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Speaker 1: I got a great idea for the apeople. Why don't

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Speaker 1: we burn it to the ground. That's a great idea.

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Speaker 1: Serious face, Is it too much to ask, friends out

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Speaker 1: there on this Tuesday night, September ninth, year of Old Lord,

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, jam packed high atop a sun soaked

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Speaker 1: downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Is it too much to ask that

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Speaker 1: people who cover this sport, who vote on things that

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Speaker 1: have to do with this sport, actually watch the sport.

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Speaker 1: And it turns out we have an answer to the question. Yes,

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Speaker 1: it is too much to ask. It is Tuesday night,

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Speaker 1: which normally means it's game prediction night, and we got

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Speaker 1: a ton of predictions because we have a really, really,

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Speaker 1: really big week ahead of us. But I have to

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Speaker 1: address nonsense as the future commissioner of this sport. No

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Speaker 1: one else is gonna do it. God knows the ap

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Speaker 1: He's not gonna do it, So I'll do it. I

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Speaker 1: have some things and some people, but mainly some things

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Speaker 1: that really have to be called to task tonight. I've

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Speaker 1: got a new JP pole. At the end of the show,

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Speaker 1: I've got what Tennessee, Georgia, Georgia, Tennessee say, the home

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Speaker 1: team last kids. We've got usf at Miami, which, unbeknownst

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Speaker 1: to some is a top fifteen matchup, not merely a

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Speaker 1: Top twenty or top twenty five matchup. We've got Florida

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Speaker 1: in total wounded animal slash wounded Gator mode going into LSU.

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Speaker 1: We've got Clemson going into Georgia Tech. That's a game

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Speaker 1: I circled in the spring. Everyone laughed at me, remember Bradley,

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Speaker 1: They laughed at us. They laughed at us. Clemson's favor

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Speaker 1: by three and a half at Georgia Tech ACC Game

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Speaker 1: of the year potential there Saturday and noon kickoff. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we got a lot to get to and two added

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Speaker 1: best bets before we go off of this air tonight.

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Speaker 1: They're watching us in Salt Lake City, Utah. I'm just

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Speaker 1: telling you we're jam packed. We're jam packed, We're fired up.

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Speaker 1: It's not the night to be trifled with. They're watching

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Speaker 1: us in London, England. What time is it there after midnight? Well,

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Speaker 1: you stayed up for a good reason. We will deliver

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Speaker 1: for you immunity. They are watching us in Shreveport, Louisiana

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Speaker 1: and Beaumont, Texas. Hey, the social channels are exploding. Look

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Speaker 1: if you're not following, you're not really getting the full

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Speaker 1: experience at Josh pat CFB. Go find it Twitter, Instagram,

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Speaker 1: TikTok pres blowing up the TikTok channel. So yeah, go

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Speaker 1: follow all right, you asked for it, you got it,

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Speaker 1: and I'm starting to show with it tonight. Nice neat

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Speaker 1: stack of papers here, so many big games to talk about,

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Speaker 1: and we're going to get to them in just a second.

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Speaker 1: You know it. I know it now, the whole world

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Speaker 1: knows it. The AP pole is a disaster. No matter

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Speaker 1: how little you think of the people running college football,

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Speaker 1: you still think too highly of them. Now. The ap

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Speaker 1: poles especially been a joke this year. I'm not quite

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Speaker 1: sure why it stood out more to me, but we've

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Speaker 1: talked about it on the show already a couple of times,

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Speaker 1: and I think that's helped to shed a little more

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Speaker 1: light on just how ridiculous some of this stuff is.

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Speaker 1: And you may already be thinking to yourself, the AP pole,

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Speaker 1: that doesn't matter. It matters. It does matter, maybe not

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Speaker 1: in the ways you think it does, but it does matter.

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Speaker 1: We've got a systemic issue here, so let's call it out.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about it. So the college football public since

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Speaker 1: there's been a whole lot more light shed on this

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Speaker 1: farce of a pole so far this season has taken

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Speaker 1: upon themselves to do sort of a college football public

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Speaker 1: ballot audit, and by that I mean they've started to

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Speaker 1: turn over some rocks and it's been ugly what they

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Speaker 1: found underneath. It just gonna shock you if you're just

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Speaker 1: a casual observer of this sport. But I am here

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Speaker 1: to tell you that there are a lot of people

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Speaker 1: with their hands on this sport who not only have

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Speaker 1: no clue about the sport, they don't really even care

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Speaker 1: about it all that much. As you gasp in disbelief,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to have Bradley tee up a little bit

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Speaker 1: of sound for you, So I'm gonna show you video

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Speaker 1: of a young lady by the name of Hailey Sawyer.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna pause before we play the video, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna tell you this segment's not really even about her.

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Speaker 1: She's taken a beating online today with good reason cause

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Speaker 1: her poll's a joke. However, it's really not even on her.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the video and just show you know

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Speaker 1: the context here. Florida lost to USF the other night

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Speaker 1: in this person's ballot. Florida then jumped too spots from

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Speaker 1: sixteen to fourteen, and USF remained unranked. Okay, obviously she

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Speaker 1: didn't watch the game and has no clue that USF

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Speaker 1: even won the game. That's no breaking news because honestly,

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Speaker 1: she's probably not even the only person who didn't know

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Speaker 1: that it happened. A lot of the people who have

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Speaker 1: AP votes are beat writers. They have a job to

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Speaker 1: do to cover a team, and so you know, it's

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Speaker 1: not out of the realm of possibility. They just kind

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Speaker 1: of mail their ballot in. If that were the case,

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Speaker 1: this would be one of a million and one examples

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Speaker 1: of that happening. But that's not the case, because then

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Speaker 1: what Haley did is she went public and she talked

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Speaker 1: about it, and what would have disappeared or probably never

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Speaker 1: even been seen to begin with, by ninety nine percent

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Speaker 1: of the sporting society is now front and center, and

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Speaker 1: it's been everywhere today without further ado, here's Haley Sawyer

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Speaker 1: roll at Bradley.

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Speaker 2: But as far as what my votes are and what

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Speaker 2: my process is, you know, I wake up early in

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Speaker 2: the morning after covering a game late in the night before,

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Speaker 2: don't want to go too much into my progress or

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Speaker 2: process or logic, but I will say I appreciate everybody's

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Speaker 2: interaction on social media and all of your feedback. You know,

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Speaker 2: there's tons of people that vote on the AP pole

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Speaker 2: and like it's not a perfect system, but at the

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Speaker 2: end of the day, like no matter who you pick,

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Speaker 2: it does even out because there's so many people who vote,

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Speaker 2: and like I said, it's really fun for discussion it

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Speaker 2: as in, you know, probably matter in the end. But

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Speaker 2: I'm glad that people are having a really good time.

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Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen the AP voting process. I see a

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Speaker 1: couple of people already taking shots at her for things

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Speaker 1: that we're not going to let you take shots at

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Speaker 1: anyone for in the live chat. So cool that a

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Speaker 1: lot of people are going to try to turn this

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Speaker 1: into a gender debate. Don't do that. There are plenty

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Speaker 1: of fools out there voting on this stuff who are

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Speaker 1: about as American, red blooded male as it gets, and

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Speaker 1: theirs are no better. It has nothing to do with that.

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Speaker 1: My visceral reaction when I saw that wasn't even about her.

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Speaker 1: She's a beat reporter, she covers usc. I've never met her.

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Speaker 1: I don't know anything about her. I assume she does

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Speaker 1: a great job. It's about the entire process. We've got

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Speaker 1: athletic directors on the playoff committee that have every bit

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Speaker 1: as little a clue about what's going on as she did.

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Speaker 1: At least she's got a job to do and she's

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Speaker 1: doing it. At least she's turning in a story late

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Speaker 1: at night about USC football. We got people who are

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Speaker 1: athletic directors that are deciding the playoff rankings that have

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Speaker 1: no possible way to watch these games, and to pretend

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Speaker 1: otherwise is asinine. And I look at pro sports out there,

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Speaker 1: and sometimes I wonder when they look at college athletics

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Speaker 1: and they look at some of the quote unquote problems

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Speaker 1: we have, how laughable it must be. This is totally avoidable,

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Speaker 1: as are many of the instances of anything from laughable

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Speaker 1: to corrupt in our sport. Most of it's avoidable. It's

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Speaker 1: just college football is gate kept by a bunch of clowns.

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Speaker 1: So I looked at that, I listened to that. I

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Speaker 1: probably initially thought the same thing as you did, but

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Speaker 1: I quickly moved past having any kind of anger or

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Speaker 1: any kind of resentment, or any kind of anything towards

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Speaker 1: Hailey Sawyer because she can only exercise a vote that's

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Speaker 1: given to her. I have looked for a long time

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Speaker 1: around press boxes, or around polls, or around Heisman voting,

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Speaker 1: and I've just been in disbelief at the people who

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Speaker 1: participate in it, because I know good and well most

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Speaker 1: of them don't care. At least, she admitted, it's not

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Speaker 1: that big deal. I don't really take it all that seriously.

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Speaker 1: We got a little situation here where too many people

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Speaker 1: with a voice in college football care less than the

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Speaker 1: people without a voice. It's just that it's being exposed

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Speaker 1: more now.

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Speaker 3: It's been the.

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Speaker 1: Case for a while. And I know you know I've

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Speaker 1: told this story before. Again, I want to make sure

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Speaker 1: you understand this extends well beyond her. Forget about her, okay,

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Speaker 1: push the one individual off to the side. It is

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Speaker 1: a systemic sort of issue. It's not a crisis. Okay.

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Speaker 1: The world's not going to burn down because of this.

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Speaker 1: I'm not suggesting it is, but it's more of a

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Speaker 1: symptom than the problem itself. The problem is college football

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Speaker 1: is gate kept by clowns. College football for a long

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Speaker 1: time has been run by people who could not care

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Speaker 1: less about the sport. College football sort of a play

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Speaker 1: toy for them. College football is sort of a mechanism

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Speaker 1: for them. In some cases, it's just so they can

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Speaker 1: feel authoritative about something and they couldn't get their hands

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Speaker 1: on a pro sport, so they had to settle for

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Speaker 1: fooling people into putting them in administrative positions that they

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Speaker 1: slithered their way up the ladder in in college athletics,

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Speaker 1: and then Louis Hale thirty years later. They get to

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Speaker 1: decide who votes on this and who votes on that,

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Speaker 1: and who decides this and who runs that committee.

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Speaker 3: So they don't really take it seriously. They don't love it.

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Speaker 3: A lot of them don't love it at all.

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Speaker 1: It's just kind of an on rep for some of

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Speaker 1: them to get where they want to go, which is

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Speaker 1: news or politics, and for others it's just they kind

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Speaker 1: of failed their way up and then they build a

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Speaker 1: model where that ends up happening. And for a long time,

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Speaker 1: you know, you had media obviously complicit in it, because

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Speaker 1: that's who participates in it. And only in the last

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Speaker 1: ten years have you ever even had the ability for

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Speaker 1: someone to shine a light on it, anybody who had

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Speaker 1: a platform big enough. Fifteen twenty years ago to shine

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Speaker 1: a light on it was part of it. That's kind

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Speaker 1: of low key. Why they hate shows like this. They

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Speaker 1: hate the platform. I hit podcasting, YouTube, they hate that. Boy.

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Speaker 1: They had a nice thing going for a long time

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Speaker 1: and only recently has it been called out. Well, Josh,

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Speaker 1: I mean, she's she's got to cover a USC game.

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Speaker 1: I know that she has no clue. She has no

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Speaker 1: clue that the us F Florida game even happened. Not

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Speaker 1: her fault. It's no more her fault than once upon

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Speaker 1: a time, I was with my mom when I was

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Speaker 1: a kid in the Peachtree Mall parking lot in Columbus, Georgia,

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Speaker 1: and this kid got into the driver's seat of his

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Speaker 1: mother's van while she wasn't looking, and actually put it

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Speaker 1: in drive. The car started moving, so there's a freak

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Speaker 1: out briefly, and then the parent, I can't remember if

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Speaker 1: it was a mom or a dad, but the parent

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Speaker 1: runs over and hits the e brake or you know,

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Speaker 1: puts it in park. And then guess what the parent did.

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Speaker 1: The parents started yelling at the kid. The little two

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Speaker 1: or three year old kid gets yelled at, and I remember,

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Speaker 1: even as a fellow kid, I looked at that situation

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Speaker 1: and thought, why is the kid in trouble? The parent's

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Speaker 1: the one dumb enough to leave the keys in the

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Speaker 1: car that's running with an unattended kid in the front seat.

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Speaker 1: So a lot of people looked at this today and said, oh,

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Speaker 1: Haley Sawyer take her vote away. Uh, well, guess what

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Speaker 1: you're gonna have If you take her vote away, you're

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Speaker 1: gonna have a whole bunch of other people who just

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Speaker 1: happen to not be exposed on this particular Tuesday, in

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Speaker 1: this particular week, who have every bit as big an issue,

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Speaker 1: who still have votes. And if you think that's a joke,

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Speaker 1: you ought to see the Heisman voter roll. So you

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Speaker 1: can either look at it and say, yeah, that's a

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Speaker 1: problem that should be addressed, or you could say, Oh,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter, It doesn't really matter at all.

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Speaker 1: Well what does matter to you? Oh? The ap pole

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter, Josh? What matters to you? Well, of course,

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Speaker 1: the college football playoff rankings matter. Where do you think

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Speaker 1: they get their baseline opinion from? Where do you think

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Speaker 1: they get their starting point from? You don't think this

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Speaker 1: thing right here shapes their thinking. These people are just

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Speaker 1: as inept and just as unqualified or incapable of watching

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Speaker 1: college football in totality as the AP voters are. Do

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Speaker 1: you understand what makes up the College Football Playoff Committee?

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Speaker 1: By the way, it's a bunch of athletic directors. There's

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Speaker 1: one media representative, which credit to our friends at College

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Speaker 1: Football Nerds. I wasn't even fully aware of not only

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Speaker 1: that fact that that exists, but the egregiousness of who

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Speaker 1: that representative is year to year. Those people have no

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Speaker 1: more qualification to rank teams than most of the AP voters.

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Speaker 1: Do I kid you not. There're two thousand people watching

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Speaker 1: this show right now, in this live chat that are

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Speaker 1: more qualified than most AP voters and many people on

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Speaker 1: that playoff committee. It's just that college football has been

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Speaker 1: gate kept for a long time by people who had

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Speaker 1: enough authority to make sure that the entire system was

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Speaker 1: this big a joke. And I'm not quite sure absent

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Speaker 1: electing me commissioner, of course, I'm not quite sure how

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Speaker 1: it changes. But I will say the one thing that

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Speaker 1: people who are dumb enough to build this kind of

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Speaker 1: model have in common is they're not particularly talented, and

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Speaker 1: they also don't really love criticism, and they incur a

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Speaker 1: lot more criticism these days than they ever did before,

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Speaker 1: because a lot of the ineptitude is more visible these

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Speaker 1: days than it ever has been before. But I just

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Speaker 1: wanted to lead with it. Yes I saw it, and

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Speaker 1: yes it's pathetic. I just think it's bigger than one person.

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Speaker 1: That's all I will say this AP voter or not,

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Speaker 1: they'll welcome you at Quick Trip. We may not welcome

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Speaker 1: you on this show, depending on your ballot, but they'll

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Speaker 1: welcome you at Quick Trip. You can fuel up, you

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Speaker 1: can go in, you can get cold brew on tap.

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Speaker 1: It won't even be out of order for you. I

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Speaker 1: would argue it should be now. Maybe you need a

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Speaker 1: little coffee. Stay up a little later. Actually, look at

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Speaker 1: final scores before you turn on your ballot.

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Speaker 3: No, it's a bridge too far.

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Speaker 1: Nevertheless, cross the bridge. Look on the side of the road.

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Speaker 1: Quick Trips there, go in, fuel up, fill up. They

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Speaker 1: are fueling the whole tour this entire year. Fall don't

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Speaker 1: Live tour, he almost said, almost said, whole New Saturday tour.

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Speaker 1: We're headed to Knoxville, Tennessee this Saturday. We'll be on

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Speaker 1: the sideline for Georgia, Tennessee. We will be there with

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Speaker 1: bells on Now, any of you who are die hard

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Speaker 1: viewers slash listeners of the show know that when we

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Speaker 1: go to Knoxville, we have a special tradition on Saturday morning,

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Speaker 1: and I don't know, you'll have to be watching the

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Speaker 1: Instagram story to see it. At Josh pat CFB. You

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Speaker 1: have to be following there for Friday night lines anyway,

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Speaker 1: So I don't know why you wouldn't be there. But

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Speaker 1: it's a beautiful, beautiful thing. I don't care if you

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Speaker 1: love Tennessee or despise Tennessee. That particular tradition we have

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Speaker 1: on Saturday mornings when we're in.

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Speaker 3: Knoxville tough to replicate.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of that game, let's break it down as as

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Speaker 1: God intended us to do on Tuesday nights. Let's break

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Speaker 1: this down. Georgia, Tennessee, Saturday, three point thirty Eastern kickoff

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Speaker 1: right there in Kneeland Stadium on ABC. The market has

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Speaker 1: corrected on this one violent swing on the old odds board.

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Speaker 1: Here you see at the bottom of your screen if

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Speaker 1: you're watching it on YouTube, Georgia minus three and a half. Well,

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Speaker 1: they weren't a couple of days ago. There were seven

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites when this thing first opened

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Speaker 1: and I got hammered down to three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you what the model thinks on it in

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Speaker 1: a little while. I trust Georgia so much in spots

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Speaker 1: like these, that's earned trust, earned respect. They it's not

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Speaker 1: that they're invincible. Sure Tennessee can win this game. Sure

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Speaker 1: they can, but they've got to beat Georgia. Now that

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Speaker 1: sounds very very academic. Well, of course to win the game,

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Speaker 1: they have to beat them. No, No, this is college football.

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Speaker 1: A lot of times, especially when a team new quarterback

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Speaker 1: breaking in New pas they go on the road for

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Speaker 1: the first time, a lot of those outfits tend to

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Speaker 1: beat themselves. I just don't think george is one of those.

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Speaker 1: So if you're gonna beat them, you got your work

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Speaker 1: cut out for you. You will have to do absolutely

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Speaker 1: that you'll have to beat them. To me, the most

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Speaker 1: shocking outcome here would not be Georgia losing. Tennessee's a

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Speaker 1: good team. The most shocking outcome would be me watching

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Speaker 1: it and at the end of the day saying, you know,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee didn't really do anything all that special, kind of

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Speaker 1: like we talked about the Florida USF game the other day,

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Speaker 1: US f didn't do anything all that special. Florida just

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Speaker 1: oh Man kind of gave this game away. I doubt

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Speaker 1: we're saying that about Georgia as the sun goes down Saturday.

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Speaker 1: But it is a cannot versus havent situation.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 3: We see this every now and then in college football,

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Speaker 3: when something hasn't happened.

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Speaker 1: In a long time. In that case, for instance, paper

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Speaker 1: popper here, close your ears in Knoxville eight in a row.

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Speaker 1: That's the street Georgia has over Tennessee thirteen of the

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Speaker 1: last fifteen. So there's a lot of that that leads

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Speaker 1: people to think, well, hypel slash Tennessee cannot beat herby

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Speaker 1: smart slash Georgia. That's not true. They just have not.

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Speaker 1: We're what three years removed from turning the cannot beat

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Speaker 1: Alabama into a had not beaten Alabama. But now they've

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Speaker 1: beaten them two out of the last three years. Oh,

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Speaker 1: all it took was Sabin retiring.

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Speaker 3: Wrong. Wrong.

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Speaker 1: They did it to Sabin before he retired. Maybe they'll

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Speaker 1: clip Kirby here. Don't say or don't say cannot. It's

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Speaker 1: a have not situation. Tennessee. Though last year we went

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Speaker 1: to this game. Last year they thought two things, and

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Speaker 1: both of those things were wrong, and they need to

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Speaker 1: be more right about these couple of things this year.

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Speaker 1: The first thing they thought last year was they had

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Speaker 1: an edge at quarterback, even on the road. They thought,

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Speaker 1: Niko i Amaliava, this is what we recruited him here for.

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Speaker 1: This is what we invested in him for. Carson Becks

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Speaker 1: looked shaky this year. So far. Georgia was already a

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Speaker 1: two lost team by the time they played this game

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Speaker 1: last year, and so Tennessee, you know, they're coming off

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Speaker 1: the Bama win a couple of weeks later, they're going

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Speaker 1: down there and this is the moment where we're going

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Speaker 1: to take them down. And we got two edges or

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Speaker 1: so we think quarterback's going to be an edge for us,

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Speaker 1: and we got the better run game, and neither one

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Speaker 1: of those really played out. Beck thoroughly outplayed Niko Yamaliava.

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Speaker 1: A padlock stat from this game last year. Georgia was

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Speaker 1: eleven to one edge on passes of fifteen plus yards.

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Speaker 1: They had the explosive pass in their back pocket. Tennessee

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Speaker 1: did not. The run games were pretty even, but remember

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Speaker 1: Tennessee got up to a ten to zero lead in

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Speaker 1: this game and Georgia just boat racism thirty one to

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Speaker 1: seven the rest of the way. So Carson Beck went

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Speaker 1: off in that game. Is that what Georgia needs this year?

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Speaker 1: What kind of game? What kind of profile does this

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Speaker 1: game have this year? How do you cut the head

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Speaker 1: off the snake which Tennessee has been unable to do?

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Speaker 1: The way you cut the head off the snake, which

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Speaker 1: is what you have to do to take Georgia down,

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Speaker 1: is you got to match physicality. Now, to their credit,

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Speaker 1: I thought this was maybe one of, if not the

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Speaker 1: hardest hitting games we saw last year. Tennessee does not

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Speaker 1: ruggle to match physicality. They are an extremely physical team.

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Speaker 1: You got to be able to run the ball effectively.

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Speaker 1: That's what Tennessee does best and has for a long

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Speaker 1: time under Josh Hypel. You can always pick the ones

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Speaker 1: who do versus don't watch Tennessee games out about how

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Speaker 1: they describe Hypel's offense. Kirby talked about this earlier this week.

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Speaker 1: It's been a running theme on this show. If you

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Speaker 1: want to spot the ones who do watch the games

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Speaker 1: versus claim to watch the games, ask them to describe

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Speaker 1: Josh Iipel's offense. Cause the ones who talk about it

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Speaker 1: like it's air raid, pinball, basketball on grass. They're posing

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Speaker 1: they don't watch the games. This is a run based offense.

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Speaker 1: They rush it for twenty five hundred plus every year.

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Speaker 1: This game last year they ran it okay, no one

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Speaker 1: feared that they could throw it over the top. So

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Speaker 1: if you tell Kirby Smart, hey, we want to run

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Speaker 1: the ball, but also we can't stretch the field on

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Speaker 1: you vertically, it's a losing proposition. Don't really care whose

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Speaker 1: personnel is. Personnel is going to be good enough. So

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Speaker 1: you got to be able to run the ball effectively.

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Speaker 1: You've got to be able to limit their run. And

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Speaker 1: I think there's a lot that it mains to be

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Speaker 1: seen about the Georgia run game. They've looked markedly improved

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Speaker 1: from last year, but this is a much bigger stage.

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Speaker 1: They haven't played quality competition either. For as much as

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Speaker 1: people are saying that about Tennessee same with Georgia. And

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Speaker 1: you've got a dare Gun or Stockton to beat you,

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Speaker 1: and you got to trust Joey Aguilar to beat them.

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Speaker 1: If that sounds scary, it's cause it is. There are

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Speaker 1: no sure things here. You got to take some chances

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Speaker 1: Georgia still has a roster advantage on you. Not a

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Speaker 1: gigantic one, but they do. So you gotta find little

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Speaker 1: edges here and there where you can, and one of

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Speaker 1: them is, to my surprise, Joey Agilart has looked like

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Speaker 1: he's been playing in this system for a while so

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Speaker 1: far this year. It's just that the competition level ramps up,

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Speaker 1: the pressure level ramps up so significantly this week that

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Speaker 1: maybe he's just got it and if he's that guy

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Speaker 1: at Tennessee may win this game. If you know, that's

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Speaker 1: why we play the games. I just keep listening to

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Speaker 1: people talking about how bad George has looked offensively, Oh Josh,

403
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Speaker 1: have you seen how poorly they have looked? And it's

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Speaker 1: everything that they're saying about George's offense has one thing

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Speaker 1: in common. It's all past tense. I don't really care

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Speaker 1: what they have looked like. I care what they will

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Speaker 1: look like. And I have this sneaking suspicion, you know,

408
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Speaker 1: because I've watched this guy coach for like a decade

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Speaker 1: almost now has it been a decade? Almost a decade? Anyway,

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Speaker 1: Kirby Jeremetriuz smart does not normally run inefficient offenses out there. Now.

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Speaker 1: They may not throw for five point fifty, but they

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Speaker 1: don't really care to throw for five point fifty. What

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Speaker 1: they care to do is be balanced. Last year tight

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Speaker 1: ends put Tennessee in a blender. Mike Bobo, look, I

415
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Speaker 1: know this is a headline that they don't like here

416
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Speaker 1: in Athens had a really really good game against tim

417
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Speaker 1: Banks last year, and they find ways to win, and

418
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Speaker 1: they tailor their treatment to get offensive lineman back for

419
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Speaker 1: this game, and they go and get wide receivers out

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Speaker 1: of the portal, knowing full well, we're really not gonna

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Speaker 1: unleash whatever we do with those guys until we can

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Speaker 1: match Branch up against the star position on Tennessee's defense. Like,

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Speaker 1: I don't care. I could not care less what a

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Speaker 1: two hour ign delay and complete lethargic nature against Austin

425
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Speaker 1: p means for this game.

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Speaker 3: It means nothing for this game.

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Speaker 1: So Joey Aglar versus Kirby Smart's defense now he's at home.

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Speaker 1: But it makes me think about last week. It makes

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Speaker 1: me think about listening to Bryce Underwood and the hype

430
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:34,879
Speaker 1: around him and seeing him go against Brent Venables and

431
00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 1: he was rendered pretty helpless. Now in that case, it

432
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: was because he didn't have guys to throw to. Gunner

433
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,119
Speaker 1: Stockton has guys to throw too. Can he pull the trigger?

434
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:45,479
Speaker 1: Can he be effective? I mean, one thing that's a

435
00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 1: hallmark that you hear people say anytime they're talking about

436
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 1: him is ball control of ball security, makes good decisions.

437
00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:54,120
Speaker 3: That's all you gotta do.

438
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:55,320
Speaker 1: That's all you gotta do.

439
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:56,400
Speaker 3: It's Georgia.

440
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 1: They've surrounded you with plenty good enough players. Even to

441
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:03,200
Speaker 1: go on the road and win games like this. Tennessee

442
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 1: has not consistently stretched the field. They have not consistently

443
00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,520
Speaker 1: hit big plays through the air. This is a several

444
00:23:10,600 --> 00:23:13,760
Speaker 1: year problem for them now, and they just flat out

445
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:16,640
Speaker 1: have to do it all the rest of the stuff. Notwithstanding,

446
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 1: they just got to at least make Georgia concerned that, hey,

447
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:22,920
Speaker 1: this kid could pop us over the top if we're

448
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:25,000
Speaker 1: not careful here. You know why, we know because he

449
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 1: did it in the first quarter. That would be a

450
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 1: game changer here. Otherwise the field gets compressed and it's nothing.

451
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:35,159
Speaker 1: It's outside the opening script which you hit him with

452
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,600
Speaker 1: last year, you're just shut down. That's how it happened

453
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:39,639
Speaker 1: last year, That's how it will happen again. If they

454
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 1: can't stretch the field. So what I also wonder is

455
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,560
Speaker 1: how much pressure Tennessee is able to get without blitzing,

456
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 1: because there is a world where Georgia's offensive line is

457
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:53,000
Speaker 1: not fully gelled here, and they it looks like we'll

458
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,639
Speaker 1: get some guys back on that right side, which couldn't

459
00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 1: come soon enough. But I don't know what to expect

460
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 1: from that offensive line. I know Oklahoma last week was

461
00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:05,280
Speaker 1: put to the test and they passed that test. So

462
00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 1: maybe Georgia goes on the road here and maybe the

463
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:12,400
Speaker 1: statement of the game is the pressure or lack thereof,

464
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,840
Speaker 1: that Gunner Stockton was put under. And you've got to

465
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:18,879
Speaker 1: understand something. If you've got a superstar quarterback, there's a

466
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:22,359
Speaker 1: tendency psychologically for a team to go in a game thinking,

467
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,480
Speaker 1: like cam Ward with Miami last year, well, you know,

468
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 1: even if all else fields, he'll bail us out. No

469
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,000
Speaker 1: one's thinking that about Gunner Stockton. So there is a

470
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:34,120
Speaker 1: keen awareness in that offensive line room that this game

471
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 1: kind of rests on our shoulders, and that's pretty common

472
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 1: at Georgia, but there's something that there's something that that

473
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 1: does to you, especially when you're going on the road.

474
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 1: First game in conference play. Look, those guys have a

475
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:50,680
Speaker 1: challenge on their hands, but it wouldn't be the most

476
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:52,560
Speaker 1: shocking thing in the world of Georgia wins this, and

477
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 1: it's because that offensive line really really performed above general expectation.

478
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 1: Maybe the ground game did as well, but if it's

479
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:04,199
Speaker 1: if it's Georgia just running the ball, it's academic. So

480
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 1: that goes without saying. But they went loaded up the

481
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 1: wide receiver room, and I wonder do they.

482
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 3: Need those guys in this game?

483
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 1: And if they do, you know, is this the time

484
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 1: where we see a couple of those guys break out,

485
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,919
Speaker 1: Because there's really good versatility and depth in that room.

486
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:24,480
Speaker 1: But overall, it's just I'm waiting for Tennessee to finally

487
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 1: make it happen in this matchup. And the mentality I

488
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 1: have is while I'll sit there and say stop saying

489
00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 1: they can't, stop saying they can't, it's also fair to

490
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 1: say I'm gonna make Georgia prove me wrong by losing

491
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:41,919
Speaker 1: instead of prove me wrong by winning. So here's what

492
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 1: FanDuel thinks about the game right now. George is favored

493
00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 1: by three and a half. Our model pretty much agrees

494
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 1: Georgia minus about three. I think three in one tenths

495
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,639
Speaker 1: of a point. Yeah, I'm riding with Kirby Smart and

496
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 1: Georgia and I'm just gonna make Tennessee prove me wrong.

497
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 1: And they have. They did against BAM a few years ago,

498
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,720
Speaker 1: so it's not out of the realm of possibility. I

499
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 1: think there is vulnerability. I think there's a lot of

500
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 1: unknown for Georgia. That's why I go back to what

501
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: that G means to me, independent of the individual personnel groupings.

502
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:16,119
Speaker 1: That G to me means it's a consistent outfit and

503
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,760
Speaker 1: when they go on the road, they can handle business.

504
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 1: And if you beat them, you got to do just that.

505
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:21,920
Speaker 1: You gotta beat them. They're not going to hand you

506
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:25,840
Speaker 1: a game, and they're gonna have better athletes than you,

507
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,480
Speaker 1: and you gotta beat them as they don't hand you

508
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:28,880
Speaker 1: the game.

509
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:32,640
Speaker 3: Now, I could be wrong fence writing, according to.

510
00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 1: Some but if I am wrong, I'm gonna make Tennessee

511
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 1: prove me wrong by pulling the mild up set. There

512
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:43,040
Speaker 1: they're watching us in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Lehih Acres, Florida, spoke

513
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 1: Cane Washington. Thank you guys so much. A lot of

514
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 1: you are in.

515
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 3: The live chat. Thank you as well.

516
00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 1: Most consumed college football show in the entire galaxy. They

517
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,159
Speaker 1: tell me, so, do me a favor and subscribe to

518
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:57,760
Speaker 1: the channel. Just be nice, just be a friend of

519
00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 1: the program so we don't have to have an evil

520
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,359
Speaker 1: executive come to us one day, which can't happen because

521
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 1: we are our own boss after all. But we never

522
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 1: want anyone to say, hey, hey, here's forty trillion dollars.

523
00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 1: You want to put the show behind a paywall. No,

524
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,400
Speaker 1: we don't need to, because we got everything we need

525
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 1: right here we already do. Really, I appreciate it. Sometimes

526
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:20,159
Speaker 1: I just joke about that. What a big game I

527
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 1: have in my hand right now? No immunity there. Texas

528
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:27,719
Speaker 1: A and M at Notre Dame Saturday, seven thirty kickoff,

529
00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 1: Eastern time, NBC. Let me set the scene for you

530
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 1: right quick. If Notre Dame loses this, they start zero

531
00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 1: to two crisis freak out. There's some talk on the

532
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 1: college football streets, by the way, that if Notre Dame's

533
00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 1: ten and two and the rest of their schedule doesn't

534
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:48,200
Speaker 1: do them any favors in terms of quality wins, there's

535
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 1: some scenarios where Notre Dame at ten and two is

536
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 1: left out of the playoff. I don't believe that. I'm

537
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 1: just here to echo what I'm hearing on the streets.

538
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 1: So that's the Notre Dame side of things. The A

539
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:01,560
Speaker 1: and M side, to me is even more curious. Texas

540
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 1: A and M believes that they have built an identity

541
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 1: and built a roster that can do what Notre Dame

542
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,440
Speaker 1: wants to do better than Notre Dame camp. And that's

543
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 1: what I love. That's what I love, because I was

544
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,879
Speaker 1: circling this game in the preseason, saying, the hold on

545
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:20,560
Speaker 1: a second, that tailback stable at Notre name something fierce,

546
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:22,760
Speaker 1: and that offensive line more than proved itself to me

547
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 1: last year. But yet I've also got two or three

548
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:28,679
Speaker 1: of them that can tote it for Texas A and M.

549
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 1: And that offensive line should be good as well. And

550
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,880
Speaker 1: if I know anything about the identity Mike Elko wants

551
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,160
Speaker 1: to have, he doesn't never want to finish number two

552
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 1: in the physicality contest nationally. Oh wow, they play each

553
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 1: other early in the season. Signed me up Texas A

554
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 1: and M. Paper popper of a stat here no road

555
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 1: wins versus ranked teams since twenty fourteen little misleading because

556
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 1: it is ranked at the end of the year, which

557
00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:59,280
Speaker 1: you know, if you go and beat a team, it

558
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: serves to be mentioned that they're less likely to be

559
00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 1: ranked at the end of the year.

560
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 3: But I digress.

561
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 1: It's been tough, been tough to get traction for Texas

562
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 1: A and M on the road.

563
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 3: This is a rested Notre Dame team. Yes, they already

564
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:12,840
Speaker 3: had a buy.

565
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 1: Wounded animal mode, wounded irish mode. So let's dive in

566
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:18,640
Speaker 1: here because this right here is where we find out

567
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: about Texas A and M. But not on offense defense,

568
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 1: because defense let him down down the stretch last year.

569
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 1: Defense was what Mike Elko looked at and focused his

570
00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:30,959
Speaker 1: rage on and put both hands around the throat of

571
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 1: figuratively and said, I'm taking control here. We will not

572
00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 1: lose for the same reasons two years in a row.

573
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 1: So this is where they show you, because Miami did.

574
00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 1: Miami showed you. Miami defensively showed up against Notre Dame.

575
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 1: Words don't get stops. Players do as me mal would say.

576
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 1: So A and M's got good players, Do they have

577
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 1: good enough players against a desperate Notre Dame at home

578
00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 1: to maybe knock them off their rhythm, maybe make Notre

579
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:03,200
Speaker 1: Dame do something other than what they want to do.

580
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 1: Sort of dictate terms if you will. Twenty eight carries

581
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 1: for ninety three yards. That's what Notre Dame had against Miami,

582
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 1: and everyone looked and said, why didn't we run the

583
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 1: ball better? Could just been ruben Bain Mesador ruben Bain,

584
00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 1: Like they got really really really good guys, versatile guys,

585
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 1: three down guys in their defensive front. Maybe you won't

586
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 1: face a group like that again the rest of the year.

587
00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:27,760
Speaker 1: I guarantee you Notre Dame's banking on that number being

588
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 1: a lot higher than that. So that's part one of

589
00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:31,960
Speaker 1: what I can't wait to find out. The other one

590
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 1: is I'm gonna go right back to this theme, all right.

591
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:37,240
Speaker 1: Bryce Underwood against Brent and Venables last week, we saw

592
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 1: that we saw a young quarterback sort of get put

593
00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 1: in a pressure spot right out of the gate. Didn't

594
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 1: go well for Underwood. We're gonna see Joey Aguilar against

595
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,560
Speaker 1: Kirby Smart and Georgia this week and that'll sort of

596
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,880
Speaker 1: be his introduction to big boy college football. All due

597
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 1: respect to app State, CJ. Carr got his out of

598
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 1: the way already. CJ. Carr I thought played very admirable.

599
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 1: I thought he validated Marcus Freeman's decision to make him

600
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:06,520
Speaker 1: QB one, even though they lost against Miami. I thought

601
00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:09,960
Speaker 1: he played very well. They showed some trust in him.

602
00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 1: I think he showed that he's got a lot more

603
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,440
Speaker 1: dynamic ability, frankly than Riley Leonard showed him that he

604
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 1: had last year. Marcel Reid's going to have to respond

605
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:22,200
Speaker 1: in this game as a result. Like as much as

606
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 1: people will talk about the ground games, it's going to

607
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 1: come down to a quarterback winning the game. And you know,

608
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 1: I was doing techags this morning and David Nunho said, hey,

609
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 1: why did't Marcel Reid get more attention nationally? Well, he

610
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 1: hasn't done anything to earn it yet. I think it

611
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 1: was my answer there. And I don't mean that as

612
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,000
Speaker 1: a shot at him. I mean there was nothing Marcel

613
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 1: Reid was going to do against the first two opponents

614
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:51,160
Speaker 1: they played to change anyone's mind on him. I don't

615
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:52,960
Speaker 1: know if he's changed any Texas A and m fans

616
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: mind on him. This is where you change people's minds.

617
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 1: This is where you go in there and you steal

618
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 1: the show. This is a Colin klein game man. Colin

619
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 1: Kleines the offensive coordinator there at Texas A and M.

620
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:09,640
Speaker 1: And you know, I think they believe that vertical pass threat.

621
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:13,160
Speaker 1: I really gathered in spring. They believed in these big

622
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 1: games that those plays were gonna be there for them.

623
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 1: And it doesn't matter if they're only there once or twice.

624
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,720
Speaker 1: Number one, if you complete them, that's a big deal.

625
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 1: Number two, even if it looks like you could have

626
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:26,120
Speaker 1: completed them. And I mean, think about how differently that

627
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 1: makes someone defend you. There is one thing that could

628
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 1: be a gigantic X factor here. The Miami pass rush

629
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 1: got after Notre Dame. And I'm sitting there watching it

630
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 1: and thinking that feels unfair. Like there's some NFL offensive

631
00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 1: lines that if they had to go up against these

632
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:44,360
Speaker 1: dudes on the Miami front, would have a tough time.

633
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 3: So it seems a little unfair.

634
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 1: So I'm willing to not give a pass, but I'm

635
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 1: willing to.

636
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 3: Take it into proper consideration.

637
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:57,320
Speaker 1: Okay, you go back home. Your own one fought hard,

638
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:00,760
Speaker 1: but Reuben Bain took the game over in the fourth quarter.

639
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:05,760
Speaker 1: These things happen. Well, what if Cassius Howell does it

640
00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 1: to you this week? What if for a second straight

641
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 1: week that pressure rates off the charts. What if CJ.

642
00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 1: Carr is forced into bad looks, bad decisions, a couple

643
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 1: more turnovers, lost the turnover battle against Miami. What if

644
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 1: that happens again? And what if the number one talking

645
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,240
Speaker 1: point about that team last year, which was the offensive

646
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 1: line for Notre Dame, ends up being low key of

647
00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 1: vulnerability the first two weeks. I don't think it'll ever

648
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 1: be a weakness relative to the whole country, but Notre

649
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 1: Dame is not gonna have a weak offensive line. It

650
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 1: just so happens, or it could happen that they faced

651
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 1: two really really bad matchups the first two games of

652
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 1: their season. If that happens, you can start ohing two

653
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:47,200
Speaker 1: very well, could start O in two. So let me

654
00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 1: show you what the model thinks about this game. Vanduel

655
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 1: right now has got this Notre Dame minus six and

656
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 1: a half model just a little bit lower than that

657
00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 1: model's got Notre Dame minus five. There's something about desperation

658
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:03,120
Speaker 1: mode and really really good staffs with time to prepare

659
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,239
Speaker 1: at home field advantage that makes it tough to go

660
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 1: against them. But I do think this is going to

661
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 1: be a dogfight. I do think points are going to

662
00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:12,239
Speaker 1: be at a premium. May lean the under on this

663
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:13,759
Speaker 1: when it's sitting in forty nine and a half. I'm

664
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 1: not betting the under, at least not right now, but

665
00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 1: I will take Texas A and M plus the points. However,

666
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:21,399
Speaker 1: I will take Notre Dame to win. I think it'll

667
00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 1: be a one possession kind of game, so I will

668
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,280
Speaker 1: take Notre Dame to win. There is not a dime

669
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 1: of my money that will be bet on a side

670
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 1: in that game. The odds to win the national title

671
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:33,840
Speaker 1: right there. Notre Dame's in at Texas A and M

672
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 1: would shoot up that thing if they were to win

673
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 1: this game. You can go to Academy Sports and Outdoors

674
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:40,799
Speaker 1: before a lot of you are headed up there. I

675
00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 1: know a lot of you Texas A and M fans

676
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:45,160
Speaker 1: have circled this one for a while and you're going

677
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:47,759
Speaker 1: to make your pilgrimage up there to South Bend, and

678
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 1: I highly recommend it. This is the best to me.

679
00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:52,440
Speaker 1: This is the best time of year to go to

680
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,080
Speaker 1: Notre Dame's campus. They would say. Later in the year

681
00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:58,160
Speaker 1: when it's cold weather sucks, So go up there when

682
00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:01,880
Speaker 1: it is late summer ride on the precipice of fall.

683
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:04,760
Speaker 1: You can feel it, you can taste it in the air.

684
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 1: And Texas A and M's Academy country. So you stop

685
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,520
Speaker 1: by academy before you head up there, and you should

686
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 1: just litter the Notre Dame campus not with garbage. You

687
00:35:15,320 --> 00:35:18,919
Speaker 1: litter it with academy wagons and tents and chairs enough

688
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 1: to where some of our friends up in South Bend go.

689
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 1: Maybe we need one of those here, Maybe we need

690
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:26,920
Speaker 1: five of those here. Maybe I ought to go to

691
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 1: academy dot com if I can't get there in person.

692
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:33,320
Speaker 1: Right now, we appreciate Academy. They don't make tailgating possible.

693
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:36,120
Speaker 1: Tailgating has been around since the cavemen. No, it makes

694
00:35:36,160 --> 00:35:40,799
Speaker 1: tailgating better, or camping and hunting and fishing and any

695
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 1: outdoor recreational activities, but tailgating amongst those. Let's continue. We

696
00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 1: got more games to break down. Who boy, I thought

697
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 1: we were gonna be at this game last week, then

698
00:35:56,200 --> 00:36:00,480
Speaker 1: things happened. Florida plays LSU this Saturday, seven thirty kickoff

699
00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:03,440
Speaker 1: Death Valley at night. You know the thing, seven thirty

700
00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 1: Eastern time on ABC. Florida fans are furious for obvious reasons.

701
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 1: LSU fans are generally unhappy right now for less than

702
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:14,880
Speaker 1: obvious reasons, because most of you did not watch the

703
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,120
Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech game last week. That would be where they

704
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 1: were favored by thirty seven and a half and scored

705
00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 1: twenty three. Offense looked like it wanted to be anywhere

706
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:28,399
Speaker 1: other than Tiger Stadium. So here we go, Oh right,

707
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:33,480
Speaker 1: Florida LSU Part nine hundred. College football is not world

708
00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 1: wrestling entertainment. There is a general line of thinking out

709
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:39,760
Speaker 1: there that is much akin to watching a wrestling match,

710
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 1: and that is all right, Well, so and so got

711
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:46,879
Speaker 1: the upper hand. Here comes the comeback feed, the comeback feed,

712
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,560
Speaker 1: the comeback. And it's the same way with Florida. Right now,

713
00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:53,520
Speaker 1: there's a solid portion of the college football public that thinks, well,

714
00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:56,359
Speaker 1: Florida got beat last week, so this is where they'll

715
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,799
Speaker 1: bounce back. How do you know? How do you know

716
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 1: they're not just dead? Did you think Florida State was

717
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 1: gonna bounce back last year when they got beat by

718
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech? Then what happened? They were dead? How do

719
00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 1: you know Florida is not dead? I don't think they are,

720
00:37:11,239 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 1: But I don't know that. You don't know that LS

721
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:16,840
Speaker 1: you could win this game by thirty Saturday, LS, you

722
00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:18,719
Speaker 1: could also lose the game outright. That's why we're breaking

723
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 1: it down. This is another Blake Baker game. Defensive coordinator

724
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,399
Speaker 1: at LSU, this is a Blake Baker game. I would

725
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:28,960
Speaker 1: say that DJ Lagway in that offense looked pretty pedestrian

726
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:33,400
Speaker 1: against USF last week. Logic says, I should expect an

727
00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:36,480
Speaker 1: inspired effort here. But see, here's what my eyes tell me.

728
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:44,000
Speaker 1: The depth, versatility, and talent profile and pressure packages that

729
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:46,480
Speaker 1: this LSU defense is gonna throw at me if I'm

730
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 1: Florida are a different league, respectfully than what I saw

731
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 1: from USF last week. Oh, by the way, I've got

732
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:57,160
Speaker 1: two jet engines in each ear. That's called LSU at

733
00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:59,040
Speaker 1: night that I have to deal with, and I haven't

734
00:37:59,040 --> 00:38:01,279
Speaker 1: dealt with that so far this year. It's this whole

735
00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:03,279
Speaker 1: operation has been wobbly at home. Now I got to

736
00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:05,120
Speaker 1: take it on the road. That ought to be fun.

737
00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:09,360
Speaker 1: It's a Blake Baker game now. On the other hand,

738
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:13,440
Speaker 1: there's a Florida sort of production versus potential paradigm that

739
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 1: I'm fascinated about in this game. It sounds a little

740
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:20,719
Speaker 1: something like this. So sometimes you expect things about a

741
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:23,319
Speaker 1: team with Florida. I'll tell you what I expected. I

742
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 1: expected that DJ Lagway had takeover potential, he could take

743
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:30,319
Speaker 1: over a game. I expected their offensive line could do

744
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,359
Speaker 1: the same, that their ground game could do the same.

745
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:35,520
Speaker 1: I looked at this specific matchup in the preseason and said,

746
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 1: Florida's defensive line should have a decided advantage against that

747
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:43,279
Speaker 1: LSU offensive line. And you know what, I've seen absolutely

748
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,680
Speaker 1: nothing so far that shows that should be the case.

749
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 1: So the production piece is not there, But the potential

750
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:56,120
Speaker 1: piece was I just wrong? Many many are suggesting, yes,

751
00:38:56,200 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 1: I just over hyped Florida. Maybe you're right, but there

752
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:04,720
Speaker 1: is another possibility that, for my sake better be correct.

753
00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:08,520
Speaker 1: And that other possibility is no. The potential is there,

754
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 1: it's just unrealized so far, unrealized potential.

755
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 3: Well, if that's the case.

756
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,440
Speaker 1: And I don't want to do anyone's job for him.

757
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 1: But if that's the case, and play caller Billy Napier

758
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:25,439
Speaker 1: is watching this show, I'd suggest turning that potential into

759
00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:27,879
Speaker 1: production in this game, because if you don't, you may

760
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:31,279
Speaker 1: not have much more rope left, may not have many

761
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:34,840
Speaker 1: more opportunities to do that on the other side. On

762
00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:39,080
Speaker 1: the flip side, I'll ask the same question about LSU

763
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 1: in this game. I asked about the Clemson game. What

764
00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 1: will LSU ask Garrett Nussmeyer to do? Because what they

765
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 1: asked him to do in the Clemson game was very fair.

766
00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:52,359
Speaker 1: What they asked him to do in many games last

767
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 1: year was not what they asked him to do last year.

768
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:57,799
Speaker 1: For instance, in this game here was throw the ball

769
00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 1: forty eight times. Do you know that LSU ran forty

770
00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:04,279
Speaker 1: nine more plays than Florida in this game last year

771
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,560
Speaker 1: and still got beat by eleven. How's that even possible?

772
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:11,640
Speaker 1: How is it even possible? Explosive plays, that's how it's possible. So,

773
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:15,240
Speaker 1: if you find yourself in a situation where Florida stones

774
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:16,879
Speaker 1: you up front, you can't run the ball. It's third

775
00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:20,080
Speaker 1: and eight all night, and you're asking us to throw

776
00:40:20,080 --> 00:40:22,759
Speaker 1: the ball a whole lot. I'm not saying you can't win.

777
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 1: Maybe you will. I trust him, It's just I don't

778
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 1: think that's the best spot that he needs to be

779
00:40:28,440 --> 00:40:30,560
Speaker 1: put in, nor should he be put in that spot.

780
00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:33,760
Speaker 1: Just make some plays. You know, if defense holds Florida

781
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,320
Speaker 1: to twenty or less. First off, there's not this pressure

782
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:40,480
Speaker 1: to trade points. If LSU just does what they did

783
00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:45,440
Speaker 1: against Clumson, well forget that. If they can just do

784
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:49,480
Speaker 1: against Florida what USF did four point four, four point

785
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 1: five yards per carry, plenty good enough, plenty good enough.

786
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:55,760
Speaker 1: I mean, it's not an insanely high bar to clear,

787
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 1: so that'd be plenty good enough. At that point, you

788
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 1: just asked us, my don't lose this game. We'll take

789
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 1: our shots, but mainly, we just need you to get

790
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:04,799
Speaker 1: us in the right looks, need you to not turn

791
00:41:04,880 --> 00:41:07,279
Speaker 1: the ball over, make some plays, and we'll get out

792
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 1: of here with a win.

793
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:10,759
Speaker 3: That's how that should go. Will it go that way?

794
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,320
Speaker 1: The vibe coming out of LSU is just way better.

795
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 1: I don't even mean, oh, LSU's won every game they've

796
00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 1: played so far, Florida's one and one. I just mean,

797
00:41:19,200 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 1: like Brian Kelly won a game last week and threw

798
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 1: his entire staff under the bus, and then I listened

799
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:26,719
Speaker 1: to the other side and Florida lost a game, and

800
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:30,799
Speaker 1: it's like, we're not changing anything. Nope, Nope, We've got

801
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:34,360
Speaker 1: a process here, We're gonna stick to it. I don't

802
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 1: look Billy Napier does not owe the public an explanation

803
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:39,840
Speaker 1: what kind of he does, because that's who you're accountable

804
00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 1: to ultimately. But it it's highly unlikely that they're really

805
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:49,880
Speaker 1: not changing anything internally. It just may be that he

806
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:51,800
Speaker 1: didn't feel the need to share that at a podium

807
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 1: at a press conference. But man, the vibe coming off LSU.

808
00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 1: I love. I love that. It doesn't guarantee a win,

809
00:41:57,280 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 1: but I do love it because it shows the sense

810
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 1: of earth urgency that frankly, they haven't always started the

811
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:06,360
Speaker 1: season with. It shows Brian Kelly feels pressure. Pressure's not

812
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:08,120
Speaker 1: a terrible thing. It's not a bad thing at all,

813
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:10,560
Speaker 1: and he's coached for a million years, so he gets it.

814
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 1: I just look, I think they got to They probably

815
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 1: have a staff advantage here as well, so Florida's got

816
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:20,680
Speaker 1: an uphill battle. Let's take a look what the model thinks.

817
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:23,799
Speaker 1: Fan Duels got LSU minus eight and a half right now.

818
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 1: I gotta be honest with you. Before I pulled the

819
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 1: thing up, I thought we were gonna lean solidly Florida.

820
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,760
Speaker 1: We really don't. We've got LSU minus seven and a half,

821
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:35,360
Speaker 1: so I do think we'll get as inspired an effort

822
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 1: as we can get out of Florida. I do think

823
00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:40,839
Speaker 1: that it's just you couldn't afford early losses because this

824
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:42,600
Speaker 1: is the kind of game you're not supposed to win.

825
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:45,600
Speaker 1: So you got yourself in a position now where you

826
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 1: burned up all of your equity, you burned up all

827
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:50,160
Speaker 1: your insurance or wiggle room, and now you're trying to

828
00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:52,440
Speaker 1: win games as more than a touchdown dog on the

829
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:55,319
Speaker 1: road in the SEC at night, and you've shown no

830
00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:58,960
Speaker 1: offensive consistency whatsoever. Good luck with that. I will take

831
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 1: you to cover anything over a touchdown. I will take

832
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 1: Florida and the points. But unless you will find a

833
00:43:03,640 --> 00:43:08,359
Speaker 1: way to win this game, I think. But if just

834
00:43:08,480 --> 00:43:11,920
Speaker 1: on the off chance that Florida wins that game, it

835
00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:15,400
Speaker 1: does re illustrate the theory that I'm buying into. No

836
00:43:15,520 --> 00:43:17,640
Speaker 1: matter the outcome of that game, and that is the

837
00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:22,480
Speaker 1: SEC is about to be a bloodbath. Nobody's escaping undefeated.

838
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:26,839
Speaker 1: I don't think anyone's escaping with one loss. It's gonna

839
00:43:26,840 --> 00:43:29,399
Speaker 1: be bad. Well for the team, it's gonna be great

840
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,040
Speaker 1: for you and I because all we have to do

841
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 1: sit here and watch it. You know. Paintstatematerial dot Com

842
00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:38,080
Speaker 1: has new Ramen Noodle Express gear. We keep adding because

843
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:41,000
Speaker 1: that's what you keep purchasing. And so we've got new

844
00:43:41,080 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 1: designs even above and beyond this coming. And we've also

845
00:43:44,600 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 1: got the Fauldn't Lie Tour, several versions of that t shirt,

846
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:52,160
Speaker 1: got all kinds of stuff. Someone asked us for koozies

847
00:43:52,200 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 1: the other day. Boom had him in there by five

848
00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:58,080
Speaker 1: pm by close of business. Paintstatematerial dot com makes great

849
00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:01,040
Speaker 1: birthday gifts. It's not close to Christmas yet, but it's

850
00:44:01,040 --> 00:44:04,319
Speaker 1: never too early to do Christmas shopping. And we're we're

851
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:07,399
Speaker 1: updating that thing like every week. Good work being done

852
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:11,120
Speaker 1: over there. Let's continue. What a game? What a network?

853
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:13,280
Speaker 1: You know what? Everything about this makes no sense. Everything

854
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:15,400
Speaker 1: about what I'm about to say makes no sense. Okay,

855
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,840
Speaker 1: try this one on for size. South Florida is facing

856
00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:22,720
Speaker 1: Miami Saturday at three point thirty. It is a ranked

857
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:28,799
Speaker 1: matchup that will air on the CW. Yes, all of

858
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 1: that is somehow accurate. Great news though, according to the

859
00:44:32,120 --> 00:44:35,560
Speaker 1: ap USF you win this game, you may crack the

860
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:40,280
Speaker 1: top fifteen. Great news. It's opportunity. That's what this country

861
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 1: is all about. Opportunity. Now you may have to beat

862
00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 1: three ranked teams to crack the top fifteen, depending on

863
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 1: your logo, but opportunity. Nonetheless, consider consider just for a

864
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:57,919
Speaker 1: second the dynamic here. All Right, Miami knows that they've

865
00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:00,520
Speaker 1: got Florida coming up, and ay got they got some

866
00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:00,960
Speaker 1: tough games.

867
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:02,720
Speaker 3: They go to Florida State in a few weeks.

868
00:45:02,719 --> 00:45:05,120
Speaker 1: And the way this game did profile at the beginning

869
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:07,520
Speaker 1: of the year is Alec Gotlis Golish could sneak in

870
00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:11,279
Speaker 1: there and if Miami's not careful, we'll just erase all

871
00:45:11,320 --> 00:45:14,920
Speaker 1: of that. Everybody's attention is on this game. This is

872
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 1: the biggest thing to happen to the CW since Football

873
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:20,400
Speaker 1: Nightly down South aired on it ten years ago. And

874
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:22,919
Speaker 1: there may be like thirteen people in the.

875
00:45:22,920 --> 00:45:24,720
Speaker 3: World who watched that show.

876
00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:28,480
Speaker 1: But little known fact, I got my start doing a

877
00:45:28,560 --> 00:45:31,319
Speaker 1: late night local college football show in Columbus, Georgia on

878
00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:34,240
Speaker 1: the Cwjabama. I don't even know if it exists anymore.

879
00:45:34,600 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 1: So Hoops amongst Us thought that one day the butterfly

880
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:41,759
Speaker 1: effect of that show airing in one market could lead

881
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:44,880
Speaker 1: to a Top twenty matchup for the world to see.

882
00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:49,320
Speaker 1: How would it happen? The line on the game seventeen

883
00:45:49,360 --> 00:45:52,439
Speaker 1: and a half, but it was last week as well,

884
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:57,200
Speaker 1: So how would this happen. If it did happen, well,

885
00:45:57,480 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 1: I think USF would have to tilt the red zone

886
00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 1: heavily in their favor anytime they got down there, it

887
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 1: needs to be seven. And if Miami gets down there,

888
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:09,399
Speaker 1: which they're going to threes at most, somehow, some way,

889
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 1: you just gotta Todd Orlando's got his guy's got to

890
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:13,799
Speaker 1: come through in the red zone. That's the first thing.

891
00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:17,360
Speaker 1: The second thing is that Miami secondaries looked good, but

892
00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:20,600
Speaker 1: it hasn't been tested nine times yet, so maybe there's

893
00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:23,239
Speaker 1: a leak or two to be found in that Miami secondary.

894
00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:27,000
Speaker 1: Maybe it's not quite the impenetrable unit that they want

895
00:46:27,040 --> 00:46:30,640
Speaker 1: it to be at this point in the season. Maybe possibly,

896
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:34,719
Speaker 1: maybe you find a staff mismatch, you know, maybe you

897
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 1: force them into some uncomfortable positions. I'm just trying to

898
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:39,920
Speaker 1: think it out loud here. Here's why this is really tough.

899
00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:43,439
Speaker 1: You got everyone's attention. The great news is you won

900
00:46:43,520 --> 00:46:45,719
Speaker 1: last week. The bad news is you won last week,

901
00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 1: and so you got everyone's attention. This is the best

902
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 1: team that you've played so far. By my estimation, obviously

903
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:56,360
Speaker 1: it's a Doe down spot for USF. Just purely betting

904
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:59,160
Speaker 1: terminology here for a second. But you find if you

905
00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 1: bet this stuff over a long period of time. The

906
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:07,640
Speaker 1: commonalty in college football is teams rarely play up three

907
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:11,960
Speaker 1: weeks in a row. And USF beat Boise convincingly in

908
00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:14,520
Speaker 1: week one. They go into the swamp and win. Last week,

909
00:47:14,560 --> 00:47:16,680
Speaker 1: it's the biggest, maybe one of the biggest wins in

910
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,280
Speaker 1: the history of that program. Now you're gonna go play Miami,

911
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:21,480
Speaker 1: you gotta be up a third straight week. Normally it

912
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:24,560
Speaker 1: doesn't happen. Even for the great teams programs, it doesn't happen.

913
00:47:24,600 --> 00:47:27,480
Speaker 1: So you got that. And also, Carson Beck knows how

914
00:47:27,520 --> 00:47:30,560
Speaker 1: to take what you give him. DJ Lagway last week

915
00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:32,600
Speaker 1: we made the illustration on the show. It felt like

916
00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:35,000
Speaker 1: Florida kept trying to hit home runs all night when

917
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:38,040
Speaker 1: all they needed was a single. Carson Beck will single

918
00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:40,120
Speaker 1: you to death. He'll go three to four hole on

919
00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:43,000
Speaker 1: the right side. Got no problem with it. Now he

920
00:47:43,040 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 1: can pop you over the top if you give it

921
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:46,840
Speaker 1: to him. But they don't care. They'll go on thirteen

922
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:49,600
Speaker 1: play drives all night and be fine with it. Miami's

923
00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:52,160
Speaker 1: got takeover potential on both sides of the line of

924
00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:55,480
Speaker 1: scrimmage in this game. On the other hand, Alex Golish

925
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:58,799
Speaker 1: has shown the propensity to ugly these games up. And

926
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:00,400
Speaker 1: what they're trying to do is just get it to

927
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:01,960
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. If they can get it to the

928
00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,759
Speaker 1: fourth quarter and they got a puncher's chance, they'll take

929
00:48:04,800 --> 00:48:07,600
Speaker 1: their chances. So will they get it there. Let's take

930
00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:10,080
Speaker 1: a look at what the model thinks about this game.

931
00:48:11,120 --> 00:48:12,640
Speaker 1: You see on the bottom of the screen right now,

932
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:17,480
Speaker 1: FanDuel's got Miami minus seventeen and a half. The model

933
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:22,680
Speaker 1: thinks Miami minus fourteen and a half. I disagree with

934
00:48:22,719 --> 00:48:24,720
Speaker 1: the model. I don't think this is a good spot

935
00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:27,680
Speaker 1: at all for USF. I fully credit them for making

936
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:29,520
Speaker 1: this game matter to the degree it does. Four to

937
00:48:29,640 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 1: thirty kickoff, by the way, not three thirty, my bad.

938
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Miami to win and cover. I think

939
00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:36,440
Speaker 1: it's like a twenty point win that kind of game

940
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:41,240
Speaker 1: from Miami. So it's not. By the way, If USF

941
00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:44,319
Speaker 1: loses this game and anyone in their right mind looks

942
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:46,399
Speaker 1: and says, see told you they shouldn't have been ranked

943
00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:49,160
Speaker 1: that high last week, you are muted maybe even blocked

944
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:51,560
Speaker 1: from the channel has nothing to do with it. Let's

945
00:48:51,600 --> 00:48:54,919
Speaker 1: move on. I hold in my hands the JP pole

946
00:48:57,160 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 1: yep not saying it yep o O week three edition here Now,

947
00:49:02,320 --> 00:49:05,200
Speaker 1: unlike the AP, unlike the Commissioner's Pole, which I will

948
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:08,839
Speaker 1: release Thursday, these are not rankings, and since I have

949
00:49:09,160 --> 00:49:12,040
Speaker 1: unveiled the Commissioner's Pole, I'm not really listening to any

950
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:14,840
Speaker 1: slander about the JP pole. See that these are not rankings.

951
00:49:15,120 --> 00:49:18,200
Speaker 1: If you're listening on podcasts, you miss this helpful tutorial

952
00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:21,440
Speaker 1: graphic on the monitor behind us. We install these monitors

953
00:49:21,520 --> 00:49:23,680
Speaker 1: just to do that. These are not rankings. These are

954
00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:25,960
Speaker 1: power ratings. The model right here is telling us who

955
00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:29,120
Speaker 1: it would favor versus who or whom's on a neutral field.

956
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:31,920
Speaker 1: I do need to inform you before we get into this.

957
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:34,920
Speaker 1: There is a ten point gap right now between the

958
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:37,919
Speaker 1: number one team and the number sixteen team.

959
00:49:38,000 --> 00:49:39,399
Speaker 3: It's pretty compressed at the top.

960
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:42,960
Speaker 1: There is then a ten point gap between number sixteen

961
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:46,400
Speaker 1: and number forty five, So there's about a twenty point

962
00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:50,000
Speaker 1: gap between number one and number forty five. I say

963
00:49:50,040 --> 00:49:54,360
Speaker 1: that to say again, expect total and outright carnage in

964
00:49:54,440 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 1: college football for the rest of the year because there's

965
00:49:57,239 --> 00:49:59,560
Speaker 1: just not a lot of separation. I've never seen it

966
00:49:59,640 --> 00:50:02,880
Speaker 1: like this. The SEC in particular, is just going to

967
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,120
Speaker 1: be a bloodbath. You need to get ready for it.

968
00:50:05,200 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 1: No one's dead until they're absolutely mathematically dead, and I

969
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:11,839
Speaker 1: don't know that anyone's really alive either. So I'm gonna

970
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:13,680
Speaker 1: pull him in random order like we did last week

971
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:16,480
Speaker 1: Tennessee since we're gonna see him in person Saturday. Turns

972
00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 1: out Tennessee is the number fourteen team in the JP poll. Missouri, though,

973
00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:25,359
Speaker 1: is number nineteen. They are up nine spots since Week one,

974
00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 1: and I guys, I gotta be honest, I think JP

975
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:33,040
Speaker 1: pole may be a little low on Missouri. Still, we

976
00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:35,800
Speaker 1: have answered the quarterback question. I mean that dude's playing

977
00:50:35,880 --> 00:50:38,520
Speaker 1: with the maxi of the next five guys combined, bo

978
00:50:38,640 --> 00:50:41,640
Speaker 1: Perbula getting his shot, playing for the right guy, playing

979
00:50:41,680 --> 00:50:43,279
Speaker 1: in the right system, not having to do it all

980
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:45,359
Speaker 1: them stuff. We do have a new number one team

981
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:48,759
Speaker 1: this week. The Ohio State Buck guys are number one

982
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:51,520
Speaker 1: in the country. Let's just pause, and you may think

983
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:55,640
Speaker 1: to yourself, Ryan Day and that organization. They're competing for

984
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 1: Big ten championships. They want to beat the team up north.

985
00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:02,919
Speaker 1: They want to win national titles. No, really, you want

986
00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:05,040
Speaker 1: to be number one in the JP Pole, and anything

987
00:51:05,160 --> 00:51:08,280
Speaker 1: downstream of that is just a nice bonus. In fact,

988
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:11,279
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if Ryan Day had this kind

989
00:51:11,320 --> 00:51:15,000
Speaker 1: of incentive baked into his contract. Weeks spent at number

990
00:51:15,000 --> 00:51:19,120
Speaker 1: one in the JP Pole. Hey, half of these guys

991
00:51:19,160 --> 00:51:21,960
Speaker 1: have AP pole incentives baked in, and that makes way

992
00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:24,080
Speaker 1: less sense than the JP pole. I mean, at least

993
00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:27,200
Speaker 1: I can explain mine who would have next. Notre Dame's

994
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:31,239
Speaker 1: number six makes sense. Indiana has cracked the top twenty

995
00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:34,800
Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen. Indiana is up one point five points

996
00:51:34,840 --> 00:51:37,560
Speaker 1: in their raw rating. They are number twenty now. Florida

997
00:51:37,680 --> 00:51:43,080
Speaker 1: State is number seventeen. Florida State is up six points

998
00:51:43,120 --> 00:51:46,520
Speaker 1: since Week one, so they go into week one. They

999
00:51:46,520 --> 00:51:51,560
Speaker 1: beat Bama. They just annihilated a directional school from Texas

1000
00:51:51,600 --> 00:51:55,400
Speaker 1: last week. We have bumped them up six points, almost

1001
00:51:55,480 --> 00:51:58,960
Speaker 1: a touchdown. That is a massive bump up, especially when

1002
00:51:59,000 --> 00:52:01,000
Speaker 1: I tell you there's only a ten point gap between

1003
00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:03,879
Speaker 1: number one and number sixteen. You can see how big

1004
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:07,320
Speaker 1: a six point bump means in your power rating. Texas

1005
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:11,440
Speaker 1: is down four spots. They are number four, and it's

1006
00:52:11,480 --> 00:52:13,560
Speaker 1: not really a huge drop, but they were number one

1007
00:52:13,680 --> 00:52:16,320
Speaker 1: last week, and we all know how much the model

1008
00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:19,480
Speaker 1: loves Texas. The model I think that it's an actual

1009
00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:23,120
Speaker 1: tier rolling down the computer screen as it had to

1010
00:52:23,160 --> 00:52:26,800
Speaker 1: bump Texas down. I'm sorry, little buddy. IM sorry. Don't worry.

1011
00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:28,600
Speaker 1: They got a shot to make it up to you.

1012
00:52:29,400 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 1: LS use number ten USC biggest detachment team JP pole

1013
00:52:36,719 --> 00:52:40,600
Speaker 1: versus pretty much everyone else USC. We have number eleven

1014
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:45,360
Speaker 1: huge detachment. Now you want to put this exercise to

1015
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:48,440
Speaker 1: the test, Okay, I have it on good authority. In

1016
00:52:48,560 --> 00:52:52,600
Speaker 1: a few weeks, USC is going to Illinois. I can't

1017
00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:55,400
Speaker 1: remember exactly where they are, but I think Illinois is

1018
00:52:55,600 --> 00:52:58,520
Speaker 1: solidly in the top fifteen in the AP pole. The

1019
00:52:58,560 --> 00:53:02,279
Speaker 1: Commissioner's pole will probably have Illinois top fifteen again this week.

1020
00:53:02,680 --> 00:53:04,439
Speaker 1: US he is not even ranked in the AP pole.

1021
00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:07,960
Speaker 1: I think USC may be favored when they go there.

1022
00:53:09,080 --> 00:53:11,839
Speaker 1: The model would favor USC against Illinois on the road.

1023
00:53:11,880 --> 00:53:15,080
Speaker 1: Right now, points spreads don't mean anything. No one needs

1024
00:53:15,080 --> 00:53:17,640
Speaker 1: to remind me of that. I understand you need to

1025
00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:21,480
Speaker 1: understand the entire purpose of this particular exercise is to

1026
00:53:21,560 --> 00:53:25,520
Speaker 1: project that. So let's see let's see what that what

1027
00:53:25,520 --> 00:53:28,359
Speaker 1: that old spread looks like. We got Georgia at number three,

1028
00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:30,640
Speaker 1: So we got number three going on the road to

1029
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:33,480
Speaker 1: number fourteen in the JP Pole. This week, we got

1030
00:53:33,480 --> 00:53:37,719
Speaker 1: a new number two team. That's Oregon, Oregon, Sarah McLaughlin's

1031
00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:41,239
Speaker 1: special and new holder of the number two spot in

1032
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:43,320
Speaker 1: the JP Pole. It's a great week for Dan Lanning,

1033
00:53:43,520 --> 00:53:47,360
Speaker 1: Penn State's number five, I believe. Yeah, so Clemson's number fifteen,

1034
00:53:48,120 --> 00:53:50,799
Speaker 1: and I question whether we're too high on them now,

1035
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:55,120
Speaker 1: Dabo could shut everyone up, including me and the JP Pole. Really,

1036
00:53:55,120 --> 00:53:56,959
Speaker 1: it's more than more than me. It's the JP.

1037
00:53:57,040 --> 00:53:57,600
Speaker 3: It's the model.

1038
00:53:57,600 --> 00:54:00,520
Speaker 1: I'm just speaking for the model. They just go and

1039
00:54:00,520 --> 00:54:03,560
Speaker 1: handle business emphatically this weekend, Like, yeah, that would quell

1040
00:54:03,719 --> 00:54:07,319
Speaker 1: a lot of concerns. But I look at it, and

1041
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:09,239
Speaker 1: when I fill out the rest of this thing, you'll

1042
00:54:09,239 --> 00:54:10,960
Speaker 1: be able to see what I mean by like, I'm

1043
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 1: already looking at three teams right now, Clemson versus Florida State,

1044
00:54:14,800 --> 00:54:16,839
Speaker 1: neutral field. Who would I take right now? I take

1045
00:54:16,880 --> 00:54:19,640
Speaker 1: Florida State, So I think the model's too high on Clemson.

1046
00:54:20,360 --> 00:54:22,680
Speaker 1: I take Missouri over Clemson right now, so I think

1047
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 1: the model is too high on Clemson by about five

1048
00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:29,280
Speaker 1: or six spots, so a point or two in other words,

1049
00:54:29,320 --> 00:54:32,879
Speaker 1: But we'll see Miami's number seven. Ole miss is up

1050
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:37,040
Speaker 1: four spots, they're number thirteen. Let's see Bama's at nine.

1051
00:54:37,680 --> 00:54:42,319
Speaker 1: So I mean, there's nothing that I can do to

1052
00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:44,600
Speaker 1: explain to the people who have a problem with Bama

1053
00:54:44,640 --> 00:54:49,239
Speaker 1: being top ten that can further hammer home what this

1054
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:52,880
Speaker 1: is and the difference between this and a ranking in

1055
00:54:52,920 --> 00:54:57,360
Speaker 1: an odds maker's format, in a power rating format, Bama's

1056
00:54:57,400 --> 00:54:59,400
Speaker 1: not fallen out of the top twenty.

1057
00:54:59,560 --> 00:55:00,760
Speaker 3: They're just with that roster.

1058
00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:03,080
Speaker 1: They're not because we're talking about how you set a

1059
00:55:03,120 --> 00:55:06,560
Speaker 1: line on a game, not merit based stuff that we

1060
00:55:06,560 --> 00:55:08,040
Speaker 1: would do in the Commissioner's poll.

1061
00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:14,200
Speaker 3: Auburn's number eighteen. Utah is number sixteen. Now remember or

1062
00:55:14,239 --> 00:55:16,680
Speaker 3: maybe you don't even know, so maybe I'm informing you

1063
00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:20,279
Speaker 3: for the first time. We got Utah sixteen. Now that's

1064
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:22,480
Speaker 3: the highest power rated Big twelve.

1065
00:55:22,200 --> 00:55:25,720
Speaker 1: Team right now. Texas Tech is our next highest rated

1066
00:55:26,160 --> 00:55:29,640
Speaker 1: Big twelve team. We've got them twenty third. They play

1067
00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:33,040
Speaker 1: next week in Salt Lake City. They play next week.

1068
00:55:33,080 --> 00:55:36,239
Speaker 1: It's a monster game in the Big twelve, especially now

1069
00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:39,680
Speaker 1: that people saw Arizona State humbled a little bit. You're

1070
00:55:39,680 --> 00:55:41,800
Speaker 1: starting to think, well, maybe ASU is not the favorite

1071
00:55:41,800 --> 00:55:44,960
Speaker 1: in that league, maybe Utah is, maybe Texas Tech is.

1072
00:55:45,000 --> 00:55:48,240
Speaker 1: Oh wow, they play next week, Yes they do. Texas

1073
00:55:48,320 --> 00:55:51,520
Speaker 1: A and M is number twelve and OU is number eight.

1074
00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:55,640
Speaker 1: I'm not saying that I was right on Oklahoma because

1075
00:55:55,680 --> 00:55:57,399
Speaker 1: they still got a ways to go. But it did

1076
00:55:57,440 --> 00:55:59,600
Speaker 1: feel good last week to watch them take care of

1077
00:55:59,640 --> 00:56:01,759
Speaker 1: business because we get hated on off spring for having

1078
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:05,560
Speaker 1: Oklahoma two. I of course any hater of the Oklahoma

1079
00:56:05,640 --> 00:56:07,880
Speaker 1: ratings not talking about that. They've just moved onto the

1080
00:56:07,880 --> 00:56:10,400
Speaker 1: Florida rating. And as you see, Floridas know where to

1081
00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:13,080
Speaker 1: be found. We're not perfect. We never claim to be.

1082
00:56:13,200 --> 00:56:16,600
Speaker 1: Florida twenty one, by the way, Georgia Tech twenty two,

1083
00:56:16,640 --> 00:56:20,279
Speaker 1: Texas Tech twenty three, Nebraska twenty four, South Carolina twenty five.

1084
00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:28,000
Speaker 1: Now I look at that and I say, self, I

1085
00:56:28,040 --> 00:56:31,120
Speaker 1: wonder how close those odds are to those of FanDuel.

1086
00:56:31,400 --> 00:56:33,759
Speaker 1: So oftentimes I correspond with FanDuel and I say, what

1087
00:56:33,800 --> 00:56:35,080
Speaker 1: do you guys think about this? What do you guys

1088
00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:38,600
Speaker 1: think about that? Ultimately, the games happen and you can

1089
00:56:38,600 --> 00:56:41,160
Speaker 1: bet them over there, or if you don't bet. That's cool,

1090
00:56:41,680 --> 00:56:43,920
Speaker 1: And if you've never bet before, please learn to do

1091
00:56:43,960 --> 00:56:46,440
Speaker 1: it responsibly before you ever do. And don't be betting

1092
00:56:46,440 --> 00:56:48,600
Speaker 1: money you don't have, and you'll be borrowing anyone's money,

1093
00:56:48,600 --> 00:56:52,319
Speaker 1: and don't just don't just know. But if you can

1094
00:56:52,360 --> 00:56:55,000
Speaker 1: do it responsibly and you have the disposable income to

1095
00:56:55,000 --> 00:56:56,560
Speaker 1: do it, go to FanDuel and do it.

1096
00:56:57,480 --> 00:56:59,359
Speaker 3: But my point was, even if you don't go over.

1097
00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:02,360
Speaker 1: There and bet, if you're just interested in some of

1098
00:57:02,400 --> 00:57:06,279
Speaker 1: the future games and what the numbers are right now,

1099
00:57:06,360 --> 00:57:08,920
Speaker 1: you could go look at the Georgia versus Georgia.

1100
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:09,560
Speaker 3: Tech line right now.

1101
00:57:09,719 --> 00:57:11,640
Speaker 1: That game doesn't happen until the end of the season,

1102
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:14,400
Speaker 1: but it's at FanDuel right now. Not only can you

1103
00:57:14,400 --> 00:57:16,680
Speaker 1: look at it, you can actually put money on that game.

1104
00:57:16,920 --> 00:57:19,320
Speaker 1: You can bet Ohio State minus six and a half

1105
00:57:19,360 --> 00:57:22,360
Speaker 1: at Michigan right now. I just looked at it within

1106
00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:24,840
Speaker 1: the last hour, and so you can do that over there.

1107
00:57:24,840 --> 00:57:28,040
Speaker 1: A new sign ups, new customers, you use that QR

1108
00:57:28,080 --> 00:57:31,680
Speaker 1: code orfanduel dot com forward slash Josh Pate. If you

1109
00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:35,520
Speaker 1: enter through those doors, they're gonna give you three hundred

1110
00:57:35,560 --> 00:57:38,360
Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets off a five dollars wager if

1111
00:57:38,360 --> 00:57:40,919
Speaker 1: it wins, and I don't mean you have to bet

1112
00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:43,600
Speaker 1: it against the spread. You can go find Miami seventeen

1113
00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:45,800
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites this weekend. Just bet five

1114
00:57:45,840 --> 00:57:47,320
Speaker 1: bucks on the money line. All they got to do

1115
00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:50,520
Speaker 1: is win, and you get three hundred bonus bets. So

1116
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:53,920
Speaker 1: I am not allowed to guarantee you that that's free money,

1117
00:57:53,920 --> 00:57:56,200
Speaker 1: because it's really not. There is a shot, a small

1118
00:57:56,200 --> 00:57:58,120
Speaker 1: shot you lose. It's a pretty small shot though.

1119
00:57:58,840 --> 00:58:01,320
Speaker 4: Must be twenty one plus present in select states for

1120
00:58:01,400 --> 00:58:04,600
Speaker 4: Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen plus

1121
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1122
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Speaker 4: five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non withdrawable

1123
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Speaker 4: bonus bets, which expires seven days after receipt. Restrictions apply

1124
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Speaker 4: see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com Gambling problem

1125
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Speaker 4: call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com slash

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1127
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1128
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1129
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Speaker 4: Hope is here visit gambling heelplinem dot org. Or call

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1132
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1133
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Speaker 4: New York.

1134
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:46,680
Speaker 1: Uh, save it for you know what, Bradley nevermind, nevermind,

1135
00:58:47,080 --> 00:58:52,520
Speaker 1: Yes we are. Bradley has informed me, ah that I

1136
00:58:52,600 --> 00:58:56,400
Speaker 1: skipped over one important piece of paper, very important, for

1137
00:58:56,520 --> 00:58:58,840
Speaker 1: reasons that will be made apparent in just a second.

1138
00:58:59,600 --> 00:59:04,680
Speaker 1: Clems at Georgia Tech Saturday noon eastern kickoff right there

1139
00:59:05,240 --> 00:59:10,520
Speaker 1: in Atlanta. Here's the issue with veteran teams. Clemson is

1140
00:59:10,520 --> 00:59:14,200
Speaker 1: a veteran team. Obviously, the problem with veteran teams is

1141
00:59:14,240 --> 00:59:17,760
Speaker 1: if they struggle early, there's not a whole lot of

1142
00:59:17,840 --> 00:59:22,000
Speaker 1: unknown you know who. The players are kind of just

1143
00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:24,600
Speaker 1: got what you got. And that's what worries me about Clemson.

1144
00:59:24,640 --> 00:59:26,800
Speaker 1: We're watching them not able to run the ball right now.

1145
00:59:27,280 --> 00:59:29,480
Speaker 1: They have been banged up at receiver. I will grant

1146
00:59:29,520 --> 00:59:31,920
Speaker 1: you that, but that just hasn't been as dynamic a

1147
00:59:32,000 --> 00:59:36,440
Speaker 1: team as you expected. Now. Sometimes you're ultray young and inexperienced,

1148
00:59:36,480 --> 00:59:38,360
Speaker 1: and you got a lot of position battles going on

1149
00:59:38,800 --> 00:59:41,640
Speaker 1: and a team clicks in Week three, year they click

1150
00:59:41,680 --> 00:59:44,720
Speaker 1: in Week six. I don't think that's going to be

1151
00:59:44,720 --> 00:59:46,840
Speaker 1: Clemson this year. I could be wrong, but I don't

1152
00:59:46,880 --> 00:59:48,600
Speaker 1: think that's going to be them this year. Because it's

1153
00:59:48,600 --> 00:59:52,840
Speaker 1: a pretty known commodity and we've circled this game in

1154
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:54,200
Speaker 1: the spring. I said it was one of the most

1155
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:56,880
Speaker 1: underrated games of the year, and everyone said, oh, it's

1156
00:59:56,920 --> 01:00:00,160
Speaker 1: clemsing in a blowout. Well here we are game week.

1157
01:00:00,600 --> 01:00:03,160
Speaker 1: Clemson's a three and a half point favorite in this game,

1158
01:00:03,760 --> 01:00:08,600
Speaker 1: So here we are. Okay, whose identity do you trust more?

1159
01:00:09,360 --> 01:00:12,760
Speaker 1: Whose identity? Who's more in touch with their identity? Because

1160
01:00:12,800 --> 01:00:14,600
Speaker 1: I think the answer is Georgia Tech. I think the

1161
01:00:14,640 --> 01:00:17,720
Speaker 1: answer is the underdog. I kind of banked on them

1162
01:00:17,720 --> 01:00:20,160
Speaker 1: being the competitive end this game because of that hunch,

1163
01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:23,400
Speaker 1: even in the preseason, and that was before I even

1164
01:00:23,480 --> 01:00:25,360
Speaker 1: knew what Clemson would look like. For all, I knew

1165
01:00:25,400 --> 01:00:27,760
Speaker 1: that were gonna beat LSU. But I had this one

1166
01:00:27,800 --> 01:00:30,160
Speaker 1: circled and half for a while. The reason Clemson was

1167
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:33,080
Speaker 1: gonna be too much in this game, according to some,

1168
01:00:33,600 --> 01:00:38,360
Speaker 1: has not really materialized yet. You thought the receiver room

1169
01:00:38,520 --> 01:00:40,720
Speaker 1: was enhanced to the point where Kaid Klubn it could

1170
01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:42,960
Speaker 1: beat you throwing the ball and they'd be able to

1171
01:00:43,040 --> 01:00:46,040
Speaker 1: run it enough, but they could lean on him to win. Well,

1172
01:00:46,080 --> 01:00:47,760
Speaker 1: they haven't been able to run it enough, and the

1173
01:00:47,800 --> 01:00:49,600
Speaker 1: wide receiver room's been banged up, and I don't know

1174
01:00:49,640 --> 01:00:52,040
Speaker 1: if they get Antonio Williams back this week, and even

1175
01:00:52,080 --> 01:00:54,760
Speaker 1: if they do. Look, I mean, Georgia Tech doesn't have

1176
01:00:54,760 --> 01:00:56,840
Speaker 1: the best secondary on planet Earth, but they may not

1177
01:00:56,920 --> 01:01:00,919
Speaker 1: need to. So that stuff hasn't been too realized yet.

1178
01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:03,120
Speaker 1: And it's kind of like we talked about with Tennessee

1179
01:01:03,160 --> 01:01:06,600
Speaker 1: and Georgia. If you're sitting here telling me, well, Clemson

1180
01:01:06,640 --> 01:01:09,280
Speaker 1: can't run the ball, but they also can't stretch the field,

1181
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:13,720
Speaker 1: it doesn't take an all world defense to challenge you

1182
01:01:13,880 --> 01:01:17,160
Speaker 1: and put you in a blender. So I know one

1183
01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:20,880
Speaker 1: thing talking about identity, I know Georgia Tech won't flinch here.

1184
01:01:21,080 --> 01:01:21,920
Speaker 1: It's no accident.

1185
01:01:21,960 --> 01:01:24,120
Speaker 3: When they beat Miami last year, it's not an accident.

1186
01:01:24,480 --> 01:01:26,280
Speaker 1: When they beat well, they didn't beat Georgia when they

1187
01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:29,000
Speaker 1: took him though several overtimes and almost beat him in Athens,

1188
01:01:29,080 --> 01:01:32,040
Speaker 1: that's not an accident. And I'm telling you, if Clemson

1189
01:01:32,080 --> 01:01:35,640
Speaker 1: has no vertical threat here, they need defensive or special

1190
01:01:35,640 --> 01:01:39,360
Speaker 1: teams points or huge assistants there to win this game.

1191
01:01:40,200 --> 01:01:42,960
Speaker 1: It's just reality. The only other thing that could happen

1192
01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:45,800
Speaker 1: is Georgia Tech's had turnover issues so far this year. Now,

1193
01:01:45,800 --> 01:01:48,320
Speaker 1: if that pops up again, I can't predict that. No

1194
01:01:48,360 --> 01:01:50,439
Speaker 1: one can predict that. But if that pops up again,

1195
01:01:50,520 --> 01:01:52,360
Speaker 1: that could be a game changer. But it's not that

1196
01:01:52,480 --> 01:01:56,720
Speaker 1: tough to figure out. I'm just trying to find paths here.

1197
01:01:57,480 --> 01:01:59,920
Speaker 1: If you cannot run it and they don't respect the

1198
01:02:00,080 --> 01:02:04,200
Speaker 1: deep ball, can you go find twenty four points? You

1199
01:02:04,200 --> 01:02:06,600
Speaker 1: know you count on your defense. Clemson's defense will show up.

1200
01:02:06,640 --> 01:02:09,280
Speaker 1: You count on your defense. Can you go find twenty

1201
01:02:09,320 --> 01:02:12,480
Speaker 1: four points? Because so far you score ten against LSU,

1202
01:02:12,520 --> 01:02:15,280
Speaker 1: you scored twenty seven and had to scratch those out

1203
01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:18,240
Speaker 1: against Troy. So now you go on the road for

1204
01:02:18,280 --> 01:02:21,400
Speaker 1: the first time this year, by the way, against the

1205
01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:24,920
Speaker 1: team that's already tasting blood in Georgia Tech. Can you

1206
01:02:24,960 --> 01:02:26,720
Speaker 1: find twenty four because if you can't, I don't know

1207
01:02:26,720 --> 01:02:28,800
Speaker 1: that you're gonna win the game Saturday. Here's the deal.

1208
01:02:29,160 --> 01:02:32,560
Speaker 1: Cave Klubnik has to will them to a win because

1209
01:02:32,560 --> 01:02:34,400
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go into this thing counting on them.

1210
01:02:34,520 --> 01:02:38,160
Speaker 1: Running the ball. I just I promise you Haines King

1211
01:02:38,160 --> 01:02:41,240
Speaker 1: can will his team to a win. Cave Clubnit's gonna

1212
01:02:41,280 --> 01:02:44,200
Speaker 1: have to probably will his to a win. Clemson defense, though,

1213
01:02:44,440 --> 01:02:47,360
Speaker 1: having said all that, they can completely flip this thing

1214
01:02:47,560 --> 01:02:49,320
Speaker 1: with turnovers. So let's take a look at what the

1215
01:02:49,360 --> 01:02:52,040
Speaker 1: model thinks. FanDuel right now has got Clemson minus three

1216
01:02:52,040 --> 01:02:54,760
Speaker 1: and a half. We still don't think it's tight enough.

1217
01:02:54,800 --> 01:02:57,040
Speaker 1: We got Clemson minus one and a half. I've had

1218
01:02:57,120 --> 01:02:59,560
Speaker 1: it circled for months. I have had a good feel

1219
01:02:59,560 --> 01:03:01,960
Speaker 1: on this game for months. Georgia Tech's gonna win this

1220
01:03:02,040 --> 01:03:05,720
Speaker 1: game outright, and then it paints a really interesting picture

1221
01:03:05,720 --> 01:03:09,520
Speaker 1: in the acc Frankly, it already is. Even if Clemson

1222
01:03:09,560 --> 01:03:13,000
Speaker 1: wins this game. Georgia Tech's not out of anything, but

1223
01:03:13,040 --> 01:03:16,040
Speaker 1: Miami's in that thing, Florida State's in that thing. And then,

1224
01:03:16,160 --> 01:03:19,160
Speaker 1: especially if this goes this way this Saturday, then you've

1225
01:03:19,160 --> 01:03:21,920
Speaker 1: got Georgia Tech that's at the table, Clemson still at

1226
01:03:21,920 --> 01:03:25,760
Speaker 1: the table. Yeah, I've felt that upset for a while,

1227
01:03:25,840 --> 01:03:27,400
Speaker 1: So I'm going with Georgia Tech to win that one

1228
01:03:27,400 --> 01:03:31,520
Speaker 1: out right, Okay, Romenudele Express time we bet that game.

1229
01:03:31,520 --> 01:03:33,880
Speaker 1: Earlier in the week when it was six and a half.

1230
01:03:34,040 --> 01:03:36,080
Speaker 1: The other night we handed it out at Georgia Tech

1231
01:03:36,080 --> 01:03:38,440
Speaker 1: plus six and a half. It's all the way down

1232
01:03:38,480 --> 01:03:41,320
Speaker 1: to three and a half. Now, that's why you gotta

1233
01:03:41,320 --> 01:03:43,440
Speaker 1: watch the show on Sunday night. So we locked in

1234
01:03:43,480 --> 01:03:45,400
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech plus six and a half. Sunday, we locked

1235
01:03:45,400 --> 01:03:48,400
Speaker 1: in cal plus two and a half. On Sunday. We

1236
01:03:48,480 --> 01:03:51,439
Speaker 1: have two more you hear them right there, Two more

1237
01:03:51,480 --> 01:03:54,400
Speaker 1: best bets to add to the Rominudele Express. One of

1238
01:03:54,440 --> 01:03:57,560
Speaker 1: them is Oregon State plus twenty two and a half.

1239
01:03:57,560 --> 01:04:01,200
Speaker 1: They're playing Texas Tech. Texas Tech has Utah next week.

1240
01:04:01,560 --> 01:04:03,800
Speaker 1: Texas Techniques to do one thing and one thing only

1241
01:04:03,960 --> 01:04:06,320
Speaker 1: win and get out of this thing healthy, and I

1242
01:04:06,320 --> 01:04:08,000
Speaker 1: think they will. I just don't think it'll be in

1243
01:04:08,040 --> 01:04:13,800
Speaker 1: a blowout. Tulane is playing Duke. Duke led by Darien Mensa,

1244
01:04:14,160 --> 01:04:18,880
Speaker 1: Tulane's quarterback that left for very, very very greener pastures.

1245
01:04:19,440 --> 01:04:21,960
Speaker 1: There's no pastures at Duke. Yeah, there's a lot of green.

1246
01:04:22,320 --> 01:04:23,760
Speaker 1: There's a lot of green. That's what he left for.

1247
01:04:24,160 --> 01:04:26,200
Speaker 1: Can't even be mad. I heard somewhere all talk about it.

1248
01:04:26,240 --> 01:04:28,640
Speaker 1: He said, Hey, I've left jobs for more money. At

1249
01:04:28,640 --> 01:04:30,240
Speaker 1: some point, you can't even be mad at a kid,

1250
01:04:30,920 --> 01:04:34,600
Speaker 1: but you can beat him. So Tulane is welcoming Duke

1251
01:04:34,800 --> 01:04:37,920
Speaker 1: into New Orleans and they're being given one and a

1252
01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:39,920
Speaker 1: half points. We're gonna take both of them because we

1253
01:04:39,920 --> 01:04:41,600
Speaker 1: think Tulane's gonna win the game out right, So we're

1254
01:04:41,600 --> 01:04:43,600
Speaker 1: gonna take twu Lane plus one and a half Oregon

1255
01:04:43,600 --> 01:04:45,880
Speaker 1: State plus twenty two and a half. Those are two

1256
01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:49,080
Speaker 1: more added best bets. Good show tonight. Had a lot

1257
01:04:49,120 --> 01:04:53,959
Speaker 1: of discombobulation behind the scenes today and the staff came through,

1258
01:04:54,080 --> 01:04:58,840
Speaker 1: pulled it together and good solid show. We'll be back Thursday.

1259
01:04:58,840 --> 01:05:00,400
Speaker 1: I think we're going to start the show an hour

1260
01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:06,080
Speaker 1: earlier Thursday Night, so maybe six six eight seven, so

1261
01:05:06,320 --> 01:05:07,720
Speaker 1: seven Eastern, sixth Central.

1262
01:05:07,720 --> 01:05:10,320
Speaker 3: Thank you, Bradley, and I'll confirm that on.

1263
01:05:10,280 --> 01:05:13,720
Speaker 1: The Socials, but plan on that, probably plan on Cublick

1264
01:05:13,760 --> 01:05:16,360
Speaker 1: as well, but definitely plan on an hour earlier start

1265
01:05:16,400 --> 01:05:19,600
Speaker 1: time until then. For the entire crew here, led by

1266
01:05:19,640 --> 01:05:22,800
Speaker 1: director Bradley, I'm Josh Pate, take care, We'll see you Thursday.

1267
01:05:22,880 --> 01:05:24,840
Speaker 1: Until then, have a great rest of your evening, and

1268
01:05:24,880 --> 01:05:25,800
Speaker 1: God bless.

1269
01:05:40,000 --> 01:05:42,280
Speaker 4: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states

1270
01:05:42,360 --> 01:05:45,440
Speaker 4: for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or eighteen

1271
01:05:45,440 --> 01:05:48,400
Speaker 4: plus and present in DC. First online real money wager

1272
01:05:48,480 --> 01:05:51,760
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1273
01:05:51,800 --> 01:05:55,240
Speaker 4: withdrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions

1274
01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:59,080
Speaker 4: apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling

1275
01:05:59,080 --> 01:06:02,200
Speaker 4: problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visitfanduel dot com

1276
01:06:02,200 --> 01:06:04,680
Speaker 4: slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine

1277
01:06:04,680 --> 01:06:07,880
Speaker 4: seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash

1278
01:06:07,960 --> 01:06:11,760
Speaker 4: chat in Connecticut, or visit nd Gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.

1279
01:06:11,960 --> 01:06:15,680
Speaker 4: Hope is here, visit gambling heelplinem dot org or call

1280
01:06:15,760 --> 01:06:18,200
Speaker 4: eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four

1281
01:06:18,280 --> 01:06:21,120
Speaker 4: seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight seven seven

1282
01:06:21,200 --> 01:06:23,360
Speaker 4: eight Hope n Y. Or text Hope n Y. In

1283
01:06:23,440 --> 01:06:23,880
Speaker 4: New York