1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:05,760 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,880 Speaker 1: dot com, the Radio plus Mobile Act and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Karen Moscow. 4 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: This updates brought to you buy American Arbitration Association. Business 5 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:21,079 Speaker 1: disputes are inevitable. Resolve faster with the American Arbitration Association, 6 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 1: the global leader in alternative dispute resolution for over eighty 7 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: five years. Learn more at a d R dot org. 8 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 1: And Federal Mogul Holding's largest shareholder, activist investor carl Icon 9 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 1: offering to buy the rest of the auto parts maker 10 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: for seven dollars a share. Global stocks meanwhile moving lower 11 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: as investors proved underwhelmed by vacammitments to spur growth at 12 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: a meeting of a group of twenty finance chiefs, and 13 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: a cut in China's reserve acquirement ratio, Japan's end strengthening 14 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 1: with gold and government bonds on haven demand. We check 15 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 1: the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the training day on 16 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg SNP even A Futures down four points, Dow even 17 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 1: A Futures down forty two and Nasdagumn a few years 18 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 1: down sixteen decks in Germany's down one point two p ten, 19 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:06,119 Speaker 1: Your treasury up three thirty seconds, the yield one point 20 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 1: seven five percent. Nimex crew crude oil, it'll change down 21 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 1: a cent to thirty two dollar seventy seven cents of 22 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:15,119 Speaker 1: arrow comex called up one percent, or eleven dollars ninety 23 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: cents at twelve thirty two thirty an ounce the euro 24 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 1: dollar O eight nine to the N one twelve point 25 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 1: nine nine. And that's a Bloomberg business flash. Tom and Mike, 26 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: thank you very much. We're talking with Ben Emmons from 27 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: Leader Capital. There are a number of news events this 28 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 1: week that, now that the G twenty is over, markets 29 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:37,960 Speaker 1: can focus on, and let's run through a couple of them. 30 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:42,399 Speaker 1: Been a lot of people focused on tomorrow's Super Tuesday results, 31 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:46,040 Speaker 1: but so far the markets seem to be relatively sanguine 32 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 1: about what's going on. That may be, according to some analysts, 33 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: because at this point nobody thinks Donald Trump could actually 34 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 1: win the presidency, and yet you've got Hillary Clinton likely 35 00:01:57,640 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: to be the front river for the Democratic domination, who 36 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:03,000 Speaker 1: has made a lot of proposals that would affect business, 37 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: including financial financial firms. When does Wall Street start trading 38 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:10,639 Speaker 1: off of who may be the next president and what 39 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 1: may happen. Yeah, I think that's a great question, Mike, 40 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:16,919 Speaker 1: because if you look at what Donald Trump has said 41 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:19,679 Speaker 1: in the past. Now, he was in a few years 42 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 1: ago very much about you. I'm a I'm a real 43 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: estate developer. I like cheap money. I've always loved it. 44 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 1: And if you think about that, then you think, well, 45 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: that's what Marcuts would probably like, right, because who doesn't 46 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 1: like cheap money? That was sort of a statement by him. 47 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:35,080 Speaker 1: He was also about saying that, you know, I'm going 48 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 1: to cut core protection to zero, and I'm gonna first 49 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: stimulated business spending. It said, all these things are actually 50 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 1: I would think positive for markets. But you're right, it's 51 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:48,920 Speaker 1: currently not clear who will be obviously the next president, 52 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,079 Speaker 1: have a long way to go, but what is really 53 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:54,359 Speaker 1: the policy from after the Obama administration from here on? 54 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 1: How do markets going to interpret that? Back to the 55 00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:01,800 Speaker 1: earlier discussion, if monetary policy is no longer that effective anymore, 56 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:04,919 Speaker 1: and markets are starting to come around that idea and say, well, 57 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: that's not really going to drive market direction. Is going 58 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:11,519 Speaker 1: to have to be fiscal policy. And I think Marcus Curney, 59 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,359 Speaker 1: I'm not clear about what the direction fiscal policy will 60 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: be because we don't know who will be the president. 61 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: Clear is that probably as each let's say, hypothetically Donald 62 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: Trump gets elected or or Hillary Clinton, you would expect 63 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 1: it would be some fiscal stimulus coming around, because that's 64 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 1: the latest stimulate E call me quicker, right, So either way, 65 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 1: something like that would would would be in the car. 66 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: So now this political analysts who disagree with me quickly 67 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: saying like, wow, it's not possible because of Congress and 68 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: all these other hurdles. But the fact that you put 69 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: that idea out there openly saying and stimulate the economy 70 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: with fiscal stimulus will going to be picked up. I 71 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: think this rhetoric probably will start to pick up this 72 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 1: summer because that's when when Hilly Clinton and Donald Trump 73 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: will be out there on the on the campaign. Again, 74 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: I'm making a statement, Donald Trump will be the jup Canada. 75 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 1: You know, he may he may not know. It looks 76 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 1: like he has a lot of momentum and that that 77 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: that's uh that he will be the main person to 78 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: put the Republicans. But you would think that the radiick 79 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 1: about fiscal policy is going to pick up in a 80 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: couple of months from now, and and it's all about 81 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:18,800 Speaker 1: the stimulus and how to stimulate. He comely against taking 82 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 1: measures such as retented has said about most streets and 83 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:26,720 Speaker 1: about healthcare and etcetera. Let me just take a quick 84 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 1: break here, Tom to do that. A headline that has 85 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:32,280 Speaker 1: just crossed Tribune Media announcing his fourth quarter results uh 86 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 1: and saying they are exploring their options. The company said 87 00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 1: that they look at the splitting into various components. They 88 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 1: may sell off some of their real estate portfolio. Of course, 89 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 1: they own the Tribune Tower in Chicago, and they may 90 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: split off some of the radio television properties they have. 91 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:55,720 Speaker 1: Maybe it shows the immediacy of the markets. It has 92 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 1: been a train wreck for I think Ben and Emmons. 93 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 1: There was a book put out years ago sold like 94 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: the Bible of Financial Domino Effect by Ben Emmons, How 95 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 1: to Profit Now in the VAULTI Global economy. Tell me 96 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 1: about the domino's falling right now? How do you link 97 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 1: up our global dominoes? I think for highlighting that again, 98 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 1: I yeah, the domino is really about the three dominoes. 99 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 1: Basically I talked about in that book the political domino, 100 00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: economic domino, and the financial dominant linked to each other. 101 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 1: So I think what we're at now is that it 102 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: is the economic domino really because the global economy is weak, 103 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 1: em contgency evidence coming out from that, and as that happens, 104 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 1: financial marcus respond to that. And obviously a number of 105 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 1: weeks ago we've had distress in the German banking system 106 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: as a result of unclarity about whether bank itself others 107 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: could make payments on the bones they have outstanding. But 108 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: that was really resolved from the idea that the next 109 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 1: of interest rate environment that we're in as a result 110 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: of the economic environment that we're dealing with, are now 111 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: impacting banks and margins and banks have to lay off 112 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: people and their business models are falling, and as a result, 113 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: people are downing now about banks being able to pay 114 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:19,840 Speaker 1: off their death until there was a policy reaction, and 115 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 1: that's what we saw. I think that that show we 116 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:23,719 Speaker 1: talked with each other right at that moment that they 117 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 1: came out, okay, when I buy back someone that that 118 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 1: and then the domino briefly it off. I think that's 119 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: the that's the domino ramber in the domino of of 120 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: economic data that drives financial markets, and that leads into 121 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: further effects that's the Domino. Ben Eavons, thank you so much. 122 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,159 Speaker 1: Appreciate with Leader Capital getting it started on a Monday. 123 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: Lots to talk about Michael. We will be in Washington 124 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: tomorrow FM Washington. The conversation with the chairman Chairman, I 125 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 1: should say, it's not the chair chair Yell Sherman Greenspan 126 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:57,239 Speaker 1: chairman green former chairman, chairman emeritus, whatever. I am dying 127 00:06:57,400 --> 00:06:59,920 Speaker 1: to talk to him about his thoughts and the theoretical 128 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 1: foundation of negative interest rates. Absolutely, And the congratulations to 129 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 1: the folks of twelve hundred a m. Boston, actually not 130 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 1: to them, but to the Boston globe of people who 131 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: are listening to us. Am Um. Spotlight wins Best Picture. 132 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: It caught movie fabulously, by far and away the best 133 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:25,640 Speaker 1: Boston movie I've ever seen. They caught it. There's a 134 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: scene at a Catholic charity late in the movie. It 135 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 1: was just brilliant. They just absolutely uh now, just an 136 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 1: extraordinary movie. Good morning to all of your Bloomberg twelve Boston, 137 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: Michael McKee and Tom Keane with the yield in two 138 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 1: basis points one. Bloomberg Surveillance Bloomberg Surveanced brought to you 139 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 1: by Bank of America. Merrill Lynch is global cash management solutions, 140 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 1: helping you manage, protect, and invest your global cash wherever 141 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 1: the road to growth leads. That's the power of global connections. 142 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: Bank of America North America. Remember f D Vice