1 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,480 Speaker 1: On this episode of News World, I want to share 2 00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: with you some thinking I've been doing about the road 3 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: forward politically, what we should learn out of twenty twenty two, 4 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: and in some ways I began that process on November thirtieth, 5 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: when I wrote a column entitled quit Underestimating President Biden, 6 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,480 Speaker 1: in which I said, quote conservatives hostility to the Biden 7 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 1: administration on our terms tends to blind us to just 8 00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: how effective Biden has been on his own terms. Now, 9 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:38,879 Speaker 1: I have to tell you that I got to that 10 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: in part because the more I thought about the outcome, 11 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: the more I thought that, frankly, we got whipped. Now 12 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:46,720 Speaker 1: I'm going to share with you a number of good news. 13 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:50,959 Speaker 1: It's not like this was a disaster, but considering how 14 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 1: bad the economy was, considering how bad the murder rate is, 15 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: considering what a disaster the border is, we should have 16 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 1: done better. And I think it's a portant for us 17 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 1: to really think about it now. Because I said quit 18 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: underestimated President Biden. The column went viral, was picked up 19 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 1: by multiple news outlets, shared on social media, and even 20 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 1: liberal MSNBC's Morning Joe program devoted a roundtable discussion about it, 21 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: during which host and former Republican Congressman Joe Scarborough said, 22 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: Nut got it right. Well, I think I was right 23 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 1: in saying we underestimated Biden, and I hope when you're 24 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 1: done with this podcast you'll decide I'm also right to 25 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: say we need a much deeper look at what went 26 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:40,039 Speaker 1: wrong and to what degree Republicans don't get what's going on. 27 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 1: Part of the reason I really wanted to push this 28 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 1: is we're now talking about having various review committees and 29 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 1: what have you, and I think that there's a terrible 30 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: tendency for Republicans to shape what they want to do 31 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 1: around what they're comfortable with. Jack Kemp used to tell 32 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:11,679 Speaker 1: the story of the drunk who was looking for his 33 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 1: keys under the light and the policeman said, well, where 34 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: did you drop him? He said, Oh, I dropped him 35 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 1: in the alley. But the alley's dark, so I don't 36 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 1: want to go looking in the alley. Well, in some ways, 37 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: the Republicans are only comfortable looking at lessons that make 38 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 1: them feel good, and when you get to lessons that 39 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: are really a disaster and really difficult, I think it's 40 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: a real challenge. And because of the distractions in Washington, 41 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: the trivia the degree to which the news media wants 42 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 1: to cover junk and whatever today's most recent story is 43 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 1: there tends to be kind of a very shallow, surface 44 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: level review. And frankly, some of the problems are really hard. 45 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 1: But I was really struck years ago by a New 46 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: Yorker cartoon in which this guy had three boxes in 47 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: out in two hard. And I think that for a 48 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 1: lot of the things we have to deal with. Most 49 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: Republicans flinch and say, well, that'd be too hard. But 50 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 1: the truth is, if we owe it to the country 51 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 1: to think through how we can truly represent it. And 52 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: the work I've been doing with a number of people, 53 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 1: which you can see at America's New Majority Project dot com, 54 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: is really important because it made me realize and this 55 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:31,400 Speaker 1: is material that's available to anybody. Anybody can go to 56 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: the website. We put all of our polls, all of 57 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: our focus groups, and you be underalized as this huge majority. Culturally, 58 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: for example, it disapproves of big government socialism and it 59 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,840 Speaker 1: favors free market capitalism. It's eighty two percent in favor 60 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 1: of free market capitalism, eighteen percent for big government socialism. 61 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: Most Americans reject lectures by woke people about race, and 62 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 1: in fact, by ninety one to six people agree with 63 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: Reverend Martin Luther King Junior's comment that it is the 64 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 1: content of our character, not the color of our skin. 65 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 1: The cultural majority deeply disapproves the brainwashing young children with 66 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: radical ideas about sex and gender. Seventy two percent three 67 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: out of four opposed teaching school children they can change 68 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 1: their gender. And if you go to America's New Majority 69 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:30,799 Speaker 1: Project dot com, you'll see item after item after item 70 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: where there's clearly a cultural majority. Now, those people should 71 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:39,159 Speaker 1: have been Republican voters in this last election, because there's 72 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:43,599 Speaker 1: virtually no Democrat left who represents the cultural majority. But 73 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: they didn't, and that means that the gap between our 74 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 1: political majority and our cultural majority is enormous. And I 75 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 1: think that, frankly, we have a moral obligation to try 76 00:04:55,640 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: to understand how we can translate the cultural majority into 77 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: a political majority, because that was the heart of what 78 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 1: Lincoln was talking about at Gettysburg when he described government 79 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:10,559 Speaker 1: of the people, by the people, and for the people. 80 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 1: And what we have today, unfortunately, is government of the elites, 81 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 1: by the elites, and for the elites, imposed on the 82 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: American people against their resistance. So I think the Republican 83 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: Party has a moral, patriotic obligation to think through what 84 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 1: has to be done, because that the objective reality is 85 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: that we have not mastered the systems, principles and patterns 86 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 1: that are needed. And until we do that, we're not 87 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:42,039 Speaker 1: going to win the scale of election we need, and 88 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 1: we're not going toitle to govern effectively. And so I'm 89 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: really encouraging the Republican National Committee others to have a 90 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:53,280 Speaker 1: deep review of the Republican failure, to look at things 91 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: that most post election projects ignore, and to look at 92 00:05:56,720 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: facts from which, frankly they hide. And Republicans, I think, 93 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 1: have to look at the real world, not at the 94 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 1: fantasy world that they imagine. So let me give you 95 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 1: some examples. Let's start with real fact finding. You know, 96 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: Chliss and I went election night to Kevin McCarthy's war room, 97 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: and frankly, looking at the results race by race, we 98 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: were disappointed. I was certainly wrong in my projections. And 99 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: yet when you actually began getting the voting numbers, it 100 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: was a totally different story. So we had all this 101 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 1: analysis the first two or three days after the election, 102 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 1: as though Republicans had lost ground, but the fact was, 103 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: with Kevin McCarthy's leadership, House, Republicans got fifty point seven 104 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 1: percent of the votes where the Democrats got forty seven 105 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 1: point seven So the Republicans had a three point advantage. 106 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: That's a six point turnaround from the Democrats fifty point 107 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,599 Speaker 1: eight percent to Republicans forty seven point seven percent in 108 00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 1: twenty twenty. Now nobody was describing, Gee, there's been a 109 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 1: six point improvement for Republicans, because then everybody would have 110 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:05,920 Speaker 1: been sort of happy. And in fact, when you looked 111 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 1: in more detail, Dave Wasserman the Cook Political Report had 112 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: a great line. He said, and I'm quoting Dave. Democrats 113 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 1: fell off a cliff in Florida and New York, where 114 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 1: their House candidates underperformed Biden's twenty twenty margins by an 115 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 1: average of thirteen points, and GOPM many ways also had 116 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: California and Oregon where Democrats are underperformed by seven point 117 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 1: six points. Now, if that had been the headline the 118 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 1: day after the election, people would have said, Wow, the 119 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 1: Democrats have really taken a beating. But in fact, across 120 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 1: the whole country, that wasn't what was happening, and that 121 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 1: wasn't the mood, and so the result was, we really 122 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:48,559 Speaker 1: have to start, and I would challenge any review group 123 00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: start by finding the facts. And that means you've got 124 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 1: to look at the analysis of who voted, when did 125 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: they vote, and you have to do it state by state, 126 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: and you're going to find a get to this a 127 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 1: little while. You're going to find some very interesting numbers 128 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 1: that are sort of shockingly positive for Republican and you'll 129 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 1: find some other numbers that are very sobering if you're 130 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 1: a Republican. But phase one of any kind of review 131 00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: has to be real fact finding, and that means, for example, 132 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: reviewing all the major polls, comparing them with what really 133 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: happened with different groups in different states. Second, I think 134 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: we have to really understand what closing the resource gap 135 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:31,880 Speaker 1: is going to be like. We don't understand the scale 136 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 1: of our resource problem. Analysts usually match Republican fundraising dollars 137 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: against Democratic fundraising dollars. This is a profound mistake which 138 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:43,839 Speaker 1: we've been repeating for decades, maybe as long as I've 139 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 1: been in politics. It deeply understates the scale of the 140 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:52,559 Speaker 1: challenge in reaching voters. The truth is, Democrat resources are 141 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 1: enormous they can't be neatly listed on a spreadsheet. For example, 142 00:08:57,120 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: if Saturday Night Live Savage is herschel walker three days 143 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 1: before the runoff, what is that worth? If Mark Zuckerberg 144 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 1: puts four hundred and nineteen million dollars into turn out 145 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 1: efforts in democratic precincts, how do you record that as 146 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 1: a resource. If the FBI and Twitter block The New 147 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 1: York Posts from reaching millions with its story about Hunter 148 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 1: Biden's laptop just weeks before the election, are they helping 149 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 1: Democrats get elected? If Twitter kicks the incumbent president off 150 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: its platform, is that an inkine gift to the Biden campaign? 151 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 1: If Google routinely blocks Republican fundraising appeals the last four 152 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 1: days of the month every month, how much money are 153 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 1: Republicans losing because they literally can't reach people with their 154 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:46,839 Speaker 1: appeal for money? When the US Department of Housing and 155 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 1: Urban Development organizes voter drives on the President's order, and 156 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: that's in thirty three hundred community organizations, are they serving 157 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 1: Republican and Democrat voters equally? If famously liberal universities actively 158 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 1: punished conservative speech, then run voter registration operations and voter 159 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 1: turnout operations. Who do you think that helps? None of 160 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 1: these efforts show up on traditional Federal Election Commission reports, 161 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 1: and Republicans have to start by mapping the scale of 162 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 1: the left, understanding the totality of the resources, and then 163 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 1: thinking about how are we going to win despite the 164 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 1: imbalance that currently exists. That's a much bigger and much 165 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: more complicated project than just matching Democrat and Republican campaigns. 166 00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 1: As such, Third, we have to learn how to compete 167 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 1: in modern elections. The election calendar has changed, but Republicans 168 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 1: don't seem to understand the new requirements for effective competition. 169 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 1: Voting starts in mid September in some states. Boarding your 170 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 1: advertising money to mid October doesn't work anymore. Early voting 171 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 1: is a fact. Republicans have to learn to maximize it, 172 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 1: and then to focus on non voters more intensely, which 173 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:05,199 Speaker 1: is exactly what Democrats do. We have to shift resources 174 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 1: from late TV buys to early voting efforts, which may 175 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:12,839 Speaker 1: hurt consultants walace, but it may win more elections. Republican 176 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: nominees who come out of tough primaries with no money 177 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:18,560 Speaker 1: and stay off the air for six or seven weeks 178 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 1: while their Democrat opponents in the news media define them 179 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:26,720 Speaker 1: become irrevocably damaged. See Memodoz's campaign in Pennsylvania as an example. 180 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 1: Republicans focus on campaigns, Democrats focus on elections. The difference 181 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 1: is profound, and Republicans have to learn that if the 182 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 1: election that actually matters, not the campaign, I would say, next, 183 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: stop hitting yourself. I was deeply shaped by my earliest experience, 184 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: which was dropping out of college in nineteen sixty four 185 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:55,359 Speaker 1: to run a congressional campaign in North Georgia. Barry Goldwater 186 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:58,840 Speaker 1: for the Conservatives and Nelson Rockefeller for the moderate wing 187 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 1: of the party got into such a bitter fight that 188 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 1: they couldn't get back together. Goldwater, when he got the nomination, 189 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 1: was deeply savaged by the moderates. He only got thirty 190 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 1: eight and a half percent of the vote. We lost 191 00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 1: seats in the House and Senate. In fact, we were 192 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 1: down to one hundred and forty House members and thirty 193 00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:21,559 Speaker 1: two senators after this was over, well, we had a 194 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 1: modest example the same thing this year. Senator McConnell. superPAC 195 00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:30,200 Speaker 1: spent four million dollars against the Republican nominee in New Hampshire. 196 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: That hurt the McConnell. superPAC also publicly pulled out a 197 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 1: Blake Master's race in Arizona in mid October. That hurt, 198 00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 1: it jarred the campaign, It costs momentum, It sent a 199 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 1: signal to a lot of people not to donate to Masters, 200 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 1: just as he was building momentum and closing the gap. 201 00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 1: While Republicans criticized our own candidates quality, the Democrats nominated 202 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 1: a stroke victim who could barely talk in Pennsylvania and 203 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 1: a radical who ultamately lost in Wisconsin. I would argue 204 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: that you attacking your own candidate's quality is not a 205 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 1: very smart strategy if you want to win elections. Now, 206 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:30,400 Speaker 1: we're already seeing some of this danger of the party 207 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 1: splitting and being self destructive occurring with Kevin McCarthy, and 208 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 1: I want to talk briefly about this because it's a current, present, 209 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:43,680 Speaker 1: real problem. The fact is that Kevin McCarthy has worked very, 210 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 1: very hard to create a national majority in the House, 211 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 1: and in fact, I think it's fair to say that, well, 212 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:54,600 Speaker 1: the Senate has lost ground for three consecutive elections, that 213 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:57,960 Speaker 1: the House Republicans gained seats in twenty when everybody thought 214 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,080 Speaker 1: they were going to lose seats. They were supposed to 215 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:03,800 Speaker 1: lose twenty five, they gained fifteen. That's a swing of forty. 216 00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:07,120 Speaker 1: And they gained seats again this year. So Kevin McCarthy's 217 00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:09,959 Speaker 1: led the only national effort which has actually won twice 218 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 1: in a row. And you have a couple of members 219 00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: who are deeply opposed to what McCarthy's doing and who 220 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 1: in fact want to cause trouble. One of them announced 221 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 1: today that he can get five votes for Speaker. Well, 222 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:30,720 Speaker 1: McCarthy's margin at two twenty two is four votes, which, 223 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: by the way, is the same margin Pelosi ran the 224 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 1: House with because Pelosi ran a machine, and she could 225 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:38,720 Speaker 1: win every vote no matter what she did. She could 226 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 1: win every vote because the machine would vote with her. 227 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 1: Republicans are much more individualistic than Democrats, much harder to organize. 228 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 1: But when you look at the people who are talking 229 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: about taking on McCarthy, it is just kind of astonishing. 230 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 1: So let me just give you a couple examples. One 231 00:14:55,560 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 1: of the people who has been the noisiest and criticizing 232 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 1: McCarthy is Bob Good. Now, when Bob Good himself ran, 233 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 1: McCarthy helped him to the tune of three million, two 234 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 1: hundred and forty nine thousand dollars in two elections. By contrast, 235 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 1: the total amount that he donated back to the Congressional 236 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 1: Campaign Committee was ninety six nine hundred dollars. But he's 237 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,920 Speaker 1: not happy with McCarthy. You go through person by personal, 238 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: what you discover is these are members who didn't go 239 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 1: out on their own, didn't help other candidates, didn't campaign, 240 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:37,360 Speaker 1: And by contrast, let me just share with you what 241 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 1: McCarthy did. McCarthy went out and raised all together something 242 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 1: like four hundred and eighty million dollars. He traveled to 243 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 1: forty seven states from the August recess to election day. 244 00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:54,880 Speaker 1: He campaigned with one hundred and seventy members and candidates 245 00:15:54,880 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 1: in forty one states. This year. He was on the 246 00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:01,320 Speaker 1: campaign trail one hundred and seven twenty two out of 247 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 1: three hundred and eleven days. Back in two twenty when 248 00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 1: he was helping win the first round of fifteen seats, 249 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 1: even with the pandemic, he was on the road for 250 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: one hundred and two days. He recruited a wreck in 251 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 1: number of Republican women, minorities, and veterans. We had two 252 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,560 Speaker 1: hundred and ninety eight women campaigning in two twenty two 253 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 1: we'd had two hundred and twenty eight and two thousand 254 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 1: and twenty we had two hundred and forty eight minority candidates. 255 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,200 Speaker 1: In two thousand and twenty two, we'd had one hundred 256 00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:35,280 Speaker 1: and ninety two. In two twenty we had two hundred 257 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 1: and fifty two veterans filed. And I'm going to get 258 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 1: to the examples of the victories, which are really remarkable, 259 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 1: but I just want to lay out this whole notion. 260 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 1: The fact is that McCarthy has earned being speaker, even 261 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 1: with a very narrow margin. He has spent the time 262 00:16:53,040 --> 00:16:55,480 Speaker 1: on the road doing everything he had to to get 263 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 1: it done. And you have five people or six people 264 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 1: essentially trying to blackmail the party who didn't do the work, 265 00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:06,040 Speaker 1: didn't donate the money, didn't campaign around the country. Now 266 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:08,479 Speaker 1: that there's a very small majority, they think they can 267 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:12,520 Speaker 1: blackmail the whole party. This is exactly the attitude which 268 00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: will be a disaster if it goes into twenty three, 269 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:18,119 Speaker 1: And if that's the attitude of which we nominate a 270 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:21,760 Speaker 1: candidate for president, we will have a catastrophe in twenty four. 271 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:26,159 Speaker 1: I simply want to make the point that one of 272 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,359 Speaker 1: the key lessons we need to learn is not to 273 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:31,439 Speaker 1: shoot ourselves. And we've got to be a team, and 274 00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,159 Speaker 1: we've got to be on the same team. And that 275 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:36,399 Speaker 1: means sometimes you support people who aren't one hundred percent you, 276 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:39,399 Speaker 1: But if you don't do that, you guarantee that the 277 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 1: left is going to win. I think the next major 278 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 1: thing we have to do is learn from success. And 279 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,399 Speaker 1: I'm going to get to some of these successes in 280 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,840 Speaker 1: the minute, and they're remarkable, but we need to study 281 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 1: the clear major Republican victories. You look at places like Florida, Ohio, Texas, Iowa. 282 00:17:56,359 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 1: There are plenty of places where Republicans did extraordinary nearly well. 283 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:04,120 Speaker 1: You also look at a comparison of the House Republican campaign, 284 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,439 Speaker 1: which is one seats two elections in a row, and 285 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: the Senate, which has lost seats three elections in a row. 286 00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: What can we learn by just studying our own successes? 287 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 1: And I think a whole serious investigation of what was 288 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 1: working is as important as looking at what didn't work. 289 00:18:21,760 --> 00:18:24,520 Speaker 1: I think we also have to recognize that we have 290 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 1: to get with the times. The impact of university and 291 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:31,560 Speaker 1: college election efforts has to be studied. The scale of 292 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:35,200 Speaker 1: the Republican defeat among the younger generation is a warning 293 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 1: sign that we need profoundly new approaches if we're going 294 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:41,440 Speaker 1: to survive. The fact is gen Z looks at TikTok. 295 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:44,640 Speaker 1: They don't look at Fox News. As long as TikTok 296 00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:47,240 Speaker 1: is legal, we had better learn how to compete in it. 297 00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,880 Speaker 1: At the same time, the depth of younger Americans commitment 298 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 1: to the environment and global warming requires a conservative climate solution. 299 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:59,160 Speaker 1: Debating whether the climate is an issue as a losing proposition. 300 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 1: Offering a modular nuclear power hydrogen production system would be 301 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:08,879 Speaker 1: a conservative answer to carbon loading that would produce energy, 302 00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 1: create jobs, build a stronger economy, and have virtually no 303 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,880 Speaker 1: carbon inititions. We need to fight over the best way 304 00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 1: to solve environmental problems, rather than allowing it to degenerate 305 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 1: into a pro environment versus anti environment model. We know 306 00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 1: which side younger and college educated voters will pick if 307 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:30,880 Speaker 1: it's a pro and anti environment choice. But I think 308 00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:35,600 Speaker 1: offered a better solution with better science and technology producing 309 00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:39,359 Speaker 1: a better economy while also meeting the environmental needs could 310 00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:41,960 Speaker 1: in fact be a winning ticket for having a totally 311 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,439 Speaker 1: new conversation. And if you're willing to have part of 312 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:47,400 Speaker 1: that conversation on TikTok. You might be shocked how many 313 00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,840 Speaker 1: young people you reach. I think we also have to 314 00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:55,000 Speaker 1: recognize that we are up against a system in court 315 00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,240 Speaker 1: of laware Lawfare is a model that came out of 316 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 1: the military and is the idea that you can use 317 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:04,199 Speaker 1: the law to shape the structure of a conflict. The 318 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:08,119 Speaker 1: Democrats understand lawfare. They employ it three hundred and sixty 319 00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:10,879 Speaker 1: five days a year. They are naturally the party of 320 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 1: trial lawyers. They have a deep passion for filing lawsuits. 321 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:19,560 Speaker 1: They use the legal system to attack and delegitimize their opponents. 322 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 1: They understand that the constant, subtle application of legal challenges 323 00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 1: can change the entire election environment, even if they don't 324 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 1: ultimately pass muster in court. Bombarding state legislators and election 325 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 1: officials with legal threats scares them into agreeing to radical 326 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:38,119 Speaker 1: election models that favor Democrats. It's also true for school boards. 327 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 1: This has become a niche legal industry for Democrats. And 328 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:44,920 Speaker 1: in fact, there is a clear effort to drive Republican 329 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: lawyers out of politics and leave the Republicans defenseless against 330 00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:52,200 Speaker 1: these activists legal attacks. And we have to have a 331 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:58,760 Speaker 1: serious commitment to understanding lawfare. Probably the biggest challenge we 332 00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:04,000 Speaker 1: face figuring out how to break identity politics. And by 333 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:07,160 Speaker 1: identity politics, I mean if you look at the performance 334 00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:10,560 Speaker 1: in New York City where the Democratic governor got sixty 335 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:14,040 Speaker 1: nine percent of the vote despite crime, inflation, in the 336 00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:16,520 Speaker 1: general decay of the quality of life, or you look 337 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:19,200 Speaker 1: at Chicago, were no matter how bad things get, to 338 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:24,040 Speaker 1: keep voting Democrat. When you have an identity system, you 339 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 1: don't care about performance. I understand this. In football, I'm 340 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: a Packer fan. This has been a terrible year for 341 00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:32,480 Speaker 1: the Packers. I'm still a Packer fan. I'm not going 342 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:34,240 Speaker 1: to quit. It's been a great year for the Bulldogs. 343 00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 1: I'm still a Bulldog fan. But it's easier this year 344 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 1: to be from the number one team at the University 345 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,200 Speaker 1: of Georgia. But the point is, when you get into 346 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:45,840 Speaker 1: an identity kind of situation, performance doesn't necessarily change you. 347 00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: And we don't have a good model. To the best 348 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:51,159 Speaker 1: of my knowledge, we've never had a serious project of 349 00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 1: figuring out how do you break through on identity politics 350 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,200 Speaker 1: and how do you get messages to people that let 351 00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 1: them actually shift their votes, which would be a huge 352 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:06,360 Speaker 1: step towards turning the massive cultural majority into a political majority. Finally, 353 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:12,760 Speaker 1: I think we have to learn empathy. The Democrats use symbols, fear, victimhood, 354 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 1: and emotions, while Republicans tend to use facts, logic, reason, 355 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 1: and rationality. The entire Democrat campaign and abortion was based 356 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 1: on fear and potential victimization. For over half a century, 357 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 1: the racial politics the left have emphasized fear and emotion. 358 00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:32,000 Speaker 1: The recent consolidation of the sexual politics vote has been 359 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:35,920 Speaker 1: based on fear of repression, elimination of rights, and job discrimination. 360 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:40,760 Speaker 1: Eric Ericson recently warned about the emotional counterattack Democrats may 361 00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:44,720 Speaker 1: make over Hunter Biden. Eric said, quote, tens of millions 362 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 1: of Americans are dealing with the effects of addiction on 363 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 1: their families and those of friends and other loved ones. 364 00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,119 Speaker 1: What is the GP response going to be When the 365 00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,440 Speaker 1: media cast Biden is a sympathetic dad trying to help 366 00:22:56,480 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: his son overcome his battles with addiction, they are going 367 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:04,840 Speaker 1: to do that. Don't misunderstand me. Republicans don't need to 368 00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:08,119 Speaker 1: make cheap emotional appeals, but they need to be ready 369 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 1: for them and ready to counter the symbols and emotion. 370 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:15,679 Speaker 1: When we rely on logic to counter symbols and emotion. 371 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:18,879 Speaker 1: It makes us look cold and heartless. Instead, we have 372 00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:21,960 Speaker 1: to answer with higher ideals, or we have to answer 373 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:26,880 Speaker 1: with positive emotional appeals that are accurate and reasonable. Answering 374 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:30,359 Speaker 1: Ericson's example, Republicans shove a strategy that is bigger than 375 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 1: Hunter Biden, that emphasizes unfair special treatment or national security 376 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:39,119 Speaker 1: more than personal failings. Those are the kinds of fundamental 377 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:43,439 Speaker 1: problems Republicans need to research, think through, debate, and solve 378 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 1: to have a serious, realistic plan for twenty twenty four 379 00:23:46,840 --> 00:24:03,720 Speaker 1: and beyond. Now. The fact is we have a lot 380 00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 1: to build on. Despite all the negative attitude and all 381 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 1: the hand ringing, Republicans across the country had many successes 382 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 1: during the two twenty two midterm elections. I want to 383 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:19,240 Speaker 1: give you some examples about this, and I want to 384 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,440 Speaker 1: start with a point that my good friend and political consultant, 385 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:26,199 Speaker 1: Joe Gaylord said in our podcast has passed Sunday on 386 00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 1: the post mid term analysis. Joe belies there are five 387 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 1: things that matter in every election. First, Canada quality, which 388 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:40,359 Speaker 1: has centraled everything. Second campaign organization, third campaign finance, fourth 389 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:45,160 Speaker 1: believable contrast with opponents in the race, and fifth issues 390 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,240 Speaker 1: that motivate the base to turn out. I would add 391 00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:50,879 Speaker 1: to this list that for twenty twenty four, we need 392 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: to understand how the reordering of states and the primaries 393 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 1: will matter. Will South Carolina go first over Iowa New 394 00:24:56,720 --> 00:25:00,439 Speaker 1: Hampshire as the by deministration is suggesting the way. I 395 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,400 Speaker 1: think that it's very unlikely that anybody will get ahead 396 00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,679 Speaker 1: of New Hampshire because their state law empowers their Secretary 397 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,640 Speaker 1: of State if necessary, to have the primary of this August. 398 00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,160 Speaker 1: They are going to be first in the nation no 399 00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 1: matter what it takes. So it'll be interesting to watch 400 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:17,399 Speaker 1: that dance. Biden may have opened a can of worms 401 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,119 Speaker 1: he didn't need to. I think we also have to 402 00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 1: go through state by state to understand the early voting 403 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,560 Speaker 1: structure in every state, which will have an impact on 404 00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:28,919 Speaker 1: how Republicans raise and spend campaign money through the longer 405 00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 1: election period. There are only four states that do not 406 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 1: allow mail in early voting Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, New Hampshire. 407 00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,160 Speaker 1: Delaware will allow early in posts and voting a week 408 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: before the election. The rest of the forty six states 409 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,800 Speaker 1: allows some form of early voting. In fact, three states 410 00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:50,120 Speaker 1: have turned to all mail in ballots Colorado, Hawaii, and Oregon. 411 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 1: So I think when you look at that framework, what 412 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:56,400 Speaker 1: I want to do is share with you some data 413 00:25:56,440 --> 00:26:00,639 Speaker 1: which the Republican National Committee gave me, and it's impressive. 414 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:05,800 Speaker 1: Let's start with the Republican victory. Republicans won the House 415 00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:10,680 Speaker 1: for only the third time since the Eisenhower administration. As 416 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: you'll remember, we won in ninety four with the Contract 417 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,920 Speaker 1: with America and John Bayner led an effort in twenty ten. 418 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:20,920 Speaker 1: This is the third time we have picked up a majority, 419 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,840 Speaker 1: and it's the second straight cycle where Kevin McCarthy led 420 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:28,920 Speaker 1: their House Republicans in actually picking up seats. There were 421 00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:33,160 Speaker 1: some fascinating examples. In New York seventeen, Mike Lawler defeated 422 00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:37,080 Speaker 1: Sean Patrick Maloney. This was particularly delicious for House Republicans 423 00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:42,399 Speaker 1: because Maloney was the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chairman, the 424 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:45,560 Speaker 1: first one to be defeated since nineteen eighty. On the 425 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:50,040 Speaker 1: votes counted so far, Republicans have received over four million 426 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 1: more votes in House race than Democrats. Again, had we 427 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:56,040 Speaker 1: started the analysis on the day after the election, with 428 00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:59,800 Speaker 1: that piece of data, Republicans have jumped to a four 429 00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:03,439 Speaker 1: million vote lead in House races. People would have had 430 00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:06,680 Speaker 1: a totally different attitude about what was happening. They would 431 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,159 Speaker 1: have focused on the Senate as a problem, but they 432 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,199 Speaker 1: would not have focused necessarily on Republicans as a problem. 433 00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:17,200 Speaker 1: There were a number of historic firsts that are embedded 434 00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:21,359 Speaker 1: in the two twenty two results. Katie Brett became the 435 00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 1: first woman to be elected to the US Senate from 436 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:26,359 Speaker 1: Alabama and will become the youngest woman serving in the 437 00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,679 Speaker 1: US Senate. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who most of us know 438 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 1: from her time as spokesperson for Donald Trump, was elected 439 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 1: the first female governor of Arkansas, and Leslie Rutledge was 440 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 1: elected the first female Lieutenant governor of Arkansas. Oklahoma Senator 441 00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:44,360 Speaker 1: elect Mark Wayne Mullen will be the first Native American 442 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,080 Speaker 1: in the US Senate in nearly two decades, only will 443 00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,400 Speaker 1: be the first Native American Senator from Oklahoma in a century. 444 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 1: Laurie Chavez de Ramier became Oregon's first Republican Latina to 445 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 1: be elected to Congress, and Juan Siskomani became Arizona's first 446 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:03,919 Speaker 1: Latin Republican to be elected to Congress. Annapolina Luna became 447 00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:09,080 Speaker 1: Florida's first Mexican American woman elected to Congress. Republican Monica 448 00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 1: de la Cruz is the first Republican and first Latina 449 00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:16,960 Speaker 1: elected to represent Texas's fifteenth Congressional district in the district's 450 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:19,480 Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty year history. That's down in the valley, 451 00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: very close to the Mexican border. Andy Ogles won in 452 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,439 Speaker 1: Tennessee's fifth district, making it the first time Nashville has 453 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:31,679 Speaker 1: had a Republican representative in Congress since reconstruction. Guam elected 454 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:37,240 Speaker 1: its first Republican House Delegate, James Moyland since nineteen ninety three. Iowa, 455 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 1: where by the way, the governor led an amazing effort. 456 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 1: Iowa elected the first Republican Attorney general in forty years. 457 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:48,400 Speaker 1: Brenna Bird Sue Hong became the first Asian American Republican 458 00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 1: woman elected to the Georgia State Legislature. And Georgia Insurance Commissioner. 459 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 1: John King, who was appointed the office by Governor Brian 460 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:59,400 Speaker 1: Kemp in twenty nineteen, became the first Hispanic candidate elected 461 00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 1: to statewide office. And I might say that John King 462 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:04,880 Speaker 1: is a friend because he's very close to my son 463 00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,880 Speaker 1: in law Jimmy Cushman, who first introduced us years ago 464 00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 1: when he was a police chief in Buford, Georgia. There 465 00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:14,640 Speaker 1: were several states that used to be purple swing states 466 00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,600 Speaker 1: that have clearly turned bright red. Florida, which was the 467 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,240 Speaker 1: biggest and most famous. That's after all, the third largest state. 468 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 1: Governor to Sinus won by an amazing margin, almost got 469 00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:28,320 Speaker 1: a sixty forty victory Senator Rubio one by sixteen points. 470 00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:31,040 Speaker 1: Republicans picked up four House seats in the US Congress. 471 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:35,160 Speaker 1: The Republicans captured every statewide office in Florida, the first 472 00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,560 Speaker 1: time since reconstruction. This has happened as an example of 473 00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:42,080 Speaker 1: how deep their penetration was. Governor to Sanus won Miami 474 00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:45,600 Speaker 1: Dade County, the biggest county in Florida, very heavily, Latino, 475 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 1: becoming the first Republican n twel of Canada too in 476 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,680 Speaker 1: the county since two thousand and two, and by far 477 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:54,040 Speaker 1: with the biggest margin all nine Republicans running in state 478 00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 1: legislative races in the Miami area one that is an 479 00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 1: enormous shift in the direction of a Republican party in Florida. 480 00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:07,280 Speaker 1: In Ohio, Republicans swept all six statewide elected offices, including 481 00:30:07,320 --> 00:30:11,560 Speaker 1: re electing Governor Mike DeWine by twenty five points. JD. 482 00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,880 Speaker 1: Vance won his race to become Ohio's next Senator by 483 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:20,040 Speaker 1: seven points. Republicans expanded their supermajority in the Ohio State 484 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:23,600 Speaker 1: House and obtained their largest supermajority in the Senate in 485 00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:27,480 Speaker 1: seventy years. They swept the Ohio Supreme Court races, winning 486 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:31,200 Speaker 1: all three seats. In Iowa, whereas I mentioned earlier, Governor 487 00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:34,280 Speaker 1: Kim Reynolds had put together a tremendous race had been 488 00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:37,640 Speaker 1: a very effective governor. They swept all four of Iowa's 489 00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:42,000 Speaker 1: congressional races, reelected Senator Grassley, and that means the state's 490 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: entire congressional delegation is now Republican for the first time 491 00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 1: since nineteen fifty six. They won all but one of 492 00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: Iowa's statewide elected offices. They elected the Republican Attorney General 493 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:57,400 Speaker 1: and Republican state treasurer. They expanded their majority in the 494 00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:00,800 Speaker 1: Iowa House, and their on track to obtain a supermajority 495 00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:03,720 Speaker 1: in the Iowa Senate, the first time that has happened 496 00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 1: over fifty years. In New York. You've got to give 497 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,120 Speaker 1: leezel In a lot of credit. He had the courage 498 00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,640 Speaker 1: to run for governor. He ran the best race since 499 00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:14,800 Speaker 1: nineteen ninety two, and as a result, we picked up 500 00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:18,200 Speaker 1: three congressional seats in New York State. We swept all 501 00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:21,400 Speaker 1: four of the congressional seats on Long Island. We broke 502 00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 1: the Democrats supermajority in the state Senate. In Central New York, 503 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 1: Republican saw a clean sweep of state Supreme Court judges, 504 00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:32,400 Speaker 1: taking all four seats while flipping two from blue to red. 505 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,760 Speaker 1: Again and again, you saw this happening, and I would 506 00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:38,200 Speaker 1: just say that it was a remarkable year for us 507 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 1: at many levels. So let me just close by saying this, 508 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 1: I think that you have a much more diverse Republican Party. 509 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,959 Speaker 1: We have Hispanic candidates winning, you have black candidates winning, 510 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:53,400 Speaker 1: You had female candidates winning, you had veteran candidates winning. 511 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:55,680 Speaker 1: A lot of that was because of the work that 512 00:31:55,760 --> 00:32:00,040 Speaker 1: Kevin McCarthy did and very aggressively recruiting people, and the 513 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,440 Speaker 1: result was we were picking up Democratic seats. One of 514 00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,040 Speaker 1: the things we have to look at is we lost 515 00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:09,200 Speaker 1: incumbent Republican House members that we should not have lost. 516 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:11,600 Speaker 1: That has to be seriously looked at, because the truth 517 00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,840 Speaker 1: is in twenty twenty we didn't lose a single incumbent 518 00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 1: in nineteen ninety four, we didn't lose a single incumbent. 519 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,240 Speaker 1: Had we not lost those incumbents, the margin the House 520 00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:24,640 Speaker 1: would be substantially bigger than it is right now. We 521 00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:27,640 Speaker 1: also had some great breakthroughs in terms of reaching out 522 00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:32,720 Speaker 1: to ethnic minorities. We now have dramatically improved or vote 523 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:37,520 Speaker 1: among Latinos. It was a forty point Democratic advantage in 524 00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:41,800 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen. It's dropped to twenty one points now. This 525 00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:45,920 Speaker 1: is the best performance ever for Republicans with Hispanics in 526 00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,520 Speaker 1: a mid term election. The fact is there are some 527 00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 1: analyzes that say it was an even narrower majority in 528 00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:57,040 Speaker 1: year after year. Now we have been getting stronger among Latinos, 529 00:32:57,080 --> 00:33:00,240 Speaker 1: both because of economic issues. They go to work from 530 00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,240 Speaker 1: take home pay. They're watching their family budget get eaten 531 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,480 Speaker 1: up by inflation, by the price of gasoline. We also 532 00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:10,600 Speaker 1: saw very substantial breakthroughs in the Jewish community in New York, 533 00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 1: which went very heavily for lee Zelden and where education 534 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,920 Speaker 1: was a huge issue. And we saw dramatic improvement in 535 00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:23,480 Speaker 1: the Republican position among Asian Americans, where we had significant 536 00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:28,680 Speaker 1: gains almost everywhere so it's a mixed message. We don't 537 00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:30,560 Speaker 1: have any reason to despair, but we have a lot 538 00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:33,800 Speaker 1: of reasons to learn. We're not automatically going to win 539 00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:36,600 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four, but we have a real chance 540 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:39,280 Speaker 1: to win, and most importantly, we owe it to the 541 00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:44,320 Speaker 1: country to figure out how we take this massive cultural majority, which, 542 00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:47,080 Speaker 1: as I said, you can see it at America's New 543 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:50,560 Speaker 1: Majority Project dot com. And you can then ask yourself, 544 00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:53,760 Speaker 1: why is it if people believe these things by this 545 00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 1: huge a margin, why have we as Republicans been so 546 00:33:57,280 --> 00:34:01,240 Speaker 1: incapable of translating that into a political majority to match 547 00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:03,600 Speaker 1: the cultural majority? And I think in the spirit of 548 00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 1: Abraham Lincoln, we have an obligation to help the American 549 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,680 Speaker 1: people govern themselves, and that that's a moral calling we 550 00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:12,359 Speaker 1: should all have. I hope you found this useful as 551 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:14,720 Speaker 1: an introduction to how to think about the next two years. 552 00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:21,120 Speaker 1: I really thank you for listening. You can read more 553 00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 1: about what Republicans should review to prepare for twenty twenty 554 00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:27,799 Speaker 1: four on our showpage at Newtsworld dot com. News World 555 00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:32,200 Speaker 1: is produced by Gingwish three sixty and iHeartMedia. Our executive 556 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:36,040 Speaker 1: producer is Guarnsey Sloan. Our producers Rebecca Howe, and our 557 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,200 Speaker 1: researcher is Rachel Peterson. The artwork for the show was 558 00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 1: created by Steve Penley. Special thanks to the team at 559 00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:45,839 Speaker 1: Gingwish three sixty. If you've been enjoying Newsworld, I hope 560 00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,600 Speaker 1: you'll go to Apple Podcast and both rate us with 561 00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:51,359 Speaker 1: five stars and give us a review so others can 562 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,520 Speaker 1: learn what it's all about. Right now, listeners of news 563 00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:57,600 Speaker 1: World can sign up for my three free weekly columns 564 00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:00,959 Speaker 1: at gingwish three sixty dot com slash news letter. I'm 565 00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 1: newt Gingrich. This is news work.