WEBVTT - Oil Infrastructure, Space and Climate Change

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Penel podcast. I'm Paul swing you

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<v Speaker 1>along with my co host Lisa Brahma Waits. Each day

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you the most noteworthy and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money. Whether at the grocery store or

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<v Speaker 1>the trading floor. Find a Bloomberg penl podcast on Apple

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<v Speaker 1>podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts, as well as

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com. Well, the energy infrastructure in the

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<v Speaker 1>Middle East is certainly getting a lot of attention. There's

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<v Speaker 1>been a lot of attacks over the last several months

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<v Speaker 1>on oil fields, on tankers, just raising the question of

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<v Speaker 1>the vulnerability of that infrastructure and very important source of

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<v Speaker 1>energy in the world. To get a sense of what's

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<v Speaker 1>going on, Welcome Seth Gray. Seth as a president CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of light Bridge Corporation located in Reston, Virginia, joining us

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone. So, Seth, again, we've had a series

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<v Speaker 1>of attacks uh in the Middle East on some of

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<v Speaker 1>the oil infrastructure. How vulnerable do you consider that part

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<v Speaker 1>of the world to be in terms of oil infrastructure. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>really it's vulnerable, which is very sad and very dangerous

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<v Speaker 1>as we see from the drone attacks on the Saudi

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<v Speaker 1>oil fields, as we see on the attacks on the

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<v Speaker 1>Iranian oil tanker. One of the programs we have going

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<v Speaker 1>under the Department of Energy here in this country is

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<v Speaker 1>to improve our grid resiliency so that we have power

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<v Speaker 1>plants that have can have fuel on site and if

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<v Speaker 1>the supply is cut off, they can run for months

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<v Speaker 1>or even years, the greatest of which are the nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>power plants, which have several years of fuel on site.

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<v Speaker 1>So we have supplies are cut off, they could run

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<v Speaker 1>for years. And in particular, as the US is producing

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<v Speaker 1>more oil domestically, the potential cutoffs and supply of oil

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<v Speaker 1>really threatened our allies, including Japan and many others that

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<v Speaker 1>are very dependent on Middle East oil. So you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's an issue for US and it's an issue for

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<v Speaker 1>our allies. So Seth, considering the fact that your company

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<v Speaker 1>is a nuclear fuel technology company, it's not surprising that

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<v Speaker 1>you'd say, look, it's so important to build that grid.

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<v Speaker 1>But I'm wondering how secure the nuclear grid would be

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<v Speaker 1>or could be, given the fact that clearly energy infrastructure

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<v Speaker 1>is a very very uh big target right now. Yeah, yeah, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>the reactor sites themselves are are very robust, very protected sites.

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<v Speaker 1>With many feet of concrete and steel protecting the facilities.

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<v Speaker 1>And we are moving toward more local grids over time

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<v Speaker 1>in this country too, with small reactors advanced technologies coming out,

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<v Speaker 1>so that rather than just the giant, interconnected electric grids

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<v Speaker 1>that could be attacked, there could be smaller grids which

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<v Speaker 1>provide a level of protection onto themselves. We're also starting

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<v Speaker 1>to electrify the transportation sector with electric cars, with electric buses.

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<v Speaker 1>There are a lot of projections that will increase the

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<v Speaker 1>use of electricity by fifty in the United States in

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<v Speaker 1>the next couple of decades and similarly around the world,

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<v Speaker 1>which puts even more pressure on the electric grid and

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<v Speaker 1>not having the source of energy cut off. So what

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing there is an opportunity for American innovation, not

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<v Speaker 1>just for domestic markets, but for exports for this advanced

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<v Speaker 1>technology that will produce no carbon as we do move

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<v Speaker 1>to electrify the transportation sector in addition to the traditional

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<v Speaker 1>electricity sectors. SETH just give us a sense of kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the state of nuclear energy in the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>Are we adding plants, are we taking plants offline? What's

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<v Speaker 1>kind of the trend here and how do you think

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<v Speaker 1>that's going to play out well. We're pretty level at

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<v Speaker 1>about one ent of our electricity from nuclear power, and

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<v Speaker 1>we've closed some plants. We have two plants under construction

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<v Speaker 1>in Georgia now, but mostly as the demand for electricity

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<v Speaker 1>has been rising, we've been improving the efficiency of the

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<v Speaker 1>existing plants to stay level at that. Now we're in

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<v Speaker 1>danger of that falling down a bit and losing that

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<v Speaker 1>zero carbon energy from the grid. So we have companies

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<v Speaker 1>like light Bridge bringing new technologies that can better justify

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<v Speaker 1>the economic case of keeping those plants open and building

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<v Speaker 1>new plants. But part of the state domestically is where

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<v Speaker 1>our nuclear companies are and the companies and the supply

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<v Speaker 1>chain for exports, because the international market is bigger than

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<v Speaker 1>the domestic market, and the greatest threats are from Russia

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<v Speaker 1>and China, which together are taking about six of the

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<v Speaker 1>global market and new reactors, and they are doing that

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<v Speaker 1>partly for strategic reasons, for their national security reasons. Setting

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<v Speaker 1>hundred our supply relationships with countries like Turkey where Russia

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<v Speaker 1>is selling reactors too, and that does not necessarily lead

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<v Speaker 1>to good things in Turkey and other places where they're

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<v Speaker 1>selling reactors, So there are national security implications as well

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<v Speaker 1>for Americans competing and winning against Russia and China overseas.

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<v Speaker 1>How expensive or or cheap is what's the relative cost

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<v Speaker 1>of nuclear energy versus say crude. Well, when when you

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<v Speaker 1>levelize the cost of electricity, nuclear power is cheaper. It's

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<v Speaker 1>it's quite a bit cheaper overall from these reactors that

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<v Speaker 1>are already built and are operating. It's the new reactors

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<v Speaker 1>that are being built. They're having problems with the cost

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<v Speaker 1>overruns that are making those expensive. But as we design

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<v Speaker 1>the new advanced reactors and build more of them, and

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<v Speaker 1>we stop building a first of a kind plant, the

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<v Speaker 1>new reactors will also produce cheaper electricity. How much is

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<v Speaker 1>the lack of adoption of nuclear energy in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States relative to some of its competitors competing nations. How

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<v Speaker 1>much does this do just because there's a diversion to

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<v Speaker 1>the word nuclear and the fear that if something happens

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<v Speaker 1>that it could be catastrophic. Well, look, obviously that's part

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<v Speaker 1>of it. In the United States, nuclear is the safest

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<v Speaker 1>industry we have. Nobody has ever died from radiation in

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<v Speaker 1>the history of the industry. Here, even at the only

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<v Speaker 1>accident we ever had at three Mile Island, nobody died,

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<v Speaker 1>nobody was hurt, and in fact, the twin plant on

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<v Speaker 1>the same site kept operating for decades until just a

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<v Speaker 1>few weeks ago when it was closed down. So we

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<v Speaker 1>know how to build and operate these reactors very safely

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<v Speaker 1>so that no one can can be hurt, and with

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<v Speaker 1>the new advanced technologies that are coming, they'll be even

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<v Speaker 1>safer with small underground plants uh where there will be

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<v Speaker 1>no danger to the public. Seth countries are deploying nuclear

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<v Speaker 1>most aggressively. Well right now we're seeing the United Arab

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<v Speaker 1>Emirates about to start opening four nuclear power plants that

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<v Speaker 1>they've been building littill supply about a quarter of their country.

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<v Speaker 1>In terms of exports, Russia is the largest in the

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<v Speaker 1>world right now, followed by China. The UK is making

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<v Speaker 1>a big push to build new reactors, including one potentially

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<v Speaker 1>from China, which shows how China is really impact then

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<v Speaker 1>even our closest allies and UM generally, France has always

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<v Speaker 1>been very strong and nuclear power, and they're they're deploying

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<v Speaker 1>some in their own country as well as in neighboring

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<v Speaker 1>European countries, and actually even two in China. So those

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<v Speaker 1>are the major markets right now, and for US companies

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<v Speaker 1>throughout the supply chains, lots of manufacturing companies, it's important

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<v Speaker 1>that we keep pace and compete with them. Seth Great,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being with as Seth Gray

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<v Speaker 1>as president, chief executive officer of light Bridge Corporation, There's

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<v Speaker 1>been a feeling that the bigger risk right now to

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<v Speaker 1>markets at any time of central bank support and slowing

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<v Speaker 1>but still positive growth is a trade deal that actually

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<v Speaker 1>encourages people to rush into markets. Morgan Stanley today saying

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<v Speaker 1>don't do it. It hasn't worked before, it won't work

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<v Speaker 1>this time. Let's find out if Steve dou Dash agrees.

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<v Speaker 1>He's president of i HT Wealth Management based in Chicago. Steve,

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<v Speaker 1>do you agree that if there is some sort of

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<v Speaker 1>trade deal that isn't necessarily a signal to just go

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<v Speaker 1>dive back into risk your stocks? Does anyone? Has anyone

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<v Speaker 1>seen the same cycle over and over and over again,

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<v Speaker 1>or it last year or so. They come out and

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<v Speaker 1>they say we got a trade deal or a partial deal,

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna work out something, and the markets go up

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<v Speaker 1>upper cent or two, and then two weeks later they

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<v Speaker 1>turned around and like, oh no, we're not gonna get

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<v Speaker 1>a trade deal. No one wants to work this out,

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<v Speaker 1>and then the cycle repeats itself over and over. So yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I know they came out with some partial potential plan,

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<v Speaker 1>and then today they didn't surprise anyone, come out and

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<v Speaker 1>say no, maybe we don't have a plan. No one.

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<v Speaker 1>I do not believe right now that we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>see some magical, huge deal worked out overnight or at

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<v Speaker 1>least in the short order, um that answers all those

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<v Speaker 1>questions and gives the market true clarity anytime soon. It's

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<v Speaker 1>too massive of a deal and there's too much political

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<v Speaker 1>drama around it for it to happen in such a

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<v Speaker 1>short period of time. Steve, to what extent, if any,

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<v Speaker 1>do you think that this trade uncertainty is weighing on

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<v Speaker 1>global economic growth? I think it's it's completely been weighing

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<v Speaker 1>on it. If you if you strip out the tax

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<v Speaker 1>break that took place a couple of years ago and

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<v Speaker 1>the market snapping up because of that, you strip that out,

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<v Speaker 1>we've been basically range bound for years now, Over and

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<v Speaker 1>over again, we've not seen any substantial growth. Now that's

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<v Speaker 1>a good thing too. To the extent that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of people are worried about inversion

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<v Speaker 1>right now. I am not buying into that to the

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<v Speaker 1>same extreme extreme, and they're worried about recession that could

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<v Speaker 1>be meant from that, which again I do not believe

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<v Speaker 1>in um. But if things do level off sideways, it's

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<v Speaker 1>not like we have this euphoric high stock market price

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<v Speaker 1>that's built on just you know, emotion. It's been flat

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<v Speaker 1>for years with the exception of that trade tax deal,

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<v Speaker 1>and therefore it's not like we have a huge downside

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<v Speaker 1>risk um posed to it. So what are you buying

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<v Speaker 1>I'm by I personally do believe that they'll eventually get

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<v Speaker 1>some sort of trade deal done over the next few

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<v Speaker 1>six months. Let's just say, because the politics involved, the

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<v Speaker 1>Trump organization does need to win. This is the one

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<v Speaker 1>area that they can control a great deal of it.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the tech sector has been hit the hardest

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<v Speaker 1>due to the trade deal, certainly the semi connector semiconductor

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<v Speaker 1>set or if you want to go high risk, high return,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's an area where you can overload right

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<v Speaker 1>now with the assumption that something works out, with the

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<v Speaker 1>assumption that we are not sitting in the right before

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<v Speaker 1>recession just because of the inversion that's going on, and

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<v Speaker 1>question cutting into it, yes, and looking at Micron shares

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<v Speaker 1>they're up this year, how do you how do you

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<v Speaker 1>say that they've gotten hit pretty hard from the trade

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<v Speaker 1>wars because, frankly, because they probably should be higher right now,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're in the sample size, just the here to

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<v Speaker 1>day doesn't show how you're looking in the year's past

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<v Speaker 1>when it got hit a lot harder. I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>so much uncertainty in the semiconductor sector right now because

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<v Speaker 1>of the trade war and because of the unknown of

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<v Speaker 1>how that's going to affect a political piece that is

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<v Speaker 1>a part of the day of that deal right now

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<v Speaker 1>that you're seeing restrictions on what the actual return should be.

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<v Speaker 1>We are in the middle of the Internet of everything,

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<v Speaker 1>right Everything is getting computerized. There's only going to be

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<v Speaker 1>needing more and more chips to integrate everything that we

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<v Speaker 1>do in the future. And so you remove that politically

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<v Speaker 1>induced unknown to it, and you have a very strong

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<v Speaker 1>sector in moving forward. So, Steve, how do you feel,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess within the tech sector about the Fang stocks.

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<v Speaker 1>They've been such a big, big driver really over the

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<v Speaker 1>last decade, both on the upside and on the downside.

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<v Speaker 1>I think about the fourth quarter of the fourth quarter

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<v Speaker 1>of last year. Where are you on those names? I

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<v Speaker 1>don't personally, I don't believe in Facebook. I think that

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<v Speaker 1>the business model has been dying and that they're getting

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<v Speaker 1>eaten up by their competition, including themselves in Instagram, and

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<v Speaker 1>therefore generating less revenue UM per click because of it.

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<v Speaker 1>Um the Amazons of the world. I've been on Amazon's

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<v Speaker 1>bandwagon for a decade now. A decade ago people were

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<v Speaker 1>talking about how was overpriced. Everyone uses it more and

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<v Speaker 1>more and it's easier and easier to buy anything at

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<v Speaker 1>any given time. So I know people like the lump

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<v Speaker 1>thing in together as one big thing. It's just not

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<v Speaker 1>Netflix is not the same as Facebook. Uh. Amazon is

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<v Speaker 1>not the same as Google. It was a cute little

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<v Speaker 1>term that people could use for a couple of years there,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think you've got to be a little more

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<v Speaker 1>selective on what you're buying. I believe Facebook is a

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<v Speaker 1>dying business model right now. So am I going to

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<v Speaker 1>look at that It's the same as Amazon, which I

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<v Speaker 1>think is a high growth business model. No very interesting Facebook.

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<v Speaker 1>Just looking at the stock up about this year, um.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know a lot of those tech stocks to

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<v Speaker 1>continue to perform well. Steve Doodash, thanks so much for

0:13:31.240 --> 0:13:33.079
<v Speaker 1>joining us. Steve as a president of I h T

0:13:33.200 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 1>Wealth Management based in Chicago, giving us his thoughts on

0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:39.800
<v Speaker 1>the market. He does not see a recession. Um, it

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:42.400
<v Speaker 1>does not. He's not worried about the when we had

0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:45.920
<v Speaker 1>that inverted yield curve several weeks ago. Uh and UH

0:13:46.080 --> 0:13:48.600
<v Speaker 1>I think probably believes on some light deal in the

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:50.920
<v Speaker 1>next six months. Might all that might be enough with

0:13:51.000 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 1>a accommodator fed four equities. Well, space is a growth

0:14:11.280 --> 0:14:14.320
<v Speaker 1>of business and it's no longer the sole purview of NASA.

0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 1>Investors can actually play it via the E t F market.

0:14:17.520 --> 0:14:19.240
<v Speaker 1>To give us a sense of what's going on in

0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:23.280
<v Speaker 1>the space investing race, we welcome Andrew Shannon, chief executive

0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:25.480
<v Speaker 1>officer of procure a M, joins us here in our

0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:28.640
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. Andrew, thanks so much for joining us.

0:14:28.920 --> 0:14:31.880
<v Speaker 1>Real quickly, just tell us what procure a M is

0:14:31.920 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 1>and how you kind of interact with the space business. So,

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:38.120
<v Speaker 1>procure a M is a registered investment advisor where we

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:41.000
<v Speaker 1>launched both our proprietary own ideas for e t s

0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:43.120
<v Speaker 1>as well as help third parties launch their products, and

0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 1>UFO is the first product that we've brought to market

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:48.360
<v Speaker 1>listed on the New York Stock Exchange, launched in April

0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:52.120
<v Speaker 1>of this year. So I'm looking right now at UFO,

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 1>which is obviously a really catchy ticker. And there's obviously

0:14:57.000 --> 0:15:02.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of intrigue around space exploration in what exactly

0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:05.000
<v Speaker 1>do you invest in? So I think a lot of

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:07.880
<v Speaker 1>people have wanted to invest in space for a long time,

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:10.760
<v Speaker 1>and until launching this fund and very recently, it's been

0:15:10.800 --> 0:15:14.080
<v Speaker 1>a fairly difficult space to actually get exposure too. And

0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:17.240
<v Speaker 1>so unless you're an institution making a private uh, you know,

0:15:17.320 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 1>a private company type of purchase, that there weren't too

0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:23.480
<v Speaker 1>many pure play space companies. But right now this market

0:15:23.520 --> 0:15:26.520
<v Speaker 1>has really expanded and has brought new entrance into the market.

0:15:26.600 --> 0:15:29.680
<v Speaker 1>And what we've seen is that satellite companies are a

0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:32.320
<v Speaker 1>very big driver of this industry, as well as some

0:15:32.400 --> 0:15:35.440
<v Speaker 1>of the traditional aerospace and defense companies, but those aren't

0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:38.160
<v Speaker 1>typically as pure play. So when you're looking at our fund,

0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 1>what you're actually getting exposure to is satellite operators and manufacturers,

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:46.360
<v Speaker 1>launch equipment company, ground station company, as well as other

0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:49.640
<v Speaker 1>companies that are completely reliant upon UM space based systems

0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:51.720
<v Speaker 1>in order to get their services or products to market.

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:54.840
<v Speaker 1>Space and exploration has changed a lot in my lifetime.

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 1>Remember being a little kid watching the moon landings. Um,

0:15:57.680 --> 0:16:00.920
<v Speaker 1>now it seems like, you know, rockets going up left, right,

0:16:00.960 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 1>and center, and I don't know who's sending them up there.

0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:04.480
<v Speaker 1>So but give us a sense of how space has

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:07.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of changed. And it was the purview of kind

0:16:07.400 --> 0:16:10.080
<v Speaker 1>of the US government, maybe the Russian government, NASA, but

0:16:10.160 --> 0:16:13.240
<v Speaker 1>now there's mostly private right right. So in the early

0:16:13.320 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 1>days you have the the EESA and ROSS, Cosmos and NASA,

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:19.360
<v Speaker 1>and those government agencies were really the driving force for

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:22.760
<v Speaker 1>the space economy. And this year, actually the just a

0:16:22.760 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>couple of weeks ago, the numbers came out for the

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:28.160
<v Speaker 1>two thousand eighteen space industry and it's set a new

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:33.160
<v Speaker 1>record for itself. Roughly four hundred fourteen billion plus dollars

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:36.760
<v Speaker 1>um spent on space was and so going over four

0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 1>hundred billion for the first time ever. And then you

0:16:38.640 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 1>look at Morgan Stanley that's been building up research groups

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 1>as well as Bank of America. Morgan Stanley's predicting over

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 1>a trillion dollars by twenty forty. Bank of America sees

0:16:46.960 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 1>up to two point seven trillion dollar industry by so

0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:53.920
<v Speaker 1>you're looking at a lot of UM analysts out there

0:16:53.920 --> 0:16:56.080
<v Speaker 1>looking to see this this be a continuum trender of

0:16:56.120 --> 0:16:58.200
<v Speaker 1>growth for the broader space industry. So I'm looking right

0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:01.640
<v Speaker 1>now at the assets in UF It's a twelve million

0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:03.840
<v Speaker 1>dollars and I'm wondering what you needed to get up

0:17:03.840 --> 0:17:05.760
<v Speaker 1>to an order for this to be sort of a

0:17:05.760 --> 0:17:10.040
<v Speaker 1>sustainable investment vehicle in itself. So break even for for

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 1>products such as this is in the several tens of

0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:14.920
<v Speaker 1>millions typically UM. But you know right now, we just

0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:17.040
<v Speaker 1>launched this product in April, so to be at twelve million,

0:17:17.080 --> 0:17:19.520
<v Speaker 1>we're pretty happy, given that the summer is typically a

0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:24.000
<v Speaker 1>pretty dead season for growth. How much is the construction

0:17:24.040 --> 0:17:28.399
<v Speaker 1>of an index guided by what investors are asking for

0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:33.399
<v Speaker 1>versus what registered investment advisors are looking to be able

0:17:33.480 --> 0:17:36.560
<v Speaker 1>to provide in terms of, you know, a pitch. That's

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:39.159
<v Speaker 1>a really good question because I think a lot of

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:42.160
<v Speaker 1>times you'll see a thematic fund and maybe the name

0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:45.040
<v Speaker 1>is really catchy, and so someone says, oh, it invests

0:17:45.080 --> 0:17:47.520
<v Speaker 1>in this you know, thematic area. I want to own it.

0:17:47.560 --> 0:17:49.280
<v Speaker 1>But when you actually look at the index, and boil

0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:51.720
<v Speaker 1>it down, you're actually getting the exposure that you actually

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:53.639
<v Speaker 1>wanted to when you invested in that product. So for me,

0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:55.560
<v Speaker 1>looking at the index is one of the first most

0:17:55.560 --> 0:17:59.399
<v Speaker 1>important aspects of building a truly representative thematic product. And

0:17:59.440 --> 0:18:01.680
<v Speaker 1>for this, we actually have a partner who's a former

0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:05.920
<v Speaker 1>director of the Space Foundation. UM has been studying space policy,

0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:09.640
<v Speaker 1>space business, all these various areas as well as the technologies,

0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:12.119
<v Speaker 1>and he actually built this index. So I think what

0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:14.080
<v Speaker 1>he was able to do is get a pretty strong

0:18:14.119 --> 0:18:18.119
<v Speaker 1>representation of what the global publicly traded space industry looks like.

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:20.120
<v Speaker 1>So you're not going to get every single company because

0:18:20.160 --> 0:18:21.719
<v Speaker 1>some of them are private and some of them are

0:18:21.800 --> 0:18:24.520
<v Speaker 1>maybe smaller or less liquid companies. But when you actually

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:26.879
<v Speaker 1>look at the breakdown as far as what's driving the

0:18:26.880 --> 0:18:28.920
<v Speaker 1>space economy, a lot of these names are represented in

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.680
<v Speaker 1>the fund today. So the space business is growing, it's

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:34.760
<v Speaker 1>becoming more and more private. Are you expecting more publicly

0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:37.160
<v Speaker 1>traded companies to come into the marketplace, UM, I would

0:18:37.200 --> 0:18:38.840
<v Speaker 1>certainly like to see that. I think, you know, the

0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:41.359
<v Speaker 1>one getting the most buzz recently on that front is

0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:44.240
<v Speaker 1>Virgin Galactic, which did this, uh this spack kind of

0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:46.720
<v Speaker 1>merger that can bring it out to market, hopefully within

0:18:46.720 --> 0:18:49.200
<v Speaker 1>the next couple of weeks or months um which could

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:50.960
<v Speaker 1>be a new way for investors to get exposure to

0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:53.640
<v Speaker 1>the space industry. Um. You know, I love to see

0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:57.399
<v Speaker 1>a strong industry that you're constantly seeing acquisitions and I

0:18:57.480 --> 0:18:59.760
<v Speaker 1>p o s and things like that, and you know,

0:18:59.880 --> 0:19:02.400
<v Speaker 1>I hope we're getting closer to that stage. But right now,

0:19:02.720 --> 0:19:04.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, thirty one companies from around the world is

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:07.520
<v Speaker 1>a pretty um my view, an interesting way to get

0:19:07.520 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 1>exposure to this industry. Andrew Shannon, thank you so much

0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:13.240
<v Speaker 1>for being with us. Andrew Shannon, the CEO of Procure

0:19:13.440 --> 0:19:17.160
<v Speaker 1>a M and I gotta say UFO brings me back

0:19:17.240 --> 0:19:22.760
<v Speaker 1>to watching Doctor Who, growing up with the tartists and

0:19:22.800 --> 0:19:26.240
<v Speaker 1>with you know, the different the seven different doctors. I

0:19:26.240 --> 0:19:30.280
<v Speaker 1>could geek out. I'm pretty much anything but definitely science

0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:35.160
<v Speaker 1>fiction and face exploration. If we appreciate you being with us.

0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:51.720
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of back and forth in the political

0:19:51.840 --> 0:19:55.159
<v Speaker 1>sphere when it comes to global warming, climate change and

0:19:55.240 --> 0:19:57.879
<v Speaker 1>some of the steps being taken, but the trend is

0:19:57.920 --> 0:20:00.440
<v Speaker 1>clear when you take a look at business and joining

0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:02.359
<v Speaker 1>us now to discuss that we are very pleased to

0:20:02.359 --> 0:20:05.439
<v Speaker 1>say is Rich Lesser, who is the chief executive officer

0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:08.280
<v Speaker 1>of Boston Consulting Group, which is based in New York.

0:20:08.320 --> 0:20:11.160
<v Speaker 1>But Rich right now is in Munich, Germany. And before

0:20:11.160 --> 0:20:13.720
<v Speaker 1>we talk about climate change, what are you doing in Munich.

0:20:15.280 --> 0:20:17.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm in the middle of hell. It's nice to be

0:20:17.359 --> 0:20:19.080
<v Speaker 1>here with you. I'm in the middle of an around

0:20:19.080 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 1>the world trip, just visiting clients, doing some meetings around

0:20:22.240 --> 0:20:25.199
<v Speaker 1>the world. So I was in Boston, then Abu Dhabi,

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:28.480
<v Speaker 1>now here, then off the Asia, then Seattle, then dot Home.

0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:31.840
<v Speaker 1>Sounds pretty exciting. So I want to talk a little

0:20:31.880 --> 0:20:35.919
<v Speaker 1>bit about climate change and what your research has shown

0:20:35.960 --> 0:20:39.440
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the shift that you've been seeing among

0:20:39.480 --> 0:20:45.040
<v Speaker 1>the c suite offices. Sure so, um so so, First

0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:48.520
<v Speaker 1>just the facts and then what we're observing in terms

0:20:48.560 --> 0:20:52.600
<v Speaker 1>of the dialogue. The facts are really clear. The economic

0:20:53.200 --> 0:20:57.120
<v Speaker 1>downside from not addressing climate change is enormous, and we're

0:20:57.200 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 1>right now not on a one and a half degree path,

0:20:59.440 --> 0:21:02.120
<v Speaker 1>or at two degree path, or on a much higher path,

0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:03.960
<v Speaker 1>depending on who you talked to, three and a half

0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:08.120
<v Speaker 1>or even four degrees. The economic consequences of that are enormous.

0:21:08.240 --> 0:21:11.080
<v Speaker 1>What was fascinating to us starting with what we just

0:21:11.400 --> 0:21:14.400
<v Speaker 1>happened to do in Germany coincidentally and have now expended

0:21:14.440 --> 0:21:18.560
<v Speaker 1>around the world is when you model through the macroeconomic

0:21:18.640 --> 0:21:23.560
<v Speaker 1>impacts of addressing climate change at a macroeconomic level, that actually,

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:25.840
<v Speaker 1>even if a country does it alone, of course it

0:21:25.880 --> 0:21:28.440
<v Speaker 1>gets better if all of us do it together. The

0:21:29.080 --> 0:21:33.520
<v Speaker 1>macroeconomic case is quite strong. So to take Germany in

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:36.800
<v Speaker 1>the US, for example, if you were to you could

0:21:36.800 --> 0:21:40.920
<v Speaker 1>improve eight percent of carbon emissions, take down carbon emissions

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 1>in Germany and in the seventies in the US with

0:21:45.040 --> 0:21:49.480
<v Speaker 1>no net negative economic impact um. And that's true in

0:21:49.520 --> 0:21:51.920
<v Speaker 1>many other countries around the world. The last twenty or

0:21:52.000 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>thirty percent to get to net zero by that will

0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:59.520
<v Speaker 1>require technological innovation or have some economic consequence. If we

0:21:59.560 --> 0:22:03.120
<v Speaker 1>can't find that innovation, So then the question is, if

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:05.680
<v Speaker 1>that's so good, why don't companies just go do this.

0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:08.720
<v Speaker 1>It's because while it may be true at a macro

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:12.879
<v Speaker 1>economic level that the net impact is slightly positive or

0:22:12.920 --> 0:22:17.280
<v Speaker 1>neutral macro economically for individual sectors, it will clearly be

0:22:17.440 --> 0:22:19.919
<v Speaker 1>very hard in many sectors of the economy. So we

0:22:19.960 --> 0:22:23.959
<v Speaker 1>need governments to set good policy, to create the right incentives,

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:27.760
<v Speaker 1>ideality to create a market for carbon That will encourage

0:22:27.760 --> 0:22:30.639
<v Speaker 1>companies to take the right action, because sector by sector

0:22:30.680 --> 0:22:32.880
<v Speaker 1>it won't always make sense to do it on their own.

0:22:33.440 --> 0:22:37.800
<v Speaker 1>So the suite executives now realize how much the public cares,

0:22:37.880 --> 0:22:40.439
<v Speaker 1>and I think many companies are getting their arms around

0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:43.920
<v Speaker 1>being much more aggressive on this. So Rich, how difficult

0:22:44.200 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 1>is it for you and for your clients to push

0:22:47.359 --> 0:22:51.919
<v Speaker 1>through meaningful sustainability issues when President Trump and the U.

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:54.760
<v Speaker 1>S administration does not appear to be supporting that at all.

0:22:56.800 --> 0:23:01.120
<v Speaker 1>I think most companies are realizing the there's more opportunity

0:23:01.160 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 1>to make progress than they realize, and more of a

0:23:03.359 --> 0:23:06.880
<v Speaker 1>sense of urgency from many of the customers than might

0:23:06.920 --> 0:23:09.159
<v Speaker 1>have been in place a couple of years ago, and

0:23:09.200 --> 0:23:12.960
<v Speaker 1>that will lead to real progress. I think we're also

0:23:13.000 --> 0:23:16.960
<v Speaker 1>seeing more integration across the public, private, and social sector

0:23:17.000 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 1>than we had before. But let's be clear and certain

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:24.600
<v Speaker 1>sectors of the economy. Absent effective government action, it will

0:23:24.600 --> 0:23:26.800
<v Speaker 1>not go as far as it needs to go. And

0:23:26.840 --> 0:23:31.119
<v Speaker 1>so the lack of the lack of engagement, support and

0:23:31.240 --> 0:23:33.879
<v Speaker 1>acknowledgement of the magnitude of the issue from the US

0:23:33.960 --> 0:23:37.600
<v Speaker 1>government and other governments. It's not the only one, but

0:23:37.600 --> 0:23:40.600
<v Speaker 1>but certainly, the US, given the size of its economy,

0:23:41.040 --> 0:23:43.360
<v Speaker 1>has a meaningful impact on how far we're going to get,

0:23:43.440 --> 0:23:46.160
<v Speaker 1>even if companies are serious, and even if companies genuinely

0:23:46.200 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 1>try to make progress. Can you give us an example

0:23:49.080 --> 0:23:52.880
<v Speaker 1>of a concrete measure that an industry has been taking

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:56.679
<v Speaker 1>that actually costs them quite a bit of money that

0:23:56.720 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 1>moves them towards being more sustainable. I think that's not

0:24:00.520 --> 0:24:02.720
<v Speaker 1>where most companies are right now. I don't think most

0:24:02.760 --> 0:24:06.200
<v Speaker 1>companies feel like they either have a defense from their

0:24:06.280 --> 0:24:09.080
<v Speaker 1>investor base or from others to be able to do

0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:12.240
<v Speaker 1>things that have purely negative economic consequences. I think the

0:24:12.280 --> 0:24:14.760
<v Speaker 1>focus right now is that there are a lot of

0:24:14.800 --> 0:24:19.040
<v Speaker 1>ways you can get better. We see the banks pushing

0:24:19.160 --> 0:24:23.560
<v Speaker 1>much more investment towards sustainable and renewable industry plays. You

0:24:23.600 --> 0:24:26.760
<v Speaker 1>see the auto industry pushing towards electric vehicles. You've see

0:24:26.920 --> 0:24:30.359
<v Speaker 1>the industrial sectors focus on waste and water. But but

0:24:30.520 --> 0:24:32.600
<v Speaker 1>part of the challenge we've got is it's very hard

0:24:32.640 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>for one company to take the risk of very negative

0:24:36.359 --> 0:24:40.440
<v Speaker 1>economic consequences when you've got activist investors and you've got

0:24:40.480 --> 0:24:42.679
<v Speaker 1>how they'll be portrayed in the financial market. If there

0:24:42.760 --> 0:24:45.159
<v Speaker 1>was a price on carbon or some other way to

0:24:45.480 --> 0:24:47.680
<v Speaker 1>have everybody bear a cost. Then I think you could

0:24:47.680 --> 0:24:51.680
<v Speaker 1>see much more aggressive action and would have negative consequences

0:24:51.720 --> 0:24:55.280
<v Speaker 1>for one, but collectively will have marginal impact if it's

0:24:55.400 --> 0:24:58.840
<v Speaker 1>if it's shared burden Without that kind of measure, though,

0:24:59.359 --> 0:25:03.159
<v Speaker 1>are any of these companies taking real measures towards becoming

0:25:03.160 --> 0:25:06.520
<v Speaker 1>more sustainable or is it more of a PR push.

0:25:06.840 --> 0:25:10.399
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's PR. I don't I so, And

0:25:11.119 --> 0:25:13.840
<v Speaker 1>to be direct, I don't think it's PR. I think

0:25:13.840 --> 0:25:17.240
<v Speaker 1>it's a genuine desire to make progress. But I think

0:25:17.240 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 1>a genuine desire to make progress within the constraint of

0:25:20.960 --> 0:25:24.560
<v Speaker 1>having real financial pressures on them. And I don't think

0:25:24.600 --> 0:25:28.240
<v Speaker 1>we're yet at the stage because because the financial markets,

0:25:28.240 --> 0:25:31.280
<v Speaker 1>as you know where then most you know, can be

0:25:31.320 --> 0:25:34.520
<v Speaker 1>pretty unrelenting and and it's hard to do that. But

0:25:34.520 --> 0:25:36.680
<v Speaker 1>but what I think companies are discovering, so that makes

0:25:36.720 --> 0:25:39.160
<v Speaker 1>it sound like nothing's happening, I don't feel that way.

0:25:39.680 --> 0:25:42.320
<v Speaker 1>I think what we see in many sectors as people

0:25:42.400 --> 0:25:45.320
<v Speaker 1>looking in ways to find win wins, to find wins

0:25:45.400 --> 0:25:49.600
<v Speaker 1>to to drive carbon out of their footprints, to encourage

0:25:49.600 --> 0:25:53.240
<v Speaker 1>investments in their industry or in other industries to encourage

0:25:53.280 --> 0:25:57.000
<v Speaker 1>their suppliers to be bolder in improving their operations because

0:25:57.000 --> 0:26:01.080
<v Speaker 1>they're the customers for those suppliers. So it's genuine action,

0:26:01.680 --> 0:26:05.680
<v Speaker 1>but it's not sufficient action. So rich do we need

0:26:05.720 --> 0:26:11.439
<v Speaker 1>an international framework to really push this forward? So that

0:26:11.560 --> 0:26:14.200
<v Speaker 1>was the interesting thing. We will be so much better

0:26:14.240 --> 0:26:16.720
<v Speaker 1>off with an international framework. But look around the world

0:26:16.800 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 1>right now, we're not finding international frameworks on many topics

0:26:19.640 --> 0:26:23.359
<v Speaker 1>right now, trade, you know, many issues, so so we

0:26:24.320 --> 0:26:27.240
<v Speaker 1>it's it's unfortunate because there would be so much easier

0:26:27.280 --> 0:26:29.720
<v Speaker 1>for the world to move if we moved together. But

0:26:29.800 --> 0:26:33.400
<v Speaker 1>what was interesting about our researches that countries can take

0:26:33.560 --> 0:26:37.320
<v Speaker 1>big actions on their own that are do not bear

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 1>the negative economic consequences that are sometimes portrayed to make

0:26:41.440 --> 0:26:43.720
<v Speaker 1>major progress. Again, I don't want to overstate it's not

0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:47.879
<v Speaker 1>to get net zero carbon by on their own, but

0:26:47.960 --> 0:26:50.119
<v Speaker 1>to get seventy or eighty percent of the way they

0:26:50.119 --> 0:26:53.440
<v Speaker 1>are is still a huge step that could be done

0:26:53.680 --> 0:26:57.399
<v Speaker 1>without negative economic consequences at a country level, but it

0:26:57.480 --> 0:27:00.879
<v Speaker 1>has to deal with the consequences set or bisector and

0:27:00.960 --> 0:27:05.399
<v Speaker 1>steal and cement in the energy industries in other places

0:27:05.920 --> 0:27:08.119
<v Speaker 1>in order to be able to make that viable for

0:27:08.160 --> 0:27:10.960
<v Speaker 1>individual companies to drip the kind of actions that we

0:27:11.000 --> 0:27:13.800
<v Speaker 1>need to have them take. Ye. This may be an

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:16.520
<v Speaker 1>issue of I think globally and act locally. Rich Lesser,

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:18.160
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us. Rich as the chief

0:27:18.160 --> 0:27:21.320
<v Speaker 1>executive officer of Boston Consulting Group, joining us on the

0:27:21.359 --> 0:27:23.720
<v Speaker 1>phone from Munich, Germany, as he does, is around the

0:27:23.760 --> 0:27:27.280
<v Speaker 1>world trip visiting clients, talking about climate change and how

0:27:27.280 --> 0:27:31.080
<v Speaker 1>these companies should be dealing with it, a very compelling topic.

0:27:32.119 --> 0:27:34.359
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P and L podcast.

0:27:34.520 --> 0:27:37.120
<v Speaker 1>You can subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter at pt Sweeney. And Lisa bram Woyds I'm on

0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:45.879
<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Lisa bram Woyds. One before the podcast, you

0:27:45.880 --> 0:27:48.439
<v Speaker 1>can always catch us worldwide on Bloomberg Radio