1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:06,160 Speaker 1: your bets. This b Joey paid Joe Pi Zapia, and 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: it's time to look at the Week fourteen lines and 4 00:00:08,720 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: the sides and see which games that we think are 5 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: gonna go our way this week in the NFL. To 6 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: help me do it, of course, is my boy Scott Bogman, 7 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 1: the host of the College Football podcast right here on 8 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 1: Betting Pros, and Andrew Anderson. That's right, because it's all 9 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 1: about the undersun We're gonna talk about some of the 10 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: games that we like in Week fourteen before we get 11 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: to all that. Guys, it's the holiday season, and you 12 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: know what that means. Free stuff. So for a limited time, 13 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: when you purchase any Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros Bundles subscription, 14 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: we'll double the length of your subscription at no cost. 15 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 1: I know we're crazy, but we're doing it anyway. That 16 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 1: means you can get a full year for free of 17 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:47,520 Speaker 1: all of our premium tools across Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros, 18 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 1: on top of the thirty percent discount, and you're getting 19 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: for bundling them together in the first place. So Betting 20 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: Pros premium offers you exclusive picks and content, personalized performance analysis, 21 00:00:56,520 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: and advanced profitability metrics, and I love a good profit 22 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: ability metric. Boy, oh boy, do I ever Head over 23 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot com slash promo. That's Bettingpros dot com 24 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 1: slash promo and treat yourself this holiday season and double 25 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: your subscription for free to start winning more bets today. So, Boggs, 26 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: as my buddy, as my pal, as my friend, can 27 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: you give us the first pick of the week that 28 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 1: you are high on in Week fourteen? 29 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, give me Denver plus two and a half at 30 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 2: the Chargers. And this for me is really that I 31 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 2: hate the Chargers. I mean what they put together on 32 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:33,320 Speaker 2: offense recently has been bad. Over the last three games, 33 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,680 Speaker 2: they scored six ten twenty points. The Broncos defense is 34 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 2: not good, but they have been winning close games. They 35 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: beat the Packers by two, the Bills by two, the 36 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 2: Vikings by one, and even in a loss last week 37 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:45,919 Speaker 2: against the Texans that came down to the last play 38 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 2: of the game. If singlely doesn't make that one of 39 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 2: the best picks I've ever seen. That's a score and 40 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 2: they win going away. Certain has only really gotten torched 41 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 2: by Tyreek Hill, but who hasn't so Keenan Allen should 42 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 2: be locked up. 43 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 3: I certain. 44 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know if anybody locks up Keenan 45 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 2: Allen either, but if he does have a bad game, 46 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 2: they don't have anything on offense because Eckler hasn't had 47 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 2: room to run. He's look slow. I think the Chargers 48 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 2: are one of the worst coach teams in the NFL. 49 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 2: I have the Broncos sneaking this one out outright, so 50 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 2: I just really hate what the Chargers are doing right now. 51 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: Me too, my friend. I already bet Denver plus one 52 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,359 Speaker 1: thirty over on Caesars on betting Pros on the money line. 53 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:28,360 Speaker 1: That's the best number you can get. And by the way, 54 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: I still keep talking about this, it's available still, and 55 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 1: it's better than it was even last week when I thought, hey, 56 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 1: you know, if they beat the Texans, all of a sudden, 57 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 1: this number really shrinks. Well, they didn't beat the Texans, 58 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:40,560 Speaker 1: they almost beat the Texans. But now it's plus three 59 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 1: fifty for the Denver Broncos to make the playoffs. You 60 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:44,400 Speaker 1: get that at bet MGM. You can get it at 61 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:47,519 Speaker 1: it's a plus three hundred over on DK so different 62 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:49,720 Speaker 1: sites having at different spots here, but the best number 63 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 1: is at bet MGM right now. And they still play 64 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 1: the Chargers twice. They play the Raiders one more time 65 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 1: they play. I believe the Patriots are on their schedule too. 66 00:02:56,720 --> 00:03:00,919 Speaker 1: They've they've got a really open path potentially to control 67 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 1: their own destiny to get to double digit wins. So 68 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: we are feeling Denver this week. Andrew Erickson, are you 69 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 1: with us? 70 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,399 Speaker 4: I do like Denver, but I do just prefer the 71 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 4: total in this game. And you know, no surprises here 72 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:18,079 Speaker 4: under forty four points, not you, yes, me coming out 73 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 4: strong with the undertakes. I get that they're playing in 74 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 4: Los Angeles, a home field advantage that doesn't really exist. 75 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:25,799 Speaker 4: It's a dome, but there really haven't been that many 76 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 4: shootouts in Los Angeles this year to between the Rams 77 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 4: and the Chargers. When you just look at the Broncos defense, 78 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 4: how they've improved since the start of the season. Six 79 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 4: of their last seven games have gone under the points total. 80 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 4: The Chargers, oh my god, Chargers, nine of last ten 81 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 4: games have all gone under again. They scored six points 82 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 4: last week against the worst team in the NFL, worst 83 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 4: than the NFL has scored six points. I think the 84 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 4: Chargers are still getting credit for an offense that was 85 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 4: supposed to be good like heading into the year, but 86 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 4: that has hardly been the case. So the fact that 87 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 4: this number is not closer to like thirty nine to forty, 88 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 4: which I think is where it should be just on 89 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 4: what we've seen from these teams this year. 90 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 5: At forty four. 91 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 4: Points, I think that this is a really good value 92 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 4: to take. The under last ten games for these two 93 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 4: teams two and eight towards the under. I Russell Wilson's 94 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 4: run for two hundred and few yards and seven of 95 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,600 Speaker 4: his last eight games, and they both have above above 96 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:21,719 Speaker 4: average red zone defenses. So all signs to me are 97 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 4: pointing towards a blackluster game in the Chargers. 98 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:27,680 Speaker 1: Blackluster game potentially. What do you make out of Brandon 99 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 1: Staley's comments about shaking up the backfield a little bit 100 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: like that's gonna make a difference somehow more Josh Kelly 101 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 1: Carries is gonna be the difference maker for the Chargers. 102 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it was a really interesting comment that 103 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,280 Speaker 4: he brought up, but I almost feel like it's more 104 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 4: of a hey, Austin Ecker, like you have to play better, 105 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:45,920 Speaker 4: Like it's really more of a shot at Eckler than 106 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 4: just Okay, we're gonna give the like you're really gonna 107 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,479 Speaker 4: give the ball to Josh Kelly Isaiah Speller. 108 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 5: You're really good. You think that's gonna help. 109 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 4: Like Eckros obviously had not been playing great, but maybe 110 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 4: this is just like, hey, I have to play better. 111 00:04:57,200 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 4: And it is Denver who has been able to be 112 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 4: beaten in the run this year, So maybe this is 113 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:04,160 Speaker 4: the last stand for Eckler to really help about his 114 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:05,040 Speaker 4: fantasy managers. 115 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:08,159 Speaker 2: If you guys, if you guys like the way that 116 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 2: Eckler's been running, wait till you see how slow. 117 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 3: Spiller is. 118 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,279 Speaker 1: Bog in Week fourteen, what do you have for the people? 119 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,840 Speaker 2: Give me the under forty on the Rams at Baltimore. 120 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 2: Both of these teams have played more unders five and seven, 121 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:24,479 Speaker 2: both of them playing to the over. I think Baltimore 122 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 2: being gassed up off the buy really can make some 123 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 2: problems for the Rams offensive line, especially if Rob Havenstein 124 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: has to miss this game because Joe Noteboom has been rough. 125 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 2: The Ravens are still adjusting to life without Mark Andrews. 126 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 2: They only put up twenty against the Chargers defense. That 127 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 2: was bad before the break. This one it really though, 128 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 2: even all that stuff I just said, it's really about 129 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 2: the nasty weather that is projected for this game. It's 130 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:55,719 Speaker 2: supposed to be rainy and windy for most of this game. 131 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 2: I saw one meteorologists say that if this is just 132 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 2: a little bit, if the system moved, it was a 133 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 2: little bit faster than we think, we're gonna get big 134 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 2: gusts constantly up to thirty miles forty miles per hour. 135 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 2: So nasty weather in this game. For you know, the 136 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 2: rams work through the pass passing production goes down with wind. 137 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 2: The Ravens are going to be able to run, for sure, 138 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 2: but that bleeds the clock. So give me the under 139 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 2: forty with some ugly weather. Wind and rain is bad 140 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:25,800 Speaker 2: for special teams as well. So I'm gonna I'm gonna 141 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:27,919 Speaker 2: take the under in this Ravens game and hope that 142 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:29,919 Speaker 2: the Ravens don't put all of it up by themselves. 143 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: Speaking of the running game for the Ravens, do you 144 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 1: think Keaton Mitchell has taken over that backfield or do 145 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 1: you think because of the weather both he and Edwards 146 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 1: will work substantially in this contest? Yeah? 147 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 3: I think both of them will work. 148 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 2: But I think you know, they went to Mitchell last 149 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:45,679 Speaker 2: week or two weeks ago before the bye, and it worked. 150 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:49,159 Speaker 2: He had more snaps by like eleven than any of 151 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 2: the other non fullbacks, and they have said they want 152 00:06:53,760 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 2: to get him the ball more. He's the explosive playmaker 153 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:58,159 Speaker 2: on this team now that Zay Flowers is to catching 154 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 2: footballs for whatever reason, he is their explosive play and 155 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,840 Speaker 2: Mark Andrews is gone, so they're missing a big piece 156 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:08,359 Speaker 2: of that. So there's just a lot of adjusting to 157 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:13,560 Speaker 2: be made for missing pieces. For the Rams, potentially with 158 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 2: Haven's sign, they got to get rid of that ball quicker. 159 00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 2: For Matt Safford, he's going to get murdered. And for 160 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 2: the Ravens with no Mark Andrews, plus the weather, so 161 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 2: there's just a lot of obstacles for both these offenses 162 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 2: to overcome in my opinion, So I'm gonna take the 163 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 2: under in this game. 164 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 1: All right, back to you, Undertaker, Do you have something 165 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 1: different for us this time around? Erickson? 166 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 4: Yes, I have something fun is an over, guys, Because 167 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:40,400 Speaker 4: the Colts there are over saviors this season eight and 168 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 4: four towards the over this year. One of the best 169 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 4: teams towards the over and a team in a season 170 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 4: where all we can get is unders, and we have 171 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:51,240 Speaker 4: stadiums that are literally the anti anti Corus field of 172 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 4: the NFL. The Colts are saving us. So they pushed 173 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 4: the Titans last week, another one of these teams that 174 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 4: always goes under. They went over against the Titans. Like 175 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 4: if they can do that, they can get over against 176 00:08:02,080 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 4: any team. So I like this spot here against the 177 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 4: Cincinnati Bengals, even on the road. The Bengals defense is 178 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 4: absolutely horrible. Six worth of points per game, thirty three 179 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 4: yards allowed per game over the last three weeks, allowing 180 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 4: over four hundred yards of offense per game. What Shane 181 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 4: Steichen is doing with Garter Minshew and these Colts pieces, 182 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 4: I think is absolutely fascinating. This offense is cooking on 183 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 4: all levels. They didn't have all their guys, Like I 184 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 4: can't wait to see what's gonna be with Richardson and 185 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 4: Jonathan Taylor healthy next year. But for now, Garter Minshew, 186 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 4: Zach Moss, these guys are getting it done and I think 187 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 4: it's going to continue against Cincinnati Bengals. 188 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 5: So I like the over overall in this game. 189 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 4: When you look at the Colts specifically, or excuse me, 190 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 4: the Bengals for the last seven games hit the over. 191 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 4: Their last five of six games have all past forty 192 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 4: one and a half points. So that's what this line 193 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 4: opened year. Forty one and a half, went down a 194 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 4: little bit to forty and a half. Now it's back 195 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 4: up to forty three and a half. 196 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 5: It's just the. 197 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 4: Colts are a team you want to bet the overs on. 198 00:08:53,040 --> 00:08:55,200 Speaker 4: So and the Bengals showed me enough, maybe not to 199 00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 4: back them as I think there's some I think they're 200 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:01,439 Speaker 4: favorite now in some spots, enough to back me or 201 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 4: back them as a favorite with Jake Browning, but enough 202 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 4: to show, hey, this offense can score the points against 203 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 4: the defense like the Colts that you know has a 204 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 4: leaky secondary, So I like the over. 205 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:12,920 Speaker 1: I hate when my secondary leaks. It's the worst box. 206 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 1: It's the worst. It happens when you get older. You know, 207 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 1: it's just the part of life. But I'll tell you 208 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:18,080 Speaker 1: this too, this is one of my favorite bets of 209 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 1: the week too. I already put this on the over 210 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 1: on my best Bets video here in the channel on YouTube, 211 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 1: and if you haven't, go subscribe to the channel. Go 212 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:26,840 Speaker 1: check that out. And of course drop your comments below 213 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 1: any of the video because we're giving away free premium 214 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:31,920 Speaker 1: upgrades the Betting Pros when you comment and subscribe, We'll 215 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 1: just keep giving them away. Every single week we're giving 216 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 1: them away. And remember to ring that bell for notifications 217 00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:38,079 Speaker 1: to let goes ding so you know if you're the 218 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 1: big winner of this week's free giveaway of the Betting 219 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:43,839 Speaker 1: Pros premium upgrade. And if you haven't already downloaded the 220 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app too, because on iOS you get three 221 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 1: free days of premium when you download it, so you 222 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: can see exactly the tools that we see when we're 223 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 1: making our picks and going through everything. So check out 224 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 1: the top ten video. Go bet the Over with me 225 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:57,719 Speaker 1: and Ericson because I can't. I can't pick a side 226 00:09:57,720 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 1: of this game. Ericson, this is like a basically, it's 227 00:09:59,760 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 1: a pl plus one over at Caesars. It's a plus 228 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 1: one and a half at Cincinnati over our FanDuel so 229 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 1: Ibi Vegas is like, hey, go choose your adventure. But 230 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 1: for me, I think the adventure is the over. 231 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:10,839 Speaker 2: How could anyone know what the hell to expect from 232 00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:14,839 Speaker 2: Jake Browning? He looks like a non NFL quarterback Tommy 233 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:17,440 Speaker 2: DeVito style one week and then he looks like Tom 234 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 2: Brady on Monday Night Football. Who knows what to expect 235 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 2: from that guy? 236 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 6: Right now? 237 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 2: It made me look like an idiot last week, and 238 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:26,360 Speaker 2: right now I hate everything University of Washington, So I hate. 239 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 1: Me man. I'm loving the Washington all right. Let's go 240 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 1: to see about Miami. How much you love them this week? Box? 241 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:34,920 Speaker 3: Look. 242 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 2: First of all, it's thirteen and a half. It's the 243 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 2: biggest bread of the week. I understand people don't like 244 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,880 Speaker 2: laying this many points. But against the spread, Miami's eight 245 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 2: and four while the Titans are five and seven. The 246 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,400 Speaker 2: Titans are also two and four against spread since well 247 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 2: Levis took over. They beat Atlanta and Carolina straight up 248 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 2: in those games they covered. They're not gonna beat Miami 249 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 2: straight up in this one. They couldn't win a close 250 00:10:55,559 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 2: one against Indy at home last week, and they haven't 251 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:00,440 Speaker 2: covered this total in two of the last three weeks. 252 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 2: They lost twenty to six was their loss of the 253 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 2: Bucks thirty four to fourteen against the Jaguars. They are 254 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 2: one in five against the spread on the road this season, 255 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:10,960 Speaker 2: and the one win coming against the Saints. And wink one. 256 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 2: The Dolphins are clicking on all cylinders. They just put 257 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 2: up forty five points against Washington and over four hundred 258 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 2: yards The week before on Black Friday they put up 259 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 2: three hundred and ninety five and beat the Jets going away. 260 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 2: I think the Titans are one of those teams that's 261 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:25,679 Speaker 2: on the same level as the Jets. They're just not 262 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 2: that good. Their roster is bad. They're well coached, but 263 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:32,559 Speaker 2: the product on the field cannot stop this Miami team. 264 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 2: I don't know if this spread is big enough at 265 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 2: thirteen and a half. I think Miami wins this one 266 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,680 Speaker 2: going away. I don't think it's close at all. Titans 267 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 2: about to get really smoked. Tyreek Hill might have five 268 00:11:42,600 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 2: hundred yards. 269 00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:44,959 Speaker 1: Woah. I like the sound of that. 270 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 3: Let's go. 271 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 1: So I assume you like the over for the Tyreek 272 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 1: Hill props. I mean, look, I'm going. 273 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:50,880 Speaker 3: To take all the overs for Tireek for the rest 274 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:51,199 Speaker 3: of the year. 275 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 1: I put a big chunk of money on him for 276 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 1: Offensive Player of the Year and then it was a 277 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: I think I got it an eight and a half 278 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 1: to one at the time. So I am I'm loving 279 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 1: life right now. I love with this tour. Just they say, healthy, Tyree, 280 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:03,680 Speaker 1: I'm looking out for you, brother. All right, let's go 281 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 1: to the next one here on the slate for week fourteen, Erickson, 282 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:06,520 Speaker 1: what do you have? 283 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 4: Atlanta Falcons? Where are they playing at home? In Atlanta? 284 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 4: They're playing at home, So we're gonna do it again. 285 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 4: We're gonna go back despen Ritter at home. The line 286 00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 4: has already moved from minus two and a half Atlanta 287 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 4: to now minus one because people don't believe he doesn't Ridter. 288 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 4: They've seen him playquarterback, But have you seen him play 289 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:26,079 Speaker 4: quarterback at home? Guys, Like, that's the thing, that's the 290 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:27,959 Speaker 4: key selling point here. The Dirty Birds are four and 291 00:12:28,080 --> 00:12:31,079 Speaker 4: one at home with Dismon Ritter as their starting quarterback. 292 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,679 Speaker 4: They already beat the Buccaneers this year on the road. 293 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 4: Doesn't Ritter turned the ball over three times in the 294 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 4: red zone and they still won the game. More importantly, 295 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,719 Speaker 4: they rushed the ball effectively against a strong Tampa Bay 296 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 4: run defense. Second most rushing yards the Bucks have allowed 297 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 4: were against the Atlanta Falcons. You know didn't play in 298 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 4: that game, or I should say played on the final 299 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 4: play of the game was b Jhon Robinson. This was 300 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 4: the game that we were all over the receiving yardage 301 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 4: props and then he didn't play like the entire game 302 00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,560 Speaker 4: because of the Migraine. So they beat the Buccaneers. They 303 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,320 Speaker 4: ran all over the Buccaneers on the road without their 304 00:13:02,360 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 4: best running back. They're at home. They have Bejon back. 305 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:08,200 Speaker 4: They're starting to ramp up his volume as they head 306 00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 4: into the They're trying to make a playoff run. They're 307 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,080 Speaker 4: in the driver's seat to win the NSC South. So 308 00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:15,719 Speaker 4: I think that the Atlanta Falcons, I'm just going to 309 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,120 Speaker 4: continue to backtis't ritter at home because this is where 310 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 4: he plays better. He's more comfortable playing at home. And 311 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 4: I think the Buccaneers are an overrated opponent. I don't 312 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:26,200 Speaker 4: think they should be getting as much credit as you know, 313 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:28,679 Speaker 4: close road dogs, and who knows if they'll even open 314 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:29,760 Speaker 4: up maybe as the favorite. 315 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 5: Maybe we see this line flip. 316 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:33,959 Speaker 1: If it ain't broke, don't fix it, ericson. You've been 317 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 1: doing it all year, so he just keep doing it. 318 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: A little disappointing last week for Bej in terms of productivity, 319 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 1: but in terms of volume, still going in the right 320 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:43,319 Speaker 1: direction consistently for the last three weeks. 321 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, Box Ericson, why are you so mad when you're 322 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 2: explaining this, uh, Atlanta minus one? 323 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 3: You seem so angry. You're like, you gotta take minus. 324 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: I think it's Adam. I think. 325 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:59,079 Speaker 5: I see because two and a half. 326 00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:01,359 Speaker 4: I'm like, oh, this is great, like a great value, 327 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:04,240 Speaker 4: and that's none. The value's gone. It's like, oh, go. 328 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 3: On to the other directge Age, I saw it. I 329 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:09,280 Speaker 3: knew it was in that. I recognize it. All right, 330 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:09,959 Speaker 3: thank you, Ericson. 331 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,640 Speaker 1: Going forward, we've all got feelings about this next game, 332 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 1: So Boggs, why don't you kick us off with this one? 333 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 2: I mean we've already talked about it a little bit. 334 00:14:16,440 --> 00:14:18,600 Speaker 2: How about the over in Detroit and Chicago? This one 335 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:22,080 Speaker 2: to me and piece of p and I and Erickson 336 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:24,880 Speaker 2: in our thread about the Lions last week have been 337 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 2: complaining about this Lion secondary and has been playing absolutely putrid. 338 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 2: That they let the Saints come back on them, and 339 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 2: they ended up putting up twenty eight points. Uh Jordan 340 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 2: Love carved them up to the tune of two sixty 341 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:37,960 Speaker 2: eight and three touchdowns. So Chargers put up a season 342 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 2: high thirty eight on them. The last time these two 343 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 2: teams met and the last time last time these two 344 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 2: teams met Detroit and Chicago, the score was thirty one 345 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 2: to twenty six, with the Lions winning. In The Bears 346 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 2: defense might be rested, but that's not gonna make the players, 347 00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:54,960 Speaker 2: you know, very good just because the arrested. The Bears 348 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 2: are still dead last in pass rush grade bottom twelve 349 00:14:58,520 --> 00:14:59,480 Speaker 2: and coverage and rundy. 350 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 3: I like the over. 351 00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 2: Even with this game being outdoors for the indoor cat 352 00:15:06,680 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 2: as Joe likes to call him in Jared Goff, So, 353 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 2: I just think this game goes over because the Lions 354 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 2: secondary is playing terribly right now and the Bear secondary 355 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 2: is bad. So I just think even outdoors, even it's 356 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 2: just a little bit of weather, this game is going 357 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 2: to sailway past this over all. 358 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 1: Right, So Boggs is looking for the over. He's pretty 359 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 1: confident there ericson same game, What are you confident in? 360 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 5: I'm just confident the Bears. 361 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 4: You know, the Bears are one of these few teams 362 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 4: that can actually cover the spread against the Lions. The 363 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 4: Lions have been one of the teams that have been 364 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 4: super profitable, but over the last couple of weeks they've 365 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 4: you know, given given backers some sweats when it comes 366 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 4: to lines futures three and three against the spread overall, 367 00:15:51,520 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 4: and their last two covers have come by extremely slim margins, 368 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 4: Like we got lucky last week that the Lions came 369 00:15:56,520 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 4: out with the cover against the Saints because they only 370 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 4: are remote. They were rolling boxes messages to Chad Be 371 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 4: like the Lions are gonna blow this, yeah. And when 372 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:10,720 Speaker 4: I looked at this line when it first open up, 373 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,200 Speaker 4: I was like, really, the Lion's are only like four 374 00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 4: and a half point favorites. They're playing the Bears, and 375 00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 4: they're like, Oh, it's outside in Chicago. This is a 376 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 4: cold weather where Jared Goff's small hands are gonna get 377 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 4: tight and is you gonna not know what to do 378 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 4: with them? And he's gonna throw interceptions? Like for me, 379 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 4: if the Lions have been playing better up to this point, 380 00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 4: I would give them the benefit of the doubt. But 381 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 4: the fact that I could not bring myself to bet 382 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 4: on the Lions on the road, even though they are 383 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 4: the better team, I just that's why I wanted to 384 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 4: bet on the Bears, because I think that their defense 385 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 4: actually played much better over the last couple of weeks. 386 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 4: Last three home games, they've limited their opponents to under 387 00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 4: two hundred and forty passing yards. Jared Goff didn't even 388 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 4: throw it for that many yards when he faced the 389 00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 4: Bears in Detroit. You know he was held under tow 390 00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 4: hundred fifty passing yards. So look, justin fields doesn't cover 391 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:01,840 Speaker 4: the spread gainst many teams. He should have beaten the 392 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 4: lines outright the last time, I think gets job done. 393 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:05,400 Speaker 5: This time at home. 394 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,160 Speaker 1: I'll take it a step further. Give me the Chicago 395 00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:12,240 Speaker 1: Bears on the money line to win this game. Let's go, baby, 396 00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:16,120 Speaker 1: I'm in. I keep watching the Lions give up points 397 00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:18,680 Speaker 1: at an alarming rate last few weeks, and I mean. 398 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 2: I'll find someone that loves you. Like Joe Pisa hates 399 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:23,479 Speaker 2: Jared Goff outdoor. 400 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:27,160 Speaker 4: Look man again, if it ain't broke, if it ain't broke, 401 00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:29,919 Speaker 4: Bakers hates him outdoor. I mean like he's getting disrespected 402 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 4: because they know the game's outside. 403 00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:34,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, like even even to that point, like 404 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:36,479 Speaker 1: right now, when you look at the money line, you're 405 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 1: getting it at a pretty good spot on the plus side, 406 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:41,479 Speaker 1: Like why not just go for it here? Why not 407 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:43,560 Speaker 1: go forher broke? The best place you can get it 408 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,159 Speaker 1: right now is Chicago on plus one sixty over a 409 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:47,879 Speaker 1: points bet. I saw it at one fifty in a 410 00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 1: couple other spots, but I'm betting Broser. Now you can 411 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 1: get in a points bet at plus one sixty, So 412 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,200 Speaker 1: take advantage of that because if this is close, and 413 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: I keep saying, you know, you guys, you think it's 414 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:59,439 Speaker 1: gonna be close enough obviously there Bogs, you think it's 415 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: gonna be an over that means anything can happen, And 416 00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:04,120 Speaker 1: I just think it's very important to acknowledge that maybe 417 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,800 Speaker 1: right now Detroit is hitting a weird patch where they've 418 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 1: got to kind of, you know, reconfigure itself a little bit. 419 00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 1: But Davis Well depends only they have not played well. 420 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:14,119 Speaker 1: And then on top of that, I feel like the 421 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:17,120 Speaker 1: Bears are starting to play better. And I'm just saying 422 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 1: the Bears are great, But what I'm saying is the 423 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:21,199 Speaker 1: Bears and Justin Fields all kind of know they're all 424 00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:25,080 Speaker 1: playing for their future in Chicago, and for whatever that's worth, 425 00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: this is an evaluation period and I'm fascinating to see 426 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:28,800 Speaker 1: if we get a little of Roshawn Johnson in this 427 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 1: game too. Coming off the buy, I'm I think the 428 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 1: Bears have a real shot and I like the Yeah, 429 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:35,760 Speaker 1: the hook Horns, Baby, I think they have a real 430 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:37,920 Speaker 1: shot to win this game outright, So give me the 431 00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:39,919 Speaker 1: plus money on that side. I want to make some 432 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 1: money on the Chicago Bears this week. Again, things I 433 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 1: don't say very often this year, but I'm gonna say 434 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: it here. All right, Bobs, let's close things out here. 435 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:49,080 Speaker 1: Give me one more game that you're high on for 436 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 1: Week fourteen. 437 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:51,399 Speaker 3: How about another road favorite here. 438 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:53,600 Speaker 2: Let's take the Packers minus six and a half at 439 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:55,840 Speaker 2: the Giants. And this one is about the heater that 440 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:59,440 Speaker 2: Jordan Love is on. I talked all the smack about 441 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 2: Jordan Love. I watched him for like five straight weeks, 442 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 2: and I go, he ain't it. This is not the guy. 443 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:09,120 Speaker 2: And then the Steelers played Jordan Love and the Packers 444 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 2: and he looked good. 445 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,399 Speaker 3: He made some really good throws. 446 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:13,200 Speaker 2: In that game, and I was like, Okay, maybe he's 447 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 2: a little better than I thought, or at least maybe 448 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 2: he's coming around now. And in that game he is 449 00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 2: twenty of twenty six two hundred twenty eight yards in 450 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 2: a touchdown fine line, but he made some big throws. 451 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 2: Then against the Chargers, it's the Chargers twenty seven and 452 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,480 Speaker 2: forty three, twenty two and two, he had two sixty 453 00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:30,920 Speaker 2: eight and three versus Detroit, and then against a good 454 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:34,040 Speaker 2: Chiefs defense last week. He won them that game him 455 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:37,119 Speaker 2: in the refs two hundred and sixty seven and three. 456 00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:38,919 Speaker 2: And I understand the Giants won two in a row 457 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 2: before the bye week, but de Vito is still there. 458 00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 3: I don't trust him at all. 459 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,399 Speaker 2: The Packers defense is middling, but they're slightly above average 460 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,119 Speaker 2: on almost all PFF grades, and they're on a nice 461 00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:49,399 Speaker 2: little winning streak here three in a row. 462 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 3: The Giants still rank. 463 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 2: Last or close in pretty much every offensive category. And 464 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,119 Speaker 2: I don't know that a bye week is going to 465 00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 2: be a savior for a team like the Giants. I 466 00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:02,080 Speaker 2: just may they play a little bit better, But I 467 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:04,119 Speaker 2: just think the Packers run away with this one at 468 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 2: the end. 469 00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 3: So the Giants are a bad team. 470 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,199 Speaker 2: The Packers are on a nice winning streak, So I 471 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 2: just I'll lay the points and take the Packers, even 472 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 2: on the road. 473 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:13,800 Speaker 1: And the Packers have been getting to Breshre on the 474 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:16,320 Speaker 1: quarterback lately too, which is a big difference maker for them. 475 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 1: Now I'm curious, you know, with the Watson injury, you 476 00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:21,000 Speaker 1: know how that affects love. But look, you can't deny 477 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 1: the last three games box eight touchdowns, no picks. I 478 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 1: mean that's the special sauce right there. If you not 479 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:29,200 Speaker 1: turn the on a heater playing well, yeah, Erickson, give 480 00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:33,119 Speaker 1: me one more big deal. You're in on four week fourteen, 481 00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:36,919 Speaker 1: and it's another game in New York or New Jersey. 482 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,679 Speaker 4: Really, yeah, it's the other game that's playing in New 483 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 4: Jersey because we get we get so much New Jersey action. 484 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,879 Speaker 4: It's absolutely great. Houston and the Jets. I'm gonna go 485 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 4: with the under thirty three and a half points. I 486 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:50,480 Speaker 4: teased it earlier, but MetLife Stadium is the Anti Courus 487 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 4: field of the NFL too, and ten towards the over. 488 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:55,879 Speaker 4: There have been two overs and what have happened on 489 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,200 Speaker 4: Black Friday? Because there were two pick sixes? Like that's 490 00:20:58,320 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 4: what we're. 491 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:02,359 Speaker 1: Doing, Yard, don't forget, never forgetail Mary. 492 00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 5: Nonetheless, regardless Hail Mary picked six. 493 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,960 Speaker 2: It happens all the time outside of Maddon, right, yeah. 494 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:12,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, the Bogmin's done it to me, I'm sure more 495 00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:13,440 Speaker 1: than once on that. 496 00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 4: So we know that the Jets aren't going to score 497 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:17,680 Speaker 4: a lot of points. Zack Wilson is going to start 498 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 4: this game. Six of the Jets last seven games have 499 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:22,200 Speaker 4: gone under the projected points total. They're starting Zach Wilson. 500 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:24,000 Speaker 4: The line move from five and a half to three 501 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:25,919 Speaker 4: and a half because people are backing Zach Wilson. 502 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:27,679 Speaker 5: I guess I won't be one of those people. 503 00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:30,960 Speaker 4: And when it comes to the Houston side, because that's 504 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:32,520 Speaker 4: the concern of betting the under in this game. 505 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:34,320 Speaker 5: Oh what a CJ. Stroud balls out like we've seen 506 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:35,359 Speaker 5: him do well. CJ. 507 00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:38,840 Speaker 4: Shroud's passing yards have decreased in five straight games. He 508 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 4: just lost Tank Dell, who had been his number one 509 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:43,159 Speaker 4: wide receiver. I mean, look at how you attack this 510 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,760 Speaker 4: Jets defense. They're a team that teams want to run 511 00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 4: the football on. They know that the weaker part of 512 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,119 Speaker 4: their defense is their in tier defensive line not attacking 513 00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:53,480 Speaker 4: these strong cornerbacks or their secondary. And when Houston has 514 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:57,480 Speaker 4: played bad run defenses, they have attacked it through the 515 00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 4: run game. Posting pass rate overexpects in terms of zero percent, 516 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,919 Speaker 4: minus two, minus five and minus ten percent. So I 517 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 4: think that with their healthy running backs between Damian Pierce 518 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,359 Speaker 4: and Devin Singletary, I think the Texas will game plan 519 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:10,840 Speaker 4: to like Hey, we're gonna try to run the ball, 520 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 4: attack the weakness of this defense like a smart team would. 521 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 4: But that doesn't necessarily translate to them lighting up the 522 00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 4: scoreboard because they know the Jets aren't going to score 523 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:19,800 Speaker 4: more than ten points on their side, so they don't 524 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 4: necessarily need to be super aggressive attacking downfield. 525 00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,640 Speaker 5: They can grind out a win here on the road, 526 00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 5: come away. 527 00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:26,960 Speaker 4: With the victory, and I think it's gonna be under 528 00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 4: three to three and a half points altogether. 529 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:30,320 Speaker 2: So not a lot of what you did go ahead. 530 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 2: You didn't even mention rain and wind yep. Yeah, in 531 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 2: the forecast for this game too. 532 00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: So do you guys not have a lot of confidence in, 533 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,399 Speaker 1: you know, the the return of Zach Wilson, the triumphant return, 534 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 1: just like the playing hard to get Zach Wilson. Yeah, 535 00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 1: It's like, I don't know if I want to be 536 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 1: the starting quarterback anymore. Maybe I don't. Maybe I want 537 00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 1: to go do something else with my life. I don't know, 538 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:52,000 Speaker 1: you know, maybe start a crochet business or something. Who 539 00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 1: knows what. Zach Wilson maybe's gonna open up a bar 540 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:56,240 Speaker 1: or something like that. I don't know. I don't know 541 00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:58,639 Speaker 1: what he might do. Uh, here's a question for you guys. 542 00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 1: Have the Jets quit, Like, do you think this is 543 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,919 Speaker 1: like this is done? Have they It's like he is 544 00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,200 Speaker 1: dead inside in every single I don't know he does. 545 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 2: I mean, he is miserable and it's hard not to be. 546 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 2: But I don't think the defense hasn't quit. I don't think. 547 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,159 Speaker 2: I think they get gassed at the end of games. 548 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 2: You know, they're on the field too much because the 549 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,639 Speaker 2: offense is three and out, punt, three and out, punt, 550 00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:26,399 Speaker 2: three and out punt. It is just gross on offense. So, uh, 551 00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 2: they have good pieces, they have good weapons, they have 552 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:29,440 Speaker 2: no line, no quarterback. 553 00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:30,360 Speaker 3: You can't win like that. 554 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,439 Speaker 2: So even if your defense is how good it is, 555 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 2: it is a they have a super Bowl caliber defense 556 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,880 Speaker 2: and just nothing on offense. So I don't think they've quit, 557 00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:41,159 Speaker 2: But I think they get gassed at the end of games. 558 00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,919 Speaker 2: I think once we see them get blown out in 559 00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:46,800 Speaker 2: like a thirty five to three or something, that's when 560 00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,400 Speaker 2: you know it's a it's a rap. 561 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:50,640 Speaker 3: So and that maybe that's coming this week. We'll see. 562 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:52,480 Speaker 1: Well see all right, just a recap what the boys 563 00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:54,639 Speaker 1: are in on this week. Boggs is in the two 564 00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,800 Speaker 1: and a half for the Denver Broncos at the Chargers. 565 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 1: Ericson's in the under for that same game, the Rams 566 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,919 Speaker 1: and Baltimore under for Bogman at forty. You've got Bogs 567 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:06,879 Speaker 1: also in on Miami covering that thirteen and a half 568 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 1: against Tennessee. He likes the over in Chicago Detroit and 569 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:11,960 Speaker 1: the Green Bay six and a half against the Giants. 570 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,360 Speaker 1: Ericson's also in on indecency forty three and a half 571 00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 1: over Atlanta minus one Bears plus three and a half. 572 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,360 Speaker 1: I like the money line because I like to live dangerously. 573 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:22,520 Speaker 1: That's what Uncle Joey likes to do. And Houston and 574 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 1: Jets under thirty three and a half, want want wah. 575 00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,760 Speaker 1: That's what happens when you get the kind of quarterback 576 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:30,359 Speaker 1: play that you're getting crazy to think about some of 577 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:32,800 Speaker 1: the quarterbacks we're getting this weekend too, if you're looking 578 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 1: up and down the slate. So maybe, just maybe, unders 579 00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:38,679 Speaker 1: yet again will be the theme of Week fourteen, just 580 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 1: like it was thirteen and twelve and some other weeks. 581 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:42,720 Speaker 1: We'll see how things go. 582 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,360 Speaker 2: We need some new quarterbacks in the NFL. Joe, Let's 583 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 2: get ready for that. 584 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: Draft, you know, Trevor Lawrence did do some limited practicing today. 585 00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:51,760 Speaker 1: We'll see what happens. Although I would not put him 586 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: out there with Miles Garrett Chase, and I think that's 587 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,480 Speaker 1: a terrible idea. I think you have to play the 588 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 1: long game. If you're in the Jacksonville Jaguars here, be smart. 589 00:24:57,880 --> 00:24:59,680 Speaker 1: But we'll see what they do at the end of 590 00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:01,280 Speaker 1: the day. We want to hear from you though. Drop 591 00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: your comments below in the YouTube channel. You just might 592 00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 1: win a one year free premium upgrade to Betting Pros, 593 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 1: but we'd like to hear what you're in on, so 594 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:09,240 Speaker 1: give us your picks to you. We're all part of 595 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 1: a community. Download the Betting Pros app if you haven't already, 596 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 1: and don't forget make your picks count even if you're 597 00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:15,960 Speaker 1: not betting. If you if betting's not even the legal 598 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:19,120 Speaker 1: in your state, go check out the Betting proscontest bettingpros 599 00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:22,240 Speaker 1: dot com slash NFL contest. We're giving away weekly prizes, 600 00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:25,480 Speaker 1: monthly prizes, upgrades to Fantasy Pros to Betting Pros for free. 601 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:27,359 Speaker 1: We're also going to wait swag from our Betting Pros 602 00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:29,879 Speaker 1: and and Fantasy Pro shop, so you like hatsy like 603 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 1: t shirts. Come on, just make some picks, have some fun. 604 00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,719 Speaker 1: It's a good time to start betting in the NFL, 605 00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 1: and that'll do it for us. But the story of 606 00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,639 Speaker 1: the game goes on for the Undertaker, Andrew Erickson and 607 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 1: Scott Bogman. I'm Joey p We'll see you next time. Kids. 608 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 609 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,119 Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 610 00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 611 00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 612 00:25:57,600 --> 00:25:59,480 Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 613 00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:01,240 Speaker 3: Also subscribe to our YouTube 614 00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:05,880 Speaker 6: Channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.