WEBVTT - Benny vs The Penny, Round 2 0:00:02.200 --> 0:00:05.680 If you thought four hours a day, minutes a week 0:00:05.800 --> 0:00:09.200 was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants of 0:00:09.240 --> 0:00:12.880 the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats 0:00:12.880 --> 0:00:15.760 crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the rich 0:00:15.800 --> 0:00:19.799 pill poppers in the penthouse. The clearing House of hot 0:00:19.840 --> 0:00:23.560 takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with 0:00:23.760 --> 0:00:34.479 Ben Maller starts right now. Welcome players, You're welcome. Are 0:00:34.479 --> 0:00:39.920 you up for more? Mallard Mayhem? It's time now Benny 0:00:40.320 --> 0:00:45.080 versus the penny again, as we try to buck the 0:00:45.159 --> 0:00:48.360 odds here and we give you Benny versus the pain. 0:00:48.479 --> 0:00:52.880 We play the speculation game, as we challenge the point 0:00:52.920 --> 0:00:55.720 spreads in the National Football League. We're heading into week two, 0:00:55.800 --> 0:00:58.360 the full weekend. We all had that game Thursday night. 0:00:58.400 --> 0:01:00.920 You know the outcome there between Carol Line and Tampa 0:01:01.000 --> 0:01:04.600 Bay in a lightning played game, bad weather. They're at 0:01:04.640 --> 0:01:07.000 the beginning of the game anyway there between Carolina and 0:01:07.040 --> 0:01:10.600 Tampa Bay. But let's get into this now before we 0:01:10.640 --> 0:01:13.120 go to the rest of the week two. Car We 0:01:13.160 --> 0:01:15.840 already did that game on the radio show, so we 0:01:15.840 --> 0:01:20.040 gotta look ahead to the games on Sunday and Monday night. 0:01:20.360 --> 0:01:23.880 How did we do last week? Guests? Gonna get right 0:01:23.880 --> 0:01:25.800 on that, Mike. I want you to talk slowly. I 0:01:25.840 --> 0:01:28.399 want you to enunciate every word. I want you to 0:01:28.440 --> 0:01:32.360 talk proudly because someone had an amazing day against the 0:01:32.400 --> 0:01:39.360 penny and against the Vegas bookmakers. One three dash three. 0:01:40.720 --> 0:01:42.880 Now you didn't say that, right, You try that again? 0:01:43.480 --> 0:01:52.760 One dash three? You think you're funny? Are you very cute? 0:01:52.920 --> 0:01:55.960 That is an eight winning percentage. That's better than Belichick, 0:01:56.080 --> 0:01:59.360 is better than Greg Papavits. Thank you very much. Let 0:01:59.440 --> 0:02:03.280 me take a very three lap here. I'll take a bow. Yeah, absolutely, 0:02:04.560 --> 0:02:07.120 all right, now now we can move on. Guess now, 0:02:07.160 --> 0:02:09.080 I want to point out now some guys are emailing me. 0:02:09.120 --> 0:02:11.480 I One guy said he's gonna bet every one of 0:02:11.520 --> 0:02:13.760 these games against the spread because I had such a 0:02:13.800 --> 0:02:15.760 good week. That is a that's not a I do 0:02:15.880 --> 0:02:19.320 not recommend that. I appreciate your confidence in me, but 0:02:19.480 --> 0:02:23.040 I know from past experiences, not that I'm paranoid, but 0:02:23.280 --> 0:02:25.560 I have had weeks like this from time to time, 0:02:25.600 --> 0:02:29.080 and then like a trap door opens up and I 0:02:29.120 --> 0:02:31.800 go down into a pit of flames. So I'm warning 0:02:31.840 --> 0:02:34.720 you that the law of averages would say I'm gonna 0:02:34.720 --> 0:02:36.200 go back and not be that good this week, but 0:02:36.240 --> 0:02:38.680 I am optimistic that I have finally figured out how 0:02:38.720 --> 0:02:41.400 to handicap NFL games and this will be how it 0:02:41.440 --> 0:02:43.440 goes all year and I will set a new record 0:02:43.520 --> 0:02:45.960 for picking games against the spread. So that's my that's my. 0:02:46.240 --> 0:02:48.680 What's the closest you've ever gotten to running the table? 0:02:51.160 --> 0:02:54.560 I think I lost two games one weekend, so I 0:02:54.600 --> 0:02:58.400 went fourteen and two. Uh, this was close, though, This 0:02:58.520 --> 0:03:01.120 thirteen and three is close to the the goodest, the 0:03:01.160 --> 0:03:04.000 greatest weeken I've ever had. Um, But I mean, you're 0:03:04.000 --> 0:03:06.359 not gonna go sixteen for sixteen. I just think that's 0:03:06.440 --> 0:03:10.240 un unrealistic. And then most of the year the starting 0:03:10.240 --> 0:03:12.280 the bye weeks start. I think what week four, week 0:03:12.360 --> 0:03:14.320 five to buy start in the NFL, so there won't 0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:17.799 be sixteen games every weekend. But anyway, al right, let's 0:03:17.800 --> 0:03:21.400 get to it. First game up here, Indianapolis at Tennessee, 0:03:22.200 --> 0:03:25.240 a couple of oh and one teams. It actually will 0:03:25.280 --> 0:03:27.160 Tennessee's wont and all they beat Cleveland. Excuse me? What 0:03:27.360 --> 0:03:31.519 Tennessee and Indianapolis. The game's on CBS. Spiroudidas and Adam 0:03:31.680 --> 0:03:34.880 arch Aletta are gonna be broadcasting this game. The Titans 0:03:34.920 --> 0:03:37.440 opened up a five and a half point favorite. They 0:03:37.440 --> 0:03:40.120 are favored by three, so it's essentially an even matchup. 0:03:40.440 --> 0:03:43.160 You get three points as the home team. Uh, Titans 0:03:43.160 --> 0:03:46.280 played great, pulled away late from Cleveland. I am gonna 0:03:46.320 --> 0:03:49.120 take Tennessee. That's my pick. I'll take a why all right? 0:03:49.240 --> 0:03:52.160 The Titans obviously could not have asked for a better 0:03:52.200 --> 0:03:54.920 opening act. They went turbotime in the fourth quarter, close game. 0:03:54.960 --> 0:03:58.560 The defense is wonderfully got a nasty ball hawking defense 0:03:59.040 --> 0:04:02.880 in Tennessee. How about Cameron Wake who played like King 0:04:03.000 --> 0:04:06.040 Kong uh for the Titans the old Miami Dolphin at 0:04:06.080 --> 0:04:09.040 two and a half sacks, I had one that that 0:04:09.240 --> 0:04:13.600 resulted in a safety against that woe begone Cleveland Brown's team. 0:04:13.680 --> 0:04:15.520 And the way I look at the Titsana, I'm not 0:04:15.640 --> 0:04:19.279 on the Marcus Mariota bandwagon, but you can cover for 0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:22.600 the shortcomings of Marcus Mariota with the power running game. 0:04:22.600 --> 0:04:25.599 They've got the power running game there. Uh and the defense. 0:04:25.640 --> 0:04:28.360 I mean that's that's a good formula there. Uh. Now 0:04:28.480 --> 0:04:30.960 that the concern is that everyone's been kissing the Titans 0:04:30.960 --> 0:04:33.360 ask saying how good they looked and all that. Uh, 0:04:33.480 --> 0:04:36.480 does that? Does that mean they come back to earth 0:04:36.520 --> 0:04:39.440 here this week and regrets to the mean? Secondly, Indian 0:04:39.480 --> 0:04:41.760 happens now. I will give Jacobe Brissette credit. I did 0:04:41.760 --> 0:04:43.600 not expect him to play well. He did play very 0:04:43.640 --> 0:04:48.039 well against the Chargers last week. I don't believe he'll 0:04:48.080 --> 0:04:52.160 do it again. I doubt that Marlon Mack a good 0:04:52.240 --> 0:04:54.640 running back for the Colts, but you're talking about a 0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:57.800 an elite Tennessee Titans defense. Mac had a hundred and 0:04:57.839 --> 0:05:01.760 seventy four yards last week. Uh in the game against 0:05:01.760 --> 0:05:04.160 the Charges. But this is gonna be a close game. 0:05:04.160 --> 0:05:08.240 It's the divisional game. It's only three points here, and 0:05:08.320 --> 0:05:12.360 I would I would suspect that the Tennessee Titans will 0:05:12.440 --> 0:05:15.520 will be able to score against the Colts defense. The 0:05:15.600 --> 0:05:17.640 Charges were able to to move the ball in a 0:05:17.640 --> 0:05:20.200 pretty good clip there, So I believe Tennessee will pull 0:05:20.240 --> 0:05:24.039 away and it will be the Titans thirty three and 0:05:24.200 --> 0:05:30.760 the Colts twenty four. Will be your fun. Penny likes 0:05:30.800 --> 0:05:33.400 the times as well. Be sure to catch live editions 0:05:33.400 --> 0:05:36.040 of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern 0:05:36.120 --> 0:05:39.680 eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio. And the I 0:05:39.800 --> 0:05:42.320 Heart Radio app. All right. Next up, it's Many versus 0:05:42.360 --> 0:05:45.320 the Penny of the l A Chargers of Carson, California, 0:05:45.360 --> 0:05:47.720 who beat the Colts last week, take on the Lions, 0:05:47.800 --> 0:05:51.040 who are O O and one boy. I hate that 0:05:51.160 --> 0:05:54.800 tie thing. It's on CBS. Kevin Harland, Rich Gannon have 0:05:54.880 --> 0:05:57.479 the call here of this game. The Chargers opened a 0:05:57.640 --> 0:06:00.880 two and a half point favorite. The line he stayed flat. 0:06:01.320 --> 0:06:03.600 The pick is in and the pick I'm gonna take 0:06:03.600 --> 0:06:05.440 the Charges. I'm gonna take a road favorite. Try to 0:06:05.480 --> 0:06:07.400 avoid that, but I'm gonna take the Charges in the spot. 0:06:07.600 --> 0:06:09.400 Charges had to work over time. We just talked about 0:06:09.440 --> 0:06:13.800 that Colts game last week. Now Detroit is a downgrade 0:06:13.800 --> 0:06:16.159 in terms of opponent. The only thing that scares me 0:06:16.200 --> 0:06:18.679 about taking the Charges here is the dreaded body clock. 0:06:19.360 --> 0:06:22.520 Historically West Coast teams playing that early ten am kickoff 0:06:22.520 --> 0:06:25.359 in the Eastern time zone. It messes up your bio 0:06:25.440 --> 0:06:28.880 rhythms and all that. This game being played in Detroit. 0:06:29.120 --> 0:06:31.520 But the Charges of the better team. They've been a 0:06:31.600 --> 0:06:35.479 really good road team this era of Charger football under 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:38.120 Anthony Lynn. They've traveled well pretty much every game they 0:06:38.120 --> 0:06:39.880 plays on the road. Because they have no fan base 0:06:40.560 --> 0:06:42.680 at the stadium in Cars, a very small fan base. 0:06:42.760 --> 0:06:45.080 So uh so for them, they're they're used to it, 0:06:45.160 --> 0:06:49.000 and they're they're pretty strong fundamentally, pretty strong fundamentally, So 0:06:49.040 --> 0:06:50.880 I liked them in that regard. And the secondly, it's 0:06:50.920 --> 0:06:53.200 more a bet against the Lions than anything. The Lions 0:06:53.240 --> 0:06:54.960 got off to a pretty good start in the game 0:06:55.000 --> 0:06:58.120 against Arizona that they ended up tying. They played very 0:06:58.200 --> 0:07:01.120 raggedy football on the fourth quarter. Obviously, they were careless, 0:07:01.440 --> 0:07:04.520 they were seemingly incapable of just closing the door. There 0:07:04.560 --> 0:07:07.000 was a phantom time out that was called that would 0:07:07.040 --> 0:07:09.040 have sealed the game for the Lions, but the coach 0:07:09.080 --> 0:07:10.360 called the time out. They would have got a first 0:07:10.360 --> 0:07:13.960 down to seal the game. But but I, as I suspected, 0:07:14.000 --> 0:07:17.640 Matthew Stafford on the road, uh not good. I like 0:07:17.800 --> 0:07:19.760 him better at home. I think he'll be better here 0:07:19.800 --> 0:07:22.000 in this game. But the Chargers are just more talented, 0:07:22.040 --> 0:07:24.120 and you'd like to go with the more talented team. 0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:27.320 It's not even a field goal points bread and so 0:07:27.320 --> 0:07:29.480 I'm gonna take the team that should still be in 0:07:29.480 --> 0:07:33.480 San Diego, the l A Chargers. Chargers twenty eight Lions twenty. 0:07:33.560 --> 0:07:39.400 Your final bounce back week for Detroit. Penny is going 0:07:39.440 --> 0:07:43.800 with the Lions. Uh No, Lions will be oh and 0:07:43.880 --> 0:07:47.240 two on their way to a solid five and eleven season. 0:07:47.280 --> 0:07:51.920 Technically they'll be oh one and one. If you think that, well, well, 0:07:52.080 --> 0:07:55.080 I consider a tie a loss. I know some people don't, 0:07:55.120 --> 0:07:57.000 but I consider a tie a loss. That's how I 0:07:57.040 --> 0:07:59.880 lived my life. You like ties, you like participation, trop 0:08:00.040 --> 0:08:02.680 he's gascon. I know you're into all that stuff, but 0:08:02.720 --> 0:08:04.920 I am not. I am not part of it. All right, 0:08:05.000 --> 0:08:07.880 time for our first quiz on Benny versus the penny, 0:08:07.920 --> 0:08:12.880 and here it is. Bills running back Devin Singletary average 0:08:12.960 --> 0:08:16.200 seventeen point five yards per Russia attempt in his NFL 0:08:16.280 --> 0:08:20.400 debut last week, the second highest average by any player 0:08:20.400 --> 0:08:23.760 in his first career game since the merger, with a 0:08:23.800 --> 0:08:28.120 minimum of at least four carries behind blank. Okay, so, 0:08:28.200 --> 0:08:31.440 Devin Singletary running back for Buffalo average seventeen and a 0:08:31.520 --> 0:08:35.760 half yards per Russia attempt in his NFL debut, second 0:08:35.840 --> 0:08:38.320 highest average by any player in his first career games 0:08:38.360 --> 0:08:42.640 since the merger. Again the criteria minimum four starts of 0:08:42.720 --> 0:08:47.640 four carries behind Blank. The answer coming up shortly. Now. 0:08:47.679 --> 0:08:49.559 You can't send the answer in on Twitter because you 0:08:49.600 --> 0:08:51.800 know it's a podcast, but you can you can know 0:08:51.840 --> 0:08:53.199 whether you got it right or not, so have the 0:08:53.240 --> 0:08:54.520 answer in your head. I'll give you the answer in 0:08:54.520 --> 0:08:57.600 a second. Next up, speaking of the Bills, Buffalo and 0:08:57.640 --> 0:09:01.520 the Giants, It's on cb ask the Bills one and 0:09:01.679 --> 0:09:04.600 oh the New York Giants, oh and one. Greg Gubble 0:09:04.679 --> 0:09:07.480 and Trent Green have the call on this on television. 0:09:07.520 --> 0:09:10.920 The the Bills opened a two and a half point favorite. 0:09:10.920 --> 0:09:13.240 The line I have in front of me here at 0:09:13.280 --> 0:09:15.320 the current line as we're doing this in real time 0:09:15.440 --> 0:09:19.760 is one and a half. So Buffalo Road favorite by 0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:22.480 one and a half. I'm I'm gonna go out here 0:09:22.520 --> 0:09:24.640 and go somewhere I don't normally go. I'm gonna take 0:09:24.640 --> 0:09:26.680 the Buffalo Bills is a small road favorite. I didn't 0:09:26.720 --> 0:09:28.240 think I would ever take the Buffalo Bills as a 0:09:28.240 --> 0:09:31.280 small road favorite. But I like the moxie the Bills 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:34.240 play with defensively, and it's like they've almost relocated to 0:09:34.280 --> 0:09:36.720 New Jersey. Here they're the only team in New York 0:09:36.800 --> 0:09:39.199 and in Buffalo. All the other teams in New York 0:09:39.240 --> 0:09:41.439 who claimed to be from New York, playing over in 0:09:41.480 --> 0:09:43.559 New Jersey, but just across the river there. But the 0:09:43.800 --> 0:09:46.520 Bills played the Jets last weekend. They are back at 0:09:46.559 --> 0:09:50.360 MetLife Stadium this week against the Giants. Equally bad team 0:09:50.400 --> 0:09:54.319 Giants actually worse than the Jets. Uh. Josh Allen continues 0:09:54.360 --> 0:09:58.800 to be a disorganized mess for large chunks of the game. 0:09:58.880 --> 0:10:04.760 He looks bewildered, discombobulated. Uh. And then there's some kind 0:10:04.760 --> 0:10:07.320 of spell that goes over him. And he's been doing 0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:10.640 this sporadically where he he then turns into like the 0:10:10.800 --> 0:10:14.600 Jim Kelly circa of the early nineties Buffalo Bills, that 0:10:14.679 --> 0:10:18.000 vintage of the business. Very bizarre Josh Allen. Just to 0:10:18.040 --> 0:10:20.800 prove my point, my evidence here, Josh Allen had a 0:10:20.960 --> 0:10:25.280 forty four passer rating, no touchdowns, and two interceptions over 0:10:25.320 --> 0:10:28.240 the first three quarters last week against the Jets. He 0:10:28.400 --> 0:10:32.240 was Kyler Murray bad. All right, that's how bad. That's bad. 0:10:32.440 --> 0:10:35.840 That is bad. And then Josh Allen, the Bill's quarterback, 0:10:35.880 --> 0:10:38.959 went turbotime. Had a hundred and forty two point five 0:10:39.000 --> 0:10:41.240 passer rating. He was eight of ten a hundred and 0:10:41.280 --> 0:10:45.520 two yards in the fourth quarter of the game. For 0:10:45.720 --> 0:10:48.280 the for for Buffalo. It's insane how you could be 0:10:48.360 --> 0:10:50.840 that bad for the Bulk. And Allen does this all 0:10:50.880 --> 0:10:53.400 the time. I Murray played well late in the game, 0:10:53.480 --> 0:10:55.920 but for three quarters he was horrible and the Cardinals 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:58.160 should have lost that That game is a shame they tie, 0:10:58.160 --> 0:11:00.760 which I consider loss anyway. Uh, how about this fun 0:11:00.840 --> 0:11:03.360 fact Josh Allen has thrown for two hundred plus yards 0:11:03.440 --> 0:11:05.880 in each of his last six games. How bad have 0:11:05.960 --> 0:11:09.800 the Buffalo quarterbacks been. The last Bills quarterback to throw 0:11:09.840 --> 0:11:12.880 for two hundred plus yards in seven straight games was 0:11:14.000 --> 0:11:18.640 Jim Kelly. I just mentioned Jim. Jim Kelly was the 0:11:18.720 --> 0:11:22.000 last one. You know how old Jim Kelly is right now? 0:11:22.440 --> 0:11:26.080 He's he's fifty nine, all right. He hadn't played in 0:11:26.080 --> 0:11:30.080 a long time. Uh. In fact, Jim Kelly last played 0:11:30.240 --> 0:11:38.559 in NFL game back in and still had that. It's 0:11:38.559 --> 0:11:42.439 not three hundred yards, its two hundred yards. That is football, 0:11:42.480 --> 0:11:45.640 and competence is what that is. Now. The second part 0:11:45.640 --> 0:11:47.840 of this is we handicapped this game. The Giants. They 0:11:48.080 --> 0:11:50.800 committed their own football malpractice in dollars. They played careless, 0:11:50.800 --> 0:11:55.040 sloppy football, especially on defense. They turned Dakota Prescott into 0:11:55.120 --> 0:11:58.559 Drew Brees. You figured things should get easier because that 0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:01.800 Josh Allen's spurred attic with his play here. But when 0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:06.800 you are undisciplined and generally untalented, that typically turns every 0:12:06.840 --> 0:12:10.320 quarterback into a legend. So this is this is an 0:12:10.360 --> 0:12:12.719 even matchup in terms of offense. I don't think I 0:12:13.120 --> 0:12:15.560 don't think the Giants offense is any worse than the 0:12:15.559 --> 0:12:18.600 Bills offense. But the key advantage here, the trump card 0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:22.040 is the Buffalo Bills defense. As we always say, defense 0:12:22.080 --> 0:12:26.240 travels well. Love the Bills defensively, So I'm gonna put 0:12:26.360 --> 0:12:30.040 my money, even as a small road favorite. I'm gonna 0:12:30.080 --> 0:12:39.600 take the Buffalo Bills Buffalo nineteen the Giants sixteen Danger Danger. 0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:41.480 Penny is going with the home team again in New 0:12:41.559 --> 0:12:44.160 York Giants. Alright, tire, you going with the home team. 0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:46.520 That's when you've been on bad teams, bad things happen. 0:12:46.720 --> 0:12:49.960 That's generally how that works, So good luck. Be sure 0:12:50.000 --> 0:12:52.720 to catch live editions of The Ben Maller Show weekdays 0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:55.839 at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific. Gotta pay off 0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:58.800 the quiz I mentioned Bills running back Devin Singletary Average 0:12:58.840 --> 0:13:02.160 seventeen and a half yards rush in his NFL debut. 0:13:02.280 --> 0:13:04.800 That's the most of any player in his first career 0:13:04.960 --> 0:13:09.319 game since the merger minimum four starts behind Blank. It's 0:13:09.320 --> 0:13:13.280 actually second highest behind Blank. Do you have an answer, Gascon, 0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:15.360 I'm gonna go with the nobleman here. I'm gonna go 0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:22.240 with a former giant as a Dave Meggett. Dave Meggatt. Uh, 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:24.120 I see what you did there, Dave Meggett kind of 0:13:24.120 --> 0:13:31.000 a scatback. No, the answer is a former Chicago beart 0:13:31.040 --> 0:13:36.719 who had a rather undistinguished NFL career, but he does 0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:42.800 have this bizarre obscure record. Khalil Bell. Remember Khalil Bell? Yes, 0:13:43.440 --> 0:13:45.480 he wasn't very good in the NFL, was he? I 0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:47.440 know he went to u C. L A if I 0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:53.520 remember correctly, A gutty little bruin. Yeah. I think he's 0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:56.880 in wrestling now. Somebody I read somewhere that he's Uh. 0:13:56.960 --> 0:13:58.280 I don't know how this popped up, but he's like 0:13:58.280 --> 0:14:00.440 doing stuff with the w w E or like that. 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:02.960 I think. I don't know, maybe maybe I made that up. 0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:05.000 I don't know. We got it on Fox now so 0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:08.640 we can watch that eventually. Yeah, alright, moving on It's 0:14:08.640 --> 0:14:10.920 Benny versus the Penny. Week two of the NFL got 0:14:10.920 --> 0:14:13.720 a lot of games to get to Arizona, oh oh 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:19.160 and one at Baltimore. One to know, it's on Fox 0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:24.640 someone named Brandon Garden along with Chris Carter and Pete Trigger. 0:14:25.120 --> 0:14:28.040 He's the field reporter will be calling this game. You 0:14:28.120 --> 0:14:31.920 are aware of Brandon Garden? E A U D I N. Yeah, 0:14:31.920 --> 0:14:35.240 he's actually the uh little envious. He's actually the voice 0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:38.360 of Madden Football. Oh is that right? Yeah, you know, 0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:41.160 along with Charles Davis. Yeah, you know. I used to 0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:43.280 work with someone that was a voice over artist on 0:14:43.360 --> 0:14:46.600 Madden Football, the great Tony Bruno. No kidding. Yeah, at 0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:49.520 one period in the early two thousands, I believe it 0:14:49.600 --> 0:14:52.840 was Tony Bruno was They had a sports talk radio 0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:56.920 feature in Madden and Bruno was like on the game 0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:00.320 that it's pretty you're connected to some really good people 0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:02.800 that are high up the food chain. Like, I'm surprised 0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:06.760 you're not. Wow, I mean, this is this is not 0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:08.920 about you, guess it's the fifth Hours about me. Okay, 0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:13.280 let's go all right. Ravens opened a thirteen and a 0:15:13.400 --> 0:15:16.920 point favorite. There down to thirteen. I am going to 0:15:16.960 --> 0:15:19.040 take the Cardinals. I hope I am wrong. I would 0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:21.000 like to lose this game. I would like the Ravens 0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:23.440 to win forty one to nothing. I think that would 0:15:23.440 --> 0:15:26.080 be great. But I as a gambler, the gambler in 0:15:26.160 --> 0:15:28.280 me who has done this for a few years, knows 0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:30.280 that the only way to bet this game is the Cardinals. 0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:33.680 Kyler Murray had the most incomplete passes by a rookie 0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:37.040 in his first NFL start since the a f L 0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:41.680 NFL merger, and now he goes against the team. You 0:15:41.760 --> 0:15:46.000 compare the Ravens defense to the Lions defense, moron, I mean, 0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:49.600 my gut, the Baltimore defense is is an elite defense. 0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:52.600 There are a great defense and all that, and the Lions, Yeah, 0:15:53.400 --> 0:15:55.600 I like some of the players they have on defense, 0:15:55.640 --> 0:16:01.160 but that's not an all time great defensive football teams. 0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:04.680 So you're gonna have to to play much better against 0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:08.880 a ferocious defense in on on the road. At first glance, 0:16:08.960 --> 0:16:11.720 this is a recipe for disaster, and that certainly explains 0:16:11.760 --> 0:16:14.280 the points Bright plus you we'll get to in a minute. Here. 0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:16.560 You also have what happened last week. This has all 0:16:16.600 --> 0:16:20.040 the ingredients to a blowout in favor of Baltimore. But 0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:26.920 I despise betting big favorites. It goes against my gambling pedigree. 0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:30.320 I got burned too many times bett in the chalk, 0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:34.680 choking on the chalk, as they say in the gambling world. Uh, 0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:37.600 so I gotta take Arizona and saying in Baltimore took 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:40.280 advantage of a wounded sea animal. They sliced up the 0:16:40.320 --> 0:16:44.000 Dolphins last week, as we said into sushi. Uh in Miami, 0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:48.040 they played gutless football. So I don't put too much 0:16:48.040 --> 0:16:50.640 stock into Baltimore being so much better than everyone else 0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:53.280 that they're gonna score fifty nine points and Lamar Jackson's 0:16:53.280 --> 0:16:56.160 gonna be better than Tom Brady and all that. Uh, 0:16:56.200 --> 0:16:58.800 that's what the book he wants though, right, But what 0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:02.680 the book he wants, They the oddsmakers use the public 0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:06.879 perception to their advantage. Like they know that Baltimore is 0:17:06.920 --> 0:17:10.080 not you know, they should not be thirteen point favorites 0:17:10.119 --> 0:17:12.320 over areas not a thirteen points separate these teams. But 0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:14.879 they know they know the public will no matter what 0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:16.800 the line is, because Baltimore played so well and the 0:17:16.920 --> 0:17:19.040 end team they're gonna put, people are gonna bet on Baltimore. 0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:22.240 Lamar Jackson had a game to join the book of Legends. 0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:24.359 I would think that that does not happen back to 0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:28.440 back weeks. Even though Arizona is not a great defensive 0:17:28.480 --> 0:17:30.639 team either. They have their own shortcomings here, but at 0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:33.240 least they're gonna be trying something the Miami Dolphins did 0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:36.520 not do. They had no ambition, they were they were 0:17:36.760 --> 0:17:40.240 completely checked out there going through the motions and and 0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:42.120 all those kind of terms that you want to use. 0:17:42.119 --> 0:17:45.959 There was a half asked effort, uh and and just 0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:48.399 no enthusiasm. No. I believe Arizona will start out with 0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:51.280 some enthusiasm, but in the end, in the end, I 0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:54.879 will take the Ravens to win, but the Cardinals to 0:17:54.920 --> 0:18:00.600 win the money Ravens thirty, Cardinals twenty, and I expect 0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:02.920 Kyler Murray to have several more batted passes in a 0:18:02.920 --> 0:18:05.240 bunch of incompleation, Penny will follow you all the way 0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.159 to Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. All right, we 0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:10.320 agree on that. Next up, New England at Miami, another 0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:12.960 big point spread game. Patriots one at Old Dolphins, oh 0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:16.040 and one many sink the Patriots the most impressive team 0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:18.840 in Week one, even more than the Ravens because the 0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:21.680 Ravens didn't play a real opponent. The Patriots just schooled 0:18:21.680 --> 0:18:26.080 the Steelers games on CBS. I An Eagle and Dan 0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:30.280 Fouts have the the call on this. The line. The 0:18:30.320 --> 0:18:32.880 Patriots opened a fourteen and a half point favorite. That's 0:18:32.880 --> 0:18:35.760 a massive line, and now the Patriots are an eighteen 0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:38.840 and a half point favorite. At some places is as 0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:41.920 much as nineteen and a half. The line. I have 0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:44.040 the place that I look at the eighteen and a 0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:48.080 half in favor of the Patriots. So, uh, here's here's 0:18:48.080 --> 0:18:49.600 what I do. I think you know where I'm going 0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:52.800 with this. I'm not proud to do it. I'm I'm 0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:55.880 ashamed to do it, but I gotta do it. I'm 0:18:55.920 --> 0:19:00.680 taking the Miami Dolphins, all right. I'm taking the Dolphins. Now. 0:19:01.600 --> 0:19:04.320 I wouldn't bet this game. The only way I would 0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:05.719 bet the game is the Dolphins. We have to pick 0:19:05.760 --> 0:19:07.000 every game. It's kind of the bit, you know, it's 0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:08.640 kind of the stickle I here, we pick every game, 0:19:08.680 --> 0:19:11.360 So I will take the Dolphins gun to my head. 0:19:11.800 --> 0:19:14.560 First of all, Bill Belichick does not seem like the 0:19:14.600 --> 0:19:16.280 type who's gonna run up the score on one of 0:19:16.320 --> 0:19:18.840 his former gels. That's really what you have to hope for, right. 0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:21.000 You have to hope for it because you gotta work 0:19:21.040 --> 0:19:23.399 to win a game by twenty plus points, which is 0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:25.919 what's essentially gonna happen have to happen. Here on the service, 0:19:25.960 --> 0:19:29.520 it appears that Tom Brady and Antonio Brown, if even plays, 0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:31.160 I don't know at the time we're doing this. He's 0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:33.760 still eligible to play, is not on any list. Maybe 0:19:33.760 --> 0:19:36.320 he will end up on a list by Sunday. But uh, 0:19:36.400 --> 0:19:39.520 you know, you pretty much picked the final score. It's 0:19:39.720 --> 0:19:43.480 child's play for the Patriots. If if they sleepwalk though 0:19:43.520 --> 0:19:48.560 into Miami and don't take the opponents seriously, then we'll 0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:52.400 definitely get a cover from the Dolphins. Uh, it's unthinkable 0:19:52.440 --> 0:19:54.719 to see Ryan Fitzpatrick and friends actually winning the game. 0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:56.280 I don't think that anyway they win the game. So 0:19:56.280 --> 0:19:58.960 if a money line bet, you're just taking invest a lot, 0:19:59.000 --> 0:20:01.520 but you're guaranteed to win outside of Tom Brady breaking 0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:04.879 his ankle on the border. But they can keep it 0:20:05.040 --> 0:20:09.399 close if they try, right. If if that's the goal, 0:20:09.600 --> 0:20:12.480 that's the aspiration, if they desire that and they put 0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:16.760 some work in, you're going to to be competitive. You're 0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:20.320 gonna lose by back to back weeks. Also, I saw 0:20:20.359 --> 0:20:24.440 this interesting stat. Now, Brian Flores the coach in Miami, 0:20:24.600 --> 0:20:28.640 he will be the ninth former assistant coach under Bill Belichick, 0:20:28.680 --> 0:20:31.919 and then face Belichick is an NFL head coach. You 0:20:31.960 --> 0:20:35.240 know what the other eight opponents have? What their record 0:20:35.320 --> 0:20:37.520 is against Belichick? What do you think it is? Gascon 0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:42.159 winning percentage? Uh? Eight total games? So yeah, you know, 0:20:42.240 --> 0:20:44.240 winning percentage or whatever you want. But I just total 0:20:44.280 --> 0:20:46.760 wins versus losses out of eight, I'm gonna go one 0:20:46.800 --> 0:20:52.240 and seven. No, surprisingly, I was surprised. I was blown 0:20:52.240 --> 0:20:54.600 away by this. The other eight coaches that used to 0:20:54.640 --> 0:20:57.480 work for Belichick having a four and four record in 0:20:57.520 --> 0:21:01.359 their first meeting, and in all the meetings combined, there's 0:21:01.400 --> 0:21:04.920 been twenty one matchups where former Belichick coaches, the disciples 0:21:04.920 --> 0:21:08.880 of Belichick have gone against him, and ten and eleven 0:21:08.880 --> 0:21:13.719 they're like close to five. I was was there, very 0:21:13.760 --> 0:21:18.520 surprised by that. But here's another ridiculous stat about Tom 0:21:18.600 --> 0:21:21.520 Brady and the Patriots in Miami. They've lost some games 0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:26.000 there since Tom Brady has as many regular season losses 0:21:26.080 --> 0:21:31.320 in Miami has as he does in Foxboro. Is that 0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:36.159 not insane. They played one game a year there, alright. Anyway, 0:21:36.400 --> 0:21:38.800 the other thing on this game, if the Dolphins attempt 0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:41.920 to compete, as I said, uh, this will be easy, 0:21:42.000 --> 0:21:44.840 you'll feel very good about that. But from a handicapping standpoint, 0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:47.720 no travel you can bind that with. You would think 0:21:47.760 --> 0:21:51.160