1 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 1: Good morning, guys. 2 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Friday morning episode of 3 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 2: The Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault. You guys 4 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 2: can follow me across all of my socials at Sports 5 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 2: Talk Matt and oh and one. Yesterday, the Braves win, 6 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 2: but when you bet run line, you gotta win by 7 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 2: a run and a half. 8 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 1: That did not happen. 9 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 2: The Braves win, but the Braves do not win on 10 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 2: the run line, so we get tripped up there. It 11 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 2: was minus two fifty. It was too juicy to bet 12 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:43,840 Speaker 2: it on the money line, but that was the right play. 13 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 2: The run line was not favorite book trap right there 14 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 2: on that bet, so we lose there. So it's been 15 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 2: We're down a little bit on a week, nothing too serious. 16 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 2: If we have a winning Friday, Saturday, Sunday, we'll have 17 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 2: a winning week. 18 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: So we're right there. 19 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 2: We just got to have a good Friday, Saturday and 20 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 2: Sunday here and hopefully today we got three bets, actually 21 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 2: four bets in totality, three sides or two sides one 22 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 2: total and one prop to give you guys coming up 23 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 2: here for today. But first a confirmation for what I 24 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 2: tea is Yesterday, The Daily Juice Podcast will for the 25 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 2: first time on Thursday at one pm Eastern Time, give 26 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 2: you a live episode of the podcast. So on Thursday morning, 27 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 2: when you go looking for the podcast, it's not going 28 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 2: to be there. Okay, less than a week from now, 29 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:36,680 Speaker 2: Mike Mayor and I are going to host a live 30 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 2: version of The Daily Juice to unveil and show you 31 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 2: our new home run Prop tool. It has been built 32 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 2: for the last couple of months. It has been very profitable. 33 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: Mike has shown me the numbers. It's quite impressive. So 34 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 2: we're gonna build a Daily Juice betting card for home 35 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 2: run props on Thursday. A little bit of a twist 36 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 2: in turn here, it's also my daughter's birthday, so hopefully 37 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 2: that's a good omen for us. But it's going to 38 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 2: be a one pm Thursday Eastern Time, one pm Eastern 39 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 2: Time live version of The Daily Juice on the Betting 40 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:23,359 Speaker 2: Pros YouTube channel. Okay, so just perfectly clear here Thursday 41 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 2: Discord channel. People remind everybody Thursday, no morning podcast, live 42 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,919 Speaker 2: afternoon podcast. Hopefully you guys can come over and watch 43 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 2: as Mayo and I go through the entire card and 44 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:41,920 Speaker 2: build a betting card for the Daily Juice of just 45 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 2: home run props using our new home run prediction tool. 46 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 2: So looking forward to that coming up on Thursday. Let's 47 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 2: get to the plays for today. So yesterday we only 48 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 2: bet one game. We were down one point two units, 49 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:56,919 Speaker 2: but we didn't get We didn't put a lot into 50 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 2: the market. So we can be a little bit on 51 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 2: the aggressive side here from a juice perspective. And we're 52 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 2: going to look to the LA Dodgers because the Dodgers 53 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 2: are taking on the New York Mets, and I think 54 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 2: it's an opportunity to jump in here on the Dodgers 55 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 2: on a price that isn't that expensive. Now the Dodgers 56 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 2: are a thirty four and nineteen team on the road. 57 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 2: The Mets are twenty one in twenty eight at home. 58 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 2: Sazaki is going for the LA Dodgers. Now, he's not 59 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 2: been great, but he has won his last three of 60 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 2: the team. Has won his last three starts two to 61 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 2: one against the Yankees on the road, four to three 62 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 2: against the Rockies at home, in twelve to seven against 63 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 2: the Padres. The problem is is that Sazaki has given 64 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 2: up ten nine earned runs ten runs in fourteen and 65 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 2: two thirds innings in the month of July. That's in 66 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 2: the ray of five point five to two. So while 67 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 2: the team is giving him great run support, he's not 68 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 2: pitching great right now for the Dodgers, but he's up 69 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 2: Agains Shaan ma and Ayah, who is a lefty. The 70 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 2: Dodgers tend to hit lefties pretty well well. He's going 71 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 2: to go four or five or six innings here for 72 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 2: the New York Mets, and he has given up nine 73 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 2: earned runs in sixteen and two third innings worth of 74 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 2: work in July. He has a four point eight six 75 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 2: ERA during the month of July. He's sort of a 76 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 2: spot starter out of the bullpen type of guy. He 77 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 2: gets the start here today at home is ERA is 78 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 2: four point eight two with a one in one mark, 79 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 2: posting a batting average of two sixty five twenty earned 80 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 2: runs in thirty seven and a third innings worth of 81 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 2: work at home. So I think it's a short price. 82 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 2: It's a cheap price. You can take the Dodgers at 83 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 2: one fifty. We don't get it very oftening. It's a 84 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:38,800 Speaker 2: bad team in the Mets, a good team in the Dodgers. 85 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 2: Let's take the La Dodgers on the money line at 86 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 2: minus one fifty. 87 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:46,599 Speaker 1: Let's go Brewers and the Rockies. 88 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 2: The Brewers at home against the Colorado Rockies, and Colorado 89 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:56,719 Speaker 2: is throwing Tamayuki Saguno. Now, this guy is nine to 90 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 2: four with a four point sixty seven ERA overall, but 91 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 2: on the road he has a five point three to 92 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 2: two ERA three and two mark on appuaching betting average 93 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 2: two sixty nine, giving up twenty eight earned runs and 94 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,719 Speaker 2: eleven home runs on the road in forty seven and 95 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 2: a third innings worth of work. The team has the 96 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 2: one five of the last six starts by Seguno. So 97 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:20,280 Speaker 2: you want to take the Rockies to win the game today, 98 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 2: I don't hate it, but again it's against the Brewers, 99 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:27,239 Speaker 2: who are pretty hot at the moment. The Brewers coming 100 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:29,479 Speaker 2: off of right now on our run in which they 101 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:32,479 Speaker 2: have won five of the last six games. They took 102 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:34,840 Speaker 2: two or three for the Mets, they swept the Marlins, 103 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:38,239 Speaker 2: and as this road trip continues, the Rockies are seventeen 104 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,599 Speaker 2: and thirty four on the road. The Brewers are thirty 105 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 2: four in nineteen at home, and they're huge favorites. Shane 106 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 2: Drohan going minus two forty five minus two fifty favorites 107 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 2: here for the Brewers. 108 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: So it's a really expensive price. 109 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:55,160 Speaker 2: Milwaukee has won all three games so far between these 110 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 2: two teams nine to seven, seven to one, twelve. Four 111 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 2: those games are in Colorado. But I think the all 112 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 2: offensive situation stays here. I think we're gonna wind up 113 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 2: getting ourselves an offensive game. I'm gonna go ahead and 114 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 2: play the over here between these two teams and keep 115 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 2: the offense rolling for Milwaukee, keep the offense rolling for 116 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 2: the the for the Rockies with sort of suspect pitching. 117 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go and play the over eight and a 118 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 2: half for the Brewers and the Rockies at eight and 119 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:30,279 Speaker 2: a half for point for one point two units. Now, 120 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 2: I want to stay with this game. From a player 121 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 2: prop perspective, Jake Bauers, who has been cold. 122 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 1: This guy's been one of. 123 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 2: The best hitters for the Brewers, but he's been cold. 124 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:43,520 Speaker 1: This is a chance to snap out of it. Why. 125 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 1: Because Saguno gets killed by lefties. 126 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 2: He has given up seventeen doubles, twelve home runs, posing 127 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 2: batting average of two seventy eight, slugging a five eighty three, 128 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 2: and on an ops of nine to twenty. All of 129 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 2: those are way higher than against right handed pitchers. This 130 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:05,719 Speaker 2: is a right handed pitcher up against left handed batters, 131 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 2: and Bauer is a left handed Bauer a batter. The 132 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 2: prop bet cheat sheets predicting this at two point two 133 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 2: total basis, it's point five half a base he gets 134 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 2: a hit or good. Okay, all he need is a single, 135 00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 2: double triple and just get on base. Not with a walk, 136 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 2: but get a single and you're good. It's a five 137 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 2: star play according to prop bit cheat sheet, but it's 138 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 2: being projected over. You can play plus money at one 139 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:29,560 Speaker 2: and a half. If you like two hits for Bowers, 140 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 2: you could get a double for Bowers, home run for Bowers. 141 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 2: You could get yourself plus money on this. But because 142 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 2: I've been cold in July, I'll lay the juice and 143 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 2: just take one hit versus taking a bunch of hits. 144 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 2: He did get a hit two days ago against the Mets, 145 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 2: so he's gotten. But he has been pretty cold. He 146 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 2: has missed on this, getting on base in five of 147 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 2: the last six games, so but he's been before that. 148 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 2: He was red hot here. He's got eighteen home runs. 149 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 2: It's been a great power hitter for this offense. Let's 150 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 2: against a guy who gets racked by lefties. Let's get 151 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 2: Jake Bauers to get a hit here, who you know 152 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 2: was red hot. But let's get him going here as 153 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 2: he's you know, we'll see where he plays today, first base, 154 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 2: right field, he plays them both. But I like Jake 155 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 2: Bauers to come in and give us a single. Just 156 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 2: get a hit over a half total basis and minus 157 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 2: one forty eight for Jake Bauers for one point four 158 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 2: to eight units. The Daily Juice podcast is being brought 159 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 2: to you by our friends at hard Rock Bet. 160 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 1: Now. 161 00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 2: Hard Rock Bet is the only legal sportsbook in the 162 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 2: state of Florida, but they are in multiple other jurisdictions 163 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 2: and they are growing all the time. Everyone is counting 164 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 2: down to football, right everyone's going, okay, here we go 165 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 2: with football. Well what about baseball going on? Right now? 166 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 2: We're playing baseball. You can play baseball as well. 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Download 180 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 2: the hard Rock Bet and Bet app and swing for 181 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:39,520 Speaker 2: the fences coming up here for today, Let's continue with 182 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:42,200 Speaker 2: baseball for the hard Rock Bet Play of the day, 183 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:44,960 Speaker 2: and let's talk about the White Sox because the White 184 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 2: Sox are facing one of our favorite fades and Spencer Erngetty, 185 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 2: the Astros pitcher, has now lost or the team has 186 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 2: lost six consecutive games started by Spencer Arengetty. 187 00:09:58,000 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: It's not always his fault. 188 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 2: He I went five innings give up one earned run 189 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:04,080 Speaker 2: last time out against the Blue against the Orioles, but 190 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 2: the team lost four to two. Time before that, out 191 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 2: on the road, he gave up eight earned runs in 192 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 2: four innings to the Washington Nationals. Bey Rays beat him 193 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:15,400 Speaker 2: three to one. Again not his fault. He went six 194 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 2: innings gave up one earned run, but the start before 195 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 2: that against the Tigers, he went three innings and gave 196 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 2: up eight earned run, so eight earned one earned, eight 197 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 2: earned one earned. This would be, if we're going by 198 00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 2: the pattern, an eight earn run day for Spencer Arangetty 199 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 2: and the Astros are on the road against the White Sox, 200 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 2: who are thirty one and seventeen at home, and the 201 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 2: Astros are twenty four and twenty seven on the road. 202 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 2: Davis Martin goes on the other side, nine to five 203 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 2: with a three point three to one er. The White 204 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:48,320 Speaker 2: Sox have lost three straight starts in five of the 205 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 2: last six starts for Davis Martin, so it's not like 206 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,320 Speaker 2: this guy's been outstanding. But at home he's five and 207 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:57,440 Speaker 2: one with a one point eight ERA opposing batting average 208 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,840 Speaker 2: of two twenty and just nine earned runs in forty 209 00:10:59,880 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 2: f five innings worth of work. We are going hard 210 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 2: rock bet of the day for the White Sox on 211 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 2: the money line at minus one twenty nine up against 212 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 2: the Astros for one point two nine units. 213 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:12,680 Speaker 1: So plays for today. 214 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 2: White Sox on the money line at minus one twenty nine. 215 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 2: Dodgers on the money line at mius one fifty Brewers, 216 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,839 Speaker 2: Rockies going over eight and a half at minus one 217 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 2: twenty and Jake Bauers to have over a half of 218 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 2: total bases. Just gonna hit singles all we need at 219 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:31,719 Speaker 2: Jake Bauers today and in the excess extras gravy at 220 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:35,920 Speaker 2: MIUS one forty eight for one point four eight units. 221 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:38,360 Speaker 2: Coming up today, I'm Pushing the Odds at eleven am 222 00:11:38,400 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 2: Eastern Time. I'm gonna give you guys three NFL player 223 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 2: props season long player props that I like for the 224 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 2: upcoming NFL season. We've not talked much about betting on 225 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 2: NFL season long. We're gonna start doing that today on 226 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 2: Pushing the Odds. You can find the show on YouTube 227 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,599 Speaker 2: by searching Opening Line Media or by going in and 228 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 2: searching Pushing the Odds. Audio podcasts will be airing as 229 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:01,960 Speaker 2: soon as after the show is over on x at 230 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 2: Pushing the Odds as well. 231 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. 232 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:06,199 Speaker 2: You guys and follow me across all my socials at 233 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 2: Sports Doc Matt every morning. Wherever you guys get your podcasts, 234 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:22,239 Speaker 2: it is the Daily Juice