Speaker 1: To on the move, going deep speedways, Peace do hell.
Speaker 1: From the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex,
Speaker 1: this is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield.
Speaker 2: Heasy my ad hands in the playoffs?
Speaker 1: What is up, Dolph Fans and welcome to the Draft
Speaker 1: Time Podcast. I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on
Speaker 1: today's show, as you can tell, we are back in
Speaker 1: full production. No more sad podcasting like the last two episodes,
Speaker 1: taking a look at the tape and the initial reaction
Speaker 1: to the game on Thursday. What we're gonna do today
Speaker 1: is tell you exactly how this team can find its
Speaker 1: way back into the postseason for the third consecutive year.
Speaker 1: And we'll go ahead and play the intro here and
Speaker 1: then I'll tell you why you should listen to that
Speaker 1: here on the other side. From the Baptist Health Studios
Speaker 1: inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 2: This is is the Drive Time Podcast.
Speaker 1: May so I keep posting updates on social about Dolphins
Speaker 1: playoff hopes and games to look for, and of course
Speaker 1: the games this weekend went in the complete opposite direction
Speaker 1: of where they needed to go. So that was rough
Speaker 1: and just FYI recording this podcast on Monday So I
Speaker 1: do not yet know the results of the Broncos game,
Speaker 1: but I will tell you this, If the Broncos lose
Speaker 1: this game on Monday that happened yesterday, everything is like
Speaker 1: right back on the table where you needed it to be.
Speaker 2: For the most part, I'll explain that as we go
Speaker 2: along here.
Speaker 1: And first of all, like trust me, tomorrow's episode is
Speaker 1: going to be taking inventory of what happened this offseason
Speaker 1: and looking ahead to next offseason, and so we are
Speaker 1: very much on the precipice of pivoting this show to
Speaker 1: off season content here early in December. So I'm willing
Speaker 1: to flip that switch, but before it happens, I'm not
Speaker 1: gonna do that. I mean, I've been watching prospects. I
Speaker 1: have to takes for you guys on some prospects. But
Speaker 1: we are gonna keep this about the current football team
Speaker 1: and their ability to hang in this race, which they
Speaker 1: can do with wins every single week. And as I'll
Speaker 1: tell you on the show, I think every one of
Speaker 1: these games down the stretch is winnable.
Speaker 2: Will they do it? We shall see. But also when I.
Speaker 1: Put it on social media, the Dolphins need this and that,
Speaker 1: and people are like, why are you being so optimistic.
Speaker 1: Why haven't you given up yet? That's my job, dude,
Speaker 1: that's my job. Like, this is what I do. I
Speaker 1: don't you know, this is what I do. So I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna stop, you know, giving you the full information,
Speaker 1: the full The freaking title of the show or the
Speaker 1: explanation of the show is comprehensive Dolphins coverage.
Speaker 2: This is comprehensive Dolphins coverage.
Speaker 1: So we're gonna do that today, and I will cut
Speaker 1: that intro and change it if the Dolphins get disqualified
Speaker 1: from playoff contention, because I agree it would be silly
Speaker 1: to have that in there. So I'm gonna run everything
Speaker 1: as is until the Dolphins are mathematically eliminated from playoff contention.
Speaker 1: Sound good, We are on the same page. Great, how
Speaker 1: is everybody's holiday weekend? It was a bit of a
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a bit of an abnormal episode
Speaker 1: today because this is usually where the All twenty two
Speaker 1: kind of has a day to breathe before we get
Speaker 1: into the Wednesday mid week transition episode. And again, gonna
Speaker 1: look at that, Gonna look at some philosophy questions I have.
Speaker 1: But with all that being said, we have five games left,
Speaker 1: so we'll go ahead and finish out the stretch and
Speaker 1: string before we do that, like with a like finality
Speaker 1: type of tone to it. I'm just doing because I
Speaker 1: have an extra day of episodes in the week this
Speaker 1: week to give you guys.
Speaker 2: So that's what you're gonna get.
Speaker 1: And let me just start right here real quick, because man,
Speaker 1: how different was this weekend in college football? Like, don't
Speaker 1: get me wrong, I think the playoff system will ultimately
Speaker 1: give us more premier matchups that see prospects playing like
Speaker 1: high pressure, must win games, which is obviously great for
Speaker 1: someone like me whose investment in the college game from
Speaker 1: a wins and losses standpoint is totally gone. I don't
Speaker 1: care who wins rivalry games. I don't care who makes them.
Speaker 1: I don't care about any of that anymore. I still
Speaker 1: care big time for prospect evaluation. But after the realignment
Speaker 1: and removing the Apple Cup from Thanksgiving weekend, which has
Speaker 1: been that way my entire life, WSU played freaking Wyoming
Speaker 1: this weekend and they lost. That reminds me of the
Speaker 1: great micd up with chad Ocho Cinco when they were
Speaker 1: playing the Ravens on like opening night in like two
Speaker 1: thousand and seven or something like that, and he tried
Speaker 1: to crack. He tried to crack back on Ray Lewis
Speaker 1: and got blown up and he goes. I tried to
Speaker 1: block Ray and I lost. It was one of my
Speaker 1: favorite soundbites of all time. So get a load of
Speaker 1: this for the coupiers. By the way, speaking of teams
Speaker 1: that collapse in December or late in the year, they
Speaker 1: started off four and oh this year or two years
Speaker 1: ago and finished five and seven. This comes off the heels.
Speaker 1: We'll start in this year eight and one and finishing
Speaker 1: eight and four. In twenty twenty two they were four
Speaker 1: and one and the one lost that year was a
Speaker 1: forty four forty one loss in Oregon when cam Ward
Speaker 1: went up and down the field and they finished that
Speaker 1: year seven and six. So they've been my teams like
Speaker 1: to collapse. Apparently that's what I have to deal with here.
Speaker 1: I guess down the stretch of these seasons, and that's
Speaker 1: the last WSU propaganda I'm gonna give you until draft
Speaker 1: season and we get into prospects there.
Speaker 2: Sound good, all right?
Speaker 1: First, I did like all of the plag plag flag
Speaker 1: planting and the ensuing brawls that came with that it's
Speaker 1: cool to see that level of juice and rivalries. And
Speaker 1: speaking of juice, I was talking to or I always
Speaker 1: talked to Oj McDuffie about this. We miss it when
Speaker 1: rivals like hated each other. That was what made part
Speaker 1: of what made sports so much fun. I guess that's
Speaker 1: the old school in US and juice a little older
Speaker 1: school than me. But you know, compared to this handshakes
Speaker 1: and jersey swaps era that I just don't really like
Speaker 1: that much. Now that said, I actually think I love
Speaker 1: the playoff format. And what's funny was I was writing
Speaker 1: this copy down and I originally put like, I don't
Speaker 1: like the playoff because Ohio State lost and there was
Speaker 1: no consequences for it. Well, yeah, but it also gives
Speaker 1: teams on the outside looking in an actual shot, like
Speaker 1: Texas A and M. Had they beaten Texas in that
Speaker 1: ugly ass football game, they would have vaulted into the
Speaker 1: Big twelve championship game and then one win away from
Speaker 1: the automatic bid. So the argument that every game is
Speaker 1: a playoff game throughout the course of the sea it
Speaker 1: does diminish that idea, but I love that it creates
Speaker 1: the opportunity for the Cinderella and makes more games late
Speaker 1: in the year have bigger implications, which is what you
Speaker 1: look for around holiday season, right Like, I was really
Speaker 1: into that A and m Texas game on Saturday that
Speaker 1: I otherwise would have waited for the tape to come out,
Speaker 1: you know, and watched a movie on Saturday night or
Speaker 1: something with Danny McBride in it, which, by the way,
Speaker 1: I'm obsessed with Danny McBride right now. I used to
Speaker 1: think he was just Kenny Powers, like he only had
Speaker 1: his fastball, but he does everything. I watched Righteous Gemstones.
Speaker 1: I'm ripping through Vice principles right now. He is an
Speaker 1: absolute gem. Check out Danny McBride. All right, we'll get
Speaker 1: to the pro football in just one second. But man,
Speaker 1: what a what a brutal weekend that was for the
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. But still, despite all that, I saw people
Speaker 1: talking about like watching the games or why do you
Speaker 1: It's like because it gives you something to do. I
Speaker 1: love watching games that impact the Dolphins. I had a
Speaker 1: blast all day Sunday until the conclusion of the Chargers
Speaker 1: and the Colts and the Steelers games.
Speaker 2: But it was fun for those three hours. It was
Speaker 2: an escape from real life.
Speaker 1: But other than that, like and this is my new
Speaker 1: thing or not that new, but this is what you
Speaker 1: should do when the Dolphins disappoint you. Just go play
Speaker 1: with your kids. Just go do things that make your
Speaker 1: kids happy. For instance, like yesterday, after we put up
Speaker 1: all the all the decorations, we did the driving on
Speaker 1: the neighborhoods and looked at Christmas lights. All that stuff
Speaker 1: is so elite, which for me, I used to be
Speaker 1: such a scrooge because in my mid twenties, my mom
Speaker 1: had recently passed away, my dad hasn't been in my
Speaker 1: life for a long time, and then my immediate family,
Speaker 1: I just don't think very highly of them, and so
Speaker 1: I shouldn't say my immediate like my aunts and uncles
Speaker 1: and cousins.
Speaker 2: And stuff like that.
Speaker 1: So I was kind of a scrooge because everyone's all
Speaker 1: happy on this holiday and I'm just a miserable, family less,
Speaker 1: you know, mid twenties person that wants to go get
Speaker 1: drunk at the bar. But now it's my favorite time
Speaker 1: of year because I just lean into my family that
Speaker 1: I've created for myself, and that coincides with the football
Speaker 1: schedule really ramping up, and it makes me absolutely love
Speaker 1: this time of year, with all the glitz and glamour
Speaker 1: of the holiday season. I talk all the time about
Speaker 1: that Cowboys game last year, getting that win, celebrating with
Speaker 1: OJ and Seth and the postgame show, you know, having
Speaker 1: some adult fun if you will. And then like going
Speaker 1: back home at like nine o'clock at night and seeing
Speaker 1: my Christmas tree all lit up and my wife had
Speaker 1: like the fake fireplace YouTube channel on the TV. I
Speaker 1: was like so happy in that moment, knowing that I
Speaker 1: was about to give my daughter her elsa bike and
Speaker 1: she was gonna be so pumped up, Like you cannot
Speaker 1: beat this time of year when you factor in football
Speaker 1: and watching the football games that impact the Dolphins, to me,
Speaker 1: makes it even more fun than it already was again
Speaker 1: until about four fifteen in the East. And what I
Speaker 1: did after that was I found some extra lights in
Speaker 1: our Christmas like packaging stuff, and I decided to string
Speaker 1: up lights around my daughter's room and she loves it.
Speaker 2: So just find something that brings.
Speaker 1: Your kid's joy or your wife joy, or whoever is
Speaker 1: important to you. Find a way to do something that
Speaker 1: brings them joy. And I promise she'll forget about the
Speaker 1: Dolphins for just a little bit, all right. Also, I
Speaker 1: used to think October was the best month on the calendar.
Speaker 1: But it's December, isn't it. Especially when you live in
Speaker 1: South Florida, December is the best month either way. September
Speaker 1: through December are one through four in the power rankings. Though,
Speaker 1: you know, I will say I was telling my wife this.
Speaker 1: Since I got to South Florida in twenty twenty, the
Speaker 1: Dolphins have only played one game where the playoffs were
Speaker 1: out of reach, and that was the twenty twenty one
Speaker 1: finale against the Patriots. After that, tough Titans lost that year,
Speaker 1: the one game that like quote unquote didn't matter, right,
Speaker 1: it didn't matter for playoff implications.
Speaker 2: And I said this would happened.
Speaker 1: I said, we lose the Packers, and I'd still think
Speaker 1: we can win the rest of the games down the stretch.
Speaker 1: But you just kind of get the sense and some sense,
Speaker 1: for lack of their term, that maybe it's just not
Speaker 1: our year. I mean, we lost our quarterback for you know,
Speaker 1: three incredibly winnable games that we lost, and we had
Speaker 1: the Cardinals and the Bills games, which if Seler plays
Speaker 1: in those games, doesn't get poked in the eye at practice.
Speaker 1: Maybe you win those games, like it just kind of
Speaker 1: feels like one of those years where the Chargers can
Speaker 1: you know, the Falcons throw four picks and miss a
Speaker 1: short field goal and have a layup touchdown go off
Speaker 1: the board and they still only win by four points.
Speaker 1: Like it just kind of feels like one of those
Speaker 1: years that Colts game, for instance, like the Patriots literally
Speaker 1: had a touchdown in Hunter Henry's hands, he bobbled it
Speaker 1: and it goes into an interception and they missed a
Speaker 1: thirty yard field goal like a pull a full on
Speaker 1: snaphook job when they lost the game by one point.
Speaker 2: So it feels like one of those years.
Speaker 1: And with all that said, I'm going to tell you
Speaker 1: how it's still possible to make a run despite a
Speaker 1: nice little weekend recharge and getting up for the stretch run.
Speaker 1: The playoffs start this Sunday at hard Rock Stadium. You
Speaker 1: have to beat the Jets, then we have to beat
Speaker 1: the Texans, and if you can do that, I think
Speaker 1: you're in store for a fun finish to the season
Speaker 1: where you're probably gonna have to run the table. I
Speaker 1: think nine to eight possibilities were kind of signed off
Speaker 1: with the results that happened on Sunday. But if you
Speaker 1: can get yourself into that Niners game, man, then you can.
Speaker 1: Like it puts you right back in the situation where
Speaker 1: you were before this Packers game, Like you have another
Speaker 1: huge game that you have to go in and see
Speaker 1: if you can do it.
Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and take a break right there.
Speaker 1: We'll come back and talk about all the possibilities, all
Speaker 1: the scenarios. Short episode today that's next to Draft Time Podcast,
Speaker 1: your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation.
Speaker 1: As I was firing up this second segment of the Tuesday, December,
Speaker 1: the third edition of the Draft Time Podcast, I was
Speaker 1: on Blue Sky and I saw Seth Walder from ESPN
Speaker 1: tweeted that the odds are the seventh seed in the
Speaker 1: AFC will be a nine win team, and if the
Speaker 1: Dolphins go nine and eight, according to ESPN FPI, they
Speaker 1: have a fifty two percent chance of getting into the playoffs.
Speaker 1: And so while I think I believe the Dolphins have
Speaker 1: to run the table, I don't think nine and eight's
Speaker 1: gonna get in anymore. I thought it could have before
Speaker 1: Sunday's results, but I think some of those games going
Speaker 1: the way they did will make it so the Dolphins
Speaker 1: have to win ten games, and we are recording this
Speaker 1: ahead of the Broncos game, which after looking at all
Speaker 1: this stuff, if the Broncos lost that game, and maybe
Speaker 1: you're listening to this podcast, they did lose the game, Travis,
Speaker 1: it's really good news. Then I think everything is fine
Speaker 1: in terms of if you can go four and one
Speaker 1: or especially five. But after losing to the Packers, we
Speaker 1: went over in terms of getting help. Even if the Broncos,
Speaker 1: you know, if they lose on Monday night, the weekend
Speaker 1: wasn't so bad. But if they win, if they won
Speaker 1: the game, I think a lot of the nine and
Speaker 1: eight pathways have been removed. So we start here. Can
Speaker 1: the Dolphins run the table. That's the most important question
Speaker 1: here right. Nothing from the game Thursday changed my mind
Speaker 1: about that, and I think they can and I actually
Speaker 1: think that they will now you can say, Travis, they
Speaker 1: continue to prove that they can't handle those situations, and
Speaker 1: I don't think we'll see any of those elements the
Speaker 1: rest of the way by way of a good quarterback,
Speaker 1: a team that has a super physical run game, or
Speaker 1: in any of the two potential elements games and this
Speaker 1: is a big one playing a good team because all
Speaker 1: of our cold weather games are against the Chiefs, the Bills,
Speaker 1: and the Packers, like three really good football teams, and
Speaker 1: that's not an excuse. You have to show up in
Speaker 1: those games, and they haven't for the most part. But
Speaker 1: it is what it is. I think we wipe the
Speaker 1: floor with the Jets twice, regardless of the elements in
Speaker 1: that Week eighteen game. They they lined up one play
Speaker 1: with their full defense and a punt return of the
Speaker 1: game on Sunday. They're not well coached, they're not disciplined.
Speaker 1: Speaking of discipline, they extended the Seahawks game winning drive
Speaker 1: with two penalties on fourth downs.
Speaker 2: How do you do that?
Speaker 1: Rodgers missed a wide open touchdown pass and then threw
Speaker 1: a pick six on the next play to Leonard Williams,
Speaker 1: who ran it back ninety two yards and he weighs
Speaker 1: like three hundred and ten pounds.
Speaker 2: Go figure.
Speaker 1: They got a kickoff return touchdown, and they recovered a
Speaker 1: Seahawks kickoff fumble in plus territory, and they still lost
Speaker 1: the game to a coming East ten o'clock body clock
Speaker 1: game For a team that had just won two divisional games,
Speaker 1: the Seahawks just beat the Niners and Rams like this
Speaker 1: was their chance to pick them off, and they still
Speaker 1: couldn't freaking do it.
Speaker 2: They're terrible.
Speaker 1: Miami's gonna roll them both this weekend and next weekend.
Speaker 1: Spoiler for the preview podcast. Then the Texans are not
Speaker 1: a good football team. And here's the biggest kicker right now,
Speaker 1: Cej Stroud, who's not playing good ball. And I'm a
Speaker 1: you guys know, I'm a huge, huge c J Stroud fan.
Speaker 1: I did a whole piece of content before he got
Speaker 1: drafted saying that Stroud and two was passing strengths or
Speaker 1: what plays in the league, and I feel really good
Speaker 1: about that take. But right now he's not playing at
Speaker 1: that level. He's missing throws, he's not trusting his offensive line,
Speaker 1: nor should he. And the best part about it is
Speaker 1: the teams that give us the most fits defensively are
Speaker 1: the ones whose quarterbacks can move off the spot and
Speaker 1: throw off the spot, and he's got a little bit
Speaker 1: of that in his game, but he is mostly a
Speaker 1: pocket spot thrower. We seem that we can disrupt those teams,
Speaker 1: especially teams that struggle to run the football and block
Speaker 1: the interior, which is their biggest weakness on their entire
Speaker 1: offense is the interior offensive line, and we have Seeler
Speaker 1: and Campbell, who are our two best defenders outside of
Speaker 1: Jalen Ramsey. In my opinion, I think we can beat them.
Speaker 1: I won't say that we will, but I would be
Speaker 1: shocked if that game was anything more than a three
Speaker 1: point spread in the Texans favor, meaning it's basically a
Speaker 1: toss up because you get three points for being the
Speaker 1: home team when it comes to spreads in football lines
Speaker 1: money lines.
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think you can.
Speaker 1: I think the Jets game is at home as a
Speaker 1: to me, it's like a guarantee. It's like playing the
Speaker 1: Patriots and the Raiders, and then if you can beat
Speaker 1: the Texans, that brings you to this critical game against
Speaker 1: the Niners where you're seven and seven and you're looking
Speaker 1: at that point I think like, okay, if we can
Speaker 1: just get this one, we have two road games against
Speaker 1: bad teams that if we can run the table, we'll
Speaker 1: make it in and the Niners, and I really want
Speaker 1: you to pay attention to them in these next two games,
Speaker 1: because first of all, you saw the game on Sunday night,
Speaker 1: when Christian McCaffrey's not playing. Everything is different about that
Speaker 1: offense even when he was going and he wasn't one
Speaker 1: hundred percent.
Speaker 2: There's a reason this team is struggling this year.
Speaker 1: They're not just gonna magically find it in the game
Speaker 1: against us, even though it does kind of seem like
Speaker 1: that's what happens to the Dolphins more often than not.
Speaker 1: We are a freaking, you know, a curse team, right
Speaker 1: to questa tribe curse is very real, I feel like.
Speaker 1: I mean, but if the Bears can find a way
Speaker 1: to beat them on Sunday and don't sleep on the
Speaker 1: interim head coach bump with Thomas Brown this weekend, then
Speaker 1: they play the Rams on a short week. Even if
Speaker 1: if they drop both of those games and they're sitting
Speaker 1: there at five and nine, perhaps they shut down Fred
Speaker 1: Warner who's got a fracture in his foot. Perhaps Rock
Speaker 1: Purty decides to rest that shoulder. Maybe a banged up
Speaker 1: Kittle or Trent Williams or Nick Bosa, maybe they don't
Speaker 1: play in the game. The downside is is Kyle Shanahan
Speaker 1: would rather beat Mike McDaniel than win a Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: Probably not really, but it's a lot closer than you
Speaker 1: might think that the former coaches off that Washington football
Speaker 1: team tree. They love beating each other more than anything
Speaker 1: else in the world. It's why Matt Lafleuri tried to
Speaker 1: run the score up. To be quite honest with you guys,
Speaker 1: they'd like to rub it into each other's faces. After
Speaker 1: the Cardinals and Bill's losses, I just keep kept saying,
Speaker 1: you know, beat the Rams so that we can wipe
Speaker 1: the floor with the Raiders and Patriots. Get us to
Speaker 1: five and six for Thanksgiving, and then we'll see. Well,
Speaker 1: my new focus is win these next two games and
Speaker 1: let the Niners come down here on Christmas Week and
Speaker 1: play for our lives. Knowing we have two bad teams
Speaker 1: on the other side, that should be plenty for you
Speaker 1: guys to get excited about the Dolphins in that situation,
Speaker 1: they have.
Speaker 2: To get there.
Speaker 1: But if they're there, just give them the benefit of
Speaker 1: the doubt that this has been a rough year and
Speaker 1: with three games to play, they still have everything ahead
Speaker 1: of them to make to accomplish. And speaking of bad teams,
Speaker 1: we cover the Jets. I think the Browns might be
Speaker 1: the one team that I worry about the most in
Speaker 1: these final five games. Like you might call me crazy,
Speaker 1: but it's because they have things. I think we've shown
Speaker 1: true weaknesses in a power running game in what's going
Speaker 1: to be a cold weather game. A quarterback that will
Speaker 1: play yolo ball, and if he's not going to throw
Speaker 1: four picks, then Jamis Winston probably plays pretty well. So
Speaker 1: hopefully we just get old four picks Winston out there
Speaker 1: and he makes the game walk in the park.
Speaker 2: That's a very possible reality in that game.
Speaker 1: Like if you're seven, if you're eight and seven after
Speaker 1: the Niners game and you go into that Browns game,
Speaker 1: you feel like you're gonna win, right, and that's the
Speaker 1: path to ten and seven. Beat a terrible Jets team.
Speaker 1: Hope the Texans are still struggling, beat a Niners team
Speaker 1: that maybe shuts some teams down, and then go take
Speaker 1: care of business on the road against two bad teams.
Speaker 1: I think a few things here. The Chargers win over
Speaker 1: the Falcons. I still cannot believe they survived that game, Like,
Speaker 1: how the hell do the Falcons lose that game? And
Speaker 1: how do you not replace Kirk Cousins when he clearly
Speaker 1: cannot do it on.
Speaker 2: That particular day.
Speaker 1: That was big for that, you know, for them in
Speaker 1: terms of not having a just slide they're eight and four.
Speaker 1: If they finished two and three and we go five
Speaker 1: and zero, we would have the tiebreaker over the Chargers,
Speaker 1: So there's still some life there. We'll talk about their
Speaker 1: schedule in a second. The Colts win was probably the
Speaker 1: one that hurt the most because their schedule down the
Speaker 1: stretch is super favorable, and they're the one team that
Speaker 1: has a tiebreaker on us because the head to head victory,
Speaker 1: which we have the conference tie breaker on everybody else
Speaker 1: because our assumed position is winning all these games, and
Speaker 1: we'd have a superior conference record to everybody else in
Speaker 1: the league because of that. Now, even though they play
Speaker 1: the Titans, Giants, Jaguars, and Broncos, you probably thought they
Speaker 1: wouldn't lose the Patriots, but they had to have an
Speaker 1: eighty five yard drive at the end of the game
Speaker 1: to beat them, and that's what the Patriots gifting them
Speaker 1: a turnover after it was basically going to be a
Speaker 1: touchow on to Hunter henry And at the one yard line,
Speaker 1: and they missed a thirty yard field goal, and they
Speaker 1: still lost by one freaking point. The Steelers did a
Speaker 1: great job of preventing the start of a slide. I
Speaker 1: thought it was going to happen against the Bengals. It
Speaker 1: did not, even though their schedule is brutal. I think
Speaker 1: they're going to have enough to get to enough wins
Speaker 1: to get over the Dolphins. But I can still see
Speaker 1: him finishing one and four. And the Broncos have a
Speaker 1: tough schedule. But just like the other three teams, you're
Speaker 1: hoping to steal one and I don't. Again, we don't
Speaker 1: know what happened to the game on Monday. If the
Speaker 1: Bronco was lost, it's all back on again. That's kind
Speaker 1: of how I feel about it. But the Chargers, Steelers,
Speaker 1: and Colts were supposed to win their games, so dropping
Speaker 1: one would have felt like a total win for the Dolphins.
Speaker 2: Let's do this. Let's take our last break rate there.
Speaker 1: Let's come back on the other side and tell you
Speaker 1: what has to happen for the Dolphins at ten and
Speaker 1: seven and at nine and eight, and how the Dolphins
Speaker 1: can make this surge and get into the playoffs. But
Speaker 1: of course it all starts with finishing the year five
Speaker 1: and zero, maybe maybe four and one. That's next Draft
Speaker 1: Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by AutoNation.
Speaker 1: We've told you the teams. We're gonna talk about their
Speaker 1: strengths and weaknesses and their schedules. But here is the
Speaker 1: nitty gritty math. The Steve Kornaki, the Democrats are coming
Speaker 1: in at forty percent over here in the East. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna break it all down for what has to happen
Speaker 1: for the Miami Dolphins. So at ten and seven, here
Speaker 1: is what you need. A combination of two combination of
Speaker 1: two of the following things have to happen. If you're
Speaker 1: ten and seven, the Colts lose one more game, the
Speaker 1: Broncos lose two more games, or one if they lost
Speaker 1: last night. That's not far fetch at all. In fact,
Speaker 1: to me, that's probable that's going to happen. We'll get
Speaker 1: into the remains schedules here in just one second. That's
Speaker 1: the easiest route. If you don't get that, you need
Speaker 1: one of those or two of these to happen. One
Speaker 1: of those and one of these, or a combination of
Speaker 1: two of these things has to happen. And this includes
Speaker 1: the Colts and Broncos. The Ravens would have to go
Speaker 1: two and two over their final four. This is where
Speaker 1: the dolphins losses against the NFC helped them provided that
Speaker 1: we went out, because we would have the conference tiebreaker
Speaker 1: on literally everybody. We have the same number of conference
Speaker 1: losses or less than everybody we're chasing, sands the Chargers,
Speaker 1: and if you think they're in play for a two
Speaker 1: and three finish, which is not impossible, they would lose
Speaker 1: more conference games, which would put us over the top
Speaker 1: of them as well. So I just think the Ravens, though,
Speaker 1: are too good to have this happen, to be totally
Speaker 1: honest with you, but they have to go two and two.
Speaker 2: If Miami goes.
Speaker 1: Five and oh, they have but bye this week, So
Speaker 1: the Chargers same exact thing. Two and three finish would
Speaker 1: give us the tiebreaker. If we go five and oh,
Speaker 1: and the Steelers have to go one and four, that
Speaker 1: would give them the conference losses to give us the tiebreakers.
Speaker 1: So you need two of these things at ten and seven.
Speaker 1: Colts lose one more game, Broncos lose one or two
Speaker 1: depending on Monday Night football. The Ravens have to go
Speaker 1: have to lose two of their final four, the Chargers
Speaker 1: have to lose three of their final five, or the
Speaker 1: Steelers have to lose four of.
Speaker 2: Their final five.
Speaker 1: Like I'm certain that one of those will happen because
Speaker 1: the Colts and Broncos play each other. I'm I'm actually
Speaker 1: certain two of those will happen. So that's why I
Speaker 1: think at ten and seven you're going to get in.
Speaker 1: There's still a Texans lose the AFC South Path here,
Speaker 1: but I just don't think it's even worth entertaining.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: If we go nine and eight, it will most likely
Speaker 1: have to be a loss to the Niners. So you
Speaker 1: have to like pick out your loss in a certain
Speaker 1: spot because of the preserving of the conference record. So
Speaker 1: the Texans game is kind of like the one that
Speaker 1: you cannot affoord. It's like a playoff game and basically
Speaker 1: right and that's a decent football team too, So it's
Speaker 1: not gonna be easy, but that's where we're at. But
Speaker 1: if you get to nine and eight and you do
Speaker 1: lose that game to the Niners and you have all
Speaker 1: the tie breakers, there's still there's still some hope there.
Speaker 1: You would need this the Broncos to finish one and
Speaker 1: three down the stretch, or two and two if they
Speaker 1: lose on Monday, so that with the Colts finishing two
Speaker 1: and two, the Chargers would have to It's two of
Speaker 1: these things a combination of two of these things Broncos
Speaker 1: one and three or two and two, Colts two and two,
Speaker 1: Chargers one and three, Ravens one and three, Steelers zero
Speaker 1: to four. That's a lot of decent football teams losing
Speaker 1: more games than they win.
Speaker 2: So that's why it's so tough.
Speaker 1: And we'll go ahead and talk about each of these
Speaker 1: teams and what they're looking at going forward. Let's start
Speaker 1: with the Denver Broncos, who have a bye week this
Speaker 1: week after the Browns game. Gosh, I hope they lost
Speaker 1: that game. That makes this podcast so much more fun today.
Speaker 1: They have the bye week in week fourteen. Then they're
Speaker 1: home for the Colts, they're at the Chargers, they're at
Speaker 1: the Bengals, they're home for the Chiefs. To me, there's
Speaker 1: at least three losses in there. And you guys know
Speaker 1: how I feel about football, Like, if you don't have
Speaker 1: a top line offense, if you don't have a top
Speaker 1: line quarterback, I just don't think you can beat the
Speaker 1: teams that do. For the most part, Like there's things
Speaker 1: that can happen. It happens, obviously, but it's I wouldn't
Speaker 1: bank on it. I wouldn't count on that. So to me,
Speaker 1: that's why losing that Browns game would be big, because
Speaker 1: there's there's just no chance they run the Scotland without
Speaker 1: a couple of losses. But if they lose the Browns game,
Speaker 1: we can then hope the Colts can beat the Bronco
Speaker 1: or the Broncos can beat the Colts to get their
Speaker 1: loss out of the way. But going back to that
Speaker 1: Week three game against the Jets or maybe it's Week four,
Speaker 1: like there was bad elements in that game and they
Speaker 1: literally couldn't throw a forward pass and they're gonna play
Speaker 1: the game on Monday is against the Browns and a
Speaker 1: like thirty three degree temperatures. The game against the Colts
Speaker 1: is going to be a night game in Denver. It's
Speaker 1: going to be cold. Then they have a game in
Speaker 1: Cincinnati in December and a game at home against the
Speaker 1: Chiefs in January. I just think that that team can't
Speaker 1: won't be able to compete because their quarterback can't play
Speaker 1: in those conditions, and like unless the Chiefs wrest their starters,
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna lose those last three games. First, sure,
Speaker 1: they don't have a great run game. They're kind of
Speaker 1: relying on these jump balls that he throws for Courtland Sutton.
Speaker 1: The defense is good, but I think they can be
Speaker 1: gotten by a good offense. So to me, the Broncos
Speaker 1: are right for the picking. Even if they won the
Speaker 1: game on Monday. The Colts, all of a sudden, are
Speaker 1: kind of the throw on your side. If they just
Speaker 1: had lost that damn Patriots game, they could be completely
Speaker 1: irrelevant here.
Speaker 2: But they have a bye next week.
Speaker 1: Then they play at the Broncos, and I think you
Speaker 1: might root for the Broncos in that game, depending on
Speaker 1: how this goes. But at the Broncos and they play
Speaker 1: the Titans at home, they play at the Giants, and
Speaker 1: then they play the Jags at home, and hopefully Trevor
Speaker 1: Lawrence can can finish the year despite that crazy, horrible concussion.
Speaker 2: But that damn Pat's game.
Speaker 1: But I think about it this way, There is no
Speaker 1: way the Colts are gonna win five games in a row.
Speaker 1: They're just not good enough to do that. I don't
Speaker 1: care who they play, and I keep seeing like the
Speaker 1: Colts are gonna win out.
Speaker 2: You have no chance.
Speaker 1: Come on, dude, like you've watched football long enough to
Speaker 1: know that's not how this works. They like you can
Speaker 1: say that about the Chiefs or the Ravens or the Bills.
Speaker 1: Like there's certain teams you can say that about. The
Speaker 1: Colts are not one of those teams. Did you watch
Speaker 1: the game? Did you watch the Patriots game? How about
Speaker 1: Week eighteen last year when everyone's like, Oh, the Jags
Speaker 1: are gonna be the Titans, and that's gonna give us
Speaker 1: a chance to not play the Bills in the playoffs.
Speaker 1: If we beat the Bills in Week eighteen, and sure enough,
Speaker 1: the Titans beat the crap out of the Jaguars. It
Speaker 1: happens every single year, and I bet they're gonna have
Speaker 1: one of those losses the Colts I will I would, Well,
Speaker 1: I can't bet money because of my job, but if
Speaker 1: I could, I would wager against them in either the
Speaker 1: Titans or the Jags game. My pick is the Titans
Speaker 1: game right now, but they're gonna lose one of those
Speaker 1: divisional games. If they had just lost that damn Patriots game,
Speaker 1: we could pull for them against the Broncos. Now they
Speaker 1: might have to beat the Broncos. We'll see what happens.
Speaker 1: But they also can't stop the run. Their quarterback is
Speaker 1: wildly inconsistent. I don't think they're a good football team.
Speaker 1: We are a better team. Just have to prove it
Speaker 1: down the stretch and then the Chargers and so those
Speaker 1: it's basically Denver and Indy. Just have them fall apart
Speaker 1: and you'll get in. That's basically how it works, and
Speaker 1: I like the chances of that happening. The Chargers are
Speaker 1: at the Chiefs next week, home for the Broncos or
Speaker 1: rather sorry home for the Bucks, home for the Broncos,
Speaker 1: and then at the Patriots at the Raiders. That's why
Speaker 1: their game yesterday would have been a huge loss for them,
Speaker 1: because I think I think you can argue they're gonna
Speaker 1: lose the Chiefs and maybe to the Bucks or Broncos,
Speaker 1: and they could have been right back in position with
Speaker 1: the Dolphins.
Speaker 2: But I think they're the type of team.
Speaker 1: You know, despite justin Herbert's second half master classes where
Speaker 1: he throws for like thirty yards and every single second
Speaker 1: half he plays in yeah, never mind, they don't play
Speaker 1: on time ran rhythm because he doesn't see it. Their
Speaker 1: receivers are not very good. I feel like losing JK.
Speaker 1: Dobbins was more important losing the quarterback for them, and
Speaker 1: I don't think that defense matters against the top offense
Speaker 1: like well, questionably Kansas City, but their schedule is pretty easy,
Speaker 1: and those teams that they can beat, they'll probably beat
Speaker 1: them because that's what they do. They beat the Bucks,
Speaker 1: the Raiders, and the Patriots. They'll be fine. I still
Speaker 1: think Baltimore is too good. They'll get that Giants game
Speaker 1: after the bye and find a win over those final
Speaker 1: three games to get to ten a win, so I
Speaker 1: just don't think nine and eight is possible to overtake them.
Speaker 1: The thing you can never ever say it's over with, though,
Speaker 1: is like, why are we in the spot because we
Speaker 1: lost our quarterback for three very winnable games. It's gonna
Speaker 1: happen to somebody here soon, right says it A will
Speaker 1: like what happened to Trevor Lawrence for instance. Hopefully not
Speaker 1: that ugly, but someone's gonna lose their quarterback. What if
Speaker 1: it happens to be the Ravens in the first quarter
Speaker 1: of their next game, they could easily lose out. That's
Speaker 1: why I say, like, don't It's not like you can't
Speaker 1: just write guarantees down. This stuff changes every single week.
Speaker 1: But the Ravens are such a good team. I think
Speaker 1: they'll be fine. Provide their quarterbacks stay it's healthy, they
Speaker 1: go bye week, at the Giants, at the Steelers, at
Speaker 1: the Texans home for the Browns, and then Pittsburgh.
Speaker 2: I just don't buy it.
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm a hater, And actually, the more I think
Speaker 1: about it, the reason I was such a hater before
Speaker 1: was because Kenny Pickett was awful and the late career
Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger was awful. Russell Wilson's playing good football, So
Speaker 1: maybe I have to finally give it up for the Steelers.
Speaker 1: But the schedule of Browns at the Eagles, Ravens, Chiefs,
Speaker 1: and Bengals, that is no walk in the park. And
Speaker 1: had they lost the game yesterday, I think they were
Speaker 1: in play for a collapse. But I think they'll be
Speaker 1: fine to get in the playoffs. But that's kind of
Speaker 1: what you're looking at. So to me to put this
Speaker 1: all together in under thirty minutes here, if you go
Speaker 1: ten and seven, you're probably in. If you go nine
Speaker 1: and eight, it's probably a coin flip.
Speaker 2: Sound good? All right? Tomorrow? A look back at the
Speaker 2: off season.
Speaker 1: That was a look ahead at how I feel about
Speaker 1: some philosophy of changes and approaches could be altered for
Speaker 1: the Dolphins.
Speaker 2: We'll do that.
Speaker 1: Then we'll have the preview on Thursday, taking a look
Speaker 1: at the Jets and Dolphins game.
Speaker 2: We'll have Kyle on Friday.
Speaker 1: I think we're gonna have one of the Jets team
Speaker 1: writers on the show as well. Dolphins HQ coming this
Speaker 1: your way this week as well, So keep it all
Speaker 1: locked right here for your content. In the meantime, you
Speaker 1: all please be sure to subscribe, rate and review the show.
Speaker 1: Follow me on social at Wingfold NFL. Follow the team
Speaker 1: at Miami Dolphins. Check out the fish Tank podcast with
Speaker 1: my guys Seth and Juice. Check out the YouTube channel
Speaker 1: for media availabilities, and Dolphins HQ. Last, but not least,
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins dot com. Until next time, Fins Up, Caroline, Cameron,
Speaker 1: Daddy come Home.