WEBVTT - The Cycle: Joe Adell And Erick Fedde For Real? Nick Lodolo Vs Jack Flaherty Vs Blake Snell (EP. 6) 0:00:01.200 --> 0:00:03.480 Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle. 0:00:03.600 --> 0:00:06.640 I am Ryan Warmley, joined as always by Mike may Or. 0:00:06.680 --> 0:00:09.840 We are talking fantasy baseball. I know this is a 0:00:09.880 --> 0:00:13.560 week of dynasty, rookie drafts, and football. Obviously, you know 0:00:14.160 --> 0:00:18.200 the fallout from the NFL Draft, Kentucky Derby's coming up, 0:00:18.560 --> 0:00:20.200 so a lot of stuff going on. But it is 0:00:20.239 --> 0:00:22.760 still the harder fantasy baseball season. So we are still 0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:26.040 here to round the bases with everybody, talk about some 0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:28.920 macro level topics. See what's been on our minds in 0:00:28.960 --> 0:00:31.560 regards to the baseball season as we enter the first 0:00:31.560 --> 0:00:35.240 week of May here still obviously very early in the season. Mayor, 0:00:35.280 --> 0:00:38.400 how are you doing? We were talking before the episode. 0:00:39.040 --> 0:00:41.200 Not a ton of baseball watched in the last week. 0:00:41.280 --> 0:00:43.200 Yeah, I've been watching a lot of numbers and reading 0:00:43.200 --> 0:00:46.199 a lot of data, But in terms of actually watching baseball, 0:00:46.280 --> 0:00:48.560 it's been a lot of catching whatever highlights I can, 0:00:48.880 --> 0:00:51.000 doing whatever research I can, and a lot of NFL 0:00:51.080 --> 0:00:53.280 Draft and Kentucky Derby and stuff on my ad. 0:00:53.840 --> 0:00:56.000 Just one of those weeks, but we still got plenty 0:00:56.040 --> 0:00:58.360 of baseball stuff that we wanted to talk about. 0:00:58.760 --> 0:01:00.480 At the very least, no guest week. 0:01:00.720 --> 0:01:04.400 We're hoping to have guests next week, so we'll see 0:01:04.400 --> 0:01:05.840 if we can get that back next week. This week 0:01:05.920 --> 0:01:07.880 just the two of us, so hopefully a bit shorter 0:01:07.920 --> 0:01:08.560 of an episode. 0:01:08.640 --> 0:01:12.040 Let's dive right in with Round the Bases up first. 0:01:12.560 --> 0:01:16.120 Mike Trout obviously, a couple of days ago a somewhat surprising, 0:01:16.400 --> 0:01:19.120 you know, revelation that he was gonna have surgery due 0:01:19.160 --> 0:01:22.080 to an issue with his knee. So this, I guess 0:01:22.080 --> 0:01:24.120 I shouldn't say it's that surprising because it's Mike Trout, 0:01:24.280 --> 0:01:25.959 and it's telling that we might have predicted at the 0:01:25.959 --> 0:01:27.880 beginning of the season and even into the season, but 0:01:27.959 --> 0:01:31.840 surprising in that kind of came out of nowhere. So 0:01:32.000 --> 0:01:34.839 obviously the timeline for when he'll be back is still 0:01:34.840 --> 0:01:39.160 someone in the air. Was playing amazingly well, was running again. 0:01:39.640 --> 0:01:41.560 You know, it was tied for the lead league in homers. 0:01:42.640 --> 0:01:45.280 Just looked really like vintage Mike Trout, and it was 0:01:45.319 --> 0:01:47.680 really really fun to watch. And there were a lot 0:01:47.720 --> 0:01:49.600 of folks who maybe had a bit of fomo for 0:01:49.760 --> 0:01:52.080 having not drafted him, and now they're not feeling that 0:01:52.120 --> 0:01:54.280 way anymore. So, you know, when you first saw the 0:01:54.320 --> 0:01:56.160 Trout surgery, you know what crossed your mind. 0:01:56.320 --> 0:01:59.360 Well, I immediately thought, like, especially because of everything we 0:01:59.400 --> 0:02:02.800 just talked about, how busy we've been, just I just thought, 0:02:03.240 --> 0:02:05.440 what have I missed? Like when did this happen? Why 0:02:05.440 --> 0:02:07.000 does he need knee surgery? All of a sudden I 0:02:07.040 --> 0:02:09.040 didn't realize he like got hurt, and then all of 0:02:09.080 --> 0:02:12.000 a sudden, now he has a tournamentiscus. The only good 0:02:12.080 --> 0:02:14.679 thing there so far is he wasn't put on the 0:02:14.720 --> 0:02:17.280 sixty day IL. Now. It was like ominous when they 0:02:17.440 --> 0:02:20.120 when the Angels first came out and said they hoped 0:02:20.120 --> 0:02:22.120 he would return this season, which is always just a 0:02:22.120 --> 0:02:25.240 brutal initial timeline to receive after an injury. But at 0:02:25.320 --> 0:02:27.320 least they didn't initially, you know, they didn't throw him 0:02:27.360 --> 0:02:29.080 right on that sixty day IL. He's on the ten 0:02:29.120 --> 0:02:31.560 day injured list. We still, like you said, don't have 0:02:31.639 --> 0:02:34.240 a ton information about you know how long this is 0:02:34.240 --> 0:02:37.040 going to take. You know, from everything I understand, like 0:02:37.080 --> 0:02:39.160 the range of outcomes for recovering from him in this 0:02:39.240 --> 0:02:42.000 case is like pretty big. So it's almost like it 0:02:42.000 --> 0:02:44.600 could be like a month, but it could be like 0:02:44.680 --> 0:02:46.799 four months. We kind of don't really know right now. 0:02:47.320 --> 0:02:50.680 Yeah, it's tough and you know, not all the like 0:02:50.680 --> 0:02:53.200 bad of all Dad was that encouraging from him this year? 0:02:53.240 --> 0:02:55.239 Like his hard hit rate was way down, He's only 0:02:55.280 --> 0:02:58.359 batting two twenty, but the loge angle was up. Obviously 0:02:58.400 --> 0:03:00.320 he was hitting home runs. And again just that he 0:03:00.400 --> 0:03:03.600 was running again was so exciting. He already had six 0:03:03.639 --> 0:03:06.480 stolen bases here in the first month of the season. 0:03:06.680 --> 0:03:10.040 Let's let's say, like, I don't know, six to eight weeks, 0:03:10.160 --> 0:03:12.480 just I'm throwing out a timeline. There's I have no 0:03:12.639 --> 0:03:14.600 knowledge of that being the case. Let's let's let's say 0:03:14.600 --> 0:03:17.280 six to eight weeks he's back, like you know, late June. 0:03:17.880 --> 0:03:20.480 Are you going to be ranking him based on the 0:03:20.480 --> 0:03:23.280 player we saw in April at that point rest of 0:03:23.280 --> 0:03:26.359 the season or are you just like so burnt by 0:03:26.400 --> 0:03:29.519 the injuries that it's like, how can you justify any 0:03:29.600 --> 0:03:30.800 kind of optimism there? 0:03:31.240 --> 0:03:34.680 I so kind of kind of two size one. You're burnt, 0:03:34.920 --> 0:03:36.480 and so you don't want to I mean, but like 0:03:36.560 --> 0:03:38.400 we were burnt coming into the season, so we were 0:03:38.560 --> 0:03:41.560 still being helpful. But also you have to wonder when 0:03:41.560 --> 0:03:43.120 he comes back, he's probably not going to run like 0:03:43.120 --> 0:03:46.520 he was running right this was already he was already 0:03:46.560 --> 0:03:48.040 running more than he had in the last four or 0:03:48.080 --> 0:03:50.360 five years. There's no way he's going to come back 0:03:50.400 --> 0:03:52.800 from this miscous injury and just go right back to 0:03:52.920 --> 0:03:55.400 stealing six bases every month, So you have to take 0:03:55.440 --> 0:03:57.640 that into account too. I was actually surprised he was 0:03:57.680 --> 0:03:59.200 hitting two twenty. I was looking at that while you 0:03:59.200 --> 0:04:02.000 were talking, and I kept looking for a second source 0:04:02.000 --> 0:04:03.280 because I thought it was wrong. I was like, I 0:04:03.320 --> 0:04:06.920 would have guess three twenty, expect about at seven. 0:04:07.040 --> 0:04:09.040 It's been a lot more just power speed than it's 0:04:09.040 --> 0:04:12.160 been you know, the contact, but the power speed has 0:04:12.160 --> 0:04:14.440 been so great and again so vintage Strout that it's 0:04:14.480 --> 0:04:17.560 been hard to uh, hard to complain about that. You know, 0:04:18.120 --> 0:04:20.960 this is a conversation for a longer day, maybe like 0:04:21.000 --> 0:04:23.000 an off season episode if we're lucky enough to be 0:04:23.000 --> 0:04:23.560 doing those. 0:04:23.440 --> 0:04:23.919 In the winter. 0:04:24.080 --> 0:04:27.880 But you know, just watching him, like he was emotional 0:04:27.960 --> 0:04:31.039 when he was talking with reporters, just it's hard not 0:04:31.160 --> 0:04:32.960 to think of him as one of the great what 0:04:33.040 --> 0:04:35.800 ifs if he could stay healthy. I mean, we're we're 0:04:35.800 --> 0:04:37.760 gonna be looking at the end of his career and 0:04:37.800 --> 0:04:40.320 he's gonna have five, maybe six hundred home runs and 0:04:40.360 --> 0:04:42.360 we're going to be thinking, man, he could have had 0:04:42.400 --> 0:04:44.640 eight hundred. You know, I think I saw somebody tweet 0:04:44.640 --> 0:04:48.240 somebody to that same effect. But it's like truly pacing 0:04:48.520 --> 0:04:50.839 to have been one of the five or ten greatest 0:04:50.880 --> 0:04:53.200 baseball players ever. And you know, he's still going to 0:04:53.240 --> 0:04:54.960 be a walk in Hall of Famer who's going to 0:04:55.000 --> 0:04:57.520 get ninety plus percentage of the vote the first day 0:04:57.520 --> 0:05:01.400 he's eligible. But it's it's hard, it's hard to imagine. 0:05:01.440 --> 0:05:02.960 You know, it's similar to like the back half of 0:05:03.040 --> 0:05:06.039 Griffy's career. I saw that comparison made to and just 0:05:06.320 --> 0:05:08.080 I don't really have a question for you in that regards, 0:05:08.080 --> 0:05:10.960 but just you know, the Hall of Fame stuff and 0:05:11.040 --> 0:05:13.960 his legacy really and even setting aside like the fact 0:05:13.960 --> 0:05:15.800 that he never gets to play the postseason because the 0:05:15.800 --> 0:05:16.560 team's always bad. 0:05:16.839 --> 0:05:18.839 That's what I was gonna say, is that we've been robbed, 0:05:18.880 --> 0:05:21.280 like on both fens too, We've been robbed of the injuries, 0:05:21.279 --> 0:05:23.120 and we robbed in the postseason. And he's just like, 0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:26.880 you know, I remember talking to my friends five years 0:05:27.000 --> 0:05:29.200 or so ago, some of the especially someone my friends 0:05:29.200 --> 0:05:31.839 who don't watch baseball as much, and they asked, like, 0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:33.440 who's the best play. You know, is Mike Trout the 0:05:33.480 --> 0:05:35.400 best player of all time? And five years ago the 0:05:35.440 --> 0:05:36.760 answer was, I think he might be. 0:05:37.040 --> 0:05:41.719 Like what I used to say to people is Mike 0:05:41.760 --> 0:05:45.160 Trout is the best person at playing baseball who has 0:05:45.200 --> 0:05:46.400 ever lived? And that was like, you know, a half 0:05:46.440 --> 0:05:48.880 decade ago also, but just in this sense of like 0:05:49.279 --> 0:05:51.839 we always kind of like people get better at stuff 0:05:51.880 --> 0:05:54.160 over time, Like I always find it ridiculous, like, oh, 0:05:54.160 --> 0:05:56.120 it would be better, you know, babe Ruth whatever, Like no, 0:05:56.279 --> 0:05:58.520 like if you drop Mike Trout back in the nineteen hundreds, 0:05:58.520 --> 0:06:01.120 he's hitting two thousand home runs right, Like, it's you know, 0:06:01.160 --> 0:06:03.360 we get better over time, we get smarter over time, 0:06:03.680 --> 0:06:06.680 we know understand our bodies and the sport better, like 0:06:06.680 --> 0:06:09.360 like Mike Trout prior to Otani, I would have told 0:06:09.400 --> 0:06:13.240 anybody was the best person at playing baseball. Shy of 0:06:13.400 --> 0:06:15.559 Barry Bonds when he's on steroids, who's ever lived? 0:06:15.640 --> 0:06:16.359 So alleged? 0:06:17.480 --> 0:06:20.360 Yes, I you know, let's wet. We don't need to 0:06:20.440 --> 0:06:20.960 kid ourselves. 0:06:21.200 --> 0:06:23.080 Next tune in next week for the Barry Bonds. 0:06:23.279 --> 0:06:25.520 Yeah, yeah, I would love an off season Barry Bonds 0:06:25.600 --> 0:06:28.320 just deep dive. Any entire episode could be us just 0:06:28.440 --> 0:06:32.000 reading the most hilarious stats like because there are you know, 0:06:32.200 --> 0:06:34.760 at least an hour's worth of them. Let's go to 0:06:34.839 --> 0:06:38.320 our next topic here, and speaking of outfielders on the 0:06:38.360 --> 0:06:42.479 Angels who have burnt us before, Joe Adele has been 0:06:42.520 --> 0:06:45.400 really hot, Lily, to let everyone know what the topic is, 0:06:45.400 --> 0:06:48.920 we're gonna sort of ask new and improved or fool's gold, 0:06:48.960 --> 0:06:50.359 and we're gona do one hitter and one pitcher. 0:06:50.360 --> 0:06:52.000 Of the hitter that mayor wanted. 0:06:51.800 --> 0:06:55.600 To talk about is Joe Adele, who has been on 0:06:55.680 --> 0:06:58.920 fire lately, has been really good this season. Four home runs, 0:06:58.960 --> 0:07:00.920 five stolen bases. He's also giving you a bit of 0:07:00.960 --> 0:07:04.200 power speed. He's batting to ninety his ops is over 0:07:04.279 --> 0:07:07.719 nine hundred. This is somebody who was both in real 0:07:07.760 --> 0:07:12.320 life and in fantasy considered an elite elite prospect primarily 0:07:12.320 --> 0:07:14.640 based on that athleticism. He was drafted with the tenth 0:07:14.680 --> 0:07:17.400 overall pick in twenty seventeen, and he's been near the 0:07:17.440 --> 0:07:19.720 tops of prospect rankings ever since then. 0:07:19.920 --> 0:07:21.640 He has never really been able to do it at 0:07:21.640 --> 0:07:22.720 the big league level. 0:07:22.480 --> 0:07:26.280 Though he has ranged from disappointing to more often than 0:07:26.800 --> 0:07:30.280 not downright bad at the big league level despite being 0:07:30.280 --> 0:07:31.360 too good for the miners. 0:07:32.200 --> 0:07:33.600 So what say you? 0:07:34.000 --> 0:07:36.320 Is he new and improved this year and you know, 0:07:36.360 --> 0:07:39.120 relatively young still he's only like twenty five or is 0:07:39.120 --> 0:07:39.520 it fools? 0:07:39.520 --> 0:07:39.800 Gold? 0:07:39.960 --> 0:07:41.960 First of what a segue about you, but just a 0:07:42.000 --> 0:07:45.520 classic tying two topics together, well done? 0:07:46.040 --> 0:07:47.560 Why they pay me the bucks? 0:07:48.320 --> 0:07:50.480 Yeah, I have a hard time with this one just 0:07:50.480 --> 0:07:52.400 because of what you said. We've been burned so many times. 0:07:52.400 --> 0:07:55.720 But he does look really good. And it's interesting to 0:07:55.760 --> 0:07:57.840 talk about someone who has a twenty six point five 0:07:58.240 --> 0:08:01.200 k rate twenty two point five percent k rate as 0:08:01.200 --> 0:08:03.920 someone who's drastically cut down on their strikeouts. But he 0:08:04.000 --> 0:08:06.160 has drastically cut down on his strike at last year 0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:09.160 was over forty exactly, and earlier in his career when 0:08:09.160 --> 0:08:10.360 he first came up with over. 0:08:10.480 --> 0:08:13.840 He said, multiple seasons over forty percent strikeout. 0:08:13.400 --> 0:08:16.720 Right, Yeah, and his and his you know, those were 0:08:16.720 --> 0:08:18.560 both kind of like smaller sample sizes, and then his 0:08:18.600 --> 0:08:21.240 biggest sample size in twenty twenty two was just under 0:08:21.280 --> 0:08:25.320 forty percent. So that's kind of been his biggest issue 0:08:25.360 --> 0:08:26.720 when he gets to this level is just cutting down 0:08:26.800 --> 0:08:29.960 the strikeouts. So so far he is cutting down on 0:08:29.960 --> 0:08:31.600 the strikeouts. The town of twenty six and a half. 0:08:31.840 --> 0:08:33.800 He's got the four home runs, five sole bases, so 0:08:33.800 --> 0:08:36.600 he's hit, he's hitting and running. He's cut down on 0:08:36.640 --> 0:08:39.480 his swinging strike percentage. That's a career well right now. 0:08:39.720 --> 0:08:43.080 So that's a good sign for him. And you know, 0:08:43.200 --> 0:08:46.320 it's it's kind of like in that in between range 0:08:46.360 --> 0:08:49.400 where it's hard not to look at the data and 0:08:49.440 --> 0:08:51.400 get excited. But then you also have to remember, this 0:08:51.520 --> 0:08:53.760 is jo Adell, who has burned us four times before, 0:08:53.880 --> 0:08:56.360 at least four times just counting years if you count 0:08:56.400 --> 0:08:58.360 multiple call ups, probably more than four times, spending on 0:08:58.400 --> 0:08:59.439 how many times you picked them up. 0:09:01.160 --> 0:09:06.040 I with his let me just quickly say, with his athleticism, like, 0:09:06.400 --> 0:09:09.240 we don't need the strikeout rate to be elite. We 0:09:09.320 --> 0:09:12.200 just need it to not be an outlier so bad. 0:09:12.600 --> 0:09:15.520 So even though it's still bad, you're talking about again, 0:09:15.559 --> 0:09:18.320 an uber athletic, twenty five year old, former top prospect. 0:09:18.320 --> 0:09:21.720 If everything else is looking really good, then as long 0:09:21.760 --> 0:09:24.200 as a strikeout rate is merely one of the league's 0:09:24.240 --> 0:09:27.680 worst and not one of the worst ever, then that's 0:09:27.720 --> 0:09:28.559 a huge improvement. 0:09:29.480 --> 0:09:31.480 Yeah, there's an interesting thing in his data that I 0:09:31.559 --> 0:09:35.880 was intrigued by, but also like I don't want to 0:09:35.880 --> 0:09:37.880 say confused by, but it's something that I always kind 0:09:37.880 --> 0:09:40.640 of question, and it's that if you go on a 0:09:40.720 --> 0:09:43.120 site like fangraphs and you look at his hard hit data, 0:09:43.400 --> 0:09:46.640 that that those hard hit numbers are from Baseball Info 0:09:46.720 --> 0:09:50.760 solutions and they don't can they don't calculate hard hit 0:09:50.840 --> 0:09:53.440 data the same way that Baseball Savant does. So if 0:09:53.480 --> 0:09:55.440 you look at a fan grass and you look at 0:09:55.440 --> 0:09:57.800 his hard his hard hit rate, it looks like it's up. 0:09:57.920 --> 0:09:59.880 And you look like throughout his careers between like the 0:10:00.000 --> 0:10:02.839 thirty one point nine percent twenty twenty two, it was 0:10:02.840 --> 0:10:04.679 a blow twenty five percent. Now it's at thirty five 0:10:04.720 --> 0:10:07.760 point six percent. Looks really good, like a like a 0:10:07.800 --> 0:10:10.480 good increase. If you look at Baseball Savant, it's a 0:10:10.559 --> 0:10:13.480 drastically different story. His hard hit data for the last 0:10:13.520 --> 0:10:15.720 four years was between like thirty one and thirty nine, 0:10:15.760 --> 0:10:17.480 and this year it's a fifty three. So it's a 0:10:17.600 --> 0:10:19.920 much bigger jump. And so that's kind of like a 0:10:19.920 --> 0:10:22.719 difference in classification. But that's where you really see the 0:10:22.800 --> 0:10:25.080 jump and hard hit data, at least in terms of 0:10:25.080 --> 0:10:26.400 how they calculate it. 0:10:26.400 --> 0:10:28.520 It's a great point and I tend to default to 0:10:28.800 --> 0:10:32.360 Baseball Savant, not based on any one factor or the other. 0:10:32.400 --> 0:10:35.160 I'm just on the site more often there, But that 0:10:35.200 --> 0:10:37.080 is a good point to keep in mind. I mean, 0:10:37.760 --> 0:10:39.679 I'm I'm on a stackcast page right now. It's it's 0:10:39.679 --> 0:10:42.520 interesting to consider, Like if you look at his career 0:10:43.360 --> 0:10:48.160 prior to this season, every single like stat you're listed 0:10:48.240 --> 0:10:52.319 on is either nothing like he's average, or it's blue, 0:10:52.360 --> 0:10:53.880 which is one of the worst in the league. 0:10:54.360 --> 0:10:55.800 This year, it's a lot of red. 0:10:55.880 --> 0:10:58.880 Like the expected data is really expected batting average, expecting, 0:10:58.920 --> 0:11:01.920 slugging expected whoaba, those are all like top three percent 0:11:02.000 --> 0:11:03.920 in the league. Obviously, the hard hit rate is really 0:11:04.120 --> 0:11:06.960 really high there too, Like we just mentioned, the only 0:11:07.000 --> 0:11:09.520 thing that was ever high before was the max exit velocity, 0:11:09.559 --> 0:11:11.400 which kind of makes sense. And you guy, you know 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:13.000 he's very strong. Obviously, we know we can hit the 0:11:13.000 --> 0:11:15.040 ball hard. It just doesn't do it enough. Everything else 0:11:15.160 --> 0:11:18.600 was always like very very poor, both like not just 0:11:18.640 --> 0:11:20.800 in terms of the results, but the actual battball data too. 0:11:21.840 --> 0:11:23.520 And now, I mean we were talking before the show. 0:11:23.559 --> 0:11:26.600 It's it's all dark red on that page outside of 0:11:26.320 --> 0:11:30.240 the the you know, K rate stuff. So I mean 0:11:30.840 --> 0:11:32.679 I don't know if you actually gave an official answer. 0:11:32.880 --> 0:11:34.120 If you had to pick one to the other, are 0:11:34.120 --> 0:11:36.920 you saying fools gold or new and improved. I'm gonna 0:11:36.920 --> 0:11:38.959 say new and improved. But I also don't have him 0:11:39.000 --> 0:11:41.679 on any teams because I've been so burned by him 0:11:41.720 --> 0:11:43.560 in the past that I wasn't like rushing to pick 0:11:43.640 --> 0:11:45.160 him up when he started this hot streak. 0:11:46.000 --> 0:11:48.560 Yeah, it's it's a small sample size, but you know, 0:11:48.600 --> 0:11:50.480 we are talking twenty four games, We're getting close to 0:11:50.480 --> 0:11:55.640 a month, so it's a bigger sample size. I feel 0:11:55.640 --> 0:11:57.280 like I can't give a different advanswer, like one way 0:11:57.320 --> 0:11:58.520 or another. I'd almost have to put it like on 0:11:58.559 --> 0:12:01.800 a scale of like one to ten, with like you know, 0:12:02.320 --> 0:12:04.800 ten being new and improved and one being fools gold. 0:12:04.840 --> 0:12:09.560 I would have to put it at like like I 0:12:09.559 --> 0:12:11.520 can't even answer, I don't know, like a five right 0:12:11.559 --> 0:12:11.960 in the middle. 0:12:12.240 --> 0:12:13.200 This was your topic. 0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:18.240 I was hoping to have a definitive answer. It's really impressive. 0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:20.880 I would I'm like right in the middle of like 0:12:20.920 --> 0:12:22.719 I'm you know, because like if you asked me two 0:12:22.720 --> 0:12:24.400 weeks ago, I would have just had one hundred percent 0:12:24.400 --> 0:12:27.560 fools gold, Like I'm out not interested. But but the 0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:30.520 longer this goes on, the more I'm going from from 0:12:30.600 --> 0:12:32.800 three to four to five, And now I'm I'm on 0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:36.680 the fence and intrigued and like wanting to lean in 0:12:36.760 --> 0:12:38.400 the new and improved direction. 0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:43.240 Let's go to our picture here, Eric Fetti, And you know, 0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:45.360 this is something that's really been driven by the last 0:12:45.440 --> 0:12:48.000 few starts, right Like, if you look at as season 0:12:48.040 --> 0:12:50.760 long numbers, they are very good. It's a two sixty eer, 0:12:51.600 --> 0:12:54.280 thirty four and two thirds innings, thirty nine strikeouts, one 0:12:54.320 --> 0:12:59.079 oh seven whip that's across six starts, so it looks 0:12:59.080 --> 0:13:02.720 good for the year, but it looks superb recently. To 0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:06.160 start the year, it was, you know, two runs and 0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:08.520 four and two thirds innings, one run in five innings, 0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:11.200 four runs in five innings. But then that's the first 0:13:11.240 --> 0:13:14.080 three starts. The last three zero runs in five and 0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:17.239 two thirds, one run in six innings, two runs. 0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:17.760 In eight and a third. 0:13:17.800 --> 0:13:21.320 He's getting better each time out and those three starts 0:13:21.320 --> 0:13:25.880 have five eleven and nine strikeouts respectively, just three walks 0:13:25.920 --> 0:13:28.120 across those three starts, all of which came in the 0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:32.200 same start. So he's been he's been truly excellent in 0:13:32.240 --> 0:13:34.920 the last three weeks. That's come against the Royals who 0:13:34.920 --> 0:13:37.600 have been really good this season, the Twins who are 0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:39.520 on a hot streak, and the Rays who are a 0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:42.640 good team. Not not that those are the three juggernaut offenses, 0:13:42.679 --> 0:13:45.840 but those are three quality teams to varying degrees. So 0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:49.000 he's been he's been excellent lately, good throughout the course 0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:52.400 of the year. Is he fools gold or new and improved? 0:13:53.440 --> 0:13:56.200 So with Eric Fetti, I he's again. I would have 0:13:56.200 --> 0:14:00.520 immediately like dismissed him as fools Gold just because of 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:04.120 the track record of not being very good. But I'm 0:14:04.160 --> 0:14:08.000 extremely intrigued by what he's doing. And you know, he 0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:10.560 went over to Korea for a year, and as he's 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:12.600 not the first pitcher we've seen go over to Korea 0:14:12.640 --> 0:14:16.559 and just kind of reinvent themselves and just kind of reset, 0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:20.920 rethink everything, get some different advice over there, attack hitters 0:14:20.920 --> 0:14:23.560 a different way. And he's a completely different picture now. 0:14:23.720 --> 0:14:28.880 And that's what's most intriguing about Eric Betty. He he 0:14:29.000 --> 0:14:31.640 used to be like a sinker curveball, a little bit 0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:35.040 of a cutter pitcher who would sprinkle in the occasional changeup. 0:14:35.480 --> 0:14:39.520 He's completely overhauled his arsenal. He still throws the sinker, 0:14:39.600 --> 0:14:42.200 he throws a sweeper now, and now he throws a splitter, 0:14:42.560 --> 0:14:45.920 and so he's just completely revamped his whole approach, which is, 0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:50.040 you know, really intriguing. His sinker two years ago had 0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:52.040 a you know, three oh seven batting average against. Now 0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:55.200 it's around two oh eight. But the sweeper is doing 0:14:55.240 --> 0:14:57.280 really well, and the splitter has a one to fifty 0:14:57.320 --> 0:15:00.400 four batting average against. So he's just reimagine. And you know, 0:15:00.520 --> 0:15:02.400 you know how much I love a pitch mix. I'm 0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:05.920 just a pitch mixed fiend, and so whenever someone overhauls 0:15:05.920 --> 0:15:09.320 their pitch mix, I'm all about it. And so, but 0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:11.520 that's what's really interesting about it. He's still he used 0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.360 to throw a cutter, and he still throws a cutter 0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:16.800 about the same amount, but he's cut down in a 0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:19.640 sinker a little bit. He's ditched a curveball for a sweeper, 0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:22.560 and now he's like he's basically ditched the change up 0:15:23.120 --> 0:15:25.640 for a splitter that he throws a lot more than 0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:28.000 he ever threw his change up, and he's got really 0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:30.440 good results. And I'm intrigued. 0:15:31.760 --> 0:15:36.440 Are you intrigued or are you spending real fab dollars 0:15:36.480 --> 0:15:39.040 to pick him up because he's still available in places 0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:42.400 from people who I think are hesitant to dive right in. 0:15:42.600 --> 0:15:45.680 And again, it's really only the last three starts that 0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:48.920 are carrying the bulk of this, So it's not like, oh, 0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.320 we've seen the entire first month of the season he's 0:15:51.360 --> 0:15:54.560 been dominant. It's been Hey, these are three amazing starts 0:15:54.600 --> 0:15:57.440 in a row. A lot of pitchers have the ability 0:15:57.480 --> 0:15:58.840 to have three good starts in a row. 0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:03.080 Yeah, I'm I'm spending fab on him to pick him 0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:05.560 up just because pitching has kind of been all over 0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:08.480 the place. He's done some good things. His numbers in 0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:12.640 Korea last year were really good, like Cyon type numbers. 0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:14.640 He had one hundred eighty innings, two hundred and nine strikeouts, 0:16:14.640 --> 0:16:17.400 and an ERA of exactly two, with some expected numbers 0:16:17.440 --> 0:16:19.760 that were just slightly above two. Right now, his ERA 0:16:19.880 --> 0:16:22.240 is two point six and his expected numbers are higher. 0:16:22.360 --> 0:16:24.640 His fIF is four. The other numbers are around three 0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:27.680 point two, so there's some aggression coming, but that's still 0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:30.080 really good, especially if you're getting more than a strikeout. 0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:34.200 Painting from Eric Fetty. I'm spending some fabot him I'm 0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:35.400 just in adding him in my leagues. 0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:38.840 By the way, this is nothing to do with Eric Fetty. 0:16:39.120 --> 0:16:42.560 I'm just looking up Dar. I just want to say 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:44.280 because I'm very excited about it as an Oils fan. 0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:45.720 We were going to move on for the topic anyway. 0:16:46.000 --> 0:16:49.880 Kyle Bradish is making his debut today. I thought, if 0:16:49.960 --> 0:16:52.560 you asked me in March, is Kyle Brash gonna pick 0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:54.920 pitch this season? I would have bet all of my 0:16:55.000 --> 0:16:57.240 money that he doesn't like these just types of elbow 0:16:57.280 --> 0:17:00.920 injuries for pictures, like, they just don't have happy endings typically. 0:17:01.880 --> 0:17:03.880 And in the first inning of this afternoon game against 0:17:03.880 --> 0:17:06.400 the Yankees, which is going on right now, he had 0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:10.919 increased velocity on his pitches and even more spin on 0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:13.639 his slider than he had last year. So new and 0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:15.360 improved Kyle Bradish just. 0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:17.760 Well, if there's something that always ends well, it's elbows. 0:17:17.760 --> 0:17:20.760 So we've never seen that go poorly. 0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:23.280 Yeah, just let me have this while he's having a 0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:26.399 decent outing and maybe he'll have a terrible adding and 0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:29.080 the game is still early, but all right, let's go 0:17:29.119 --> 0:17:31.240 to the next Let's go to the next topic here, 0:17:31.480 --> 0:17:36.200 more pitching talk. We took one breakout one bounce back 0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:39.239 and one player who's been a disappointment, and we're going 0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:42.320 to try and rank these three rest of season. Those 0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:45.639 players are the breakout is Nicolodola, the bounce back is 0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:49.600 Jack Flaherty, and the injured slash bad is Blake Snell, 0:17:49.680 --> 0:17:52.240 who obviously signed very late in the process. So it 0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:54.119 was kind of an odd offseason, but coming off of 0:17:54.359 --> 0:17:57.800 a superb twenty twenty three. So how do you want 0:17:57.800 --> 0:17:59.119 to approach this? Do you want to give me your 0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:01.960 rankings and then see if I agree? Do you want 0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:04.359 to kind of talk it out first and then settle 0:18:04.359 --> 0:18:06.840 on a rankings, Because I think there are three interesting guys, 0:18:06.880 --> 0:18:08.520 I have a sense of how I would rank them, 0:18:08.880 --> 0:18:10.280