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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Spreading the corn. Ten seconds of maining.

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Speaker 1: He just go show up to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket.

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Speaker 1: It's the true for the wind God.

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Speaker 2: A miracle.

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Speaker 1: I'm the water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the gener Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast. This is the College Basketball Conference Tournament

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Speaker 1: Betting Preview, Part six. I'm stucky in Joining me for

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Speaker 1: today's episode is none other than the one and only

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Speaker 1: comic Cune from of course, the Three Man Weave. Today

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Speaker 1: we will cover the Big East, the Big Twelve, the

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Speaker 1: matt Ac, and the Whack. I believe the MAC is

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Speaker 1: looking to didn't read that they're looking to try to

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Speaker 1: rebrand or come up with a new name.

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Speaker 2: I hope so that'd be good for everybody involved.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's I think I've heard that somewhere. Someone let

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Speaker 1: me know on Twitter if that's the case. But I

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Speaker 1: thought I read that that they're trying to rebrand the

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Speaker 1: name of the league. Kai. How's your weekend going. How

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Speaker 1: have futures been so far?

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Speaker 2: Weekend's going good. Goat pool is not going well? Sitting

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Speaker 2: around just.

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Speaker 1: Take all the chalk.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that would have been a good strategy, just

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Speaker 2: forget to do the picks and get the chalk and

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Speaker 2: sit top forty. No, I'm hovering around six hundredth. But

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Speaker 2: weekend otherwise going well. Got some great games already today

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Speaker 2: under the belt. So just enjoying watching college basketball. Best

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Speaker 2: time of year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we got some more chalk today with Lipscomb and

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Speaker 1: Drake taking care of business and their respective conference sermons.

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Speaker 1: I was disappointed to see Drexel go down. Yeah, one

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Speaker 1: of their one of their starters was out. He got

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Speaker 1: hurt guest, which I which was unfortunate. But they had

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Speaker 1: a chance, and of course Talsand wins it on how

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Speaker 1: they it's kind of their their mL AN offensive rebound

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Speaker 1: off a missed free throw and then they had a

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Speaker 1: step back three to seal it with like fifteen seconds

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Speaker 1: to go. So Dreuc's a lot of chances, which I

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Speaker 1: thought they would against Talsand. But credit to the Tigers

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Speaker 1: for getting it done. Now, as I'm recording this, all

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Speaker 1: eyes on Furman. I hope, uh, yep, I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: Furman can get it done against Chattanooga. Is uh did

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Speaker 1: we get a I've been podcasting and pretty ready for

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Speaker 1: I even't been able to look at anything. Did we

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Speaker 1: get a confirmation of Champion is out?

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Speaker 2: He's out? Yeah, I don't know what happened to him,

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Speaker 2: but yeah, he missed last game. I think he's out

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Speaker 2: for this game too.

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Speaker 1: That is big. Chattanooga's three or four to start from three,

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Speaker 1: but it's tied nine to nine.

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Speaker 2: For what it's worth, a.

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Speaker 1: Right of these leagues. By the way, I hope that

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Speaker 1: you have some kind of hot take for the Mac.

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Speaker 1: Do you want to talk about a league that is

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Speaker 1: an absolute just mystery box? I tried to. I tried.

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Speaker 1: I dug into the Mac for a couple hours last

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Speaker 1: night and I came away like, hmm, might just take

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Speaker 1: a fun shot here on a team, which is maybe

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Speaker 1: where I'll end up. But we'll save that for last

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Speaker 1: of the Big Twelve, Big East or Whack? Which one

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Speaker 1: do you feel most passionate about.

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Speaker 2: Man passionate about? I guess the Big Twelve, having a

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Speaker 2: former affiliation with the Big Twelve back in college when

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Speaker 2: Missoo resided in the conference.

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Speaker 1: By the way, are you worried about your Tigers?

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Speaker 2: Yes, yes I am. We've lost four or five and

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Speaker 2: Dennis Gates appears to just kind of pull lineups out

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Speaker 2: of the grab bag throughout the entire contest. It's it's frightening.

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Speaker 2: I am worried about our tigers. Former Final four contender

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Speaker 2: has whittled down into a first round exit unfortunately.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll see what they can do in the SEC tournament.

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Speaker 1: Jim and I will be previewing that later tonight in

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Speaker 1: Part seven, which should be out a couple hours after

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Speaker 1: this goes out. But in the Big twelve, every team

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Speaker 1: makes it all fifteen and we will kick things off

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Speaker 1: on Tuesday with the first round matchups. Second round is

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Speaker 1: on Wednesday. West Virginia, Iowa State, Baylor, and Kansas get

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Speaker 1: buys to those games and then the quarterfinals. We have

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Speaker 1: four teams that get double buys to Thursday. That's Houston,

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech, Arizona, and BYU. Houston is the favorite plus

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Speaker 1: one oh five. I thought I saw them plus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five plus one thirty maybe last night. Texas Tech

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Speaker 1: plus three ninety to second favorite. Iowa State the third favorite,

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Speaker 1: even though they have to play an extra game at

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Speaker 1: six to one, Arizona seven to one, Kansas twelve to one,

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Speaker 1: BYU sixteen to one. My first question to you, is,

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Speaker 1: is BYU not getting enough respect at sixteen to one?

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Speaker 2: You know you got to go through Iowa State in Houston.

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Speaker 2: I like BOU. They've obviously been great down the strips.

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Speaker 2: They've won eight straight. Just be Iowa State at Iowa

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Speaker 2: State and they dominated that game even though it's double overtime.

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Speaker 2: I just don't trust their defense to hold up all

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Speaker 2: the way. And yeah, I prefer if you ask me

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Speaker 2: my preference between Iowa State and BYU price, Honestly, I

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Speaker 2: would say Iowa State, even though they have to win

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Speaker 2: one more game. I just trust in the Iowa State

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Speaker 2: experience more, the leadership of Lipsy, the defense certainly more so. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm not really a BYU backer.

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Speaker 1: Now I'm not either, but it's surprising there's that wide

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Speaker 1: of a discrepancy for how well by You has been playing.

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Speaker 1: I still don't trust them on the road. I know

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Speaker 1: that they got the road win at Iowa State, but

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Speaker 1: all year they have been shaky away from home. They

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Speaker 1: wanted Arizona. Franted, they played well, but it was on

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Speaker 1: a bad call. Yeah, you're right, I still don't trust

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Speaker 1: their defense. Ultimately, BYU is Yeah, I mean a three

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty third as elemetrics away from Home Metric.

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Speaker 1: Even after these recent performances, I would like the Iowa

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Speaker 1: State in a rematch. The problem is a couple there's

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Speaker 1: a couple problems for Iowa State because I'm super high

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Speaker 1: on this team. But when they're fully healthy, which we

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Speaker 1: don't know if they are. Keishawn Gilbert, he is maybe

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Speaker 1: gonna play maybe not. How healthy would he be for

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Speaker 1: a stretch run like to win four games in four days.

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Speaker 1: They also haven't shot as well away from Hilton. They

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Speaker 1: still have some turnover issues. They can be got on

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Speaker 1: the glass a little bit, So there's some things i

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Speaker 1: Alowa State has to clean up, and there's not much

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Speaker 1: time before the tournament comes. But Gilbert matters if you

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Speaker 1: just dig into some of the advanced numbers on the

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Speaker 1: defensive end more than I thought. And Lipsey hasn't been

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Speaker 1: as dominant defensively this year for whatever reason. But you

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Speaker 1: kind of have this, you know, almost everyone is better

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Speaker 1: when Gilbert's on the floor. Is kind of that facilitator

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Speaker 1: and the one Jones needs Mom Chilovich and everyone kind

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Speaker 1: of needs Gilbert. That's the way that it kind of

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Speaker 1: works with the Iowa State rotation. But do you care

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Speaker 1: about Gilbert's status? People think that like he's better without him,

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Speaker 1: which I don't get.

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Speaker 2: No, I don't. I care about a status a lot.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if it's an injury.

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Speaker 1: I feel like it's something else is going on.

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Speaker 2: Yes, I think it's more a disciplinary is my assumption.

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Speaker 2: He didn't play against Kansas State before that, he played

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Speaker 2: forty three minutes can Spye, but he missed two games previously.

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Speaker 2: I think it's more than an injury, So that does

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Speaker 2: worry me. And yeah, I think they need him on

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Speaker 2: the Florida win the tournament. So it's a good point

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Speaker 2: about Gilbert for that reason, I wouldn't recommend back in

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Speaker 2: the Iowa State either in the futures market. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: And then with those turn of issues that maybe not

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Speaker 1: Gilbert and some of the rebounding wees that could cost

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Speaker 1: him against Houston, although theoretically I think that they match

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Speaker 1: up pretty well with Houston. You know they have they

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Speaker 1: played right with the Cougars severely short handed.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, and so you know.

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Speaker 1: If they were at full strength, I think I might

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Speaker 1: like them in that rematch. By the way, I think

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Speaker 1: Houston might be better off just like getting to the

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Speaker 1: Semis and bowing out. They play so hard and like

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Speaker 1: they're always at risk of injury. Everyone's always like beat

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Speaker 1: up and bruised under sam Like, I think they're better

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Speaker 1: off just like get to the Semis, you already have

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Speaker 1: a one seed and then rest up, don't risk any injury.

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Speaker 1: I'm not I'm They're gonna play to win, but I'm

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Speaker 1: just saying, like if I was a Houston fan, I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't be that upset, but they lost in the Semis.

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Speaker 2: I think you're going to hear that narrative a lot

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Speaker 2: from from media members. But that's not Kelden Samson at all.

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Speaker 2: He just he doesn't have to speed.

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Speaker 1: They do have practice. That's how they practice.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's balls the wall. Even with their history and

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Speaker 2: march of injuries, they're not taking a day off. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: they will absolutely be trying to win this tournament and

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Speaker 2: playing full strength.

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Speaker 1: Let's let's just break down the top first. So the

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Speaker 1: first round matchup is TCU Colorado. Colorado has been playing

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Speaker 1: better of late. They can't shoot, but and then and

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Speaker 1: you know, do you trust we really trust Colorado away

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Speaker 1: from home there before that's where three hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: seventh away from home metric as you would imagine, but

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Speaker 1: you know, they're top ten near proximity defense. They're good

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Speaker 1: defending at the rim, they're good on the defensive glass,

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Speaker 1: which both those things aren't great for TCU. It basically

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Speaker 1: comes down to turnovers, because that's the biggest issue for Colorado.

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Speaker 1: How many times will they turn it over? I think

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Speaker 1: they just beat TCU the season finale, but they lost

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Speaker 1: at TCU when their turnover rate was like thirty percent.

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Speaker 1: It was just twenty percent here. But they have the

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Speaker 1: much better two point offense and defense than TCU and

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Speaker 1: free throw shooting on top of that. Do I trust

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Speaker 1: Colorado away from home is the question? But I mean

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Speaker 1: Colorado has been since first Colorado has been a much

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Speaker 1: better team. And like I said, tz wants to attack

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Speaker 1: the room, they want to get offensive rebounds. They can't shoot,

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Speaker 1: so that's that's tough to do for them against Colorado,

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Speaker 1: but they might be able to force turnovers and get

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Speaker 1: out for some easy buckets. Any feel there. I don't

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Speaker 1: think either one of these teams can make a run.

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Speaker 2: They can't make a run. I lean Colorado. They have

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Speaker 2: zero wins away from Colorado. They're I think five and

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Speaker 2: eight against the spread and away in neutral games, but

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Speaker 2: no wins. But you just saw him be tc by twenty.

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Speaker 2: I think being in Kansas City, obviously it's a lot

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Speaker 2: different than being at TCU, and you've basically said it.

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Speaker 2: They can take away what tc wants to do, which

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Speaker 2: is they have to pound it to the rim. They

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Speaker 2: have to score off rebounds. Colorado is an excellent rebounding team.

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Speaker 2: They actually have a lot of size up front. I

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Speaker 2: think they match up very well with TCU, So I'd

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Speaker 2: go with the Buffs in the It'll probably be around

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Speaker 2: a pick minus or plus one plus two, but that'd

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Speaker 2: be my pick in that game.

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Speaker 1: Let's just assume that West Virginia gets by the winner

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Speaker 1: of that TCU Colorado game. They just don't match up

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Speaker 1: well with Houston, because I mean, when it's no West

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Speaker 1: Virginia since February first, their second overall and adjusted DEFENSI

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Speaker 1: division se The problem is the one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: second in offensive efficiency. They are so reliant on small

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Speaker 1: and Houston can just blit him and take him out

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Speaker 1: of the game, and there's really no other Like Cansbury

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Speaker 1: can have some good games, but like the offensive options

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Speaker 1: you got to give credit to Debrees for what he's

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Speaker 1: done with his defense, but they really miss Tucker his

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Speaker 1: son as the other offensive option and their only win

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Speaker 1: if only be one turning team in twenty twenty five.

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Speaker 1: As I was stayed at home on January seventeenth without Milan,

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Speaker 1: when I would say, when one of seventeen from three,

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Speaker 1: that's it. That is the only NCAA tournament team that

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Speaker 1: West Virginia has been in twenty twenty five. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: it just would be. It's just hard to envision them

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Speaker 1: scoring consistently enough and they're going to get beat up

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Speaker 1: on the glass against you, Houston. Yeah it's good that

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Speaker 1: they don't turn it over, but it's hard for me

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Speaker 1: to see them beating Houston. For what it's worth, they

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Speaker 1: lost to Houston by sixteen on the road, and they

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Speaker 1: lost by fourteen at home. They scored forty nine and

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Speaker 1: fifty four points. So I have no interest in looking

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Speaker 1: at West Virginia and the Mountains. What it's worth are

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Speaker 1: one hundred to one. Jeeh wow, for good reason. Still, yeah,

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Speaker 1: one hundred to one, that's pretty wild for a team

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Speaker 1: that's going to be in the tournament. But yeah, I

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Speaker 1: just I can't see them beating Houston and just don't

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Speaker 1: trust the offensive.

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Speaker 2: Jew Gray agree, totally bad matchup. Yeah, Houston grabbed forty

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Speaker 2: eight percent of their misses in the game two against

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Speaker 2: West Virginia. You can't beat Houston playing one on one.

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Speaker 2: That's what Small basically does. They do move the ball well,

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Speaker 2: but when it comes down to its small houses score

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Speaker 2: or Houston has so much size in the perimeter and

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Speaker 2: they will not give up second chances, and they will

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Speaker 2: get plenty of second chances on the other end. So

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Speaker 2: a nightmare matchup for West Virginia. I don't think they

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Speaker 2: get buy Houston.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I think it's Houston to the semis. In moving

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Speaker 1: down one, Oklahoma State Cincinnati. These two teams just played Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: It's kind of in a tough spot, right. They just

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Speaker 1: basically have their attorney hopes dashed. I think they were.

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Speaker 1: They came out just completely dazed. Oklahoma State has been

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Speaker 1: playing a lot better. They're one of the fifteen most

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Speaker 1: improved teams in the country since February first, so they've

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Speaker 1: they've been playing better. For sure. They can't really rebound,

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Speaker 1: but they can force turnovers, they can defend at the rim.

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Speaker 1: You have to beat them over the top, which is

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Speaker 1: tough for Cincy, but they also want to get to

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Speaker 1: the line and they want to get out in transition,

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Speaker 1: which you can't really do against Cincy and Oklahoma States

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Speaker 1: half court offense is horrible. They did somehow go seven

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Speaker 1: to nine from three. So I don't know in the

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Speaker 1: rubber match, I don't know where since he's at mentally,

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Speaker 1: but I don't think it's the worst matchup in the

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Speaker 1: world for Oklahoma State. But I think if since he's

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Speaker 1: locked in, they can keep them out of transition and

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Speaker 1: then it becomes very tough. I might look at it

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Speaker 1: under to be honest and gave givity field in since

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Speaker 1: the oak.

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Speaker 2: State, Yeah, it's gonna be very ugly. I'm of two minds.

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Speaker 2: One of my minds, which I'm leaning towards, is this

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Speaker 2: is a reset. It's kind of a tournament time. Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: knows the only way he can get to the Dance

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Speaker 2: if it wins the tournament. This was a team that

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Speaker 2: was projected top five, top six in the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 2: I absolutely think they have that talent to beat just

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Speaker 2: about any team in the country. Still, Wes Miller beat

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Speaker 2: himself up in the press conference already saying how he

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Speaker 2: did a whole job against Kansas State, his fans should

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Speaker 2: be booing him. That clearly did not send a rallying

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Speaker 2: cry against Oklahoma State the following game. But maybe the

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Speaker 2: conference tournament is a chance for a reset. I do

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Speaker 2: lean or I do think since he will win this game,

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Speaker 2: if the spread those over, say five points or so,

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Speaker 2: I would start leaning towards Oklahoma State. Steve Leutze the

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Speaker 2: coach I really respect, and I do think Oklahoma State

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Speaker 2: can kind of slow sense. He down what they tried

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Speaker 2: to do offensively.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, the game went over when they just played

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Speaker 1: because it was going to go under. And this is

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Speaker 1: senior Da Shenanigan's. Oklahoma State called a time out like

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Speaker 1: twenty seconds to go and a walk on came on.

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Speaker 1: A normal game, they would have just dribbled it out,

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Speaker 1: but the walk on was getting cheers and took it

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Speaker 1: to the rim and laid it up. And then since

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Speaker 1: he answered with a layup at the bell, and that's

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Speaker 1: to put the game over. So yeah, I think that one,

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Speaker 1: that one might be ugly. And so since the offense

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Speaker 1: is just so inconsistent, because it's a lot of like

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Speaker 1: Gisel James and day Da Thomas taken like mid range jumpers.

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Speaker 2: That sort of thing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, but the defense is definitely elite, but the offenses

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Speaker 1: it comes and goes. I don't now. We did just

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Speaker 1: see we saw Oklahoma State beat Iowa State at home.

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Speaker 1: We saw since he hang with Iowa State, and the

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Speaker 1: thing that since he has going for it is they

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Speaker 1: don't turn it over, they don't foul, they limit transition.

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Speaker 1: So I don't know if we get a big number again,

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Speaker 1: since he wins and looks engaged, I might back since

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Speaker 1: he against the spread, but Iowa State probably comes out

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Speaker 1: of there. Would you agree?

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Speaker 2: I agree. I would definitely look for Sinci on the

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Speaker 2: spread against Iwa State if it was bigger, because you're right,

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Speaker 2: handle the ball have size, two big factors I think

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Speaker 2: against Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: And again defended the room.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a ton of talent too. Oklahoma State though again

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Speaker 2: kind of like Colorado. They have two wins on true

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Speaker 2: road games this year, one on a neutral, the rest

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Speaker 2: is all at home. They don't really do well away

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Speaker 2: from I have a gallaghery in anyway either, so I

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Speaker 2: would definitely stay away from them against Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think if Iowa State wins, I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna get their revenge on BYU. But there's health questions

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Speaker 1: that with Gilbert and you know others adult with injuries,

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Speaker 1: So like four games and four days do something flare

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Speaker 1: up kind of just spooks me. So while I might

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Speaker 1: look to bet, I always State against Houston if everything

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Speaker 1: looks okay and intact on Friday, I'm staying away from

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Speaker 1: any futures in the top half. If I was filling

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Speaker 1: it out, I would go Iowa State versus Houston. I

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Speaker 1: don't see anyvalue in Houston, even money, because I think

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Speaker 1: if Houston runs into Iowa State I was in I

335
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Speaker 1: was States fully healthy, they match up well with them.

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Speaker 1: And if say Texas Tech meets, they meet up with

337
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Speaker 1: Texas Tech in the final, Like that's to me, that's

338
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Speaker 1: like Houston minus two and I have Texas Tech. Like

339
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Speaker 1: right there, I have I have text Tech round out

340
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Speaker 1: the fifteen best team in the country power ratings wise.

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Speaker 2: They're close to it. Yeah, they've been awesome so.

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Speaker 1: And and you got to remember with Texas a lot

343
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Speaker 1: of their advanced mesrics they haven't been They weren't healthy

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Speaker 1: all year, Like they've had stretches where they've had and

345
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Speaker 1: they played Houston. For example, what toppen was got ejected

346
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Speaker 1: and then they were missing two starters the next time

347
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Speaker 1: they played Houston. I think they match up really well

348
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Speaker 1: with Houston because of their shooters and the fact that

349
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Speaker 1: they can take care of the ball, compete on the

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Speaker 1: defensive glass. And but you have to be able to

351
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Speaker 1: the ball and you have to be able to hitch

352
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Speaker 1: shots over the top against Houston, and Texas Tech has

353
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Speaker 1: that in spades. So yeah, I I think, well, let's

354
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Speaker 1: go to the bottom half. So that's your semis Houston

355
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Speaker 1: versus IWA State if you were filling this out, yeah, absolutely, yep,

356
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Speaker 1: all right, bottom half Texas Tech is the two they'll

357
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Speaker 1: get the winner of Baylor versus Kansas State or Arizona State.

358
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Speaker 1: Arizona State is a shell of itself. There's no Freeman,

359
00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 1: Curly said acquaintance probably won't play, and maybe no Adam Miller.

360
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Speaker 1: The offense is still okay, like they can they can

361
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Speaker 1: still shoot, they don't turn it over, but the defense

362
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Speaker 1: falls off a cliff without those three. I mean, you

363
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Speaker 1: have Sonon Mason, Holly Phillips best. None of those guys can.

364
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Speaker 1: If you look at their defense metrics, defense, it's really,

365
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Speaker 1: really bad. The question is when they play Kansas State,

366
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Speaker 1: who is Kansas State the weirdest team in the country.

367
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Speaker 1: They had like a six game stretch where they were

368
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Speaker 1: the best in the They're like, look like the best

369
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Speaker 1: team in the country. Now they came crashing back down

370
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Speaker 1: to earth. If you look at some of their numbers,

371
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Speaker 1: they haven't been able to make it three since February first,

372
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Speaker 1: but nobody also has been able to make a three

373
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Speaker 1: against them. They're shooting twenty nine point seven percent from three.

374
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Speaker 1: Opponents are shooting twenty six percent from three. Part of

375
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Speaker 1: the problem I think, I mean Hawkins missed three games

376
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Speaker 1: and he's playing with a fractured tibula. He's clearly not

377
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Speaker 1: fully healthy, and he said he won't be fully healthy

378
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Speaker 1: for two more weeks. Max Jones can't hit a shot anymore.

379
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Speaker 1: He's six for his last thirty four thousand, eight of

380
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Speaker 1: his last twenty eight. And then Doug McDaniel is just

381
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Speaker 1: always so inconsistent. He had that he was toured during

382
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Speaker 1: that stretch, but now it hasn't been too hot. Of

383
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 1: State gets to, you know, a little home court advantage

384
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Speaker 1: in a sense with the location. Do you trust them?

385
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Speaker 1: Who is this Kansas State team, like at their peak,

386
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Speaker 1: we've seen them beat some of the top teams in

387
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Speaker 1: the country. Is there any way that could put together

388
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 1: a run here? I mean it's if you look at

389
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Speaker 1: the draw, it's a beat up Arizona State team. It's

390
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Speaker 1: if they and for it's worth, Kansas it is two

391
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 1: hundred to one Baylor. I mean they're three hundred and

392
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Speaker 1: sixty first and away from Elementric they're not the same team.

393
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Speaker 1: Away from home. They're not the same team without Ojong Wuna.

394
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Speaker 1: I mean, the their offenses worth, their defense is worse,

395
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:51,399
Speaker 1: their rebounding is worse. Still have some talent edge comb

396
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:55,119
Speaker 1: is awesome, But I mean Baylor is beatable for sure.

397
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Speaker 1: And you know if you win that game, you'd get

398
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Speaker 1: the Texas Tech. It's a tough and then it's a

399
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,159
Speaker 1: brutal march to win five games in five days. But

400
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:11,400
Speaker 1: then this Kansas State team make any noise or are

401
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:12,399
Speaker 1: they just dead and buried?

402
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,160
Speaker 2: Maybe I like them a lot better than Arizona State

403
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 2: in the first game. Yeah, because you mentioned in Arizona

404
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:20,959
Speaker 2: State has six scholarship guys they can play. And then

405
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,360
Speaker 2: one of those guys is Trevor Best, who's a reclass

406
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:26,399
Speaker 2: who wasn't supposed to play this year. And then Bobby

407
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 2: Hurley Junior. I don't know why he's not called Bobby

408
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 2: Early the third, but he's been playing minutes for them,

409
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:34,720
Speaker 2: which is not good. So I think they get past

410
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:38,320
Speaker 2: Arizona State. Against Baylor, they could again, this team was

411
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:40,400
Speaker 2: kind of like since he expected to be pretty darn

412
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,360
Speaker 2: good this season, expected to be a tournament team. They

413
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:47,080
Speaker 2: just did not click. Chemistry was poor. Jerome Tang obviously

414
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 2: was at Baylor. Maybe that gives him some sort of

415
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,640
Speaker 2: edge of mind to Scott Drew or look inside Scott

416
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 2: Drew's mind. But I don't see them getting past Texas

417
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:56,360
Speaker 2: Tech at all.

418
00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:58,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, and they don't have great they don't have great depth,

419
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 1: and no Hawkins is playing hurt. It's winning five games

420
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 1: in five days. Can't get there. I bet I wouldn't

421
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,680
Speaker 1: blame anyone if they wanted to throw some gals change

422
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 1: on it, but not for me. For me in the

423
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 1: way that I look at this, because I'm so high

424
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:23,440
Speaker 1: on Texas Tech, They're kind of the only future that

425
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: I would bet. I think that they would be Baylor,

426
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 1: and I do think Arizona is going to get its

427
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 1: revenge on Kansas, and Kansas has to play the winner

428
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 1: of Utah UCF and then they'll play Arizona on back

429
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:47,800
Speaker 1: to back. Meanwhile, Arizona gets the prep for that same matchup,

430
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,160
Speaker 1: which I think is going to be an advantage in Kansas.

431
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:57,360
Speaker 1: Their offense just is so inconsistent and they're not going

432
00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:00,840
Speaker 1: to get to play in Lawrence, which means Zeke Mayo

433
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 1: won't make every three, which he only does at home.

434
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna come up with an answer for

435
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 1: Hunter Dickinson because he ripped them apart on Saturday. But

436
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:15,879
Speaker 1: I do think Arizona gets its revenge over Kansas, and

437
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:22,879
Speaker 1: I think Texas Tech beats Arizona. I so the reason

438
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,080
Speaker 1: I also I'm interested in so I'm not interested in

439
00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 1: the Kansas future. They they just lose the math because

440
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 1: they can't really shoot away from home. They lose the

441
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 1: math equation more times than not in Kansas. When's the

442
00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:39,199
Speaker 1: last time they won three straight games. You gotta go

443
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 1: back to January fifth, eighth, and eleventh. It was against UCF,

444
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:50,520
Speaker 1: Arizona State, and Cincy. That's it. Those are three teams

445
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 1: that will not make the NCAA tournament. They're just not

446
00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: consistent enough away from Lawrence, I can't trust them. So

447
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 1: I think Texas Tech comes through here and the reason

448
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 1: I'm interested in them in the futures market of four

449
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,000
Speaker 1: to one, Like, I don't think it's I'm not like

450
00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:09,919
Speaker 1: showing a ton of value on it. But I think

451
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,439
Speaker 1: Texas Tech matches up well with Houston. I do not

452
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:13,840
Speaker 1: think Arizona.

453
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 2: Does no, not at all.

454
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 1: So like if Arizona got through, I don't like that matchup.

455
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 1: So to me, it was between the teams I like

456
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:29,399
Speaker 1: against Houston or Texas Tech and Iowa State. I don't

457
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:33,359
Speaker 1: know about Iowa State's health situation. I think the bottom

458
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 1: half is more vulnerable, So I'm probably gonna throw a

459
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:39,040
Speaker 1: little little bit on Texas Tech.

460
00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I already did. I already took them for to one. Nice,

461
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:47,160
Speaker 2: that's my favorite future in this bracket. Yeah, plus four

462
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 2: twenty five polities. Can't remember the book it was at,

463
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 2: but I think four to one is a good price

464
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:56,399
Speaker 2: for them. I also took Kansas Though a flyer on them.

465
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 2: They were thirteen to one in the market. I thought

466
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 2: that's a reason price his price in Kansas City. Bill

467
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:04,959
Speaker 2: self is still a top five coach in the country.

468
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,000
Speaker 2: Hunter Dickinson is an All American no matter what we

469
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 2: think of him off the court, and I think they

470
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 2: can beat Arizona. We just saw them do it. Texas

471
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:16,879
Speaker 2: attacked a little bit more of a stretch. Again, I

472
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 2: do love Texa attack in this future market, but with self,

473
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,639
Speaker 2: with the talent that he has preseason number one. Of course,

474
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:25,600
Speaker 2: with it being in Kansas City, I thought thirteen to

475
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 2: one was a pretty good price. I'm not scared of

476
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 2: Utah UCF in that first game, so I think Kansas

477
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,160
Speaker 2: makes it past there pretty easily. And again I think

478
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 2: they can beat Arizona again.

479
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 1: Utah UCF is an interesting game. Can I actually bet

480
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:44,679
Speaker 1: Utah away from home? They're dead last and has electrics

481
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 1: away from moment. I did have them last night and

482
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:52,360
Speaker 1: they somehow covered against BYU with some late barrage. Utah's

483
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:57,400
Speaker 1: box scores are the same every time. They'll have seventy

484
00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:01,560
Speaker 1: four rebounds, They'll go eleven of thirty four from the line.

485
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 1: Gabe Matson will go three of seventeen from three. So

486
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:14,159
Speaker 1: I mean since February first, Pertorwick, there's sixtieth, UCF's one

487
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 1: tenth oh and Utah will have like twenty four turnovers.

488
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:25,360
Speaker 1: That's the thing I'm worried about against UCF. Also, will

489
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 1: I be carry play. I don't know UCF wants to run.

490
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,679
Speaker 1: They have a high pressure defense. I might talk myself

491
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 1: into Utah. God, it's a painful experience. So I don't

492
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:38,840
Speaker 1: know any any feel there.

493
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 2: I don't want Utah with Josh Eilert in charge since

494
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 2: firing Craig Smith. There I think one in three and

495
00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 2: that win was against Arizona State. That the walking wounded

496
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 2: that we talked about. It's funny about Utah sixty seven

497
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 2: percent of his story, So sixty seven percent of their

498
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 2: baskets are assisted. That's by far, by far the highest

499
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 2: in the country.

500
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 1: Is good if they don't turn it over.

501
00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:08,880
Speaker 2: Craig Smith. That's Craig Smith's offense. He's a great offensive coach.

502
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:11,720
Speaker 2: I just don't think Josh Eilert is a great interim.

503
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:14,080
Speaker 2: I think this team's kind of circling the drain in

504
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 2: terms of the season. You see that. Not exactly excited

505
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 2: about them either. I don't give Dawkins a lot of credit,

506
00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:20,280
Speaker 2: but it is a lot of talent and it's a

507
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 2: lot of unpredictability on that roster.

508
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, the other problem with Utah is like if they

509
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 1: don't turn it over, then they usually like get a

510
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 1: good look, they'll score, they get tons of rebounds. But

511
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 1: then anyone who goes to the line besides Mattson is

512
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 1: probably gonna miss. And then you have Lovering goes to

513
00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:44,120
Speaker 1: the line all the time. He's thirty nine percent, and

514
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:49,280
Speaker 1: I mean it's Caleb Bloner, He's five of sixteen, some

515
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 1: of the Keller's seven of eighteen. Some of their numbers

516
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 1: are just hilarious. So they miss, like even some of

517
00:29:56,520 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 1: their their guards, man, I mean it's bad. Only Matson

518
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 1: is reliable. So yeah, their free throw shooting is so bad.

519
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:06,480
Speaker 1: It's just so killer for them because they get to

520
00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:09,680
Speaker 1: the line all the time. They're shooting sixty four percent

521
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 1: from the line on the year. So my prediction Texas

522
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 1: Tech wins it and beets Houston. I'm going chalk with

523
00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 1: the two seed winning.

524
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:24,520
Speaker 2: That's my exact prediction. Stucky Texas socover Houston.

525
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 1: Yep, all right, well there's no way that we have

526
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 1: the same prediction for this league. So let's go We'll

527
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,240
Speaker 1: go to a quicker one here and let's go to

528
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 1: the MAC and this will take place in Atlantic City

529
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:45,959
Speaker 1: at Boardwalk Call four. The sixth consecutive year, only the

530
00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 1: top ten teams qualify. This will be played between March

531
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:57,040
Speaker 1: eleventh and fifteenth, so it starts on the eleventh with

532
00:30:57,080 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: two first round games Rider against Siena, Sacred Heart against Fairfield.

533
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 1: Quinnipiac got the one seed. Merrimack the two, Maris the

534
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 1: three Iona Manhattan will play each other in the four

535
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 1: or five game, and then Maris the three will take

536
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:17,080
Speaker 1: on Mount Saint Mary's. I can't tell you how I'm trying.

537
00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:20,960
Speaker 1: I was trying to illustrate the best way to describe

538
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:26,920
Speaker 1: how unpredictable this league is. So if you just go

539
00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:33,440
Speaker 1: to bart Torvik and you filter since February first for

540
00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 1: the MAC, it's gonna give you a sample size of

541
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:40,120
Speaker 1: like ten games for every team. Marist is the second

542
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,520
Speaker 1: worst team in the league. They're three hundred and twenty

543
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 1: ninth in the country. They're the three seed. They have

544
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:52,920
Speaker 1: been dreadful, dreadful down the stretch. They did get priced back,

545
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:59,160
Speaker 1: which helps is huge. Yep, his backup was not good.

546
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: That's big. But in general Maris is all d no

547
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:08,840
Speaker 1: no off The offense is bad. If you like offense,

548
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:14,560
Speaker 1: it's not the league for you, great efficient Mary Matt

549
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 1: their zone D heavy pressure zone defense to the turnover kings.

550
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 1: Bud Clark might be the best player in the league.

551
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:29,760
Speaker 1: They're rebounding clowns. They play really slow. I could lose

552
00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 1: to anybody they So I mean, do I trust them?

553
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 1: I guess I should. We should talk about prices here.

554
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 1: Let me pull them up. But over that span, I'll

555
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 1: finish my thought. Then I'll get your thoughts. In this league,

556
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:52,240
Speaker 1: the best team since February first, the only team right

557
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 1: above two hundred barely is Iona, the four seed. And

558
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 1: then here are the ratings, the national ratings over that

559
00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 1: ten game span. Merrimack two fifteen, Manhattan two twenty two,

560
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:10,400
Speaker 1: Sacred Heart two thirty one, Sianna two thirty four, Mount

561
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 1: two fifty, Quinnipiac the one, two fifty eight. They've been

562
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: like the eighth best team rider to eighty five. Saint

563
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 1: Peter's didn't make it, Canisius didn't make it, and neither

564
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 1: did Niagara. Fairfield somehow made it. I don't know how,

565
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:33,640
Speaker 1: So anyway anybody could win this, Like if you told

566
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,720
Speaker 1: me any one of these teams, maybe not Fairfield, but

567
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:38,880
Speaker 1: any one of these teams won it, I would be like,

568
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 1: all right, yeah, that checks out. I don't have I

569
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 1: don't have a I don't I really don't have a

570
00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:49,920
Speaker 1: clue who is going to win this league. I think

571
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 1: I only saw odds up at one book. Let me

572
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:55,960
Speaker 1: say so. Merrimack's the favorite plus two sixty quinnipe Ac

573
00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 1: plus two ninety, Manhattan six to one. I own a

574
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 1: six to one, Mount plus nine fifty. Maris is twelve

575
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:09,200
Speaker 1: to one as the three seed. Right, Sacred Heart is

576
00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 1: eleven to one. I'll make a case that I'll make

577
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:16,120
Speaker 1: a case for. By the way, I said, this is

578
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 1: all defense, no offense. The exception is Manhattan. They're all offense,

579
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 1: no defense. Sacred Heart. I like their offense too. They're

580
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 1: probably the second best offense in the league. In my opinion.

581
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 1: They can beat Merrimack. I mean they did. Did both

582
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 1: their games are I think by the decided by one point.

583
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:40,200
Speaker 1: I think they beat Fairfield. I don't know. At eleven

584
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:45,880
Speaker 1: to one, I might take a shot on Sacred Heart.

585
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:51,000
Speaker 1: QUINNIPIAX word espet they're like all D no oh, but

586
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:54,879
Speaker 1: they're great rebounders. But they'd like to play fast with

587
00:34:54,920 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 1: all D and no offense and mount their turnover worries. Really,

588
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:06,759
Speaker 1: that's what their turnover issues really concerned me. But makes

589
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:08,960
Speaker 1: sense to this league. What do you see here?

590
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:13,279
Speaker 2: You can't just jumble every team is smushed together. What's

591
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 2: Siena odds?

592
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:17,879
Speaker 1: Sienna sixteen to one.

593
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,640
Speaker 2: Okay, that's not good. So in terms of odds, First

594
00:35:21,640 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 2: of all, Merrimack's the best team in my opinion, I

595
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:28,640
Speaker 2: test I think analytics to say that that zone is insane.

596
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 2: I think teams do a little bit better against it

597
00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:33,640
Speaker 2: the second time, third time they see it, but it

598
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:36,000
Speaker 2: still messes you up and in the tournament setting.

599
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 1: Yeah short, quick short, yeah quick turnaround.

600
00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 2: Short prep you forget what you prep for. It's it's

601
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:45,440
Speaker 2: very weird. And Bud Clark you mentioned, he's fantastic. My

602
00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:47,520
Speaker 2: problem is I watched a couple of the games this year.

603
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:49,360
Speaker 2: They really do melt at the end of the games.

604
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:51,600
Speaker 2: I don't know why. That Sacred Heart game one of

605
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,880
Speaker 2: those you mentioned, I mean they let them back in it.

606
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:57,839
Speaker 2: They're updeuble digits the entire game. I do think they're

607
00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:00,319
Speaker 2: going to win this bracket if I had to choose one.

608
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:02,920
Speaker 2: But from anat's perspective, I'm not that interested in it.

609
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,200
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be kind of chaos. Mayris at

610
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,640
Speaker 2: twelve to one is insane to me. As a three seed.

611
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:10,240
Speaker 2: They do have to get past Merrimack. But you mentioned

612
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:12,359
Speaker 2: Jackson Price coming back. That was a huge reason why

613
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:16,640
Speaker 2: they sucked down the stretch. John Dunn a fantastic defensive coach.

614
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,880
Speaker 2: You mentioned their defense kind of what they ride, and

615
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:22,000
Speaker 2: that's true. They have a ton of continuity from last year.

616
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:23,880
Speaker 2: They have some guys that can shoot, like pass Corelli.

617
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:27,480
Speaker 2: So I think Marri's twelve to one is a solid bet. Sianna,

618
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:29,520
Speaker 2: I mentioned in a flyer as well, because they can score.

619
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:31,719
Speaker 1: Marris Mountain is gonna be like a pick that's like

620
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 1: a toss up game.

621
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:34,880
Speaker 2: Yeah it is, Yeah it is. That's that's tough. And

622
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,040
Speaker 2: then they're gonna be a dog to Merrimack. And then

623
00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:39,959
Speaker 2: Sianna is a flyer just because they can score. Major

624
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,400
Speaker 2: Freeman is a really good player. And I'm not that

625
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:45,960
Speaker 2: scared of Quinny Pac. I think Sianna can beat them.

626
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 2: I think they have beaten them before. Actually this season. Yeah,

627
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,879
Speaker 2: they beat Quentinny Pak. They won at Cornell this year.

628
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:54,520
Speaker 2: They beat Bryant at Bryant Sanna's pulled some really weird

629
00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:55,280
Speaker 2: wins this season.

630
00:36:56,360 --> 00:37:01,360
Speaker 1: Everybody's lost. Everybody in this league like this one makes

631
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:04,720
Speaker 1: no sense to me. I have a yeah, I would agree.

632
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 1: I think Maris at twelve to one is and and

633
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:12,879
Speaker 1: they are getting They just got a really important piece

634
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:20,839
Speaker 1: back in price, and they're gonna play grinders. I mean,

635
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:24,360
Speaker 1: Maris Merrimack would probably be a complete grinder. They split,

636
00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:29,319
Speaker 1: Maris did just lose them ount But did Mars just

637
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:30,520
Speaker 1: lose them out? I get so confused.

638
00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:35,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that was their only matchup. No, they split.

639
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:36,000
Speaker 2: They split.

640
00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 1: Everyone splits. Yeah, that's just what happensness league. So I

641
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 1: don't know if you're I wish I had a really

642
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:45,239
Speaker 1: strong conviction, But these teams are all so close to

643
00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:49,279
Speaker 1: each other in my opinion, I don't know, take a

644
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:51,600
Speaker 1: shot if you like, take a shot, pick a mascot

645
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:56,360
Speaker 1: color you like. I just there's there's just not a

646
00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 1: lot separating these teams. I think Sacred Heart can get

647
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,960
Speaker 1: it done, so I'm rolling with them, But I would agree,

648
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 1: I think Maris at that price level is not a

649
00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:09,799
Speaker 1: bad bet. All right, let's move on to the Big East.

650
00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:15,880
Speaker 1: This obviously will take place in Madison Square Garden first

651
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:22,520
Speaker 1: round on Wednesday, Championship on Saturday. The first round games Providence, Butler, Georgetown,

652
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 1: De Paul, Villanova, Seaton Hall. The teams that get a

653
00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:30,320
Speaker 1: buye Saint John's the one seed, creating the two, Yukon

654
00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:32,879
Speaker 1: the three, and then Xavier Marquette the four or five.

655
00:38:33,200 --> 00:38:36,760
Speaker 1: Saint John's the favorite of plus one forty, creating around

656
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 1: four to one, Connecticut plus four fifty, Marquette six to one,

657
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:44,120
Speaker 1: Xavier ten to one, Villanova twelve to one. And then

658
00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 1: you're getting into all the long shots starting at one

659
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:52,200
Speaker 1: hundred to one or longer. We'll start just in the

660
00:38:52,200 --> 00:38:57,040
Speaker 1: first round of the teams like Seaton Hall, No, can't

661
00:38:57,040 --> 00:39:04,839
Speaker 1: make a run. De Paul, No, can't make a run. Georgetown, No,

662
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:13,040
Speaker 1: not without Sorbit Butler, Providence No. Providence too many injuries

663
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:16,920
Speaker 1: this year. Butler, they don't have the defense. Now. What's interesting, though,

664
00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:20,279
Speaker 1: is Providence and Butler both like Butler, can match up

665
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:23,319
Speaker 1: well decently well with Saint John's because they can hit

666
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:27,120
Speaker 1: outside shots and they're good on the defensive. Glass and Providence,

667
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:30,240
Speaker 1: for whatever reason, like played Saint John's super close both times.

668
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 1: Yeah twice, Yeah, bizarre. Now one of those games that

669
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:37,239
Speaker 1: dor Raheem had hit like nine threes and he's no

670
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:43,239
Speaker 1: longer healthy. But they did play Saint John's close twice,

671
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,040
Speaker 1: and Butler does some things that can give Saint John's

672
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:48,640
Speaker 1: issues the same way that Villanova can, like just has

673
00:39:48,640 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 1: shooters spread you out good on the defensive glass. I

674
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:54,120
Speaker 1: would imagine Saint John's does get through that game. But

675
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:57,400
Speaker 1: in the first rounds, any of those matchups intrigue you

676
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:00,279
Speaker 1: or teams that could make some noise.

677
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:05,239
Speaker 2: Boy, Yeah, not really out of the five or six

678
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:09,160
Speaker 2: or whatever. Villanova. You know, Eric Dixon is arguably the

679
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:12,160
Speaker 2: best player in this league. He's incredible. He's a one

680
00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 2: man wrecking machine Offensively. Problem is, I don't think Villanova

681
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:18,839
Speaker 2: has the depth or frankly, the coaching to make it

682
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:21,880
Speaker 2: through four games in four days. So I don't think

683
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:25,680
Speaker 2: any of these teams are coming out. Maybe the Semis

684
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 2: for Villanova, maybe they get past Yukon, maybe, but otherwise

685
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:31,440
Speaker 2: I'm not interested in any of those teams.

686
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:36,280
Speaker 1: Yeah. The good thing for Villanova is they play slow

687
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:40,480
Speaker 1: and they're a three point variants team, like because they're

688
00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 1: gonna they're very compact, they go under screens and then

689
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:46,480
Speaker 1: they're just gonna and then they're gonna obviously shoot a

690
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,480
Speaker 1: lot of threes and they play slow, which in playing

691
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 1: slow is what you want for a team that needs

692
00:40:51,160 --> 00:40:53,719
Speaker 1: to win four games in four days. So they kind

693
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 1: of profile as a bigger dog. Where you mentioned the coaching,

694
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,759
Speaker 1: the depth, I think I need a better price than

695
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,719
Speaker 1: twelve the one to get there. Although I do think

696
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,400
Speaker 1: that they could beat Yukon. They had Yukon beat basically

697
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:12,680
Speaker 1: in stores, and they basically beat Creighton. I mean, the

698
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:14,680
Speaker 1: problem is if you look at they'll know a lot

699
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:16,880
Speaker 1: of their big wins because they've beat a lot of

700
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 1: these top teams. They all come at home and they

701
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:24,840
Speaker 1: shoot forty two from three at home thirty five away

702
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 1: from home. It's a major difference for them. Vill nev

703
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:31,239
Speaker 1: will be the only one I would even consider just

704
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:36,560
Speaker 1: because of their profile and their three point upside. Let's

705
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 1: move up to the top of the bracket. Though Saint

706
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 1: John's plus one forty, I don't see any value in

707
00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:47,279
Speaker 1: that number to me. They do get to play in

708
00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:50,960
Speaker 1: the garden, which is definitely an advantage. Xavier Marquette is interesting.

709
00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:54,600
Speaker 1: Xavier is ten to one, Marquette is six to one.

710
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:58,439
Speaker 1: I feel like these teams are flipped in what people

711
00:41:58,520 --> 00:42:02,279
Speaker 1: think they are. I mean, if you go back, I mean,

712
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:07,080
Speaker 1: just go back to for what. Since February first, Savier

713
00:42:07,080 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 1: has been the best team in the league, better than

714
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:15,560
Speaker 1: Saint John's for Dorvick since January first, much better than Marquette.

715
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,800
Speaker 1: Their defense has been much better over the past two months.

716
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:26,359
Speaker 1: Marquette's last good win was January third, against a good

717
00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:29,719
Speaker 1: tournament team, and it's also worth noting that overtime game

718
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:34,400
Speaker 1: Cam Jones got a little banged up, Ross got a

719
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:35,920
Speaker 1: little banged up. I don't know if there's going to

720
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:38,880
Speaker 1: be any lingering issues, but they're so relyant on Jones,

721
00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:44,080
Speaker 1: like to win three games in three days. I just

722
00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:45,799
Speaker 1: don't trust them. By the way, they don't really match

723
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:47,920
Speaker 1: up well with Saint John's. We've seen that, and that

724
00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:51,520
Speaker 1: was a shorthanded Saint John's team that was like kind

725
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:53,719
Speaker 1: of playing some dep guys and they still couldn't get

726
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:57,360
Speaker 1: it done at home. I don't know. I mean, is

727
00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 1: Zaider not getting enough respect here? They had Saint John's

728
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:04,719
Speaker 1: on the ropes on the road, and they've been very

729
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:08,560
Speaker 1: good the second time around against teams this year under

730
00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:13,200
Speaker 1: Miller Xavier, I mean Markettet six to one. No, thanks. No.

731
00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 1: Xavier at ten to one intrigues me a bit.

732
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:18,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, very intriguing.

733
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:18,799
Speaker 1: I agree.

734
00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:24,360
Speaker 2: Saint John's great team, not invincible. Las Nova ot Marquette Xavier.

735
00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:27,440
Speaker 2: So seven games they've won in the Big East this

736
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:29,920
Speaker 2: year by six points or less, plus two more in overtime.

737
00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:33,319
Speaker 2: Teams are playing them close, they're coming out ahead, but

738
00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 2: that offense can really stagnate, especially if you take care

739
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:38,719
Speaker 2: of the glass. Hard to do against Saint John's, but

740
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:42,560
Speaker 2: if you do, they're absolutely beatable. Settle for mid range.

741
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 2: It's kind of Kadari Richmond's thing. R J. Lewis just foul.

742
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:47,280
Speaker 2: Merchant takes the ball to basket as hard as you can.

743
00:43:47,640 --> 00:43:50,520
Speaker 2: And yeah, Zavier's been awesome, seven straight wins. They need

744
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:52,680
Speaker 2: to beat Marquette. If they don't beat Marquette, they're probably

745
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 2: not in the NCIBEY Tournament. If they beat Marquette, high high,

746
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:58,239
Speaker 2: high chance they're in the Ncibey Tournament. It's the second

747
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:00,839
Speaker 2: Q one win for them, and that's kind of what's

748
00:44:00,920 --> 00:44:03,640
Speaker 2: lacking on the resume right now. So I think Xavier

749
00:44:03,680 --> 00:44:06,160
Speaker 2: ten to one is the best bet on this side

750
00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:09,400
Speaker 2: of the bracket. I'd probably call them tied with spoiler

751
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:11,600
Speaker 2: alert Yukon at five to one, kind of the two

752
00:44:11,640 --> 00:44:14,880
Speaker 2: I like the best in this tournament setting. But Xavier

753
00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 2: absolutely a dark horse to win this league.

754
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, Xavier's like they're also just like so erratic and

755
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:24,080
Speaker 1: frenetic that they the way that they play, which I

756
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,080
Speaker 1: kind of I kind of like. Now they don't have

757
00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:28,640
Speaker 1: a ton of depth and they're going to the defensive glass,

758
00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:33,800
Speaker 1: which is important against Saint John's, and they have ball handlers.

759
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:37,680
Speaker 1: Now they can't really defend at the rim. Their depth

760
00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 1: concerns me a little bit for making this run. But

761
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:47,080
Speaker 1: I feel like right now Xavier is the better team

762
00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:51,279
Speaker 1: than Marquette, and that's shown for two straight months, and

763
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:54,080
Speaker 1: you're getting ten to one instead of six to one.

764
00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:57,080
Speaker 1: I think that Xavier market game is like a coin flip.

765
00:44:57,719 --> 00:44:58,320
Speaker 2: I agree.

766
00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:04,799
Speaker 1: Now on the bottom half, you mentioned Yukon, so you

767
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:08,640
Speaker 1: have Creighton there Creighton. Now, the thing with Creighton is

768
00:45:08,640 --> 00:45:11,320
Speaker 1: they have any They presumably have an easier matchup against

769
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:15,440
Speaker 1: Georgetown or DePaul than Yukon against Villanova, just because of

770
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:18,160
Speaker 1: the way that Villanova plays. But it's just is this

771
00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 1: just a talent thing? And early in March. I mean

772
00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 1: all they do is cover. It's March again. The Yukon

773
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:29,719
Speaker 1: defense is still an issue. They have a turnover problem,

774
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:33,800
Speaker 1: like on both ends of the floor. But is this

775
00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:37,200
Speaker 1: just the talent and Hurley play on the number.

776
00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, pretty much. It's the coaching staff. I don't think

777
00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:42,279
Speaker 2: there's a better staff in the country and on a

778
00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:46,280
Speaker 2: short turnaround in terms of scouting, in terms of picking

779
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:50,319
Speaker 2: apart opposing teams their game plans, they proved that last

780
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:52,480
Speaker 2: two years in the tournament. The last two teams were

781
00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 2: much more talented and NBA level players at least ready

782
00:45:56,080 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 2: right now. But they've shown a bit down the stream.

783
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:01,680
Speaker 2: I know they lost seat in Hall, but the win

784
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:05,080
Speaker 2: against you know, Marquette was impressive. Seaton Hall thirty one, Okay,

785
00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:08,200
Speaker 2: they got the revenge. I think they're just as good

786
00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:11,480
Speaker 2: as talent wise any team in this league, and with

787
00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:13,440
Speaker 2: the coaching staffing that puts them over the edge at

788
00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 2: five to one. I think they can beat Creighton, and

789
00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:18,680
Speaker 2: I think I think they can give Saint John's or

790
00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:22,200
Speaker 2: Xavier if Xavier upset Saint John's a good game in

791
00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:22,880
Speaker 2: the finals.

792
00:46:23,320 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 1: So if you're filling this out or for contest, which

793
00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 1: we are in. Who are you going to pick? I

794
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:32,320
Speaker 1: think I'm gonna pick Xavier.

795
00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:34,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wish they were the five get a little

796
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:35,480
Speaker 2: more points in the goat pool.

797
00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:35,759
Speaker 1: Yeah.

798
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:40,200
Speaker 2: True, I'm going to Yukon, But I do like Xavier

799
00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:42,920
Speaker 2: to make it to the championship and make the tournament

800
00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:43,319
Speaker 2: as well.

801
00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:45,480
Speaker 1: They'll be fun in the tournament. I hope they do

802
00:46:45,520 --> 00:46:45,839
Speaker 1: make it.

803
00:46:46,560 --> 00:46:49,520
Speaker 2: Love Ryan Conwell, Indiana State. He deserves it.

804
00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:52,440
Speaker 1: March is the best month of the year, not just

805
00:46:52,520 --> 00:46:56,160
Speaker 1: for sports, but also forgetting the best deal on Action Pro.

806
00:46:56,520 --> 00:46:58,759
Speaker 1: You can get Action Pro for just over five dollars

807
00:46:58,800 --> 00:47:02,840
Speaker 1: a month for the entire year. End for the NCAA tournament,

808
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 1: You'll get Sean Krenner's bracket simulations, Nick Giffen's player props,

809
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:11,759
Speaker 1: which are an auto must follow and take care my

810
00:47:11,880 --> 00:47:14,200
Speaker 1: picks thirty minutes before they go out to everyone else.

811
00:47:14,520 --> 00:47:18,600
Speaker 1: Go to actionetwork dot Com slash March now to get

812
00:47:18,640 --> 00:47:25,480
Speaker 1: on board. Let's move on to the Whack. The Whack

813
00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:30,960
Speaker 1: is a crazy league there this tournament. There will be

814
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,600
Speaker 1: all nine teams make it. There's a first round game

815
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 1: between Southern Utah and Utah Tech. The one seed is

816
00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:42,279
Speaker 1: Utah Valley. Two seed is Grand Canyon. They'll play the

817
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:46,000
Speaker 1: seven ut Arlington on These quarterfinal games are on Wednesday

818
00:47:46,000 --> 00:47:47,760
Speaker 1: and Thursday. Utah Valley will take on the winner, obviously

819
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:50,200
Speaker 1: Southern Utah Utah Tech. The four or five matchup is

820
00:47:50,280 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 1: Abiline Christian Seattle. The three six is cal Baptist Tarloton.

821
00:47:56,760 --> 00:48:02,080
Speaker 1: So this league is pretty wild. Canyon, great defense, They're

822
00:48:02,120 --> 00:48:04,799
Speaker 1: want to play fast, they want to attack the rim relentlessly.

823
00:48:05,600 --> 00:48:07,520
Speaker 1: My question for you that just to start things off,

824
00:48:07,520 --> 00:48:09,520
Speaker 1: Green Canyon is the favorite at plus one point thirty

825
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:13,880
Speaker 1: to win this one time. Grant Foster, he matters. Is

826
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 1: he going to play?

827
00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:18,080
Speaker 2: And I'm seeing like word is he's expected to play

828
00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:21,760
Speaker 2: for the tournament. Whether that's the case or not, not sure,

829
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:23,879
Speaker 2: but yeah, they could use him. I think they could

830
00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:27,799
Speaker 2: still win this thing without him, but obviously a very

831
00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 2: very big factor. He's the best player in this conference

832
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:30,520
Speaker 2: by mile.

833
00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:32,960
Speaker 1: Disrespect to Freddie Hicks.

834
00:48:33,080 --> 00:48:37,239
Speaker 2: No offensive Freddy, Yeah. Freddy Hicks like Arlow Games.

835
00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:41,480
Speaker 1: Is like if you look at Tar Tarlton, I think

836
00:48:41,640 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 1: might have some value against the spread. Now I don't

837
00:48:45,640 --> 00:48:47,759
Speaker 1: know if I really trust them away from home. That's

838
00:48:47,800 --> 00:48:48,400
Speaker 1: what scares me.

839
00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:53,080
Speaker 2: Freddie Hicks's what's that if Freddy Hicks plays, Yeah, yeah,

840
00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:54,560
Speaker 2: maybe if Hick.

841
00:48:54,560 --> 00:49:00,120
Speaker 1: When Hicks and Grimes are either one of them at

842
00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:03,560
Speaker 1: least is in there, they're a respectable team. Like because

843
00:49:04,080 --> 00:49:10,480
Speaker 1: Grimes the Baylor transfer, we're pretty talented kid for Wax standards, especially,

844
00:49:10,719 --> 00:49:13,480
Speaker 1: he missed the first I don't know, ten twelve games.

845
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:20,680
Speaker 1: And Freddy Hicks, who's a difference maker, he missed. I

846
00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:24,200
Speaker 1: mean he missed the first like twenty games and then

847
00:49:24,200 --> 00:49:27,719
Speaker 1: played three, then missed five, played two, then missed one,

848
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:32,160
Speaker 1: then played forty minutes the other night against Utah Valley.

849
00:49:32,400 --> 00:49:35,120
Speaker 1: He's super important. But if you break out their numbers,

850
00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:37,879
Speaker 1: like you, if you look at the games where neither

851
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 1: of them played, or even just or neither of them played,

852
00:49:41,560 --> 00:49:44,440
Speaker 1: they're like a bottom three offense in the country.

853
00:49:45,000 --> 00:49:45,479
Speaker 2: So bad.

854
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:50,200
Speaker 1: With both of them in there, they're pretty dangerous. Now,

855
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 1: Charlton is a chaos team, complete chaos, and so is

856
00:49:57,360 --> 00:50:01,760
Speaker 1: an happily and Christian. You want. Their offense is ugly,

857
00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:05,680
Speaker 1: It's just it's gonna be inefficient. They want to get

858
00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 1: to the line. They're gonna fil a ton, They're gonna

859
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:09,759
Speaker 1: turn it over a ton, They're going to force a

860
00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:14,920
Speaker 1: ton of turnovers. Tarleton and Abiline are chaos teams, which

861
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 1: is why I think that they're better at home, like

862
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:20,279
Speaker 1: they thrive off of their home crowds. Tarlton is an

863
00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:23,920
Speaker 1: underrated home court advantage. Tarleton I think should have beat

864
00:50:24,000 --> 00:50:26,879
Speaker 1: Utah Valley the other day if all their players didn't

865
00:50:26,880 --> 00:50:30,160
Speaker 1: fill out, which is a problem sometimes in their games.

866
00:50:32,400 --> 00:50:36,000
Speaker 1: So Tarleton might have some value in the market from it.

867
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:38,319
Speaker 1: Against the spread number, I don't know if I can

868
00:50:38,320 --> 00:50:42,239
Speaker 1: get there twenty two to one, but I do love

869
00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:45,520
Speaker 1: me some Freddie Hicks. They'll start off against cal Baptist.

870
00:50:46,400 --> 00:50:50,239
Speaker 1: Tom Daniels is back, very good point guard. Good news

871
00:50:50,239 --> 00:50:52,920
Speaker 1: for cal Baptist. Is will be handling the ball line.

872
00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:55,640
Speaker 1: You need to take care of the ball against Tarleton,

873
00:50:56,680 --> 00:50:59,000
Speaker 1: and then Grand Canyon will take on UT Arlington. Ut

874
00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:05,280
Speaker 1: Arlington is the team in this league that decent offense,

875
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:07,440
Speaker 1: although they turned it over too many times, but really

876
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:14,759
Speaker 1: really bad defense. My question for you Grand Canyon, maybe

877
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:16,960
Speaker 1: you have some incid into this, maybe you don't. Why

878
00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:19,239
Speaker 1: is Grand Canyon's offense so much worse than last year?

879
00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:24,040
Speaker 1: So is their offense last year was seventy fourth overall.

880
00:51:24,200 --> 00:51:26,279
Speaker 1: Just the deficiency this year it's two hundred and third

881
00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:30,160
Speaker 1: and they got They brought in Jacoby Colesh has been

882
00:51:30,200 --> 00:51:35,799
Speaker 1: great for them and the TCU transfer. Most of their

883
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,000
Speaker 1: team is pretty much the same.

884
00:51:38,640 --> 00:51:40,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, is it.

885
00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:45,480
Speaker 1: Was mcloffin that important and is shooting for spacing? Is

886
00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:49,600
Speaker 1: that like what was so different? Because their offense is

887
00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:52,799
Speaker 1: nowhere close to was potent as it was last year.

888
00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:53,680
Speaker 1: Did have any thoughts there?

889
00:51:53,960 --> 00:51:57,520
Speaker 2: I think McLoughlin was huge. I think also everyone's just

890
00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:00,799
Speaker 2: shooting horribly this season compared to their normal marks. I mean,

891
00:52:00,840 --> 00:52:04,479
Speaker 2: grand Foster is still again the best player in this league,

892
00:52:04,560 --> 00:52:07,919
Speaker 2: but he is not even close to it was last year.

893
00:52:08,160 --> 00:52:12,040
Speaker 2: His three point percentage twenty one percent this year. Cole's

894
00:52:12,080 --> 00:52:14,440
Speaker 2: not shooting well from three this year, way below his

895
00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:19,960
Speaker 2: season his career average. Ray Harrison, He's he's been actually

896
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:23,000
Speaker 2: pretty good. I can't can't fall Ray Harrison. But grand

897
00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:26,040
Speaker 2: Foster being kind of mortal has really hurt them. I

898
00:52:26,040 --> 00:52:29,200
Speaker 2: think he's been lingering injuries has been bothering him throughout

899
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:33,680
Speaker 2: the year. But yeah, in conference play, they've been better offensively.

900
00:52:33,760 --> 00:52:36,640
Speaker 2: Their second in the league in offense, and that has

901
00:52:36,719 --> 00:52:39,239
Speaker 2: lots to do with offensive rebounding and simply being more

902
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:43,000
Speaker 2: athletic and bigger than everybody else. But yeah, the shooting

903
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,879
Speaker 2: is very down, especially the three point shooting.

904
00:52:46,239 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 1: Well, and also has a lot to do with some

905
00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:50,600
Speaker 1: of the other offenses in this league too.

906
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:53,520
Speaker 2: It's a very inefficient gross league.

907
00:52:54,000 --> 00:53:00,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Abilene in Tarletan in Southern Utah, Ta Tech for

908
00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:06,880
Speaker 1: that matter, have really really ugly, ugly offenses. You know,

909
00:53:08,440 --> 00:53:10,960
Speaker 1: do you know what you peak? Piques my interest a bit.

910
00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:13,160
Speaker 1: I'm curious to your thoughts on this because Utah Valley.

911
00:53:14,200 --> 00:53:17,879
Speaker 1: I am not sold on Utah Valley either at all.

912
00:53:18,640 --> 00:53:21,160
Speaker 1: It's I get it. They have Carter Welling, they have

913
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:25,200
Speaker 1: the trees, they have a lot of size. Dom Nelson's

914
00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:29,719
Speaker 1: a good player, But this is a team they were.

915
00:53:29,840 --> 00:53:34,320
Speaker 1: They were home home merchants all year, three hundred and

916
00:53:34,360 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 1: fortieth away from home they got They won so many

917
00:53:38,200 --> 00:53:42,600
Speaker 1: games away from home by like one, two or an overtime.

918
00:53:44,080 --> 00:53:48,360
Speaker 1: I don't trust them. They're not that athletic. If you

919
00:53:48,520 --> 00:53:50,520
Speaker 1: a lot of people probably have never watched Utah Valley

920
00:53:50,520 --> 00:53:53,160
Speaker 1: in the way picture what you think in Utah Valley

921
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:56,279
Speaker 1: team would look like. That's what they look like. That's

922
00:53:56,320 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 1: exactly what they look like. So yeah, I don't trust

923
00:54:02,680 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 1: I don't trust Utah Valley and the team I kind

924
00:54:07,120 --> 00:54:15,279
Speaker 1: of want to attack them with is Seattle. Now Seattle's

925
00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:19,719
Speaker 1: been do I trust their offense, that's the question. While

926
00:54:19,840 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 1: Utah Valley's been super lucky, Seattle's been really unlucky. I

927
00:54:25,160 --> 00:54:27,920
Speaker 1: think they're number one and or the unluckiest team per

928
00:54:28,000 --> 00:54:31,280
Speaker 1: KEMPOM this year. They've also a ton of close games.

929
00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:33,800
Speaker 1: The other good thing is that they always tend to

930
00:54:33,800 --> 00:54:37,560
Speaker 1: play Grand Canyon close. If that's the the championship matchup,

931
00:54:37,600 --> 00:54:40,719
Speaker 1: will obviously be an underdog in that. But I don't

932
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:44,800
Speaker 1: have much difference between Utah Valley and Seattle. I basically

933
00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:51,120
Speaker 1: have empowered similarly. Like if you look since since February first,

934
00:54:51,200 --> 00:54:55,000
Speaker 1: for what it's worth, Grand Canyon is ninety eighth, Utah

935
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:58,759
Speaker 1: Valley is one hundred, Seattle's one hundred and eleven in

936
00:54:58,800 --> 00:55:04,600
Speaker 1: the country. They'll start off with Abilene Christian, who can

937
00:55:04,640 --> 00:55:11,800
Speaker 1: be annoying to play, but they played twice this year.

938
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:17,080
Speaker 1: Seattle got blown out at Abilene Christian, but they shot

939
00:55:17,160 --> 00:55:19,160
Speaker 1: seventeen of thirty three from the line and two of

940
00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:28,279
Speaker 1: seventeen from three, and then in the meeting at home

941
00:55:28,320 --> 00:55:31,520
Speaker 1: they won by two, but again they only shot four

942
00:55:31,520 --> 00:55:34,160
Speaker 1: of twenty from three twenty of twenty nine. From the

943
00:55:34,200 --> 00:55:37,399
Speaker 1: line I think they get by Abilien Christian, I don't

944
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:43,960
Speaker 1: trust away from home. They're plus five hundred. I was

945
00:55:44,000 --> 00:55:48,359
Speaker 1: hoping for a little bit more. But their D is

946
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:53,160
Speaker 1: super lee and I believe in their D. It's their

947
00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:56,399
Speaker 1: offense that but they're pretty good from like a shot

948
00:55:56,480 --> 00:55:59,120
Speaker 1: volume perspective that they're not going to turn it over.

949
00:56:00,760 --> 00:56:03,040
Speaker 1: They'll force tone overs. They're pretty good in the glass,

950
00:56:04,480 --> 00:56:07,279
Speaker 1: and they're going to grind games down and they're going

951
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:09,239
Speaker 1: to be in like every game like they'll be in.

952
00:56:09,880 --> 00:56:13,719
Speaker 1: So I don't know, I might look at Seattle. I'm

953
00:56:13,760 --> 00:56:15,960
Speaker 1: gonna shop around, but the first number I saw was

954
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:19,800
Speaker 1: five to one because I just don't believe in Utah Valley.

955
00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:22,960
Speaker 1: So then Utah by the way injuries all year. Offense

956
00:56:23,040 --> 00:56:25,560
Speaker 1: is horrendous. They did sweep Utah Tech. They play in

957
00:56:25,600 --> 00:56:29,040
Speaker 1: the first game. That's to me, that's a coin flip game.

958
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:32,800
Speaker 1: But what are you seeing in the top half?

959
00:56:33,719 --> 00:56:36,440
Speaker 2: Yeah for that game. Yeah, Utah Tech is probably one

960
00:56:36,480 --> 00:56:38,920
Speaker 2: of the least talented teams in the country, So I

961
00:56:38,920 --> 00:56:43,000
Speaker 2: wouldn't look towards Utah Tech. Tennessee Rainwater, though, is their

962
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:45,640
Speaker 2: best player or one of their best players. Cool name

963
00:56:45,880 --> 00:56:49,320
Speaker 2: for that sort of thing. Uh yeah, I do like Seattle.

964
00:56:50,560 --> 00:56:53,879
Speaker 2: Really physical team, really good coach Chris Victor. I think

965
00:56:53,880 --> 00:56:57,400
Speaker 2: either them or abling Christian could beat Utah Valley. Probably

966
00:56:57,600 --> 00:57:00,600
Speaker 2: feel more comfortab about Seattle just because they can rebound

967
00:57:00,640 --> 00:57:04,879
Speaker 2: and matchup physically with Utah Valley. Seattle has better athletes too.

968
00:57:06,320 --> 00:57:08,520
Speaker 2: Their offense is not great. They have to get to

969
00:57:08,520 --> 00:57:11,080
Speaker 2: the line to score, so that's the one concern. Like

970
00:57:11,120 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 2: you mentioned, Ablane hasn't playing, I think they.

971
00:57:13,080 --> 00:57:15,399
Speaker 1: Would start making a little more threes, Like they're got

972
00:57:15,440 --> 00:57:18,760
Speaker 1: twenty nine percent in league play. Like They're not a

973
00:57:18,760 --> 00:57:22,560
Speaker 1: good shooting team by any stretch of the imagination, but

974
00:57:22,760 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 1: like maybe some a little bit of regression hits for them.

975
00:57:27,240 --> 00:57:29,120
Speaker 2: Yeah. In that Aveline game, by the way, the one

976
00:57:29,160 --> 00:57:31,360
Speaker 2: they got killed Abilene was nineteen for twenty three from

977
00:57:31,400 --> 00:57:33,040
Speaker 2: the free throw line, which is almost as big of

978
00:57:33,040 --> 00:57:36,040
Speaker 2: an outlier as Seattle missing half their free throws because

979
00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:39,200
Speaker 2: they're not a good shooting team whatsoever. But I have

980
00:57:39,280 --> 00:57:41,240
Speaker 2: been kind of impressed with Abilene. I mean, they just

981
00:57:41,480 --> 00:57:43,760
Speaker 2: create chaos. The number one team in the country in

982
00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:46,760
Speaker 2: turn of a rate, Seattle handles the ball really well.

983
00:57:47,240 --> 00:57:49,000
Speaker 2: I think they're the best base ball handling team in

984
00:57:49,040 --> 00:57:53,080
Speaker 2: the conference, so that's obviously a huge advantage. Utah Valley

985
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:57,760
Speaker 2: a decent ball handling team, I would say solid, So again, Seattle,

986
00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:00,600
Speaker 2: I prefer them to match up with Utah Valley. I

987
00:58:00,640 --> 00:58:02,240
Speaker 2: do think either one of those teams will come out

988
00:58:02,280 --> 00:58:04,480
Speaker 2: ahead because I agree with you about Utah Valley's home

989
00:58:05,000 --> 00:58:08,280
Speaker 2: merchant style. I think seven and eleven against the spread

990
00:58:08,280 --> 00:58:13,720
Speaker 2: away from orm Utah. So yeah, I like Seattle coming

991
00:58:13,720 --> 00:58:14,600
Speaker 2: out of the top half.

992
00:58:14,680 --> 00:58:18,600
Speaker 1: We're on the same page there for those who are

993
00:58:18,200 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 1: to Utah Tech formerly Dixie State. Yeah, so yeah, I'm

994
00:58:25,080 --> 00:58:29,480
Speaker 1: rolling with I'm rolling with Seattle on their defense and

995
00:58:29,640 --> 00:58:34,360
Speaker 1: selling Utah Valley. We'll see if Grant Foster plays for

996
00:58:34,560 --> 00:58:39,920
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. I think that they'll beat Arlington, Yeah, and

997
00:58:40,040 --> 00:58:44,480
Speaker 1: they should. Cal Batist could give them some issues, but

998
00:58:44,520 --> 00:58:45,800
Speaker 1: they should get to the finals.

999
00:58:46,080 --> 00:58:49,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, especially with Don Daniels back cal Baptists. He's a

1000
00:58:49,720 --> 00:58:52,080
Speaker 2: special player. Yeah. U t Arlingson is the team I've

1001
00:58:52,240 --> 00:58:54,720
Speaker 2: tried to believe in all season. I thought they'd been

1002
00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:58,320
Speaker 2: really talented, and they just can't beat good teams. I

1003
00:58:58,320 --> 00:59:01,320
Speaker 2: don't think they beat it. Theybe Seattle this year in

1004
00:59:01,360 --> 00:59:03,920
Speaker 2: cal Baptist once, I guess, but every other team they

1005
00:59:04,000 --> 00:59:07,760
Speaker 2: just failed. They've lost by margin a few times. Can't

1006
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:08,280
Speaker 2: trust them.

1007
00:59:08,400 --> 00:59:10,560
Speaker 1: All Right, let's do a quick recap. We just talked

1008
00:59:10,560 --> 00:59:15,200
Speaker 1: about the whack one sentence each you can say, like

1009
00:59:15,280 --> 00:59:16,880
Speaker 1: you think this team is gonna win and this team

1010
00:59:16,960 --> 00:59:18,560
Speaker 1: is value or wherever you want to go with it.

1011
00:59:19,840 --> 00:59:26,200
Speaker 1: The Mattac Chaos who knows my gut was saying, take

1012
00:59:26,240 --> 00:59:29,360
Speaker 1: a flyer and sacred Heart. These teams are so similar.

1013
00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:32,920
Speaker 1: Anyone can beat anybody, expect the unexpected. Hear.

1014
00:59:33,360 --> 00:59:35,400
Speaker 2: Yeah. I think Merrimack wins it. Hope they win it

1015
00:59:35,480 --> 00:59:38,520
Speaker 2: because they deserve to make a tournament, especially after that

1016
00:59:38,560 --> 00:59:41,960
Speaker 2: one year with Fairley Dickinson. But I do think a

1017
00:59:42,000 --> 00:59:44,520
Speaker 2: flyer is a good call in this conference. In Maris

1018
00:59:44,560 --> 00:59:46,040
Speaker 2: at twelve to one would be my pick.

1019
00:59:46,800 --> 00:59:48,560
Speaker 1: I wouldn't mind Merrimac getting in either, because I like

1020
00:59:48,560 --> 00:59:53,360
Speaker 1: teams that have unique styles. When they get tournament.

1021
00:59:52,840 --> 00:59:55,200
Speaker 2: One seed, a scare for a second.

1022
00:59:55,520 --> 00:59:58,000
Speaker 1: And they are the highest They played the zone at

1023
00:59:58,000 --> 01:00:01,680
Speaker 1: the highest rate in the countin almost exclusive Big twelve.

1024
01:00:01,800 --> 01:00:05,760
Speaker 1: I think we're in lockstat uh. Texas Tech is the

1025
01:00:05,760 --> 01:00:07,560
Speaker 1: future of the player and you also like a little

1026
01:00:07,760 --> 01:00:11,520
Speaker 1: a little something on Kansas. Our prediction is Texas Tech

1027
01:00:12,080 --> 01:00:16,240
Speaker 1: over Houston. And then in the Big East, you like

1028
01:00:16,280 --> 01:00:18,680
Speaker 1: a little on Yukon, and then we both agree that

1029
01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:19,800
Speaker 1: Xavier is worth a look.

1030
01:00:20,440 --> 01:00:20,760
Speaker 2: Agreed.

1031
01:00:21,040 --> 01:00:25,400
Speaker 1: Yep, all right, good stuff. That'll do it for us.

1032
01:00:26,600 --> 01:00:29,520
Speaker 1: Jim and I are coming up later tonight. We will

1033
01:00:29,560 --> 01:00:34,800
Speaker 1: be doing the SEC. The SEC. It was like the

1034
01:00:35,400 --> 01:00:37,840
Speaker 1: every single team in that how many teams. I guess

1035
01:00:37,880 --> 01:00:40,640
Speaker 1: he's gonna get fourteen teams in. I guess Texas is

1036
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:44,040
Speaker 1: probably out now. Yeah, it's insane how many. It's how

1037
01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:47,000
Speaker 1: many bubble teams keep winning and that they usually lose.

1038
01:00:48,520 --> 01:00:51,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's really hard to hear to pick the bracket.

1039
01:00:51,240 --> 01:00:54,800
Speaker 1: Jim and are we doing UCSD's league. That's what I

1040
01:00:54,840 --> 01:00:58,440
Speaker 1: call it now, Conference USA, the A ten and then

1041
01:00:58,480 --> 01:01:01,480
Speaker 1: the SEC. But thanks, thank Kai for joining me. By

1042
01:01:01,480 --> 01:01:03,720
Speaker 1: the way, Elite eight Saturday, I then you'll be there

1043
01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:07,600
Speaker 1: in Chicago. Put a link in the description RSVP. It's free.

1044
01:01:08,040 --> 01:01:09,840
Speaker 1: We'll have a preview live for you for the early

1045
01:01:09,920 --> 01:01:13,360
Speaker 1: d eight games that day. Drinks, watch the game, sweat together.

1046
01:01:13,720 --> 01:01:15,120
Speaker 1: Hope to see some of you guys there if you're

1047
01:01:15,120 --> 01:01:18,200
Speaker 1: in the Chicago area. But thanks to our producing the

1048
01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:19,960
Speaker 1: back end. Thanks most pointanly to all of you for

1049
01:01:20,000 --> 01:01:22,520
Speaker 1: tuning in. Make sure you subscribing Scrap Subscribe, Tell friend

1050
01:01:22,520 --> 01:01:24,960
Speaker 1: Telle enemy you a five star review really helps us out.

1051
01:01:25,400 --> 01:01:29,360
Speaker 1: Enjoy the madness, let's cash some futures. Enjoy the whatever

1052
01:01:29,440 --> 01:01:31,680
Speaker 1: the mac is going to be. Catch you off for

1053
01:01:32,240 --> 01:01:47,920
Speaker 1: part seven with Jim and nine next year. So Action

1054
01:01:48,080 --> 01:01:52,520
Speaker 1: Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone

1055
01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:55,520
Speaker 1: you care about has a gambling problem, help is available

1056
01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:58,160
Speaker 1: twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler