1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:09,640 Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandel because They're 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: app is safe, secure and easy to use, and when 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:15,239 Speaker 1: I win, I get paid fast. So use promo code 6 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: Favorites and download the FanDuel app today to make every 7 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: moment more this football season. 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In Kansas call one 16 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one 17 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight hope and why or text hope 18 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: and why four seven three six nine. In York, Tennessee, 19 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: redline is one eight eight eight nine called one eight 20 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 1: hundred five to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming, 21 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 1: or visit www dot one gambler dot net in West Virginia. 22 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 23 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: I am Chat Melman, Chief content officer of the Action Network. 24 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: We are starting off week thirteen in the NFL post Thanksgiving. 25 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: I am joined as I am in every episode by 26 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: my co host, my companion, my compadre, my BFF professional 27 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: better Simon Hunter. Hello, swim in Chat out you doing, buddy. 28 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:52,559 Speaker 1: We're going to speak in English accents for the entire 29 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: show in honor of the US playing Iran in the 30 00:01:56,880 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: World Cup, because football is in English game. We tied 31 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:05,919 Speaker 1: England over Thanksgiving? Simon, how did that make you feel 32 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: as a citizen of both countries? As a bridge made 33 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 1: me feel properly embarrassed as an American. Made me feel 34 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 1: pretty proud to see the USA. I don't know, not 35 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 1: not dominated game, but they kind of did right. It 36 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: felt like they took a table in that whole match. Again, 37 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 1: nothing surprising here. America is very big. England's a little 38 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 1: island that somehow conquered the world. At one point. It 39 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: we should beat them, but yeah, my household was definitely 40 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 1: split I would say, uh, a lot of curse were 41 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: thrown around early on in that match, but it is fun. Again, 42 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 1: as as a fan of sports, you only get it 43 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 1: every four years, Chad, like you said, the World Cups 44 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: every four years. So having a unique experience of having 45 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,799 Speaker 1: the World Cup with Thanksgiving it was interesting. I don't 46 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:55,639 Speaker 1: know if I like it, but it was definitely interesting. 47 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 1: I preferred in the summer just because it's something else 48 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 1: to do. But listen, it's a great event. And by 49 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 1: the way, welcome to everybody who's listening on AMP Quick Recap. 50 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: On week twelve, before we get to week third team, 51 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: we were two and three in the contest. We lost 52 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 1: the foxhold Saints and plus nine and a half. Simon says, 53 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 1: was Jack's plus four we won that. The exact decision 54 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 1: was Atlanta plus four and a half lost that. Since 55 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: the minus one and a half was the Big Balls 56 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: scoot roulette, you had the Paths plus three you lost, 57 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 1: I had since minus one and a half I won 58 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: our final five Jags plus three and a half, Jets 59 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:33,839 Speaker 1: minus six and a half, Atlanta four and a half, 60 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 1: Seattle three and a half, Saints nine and a half 61 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 1: Atlanta Saints fucking excruciating ex screw she aiding, just like 62 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 1: the Saints especially look that game exactly as we thought 63 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: it would go. We thought the Saints would have a 64 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 1: chance to keep it close, certainly within the nine and 65 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 1: a half points. Alvin Camara fumble on the one yard 66 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 1: line trying to get into the into the end zone, 67 00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 1: turnover on downs with two minutes left, pick that the 68 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: Saints returned to the five yard line, only to have 69 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: it nullified by illegal hands right the same defensive back 70 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 1: who committed a flagrant personal foul to put the fort 71 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 1: in scoring position to score the field goal to put 72 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 1: them up thirteen nothing. It was terrible. It was fucking terrible, 73 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: along with Seattle not being able to stop Josh Jacobs 74 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: and having every chance to cover that game, and then 75 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: Atlanta that turnover at the end with the tip ball, 76 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: when you're on the goal line and you have been 77 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:42,359 Speaker 1: going down the field running the ball with one of 78 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:45,919 Speaker 1: the most dynamic players in Cordell Patterson, and you decided 79 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 1: to put it in Marcus Mariota's hands. Simon Simon, it 80 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: makes me forget about the fact we didn't get jagged. 81 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: We got lucky in that one, and that the Cardinals, 82 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,160 Speaker 1: who we both had at plus one, at plus three 83 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 1: or plus four or whatever. We also lucky with that one, 84 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 1: but fuck, it was a brutal day. It was brutal. No, 85 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:07,159 Speaker 1: I mean, that's just gambling. It makes you appreciate the 86 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 1: good weeks. Brother, there, we're two thirds the way done, 87 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:11,720 Speaker 1: so it's a little sad, and we have one third 88 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 1: of the season left. But I look at it as, yeah, 89 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 1: the bounces just going our away. So I take a 90 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: little bit the blame of the sense that those are 91 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: your two babies, the Saints in Atlanta. But I agreed 92 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 1: with it. I liked it where you were coming from. 93 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 1: They're both good dogs. Where I screwed up was should 94 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: have taken the Browns. Like I feel like we talked 95 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 1: about earlier in the week. We're both on it. And 96 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 1: since he yeah, the since he one sucked because I 97 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: got scared off about a really smart group coming in 98 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: on them. Did we get lucky on that one? Sure? Alright, 99 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 1: Tennessee missed a field goal that game probably should have 100 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 1: landed on one that would have been a brute, brutal beat. 101 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: But the Saints one just irked me the worst of way, 102 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: because what all this stuff you also said happened where 103 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:52,360 Speaker 1: they missed all these opportunities, but the the missed field goal, 104 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: the kicker stuff just kills me. It's like you have 105 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: the easiest not the easiest job, but it's it's literally, 106 00:05:57,320 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 1: do your job. Hit a thirty nine yard field goal 107 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 1: and we just needed one more field and would we 108 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 1: would have covered that number because then it was a 109 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:07,279 Speaker 1: thirteen nothing game. So that was one of those where 110 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:09,359 Speaker 1: I was hoping we would get to the three and two. 111 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:11,720 Speaker 1: I was kind of on the Saints because as soon 112 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 1: as that Seahawks game started, like even we talked beforehand, 113 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 1: it felt really public. Um. The usually was just going 114 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 1: the wrong way, like Geno Smith was throwing picks. Like 115 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,840 Speaker 1: you said, Jacobs is running. So this week, you know, 116 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 1: it feels like a good week to bounce back. There's 117 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 1: a lot of good matchups we like. And I talked 118 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: to you all the time, Jenn. If our worst weeks 119 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: or two and three, it's a pretty damn good year. 120 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 1: So through twelve weeks, we're still at sixty seven percent 121 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 1: for the season, still in the money. We need a 122 00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: good week here though, just because we got lucky. Everyone 123 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,440 Speaker 1: else had a bad week last week. So I only 124 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 1: lost a game. I thought we were gonna drop a couple, 125 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 1: but the leader only went four and one, three and two, 126 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:53,679 Speaker 1: so we're we're in a good spot still. I feel 127 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 1: pretty good about the Jags a plus seven fifty to 128 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 1: win the a f C South, Like you look at 129 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: what they have, don't do this, don't even stops speak, 130 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 1: and you're gonna drink this team. They still play the 131 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 1: Titans twice. I think. I like their schedule. It would 132 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 1: be interesting if they somehow did it. But yeah, it's 133 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 1: it'd be pretty crazy from the official season. I don't 134 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: hate it. I don't hate it. All right, It's Week thirteen. 135 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:17,920 Speaker 1: Here we go on Thursday night. We have the Buffalo 136 00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: Bills four and a half point favorites over the New 137 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 1: England Patriots. Patriots are getting sixty percent of the money 138 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: this month. This line has moved down from five and 139 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 1: a half of the bets on the Bills. We got 140 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 1: a pro joe match up here. If I'm leaning one 141 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: way or the other, I leave. I'd lead New England 142 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 1: plus four and a half at home. Short week. It 143 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 1: rarely does. It rarely doesn't work out to go into public. 144 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: But I'll finally give in. I'll jump on the public 145 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 1: side for this game. I hate it because I want 146 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 1: to take a divisional dog at home, but we are 147 00:07:55,320 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 1: taking into like you won't take your Yeah, I just 148 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 1: don't know if the Patriots have done enough to stop 149 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 1: with Josh Allen does so well. I've seen them play 150 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 1: two running quarterbacks this year. You know, justin fields dead 151 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 1: against them, Chad. We we can't just simply throw that out. 152 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: So that's my fear right now, where it's everything in 153 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 1: my body. All the numbers as well, like this number, 154 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 1: I make it force. I'm getting value right now. All 155 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: in the Patriots screams for me to take the Patriots 156 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 1: in this game. But there's just something about this Bills 157 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 1: team that I think They've had a couple of letdown 158 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,440 Speaker 1: spots here, but it's been more so about their defense 159 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 1: has been letting these teams back in. And I know 160 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 1: Mac played incredible against the Vikings, but this is not 161 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:42,640 Speaker 1: a good matchup for him against the Bills team that 162 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 1: kind of takes away what he likes to do, which 163 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:46,200 Speaker 1: is he's a type of style pass or you liked 164 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: to throw against his own The Bills don't run the 165 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 1: zone that often, and I know they looked, you know, 166 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: human against that Detroit team indoors there. But this is 167 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 1: finally going to be back in their element outdoors playing 168 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:01,960 Speaker 1: an ugly divisional games. So I'm not gonna make it 169 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: one of our four because I already know Chad he's 170 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:06,440 Speaker 1: doing a smart thing. Like you, you always take divisional 171 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 1: home dogs in these spots. It's gonna be good for you. 172 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:12,560 Speaker 1: But I just I can't trust his Patriots defense where 173 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:16,080 Speaker 1: I've seen them perform very well against bad quarterbacks, but 174 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:19,200 Speaker 1: I've seen them getting torched by good quarterbacks, and especially 175 00:09:19,240 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 1: in mobile quarterbacks. Like not saying justin fields all world, 176 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 1: that's just such a huge advantage if you're another team 177 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: has slow linebackers and you're running quarterback, anytime the play 178 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 1: breaks down, you can take off. So Josh Allen every 179 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 1: week they say his arm has been getting better. Um, 180 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 1: you see him as a couple of throws last week. 181 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: But I do think he's improved. He has improved as 182 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:41,839 Speaker 1: the weeks. I've gone a long here. They should have 183 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: lost that Detroit game. I think in the public's mind 184 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:47,080 Speaker 1: they did lose it. So, uh, you know, I'm not 185 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 1: gonna overreact to what happened last week, and I'd probably 186 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 1: go Buffalo here. All right, Well, we're definitely not gonna 187 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 1: be the same side here. Yeah, you're going by the book. 188 00:09:57,280 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 1: I'm going by the book. By the way, I not 189 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: for nothing. I went by the book with the Lions 190 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 1: plus ten and you're like, no way, and the book 191 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: was right. I'm proud of you for winning that one 192 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:16,040 Speaker 1: bet last week. Oh fuck you, motherfucker victory laughs. By 193 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: the way, Cincinnati, I was all over since you waved 194 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: me off that because of the fucking wise guys like 195 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:26,080 Speaker 1: don't give me this, don't don't do not come after 196 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: me and try to be sympathetic and be like, oh, 197 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 1: I'm a professional guy. I had playing games I liked. 198 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:34,920 Speaker 1: You waved me off. That's fine, it happens. We're in 199 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 1: a partnership here. I act like you've been there before. 200 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: Jesus Titans plus five and a half visiting the Eagles. 201 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 1: I love the Titans here, um mistake, Yeah, alright, genius, 202 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:58,000 Speaker 1: tell me, tell me it's stinks. This Lions stinks. The stinks. 203 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 1: The stinks. Why is this not three wise? It is 204 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:02,719 Speaker 1: not three and a half. The Titans want to run 205 00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: the ball. The Eagles cannot stop the run bizarro world line, 206 00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 1: So walk right into the fucking trap chat with the 207 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:11,959 Speaker 1: rest of the public. Take the Titans, everyone's going to 208 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: I wanted to. I immediately was like, yeah, give me six, 209 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: thank you, and we've seen a drop, which makes you 210 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 1: feel great, right if you get the six nights five 211 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 1: and a half. But this line stinks the holy hell. 212 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 1: I don't know why this isn't closer to three three 213 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: and a half. That makes more sense, the babe. The 214 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 1: book is over valuing the Eagles still, but I don't. 215 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 1: I don't see that this Titans team has been winning 216 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 1: people in money. That was their first non cover cover 217 00:11:35,400 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 1: last week and seven straight weeks, so the public is 218 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 1: on the Titans. The public does not trust the Eagles. 219 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:42,839 Speaker 1: The Eagles, I agree with people saying they got lucky 220 00:11:42,920 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 1: last week. It felt like they did. If Rogers didn't 221 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:46,560 Speaker 1: go out, they probably weren't going to cover that game. 222 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 1: So me, I'm with chat right away. I wanted to 223 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 1: take the Titans. They're just rabel as a dog. I 224 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 1: blindly take the number and I take the money line. Um, 225 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:58,160 Speaker 1: this week, I will take the Eagles in a matchup 226 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 1: that I think their defense is gonna get it right. 227 00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 1: Against a team that is just simply take away the run. 228 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: What the hell is Tannehill gonna do? We've seen the 229 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 1: time time again. This guy cannot make the plays you 230 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 1: need him to make. So I'll back my Eagles here 231 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:18,319 Speaker 1: as an under six point favorite. Titans uh, one of 232 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 1: the better running teams. Eagles bottom five against the run. 233 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:28,959 Speaker 1: Eagles like to use the run. Titans best rushing defense 234 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 1: in the NFL. Mike Rabel, I think we've agreed. Top 235 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 1: five strategic coach in the NFL. He knows the rules, 236 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: he knows what his team is. He doesn't try to 237 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,480 Speaker 1: get them to be what they're not. They believe in him. 238 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 1: Uh against the spread in his career as a favorite, 239 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 1: as an underdog of three or more. Um again, Like, dude, 240 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 1: you're going rogue two straight games, two straight games. You 241 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 1: are defined every precedent, every rule, everything that we know 242 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 1: about making smart decisions, embedding and betting the other side. 243 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: I'm curious. I wrote the book, Chat, that's the issue. Well, 244 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:19,319 Speaker 1: actually no, I wrote the book it when you grew 245 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 1: in New York best sellers. The book I wrote. That's 246 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: not something on paper. Chat. Yeah, Well all I know 247 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:26,280 Speaker 1: is right now, I'm making a note. I'm making a 248 00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:31,320 Speaker 1: note how much you love the Bills. Simon loves the Bills, 249 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 1: loves and Eagles. Chad loves New England and Tennessee. So 250 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:45,880 Speaker 1: now we know, just take a step back. Don't realize 251 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:50,439 Speaker 1: this line was plus two last week? Are the sports 252 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:52,080 Speaker 1: books your friends, Chad? I didn't know that. Are you? 253 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:54,479 Speaker 1: Are the sports books here just to give you money? 254 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 1: So you should be worried when they're out here being 255 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,719 Speaker 1: like no, let's move this line from two across the 256 00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 1: key number of three up till key number of six. 257 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: So again the pros, I think that's a smart play. 258 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 1: Hit in the six on the Tennessee. I agree with it. 259 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:10,320 Speaker 1: It's fishy, fishy, fishy line, just telling people to be careful. 260 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:13,880 Speaker 1: You're the books are not your friends. You know who's 261 00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: my friend? You? Even when we're even when you know 262 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 1: you try to make me upset, We're still going to 263 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 1: be friends. Um, you know the Packers. I don't even 264 00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 1: know he's playing quarterback for this team. I don't even 265 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:32,000 Speaker 1: know he's playing quarterback for the Bears. Uh. But we're 266 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 1: talking about the Packers and the Bears, and the line 267 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 1: at Fanuel right now is Packers minus four. Look this 268 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 1: Bears team. I think Darnel Mooney out for the year, 269 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 1: Eddie Jackson injured, their signing safeties off the street, Justin 270 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: Fields separated left shoulder. They're still saying maybe he'll play 271 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:57,840 Speaker 1: this weekend. Shut it down. Shut the whole fucking thing down. 272 00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: Don't win another game, a really good draft pick. Get 273 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 1: what you need on defense, get what you need on offense. 274 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:08,240 Speaker 1: Protect justin Field. We've seen enough about what you can 275 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,040 Speaker 1: do to game plan for him. Start building towards the 276 00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:18,400 Speaker 1: next year. Don't be heroes. I don't. Yeah, I feel 277 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 1: like the Lions kind of telling us that Rogers will 278 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 1: most likely to be back now. That's moving that way, um, 279 00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:25,400 Speaker 1: which is also dumb for Green Bay. What are you 280 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 1: guys playing for as well? You should be trying to 281 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 1: get a good draft pick and showcasing Jordan's love like 282 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 1: this would be nice for you guys to move along 283 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 1: or move away from Jordan's love. In the sense that 284 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 1: you gave Rogers the deal. You're not getting out of 285 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 1: that money. That's guaranteed money you gave him, just like 286 00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: sadly the Broncos that gave guaranteed money. You can't just 287 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 1: shift that off the books, and no one's gonna be 288 00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: buying neither of those quarterbacks, in my opinion. Mean, you 289 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:50,000 Speaker 1: never know. With Rogers, maybe people could say it was 290 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 1: just injuries and he had no talent around him. I 291 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 1: think we all can agree he just hasn't looked the 292 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 1: same this year. Um. So in this matchup, I'm kind 293 00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: of with chat where I want to take Green Bay 294 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 1: that I feel like the Bears they've really reached that 295 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 1: point of the injuries catching up to him. I think 296 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 1: Eddie Jackson's now against shut down um, who's arguably their 297 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 1: best player this year on defense. He's a road too. 298 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 1: I love I love his style. I'm watching him on tape. 299 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 1: So yeah, it's it's just all bad for the Bears team. 300 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 1: They've just they've kind of you know, not that they've 301 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:24,200 Speaker 1: they've they've given away this year. But I think what 302 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 1: you just talked about, they had a lot to rebuild. 303 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 1: They need a lot of pieces, So for them tank 304 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:31,760 Speaker 1: this year, that makes sense. Green Bay, I still think 305 00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 1: there's somewhat of hope. So if it is Rogers, that's 306 00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:36,280 Speaker 1: the side I'll go with. But sitting here on Tuesday, 307 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 1: we don't know what the quarterback is. Nothing from me. 308 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 1: So I want to remind people because this next game 309 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 1: that we're talking about with the Jaguars and the Lions, 310 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 1: Simon and I were all over Jacksonville a plus seven 311 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 1: fifty to win the a f C South. We were 312 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 1: also all over the Lions over six and a half wins. 313 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 1: We were also all over the Bears under five and 314 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: a half winds, and also all over the Jets under 315 00:17:01,640 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 1: I think six and a half or five and a 316 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:06,640 Speaker 1: half wins. So the Jets is done. We still got 317 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,000 Speaker 1: long shots with with the other three, probably more than 318 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 1: probably better than long shots with the Lions and with 319 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:15,239 Speaker 1: the Bears. So this next matchup so many implications for 320 00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:21,200 Speaker 1: us personally. Jaguars on the road at Detroit, they are 321 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:24,120 Speaker 1: what are we seeing here? I'm looking at so many 322 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:26,800 Speaker 1: different lines right now. Hold on down the minus one 323 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:28,879 Speaker 1: minus one and a half. Yeah, it's minus one and 324 00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 1: a half at fan duel. Yeah, it's coming down the money. 325 00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:34,680 Speaker 1: That's it's coming down because the money is coming into 326 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 1: the lines very close splits though, No, no, no, So 327 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:41,160 Speaker 1: basically so this morning, I mean, you did that show 328 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,280 Speaker 1: Green Idea, and I'd written in I don't know when 329 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:48,200 Speaker 1: that meeting was, say nine thirties rowed in Jaguars plus 330 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:51,679 Speaker 1: one and a half. By ten fifteen, it already flipped 331 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 1: the minus one for the Jaguars, So I took it 332 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 1: out and put a different team in just a sense 333 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 1: that the value was shifting so quick. I don't know 334 00:17:57,920 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 1: it was gonna be that time we showed up. So 335 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,800 Speaker 1: this is clearly the pros are taking a stance here. 336 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 1: They're coming in heavy on Jacksonville. I was gonna bet 337 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 1: him just because I really loved what I saw for 338 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:10,280 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. I'm sucked. I'm sucked back in chet. It's 339 00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:14,119 Speaker 1: just he literally did in that game exactly what I 340 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:18,560 Speaker 1: envisioned him being this season. He's a big body, strong athletes, 341 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 1: smart and get the ball downfield. And that's what you 342 00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:24,320 Speaker 1: saw in that final two minute drive. It's really hard 343 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,119 Speaker 1: to describe that look, that feeling, but that quarterback style. 344 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,879 Speaker 1: That's why he was such a highly touted prospect. Not 345 00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:32,359 Speaker 1: many guys can just thread it right down the field 346 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,680 Speaker 1: with pace in accuracy like he kept doing in that game. 347 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:39,719 Speaker 1: Tight windows. So they figured it out, hopefully right, that's 348 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 1: what we're all seeing ourselves. Hopefully figured it out. During 349 00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 1: the bye week. I don't know if they have. I'm 350 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:47,000 Speaker 1: I'm terrified this number. Where I loved it at one 351 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 1: and a half because I thought that was great value 352 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,679 Speaker 1: for the Jaguars. Now it's slip the minus one and 353 00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,119 Speaker 1: a half. That's a little scary back in that number. 354 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: That's a big movement, that's a that's a lot of movements. So, um, 355 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 1: another of these games where I was on the Jaguars. 356 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 1: Now I'm not to wait and see and try to 357 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,360 Speaker 1: figure out this out better where I could be walking into. 358 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:07,119 Speaker 1: I just feel like the Jaguars is more play here 359 00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 1: in Detroit. I love what they've done, but just talent wise, 360 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 1: the Jaguars have more of it. And I still think 361 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: that what we saw from Detroit, those coaching was that 362 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 1: should have beat the Bills, like the coaching, those time 363 00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 1: out all of it at the end of the game. 364 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,120 Speaker 1: That's my that's my issue with Campbell. Like I love 365 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 1: the Robbert Ross stuff, but the technical stuff is a 366 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:29,800 Speaker 1: big issue. So for Doug who's been here, I just 367 00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 1: I gotta I gotta keep going like guys and taking 368 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 1: the Jaguars. But I'm not gonna just give it out blindly. 369 00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:37,360 Speaker 1: This here on a Tuesday, So I'd wait and see 370 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 1: because you already missed the best of the value, like 371 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 1: the plus one and a half that was a that 372 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:42,720 Speaker 1: was a big deal. Now that it's gone, I'd wait, 373 00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 1: but wait for what because it's only probably gonna go. Well, 374 00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 1: it's a plus one and a half for the Lions 375 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,200 Speaker 1: right now, no clue where it's gonna go though, I 376 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 1: don't know we're just gonna go there. It's too early. 377 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 1: So do I see this every game in the three? No? 378 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 1: But if it does, you bet your ass. I'm on Detroit. 379 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:03,399 Speaker 1: There's no injuries and Detroit's healthy. I will be on 380 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:05,880 Speaker 1: Detroit to plus three because I have this game ready 381 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 1: to pick. That's why a goat. I thought good value 382 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 1: on the Jaguars. Now it's flipped a little bit, but 383 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:11,960 Speaker 1: I just don't want to back the lines. I'd still 384 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: still like the Jaguars, but to me, I'd hope to 385 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 1: get it back closer to a pick or at least 386 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 1: minus one, just minus one and a half. I wouldn't 387 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:23,320 Speaker 1: do that that key number. I love the lines so much. 388 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:25,679 Speaker 1: I love betting on this team. I love rooting for 389 00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 1: this team. They're the best. They just they bring me joy. 390 00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:32,480 Speaker 1: They really do. I might have to end up betting 391 00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:36,639 Speaker 1: the lines in that game. Sacra Fans Tournament action is 392 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,760 Speaker 1: heating up, and now is the perfect time to give 393 00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:42,119 Speaker 1: fan Duel a shot because new customers get a no 394 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 1: sweat first bet up to one thousand dollars. That's up 395 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 1: to one thousand dollars back in free bets. If your 396 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: first bet doesn't win, just download the FanDuel sports Book app. 397 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 1: It's safe, secure, and super easy to use. 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Redline is one eight hundred, eight 423 00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:28,160 Speaker 1: eight nine eight nine, one eight hundred five to seven 424 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:32,720 Speaker 1: hundred in Wyoming, or visit www one eight hundred gambler 425 00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. The Browns listen to Shaun 426 00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 1: Watson's Back. Deshaun Watson is back. The Browns came through 427 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 1: for Jacoby Brissette in his last start of the year. 428 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:46,200 Speaker 1: I said to my kid we were watching the game, 429 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 1: I'm like, listen, it's the last half of Jacoby Brissette football. 430 00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 1: We're gonna get for a while. We better enjoy it. 431 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,920 Speaker 1: We celebrated it. We celebrated it with a big win 432 00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 1: at plus three and a half, seven point favorites on 433 00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:05,960 Speaker 1: the road. Deshaun Watson returns to Houston. The NFL was wicked. 434 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 1: They're just wicked, you know, making the suspension exactly what 435 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:12,399 Speaker 1: it was to have him come back in his first 436 00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:15,479 Speaker 1: game at Houston. Is it wrong to want to take 437 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:19,639 Speaker 1: the Texans here? Well, a lot of fans game, a 438 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:21,200 Speaker 1: lot of love because I yelled at you last week 439 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,080 Speaker 1: because you were as timents. We had to take Houston, 440 00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 1: I said, I refused, and Miami clearly was the better side. 441 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 1: But that's just one of those where I I get 442 00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 1: where Chet's coming from. These Eventually it has to catch up. 443 00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:35,960 Speaker 1: The books have to get Houston right. But I'm not 444 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:37,879 Speaker 1: going to be the one to find out when every 445 00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:41,200 Speaker 1: week there's value on Houston. Every week they don't cover 446 00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:44,359 Speaker 1: because Houston just is bad. They are a bad team. 447 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:47,160 Speaker 1: So I couldn't believe they didn't cover last week either, 448 00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:50,080 Speaker 1: Like they got thirty fifteen they had the ball, all 449 00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:54,240 Speaker 1: the momentum was on their side. Yeah, that was wild. 450 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm I I want to be I wanted 451 00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:01,479 Speaker 1: back Houston because we all know that Watson's gonna be rusty. 452 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:03,960 Speaker 1: It's going to be weirdest hell for him playing back 453 00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:06,240 Speaker 1: at his old stadium in his first game back in 454 00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:12,439 Speaker 1: a regular season game and what two years. Yeah, I 455 00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 1: don't know. I can't, can't tell the people to do it. 456 00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 1: I mean, maybe I'll be there. I'll do the coward movement. 457 00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,840 Speaker 1: Just take three and a half the four first half 458 00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 1: and just hope Watson comes out rusty, but full game 459 00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,960 Speaker 1: spread wise, I just there's no way chat on something 460 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 1: that could be like we're getting Houston in the contest. 461 00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 1: I just god, no, no, no, no, no, that's what 462 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:32,680 Speaker 1: I mean. That's I want't even give it out people 463 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 1: to bet because it's not gonna make my Big five 464 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 1: betting wise, all right, we still owe people of foxhold assignment. 465 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,359 Speaker 1: Says in an exact decision as we run through the 466 00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 1: lineup here, I was just thinking about that, I want 467 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 1: to make the Titans. My exact decision was I so 468 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,560 Speaker 1: thrown by our conversation in which you're on the Eagles 469 00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:51,439 Speaker 1: that I forgot to line them up as the exact decision. 470 00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:52,679 Speaker 1: I don't know. I might have to go back to it. 471 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:54,920 Speaker 1: Should do it, and you should say that after you bet. 472 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 1: You got to say in the sports books are my 473 00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,600 Speaker 1: friends and they want to give me money. You know what, 474 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 1: I don't need your attitude. I don't need you being 475 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:09,199 Speaker 1: mean to me in the spirit of the holidays. The 476 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:12,719 Speaker 1: holidays are over, bitch. Come on, man, the holidays are 477 00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 1: coming up. We got Hanukkah, we got Christmas, we got 478 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:22,080 Speaker 1: so much to look forward to. Hashtag gratitude. Come on, Simon. 479 00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 1: Jets on the road at the Vikings. Jets are three 480 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 1: point underdogs in a one pm game in Minnesota with 481 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:38,119 Speaker 1: Mike White at quarterback. The headlines. I love the New 482 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: York Post. I read it eight times a day. The 483 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:46,040 Speaker 1: headlines yesterday, Mike White is the savior. We got a quarterback. 484 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:50,440 Speaker 1: He threw four touchdowns in the rain against a terrible, 485 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 1: terrible defense that lost the only guy who could do 486 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,639 Speaker 1: anything and he wasn't even that good in Eddie Jackson. 487 00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: So part of me just wants to bet the Vikings 488 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:02,399 Speaker 1: because they should. The six point favorites against Mike White. 489 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:05,359 Speaker 1: Now going to play against a real team on the road, 490 00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:09,080 Speaker 1: not at home. I agree, I want to take the 491 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:11,800 Speaker 1: Vikings here. I probably will. I would say the lines 492 00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:15,160 Speaker 1: kind of respected to the Jets defense. To me, that's 493 00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,720 Speaker 1: where the respect is coming from. Where Mike White everyone 494 00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:20,560 Speaker 1: else saw that game too, where I mean I was 495 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:22,760 Speaker 1: locked in, we were that was one of our bigger games. 496 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,320 Speaker 1: He had a bunch of drop picks and he had 497 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:29,840 Speaker 1: a really tight window throws where the Bears defense were 498 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:31,080 Speaker 1: right there, and it kind of you know, it was 499 00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,639 Speaker 1: a fifty ball and I would say nine of the 500 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,600 Speaker 1: ten of the fifty balls he through, we're caught by 501 00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,560 Speaker 1: the Jets. The Jets do have good receivers. So um, 502 00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:42,800 Speaker 1: looking at this matchup, I feel like Chad talked about it, 503 00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:45,080 Speaker 1: where I want to take the Vikings. I like Kirk 504 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,600 Speaker 1: at home in these one PM games, especially the fact 505 00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,280 Speaker 1: that it's Mike White on the road after a huge 506 00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:53,240 Speaker 1: win at home. Um, what they went by one, I 507 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:55,439 Speaker 1: mean they kind of Yeah, they dominated the Bears in 508 00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:58,880 Speaker 1: that game. So extended rest as well for this Vikings 509 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,639 Speaker 1: team after playing on a Thursday. Just a bunch of 510 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:03,720 Speaker 1: little things that make me want to take the Vikings. 511 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,560 Speaker 1: But the luck. The only thing gives me, Paul is 512 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,760 Speaker 1: our luck metric, where I look at their luck rankings 513 00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:11,159 Speaker 1: all the time that we have at our company, and 514 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 1: the Vikings are by far the luckiest teams. God yeah, 515 00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:19,520 Speaker 1: it just keeps going their way. So last week too. Yeah, 516 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 1: So we'll wait and see. Maybe we'll be able to 517 00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 1: get two and a half. That's the only reason I'm 518 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:24,359 Speaker 1: not making this, my Simon says, because I'm hoping to 519 00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:26,399 Speaker 1: get two and a half on it. So just wait 520 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:28,720 Speaker 1: see if the value will come down. Maybe the pros 521 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:30,479 Speaker 1: will do us a favor and bet the Jets. But 522 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 1: it's just hard for me to back Mike White on 523 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,240 Speaker 1: the road here after you got so lucky last week 524 00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:37,479 Speaker 1: against the Bears team that, like Chad just said, they 525 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:41,200 Speaker 1: got major issues this Vikings team. Their their defense played 526 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:46,160 Speaker 1: bad against uh MAC and the Patriots offense. I could 527 00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:48,520 Speaker 1: see them bouncing back after an extended ten days to 528 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: get right. Pittsburgh Steelers just beat the Indianapolis Colts. I 529 00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:56,919 Speaker 1: I think it's fair to say, uh you and I 530 00:27:57,800 --> 00:28:01,280 Speaker 1: at least I I'm a Kenny Pickett fan. I've liked 531 00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:03,879 Speaker 1: what I've seen from him. Admittedly did not watch a 532 00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:05,800 Speaker 1: minute of the game last night. But I've read the 533 00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:08,439 Speaker 1: stories and looked in the box score, and I've just 534 00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 1: continued to be impressed with this guy as a gamer. 535 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:13,720 Speaker 1: We love them coming out of the bi against the Saints, 536 00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:16,920 Speaker 1: it worked for us. We knew going against the Bengals 537 00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:19,440 Speaker 1: it was a bad side, Um, but he still played 538 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:22,360 Speaker 1: really well in that game. I think he's a really 539 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,199 Speaker 1: interesting player. The Steelers with t J. Watt are just 540 00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:30,440 Speaker 1: a much better team. But the Steelers, like basically it's 541 00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 1: the line against the Falcons. I should have said they're 542 00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:37,160 Speaker 1: visiting the Falcons right now plus one right now? I mean, 543 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:40,440 Speaker 1: was your initial action just did blindly take the Steelers? No, 544 00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 1: let's take the Falcons. Yeah, I would say that was 545 00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:45,200 Speaker 1: my first one too, is just to take the Falcons 546 00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:48,160 Speaker 1: and a matchup where I do think the Falcons let 547 00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,120 Speaker 1: one go last week they should have won that one. 548 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 1: They played so well in that game against the Commanders, 549 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:55,880 Speaker 1: they really did. It was like Matt Mitchelly even Texas 550 00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:57,320 Speaker 1: about it's like you ran the ball, we down the 551 00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 1: field and then you throw it at the end. There. 552 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:03,040 Speaker 1: It just Arthur Smith sometimes, man, he just tries to 553 00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 1: be so damned smart. Um, I'm with you, chat, I 554 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 1: really want to take at Landing here, but I just 555 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:11,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna pass on this game this week. 556 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,600 Speaker 1: I know that sounds crazy to people because I never 557 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,360 Speaker 1: really passed, but I don't really get the value on 558 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,320 Speaker 1: this line. To me, I make the game one. Both 559 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:21,400 Speaker 1: these teams, I don't know what I'm getting. Like sometimes 560 00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,840 Speaker 1: Kenny pickt as incredible halfs and then he'll do nothing 561 00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 1: for another half. He's just a rookie that's inconsistent. And 562 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,280 Speaker 1: Mary Odin Man, I don't know what I'm getting from 563 00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:35,560 Speaker 1: ever like he is, he is a wild card. Like again, 564 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,360 Speaker 1: you go through their schedule, they're easily easily could be 565 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,480 Speaker 1: leading this division by two or three games, and they 566 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,480 Speaker 1: just had so many close games they couldn't pull out. 567 00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 1: I like Atlanta as a big dog, like we took 568 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 1: him last week before and a half. That's where I'm 569 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,479 Speaker 1: comfortable to Lanta. Anything over three. I'm comfortable to Atlanta. 570 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 1: Anything under three at home against a bad team. Usually 571 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 1: back Atlanta. For some reason, this game is giving me. Paul, 572 00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 1: so as you sitting here at two, I just I 573 00:29:57,560 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 1: don't have an opinion on this one. All right, Well, 574 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,000 Speaker 1: that's fair. That's that's fair. You know what's im and 575 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 1: that's fair and honest. That's all we can ask for. 576 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:09,000 Speaker 1: This is gonna sound crazy. The next game up, the 577 00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:15,320 Speaker 1: Broncos plus eight and a half visiting the Ravens. Look, 578 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:21,400 Speaker 1: we know the Broncos. They are fucking dreadful on offense 579 00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 1: and their defense didn't play great against the Carolina Panthers. 580 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:28,240 Speaker 1: But I do think this Ravens team is in trouble 581 00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:32,880 Speaker 1: and offensively they don't look right. Mark Andrews has not 582 00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:36,920 Speaker 1: fully recovered from his injuries. Uh, they are missing players 583 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 1: on the edges. Uh, They're running game is really challenged 584 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:47,040 Speaker 1: right now. Lamar Jackson has been wildly inconsistent. That is 585 00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:51,760 Speaker 1: a big, big number against a really, really good defense 586 00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:57,640 Speaker 1: in the Broncos. Mm hmm, Well, what are we supposed 587 00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 1: to do? Like Chad said, we're supposed to take the Broncos. 588 00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:04,440 Speaker 1: This is supposed to We're supposed to get in the 589 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:07,520 Speaker 1: foxhole with the Broncos. Oh God, don't do this to 590 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 1: our fans. Don't do this to no you you want 591 00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:17,440 Speaker 1: to make it this well, I'm looking down like the 592 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,600 Speaker 1: rest of the exact decisions these people, because I'm i 593 00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:22,120 Speaker 1: don't think I coun get in the fox with you 594 00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:25,840 Speaker 1: on it. I've been making too much money fading the 595 00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 1: Broncos and taking the under. It's been one of my 596 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:30,360 Speaker 1: more enjoyable experiences this year. You just take the other 597 00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:33,280 Speaker 1: side and you take the under. You're gonna fade the 598 00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 1: Broncos at eight and a half. I don't know what 599 00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:37,920 Speaker 1: the hell to do with it, because I I they're 600 00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,920 Speaker 1: sucking me and they're like everything you just said about 601 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:42,320 Speaker 1: the Ravens is so damn sure. That's why I like 602 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,480 Speaker 1: the Jaguars. They have major issues. There are left tackles 603 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,320 Speaker 1: out and standard Mark Andrews, like you just said, does 604 00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:50,080 Speaker 1: not look right. They don't have a true number one 605 00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:53,920 Speaker 1: receiver right now since Babman's gone out, So oh god, 606 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:56,720 Speaker 1: Chad's right, like I I should because I haven't bet 607 00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:58,200 Speaker 1: this this week, and I looked through the number and 608 00:31:58,200 --> 00:31:59,480 Speaker 1: it is good. I got it at six and a 609 00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:03,920 Speaker 1: half because again, a lot of injuries to this Baltimore 610 00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 1: team right now where denver. Their excuses aren't they of 611 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,040 Speaker 1: course every team is injuries, but their excuses aren't injuries. 612 00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 1: It's all Russell Wilson. So ah, man, that's my issue here. 613 00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,240 Speaker 1: It's like, I just I can't do it to people. 614 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:21,080 Speaker 1: He's shown me nothing becauseserve me putting money on him. Um, 615 00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:23,280 Speaker 1: And at this point in the season, I make decisions 616 00:32:23,280 --> 00:32:26,160 Speaker 1: like that where it's like fucking showing me something before 617 00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,840 Speaker 1: I put thousands of dollars on your corpse, because that's 618 00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:32,720 Speaker 1: what he is right now, He's a corpse. Russell Wilson, So, um, 619 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:34,440 Speaker 1: I can't. I can't sign off on a Fox Well 620 00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:44,160 Speaker 1: on this one chat. Hmm, interesting, very interesting. I feel 621 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:49,000 Speaker 1: like you are it's weak their team, and you're kind 622 00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:51,640 Speaker 1: of changing the script on me, and like we're seeing 623 00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:56,440 Speaker 1: all these professional numbers that we know we should take. 624 00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:02,040 Speaker 1: And I don't know if it's what you've seen through 625 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 1: the year or like some other kind of psychological bias, 626 00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:17,560 Speaker 1: But the Patriots, the Titans, the Broncos, these are all games. 627 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:20,680 Speaker 1: In Week five, they'd be an auto play and a 628 00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:25,040 Speaker 1: week thirteam we're seeing things differently, and I gotta tell 629 00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:28,600 Speaker 1: you it worries me. Yeah, well you're the amateur. Look, 630 00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:31,280 Speaker 1: gamba doesn't work exactly how Chad just explain that doesn't 631 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:34,040 Speaker 1: listen to me. I'll tell you right now, stop fucking 632 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 1: calling me that. Because I'm not true. You just said 633 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:39,800 Speaker 1: the most amateur thing I've ever heard said on the show. 634 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:42,760 Speaker 1: Whatever these lines are right here, every relevant to what 635 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:44,800 Speaker 1: the lines are in week five. I just go a 636 00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:47,520 Speaker 1: week the week brother, That's why. That's how I do it, 637 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:49,440 Speaker 1: Like it doesn't matter what happened last week or the 638 00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:52,880 Speaker 1: week before. My adjustment is on the whole season. And 639 00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:54,840 Speaker 1: I'm with you. I would love to back the broncis here. 640 00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:56,480 Speaker 1: Everything you just said it is true, Like this is 641 00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:59,360 Speaker 1: a good number. The book are giving us two free points. 642 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 1: I just don't trust the books. They're laying traps at 643 00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 1: this point of the year. It's stinky lines. It was 644 00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:07,240 Speaker 1: just like last week, you love your little Bears against 645 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:09,360 Speaker 1: the Jets. You said, that's seven points. It's a lot 646 00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:11,319 Speaker 1: of point. By the way, I never said I love 647 00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,040 Speaker 1: the Bears against the Jets. You don't want to take 648 00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:15,440 Speaker 1: the Jets that I didn't want to take the Jets 649 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:20,239 Speaker 1: because we didn't know who's playing quarterback yet. And I said, yeah, 650 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,080 Speaker 1: But I'm just saying that's what it comes to a 651 00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:23,640 Speaker 1: point in the season where there's a lot of things 652 00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:25,879 Speaker 1: that don't the matter. You're just playing this situation. So 653 00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,239 Speaker 1: I might get into it all a situation will play 654 00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,799 Speaker 1: with the Denver here, but I don't like it. I 655 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,840 Speaker 1: just do not like the juju of coming out of 656 00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:37,279 Speaker 1: the Broncos like they got dominated by a Carolina team 657 00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:39,960 Speaker 1: and Sam Donald they got absolutely dominated last week. So 658 00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:42,279 Speaker 1: I just it's just hard for me to back a 659 00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:46,400 Speaker 1: team like this in this position. Is juju a professional 660 00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:49,319 Speaker 1: term or is that an amateur term? It could be both. 661 00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:56,440 Speaker 1: Salty Chat Commanders on the road at the Giants Commanders 662 00:34:56,440 --> 00:35:05,360 Speaker 1: are two point favorites. Simon says, do give me the 663 00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:07,200 Speaker 1: Giants plus two and a half. Hopefully you can get 664 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:09,239 Speaker 1: the plus three if you can find it, but it's 665 00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:10,719 Speaker 1: been bent down to two and a half to it 666 00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,480 Speaker 1: a lot of books, just a smart playing a Giants 667 00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 1: team that everyone hates and the Commander's team that everyone loves, 668 00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 1: and a matchup of what does the Giants do? They 669 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,640 Speaker 1: run the ball, and we've seen Washington even Atlanta was 670 00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:25,200 Speaker 1: able to run on them. Teams have been able to 671 00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:28,239 Speaker 1: run on this Washington team. And Chase Young, he's not 672 00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:29,800 Speaker 1: good against her and he's a pass rusher, so I 673 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:31,560 Speaker 1: could care less if he's coming back this week. In 674 00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:35,279 Speaker 1: a matchup of desperation for this Giant's team. They've had us. 675 00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:37,480 Speaker 1: They are on a slide right now. They've lost two 676 00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:40,760 Speaker 1: straight welst in Detroit the Cowboys. This is a good 677 00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:43,080 Speaker 1: game for them to get right against the Commander's team 678 00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:45,360 Speaker 1: that we already talked about it. In their last seven 679 00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:47,680 Speaker 1: games or six and one, like Heineke, has been an 680 00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 1: absolute tear. They're gonna get caught up eventually, and this 681 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:52,640 Speaker 1: is where they do then, being a favorite on the 682 00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:55,279 Speaker 1: road and a divisional game, that's crazy to me. And 683 00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:57,360 Speaker 1: the fact that the public loves them here, that's what 684 00:35:57,480 --> 00:35:59,000 Speaker 1: gives me hope he might be to get the three. 685 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:00,960 Speaker 1: But I grabbed and a half now just in case 686 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:02,640 Speaker 1: this does go down to one, as the pros are 687 00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:04,600 Speaker 1: gonna coming on the Giants because it's it's just a 688 00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:07,759 Speaker 1: good spot to take a Giant thing that's undervalued right now. Yeah, 689 00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:10,279 Speaker 1: I couldn't agree more. It makes no sense to me. 690 00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:13,480 Speaker 1: I'm as I'm looking at this, I'm thinking, are there 691 00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:17,120 Speaker 1: too many Giants injuries? What is the reason. It just 692 00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:20,920 Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense at all that the Commanders have 693 00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:24,879 Speaker 1: this much respect. Having seen we bet them a lot 694 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:29,000 Speaker 1: this year, watched a lot of their games, having seen 695 00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:32,640 Speaker 1: how they win their games, even that Eagles game where 696 00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:36,759 Speaker 1: they dominated. They had a lot of luck in that game. 697 00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:40,040 Speaker 1: So all of a sudden, Taylor Heineke being a road 698 00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:45,799 Speaker 1: favorite doesn't quite make sense to me. Dolphins four and 699 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:51,880 Speaker 1: a half point underdogs on the road at San Francisco. 700 00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:56,640 Speaker 1: This line has been moving. It has been moving. We 701 00:36:56,840 --> 00:37:00,600 Speaker 1: talked about it on green Dot Daily earlier today. When 702 00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:02,359 Speaker 1: we first started talking about it was three and a 703 00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:05,560 Speaker 1: half at our meeting. By the time we did our 704 00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:08,640 Speaker 1: stuff an hour later, it was at four. Now it's 705 00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:11,000 Speaker 1: at four and a half. Well, it's three and a half. 706 00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:17,440 Speaker 1: A FanDuel it is um Yeah, and I I stupidly 707 00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:21,160 Speaker 1: wanted to take Miami. I got sucked in on the points. 708 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:25,279 Speaker 1: Um had had a nice phone call after we did 709 00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:26,840 Speaker 1: our live show this morning. I got a lot of 710 00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,800 Speaker 1: ship for it. Apparently I'm an idiot. I don't know 711 00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:31,759 Speaker 1: what to do here. I I want to make this 712 00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:36,600 Speaker 1: our foxhold bet on the four nineers because the public 713 00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,359 Speaker 1: loves Miami, and I'm apparently part of the public because 714 00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:42,840 Speaker 1: I was getting sucked in. Where the forty nine they're healthy, 715 00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 1: They're completely healthy on defense. Now we've seen how their 716 00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:50,920 Speaker 1: offenses dominated and last week they shouldn't have covered like 717 00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:53,080 Speaker 1: that was a really bad game by them. Do we 718 00:37:53,080 --> 00:37:55,279 Speaker 1: see them laying two stinkers on our own? I feel 719 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,160 Speaker 1: like that was a fair question I got proposed to me. 720 00:37:57,320 --> 00:37:59,920 Speaker 1: That's They're a well coached team, this four niner. So 721 00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:03,640 Speaker 1: Miami has been on an absolute tear. But like me 722 00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:06,520 Speaker 1: and Chad talked earlier this week, earlier today, who have 723 00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:09,640 Speaker 1: they played? And Chad talked about men picking them to 724 00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:11,720 Speaker 1: miss the playoffs, for them just not to win the division, 725 00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:14,400 Speaker 1: I think that's a fair play because they beat up 726 00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:15,920 Speaker 1: on bad teams in the last couple of weeks. Now 727 00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:17,440 Speaker 1: they're about to getting a really hard part of their 728 00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:19,480 Speaker 1: schedule and this is one of the tougher games we're 729 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:22,120 Speaker 1: gonna face all year. So I want a lot of 730 00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:25,360 Speaker 1: you people I like Miami coming into it. And it 731 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,319 Speaker 1: seems like I'm just a little too excited about a 732 00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:30,200 Speaker 1: team that really hasn't proven what they're worth is at 733 00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:33,640 Speaker 1: this point. So I'm flip flapping here, but I'm gonna 734 00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:35,160 Speaker 1: end up on four nine is in the sense that 735 00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:37,680 Speaker 1: I know a really smart group who's taking a position 736 00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:40,480 Speaker 1: on the four nas at three three and a half. Um, 737 00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,239 Speaker 1: So it's no surprise. The chat said, there's a couple 738 00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:43,760 Speaker 1: of books on the four and a half at this point, 739 00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:46,520 Speaker 1: some books still a three and a half. Just shop 740 00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,200 Speaker 1: around and trying to find value on this line. I 741 00:38:49,239 --> 00:38:52,759 Speaker 1: love it as the Foxholl. We've got a we've got 742 00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:55,439 Speaker 1: a new supporter in the Foxholl. Matt Mitchell was gonna 743 00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:59,360 Speaker 1: play a drop for everybody, our old friend Patrick Beverley. 744 00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:01,799 Speaker 1: You know me, regardless of what's going on, I'm a 745 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:04,320 Speaker 1: Foxhole guy. I commit to a team, I commit to 746 00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,959 Speaker 1: a city. I'm a Foxhole minus three and a half 747 00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:12,000 Speaker 1: in the Foxhall. And that is an amazing drop that 748 00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:17,160 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. Then, uh, let me give you some stats 749 00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:19,200 Speaker 1: to back up what you were saying. And I talked 750 00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:21,400 Speaker 1: about some of this on Green Dot Daily this morning 751 00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:23,759 Speaker 1: when I was talking about how I don't like me 752 00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:26,400 Speaker 1: at Miami my rest of the year. I don't like 753 00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:28,640 Speaker 1: Miami for the rest of the year. The past six 754 00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:34,280 Speaker 1: games home versus Houston, home versus Cleveland, at Chicago, at Detroit, 755 00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 1: home versus Pittsburgh, home versus Minnesota. The next six games 756 00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,360 Speaker 1: at San Francisco, at the l A Chargers, at the 757 00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:47,439 Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills home versus Green Bay at New England home 758 00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:51,520 Speaker 1: versus the Jets. They're going on the road in December 759 00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:57,560 Speaker 1: against really good teams, really competitive teams. So this is 760 00:39:57,560 --> 00:40:00,680 Speaker 1: gonna be a different look from Miami then we've seen 761 00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:04,800 Speaker 1: the previous six weeks. I love the Niners in this spot. 762 00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:08,120 Speaker 1: I'm glad you've come around. Glad we're putting them in 763 00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:13,240 Speaker 1: the foxhole. Uh. My biggest fear is that Cal Shannon 764 00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: as a favorite at home is not very good. Yeah 765 00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:18,600 Speaker 1: now and again you said it. He got away with 766 00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:20,680 Speaker 1: one last week, and I totally agree like that you 767 00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:24,600 Speaker 1: should not have covered that game. Um, but laws of averages. 768 00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:27,560 Speaker 1: Maybe he's finally turned the corner. Chat we can pay 769 00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:30,200 Speaker 1: to see him do it. But it what is this 770 00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:31,920 Speaker 1: the game of the week. I feel like des by 771 00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:33,840 Speaker 1: the best matchup of the week of two teams that 772 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:36,600 Speaker 1: whoever wins this, it's gonna prove a lot to I 773 00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:39,359 Speaker 1: don't know about Chad and me, especially that. Okay, now 774 00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:41,160 Speaker 1: I can start believing these teams because neither of them 775 00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,200 Speaker 1: are really played any good competition in these last couple 776 00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,279 Speaker 1: of weeks. Well, there's one more game that's going to 777 00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:48,360 Speaker 1: be my executive decision that I think is going to 778 00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:52,040 Speaker 1: be an even better game Seahawks. That this isn't it. 779 00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:57,279 Speaker 1: By the way, Seahawks visiting the Los Angeles Rams the 780 00:40:57,680 --> 00:41:00,879 Speaker 1: man they are falling apart their eight point underdogs at 781 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:05,440 Speaker 1: home against the Seahawks right now. I mean, you know 782 00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:08,480 Speaker 1: this is when you listen to the book. Well, I 783 00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:12,320 Speaker 1: was impressed with the Rams, like they they played really 784 00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:16,480 Speaker 1: well against the Chiefs. They the Chiefs only covered by 785 00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:18,719 Speaker 1: kicking a field goal in the final minutes of the game. 786 00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:21,399 Speaker 1: So but that was like, that was why you're talking 787 00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:22,840 Speaker 1: about I want to take the Chiefs. And I couldn't 788 00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:25,240 Speaker 1: fight you on it where it's like those huge spreads. 789 00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:28,560 Speaker 1: You need so much luck to cover those big spreads 790 00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:32,840 Speaker 1: because football is so hard. And this Rams team, me 791 00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:34,480 Speaker 1: and Chad talked all the time about buying team at 792 00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:35,880 Speaker 1: the lowest point. That's why he wants to take the 793 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,000 Speaker 1: Broncos this week, which is I'm telling you this is 794 00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:40,520 Speaker 1: probably the smart play because you're buying that the lowest point. 795 00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:42,879 Speaker 1: This is as low as it gets for this This 796 00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:45,960 Speaker 1: Rams team doesn't get any lower. There they might be 797 00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,759 Speaker 1: out down Aaron Donald now in this game already know 798 00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:52,560 Speaker 1: they're out the receivers. This is lows against. But we've 799 00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:56,279 Speaker 1: seen the weakness and the Seahawks team the running. They 800 00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:58,439 Speaker 1: cannot stop the run, and we know what the Rams 801 00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:00,400 Speaker 1: want to do. They want to run the ball, especially 802 00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:02,400 Speaker 1: now they have a running quarterback in there for Stafford. 803 00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:04,759 Speaker 1: So as long as Stafford doesn't rush back and come 804 00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:06,400 Speaker 1: for this game. I know it sounds weird, I'd rather 805 00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:09,200 Speaker 1: have the running quarterback in this game against the Seahawks defense. 806 00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:11,560 Speaker 1: I'll take the seven and a half. Hope they gets 807 00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:16,920 Speaker 1: back to eight. Um GRAVI eight then, because it's just 808 00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:19,839 Speaker 1: professionals are gonna take this number in the sense that 809 00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:23,319 Speaker 1: you have a divisional home dog that as bad as 810 00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:27,040 Speaker 1: they have look this Rams team, it's still McVeigh that 811 00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:29,120 Speaker 1: can scheme up away to run the ball against a 812 00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:32,759 Speaker 1: really bad stopping the run defense and the Seahawks. So 813 00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:34,879 Speaker 1: this big of a number. This is in the middle 814 00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:36,640 Speaker 1: of the season. The Seahawks like they're on a roll 815 00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:38,600 Speaker 1: for a while there. You've kind of seen them come 816 00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:40,200 Speaker 1: back down the earth these last couple of weeks. We 817 00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:43,520 Speaker 1: got obviously caught with it last week, same thing this week. 818 00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:46,040 Speaker 1: I think this line is too too high for Seahawks team, 819 00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:48,520 Speaker 1: the fact that the public is gonna be all over 820 00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:50,920 Speaker 1: this right, They're gonna be teasing this number everything so 821 00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:54,799 Speaker 1: mean every public Joe public's money line parlay taking the 822 00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,640 Speaker 1: Seahawks here. Um, I'll gladly take the value on the 823 00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:04,600 Speaker 1: eight with this Rams team hundred hundred percent. Who whoo 824 00:43:05,320 --> 00:43:08,919 Speaker 1: uh Our favorite team to fade on the road as 825 00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,759 Speaker 1: a favorite. The Los Angeles Chargers are on the road 826 00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:15,440 Speaker 1: as a favorite against the Las Vegas Raiders. The number 827 00:43:15,600 --> 00:43:18,440 Speaker 1: right now is one and a half. The Raiders are 828 00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:22,719 Speaker 1: one and a half point underdogs. The Chargers nearly gave 829 00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:27,280 Speaker 1: it away against the Cardinals, uh pulled one out, and 830 00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:30,799 Speaker 1: the Raiders did exactly the opposite, beating up on the 831 00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:35,000 Speaker 1: Seahawks in the overtime with Josh Jacobs gaining eight hundred 832 00:43:35,040 --> 00:43:39,800 Speaker 1: thousand yards in the game. It's pro Joe game. Is 833 00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:44,919 Speaker 1: now your exact decision? No? Oh fuck? Love Vegas here? Yeah, 834 00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:47,080 Speaker 1: I love it, I love Vegas here. You're gonna make 835 00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:49,279 Speaker 1: Chad force this one in on Sunday. We'll hopefully we'll 836 00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:50,920 Speaker 1: get two and a half. That would be amazing, because 837 00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:55,000 Speaker 1: too such a lame number. Um, I fucking hate pushes, 838 00:43:55,000 --> 00:43:56,480 Speaker 1: so hopefully give US two and a half. I don't 839 00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:58,920 Speaker 1: think we'll get there because the tickets are on the Chargers, 840 00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,440 Speaker 1: but the money is big on the Raiders and it 841 00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 1: should be just like the Cardinals last week, like I 842 00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:08,240 Speaker 1: I understood, I got a lot of piste off people 843 00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:12,040 Speaker 1: telling me all the stats about Kingsbury after November Kingsbury 844 00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:13,600 Speaker 1: at home, and it was a simple thing where I 845 00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:17,000 Speaker 1: kept saying, the Chargers just can't be favorites. They just 846 00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:19,000 Speaker 1: can't be because whenever they win games, they always went 847 00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:20,799 Speaker 1: by one or two points. That's just how they are 848 00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:23,640 Speaker 1: and that's just up to bad coaching. That's what I 849 00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:25,640 Speaker 1: think it is with this Chargers team. They have the talent, 850 00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:28,520 Speaker 1: they just on the coaching and they don't have the players. 851 00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:30,440 Speaker 1: And their biggest issue now is that the d tackle 852 00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:33,720 Speaker 1: position at defense. They're they're an historically bad team against 853 00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:36,160 Speaker 1: the run this year historically, Like the numbers they give 854 00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,000 Speaker 1: up on the ground is out of this world. We 855 00:44:39,080 --> 00:44:40,680 Speaker 1: just saw the Raiders what they want to do. They 856 00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:42,560 Speaker 1: want to run the ball. Josh Jacobs and I know 857 00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:45,960 Speaker 1: he's got injuries right, he's banged up, He's resting all week. 858 00:44:45,960 --> 00:44:48,520 Speaker 1: They say he's not gonna practice all week. He's full 859 00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:51,359 Speaker 1: ago me and jaded me and Chayer catching over one 860 00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:54,760 Speaker 1: and a half with this Raiders team at home, no brainer, 861 00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:58,120 Speaker 1: player will definitely take them here. It's it's terrifying now 862 00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:01,160 Speaker 1: that I'm thinking about back in Joshua Daniels, But I 863 00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:03,120 Speaker 1: like Chad knows like this is the right spot. Right 864 00:45:03,120 --> 00:45:06,000 Speaker 1: We're getting home divisional dog and a team that wants 865 00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:07,640 Speaker 1: to run the ball against a team that just can't 866 00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:09,520 Speaker 1: stop the run and the Chargers, and there's no one 867 00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:11,839 Speaker 1: coming in to stop that. There. They are what they are. 868 00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:14,759 Speaker 1: They're not adding anyone to that d tackle position. So yeah, 869 00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:17,560 Speaker 1: give me, give me the Raiders here. Yeah, I like 870 00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:19,879 Speaker 1: that one a lot. We were building a nice little 871 00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:21,880 Speaker 1: list here of of games that will get their baby 872 00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:24,600 Speaker 1: through the thicken thing. Chad, we'll figure it in bikes. 873 00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:26,920 Speaker 1: We like the Giants, we like the Niners, we like 874 00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:30,640 Speaker 1: the Rams, we like the Raiders. We like and then 875 00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:37,920 Speaker 1: it comes to the executive decision. The Kansas City Chiefs 876 00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:44,000 Speaker 1: visiting the Cincinnati Bengals, the Bengals two and a half 877 00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:49,400 Speaker 1: point underdogs at home. We're e d and the funk 878 00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:53,480 Speaker 1: out of the Bengals right now, The choice between the 879 00:45:53,640 --> 00:46:02,080 Speaker 1: unthinkable and the impossible decision. This just makes me. I mean, 880 00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:06,040 Speaker 1: I know why, but this Bengals team, Look, we love 881 00:46:06,120 --> 00:46:09,200 Speaker 1: them in a very strange situation when you normally wouldn't 882 00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:12,440 Speaker 1: love them. A couple of weeks ago, as road favorites 883 00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:16,799 Speaker 1: against the Steelers in a shootout they won, we love 884 00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:20,680 Speaker 1: them this past weekend as short road favorites against Tennessee, 885 00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:26,120 Speaker 1: tight game, defensive battle. You love the under They had 886 00:46:26,120 --> 00:46:29,160 Speaker 1: a lot of things go against them and pulled it out. 887 00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:35,440 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, its fucking awesome and this defense is just 888 00:46:35,600 --> 00:46:39,640 Speaker 1: better with DJ Reader playing and likely to get Joe 889 00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:43,640 Speaker 1: Mixon back. The Bengal should not be underdogs in this game. Yeah, 890 00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:45,880 Speaker 1: and you were all over the Bengals last year in 891 00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:48,680 Speaker 1: this game least two teams played. I went against it, 892 00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:54,200 Speaker 1: got burned the following week. Yeah, it's I don't want 893 00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:56,080 Speaker 1: to I don't want to go overboard on my love 894 00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:57,759 Speaker 1: for since here right now. But it is a Joe 895 00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:00,960 Speaker 1: Burrow thing. I do think he's ascended now to be 896 00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,480 Speaker 1: in that conversation. Is the top five guy. He's just 897 00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:06,600 Speaker 1: he's cool man. He is Joe cool. He lost his 898 00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:10,239 Speaker 1: number one reponent, number one weapon in Jamal Chase kept 899 00:47:10,280 --> 00:47:13,959 Speaker 1: going out there, kept producing, kept doing better. Yeah, lost 900 00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:17,160 Speaker 1: Joe and mixing against you know, and one of the 901 00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:22,880 Speaker 1: best better. Yeah, it's just he's just so good at 902 00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:25,160 Speaker 1: adjusting to what he has in front of him. Now 903 00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:28,400 Speaker 1: Chase is coming back against the biggest weakness of this 904 00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:31,479 Speaker 1: Chief's team. Their secondaries filled with rookies and the second 905 00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,160 Speaker 1: year of players. That's their biggest achilles here this year, 906 00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:37,440 Speaker 1: the biggest achilles heal this year. So the thing you 907 00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:40,120 Speaker 1: want to do against him is go downfield with your 908 00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:43,200 Speaker 1: big body guys. And we saw the Chargers team with 909 00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:45,680 Speaker 1: Mike Williams and Keenan Allen really take it to this 910 00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:48,520 Speaker 1: Chief's defense. They struggled against those guys and they got 911 00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:50,360 Speaker 1: lucky when Mike Williams went out with an injury in 912 00:47:50,400 --> 00:47:53,439 Speaker 1: that game. This, Yeah, te Higgins here and you got 913 00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:56,120 Speaker 1: Jamaar Chase. Those are a big body guys who are 914 00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:59,120 Speaker 1: can get downfield with speed. So looking up a matchup 915 00:47:59,120 --> 00:48:01,479 Speaker 1: where Ched's talked about, wanted to make this my Green 916 00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:04,040 Speaker 1: Dot Daily picked this morning, but it wasn't at three. 917 00:48:04,040 --> 00:48:06,759 Speaker 1: I wanted the plus three. Now I'm looking at in 918 00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:08,239 Speaker 1: the app right now, I don't think it's gonna get there. 919 00:48:08,280 --> 00:48:10,440 Speaker 1: Do you think it's gonna drop down to two? Um, 920 00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:14,320 Speaker 1: despite the public coming in so heavy on the Chiefs 921 00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:18,240 Speaker 1: and they have trends back in it. Historically Betty Mahomes 922 00:48:18,320 --> 00:48:21,160 Speaker 1: under a field goal has been very profitable. That's that's 923 00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:22,840 Speaker 1: a nice spot to be and taking them under a 924 00:48:22,840 --> 00:48:25,960 Speaker 1: field goal. But looking at this Chief's team, if you 925 00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:29,200 Speaker 1: go through all their games, all their wins are really close. 926 00:48:29,680 --> 00:48:31,640 Speaker 1: They've had a couple a couple of big blowouts, But 927 00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:33,239 Speaker 1: if you go through it like I'm looking at right now, 928 00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:36,080 Speaker 1: most of their wins are by three or especially when 929 00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:37,880 Speaker 1: they play against teams that can put up points, they 930 00:48:38,160 --> 00:48:40,040 Speaker 1: just stay in these games because their defense really can't 931 00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:43,399 Speaker 1: get stopped. So yeah, with with Chat, I'm gonna back 932 00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:45,560 Speaker 1: it here. I'll be all over since you with him, 933 00:48:45,600 --> 00:48:47,239 Speaker 1: hopefully we can get to the three. But at two 934 00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:48,520 Speaker 1: and a half, I still think you're getting a good 935 00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:50,480 Speaker 1: key number of the since he team, I don't think 936 00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:53,080 Speaker 1: we're gonna get to three. Uh yeah, I think they're 937 00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:56,200 Speaker 1: all already giving you reduced juice on two and a half, 938 00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:57,680 Speaker 1: begging you to take it at two and a half. 939 00:48:57,680 --> 00:48:59,879 Speaker 1: So it has been interesting with with the World Cup 940 00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:02,560 Speaker 1: and all these other sports going on. Sometimes you can 941 00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:05,239 Speaker 1: wait in the big money like Joe Public. Everyone comes 942 00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:07,640 Speaker 1: in heavy Saturday nights, Sunday morning. Sometimes you you are 943 00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:09,880 Speaker 1: able to get a bump up. I would grab the 944 00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:11,480 Speaker 1: two and a half now, just to be safe. In Kisse, 945 00:49:11,520 --> 00:49:15,640 Speaker 1: it does drop it too, because that is a key number. Um. 946 00:49:15,760 --> 00:49:18,600 Speaker 1: The other thing that's really interesting to me about this 947 00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:23,759 Speaker 1: Cincinnati team is you mentioned Joe Burrow. The other day 948 00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:28,680 Speaker 1: watching the games with my kid, I said, name the 949 00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:33,520 Speaker 1: most enjoyable quarterbacks to watch, not necessarily the best, like 950 00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:36,120 Speaker 1: the guys who are just the most fun to watch. 951 00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:43,400 Speaker 1: And to me it was obviously Justin Fields, uh, Patrick Mahomes, 952 00:49:44,800 --> 00:49:47,920 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, Josh Allen. And my kids said to me 953 00:49:48,800 --> 00:49:51,960 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray, And I said, I don't love watching Kyler Murray. 954 00:49:51,960 --> 00:49:54,040 Speaker 1: You know why. He doesn't play with any joy. He 955 00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:56,320 Speaker 1: just looks mad the whole time, whereas the other guys 956 00:49:56,800 --> 00:49:58,960 Speaker 1: they look like they're having fun. They look like their 957 00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:01,799 Speaker 1: kids playing in the back are just loving what they're doing. 958 00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,279 Speaker 1: That you left off your boy, the guy you bet 959 00:50:05,320 --> 00:50:07,440 Speaker 1: on f m v P Jalen Hurts number two and 960 00:50:07,560 --> 00:50:10,719 Speaker 1: m v P ratings right now, Yeah, I feel like 961 00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:13,560 Speaker 1: he's he's up there with these guys. Now the he's five. 962 00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:16,239 Speaker 1: He's five. Yeah, the stuff he can do running though, 963 00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:19,799 Speaker 1: Like but coming in the year, um, I just never 964 00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:22,239 Speaker 1: envisioned what he would turn into and this year it's 965 00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:25,000 Speaker 1: I'm comfortable with saying that he's he's an elite guy 966 00:50:25,040 --> 00:50:26,919 Speaker 1: at what he can do, which is running the ball. 967 00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:29,840 Speaker 1: How do you feel about my Kyla Murray take. I 968 00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:32,279 Speaker 1: just I've been out on Kyler in the sense that 969 00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:34,560 Speaker 1: I just think his attitude such ship which so I 970 00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:36,640 Speaker 1: agree with your sense it doesn't look like he's having fun, 971 00:50:37,160 --> 00:50:38,920 Speaker 1: but we'll see. I don't want to put too much 972 00:50:38,920 --> 00:50:41,560 Speaker 1: on him. Um, it could be a Kingsbury thing, but 973 00:50:42,120 --> 00:50:44,040 Speaker 1: just the way he talks to Hopkins, he seems like 974 00:50:44,040 --> 00:50:45,839 Speaker 1: a kid that never got the ship kicked out of him. 975 00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:47,520 Speaker 1: And you could just tell Hopkins like looked at him 976 00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:48,840 Speaker 1: like I'm about to beat the ship out of this 977 00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:51,760 Speaker 1: little dude, and he didn't because he's obviously his quarterback. 978 00:50:51,840 --> 00:50:54,160 Speaker 1: But there's certain things he says that just rubbed you 979 00:50:54,160 --> 00:50:55,880 Speaker 1: the wrong way. And it's the same thing with Zach Wilson, 980 00:50:56,080 --> 00:50:59,000 Speaker 1: Like all X players shoot on Zach Wilson all last 981 00:50:59,040 --> 00:51:02,239 Speaker 1: week and then this week the Jets win, and you 982 00:51:02,320 --> 00:51:04,759 Speaker 1: could not interview a Jets player in that locker room 983 00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:07,440 Speaker 1: that didn't speak so highly of Mike Mike White. How 984 00:51:07,520 --> 00:51:09,160 Speaker 1: much do you like Mike White? How much of a 985 00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:12,360 Speaker 1: team guy he is? And that's just shade shade, shade shade, 986 00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,640 Speaker 1: or in exact, the quarterback position. If they if guys 987 00:51:15,680 --> 00:51:17,240 Speaker 1: even get a whiff of you being a little stuck 988 00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:19,440 Speaker 1: up asshole, they're out. And I feel like that's a 989 00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:21,760 Speaker 1: that's a big problem right now with Kyler and his teammates. 990 00:51:22,840 --> 00:51:27,240 Speaker 1: Lots of listeners are asking us about show merch because 991 00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:30,239 Speaker 1: who wouldn't want a T shirt with my face and 992 00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:33,960 Speaker 1: Simon's face on it? It has arrived. Just visit the 993 00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:40,680 Speaker 1: volume dot com, slash the dash favorites. Code Shaves twenty 994 00:51:40,760 --> 00:51:47,640 Speaker 1: gets off today through Thursday. The Indianapolis Culture eleven point 995 00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:50,600 Speaker 1: underdogs had the Dallas Cowboys. God damnit, you do we 996 00:51:50,640 --> 00:51:56,360 Speaker 1: have to do this? I mean, look, you wrote the book. 997 00:51:57,920 --> 00:52:01,800 Speaker 1: It's it's not written though you the Colts. I hate it, 998 00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:04,239 Speaker 1: just like all you hate it. It's not a contest 999 00:52:04,239 --> 00:52:07,239 Speaker 1: play now, it's been here on Tuesday. I say it's not. 1000 00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:11,080 Speaker 1: But we'll see because that's crazy. That's a crazy number 1001 00:52:11,160 --> 00:52:13,719 Speaker 1: for a Dallas team that cannot stop the run. Like 1002 00:52:14,560 --> 00:52:17,560 Speaker 1: they are bad against the run. That is a major issue. 1003 00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:19,920 Speaker 1: So a team that is bad against the run, I 1004 00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:22,480 Speaker 1: always like other teams that can run the ball donnantly, 1005 00:52:22,520 --> 00:52:24,759 Speaker 1: and that's what this Cold team can do. They can't 1006 00:52:24,760 --> 00:52:27,160 Speaker 1: pass the ball donaltly there. That's not a strength of theirs, 1007 00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:29,040 Speaker 1: but they make it work with the two added monster 1008 00:52:29,040 --> 00:52:31,919 Speaker 1: in the backfield and Jonathan Taylor's looked better these last 1009 00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:35,680 Speaker 1: couple of weeks. Um. The love of the public for 1010 00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:39,000 Speaker 1: the Cowboys is interesting. Uh, I just I thought the 1011 00:52:39,080 --> 00:52:40,960 Speaker 1: number would be ten. I'm shocked to see it now 1012 00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:42,720 Speaker 1: sitting here on Tuesday, all the way up to eleven 1013 00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:44,840 Speaker 1: at this point. But it makes sense. We saw the 1014 00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:47,719 Speaker 1: Colts look so bad last night against the Pittsburgh team 1015 00:52:47,760 --> 00:52:50,960 Speaker 1: at home. I guess it makes sense the number, so 1016 00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:55,440 Speaker 1: the hesitation would just be Matt Ryan looked cooked last night. 1017 00:52:55,600 --> 00:52:58,640 Speaker 1: I think he started the game one in eight um passing. 1018 00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:01,040 Speaker 1: He's just he so up and down. You don't know 1019 00:53:01,080 --> 00:53:02,640 Speaker 1: what you're getting week to week. And that's the hardest 1020 00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:04,759 Speaker 1: part getting read on this Colds team. It's like, are 1021 00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:06,920 Speaker 1: you gonna get the team that took the Chiefs to 1022 00:53:06,960 --> 00:53:08,839 Speaker 1: the end and they beat them straight up and took 1023 00:53:08,880 --> 00:53:10,479 Speaker 1: the Eagles to a one point game. Are you gonna 1024 00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:13,000 Speaker 1: get the colds team that just looks in the maich 1025 00:53:13,120 --> 00:53:16,040 Speaker 1: for a whole half because they can't move the ball. Um, 1026 00:53:16,800 --> 00:53:19,160 Speaker 1: That is a tough one. So my my heart says 1027 00:53:19,200 --> 00:53:20,839 Speaker 1: go with the go of the culture right now because 1028 00:53:20,840 --> 00:53:22,840 Speaker 1: you're getting the value. But I feel like that's a 1029 00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:24,920 Speaker 1: fair point. The Chad said, like this probably won't be 1030 00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:27,400 Speaker 1: one of our five. All right, last game of the week, 1031 00:53:36,160 --> 00:53:39,280 Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints, who broke our heart this past 1032 00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:42,120 Speaker 1: week on the road, is four point underdogs at the 1033 00:53:42,160 --> 00:53:45,799 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay buccane Years. No strong opinion on this game 1034 00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:50,480 Speaker 1: right now. I say Tampa in the sense that you're 1035 00:53:50,480 --> 00:53:52,719 Speaker 1: getting them off such a bad loss. With Brady in 1036 00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:54,839 Speaker 1: the game, they easily should have won. I mean that 1037 00:53:55,080 --> 00:53:57,920 Speaker 1: was I think fourth and ten, then the joke who 1038 00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:00,399 Speaker 1: touchdown the back of the end zone. It just an 1039 00:54:00,400 --> 00:54:04,080 Speaker 1: incredible run by that Brown's team uh to end that game. 1040 00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:09,560 Speaker 1: But I like Tampa in the sense that there there 1041 00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:11,480 Speaker 1: no one's gonna betting them. They just I believe they 1042 00:54:11,560 --> 00:54:15,279 Speaker 1: just lost their left tackle. Um it feels like a 1043 00:54:15,320 --> 00:54:17,479 Speaker 1: lonely favorite that I'll be taking here that no one's 1044 00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:19,440 Speaker 1: gonna be bet. Everyone will just take the Saints as 1045 00:54:19,480 --> 00:54:21,480 Speaker 1: the dog and a match up between two teams that 1046 00:54:21,880 --> 00:54:24,320 Speaker 1: are pretty equal. I make this line three and a half, 1047 00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:27,759 Speaker 1: no value either way. Um, if you can get a four, 1048 00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:29,560 Speaker 1: I guess you could go Saints. I just I just 1049 00:54:29,560 --> 00:54:32,799 Speaker 1: wouldn't do it. Um any Dalton. We've seen him burn 1050 00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:36,160 Speaker 1: me and Chad two different times to sharing prime time. Ah, 1051 00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:39,080 Speaker 1: he has been anemic in prime time. He just can't 1052 00:54:39,280 --> 00:54:44,080 Speaker 1: can't make throws. Um, yeah, don't. I don't think this 1053 00:54:44,080 --> 00:54:46,120 Speaker 1: would be one of my bigger bets. But the more 1054 00:54:46,160 --> 00:54:47,920 Speaker 1: I'm looking at, the more I'm thinking myself like this. 1055 00:54:48,040 --> 00:54:50,279 Speaker 1: This usually is the time you take Tampa at home 1056 00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:55,560 Speaker 1: against an indoor team that's struggling offensively, and I would 1057 00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:57,160 Speaker 1: love to say their defense is the reason that the 1058 00:54:57,160 --> 00:54:59,239 Speaker 1: four nighter struggled so much. But that was just a 1059 00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:01,600 Speaker 1: Jimmy Garopp shooting himself in the foot kind of game 1060 00:55:01,600 --> 00:55:04,840 Speaker 1: where Town doesn't usually do that. The Saints historically have 1061 00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:07,239 Speaker 1: done that against him, but this year he might have 1062 00:55:07,239 --> 00:55:08,880 Speaker 1: broke the curse. He beat them earlier. I think it 1063 00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:11,080 Speaker 1: was week two or week three, me and Chader on 1064 00:55:11,120 --> 00:55:13,359 Speaker 1: the other side of a bad Jameis Winston picks six 1065 00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:16,680 Speaker 1: in that game. Um, who knows it could be Jamis 1066 00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:19,480 Speaker 1: this week. I've heard some rumblings they might be Jamis, 1067 00:55:19,520 --> 00:55:21,439 Speaker 1: But as we sit here right now, it's Andy Dalton 1068 00:55:21,520 --> 00:55:27,160 Speaker 1: side back Tampa. Matt Mitchell is going to be out 1069 00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:30,200 Speaker 1: of town next week and he will be in Vegas 1070 00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:33,719 Speaker 1: for this game. So hopefully later in the week we 1071 00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:36,240 Speaker 1: will develop a strong enough opinion to give him something 1072 00:55:36,840 --> 00:55:39,560 Speaker 1: to root for. We'll try, but I feel like you 1073 00:55:39,560 --> 00:55:42,239 Speaker 1: agree with you. Chest probably won't be one of our five. No, no, no, 1074 00:55:42,280 --> 00:55:45,200 Speaker 1: there's like, yeah, there are certain spots in which you 1075 00:55:45,200 --> 00:55:48,759 Speaker 1: want to back the Saints. Saints is like a short 1076 00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:53,000 Speaker 1: road dog. The only thing that makes me wean a 1077 00:55:53,080 --> 00:55:57,880 Speaker 1: little bit Saints is that divisional game Like at four. 1078 00:55:58,719 --> 00:56:00,480 Speaker 1: You know, you play the percentages and go with the 1079 00:56:02,960 --> 00:56:06,040 Speaker 1: with the dog. But this Saints team like can be 1080 00:56:06,080 --> 00:56:09,879 Speaker 1: in Munich offensively like we saw it, and so it's tough. 1081 00:56:09,960 --> 00:56:11,520 Speaker 1: It's a tough one. I don't have a strong opinion 1082 00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:13,719 Speaker 1: on it, and it might not happen. Matt Mitchell, It 1083 00:56:13,840 --> 00:56:16,520 Speaker 1: just might not happen. That's and that's kind of how 1084 00:56:16,520 --> 00:56:19,000 Speaker 1: it is where you're picking games on Tuesday. It's like, yeah, 1085 00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:23,680 Speaker 1: we're still trying to figure out certain matchups of you know, 1086 00:56:23,880 --> 00:56:26,760 Speaker 1: got like we just got so burned from New Orleans. 1087 00:56:26,800 --> 00:56:28,080 Speaker 1: It is hard for me to just be like, yeah, 1088 00:56:28,080 --> 00:56:30,560 Speaker 1: take New Orleans here, where they did everything they could, 1089 00:56:30,560 --> 00:56:33,080 Speaker 1: did not cover that game last week. It still is 1090 00:56:33,120 --> 00:56:35,480 Speaker 1: hard for me to even start logging bets again. I'm 1091 00:56:35,520 --> 00:56:42,080 Speaker 1: so upset about it. All right, so when I used 1092 00:56:42,120 --> 00:56:43,520 Speaker 1: to losing this year, it's been a good year. Not 1093 00:56:43,680 --> 00:56:47,000 Speaker 1: that's the problem. Foxhold forty Niners minus three and a half. 1094 00:56:47,040 --> 00:56:50,400 Speaker 1: Simon says Giants plus two and a half the exact 1095 00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:53,480 Speaker 1: decision since the plus two and a half our leads 1096 00:56:54,160 --> 00:56:56,399 Speaker 1: right now, Vike's minus three, but we're hoping it gets 1097 00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:58,480 Speaker 1: down to two and a half Giants plus two and 1098 00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:00,840 Speaker 1: a half, Niners minus three and a half, Rams plus 1099 00:57:00,840 --> 00:57:03,719 Speaker 1: eight Raiders plus two since he plus two and a half. 1100 00:57:04,200 --> 00:57:07,880 Speaker 1: We're keeping an eye on the Colts turned up to 1101 00:57:08,040 --> 00:57:16,640 Speaker 1: a spinal tap sponsored eleven um. We'll be back on Thursday, 1102 00:57:16,880 --> 00:57:22,080 Speaker 1: I know we will. Simon for Simon, Hunter for Matt Mitchell. 1103 00:57:22,800 --> 00:57:25,680 Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. This has been the favorites from 1104 00:57:25,680 --> 00:57:29,600 Speaker 1: the Volume podcast Network. Download from Apple podcasts, from Spotify, 1105 00:57:29,640 --> 00:57:33,440 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, rate review, subscribe. Weave was 1106 00:57:33,640 --> 00:57:37,000 Speaker 1: five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. 1107 00:57:37,280 --> 00:57:40,040 Speaker 1: Listen to the podcast all the way to the end 1108 00:57:41,320 --> 00:57:43,280 Speaker 1: until next time. I Love you,