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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Spreading the corn ten seconds of any it's gonna just

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Speaker 3: go throw half of the.

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Speaker 2: Basket under the basket.

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Speaker 4: It's the group for the wind God, big a miracle,

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Speaker 4: I's water and.

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Speaker 2: That one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: And welcome in to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast.

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Speaker 3: This is the three man We've done him by Action Network.

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Speaker 3: All brought to you by bet MGM. I am your host,

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Speaker 3: Matthew Cox hosting today. Jim Root kind of can joining

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Speaker 3: me per usual through the zoom machine. Kai adorned in

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Speaker 3: some relatively I would say stale Christmas attire.

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Speaker 1: It is December twenty seventh. We're gonna put those away.

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Speaker 3: I don't like being the podcast that still talks about

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Speaker 3: Christmas festivals well after it's passed.

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Speaker 1: But how are you today, sir.

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Speaker 5: Matt Doing well? Big Bets on Campus, of course, is

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Speaker 5: the name of this podcast, and I am like so

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Speaker 5: many people that leave their tree up. I'm ready to

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Speaker 5: keep my Christmas spirit going through the new year. That's

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Speaker 5: just how I roll, baby. I'm side to the our games.

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Speaker 2: Let's do it. Yeah, I'm a Christmas lights guy. As

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Speaker 2: long as you want them love having Christmas lights up

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Speaker 2: and it just kind of make my room feel a

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Speaker 2: little more festive. So I'm gonna keep mine.

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Speaker 3: Up for a while or of a holiday light. And

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Speaker 3: thank you kuy for inserting most important plug of this podcast. Yes,

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Speaker 3: it's the Big Bets on Campus show. That's the name

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Speaker 3: of this presentation. Uh. The outline structure is the standard.

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Speaker 3: We'll hit our six pack of sections and if you've

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Speaker 3: been with us before, you know we start off with

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Speaker 3: the laha dog of the week.

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Speaker 6: Where's Mine? Where is Mine?

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Speaker 1: Last week?

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Speaker 3: Interesting, I'd say overall, pretty decent effort from the boys.

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Speaker 3: We nailed Cornell. Brian Earl is an absolute wizard. If

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Speaker 3: you guys have not seen Cornell play, I swear it has.

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Speaker 3: That's talent of a middle school team.

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Speaker 1: But man, they are.

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Speaker 3: Fun to watch and they execute and they make shots.

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Speaker 3: They knocked off Colgate, so very well done by us.

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Speaker 3: But Butler Southern miss eh and then chat neuge against

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Speaker 3: Mike Wait gross, just a lot of collapses.

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Speaker 2: But they had that game one man, I don't know

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Speaker 2: what happened on the stretch there, frustrated and.

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Speaker 3: Then didn't cover either, So yeah, double whammy for those

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Speaker 3: who backed both the money line and the spread. But hey,

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Speaker 3: more opportunities this week as we come out of the

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Speaker 3: Christmas break to hit some moneyline dogs. I'm gonna focus

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Speaker 3: on the Wednesday slate recording here on Tuesday. Again, a

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Speaker 3: lot of conference play starting up, and we have some

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Speaker 3: interesting lines where they fall within like this six to

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Speaker 3: nine point range. Typically you have two pretty competent teams,

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Speaker 3: and I think that in some cases home court might

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Speaker 3: just be a little bit overpriced, or the team that's

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Speaker 3: at a home might just be overvalued. And there's two

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Speaker 3: that I'm looking to target right here, and I'll just

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Speaker 3: get selfish right off the bat. You guys feel free

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Speaker 3: to pepper up an the others that you found as

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Speaker 3: you skim the schedule. Tennessee's going to Ole Miss and

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Speaker 3: wichital Is going to UCF on Wednesday. Those lines currently

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Speaker 3: actually are posted at DraftKings or redacted a book not

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Speaker 3: to be named. But eight and a half and seven

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Speaker 3: are those numbers currently. Jim, seven at UCF and eight

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Speaker 3: and a half at ole Miss feel way too high

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Speaker 3: for both home dogs.

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Speaker 2: Your thoughts, Yeah, the old Miss one definitely intrigues me

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Speaker 2: from a spread perspective. I don't think I'm going to

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Speaker 2: get there on outright. I don't think all miss is

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Speaker 2: very good right now. They got dash On ruffin back,

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Speaker 2: but he is nowhere near himself. He's actually been more

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Speaker 2: efficient this year Kai, but I like watching the eye tests.

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Speaker 2: He just doesn't have the same kind of explosion. After

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Speaker 2: every game they ask him how he's doing, and he's like, well,

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Speaker 2: better than last week. He never says I'm one hundred percent.

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Speaker 2: He never says I'm feeling great. He just says better

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Speaker 2: than last week. And so I think that kind of

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Speaker 2: limits their shot creation. They're starting to or they're trying

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Speaker 2: to figure out their front court rotation. Doesn't seem like

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Speaker 2: a Kuba has worked out the transfer from Louisiana. But

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Speaker 2: I think they compete there against Tennessee, who may or

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Speaker 2: may not have Josiah Jordan James. They've been playing Patsy's

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Speaker 2: the last couple of weeks here or last week or so.

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Speaker 2: This is a big step up in competition in a

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Speaker 2: conference game. Eight and a half feels too high, but

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Speaker 2: I won't go outright on that one.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Mississippi has had success against Tennessee. They beat him

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Speaker 5: in twenty twenty one. Kerma Davis why not. But Tennessee

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Speaker 5: scares me. Currently they have the best adjusts deficient defensive

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Speaker 5: efficiency in kim pom's history right now, in the last

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Speaker 5: twenty one years. They are an octave above everybody else

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Speaker 5: right now this season that it's Houston, then it's the

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Speaker 5: rest of the pack that scares me, especially for an

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Speaker 5: old Miss team that can struggle to score. They lost

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Speaker 5: out right to North Alabama.

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Speaker 1: That's tough.

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Speaker 5: Now, maybe you could say this is a perfect time

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Speaker 5: to back on Miss, right they're bouncing back. First conference game,

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Speaker 5: it's at home against an arguable or arguably the favor

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Speaker 5: in the conference mat So I'm the number right, I

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Speaker 5: will consider ole Miss here Wichita not so much. I

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Speaker 5: like them better at home, you see, if I respect

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Speaker 5: them a lot.

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Speaker 3: I'll add to the ole Miss analysis that while I

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Speaker 3: think Ole Miss is a little bit in disarray and

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Speaker 3: Tennessee looks like a mini juggernaut right now, Kermit's kind

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Speaker 3: of had Rick Barnes's number one beat them at home

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Speaker 3: two years ago, took them to overtime last year in Knoxville.

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Speaker 3: That was a worst version of an Almoss team. What

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Speaker 3: we see this year. Just schematically, you think that the

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Speaker 3: mixing defense of that Kermit sometimes uses is a good

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Speaker 3: a good counter to Tennessee's Zone, right, Yeah, there's a time, Jim.

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Speaker 3: I remember where I backed Rick Barnes against Oregon State

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Speaker 3: Zone in a tournament not so long ago, and that

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Speaker 3: flamed out famously. So yeah, I kind of should use

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Speaker 3: that as a precedent to maybe hammer Land Shark here.

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Speaker 3: I won't though, I'm too scared, and same with whatcha

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Speaker 3: tal im not going to about it because Craig Porter being

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Speaker 3: out does does potentially bother me. Quick hitter for another

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Speaker 3: couple more. On Wednesday, the New Mexico two for Mexico

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Speaker 3: State's hosting Southern Utah to kickoff Conference action. There in

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Speaker 3: the whack in New Mexico is hosting Colorado State to

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Speaker 3: kick off Mountain West action. Those lines are going to

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Speaker 3: sit roughly at seven and nine points, respectively, depending on

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Speaker 3: how the market opens and where the early money comes in.

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Speaker 3: I just thought both were pretty high. I'm probably not

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Speaker 3: gonna bet Southern Utah on Calro State moneyline, but I

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Speaker 3: think they're probably good looks on the number. Any thoughts

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Speaker 3: on those two, gentlemen, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Agree on the number especially, I really like Colorado State

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Speaker 2: eight and a half. I think they're just undervalued in

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Speaker 2: the market because of not having Isaiah Stevens for a while,

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Speaker 2: and then they had the huge egg lay at Colorado

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Speaker 2: where they look terrible with them and that deflated their value.

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Speaker 2: And while I respect New Mexico, I respect the pitt

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Speaker 2: I think this New Mexico team's actually really good. I'm

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Speaker 2: going to give them a little bit of a plug

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Speaker 2: later hint in the light section. But I do think

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Speaker 2: eight and a half is too many. I think Colorado

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Speaker 2: State can hang around there kai and compete and keep

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Speaker 2: that on close.

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Speaker 5: I too, I like Colorado State. I will take them

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Speaker 5: for the show for money line special. I love New

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Speaker 5: Mexico one of my favorite teams to watch this season.

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Speaker 5: I think, though, if you're looking at from a value perspective,

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Speaker 5: you're getting an ultimate by low on Colorado's out of state.

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Speaker 5: You're getting an ultimate cell high on New Mexico. These

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Speaker 5: teams are probably close to their peaks. I mean, you

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Speaker 5: could argue New Mexico still has room to grow, but

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Speaker 5: I think they're pretty close that way, and that's the

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Speaker 5: perfect time to pounce. Certainly, A plus eight and a

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Speaker 5: half plus eight whatever the market ends up being in

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Speaker 5: this game. So in Utah they have the talent to

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Speaker 5: be in New Mexico State, but that squad's really good,

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Speaker 5: and especially at home and in the whack, they don't

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Speaker 5: lose many games in this conference. I'd probably stay away

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Speaker 5: from that one.

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Speaker 2: There's personnel potential limitations there for New Mexico State. Dejuan Gordon.

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Speaker 2: Just last game in the Little Sun Bowl Invitational, they

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Speaker 2: played pretty Christmas and then Anthony Roy Matt has still

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Speaker 2: been out for a while and he's kind of an

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Speaker 2: important shooter for a team that doesn't have a ton

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Speaker 2: of it.

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Speaker 1: So here's the Anthony Roy thing.

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Speaker 3: Not to go on a really nitty gritty tangent here, Jim,

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Speaker 3: but apparently he is on probation so he can only

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Speaker 3: play at home games. So I'll actually be playing in

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Speaker 3: this Yeah, I think he has some charge outstanding just

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Speaker 3: another notch on the New Mexico State. What in the

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Speaker 3: world is that program doing belts, Yes, so I believe

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Speaker 3: he's gonna actually play here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's still lives out shooter and.

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Speaker 2: He's like point state at all? Or can he not? Right?

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Speaker 3: Just like I think if you're in I mean, I've

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Speaker 3: never been on probation myself. But let's say I committed

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Speaker 3: a you know, a felony of sorts, you're on probation.

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Speaker 3: I picture Ocean is eleven. Kai When when when Danny

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Speaker 3: Ocean calls his probation officer, And so that's mister Ror.

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Speaker 3: I think he will be playing in this game. So

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Speaker 3: glad we hash it up? Hey, Thursday, quick two hitter.

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Speaker 3: Georgetown going to De Paul for a little big East

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Speaker 3: action and Rice goes to Western Kentucky in a Conference

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Speaker 3: USA showdown. Both of these are going to hover around

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Speaker 3: six according to the Ken Pom Sneak Ahead Sneak Peak

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Speaker 3: look aheadlines. I am a glutton if I actually bet Georgetown,

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Speaker 3: but De Paul is a favorite. Doesn't really feel like

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Speaker 3: the right side either, And I think Rice is an

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Speaker 3: absolute home run bet against Western Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: So my only bet at the section so far.

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Speaker 3: For a just to kind of tease it here, is

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Speaker 3: Rice as a money line that against the tops.

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Speaker 1: Kai thoughts on those.

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Speaker 5: Two taking Rice also, I will definitely be on them

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Speaker 5: as a dog because Western Kentucky continues to prove their

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Speaker 5: a terrible favorite. Rick Sandsbury just I can't even win

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Speaker 5: games outright as a favorite. It's nuts lost to Leuisville,

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Speaker 5: lost to a teamage just lost too.

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Speaker 2: Help me out South Carolina.

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Speaker 5: South Carolina, come on, guys, the two worst power conferences.

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Speaker 5: With apologies to CAL, they.

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Speaker 2: Would certainly lose to Cal. They find a way.

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Speaker 5: Yes, And speaking of power conferences, Georgetown has two chances

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Speaker 5: to win a game in the Big East this year.

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Speaker 5: It's this one at De Paul tomorrow and it's and

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Speaker 5: it's when they host A Paul later on. I think

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Speaker 5: they're going to get one of these games. This could

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Speaker 5: be it. They have the talent to beat them. You

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Speaker 5: RNA is still not really himself working back in the

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Speaker 5: lineup on Genda. I think is still out good spots

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Speaker 5: in back Georgetown with caution, it is pat uning after all.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going to be a sicko and take Georgetown

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Speaker 2: as well. I'm also going to join you on Rice Matthew.

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Speaker 2: I think they're both very good spots here. Georgetown. I mean,

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Speaker 2: it's like hard to recommend that because they could just

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Speaker 2: lose by twenty and you feel stupid because you're like,

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Speaker 2: wait a second, they're still Georgetown. Why did I put

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Speaker 2: any of my hard earned dollars on them. But kay

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Speaker 2: you mentioned inn A is definitely not himself, and there's chance,

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Speaker 2: it's a chance we get Kayla Murphy debuting for DePaul,

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Speaker 2: and I think he's going to create them out of

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Speaker 2: some games because he's going to take fifteen to eighteen

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Speaker 2: footers with heels on the three point line. That brick

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Speaker 2: brick brick. George Town at least has a talent level

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Speaker 2: to play up when they're hopefully motivated by the chance

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Speaker 2: of getting an actual win.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just a reminder. You know, it feels like decades

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Speaker 3: ago Georgetown was up sixty to fifty three with ten

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Speaker 3: minutes remaining at cont a kid, which looks like the

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Speaker 3: best team in like twenty years in basketball. I mean,

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Speaker 3: that's hyperm but they have looked completely dominant. So just

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Speaker 3: another evidence of Georgetown's whackamle nature. I'm with you, though,

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Speaker 3: I think Town's a good bet. I'm not going to

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Speaker 3: take them on the money line. Hey, Kai Jim, you

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Speaker 3: guys had some others identify Jim to you.

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Speaker 4: First.

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Speaker 1: I looked at these, I liked them and didn't love them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a lot of candidates because there's a lot

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Speaker 2: of games Wednesday and especially Thursday. There's almost one hundred

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Speaker 2: line games and their conference games, so we're getting down

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Speaker 2: to like shorter spreads, more money line underdog opportunities. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take Dukaine plus eight at Dayton. That's the Ken

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Speaker 2: Palm line. We don't have an official line yet, we

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Speaker 2: don't know Tevin Brewer's status on Dukaine side, and I

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Speaker 2: think Malachi Smith and Kobe Elbos will still be out

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Speaker 2: for Dayton. I just kind of think maybe there's a

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Speaker 2: chance Dukine makes a statement to start league play. It

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Speaker 2: says we're here, we're legitimate. Dayton hasn't beaten anyone really

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Speaker 2: good this year. Ducaine has a shot there on the

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Speaker 2: road plus eight. I thought about UC Davis at Hawaii

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Speaker 2: potential letdown for Hawaii after the Diamond Head, and possibly

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Speaker 2: two lane at Cincinnati, but I'm gonna stay off those

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Speaker 2: two cuts. Those are just ones I considered but didn't

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Speaker 2: quite take. Yep.

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Speaker 5: I was looking at getting extra frisky and going Vermont

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Speaker 5: plus thirteen at Miami Florida. Lara Naga is familiar with Vermont,

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Speaker 5: of course, and then Georgia.

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Speaker 1: State is at home. Interesting here.

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Speaker 5: I like plus seven home dog against James Madison a

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Speaker 5: team that looked fantastic in a non con for some

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Speaker 5: belt out here. Georgia State has been a program that's

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Speaker 5: been a time in the league for many years. I

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Speaker 5: think they're pretty up for this game. I think they

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Speaker 5: could they could win this game out right, not official

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Speaker 5: for me, but some interesting ones I'm looking at.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Georgia State getting healthier. And then James Madison just

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Speaker 3: lost in doublet to cop and State. I know that

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Speaker 3: was kind of a weird midday game, and you know,

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Speaker 3: you could argue the circumstances played into the letdown for

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Speaker 3: James Madison, but it's another evidence that James Madison is

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Speaker 3: not this unassailable rocket ship. I think they are flawed

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Speaker 3: and Georgia State's got plenty of talent and it could

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Speaker 3: be a good bye out that that might be one.

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Speaker 3: All that fine, I'm that in that one, okay, Georgie.

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Speaker 2: When when James Madison wins, they win by fifty milliona

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Speaker 2: and like, really you feel dumb when you're against them

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Speaker 2: and they look superhuman, but they have some shaky efforts

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Speaker 2: here there.

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Speaker 3: Right, you don't lose more money because your your bet

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Speaker 3: loses by more points, So that is part of like

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Speaker 3: the mental fear that it right that comes with fading

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Speaker 3: James Madison, quick recap, Jimbo, you have three on the

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Speaker 3: docks before we move on to low Out City.

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Speaker 2: Yep, I'm going with Georgetown, Rice and Ducane. Those are

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Speaker 2: my three official locked in for the show.

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Speaker 5: Wagers Kai, I'm going Georgetown, Colorado State and Rice as well.

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Speaker 3: Rice in Georgia State are my two fer. And that

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Speaker 3: concludes the live Dog of the week up to section

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Speaker 3: two Blowout City Fire. And it's not even worth discussing

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Speaker 3: this section. I think we just need to punish ourselves,

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Speaker 3: take a few lashings, laugh, and then move on to

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Speaker 3: the next section because we did endorse Iowa against Eastern Illinois.

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Speaker 1: Hell happened story, I think that will.

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Speaker 3: Go down is one of the worst tastes, the worst takes,

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Speaker 3: an old takes exposed ever in podcasting history, of any sport,

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Speaker 3: of any politic economy, whatever you want to call it.

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Speaker 3: It's just an outrageously terrible take or sorry if anyone

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Speaker 3: actually laid the points with Iowa idea.

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Speaker 2: I will time in the last sixteen years they haven't covered, sorry,

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Speaker 2: in the last sixteen attempts that they haven't covered in

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Speaker 2: that scenario, huge favorite non conference November December. They're fifteen

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Speaker 2: in other last fifteen and then suddenly they lose outright.

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Speaker 5: Makes no sense as as the biggest home favorite ever

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Speaker 5: excuse me, biggest favorite ever to lose outright is since

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Speaker 5: sports betting started tracking it plus or minus thirty one.

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Speaker 2: I think it was insane.

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Speaker 3: And the other one we endorsed Kentucky, which was like

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Speaker 3: up seven laid against Florida A and m who's awful

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Speaker 3: to Kentucky says, you know, John cop Party should send

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Speaker 3: a Christmas gift to Frey McCaffrey for disguising what was

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Speaker 3: another disgusting effort in Lexington. I think the sky is

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Speaker 3: falling for those of the who are wow, who are

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Speaker 3: deeply embedded in BIGLA nation.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I don't quite see it as the same doomsday arm again,

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Speaker 3: but the locals are not happy with the way that's

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Speaker 3: going right now. So with the our confidence oozing here

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Speaker 3: Albany at Virginia on Wednesday and Central Arkansas at TCU,

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Speaker 3: they both seemed too good to be true. I don't

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Speaker 3: know it either plays for either of you two.

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Speaker 5: I bet Virginia smashes Albany always a disaster.

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Speaker 1: I kind of agree with that. The crock pot.

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Speaker 5: They're also the type of team that will get blown

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Speaker 5: out out in Virginia is better in every aspect. I

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Speaker 5: think it'll be a crockpot Matthew, Yes, like by thirty

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Speaker 5: thirty thirty five points.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you might. Oh they're only up twelve at halftime,

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Speaker 2: but they just methodically rip them apart. And there's a

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Speaker 2: chance they also get up by thirty right away. But

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Speaker 2: I think the more likely scenario it's like you said,

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Speaker 2: crockpot takes a little while, but Albany is really bad.

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Speaker 3: I have no profound take on no profound takes on

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Speaker 3: Central Arkansas at TCU. The Bears are big ish, but

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Speaker 3: you're not bigger than TCU, so that could be a

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Speaker 3: disaster as well. Thursday, any thoughts on what's kind of

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Speaker 3: a fun little scheduling quirk heare the Big Ten? Is

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Speaker 3: the Big Ten swack three different matchups. Ohio State hosting

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Speaker 3: Alabama A and M. Purdue is hosting Florida A and M,

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Speaker 3: who just gave Kentucky a little scare. I think produce

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Speaker 3: smashes Florida A and M. And the executive this is right,

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Speaker 3: that's a runaway and then Illinois hosting, but then cook

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Speaker 3: been the highly talented wildcasts of Daytona who have been

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Speaker 3: wildly disappointing the season. So speaking of wildly disappointing lately Illinois,

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Speaker 3: all that is to say, no bets for me into

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Speaker 3: those three games, but three options you're looking to lay

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Speaker 3: large favorites coming out of Christmas Break.

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Speaker 2: I think the Eedy one, if he's in there, I

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Speaker 2: think they just demolish Florida A and M. There's a

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Speaker 2: chance that maybe I would add Penn State over Delaware

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Speaker 2: State here as well. I just think these road teams

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Speaker 2: that are ready for conference play, they're sick of the

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Speaker 2: long schedules that they've especially the Swacken MEAC teams where

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Speaker 2: they're just by game by game by game travel, travel, travel,

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Speaker 2: there's probably a little bit of a quick factor to

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Speaker 2: them coming up here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, there's one I almost included here. Writer heads to

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Speaker 3: Georgia for the first of three games in five days,

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Speaker 3: the latter two which are conference games, but Georgia is

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Speaker 3: a large favorite.

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Speaker 1: Is just you know, Mike quite.

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Speaker 3: Hasn't been any team decidedly this year, so did not

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Speaker 3: make the cut. Hey, we should probably pouring out if

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Speaker 3: this might be the last week we do the blowout

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Speaker 3: City section, as conference play limits the opportunity to have

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Speaker 3: these massive spreads, but we'll try and pick and find

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Speaker 3: a few more going forward here before we move on

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Speaker 3: to the power.

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Speaker 1: Game of the week.

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Speaker 3: A quick message from our dear buddy in Pale, mister Stuckey.

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Speaker 6: As a reminder, the Big Bets on Campus podcast is

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401
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00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,960
Speaker 3: And we're back with breakdown of the Power Games plural

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Speaker 3: of the week.

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Speaker 2: Can't get it wrong, Oh, I could feel it.

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Speaker 3: We're talking about potentially two to three here again. A

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Speaker 3: ton of conference action heating up this week and weekend.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna do a quick spotlight on the SEC and

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Speaker 3: I want to talk about two games in particular, one

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Speaker 3: of which is near and dear to both of your hearts,

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Speaker 3: the other of which we did talk about a little

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Speaker 3: bit at the onset, But I like these both because

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Speaker 3: they actually have real lines out at this juncture. Kentucky

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Speaker 3: heads into the Miszoo arena as a short, short kai

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Speaker 3: too short two and a half point favorite?

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Speaker 2: Yes?

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Speaker 1: Or is Kentucky just bad enough that the line actually

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Speaker 1: is justified? That's too short? I think it'll be higher.

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Speaker 5: But these teams have five quality wins between them, and

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Speaker 5: Miszoo has four of the best five excuse me three,

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Speaker 5: excuse me three of the best five. That's saying something.

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Speaker 5: Kentucky really hasn't beaten anyone neutral against Michigan. That's their win.

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Speaker 5: Am I nervous from Miszoo. Yes, Oscar Schieboy Jim will

424
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,760
Speaker 5: have twenty rebounds. I would stake my reputation on it.

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00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,280
Speaker 5: He will get twenty rebounds. I'm just hoping the Tigers

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Speaker 5: can shoot as well as they did against Illinois and

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Speaker 5: show a little bit that fire they showed. It's going

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Speaker 5: to be sold out. This game is going to be

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Speaker 5: hyped for Columbia folks. I think Miszoo can hang.

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Speaker 1: But three is too short.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. From a numeric perspective, like you said, this is

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Speaker 2: it's surprisingly low. Although I am really low in Kentucky

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Speaker 2: right now. I've been knocking them. I just don't think

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Speaker 2: they have any idea what their best lineup is, how

435
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:12,879
Speaker 2: they play best together. I don't think they know, and

436
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:16,080
Speaker 2: that's a problem. And Miszoo actually looks like very connected

437
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,159
Speaker 2: that the performance against Illinois was like, even with Mosley

438
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:21,440
Speaker 2: not being a part of it, the chemistry really popped

439
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,119
Speaker 2: off the floor there and it helps when you hit

440
00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:25,919
Speaker 2: shots early. Everything kind of goes well when you do that.

441
00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 2: But I was impressed. I think Missoo wins this game

442
00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:32,440
Speaker 2: from a gut sense. So I'm not gonna bet Kentucky

443
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:35,600
Speaker 2: because of the number, but I do feel I think

444
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 2: maybe the best bet on the board is, like you said, Oscarshibe,

445
00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,679
Speaker 2: if you find an over and rebounds for him. I

446
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,679
Speaker 2: don't understand how he doesn't get at least sixteen twenty

447
00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 2: is very likely. That's the that's the fear of your

448
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:47,680
Speaker 2: Missoo here.

449
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 3: If you think Kentucky stinks and Missoo's gonna repeat the

450
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:54,680
Speaker 3: Onohe performance, I think the over is phenomenal bet. Jimmy

451
00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 3: mentioned this, there's no off switch to Maszoo when they

452
00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 3: get into lapsided games.

453
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,399
Speaker 2: They're they're never walking the ball up.

454
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:03,400
Speaker 3: No, they're not twenty five. They're looking to run down

455
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,200
Speaker 3: and take a quick shot and they first open look.

456
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 3: So yeah, points could be in.

457
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 1: A high abundance there.

458
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,399
Speaker 3: I guess we talked about Tennessee Ole, miss so I

459
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:12,199
Speaker 3: don't want to belabor that anymore. Maybe we can hit

460
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,400
Speaker 3: which of the three intrigue you Kai of the Alabama,

461
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 3: Missippi State, Arkansas, LSU, Florida Auburn to me pig Suey

462
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 3: at LSU, A line that I think will be higher

463
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 3: than most people expect, but I think justifiably high, given

464
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 3: how I guess non threatening LSU has been so far

465
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 3: this season. Yeah, I'm not worried about that game, so

466
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:38,920
Speaker 3: doesn't intrigue me. Alabama Misstate will be the best game, yep.

467
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:40,639
Speaker 3: But Florida at Auburn.

468
00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 5: Is the one I'm most interested in because Florida's in

469
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:45,160
Speaker 5: desperate need of a win. They need a quality win.

470
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 5: Their resume is not good right now. They fail to

471
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 5: take care of business. In the non com they failed

472
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 5: to get any wins. Auburn has looked okay this season.

473
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 5: I would say we're skeptical of them, but they are

474
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:59,280
Speaker 5: at home and home Auburn is a different beast than

475
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 5: away Auburn. If Florida can pull a win at Auburn,

476
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 5: it's a huge feather in their cap.

477
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:04,880
Speaker 1: It's a huge statement.

478
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:07,359
Speaker 5: If Auburn wins this game, takes care of business, they

479
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 5: seem to be on track for potentially a top five

480
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:10,720
Speaker 5: seed once again.

481
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,199
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm curious if Florida can handle the pressure of

482
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:18,159
Speaker 2: being in that pressure cooker of a jungle that Auburn

483
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 2: throws at you. Do they have enough ball handlers With Lofton,

484
00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:23,920
Speaker 2: He's been in and out of the lineup. Bonham is

485
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,919
Speaker 2: a lot smaller. He could struggle with the size and

486
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:30,719
Speaker 2: Auburn's just so elite at the rim. Florida can't really shoot.

487
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,959
Speaker 2: They've made some shots, but they don't take that many threes.

488
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:36,200
Speaker 2: And if you have to go inside against that Auburn team,

489
00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:38,080
Speaker 2: you are going to struggle to score. Like they have

490
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,399
Speaker 2: the best collection of shot blockers in the country. Despite

491
00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 2: Walker Kessler going pro, jan I Broom, Dylan Card Well,

492
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 2: those guys will take things away from you. I kind

493
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,760
Speaker 2: of fear for Florida. They're matt The one I'm most

494
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 2: excited for it is probably the Tide and the Bulldogs

495
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:55,480
Speaker 2: Alabama Misissippi State, but that could be a weird slug fest.

496
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:56,040
Speaker 2: We'll see.

497
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:59,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, I can see that game being lower scoring than

498
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:02,119
Speaker 3: people think. The uh yeah, the LSU one's interesting, like

499
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,320
Speaker 3: they're on the outside looking in bubble wise.

500
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:06,879
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously we're not even whether the bubble discussion.

501
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 3: It's it's the one they're on the right side of

502
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 3: the bubble, but they are because they're eleven to one.

503
00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:14,080
Speaker 1: You're right, I haven't really lost any bad games.

504
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:17,359
Speaker 3: I don't know how rock is that environment's going to

505
00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:20,919
Speaker 3: be Christmas Break against pig Suy, But I looked at

506
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 3: the numbers. LSU's home road ats the last five years

507
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:26,440
Speaker 3: actually have not been as dark as I thought. I

508
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,160
Speaker 3: kind of view them as like an awesome home team

509
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 3: bat on the road. It really hasn't been that imbalanced,

510
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 3: So I guess I would say, don't be afraid to

511
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:33,879
Speaker 3: lay the points on the road with Arkansas, which I

512
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,640
Speaker 3: think I will probably do despite.

513
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:39,760
Speaker 2: How much how much does Nick Smith's indefinite absence bothered me.

514
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 3: I have him out just as a concervative assumption. It

515
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 3: does bother me. I worry about the depth. I've kind

516
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:49,160
Speaker 3: of mentioned how cautiously skeptic about how dynamic that team

517
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 3: is without him. They just don't have the depth, especially

518
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 3: at guard. But man, they're big upfront, and I think

519
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:56,280
Speaker 3: they can negate kJ Williams, which to me has been

520
00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:58,639
Speaker 3: like the only reliable option for LSU this year. Like

521
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:00,440
Speaker 3: all the other guys are kind of hittering me Jekyll

522
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 3: and Hyde. kJ Williams has been like their star and

523
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,000
Speaker 3: their their engine. They can take away him. I think

524
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:08,720
Speaker 3: they'll be fine. I apologize to the Thursday So if

525
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:11,440
Speaker 3: there were some good games but none that juicy, I

526
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:12,959
Speaker 3: think I just want to talk about these next two

527
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:16,240
Speaker 3: mid major games as we seamlessly transition to our next

528
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 3: section of the show mid Major Game of the Week,

529
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 3: and we have two doozies, both on Thursday, so you'll

530
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:26,159
Speaker 3: have to exhibit some patients until these come through. If

531
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:30,120
Speaker 3: Florida Atlantic at North Texas, Sam Houston at Utah Valley

532
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 3: Man Florida Atlantic seeing a plus next to their name.

533
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:37,440
Speaker 1: Would be a wild, wild development.

534
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,879
Speaker 3: But obviously, North Texas Grant mccawson have been the class

535
00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:41,920
Speaker 3: of that league now for what feels like three seasons.

536
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 3: But this FAU team is a different beast Kai. I

537
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 3: think they're a top ten team, exaggerating, but they basically

538
00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 3: played like one today just out of Prince Bla. I'm

539
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 3: going to back them because I have to back them.

540
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:54,119
Speaker 3: Haven't back them all year. I've been too late on

541
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 3: the rating, but I will be backing FAU in this game.

542
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 2: I like to.

543
00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 5: I think they can match up in North Texas, but

544
00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:02,840
Speaker 5: this North Texas team is really, really, really good themselves.

545
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 5: Do we believe that FAU is better than them this year?

546
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,120
Speaker 5: I'm not sure I do quite yet. I think people

547
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:11,120
Speaker 5: have started forgotten or sort of forgotten about North Texas.

548
00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 5: I hope they start to prove why they were preseason favorites.

549
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:15,280
Speaker 2: In this league.

550
00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:18,200
Speaker 5: Why they do so well under Grant McCaslin every single season,

551
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 5: and I think they take care of business here. We'll

552
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:23,200
Speaker 5: see where the spread gets. I'm very curious to see

553
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 5: which way the market pushes this game. If the market

554
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,679
Speaker 5: really believes that FAU jim is thirteen spots higher than

555
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:29,719
Speaker 5: them as Kim Pom has them.

556
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:35,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think North Texas often exposes teams like any

557
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 2: little thing you don't do well or are poorly coached on,

558
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:40,880
Speaker 2: Like if you take a little bit of a bad

559
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 2: shot every once in a while, or you turn the

560
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 2: ball over a little bit, North Texas will bring that

561
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:46,960
Speaker 2: out of you because of how disciplined they are. But

562
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,840
Speaker 2: I think FAU is like mega well coached and they

563
00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 2: have a million guards. They can make shots over the

564
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:55,679
Speaker 2: top if they need to. I'm just totally enamored with

565
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,479
Speaker 2: this FAU team. I know that they don't have like

566
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 2: a bunch of home run wins right now other than

567
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 2: at Florida. They've just kind of dominated a shaky schedule,

568
00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:06,800
Speaker 2: but I think it's totally legitimate. I think they are

569
00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:09,159
Speaker 2: an at large caliber team, maybe not top ten like

570
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:12,879
Speaker 2: Matthew said, but I think they are very close to

571
00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:14,879
Speaker 2: the favorite in this league as good as you a

572
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 2: B in North Texas are. I think FAU kind of

573
00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,360
Speaker 2: announces themselves here. They start league play with at North

574
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 2: Texas VERSUSUAB, So we're gonna know pretty soon on FAU

575
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 2: and Man, I think we find out right away. I'm

576
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:26,920
Speaker 2: an owl guy here.

577
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll be on the hoot Hoot owls as well.

578
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 3: With all due Respectory Gagraamacass. I just think it's their

579
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 3: game and Jim good good fortune for them in the

580
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 3: scheduling FAU. They get a whole week off and come

581
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 3: back home to host you AB, so they could be

582
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,240
Speaker 3: two and zero, sitting real good for an at large

583
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 3: berths potentially just after the New year. Next game Sam

584
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 3: Houston at Utah Valley Sam Houston other early mid major

585
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:52,080
Speaker 3: What the heck? Where did that come from? Kenpom has

586
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 3: this plus one at Utah Valley another Utah valised team

587
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 3: that I think people are not privy to how good

588
00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 3: they've been. Obviously, winning at Oregon got some people's attention,

589
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 3: but they also won handily at THEYU should have won

590
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:05,240
Speaker 3: in Weight kind of got a host in that game,

591
00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:09,680
Speaker 3: Weight lost in overtime. Did lose it poised pretty pretty convincingly,

592
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 3: but they've had some injuries early. They're now healthier, and

593
00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:16,439
Speaker 3: I continue to undervalue Mark Mattson every season, like I

594
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:18,320
Speaker 3: lose so much money fait in this team and I

595
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 3: just have to finally accept that.

596
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 1: They're really good.

597
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 3: All that is to say, Kai, there's not been a

598
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 3: better ATS coach in the last three years. As you

599
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,000
Speaker 3: highlighted in one of our earlier sections in Mister.

600
00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:31,640
Speaker 5: Hooton, Jason Houghton's awesome. Yeah, him and Mattson both get

601
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 5: not enough respect in the market. Well, the market I

602
00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:38,480
Speaker 5: suppose respects them, but in college basketball media circles. Sam

603
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,239
Speaker 5: Houston has no business being as good as they are

604
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 5: this season, but they tend to get They seem to

605
00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:45,479
Speaker 5: get better every single year somehow, despite losing everybody from

606
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 5: the year before. Having said that, I think this Zutah

607
00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 5: Valleys game, I think they take care of business here.

608
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:53,680
Speaker 5: A one point spread is like the best spread ever

609
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 5: to bet on. It's fantastic. So I will probably be

610
00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 5: on the Wolverines here TVD on what the market does

611
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:01,440
Speaker 5: I bet Utah Valiant up a favorite.

612
00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:04,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm curious too. I haven't like dug into what

613
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 2: I would make this yet, But I like, from a

614
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 2: gut senseiling towards Sam Houston, I think they can kind

615
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 2: of harass the Utah Valley guards interesting with Sam Houston's

616
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:16,359
Speaker 2: They've got the win at Utah, the win at Oklahoma.

617
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 2: Those are like two top of the resume wins. They're

618
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,119
Speaker 2: ten and two, and their non conference strength to schedule

619
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 2: it's gorgeous. It's thirty first per Ken Poon. It's because

620
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:27,879
Speaker 2: they played four ninety one teams instead of playing bottom

621
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,119
Speaker 2: of the country teams. They played nine dy one's and

622
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 2: those don't influence those numbers. Very clever gaming of the

623
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 2: system by mister Houghton. Here they are atop the whack

624
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 2: in Matt the newfangled Ken Palm influenced ratings for seatings.

625
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 2: Sam Houston sits a top that measurement as well. I

626
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 2: kind of like them on the road, but going to

627
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,280
Speaker 2: elevation at Utah Valley is always dicey.

628
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 3: It is, and they didn't do it last year. Utah

629
00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:56,800
Speaker 3: Valley came to Sam Houston actually beat Sam Houston in

630
00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,240
Speaker 3: their building. So I think it's something to keep an

631
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,040
Speaker 3: eye on a team like sam Houston. Their first trip

632
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 3: to the altitude that will be playing Utah Tech shortly

633
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 3: after they have Oh sorry, they're actually playing in Mexico

634
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:09,120
Speaker 3: State forty eight hours later.

635
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 5: Wow.

636
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 3: Add that to the schedule. That's a tough turnaround, going

637
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 3: from altitude down.

638
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:14,840
Speaker 2: To uh Mexico State, New Mexico.

639
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's on New Year's Eve.

640
00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 3: So make sure to add that to your list, folks

641
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:22,680
Speaker 3: while you're out drinking champagne and blowing horns or whatever.

642
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 3: Huh oh yes, horse, yeah, the what do you call

643
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 3: the cause? What do you call those things? Kazoos?

644
00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 1: Because yeah, noisemakers, Thank you, Jim, I'll go with that one. Uh.

645
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:34,560
Speaker 1: And that's a great time.

646
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 3: We conclude that section and move on to our fifth section,

647
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:38,400
Speaker 3: The trash Man Pick of the week.

648
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:42,240
Speaker 1: The trash man pick of the week. I'm the trash man.

649
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 4: Just throw me the trash, your garbage and you know it,

650
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 4: totally unreliable, undependent of it.

651
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 5: That's it.

652
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 6: You've been told off.

653
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 3: How do you like that? Good? Getting down and dirty

654
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 3: with Get ready and drum roll please Maryland Eastern Shore

655
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:59,480
Speaker 3: at Columbia. I think the Lions have made this section

656
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 3: like three now. Sixty nine sixty eight is a projective

657
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 3: final for Kempom not as ugly as some of the

658
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 3: other options we've talked about in the past, but it's

659
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 3: just such a who cares game. Non conference two teams

660
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 3: aren't any good under dog KAI thoughts taken.

661
00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 5: Eastern Shore probably, I've been against Columbia like every single

662
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 5: game now. They've been feisty lately, to their credit, annoyingly feisty.

663
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 5: They shouldn't be. They've been shooting a bit above their

664
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 5: heads in my opinion. In Eastern Shore. Just be Temple

665
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 5: at Temple. I know Temple had a guy out, but

666
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 5: that's pretty impressive. We've seen Jason Crafton be way better

667
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 5: than he has any right to be the last couple

668
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 5: of years of this team. I think they can win

669
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 5: this game on the road.

670
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:43,960
Speaker 2: Yep. They've had Kevin Boyle's back the last five games,

671
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 2: last six actually one of their carry out. They carried

672
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 2: over basically an entire lineup from last year, and now

673
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 2: that their whole again with him, they've been really competitive.

674
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 2: I know they got kind of got blown out by Liberty,

675
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 2: but solid effort at George Mason. Okay, effort at Duke.

676
00:30:57,960 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 2: I mean they lost by twenty seven, but it's Duke,

677
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:02,160
Speaker 2: I get it. And then yeah, the Temple wind is

678
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 2: kind of like the eyebrow raiser of oh yeah, that's

679
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:05,720
Speaker 2: how good this team can be, like what they did

680
00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 2: last year in the non con giving, like Saint Joe's

681
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 2: and all kinds of teams, every bit that they can handle.

682
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 2: I think they're actually kind of decent, Matt, and I

683
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:16,000
Speaker 2: think they take care of business against Columbia. That will

684
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 2: be a bet for me.

685
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 3: All right, I might add to my watchlist. I don't

686
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 3: have any strong takes either way. I have a lot

687
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 3: stronger takes on our final section medi section. Mister mccainnons

688
00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 3: spotlight on conference title futures. It's basically the last not

689
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 3: last chance, but among the last chances. You have to

690
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:39,240
Speaker 3: bet some of these at many books are proud spotsor

691
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:42,960
Speaker 3: bet MGM has the top eight power slash High Major

692
00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,239
Speaker 3: leagues available. Still will run through all of these, our

693
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:49,080
Speaker 3: best picks from each one as currently stands. Some conferences

694
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:51,080
Speaker 3: already with games in hands, so you kind of have

695
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:52,920
Speaker 3: to look at where they are currently in the later board.

696
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 3: For some conferences, the imbalanced schedule, i'll out Big ten

697
00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:00,880
Speaker 3: will play factor. I also saw ken We'll ared complaining

698
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 3: about the Big ten scheduling sumptional. We'll poke fun at

699
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 3: him when we get to the Big Ten, but we

700
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:09,560
Speaker 3: start with his prior conference Kay the Big East. Yukon

701
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 3: at a gaudy favorite minus one fifty to win the league.

702
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 1: To me, it feels too obvious they are. It's two

703
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 1: and oh.

704
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 3: Xavier's also at two and o, Providence also at two

705
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:19,360
Speaker 3: and o, Villanova one to oh, Creighton two and one.

706
00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:22,719
Speaker 3: I was looking at Creighton at plus four hundred four

707
00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 3: to one. Any value there are you too scared of

708
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:28,280
Speaker 3: Yukon to go against the Huskies. You can make an

709
00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 3: argument there's value on Creighton and Yukon or exeues me.

710
00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:32,840
Speaker 3: Creton and Xavier four one, four to one, six to

711
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,000
Speaker 3: one both are too and oh in the league, But

712
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:37,960
Speaker 3: I think it's Yukon's conference. I cannot see them losing

713
00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:39,840
Speaker 3: this league, so I will stay away from this.

714
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, especially in a double round robin, true double round robin,

715
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:45,719
Speaker 2: I'm tend to lean towards the favorite because I know

716
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 2: there's no wonky scheduling that's gonna give an advantage to

717
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 2: somebody like Creighton, and I just don't think that the

718
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,800
Speaker 2: Blue Jays are consistent enough with their young guys at

719
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:57,000
Speaker 2: this stage to where I would want to get on like,

720
00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 2: I think this is properly priced. Yukon is the clear

721
00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 2: Faceavorite like top one or two team in the entire country,

722
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 2: and maybe no other top fifteen teams in the league.

723
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:06,960
Speaker 2: So it's Yukon.

724
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:09,760
Speaker 3: I would say Yukon one fifty like I mean, I

725
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 3: think we took Iona minus one fifty same price a

726
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:15,479
Speaker 3: few weeks ago. I'll be honest, I think the Yukon

727
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 3: gap to the field is as good at the same

728
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 3: gap as the Iona gap to the MAAC field At

729
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:20,760
Speaker 3: this point.

730
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 2: I can't parlay futures at BETMGM unfortunately, but I do

731
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 2: have Yukon in a couple futures parlays and other books.

732
00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 2: I think it is It is a worthy add in

733
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 2: there to get better prices on certain teams.

734
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 3: Maybe a little Creighton small dabble as a hedge. That's

735
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 3: I think the only other team I can see one

736
00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 3: in this league, just given how awesome they've looked with

737
00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 3: mister Kulprenner back in the fold all right to the

738
00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 3: big bad ten we go. Perdue is the presumed favorite

739
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 3: a vet MGM right now minus one oh five.

740
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:52,960
Speaker 2: That's silly.

741
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,960
Speaker 1: Right. This is Illinois prices cavat, thank you.

742
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:59,479
Speaker 3: Kay, this is the no looking at the Illinois book here,

743
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:04,959
Speaker 3: so no schools, which removes Illinois and Northwestern, who has

744
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:09,200
Speaker 3: been quietly really good. Still from that tilt, I still

745
00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:11,479
Speaker 3: think the Purdue thing is a terrible bet. I'm looking

746
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 3: Jim down the leaderboard like at oh I don't know,

747
00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:18,200
Speaker 3: like an Iowa or a Michigan or a Wisconsin like

748
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:19,880
Speaker 3: twelve to one, fourteen to one, eight. So I think

749
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 3: this is one where you should take a flyer as

750
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:24,160
Speaker 3: my short my short recommendation.

751
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:26,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I know Illinois not listened here, but they're oh

752
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:28,600
Speaker 2: and two, have already lost a home game de Penn State.

753
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:30,719
Speaker 2: They look like a mess. Even though I thought they

754
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 2: had the softest schedule this year based on who they

755
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 2: played twice, wouldn't touch them. Kay, I think you have

756
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:37,520
Speaker 2: the right one circled. I'm gonna let you present it.

757
00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:41,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, just for context in Arizona bet MGM has illinoid

758
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:45,600
Speaker 5: eight to one currently Purdue purduees even money. Yeah, I

759
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,800
Speaker 5: produce should not be a minus favorite. This league is

760
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:51,040
Speaker 5: too good. But the answer is Wisconsin at twelve to one,

761
00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:53,800
Speaker 5: they're already two and oh are you kidding me?

762
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:54,480
Speaker 1: Twelve to one.

763
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 5: This This team has won this league very recently with

764
00:34:57,040 --> 00:34:58,759
Speaker 5: a team that you could argue wasn't that much better

765
00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 5: than the current one.

766
00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 2: They won it with Johns last year, but they're more

767
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 2: balanced that The style just works for regular season, right

768
00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:10,360
Speaker 2: it does, It's consistent.

769
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:12,960
Speaker 5: It works, and gosh, compared to other prices right now,

770
00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 5: the fourth shortest odds in Illinois. I would take a

771
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 5: fire on the Badgers if you're going to take anybody.

772
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 2: In here once and it's at home.

773
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 3: At home, and it's at the end of the year,

774
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:28,120
Speaker 3: and said this kind of hope, you're hoping maybe you

775
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:30,040
Speaker 3: catch them without Eadie, right Like, it's kind of like

776
00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:31,839
Speaker 3: maybe part of this handicap and you have a lot

777
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:33,360
Speaker 3: of runaway for years, And maybe.

778
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:36,000
Speaker 5: I wouldn't bet. Eadie's literally never missed a game besides

779
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 5: last game he took off.

780
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,239
Speaker 1: How he's so durable, No, seven putters is durable. It

781
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:40,560
Speaker 1: makes no sense to me. I don't understand it.

782
00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:43,479
Speaker 2: But he doesn't big minutes load until this year, until

783
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:43,799
Speaker 2: this year.

784
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,560
Speaker 3: That's what I'm thinking. Maybe the taxing big ten gauntlet.

785
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:48,920
Speaker 3: I don't know that it's kind of a reach. He

786
00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 3: just kind of stands, and he just kind of yeah,

787
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 3: it must be a nice life, nice player, nice guy,

788
00:35:56,280 --> 00:36:00,800
Speaker 3: all right. Acc Next up the presumed favorite, Virginia plus

789
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:05,279
Speaker 3: one seventy, Duke get plus two twenty five UNC at

790
00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:07,839
Speaker 3: three to one, Miami at six to one. Anything else

791
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 3: down the line had any sort of intrigue to Jim,

792
00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 3: Virginia Tech at sixteen to one. I wouldn't go much

793
00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 3: below that as I look through the options here.

794
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 2: No, I think one of the top three teams will

795
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,840
Speaker 2: win this. Between Virginia and Duke and North Carolina, I

796
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 2: don't know if I trust UNC, even at a slightly

797
00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 2: better price. This is another one where I think i'd

798
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:29,319
Speaker 2: lean towards the favorite. Duke is two inconsistent in league play.

799
00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:31,839
Speaker 2: They even some of their elite elite teams with coach

800
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,839
Speaker 2: k wouldn't win the regular season just because a young

801
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:38,000
Speaker 2: team would have some lapses on the road. And I

802
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 2: think Virginia, like Wisconsin, is just that metronomic style that's

803
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 2: consistent every night out. I know they already dropped one

804
00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 2: on the road to Miami, who is three and ozero

805
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,880
Speaker 2: and maybe beckoning some people at that plus six hundred,

806
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:52,719
Speaker 2: But I think ultimately through the gauntlet. Virginia is gonna

807
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:53,600
Speaker 2: be a team that comes out.

808
00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:56,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, Miami six to one is probably the smartest, but

809
00:36:57,160 --> 00:37:00,840
Speaker 5: three to zh already they beat Virginia already. The road

810
00:37:00,640 --> 00:37:04,840
Speaker 5: win at Louisville Botech sixteen to one is probably the

811
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 5: best long shot in my opinion. They're one and one

812
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:07,640
Speaker 5: in the league.

813
00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:08,440
Speaker 1: They have a lot of talent.

814
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:12,960
Speaker 5: They are the fourth third highest team in kimpum.

815
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:18,360
Speaker 2: Not bad value. Just yeah, BC would be I wonder

816
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,359
Speaker 2: they'd probably be like eleven to one if they.

817
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:25,400
Speaker 3: Had uh yeah, I'll know you guys alluded to it.

818
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:28,600
Speaker 3: But just to clarify, Virginia at Duke North Carolina Virginia

819
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:30,760
Speaker 3: Tech all at one to one right now, while Miami

820
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 3: sits at three and oh I did kind of look

821
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 3: at Florida State at to one.

822
00:37:35,920 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 2: Stop.

823
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,359
Speaker 1: Okay, I'll move on. They are to one in the league.

824
00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 1: Just saying eighty to one one this conference before not on.

825
00:37:41,120 --> 00:37:44,920
Speaker 3: Talented Boba Miller comes back soon, Okay, all right, and

826
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:49,719
Speaker 3: we'll move along to the American Athletic Conference where it's

827
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:54,479
Speaker 3: Houston and the field minus five hundred feels high. Kai,

828
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,480
Speaker 3: I mean Memphis does intrigue me. I think they're really good.

829
00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:58,240
Speaker 3: At five to one, that's the only team I'd consider

830
00:37:58,239 --> 00:37:59,160
Speaker 3: outside of Houston here.

831
00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:01,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, sure, but it's Houston's league. There's no way that

832
00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 5: losing this conference. So I'm not betting anybody else.

833
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:07,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, this maybe this straddle has gotten a little

834
00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:09,759
Speaker 2: too wide between the only two teams that have any

835
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:13,280
Speaker 2: chance at winning, that'd be Houston and Memphis. But Houston's

836
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:17,560
Speaker 2: just awesome, and they're another team like Virginia and Wisconsin

837
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:20,279
Speaker 2: that's so consistent night tonight with their physicality and they

838
00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 2: don't need to make threes to win. That's that's the

839
00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 2: time kind of team I think is very worth backing

840
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:28,319
Speaker 2: in regular season stuff. So I'm not going to do

841
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:29,200
Speaker 2: anything with this either.

842
00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:32,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think those odds have climbed even from preseason.

843
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 2: So yeah, there was like minus three seventy three up

844
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:35,839
Speaker 2: to five.

845
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 1: Okay, Well there you go.

846
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 3: And no conference games have been played yet in that league,

847
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 3: so you're getting a pure bet at this point to

848
00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:45,879
Speaker 3: the Big twelve next up, best league per Ken Palm,

849
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:47,719
Speaker 3: as it has it has been like the last half

850
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:50,840
Speaker 3: decade at this point, other conference, there's been no games

851
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:55,240
Speaker 3: played to date. Favorite is Kansas at plus one ninety

852
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 3: basically two to one, Baylor at plus two twenty five,

853
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:01,960
Speaker 3: Texas the team with out of coach sort of at

854
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 3: three to one. Jim, those are the three clear favorites,

855
00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:10,800
Speaker 3: with the Mountaineers at nine to one at four thoughts Kansas.

856
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:15,719
Speaker 2: I think Kansas wins this league. Baylor's not secure enough defensively,

857
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 2: and they're they're too reliant on shot making to where

858
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:21,560
Speaker 2: they're going to have off nights and lose. Kansas has

859
00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:24,000
Speaker 2: the best home court in the league. They are the

860
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:27,240
Speaker 2: best team in the league. Texas without the coach factor

861
00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:30,040
Speaker 2: is a problem. I mean, maybe you could be intrigued

862
00:39:30,040 --> 00:39:32,600
Speaker 2: by West Virginia or TCU as longer shots because.

863
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 1: Of a TCU of fourteen to one. Maybe.

864
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 2: Yeah. The version of them with Damian Ba has been

865
00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:40,120
Speaker 2: excellent and different than the pre or the early season

866
00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:43,280
Speaker 2: floundering they had against the Southland. But I think Kansas

867
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,759
Speaker 2: plus one ninety is like a good bet here.

868
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:50,400
Speaker 5: I do as well. Here, I do as well. Kansas

869
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 5: plus one ninety is the best bet in this league

870
00:39:52,040 --> 00:39:53,080
Speaker 5: in my opinion.

871
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:56,400
Speaker 3: I think I would that's my Yeah, this is my

872
00:39:56,560 --> 00:39:58,920
Speaker 3: least confident conference, so I have no action here. I

873
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:02,400
Speaker 3: think you guys probably have the right edge though. Next

874
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:06,040
Speaker 3: up Mountain West Head and out west favorite San Diego

875
00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 3: State at MIAs one thirty five. I am selling all

876
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 3: of the Aztec shares. I am looking to pounce on

877
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 3: a dark horse lurking. Is it UNLVGYM at ten to one?

878
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:18,279
Speaker 3: Is it New Mexico at ten to one? Both seem

879
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:21,160
Speaker 3: pretty high given how awesome they play in the non conference.

880
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:23,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think for me it'd be New Mexico ten

881
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 2: to one. They've got an awesome home court advantage at

882
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:28,880
Speaker 2: the pit. I think that's very helpful, and they're a

883
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:31,680
Speaker 2: lot more consistent because they've got guys in the front

884
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:34,960
Speaker 2: court that actually defend and rebound. They're not just reliant

885
00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:37,400
Speaker 2: on the jump shot making of Jalen House and Jamal

886
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:41,080
Speaker 2: Nashburn Junior. So I think New Mexico's worth a stab there.

887
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 2: I have some San Diego State barely plus money from preseason,

888
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:48,879
Speaker 2: and I am looking to diversify that because I don't

889
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 2: feel confident in them right now, even though they have

890
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 2: a great home court too. But the rest of the

891
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:55,239
Speaker 2: leaguees just look so strong that I kind of want

892
00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:57,440
Speaker 2: to balance out the portfolio. Little Kyle.

893
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:01,480
Speaker 5: Dare you I do agree in Mexico ten to one

894
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:03,840
Speaker 5: is the best bet here. I had the spread between

895
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:05,759
Speaker 5: San Diego State and the rest of the league isn't

896
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 5: as large as we thought it would be in the preseason.

897
00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:10,120
Speaker 5: There's a lot of good teams in this conference. In

898
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:11,560
Speaker 5: Mexico's got the best value.

899
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was gonna basically split my one unit bet

900
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:16,759
Speaker 3: in this conference just to a half union on New

901
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:18,960
Speaker 3: Mexico and a half union on Unlby. I think you

902
00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:21,520
Speaker 3: be a pretty good chance you get a winner from

903
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:24,399
Speaker 3: those two. Basically looking to short San Dio State, Utah

904
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:26,839
Speaker 3: States also coming back down to earth, they've had some

905
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:29,480
Speaker 3: tough losses after looking nearly immencible to start the year.

906
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:31,200
Speaker 1: And I'm not a big poison guy.

907
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:35,760
Speaker 3: So that's that cap in a nutshell, staying out West

908
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:39,520
Speaker 3: Pac twelve. I am surprised to see maybe I shouldn't

909
00:41:39,520 --> 00:41:42,960
Speaker 3: be Arizona and UCLA with the same odds at plus

910
00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:46,240
Speaker 3: one forty. Now it's probably me disrespecting discounting what UCLA

911
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:49,040
Speaker 3: has done recently. I believe Arizona is the better team

912
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:51,759
Speaker 3: still and I am but inclined to take them or

913
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 3: maybe eve an Oregon at eight to one.

914
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:56,239
Speaker 5: Kai well, well, Arizona's one in one, Ucla is two

915
00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:58,759
Speaker 5: and zero, so that's part of it. And UCLA has

916
00:41:58,800 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 5: been every bit as rest of his Arizona in my opinion,

917
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:04,720
Speaker 5: so I buy the odds here. I'm not taking Oregon.

918
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:08,160
Speaker 5: I don't believe in them. Arizona State sixteen to one

919
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:10,640
Speaker 5: is the flyer I would take. They're already two to

920
00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:14,920
Speaker 5: zero and their defense looks legit despite their offense having issues.

921
00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:18,120
Speaker 5: I would look at them if you're gonna look for

922
00:42:18,160 --> 00:42:19,280
Speaker 5: a flyer in this league.

923
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they won at Colorado. That's getting an elevation

924
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:29,880
Speaker 2: win is pretty impressive. Matt, I surprisingly disagree strongly. I

925
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:32,280
Speaker 2: think I think USA is the better team than Arizona,

926
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:36,920
Speaker 2: like fairly constantly. Hocket Is and Campbell are two like

927
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:39,640
Speaker 2: super reliable shot creators late in the clock. They've got

928
00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:43,239
Speaker 2: a fantastic defensive coach. And Arizona, to me right now

929
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:45,919
Speaker 2: is more like this is the souped up system that's

930
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,400
Speaker 2: impossible for teams we've never seen it before to handle.

931
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,759
Speaker 2: But losing at elevation I think kind of shows a

932
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 2: little bit of the shortcomings maybe that they have. And

933
00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 2: I Ucla, man, I just think they're going to be

934
00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:59,719
Speaker 2: so consistent throughout the league schedule. They're probably a little

935
00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:02,480
Speaker 2: bitter about not getting the title last year dropping that

936
00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:05,480
Speaker 2: to Arizona. So I would I woul lean towards Ucla

937
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,880
Speaker 2: between those two and I guess long shot, Kay's probably

938
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,839
Speaker 2: got the right price circle there. Maybe Utah twenty five

939
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:13,840
Speaker 2: to one two, Yeah, that was my great home court.

940
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 3: I didn't play it, but at two and oh with

941
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,879
Speaker 3: the win against Arizona in the bag, twenty five to

942
00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 3: one is kind of huge there, right, And the Ucla

943
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:27,399
Speaker 3: game they play, Ucla has to go to Utah late

944
00:43:27,440 --> 00:43:30,040
Speaker 3: in the year, but then I think Utah goes to

945
00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:33,040
Speaker 3: Ucla January twelfth, So yeah, Paktah again.

946
00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:36,479
Speaker 2: Next three are at cal at Stanford versus Oregon State,

947
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:38,840
Speaker 2: like they could very easily be five and oh.

948
00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:39,719
Speaker 1: Five and oh shitdn't good here.

949
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:41,919
Speaker 5: Yeah, you could argue you should probably take Utah now

950
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:44,960
Speaker 5: if you want Utah's future, because they probably will win

951
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:48,560
Speaker 5: these next three games and be a better or excuse me,

952
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:49,320
Speaker 5: shorter price.

953
00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:51,000
Speaker 1: I buy that completely.

954
00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:53,800
Speaker 3: And yeah, the other pack twell teams like Oregonham is

955
00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:57,319
Speaker 3: really hopeful for I, you know, selling that. Washington State's

956
00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:59,560
Speaker 3: clearly not what we thought they were either so a

957
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,279
Speaker 3: lot of team you're not really a fan of in

958
00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:03,160
Speaker 3: this conference, so kind of stick to like those top

959
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:06,680
Speaker 3: three favorites is probably the way to go. Final League

960
00:44:06,719 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 3: the SEC Tennessee two to one favorite at bet MGM

961
00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 3: Alabama three to one, Kentucky poorly priced in my opinion

962
00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:19,600
Speaker 3: at three point five to one. How about Mississippi State

963
00:44:19,640 --> 00:44:24,400
Speaker 3: the Finding Christian's at twenty to one. No, maybe, how

964
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:27,359
Speaker 3: about how about Miszoo sixty six to one? That's too big.

965
00:44:27,440 --> 00:44:29,040
Speaker 3: I kind of zoo Miszoo.

966
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:32,600
Speaker 5: More quality wins the Mississippi State. Mississippi State is a

967
00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:35,799
Speaker 5: worse loss than MISSOO, and Miszoo has a better non

968
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:39,040
Speaker 5: con strength of schedule than Mississippi State. Every single net

969
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 5: factor you want, MISSOO is superior to Mississtitiate right now.

970
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:45,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't understand why Missoo's behind Texas A and

971
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:48,640
Speaker 2: MLSU in Florida in terms of price. I just don't

972
00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:50,759
Speaker 2: think any of those three have proven anywhere near as

973
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:53,480
Speaker 2: much as what missoo has done so far. With a

974
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:55,839
Speaker 2: couple of road wins they picked up or semi road

975
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:59,320
Speaker 2: at UCF and than the Illinois on a neutral that said,

976
00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:03,560
Speaker 2: I would probably say Arkansas is the best value at four.

977
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:06,319
Speaker 2: I think those top four teams are all so close

978
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:09,600
Speaker 2: to even that getting the best price on them is

979
00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:13,280
Speaker 2: probably smart. I wouldn't touch Auburn, Mississippi State. The offense

980
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 2: isn't good enough, I don't think, But I think Tennessee, Alabama,

981
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:19,839
Speaker 2: Arkansas especially. I have questions about Kentucky, but I think

982
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:22,320
Speaker 2: those three are also close together. I just don't know

983
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:24,520
Speaker 2: about Nick Smith Junior. That's the one thing that worries me.

984
00:45:24,600 --> 00:45:26,720
Speaker 2: So I probably will not bet this league.

985
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 3: If you're in Zoo, if you're gona take dis Zoo,

986
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:32,400
Speaker 3: I think you have to dabble like one of the favorites.

987
00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 3: Just I mean as again, try to attack. Each conference

988
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:35,840
Speaker 3: is like a little mini portfolio.

989
00:45:36,080 --> 00:45:37,919
Speaker 1: It depends, depends you're looking for.

990
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 5: I know I'm not confident in my ability to pick Tennessee, Bama,

991
00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:44,239
Speaker 5: Kentucky or Arkansas. So if I'm gonna bet anything this league,

992
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:46,920
Speaker 5: guys will take a flyer really short or really small money.

993
00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:51,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, a lot of crapshoots here. Uh that concludes are

994
00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:54,799
Speaker 3: spotling on. Let's quickly recap what our official plays are

995
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:59,840
Speaker 3: or maybe some dependencies within those Jim, I go to

996
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:01,080
Speaker 3: first Kai run three years.

997
00:46:01,120 --> 00:46:02,279
Speaker 1: I only have two plays.

998
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:04,880
Speaker 5: Yeah, Kansas plus one ninety is a good bet. I

999
00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:07,000
Speaker 5: think in the big twelve. Wisconsin at twelve to one

1000
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 5: is a fantastic value bet and just a solid bet

1001
00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:12,600
Speaker 5: in general. And then longer shots if you're into that

1002
00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:15,120
Speaker 5: sort of thing. Bo attack at sixteen to one in

1003
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:17,160
Speaker 5: the acc areas in a state of sixteen to one

1004
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:19,160
Speaker 5: New Mexico ten to one in the Mountain West, and

1005
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:22,360
Speaker 5: then was sixty six to one. Throw a fiver on

1006
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:26,400
Speaker 5: there and skip lunch. I don't know that's my portfolio.

1007
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:29,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm pretty similar to Kai with the Kansas plus

1008
00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:31,839
Speaker 2: one ninety New Mexico ten to one. I think I've

1009
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:35,600
Speaker 2: been talked into Wisconsin just because of how consistent they are,

1010
00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:37,839
Speaker 2: and then I kind of like that Utah twenty five

1011
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 2: to one. I'm going to mix that in. I have

1012
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:43,040
Speaker 2: a UCLA preseason wager I'll get I'll get a little

1013
00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:44,680
Speaker 2: of Utah in there, just because we love them, They're

1014
00:46:44,680 --> 00:46:47,399
Speaker 2: well coached and they've got that elevation advantage.

1015
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 3: I'll add Utah small. I have Wisconsin at twelve to

1016
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:53,719
Speaker 3: one as well. I have Maryland in the bag at

1017
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:56,920
Speaker 3: thirty to one. I would recommend them at twelve to one,

1018
00:46:57,000 --> 00:46:58,520
Speaker 3: a little too cheap. I still think they're going to

1019
00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 3: be right there when it's all said and done. Just

1020
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:02,160
Speaker 3: kind of hit a little bit of a lull out

1021
00:47:02,160 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 3: a tough part of the schedule. We talked about the

1022
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:08,560
Speaker 3: new Mexico U and LV double dabble in the Mountain West.

1023
00:47:08,680 --> 00:47:10,520
Speaker 1: That's a little two for play for me.

1024
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:13,799
Speaker 3: And yeah, I'll join Jim on the Utah twenty five

1025
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:15,600
Speaker 3: to twe That sounds like a pretty good value, mister

1026
00:47:15,640 --> 00:47:16,319
Speaker 3: Craig Smith and.

1027
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:18,640
Speaker 1: In Salt Lake City.

1028
00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:23,120
Speaker 3: And that concludes the big bets on campus serve by

1029
00:47:23,160 --> 00:47:23,760
Speaker 3: Action Network.

1030
00:47:23,800 --> 00:47:25,239
Speaker 1: The weave is out.

1031
00:47:25,280 --> 00:47:27,480
Speaker 3: Thank you BETMGM, thank you all those for tuning in.

1032
00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 3: We will be back same time next week.

1033
00:47:30,080 --> 00:47:41,239
Speaker 1: Take care of me. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1034
00:47:41,680 --> 00:47:44,520
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1035
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:47,400
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1036
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:48,320
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler