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Speaker 1: What's up, boys and girls. How are you welcome into

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Speaker 1: the Friday morning edition of the Daily Jus Podcast. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Parolch. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt on Bettingpros dot com, and it's

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet mgm okay. So

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Speaker 1: at the time of tape we went three and oh

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Speaker 1: last night, we are trending in the wrong direction for

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Speaker 1: the under for Wyoming and Colorado States thanks to fourteen

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Speaker 1: points very quickly in that game. It really slowed down,

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Speaker 1: but that initial burst early by CSU kind of screwed us.

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Speaker 1: So I think I'm going to lose that one for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit. So that happens. We were up

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Speaker 1: one point one unit yesterday. We got the mbs over

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Speaker 1: receptions on one pass play that was beautiful for a

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Speaker 1: touchdown fifty four yards boom Over on his reception on

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Speaker 1: his yardage total. We got the game teaser. That's why

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Speaker 1: we teased it because everybody was on the under and

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Speaker 1: that last second garbage touchdown for the forty nine ers

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Speaker 1: goes over for everyone who didn't tease it. We teased

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Speaker 1: it minus one for the Green Bay Packers, but also

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Speaker 1: we got ourselves the under fifty four and a half

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Speaker 1: thanks to that, and then we had Nevada in a laugher,

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Speaker 1: easy victory for Nevada at home up against a team

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Speaker 1: that Utustate's pretty bad. I mean they're pretty bad. So

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Speaker 1: at worst we went three and one. We might go

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Speaker 1: four and oh, but it would take a minor miracle.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take I'm gonna say we went three

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Speaker 1: and one. I've got something I got to do for

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Speaker 1: my wife here before I go to bed, so I

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Speaker 1: had to tape this a little bit earlier than normal.

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Speaker 1: It's nine o'clock Pacific time here on Thursday night as

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Speaker 1: I taped this podcast. So we've got two games going

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Speaker 1: on here tonight on a Friday night that I like,

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Speaker 1: three games in total in college football. We will get

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Speaker 1: rolling on Saturday morning with a lot of college football plays,

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Speaker 1: but a lot of fun to have Thursday college football,

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Speaker 1: Friday college football, in Saturday college football, because the games

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Speaker 1: on Saturday. We've already lost six games on Saturday for

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Speaker 1: COVID nineteen. So it's good that we can break up

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Speaker 1: these games a little bit. It's good that we can,

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Speaker 1: you know, have some standalone games like the MAC on

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Speaker 1: Wednesday and have a chance to kind of focus in

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Speaker 1: on some conferences and these games specifically being played, you know,

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Speaker 1: not all on Saturday, so because the pickings on Saturday

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Speaker 1: may not be as good as you normally would like

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Speaker 1: given to all the COVID nineteen issues, So good to

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Speaker 1: have it here on a Friday to have a couple

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Speaker 1: of games three in total. Got two plays for you

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Speaker 1: that I want to talk about. But before we do that,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the offer from bet MGM. They're going

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Speaker 1: to give you one hundred dollars in free bets, boys

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Speaker 1: West Virginia, Indiana, New Jersey, Tennessee one dollar on any

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Speaker 1: game on Sunday one dollar in the NFL money line.

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Speaker 1: Bet either team in that game is a touchdown and

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Speaker 1: one years older and physically located in Colorado, India and

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one one hundred five to two to

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Speaker 1: gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia or one hundred

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Speaker 1: and nine with it in Indiana. Okay, couple of things

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Speaker 1: to plug here before we get to the picks. First,

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris and I our Betting Pros NFL podcast is out.

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Speaker 1: Go find it, Go search for it on iTunes, Go

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Speaker 1: find on Betting Pros and listen to all our picks

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Speaker 1: for this weekend for the Draft Kings Pro Football Pick

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Speaker 1: Them contest, and we break down every game against the spread,

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Speaker 1: all our thoughts. So if you ever want to know

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Speaker 1: what I'm thinking about for Sunday ahead and maybe you

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Speaker 1: get a better line, it's a great podcast. We also

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Speaker 1: put the video up on the YouTube channel for Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros so you can find Dan, Harrison and I there

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Speaker 1: talking for forty five minutes every week. We tape it

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Speaker 1: on Thursdays. It drops on Friday morning and you guys

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Speaker 1: can watch it. We break down all the games in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. There's a couple of games I like a

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Speaker 1: lot for this coming weekend. Looking forward to seeing some

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Speaker 1: line movements and some things I'm gonna like for teaser

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Speaker 1: wagers and whatnot. So I have not placed the parol

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Speaker 1: to team teaser yet. We're five and three on those,

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Speaker 1: but I've not placed it because I'm waiting for some

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Speaker 1: line movement that I think is gonna come in particular

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Speaker 1: here in Vegas. So we're gonna watch that a little bit.

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Speaker 1: But definitely check out that podcast if you've not checked

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Speaker 1: that podcast yet. Also, have you gone to Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com s last chat yet for the Discord channel. It's

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Speaker 1: a lot of fun, guys. We're watching games together, you

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Speaker 1: guys who are doing a really cool saying because we

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Speaker 1: kind of just like lit the fire and then you

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Speaker 1: guys have turned it into a bonfire and you've taken

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Speaker 1: it and you run with it and there's just a

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Speaker 1: ton of people on there and it's really a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun. So check it out for sure. Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash chat to get into our Discord channel. Every single. Well,

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Speaker 1: it's open always, but during primetime games that's where I'm on.

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Speaker 1: So tonight I'll be on there for some of these

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Speaker 1: games coming up on Friday. Here are two games on Friday.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's start with Miami at NC State. So look,

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Speaker 1: you've got a big ranked team playing on the road

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Speaker 1: in college football, and there's a lot of people who

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Speaker 1: are looking at the ACC and they're thinking, Okay, you know,

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Speaker 1: how good is the conference because it's Clemson and then

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Speaker 1: everybody else, right, and we thought that, oh, Miami might

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Speaker 1: be able to hang around, and let's see what Miami

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Speaker 1: can do. And then Miami got their doors kicked in, right,

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Speaker 1: I mean, Miami just got destroyed by Clemson forty two

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Speaker 1: to seventeen. But since they have bounced back, they scored

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Speaker 1: thirty one points and won thirty one nineteen against pitt

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Speaker 1: At home against Virginia the following week, they only scored

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Speaker 1: nineteen points, but they won the game nineteen fourteen up

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Speaker 1: against a UVA team that's a little bit feisty, and

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Speaker 1: you know, they were favored by thirteen and a half

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Speaker 1: points in that game, only only won by five. That

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Speaker 1: was the first time all year they were favored by

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Speaker 1: double digits that they failed to cover. So they were

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Speaker 1: favored by fifteen and a half against UAB and they

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Speaker 1: won by seventeen. They were favored by twelve against Florida

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Speaker 1: State and they won by forty two. They were favored

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Speaker 1: by eleven and a half against Pittsburgh and they won

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Speaker 1: by twelve. So they are favored by thirteen and a

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Speaker 1: half against Virginia and they only one by five. So

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Speaker 1: not what you want to see as this line now

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Speaker 1: is Miami minus ten on the road at NC State.

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Speaker 1: But I still love de Eric King. I also love

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Speaker 1: Deareric King in primetime. I also love Deeric King on

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Speaker 1: ESPN at seven thirty Eastern with really the entire sports

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Speaker 1: world watching Miami. This is so when this team shows out.

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Speaker 1: In my opinion, the difference in this game between NC

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Speaker 1: State and Miami is going to come down to the defenses. Now,

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Speaker 1: NC State's been pretty good against the number this year.

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Speaker 1: They're four and two against the number. But last time

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Speaker 1: out against Carolina, they were catching fourteen and a half

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Speaker 1: and they lost by twenty seven points. So here they

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Speaker 1: go with Miami as their schedule has gotten a little

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Speaker 1: bit more difficult, right, they were favored against Duke and

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Speaker 1: they won by eleven. They were catching seven against Virginia

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Speaker 1: and they won by seventeen. They actually beat Virginia by

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Speaker 1: a larger margin than Miami beat Virginia. But I'm not

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Speaker 1: too concerned about that. But I think when you look

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Speaker 1: at these two teams defensively, this is where Miami, I

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Speaker 1: think is going to make their money here. Now, both

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Speaker 1: teams can score, Miami's averaging thirty two point eight points

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Speaker 1: per game, the offense thirty one point five points a

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Speaker 1: game for the wolf Pack. But I look at the

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Speaker 1: defense here for Miami giving up just twenty two point

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Speaker 1: two points per game, and the fact that they are

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Speaker 1: tough to run on only five point one yards sorry sorry,

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Speaker 1: four point two yards per rush and throwing the football

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Speaker 1: just six point two yards. They're very talented. They don't

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Speaker 1: tackle all that well in the secondary, but they do

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Speaker 1: defend passes really well. That's gonna be the difference here.

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Speaker 1: I think Deeric King here and this offense with Miami,

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Speaker 1: the turnover chain is gonna be a big part of

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Speaker 1: this here today. I think Miami's defense is going to

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Speaker 1: be the difference. I know it's a double digit line,

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Speaker 1: but a lot of money has been coming in here,

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Speaker 1: and it's been coming in a little bit on NC State.

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Speaker 1: Once it got over ten, it got to eleven, eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half, and then the money kind of turned

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Speaker 1: around and it all came in here. On NC State.

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Speaker 1: There's been some injury concerns with NC State, some injuries

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Speaker 1: to talk about the quarterback position for NC State, and

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Speaker 1: I think Miami has an advantage both defensively and with

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Speaker 1: their quarterback. I love this game on prime Time. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the ten points here for one unit, Miami

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Speaker 1: on the road minus ten against NC State, taking the

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Speaker 1: Hurricanes to come up here and get a victory here

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Speaker 1: and cover this ten point line, hopefully in a laugher,

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Speaker 1: a big victory for the Hurricanes on the road at

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Speaker 1: NC State. All Right, I'm not going to play the

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Speaker 1: San Diego State game. I don't. I looked at it.

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Speaker 1: It's just not really something that I find to be

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Speaker 1: all that attractive in San Jose State in the Mountain

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Speaker 1: West Conference. I'm just not really jumping up and down

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Speaker 1: here to bet that. So I'm not gonna bet. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna pass on that game. But I do have a

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Speaker 1: play on BYU and Boise State now there's been a

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Speaker 1: lot of money that's coming here on Boise. The number

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Speaker 1: open up at two and a half, it's now up

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Speaker 1: to three and a half. Not gonna hate it. Zach

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Speaker 1: Wilson's a really good quarterback and BYU is trying to

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Speaker 1: pad their resume. How often do you see a team

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Speaker 1: that is seven and oh go up against a team

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Speaker 1: that's two and oh. Right, it's a really weird deal.

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Speaker 1: So you got one team that's playing its eighth game

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Speaker 1: and the other is playing its third game. But Boise's

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Speaker 1: at home, so you've got the blue turf. Something tells

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Speaker 1: me that Boise might be lurking here. And the three

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Speaker 1: and a half number I don't like, and I don't

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Speaker 1: really want to buy the half a point if I

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Speaker 1: don't have to. If there's a play here on the

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Speaker 1: board that I like as much, and that is the

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Speaker 1: total of sixty one and a half. So here is

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Speaker 1: where I am with this game in terms of the

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Speaker 1: offensive explosions for both these two teams. Now, I know

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Speaker 1: Boys hasn't played as many games as BYU, but they

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Speaker 1: scored forty two points against UTUS State forty nine points

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Speaker 1: on the road at air Force in their last game.

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Speaker 1: They can play football offensive league. Jack Series is a

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Speaker 1: really good quarterback. We know what the Boise program produces, right,

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Speaker 1: They produce offensive weapons, quarterbacks, running backs and whatnot. Just

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Speaker 1: what they've done. So you got Zach Wilson, you got

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Speaker 1: this offensive scores forty four point four points per game

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Speaker 1: and they don't play up tempo football. They outscored Houston.

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Speaker 1: Remember the game we had with Houston and they won

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Speaker 1: it forty three to twenty six. They outscored Houston twenty

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Speaker 1: two to nothing in that fourth quarter. I'm a little

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Speaker 1: bit concerned to lay the three and a half. I

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Speaker 1: would much have rather to play the two and a half.

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Speaker 1: But I don't have the luxury, if you will, of

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Speaker 1: going back and saying I'm gonna play the two and

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Speaker 1: a half. It's three and a half. What I can

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Speaker 1: play is the over. I'm gonna go over here for

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Speaker 1: sixty one and a half points for BYU and Boise. Now,

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Speaker 1: the weather forecast it's Boise in November, right, you always

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Speaker 1: gotta look at it. But as of right now, at

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Speaker 1: the time of taping, it looks like a pretty mild night.

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Speaker 1: It looks like it's gonna be fine, good for throwing

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Speaker 1: the football good for offense, and I just don't know

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Speaker 1: how good this BYU defense is in the same thing.

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Speaker 1: Give me said for this Boise defense. I think BYU's

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Speaker 1: defense is a little bit overrated right now. They're giving

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Speaker 1: up thirteen point four points per game. Yeah, that's I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's a it's really good, right, But that's I mean,

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Speaker 1: how good are they really based upon on the record

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Speaker 1: and who they've played, right, But Western Kentucky, Texas State, UT,

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Speaker 1: San Antonio, Houston. I mean, I don't know if I'm

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Speaker 1: buying this. Boise is legit. This is their first ranked opponent,

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Speaker 1: and this is an offense. Isn't they can score? They

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Speaker 1: scored forty five points a game, so and they're not

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Speaker 1: going to be intimidated by BYU either. They used to

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Speaker 1: be conference rivals. I mean, this is a Western Mountain

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Speaker 1: Mountain Time type of football game, and I just think

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Speaker 1: that this is a big game for Boise, and Boise

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Speaker 1: could win this. So I'm gonna avoid the side in

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Speaker 1: particularly the hook because it may come down just to

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Speaker 1: a three point game. But I think there's a real

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Speaker 1: potential that both these teams can score in the forties

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Speaker 1: for this game. And so for that let's just lay

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Speaker 1: the over here the points. Sixty one and a half

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Speaker 1: points is high, but I'm okay with it just because

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Speaker 1: I think everyone's coming in on BYU. At the time

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Speaker 1: of taping, you've got about seventy five percent of the

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Speaker 1: money coming in on BYU because they've been playing more

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Speaker 1: games in primetime, So I think the public's gonna come

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Speaker 1: in here really big. I just think it's you got

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Speaker 1: BYU who's really good with yards per attempt. You know,

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Speaker 1: they've got big play possibilities, big play potentials, and Jack

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Speaker 1: Sears is a really good quarterback, so I think points

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Speaker 1: are being scored here. We're going over sixty one and

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Speaker 1: a half for this one here between BYU and Boise State,

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Speaker 1: So okay to recap our plays here tonight, both of

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Speaker 1: them at one unit. We're laying the ten for the

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Speaker 1: Miami Hurricanes on the road at NC State, and we're

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Speaker 1: expecting a high scoring pinball type of game between BYU

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Speaker 1: and Boise We're gonna lay the sixty one and a

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Speaker 1: half here and take the over with BYU and Boise State.

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Speaker 1: Should be a lot of fun to watch. The points.

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Speaker 1: So three games tonight, just two plays. I'm gonna pass

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Speaker 1: on the Mountain West Conference game and just play with

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Speaker 1: three of them on Saturday morning. We've got a lot

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Speaker 1: more to get into with college football plays. I always

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Speaker 1: have a heavy card going on Saturday and then on

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Speaker 1: Sunday the live stream on the YouTube channel for our

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Speaker 1: prop bets. We've done pretty good on our prop bets

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Speaker 1: for the last I think I've hit my last three

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Speaker 1: last three prop bets or four last four propets. Maybe

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Speaker 1: it is that we've hit so doing well on the

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Speaker 1: prop bets. Did well on the prop bets on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Make sure you check out our prop betcheat sheet off

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Speaker 1: of bettingpros dot com. That's where I'm getting a lot

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Speaker 1: of my prop plays and we're making money at it,

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Speaker 1: so pretty cool. Top three hit last week, so now

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Speaker 1: we've got another one. I got that bet last night,

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Speaker 1: and the Rogers hit last night as well. I think

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Speaker 1: three out of the top four hit last night as

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Speaker 1: well on the cheat sheet, So pretty cool stuff on

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com. Definitely check that out live stream on

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Speaker 1: the YouTube channel beginning at eleven am Eastern eight am

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Speaker 1: Pacific time every Sunday for our prop bet live stream

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Speaker 1: for the NFL for Week nine of the NFL, but

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Speaker 1: first college football Friday Night Tonight Saturday tomorrow. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Peroult. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning it's the Daily Juice podcast. Sent it by

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Speaker 1: bellow Jim