WEBVTT - US Is Main Actor In Panama Papers Tax Evasion: Author Bernstein

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store

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<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot Com. The

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<v Speaker 1>United States loses about seventy billion dollars a year in

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<v Speaker 1>tax revenues due to the shifting of corporate taxes to

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<v Speaker 1>tax havens. Here to talk about this whole underworld of

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<v Speaker 1>secretly stashed money is Jake Bernstein. He's author and reporter

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<v Speaker 1>and journal it and uh the person who wrote the

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<v Speaker 1>book Secrecy World Inside the Panama Papers Investigation of Alyssa

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<v Speaker 1>money networks and the global Elite. He joins us here

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<v Speaker 1>in our eleven three Oh Studios. Jake, can you give

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<v Speaker 1>us a sense of just how big this secret world

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<v Speaker 1>is and who the players are that have stashed their

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<v Speaker 1>money in it? Lisa, I mean, it's only an estimate,

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<v Speaker 1>but there are trillions of dollars that throw that flow

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<v Speaker 1>through this underground economy. I mean, just to give you

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<v Speaker 1>a taste of it. The U. S. Treasury estimates that

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<v Speaker 1>three hundred billion dollars is laundered in the United States

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<v Speaker 1>every year. That's just in the United States. Um. And

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<v Speaker 1>to give you a taste of of what of what

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<v Speaker 1>the Panama Papers sort of reaped for tax authorities worldwide.

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<v Speaker 1>To date, they've recovered half a billion dollars in taxes

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<v Speaker 1>that were evaded as a result of the Panama Papers leak.

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<v Speaker 1>What did you learn in doing all of your investigations

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<v Speaker 1>for the book in terms of the motivation behind all

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<v Speaker 1>of this, Because there are a lot of ways that

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<v Speaker 1>you can hide your income, there are many ways in

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<v Speaker 1>which you can avoid paying taxes. What did you come

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<v Speaker 1>away with on a thematic basis? That's interesting question because

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<v Speaker 1>as one most like Fonseca lawyer, this is the Panamanian

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<v Speaker 1>law firm behind the Panama PAPERSUS. One lawyer said candidly

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<v Speaker 1>in a private email. He said, of our business is

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<v Speaker 1>to help our clients legally avoid taxes, and so I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's the major so impetus for people who use

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<v Speaker 1>this off shore system. But at the same time it's

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<v Speaker 1>also being used for criminals, money launders, drug traffickers, ponzi schemers,

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<v Speaker 1>all those kinds of things that we found in the

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<v Speaker 1>Panama papers. So how does this work? Ah? Well, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean there's there's different layers of sophistication, right, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>the the simplest way is is you get an anonymous

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<v Speaker 1>shell company in Panama or the British Virgin Islands or

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<v Speaker 1>a place like that, and they use that to open

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<v Speaker 1>a bank account somewhere, maybe in Singapore, maybe in Cyprus,

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<v Speaker 1>someplace like that, and then you can do sort of business.

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<v Speaker 1>But true wealthy people are much more sophisticated. They do layering.

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<v Speaker 1>So you have an anonymous shell company, it'll have fake directors,

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<v Speaker 1>It'll be attached to a trust, which will be attached

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<v Speaker 1>to a foundation, and so there's different layers that makes

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<v Speaker 1>it almost impossible to figure out who's actually behind it.

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<v Speaker 1>Is there any guidance that you've seen from governments or

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<v Speaker 1>law enforcement officials in order to deal with this in

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<v Speaker 1>the future, because I can't imagine that everybody's just shut

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<v Speaker 1>down their entire system as you've described it. It's probably

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<v Speaker 1>morphed into something else, perhaps even more sophisticated. You're absolutely right.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is one of the things that I

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<v Speaker 1>talked about in my book Secrecy World, and that you

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<v Speaker 1>can really see through the Panama papers is this is

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<v Speaker 1>a living organism almost. I mean it evolves over time

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<v Speaker 1>to to take advantage of different things. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>one one avenue is shut off, it moves to another place.

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<v Speaker 1>So for example, if the b v I tightens up, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, stuff moves to Singapore, moves to Dubai and

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<v Speaker 1>uh and it continues on. We talked about who the

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<v Speaker 1>people are behind this world. It's from rich people all

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<v Speaker 1>over the world, right, Um, But Russia has played a

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<v Speaker 1>sort of central role in this universe. Can you explain

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<v Speaker 1>why that is? Sure? I mean, part of it is

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that there is you know, the rule of

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<v Speaker 1>law as tenuous at best in Russia. So people are

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<v Speaker 1>are eager to to send their money out of the

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<v Speaker 1>country because they're afraid that someone might take it because

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<v Speaker 1>the judicial system is rigged, right, So there's major offshore

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<v Speaker 1>and there's been a lot of instability, you know, and

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<v Speaker 1>and and prices are fluctuated, and so that's part of

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<v Speaker 1>the motivation. Also, people want to park their cash someplace

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<v Speaker 1>where it's safe, oftentimes in real estate here in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States or in London places like that. But at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time, the oligarchs and UH and the power

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<v Speaker 1>centers around Vladimir Putin himself are very adept at using this.

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<v Speaker 1>A number of them have backgrounds in the KGB and

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<v Speaker 1>they have been working with the offshore system for decades.

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<v Speaker 1>They know how to use is it and how to

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<v Speaker 1>hide their activities? Really well, how prevalent is it among

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<v Speaker 1>the wealthiest individuals in the United States? I mean, I

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<v Speaker 1>know that there's been some talk of the current cabinet

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<v Speaker 1>of the US UH government that it's the wealthiest cabinet

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<v Speaker 1>ever in the history of of the country. Um, are

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<v Speaker 1>they tied in it all? Well? There was a second

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<v Speaker 1>leak after the Panama Papers, called the Paradise Papers, which

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<v Speaker 1>centered around a law firm in Bermuda called Appleby, and

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<v Speaker 1>there were more than thirty one thousand Americans found in

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<v Speaker 1>that league alone. So it's it's quite prevalent, and it

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<v Speaker 1>is being used by wealthy all over the world, including

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<v Speaker 1>the United States. The Paradise Papers UH revealed a number

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<v Speaker 1>of Democratic wealthy donors and Republican wealthy donors, and as

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<v Speaker 1>you say, a number of Trump cabinet members and donors,

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<v Speaker 1>including Wilbur Ross. The Secretary of Commerce. Is there an

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<v Speaker 1>industry uh that is out there actively pursuing this kind

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<v Speaker 1>of business? I mean yes, it's there's a whole infrastructure

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<v Speaker 1>behind the secrecy world. And it's bankers, it's lawyers, it's accountants,

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<v Speaker 1>it's trust managers. Um, it's it's thriving. They have meetings,

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<v Speaker 1>um and uh, and they're doing well that they do

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<v Speaker 1>not feel any I mean the more regulatory rules that

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<v Speaker 1>are overlaid on top of this just means more business

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<v Speaker 1>for them. That's where I was going with this. So,

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<v Speaker 1>as a result of increased attention to this very issue,

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<v Speaker 1>has this is this something that you can fight from

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<v Speaker 1>the regulatory side or is there a way to I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know whether there's a way to convince individuals who

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<v Speaker 1>do this kind of stuff to just stop doing it

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<v Speaker 1>because it's so complicated. What's so interesting is that what

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<v Speaker 1>the Panama paper showed was this firm, most Conseca, that

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<v Speaker 1>had this crazy business model, right. They wanted to be

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<v Speaker 1>the McDonald's of the off shore system, right, high volume,

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<v Speaker 1>low cost, and they want to make it available to

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<v Speaker 1>lots of people, particularly the New Wealth in the developing world.

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<v Speaker 1>Well that's starting to change now and the bar to

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<v Speaker 1>entry is getting higher. So really it's for people who

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<v Speaker 1>who are who are really rich, and you know, not

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<v Speaker 1>just the merely wealthy, but the uber wealthy, people who

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<v Speaker 1>have fifty million dollars and more. And these people do

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<v Speaker 1>not look at the nation state in the same way

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<v Speaker 1>that most of us do. Right. They have homes in

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<v Speaker 1>London and New York and in some place sunny, and

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<v Speaker 1>they have bank accounts in Switzerland and lots of different places,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh, and it's very hard to sort of appeal

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<v Speaker 1>to their conscience and say, oh, you know, you should

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<v Speaker 1>pay attention to the place where you were born or

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<v Speaker 1>where you make your money. So it's a challenge, but

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's going to require a population that gets

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<v Speaker 1>awoken to what's happening here. One thing that you said

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<v Speaker 1>when you walked in is it's sort of interesting how

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<v Speaker 1>central of a role the US plays in this secret world.

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<v Speaker 1>Can you just quickly give a sense of what you're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about? Sure? I mean, one of the people have

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<v Speaker 1>have have said, and I think it's probably true that

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<v Speaker 1>the the US is the largest tax haven in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Now this strikes many people as crazy, right, They think

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<v Speaker 1>of tax havens as a sunny place with palm trees

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<v Speaker 1>and ocean breezes. But in fact, Delaware, Wyoming, Nevada are

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<v Speaker 1>pumping out tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of these

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<v Speaker 1>anonymous shell companies all the time. I mean, the Delaware

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<v Speaker 1>Public Registry pulls in a billion dollars a year on

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<v Speaker 1>fees just associated with this business. It's great for them,

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<v Speaker 1>and the Secretaries of State, led by Delaware have made

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<v Speaker 1>sure that the rules have always been very favorable to

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<v Speaker 1>them for this, even though the State Department and Treasury

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<v Speaker 1>Department have complained bitterly that this system Delaware companies are

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<v Speaker 1>being used by Russian mafia and transnational gangs. Jacob Bernstein,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you very much. Author reporter his book Secrecy World

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<v Speaker 1>Inside the Panama Papers, investigation of elicit money, networks and

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<v Speaker 1>the global elite. Follow him on Twitter at Jake Underscore

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<v Speaker 1>Burns Sam Let's turn our attention out to the world

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<v Speaker 1>of gaming. Brian Edgar is our senior gaming and lodging

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<v Speaker 1>analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence, and he can be followed on

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Breaking Call and Brian, I understand that the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of epicenter of the world of gaming might be

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<v Speaker 1>shifting just slightly to upstate New York, cat slots, a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and thirty table games, one point to billion dollars,

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<v Speaker 1>three hundred and thirty hotel rooms, a golf course, a

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<v Speaker 1>water park, and it's just five miles from uh Monticello

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<v Speaker 1>Raceway exactly. No, it's a big year for domestic gaming

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<v Speaker 1>outside Vegas, with anywhere from five to fifteen casinos opening up.

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<v Speaker 1>You mentioned the one of the cat's skills. That's a

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<v Speaker 1>big deal because Genting is a powerful company with a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of Asian properties. That property will be ninety miles

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<v Speaker 1>from New York City. There's a cross marketing opportunities. So

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<v Speaker 1>we are seeing this year a very big and consequential

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<v Speaker 1>build out of casinos in various states within the Northeast,

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<v Speaker 1>which is which is a very pronounced development. So what's

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<v Speaker 1>driving this because typically we think of Las Vegas. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it has the weather, right, I mean, if you've got

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<v Speaker 1>the snow, it's not exactly as encouraging. They have the

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<v Speaker 1>laws that allow it. What's driving the Northeast build out?

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's really tapping new markets there's high population density.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got the build out and development of the Western

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<v Speaker 1>New England market where MGM will be the Catskills market.

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<v Speaker 1>As you mentioned, uh Atlantic City had a monopoly in

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<v Speaker 1>the northeast up until the that's all changed and now

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<v Speaker 1>the northeast market is a ten billion dollar five state market,

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<v Speaker 1>the same size as Las Vegas. So it really it's

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<v Speaker 1>about where the people are and the opportunity to bring

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<v Speaker 1>those casinos closer to population centers. Is it likely that

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<v Speaker 1>this will encourage even more building and as a result

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna end up with a glut of gaming opportunities. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>the one state I would point to where there is

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<v Speaker 1>an unusual a man of expansion is Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania just

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<v Speaker 1>in October authorized ten new uh mini casinos to be

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<v Speaker 1>built throughout the state. That's on top of twelve existing

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<v Speaker 1>racetrack and stand alone casino So Pennsylvania authorized for tax

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<v Speaker 1>revenue generation purposes a very large build out. It will

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<v Speaker 1>include slots and airports and and up to five video

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<v Speaker 1>gaming devices at truck stops. So Pennsylvania itself is making

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<v Speaker 1>a big rab for a big move towards expanding gaming

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<v Speaker 1>in that state. So yes, there's some cities where it's

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<v Speaker 1>very rapidly development. So what does this all mean for

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<v Speaker 1>Atlantic Avenue. I mean it has obviously gotten pretty run down.

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<v Speaker 1>Will it rebuild, will it try to compete, or will

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<v Speaker 1>this just sort of further deteriorate the outlook Atlantic City.

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<v Speaker 1>Despite its many problems, it went from twelve casinos to

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<v Speaker 1>seven after an extensive shakeout. At least now is starting

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<v Speaker 1>to grow. Same store growth in Atlantic City was up

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<v Speaker 1>seven percent last year. Um, Burgata uh is still the

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<v Speaker 1>dominant property owned by MGM that's in the market. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see I think we're what you're doing now is

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<v Speaker 1>this summer you'll see two new casinos in Atlantic City

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<v Speaker 1>opening up. You've got both the hard Rock Casino and

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<v Speaker 1>the and the Ocean Ocean Resort will grow the market

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<v Speaker 1>by almost The real test will be whether or not

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<v Speaker 1>you've get enough critical massive gaming attractions to bring in

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<v Speaker 1>enough people to offset the potential adverse effect, competitive effect

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<v Speaker 1>and other properties. So who's gonna be the big beneficiary?

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<v Speaker 1>What companies are the ones that really are going to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to take advantage of this build out? You know,

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<v Speaker 1>taking a step back and looking at the northeast horizon, generally,

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<v Speaker 1>MGM has got a big advantage because it has really

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<v Speaker 1>a corridor of casinos from National Harbor in Maryland to Burgota,

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<v Speaker 1>Atlantic City and as a September Springfield and Massachusetts. So

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<v Speaker 1>it really has got a walk on a corridor of

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<v Speaker 1>powerful properties with a big brand name in the northeast.

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<v Speaker 1>There are some losers as well, and I can talk

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<v Speaker 1>about those. Uh in Pennsylvania. Penn National is going to

0:13:02.360 --> 0:13:06.360
<v Speaker 1>face off against some potential new small casinos in that state.

0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:10.400
<v Speaker 1>And also penn has a racetrack casino in Massachusetts, Plain

0:13:10.480 --> 0:13:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Rich Park, which is going to get new competition both

0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:16.760
<v Speaker 1>from MGM and Springfield and from Tiverton in Rhode Island.

0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:20.880
<v Speaker 1>So I just sort of backing out a little bit.

0:13:21.280 --> 0:13:23.520
<v Speaker 1>I just want to get a sense of how gambling

0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:26.439
<v Speaker 1>revenues have been. I mean, it's been a pretty good economy.

0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:28.640
<v Speaker 1>Does that usually mean that people cample more? Do they

0:13:28.679 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 1>gamble less? Because they actually have jobs that can pay

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:34.679
<v Speaker 1>their bills? The good economy helps. But at the same time,

0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:36.640
<v Speaker 1>we've had a lot more competition. So if I were

0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:42.120
<v Speaker 1>to characterize US gaming outside of Vegas, it's a slow growth,

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:45.840
<v Speaker 1>mature industry, maybe anywhere from you know, minus two percent

0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:49.920
<v Speaker 1>to plus two percent same store growth. It's growing modestly.

0:13:50.040 --> 0:13:53.440
<v Speaker 1>It's a relatively mature industry. There are pockets of opportunity,

0:13:53.679 --> 0:13:57.800
<v Speaker 1>but compared to thirty years ago, Uh, the domestic gaming

0:13:57.840 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 1>scene outside Las Vegas in many parts of the country

0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:03.920
<v Speaker 1>is fairly well built out. Again with these pockets of

0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:07.319
<v Speaker 1>opportunity like Western New England, for example, online gaming and

0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:11.200
<v Speaker 1>he thought gaming is right now on an intrastate basis

0:14:11.240 --> 0:14:15.000
<v Speaker 1>limited uh to Nevada and New Jersey. There's talk about

0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:18.920
<v Speaker 1>placing and elsewhere. Uh, there's uh there's an online gaming

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:21.880
<v Speaker 1>element to what's happening in Pennsylvania, which had this big,

0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:25.880
<v Speaker 1>massive expansion of gaming. So online gaming may continue to

0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 1>develop state by state intrastate, but for now on a

0:14:30.000 --> 0:14:33.480
<v Speaker 1>federal interstate basis that's a bit more problematic. Brian Eger,

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for joining us. Brian Egger, senior

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:40.120
<v Speaker 1>gaming and lodging analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence. Talking about the

0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:59.320
<v Speaker 1>gaming industry, there have been many stories about the various

0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:03.640
<v Speaker 1>method that Uber used that really uh went up to

0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:06.960
<v Speaker 1>the edges of the law. And there's a phenomenal article

0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:10.800
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg today. Uber used secret tool for keeping

0:15:10.800 --> 0:15:14.280
<v Speaker 1>the authorities in the dark. That just builds on some

0:15:14.360 --> 0:15:16.760
<v Speaker 1>of what we have heard in the past. Joining us

0:15:16.800 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 1>now is one of the authors of that article, Olivia's Aleski.

0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:23.560
<v Speaker 1>She's a technology reporter for Bloomberg. Olivia, what is this

0:15:23.680 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 1>secret tool and how is Uber using it? Well, let

0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 1>me give you some contacts. First, U in Uber really

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 1>started to get a lot of attention from the authorities. Uh.

0:15:33.360 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 1>These authorities, especially in the you believe that the company

0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 1>was violating tax laws and labor laws and was really

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:42.760
<v Speaker 1>UM sort of playing too hard and too fast in

0:15:42.800 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 1>their jurisdictions. So these authorities began raiding Uber's offices looking

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 1>for evidence. Uber didn't like this, and UM created a

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:55.720
<v Speaker 1>tool that it called ripley Um to essentially shut down

0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 1>its offices whenever there was a police rate and shut

0:15:57.920 --> 0:16:02.840
<v Speaker 1>down all the computers so that police could not collect evidence. Now,

0:16:02.960 --> 0:16:06.520
<v Speaker 1>this is a tool that I guess ripley is you

0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:11.840
<v Speaker 1>mentioned a riff on the character that's Sigourney an alien

0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:14.680
<v Speaker 1>In true Uber form that you know, they would come

0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:18.120
<v Speaker 1>up with these creative names for their various software programs.

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:21.200
<v Speaker 1>We had gray Ball, and in Hell or god View,

0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 1>and justin in Uber fashion, this one was called Ripley

0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:27.800
<v Speaker 1>after the main character an alien Um because she had

0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:30.600
<v Speaker 1>a line in the movie where she says, uh, let's

0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:32.920
<v Speaker 1>nuke the site from orbit. It's the only way to

0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:34.600
<v Speaker 1>be sure, meaning it's the only way to be sure

0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:37.880
<v Speaker 1>that the aliens won't come back and get us. Okay,

0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:41.320
<v Speaker 1>So run with that and maybe use the example of

0:16:41.360 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 1>what authorities in Montreal we're looking for and how Ripley works.

0:16:46.960 --> 0:16:50.480
<v Speaker 1>It's a remote control system. Yeah, let me walk you

0:16:50.520 --> 0:16:56.600
<v Speaker 1>through it. So essentially, in authorities from the Canadian Tax

0:16:56.600 --> 0:17:01.520
<v Speaker 1>Bureau showed up at Uber's headquarters in Montreal um seeking

0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:08.000
<v Speaker 1>tax documents, and essentially a manager in that office paged

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:13.200
<v Speaker 1>system this Ripley system, and within a few minutes UM

0:17:13.320 --> 0:17:17.800
<v Speaker 1>the headquarters in San Francisco shut down all the computers

0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:23.000
<v Speaker 1>and some phones in Montreal and made these Canadian authorities

0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:26.000
<v Speaker 1>very frustrated because they went to open you know, they

0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:29.800
<v Speaker 1>went to uh talk to employees and ask them for records,

0:17:30.040 --> 0:17:32.439
<v Speaker 1>and those employees couldn't even open their computers because they

0:17:32.440 --> 0:17:36.800
<v Speaker 1>had been locked out. Is this legal? So that's a

0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:39.720
<v Speaker 1>very good question. We have had trouble getting an answer

0:17:39.800 --> 0:17:45.280
<v Speaker 1>on that because there's a real patchwork of different laws abroad,

0:17:45.480 --> 0:17:48.240
<v Speaker 1>and some people have said it's it's an obstruction of justice.

0:17:48.280 --> 0:17:51.119
<v Speaker 1>Some people have said it is legal as long as

0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:52.960
<v Speaker 1>it's done in the right way, and you have to

0:17:53.000 --> 0:17:55.439
<v Speaker 1>have uh, you know, there are all sorts of various

0:17:55.440 --> 0:17:58.960
<v Speaker 1>complicated conversations, but you know, that'll be for somebody else

0:17:58.960 --> 0:18:02.199
<v Speaker 1>to determine. What we do understand is that employees at

0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:05.960
<v Speaker 1>Uber felt very uncomfortable with it, and um that there

0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 1>were a lot of discussions about, you know, how to

0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:11.280
<v Speaker 1>keep this quiet, how to keep it secret. So they

0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:16.400
<v Speaker 1>were obviously concerned about something olivia physically. How did they

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:21.879
<v Speaker 1>engage this tool? In other words, how did they find

0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:23.679
<v Speaker 1>out that there was going to be some kind of

0:18:23.720 --> 0:18:29.800
<v Speaker 1>investigation and automatically shut down all of the computers? Well,

0:18:30.119 --> 0:18:32.040
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, I don't want to go into

0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:34.879
<v Speaker 1>whether or not they knew the police were coming or

0:18:34.880 --> 0:18:37.320
<v Speaker 1>the authorities were coming, because that can be seen as

0:18:37.359 --> 0:18:40.199
<v Speaker 1>a violation of Foreign corpt Practices Act. And we just

0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:43.000
<v Speaker 1>don't know if they did that. UM. We do understand

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:46.800
<v Speaker 1>that they were expecting raids in in their offices all

0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:50.040
<v Speaker 1>over the world because they knew they were a target

0:18:50.359 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>because they were disruptive. UM. So they designed the system

0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:57.800
<v Speaker 1>to work in any office abroad. UM. And essentially the

0:18:57.880 --> 0:19:00.400
<v Speaker 1>employee in the office, the manager or some boy who

0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:02.560
<v Speaker 1>had been trained to use it, would page a number

0:19:02.600 --> 0:19:06.320
<v Speaker 1>on their phone UM. It would route through this program Twilio,

0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:10.320
<v Speaker 1>and then it would go to headquarters UM where they

0:19:10.320 --> 0:19:13.680
<v Speaker 1>it would initiate a program to just log everybody off

0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:17.320
<v Speaker 1>the computers or UM. Eventually they developed a program where

0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:19.240
<v Speaker 1>they could keep the computers on, but they could hide

0:19:19.359 --> 0:19:24.520
<v Speaker 1>information UM that perhaps the authorities were collecting. Olivia, what

0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:27.560
<v Speaker 1>have you heard from either Joe Sullivan or Sally you

0:19:27.800 --> 0:19:31.960
<v Speaker 1>These were both the heads of the departments, the security

0:19:31.960 --> 0:19:35.920
<v Speaker 1>and legal departments, respectively at UBER when this has taken place. Yeah,

0:19:36.000 --> 0:19:38.080
<v Speaker 1>we haven't heard back from them. UM. Both of them

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:41.680
<v Speaker 1>did not respond to our requests for comment. UM Uber's

0:19:41.920 --> 0:19:45.760
<v Speaker 1>UM communications department has been very active in managing this

0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:47.800
<v Speaker 1>story with us. We've been on the phone with them

0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:51.119
<v Speaker 1>many times the past week, and I'm really trying to

0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:55.960
<v Speaker 1>understand the program. And they feel very much that that

0:19:56.160 --> 0:20:01.280
<v Speaker 1>this was in their rights and that they UM you know, essentially,

0:20:01.280 --> 0:20:03.119
<v Speaker 1>they feel that they were doing what was in the

0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:06.399
<v Speaker 1>best interests of their customers, which was to protect data,

0:20:06.440 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>and that these authorities in other countries were on fishing expeditions.

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:12.600
<v Speaker 1>They feel that they were the warrants that they were

0:20:12.600 --> 0:20:15.400
<v Speaker 1>collecting information for were too broad and so that they

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:18.920
<v Speaker 1>had the right to um request, you know, to lock

0:20:19.000 --> 0:20:20.800
<v Speaker 1>everything down and say come back to us with something

0:20:20.800 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 1>that's more specific. Olivia, real quick, do you know of

0:20:23.760 --> 0:20:27.360
<v Speaker 1>any other company out there that has done something similar

0:20:27.400 --> 0:20:30.480
<v Speaker 1>to this? So it's interesting. That was another point that

0:20:30.600 --> 0:20:32.879
<v Speaker 1>Uber brought up. They said, everybody does this. You know

0:20:32.960 --> 0:20:36.680
<v Speaker 1>that this is common, that everybody has a lockdown button,

0:20:36.720 --> 0:20:38.760
<v Speaker 1>and you know, you should even look at Bloomberg they

0:20:38.800 --> 0:20:41.280
<v Speaker 1>may have this. What we found is lots of companies

0:20:41.320 --> 0:20:44.760
<v Speaker 1>have a way to shut down computers for an unexpected

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:48.120
<v Speaker 1>visitor and you know, maybe there's um, a competitor breaks in,

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:52.200
<v Speaker 1>or there's a situation where um, you know, there's even

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:54.680
<v Speaker 1>a terrorist attack and they need to keep their information

0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:57.159
<v Speaker 1>all locked up. But we have not found a situation

0:20:57.160 --> 0:20:59.840
<v Speaker 1>where it was used so frequently, um you know, dozens

0:20:59.880 --> 0:21:04.240
<v Speaker 1>of times, and where it um was pervasive in offices

0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:06.960
<v Speaker 1>around the world. We've got to leave it there. Olivia Zeleski,

0:21:07.119 --> 0:21:27.040
<v Speaker 1>technology reporter for Bloomberg. Thanks very much. Trade talks they

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:30.399
<v Speaker 1>are heating up again this year, and yesterday there is

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 1>news that Canada believes that there is a much greater

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:37.120
<v Speaker 1>likelihood that the US will exit the NAFTA, the North

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:41.280
<v Speaker 1>American Free Trade Agreement in the upcoming months. Here to

0:21:41.320 --> 0:21:45.000
<v Speaker 1>talk about that is Caitlin and Webber, government analysts covering

0:21:45.240 --> 0:21:48.119
<v Speaker 1>US trade policy for Bloomberg Intelligence. Since she comes to

0:21:48.200 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 1>us from our Bloomberg studio in Washington, d C. Caitlin,

0:21:52.880 --> 0:21:55.960
<v Speaker 1>can you just lay out what we found out yesterday

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:59.320
<v Speaker 1>and if there really is a much greater likelihood at

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:02.720
<v Speaker 1>this point that the US will withdraw from NAFTA. Yeah, So,

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:06.920
<v Speaker 1>yesterday news broke that Canada, um, you know, really actually

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:10.280
<v Speaker 1>came out and and sort of is reflecting a lot

0:22:10.320 --> 0:22:13.600
<v Speaker 1>of the pessimism we're hearing from a lot of the

0:22:13.640 --> 0:22:17.480
<v Speaker 1>company's industries that rely on NAFTA. There's been a lot

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:20.240
<v Speaker 1>of sort of doom and gloom around the NAPTA talks

0:22:20.320 --> 0:22:23.440
<v Speaker 1>so far. Um, we're on the sixth round and there's

0:22:23.480 --> 0:22:25.840
<v Speaker 1>been no chapters closed so far, and typically you see

0:22:25.840 --> 0:22:28.240
<v Speaker 1>that after a couple of rounds. Um, So I think

0:22:28.400 --> 0:22:32.320
<v Speaker 1>Canada coming out yesterday and saying, um, you know, even

0:22:32.359 --> 0:22:33.920
<v Speaker 1>though they sort of walked that back a bit later,

0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:38.119
<v Speaker 1>that there's an increasing likelihood the Trump administration may attempt

0:22:38.160 --> 0:22:41.000
<v Speaker 1>to withdraw from the deal. UM. You know, I think

0:22:41.080 --> 0:22:46.840
<v Speaker 1>that is a growing sort of recognition of increasing reality. Caitlyn,

0:22:46.920 --> 0:22:48.760
<v Speaker 1>I keep thinking that we're gonna end up sending you

0:22:48.800 --> 0:22:52.879
<v Speaker 1>to Detroit to cover this story because NAFTA and the

0:22:52.920 --> 0:22:56.080
<v Speaker 1>automobile industry they are linked. And I'm wondering if you

0:22:56.080 --> 0:22:57.960
<v Speaker 1>could tell us what are some of the issues that

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:01.560
<v Speaker 1>contentious demands that the US has when it comes to

0:23:01.640 --> 0:23:05.520
<v Speaker 1>automotive content. Yeah, so the Trump administration has really said

0:23:05.560 --> 0:23:08.800
<v Speaker 1>that the auto the auto industry is why they came

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:11.720
<v Speaker 1>to the table. Really, that's their number one issue that

0:23:11.760 --> 0:23:13.760
<v Speaker 1>they want to see a lot of change on and

0:23:13.800 --> 0:23:16.879
<v Speaker 1>that really centers around content rules. So currently too, in

0:23:16.960 --> 0:23:19.560
<v Speaker 1>order to qualify for duty free status under the deal,

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:22.520
<v Speaker 1>UM a vehicle has to be a little over half

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:26.719
<v Speaker 1>UM NAFTA UM content in order to qualify for getting

0:23:26.760 --> 0:23:31.199
<v Speaker 1>tariffs reduced. Now, the Trump administration wants to significantly increase that,

0:23:32.400 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 1>including solely US value. Canada and Mexico for their parts,

0:23:37.040 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 1>say that proposal is a non starter and to this

0:23:39.840 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 1>point haven't even tabled um sort of counter counters to

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:50.400
<v Speaker 1>that yet. So yeah, the content rule is really, um

0:23:50.440 --> 0:23:53.440
<v Speaker 1>the biggest issue there. The Trump administration wants thanks that

0:23:53.520 --> 0:23:56.440
<v Speaker 1>by making that more stringent, they'll be able to cut

0:23:56.480 --> 0:23:59.600
<v Speaker 1>down on what they see as cheaper parts coming in

0:23:59.640 --> 0:24:03.280
<v Speaker 1>from Asia from other places, as um, getting into cars

0:24:03.280 --> 0:24:06.320
<v Speaker 1>and qualifying for napt TO benefits that really shouldn't Caitlin.

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:10.680
<v Speaker 1>The response from the stock market was pretty decisive. GM shares,

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 1>for example, declining nearly two point four percent on the

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:17.919
<v Speaker 1>news and escalating to clients with Canada's sort of reflection

0:24:18.080 --> 0:24:20.480
<v Speaker 1>of the pessimism that you're hearing from a lot of companies.

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:23.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm just wondering, do you think that there will be

0:24:23.640 --> 0:24:28.000
<v Speaker 1>any recognition from people in the Trump administration or whoever

0:24:28.040 --> 0:24:31.240
<v Speaker 1>is negotiating the NAFTA arrangement that this could potentially be

0:24:31.320 --> 0:24:35.120
<v Speaker 1>detrimental to the companies should the naftogram, should the US

0:24:35.160 --> 0:24:38.600
<v Speaker 1>pull out. Yeah. Absolutely, I think that they're very conscious

0:24:38.600 --> 0:24:42.840
<v Speaker 1>of that. I think that that you know, that in particular,

0:24:42.880 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 1>will be the number one thing that if the Trump

0:24:45.280 --> 0:24:49.760
<v Speaker 1>administration does, um, you know, agree to continue negotiating even

0:24:49.800 --> 0:24:52.919
<v Speaker 1>after this sixth round, it's because of of a stepped

0:24:52.960 --> 0:24:55.840
<v Speaker 1>up lobbying effort from the US Chamber of Commerce from companies.

0:24:56.560 --> 0:24:59.639
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump is obviously, um you know, very interested in

0:25:00.119 --> 0:25:03.119
<v Speaker 1>the stock market and um, you know, taking credit for

0:25:03.240 --> 0:25:07.159
<v Speaker 1>UM for gains there and so anything you know, tying

0:25:07.720 --> 0:25:11.639
<v Speaker 1>potential UM losses there to to naft uncertainty I think

0:25:11.680 --> 0:25:15.560
<v Speaker 1>will be very very powerful and influential. Indeed, well, Caitlin,

0:25:15.720 --> 0:25:19.880
<v Speaker 1>we know that the manufacture of light vehicles in Canada

0:25:19.960 --> 0:25:24.399
<v Speaker 1>and in Mexico is linked to their UH, their sale

0:25:24.480 --> 0:25:26.560
<v Speaker 1>in the United States, but also it's a it's a

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:32.280
<v Speaker 1>global market. UM. Is there any understanding that if indeed

0:25:32.440 --> 0:25:36.639
<v Speaker 1>they force the automakers to produce cars in the United States,

0:25:36.960 --> 0:25:41.560
<v Speaker 1>that's going to hurt those companies in their global ambitions

0:25:41.560 --> 0:25:45.359
<v Speaker 1>as well. Yeah, absolutely, because you know, if the US

0:25:45.440 --> 0:25:48.440
<v Speaker 1>does exit from NAFTA, not only would US tariffs go up,

0:25:48.440 --> 0:25:50.960
<v Speaker 1>but but tariffs in Canada and Mexico would would as well,

0:25:51.000 --> 0:25:53.000
<v Speaker 1>and the tariffs there are much higher, and those are

0:25:53.080 --> 0:25:56.840
<v Speaker 1>very important markets for US automakers, UM. You know, and

0:25:56.880 --> 0:26:00.560
<v Speaker 1>there's also increasingly talk about US automakers when they're coming

0:26:00.640 --> 0:26:02.359
<v Speaker 1>up with their contingency plans for what to do if

0:26:02.440 --> 0:26:06.439
<v Speaker 1>NAFTA goes away, thinking about UM manufacturing more in Asia.

0:26:06.560 --> 0:26:08.840
<v Speaker 1>So you know, it's it's very uncertain whether or not

0:26:08.880 --> 0:26:13.119
<v Speaker 1>the Trump administration, may you know, achieve their goal of

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:16.640
<v Speaker 1>increasing US manufacturing if they do sort of uh tinker

0:26:16.720 --> 0:26:20.000
<v Speaker 1>with this deal so much that um it shifts these

0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:22.680
<v Speaker 1>supply chains that have really become integrated across the North

0:26:22.680 --> 0:26:25.359
<v Speaker 1>American economy. Caitlin, can you give us a sense of

0:26:25.400 --> 0:26:28.639
<v Speaker 1>which industries would be most affected. So we've talked a

0:26:28.680 --> 0:26:31.800
<v Speaker 1>lot about automakers, and you know, they're probably number one. UM.

0:26:31.960 --> 0:26:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Number two would be the US energy sector. While there

0:26:34.960 --> 0:26:37.640
<v Speaker 1>there isn't a concern there as much about terrorists being

0:26:37.640 --> 0:26:40.640
<v Speaker 1>reimposed because tariffs are are normally um, you know, much

0:26:40.680 --> 0:26:43.680
<v Speaker 1>lower on energy products. The concern there is that Mexico

0:26:43.720 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 1>in particular has become a very important market for US

0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:50.560
<v Speaker 1>natural gas and oil exporters, and so if the US

0:26:51.080 --> 0:26:53.879
<v Speaker 1>exited from NAFTA, we would really likely see a contraction

0:26:53.880 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 1>in the Mexico economy. So always the list demand there

0:26:56.640 --> 0:27:00.560
<v Speaker 1>for electricity, for oil. Um. There's also a number of um,

0:27:00.640 --> 0:27:03.720
<v Speaker 1>pretty thorny kind of red tape that would that NAPTA

0:27:03.760 --> 0:27:06.240
<v Speaker 1>does away with now in terms of gas exports and

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:09.119
<v Speaker 1>other things that um you know, if the deal went away,

0:27:09.160 --> 0:27:11.600
<v Speaker 1>that it would just make it much much more difficult

0:27:11.640 --> 0:27:14.520
<v Speaker 1>for that industry to to do um you know, to

0:27:14.560 --> 0:27:17.159
<v Speaker 1>do business to do their do their exports um. And

0:27:17.160 --> 0:27:19.879
<v Speaker 1>then I think the third I would mention retailers you

0:27:19.880 --> 0:27:24.000
<v Speaker 1>know obviously um rely heavily on the duty free benefits

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:27.080
<v Speaker 1>under NAPTA, which are fully UM in place this time,

0:27:27.119 --> 0:27:31.520
<v Speaker 1>and so um you know, retailers and also transportation companies UM,

0:27:31.600 --> 0:27:34.440
<v Speaker 1>rail companies, UM, you know, trucking companies that do a

0:27:34.480 --> 0:27:36.760
<v Speaker 1>lot of business bringing those consumer products back and forth.

0:27:37.440 --> 0:27:39.159
<v Speaker 1>I want to thank you very much for being with us.

0:27:39.240 --> 0:27:42.880
<v Speaker 1>Caitlin Weber is a government analyst for US trade policy

0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:48.040
<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg Intelligence, speaking about the North American Free Trade

0:27:48.359 --> 0:27:53.440
<v Speaker 1>Agreement to Canada, then preparing new talks related to naphta's provisions, focusing,

0:27:53.480 --> 0:27:58.240
<v Speaker 1>as Catalin said, on perhaps the automobile sector. Uh. In fact,

0:27:58.240 --> 0:28:01.720
<v Speaker 1>the Canadian Foreign Minister, Christie you Freeland was speaking to

0:28:01.760 --> 0:28:06.080
<v Speaker 1>reporters outside a cabinet meeting today saying that the country

0:28:06.240 --> 0:28:11.119
<v Speaker 1>Canada would bring new ideas for unconventional US proposals, but

0:28:11.240 --> 0:28:17.639
<v Speaker 1>she didn't actually give any details. Thanks for listening to

0:28:17.680 --> 0:28:20.560
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe and

0:28:20.600 --> 0:28:24.560
<v Speaker 1>listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast

0:28:24.640 --> 0:28:28.120
<v Speaker 1>platform you prefer. I'm Pim Fox I'm on Twitter at

0:28:28.280 --> 0:28:31.640
<v Speaker 1>pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one

0:28:31.880 --> 0:28:34.600
<v Speaker 1>before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on

0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:35.480
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio