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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Monday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perolt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. That handle is also my handle on

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Speaker 1: the Betting pros app. Going download that today for free

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Speaker 1: iOS and Android. And we are back after a winning day.

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Speaker 1: How about that three and one for us on a Sunday,

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Speaker 1: So the Pacers bet. I hope you guys got out

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Speaker 1: of that. I almost middled myself because I laid thirteen

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Speaker 1: and they won by what sixteen? I was getting nervous

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Speaker 1: there for a second. So I was able to get

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Speaker 1: out of that bet with plus eleven SGA play of

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Speaker 1: the Day after missing on Saturday, we come right back

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Speaker 1: and hit that. So now we are ten and one

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Speaker 1: over the last eleven plays of the day, and in

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Speaker 1: the month of June we are seven and one for

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Speaker 1: our play of the day that you guys can get

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Speaker 1: on the Betting pros app each and every morning. TJ

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Speaker 1: McConnell flies over his points, rebounds and assists nearly got

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Speaker 1: that in the first half. Yankees team total well over

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Speaker 1: that Red Sox Yankees first five, first three, all of

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Speaker 1: that comes in team total red Sox over game over

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Speaker 1: red Sox win. I thought the Yankees would win. I

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Speaker 1: didn't bet it, but pretty good day there with a

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Speaker 1: three to one mark, up one point nine units on

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Speaker 1: the day, So that means we're up two units for

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Speaker 1: last week, the first full week of June, and it

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Speaker 1: means we are up six units for the month of June.

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Speaker 1: So good start to the month of June here for

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Speaker 1: us as we start a new week here on a Monday.

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Speaker 1: NBA Player Props. By the way, after those two hits,

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Speaker 1: we are now sixty and thirty on NBA Player Props.

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Speaker 1: Sixty and thirty. We've done. I mean, that's the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. You guys don't believe in the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet now, I mean, I don't want to

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Speaker 1: tell you. I mean again, you have the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: Premium offer. You can go check it out if you

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Speaker 1: want seven days for free, so it costs you nothing

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Speaker 1: for the rest of the NBA Finals. It's not a

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Speaker 1: bad idea to take a look at it and see

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Speaker 1: if you can make some money. Here on the final

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Speaker 1: download the app, use the code Juice seven day free

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Speaker 1: trial and you guys can go pull player props yourself

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Speaker 1: and what Just do what I do and look at

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Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat sheet and pull it and bet

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Speaker 1: what you think is the best plays. It tells you

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Speaker 1: five star positive EV projection versus the bet differentiator, it's all.

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Speaker 1: It's all in there. So sixty and thirty for the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet and we are now up. It's incredible.

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Speaker 1: We're only up thirteen and a half units. I only

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Speaker 1: say only thirteen and a half units because if I'd

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Speaker 1: been betting full units, if I had just not been

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Speaker 1: a chicken and I bet fully units on the prop

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Speaker 1: bit cheat sheet during this NBA basketball season, and I'm

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Speaker 1: willom been betting full units here since the playoffs and

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Speaker 1: really since the Eastern Conference in Western Conference finals, we'd

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Speaker 1: be up thirty units or so or close to it. Instead,

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Speaker 1: we're up about half that, a little less than half that.

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Speaker 1: So just because of what we've done here with now

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Speaker 1: going full units for the prop bit cheat sheet. By

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Speaker 1: the way, baseball now is twenty six and nineteen, we're

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Speaker 1: up three and a half units in Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 1: That's pretty cool. I have kind of a strategy that

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Speaker 1: I'm going to tell you guys about here in just

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Speaker 1: one second as to what the week's going to look like,

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Speaker 1: and as has I'm going to bet baseball, but we

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Speaker 1: got hockey on the brain today. Two bets in the NHL,

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Speaker 1: one bet in Major League Baseball to give you guys

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Speaker 1: here on a Monday, But first, let me remind you

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Speaker 1: about the offer from FanDuel for new customers that you

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Speaker 1: guys can take advantage of right now. They want to

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Speaker 1: boost your bets. You bet five dollars, you can win

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Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. If that

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Speaker 1: first bet hits, just head on over to Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash fandel to get started. That's Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash FanDuel and make your place at fandel. Today we

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Speaker 1: are switching venues to Game three, perfect time for you

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Speaker 1: guys to jump in on the NBA Playoff prop contest

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Speaker 1: going on right now for the Yannis jersey. Grand prize

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Speaker 1: will be a A I signed jersey, but we're giving

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Speaker 1: away for the finals a Janis Antetokoupo signed bucks jersey.

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Speaker 1: Join now at bettingpros dot com slash Playoffs or play

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Speaker 1: for free on the Betting Pros app Okay let's start

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Speaker 1: talking about tonight, with Florida hosting the Stanley Cup again

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Speaker 1: up against Edmonton, it's one one, Florida going back home.

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Speaker 1: I was always going to bet Florida to win Game three,

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Speaker 1: regardless of what happened to Game one or Game two.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna get gonna bet Florida in Game three.

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Speaker 1: Why hole ice? Okay, last change home mice. And frankly,

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Speaker 1: it's a pretty far trip from Edmonton to Sunrise, Florida

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Speaker 1: is just about as far as you're going to go

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Speaker 1: in the NHL. And you want to talk about a

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Speaker 1: completely different environment for Edmonton. So the one game they

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Speaker 1: played in Florida, the game went over in the regular

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Speaker 1: season Florida one. They won both games in the regular

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Speaker 1: season two nothing the Panthers were against the Oilers. But

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Speaker 1: this is about Brabrovski, Okay, this is about the better goaltender.

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Speaker 1: This is about last change. And I do believe the

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Speaker 1: referees are going to stop calling penalties. We have seen

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Speaker 1: so many man advantages. And as I talked about before,

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Speaker 1: I thought when I bet over in game one, I

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Speaker 1: bet over in Game two. What I thought was gonna

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Speaker 1: happen was the referees were going to call a bunch

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Speaker 1: of penalties, establish what is and what is not a penalty,

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Speaker 1: and then put the whistle away. And we're getting to

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Speaker 1: that point of the series where I think they're going

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Speaker 1: to start to put the whistle the whistle away and

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Speaker 1: not give Edmonton as many power plays, and frankly the

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Speaker 1: same thing, not give the Panthers as many power plays. Thus,

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Speaker 1: I do think the under is a potential here, Okay,

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Speaker 1: under six and a half. But I'm not gonna bet

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Speaker 1: unders in this series. I'm not gonna bet totals except

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Speaker 1: for overs. I just can't bring myself to bet unders.

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Speaker 1: So the way I'm gonna bet an under is by

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Speaker 1: Brabrovsky under save sorry over saves again over in game one,

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Speaker 1: over in Game two, the numbers twenty five and a half. Again,

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Speaker 1: it was twenty four and a half. In Game one,

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Speaker 1: it was twenty five and a half in game two.

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Speaker 1: Both went flying over. Now you could say, well, Matt,

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Speaker 1: the games went to overtime, he went over in regulation. Okay,

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Speaker 1: both saves. Both props cashed for US in regulation, so

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Speaker 1: it didn't matter. Overtime was just butter, it was just extra.

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Speaker 1: It was just we just were you know, sitting back

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Speaker 1: and just watching the number climb Okay had over forty

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Speaker 1: saves in the first two games. Now does that mean

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Speaker 1: he has forty saves again, I don't know. Probably not.

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Speaker 1: Game probably is not going to overtime, so we're probably

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Speaker 1: not getting as many power plays, so that's gonna limit

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Speaker 1: how many goal how many shots on goal will come

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Speaker 1: from Edmonton. But I don't believe the Oilers know how

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Speaker 1: to play any other way except up tempo and back

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Speaker 1: and forth, up and down the ice, so that means

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Speaker 1: Bob's gonna get tested. I think Barbrovski over twenty five

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Speaker 1: and a half saves tonight is a good play. The

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Speaker 1: books are being stubborn the number. I've seen it anywhere

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Speaker 1: from minus one forty where I bet it all the

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Speaker 1: way to minus one sixty all at twenty five and

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Speaker 1: a half. My cost on BVB has coined the phrase,

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Speaker 1: just move the damn number. My thing to the books.

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Speaker 1: Is it that big of a difference to move the

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Speaker 1: damn number to twenty six and a half and give

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Speaker 1: us decent juice At minus one ten I would still

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Speaker 1: bet over even at twenty six and a half. Just

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Speaker 1: move the darn thing. So over twenty five and a half.

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Speaker 1: Barbrovski saves tonight against Edmonton. Also Florida to win. Florida

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Speaker 1: money line again, little juicy minus one thirty, chop around.

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Speaker 1: I bet minus one thirty at the super book here

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Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. It's going anywhere from minus one thirty

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Speaker 1: up to MIAs one fifty on the money line here overnight.

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Speaker 1: It could climb. I just think we're switching, we're switching venues.

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Speaker 1: I think Florida is going to ride the whole atmosphere.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate over in the first period. I don't

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Speaker 1: hate that if we go one to one. But here's

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Speaker 1: a bet to make in the second period. The Florida

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Speaker 1: Panthers have dominated the second period all playoffs, and they've

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Speaker 1: dominated in this series in the second period. So watch

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Speaker 1: the first period, watch how it goes, and then look

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Speaker 1: and see if you can bet Florida money line in

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Speaker 1: the second period or over one and a half goals

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Speaker 1: in the second period. If it is a low scoring

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Speaker 1: first period, over in the second period. I think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a very good bet. And I think having

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Speaker 1: Florida to score, it's a bet on how many and

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Speaker 1: over under total goals for Florida in the second period.

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Speaker 1: Even if they hang one and a half, they very

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Speaker 1: well might score two goals in the second period. They

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Speaker 1: really have dominated Edmonton in the second period for whatever reason.

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Speaker 1: So let's see. Maybe it's the change, you know, the

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Speaker 1: switching in terms of long change so short change, or

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Speaker 1: you know, I don't know, so let's see what happens.

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Speaker 1: But second period. Watch the second period in this game.

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Speaker 1: If you want to get involved with an in game

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Speaker 1: bet for Game three of the Cup Final over second

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Speaker 1: period Florida to money line to win the second period

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Speaker 1: or Florida Stork score a goal in the second period

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Speaker 1: all prop bets to look after. But officially we're going

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Speaker 1: Florida money line here tonight. Ooh, sorry, that's that didn't

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Speaker 1: change Florida. That's not the right slide. Let's hotly get

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Speaker 1: the right slide on there for you guys. There's the

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Speaker 1: right slide. Florida money line mas one thirty for one

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Speaker 1: point three units and Bobrovsky over twenty and a half

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Speaker 1: saves at minus one forty for one point four units there,

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Speaker 1: So obviously we're pretty well committed there. You could bet

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Speaker 1: the under if you want. You want extra. I do

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Speaker 1: think the owners a decent play, but again, I'm not

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Speaker 1: betting that. I can't bet that just given the offenses

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Speaker 1: and given what we have seen, Bobrovski's played great and

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Speaker 1: giving up a bunch of goals, okay, So like he

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Speaker 1: gave up three goals in the first period and then

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Speaker 1: didn't give up another goal in game number two. He

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Speaker 1: gave up a bunch of goals in game numbers one.

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Speaker 1: But like so, I'm not betting the total here because

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Speaker 1: open net and whatnot could get very dicey to bet

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Speaker 1: the under, So I'm not interested in losing a bet

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Speaker 1: in the third period. But I do think Bobrovski, if

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Speaker 1: he goes over twenty five and a half decent shot,

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Speaker 1: the game goes under, okay, and Florida wins. So they're

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Speaker 1: in my mind they're correlated. So those two bets official. Now,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about baseball this week for a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Two plays that I think you should make every day. Now,

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Speaker 1: Colorado is off at the moment, okay, so the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox are playing more on the Rockies here in just

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Speaker 1: one second. The Red Sox are playing this week at

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Speaker 1: home against Tampa and at home against the Yankees. The

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Speaker 1: Red Sox just wrapped up a road trip, a quick

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Speaker 1: one to New York nine to six, ten, seven eleven seven.

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Speaker 1: All three games went over all three team totals went

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Speaker 1: over all three games for both teams and first five

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Speaker 1: went over in all three games. Red Sox are playing

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Speaker 1: Tampa today. They are facing Shane Baz and they're throwing

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Speaker 1: Brian Bayo. Bayo hasn't been great, but Shane Baz on

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Speaker 1: the road. His last three road starts five and two thirds,

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Speaker 1: three earned runs, six innings, five earned runs and four

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Speaker 1: and two thirds three earned runs. You look at the

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Speaker 1: games in which the games were played, he's getting run support.

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Speaker 1: Tampa bay scored four runs for him in the first five.

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Speaker 1: They gave up three. It was a seven in that

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Speaker 1: game up against Toronto, where the Blue Jays tend to hit.

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Speaker 1: Against Miami, it was one run for Tampa three runs

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Speaker 1: for the Miami Marlins. That game closed at eight and

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Speaker 1: a half, so depending on the book, it was four

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Speaker 1: or four and a half, so it either pushed or

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Speaker 1: it missed. Same thing with Houston, it was thirteen to three.

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Speaker 1: He went five and two thirds, gave up three earned runs.

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Speaker 1: There were five runs scored in the first five of

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Speaker 1: that game four and a half. Total was eight and

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Speaker 1: a half four and a half for four went over

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Speaker 1: both numbers in the first five. That's just Tampa. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we know what the Red Sox to. The Red Sox

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Speaker 1: first three one of the best offenses in baseball, Red

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Speaker 1: Sox first five, one of the best offenses in baseball.

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Speaker 1: They did nothing to slow that down against the Yankees

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Speaker 1: over the last three game series. It's ridiculous. What the

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Speaker 1: Red Sox did. You know, they scored four runs themselves

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Speaker 1: against the Yankees in the first six innings, but it

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Speaker 1: didn't matter because they gave up eight to the Yankees

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Speaker 1: in the first five, so that flew over again. Red

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Speaker 1: Sox pitching not great. In the second game of the series,

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox scored ten, the Yankees scored seven, but

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Speaker 1: in the first five the Red Sox scored eight runs themselves. Yankees,

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Speaker 1: they scored five runs themselves. It flew over the first

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Speaker 1: five and then last night on Sunday Night baseball equally,

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Speaker 1: Red Sox scored two runs in the first inning, I'm sorry,

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Speaker 1: in the fifth inning. The Yankees scored two runs in

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Speaker 1: the first one run in the fifth game five over

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Speaker 1: five and a half, it was four most books went

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Speaker 1: over there. Red Sox turned run and found and scored

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Speaker 1: five runs in the sixth. The Yankees scored two runs

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Speaker 1: in the six then two more in two more in

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Speaker 1: the eighth, two of the ninth of the Red Sox

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Speaker 1: two for the Yankees, eleven to seven. Final game flew over.

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Speaker 1: So if you're just watching how the Red Sox are playing,

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Speaker 1: their bullpen is awful, their starting rotation is awful, but

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, they're scoring a lot of runs.

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Speaker 1: Now it might just because of who they're playing, but

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Speaker 1: Tampa's in the division, and these games against the Rays

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Speaker 1: are just as important for the Red Sox as the

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Speaker 1: games against the Yankees are in terms of you have

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Speaker 1: to take care of business as to what you're doing

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Speaker 1: against your division. The Red Sox now from a over

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Speaker 1: perspective at home this year, Boston is now, it's amazing.

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Speaker 1: They're an under team at home. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: because first five they're way over in the first five,

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Speaker 1: but they're fourteen, seventeen and two, So fifty forty five

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Speaker 1: percent of the time going over at home for the

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Speaker 1: Red Sox, which is kind of nuts given what they've

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Speaker 1: done from a pitching staff perspective and how they and

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Speaker 1: how they've played. But I mean, I think when you're

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Speaker 1: looking at this team and who they throw pitching wise,

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Speaker 1: first five over four and a half for the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox every game this week, every game this week, okay,

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Speaker 1: bet at every game. We're gonna have it. Just it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be kind of an experiment to see what we

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Speaker 1: do with the Red Sox here. But the pitching matchups

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Speaker 1: are not good, Okay, like not good Byo Basz Giolito

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Speaker 1: for the Red Sox, Walker Buehler for the Red Sox.

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Speaker 1: That's your one two three here facing Peapot, Lattel and

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Speaker 1: Bass not great pitchers. Not horrible pitchers either for the Rays,

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Speaker 1: but not great guys. Red Sox should be able to hit.

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Speaker 1: Then the Yankees come to town for three Friday, Saturday

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Speaker 1: and Sunday. Crochet against Yarborough again. Well, that game was

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Speaker 1: a ten to seven final. Then we go again with

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Speaker 1: Dobbins in Rondon. We just saw that last night. That

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Speaker 1: was an eleven seven final and Bayo against Freed in

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Speaker 1: the ultimate matchup. Nightmare for the Red Sox Yankees team

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Speaker 1: total in that game for sure, coming in. We'll bet that,

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Speaker 1: like we bet this Sunday, we'll bet at next Sunday,

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Speaker 1: so you can kind of telegraph the week as to

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Speaker 1: what I'm gonna have as part of the part of

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Speaker 1: the podcast. I have a bunch of other bets obviously

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Speaker 1: with NBA player, but I'm gonna experiment with two bets

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Speaker 1: in the the in Major League Baseball and just kind

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Speaker 1: of go for a week with it that right there,

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Speaker 1: Red Sox first five over for the Tampa Bay Rays

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Speaker 1: and the New York Yankees at home for the Red Sox,

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Speaker 1: will start it with here today. They've a Monday, Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: Wednesday off, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. So that's the

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Speaker 1: first bet of the week. The Rockies aren't playing today.

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Speaker 1: But the Rockies, I mean, they are absolutely horrible and

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Speaker 1: we get to look at them and it's other than

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Speaker 1: the three game series in which they won against the

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Speaker 1: Miami Marlins against the Mets thirteen to five, eight one,

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Speaker 1: four to two, five three eight two, four to two.

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Speaker 1: They lost six straight games on the run line against

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Speaker 1: the New York Mets. Now against Chicago it was two

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Speaker 1: to one, four to three and three one only lost,

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Speaker 1: I mean none of those games or one game on

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Speaker 1: the run line against the Yankees it was three to one,

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Speaker 1: five to four, and thirteen to one two in one

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Speaker 1: on the run line. If you're looking for teams on

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Speaker 1: the run line and their records at the moment, it

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Speaker 1: is unbelievable how bad some of these teams are on

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Speaker 1: the run line. But Colorado, I think, is a team

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Speaker 1: that we have to look this week to fade because

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Speaker 1: they're playing the Giants and then they're at the Braves,

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Speaker 1: who are absolutely desperate to win games. I mean completely

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Speaker 1: and totally desperate. But given how this team has played,

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Speaker 1: given no San Francisco their offense, you're on the road,

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Speaker 1: I don't think Colorado's gonna win all that much if

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Speaker 1: the if the price isn't horrible, and it's going to be,

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Speaker 1: but it isn't up I might bet money line on this,

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Speaker 1: but I just I can't look at this and go

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Speaker 1: Colorado is forty two and twenty or twenty three and

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Speaker 1: forty two on the run line. They're covering just thirty

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Speaker 1: five percent of the time on the road. It's even

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Speaker 1: more embarrassing for Colorado. They are thirteen and twenty one.

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Speaker 1: They're covering just thirty eight percent of the time, and

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Speaker 1: as the home team for Colorado, it's not nearly as bad.

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Speaker 1: It's bad, but it's not nearly as bad. Like Baltimore

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Speaker 1: at home is eight and twenty one, but they're ten

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Speaker 1: and twenty one Colorado on the run line ten and

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Speaker 1: twenty one. That's covering just thirty two percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna I'm gonna take a run at this

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Speaker 1: and just see if we bet it for uh, there's

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Speaker 1: they're pay They're off to they play Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday,

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Speaker 1: and then they're on the road at Atlanta for Friday,

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Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday. So San Francisco in Atlanta, two teams

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Speaker 1: that need to win. Atlanta really needs to win. But

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Speaker 1: let's bet it every day. Let's bet the run line

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Speaker 1: every day, no matter what the price is. Okay, the

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Speaker 1: price yesterday for the Mets was one to eighty. Was

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Speaker 1: minus one eighty on the run line, so and they

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Speaker 1: won thirteen to five. To give you an idea, So

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Speaker 1: that's for tomorrow. So just an idea, just give you

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Speaker 1: a kind of heads up as let's have some fun.

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Speaker 1: Let's experiment here with baseball. So our plays again today

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Speaker 1: Florida Monday line, Mine one thirty one point three units

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Speaker 1: down will take the Bob Barbrovski over twenty five and

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Speaker 1: a half saves at Mine one forty and Red Sox

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Speaker 1: first five over four and a half up against the

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Rays for today. We're gonna bet that all

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Speaker 1: week to see how that winds up playing up for

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Speaker 1: this homestand for the Red Sox minus Matt Parolt. Follow

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Speaker 1: me because all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning.

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Speaker 1: Wherever you guys get your podcasts, it is the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice