1
00:00:01,320 --> 00:00:04,680
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA podcast on Pat Fitzmorris,

2
00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:07,480
Speaker 1: joined by Bo mcbrair. We're going to give you a

3
00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:11,480
Speaker 1: full betting preview of the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. Bow

4
00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:13,360
Speaker 1: and I will share our favorite bets with you. We'll

5
00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:14,960
Speaker 1: also make our one and done picks at the end

6
00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:17,640
Speaker 1: of the show. We'll also do a very quick recap

7
00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,439
Speaker 1: of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, and let's start

8
00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,560
Speaker 1: with that. Ben Griffin and Andrew Novak team up to

9
00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:26,160
Speaker 1: win the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. They finished twenty

10
00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:30,520
Speaker 1: eight under par, one shot better than Rasmus and Nikoloy Hoyguard,

11
00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:33,879
Speaker 1: the twin brothers from Denmark. Ben Griffin rolled in a

12
00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:37,040
Speaker 1: clutch thirty five foot birdie putt from the fringe on

13
00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:40,639
Speaker 1: the par three seventeenth hole to give him to give

14
00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:43,959
Speaker 1: his team a two shot lead. The t shot by

15
00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:46,680
Speaker 1: Novak had actually flirted with the water on the left side.

16
00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:49,319
Speaker 1: I thought it might be wet bow, but instead they

17
00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,240
Speaker 1: turn it into a birdie and then they pared the

18
00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:55,360
Speaker 1: par five eighteenth leaving the Hoyguards in need of a

19
00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:58,120
Speaker 1: final hole eagle to tie. But that wasn't gonna happen.

20
00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:00,400
Speaker 1: No one made eagle in the eighteenth hole all day.

21
00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,080
Speaker 1: The Hoyguards did make birdie on the last hole, though,

22
00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,440
Speaker 1: putting them in second place by themselves, one shot ahead

23
00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:10,440
Speaker 1: of third place finishers Jake Knapp and Frankie Kappan Novak

24
00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:14,039
Speaker 1: and Griffin aced the best ball rounds. The Zerk Classic

25
00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:17,320
Speaker 1: features a best ball format in rounds one to three,

26
00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:19,840
Speaker 1: where you use the best score between the two teammates

27
00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:22,880
Speaker 1: on each hole. In rounds two and four, it's alternate shot.

28
00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:26,399
Speaker 1: Novak and Griffin shot sixty two in Thursday's best ball

29
00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:30,200
Speaker 1: rounds sixty one. On Saturday, the Hoyguards had shot an

30
00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:32,959
Speaker 1: opening round fifty nine, but bo one of the long

31
00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,920
Speaker 1: shot teams you touted on last week's show, Isaiah Solinda

32
00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:39,280
Speaker 1: and Kevin Vello. They shot a tournament low fifty eight.

33
00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,320
Speaker 1: On Thursday. They finished four shots back. Defending champs Rory

34
00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:46,640
Speaker 1: McElroy and Shane Lowry finished six shots back. Any takeaways

35
00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:47,840
Speaker 1: from the Zerk Classic po.

36
00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:51,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I had a couple of good high placing teams.

37
00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:55,840
Speaker 2: I placed two ways with Selinda and Vello and also

38
00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:59,520
Speaker 2: placed two ways with the Stanford Boys Michael Thorpe Jornsen

39
00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:03,680
Speaker 2: and Phillips. Yeah, Carl Phillips's it was. It was a

40
00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,080
Speaker 2: good week. Didn't get the winners, but I know a

41
00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:08,560
Speaker 2: lot of people who did. Bet on Ben Griffin and

42
00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:12,239
Speaker 2: Andrew Novac, two hot players. That was kind of what

43
00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:15,640
Speaker 2: the theme of last week was is get some teams

44
00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:17,760
Speaker 2: that maybe are just playing really well, and they got

45
00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:20,680
Speaker 2: some good vibes going, and that was that was kind

46
00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,840
Speaker 2: of what happened. I didn't have anything really well invested

47
00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:27,280
Speaker 2: into the Zurich Classic, but it was nice to pull

48
00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:31,440
Speaker 2: out a small profit with some pretty timely picks. Shout

49
00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:36,040
Speaker 2: out in orcal Vello and Celinda were not just electric,

50
00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:39,600
Speaker 2: they were entertainment. They were They shot a fifty eight

51
00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:41,600
Speaker 2: and they were still dogging on each other because they

52
00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:44,800
Speaker 2: probably could have shot a fifty three that day. They

53
00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,760
Speaker 2: were twelve under through eleven holes on Thursday and ended

54
00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:51,800
Speaker 2: up coasting to the finish, including a par on the eighteenth,

55
00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:54,320
Speaker 2: which is a par five, and they could have gone

56
00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:58,720
Speaker 2: even lower than fifty eight, and unfortunately, their their luck

57
00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:02,000
Speaker 2: on alternate shot form was not as good and they

58
00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:04,760
Speaker 2: ended up shooting at sixty six on Saturday in best ball,

59
00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:07,560
Speaker 2: which wasn't going to help them win the tournament. But

60
00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:11,000
Speaker 2: I'll take my two placement betwins on two guys that

61
00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:13,640
Speaker 2: I was just hoping they'd make the cut. So it

62
00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:14,160
Speaker 2: was great.

63
00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:17,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a fun event, you know, not one of

64
00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:21,640
Speaker 1: the bright shining stars on the PGA Tour calendar, but

65
00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:25,240
Speaker 1: you know it's a nice, nice breath of fresh air.

66
00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,600
Speaker 1: Now we'll get to the CJ Coup by Ron Nelson

67
00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:28,519
Speaker 1: in just a moment.

68
00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:33,240
Speaker 2: First, download the free Betting Pros app for iOS and Android.

69
00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,640
Speaker 2: With sportsbooks Sink, you can automatically track your bets across

70
00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:40,520
Speaker 2: all major sportsbooks in one spot. Go ahead and easily

71
00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,920
Speaker 2: monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, including

72
00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:48,880
Speaker 2: game picks, props, and parlays. Create your custom betting systems

73
00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:52,800
Speaker 2: to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get a seven

74
00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,760
Speaker 2: day free trial of Betting Pros Premium by downloading the

75
00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:59,200
Speaker 2: app at Bettingpros dot com slash Apps, using the code

76
00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:04,280
Speaker 2: juice auice and activating your trial on the upgrade screen.

77
00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:08,160
Speaker 1: So now it's back to solo competition on the PGA

78
00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:11,440
Speaker 1: Tour with the CJ Cup Iron Nelson. The tournament will

79
00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:15,920
Speaker 1: be played at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, a

80
00:04:15,960 --> 00:04:18,760
Speaker 1: suburb of Dallas Fort Worth. This will be the fifth

81
00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:21,919
Speaker 1: time that Byron Nelson has been played at TPC Craig Ranch.

82
00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:25,400
Speaker 1: It's a Tom Wisecopp design a par seventy one, measuring

83
00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:28,240
Speaker 1: seven five hundred and sixty nine yards. It's a fairly

84
00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:31,760
Speaker 1: long course, even by PGA Tour standards. Three of the

85
00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:34,440
Speaker 1: four par three is measure two hundred and sixteen yards

86
00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,159
Speaker 1: or longer. There's a six hundred and thirty five yard

87
00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:39,560
Speaker 1: par five, although the other two par fives on the

88
00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:42,640
Speaker 1: course are short and pretty gettable. Five of the par

89
00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:45,279
Speaker 1: fours are four hundred and ninety yards or longer, but

90
00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:48,119
Speaker 1: players can pull out their drivers and mostly swing away

91
00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:52,240
Speaker 1: without fear this week. Craig Ranch has wide fairways, manageable

92
00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:55,919
Speaker 1: raw few hazards. The bent grass greens are big and

93
00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,839
Speaker 1: easy to hit, so expect a birdie fest this week.

94
00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:03,680
Speaker 1: Taylor Pendrith is the defending champ. He finished twenty three

95
00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:06,560
Speaker 1: under par last year to be Ben Coles by one shot.

96
00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,240
Speaker 1: Jason Day was also twenty three under when he won

97
00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,440
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three, and k H Lee won here

98
00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:15,320
Speaker 1: back to back in twenty twenty one and twenty twenty two,

99
00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:19,240
Speaker 1: finishing minus twenty five and minus twenty six. It won't

100
00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:21,000
Speaker 1: be all that hot down in Texas this week, with

101
00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:24,039
Speaker 1: temperatures ranging from the low seventies to low eighties during

102
00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:26,520
Speaker 1: the tournament. It'll be a little breezy, of course, with

103
00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:29,000
Speaker 1: wins in the ten to fifteen mile an hour range.

104
00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:31,640
Speaker 1: I guess that's not even that breezy, but Texas standards,

105
00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,800
Speaker 1: and we have thunderstorms in the forecast for Friday morning

106
00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:38,200
Speaker 1: and Sunday morning, so we could get a delay or two.

107
00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:42,320
Speaker 1: But what should betters need? What do betters need to

108
00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:44,120
Speaker 1: know about TPC Craig Ranch.

109
00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:48,000
Speaker 2: The fact that it's mostly a putting contest at the

110
00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:51,239
Speaker 2: end of the day. It kind of caters to longer hitters,

111
00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:55,400
Speaker 2: but it also doesn't detract from the shorter hitters who

112
00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:58,359
Speaker 2: also have if they're coming in with a hot butter.

113
00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:01,919
Speaker 2: We've seen guys win with just a hot putter. It

114
00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:05,080
Speaker 2: just comes down to who makes the most birdies. You

115
00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,480
Speaker 2: mentioned that this golf course is very, very unremarkable. It's

116
00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:12,680
Speaker 2: a very classic course layout par seventy one, even though

117
00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:16,040
Speaker 2: it is longer. I just think that whoever makes the

118
00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:19,280
Speaker 2: most birdie putts is gonna win this thing, and it's

119
00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,880
Speaker 2: just kind of a if you like scoring and you

120
00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:28,600
Speaker 2: like very few perils for the bad shot on occasion,

121
00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:31,480
Speaker 2: there's not gonna be much stress on the golfers this week,

122
00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:36,320
Speaker 2: which is not my forte. I like carnage, as everybody knows,

123
00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:40,680
Speaker 2: but TPC Craig Branch very very gettable for all of

124
00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,280
Speaker 2: these guys, and that opens up the field to anybody

125
00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:48,200
Speaker 2: being able to win here. It's just it's not my

126
00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:50,920
Speaker 2: cup of tea, but I'm still gonna get some skin

127
00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:52,000
Speaker 2: in the game, of course.

128
00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:56,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, it really does open up the field, and we

129
00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:59,440
Speaker 1: see one of the higher percentages of greens and regulation

130
00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:01,600
Speaker 1: of any event on tour. I think it's like seventy

131
00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,520
Speaker 1: two percent or something, So scrambling is not going to

132
00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:07,640
Speaker 1: be a big factor. But yeah, who can hit it far,

133
00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:10,640
Speaker 1: who can hit it close, and who can sink pots?

134
00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:13,200
Speaker 1: That's what it comes down to. So we will get

135
00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:15,119
Speaker 1: to the odds in just a moment.

136
00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:18,960
Speaker 2: But first, Bet three sixty five has a special offer

137
00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:22,280
Speaker 2: for our listeners, turn five dollars into one hundred and

138
00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,160
Speaker 2: fifty dollars worth of bonus bets when you join Bet

139
00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:27,840
Speaker 2: three sixty five to claim the offer. Just go to

140
00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:30,800
Speaker 2: betting pros dot com slash three six y five and

141
00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:33,640
Speaker 2: deposit at least ten dollars. If you place a bet

142
00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:36,080
Speaker 2: of at least five dollars, you'll learn one hundred and

143
00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:39,680
Speaker 2: fifty dollars in bonus bets. Again, that's betting pros dot

144
00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:43,400
Speaker 2: Com Slash three six five, twenty one or older only.

145
00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:48,360
Speaker 2: Must be president Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana,

146
00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:53,160
Speaker 2: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. Gambling problem

147
00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:56,000
Speaker 2: call one eight hundred gambler or if you live in Iowa,

148
00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:59,320
Speaker 2: one eight hundred bets off. Terms and conditions apply.

149
00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:02,640
Speaker 1: Now let's take a look at the odds for the

150
00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:05,840
Speaker 1: Byron Nelson. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings as of

151
00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:09,160
Speaker 1: Monday mornings. Some of these odds may have changed since

152
00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:12,120
Speaker 1: we recorded this. Scotty Scheffler, who grew up in the

153
00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:16,000
Speaker 1: Dallas area, is a heavy favorite at plus two point eighty.

154
00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:20,960
Speaker 1: Another Dallas native, Jordan Speith, is eighteen to one. Sung

155
00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:24,040
Speaker 1: jm is twenty two to one. Taylor Pendrith and Ben

156
00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:27,720
Speaker 1: On are both twenty five to one. Seewoo Kim Sam

157
00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:31,040
Speaker 1: Burns and Keith Mitchell are thirty to one, Ben Griffin

158
00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:34,600
Speaker 1: is thirty five to one, Steven Jaeger and Will Zelatorus

159
00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:37,760
Speaker 1: are forty to one, and Rasmus Hoygard and Mackenzie Hughes

160
00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:40,320
Speaker 1: are forty five to one. But do you have any

161
00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:43,720
Speaker 1: interesting eating chalk with Scotty Scheffler even though he hasn't

162
00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:44,800
Speaker 1: won on tour this season?

163
00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:49,559
Speaker 2: No, no thanks, I'm not interested. This is the week

164
00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:53,920
Speaker 2: where we take everybody except for Scotty. Maybe even dabble

165
00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:57,120
Speaker 2: in the non Scottie markets if you find him and

166
00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,000
Speaker 2: just pray that he doesn't get his first win this year.

167
00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:05,440
Speaker 2: This is bright in his backyard and you just kind

168
00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:07,560
Speaker 2: of just a little antsy. I don't think he's going

169
00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:10,160
Speaker 2: to win here because this course really does not set

170
00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,880
Speaker 2: up boil for him to take advantage of how much

171
00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:16,000
Speaker 2: better he is than everybody else in this field. And

172
00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:18,280
Speaker 2: that doesn't mean he won't win. It just means that

173
00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,160
Speaker 2: I really really hope he doesn't because I have a

174
00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:26,440
Speaker 2: whole flurry of smaller investments on lesser golfers who have

175
00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:28,760
Speaker 2: just as much of a chance to win here as

176
00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:30,960
Speaker 2: Scotty Scheffler. So that's where I'm at.

177
00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:35,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, for you to think that Scotty Shuffler has value

178
00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:38,560
Speaker 1: at plus two point eighty, you're saying that he has

179
00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:41,800
Speaker 1: basically a forty percent chance or better to win here.

180
00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:45,640
Speaker 1: And you know, I'm a little short. It does seem

181
00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:48,200
Speaker 1: a little short. And these guys are pretty good. Also,

182
00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:50,880
Speaker 1: Scotty has played in three of the four Byron Nelson's

183
00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:55,000
Speaker 1: at Craig Ranch. He's finished forty, seventh, fifteenth, and fifth.

184
00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:58,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, so he's not his digs. This is not this

185
00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:02,320
Speaker 2: is not where we see Scotty sh Scheffler flourish. I'd

186
00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,200
Speaker 2: rather have the defending champion, Taylor Pendrith, the Canadian.

187
00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:07,679
Speaker 1: Tell me more about Pendrith, and tell me about some

188
00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,240
Speaker 1: of the other guys from this crew who well interest you.

189
00:10:10,520 --> 00:10:13,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, defending champion, He's the only one in this Favorites

190
00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:16,240
Speaker 2: top tier that I'm even investing in because I just

191
00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:19,280
Speaker 2: don't see the value in it. This is a long

192
00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,040
Speaker 2: hitter's in. He's in the top third for driving distance.

193
00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:26,680
Speaker 2: He's in the top quarter of this field for birdies

194
00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:29,599
Speaker 2: or better gained, which is my heavily weighted metric. And

195
00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:32,600
Speaker 2: this and then par five scoring, you're gonna have to

196
00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,079
Speaker 2: score a lot of birdies here, and the easiest birdies

197
00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:37,320
Speaker 2: come on the par fives, and he's seventh in this

198
00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:40,720
Speaker 2: field in par five scoring. There's only one little weakness

199
00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:43,520
Speaker 2: in his game, and it's putting. But it's also been

200
00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:47,000
Speaker 2: better than usual for Taylor Pendrith. This is a guy

201
00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,200
Speaker 2: who's Taylor made for this type of golf course where

202
00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:51,800
Speaker 2: he can just let loose and hit it close and

203
00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:55,000
Speaker 2: make a bunch of birdies. And that's not Scottie Scheffler's game.

204
00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:58,200
Speaker 2: That's that's Taylor Pendrith's game. And there's a reason why

205
00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,400
Speaker 2: Taylor Penn has this trophy on his mantle and Scotty doesn't.

206
00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:06,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's funny how we're calling this a putting contest.

207
00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:07,040
Speaker 2: It is.

208
00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:10,240
Speaker 1: Yet there's some players who are not great potters who

209
00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:12,680
Speaker 1: have done well here, like Ben On for instance.

210
00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:16,319
Speaker 2: You know, like he's not much the panda on here

211
00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:18,280
Speaker 2: twice and he has right put since.

212
00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:25,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, On has finished fourteenth and fourth the last two

213
00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:29,319
Speaker 1: years here. Not a good putter. Jordan Speth is a

214
00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:31,480
Speaker 1: good putter, of course. He missed the cut here a

215
00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:33,600
Speaker 1: year ago, but he finished ninth at the Byron Nelson

216
00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:35,800
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one, and he was second to k

217
00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:39,920
Speaker 1: h Lee in twenty twenty two. The generous fairways should

218
00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:44,360
Speaker 1: help Speath and his erratic driver, and he's finished top

219
00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:47,079
Speaker 1: twenty three straight events, so he's coming in in pretty

220
00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:50,640
Speaker 1: good form. Let's see. Sung j Im hasn't played this event,

221
00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:52,960
Speaker 1: but he's been hot. He was fifth at the Masters,

222
00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:57,439
Speaker 1: eleventh of the RBC Heritage. Seewu Kim has missed the

223
00:11:57,480 --> 00:11:59,280
Speaker 1: cut in two of his last three solo events, but

224
00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:01,600
Speaker 1: he finished second at the Byron Nelson in twenty twenty

225
00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:04,520
Speaker 1: three and was thirteenth last year, so he's shown some

226
00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:09,480
Speaker 1: aptitude at TPC Craig Ranch Keith Mitchell has finished top

227
00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:12,319
Speaker 1: twenty and four straight events, and I would say Keith

228
00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:14,520
Speaker 1: Mitchell is always a pretty good bet for first round

229
00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:16,800
Speaker 1: leader since he tends to come roaring out of the

230
00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:20,480
Speaker 1: gate every Thursday. And one more name, I'll mention Bob

231
00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:24,280
Speaker 1: mackenzie Hughes quietly just playing really well lately. Tenth at

232
00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:27,640
Speaker 1: the Houston Open last month, third at the RBC Heritage.

233
00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:29,520
Speaker 2: Another Canadian that you're fond of.

234
00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,800
Speaker 1: That's right, the Canadians in Texas. Man, we're hitting on

235
00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:35,679
Speaker 1: a theme here, all right. Let's go to some of

236
00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:38,439
Speaker 1: the mid range plays. We've got Tom Kim and Jacob

237
00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:42,440
Speaker 1: Bridgeman at fifty five to one, Seamus Power, Ryan Gerard,

238
00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:45,880
Speaker 1: Nicolai Hoygard, Jake Knapp and Harry Hall are all sixty

239
00:12:45,920 --> 00:12:51,520
Speaker 1: to one. Thorborn, Olison, Eric Cole, Kurt Kittiyama, Kevin Ugh,

240
00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:55,520
Speaker 1: Isaiah Selinda and Michael Thorbjornsen are sixty five to one.

241
00:12:55,960 --> 00:13:00,800
Speaker 1: Rica Hoy Taylor Moore, Matt Wallace and Rio Hot Hot

242
00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:05,040
Speaker 1: He shuts me he sat to a our seventy to one,

243
00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,199
Speaker 1: and Sam Stevens and Austin akraut He's her names to

244
00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:11,160
Speaker 1: pronounce our seventy five to one. Who stands out from

245
00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:11,640
Speaker 1: this group?

246
00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,760
Speaker 2: What stands out is we haven't mastered the Japanese golfers

247
00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:20,440
Speaker 2: names yet, clearly not. This group is loaded. I love

248
00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:23,719
Speaker 2: this group. I'm gonna speckle in some smaller investments on

249
00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:27,800
Speaker 2: Michael thorpy Jornsen, one of the longest hitters on tour,

250
00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:31,679
Speaker 2: also runner up at Puerto Rico a couple of weeks ago.

251
00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,800
Speaker 2: This is another type of course where really there's no

252
00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:41,080
Speaker 2: penalty to driving it errantly and so distance bomb and gouge.

253
00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:43,480
Speaker 2: There's not even any gouge does this, bomb it down there,

254
00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:46,240
Speaker 2: hit it close and make the putt. I think Michael

255
00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:50,559
Speaker 2: Thorpy Jornsen, along with Isaiah Soleinda, who we've seen the

256
00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:55,640
Speaker 2: Pride of Northern California himself very nearly took down even

257
00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:58,760
Speaker 2: despite Kevin Vello not really playing that great next to him.

258
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,839
Speaker 2: Soleinda was so hot last week in New Orleans that

259
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:05,880
Speaker 2: he very nearly carried Team Norkal to the victory. Selinda's

260
00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,280
Speaker 2: playing out of his mind in his rookie season this

261
00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:11,240
Speaker 2: year Corn Ferry Tour. He tore it up last year.

262
00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:15,199
Speaker 2: Celinda and Thorby Jornsen getting sixty five to one odds

263
00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:18,319
Speaker 2: in this field is a green light for me and

264
00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:21,400
Speaker 2: Gary Woodland, I think is coming up the next group.

265
00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:24,200
Speaker 2: I'll throw him in there right now because I expect

266
00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:27,200
Speaker 2: his odds to get shorter. He's going out of eighty

267
00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:30,280
Speaker 2: to one right now. But if he's healthy and he's

268
00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:33,640
Speaker 2: not going to withdraw like he did last week, then

269
00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:36,400
Speaker 2: we're going to see Gary Woodland's odds kind of go

270
00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:38,240
Speaker 2: into more of than that seventy to one range.

271
00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:42,920
Speaker 1: Yeah. Thorbiyj Ornsen is interesting, bo really talented guy. I

272
00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:45,080
Speaker 1: think we both kind of like him, and he got

273
00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:47,000
Speaker 1: off to a rough start this season, but now he's

274
00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:51,800
Speaker 1: heating up. Like you said, second at Corrala so much talent. Yeah,

275
00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:54,280
Speaker 1: so second two weeks agoing forth in the team event

276
00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,920
Speaker 1: last week and he hits the ball a mile, and

277
00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:00,320
Speaker 1: so does Solinda of course, who played well next week

278
00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,240
Speaker 1: in the team event and has a couple other top

279
00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:07,920
Speaker 1: fifteens this year. But Jake Knapp a big hitter, good putter.

280
00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:10,960
Speaker 1: He was eighth here last year and his Byron Nelson debut,

281
00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:13,240
Speaker 1: and he's played well all season. Bo I might have

282
00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:16,000
Speaker 1: bet Nap last week, but he was paired with Frankie Kappan,

283
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:18,800
Speaker 1: who had missed seven cuts in eight starts this season.

284
00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:24,280
Speaker 1: Nap and Capin Nap and Cappen almost won in New Orleans,

285
00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:26,400
Speaker 1: and I didn't think they had a chance with you know,

286
00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:31,160
Speaker 1: one half of the team being sort of a weak link.

287
00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:35,560
Speaker 2: But so that was that was your ultimate complimenting styles.

288
00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:40,480
Speaker 2: Jake Knapp is obviously a long hitter, and Sapan or

289
00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:41,120
Speaker 2: cap'n I.

290
00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:42,560
Speaker 1: Think Cappen, I don't know.

291
00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:46,080
Speaker 2: He he's one of the best putters on the planet.

292
00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:50,200
Speaker 2: Really not the best ball striker, but yeah, Jake naps

293
00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:52,480
Speaker 2: ball striking and one of the best putters on the planet.

294
00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:56,680
Speaker 2: They're gonna have some opportunities and they capitalized on them. Yeah.

295
00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,000
Speaker 1: A couple other names to look out for in this group.

296
00:15:59,520 --> 00:16:01,800
Speaker 1: Jacob bri Bridgemen has three top tens this year. He

297
00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:06,160
Speaker 1: also ranks fifth on tour in strokes gained putting. Seamus

298
00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:08,560
Speaker 1: Power has finished top twenty and three to four years

299
00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:10,640
Speaker 1: that the Byron Nelson has been played at. Craig Ranch

300
00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:14,920
Speaker 1: and Ryan Girard. This guy's mister Texas BO. He finished

301
00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:17,600
Speaker 1: ninth at the Houston Open and second at the Valero

302
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:21,200
Speaker 1: Texas Open, ranks inside the top fifteen in total strokes

303
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:25,200
Speaker 1: gained and strokes gained putting. So Gerard is interesting this.

304
00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:29,440
Speaker 2: Week popular pick. I'm not sure about the narrative thing.

305
00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:32,840
Speaker 2: I think he's his numbers really fall off when you

306
00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:35,120
Speaker 2: get a course that's more than seventy four hundred yards.

307
00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a long course. It could test his

308
00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:41,600
Speaker 1: ball striking, all right. What about the long shots, BO,

309
00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:43,640
Speaker 1: who do you like it eighty to one or longer?

310
00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:46,800
Speaker 2: I have a trio of eighty to one or longer.

311
00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:51,600
Speaker 2: Of course, Carl Phillips's he's the future of golf. I'm

312
00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:53,440
Speaker 2: calling it right now. I've been calling out all season.

313
00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:56,240
Speaker 2: Carl Phillips is the future of golf. We already picked

314
00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,680
Speaker 2: him to win at the Mexico Open, where he just tore,

315
00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:03,160
Speaker 2: tore the place apart. Was Puerto Rico Open, he tore

316
00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,119
Speaker 2: the place apart. Dominated. Even though he's fifty five to one,

317
00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:08,600
Speaker 2: he's going out at one hundred to one in a

318
00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:13,000
Speaker 2: very weak field if you exclude Scotti Scheffler. This is

319
00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:15,560
Speaker 2: a green flag bet the ladder. Bet him all the

320
00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:18,480
Speaker 2: way up to top twenty if you want. That's a

321
00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:21,520
Speaker 2: very very aggressive bet. As far as what I have

322
00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:23,560
Speaker 2: on my card, he's the most aggressive. I'm going to

323
00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:27,600
Speaker 2: get Hayden Springer one hundred and twenty to one. Amazing value.

324
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:30,640
Speaker 2: Another guy with a lot of power. And he's also

325
00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:33,640
Speaker 2: the third best putter in this field, so twenty first

326
00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:37,000
Speaker 2: in driving distance, fifth and birdies are better, third and

327
00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:40,520
Speaker 2: putting third on par fives, fourth and total strokes gained.

328
00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,120
Speaker 2: He's got it all, except for maybe his approach game

329
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:45,720
Speaker 2: has been a little squirrely on occasion. But Hayden Springer

330
00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:47,600
Speaker 2: is going to make a lot of birdies and I

331
00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,040
Speaker 2: don't know if this course can really penalize him for

332
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,720
Speaker 2: when he is wayward. And finally, I'm going to go

333
00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:54,840
Speaker 2: back to the well with Chris van Tura two hundred

334
00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:57,840
Speaker 2: and one. Another guy who dominates on longer golf course

335
00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,520
Speaker 2: is because he's a very good long iron player. Chris

336
00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 2: vin Tura, another birdie making machine that's going out at

337
00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,200
Speaker 2: two hundred to one. So I'm gonna take a little

338
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,399
Speaker 2: bit and throw it that way, and then some a

339
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:10,120
Speaker 2: little bit more and throw it on his top twenty.

340
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:16,719
Speaker 1: I'll add one more name, Alejandro Toasty, our friend from Argentina.

341
00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:19,880
Speaker 1: He's eighty to one, and Toasty's been pretty hot. He's

342
00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:23,080
Speaker 1: finished top twelve in his last three solo events, hits

343
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:26,080
Speaker 1: the ball a mile. He's streaky, but we'll take streaky.

344
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 1: You know, if he's cold, we're not going to cash.

345
00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:32,359
Speaker 1: But if he's hot, he can absolutely contend here. So

346
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,480
Speaker 1: all right, bo, who is on your early betting card?

347
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 2: So I have defending champion Taylor Pendrith at twenty five

348
00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:42,159
Speaker 2: to one, Michael Thorp, Bijornsen and Isaiah Salinda both at

349
00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,399
Speaker 2: sixty five to one, Gary wood Lind at eighty, Carl

350
00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,520
Speaker 2: Phillips at one hundred and one, with the full ladder

351
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:50,440
Speaker 2: Hayden Springer one hundred and twenty and Chris vin Tura

352
00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:51,560
Speaker 2: at two hundred to one.

353
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,719
Speaker 1: Very nice. I've got Sewu Kim at thirty to one.

354
00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:57,800
Speaker 1: He's the only guy with short odds I'm interested in.

355
00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:00,879
Speaker 1: I have Mackenzie Hughes for a time top ten at

356
00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:03,879
Speaker 1: plus three sixty. I've got Jake Napp at fifty five

357
00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:06,440
Speaker 1: to one, with the top five kicker at nine to one.

358
00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:09,640
Speaker 1: I've got Ryan Gerard for a top five at ten

359
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 1: to one, and then I have an eighty to one

360
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:16,600
Speaker 1: bet on Alejandro Toasty and I'm gonna follow you, bo.

361
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:20,280
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna ladder bet Carl Villips one hundred

362
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 1: to one and then.

363
00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:23,680
Speaker 2: Tops the future of golf pack.

364
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 1: He is the future of golf. Now for our one

365
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:30,080
Speaker 1: and done picks, BO, you took Michael Thorbiornsen and Carl

366
00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,679
Speaker 1: Hllips last week, solid showing for them in New Orleans.

367
00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:36,879
Speaker 1: They tied for fourth. That was worth four hundred and

368
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 1: fifty eight hundred dollars. I had Keith Mitchell and JT.

369
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:43,200
Speaker 1: Post in. They tied for eighteenth, good for one hundred

370
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:46,520
Speaker 1: and forty thousand, three hundred dollars. You're now at about

371
00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:49,679
Speaker 1: five point two million on the season. You've basically doubled

372
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 1: me up. I'm at about two point six million, but

373
00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:54,440
Speaker 1: I picked first this week, bo, and I'm gonna go

374
00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 1: with hometown boy Jordan Speith in Dallas. Who are you

375
00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:00,480
Speaker 1: taking well?

376
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,520
Speaker 2: I already burned Speath on to the tune of two

377
00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:05,040
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty nine thousand dollars earlier in the season.

378
00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:08,359
Speaker 2: That was nice. I'm gonna go with the defending champion,

379
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:11,600
Speaker 2: Taylor Pendrith because I haven't used him. Oh, Canada, we

380
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 2: stand on guard for the uh, We're gonna, We're gonna.

381
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:16,359
Speaker 2: We're gonna try to go back to back or at

382
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:20,280
Speaker 2: least get close enough to extend my lead even further.

383
00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:23,879
Speaker 1: That's all for this week's Betting Prospja podcast. Come join

384
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:25,879
Speaker 1: us again next week when we will be back with

385
00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:29,760
Speaker 1: a betting preview of the Truest Championship. It's a signature

386
00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 1: event that should have a star studded field, so that

387
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:35,480
Speaker 1: one will be fun to examine and break down until then,

388
00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:37,120
Speaker 1: So long everyone.

389
00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

390
00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:42,199
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

391
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:45,160
Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

392
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,240
Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

393
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

394
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:55,119
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros