Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
Speaker 1: your bets. This b Joey paid Joe Pi Zapia, and
Speaker 1: it's time to look at the Week fourteen lines and
Speaker 1: the sides and see which games that we think are
Speaker 1: gonna go our way this week in the NFL. To
Speaker 1: help me do it, of course, is my boy Scott Bogman,
Speaker 1: the host of the College Football podcast right here on
Speaker 1: Betting Pros, and Andrew Anderson. That's right, because it's all
Speaker 1: about the undersun We're gonna talk about some of the
Speaker 1: games that we like in Week fourteen before we get
Speaker 1: to all that. Guys, it's the holiday season, and you
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Speaker 1: your subscription for free to start winning more bets today. So, Boggs,
Speaker 1: as my buddy, as my pal, as my friend, can
Speaker 1: you give us the first pick of the week that
Speaker 1: you are high on in Week fourteen?
Speaker 2: Yeah, give me Denver plus two and a half at
Speaker 2: the Chargers. And this for me is really that I
Speaker 2: hate the Chargers. I mean what they put together on
Speaker 2: offense recently has been bad. Over the last three games,
Speaker 2: they scored six ten twenty points. The Broncos defense is
Speaker 2: not good, but they have been winning close games. They
Speaker 2: beat the Packers by two, the Bills by two, the
Speaker 2: Vikings by one, and even in a loss last week
Speaker 2: against the Texans that came down to the last play
Speaker 2: of the game. If singlely doesn't make that one of
Speaker 2: the best picks I've ever seen. That's a score and
Speaker 2: they win going away. Certain has only really gotten torched
Speaker 2: by Tyreek Hill, but who hasn't so Keenan Allen should
Speaker 2: be locked up.
Speaker 3: I certain.
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know if anybody locks up Keenan
Speaker 2: Allen either, but if he does have a bad game,
Speaker 2: they don't have anything on offense because Eckler hasn't had
Speaker 2: room to run. He's look slow. I think the Chargers
Speaker 2: are one of the worst coach teams in the NFL.
Speaker 2: I have the Broncos sneaking this one out outright, so
Speaker 2: I just really hate what the Chargers are doing right now.
Speaker 1: Me too, my friend. I already bet Denver plus one
Speaker 1: thirty over on Caesars on betting Pros on the money line.
Speaker 1: That's the best number you can get. And by the way,
Speaker 1: I still keep talking about this, it's available still, and
Speaker 1: it's better than it was even last week when I thought, hey,
Speaker 1: you know, if they beat the Texans, all of a sudden,
Speaker 1: this number really shrinks. Well, they didn't beat the Texans,
Speaker 1: they almost beat the Texans. But now it's plus three
Speaker 1: fifty for the Denver Broncos to make the playoffs. You
Speaker 1: get that at bet MGM. You can get it at
Speaker 1: it's a plus three hundred over on DK so different
Speaker 1: sites having at different spots here, but the best number
Speaker 1: is at bet MGM right now. And they still play
Speaker 1: the Chargers twice. They play the Raiders one more time
Speaker 1: they play. I believe the Patriots are on their schedule too.
Speaker 1: They've they've got a really open path potentially to control
Speaker 1: their own destiny to get to double digit wins. So
Speaker 1: we are feeling Denver this week. Andrew Erickson, are you
Speaker 1: with us?
Speaker 4: I do like Denver, but I do just prefer the
Speaker 4: total in this game. And you know, no surprises here
Speaker 4: under forty four points, not you, yes, me coming out
Speaker 4: strong with the undertakes. I get that they're playing in
Speaker 4: Los Angeles, a home field advantage that doesn't really exist.
Speaker 4: It's a dome, but there really haven't been that many
Speaker 4: shootouts in Los Angeles this year to between the Rams
Speaker 4: and the Chargers. When you just look at the Broncos defense,
Speaker 4: how they've improved since the start of the season. Six
Speaker 4: of their last seven games have gone under the points total.
Speaker 4: The Chargers, oh my god, Chargers, nine of last ten
Speaker 4: games have all gone under again. They scored six points
Speaker 4: last week against the worst team in the NFL, worst
Speaker 4: than the NFL has scored six points. I think the
Speaker 4: Chargers are still getting credit for an offense that was
Speaker 4: supposed to be good like heading into the year, but
Speaker 4: that has hardly been the case. So the fact that
Speaker 4: this number is not closer to like thirty nine to forty,
Speaker 4: which I think is where it should be just on
Speaker 4: what we've seen from these teams this year.
Speaker 5: At forty four.
Speaker 4: Points, I think that this is a really good value
Speaker 4: to take. The under last ten games for these two
Speaker 4: teams two and eight towards the under. I Russell Wilson's
Speaker 4: run for two hundred and few yards and seven of
Speaker 4: his last eight games, and they both have above above
Speaker 4: average red zone defenses. So all signs to me are
Speaker 4: pointing towards a blackluster game in the Chargers.
Speaker 1: Blackluster game potentially. What do you make out of Brandon
Speaker 1: Staley's comments about shaking up the backfield a little bit
Speaker 1: like that's gonna make a difference somehow more Josh Kelly
Speaker 1: Carries is gonna be the difference maker for the Chargers.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it was a really interesting comment that
Speaker 4: he brought up, but I almost feel like it's more
Speaker 4: of a hey, Austin Ecker, like you have to play better,
Speaker 4: Like it's really more of a shot at Eckler than
Speaker 4: just Okay, we're gonna give the like you're really gonna
Speaker 4: give the ball to Josh Kelly Isaiah Speller.
Speaker 5: You're really good. You think that's gonna help.
Speaker 4: Like Eckros obviously had not been playing great, but maybe
Speaker 4: this is just like, hey, I have to play better.
Speaker 4: And it is Denver who has been able to be
Speaker 4: beaten in the run this year, So maybe this is
Speaker 4: the last stand for Eckler to really help about his
Speaker 4: fantasy managers.
Speaker 2: If you guys, if you guys like the way that
Speaker 2: Eckler's been running, wait till you see how slow.
Speaker 3: Spiller is.
Speaker 1: Bog in Week fourteen, what do you have for the people?
Speaker 2: Give me the under forty on the Rams at Baltimore.
Speaker 2: Both of these teams have played more unders five and seven,
Speaker 2: both of them playing to the over. I think Baltimore
Speaker 2: being gassed up off the buy really can make some
Speaker 2: problems for the Rams offensive line, especially if Rob Havenstein
Speaker 2: has to miss this game because Joe Noteboom has been rough.
Speaker 2: The Ravens are still adjusting to life without Mark Andrews.
Speaker 2: They only put up twenty against the Chargers defense. That
Speaker 2: was bad before the break. This one it really though,
Speaker 2: even all that stuff I just said, it's really about
Speaker 2: the nasty weather that is projected for this game. It's
Speaker 2: supposed to be rainy and windy for most of this game.
Speaker 2: I saw one meteorologists say that if this is just
Speaker 2: a little bit, if the system moved, it was a
Speaker 2: little bit faster than we think, we're gonna get big
Speaker 2: gusts constantly up to thirty miles forty miles per hour.
Speaker 2: So nasty weather in this game. For you know, the
Speaker 2: rams work through the pass passing production goes down with wind.
Speaker 2: The Ravens are going to be able to run, for sure,
Speaker 2: but that bleeds the clock. So give me the under
Speaker 2: forty with some ugly weather. Wind and rain is bad
Speaker 2: for special teams as well. So I'm gonna I'm gonna
Speaker 2: take the under in this Ravens game and hope that
Speaker 2: the Ravens don't put all of it up by themselves.
Speaker 1: Speaking of the running game for the Ravens, do you
Speaker 1: think Keaton Mitchell has taken over that backfield or do
Speaker 1: you think because of the weather both he and Edwards
Speaker 1: will work substantially in this contest? Yeah?
Speaker 3: I think both of them will work.
Speaker 2: But I think you know, they went to Mitchell last
Speaker 2: week or two weeks ago before the bye, and it worked.
Speaker 2: He had more snaps by like eleven than any of
Speaker 2: the other non fullbacks, and they have said they want
Speaker 2: to get him the ball more. He's the explosive playmaker
Speaker 2: on this team now that Zay Flowers is to catching
Speaker 2: footballs for whatever reason, he is their explosive play and
Speaker 2: Mark Andrews is gone, so they're missing a big piece
Speaker 2: of that. So there's just a lot of adjusting to
Speaker 2: be made for missing pieces. For the Rams, potentially with
Speaker 2: Haven's sign, they got to get rid of that ball quicker.
Speaker 2: For Matt Safford, he's going to get murdered. And for
Speaker 2: the Ravens with no Mark Andrews, plus the weather, so
Speaker 2: there's just a lot of obstacles for both these offenses
Speaker 2: to overcome in my opinion, So I'm gonna take the
Speaker 2: under in this game.
Speaker 1: All right, back to you, Undertaker, Do you have something
Speaker 1: different for us this time around? Erickson?
Speaker 4: Yes, I have something fun is an over, guys, Because
Speaker 4: the Colts there are over saviors this season eight and
Speaker 4: four towards the over this year. One of the best
Speaker 4: teams towards the over and a team in a season
Speaker 4: where all we can get is unders, and we have
Speaker 4: stadiums that are literally the anti anti Corus field of
Speaker 4: the NFL. The Colts are saving us. So they pushed
Speaker 4: the Titans last week, another one of these teams that
Speaker 4: always goes under. They went over against the Titans. Like
Speaker 4: if they can do that, they can get over against
Speaker 4: any team. So I like this spot here against the
Speaker 4: Cincinnati Bengals, even on the road. The Bengals defense is
Speaker 4: absolutely horrible. Six worth of points per game, thirty three
Speaker 4: yards allowed per game over the last three weeks, allowing
Speaker 4: over four hundred yards of offense per game. What Shane
Speaker 4: Steichen is doing with Garter Minshew and these Colts pieces,
Speaker 4: I think is absolutely fascinating. This offense is cooking on
Speaker 4: all levels. They didn't have all their guys, Like I
Speaker 4: can't wait to see what's gonna be with Richardson and
Speaker 4: Jonathan Taylor healthy next year. But for now, Garter Minshew,
Speaker 4: Zach Moss, these guys are getting it done and I think
Speaker 4: it's going to continue against Cincinnati Bengals.
Speaker 5: So I like the over overall in this game.
Speaker 4: When you look at the Colts specifically, or excuse me,
Speaker 4: the Bengals for the last seven games hit the over.
Speaker 4: Their last five of six games have all past forty
Speaker 4: one and a half points. So that's what this line
Speaker 4: opened year. Forty one and a half, went down a
Speaker 4: little bit to forty and a half. Now it's back
Speaker 4: up to forty three and a half.
Speaker 5: It's just the.
Speaker 4: Colts are a team you want to bet the overs on.
Speaker 4: So and the Bengals showed me enough, maybe not to
Speaker 4: back them as I think there's some I think they're
Speaker 4: favorite now in some spots, enough to back me or
Speaker 4: back them as a favorite with Jake Browning, but enough
Speaker 4: to show, hey, this offense can score the points against
Speaker 4: the defense like the Colts that you know has a
Speaker 4: leaky secondary, So I like the over.
Speaker 1: I hate when my secondary leaks. It's the worst box.
Speaker 1: It's the worst. It happens when you get older. You know,
Speaker 1: it's just the part of life. But I'll tell you
Speaker 1: this too, this is one of my favorite bets of
Speaker 1: the week too. I already put this on the over
Speaker 1: on my best Bets video here in the channel on YouTube,
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Speaker 1: check that out. And of course drop your comments below
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Speaker 1: the top ten video. Go bet the Over with me
Speaker 1: and Ericson because I can't. I can't pick a side
Speaker 1: of this game. Ericson, this is like a basically, it's
Speaker 1: a pl plus one over at Caesars. It's a plus
Speaker 1: one and a half at Cincinnati over our FanDuel so
Speaker 1: Ibi Vegas is like, hey, go choose your adventure. But
Speaker 1: for me, I think the adventure is the over.
Speaker 2: How could anyone know what the hell to expect from
Speaker 2: Jake Browning? He looks like a non NFL quarterback Tommy
Speaker 2: DeVito style one week and then he looks like Tom
Speaker 2: Brady on Monday Night Football. Who knows what to expect
Speaker 2: from that guy?
Speaker 6: Right now?
Speaker 2: It made me look like an idiot last week, and
Speaker 2: right now I hate everything University of Washington, So I hate.
Speaker 1: Me man. I'm loving the Washington all right. Let's go
Speaker 1: to see about Miami. How much you love them this week? Box?
Speaker 3: Look.
Speaker 2: First of all, it's thirteen and a half. It's the
Speaker 2: biggest bread of the week. I understand people don't like
Speaker 2: laying this many points. But against the spread, Miami's eight
Speaker 2: and four while the Titans are five and seven. The
Speaker 2: Titans are also two and four against spread since well
Speaker 2: Levis took over. They beat Atlanta and Carolina straight up
Speaker 2: in those games they covered. They're not gonna beat Miami
Speaker 2: straight up in this one. They couldn't win a close
Speaker 2: one against Indy at home last week, and they haven't
Speaker 2: covered this total in two of the last three weeks.
Speaker 2: They lost twenty to six was their loss of the
Speaker 2: Bucks thirty four to fourteen against the Jaguars. They are
Speaker 2: one in five against the spread on the road this season,
Speaker 2: and the one win coming against the Saints. And wink one.
Speaker 2: The Dolphins are clicking on all cylinders. They just put
Speaker 2: up forty five points against Washington and over four hundred
Speaker 2: yards The week before on Black Friday they put up
Speaker 2: three hundred and ninety five and beat the Jets going away.
Speaker 2: I think the Titans are one of those teams that's
Speaker 2: on the same level as the Jets. They're just not
Speaker 2: that good. Their roster is bad. They're well coached, but
Speaker 2: the product on the field cannot stop this Miami team.
Speaker 2: I don't know if this spread is big enough at
Speaker 2: thirteen and a half. I think Miami wins this one
Speaker 2: going away. I don't think it's close at all. Titans
Speaker 2: about to get really smoked. Tyreek Hill might have five
Speaker 2: hundred yards.
Speaker 1: Woah. I like the sound of that.
Speaker 3: Let's go.
Speaker 1: So I assume you like the over for the Tyreek
Speaker 1: Hill props. I mean, look, I'm going.
Speaker 3: To take all the overs for Tireek for the rest
Speaker 3: of the year.
Speaker 1: I put a big chunk of money on him for
Speaker 1: Offensive Player of the Year and then it was a
Speaker 1: I think I got it an eight and a half
Speaker 1: to one at the time. So I am I'm loving
Speaker 1: life right now. I love with this tour. Just they say, healthy, Tyree,
Speaker 1: I'm looking out for you, brother. All right, let's go
Speaker 1: to the next one here on the slate for week fourteen, Erickson,
Speaker 1: what do you have?
Speaker 4: Atlanta Falcons? Where are they playing at home? In Atlanta?
Speaker 4: They're playing at home, So we're gonna do it again.
Speaker 4: We're gonna go back despen Ritter at home. The line
Speaker 4: has already moved from minus two and a half Atlanta
Speaker 4: to now minus one because people don't believe he doesn't Ridter.
Speaker 4: They've seen him playquarterback, But have you seen him play
Speaker 4: quarterback at home? Guys, Like, that's the thing, that's the
Speaker 4: key selling point here. The Dirty Birds are four and
Speaker 4: one at home with Dismon Ritter as their starting quarterback.
Speaker 4: They already beat the Buccaneers this year on the road.
Speaker 4: Doesn't Ritter turned the ball over three times in the
Speaker 4: red zone and they still won the game. More importantly,
Speaker 4: they rushed the ball effectively against a strong Tampa Bay
Speaker 4: run defense. Second most rushing yards the Bucks have allowed
Speaker 4: were against the Atlanta Falcons. You know didn't play in
Speaker 4: that game, or I should say played on the final
Speaker 4: play of the game was b Jhon Robinson. This was
Speaker 4: the game that we were all over the receiving yardage
Speaker 4: props and then he didn't play like the entire game
Speaker 4: because of the Migraine. So they beat the Buccaneers. They
Speaker 4: ran all over the Buccaneers on the road without their
Speaker 4: best running back. They're at home. They have Bejon back.
Speaker 4: They're starting to ramp up his volume as they head
Speaker 4: into the They're trying to make a playoff run. They're
Speaker 4: in the driver's seat to win the NSC South. So
Speaker 4: I think that the Atlanta Falcons, I'm just going to
Speaker 4: continue to backtis't ritter at home because this is where
Speaker 4: he plays better. He's more comfortable playing at home. And
Speaker 4: I think the Buccaneers are an overrated opponent. I don't
Speaker 4: think they should be getting as much credit as you know,
Speaker 4: close road dogs, and who knows if they'll even open
Speaker 4: up maybe as the favorite.
Speaker 5: Maybe we see this line flip.
Speaker 1: If it ain't broke, don't fix it, ericson. You've been
Speaker 1: doing it all year, so he just keep doing it.
Speaker 1: A little disappointing last week for Bej in terms of productivity,
Speaker 1: but in terms of volume, still going in the right
Speaker 1: direction consistently for the last three weeks.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Box Ericson, why are you so mad when you're
Speaker 2: explaining this, uh, Atlanta minus one?
Speaker 3: You seem so angry. You're like, you gotta take minus.
Speaker 1: I think it's Adam. I think.
Speaker 5: I see because two and a half.
Speaker 4: I'm like, oh, this is great, like a great value,
Speaker 4: and that's none. The value's gone. It's like, oh, go.
Speaker 3: On to the other directge Age, I saw it. I
Speaker 3: knew it was in that. I recognize it. All right,
Speaker 3: thank you, Ericson.
Speaker 1: Going forward, we've all got feelings about this next game,
Speaker 1: So Boggs, why don't you kick us off with this one?
Speaker 2: I mean we've already talked about it a little bit.
Speaker 2: How about the over in Detroit and Chicago? This one
Speaker 2: to me and piece of p and I and Erickson
Speaker 2: in our thread about the Lions last week have been
Speaker 2: complaining about this Lion secondary and has been playing absolutely putrid.
Speaker 2: That they let the Saints come back on them, and
Speaker 2: they ended up putting up twenty eight points. Uh Jordan
Speaker 2: Love carved them up to the tune of two sixty
Speaker 2: eight and three touchdowns. So Chargers put up a season
Speaker 2: high thirty eight on them. The last time these two
Speaker 2: teams met and the last time last time these two
Speaker 2: teams met Detroit and Chicago, the score was thirty one
Speaker 2: to twenty six, with the Lions winning. In The Bears
Speaker 2: defense might be rested, but that's not gonna make the players,
Speaker 2: you know, very good just because the arrested. The Bears
Speaker 2: are still dead last in pass rush grade bottom twelve
Speaker 2: and coverage and rundy.
Speaker 3: I like the over.
Speaker 2: Even with this game being outdoors for the indoor cat
Speaker 2: as Joe likes to call him in Jared Goff, So,
Speaker 2: I just think this game goes over because the Lions
Speaker 2: secondary is playing terribly right now and the Bear secondary
Speaker 2: is bad. So I just think even outdoors, even it's
Speaker 2: just a little bit of weather, this game is going
Speaker 2: to sailway past this over all.
Speaker 1: Right, So Boggs is looking for the over. He's pretty
Speaker 1: confident there ericson same game, What are you confident in?
Speaker 5: I'm just confident the Bears.
Speaker 4: You know, the Bears are one of these few teams
Speaker 4: that can actually cover the spread against the Lions. The
Speaker 4: Lions have been one of the teams that have been
Speaker 4: super profitable, but over the last couple of weeks they've
Speaker 4: you know, given given backers some sweats when it comes
Speaker 4: to lines futures three and three against the spread overall,
Speaker 4: and their last two covers have come by extremely slim margins,
Speaker 4: Like we got lucky last week that the Lions came
Speaker 4: out with the cover against the Saints because they only
Speaker 4: are remote. They were rolling boxes messages to Chad Be
Speaker 4: like the Lions are gonna blow this, yeah. And when
Speaker 4: I looked at this line when it first open up,
Speaker 4: I was like, really, the Lion's are only like four
Speaker 4: and a half point favorites. They're playing the Bears, and
Speaker 4: they're like, Oh, it's outside in Chicago. This is a
Speaker 4: cold weather where Jared Goff's small hands are gonna get
Speaker 4: tight and is you gonna not know what to do
Speaker 4: with them? And he's gonna throw interceptions? Like for me,
Speaker 4: if the Lions have been playing better up to this point,
Speaker 4: I would give them the benefit of the doubt. But
Speaker 4: the fact that I could not bring myself to bet
Speaker 4: on the Lions on the road, even though they are
Speaker 4: the better team, I just that's why I wanted to
Speaker 4: bet on the Bears, because I think that their defense
Speaker 4: actually played much better over the last couple of weeks.
Speaker 4: Last three home games, they've limited their opponents to under
Speaker 4: two hundred and forty passing yards. Jared Goff didn't even
Speaker 4: throw it for that many yards when he faced the
Speaker 4: Bears in Detroit. You know he was held under tow
Speaker 4: hundred fifty passing yards. So look, justin fields doesn't cover
Speaker 4: the spread gainst many teams. He should have beaten the
Speaker 4: lines outright the last time, I think gets job done.
Speaker 5: This time at home.
Speaker 1: I'll take it a step further. Give me the Chicago
Speaker 1: Bears on the money line to win this game. Let's go, baby,
Speaker 1: I'm in. I keep watching the Lions give up points
Speaker 1: at an alarming rate last few weeks, and I mean.
Speaker 2: I'll find someone that loves you. Like Joe Pisa hates
Speaker 2: Jared Goff outdoor.
Speaker 4: Look man again, if it ain't broke, if it ain't broke,
Speaker 4: Bakers hates him outdoor. I mean like he's getting disrespected
Speaker 4: because they know the game's outside.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, like even even to that point, like
Speaker 1: right now, when you look at the money line, you're
Speaker 1: getting it at a pretty good spot on the plus side,
Speaker 1: Like why not just go for it here? Why not
Speaker 1: go forher broke? The best place you can get it
Speaker 1: right now is Chicago on plus one sixty over a
Speaker 1: points bet. I saw it at one fifty in a
Speaker 1: couple other spots, but I'm betting Broser. Now you can
Speaker 1: get in a points bet at plus one sixty, So
Speaker 1: take advantage of that because if this is close, and
Speaker 1: I keep saying, you know, you guys, you think it's
Speaker 1: gonna be close enough obviously there Bogs, you think it's
Speaker 1: gonna be an over that means anything can happen, And
Speaker 1: I just think it's very important to acknowledge that maybe
Speaker 1: right now Detroit is hitting a weird patch where they've
Speaker 1: got to kind of, you know, reconfigure itself a little bit.
Speaker 1: But Davis Well depends only they have not played well.
Speaker 1: And then on top of that, I feel like the
Speaker 1: Bears are starting to play better. And I'm just saying
Speaker 1: the Bears are great, But what I'm saying is the
Speaker 1: Bears and Justin Fields all kind of know they're all
Speaker 1: playing for their future in Chicago, and for whatever that's worth,
Speaker 1: this is an evaluation period and I'm fascinating to see
Speaker 1: if we get a little of Roshawn Johnson in this
Speaker 1: game too. Coming off the buy, I'm I think the
Speaker 1: Bears have a real shot and I like the Yeah,
Speaker 1: the hook Horns, Baby, I think they have a real
Speaker 1: shot to win this game outright, So give me the
Speaker 1: plus money on that side. I want to make some
Speaker 1: money on the Chicago Bears this week. Again, things I
Speaker 1: don't say very often this year, but I'm gonna say
Speaker 1: it here. All right, Bobs, let's close things out here.
Speaker 1: Give me one more game that you're high on for
Speaker 1: Week fourteen.
Speaker 3: How about another road favorite here.
Speaker 2: Let's take the Packers minus six and a half at
Speaker 2: the Giants. And this one is about the heater that
Speaker 2: Jordan Love is on. I talked all the smack about
Speaker 2: Jordan Love. I watched him for like five straight weeks,
Speaker 2: and I go, he ain't it. This is not the guy.
Speaker 2: And then the Steelers played Jordan Love and the Packers
Speaker 2: and he looked good.
Speaker 3: He made some really good throws.
Speaker 2: In that game, and I was like, Okay, maybe he's
Speaker 2: a little better than I thought, or at least maybe
Speaker 2: he's coming around now. And in that game he is
Speaker 2: twenty of twenty six two hundred twenty eight yards in
Speaker 2: a touchdown fine line, but he made some big throws.
Speaker 2: Then against the Chargers, it's the Chargers twenty seven and
Speaker 2: forty three, twenty two and two, he had two sixty
Speaker 2: eight and three versus Detroit, and then against a good
Speaker 2: Chiefs defense last week. He won them that game him
Speaker 2: in the refs two hundred and sixty seven and three.
Speaker 2: And I understand the Giants won two in a row
Speaker 2: before the bye week, but de Vito is still there.
Speaker 3: I don't trust him at all.
Speaker 2: The Packers defense is middling, but they're slightly above average
Speaker 2: on almost all PFF grades, and they're on a nice
Speaker 2: little winning streak here three in a row.
Speaker 3: The Giants still rank.
Speaker 2: Last or close in pretty much every offensive category. And
Speaker 2: I don't know that a bye week is going to
Speaker 2: be a savior for a team like the Giants. I
Speaker 2: just may they play a little bit better, But I
Speaker 2: just think the Packers run away with this one at
Speaker 2: the end.
Speaker 3: So the Giants are a bad team.
Speaker 2: The Packers are on a nice winning streak, So I
Speaker 2: just I'll lay the points and take the Packers, even
Speaker 2: on the road.
Speaker 1: And the Packers have been getting to Breshre on the
Speaker 1: quarterback lately too, which is a big difference maker for them.
Speaker 1: Now I'm curious, you know, with the Watson injury, you
Speaker 1: know how that affects love. But look, you can't deny
Speaker 1: the last three games box eight touchdowns, no picks. I
Speaker 1: mean that's the special sauce right there. If you not
Speaker 1: turn the on a heater playing well, yeah, Erickson, give
Speaker 1: me one more big deal. You're in on four week fourteen,
Speaker 1: and it's another game in New York or New Jersey.
Speaker 4: Really, yeah, it's the other game that's playing in New
Speaker 4: Jersey because we get we get so much New Jersey action.
Speaker 4: It's absolutely great. Houston and the Jets. I'm gonna go
Speaker 4: with the under thirty three and a half points. I
Speaker 4: teased it earlier, but MetLife Stadium is the Anti Courus
Speaker 4: field of the NFL too, and ten towards the over.
Speaker 4: There have been two overs and what have happened on
Speaker 4: Black Friday? Because there were two pick sixes? Like that's
Speaker 4: what we're.
Speaker 1: Doing, Yard, don't forget, never forgetail Mary.
Speaker 5: Nonetheless, regardless Hail Mary picked six.
Speaker 2: It happens all the time outside of Maddon, right, yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Bogmin's done it to me, I'm sure more
Speaker 1: than once on that.
Speaker 4: So we know that the Jets aren't going to score
Speaker 4: a lot of points. Zack Wilson is going to start
Speaker 4: this game. Six of the Jets last seven games have
Speaker 4: gone under the projected points total. They're starting Zach Wilson.
Speaker 4: The line move from five and a half to three
Speaker 4: and a half because people are backing Zach Wilson.
Speaker 5: I guess I won't be one of those people.
Speaker 4: And when it comes to the Houston side, because that's
Speaker 4: the concern of betting the under in this game.
Speaker 5: Oh what a CJ. Stroud balls out like we've seen
Speaker 5: him do well. CJ.
Speaker 4: Shroud's passing yards have decreased in five straight games. He
Speaker 4: just lost Tank Dell, who had been his number one
Speaker 4: wide receiver. I mean, look at how you attack this
Speaker 4: Jets defense. They're a team that teams want to run
Speaker 4: the football on. They know that the weaker part of
Speaker 4: their defense is their in tier defensive line not attacking
Speaker 4: these strong cornerbacks or their secondary. And when Houston has
Speaker 4: played bad run defenses, they have attacked it through the
Speaker 4: run game. Posting pass rate overexpects in terms of zero percent,
Speaker 4: minus two, minus five and minus ten percent. So I
Speaker 4: think that with their healthy running backs between Damian Pierce
Speaker 4: and Devin Singletary, I think the Texas will game plan
Speaker 4: to like Hey, we're gonna try to run the ball,
Speaker 4: attack the weakness of this defense like a smart team would.
Speaker 4: But that doesn't necessarily translate to them lighting up the
Speaker 4: scoreboard because they know the Jets aren't going to score
Speaker 4: more than ten points on their side, so they don't
Speaker 4: necessarily need to be super aggressive attacking downfield.
Speaker 5: They can grind out a win here on the road,
Speaker 5: come away.
Speaker 4: With the victory, and I think it's gonna be under
Speaker 4: three to three and a half points altogether.
Speaker 2: So not a lot of what you did go ahead.
Speaker 2: You didn't even mention rain and wind yep. Yeah, in
Speaker 2: the forecast for this game too.
Speaker 1: So do you guys not have a lot of confidence in,
Speaker 1: you know, the the return of Zach Wilson, the triumphant return,
Speaker 1: just like the playing hard to get Zach Wilson. Yeah,
Speaker 1: It's like, I don't know if I want to be
Speaker 1: the starting quarterback anymore. Maybe I don't. Maybe I want
Speaker 1: to go do something else with my life. I don't know,
Speaker 1: you know, maybe start a crochet business or something. Who
Speaker 1: knows what. Zach Wilson maybe's gonna open up a bar
Speaker 1: or something like that. I don't know. I don't know
Speaker 1: what he might do. Uh, here's a question for you guys.
Speaker 1: Have the Jets quit, Like, do you think this is
Speaker 1: like this is done? Have they It's like he is
Speaker 1: dead inside in every single I don't know he does.
Speaker 2: I mean, he is miserable and it's hard not to be.
Speaker 2: But I don't think the defense hasn't quit. I don't think.
Speaker 2: I think they get gassed at the end of games.
Speaker 2: You know, they're on the field too much because the
Speaker 2: offense is three and out, punt, three and out, punt,
Speaker 2: three and out punt. It is just gross on offense. So, uh,
Speaker 2: they have good pieces, they have good weapons, they have
Speaker 2: no line, no quarterback.
Speaker 3: You can't win like that.
Speaker 2: So even if your defense is how good it is,
Speaker 2: it is a they have a super Bowl caliber defense
Speaker 2: and just nothing on offense. So I don't think they've quit,
Speaker 2: But I think they get gassed at the end of games.
Speaker 2: I think once we see them get blown out in
Speaker 2: like a thirty five to three or something, that's when
Speaker 2: you know it's a it's a rap.
Speaker 3: So and that maybe that's coming this week. We'll see.
Speaker 1: Well see all right, just a recap what the boys
Speaker 1: are in on this week. Boggs is in the two
Speaker 1: and a half for the Denver Broncos at the Chargers.
Speaker 1: Ericson's in the under for that same game, the Rams
Speaker 1: and Baltimore under for Bogman at forty. You've got Bogs
Speaker 1: also in on Miami covering that thirteen and a half
Speaker 1: against Tennessee. He likes the over in Chicago Detroit and
Speaker 1: the Green Bay six and a half against the Giants.
Speaker 1: Ericson's also in on indecency forty three and a half
Speaker 1: over Atlanta minus one Bears plus three and a half.
Speaker 1: I like the money line because I like to live dangerously.
Speaker 1: That's what Uncle Joey likes to do. And Houston and
Speaker 1: Jets under thirty three and a half, want want wah.
Speaker 1: That's what happens when you get the kind of quarterback
Speaker 1: play that you're getting crazy to think about some of
Speaker 1: the quarterbacks we're getting this weekend too, if you're looking
Speaker 1: up and down the slate. So maybe, just maybe, unders
Speaker 1: yet again will be the theme of Week fourteen, just
Speaker 1: like it was thirteen and twelve and some other weeks.
Speaker 1: We'll see how things go.
Speaker 2: We need some new quarterbacks in the NFL. Joe, Let's
Speaker 2: get ready for that.
Speaker 1: Draft, you know, Trevor Lawrence did do some limited practicing today.
Speaker 1: We'll see what happens. Although I would not put him
Speaker 1: out there with Miles Garrett Chase, and I think that's
Speaker 1: a terrible idea. I think you have to play the
Speaker 1: long game. If you're in the Jacksonville Jaguars here, be smart.
Speaker 1: But we'll see what they do at the end of
Speaker 1: the day. We want to hear from you though. Drop
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Speaker 1: the game goes on for the Undertaker, Andrew Erickson and
Speaker 1: Scott Bogman. I'm Joey p We'll see you next time. Kids.
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