends down at 589 00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,239 Speaker 1: hard rock Bet are boogeying because this one's in their 590 00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:11,920 Speaker 1: home state, in their home stadium, I got a nice 591 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,359 Speaker 1: little boost out there to get this minus six and 592 00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 1: a half all the way from that ugly juice I 593 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:18,880 Speaker 1: was paying earlier in the week to minus won twenty 594 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,200 Speaker 1: five Bogs. I'll drink that all day because you only 595 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:23,600 Speaker 1: pay the juice if you lose where are you going 596 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 1: for your best bet of the week. 597 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:27,440 Speaker 2: I'll go with the under under forty seven and a half. 598 00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:29,560 Speaker 2: I like Indiana minus eight and a half as well, 599 00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:32,159 Speaker 2: so I'll be on both sides here. But for my 600 00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 2: bet of the week, I'm going to take the under 601 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 2: because my twenty eight to seventeen has this to forty five, 602 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:38,280 Speaker 2: and I think that's what the late touchdown. I think 603 00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:40,800 Speaker 2: this is going to be twenty one seventeen going late. 604 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,560 Speaker 2: You know, no one has scored more than all missed 605 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:47,040 Speaker 2: it against Miami the whole year. I think Indiana. I 606 00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 2: think Indiana will win, but I think they'll win on 607 00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:51,400 Speaker 2: the back of their defense more than their offense. In 608 00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:54,080 Speaker 2: this game, Soles go twenty eight to seventeen and keep 609 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:56,360 Speaker 2: that under here, all. 610 00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:57,840 Speaker 1: Right, And shout out to our friends over there at 611 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:00,600 Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet who fueled us all season along with 612 00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,959 Speaker 1: just some great promos they're dropping every single day all 613 00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:06,520 Speaker 1: the boost everything like that. And if you haven't tried 614 00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,000 Speaker 1: your first bet on hard Rock Bet yet, don't worry. 615 00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 1: There's still time for you to get one hundred and 616 00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 1: fifty dollars in extra bonus bets if you win. Just 617 00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 1: place a five dollar bet and if it hits you, 618 00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,440 Speaker 1: not only you're gonna get your winnings, but also an 619 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,480 Speaker 1: extra one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Even 620 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 1: if your team might be out of the playoffs like 621 00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,000 Speaker 1: boxes like my Penn State and any Lions are, that 622 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,400 Speaker 1: doesn't mean you have to sit on the sidelines between 623 00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 1: same game parlays, live betting, a can't miss welcome offer, 624 00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 1: and new promos dropping on the red Gie hard Rock 625 00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:38,240 Speaker 1: Bet as you covered all postseason long, that's hard Rock Bet. 626 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,920 Speaker 1: Download the hard Rock Bet app today and make your 627 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:41,720 Speaker 1: first deposit. 628 00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:44,320 Speaker 5: Paybal and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by 629 00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 5: the Seminal Tribe of Florida and Florida offered by the 630 00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,120 Speaker 5: Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC in other states. Must be 631 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:53,920 Speaker 5: twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, 632 00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 5: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply. 633 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,400 Speaker 5: Concerned about gambling and in Florida, call one eight three 634 00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:02,000 Speaker 5: three play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone you 635 00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:04,080 Speaker 5: know is a gambling problem wants help, called one eight 636 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:06,800 Speaker 5: hundred and nine with it Gambling problem called one hundred 637 00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:10,560 Speaker 5: gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 638 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,040 Speaker 1: All right, folks, and that's gonna do it for us 639 00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:16,280 Speaker 1: on this episode and this season on the Betting Pros 640 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,080 Speaker 1: College Football Show. If you want more player props, I 641 00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 1: have a short dropping on Saturday for you on the 642 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,000 Speaker 1: VP YouTube channel, So make sure you check that out, 643 00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,200 Speaker 1: and in the meantime, let us know down the comments 644 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: below your best bets for the National Championship game. And 645 00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:30,840 Speaker 1: while you're going to make sure you're smashing that like 646 00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 1: button and subscribing to the channel. If you're new for 647 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:36,120 Speaker 1: Scott Big Time Bogman, I've said with Wilcock, take care 648 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 1: of y'all. Enjoy the off season. 649 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:40,920 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you 650 00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:43,360 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 651 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 652 00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 653 00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:53,480 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 654 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros 655 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 5: S