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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pot all.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go fifteen Tunny, twenty five, thirty thirty five,

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Speaker 2: forty Cody five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the kick as block the college football world stundar.

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Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he.

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Speaker 3: Stumbled and bob the lateral turn the counter on the inside.

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Speaker 3: Don't you believe I'm not gonna table off the field

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Speaker 3: to night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the size of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 4: It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 2: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 2: Campus Podcast. This is the Week five college football betting preview.

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Speaker 2: I'm stucky in joining me as always my fellow bdoc

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Speaker 2: call Colin Wilson. Look going through the games this weekend.

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Speaker 2: I'm excited. Now we have data points for these teams,

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Speaker 2: can start to break down matchups and the slights have

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Speaker 2: been good but not great. I think this one has

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Speaker 2: a chance to be get and they're only going to

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Speaker 2: get better from here on out, Like this is the

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Speaker 2: real start of the college football season. Really excited diving

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Speaker 2: into all of these games, headlined by George Alabama, which

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Speaker 2: we'll get to in just a moment.

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Speaker 4: How's it going getting Georgia Alabama. This is a battle

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Speaker 4: of two death stars right because Georgia is Alabama two

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Speaker 4: point zero. Texas is now turning into Alabama three point zero.

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Speaker 4: And it's great when we see these teams go up

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Speaker 4: against each other. So I can't wait to break it

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Speaker 4: up with you and see if you see the same

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Speaker 4: things I do.

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Speaker 2: I think we disagree on the game, so that'll be

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Speaker 2: fun to argue as you've always done. This weekly betting

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Speaker 2: preview episode drops every Friday morning. We do record the

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Speaker 2: three and out portion live six pm Eastern on our

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Speaker 2: BBOs YouTube channel. Make sure you go there subscribe. Even

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Speaker 2: if you don't like to watch YouTube, just go there.

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Speaker 2: Do me a favor subscribe, help us grow that channel.

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Speaker 2: We do appreciate it. And make sure you check out

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Speaker 2: the Group of five guys. Their episodes already out. They've

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Speaker 2: been hot with their moneyline dogs. I think they hit

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Speaker 2: last week Tulsa and Western Kentucky. So make sure you

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Speaker 2: check Mike and Mike out. Weather update anyone down in Florida.

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Speaker 2: Thoughts are with you. Hope you're hunker down and safe

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Speaker 2: anywhere down south. Do you have a quick high level

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Speaker 2: weather update? What games can be impacted the most?

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Speaker 4: Saturday around kick This thing is just going to hang

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Speaker 4: above Paduca, Kentucky and just spin out of control. That's

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Speaker 4: going to affect Indiana's home game. That's going to affect

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Speaker 4: Memphis Middle Tennessee. You know, there are surrounding areas in Ohio.

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Speaker 4: The girth and the size of this hurricane and the

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Speaker 4: magnitude of the size and the way that it spins

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Speaker 4: is going to spin off potentially severe storms on the

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Speaker 4: side of Ohio where Miami Ohio plays. Maybe Athens is

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Speaker 4: a place where we don't get to with weather, but

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Speaker 4: I think if you're on the other side of Ohio,

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Speaker 4: you're definitely in the line of severe storms coming through.

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Speaker 4: So right, we're pretty firm with this forecast is going

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Speaker 4: to be and where it's gonna sit. So I'm actually

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Speaker 4: a little surprised. The market's been quiet here on Thursday

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Speaker 4: so far. Yeah, market has been quiet. Yeah, I think

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Speaker 4: the watch just orders the.

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Speaker 2: Magnitude of wind right like that's as you get closer,

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Speaker 2: you get more clarity. And there's a big difference between

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Speaker 2: ten to fifteen than twenty to twenty five, which has

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Speaker 2: a much more drastic impact. But let's get right into it.

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Speaker 2: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 2: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for week five.

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Speaker 2: We have three marquee games. We also have Illinois Penn

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Speaker 2: State a rank matchup, but we cover that in three

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Speaker 2: and out. So if you're looking for that game, head

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Speaker 2: toward the end of the episode. Let's start with the

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Speaker 2: Georgia Alabama. Let's start with the bang.

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Speaker 4: Tonight. Just dating in film to capacity is the Alabama

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Speaker 4: Brimson time plays host to the Bulldogs of the University

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Speaker 4: of Georgia. Well, they've been coming to this stadium, so

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Speaker 4: it's right after lunch. They just like to get here early.

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Speaker 2: I've been watching this market so closely. It's just stuck.

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Speaker 2: The line is stuck. I'm waiting to see if there's

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Speaker 2: like a big group that comes in to move this.

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Speaker 2: You know, sometimes limits go up late in the week.

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Speaker 2: But I think this, I think, and I said this

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Speaker 2: earlier in the week. I think that this is a

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Speaker 2: pretty good line. It's gonna get good two way action,

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Speaker 2: and I think anytime it got to Bama three you

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Speaker 2: would have buy back. So I think the books are

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Speaker 2: going to be in a good spot with this game

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Speaker 2: because the handle is just going to be extreme and

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Speaker 2: you're gonna have cases for both. Like, I really had

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Speaker 2: no idea what the quote unquote casual side would be.

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Speaker 2: So I did a poll on Twitter fifty five to

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Speaker 2: forty five. So like Georgia fifty five percent. Yeah, like

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Speaker 2: this is gonna get good two way action. And for

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Speaker 2: what it's worth, total is up a bit to I

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Speaker 2: think forty nine and a half as we record has

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Speaker 2: come down and then back up a little bit. I

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Speaker 2: like Georgia first of all, I'll get my flowers to

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Speaker 2: Boor and maybe you're gonna talk about him, and he's

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Speaker 2: been a covering machine. Do you know who's a covering

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Speaker 2: machine in the spot, Kirby Smart. This is a smash

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Speaker 2: Kirby Smart spot right off the bat. Just let you

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Speaker 2: know he's thirty one and sixteen sixty six percent against

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Speaker 2: ranked opponents, covering by about four points per game. That's silly.

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Speaker 2: Nobody's been more profitable among five hundred coaches in our

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Speaker 2: database since two thousand and five. He's twenty five to

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Speaker 2: twelve against ranked teams as a favorite against the number

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Speaker 2: that's sixty seven point six percent. Always has his team

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Speaker 2: buttoned up for this, but in this particular spot. It

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Speaker 2: was a dream for Georgia to win a close game

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Speaker 2: at Kentucky and not looked great before. By Week said

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Speaker 2: two weeks to just drill into his team how bad

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Speaker 2: they looked. Not only that SEC championship game revenge kept

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Speaker 2: Georgia out of the College twel twelve and some could

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Speaker 2: argue maybe another national title. Not only that, some comments

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Speaker 2: about Georgia quitting. I mean, you want to talk about

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Speaker 2: all the bulletin board material that Kirby needs. This Georgia

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Speaker 2: team is going to be. It's gonna come out of

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Speaker 2: their hair on fire. They come out of their hair

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Speaker 2: and fire in certain spots when like there's nothing to

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Speaker 2: make up. Some stuff doesn't need to make up anything here. Also,

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Speaker 2: the bye week allow them to get much healthier at receiver.

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Speaker 2: People are going to talk about Ratledge being out on

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Speaker 2: the offensive line. I don't think he's that big of

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Speaker 2: a deal. I don't think there's a big drop off

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Speaker 2: to Michael Morris, so I don't think to go. But

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Speaker 2: they're gonna get healthier in the defensive line. I'm told

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Speaker 2: that Williams is going to play arguably a top five

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Speaker 2: picking NFL draft, and they're gonna get Brinson back, their

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Speaker 2: best interior pass rusher. That's big. They've been banged up.

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Speaker 2: Why do I like Georgia here. It's not only for

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Speaker 2: the Kirby smash spot, but there's two main weak areas

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Speaker 2: of Alabama. It's it's still their offensive line. They got

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Speaker 2: profter back. He shows up the left tackle spot. The

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Speaker 2: rest of the offensive line I'm still not buying. I

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Speaker 2: think Georgia can get pressure, can create more or drive

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Speaker 2: killing plays. Then it's the Alabama secondary. The cornerback group

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Speaker 2: is vulnerable. Safeties are good, the front is good, just

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Speaker 2: like Georgia's. But I think Georgia's offensive line is more

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Speaker 2: well equipped to provide Carson Beck with time. The cornerbacks.

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Speaker 2: For Alabama, it's a USC transfer who's just men, Demonti

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Speaker 2: Jackson and a bunch of young, inexperienced freshmen. There was

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Speaker 2: guys wide open against USF, guys wide open against Western Kentucky.

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Speaker 2: There's opportunities here that I think Georgia is going to

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Speaker 2: exploit downfield and Beck is not gonna miss. By the way,

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Speaker 2: Alabama at home against USF played to a drawl until

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Speaker 2: the final five minutes of that game. Did we forget

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Speaker 2: just because Georgia had a closeman that was Kentucky's super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: They were just embarrassed. And by the way, Kentucky generally

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Speaker 2: more time than not, plays Georgia very close, and Georgia

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Speaker 2: always has one of these games where they go on

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Speaker 2: the road, the offense doesn't look great, and then they're

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Speaker 2: fine the rest of the season. I know it's Week five,

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Speaker 2: but it was only four weeks ago that we forget

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Speaker 2: what Georgia did to Clembse. That win and destruction has

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Speaker 2: aged pretty damn well. Pumpston since has been a juggernaut.

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Speaker 2: They look like the Panthers and Bryce Young embarrassing what

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Speaker 2: Georgia did to that offense. So I think Kirby's gonna

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Speaker 2: have a great game plan here to take away the

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Speaker 2: deep ball, contain Milro's legs, make him throw in the

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Speaker 2: intermediary range. And then I think that these Alabama corners

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Speaker 2: get toasted a few times, and that's the difference in

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Speaker 2: the Kirby smash spot. Give me the dogs. I'm wrong

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Speaker 2: with George. I don't get the vet them often. I'm excited.

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Speaker 2: So you like Alabama, make your kids.

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Speaker 4: Full transparency of Georgia's live plus I'll probably hit that too.

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Speaker 4: I mean, this is not one of these things where

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Speaker 4: I'm planting my flag and saying this is absolutely going

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Speaker 4: to be an Alabama win.

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Speaker 2: Here, I'll come on your flag.

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Speaker 4: I think one thing that I wanted to start off

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Speaker 4: was the trench, because, in my opinion, in these games,

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Speaker 4: win the trench, you win the game. The Alabama offensive

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Speaker 4: line is now healthy and they have momentum. You mentioned

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Speaker 4: some injuries on the Georgia defense, and I am just

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Speaker 4: reading things a little bit differently now. First off, defensive

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Speaker 4: interior Jordan Hall, don't think he's gonna play, hasn't played

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Speaker 4: this year, doesn't look like he's gonna make it. Brentson

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Speaker 4: played three snaps against Clemson, had had the injury, but

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Speaker 4: he's going to be He's been practicing for over two weeks.

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Speaker 4: He's expected back here. But Mikel Williams is the one

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Speaker 4: where I'm seeing a lot of different stuff, and I'm

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Speaker 4: hearing a lot of different stuff, which is light practicing,

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Speaker 4: light reps, and he's only working on his rush. This

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Speaker 4: is not somebody that's getting ready to be a run defender.

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Speaker 2: I was told by someone close Spergan eighty five percent

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Speaker 2: he was practicing, no, no, no limp or anything.

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Speaker 4: I think what we have in question is run defense, right.

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Speaker 4: I know Mikel Williams can rush the passer, He's very

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Speaker 4: good at that. But you know the Georgia offense when

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Speaker 4: we switch over to the offensive line, their trench to me,

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Speaker 4: has not done anything. Injuries at the running back position

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Speaker 4: against Clemson to start off the season, they couldn't get

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Speaker 4: any kind of ground game going whatsoever. And it was

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Speaker 4: just the Beck passing attack that really destroyed Clemson here

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Speaker 4: and you mentioned it all American Tate Radlage is out.

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Speaker 4: He's going to be out for a number of weeks

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Speaker 4: with that brained ankle. Alabama's fielding two of the best

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Speaker 4: linebackers in the nation against the run, Deontay Lawson and

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Speaker 4: Jihad Campbell are absolute maniacs against opposing rushers. I'm seeing

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Speaker 4: massive advantages on both sides of the ball when it

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Speaker 4: comes to running in favor of Alabama. I want to

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Speaker 4: cover all my bases here. Of course, Carson Beck's going

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Speaker 4: to throw. That's what killed Clemson. He's these numbers are

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Speaker 4: not near as clean as they were last year. Only

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Speaker 4: has one big time throw and he has one turnover

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Speaker 4: to one turnover worthy play. So he's just not making

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Speaker 4: big passes right now. And you think about that Clemson game,

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Speaker 4: it was really the work of all of his favorite targets,

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Speaker 4: and his favorite target right now is out of the slot.

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Speaker 4: And that's Dominic love it whiteout. Arian Smith is getting

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Speaker 4: some targets up there in the lead. He has a

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Speaker 4: pretty heavy yards per route run. But Beck has had

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Speaker 4: issues getting the ball on the outside closer to the

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Speaker 4: sidelines than he has down the scene. What can Alabama

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Speaker 4: do defensively to try and stop that. I wanted to

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Speaker 4: look at a minimum of thirty five times lined up

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Speaker 4: in the slot for defending, and I wanted to look

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Speaker 4: at the top two hundred players in that list. You

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Speaker 4: know what I found on that list not a single

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Speaker 4: name that belonged to the George Bulldogs. What I did

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Speaker 4: find was Malachai Moore, Keon Sob and DeVonta Smith all

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Speaker 4: in the top two hundred. Malachai More, I believe in

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Speaker 4: the top forty. All of them have at least forty

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Speaker 4: snaps covering the slot. All of them are in PFF's

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Speaker 4: top two hundred. That takes away the main target Dominic

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Speaker 4: love it at the slot They are absolutely going up

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Speaker 4: against the best slot coverage unit that they're going to

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Speaker 4: face the entire season. When you look at Georgia, their

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Speaker 4: offensive line is not creating all the runs that you see.

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Speaker 4: It's the running backs that are creating that. And that's

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Speaker 4: going to be a little bit more of a problem

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Speaker 4: against Alabama. Where does Carson Beck turn Dominic Love it

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Speaker 4: in the slot? Alabama is the best at defending the

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Speaker 4: slot in the nation. Alabama plus three. It's covered a

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Speaker 4: lot of the bases assuming no turnovers, you know, assuming

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Speaker 4: the health is where it's at. We'll see how how

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Speaker 4: good Michael Williams is because I think he is a

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Speaker 4: game changer Stock I agree with you on that. I'm

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Speaker 4: just wondering what he is on run defense, and that

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Speaker 4: is so important with Jalen Milroe.

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Speaker 2: Good cases and this is why this game's getting a

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Speaker 2: good two way action. The one thing that concerns me

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Speaker 2: is just can the Georgia's receivers have talent? They should

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Speaker 2: be healthier of a unit as it's been in years past.

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Speaker 2: They really missed Bowers. Delp has been lost.

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Speaker 4: Your section on the back of a milk carton, where

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Speaker 4: the hell has he been?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? If you look at his numbers against like top

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Speaker 2: tier defenses when he was at Stanford. Yeah, that's been

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Speaker 2: a disappointing position. But it all comes out of these

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Speaker 2: receivers on the outside. All right, good stuff there. I

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Speaker 2: can't wait for that game in prime time. Oh downie boy,

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Speaker 2: the pipes pipe circle from Landswood. Let's move on to Louisville.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame. Notre Dame six and a half point favorite

253
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Speaker 2: here at home, looking to an avenge a blowout loss

254
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Speaker 2: at Louisville last year. Louisville pretty underwhelming. They didn't plan

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Speaker 2: anyone to start the year. They blew out an FCS

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Speaker 2: team and a bad Jacksonville State team. They did win

257
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Speaker 2: and cover some Awgan Georgia Tech, but there was some

258
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Speaker 2: flukes in there and it wasn't really that impressive of

259
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Speaker 2: a performance. Notre Dame. If you can figure out Notre Dame,

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Speaker 2: good for you. I mean they blew out and Purdue

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Speaker 2: they put up by it. They're still scoring against Purdue,

262
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Speaker 2: although what Oregon State did doesn't make it look as good.

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Speaker 2: That Purdue team is lost. When I look at this,

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Speaker 2: there could be some wind, here, could be some weather.

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Speaker 2: This if this over got touched forty five and it

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Speaker 2: got bet up today. Maybe that was a weather thing.

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Speaker 2: How does this go over? Because I like the under

268
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Speaker 2: in this game. Louisville can't run the ball. Their top

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Speaker 2: back's been hurt, but they've lost two really good running

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Speaker 2: backs and they're run blocking hasn't been great. They can't

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Speaker 2: really run it, so this all comes down to them

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Speaker 2: passing the ball. But that goes right into the strength

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Speaker 2: of this Notre Dame defense. And I don't know, I

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Speaker 2: don't think Lacey's gonna play. Colin Lacey was one of

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Speaker 2: their big acquisitions at receiver in the all season. I

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Speaker 2: think he's probably more for next week. But and then

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Speaker 2: they also lost another receiver to injury last week as well,

278
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Speaker 2: so I'm not really in love with the wide receiver room.

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Speaker 2: And then you know, you throw it Morrison and Christian Gray,

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Speaker 2: I mean quarterbacks throwing. And then this year seventeen to

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Speaker 2: thirty six, one hundred and thirty six yards, that's under

282
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Speaker 2: four yards per attempt, zero touchdowns, one interception, seven PBEs.

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Speaker 2: I can't see Louisville having a ton of success throwing

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Speaker 2: the ball. And the other side of the ball, the

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Speaker 2: strength of the Louisville defense is their front, you know,

286
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Speaker 2: led by Jolyati. They move him all over, they put

287
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Speaker 2: him in the interior. They'll he can rush the passer

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Speaker 2: on the hell of a player. The weakness is in

289
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Speaker 2: the back end. They lost one pro corner. Their other

290
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Speaker 2: top corner, Quincy Riley, was in a boot. I don't

291
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Speaker 2: think he's gonna play. But Notre Dame can't throw the ball.

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Speaker 2: I mean, right the Leonard can't throw it. So Notre

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Speaker 2: Dame wants to run it. But that's going right to

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Speaker 2: the strength of the Louisville defense. And Louisville can't run it,

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Speaker 2: need to throw it with Shook and I like him,

296
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Speaker 2: but that's going right in to the strength of the

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame defense. Leads me to an underhar what do

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Speaker 2: you say?

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Speaker 4: I have it in my notes. I want a first

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Speaker 4: half under haven't bet it. I mean Louisville must keep

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Speaker 4: Tyler ship clean. He's got a seven to one big

302
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Speaker 4: T throw to turnover worthy play rate right now. That's

303
00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:05,280
Speaker 4: really good's He's got career low in mistakes right now,

304
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Speaker 4: has averaged up. The target is the highest it's ever

305
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Speaker 4: been at eleven point nine. So Tyler Schuck is having

306
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Speaker 4: the best season of his career from a statistics wise, but

307
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Speaker 4: the completion rate completely dips when he gets some pressure,

308
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Speaker 4: from seventy five percent to forty seven percent. Not a

309
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Speaker 4: good sign here for what you're going to get from

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Speaker 4: the edge and the interior positions from Notre Dame. Notre

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Speaker 4: Dame is top forty in pass rush right now, and

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Speaker 4: Louisville is one hundred and twenty fourth strength of schedule.

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Speaker 4: We still have teams out there that have completely played

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Speaker 4: absolutely nobody. Uh yeah, they played.

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Speaker 2: Nobody's in Georgia Tech secretary is not good. It wasn't

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Speaker 2: that impressive as far as their like overall passing attack.

317
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Speaker 2: And Georgia Tech is a team that watched him against

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Speaker 2: Syracuse and they were They made Kyle McCord look like

319
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Speaker 2: Peyton Manning.

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Speaker 4: If Louisville's given up pressures to those three teams Georgia Tech,

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Speaker 4: Jack State, and Ausoin p then there's a problem here.

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Speaker 4: Notre Dame is going to try to establish the throne

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Speaker 4: considering how bad the passing attack is. I mean, Riley

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Speaker 4: Leonard has been beyond bad. I did not imagine it

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Speaker 4: would be this bad through one hundred and four passing

326
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Speaker 4: attempts drinks one hundred and six to the non target rate.

327
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Speaker 4: He can't hit anything, and Leonard drops from seventy percent

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Speaker 4: to thirty percent completion rate when he has pressure. He's

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Speaker 4: only made six of twenty passes with a crowded pocket here.

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Speaker 2: So, by the way Loivoll last week, iguin's a really

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Speaker 2: good rushing attack that Georgia Tech has with a mobile

332
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Speaker 2: quarterback completely shut down Georgia Tech in that aspect.

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Speaker 4: I don't see an avenue for points here from either team.

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Speaker 4: Like Notre Dame, I believe is going to get more

335
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Speaker 4: pressure than what they produced before because Louisville's had such

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Speaker 4: a soft schedule and giving up pressures at the same time.

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Speaker 5: I don't think Notre Dame's offense right now.

338
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Speaker 4: Is capable of methodical drives and cashing in unscoring opportunities.

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Speaker 4: But for me, this is a first half under the

340
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Speaker 4: I think these teams have to feel each other out.

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Speaker 4: I think Tyler Shook is going to get pressured. I

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Speaker 4: think Riley Leonard is incapable of throwing first half under.

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Speaker 2: For me, I'll be joining you there. Let's be under

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Speaker 2: our third marquee game, Oklahoma State at Kansas State. These

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Speaker 2: are two teams. I have no interest in backing playing

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Speaker 2: each other. I think I saw you at Oklahoma State,

347
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Speaker 2: so I'm curious to get your take. My take here

348
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Speaker 2: is this is going to come down to Alan Bowman

349
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Speaker 2: or Adie Wrangle, because I mean Oklahoma State it is

350
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Speaker 2: shocking to look at their rushing numbers with one of

351
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Speaker 2: the best backs in the country. They're one hundred and

352
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Speaker 2: thirtieth in rushing success rate, one hundred one hundredth in

353
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Speaker 2: EPA per rush. I mean they have Oli Gordon, So

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Speaker 2: I know teams are stacked in the box. Kansas State's

355
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Speaker 2: run dy has been good, their past d is not.

356
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Speaker 2: So that's the path for Oklahoma State. Do you trust Bowman?

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Speaker 2: It is the question. But because on the other end,

358
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Speaker 2: you know the Oklahoma State defense is bad and they've

359
00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:38,280
Speaker 2: been worse against the run. I mean at home last week,

360
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Speaker 2: you don't have Cam Rising and you lose to Zach

361
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Speaker 2: Wilson's little brother because you couldn't stop the run. And

362
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Speaker 2: this is a huge game of the Big twelve. Like these teams.

363
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Speaker 2: Both these teams need to win it. They both lost

364
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Speaker 2: last week. This is huge for the Big twelve race.

365
00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:54,919
Speaker 2: Kansas State just lean on the run game unleash Avery

366
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Speaker 2: Johnson's legs. He obviously can't throw the ball and run

367
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Speaker 2: all over this Oklahoma State defense that is not that good.

368
00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:05,560
Speaker 2: It's already lost its best player to injury and was

369
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Speaker 2: on the field for forty one minutes last week in

370
00:18:09,560 --> 00:18:12,640
Speaker 2: that still water heat. Aren't they going to be fatigued here?

371
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Speaker 2: I don't like either of these teams.

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Speaker 4: I started doing a deep dive on Monday in this

373
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Speaker 4: game because there's this claim by Mike Gundy the teams

374
00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:20,919
Speaker 4: are loading the box. So I actually went and looked,

375
00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:26,360
Speaker 4: and sure, sure enough, Utah Arkansas, these opponents switched out

376
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 4: of their base defenses into a six' three to. Two

377
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:30,760
Speaker 4: there is, legs and there's some truth to What Mike

378
00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:31,880
Speaker 4: gundy is saying about.

379
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:32,399
Speaker 5: Teams loading the.

380
00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:35,680
Speaker 4: Box so at some, point Right Alan bowman's going to

381
00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:37,400
Speaker 4: have to produce in one on one coverage and get

382
00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:40,120
Speaker 4: teams that putting eight nine guys in the box Against Ali.

383
00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,800
Speaker 4: Gordon The pokes offense has just installed their top thirty

384
00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:44,840
Speaker 4: five and three and out rate right. Now they went

385
00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:48,400
Speaker 4: eleven straight possessions Against utah without a. SCORE i, mean

386
00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:50,960
Speaker 4: And Alan bowman came OUT i THINK i retweeted the.

387
00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,199
Speaker 4: Video he, SAID i never practiced Against cover. One it

388
00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:56,480
Speaker 4: wasn't in our game. PLAN i never saw. IT i

389
00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:58,399
Speaker 4: didn't practice against it in the. Fall And i'm, thinking my,

390
00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,479
Speaker 4: god you've been in college football for eight you've never

391
00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:02,240
Speaker 4: seen A cover one. Before he said that the high

392
00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:04,320
Speaker 4: safety really gave him some. Issues And i'm, like what

393
00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 4: are you Giving Kansas state some ideas here For Joe clanderman's.

394
00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:10,080
Speaker 4: Defense but if you look At Joe clanderman's, defense they

395
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:12,560
Speaker 4: have horrible ranks in generating a pass, rush and they

396
00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:15,840
Speaker 4: have horrible ranks and. Coverage and you remember back to

397
00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 4: The Utah, handicap the utes were number one in the

398
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:20,160
Speaker 4: nation and creating contested.

399
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:21,080
Speaker 5: Catches that was.

400
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:23,840
Speaker 4: On full display When Alan bowman was. Throwing When rangele was,

401
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:26,080
Speaker 4: throwing what he go three of? Eleven SO i Think

402
00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:28,119
Speaker 4: bowman's gonna have a much better day. Here he's not

403
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 4: going to See cover one And. Gundhy you, know with

404
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:32,840
Speaker 4: the whole statement That Oli gordon is getting picked on

405
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,360
Speaker 4: in the, Box he's only averaging two point seven yards after,

406
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:37,640
Speaker 4: contact which was a full yard yelt less than last.

407
00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:39,880
Speaker 4: YEAR i Think Alan bowman's going to have to pick

408
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 4: stribbling And pressley get him in one on one. Coverage

409
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:43,880
Speaker 4: but the thing, Is Kansas state has been so poor

410
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,119
Speaker 4: against the. Pass think About. ARIZONA i know they blew Out,

411
00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,800
Speaker 4: arizona But arizona threw it down the field all. DAY

412
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:50,720
Speaker 4: i Think Okahoma state's going to have the same kind

413
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,200
Speaker 4: of success. Here. Now The Oklahoma state defense has been

414
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,840
Speaker 4: good when opponents are trying to, score but they're giving

415
00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:58,520
Speaker 4: up the whole. Field but there's no downfield passing For Kansas.

416
00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:01,800
Speaker 4: State you mentioned, It Avery johnson three of fifteen beyond twenty.

417
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,080
Speaker 4: Yards that's a. JOKE i, mean people are just gonna

418
00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:06,399
Speaker 4: be able to load up in this. Box this stat

419
00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 4: just blew my mind With Kansas. State Kansas state has

420
00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 4: the seventh best average distance to go on third downs

421
00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:15,120
Speaker 4: five point six. Yards that's what they average on third.

422
00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:17,000
Speaker 4: Downs do you know what they are in third down conversion?

423
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,239
Speaker 4: Rate you'd think they'd be around top ten because they

424
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:21,680
Speaker 4: have such a short. Distance they're sixty first and third

425
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:24,879
Speaker 4: downs and you're seventh in. Distance that's how broken they

426
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,119
Speaker 4: are as an offense and how predictable they are by

427
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:30,680
Speaker 4: the opposing. Defenses i'm taking the. POINTS i THINK i

428
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:33,360
Speaker 4: make this like, three But i'll take the points With Oklahoma.

429
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,280
Speaker 4: State at some point there's not going to be a

430
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:37,920
Speaker 4: six to three to two in that box Against, ali

431
00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:39,920
Speaker 4: And ali could take. Off but if you're going to do,

432
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,120
Speaker 4: That bowman's got to step. Up and hopefully he doesn't

433
00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,760
Speaker 4: see cover one this week and it freak out like

434
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,200
Speaker 4: he's nineteen years, old nineten year old.

435
00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:47,560
Speaker 5: FRESHMAN i don't know what that was Against.

436
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 2: Utah you weren't expecting Uh utah to load the box play.

437
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:53,440
Speaker 2: Man that's bizarre to.

438
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,440
Speaker 4: Me it's a new member of The big. Twelve, Right,

439
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:56,960
Speaker 4: yeah that's.

440
00:20:57,000 --> 00:21:02,720
Speaker 2: True all, right let's move on to the rundown and let's.

441
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,360
Speaker 2: Talk let's start with a Little Kentucky Ole miss noon

442
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 2: kick In. Oxford last three meetings when with, stoops when, ale,

443
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 2: stoops and lection all been decided by three points or.

444
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:17,280
Speaker 2: Less back in twenty twenty, Two kentucky was in the top,

445
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:20,359
Speaker 2: ranked in the top. Ten they Played Ole miss and

446
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:24,440
Speaker 2: it was In oxford And Will levis choked the game.

447
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:28,360
Speaker 2: Away he had all these Fumbles AND i went back

448
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,320
Speaker 2: and watched some of that game And i'm, Like, god

449
00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:33,639
Speaker 2: this looks so familiar Because I'm i've lost all of

450
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:35,920
Speaker 2: my money betting On Will levis this, year and all

451
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,640
Speaker 2: he does is fumble games. Away so some things never.

452
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 2: Change Ole miss seventeen and a half point. Favorite here

453
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:45,560
Speaker 2: totals creaked. UP i wanted to get to fifty. FIVE

454
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:47,879
Speaker 2: i don't know if it. Will THEN i went the.

455
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 2: Under but, Look Ole miss has been. Explosive they're the

456
00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 2: FIRST sec team with six hundred plus yards of offense

457
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,840
Speaker 2: and four straight. Games but they've Played Furman, Middle Tennessee

458
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:03,200
Speaker 2: wake And Georgia. SOUTHERN i you, Know dart's been. Great

459
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 2: he's fifteen to. Twenty you just Mentioned Avery johnson's numbers

460
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,680
Speaker 2: on throwers twenty plus yards, Downfield darts fifteen to twenty

461
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:12,879
Speaker 2: four for six twenty, three nine, touchdowns one. Interception the

462
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:15,440
Speaker 2: Ole miss offense is, great it's gonna be With Jackson Trey.

463
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 2: Harris BUT i don't think the offense is as good

464
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,199
Speaker 2: as it, showed AND i think the defense might. BE

465
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 2: i believe in This Ole miss. DEFENSE i think the

466
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:31,119
Speaker 2: transfers that they got. Hit there are high quality, transfers

467
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 2: LIKE sec level, transfers, guys you, know Like princely guys From,

468
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:41,920
Speaker 2: Nolan guys who are produced in the. Past the OFFENSE

469
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 2: i think might be A tata rated for what they've

470
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 2: done Because i'm not sure the offensive line is elite

471
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:49,760
Speaker 2: and there's been some struggles of time in the run

472
00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 2: GAME i think because of. It SO i think The

473
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:55,800
Speaker 2: kentucky defensive line can have some success. Here This kentucky

474
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,160
Speaker 2: defensive line is. ELITE i mean THERE'S nfl guys all

475
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,480
Speaker 2: over led By, walker WHO i think have a big

476
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,639
Speaker 2: day in that. Interior. Look Ole miss is going to

477
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,800
Speaker 2: be able to throw and complete passes and they're going

478
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:10,199
Speaker 2: to go. Fast But KENTUCKY'S i, think doesn't have to

479
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 2: bring any safeties, down play too. Deep their defensive LINE

480
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:16,840
Speaker 2: i think can create some negative plays and stop the

481
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 2: run and then they could take away the explosive play

482
00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 2: So olmoss to be able to move the, ball but

483
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 2: then you, know lock down on the red. Zone SO

484
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 2: i think there's a path here For kentucky's defense to

485
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 2: have success on the offensive side of the. BALL i

486
00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 2: think that they're going to try to shorten this game,

487
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 2: down slow it, down AND i believe in The Old miss.

488
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:36,520
Speaker 2: DEFENSE i. DON'T i can't see The kentucky offense having much.

489
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:39,720
Speaker 2: Success when you're talking About they're one hundred and TWENTIETH

490
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 2: epa per, pass one hundred and twenty third passing success

491
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 2: Rate vandergraft under four yards per attempt in his TWO sec.

492
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,880
Speaker 2: Games guess What Ole miss defense number one and rush

493
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,600
Speaker 2: success rate number two IN epa per Rush and it's

494
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,119
Speaker 2: not all on the. Quarterback the offensive line has been

495
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 2: bad in pass. Protection This Ole miss defense is good up.

496
00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 2: Front their defensive line is. Legit SO i don't THINK

497
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,119
Speaker 2: i Mean kentucky's gonna try to run the. Ball they

498
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:07,360
Speaker 2: had no explosiveness. THERE i show some value In kentucky

499
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:11,720
Speaker 2: in this, number so they're, correlated So i'll probably split my,

500
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 2: bet BUT i want to get fifty. FIVE i don't

501
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:15,879
Speaker 2: know if it'll ever get, there BUT i like the

502
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:17,680
Speaker 2: under End kentucky head over.

503
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,960
Speaker 4: Seventeen there is a path For, kentucky but they have

504
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 4: to have a lot of things go their. Way first,

505
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 4: off it's tough to gauge This Ole miss. Team one

506
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty fifth strength to. Schedule we don't really

507
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 4: know what their weaknesses are because everything looks like a

508
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 4: strength despite the easy. Schedule they're thirty third and pass, Blocking,

509
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 4: like how is this schedule you've gone up against not

510
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 4: give you barely inside the top thirty five and pass blocking.

511
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:39,199
Speaker 5: GRATING i don't understand.

512
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 4: It SO i Think Jackson dart's going to get some

513
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 4: pressure here and then we'll see what he can.

514
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 5: Do you, know as far.

515
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 4: As doing, things he had massive improvement last year when

516
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 4: he had a crowd of. Pockets so for, me this

517
00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:54,240
Speaker 4: was a real old miss resume eyeball statistical data point

518
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:55,880
Speaker 4: THAT i really, needed SO i wasn't going to get.

519
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 4: INVOLVED i do think the numbers too. HIGH i do

520
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 4: Think kintucker's value On, kentucky but it's got to be

521
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 4: the defense and they cannot get into a fast paced.

522
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:04,879
Speaker 4: Game Bush hampden has to call it. SLOW i know

523
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,120
Speaker 4: he wants to put tempo in this. Offense he has

524
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 4: got to call this slow and That kentucky defensive line

525
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:12,239
Speaker 4: has to expose this ole miss offensive line that for

526
00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:14,639
Speaker 4: some reason is not up to snuff and pass blocking

527
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:15,440
Speaker 4: against the schedule they've.

528
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 2: Had there's also a path here where Just kentucky can't

529
00:25:17,800 --> 00:25:22,200
Speaker 2: score at. All All, Right minnesota At iowa Aka, michigan

530
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:25,160
Speaker 2: who's the New? IOWA i would Like minnesota catching double.

531
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 2: DIGITS i Like i'm super low In. Michigan the look

532
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:30,880
Speaker 2: they credit to them for winning that game AGAINST. Us

533
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,200
Speaker 2: he was an all out. Effort but now there's tape

534
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:34,639
Speaker 2: on what they want to. Do they can't throw the

535
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 2: ball at. ALL i Know minnesota got gutted By Caleb

536
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 2: johnson last, week who's a hell of a. BACK i

537
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 2: think we'll play in THE. Nfl gave off some explosives,

538
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:44,920
Speaker 2: there BUT i still like the defensive. Line they're just

539
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 2: going to load the box. Here they know What misig's

540
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,480
Speaker 2: going to. Do this game is going to be so

541
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:51,159
Speaker 2: slow the. Minutes, MINNESOTA i don't know how they're going

542
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 2: to really move. It their. Interior their offensive line is really.

543
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:57,160
Speaker 2: Struggling that's not a good thing Against. Michigan they got

544
00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,800
Speaker 2: one really good receiver In, jackson But michigan has one

545
00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:01,680
Speaker 2: really a good corner who had a pick six in

546
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,120
Speaker 2: the second play of the. Game and these two teams

547
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,360
Speaker 2: played last. Year seems Like Will johnson has a pick

548
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,119
Speaker 2: six every. Week i'm not Sure Daris taylor is like fully.

549
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 2: Healthy they can't get their run game. Going it's SO

550
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 2: i lean, UNDER i Lean. Minnesota you KNOW i put

551
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:17,879
Speaker 2: those two. TOGETHER i just Want minnesota to hand it

552
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,119
Speaker 2: off and punt. It The minnesota special teams are kind

553
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:22,640
Speaker 2: of a mess, Too like they're punters punning these line.

554
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,639
Speaker 2: Drives you can't flip the. Field that could be problematic

555
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,680
Speaker 2: for a total this. Low SO i BUT i combine all,

556
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 2: that And i'm looking at A michigan team total. UNDER

557
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,800
Speaker 2: i would love to get like twenty. Three michigan could

558
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 2: win this, game like twenty to. THREE i might Go

559
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 2: michigan team total.

560
00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 4: Under let's look at it this, way BECAUSE i have

561
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 4: not made a play And i'm not Sure i'm going

562
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,480
Speaker 4: To you already mentioned special, teams Like minnesota is one

563
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:49,359
Speaker 4: hundred and twelveth Of michigan, second so there's just a

564
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:50,200
Speaker 4: huge discrepancy.

565
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 2: There and can't make a kick. Either their kicker was

566
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:54,439
Speaker 2: good last, year you. Can't he missed like four or five,

567
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:55,760
Speaker 2: kicks already costing THE unc.

568
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 4: Game there's some really big issues For minnesota in this.

569
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:00,919
Speaker 4: Game what's the best trade for?

570
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:01,320
Speaker 5: Them on?

571
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 4: Defense it's against the, pass, well not applicable in this game.

572
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:09,440
Speaker 4: Whatsoever it doesn't matter That minnesota can defend.

573
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 5: The pass in this.

574
00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 4: Game so then you go and you look at What iowa,

575
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 4: did And iowa, steamrolled bullied their way Over minnesota fifty

576
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:19,919
Speaker 4: six percent success rate in forty four rushing attempts a

577
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:23,159
Speaker 4: very low twenty two percent stuff. Rate When iowa ran the,

578
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,720
Speaker 4: ball they created eight explosive. Runs The iowa rushing attack

579
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:28,920
Speaker 4: created eight explosive. Runs and you could say that's All Caleb,

580
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:32,920
Speaker 4: Johnson michigan's capable of doing this. Too minnesota's forty six

581
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 4: the defensive rushing success. Rate their lineyards are down at

582
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 4: sixty second and If michigan gets into short yard, situation bank,

583
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 4: it they're gonna make. It minnesota is one hundred and

584
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,359
Speaker 4: seventeenth in defensive stuff. Rate they're just they're not controlling

585
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 4: the line of scrimmage when you have. To now there's another.

586
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 4: ONE i went a little bit deeper than. That minnesota's

587
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:54,680
Speaker 4: efficiency against the rush takes a complete nose dive when

588
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 4: offenses line up in, twelve when they go from a

589
00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 4: one tight end to a two tight end and a running.

590
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 4: Attack michigan's gonna run With Alex orgie that inside. ZONE

591
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:06,280
Speaker 4: i can't amount an orgy. Guy and the fact That

592
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 4: iowa was able to generate eight explosives on the ground

593
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 4: And minnesota one hundred and seventy the defensive stuff, RIGHT

594
00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:15,159
Speaker 4: i could. NOT i just cannot Take minnesota at all

595
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 4: in any shape or form in this.

596
00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:18,480
Speaker 2: GAME i can't believe about to say, this but you

597
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 2: do have to respect To iowa passing attack more than

598
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,920
Speaker 2: The MICHIGAN i am waiting to see if close And

599
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 2: loveland will play. TOO i think he's he's important for

600
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:28,200
Speaker 2: just like some of the play action easy. Throws that

601
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 2: orgy could at a good old fashioned ORGY Byu. BAYLOR

602
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 2: i Like baylor hair three or. Better i'm not a

603
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:40,479
Speaker 2: believer in THIS byu. Team that. Look they beat AN

604
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 2: smu team at coin foot game that was in disarray

605
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 2: at the. Time last, week they Rolled Kansas. State complete

606
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 2: misleading box. Score they had like four touchdowns into a

607
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 2: two minute, span all because of, turnovers a punt return,

608
00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 2: touched a crazy punt return, touchdown then a bunch of

609
00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 2: turnovers inside The Kansas state on twenty. Five it was.

610
00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 2: Insane another defensive, touchdown very misleading box. Score they can't

611
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:07,800
Speaker 2: run the. BALL i don't Think martin's gonna Play retz

612
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 2: last week getting away with. THROWS i think This baylor

613
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 2: defense has improved With randa taking the reins upgrade With,

614
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,720
Speaker 2: robertson so Are robintson at. QUARTERBACK i think Day Kwon

615
00:29:19,800 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 2: finn will be back to speak for some, packages WHICH

616
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 2: i think is big because you can use a running

617
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 2: quarterback against THIS byu. Team but just classic, Spot baylor

618
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 2: should have Beat, colorado lose on a Hail mary than

619
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:31,880
Speaker 2: fumble at the goal. LINE i think the defensive defense has.

620
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 2: Improved offense still struggles a. Bit this over just took,

621
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 2: money which is bizarre to. Me would, like look at

622
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 2: the end of there AND byu just not a be

623
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:42,960
Speaker 2: lead in this. Offense YET i Think baylor gets it

624
00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 2: done at home three.

625
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 4: Or, better THOUGH i think the total was. SHAPED i really,

626
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:47,960
Speaker 4: do because it's an underplay all the. Way when you

627
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 4: look at the, spot Says baylor, TOO i mean the

628
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:52,840
Speaker 4: loss To colorado and THEN byu a, huge outright home

629
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:55,560
Speaker 4: underdog victory late at. Night in, provo to, me this

630
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 4: spot Screams. Baylor but to more, Importantly baylor's defense is

631
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 4: sixteenth and defensive asking success rate their twenty ninth and

632
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 4: creating contested. Catches and you're right About jake Rretz. Leaf

633
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 4: he's playing above what his talent level. Is he had

634
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 4: six turnaver earthy plays AGAINST smu And. Wyoming that's going

635
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 4: to translate. Here and when you look At baylor's their

636
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 4: offense is just dependent on the explosive passing Of Sawyer.

637
00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:19,600
Speaker 4: Robertson he has AN a dot of twelve Against. COLORADO

638
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 4: i JUST i don't see it happening here For baylor

639
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 4: to create explosive players and get points on the. BOARD

640
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 4: byu is playing above their heads when it comes to

641
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 4: the quarterback. Position And baylor's defense actually is pretty good

642
00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:29,840
Speaker 4: against the.

643
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 5: Pass give me the.

644
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:34,360
Speaker 2: Under Miss State Texas Miss state ten years ago was

645
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 2: number one in the. Nation now they're catching thirty eight

646
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 2: and a half at the number one team in the.

647
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 2: Nation Blake shapin. Out speaking Of, Shapin, Shapin Blake shapin

648
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 2: is out for the. Year you're going to start a freshman.

649
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 2: Quarterback yours is fifty to fifty to. Go could Be.

650
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 2: Manning by the, Way manning has double THE a dot of.

651
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 2: Yours two Things i'm watching more are, Like i'd want

652
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 2: to let you know it's easier to lay it If ers,

653
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 2: starts because then you know you're to Get manning. After

654
00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 2: it's not a great spot For, texas like they Have

655
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 2: oklahoma And alabama on, deck like do they really care

656
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 2: about this? Game But Missisippi state is starting a freshman a,

657
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 2: quarterback and are they going to still go as fast

658
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 2: as they usually do because that's not ideal when you're

659
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:16,160
Speaker 2: way over. Match SO i don't, know can't bet this

660
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,040
Speaker 2: game too much uncertainty anything.

661
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 4: There, yeah there's two Bets i'm. Considering one will go

662
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 4: into the App The horns are going into a bye

663
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 4: week after this, game And Jeff Levy cash your tickets

664
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 4: at Media day, SAID i don't care what the situation.

665
00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:30,840
Speaker 4: Is we're going as fast as. Possible twenty one point

666
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,520
Speaker 4: six seconds play and you're gonna go up against This texas.

667
00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 4: TEAM i Think texas will be all in first, quarter second.

668
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:37,880
Speaker 4: QUARTER i think the second half of this game is

669
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 4: going to be a Complete. Yonner The bulldogs defense is

670
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 4: dead last in pass, rush coverage grading and. Havoc their

671
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:47,360
Speaker 4: defense is that. Bad give me A texas first half

672
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,320
Speaker 4: minus twenty three and a. Half are Potentially texas over

673
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 4: thirty four and a half in the first half is there?

674
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 4: TOO i think the second half is just going to

675
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 4: be a Completey. Honor So i'm looking at ways to

676
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:56,880
Speaker 4: Bet texas or the over in the first.

677
00:31:56,920 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 2: Half wisconsin AT usc speaking a backup quarterback lock. Stinks

678
00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:04,800
Speaker 2: this is probably A usc. Smashed you got anything, There,

679
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 2: NO i.

680
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 4: Mean the consideration for the. OVERDOG i, MEAN i Mean

681
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,960
Speaker 4: whiskey's in the bottom half of ALL fbs. Ranks that

682
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:12,040
Speaker 4: looks at pass. Defense that's not good Against Miller, moss

683
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:15,200
Speaker 4: who needs a redemption tour right. Now so and This

684
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,600
Speaker 4: wisconsin offense we've harped on a week after. Week they

685
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 4: cannot create. Space everything is a contested. Catch the offense is,

686
00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 4: broken And long goes on his way out the. Door so,

687
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:26,360
Speaker 4: yeah USC's get redemption.

688
00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:28,560
Speaker 2: Game the way to BEAT, usc you've got to have

689
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 2: a really good defensive. LINE i think the weakness is

690
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 2: their offensive. Line wisconsin does not have That Ohio state

691
00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 2: lane close to twenty four At Michigan. State Ohio state

692
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 2: hasn't played anybody.

693
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:40,760
Speaker 4: Yet this is a tough team right. Here we're proud

694
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 4: to be From.

695
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 2: Ohio and it's always Been ohio against the.

696
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:45,840
Speaker 4: World it'll continue to Be ohio against the. World.

697
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 2: THERE i have some questions about This Ohio state. Team

698
00:32:48,320 --> 00:32:50,600
Speaker 2: right side of the offensive, line the tight end, room

699
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 2: the tight end, room has been terrible the defensive line

700
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:56,280
Speaker 2: as they should be getting more, pressure Like marshall's offensive

701
00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 2: line was holding up the times that this game is

702
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 2: to bet because it's going to come down to eight

703
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 2: And child's chucking. It does he hit a couple or

704
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 2: does he? Not he's six of twenty five with five

705
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:10,200
Speaker 2: turnover worthy plays on throws twenty plus yards. Downfield he's

706
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 2: also has one touchdown six interceptions under. Pressure he's capable

707
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 2: of making some crazy. Throws he also might turn it

708
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 2: over a bunch his ultimate checkle and. Hide he's going

709
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 2: to chuck it. Downfield does he hit a? Couple if he,

710
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 2: Does Michigan state. Covers But i'll be watching this game

711
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 2: just to learn a little bit more About. Michigan About Ohio,

712
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:28,920
Speaker 2: STATE i have some questions, about just like their defensive.

713
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:31,400
Speaker 2: Line i'm talking to questions about like can they win

714
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 2: the national deb defensive? Line can they get pressure that

715
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 2: right side of the offensive, line the tight end? Room

716
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 2: can someone? Emerge so nothing there for, me anything for.

717
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 4: You Ohio state's one hundred and thirty first in strength of.

718
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:44,640
Speaker 4: Schedule they're In old Miss. Territory we need a real

719
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 4: data point before we can judge. Them it's not going

720
00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 4: to be In Michigan state for me Because aid And

721
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 4: child's in that offense is one hundred and fourteenth and havoc.

722
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 4: Allowed they're making way too many mistakes and they can't

723
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 4: do any pass.

724
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 5: Blocking so this is a pass for me.

725
00:33:55,440 --> 00:34:01,440
Speaker 2: Completely The Colin wilson fade special is you AT ucla Hosting.

726
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:05,560
Speaker 2: Oregon you couldn't win a bet On ucla When Dante

727
00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:07,360
Speaker 2: moore was on the. Field, well he will be on

728
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 2: the field as the backup At. Oregon oregon laying a

729
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 2: big number. HERE i got enough In UCLA's offensive line

730
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,320
Speaker 2: is so, bad BUT i don't want to lay a

731
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 2: big number here With. Oregon what do you.

732
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:23,880
Speaker 4: Got, well the one way to attack The oregon defense

733
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,160
Speaker 4: is to do it on the. Ground, SADLY ucla is

734
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:28,279
Speaker 4: one hundred and thirty first in rushing success. Rate they're

735
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 4: not good one hundred and twenty ninth in the line.

736
00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:32,600
Speaker 4: Yards this is An oregon play that they were in

737
00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 4: consideration for. Overdog but the problem IS i make the

738
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:36,759
Speaker 4: number like twenty one and a, half.

739
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 5: So it is juice a little bit too.

740
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,040
Speaker 4: Much probably play it, live BUT i do favor The

741
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 4: ducks And Dante.

742
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 2: Moore, Well colin's betting On dante more in you so

743
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 2: you know what to. Do Fresno state AT UNL a

744
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 2: really interesting game With Matthew sluca news he won't Play

745
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 2: Hodgma League. Williams it was a close battle in fall. Camp,

746
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:57,600
Speaker 2: LIKE i think the market kind of overreacted. Here, yep

747
00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:00,160
Speaker 2: there is some uncertainty like how does the locker and?

748
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 2: React BUT i Think Ricky white will be. Happy get

749
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 2: him his.

750
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 4: Tweet tweet, though, right, yeah he's.

751
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 2: Celebratory uh. Sluka, look he keeps completing like forty percent

752
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:13,719
Speaker 2: of his. Passes he threw for one hundred and fifty

753
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,120
Speaker 2: total yards Against kansas and in their two. Wins it's

754
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:19,360
Speaker 2: been about the. Defense THE unl defense has significantly. Improved

755
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 2: sluca did have a seventeen point six yard a, dot

756
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:26,280
Speaker 2: which is number one by over four yards among qualified.

757
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:29,840
Speaker 2: Quarterbacks so he would chuck it a, lot which contributed

758
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,680
Speaker 2: to some of that completion, percentage that low completion, percentage

759
00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:34,719
Speaker 2: but he was basically running, it And Malik williams can,

760
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:37,759
Speaker 2: run maybe providing more juice in the passing. GAME i

761
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 2: think this is probably too much of an over, direction

762
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:40,879
Speaker 2: like Unob.

763
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:44,799
Speaker 4: Hodje Maleik williams threw for six three hundred yards At.

764
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:47,479
Speaker 4: Campbell the guy can throw the ball has a deeper roll, Humps,

765
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 4: yeah roll.

766
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:50,400
Speaker 5: Homes we love Our, campbell.

767
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:54,799
Speaker 3: The Campbell university candles From Bully's, Creek North.

768
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,440
Speaker 4: Carolina fresno just not going to be good enough on

769
00:35:57,560 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 4: offense to get into what is the bad part of

770
00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:01,800
Speaker 4: THIS u and, defense which is defending the. Run president

771
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,839
Speaker 4: right now is ninety third in offensive rushing Success right

772
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:08,360
Speaker 4: SO unlv is shutting drives down to their fourteenth in

773
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 4: quality drives on. Defense teams are just not getting methodicals

774
00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:14,719
Speaker 4: against UNLV's. Defense let's back that go, Go let's Back.

775
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 4: Hodje The slucas stuff is all just a.

776
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:37,480
Speaker 2: Noise two other quick ones for, me App, STATE i like,

777
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 2: them the bounced back catching over a field. GOAL i

778
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 2: think this line's too high because look and they extra

779
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:42,800
Speaker 2: day to. Prepare liberty was playing to like three in the.

780
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:45,560
Speaker 2: Morning liberty's banged. Up one of their best players on

781
00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 2: defense had a concussion last. Week they just haven't been.

782
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 2: Good they got lucky AGAINST ccu to cover that. Number

783
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 2: they were not good the three weeks. Prior this team MISSUS.

784
00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:56,120
Speaker 2: Cj daniels a. RECEIVER i think App states defense shows

785
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 2: up here for getting. Embarrassed they actually. Tackle and if

786
00:36:58,760 --> 00:37:01,040
Speaker 2: you look at the similar data point between these two, TEAMS.

787
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:04,640
Speaker 2: Ecu App state played AT ecu WHEN ecu had its

788
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:07,600
Speaker 2: first round draftics still a corner which they didn't have Against.

789
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:11,279
Speaker 2: Liberty App state's offense was better Than liberty's. Was so

790
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 2: give me App state at home in. Boone AND i

791
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:17,839
Speaker 2: also Like South florida Against. Tulane give me the better

792
00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:21,840
Speaker 2: quarterback In brown and these two TEAMS i have basically

793
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 2: even on a. NEUTRAL i Think mensa is due to

794
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,320
Speaker 2: make some. MISTAKES i don't believe in that offensive line

795
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:31,760
Speaker 2: Or tulane and they just don't have an edge. RUSH

796
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 2: i THINK i Think South florida wins this. Game so

797
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:34,600
Speaker 2: give me the.

798
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:46,719
Speaker 1: Bulls southland OR, Sec Big sky Or Big.

799
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 4: Ten it's time to PLAY fc yes.

800
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:58,760
Speaker 2: Or NO fcs or NO Ut martin At Kanessall, state Kannisall,

801
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 2: state small. FAVORITE i make them small, dog GO u T,

802
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,320
Speaker 2: martin lock up That Kennessall state wind total. Under And

803
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:07,480
Speaker 2: i'd also look At fordham At. Monmouth mama thought that

804
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:09,920
Speaker 2: big win AT. FIU i think you might be able

805
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:12,960
Speaker 2: to get a good inflated. Number there anything for U fcs.

806
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:17,040
Speaker 2: Zero all, right it's time for some, trash.

807
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:18,560
Speaker 1: The trash man pick of the.

808
00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:20,240
Speaker 2: Week i'm the trash.

809
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 4: Man just throw me the, trash your, garbage and you know,

810
00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 4: it totally, unreliable undependentble of.

811
00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 2: It that's. It you've been told. Off how do you like?

812
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:28,239
Speaker 3: That?

813
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:31,759
Speaker 2: Good it's time to get the. Trash. Hoh like last

814
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 2: the last couple of, years it's been a slow start

815
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:38,360
Speaker 2: to the. Trash let's start with the. Trash here IS

816
00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 2: u AND. C i have to give it up seventy

817
00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:48,359
Speaker 2: points TO. JMU i LIKE unc to bounce. Back here At,

818
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 2: Duke duke has BEAT i, mean, LOOK i Know duke's

819
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 2: four and oh they have Beat northwestern.

820
00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:57,560
Speaker 4: Gave it to, him gave it to.

821
00:38:57,640 --> 00:38:59,800
Speaker 2: Him the should have lost that. Game they boy elon

822
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:03,080
Speaker 2: the couldn't put him away to till. Late they Beat Middle.

823
00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:06,839
Speaker 2: Tennessee who's. Horrendous who's down seven or eight starters in that.

824
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:10,640
Speaker 2: Game and by the, way in that game Against Middle,

825
00:39:10,680 --> 00:39:14,440
Speaker 2: tennessee you want to talk about a misleading final, SCORE

826
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:16,640
Speaker 2: i mean it was pretty crazy How duke scored in that.

827
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:19,120
Speaker 2: Game and they Beat yukon by. Five they trailed in

828
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:20,799
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter at home To. Yukon by the, way

829
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 2: but not only Did Middle Tennessee state have a ton

830
00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:25,279
Speaker 2: of starters out on both sides of the, ball they

831
00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 2: lost by twenty. Eight the net yardage was basically. Even Here's.

832
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 2: Duke duke scored touchdowns of. One here's are the touchdown drives, one, fourteen,

833
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:39,359
Speaker 2: twenty and twenty four On Middle Tennessee state. Turnovers they

834
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:42,960
Speaker 2: had one long touchdown drive the entire. Game on that,

835
00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 2: Drive Middle Tennessee state are roughing the punter to keep

836
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:49,440
Speaker 2: the drive love and Then duke fumbled it and recovered.

837
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:52,400
Speaker 2: IT i, mean that's. It duke can't run the ball

838
00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:54,319
Speaker 2: there one hundred and thirty first and rush success. RATE

839
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:56,880
Speaker 2: unc wanted to worry about a mobile quarterback this. Week

840
00:39:57,160 --> 00:40:00,120
Speaker 2: murphy doesn't run. It Chris well has been. OKAY i

841
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:03,400
Speaker 2: Trust Jeff collins have. This they took. Accountability their DEFENSE

842
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:04,840
Speaker 2: i think will be ready To they just had a

843
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:08,880
Speaker 2: ton of coverage bus and this dude team is Significantly

844
00:40:09,120 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 2: they've beatn. Nobody they've gotten lucky in some of the

845
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 2: games turnovers to turnover. MARGIN i Know diez will have

846
00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:19,240
Speaker 2: that defense creating, havoc but give me unc bouncing back

847
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 2: off that just. Embarrassing embarrassing effort doesn't happen. Often but

848
00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 2: road dogs after allowing seventy or more points twenty two

849
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:32,600
Speaker 2: and eleven against the spread historically sixty. PERCENT i make

850
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,480
Speaker 2: this a coin, flip agree or disagree?

851
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:36,960
Speaker 4: Approved this trash is approved you and.

852
00:40:37,040 --> 00:40:38,840
Speaker 3: See he should know.

853
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:43,240
Speaker 2: Better Same James akron At. Ohio we're going to the trash,

854
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:49,520
Speaker 2: both so we're taking the. Points This ohio team. Stinks,

855
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:52,400
Speaker 2: yes they Beat South, alabama But Go lopez was. Out

856
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:55,359
Speaker 2: their quarterback was out in that game Against Morgan, State Parker,

857
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:57,239
Speaker 2: navarro who's banged. Up they say he's going to Go

858
00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:59,640
Speaker 2: who's backup's even worse And ohio has a bunch of.

859
00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,280
Speaker 2: Injuries both these teams played a tough non Con akron

860
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 2: played a brutal. Line they were feist here than the

861
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:06,759
Speaker 2: final score show like over the first three quarters they

862
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:09,239
Speaker 2: just wore. Down they obviously don't have the, talent BUT

863
00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:13,759
Speaker 2: i actually like This akron defense for max. Standards Park

864
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 2: navarro got benched in the second quarter at home Against Morgan.

865
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:19,400
Speaker 2: Stakes he threw three. Picks give me the zips and the.

866
00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:23,400
Speaker 4: Points this has Approved akron has played the third toughest

867
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:26,399
Speaker 4: strength of, schedule and they have the seventy eighth best pass.

868
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:28,719
Speaker 5: Rush and when you hear seventy, eighth you don't think that's.

869
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:31,760
Speaker 4: Something it actually is For akron and the third strength

870
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,040
Speaker 4: of schedule to have that kind of rank and pass. Rush,

871
00:41:34,120 --> 00:41:36,360
Speaker 4: yeah they'll be all over whoever is playing quarterback For.

872
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 2: Ohio, yeah they showed me, enough like competing, wise like

873
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:43,680
Speaker 2: early Against South, carolina early Against Ohio, state early Against.

874
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:47,399
Speaker 2: Rutgers those are teams that have been very good this year.

875
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:49,920
Speaker 2: Too that's it for the trash this. Week just unc

876
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:54,360
Speaker 2: An akron a smaller trash. Car all, right let's go nowhere.

877
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:59,799
Speaker 2: Fast you are about to enter a world unlike any

878
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:04,200
Speaker 2: you've ever seen, before where the, beautiful the, brutal and.

879
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:05,120
Speaker 4: The brave all.

880
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 2: Meat all, Right San Diego state, totals we've hit everyone

881
00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:26,880
Speaker 2: so far this. Year WELL i should say you hit.

882
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 2: EVERYONE i didn't necessarily agree with you on the first.

883
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 2: One San Diego. State At Central, MICHIGAN i kind of

884
00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 2: Like Central michigan burta manually. Back they have some more

885
00:42:35,600 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 2: packages for him in.

886
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:39,040
Speaker 4: There these coaches know each. Other they know each other.

887
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:41,920
Speaker 2: Too, yes that's. True San Diego. State we don't know

888
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:43,960
Speaker 2: which freshman's going to start a, quarterback but it's. Ugly

889
00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:44,759
Speaker 2: they can't really move the.

890
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:46,960
Speaker 4: Ball, Yeah i'm going under here all the. WAY i

891
00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:50,200
Speaker 4: project this at forty Six San Diego state's twenty four

892
00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 4: seconds per, play but they're near, dead lasting quality drives

893
00:42:52,560 --> 00:42:54,719
Speaker 4: and finishing. Drives they can't get down the, field they

894
00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:57,880
Speaker 4: can't cash in on scoring. Opportunities they've actually been pretty

895
00:42:57,920 --> 00:43:00,759
Speaker 4: decent against the past their fifteenth and success rating as

896
00:43:00,800 --> 00:43:03,240
Speaker 4: the passer twenty seventh and coverage. Grading i'm actually surprised

897
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 4: The aztecs are that good against teams that pass And

898
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:08,800
Speaker 4: Central michigan's one hundred and twentyth on offensive finishing. Drives

899
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 4: that could change With Burt emanuel coming, in but The

900
00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:14,120
Speaker 4: chips have just not been able to find points, whatsoever

901
00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:16,160
Speaker 4: one of the worst in the nation catching in on scoring.

902
00:43:16,200 --> 00:43:19,759
Speaker 4: Opportunities under, HERE i know fifty three is not, KEY

903
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:21,960
Speaker 4: i make it forty. SIX i still think we got

904
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:22,960
Speaker 4: rumedor on the under.

905
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:26,239
Speaker 2: Here all? Right and before we go three and, Out

906
00:43:26,840 --> 00:43:30,480
Speaker 2: colin got An arkansas game this weekend In arlington Against

907
00:43:30,520 --> 00:43:33,080
Speaker 2: TEXAS a AND. M is we even going to PLAY

908
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:36,000
Speaker 2: i don't know a game play might SO i don't.

909
00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:38,120
Speaker 2: KNOW i, CAN'T i. DON'T i would rather them stick With.

910
00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 1: Red, woo pick suy, absolute dumpster, fine dumpster.

911
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:44,719
Speaker 4: FINE i don't know how we win a game the

912
00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:47,080
Speaker 4: rest of the, year just following program. Up give us

913
00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 4: a death. Sentence collin's talking razorback football if we even.

914
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:53,359
Speaker 5: PLAYS i want to Take.

915
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:56,160
Speaker 4: Arkansas If Marcel reid, PLAYS i want to take the,

916
00:43:56,200 --> 00:43:57,880
Speaker 4: over WHICH i did take the over BECAUSE i was

917
00:43:57,960 --> 00:43:59,920
Speaker 4: under the impression That Marcel reid was going to play the.

918
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 4: Game arkansas's defense is just they're having a lot of

919
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,479
Speaker 4: issues in a lot of. Areas, specifically they're one hundred

920
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:09,040
Speaker 4: and twenty eighth in creating contested. Catches this secondary is a,

921
00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:12,279
Speaker 4: liability a complete. Liability they've had a lot of injuries back.

922
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:14,520
Speaker 4: There corner play has been pretty. Good the safeties are

923
00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:16,400
Speaker 4: the ones that are having a lot of. Problems the

924
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 4: other REASON i like the over is because of What

925
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:21,240
Speaker 4: Taylor green has, become WHICH i think is What Bobby

926
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:23,799
Speaker 4: patrino has wanted him. Become When Taylor green was A

927
00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:26,520
Speaker 4: Boise state he never left the pocket more than eight

928
00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 4: times a. GAME i, mean his rushing attempts were about

929
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:31,359
Speaker 4: six to eight times a game in his last three.

930
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:35,239
Speaker 4: Games he's, twelve thirteen and. Fifteen only once in his

931
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 4: Tire boise career did he ever get up to fifteen

932
00:44:37,640 --> 00:44:40,960
Speaker 4: rushing attempts in a single. Game patrino is using him

933
00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:44,160
Speaker 4: in bootlegs and rollouts and either using his legs to

934
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:46,680
Speaker 4: get first downs or he's chucking it deep to as

935
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 4: slew a wide receivers that he's getting comfortable with Ja

936
00:44:49,160 --> 00:44:51,759
Speaker 4: Quindon jackson eight tds on the, year and just absolutely

937
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:55,480
Speaker 4: mauling everybody that he gets in front. OF i like

938
00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:57,279
Speaker 4: the over in this, game BUT i will say, this

939
00:44:57,360 --> 00:45:00,040
Speaker 4: If wegman's gonna, play there could be a lit a

940
00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:02,600
Speaker 4: little bit of a first half under buyout BECAUSE i

941
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:06,440
Speaker 4: have more confidence In Marcell reid running That TEXAS a

942
00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:10,759
Speaker 4: AND m, offense especially against a Pore arkansas secondary that

943
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:13,880
Speaker 4: does give up. Explosives SO i like the, over BUT

944
00:45:14,120 --> 00:45:16,160
Speaker 4: i Need Marcel read to play before we get out.

945
00:45:16,200 --> 00:45:17,040
Speaker 2: Here let's go three and.

946
00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 1: Out let's make it a quick three and, Out.

947
00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:27,759
Speaker 2: Colin let's jump right in to Some friday night.

948
00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:33,040
Speaker 4: Lights let's, here, gentlemen clear, eyes full. Hearts let's go

949
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:33,440
Speaker 4: play some.

950
00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 2: Football let's start down south With Virginia tech taking On.

951
00:45:41,480 --> 00:45:45,800
Speaker 2: Miami as we're recording, THIS i Think miami's a seventeen

952
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite line was creeping. Up Virginia

953
00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:52,520
Speaker 2: tech got, hit came back. Down the line's been floating

954
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:55,920
Speaker 2: between seventeen and twenty under did take some. MONEY i

955
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:59,360
Speaker 2: think it got above the key at fifty five for

956
00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:03,359
Speaker 2: a bit and come. Down we'll see if there's any weather,

957
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:06,640
Speaker 2: impact any field condition. Impact But Virginia tech has been

958
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:11,480
Speaker 2: extremely disappointing so far this. Season had as much for

959
00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:15,319
Speaker 2: turning production as any team in the, country but that

960
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:19,839
Speaker 2: doesn't always translate to. Results, miami, meanwhile has been an

961
00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:25,920
Speaker 2: absolute wagon each and every. Week Covering darling Cam ward

962
00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:30,160
Speaker 2: has been, Awesome like what is the path For Virginia tech? Here,

963
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 2: Look miami's been elite in the trenches. Too you'd expect

964
00:46:33,640 --> 00:46:35,960
Speaker 2: that from a crystal ball offensive. Line they might get

965
00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:39,120
Speaker 2: their starting left tackle back as. Well they even had

966
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:42,239
Speaker 2: some injuries, there even on the defensive. Line they could

967
00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:45,840
Speaker 2: Get bane back. Here at defensive, end even with some

968
00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:48,600
Speaker 2: of the, injuries their top ten and stuff right rush success,

969
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:53,040
Speaker 2: rate sacks tackles for loss on defense offense has been.

970
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:58,239
Speaker 2: Dynamite the one week, area which you see sometimes in

971
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:01,160
Speaker 2: an area is in the red. Zone maybe that's part

972
00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:04,480
Speaker 2: of the path For Virginia. Tech But Virginia tech's, OFFENSE

973
00:47:05,480 --> 00:47:08,040
Speaker 2: i mean, drones has been. Inaccurate the offensive line's been a.

974
00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:11,960
Speaker 2: Struggle they're dealing with some injuries. There they're they're outside

975
00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:14,600
Speaker 2: the top one hundred in sacks allowed and tackles for loss.

976
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:18,400
Speaker 2: Allow that doesn't bode well Against. Miami hard for me

977
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:20,600
Speaker 2: to see How Virginia tech wants to attack this because

978
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 2: they're not really having much success on a down to down.

979
00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:26,200
Speaker 2: BASIS i don't know what the best path is here

980
00:47:26,680 --> 00:47:29,880
Speaker 2: For Virginia tech struggle Bus, City but is this the

981
00:47:29,960 --> 00:47:34,000
Speaker 2: time to potentially buy the dip sell high On? Miami

982
00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:34,680
Speaker 2: what are you seeing?

983
00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:37,080
Speaker 4: HERE i make it seventeen And i'm just kind of

984
00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 4: looking at nineteen THINKING i make a case For Virginia. Tech,

985
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:43,920
Speaker 4: well this is one of the worst offenses in all

986
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:45,759
Speaker 4: of the power for teams right now in terms of.

987
00:47:45,760 --> 00:47:47,880
Speaker 4: Success right you mentioned what they. Are it's bad on the,

988
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:50,839
Speaker 4: ground it's bad through the. Air but The, hurricanes if

989
00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:53,600
Speaker 4: you look in their, numbers they're top fifteen in line

990
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:56,200
Speaker 4: yards and stuff right on. Defense that means they're controlling

991
00:47:56,200 --> 00:47:56,600
Speaker 4: the line of.

992
00:47:56,600 --> 00:47:57,480
Speaker 5: Scrimmage so even.

993
00:47:57,360 --> 00:48:00,200
Speaker 4: If Virginia tech has a third and, Two i'm not

994
00:48:00,239 --> 00:48:01,239
Speaker 4: going to convert.

995
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:03,239
Speaker 2: The way to beat This miami. Team you need a

996
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:05,520
Speaker 2: team that with a good offensive line to control their

997
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:10,720
Speaker 2: pass rush AND i consistent passing. Attack that's Not Virginia

998
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 2: tech right.

999
00:48:11,200 --> 00:48:14,799
Speaker 4: Now third downs heavily favor The canes here first in.

1000
00:48:14,880 --> 00:48:19,080
Speaker 2: Conversions, yeah sixty four percent on third downs going back

1001
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:23,080
Speaker 2: to twenty. Twenty the highest single season third down conversion

1002
00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:26,200
Speaker 2: PERCENTAGE i believe was in twenty twenty With alabama when

1003
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 2: they were at like fifty eight fifty nine. Percent miami's

1004
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:33,080
Speaker 2: sniffing sixty five. Percent you have to.

1005
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:35,400
Speaker 4: Get the running game going with tootin drones and their

1006
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 4: zone READ i don't see that. HAPPENING i think there's

1007
00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:40,640
Speaker 4: a reason this number has flown through everybody's power rating

1008
00:48:40,680 --> 00:48:42,640
Speaker 4: of seventeen up to nineteen nineteen and a, half AND

1009
00:48:42,680 --> 00:48:44,759
Speaker 4: i think the buyback is because they're just simply math

1010
00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:47,080
Speaker 4: guys out there that stick their. Numbers SO i don't

1011
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 4: think there's any reason that anybody can legitimately say That

1012
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:54,080
Speaker 4: Virginia tech has a really good shot to Give miami

1013
00:48:54,120 --> 00:48:55,840
Speaker 4: a scare and easily cover this.

1014
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,080
Speaker 5: Number it doesn't look good up and down the stat.

1015
00:48:58,080 --> 00:49:01,160
Speaker 2: SHEET i do like the under at fifty five or

1016
00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:03,879
Speaker 2: better at fifty five is obviously a. Key maybe there's

1017
00:49:03,920 --> 00:49:06,920
Speaker 2: a little bit of regression on third down For, miami

1018
00:49:07,040 --> 00:49:09,960
Speaker 2: just natural. Regression let's move on to the second game

1019
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:16,279
Speaker 2: On friday night Between washington And. RUTGERS a big ten,

1020
00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 2: matchup odd to, say but This rutgers team is. Different

1021
00:49:20,960 --> 00:49:23,040
Speaker 2: undefeated on the, air coming off that big win At

1022
00:49:23,120 --> 00:49:26,120
Speaker 2: Virginia tech on the. Surface tricky spot For. Washington they're

1023
00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:29,000
Speaker 2: going across the, country all the way across the country

1024
00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:32,160
Speaker 2: on a short week to take on This rutgers. Team

1025
00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:36,719
Speaker 2: washington look completely turned over their. Roster they do have

1026
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:39,960
Speaker 2: one loss on the season in a close, game rivalry

1027
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:45,120
Speaker 2: game Against Washington. State the glariing thing that sticks out

1028
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:50,000
Speaker 2: to me WHEN i break these teams down is The

1029
00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:54,520
Speaker 2: rutgers run defense has been a bit. VULNERABLE i THINK

1030
00:49:54,560 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 2: i saw you let me, Action. Newcap you have a

1031
00:49:57,239 --> 00:50:01,240
Speaker 2: play here on The. Huskies you're fading your beloved scarlet.

1032
00:50:01,320 --> 00:50:02,760
Speaker 2: Knights huh a week.

1033
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:04,200
Speaker 4: After they Gain it may have made us all some.

1034
00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:06,280
Speaker 4: Cash i'm going to go ahead and go Against rutgers.

1035
00:50:06,280 --> 00:50:08,680
Speaker 4: Here the handicap for me started with the fact THAT

1036
00:50:08,719 --> 00:50:11,560
Speaker 4: i make this. Game washington is like a one point,

1037
00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:14,640
Speaker 4: favorite not as an underdog, here even traveling across, country

1038
00:50:14,680 --> 00:50:17,600
Speaker 4: and you consider in home field. ADVANTAGE i Liked washington

1039
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:19,799
Speaker 4: here and this is Not Virginia tech of last. Week

1040
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:22,840
Speaker 4: this is a very buttoned up defense with the Younger

1041
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:26,120
Speaker 4: belichick in charge. There washington right now is number one

1042
00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:29,279
Speaker 4: IN pff and Tackling washington has been great against the.

1043
00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 4: Pass they're also top fifteen in defensive finishing, drives meaning

1044
00:50:32,680 --> 00:50:35,879
Speaker 4: If rutgers does get a drive past the forty yard,

1045
00:50:35,920 --> 00:50:37,400
Speaker 4: line they're probably not going to get a lot of.

1046
00:50:37,400 --> 00:50:39,880
Speaker 4: Points BUT i think that is further increased by the

1047
00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:41,960
Speaker 4: fact THAT i don't know how many TIMES i Saw

1048
00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:44,200
Speaker 4: rutgers get past the forty Against Virginia, tech and they

1049
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:46,480
Speaker 4: just went completely conservative last. Week they just are a

1050
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:49,920
Speaker 4: very conservative, offense AND i think that's going to make

1051
00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:53,279
Speaker 4: it even easier On washington to stop a lot What

1052
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:56,160
Speaker 4: rutgers wants to. Do. Now the defense For, washington they

1053
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,360
Speaker 4: haven't given up any, explosives like any rush explosives. Whatsoever

1054
00:51:00,080 --> 00:51:02,120
Speaker 4: isn't good at rush. Exposives they can rush the, ball

1055
00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 4: but they're not gonna get chunkyards or one hundred and

1056
00:51:04,160 --> 00:51:07,160
Speaker 4: twenty second and RUSH epa and The ruggers offense they

1057
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:09,120
Speaker 4: can get it down the field at a very slow.

1058
00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:12,719
Speaker 4: Pace it seems to get very conservative and very predictable

1059
00:51:12,760 --> 00:51:14,320
Speaker 4: the closer they get to the goal. Line SO i

1060
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:16,320
Speaker 4: think that's all in play, here and The washington offense

1061
00:51:16,400 --> 00:51:19,120
Speaker 4: just has major advantages here on, paper especially in the

1062
00:51:19,200 --> 00:51:22,640
Speaker 4: rushing attack you mentioned With Jonah. Coleman washington will own the.

1063
00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:25,399
Speaker 4: TRENCH a power rate At washington favored by. One give

1064
00:51:25,440 --> 00:51:27,840
Speaker 4: me The huskies here on the. Road i'd look.

1065
00:51:27,680 --> 00:51:30,000
Speaker 2: Under here as, WELL i, think especially if this gets

1066
00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:33,000
Speaker 2: to forty, FIVE i think both these teams' profiles under,

1067
00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:35,239
Speaker 2: TEAMS i Think washington will go more run heavy. Here

1068
00:51:35,560 --> 00:51:39,920
Speaker 2: let's call it twenty one to seventeen without any flukes

1069
00:51:40,000 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 2: or defensive. Scores by the, way trivia quests for. You Steve,

1070
00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 2: belichick the defensive, COORDINATOR i think's note a good job

1071
00:51:46,120 --> 00:51:49,920
Speaker 2: so far At. Washington can you name the connection between

1072
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:50,719
Speaker 2: him And Greg?

1073
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:54,600
Speaker 4: Ciano Did sheiano coach at The?

1074
00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:57,040
Speaker 2: Browns Steve belichick was his long.

1075
00:51:57,080 --> 00:52:01,160
Speaker 4: SNAPPER i did. Not, yeah, YEAH i think.

1076
00:52:01,200 --> 00:52:04,960
Speaker 2: BELT i think he played lacrosse for three. Years we

1077
00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:07,319
Speaker 2: then played football is last season and then was the

1078
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:12,399
Speaker 2: long snapper and then also was like basically a part time,

1079
00:52:12,480 --> 00:52:15,360
Speaker 2: coach like helping out on the sidelines too With. Shiano

1080
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:19,920
Speaker 2: so little side storyline. There let's move on to second

1081
00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:23,560
Speaker 2: down and talk our favorite. Overdogs for those new, here

1082
00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:27,960
Speaker 2: that's our favorite. Favorites it's called the overdonk. Parlay i'm

1083
00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:31,520
Speaker 2: rolling With Penn state going To Penn, State Nidney lions

1084
00:52:31,560 --> 00:52:36,120
Speaker 2: at home in primetime Against. Illinois this number might seem

1085
00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:39,040
Speaker 2: hive than a matchup of two ranked, Teams but if you're,

1086
00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:44,320
Speaker 2: curious in matchups of two ranked, teams favorites of seventeen

1087
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:48,960
Speaker 2: or more historically forty twenty three against the spread over

1088
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:53,239
Speaker 2: the past twenty seasons sixty three point five, percent and

1089
00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:58,360
Speaker 2: you have Mister James franklin as a. Favorite he's seventy

1090
00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:01,279
Speaker 2: one and forty three against the, spread covering by over

1091
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:06,400
Speaker 2: four points per game sixty five percent when laying double.

1092
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:10,520
Speaker 2: Digits want to throw that out there because it does

1093
00:53:10,600 --> 00:53:13,680
Speaker 2: matter With, franklin because if he's up fourteen, LATE i

1094
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:16,720
Speaker 2: think he does know the number might go for another touchdown,

1095
00:53:16,719 --> 00:53:21,839
Speaker 2: here BUT i show value in this, number AND i

1096
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:25,879
Speaker 2: like it for a number of. Reasons Look illinois better

1097
00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:29,239
Speaker 2: THAN i. Projected the late additions That Kari franklin's been

1098
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:33,080
Speaker 2: huge Him Pat bryant give them a dynamic due at wide.

1099
00:53:33,120 --> 00:53:37,239
Speaker 2: Receiver Luke outmeyer has played. Better HAVE i fully bought in? Yet?

1100
00:53:37,520 --> 00:53:39,919
Speaker 2: NO i mean he has ten touchdowns and no, interceptions

1101
00:53:40,120 --> 00:53:43,800
Speaker 2: four big time, throws four turnover worthy. Plays he's gotten

1102
00:53:43,800 --> 00:53:47,320
Speaker 2: away with some. THROWS i Think Penn state now should

1103
00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:49,880
Speaker 2: have a fully healthy, secondary some guys dealing with some

1104
00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:54,759
Speaker 2: bugs last. Weekend they can guard these. Receivers and by the, Way,

1105
00:53:54,800 --> 00:53:58,399
Speaker 2: altmeyer what do you have four picks Against Penn state last?

1106
00:53:58,480 --> 00:54:02,600
Speaker 2: Year illinois still can't run the ball and not sold

1107
00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:05,160
Speaker 2: on their offensive. Line Penn state should win in the.

1108
00:54:05,160 --> 00:54:10,480
Speaker 2: Trenches and while This illinois defense has, improved the defensive

1109
00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:15,880
Speaker 2: line is not getting any. Pressure i'm not sold on the.

1110
00:54:15,880 --> 00:54:20,800
Speaker 2: Linebackers the secondary's played, well AND i like the Great

1111
00:54:20,840 --> 00:54:23,480
Speaker 2: scotts WHAT i call them the Two. Scotts but this

1112
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:29,760
Speaker 2: is a total nicky offense that just roasted This illinois

1113
00:54:29,760 --> 00:54:33,080
Speaker 2: defense last. Year did that have five hundred and seventy.

1114
00:54:33,160 --> 00:54:36,799
Speaker 2: YARDS i think in that, game and you know Cotal

1115
00:54:36,880 --> 00:54:42,200
Speaker 2: nicky's close with. Lansleep you, Know illinois already Played, kansas

1116
00:54:42,880 --> 00:54:45,200
Speaker 2: So i'm sure he got a lot of intel. There

1117
00:54:45,719 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 2: BUT i think This Penn state offense can Put illinois

1118
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:53,160
Speaker 2: in the spin cycle with all of their. Misdirection Drew

1119
00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:56,319
Speaker 2: aller is playing really. WELL i think this sets up

1120
00:54:56,320 --> 00:54:59,600
Speaker 2: for a blowout Of. Illinois, yes they have two wins

1121
00:54:59,600 --> 00:55:02,319
Speaker 2: OF a rank, teams but they were out played By.

1122
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:07,720
Speaker 2: Illinois that game flipped on a pick six By. Daniels

1123
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:10,920
Speaker 2: and by the, Way kansas shouldn't have been. Ranked have

1124
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:14,440
Speaker 2: you seen them since that wins not aged well and

1125
00:55:15,200 --> 00:55:17,160
Speaker 2: there was a pick six that flipped the game on its,

1126
00:55:17,200 --> 00:55:20,320
Speaker 2: head and they won the turnover battle in that, game

1127
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:23,600
Speaker 2: and then they went a coin flip Against nebraska. Again

1128
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:27,680
Speaker 2: another play that flipped that game is an incredible interception

1129
00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:31,640
Speaker 2: that basically took seven off the board For, nebraska literally

1130
00:55:31,680 --> 00:55:34,880
Speaker 2: a stolen interception with one. Hand you, Know nebraska misses

1131
00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:37,640
Speaker 2: a field goal and they went in, overtime so you,

1132
00:55:37,640 --> 00:55:41,560
Speaker 2: know if either one of those, results it's. FLIPPED i

1133
00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:44,640
Speaker 2: think this line is twenty twenty one where it should,

1134
00:55:44,640 --> 00:55:48,560
Speaker 2: be SO i Like Penn state to get it done.

1135
00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:50,439
Speaker 2: Here any, Thoughts.

1136
00:55:50,640 --> 00:55:52,400
Speaker 4: Yeah you mean The kansas team that had a fifty

1137
00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:55,000
Speaker 4: eight percent postgame win expectancy but lost the game To.

1138
00:55:55,080 --> 00:55:57,640
Speaker 4: Illinois And i'm glad you called Out altmeyer's numbers because

1139
00:55:58,000 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 4: you see that ten To. Zerot but if you go

1140
00:56:01,239 --> 00:56:03,160
Speaker 4: into the big time throws and Turn O worthy plays

1141
00:56:03,200 --> 00:56:04,799
Speaker 4: like you, did it's not that.

1142
00:56:04,880 --> 00:56:05,760
Speaker 5: Good and when.

1143
00:56:05,600 --> 00:56:08,839
Speaker 4: He's, pressured it gets. Worse so if you can find

1144
00:56:08,840 --> 00:56:10,880
Speaker 4: a prop out there for Aj harris at corner to

1145
00:56:10,880 --> 00:56:13,200
Speaker 4: pick off something that's coming to the outside.

1146
00:56:12,800 --> 00:56:16,040
Speaker 5: To brian Or, FRANKLIN i would actually place a bet on.

1147
00:56:16,080 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 4: That love. IT i make it twenty.

1148
00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:18,799
Speaker 5: Two So i'm going to join, you F.

1149
00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:21,160
Speaker 4: Pod i'm going to go With Iowa state as my.

1150
00:56:21,280 --> 00:56:26,560
Speaker 4: Overdog they are hammering people not Named. Iowa that was

1151
00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:28,919
Speaker 4: a tough, game was a good, win But Iowa state

1152
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:29,919
Speaker 4: right now is in full.

1153
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 5: Gear they're coming off a.

1154
00:56:31,480 --> 00:56:34,520
Speaker 4: Bye, week then they posted a fifty burger Against Arkansas.

1155
00:56:34,560 --> 00:56:37,560
Speaker 4: State and how much of that bye week was actually

1156
00:56:37,600 --> 00:56:40,839
Speaker 4: spent preparing For houston instead of preparing For Arkansas. STATE

1157
00:56:40,880 --> 00:56:43,239
Speaker 4: i can't imagine they spent two weeks on the Red.

1158
00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:46,440
Speaker 4: Wolves so the weakness For Iowa state so far has

1159
00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:49,439
Speaker 4: been pass. Blocking they've had seventeen pressures On beck over

1160
00:56:49,440 --> 00:56:51,759
Speaker 4: the last two. Games that would be Against Arkansas state

1161
00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:55,160
Speaker 4: and Against Iowa But houston is one hundred and thirtieth

1162
00:56:55,200 --> 00:56:57,960
Speaker 4: in generating a pass. Rush so if the only weakness

1163
00:56:57,960 --> 00:56:59,879
Speaker 4: At Iowa state has displayed so far is that people

1164
00:56:59,880 --> 00:57:02,000
Speaker 4: are getting The, Beck houston's not going to be one

1165
00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:03,680
Speaker 4: of those teams it's going to be able to get to. Him,

1166
00:57:03,960 --> 00:57:07,080
Speaker 4: now the only avenue for success Against Iowa state is

1167
00:57:07,120 --> 00:57:09,200
Speaker 4: on the. Ground that's really where they've shown just a

1168
00:57:09,200 --> 00:57:13,560
Speaker 4: little bit of weakness on. Defense When, HOUSTON i, mean

1169
00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:15,600
Speaker 4: When houston decides to pass and not be on the,

1170
00:57:15,600 --> 00:57:17,440
Speaker 4: ground they're going to go up against the secondary that's

1171
00:57:17,480 --> 00:57:21,040
Speaker 4: top twenty in the nation and creating contested. Catches nobody's

1172
00:57:21,040 --> 00:57:23,960
Speaker 4: getting a clean look against. That Iowa state three three

1173
00:57:24,120 --> 00:57:27,280
Speaker 4: five in the. Secondary Rashaun, Sandford he's already fumbled the

1174
00:57:27,280 --> 00:57:30,960
Speaker 4: ball twice For. Houston Stacy snead is their second leading running.

1175
00:57:30,960 --> 00:57:34,160
Speaker 4: Back he averages just two point one yards after. Contact

1176
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:36,480
Speaker 4: like it's these are just guys that don't have any,

1177
00:57:36,520 --> 00:57:39,200
Speaker 4: Juice they don't have any, elusiveness And houston's offense is

1178
00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:42,919
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty seventh and finishing. Drives so WHILE

1179
00:57:42,960 --> 00:57:45,240
Speaker 4: i make this number fourteen just about where it is

1180
00:57:45,240 --> 00:57:48,280
Speaker 4: in the, MARKET i don't see a path For houston

1181
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:50,320
Speaker 4: to be able to get on the board. Here in

1182
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:54,800
Speaker 4: twelve drives and only twelve drives where they've crossed the.

1183
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:55,800
Speaker 5: Opponent's forty yard.

1184
00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:59,600
Speaker 4: Line The cougars are averaging two point eight points on

1185
00:57:59,680 --> 00:58:02,280
Speaker 4: twelve drives past the. Forty is just not going to

1186
00:58:02,320 --> 00:58:03,600
Speaker 4: get it. Done you're not going to be able to

1187
00:58:03,600 --> 00:58:05,320
Speaker 4: hang out with a team to just put a fifty. Burger,

1188
00:58:05,720 --> 00:58:07,760
Speaker 4: yes A Sun belt, team but still fifty points a

1189
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:10,640
Speaker 4: lot of. Points and then, finally if you Think houston's gonna,

1190
00:58:10,640 --> 00:58:12,840
Speaker 4: score they're one hundred and thirty first in red zone.

1191
00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:15,920
Speaker 4: Offense there are some severe struggles with This houston offense

1192
00:58:16,400 --> 00:58:18,240
Speaker 4: and their. Path you, know they're not gonna be able

1193
00:58:18,280 --> 00:58:20,600
Speaker 4: to throw the bolt in the air Against Iowa state's.

1194
00:58:20,600 --> 00:58:23,880
Speaker 4: Secondary so give me The cyclones a couple fourteens out.

1195
00:58:23,880 --> 00:58:26,200
Speaker 4: There you got to buy that point down, whatever but

1196
00:58:26,440 --> 00:58:27,800
Speaker 4: overdog all the way from me For Iowa.

1197
00:58:27,840 --> 00:58:31,600
Speaker 2: State all, right good stuff, There let's move on to third.

1198
00:58:31,640 --> 00:58:35,040
Speaker 2: Down and it's our underdog money on, parlay.

1199
00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:42,280
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great. Weekends it's time for the

1200
00:58:42,440 --> 00:58:43,160
Speaker 1: money line.

1201
00:58:43,200 --> 00:58:47,760
Speaker 2: Parlay off to a good start with these, overall and

1202
00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:51,480
Speaker 2: came so close last. Week it was the story of

1203
00:58:51,520 --> 00:58:55,120
Speaker 2: My SATURDAY ecu up seventeen, nothing couldn't hold, on fumble

1204
00:58:55,200 --> 00:58:57,200
Speaker 2: late going in for the, win and then couldn't even

1205
00:58:57,200 --> 00:58:59,840
Speaker 2: get the cover because of a late broken. RUN a

1206
00:58:59,840 --> 00:59:02,600
Speaker 2: good called by who you have? AGAIN i? Forget but

1207
00:59:02,680 --> 00:59:06,720
Speaker 2: you Have. Rutgers. Rutgers, yes, yeah so came. Close let's

1208
00:59:06,720 --> 00:59:10,080
Speaker 2: get there this. Weekend i'm gonna go WITH uab the

1209
00:59:10,120 --> 00:59:15,160
Speaker 2: Fighting Trent dilfers Against. Navy we fully expect bad things to,

1210
00:59:15,240 --> 00:59:19,280
Speaker 2: happen trusting that the bad things that can happen most likely.

1211
00:59:19,320 --> 00:59:21,360
Speaker 2: Will they're sitting At pluster and app first of, ALL

1212
00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:23,840
Speaker 2: i make this game closer to a coin. Flip maybe

1213
00:59:24,040 --> 00:59:26,200
Speaker 2: has taken some money pushed it out past the fuel.

1214
00:59:26,240 --> 00:59:28,800
Speaker 2: GOAL i don't think that THERE'S i mean there's compared

1215
00:59:28,800 --> 00:59:31,880
Speaker 2: to other, games there's a reduced chance this game ends

1216
00:59:31,920 --> 00:59:34,800
Speaker 2: between one and three Because navy number one has kicking

1217
00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:38,320
Speaker 2: issues and they're probably they are more likely to go

1218
00:59:38,400 --> 00:59:41,000
Speaker 2: for it on four downs and other. Teams now THAT

1219
00:59:41,040 --> 00:59:43,160
Speaker 2: i said, that if it's Gonna navy's gonna win by,

1220
00:59:43,160 --> 00:59:46,560
Speaker 2: three of, course BUT i, look this is a tough

1221
00:59:46,560 --> 00:59:48,720
Speaker 2: spot For. NAVY i don't usually like. TO i don't

1222
00:59:48,960 --> 00:59:52,400
Speaker 2: usually factor in spots For Service academy. Teams they usually

1223
00:59:52,400 --> 00:59:54,840
Speaker 2: just show, up handle their. Business but look off that

1224
00:59:54,960 --> 00:59:59,120
Speaker 2: huge emotional win Over. Memphis they Have Air force on,

1225
00:59:59,280 --> 01:00:02,040
Speaker 2: deck which is an important game for. THEM uab is

1226
01:00:02,080 --> 01:00:05,160
Speaker 2: off of a bye and what does that Mean they

1227
01:00:05,160 --> 01:00:08,760
Speaker 2: had two weeks to prepare for this unique offense and

1228
01:00:08,840 --> 01:00:12,840
Speaker 2: maybe has some new. Wrinkles, well NOW uab has three

1229
01:00:13,080 --> 01:00:16,040
Speaker 2: game films of what they're trying to, do AND i

1230
01:00:16,080 --> 01:00:20,240
Speaker 2: do think that uab's short passing attack can have some

1231
01:00:20,280 --> 01:00:23,000
Speaker 2: success against This navy. Team that the secondary is not.

1232
01:00:23,040 --> 01:00:25,440
Speaker 2: GREAT i, mean, yes they Beat memphis last, week but

1233
01:00:25,440 --> 01:00:29,320
Speaker 2: it wasn't because of their. Defense they allowed what almost

1234
01:00:29,560 --> 01:00:34,080
Speaker 2: seven hundred yards of total. Offense so this defense can be,

1235
01:00:34,160 --> 01:00:37,760
Speaker 2: got you, know a couple of fourth down stops here or,

1236
01:00:37,800 --> 01:00:41,120
Speaker 2: THERE uab should be able to move the. BALL i

1237
01:00:41,120 --> 01:00:45,200
Speaker 2: thought The blazers were pretty. Impressive they looked awful AGAINST,

1238
01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:49,919
Speaker 2: ulm but showed themselves well At. Arkansas like a game

1239
01:00:49,960 --> 01:00:53,240
Speaker 2: that's you't, know a result that's aged pretty. Well arkansas

1240
01:00:53,240 --> 01:00:55,640
Speaker 2: should have won At Oklahoma. State they won At auburn

1241
01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:58,920
Speaker 2: even though they probably should have. Lost SO i like

1242
01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:02,080
Speaker 2: The blazers at home Against.

1243
01:01:02,280 --> 01:01:04,000
Speaker 5: Navy we can't forget the.

1244
01:01:04,040 --> 01:01:06,360
Speaker 2: Football if you want to be a fire, breather make

1245
01:01:06,400 --> 01:01:08,280
Speaker 2: sure you sign up today where you had.

1246
01:01:08,280 --> 01:01:11,600
Speaker 4: It taking teams going against teams have just had huge

1247
01:01:11,640 --> 01:01:14,120
Speaker 4: upsets is really paid. Off you think Of Northern illinois

1248
01:01:14,120 --> 01:01:16,560
Speaker 4: losing To, Buffalo you think Of navy Beating memphis off

1249
01:01:16,560 --> 01:01:19,360
Speaker 4: Of Florida, state like it's it's really paid. Well i'm

1250
01:01:19,360 --> 01:01:21,480
Speaker 4: gonna stay in the state Of, alabama but it's not

1251
01:01:21,520 --> 01:01:23,560
Speaker 4: gonna be anything to do With South alabama or The Crimson.

1252
01:01:23,560 --> 01:01:25,080
Speaker 5: Tide i'm gonna go With auburn AND i hate.

1253
01:01:25,080 --> 01:01:26,600
Speaker 4: IT i hate every second of this BECAUSE i never

1254
01:01:26,680 --> 01:01:29,200
Speaker 4: wanted to Back auburn with any. Money but a slew

1255
01:01:29,320 --> 01:01:33,720
Speaker 4: of injuries just hit The ou availability. Report, no everything ain't,

1256
01:01:33,760 --> 01:01:34,880
Speaker 4: great but you know, what that's.

1257
01:01:34,920 --> 01:01:36,000
Speaker 5: Good that's a good.

1258
01:01:36,000 --> 01:01:38,560
Speaker 2: Thing came in fying receiver exactly.

1259
01:01:38,720 --> 01:01:43,000
Speaker 4: RIGHT i, Mean Nick anderson out, good Andrel anthony doubtful

1260
01:01:43,160 --> 01:01:46,360
Speaker 4: might as well be out. Good Deon burk's. Questionable he

1261
01:01:46,480 --> 01:01:48,360
Speaker 4: was in and out of the game Against. Tennessee there's

1262
01:01:48,480 --> 01:01:51,760
Speaker 4: essentially no weapons around here for Freshman Michael hawkins.

1263
01:01:51,840 --> 01:01:52,760
Speaker 5: Junior that's.

1264
01:01:52,800 --> 01:01:55,400
Speaker 4: Good it's going to be The Michael Hawkins junior zone read.

1265
01:01:55,520 --> 01:01:57,160
Speaker 4: Show AND i don't even know who's gonna help him

1266
01:01:57,240 --> 01:02:00,080
Speaker 4: run the. Ball so you, know this offensive line can

1267
01:02:00,080 --> 01:02:04,200
Speaker 4: tinues to fail in creating rushing lanes for everybody on the.

1268
01:02:04,240 --> 01:02:05,280
Speaker 5: Ground that's a good.

1269
01:02:05,320 --> 01:02:08,200
Speaker 4: Thing we saw that problem Whenever Michael Hawkins junior would

1270
01:02:08,360 --> 01:02:10,920
Speaker 4: go get a drive Against tennessee and get into scoring,

1271
01:02:10,960 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 4: position they just could not get anything. Done AND i

1272
01:02:13,320 --> 01:02:15,760
Speaker 4: don't expect that to change for the offensive. Line oklahoma

1273
01:02:15,920 --> 01:02:18,280
Speaker 4: right now is one hundred and twenty first in quality.

1274
01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:21,040
Speaker 4: Drives that, means can you create a drive with ten

1275
01:02:21,080 --> 01:02:23,640
Speaker 4: plays or over three minutes or get fifty? Yards and the, answers,

1276
01:02:23,680 --> 01:02:25,440
Speaker 4: no they're one of the worst in the. NATION i

1277
01:02:25,440 --> 01:02:27,560
Speaker 4: don't think that's going to improve with a freshman quarterback

1278
01:02:27,600 --> 01:02:30,480
Speaker 4: that doesn't have any. Weapons, Yeah auburn had a ninety

1279
01:02:30,480 --> 01:02:33,440
Speaker 4: four percent postgame win expectancy Against. Arkansas they had no

1280
01:02:33,560 --> 01:02:37,480
Speaker 4: business losing that. Game seven point one yards per, play

1281
01:02:37,800 --> 01:02:40,600
Speaker 4: fourteen turnovers so far on the, season they're minus ten

1282
01:02:40,640 --> 01:02:42,760
Speaker 4: in the turnover. Margin that is near dead.

1283
01:02:42,840 --> 01:02:43,520
Speaker 5: Last they're just.

1284
01:02:43,440 --> 01:02:46,919
Speaker 4: Ahead Of temple And Louisianda. Tech going in the, air

1285
01:02:46,960 --> 01:02:49,280
Speaker 4: you should expect to See Peyton thorn come. Back you

1286
01:02:49,280 --> 01:02:51,919
Speaker 4: should expect to See KeAndre Lambert smith have a huge

1287
01:02:52,000 --> 01:02:53,920
Speaker 4: day right. Now he's at three point eight yards per route,

1288
01:02:53,960 --> 01:02:56,480
Speaker 4: run which is almost double the bar that we set

1289
01:02:56,560 --> 01:02:59,160
Speaker 4: to say that you're an explosive target out there AND

1290
01:02:59,240 --> 01:03:01,440
Speaker 4: o use eighty first and giving up. Explosives So Peyton

1291
01:03:01,480 --> 01:03:04,320
Speaker 4: thorn will be. Back enough of the predictions from the

1292
01:03:04,360 --> 01:03:07,640
Speaker 4: freshman quarterback and look At HANK brownsa dot Versus Peyton.

1293
01:03:07,640 --> 01:03:11,200
Speaker 4: Thorn Hank brown eight point, Nine Peyton thorn. Thirteen SO

1294
01:03:11,560 --> 01:03:13,840
Speaker 4: i mean the deep passes are. COMING i think The

1295
01:03:13,840 --> 01:03:16,160
Speaker 4: auburn staff identifies that you can get into this ou.

1296
01:03:16,280 --> 01:03:19,960
Speaker 4: Secondary as much AS i dislike The Auburn, TIGERS i

1297
01:03:19,960 --> 01:03:21,640
Speaker 4: think this is a great spot to back them as

1298
01:03:21,640 --> 01:03:22,680
Speaker 4: an underdog home.

1299
01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:27,120
Speaker 2: Bring your, mouthpiece all, RIGHT a pair Of alabama teams

1300
01:03:27,600 --> 01:03:30,040
Speaker 2: playing in the state Of, alabama going with the Fighting

1301
01:03:30,120 --> 01:03:35,360
Speaker 2: Trent dolfers and War eagle as our underdog moneyline parlay

1302
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:38,280
Speaker 2: before we get out of. Here, yes we always go for.

1303
01:03:38,320 --> 01:03:40,200
Speaker 2: It on three and, out so we have fourth. Down

1304
01:03:40,280 --> 01:03:44,360
Speaker 2: that's our favorite bet of the. Weekend hot, damn this is.

1305
01:03:44,400 --> 01:03:49,000
Speaker 2: Fun give Me Western michigan going to my Beloved mac Against.

1306
01:03:49,040 --> 01:03:51,680
Speaker 2: MARSHALL i. Did first of, all this is a great

1307
01:03:51,720 --> 01:03:55,640
Speaker 2: spot on. Paper they are coming off the, buy which

1308
01:03:55,720 --> 01:03:59,200
Speaker 2: means they might get, healthier might get their All mac

1309
01:03:59,280 --> 01:04:03,120
Speaker 2: center back which means they're All mac guard and move

1310
01:04:03,200 --> 01:04:07,120
Speaker 2: from center back to, guard they're All mac. RECEIVER i

1311
01:04:07,120 --> 01:04:10,120
Speaker 2: think he's going to make his, debut his season debut

1312
01:04:10,680 --> 01:04:13,680
Speaker 2: In womack to Get buckley back from injury as. Well

1313
01:04:14,080 --> 01:04:17,160
Speaker 2: they were just ravished by injuries Against Ohio. State showed

1314
01:04:17,200 --> 01:04:20,600
Speaker 2: really well Against. WISCONSIN i had a chance to win

1315
01:04:20,640 --> 01:04:23,680
Speaker 2: that game before a punt hit a player and it

1316
01:04:23,760 --> 01:04:25,800
Speaker 2: was just a really bad. Break is a team that

1317
01:04:25,840 --> 01:04:28,880
Speaker 2: returned a TON i thought would be a sleeper in The.

1318
01:04:28,960 --> 01:04:32,080
Speaker 2: MAC i love their defensive, line WHICH i think can

1319
01:04:32,120 --> 01:04:35,840
Speaker 2: have success against This marshall. Team Marshall, STILL i think

1320
01:04:35,840 --> 01:04:37,480
Speaker 2: it's going to be Stone early got banged up a

1321
01:04:37,520 --> 01:04:40,360
Speaker 2: little bit last, weekend so Did. BRAXTON i, mean there's

1322
01:04:40,400 --> 01:04:43,080
Speaker 2: a chance It's, pennington BUT i think Stone earl will.

1323
01:04:43,120 --> 01:04:47,680
Speaker 2: Go but they've been like rotating quarterbacks it's not in

1324
01:04:47,720 --> 01:04:50,960
Speaker 2: love with This marshall. Roster and While Western michigan was

1325
01:04:50,960 --> 01:04:54,800
Speaker 2: getting healthier off of a bye week and before that

1326
01:04:54,880 --> 01:04:57,640
Speaker 2: they PLAYED i Believe Bethune, cookman SO i mean his

1327
01:04:57,680 --> 01:05:03,240
Speaker 2: team should be well, rested well. Prepared, marshall, meanwhile is

1328
01:05:03,280 --> 01:05:06,280
Speaker 2: off back to back road games Against Virginia tech And Ohio.

1329
01:05:06,360 --> 01:05:09,240
Speaker 2: State you, know and now they come home to host

1330
01:05:09,280 --> 01:05:11,840
Speaker 2: A mac. Team he got conference play on, deck so

1331
01:05:12,200 --> 01:05:16,200
Speaker 2: a bit of a potential fatigue sleepy, spot give me

1332
01:05:16,240 --> 01:05:19,040
Speaker 2: The broncos on the. ROAD i went out.

1333
01:05:19,080 --> 01:05:23,720
Speaker 4: Right not only DO i love the, play why Would

1334
01:05:23,720 --> 01:05:26,640
Speaker 4: marshall even try to prepare for this? Game after this

1335
01:05:26,720 --> 01:05:30,800
Speaker 4: game Against Western, Michigan marshall will play three conference games

1336
01:05:30,840 --> 01:05:35,000
Speaker 4: and a span of twelve. Days it's. Insane why would

1337
01:05:35,000 --> 01:05:37,320
Speaker 4: they prepare for this. Game i'm going to go with my.

1338
01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:39,440
Speaker 4: Favorite i'm going to join you after the pot on that.

1339
01:05:39,480 --> 01:05:43,280
Speaker 4: Too i'm gonna go down TO, ucf my Favorite big twelve.

1340
01:05:43,320 --> 01:05:45,440
Speaker 4: Team please don't Tell Iowa. State i'm going to take

1341
01:05:45,440 --> 01:05:49,200
Speaker 4: the team total over Against. COLORADO i do not see

1342
01:05:49,200 --> 01:05:52,400
Speaker 4: a path For colorado to have any resistance to What

1343
01:05:52,480 --> 01:05:56,280
Speaker 4: Central florida, does especially in the ground. Game the Bounce

1344
01:05:56,320 --> 01:05:58,520
Speaker 4: house is going to be. ROCKING ucf is coming off

1345
01:05:58,520 --> 01:06:01,200
Speaker 4: of a bye. Week they are completely. Healthy there was

1346
01:06:01,240 --> 01:06:04,760
Speaker 4: some health concerns two weeks ago those players. Played they

1347
01:06:04,760 --> 01:06:07,560
Speaker 4: should be completely healthy now two weeks. Later this is

1348
01:06:07,600 --> 01:06:10,920
Speaker 4: the fifth consecutive game For. Colorado next week they get

1349
01:06:10,920 --> 01:06:12,880
Speaker 4: a bye. WEEK i love it when teams are in

1350
01:06:13,000 --> 01:06:15,040
Speaker 4: like their fifth game and they're kind of crawling into a,

1351
01:06:15,040 --> 01:06:17,720
Speaker 4: buy Which colorado desperately. Needs when you go into the

1352
01:06:17,800 --> 01:06:20,200
Speaker 4: x's and, o's you see THE ucf heavy run rate

1353
01:06:20,240 --> 01:06:23,520
Speaker 4: Like Service academy run rate seventy three, percent all inside

1354
01:06:23,600 --> 01:06:26,919
Speaker 4: zone read all in, between the tackles WITH kJ, JEFFERSON. Rj,

1355
01:06:27,040 --> 01:06:30,040
Speaker 4: harvey and if that one two punch wasn't, Enough Penny

1356
01:06:30,040 --> 01:06:33,080
Speaker 4: boon And Miles montgomery are each averaging three point eight

1357
01:06:33,160 --> 01:06:34,920
Speaker 4: yards after first contact or.

1358
01:06:35,040 --> 01:06:37,200
Speaker 5: More it is gross what.

1359
01:06:37,160 --> 01:06:38,680
Speaker 4: This team can do on the, ground and if you're

1360
01:06:38,720 --> 01:06:41,280
Speaker 4: not prepared to defend, it you're gonna get eating. Alive

1361
01:06:41,400 --> 01:06:45,040
Speaker 4: colorado eighty third defensively and stuff. Rate we get down

1362
01:06:45,080 --> 01:06:46,520
Speaker 4: to third and, two we get down to fourth and.

1363
01:06:46,560 --> 01:06:48,760
Speaker 4: One UCF's, converting.

1364
01:06:48,960 --> 01:06:49,520
Speaker 5: RIGHT i just.

1365
01:06:49,520 --> 01:06:51,400
Speaker 4: Don't even think it's gonna be a. Question they're gonna

1366
01:06:51,400 --> 01:06:53,960
Speaker 4: be able to get first. DOWNS ucf is also third

1367
01:06:54,040 --> 01:06:58,160
Speaker 4: nationally and creating quality. Drives we talked about that stat fifty.

1368
01:06:57,880 --> 01:06:59,520
Speaker 5: Yards three, minutes does it end in a?

1369
01:06:59,600 --> 01:07:02,800
Speaker 4: Score they're one of the top teams nationally and creating scoring.

1370
01:07:02,800 --> 01:07:05,920
Speaker 4: Opportunities they've only played three, Games they've had twenty nine

1371
01:07:06,000 --> 01:07:07,479
Speaker 4: drives go past the forty yard.

1372
01:07:07,520 --> 01:07:09,120
Speaker 5: Line THIS ucf offense is a.

1373
01:07:09,200 --> 01:07:12,720
Speaker 4: Machine just Like gus told, us kJ jefferson is the

1374
01:07:12,760 --> 01:07:14,680
Speaker 4: best Player i've had to run this offense Since i've

1375
01:07:14,680 --> 01:07:17,280
Speaker 4: Had Cam. Newton so you, know this is the number

1376
01:07:17,320 --> 01:07:20,760
Speaker 4: one team nationally and passing down success. Rate if you're

1377
01:07:20,760 --> 01:07:22,920
Speaker 4: gonna GET ucf behind the, chains they've been number one

1378
01:07:22,960 --> 01:07:25,560
Speaker 4: at getting first. Downs both teams like to play with

1379
01:07:25,600 --> 01:07:28,040
Speaker 4: a little bit of. TEMPO i know that this handicap

1380
01:07:28,080 --> 01:07:30,280
Speaker 4: is all about how many points THAT ucf can, Score

1381
01:07:30,560 --> 01:07:32,480
Speaker 4: but isn't it important if the other team gives you

1382
01:07:32,520 --> 01:07:34,760
Speaker 4: a whole bunch of? Possessions well that's What colorado is

1383
01:07:34,760 --> 01:07:37,880
Speaker 4: going to. Do In colorado's last three, games their possessions

1384
01:07:38,120 --> 01:07:40,680
Speaker 4: have been, fifteen, twelve and. Thirteen that's a lot of

1385
01:07:40,680 --> 01:07:43,160
Speaker 4: possessions in one, game and you can point to one

1386
01:07:43,200 --> 01:07:45,560
Speaker 4: stat why that is they're in the top thirty and

1387
01:07:45,600 --> 01:07:45,880
Speaker 4: three and.

1388
01:07:45,920 --> 01:07:47,080
Speaker 5: Out on, Offense.

1389
01:07:47,040 --> 01:07:50,040
Speaker 4: Colorado is a boomer bust. Offense either that drive ends

1390
01:07:50,080 --> 01:07:52,680
Speaker 4: with a score most of the time it's ending very.

1391
01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:54,600
Speaker 4: Fast in a three and. Out we can get an

1392
01:07:54,640 --> 01:07:57,440
Speaker 4: increase in possessions. Here if you're telling me that you

1393
01:07:57,440 --> 01:08:00,960
Speaker 4: can GIVE ucf about fifteen offense in this game with

1394
01:08:01,000 --> 01:08:03,920
Speaker 4: the numbers That i'm seeing on the, ground team total

1395
01:08:03,960 --> 01:08:06,160
Speaker 4: over for me On Central. Florida the bounce house is

1396
01:08:06,200 --> 01:08:09,400
Speaker 4: going to be rocking For Dion. Sanders, yeah it's a

1397
01:08:09,440 --> 01:08:12,400
Speaker 4: great spot FOR. UCF i like this look BECAUSE i

1398
01:08:12,480 --> 01:08:14,800
Speaker 4: LIKE ucf in this. Game that's WHAT i would play

1399
01:08:14,800 --> 01:08:15,520
Speaker 4: at fourteen or.

1400
01:08:15,560 --> 01:08:18,240
Speaker 2: Better BUT i am afraid of the back. Door gus

1401
01:08:18,240 --> 01:08:20,200
Speaker 2: doesn't take his foot off the gas, sometimes so maybe

1402
01:08:20,200 --> 01:08:21,759
Speaker 2: you don't see that, here BUT i am a bit concern.

1403
01:08:21,840 --> 01:08:24,120
Speaker 2: There but on the, surface great spot off Of bye

1404
01:08:24,560 --> 01:08:28,679
Speaker 2: And colorado off of an emotional when in. Overtime now

1405
01:08:28,680 --> 01:08:33,040
Speaker 2: traveling across the country into heat and, humidity which into

1406
01:08:33,120 --> 01:08:35,960
Speaker 2: one of the best home field advantages in all of college,

1407
01:08:35,960 --> 01:08:39,679
Speaker 2: football there's going to be many more dry killing plays

1408
01:08:40,560 --> 01:08:44,479
Speaker 2: by THE ucf defense than The colorado, Defense AND i

1409
01:08:44,479 --> 01:08:47,240
Speaker 2: think that's ultimately the. DIFFERENCE i just don't know How

1410
01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:50,080
Speaker 2: colorado gets the, stop so you had to kind of

1411
01:08:51,080 --> 01:08:53,439
Speaker 2: avoid the back. Door the team total over is probably

1412
01:08:53,439 --> 01:08:55,080
Speaker 2: the way to. Look do you have a, number you

1413
01:08:55,080 --> 01:08:55,360
Speaker 2: play that.

1414
01:08:55,400 --> 01:08:57,960
Speaker 4: Up to the team. Total i'd probably go up to

1415
01:08:57,960 --> 01:09:00,559
Speaker 4: about forty one and a, half and there's some battle

1416
01:09:00,560 --> 01:09:02,760
Speaker 4: in the market between sixty five and sixty, two SO

1417
01:09:02,800 --> 01:09:04,800
Speaker 4: i expect this team total to. Bounce just make sure

1418
01:09:04,800 --> 01:09:06,240
Speaker 4: you try to get the best. Number but let me

1419
01:09:06,320 --> 01:09:10,080
Speaker 4: end on two. Stories, ONE i can't Imagine Gus malson

1420
01:09:10,200 --> 01:09:12,639
Speaker 4: is watching These shenanigans Of Shador sanders trying to throw

1421
01:09:12,680 --> 01:09:14,559
Speaker 4: bombs at the end of the game and Thinking i'm

1422
01:09:14,560 --> 01:09:16,679
Speaker 4: not going to let that happen to my. Team. Two

1423
01:09:17,040 --> 01:09:19,680
Speaker 4: a few years, Ago Gus malson was At auburn and

1424
01:09:19,720 --> 01:09:22,080
Speaker 4: the points spread Against arkansas was thirty and a. Half

1425
01:09:22,520 --> 01:09:26,320
Speaker 4: with twenty seconds left in the. Game up thirty one to,

1426
01:09:26,400 --> 01:09:28,960
Speaker 4: Three Gus malson kicked a field goal with less than

1427
01:09:29,000 --> 01:09:32,160
Speaker 4: thirty seconds left to cover a spread of thirty and a.

1428
01:09:32,200 --> 01:09:34,760
Speaker 4: HALF i have never forgotten that for the rest of my.

1429
01:09:34,840 --> 01:09:38,040
Speaker 4: Life these shenanigans Of schadur And dion what they're doing

1430
01:09:38,080 --> 01:09:39,559
Speaker 4: trying to score at the end of these games when

1431
01:09:39,600 --> 01:09:40,519
Speaker 4: it doesn't matter at.

1432
01:09:40,520 --> 01:09:42,360
Speaker 5: ALL i Think gus has seen.

1433
01:09:42,400 --> 01:09:45,960
Speaker 4: That and considering prior history about When gus does, that

1434
01:09:46,760 --> 01:09:47,479
Speaker 4: let's just say.

1435
01:09:47,280 --> 01:09:47,600
Speaker 3: He knew the.

1436
01:09:47,680 --> 01:09:49,559
Speaker 4: Number you're kicking a field goal with thirty seconds left

1437
01:09:49,560 --> 01:09:51,120
Speaker 4: to cover a thirty and a. Half he knew the.

1438
01:09:51,200 --> 01:09:53,320
Speaker 4: NUMBER i am trusting In gus here in this game

1439
01:09:53,360 --> 01:09:53,560
Speaker 4: all the.

1440
01:09:53,600 --> 01:09:56,639
Speaker 2: Way, YEAH i Mean gus has done that The Kent state.

1441
01:09:56,640 --> 01:09:59,040
Speaker 2: Game remember The Kent state. Game they were up forty

1442
01:09:59,080 --> 01:10:02,400
Speaker 2: five to. SIX i lost the under AND ucf with

1443
01:10:02,479 --> 01:10:04,559
Speaker 2: a minute to go is Running harry out and scored

1444
01:10:04,600 --> 01:10:07,320
Speaker 2: in the final seconds to win fifty six to six

1445
01:10:07,360 --> 01:10:07,760
Speaker 2: Over Kent.

1446
01:10:07,840 --> 01:10:10,840
Speaker 4: State you've been, warned all.

1447
01:10:10,920 --> 01:10:12,880
Speaker 2: Right that'll do it for. Us thanks To colin for joining,

1448
01:10:12,920 --> 01:10:14,760
Speaker 2: me as, always thanks to our Producer Met mitchell in

1449
01:10:14,760 --> 01:10:16,439
Speaker 2: the back. End mostly thanks to all of you for tuning.

1450
01:10:16,439 --> 01:10:18,559
Speaker 2: In we'll be Back saturday the live show at ten.

1451
01:10:18,600 --> 01:10:21,240
Speaker 2: Thirty we'll be back with the recap episode On. Monday

1452
01:10:21,680 --> 01:10:24,000
Speaker 2: hit up that voicemail nine to five Nine deadbeat give

1453
01:10:24,040 --> 01:10:26,639
Speaker 2: a prize to the best. Caller so if you're liquored

1454
01:10:26,680 --> 01:10:30,880
Speaker 2: up late and you feel like yelling at, us give

1455
01:10:30,960 --> 01:10:33,240
Speaker 2: us a call or if you just need a vent

1456
01:10:33,600 --> 01:10:35,759
Speaker 2: call in any. Time make sure you subscribe On, subscribe

1457
01:10:35,800 --> 01:10:37,599
Speaker 2: subscribe to our friends On, enemy leave a five star,

1458
01:10:37,640 --> 01:10:40,320
Speaker 2: review do a bunch of more giveaways soon. Again make

1459
01:10:40,320 --> 01:10:43,000
Speaker 2: sure you check out the group of five guys. Again

1460
01:10:43,040 --> 01:10:45,760
Speaker 2: go to our YouTube. Channel hit that subscribe. Button even

1461
01:10:45,800 --> 01:10:48,280
Speaker 2: if you don't like, YouTube hit the like button on our.

1462
01:10:48,320 --> 01:10:51,160
Speaker 2: Video help us score. That really do appreciate. It college

1463
01:10:51,160 --> 01:10:53,840
Speaker 2: a well. Slate you're gonna get good from here on.

1464
01:10:53,920 --> 01:10:57,639
Speaker 2: Out let's get, hot and let's have a. Weekend we'll

1465
01:10:57,640 --> 01:10:58,679
Speaker 2: see You saturday. Morning.

1466
01:10:58,800 --> 01:11:00,160
Speaker 5: Cheers Peace Out.

1467
01:11:08,240 --> 01:11:12,760
Speaker 1: Action network reminds you please gamble. Responsibly if you or

1468
01:11:12,800 --> 01:11:15,560
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling, problem help is

1469
01:11:15,600 --> 01:11:18,679
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight Hundred gambler