1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff, give you, guys, the best independent coverage. 6 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:16,280 Speaker 3: That is possible. 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,319 Speaker 2: If you like what we're all about, it just means 8 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 2: the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that, 9 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 2: let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody, Happy Tuesday. 10 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 2: We have an amazing show for everybody today. 11 00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 3: What do we have, Prystal? 12 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 4: Indeed we do. 13 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: We got Logan back in house to give us the 14 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:35,640 Speaker 1: latest update on his model, and also some new polling developments, 15 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 1: both with regards to the presidential race in Pennsylvania specifically 16 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 1: and with regard to Senate races. Texas may be more 17 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 1: interesting than people previously thought, so we'll take a look 18 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: at all of that. Also, Kamala Harris yesterday announcing her 19 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: policy plan for black men, and it is really something 20 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: apparently I don't know. Well, allow to save all of 21 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 1: my commentary on that for that involves week involves we 22 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 1: involve giving and mail mentors and most neoliberal thing I've 23 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 1: literally ever seen, so we'll dig into that. Also might 24 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: be going on Joe Rogan Kamala Harris yesterday we covered, 25 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 1: but Trump may be going on with Joe Rogan and today, 26 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:15,680 Speaker 1: so we felt the need to get this into the 27 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: show today. 28 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 4: But apparently her people are in talks, so it'll be interesting. 29 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 3: I'm hoping. I think it'd be fun. 30 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: Clearly we're trying to make a pitch for the mail 31 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: vote bro vote with all this crypto and Rogan doings, 32 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: so we'll dig into that. We also Trump making some 33 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: truly wild comments that we wanted to make sure and 34 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: cover and what that could pretend in terms of election 35 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 1: day in a future Trump possible administration. We're also going 36 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 1: to take a look at this supposed third assassination attempt 37 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 1: on Trump, which appears to be nothing of the sort. 38 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 4: We'll bring you all of the details there. 39 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: We also wanted to take some time out to take 40 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: a look at the real estate market in Florida. You know, 41 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: Florida experienced this massive during COVID. Post COVID boom, many 42 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 1: people move to the state. You know, Ronda Standis and 43 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: other politicians really really bragging about that, very proud of that. 44 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: Some of that may be reversing now, so we're going 45 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: to dig into the real estate market there, especially exacerbated 46 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: now by the state being hit by two very severe hurricanes. 47 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: We've got some once again horrific updates for you out 48 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: of Israel as well, including a New York Times report 49 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 1: about how Israel has been systematically using Palestinians as human 50 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:30,919 Speaker 1: shield well documented sourced actually to the soldiers themselves who 51 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: are engaged in this practice. 52 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 4: So will break all of that down for you as well. 53 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 2: That's right, before we get to any of that, make 54 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 2: sure you go ahead subscribe Breakingpoints dot com. 55 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 3: You get access to our exclusive. 56 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 2: Election content, including one of our segments today with Logan, 57 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 2: So if you want to be able to watch that 58 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 2: and everything the show uncut AMAS, you can take advantage 59 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 2: Breakingpoints dot Com become premubscriber. Let's get to Logan joining 60 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:53,919 Speaker 2: us now, Logan Phillips, our exclusive election forecaster, Logan. 61 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:55,080 Speaker 3: We love seeing you here at the desk. 62 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 5: Welcome back, man, I love to be here. 63 00:02:56,840 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 3: Awesome. All right, let's dig into it. 64 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 2: You've got your forecast to the White House is going 65 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 2: to put that up there on the screen. We've only 66 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 2: got twenty days until the presidential election. You currently have it, Actually, 67 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 2: it's narrowed a little bit since we talked last time. 68 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 2: You have it fifty five forty five for Kamala Harris. Effectively, 69 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 2: in my head, that's like a toss up, right, you know, 70 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 2: with only five percent margin or so. So talk to 71 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:18,679 Speaker 2: us about some of the movement within that why things 72 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 2: have maybe tightened with a little bit with less time 73 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:21,920 Speaker 2: to go now before the rate. 74 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 6: Yeah, there's two reasons. Donal Trump skins a little bit 75 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:26,959 Speaker 6: in the national polls. We seem to more movement in 76 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 6: the national polls as we do in some of these 77 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 6: swing states. Yeah, but you know, Harris's lead is crept 78 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 6: a little bit under three percent nationally. And the other 79 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 6: thing is we had to rush the poles showing Trump 80 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 6: aheaded Michigan in Wisconsin. Now, right, some of these were 81 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 6: lower quality polls, but they were enough for them that 82 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 6: they at least for me and I think everyone else, 83 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 6: they kind of pulled it a little closer. So, either 84 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 6: that's true or not. We're gonna get a better sense 85 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 6: in the next few days. But it's certainly a canary 86 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:49,560 Speaker 6: in the coal mine for Harris. 87 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 3: Got it all right, Well, let's let's sorry, go ahead, Crysal, Yeah, 88 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 3: all right, well let's continue. 89 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: Let's continue then on the electoral college, because this is 90 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 2: where what you were just talking about with the swing states, 91 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 2: this stuff really matters. So A two please if we 92 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 2: can put that up on the screen. Here, you have 93 00:04:03,840 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 2: in the overall seven key swing states, you actually have 94 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 2: Trump up by point five. They're in the state of 95 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 2: Pennsylvania arguably the most important one Wisconsin, though you have 96 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 2: Harris up by one in Nevada. I want to come 97 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 2: back to this because you have Harris up by one 98 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 2: point six. It's a little bit different than what I've 99 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:21,919 Speaker 2: seen elsewhere. Trump up in North Carolina, and then you 100 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 2: also have Wisconsin pretty well close there. So maybe explain 101 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 2: a little bit of where things are here in the forecast. 102 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 2: Also I misspoke, I apologize. Pennsylvania, you have Hairs up 103 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:34,320 Speaker 2: by one point three. Just explain a little bit here 104 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 2: this margin some of the movement again that we've seen here, 105 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,359 Speaker 2: and your theory of whether they'll all move together or 106 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 2: they won't. 107 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 6: Yeah, to some Pomey, they definitely will move together. But 108 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 6: to quiet, there still can be that gap. And if 109 00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 6: the election is as close as the pole suggest and 110 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:50,559 Speaker 6: there is a big pulling miss. You could absolutely see division, right, 111 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:52,720 Speaker 6: but if either canon overperforms even by like one and 112 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,800 Speaker 6: a half points, they could sweep all of them potentially. Yeah, 113 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 6: And I think there's something really interesting going on right because, 114 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:03,039 Speaker 6: like the honestly, like at least since twenty twelve, we've 115 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 6: seen Midwestern states that are a little bit more white 116 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 6: like shift very very fast towards Republicans. Yeah, and Democrats 117 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 6: start to zoom forward in the Sun Belt so fast. 118 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,039 Speaker 6: The states like Jordia that weren't even close in play, 119 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:16,480 Speaker 6: you know, are going for them if they win the 120 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 6: popular vote by enough. This year, it seems like the 121 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:21,120 Speaker 6: breaks have been stopped on both of those trends and 122 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 6: maybe even reversed. And I'm wondering if you have something 123 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 6: to do with the strategic objectives for both parties. The 124 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 6: iceberg for the GOP is their low performance with non 125 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:30,839 Speaker 6: white voters that will kill them as the country becomes 126 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:33,839 Speaker 6: majority minority. And for Democrats, the short term iceberg, the 127 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:35,920 Speaker 6: one that almost cost them in twenty twenty and did 128 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 6: cost them election in sixteen, is their poor performance with 129 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:41,360 Speaker 6: white voters. And so perhaps these as both parties achieving 130 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:43,560 Speaker 6: their goals to some degree, which has caused the map 131 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 6: to kind of shift a little bit in the other direction, 132 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 6: where Democrats are doing better than they did in the 133 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 6: Midwest last time relative to the national vote, and actually 134 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 6: maybe even worse than Georgian Arizona. 135 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 5: Yeah. 136 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 2: So sticking with that point, you're specifically talking about Democratic 137 00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 2: gains with white voters, probably white college educated voters, and 138 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:04,040 Speaker 2: then Trump and get Republican performance with black and Latino votes, 139 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 2: specifically men, which we're about to get to. 140 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 3: In a little bit. 141 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, yeah, and mostly how much it doug goes 142 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 6: in reality. I mean, there's a constant trend of polls 143 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 6: underrating Democratic support of black voters, and you know, New 144 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,280 Speaker 6: York Times Nate Cohen went into this recently as one 145 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 6: of the possibilities, right, is that some of the supporters 146 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 6: that are some black voters that say they're going to 147 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 6: support Republicans don't often vote necessarily their low propensity voters. Yeah, 148 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 6: so it hasn't always shown up. Part of that's due habits, 149 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 6: some of that is due to the GOT efforts in 150 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 6: the black commun You're often targeted more towards Democratic groups, right, 151 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 6: and Republicans haven't really put much effort or resources in 152 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 6: they're just starting to where they're not going to catch 153 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 6: up in one cycle. 154 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, we're going to cover in the next blocks on 155 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:48,599 Speaker 1: the Kamala Harris's effort to reach men in general, black 156 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 1: men specifically. And I've had the same question in my 157 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:53,920 Speaker 1: mind because back in twenty twenty, there were also a 158 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 1: lot of polls that showed like, oh, Joe Biden might 159 00:06:55,880 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: underperform with black men, but then when it came to 160 00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:01,840 Speaker 1: election day, he had the same performances Democrats typically have. 161 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 1: So I think that's a big question mark. 162 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 4: We wanted you to. 163 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:07,120 Speaker 1: Dig into a little bit of Pennsylvania because I imagine 164 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 1: your assessment is the same as ours, the same with 165 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 1: a lot of other people, that Pennsylvania may be effectively the. 166 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 4: Whole ball game. 167 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: There's some interesting early voting data that I wanted you 168 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 1: to take a look at and tell us what, if anything, 169 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 1: we should make of it. Tom Bonnier, who's with Target Smart, 170 00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: which is a Democratic aligned firm. 171 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 4: But you know, I mean, their data is just data. 172 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 4: She's taking a look at it. 173 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 1: So let's put this thread up on the screen. Let 174 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: me show you a few pieces of this. So he says, 175 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 1: if you look at the vote report in Pennsylvania. So 176 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 1: far Democrats have a solid advantage in terms of party registration. 177 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: That the gap is smaller than it was in twenty 178 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:40,400 Speaker 1: twenty at the same point, but that doesn't tell the 179 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 1: whole story. Go ahead to the next one. Here we 180 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 1: can take a look, he says. Let's look at the 181 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: early vote by modeled partisanship, so not just what people 182 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 1: self identify, but what their target. Smart modeling suggests their 183 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 1: vote will be. It shows a wider dem lead than 184 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: at this point in twenty twenty. 185 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 4: Why is that. 186 00:07:57,640 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 1: The answer as simple, the model believes that the unaffiliate 187 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 1: voters are more Democratic than they were in twenty twenty. 188 00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: If we could go to the next one as well, 189 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 1: He's been pointing out that there appears to have been 190 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 1: in multiple states a huge surge in Black women registering 191 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 1: to vote and so far also turning out to vote. 192 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 1: He says, looking at the racial breakdown of women early 193 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 1: voters in PA, we see the biggest increases among women 194 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,239 Speaker 1: of color, especially Black women, whose turnout is two hundred 195 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: and forty eight percent of their turnout at this point 196 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty, compared to one hundred and forty six 197 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:31,880 Speaker 1: percent for white women, so women in general turning out 198 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 1: at higher rates than they do in twenty twenty. What, 199 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:37,439 Speaker 1: if anything, do you make of these numbers? How should 200 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 1: we think about these things? 201 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:39,680 Speaker 6: Yeah, I don't know if it can tell us too 202 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 6: much about who's going to win, because it's so hard 203 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 6: to interpret early vote accurately, especially getting how much the 204 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 6: electorate is changing with the early voting habits post COVID. 205 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 6: That being said, it does tell us a story of 206 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:51,319 Speaker 6: what the parties you're trying to do and whether they're 207 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:56,200 Speaker 6: being successful. Republicans were trying really hard to reverse some 208 00:08:56,240 --> 00:09:00,200 Speaker 6: of the fears about early voting and voting by mail, Jess. 209 00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:02,679 Speaker 6: Maybe they've made some ground on that front. That doesn't 210 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:03,920 Speaker 6: mean they're going to win the election. Some of these 211 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 6: guys would have voted on election day. But it's a 212 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 6: lot easier when you have a GOTV operation to get 213 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 6: people to vote early because you don't have to then 214 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 6: worry about them in the final stretch, and you can 215 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 6: focus your resource. 216 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: You can kind of check them off and focus on 217 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:16,959 Speaker 1: the people who you're still working to persuade to. 218 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,520 Speaker 6: Turn out exactly, and then on the democratic front, right 219 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 6: as we're just talking about the fear is, how are 220 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 6: they going to have the same level of turnouf with 221 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 6: black voters, especially in Philadelphia and Milwaukee. And so we're 222 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 6: seeing some good signs in Pennsylvania Wisconsin on that front 223 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:34,840 Speaker 6: for Dems. And you know, turnout was high across the board. 224 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 6: It was a little lower in some of these cities. 225 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 6: And twenty twenty relative to the rest of the state, 226 00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:43,160 Speaker 6: Democrats managed to win anyway, and you know they're hoping 227 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 6: that that doesn't happen in twenty twenty four. And this 228 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 6: is a sign that they're planned to change. This is working. 229 00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 6: And you know, the Harris campaign, everyone says has a 230 00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 6: pretty great GEOTV operation. I think there's a question mark 231 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 6: on Trump's because he has had his super packs take 232 00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:00,439 Speaker 6: the lead on that they're using some new stratus jeez, 233 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 6: and could work out. It could also kind of blow 234 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 6: up in their face. And a lot of GOP operatives 235 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 6: are worried about that. 236 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 5: That. 237 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:07,599 Speaker 1: Well, Elon is a big part of the turn on 238 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:08,959 Speaker 1: operation of Pennsylvania. 239 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 3: Yes, the America Pack. 240 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 6: Yes, yeah, So sometimes innovation in politics is very important 241 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 6: can work. 242 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:16,319 Speaker 5: And Elon himself is kind of interesting because. 243 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:20,280 Speaker 6: The guy either kills it or it fails it's a 244 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 6: good way for that's a very good way for you. 245 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 3: Can we put the New York Times pull up on screen? 246 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 2: I want to talk to you about this A four 247 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 2: please mystery repeats Harris up by four and Pa, according 248 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 2: to the New York Times, Trump up by six in Arizona. 249 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 2: So there was a previous theory that all seven swing 250 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:36,839 Speaker 2: states would either go one way or the other way 251 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 2: kind of how they did in twenty twenty. This time, 252 00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 2: like you just said, we see a rid of a 253 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 2: reversal in that trend. This both of the parties are 254 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 2: fighting to accomplish the two things that cost them previous elections. 255 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 2: Is that what you see going on here? What are 256 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 2: the key characteristics of why and how there could be 257 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,840 Speaker 2: a ten point spread between these two critical swing states. 258 00:10:56,880 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 6: So I think it's unlikely it's that big, but it's possible. Right, 259 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,320 Speaker 6: it's probably the spread of Polsters have it, or at 260 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 6: least anything I can think of off the cuff. But 261 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 6: the New York Times theory of the case, and they're smart, 262 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 6: so maybe they're right. Yeah, is that Democrats are genuinely 263 00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 6: doing better with white voters, especially white college educated voters, 264 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 6: and that is enabling them to do better in the Midwest, 265 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 6: but they are losing ground with non white voters and 266 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 6: therefront and performing in the sun Belt. So they see 267 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 6: the national vote being worse for Democrats and a lot 268 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 6: closer than everyone else's showing right now, and they show 269 00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:28,680 Speaker 6: but they still have Democrats winning for that Midwest path. 270 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:31,559 Speaker 2: And that would be a twenty twenty two scenario, right 271 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,840 Speaker 2: because that's what we talked a lot about yesterday. Times 272 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 2: both budding on this political realignment. In this scenario, would 273 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 2: you expect Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada to all move similarly? 274 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:43,559 Speaker 2: Because I saw it in your forecast. You have Nevada 275 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:46,160 Speaker 2: Harris up, but you know I've seen Trump up there 276 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:48,319 Speaker 2: almost by six points in some places, which is a 277 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 2: crazy reversal. When's the last time Republicans one, I want 278 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:52,079 Speaker 2: to say two thousand and four. 279 00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 3: Yes, it's a long time. 280 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:54,600 Speaker 6: I saw the same pole, and I think that one 281 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 6: was an ally. I'd be shocked if you one. I 282 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:57,079 Speaker 6: want to be shocked to be one about it, but 283 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 6: I'd be shocked be one by six. I think that 284 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:03,240 Speaker 6: Nevada is probably a little easier for Dems than maybe 285 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 6: even the other three Midwest states. Based off the current polling. 286 00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 6: But it's a hard state to poll, and the GOP 287 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 6: it's been their white whale, and it's not because it's 288 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 6: an uncatchable one. 289 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 5: They're barely losing. 290 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 3: Yet every time it's like this close, so they could win. 291 00:12:16,040 --> 00:12:19,199 Speaker 6: And in twenty fourteen they just had Democrats went completely 292 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 6: a wall in the state and PLP won the House 293 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:24,080 Speaker 6: seats by combined eighteen percent. I think they won the 294 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 6: governor race by forty. So like there's the you can't 295 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:28,599 Speaker 6: roll out of. It is a reason it's on the 296 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:29,439 Speaker 6: swing state list. 297 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's such a unique state demographically, and 298 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:35,600 Speaker 1: also just with the union density and the nature of 299 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 1: the i mean the culinary workers union and how much 300 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 1: the service sector are dominated. So it's not like you know, 301 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:43,760 Speaker 1: hardcat construction unions which have really shifted towards Trump. 302 00:12:44,760 --> 00:12:45,960 Speaker 4: It's the service. 303 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: Sector unions which have stayed more in the Democratic camp. 304 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:51,000 Speaker 1: But you know, still you have a state where there 305 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 1: was hit very hard by COVID, where economic concerns are 306 00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 1: really paramount, where the demographics may not at this point 307 00:12:56,880 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 1: in time, particularly favor Democrats in terms of you know, 308 00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 1: some of the realignments and some of the ships. But 309 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:04,839 Speaker 1: you know, to go back to your point about if 310 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:08,560 Speaker 1: the New York Times theory is correct about the shifts 311 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 1: in the electorate, if Kamala Harris wins those quote unquote 312 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 1: blue Wall states but loses all the other ones, she 313 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 1: wins two seventy to sixty eight, Like I mean, right, 314 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,560 Speaker 1: am I doing that math right as close as it 315 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 1: could effectively possibly with Nebraska, with which kind of terrifies me, 316 00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 1: just given the way that the post election last time went, 317 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:32,679 Speaker 1: with all the conspiracy theories and all of the ink 318 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 1: January six and all of the chaos. Like, if it 319 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 1: is that razor thin, I think we're in. I won't 320 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 1: ask you to a pine on that piece, but I 321 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:43,839 Speaker 1: think we're in for some very troubled times post election day. 322 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:45,319 Speaker 1: If it is truly that narrow of a margin. 323 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 5: I know what you're talking about, Chris. So I think 324 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:48,720 Speaker 5: everyone in the country will handle that very piece. 325 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: Somewhere's gonna be like, Okay, we're so great, we congratulate 326 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:54,680 Speaker 1: our new presidential victor. 327 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:55,600 Speaker 4: We'll I'll move forward. 328 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:57,679 Speaker 1: I wanted to add I did want you to have 329 00:13:57,760 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 1: pine though on this phenomena of quote unquote trash polls 330 00:14:01,280 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 1: and whether you think this is a real thing. We 331 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 1: could put the real clear politics average up here. These 332 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 1: are all of the pencil recent Pennsylvania polls, and many 333 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: of them are favoring Trump, but also many of them. 334 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 4: Are partisan polls. 335 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 1: A few of them are ones that I think you 336 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 1: could you could classify in that junk poll or trash 337 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:25,160 Speaker 1: pole status. So talk to us about the rise of 338 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 1: some of these new pollsters and how we should be 339 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 1: thinking about that in terms of these these states and 340 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 1: these numbers. 341 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 6: Yeah, well, you know, I don't really like to talk 342 00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:36,320 Speaker 6: about this, and my fellow you know, polster pull averagers 343 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 6: out there, but RCB does have a bit of a 344 00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 6: tendency to include some of the GOP internal polls and 345 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:43,600 Speaker 6: managed to take off some of the high quality polls 346 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 6: that might show that Democrats ahead sometimes. 347 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 5: So yeah, it might be a little skewed. 348 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 6: I think there is some concerns, especially for as Musen Trafalgar, 349 00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 6: you know as Muson in particular. They had a poll 350 00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 6: a year ago that they put out that they said 351 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 6: proved that doctor Fauci had killed more people than anyone 352 00:14:57,960 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 6: since the Holocaust. 353 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:01,520 Speaker 5: And so there's five thirty eight. 354 00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,960 Speaker 4: Then I'd exactly like straight shooting. 355 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 6: With that, I don't bet almost anyone, right, Like I 356 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:08,000 Speaker 6: might lower the rating, but like it's a high standard 357 00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 6: for me. 358 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 5: But Resnution just kind of met that and vaulted over it. 359 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 5: So some of these are a little less reputable than Okay. 360 00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 2: Well, My question though, is and the reason why I'm 361 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 2: focusing on it, is that this was such a key 362 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 2: part of the twenty twenty two story. Is that if 363 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:22,840 Speaker 2: you had and I put this out like a couple 364 00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:25,240 Speaker 2: of days ago, and one of the common responses I 365 00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:27,400 Speaker 2: got is, look, you know, even by Republicans, they're like, look, 366 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,360 Speaker 2: liberals are not wrong. But there were a lot of 367 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 2: crappy stuff in the overall polling averages leading up to 368 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 2: twenty twenty two, which led to a false picture where 369 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 2: if you scroll down and you look at Maris, New 370 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:40,000 Speaker 2: York Times, Sienna, they all mostly had Fetterman up by 371 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 2: a couple of points, and they were right right. And 372 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:45,320 Speaker 2: so if we want to for the viewer out there 373 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 2: who doesn't just want who wants to look for themselves 374 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 2: and try and figure this out not necessarily rely on 375 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 2: a waiting measure, how should they think about it? Like, 376 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 2: how do you think about it when you're rating different people. 377 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 2: Is it just accuracy? 378 00:15:57,680 --> 00:15:58,000 Speaker 3: Is it? 379 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 2: You know, like samples, just talk to us about that, 380 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 2: because I think we have an audience that really wants 381 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:03,040 Speaker 2: to get in the ways here. 382 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, I think. I think. I guess she's a 383 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 5: big part of it. 384 00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 6: And you know, it does just because you got to 385 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:09,760 Speaker 6: right one cycle doesn't mean you get it right the 386 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 6: next cycle. 387 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 3: Right. 388 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 6: And a lot of these posters have a tendency to 389 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 6: miss a little to the left, a little to the right, 390 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,280 Speaker 6: and it makes it harder. Sometimes they change their approach. 391 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 6: Emerson used to miss to the left. Now they appear 392 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 6: to be to the right of most polsters change their strategy, 393 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 6: so that makes it a little harder. 394 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 5: I would say, I think one. 395 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 1: Of the ones that's shifted to the self identification of 396 00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 1: like you know how you voted last time. 397 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 6: I believe that Emerson uses that, but I'm not absolutely 398 00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 6: sure they definitely include that in all of their polls. Yeah, 399 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 6: and that's also that's a really good point, right, Like 400 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 6: that's the gamble polsters. Some posters are taking some of 401 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 6: like the Maybe they're not like New York Times or 402 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,800 Speaker 6: Maris like the top ones, but ones that are still rapputable. 403 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 5: It's sort of like a shortcut. 404 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 6: They're saying, Okay, if the electric's like e's actually like 405 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 6: twenty twenty, how are these voters going to vote? But 406 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 6: we know for in fact the electric's not going to 407 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,280 Speaker 6: be like twenty twenty. Yeah, right, because that was the 408 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 6: highest turnout election in American history, if we unless we 409 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 6: go back before women had the right to vote, and 410 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 6: which I don't think we should. 411 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:06,640 Speaker 2: You said previously, you talked about how you think turnout 412 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 2: will be a little bit less this time around. So 413 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:12,479 Speaker 2: where do you think things was around twenty sixteen twenty twenty, Like, 414 00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 2: what are our benchmarks here? 415 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:15,359 Speaker 5: You're making to hire for me? It's lolasier to be 416 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:16,400 Speaker 5: right if I just take less than. 417 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,320 Speaker 3: The highest turnout. Yeah, yeah, I. 418 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:20,879 Speaker 5: Don't really know to answer that question. 419 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 6: That's such a hard one to estimate, And that is 420 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 6: why Poster's job is so hard, because you have to 421 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 6: get a sample of the electorate with people who aren't 422 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 6: responding to phone calls as much to get an idea 423 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 6: of both how likely they are to vote and who 424 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 6: are they going to vote for instead. Honestly, the best 425 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:40,919 Speaker 6: approach are ones like selzer uses in Iowa, where you 426 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 6: just call people on voter registration files and you ask 427 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 6: you figure out how likely they are to vote by 428 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,879 Speaker 6: asking them some questions, then you can project turnout. But 429 00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 6: even then you get that's part of why polls are 430 00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 6: a lot more accurate at the last second, because it's 431 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,480 Speaker 6: not just that people change their mind, is that people 432 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,000 Speaker 6: might commit to voting or not voting. 433 00:17:56,119 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, that's such a key point. 434 00:17:58,119 --> 00:17:59,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, that is a great point. 435 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 1: Let's kind of move on to the Senate forecast, and 436 00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:07,080 Speaker 1: for those of you who are premium subscribers, we're gonna 437 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:09,639 Speaker 1: have this posted early exclusively for you. We're gonna have 438 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:11,680 Speaker 1: a posted later in the week for all. But if 439 00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:14,240 Speaker 1: you want to get this heads up straight from Logan 440 00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:16,239 Speaker 1: as soon as possible, which we know you all do, 441 00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 1: go and subscribe Breakingpoints dot com. All right, let's go 442 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,400 Speaker 1: and put up this. 443 00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:28,119 Speaker 2: Kamala Harris is out with some new policy proposals. She 444 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:31,400 Speaker 2: needs to win over black voters, specifically black mail voter, 445 00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:35,200 Speaker 2: so she appeared on the Shade Room Predominantly black podcast. 446 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 3: We're going to talk about that. Let's take a listen. 447 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 7: President Barack Obama, he was campaigning for you in Pittsburgh 448 00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:45,040 Speaker 7: before some students at the University of Pittsburgh, which is 449 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 7: my alma mater, and he said some things that really 450 00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 7: ruffled some feathers. 451 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:50,879 Speaker 5: In the news. 452 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 7: He said, it makes me think you aren't just feeling 453 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:56,880 Speaker 7: the idea of having a woman as a president. You're 454 00:18:56,920 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 7: coming up with other alternatives and other reasons for that. 455 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:01,919 Speaker 7: We have not seen the same kind of energy and 456 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,200 Speaker 7: turnout in all corners of our neighborhoods and community as 457 00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 7: we saw when I was running. So when you hear 458 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 7: those words, I'm sure you were briefed on the situation. 459 00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 7: You know, a former Ohio State Senator Nina Turner, she 460 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,879 Speaker 7: came out on CNN and said, why are you, you know, 461 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 7: putting black men up against the wall and pressuring them 462 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:22,199 Speaker 7: into something that possibly, you know, they don't want to 463 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:23,719 Speaker 7: do if they want to vote for you or not. 464 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 7: So my question to you is do you think that 465 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:28,920 Speaker 7: what President Obama said was the right thing to say. 466 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:32,440 Speaker 8: Let me tell you, I am very proud to have 467 00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:37,680 Speaker 8: the support of President Obama and that he is out 468 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 8: traveling to talk with voters about what is at stake 469 00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:41,959 Speaker 8: in this election. 470 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:44,160 Speaker 4: I'm very proud. 471 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 3: To have his support. 472 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 8: What is also important is one to understand, like, as 473 00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 8: I said, I intend to earn the vote of everyone, 474 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:58,680 Speaker 8: including black men. Two, pay attention to everything that President 475 00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:02,240 Speaker 8: Obama talked about, because he talked about at length. 476 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 3: The danger of Donald Trump. 477 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 8: The danger I think is really important to focus on 478 00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:13,480 Speaker 8: the stakes of this election. And there are two choices, 479 00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:21,640 Speaker 8: two choices. And I ask everyone to look at the background, 480 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 8: look at the work, look at the words. 481 00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:27,919 Speaker 2: Hmm, all right, so pretty clearly she is she may 482 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,239 Speaker 2: not be too so happy with Barack Obama. He's put 483 00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:33,440 Speaker 2: her in a little bit of a bind. I mean, look, 484 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:37,479 Speaker 2: anybody running for office as opposed to Obama, in his 485 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:43,480 Speaker 2: masterly sinecure just lecturing all of us mere mortals, actually 486 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 2: has to grapple with like he no longer has to 487 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:47,960 Speaker 2: get himself elected. And also I would say he never 488 00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:49,840 Speaker 2: did that when he was trying to get himself elected. 489 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 2: It's only now that he's influencer Netflix, Obomba, his. 490 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:57,600 Speaker 1: Era, the whole like my Brother's Keeper thing. It's pretty 491 00:20:57,600 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 1: consistent with his politics of you know, black respectability. 492 00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 3: I think you're not wrong. 493 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:04,880 Speaker 2: I guess I would just put it as like this 494 00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:07,360 Speaker 2: nakedness of I mean, he literally was like I want 495 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,840 Speaker 2: to speak to the brothers out there, I'd be like, 496 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 2: some of y'all ain't voting for women, and you're making 497 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:16,240 Speaker 2: things up. I'm like, dude, you are literally trying to 498 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 2: tell people not only what to think, but if what 499 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 2: they think. 500 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:21,879 Speaker 3: Is not going along with you, that you're a straight 501 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 3: up sexist. 502 00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 2: That is an insane thing to do for any group, 503 00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:28,119 Speaker 2: not just black people. I mean, if some Indian person 504 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:30,919 Speaker 2: was to my Indian brothers out there. 505 00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,119 Speaker 3: Like, who the fuck are you. 506 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 4: To be talking? 507 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,760 Speaker 1: I have to think, yeah, well, I mean I think 508 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:39,439 Speaker 1: so two things are possible. One is that he actually 509 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,199 Speaker 1: got crosswise with the way Kamala wanted to message this. 510 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 1: And that's actually my guess because she has been very 511 00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:49,399 Speaker 1: careful to not fall into the Hillary Clinton trap of 512 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:54,320 Speaker 1: being you know, actively contemptfual of voters or messaging like 513 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:57,440 Speaker 1: she doesn't have to earn their vote, she's just entitled 514 00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:57,840 Speaker 1: to it. 515 00:21:58,200 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 4: Also, she's really. 516 00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 1: Of thank god this messaging around like what's important about 517 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:07,320 Speaker 1: this election is my trailblazing status, Like she has dodged. 518 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:08,960 Speaker 4: All of that, even you'll recall, And she. 519 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:11,560 Speaker 1: Got asked that question on CNN by Dana Pash of 520 00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 1: like like teed her up to trash Trump over his 521 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,000 Speaker 1: comments about she's not really black or whatever, She's just 522 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 1: like same old playbook, Let's move on, And so I 523 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:24,000 Speaker 1: think it's likely that she's actually not happy about this 524 00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 1: messaging from Obama. It's also possible, though, that they feel 525 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:29,960 Speaker 1: like he has the. 526 00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:34,280 Speaker 4: Cred to lecture black He doesn't. Nobody does. 527 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 1: No one should right to lecture blackmail voters. Whereas obviously 528 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 1: if it was her trying to pull that off, it 529 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,800 Speaker 1: would go even more poorly than it did with Obama. 530 00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:44,639 Speaker 4: But I don't know. 531 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 1: I thought with her pivot there, it seemed to me 532 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:50,359 Speaker 1: like she was actively unhappy about this direction. When we 533 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 1: were talking to Logan previously, you mentioned that there is 534 00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 1: a lot of discussion online of like, oh, Kamala is 535 00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,879 Speaker 1: doing this media blitz now because their internals must be 536 00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 1: really poor, and by and large, I think Logan analysis 537 00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,119 Speaker 1: of like, also, it's almost election day, and like, of 538 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,240 Speaker 1: course the candidates are likely to be doing media appearances. 539 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:09,159 Speaker 1: I think that's largely true, but it does seem like 540 00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:12,959 Speaker 1: there is a particular nervousness around black mail voters. 541 00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 3: Specifically, that is true, she's doing Charlemagne today. 542 00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:19,679 Speaker 1: As evidenced by this podcast Charlemagne the you know, the 543 00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:22,480 Speaker 1: policy proposals we're about to talk about and rip apart 544 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:25,919 Speaker 1: the Obama comments, et cetera. There does seem to be 545 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 1: some nervousness about that specific demographic group that they're kind 546 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: of telegraphing in some of these moves. 547 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 2: Absolutely, because I mean, look, it's a game of margins, 548 00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,440 Speaker 2: and it's one of those where I guess just stick 549 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 2: on this point. You know, everyone's like, oh, the internals 550 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,240 Speaker 2: must be bad if she's going on Fox News, I rogan, 551 00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:40,720 Speaker 2: I'm like, what if the internal show that it's a 552 00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 2: fifty to fifty race, and if I had only a 553 00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:45,440 Speaker 2: fifty percent shot of accomplishing the single most important thing 554 00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 2: I'll ever do in my life, I would be doing 555 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,400 Speaker 2: some crazy shit to make sure that that got from 556 00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,880 Speaker 2: fifty to fifty one to fifty two. Even fifty point 557 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:55,359 Speaker 2: five is better than fifty. So maybe that's just me. 558 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:57,679 Speaker 2: But let's put B two up on the screen just 559 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,720 Speaker 2: to set up again why this policy propose is coming 560 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,479 Speaker 2: from Harry anton Over at CNN. No matter how you 561 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:06,160 Speaker 2: splice the data, Trump seems to be the strongest Republican 562 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 2: with black voters since nineteen sixty. Young black men in 563 00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,720 Speaker 2: particular have trended right towards Trump runs, cutting the DEM 564 00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:15,720 Speaker 2: margin by forty points from twenty twelve. But Trump is 565 00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,800 Speaker 2: doing historically well with black women too, So that is 566 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 2: the key point is that this is the biggest realignment 567 00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,879 Speaker 2: of black voters, at least poised to be since the 568 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 2: Civil rights era. 569 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:29,840 Speaker 1: I want to say though that I I'm reserving judgment 570 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 1: until it actually happens. Sure, because we did see these 571 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:37,240 Speaker 1: same trends heading into the Biden twenty twenty run, where 572 00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:39,919 Speaker 1: you know, he was trailing how Hillary Clinton did, and 573 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 1: there was a big discussion about this, and on an 574 00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,959 Speaker 1: election day, black voters overall showed up for him and 575 00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 1: basically the same numbers as previously. So and there has 576 00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:52,440 Speaker 1: been some polling that's been contradictory. And I put a 577 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:53,920 Speaker 1: lot of stock in the New York Times pool because 578 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:56,520 Speaker 1: they did a super sample of black voters. That means 579 00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:58,840 Speaker 1: they had a larger groups that were able to look more, 580 00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,720 Speaker 1: you know, in detail at this data. But there have 581 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,199 Speaker 1: been other polls that have show Kamala performing just as 582 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 1: well with black voters as Biden did last time around. 583 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 1: So to me, it's not definitive that this is going 584 00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 1: to manifest, but there's certainly been a significant amount of 585 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,679 Speaker 1: polling data that suggests it could. And as I said before, 586 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,320 Speaker 1: the Kamala Harris team seems to be projecting some nervousness 587 00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:22,159 Speaker 1: that this trend with black men in particular could be 588 00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:26,600 Speaker 1: the case. I'm fairly persuaded with the numbers on how 589 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,760 Speaker 1: many new black women registered to vote and are showing 590 00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:31,720 Speaker 1: up in the early voting periods and the states that 591 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 1: we have data to say, I don't think that she 592 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,120 Speaker 1: probably is going to have an issue there with black women. 593 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,920 Speaker 1: We also see women in general this large gender gap 594 00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,720 Speaker 1: in you know, with women favoring Kamala and a large 595 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:46,400 Speaker 1: gender gap with men more favorable towards Trump. So I'm 596 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,320 Speaker 1: definitely more skeptical about the black women piece of this, 597 00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:52,120 Speaker 1: but I think it's definitely possible with black men. 598 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:52,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely. 599 00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 2: And well, again to underscore I guess the policy proposal, 600 00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 2: whether they whether it's true or not, they seem to 601 00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,400 Speaker 2: believe it and they're acting in that way. 602 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:02,719 Speaker 3: So let's put this up on the screen. 603 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:08,040 Speaker 2: Kamala now has some new opportunity agenda for black men. 604 00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:11,280 Speaker 2: Let me just go through it. Provide one million loan 605 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 2: dollar loans one million loans that are fully forgivable up 606 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,080 Speaker 2: to twenty thousand dollars for black entrepreneurs and others to 607 00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:22,399 Speaker 2: start a business. Support education, training and mentorship programs that 608 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:25,520 Speaker 2: lead to good paying jobs for black men, including pathways 609 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:30,120 Speaker 2: to become teachers. Protect cryptocurrency investments so black men who 610 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 2: make them know that their money is safe. Launch a 611 00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:38,400 Speaker 2: national health initiative focused on illnesses that disproportionately impact black men. 612 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:44,680 Speaker 2: And legalize recreational marijuana to create opportunities for Black Americans 613 00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:49,040 Speaker 2: to succeed in this new industry. You called it peak neoliberalism, 614 00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 2: and I genuinely do think that is so accurate because 615 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 2: I mean, let's just fix cite. 616 00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 3: On this a little bit. So we're going to provide 617 00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 3: a million dollars in loans. 618 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,399 Speaker 2: To specifically people for the their skin. M Okay, so 619 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:02,840 Speaker 2: we're going to affirmatively it doesn't. 620 00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:05,120 Speaker 4: Mean to say it says black entrepreneurs and others. Oh yeah, 621 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:06,240 Speaker 4: so it's not even really clear. 622 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:09,160 Speaker 2: It's just okay, Well, I guess then we're just cherry 623 00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,119 Speaker 2: picking what exactly that means. Some of it will go 624 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:15,040 Speaker 2: to black people. Cool, we're going to support mentorship programs. 625 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,360 Speaker 2: I want everyone out there in your life to ask 626 00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 2: yourself if you want a mentor provided to you by 627 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,840 Speaker 2: the government. That's an insane thing to do. We're going 628 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:28,520 Speaker 2: to provide government mentor. Here is your government issued mentor 629 00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 2: to make sure that you live a better life. 630 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 1: And that is some pure Obama eraship. 631 00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, definitely, it really is. 632 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:38,200 Speaker 1: I mean that was like his My Brother's Keeper program 633 00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:39,960 Speaker 1: and all of that. But yeah, I mean I saw 634 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 1: Perry Bacon Jr. Who's I think he's still the Washington Post, right, 635 00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:49,199 Speaker 1: the Washing Post previously at NBC, himself a black man, saying, like, 636 00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 1: you know, I don't really love the idea being put 637 00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:55,720 Speaker 1: out there that black men specifically need mentors. The other 638 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,720 Speaker 1: one that really gets me is, okay, crypto, let's just 639 00:27:58,760 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 1: put a pin in that, because I have a lot 640 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,560 Speaker 1: to say about that one. 641 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 4: The health one. 642 00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:07,080 Speaker 1: So they describe this in you know, in the greater 643 00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:14,160 Speaker 1: detailed part as a National Equity Health Initiative focused from 644 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:17,879 Speaker 1: the like National Institute of Health on illnesses that disproportionately 645 00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:20,760 Speaker 1: impact black men. And this is where I really can 646 00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,199 Speaker 1: dig into how what I mean by like this is 647 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:27,359 Speaker 1: the peak of neoliberalism, Why can't you just run on 648 00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 1: universal health care so that we don't have to pick 649 00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 1: and choose, Like, oh, if you got prostate cancer, maybe 650 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,760 Speaker 1: we'll care about that and do a health equity initiative, 651 00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:39,720 Speaker 1: not even giving you care, but some study at the NIH, 652 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 1: thank you very much, Or like oh, if you need. 653 00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:44,080 Speaker 4: IVF, maybe we'll pay for that. 654 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:47,520 Speaker 1: How about we just have healthcare that would, yes, actually 655 00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:51,480 Speaker 1: disproportunately benefit black men and other marginalized group, but would 656 00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:56,480 Speaker 1: help everybody and you know, not be like pathetically inadequate 657 00:28:56,520 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 1: and patronizing as many of these things are. And that's 658 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,040 Speaker 1: what drives crazy about this is We've talked about this 659 00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 1: a nauseum, but it's just worth reminding people the policies. 660 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,840 Speaker 1: I'm not saying that it is never the case that 661 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:10,920 Speaker 1: it makes sense to have policies that are specific to 662 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 1: a demographic group. I'm not saying that like blanket across 663 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:17,040 Speaker 1: the board, but we know from history that the policies 664 00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:20,840 Speaker 1: that have most improved the lives and economic status of 665 00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:25,200 Speaker 1: Black Americans have been universal policies like lifting the minimum wage, 666 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: like increasing rates of unionization. 667 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:28,680 Speaker 4: Like you know, in a. 668 00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:32,120 Speaker 1: Theoretical world where democrats still cared about and talked about healthcare, 669 00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:35,080 Speaker 1: universal health care. And so that's why this sort of 670 00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:39,400 Speaker 1: like let me do some niche, little bullshit programs for 671 00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,520 Speaker 1: some targeted demographic group drives me so crazy. 672 00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:44,360 Speaker 2: And I mean again, you know, just to stick with 673 00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:46,240 Speaker 2: And this is part of why the whole equity mindset 674 00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:49,320 Speaker 2: is so stupid. When they're like health initiatives on prostate cancer, 675 00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,040 Speaker 2: it's like, you know, prostate cancer is a cancer that 676 00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 2: affects most men generally, specifically people. 677 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 3: Who are poor and unhealthy. Well, you know, if we. 678 00:29:57,520 --> 00:30:00,960 Speaker 2: Talk about diseases that are the worst, most impactful on 679 00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:04,880 Speaker 2: black communities, it's the same statistically for people who are 680 00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:07,400 Speaker 2: poor and who don't have access to healthcare, eat a 681 00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,680 Speaker 2: shitty diet. So it's like, it's not complicated to think 682 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:13,480 Speaker 2: about it that way. And also if you if you 683 00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:15,280 Speaker 2: put it that way, it sounds a lot better, right, Hey, 684 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:19,600 Speaker 2: all these diseases that disgrationally impact you know, men who 685 00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:23,680 Speaker 2: are old, obese, diabetic, We're going to try and fix that. 686 00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:26,480 Speaker 2: That will help black people, help white people, it'll help everybody. 687 00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:28,040 Speaker 2: You know, there's a lot of poor white people out 688 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:31,360 Speaker 2: there too, also suffer from prostate cancer. From diabetes and 689 00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:34,400 Speaker 2: from a lot of this stuff. So that's nonsense. Look 690 00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:36,600 Speaker 2: on the weed thing, you can keep everybody here knows 691 00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:38,720 Speaker 2: that I'm against weed, all right, I think it's bad. 692 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,480 Speaker 2: But how if I was black and I was, like, man, 693 00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:43,800 Speaker 2: I would be so insulted that one of the key 694 00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 2: pillars is let's legalize weed. They're like, oh, let's give 695 00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 2: you people drugs? 696 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:49,080 Speaker 3: Is that? 697 00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 2: Like? 698 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:53,080 Speaker 3: How is that not so insulting to these people to 699 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 3: be like, oh, they really like to smoke weed? Right, Like, 700 00:30:56,120 --> 00:30:58,400 Speaker 3: what the fuck this? We're going to. 701 00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,960 Speaker 2: Legalize drugs specifically for a specific demographic if you want to. 702 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:04,320 Speaker 2: But she didn't even mention, you know, that's one of 703 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,480 Speaker 2: those really, Look, I don't agree with it. People are like, oh, 704 00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 2: black people just portually get arrested for it or whatever 705 00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 2: or have in the past, so it needs to be 706 00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,720 Speaker 2: you know, redistributed with some criminal justice bullshit. Fine, doesn't 707 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:16,040 Speaker 2: make a lot of sense to me still with the 708 00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:17,320 Speaker 2: current data, but I could. 709 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:18,400 Speaker 3: Understand that on this one. 710 00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 2: It's literally like, we need to legalize weed, and we 711 00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:22,600 Speaker 2: need to legalize it so that you can sell it 712 00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 2: and you can do a better job of being a 713 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:27,479 Speaker 2: fucking legal drug dealer. I'm like, how is that not 714 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:31,520 Speaker 2: so insulting to people that it's like, that is the 715 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:35,120 Speaker 2: epitome in my head of handoutism, and it's like and 716 00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,800 Speaker 2: it doesn't get called racist or anything by the media, 717 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:39,920 Speaker 2: and that's that's the pinnacle of racism. 718 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, to me, legalize drugs for you. 719 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 1: What, I support the policy, right, I support both the 720 00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:49,920 Speaker 1: legalizing and I support the you know, the idea of 721 00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:51,800 Speaker 1: this is the community. It's been most impact, is it 722 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 1: We're opening up this new business opportunity, like, let's do 723 00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:55,480 Speaker 1: things in there. 724 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:57,720 Speaker 4: I'm good with all of that. But you're so right to. 725 00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:00,320 Speaker 1: Put it as a specific plank framed in life. This 726 00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 1: is our blackmail agenda is really something. Yeah, here's weak 727 00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 1: for Let's talk about crypto though, because there is so 728 00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 1: much going on with the fact again that they put 729 00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:15,000 Speaker 1: the crypto plank in this particular policy proposal, and it's 730 00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 1: no secret why. There's actually, you know, significant pulling that 731 00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:22,000 Speaker 1: suggests that black men are you know, disproportionately actually holders 732 00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 1: of crypto. So that's part of why they include this plank. 733 00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:30,200 Speaker 1: That's that's their logic. But there also has been Crypto 734 00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:32,480 Speaker 1: has already won this election. Let me just say that, 735 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 1: right the Biden administration, through Gary Gensler at the SEC, 736 00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:39,720 Speaker 1: they have aggressively enforced the laws that are on the 737 00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:43,720 Speaker 1: books against crypto, against scams, and against you know things, 738 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:46,520 Speaker 1: people getting scammed in the financial world in general, and 739 00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:49,840 Speaker 1: Crypto has been subject to that enforcement. And there has 740 00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:53,640 Speaker 1: been over years now a large and concerted effort that 741 00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 1: was very visible when it's Sam Bankman freed, but has 742 00:32:56,600 --> 00:33:01,800 Speaker 1: very much continued at large scale after that. And Crypto 743 00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 1: is now one of the largest corporate contributors that industry 744 00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,880 Speaker 1: to the presidential campaign and down ballot campaigns in this 745 00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:12,440 Speaker 1: whole cycle. This is one of the areas whe Kamala 746 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,920 Speaker 1: has really pretty consistently signaled that she will actually be 747 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 1: different from Joe Biden. She will be more lax on enforcement. 748 00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:21,760 Speaker 1: And I was just reading this morning soccer. I didn't 749 00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:24,640 Speaker 1: know all of his backstory, but they've really made an 750 00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 1: example of Katie Porter in particular, where in the weeks 751 00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:33,160 Speaker 1: before her election, a crypto affiliated pack dump ten million 752 00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:36,080 Speaker 1: dollars into ads against her. They didn't have anything to 753 00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:39,240 Speaker 1: do with cryptocurrency these ads, but into ads against her. 754 00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:42,719 Speaker 1: She loses, and that ended up being like a warning 755 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:46,280 Speaker 1: shot at all Democrats and Republicans that hey, you better 756 00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:48,880 Speaker 1: not get crosswise here. And they've wrapped it all in 757 00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:52,280 Speaker 1: this language of like, oh, entrepreneurship and innovation, et cetera, 758 00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:57,880 Speaker 1: et cetera. And Trump completely flipped on crypto Kamala versus Biden. 759 00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:00,280 Speaker 1: She's completely you know, signaled that she's got to be 760 00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:04,160 Speaker 1: different on crypto too. And so you know that manifests 761 00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 1: and things like saying that part of your blackmail agenda 762 00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:11,399 Speaker 1: is quote unquote protecting crypto assets. It's you know, it's 763 00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:14,480 Speaker 1: extraordinary to see the influence of money and politics. 764 00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:14,480 Speaker 4: In real time. 765 00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:16,680 Speaker 2: I have a conflict of interest on this one. I 766 00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:19,279 Speaker 2: like crypto. I'm a hodler myself. Yeah, you don't really 767 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:21,879 Speaker 2: get scammed. H No, I actually did get scammed. Yeah, 768 00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:23,680 Speaker 2: as people here. No, I lost five thousand dollars on 769 00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:25,640 Speaker 2: a block flight by the way, actually finally got my 770 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:27,480 Speaker 2: money back. I don't know how exactly that happened, but 771 00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:29,520 Speaker 2: one day I got an email and they're like, here, 772 00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,600 Speaker 2: you know, somehow the bankruptcy clawback stuff worked. So you know, 773 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 2: it only took a couple of years and being in 774 00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:38,239 Speaker 2: the in the weeds. But they're as what they point 775 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,040 Speaker 2: out is that there are a lot I mean men 776 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:43,640 Speaker 2: in particular from Robinhood, Crypto and all, especially back in 777 00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:46,520 Speaker 2: the twenty twenty one twenty twenty two era, probably did 778 00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:47,640 Speaker 2: buy a decent amount of crypto. 779 00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:49,040 Speaker 3: I bought a lot before that. 780 00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:51,400 Speaker 2: The point is is that what they are trying to 781 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,359 Speaker 2: do is in This is just hand out shit. 782 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:55,640 Speaker 3: This is not anything that has. 783 00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:58,360 Speaker 2: To do with what is the way that we should 784 00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:02,319 Speaker 2: have a well regulated like commerce and exchange. What should 785 00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:07,040 Speaker 2: the future of American monetary you know, policy look like, like, 786 00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,120 Speaker 2: how should we think about banking? How should we make 787 00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:11,600 Speaker 2: sure that people are protected? This is just pure like 788 00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,960 Speaker 2: trying to get into the weeds of quote unquote like 789 00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:18,359 Speaker 2: appealing to people by talking about some tiny, little specific thing, 790 00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,040 Speaker 2: which ends up, in my opinion, being very very patronizing. 791 00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:24,000 Speaker 2: So this entire thing, you know, I'm really hoping Charlemagne 792 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:26,279 Speaker 2: has an interview with her today around like five pm. 793 00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,359 Speaker 2: It's gonna be live. I'm gonna be watching it, and 794 00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:30,439 Speaker 2: he does a good job of cutting to the core 795 00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:31,080 Speaker 2: of this stuff. 796 00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:32,400 Speaker 3: So I saw him recently. 797 00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,399 Speaker 2: He was just talking with Andrew Schaltz talking about young 798 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:38,359 Speaker 2: black men and their appeal with Trump and I'm really 799 00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:41,760 Speaker 2: hoping he focuses in on that with her and just 800 00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 2: just tries to get to the crux of like, what's 801 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:47,640 Speaker 2: actually happening happening here and is it not very patronizing 802 00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:49,719 Speaker 2: the way that you were talking, both Obama and her 803 00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:51,520 Speaker 2: in the way that this being put for. And of 804 00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:54,239 Speaker 2: course you've got Bacari Sellers and all these other black 805 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,200 Speaker 2: congressmen out there, like, look at Kamalo's incredible plan for 806 00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:59,839 Speaker 2: black men. I'm like, again, I cannot imagine how it's 807 00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,680 Speaker 2: still that would be if my leaders and I supported 808 00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:04,320 Speaker 2: Elders and all these other people. 809 00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:07,680 Speaker 3: This is what they were saying, is so good for you, you. 810 00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:09,000 Speaker 2: Know, It's just I don't know's there's so much lack 811 00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:11,480 Speaker 2: of individualism in the way that you even look at 812 00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:11,840 Speaker 2: any of this. 813 00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:15,160 Speaker 1: You know, Nina, we had Nina Turners and her Nina 814 00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:18,840 Speaker 1: Turner on yesterday. I encourage you to watch her her comments. 815 00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:21,120 Speaker 1: Her first reaction when she before she really read through 816 00:36:21,120 --> 00:36:23,160 Speaker 1: the plan details, was like, Okay, well, at least they're 817 00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:26,040 Speaker 1: trying to appeal to people through policy, and I think 818 00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:28,200 Speaker 1: that's fair. But it's also fair to look at the 819 00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:32,360 Speaker 1: policy and say this patronizing that and bad. Just to 820 00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:35,480 Speaker 1: dig one layer deeper on the crypto thing, because I've 821 00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 1: been thinking a lot about this, the reason that so 822 00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,000 Speaker 1: many black part of the reason so many black men 823 00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:43,920 Speaker 1: have crypto investments is because they've been locked down on 824 00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:48,120 Speaker 1: so many other forms of wealth accumulation and wealth building, 825 00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:52,720 Speaker 1: lower home ownership rates, you know, discriminated against in terms 826 00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:54,719 Speaker 1: of banks and the mortgage rates that's their charge, or 827 00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:58,800 Speaker 1: whether they even approved for a loan, And so crypto 828 00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:03,719 Speaker 1: really offered this, you know, this utopian vision of like, well, 829 00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,120 Speaker 1: this is the new financials, this is how you're gonna 830 00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:07,960 Speaker 1: make it, This is how you're going to be able. 831 00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:09,000 Speaker 4: To build wealth. 832 00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,600 Speaker 1: And you know, some of that is genuine and some 833 00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:15,839 Speaker 1: of it has just been completely fraudulent in scams. So, 834 00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:18,880 Speaker 1: you know, again to get to like the neoliberal point 835 00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,600 Speaker 1: of this, rather than really doing anything that's going to 836 00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:24,879 Speaker 1: fundamentally address that lack of wealth accumulation, it's like, well, 837 00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:27,719 Speaker 1: we're just going to like keep enabling the scammers and 838 00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:31,799 Speaker 1: make sure that they're regulated more lightly so that they 839 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:34,120 Speaker 1: can so that the people who have lots of crypto 840 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,640 Speaker 1: or because crypto is also rife with massive inequality in 841 00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:40,080 Speaker 1: terms of who's benefiting and who's on the other end 842 00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:41,440 Speaker 1: sometimes getting screwed. 843 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:43,160 Speaker 4: So we're going to make sure that. 844 00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,600 Speaker 1: Those people at the top can continue to get theirs 845 00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:48,520 Speaker 1: and continue to, like you know, in certain instances, screw 846 00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:48,959 Speaker 1: you over. 847 00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:50,640 Speaker 4: That's part of what's so disturbing her. 848 00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:54,160 Speaker 1: And just you know, the specific fight is really around 849 00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:59,280 Speaker 1: which agency is going to regulate crypto and do the enforcement, 850 00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:03,160 Speaker 1: and the SEC tends to be more aggressive. There's another body, 851 00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:07,360 Speaker 1: the CFTC that the crypto industry wants to be the 852 00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 1: regulator because they think that they just basically won't really 853 00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:14,160 Speaker 1: conduct any oversight there. And like I said, at this point, 854 00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:17,040 Speaker 1: I think it's it doesn't really matter which of these 855 00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:19,920 Speaker 1: candidates wins because both of them have already signaled that 856 00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,040 Speaker 1: they're going to do what the crypto industry once. 857 00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:23,880 Speaker 4: So anyway, that's where we are. 858 00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:25,520 Speaker 1: We do have an axios ters you can just show 859 00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:28,840 Speaker 1: put up on the screen there B five just to 860 00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:31,320 Speaker 1: you know, back up what I was saying before about 861 00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:36,000 Speaker 1: the amount of money that this sector has donated, and 862 00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:41,719 Speaker 1: they've launched this whole campaign aimed at elites, at political 863 00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:44,400 Speaker 1: elites to convince them. There as a quote unquote crypto 864 00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:47,920 Speaker 1: voter who is going to be basing their vote on 865 00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:51,520 Speaker 1: whether crypto is regulated at the SEC or the CFTC, 866 00:38:51,800 --> 00:38:53,560 Speaker 1: that this is like the primary thing that they're going 867 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:55,959 Speaker 1: to be voting on. There's no evidence that that's really 868 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,920 Speaker 1: the case outside of you know, the Mark Cubans of 869 00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:00,640 Speaker 1: the world and like the people who kind of at. 870 00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:01,680 Speaker 4: The top of that industry. 871 00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,640 Speaker 1: But I think the politicians are buying that that's the case, 872 00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:07,120 Speaker 1: and they're certainly buying that they don't want to get 873 00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:09,719 Speaker 1: crosswise of this industry because of the amount of money 874 00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:13,560 Speaker 1: they had to spend against you if you if you 875 00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:15,279 Speaker 1: undercut them or if you piss them off. 876 00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:22,560 Speaker 2: Kamala Harris is now apparently in talks with Joe Rogan 877 00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:23,719 Speaker 2: to appear on the. 878 00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:24,760 Speaker 3: Joe Rogan podcast. 879 00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:25,680 Speaker 4: Not see this one coming. 880 00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:27,200 Speaker 3: I did not see it coming as well. 881 00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:29,560 Speaker 2: I think it's a welcome development and so just a 882 00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:32,920 Speaker 2: little bit more behind the scenes. Obviously, this just broke 883 00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:35,120 Speaker 2: and they didn't have much detail on it. 884 00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:37,960 Speaker 3: But what they say is that and I was actually 885 00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:38,799 Speaker 3: kind of curious about this. 886 00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:43,840 Speaker 2: They're like, Kamala's representatives met with Rogan's representatives, and I'm like, 887 00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:47,319 Speaker 2: which represents exactly maybe his agent? I mean as far 888 00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:49,800 Speaker 2: as I know, Yeah, like Amy's Jami meeting with I 889 00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,960 Speaker 2: would I would pay to see money of Jamie meeting with. 890 00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:54,760 Speaker 4: Somebody from Anita Dunn or whoever. 891 00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:57,000 Speaker 3: That would be hilariously. 892 00:39:57,400 --> 00:39:59,600 Speaker 2: Uh yeah, I think I mean Joe's again, I have 893 00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:01,720 Speaker 2: no insie knowledge, but I mean he has talked previously. 894 00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:04,000 Speaker 2: He's like as one booker and one manager, so maybe 895 00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:06,759 Speaker 2: as one of those people that has done it. But regardless, 896 00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:09,960 Speaker 2: this comes on the heels of Trump saying that he 897 00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:12,160 Speaker 2: would be he would be going on rogue and we 898 00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:14,120 Speaker 2: don't know if that's true, whether he had confirmed it 899 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:17,479 Speaker 2: or any of not. Maybe it's the case that Joe 900 00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:19,000 Speaker 2: was trying to say, well, if I'm going to have 901 00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,320 Speaker 2: Trump and I want to have both one and extended 902 00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:21,680 Speaker 2: the offer. 903 00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:23,000 Speaker 3: That's what most people have done who. 904 00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:25,359 Speaker 2: Have interviewed both candidates, They've put in offers with both, 905 00:40:25,360 --> 00:40:27,879 Speaker 2: and usually it's either Trump or Comma or whatever who 906 00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:30,719 Speaker 2: will accept that. In this case, though, this actually now 907 00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:34,120 Speaker 2: has the chance of happening, and that would be kind 908 00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:36,520 Speaker 2: of amazing and it's funny again. 909 00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:37,160 Speaker 3: I want to come back to this. 910 00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:38,799 Speaker 2: There's so many people out there who are like, oh, 911 00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:42,080 Speaker 2: the internals must be bad. And I'm like, again, if 912 00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:46,160 Speaker 2: you are in a fifty fifty race and you want 913 00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:49,239 Speaker 2: to go and reach millions of people who may not 914 00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:53,160 Speaker 2: be engaging with the mainstream media, why would you not 915 00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:57,080 Speaker 2: go on this podcast? And look, I mean, I guess 916 00:40:57,120 --> 00:40:59,360 Speaker 2: the answer is you're not confident in what you believe 917 00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:02,279 Speaker 2: or in what say. The thing is, though Joe is 918 00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:06,120 Speaker 2: not is a curious interviewer. He doesn't usually get into 919 00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:09,440 Speaker 2: some prolonged back and forth or something him mostly just 920 00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:11,759 Speaker 2: asking questions, did back and listen. So if you want 921 00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:14,879 Speaker 2: to explain your actual thought process, which is what Joe Rogan, oh, 922 00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:16,480 Speaker 2: which is what Bernie Sanders did when he went on, 923 00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:18,200 Speaker 2: which is what Andrey Yang did when he went on, 924 00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:20,879 Speaker 2: which is what RFK Junior did whenever he went on, 925 00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,000 Speaker 2: I can't think of a better format to go in. 926 00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,479 Speaker 2: And also, if you have somebody, so Joe is probably 927 00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:28,040 Speaker 2: going to challenge her a little bit on some of 928 00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:30,160 Speaker 2: the things that he disagrees with her on. But he 929 00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:32,279 Speaker 2: is one of those people who said consistently he's like, look, 930 00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:35,120 Speaker 2: I'm mostly like liberal in many things. You know, I'm 931 00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:37,480 Speaker 2: very liberal on the issue of abortion. I'm very conservative 932 00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:39,960 Speaker 2: on the issue of guns traditionally, like was a Democrat 933 00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:41,680 Speaker 2: and all that, but I moved to Texas because of 934 00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:44,280 Speaker 2: my disagreement. I mean, that would give her a format 935 00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:47,200 Speaker 2: to talk to people out there who ness who might 936 00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:49,680 Speaker 2: align with his view. So I can't think of a 937 00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,640 Speaker 2: better place to go, not just Rogan, but any like 938 00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:56,080 Speaker 2: Manosphere era stuff where you think you could get at 939 00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:58,560 Speaker 2: least somewhat of an honest convo, Go for it, Like 940 00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:00,640 Speaker 2: if you're in a fifty to fifty election, you should 941 00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:02,960 Speaker 2: be doing it. Everyone was dunking on Kama for going 942 00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:04,440 Speaker 2: on call her daddy. I think Trump should go and 943 00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:05,360 Speaker 2: call her daddy. 944 00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:08,560 Speaker 3: I'm absolutely I think you should do it. He would 945 00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:11,040 Speaker 3: do well, That's what I don't understand the caution. 946 00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:14,279 Speaker 2: He's grew up on Howard Stern and in the New 947 00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:17,760 Speaker 2: York tabloids. You think he can't handle freaking Alex Cooper. 948 00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:20,440 Speaker 2: Of course he can. I mean, what are some of 949 00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,680 Speaker 2: his best moments in these mainstream media interviews with CNN 950 00:42:23,760 --> 00:42:26,759 Speaker 2: or with MSNBC, either when he spars or whatever, you know, 951 00:42:26,880 --> 00:42:29,400 Speaker 2: disarms them with a joke. So anyway, that's my opinion. 952 00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:31,440 Speaker 2: I think Kamas should go on then nelk boys Uh, 953 00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:36,439 Speaker 2: Trump should go on call her dad with absolutely, yeah 954 00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:39,960 Speaker 2: she should. Hey, she wants to talk about crypto crypto gambling. 955 00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:41,200 Speaker 2: She could be read a Steak dot com and. 956 00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:43,600 Speaker 1: You're getting the uh, you're getting the King of the Bros. Here, 957 00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:45,680 Speaker 1: she's going straight to the top show with White Brogan. 958 00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:46,359 Speaker 3: Good. 959 00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:48,560 Speaker 1: But I mean, okay, So there's a few things to 960 00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:50,839 Speaker 1: say about this. First of all, it's not without risk 961 00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:54,320 Speaker 1: for sure, because yeah, I mean, Joe is not a journalist. 962 00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:56,560 Speaker 1: He's not gonna do the like, you know, super adversary, 963 00:42:56,600 --> 00:42:58,880 Speaker 1: we're going to ask you five times whatever. But he 964 00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:01,000 Speaker 1: has made people look stupid on his show, just kind 965 00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:05,560 Speaker 1: of casually like humiliated a variety of people on his show, 966 00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:08,880 Speaker 1: and that is not on the question because he's a 967 00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:12,040 Speaker 1: good listener and he's just he's a good question asker. 968 00:43:12,120 --> 00:43:14,640 Speaker 4: So that's a risk for her. And we all know. 969 00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:17,440 Speaker 1: How she is like on her feet in these interviews, 970 00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:19,760 Speaker 1: even like on the view with softball questions. 971 00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:22,239 Speaker 4: She can definitely screw it up. There's no doubt about it. 972 00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:24,319 Speaker 4: So it's risky. I hope she does it. 973 00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:26,520 Speaker 1: I think it'd be very interesting to see. I think 974 00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:28,320 Speaker 1: it would be smart if she pulls it off. I 975 00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:30,319 Speaker 1: think it would be intelligent. If she doesn't pull it off, 976 00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:32,799 Speaker 1: then it will obviously be a mistake. The other thing 977 00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:35,640 Speaker 1: I just have to comment on though, is Sager, you 978 00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:39,680 Speaker 1: remember the way liberals smeared Bernie Sanders. 979 00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:41,200 Speaker 3: Yes, I do, Yes, I do. 980 00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:44,319 Speaker 1: Not so much, but just going on the podcast, but 981 00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:46,600 Speaker 1: Joe made this comment like, oh, I'll probably vote for 982 00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:49,600 Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders. They were like cool, the number one podcast 983 00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:51,759 Speaker 1: in the world said he would vote for me. Like, 984 00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:54,040 Speaker 1: let me make a thing of that, as a politician 985 00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:58,120 Speaker 1: would the number of liberals who absolutely smear how dare 986 00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:01,960 Speaker 1: you platform this racist sac is blah blah blah blah blah, 987 00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:03,879 Speaker 1: who are now going to be out there like, oh, 988 00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:06,840 Speaker 1: it's so great that christ Kamala was going on with 989 00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,480 Speaker 1: Joe Rogue and like, I just you know, I'm here 990 00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:11,560 Speaker 1: for it. I'm absolutely here for the way that these 991 00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:13,759 Speaker 1: people have zero principles or values and we'll just turn 992 00:44:13,800 --> 00:44:15,400 Speaker 1: on a dime when it suits them with their their 993 00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:16,280 Speaker 1: favorite candidates. 994 00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:18,160 Speaker 4: So looking forward, looking forward to Yeah. 995 00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:20,200 Speaker 2: Well you can stick with that theme actually, because what 996 00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:22,759 Speaker 2: also was announced is that she will be doing a 997 00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:25,400 Speaker 2: sit down interview with Brett Bayer over at Fox News 998 00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:28,120 Speaker 2: for a prolonged period of time. But I think it airs. 999 00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:30,719 Speaker 2: It either is today or at airsmorrow, I forget. Yeah, 1000 00:44:30,760 --> 00:44:34,920 Speaker 2: But the point is is that previously, remember Elizabeth Warren 1001 00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:37,239 Speaker 2: tried to get everybody on the DNC stage to raise 1002 00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:37,800 Speaker 2: their hand. 1003 00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:38,920 Speaker 3: In boycott Fox News. 1004 00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:42,520 Speaker 2: But now whenever its election time, like, yeah, well you 1005 00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:43,640 Speaker 2: should go on Fox. 1006 00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:46,359 Speaker 1: They've been loving Pete budaju Jeh on Fox News. That's 1007 00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:48,040 Speaker 1: like one of their favorite things because I mean he 1008 00:44:48,120 --> 00:44:51,080 Speaker 1: does he handles himself very well in the format, and 1009 00:44:51,160 --> 00:44:53,279 Speaker 1: so yeah, they really love when he goes on there. 1010 00:44:53,320 --> 00:44:55,120 Speaker 3: And Birthing went on Fox. He did a whole town 1011 00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:56,400 Speaker 3: home that was. 1012 00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:58,920 Speaker 1: One of the watch the best moments he did fantastic. 1013 00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:00,920 Speaker 1: He had a Fox News audi cheering for them, and 1014 00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:03,279 Speaker 1: so yeah, I mean Brett Baer, you know, he's going 1015 00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,880 Speaker 1: to frame things from kind of like a center right perspective, 1016 00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:08,719 Speaker 1: but he's not going to be like wildly unfair right there. 1017 00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:11,080 Speaker 3: He's like a sixty minute style journalist. 1018 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:12,960 Speaker 2: He's just gonna sit there and be like, he used 1019 00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:14,960 Speaker 2: to say this about illegal immigrants, and now you say this, 1020 00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:16,759 Speaker 2: How do you square that he used to say this 1021 00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:17,560 Speaker 2: and now you say this? 1022 00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:19,400 Speaker 3: How it'll be it will be. 1023 00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:22,799 Speaker 2: Frankly, I think better than Dana Basher any of these 1024 00:45:22,840 --> 00:45:25,240 Speaker 2: other people who've interviewed her. I actually got the sixty 1025 00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:29,200 Speaker 2: minutes guys. Credit to them outside of the whole editing fiasco. 1026 00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:31,960 Speaker 2: But the actual journalist journalist. That's not the journalists at 1027 00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:34,400 Speaker 2: least I assume so. But the actual guy you interviewed her, 1028 00:45:34,480 --> 00:45:36,400 Speaker 2: he did a pretty good job, right, He has a decent. 1029 00:45:36,200 --> 00:45:36,839 Speaker 3: Amount follow ups. 1030 00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:40,000 Speaker 2: That's probably what we should expect here, And in general, 1031 00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:42,719 Speaker 2: you should be doing more of these things. So I 1032 00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:46,120 Speaker 2: keep seeing this like, oh, she must be losing and 1033 00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:47,520 Speaker 2: all that. I'm like, well, first of all, if you 1034 00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:49,000 Speaker 2: think you're losing, the best way to do is do 1035 00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:51,320 Speaker 2: something drastic. So I think that's good, even though I 1036 00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:53,239 Speaker 2: don't think it's all that drastic to go on any 1037 00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:55,239 Speaker 2: of the things. But you should always just be doing 1038 00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:57,960 Speaker 2: everything you possibly can to reach as many people that 1039 00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:00,600 Speaker 2: you can. Before an election, a lot people make up 1040 00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:02,919 Speaker 2: their minds right around right now on. 1041 00:46:02,840 --> 00:46:05,080 Speaker 3: Whether they're going to vote who they're going to vote for. 1042 00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:07,000 Speaker 3: So this is it, This is what you should be doing. 1043 00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:09,680 Speaker 2: Trump is doing a ton of podcasts in the lead up, 1044 00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:11,000 Speaker 2: and Kamalas should be doing more. 1045 00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,719 Speaker 1: Fox News has a large viewership and not News Channel. 1046 00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:17,560 Speaker 1: Not all of them are diehard Trump supporters. You know, 1047 00:46:17,680 --> 00:46:21,080 Speaker 1: they've got their Kamala's doing this whole whether I like 1048 00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:23,080 Speaker 1: it or not, She's doing this whole, Nikki Aley, Liz 1049 00:46:23,160 --> 00:46:26,759 Speaker 1: Cheney voter strategy, and there will be some of those 1050 00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:32,520 Speaker 1: people watching Fox News. So you know, again, it all 1051 00:46:32,520 --> 00:46:34,759 Speaker 1: depends is it a smart strategy. It all depends on 1052 00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:36,920 Speaker 1: how she does. I can't say that the last week's 1053 00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:39,359 Speaker 1: media strategy worked out particularly well for her. 1054 00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:42,440 Speaker 4: The sixty minutes interview not great. The view interview not great. 1055 00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:45,160 Speaker 1: But you know, apparently they have enough confidence that they 1056 00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:47,759 Speaker 1: think that these additional media appearances can help to clean 1057 00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:48,160 Speaker 1: things up. 1058 00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:50,600 Speaker 2: Definitely, all right, And oh, I said Jessee Trump was 1059 00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:54,240 Speaker 2: on Bustin' Busting with the Boys, which is a barstool podcast. 1060 00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:58,480 Speaker 3: Oh really incredible. I mean, Josie, he's doing. 1061 00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:00,319 Speaker 4: Many more podcasts than these rallies. This thing, this is 1062 00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:00,719 Speaker 4: really his. 1063 00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:03,160 Speaker 2: He seems to doing like one in one yeah, I mean, look, 1064 00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:05,080 Speaker 2: it doesn't take that long in film, right, So it's 1065 00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:06,600 Speaker 2: like one of those where why not you know, you 1066 00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:08,680 Speaker 2: can set it up and you can actually make it 1067 00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:10,279 Speaker 2: and reach a bunch of people who were talking about 1068 00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:13,640 Speaker 2: otherwise about college football. I wonder what the crossover is 1069 00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:16,279 Speaker 2: when college football and South and Trump. I mean, it 1070 00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:18,560 Speaker 2: doesn't take a genius to see these things. If anything, 1071 00:47:18,640 --> 00:47:21,279 Speaker 2: is crazy that it took so long for politicians to 1072 00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:24,680 Speaker 2: embrace charcass It's more of a lagging thing than it 1073 00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:25,960 Speaker 2: is something in the former