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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Throwing out spect we're sitting up a cash toto that.

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Speaker 1: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to swin.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible. Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right, this is the ultimate combining.

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Speaker 1: And you want to pa.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway. What's up, everybody?

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: Today we've got our NFL Player Projections episode for week sixteen.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Chris Rayvaughn of the Action Network, and

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Speaker 1: today we're gonna run through our top five players at

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Speaker 1: each skilled position quarterback, running back, wide receiver, tight end.

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Speaker 1: We'll discuss players who are especially high and low on end.

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Speaker 1: Of course, throw out some player props. Here to break

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Speaker 1: it down with me. One of the top fantasy rankers

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Speaker 1: in the game, the odds maker, Sean Kerner.

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Speaker 2: Sean, what's going on?

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Speaker 1: I gotta I got an email said you were had

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Speaker 1: an eight no weekend, So I'm assuming pretty good.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I had a good weekend and then I

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Speaker 3: went on one last night. I know, we always joke

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Speaker 3: about a good weekend, and then bad taste in your mouth,

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Speaker 3: losing the very last bat whatever. Overall picture, had a

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Speaker 3: good week, even hit on the Panthers actually winning that game,

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Speaker 3: so that was fun.

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Speaker 2: But how are you doing.

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Speaker 1: I'm good to had a witty week, But I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of bummed that the Panthers did win that game because

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Speaker 1: Stucky and I both had a Falcons NFC South tickets

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Speaker 1: that looked really good two weeks ago and.

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Speaker 2: Up in Flames.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I had the over I think it was eight

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Speaker 3: and a half wins and I've been slowly watching that lose.

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Speaker 3: The Falcons are just not a good team, so yeah,

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Speaker 3: so bad. I didn't think I was hitting that anyway,

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Speaker 3: but I saw we both hit on Rodriguez. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 3: I don't know what books were thinking. Even even after

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Speaker 3: we both hit it, it moved down, did you see?

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Speaker 2: It was like seventeen and a half before.

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Speaker 1: I couldn't get that I got I'm like, I was like,

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure he's gonna be like a kind of

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Speaker 1: like a one for one for Robinson for the most part,

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Speaker 1: should be Yeah, but it was a weird rotation in

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Speaker 1: that game. They actually used Jonathan Williams as the third

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Speaker 1: down back, complete third down back. Yeah, Antonio Gibson did

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Speaker 1: not get a third down snap, so.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so bizarre total ron Rivera stuff. But yeah, like

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Speaker 3: I hit it again when it went down to fifteen

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Speaker 3: and a half. It was down to ten and a half.

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Speaker 3: They only ran like five plays in the first half.

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Speaker 3: It was truly bizarre, and then the second half they

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Speaker 3: just featured him. So but yeah, that was a good

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Speaker 3: hit for both of us.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, man, and we will of course throughout some more

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Speaker 1: props after each position. So let's get right into quarterback

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Speaker 1: sixteen Top five? Who you got, well, Jalen Hurts, Josh Allen,

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, Justin Fields, and Dak Prescott. Yeah I got

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Speaker 1: same different order, but same guys that hurts Alan Justin Fields,

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Speaker 1: third Homes and then and then Deck. So yeah, a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a different top five. Who are you

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Speaker 1: high on?

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Speaker 3: Well, I'm high on Justin Fields obviously, Sorr are you

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Speaker 3: He's He's in our top five, he's my QB four.

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Speaker 3: You know, he finished as the QB twenty four last week,

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Speaker 3: but we can sort of forgive him. He had that

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Speaker 3: brutal matchup against the Browns. However, you know he has

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Speaker 3: a good matchup this week. Against the Cardinals. So I

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Speaker 3: think we can treat him as a top five option,

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Speaker 3: and if you have him on your team, you likely

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Speaker 3: drafted him inside what what was it, the top five,

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Speaker 3: top six, top his eight, Yeah, top six. Yeah, So

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Speaker 3: I mean he hasn't lived up to that, and he's

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Speaker 3: missing a handful of games, you know, on top of that.

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Speaker 3: So if you're in the playoffs, you know, I think

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Speaker 3: he's gonna pay off his adp here.

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Speaker 2: This is a good spot.

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Speaker 3: And there's a ton of uncertainty surrounding Fields, like I

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Speaker 3: don't know where he's gonna be next year. He could

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Speaker 3: get traded, so he wants to prove himself over these

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Speaker 3: last few weeks. So I think, you know, he wants

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Speaker 3: to have a good game here, and I think this

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Speaker 3: is a spot where you know, we could see a

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Speaker 3: true ceiling game from him, especially if it's DJ Moore

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Speaker 3: deep a couple of times runs around so if he

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Speaker 3: had him, he's been disappointing. But I think this week

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Speaker 3: you can treat him as a top five option.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. He's probably better in real life than than he's

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Speaker 1: been for fantasy here, which is like not what you

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Speaker 1: would expect from Justice Fields.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he had a bigger game. If Mooney hung on.

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Speaker 3: Someone with the under thirty seven and a half, I

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Speaker 3: love that, but yeah, that Mooney's gotta come down with that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah that was I mean, that was bad.

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Speaker 1: There was seen a picture where it was just like

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Speaker 1: him with the ball in his stomach and then like

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Speaker 1: no defender around him, and it's like this ended with

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Speaker 1: the interception.

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Speaker 3: It's like, yeah, yeah, I said that perfectly from That's

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Speaker 3: kind of how those go. You know, you need it

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Speaker 3: tip to a guy, but if it touches you and

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Speaker 3: you're a wide receiver like that, you have.

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Speaker 2: To you have to hang on it up. Yeah that's bad.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm high on Baker Mayfield this week, coming up

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Speaker 1: a really good game. He's moving up in my model.

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Speaker 1: You know, he's just kind of a kind of a

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Speaker 1: default quarterback that he's not. He's capable of throwing deep,

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Speaker 1: he's capable of putting up you know, multiple touchdowns, throwing

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Speaker 1: for a lot of yards. He's not turning the ball

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Speaker 1: over at the ray he was at you know, start

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Speaker 1: certain points in his career.

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Speaker 2: So just a solid fantasy quarterback here.

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Speaker 1: So when he's in a solid matchup, you know against

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars, who The defense is okay, but they've allowed

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Speaker 1: the third most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: and Mayfold has six multi touchdown games in his last

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Speaker 1: eight games. Godwin finally started to get involved more in

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Speaker 1: the offense last week, which is a good sign.

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Speaker 2: And the Bucks are making.

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Speaker 1: A playoff push, so you know, I don't expect them

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Speaker 1: to let up. I know he might get a backup

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Speaker 1: for Jacksonville, which knocks him down a little bit, but

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Speaker 1: I already have this game projected for a pretty low total,

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Speaker 1: you know, in case Lawrence misses with the concussion, and

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Speaker 1: I still have mayfoods my QB ten. I think Q

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Speaker 1: twelve in consensus, so he is, he is rising up.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I think Mayfield is startable this week.

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Speaker 2: If you're if you're in a buying yeah, top ten,

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Speaker 2: So he's he's in the streaming mix. I have him

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Speaker 2: QB fourteen, but it's really close, so maybe I'll get there.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he played so well last week, you just

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Speaker 2: think he'll kind of keep that momentum going, right.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And so the Bucks have kind of even though

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Speaker 1: Rashaan White has been great, the Bucks passing, they start

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Speaker 1: to they're throwing a lot too. Like they're you know,

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Speaker 1: Rashada white Gets is the only guy really touching the

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Speaker 1: ball in the backfield. But their pass rate has kind

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Speaker 1: of been inching up a little bit, you know, especially

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Speaker 1: since they got a buy like what very early in

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Speaker 1: the year. It's kind of an inch and up since then.

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Speaker 1: So we're at the point of the season where I

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Speaker 1: do throw out some of like the you know, weeks one,

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Speaker 1: two and three tendencies that might be it. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: he's he's definitely in the mix either way, whether it's

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Speaker 1: you know, ten or twelve or fourteen, it's most people

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Speaker 1: in most leagues that's gonna be on the fringes.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, like him this week, who are you low on?

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Speaker 3: I'm low on Jake Browning. Unfortunately, he's my QB nineteen

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Speaker 3: to open the week, despite you know, having another great

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Speaker 3: game last week. I think we both had him in

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Speaker 3: our I think top twelve. Like he's been playing like

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Speaker 3: a QB one. He's been the QB two over the

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Speaker 3: last three weeks. Amazing, amazing. Unfortunately, when I actually took

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Speaker 3: them plus two and Avlicans Steelers, he oka like Tim Boyle.

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Speaker 2: But I digress. You know.

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Speaker 3: However, this week he's I think he's gonna be without

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Speaker 3: Jamar Chase. We'll see what happens, but likely going to

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Speaker 3: be without Jamar Chase. And he's been banking on you know,

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Speaker 3: his past catchers rapping up yards after the catch, and

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Speaker 3: Chase has been averaging thirty five yards after the catch

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Speaker 3: a game with Browning under center, So you know, his

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Speaker 3: lost be pretty big for him, you know. And I mentioned,

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Speaker 3: you know, Browning didn't look good in his first start

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Speaker 3: that was without t Higgins, So this will be you know,

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Speaker 3: potentially's first game without Jumar Chase. So I think Browning,

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Speaker 3: when he has all those pass catchers in the right matchup,

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Speaker 3: can be like a top ten quarterback. But I'm a

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Speaker 3: little bit lower on him here. You know, this is

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Speaker 3: at Pittsburgh. I don't know what the weather is going

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Speaker 3: to be like. You know, I would imagine they'll have

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Speaker 3: a pretty good game plan to overcome it it chases out,

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Speaker 3: but it's it's just a tough spot to trust Browning

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Speaker 3: if you're in a league, you know, twelve other teams.

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Speaker 3: There's probably better streaming options out there, like a Baker Mayfield.

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Speaker 3: So I'm definitely low on him. I'm treating him like

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Speaker 3: a mid range of low m QB two this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree.

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Speaker 1: It's this is also the same team that he struggled

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Speaker 1: against as your men. The only thing, I mean, the

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Speaker 1: matchup did get a little easier when well Pittsburgh lost

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Speaker 1: two safeties in the span of like three plays because

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Speaker 1: they got they lose Kz. When he gets, he pops

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Speaker 1: Pittman and then like two plays later it's like make up, makeup.

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Speaker 1: Patrick is down and now he's apparently out as far

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Speaker 1: as I see as we record this on Tuesday. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: letk's Yeah, I'm seeing news articles will say that he

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Speaker 1: will not this week at NBC Sports.

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Speaker 2: If he too. Yeah, so it's I mean, man, that's

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Speaker 2: the one thing that that changes.

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Speaker 1: But I agree, I mean, I just think this is

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Speaker 1: a divisional, second divisional matchup. He struggled in the first one.

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Speaker 1: It's all the road. He's missing his top receiver. We

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Speaker 1: just can't kind of bank on him like we could.

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Speaker 1: I think these last couple of weeks and some more

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Speaker 1: forgiven matchups. So I agree, he's out of He's out

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Speaker 1: of the top fifteen for me as well. Another guy

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Speaker 1: I'm go on out of my top fifteen this week

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Speaker 1: is Jordan love he's down a QB seventeen, and it's

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Speaker 1: not as much of an indictment on him. I know

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Speaker 1: he's had some you know, banged up pass catchers. We'll

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Speaker 1: see what it's good with Watson and Read this week.

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Speaker 1: But really he's playing the Carolina Panthers, and the Carolina

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Speaker 1: Panthers because of the way they're playing, especially since firing

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Speaker 1: Frank Rich there's ultra run heavy, ultra run heavy. They

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Speaker 1: got a much better pass defense than run defense seventeenth

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Speaker 1: in past DVLA thirty first against the run.

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Speaker 2: You know, j C.

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Speaker 1: Horn back at the corner obviously helps them. So even

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Speaker 1: though Carolina's defense overall and the team overall has been bad,

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Speaker 1: they've allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing quarterback,

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Speaker 1: which just tells you, you know, your defense is seventeenth

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Speaker 1: against the pass, yet you're allowing the fewest fantasy points

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Speaker 1: to the quarterbacks. What does that tell you that there's

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Speaker 1: more going on there, you know, than just your quality

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Speaker 1: of matchup. You know, it's the game script, it's the

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Speaker 1: amount of pressure they're putting on other teams to score

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Speaker 1: n it's the amount of runs that are kind of

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Speaker 1: draining the clock.

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Speaker 2: So this is a matchup here for Jordan Love.

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Speaker 1: Where you know, Green Bay they need a win, but

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Speaker 1: they might just try to you know, get in, get

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Speaker 1: out run.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Dylan will be back.

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Speaker 1: We'll see, But I think Green Bay Aaron Jones, I

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Speaker 1: think he had like ten or eleven carries in the

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Speaker 1: first half last week and then it just they game

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Speaker 1: got away from them. But I think they to be

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Speaker 1: a little more balanced this week. So nothing against Love,

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Speaker 1: but just not the game script for him to have

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Speaker 1: a ceiling game. And you know, the floor is low

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Speaker 1: playing this Carolina team because we might not need to

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Speaker 1: do much at all. I mean not ten points would

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Speaker 1: have beat him last week. They didn't, they would have,

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Speaker 1: So you know that's kind of the kind of frames,

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Speaker 1: you know, going up against this panther uh defense.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I'm right there with you. He's my QB seventeen.

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Speaker 3: I feel like it's been pouring rain in Carolina for

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Speaker 3: like three straight weeks now, so we'll have to see

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Speaker 3: what the weather looks like there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Fifth, I think I said most of Tennis ever at

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Speaker 1: the NFL game, uh that game.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I saw the pictures of like right around

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Speaker 3: kickoff there was it was very sparse.

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Speaker 2: It was like a few hundred people there.

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Speaker 3: Looked like when I used to go to Clipper games

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Speaker 3: when I was in eighth grade and it was just

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Speaker 3: like me, Billy Crystal and Dave Winfield my dad just chilling.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they had to be. I love the jerseys back then,

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Speaker 2: they like to.

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Speaker 1: I think I had like a Darius Miles of nice

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Speaker 1: Clippers and yeah, it was like Miles Otum that era,

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Speaker 1: Like was it even?

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Speaker 2: It was before that, right, probably when you were going

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Speaker 2: was it? Who was it? Oh?

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Speaker 1: Okay Rodney Rogers like yeah, yeah, uh Kowski, Oh yeah,

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Speaker 1: definitely he.

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Speaker 2: Was on the Yeah, but who knows.

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Speaker 3: Maybe you know, now that the Panthers won a game,

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Speaker 3: maybe they'll have like hundreds of people there next week.

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Speaker 2: Doubtful. Okay, let's see here. Uh you went on props

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Speaker 2: last week? I went.

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Speaker 1: I want to know. I think one of them got

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Speaker 1: o doubt No, I lost one.

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Speaker 2: How did it go? Didn't play?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah? Yeah, So talking about that, Yeah, I'm telling

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Speaker 1: you you have a way of like finding the some

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Speaker 1: guy that's going to be injured.

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Speaker 3: He was already injured, Like I put the caveat out there.

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Speaker 3: But you know, it doesn't help that everyone's getting ruled

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Speaker 3: out this year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I means did get more yards than him,

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Speaker 1: but it wasn't that true a fair fight. Okay, let's

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Speaker 1: see where I'm gonna go. Let's go, so brock Purty

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Speaker 1: tough matchup against Baltimore.

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Speaker 2: Let's go.

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Speaker 1: Let's go brock Purty rank over under twelve and a half.

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Speaker 2: Oh like his oh his final rank for the week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, damn, okay, he's killing it. But this is

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Speaker 1: you know, probably the toughest evens he's faced in a while.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: They will get to throw more, presumably, but let's see,

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Speaker 3: so last week, I'll just cheat and look at what

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Speaker 3: I had last week for like, where do you have

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Speaker 3: pretty rank right now?

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Speaker 2: He's my my QB.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's m QB eight right now. But Lawrence I

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Speaker 1: have Laurence Lawrence would be ahead of him. People that's healthy.

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Speaker 1: So he's probably gonna miss so that he would be

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Speaker 1: up to seven. But yeah, he was like my QB

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Speaker 1: two or three last week after all the shenanigans. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so it's an interesting question. Especially there's also you know,

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Speaker 1: it's a full slate, so like if a.

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Speaker 3: Guy okay, so a guy in that range, Yeah, it's

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Speaker 3: about like a fifty to fifty chance he'll finish as

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Speaker 3: a QB one.

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Speaker 2: That is a good line.

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Speaker 3: I'm going to invest in Rock Party anytime I've invested

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Speaker 3: in him this year it is panned out, So I'm

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Speaker 3: not gonna buck that trend right now. So get me

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Speaker 3: inside the top twelve and a half. That's that's good line.

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Speaker 3: And right, Yeah, we have quite a few backups this week.

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Speaker 3: There's some tough matchups too, so yeah, yeah, I like

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Speaker 3: this fun.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he'll probably get there.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's but it is an interesting question

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Speaker 1: because I noticed it a little little lower in the

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Speaker 1: US from me last week.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's go to running back. We got in

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Speaker 2: the top five.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's see, before even looking, I know Christian

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Speaker 3: McCaffrey number one, Kyra Williams number two, after that, Rashad

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Speaker 3: White number three. My season long bet on him to

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Speaker 3: go under what was it, seven seven hundred yards is

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Speaker 3: probably toast by now. Oh well, Alvin Kamara number four

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Speaker 3: and Tony Pollard number five.

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Speaker 1: I have McCaffrey, kyn, Rashad White, Camara, and then James

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Speaker 1: Cook number five.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I like James Cook at number five over Pollar,

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Speaker 2: but it's close.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, powered, I mean, he's been another guy's been super frustrating.

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Speaker 2: But who are you high on?

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Speaker 3: I'm high on Devin Singletary. He's my RB twenty to

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Speaker 3: open the week. And you know, when Damian Pierce came

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Speaker 3: back a few weeks ago to it looked like he

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Speaker 3: was taking the lead role back in week thirteen specifically,

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Speaker 3: but it's it's swung back the other way pretty significantly

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Speaker 3: because last week Singletary just dominated all the work and

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Speaker 3: Pierce has like pretty much been completely phased out, which

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Speaker 3: has been interesting to see. And Singletary ran for one

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Speaker 3: hundred and twenty one yards and had forty nine receiving yards.

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Speaker 3: So hard to see this changing anytime soon. Yeah, granted

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Speaker 3: it is a rough matchup against the Browns, you know,

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Speaker 3: but he should see a big enough workload where I'm

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Speaker 3: viewing him as a low end RB two, you know,

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Speaker 3: getting CJ. Stroud back, hopefully we'll take some pressure off him,

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Speaker 3: maybe set up some short yard touchdowns. So and unless

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Speaker 3: you have you know, Christ mccaffre kind, Williams and Rhee Mosert,

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Speaker 3: you're probably starting a running back that has some issues,

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Speaker 3: especially we you know, there's no buys. You know, there's

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Speaker 3: a lot of guys to choose from, but just given

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Speaker 3: his potential big workload, I think Singletary does provide the

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Speaker 3: high floor you do want in a must win game

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Speaker 3: in the playoffs. So I'm I'm rolling him as a

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Speaker 3: you know, low on RB two despite the tougher matchup

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Speaker 3: here against the Browns.

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Speaker 2: Do you have an RB what twenty? RB twenty? Yeah,

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Speaker 2: how where do you have them? RB eleven? I mean

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Speaker 2: he's oh yeah, okay, well that makes it better.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the ECRs RB thirty three, that's obviously, you know,

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Speaker 3: just early week shanigans.

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Speaker 2: But holy RB eleven.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it got it like it's been. It's been

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Speaker 1: you know, multiple games that Pierce has been back, and

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Speaker 1: Pierce is only had significant carries in one of them,

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Speaker 1: and that was three games ago, and he didn't do

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Speaker 1: well and then it seemed to be seemed to get

359
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Speaker 1: phased out. He's so it's hard to I mean, if

360
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Speaker 1: you can't, because no one else to really give carries to.

361
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Speaker 1: I mean, Ogon Bale is gonna get like one or

362
00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:10,320
Speaker 1: two on you know, third down kind of situations. But yeah,

363
00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,439
Speaker 1: and then they'll give they'll give the receivers a couple,

364
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Speaker 1: but yeah, he's you're just kind of at this it snaps. Really,

365
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Speaker 1: it's you know when a guy's playing that many start.

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Speaker 1: I think he said this second highest carry mark of

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Speaker 1: his career last week. I think you have twenty six.

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Speaker 2: So there.

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Speaker 1: We've seen this before with Singletary too. I think it

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Speaker 1: was was it either last year the year before where

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Speaker 1: he just blew up down a stretch for the Bills too.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, whenever he's been the lead back, he's he's come

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Speaker 3: through for you know, the Bills and the Texans.

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Speaker 2: It's just one of those things.

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Speaker 3: You know, people are gonna be on ESPN, RAHU or

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Speaker 3: whatever and they're gonna see that red matchup icon for

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Speaker 3: the Browns and we're just saying, yes, it's a bad matchup,

378
00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:51,800
Speaker 3: but he's gonna be a lock for fifteen twenty touches

379
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Speaker 3: and in that range, that's kind of what you need.

380
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Speaker 3: So that's that's why. Well I thought I was high

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Speaker 3: on them, but you're, you know, you have Mozilla. I

382
00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:01,639
Speaker 3: never be one, which I get behind. I mean, if

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Speaker 3: you think I'm.

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Speaker 1: High on him, Cuba Hubbard is my R six wow love.

385
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Speaker 2: I mean, so he's.

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Speaker 1: Had kind of a similar situation to Singletary, where there's

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Speaker 1: another guy in the backfield and he just kind of

388
00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:17,480
Speaker 1: ran circles around him. So the last three games, which

389
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Speaker 1: happened to coincide with the firing of Frank Wright, the

390
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:24,119
Speaker 1: head coach, former head coach, Tuba Hubbard twenty four or

391
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Speaker 1: more touches in each game, ninety six or more scrimmage

392
00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,440
Speaker 1: yards in each game of his last three, and Green

393
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Speaker 1: Bays allowing the nice most fantasy points per game to

394
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Speaker 1: running backs. And this Caroline team has shown they're just

395
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Speaker 1: gonna keep riding the run game in general, but especially Hubbard.

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Speaker 2: And you know, he's been getting carries.

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Speaker 1: They've been down, trailing game script, they've been you know,

398
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,080
Speaker 1: close games, doesn't matter. He's been getting you know, twenty

399
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Speaker 1: plus carries these days. And I think we kind of

400
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Speaker 1: saw that too with when Thomas Brown took over those

401
00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:57,560
Speaker 1: few games before Right got fired Hubbard, his usage rate

402
00:18:57,600 --> 00:19:00,560
Speaker 1: went up in Miles Sanders, who presumably was more of uh,

403
00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:04,920
Speaker 1: you know, front office Scott Fitterer, Frank Right, Duce Stalely,

404
00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,120
Speaker 1: who also got fired the running backs coach, former running

405
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,439
Speaker 1: backs coach. You know, he was with Miles Sanders in Philly.

406
00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,920
Speaker 1: So I think, you know, the new coaching staff allegiance,

407
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:17,199
Speaker 1: coaching staff's allegiance doesn't really lie with Sanders, and so

408
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,320
Speaker 1: you're seeing Hubbard, who's been the better back, uh you know,

409
00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:22,000
Speaker 1: get touches and at this like you said, at this

410
00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:24,080
Speaker 1: point in the season, there's a lot of guys kind

411
00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 1: of in that same glut. So like the guys that

412
00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:29,240
Speaker 1: are emerging and getting the most snaps aren't the same

413
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Speaker 1: guys that were doing it for for most of the year.

414
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Speaker 2: So yeah, like true with this week. Yeah, I like

415
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Speaker 2: that called.

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Speaker 3: Did you see how they were using Amir Smith Marsette. Yeah,

417
00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:43,320
Speaker 3: like I don't blame that game. Yeah, yeah, absolutely, it

418
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:45,680
Speaker 3: was really cool. And yeah, like he had four carries

419
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:48,120
Speaker 3: for thirty one yards and might be annoying, like those

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00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:50,520
Speaker 3: could have gotten Hubbard, but he was starting to open

421
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 3: up holes for Hubbard because the defense didn't know if

422
00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:55,679
Speaker 3: you know, miror Smith Marsette was getting it. So I

423
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:59,200
Speaker 3: think in the long run, having that option could actually

424
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 3: help Hubbar out because Hubbard's getting twenty plus carries either way,

425
00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:05,520
Speaker 3: but having like a dynamic receiver get used that way

426
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:07,240
Speaker 3: could open up you know a couple of big runs

427
00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,919
Speaker 3: for Hubbard. So it should be another close game against

428
00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:12,040
Speaker 3: the Packers. I mean they're only favored by four or

429
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,600
Speaker 3: five points, so it's gonna be another game where they

430
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,200
Speaker 3: lean very heavily on Hubbard here.

431
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Speaker 1: Yeah, who'd have thought the worst team in the week

432
00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:21,119
Speaker 1: is like the most gamescript proof like it, it doesn't

433
00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:24,439
Speaker 1: matter where they lose, like losing, losing small winning like,

434
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,239
Speaker 1: it's just getting they given their backs like thirty right

435
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 1: in the ball like thirty times.

436
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:29,720
Speaker 2: All right, who are you low on?

437
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 3: I'm low on Joe Mixon. He's my RB seventeen. Uh,

438
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:37,800
Speaker 3: Ecier has some RB six again that it's earlier in

439
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,480
Speaker 3: the week, but you know this is you know, tougher

440
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:43,600
Speaker 3: matchup against the Steelers. But the main issue is obviously

441
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 3: Chase Brown just continuing to eat into his workload and

442
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:49,959
Speaker 3: he's looked phenomenal doing it. I mean they needed an

443
00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:53,680
Speaker 3: explosive back like that anyways, and Brown's been that guy.

444
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:56,360
Speaker 3: And at one point it looked like Brown just had

445
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,600
Speaker 3: completely leap frog Mixing. I mean he Brown would have

446
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 3: a dry and then the next drive you'd expect Mixing

447
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,960
Speaker 3: be out there and is Brown again. So Brown had

448
00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 3: to leave the game to go to the blue ten

449
00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:10,760
Speaker 3: the third quarter, he was gone for like nearly a

450
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 3: full quarter, and that's when Mixing was used like nearly

451
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 3: every snap. He managed to get a goal line score

452
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:20,359
Speaker 3: during that stretch, which you know bailed out as fancy managures,

453
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:22,879
Speaker 3: But it could have been even worse if Brown didn't

454
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:25,560
Speaker 3: have to leave the game. And I'm thinking, you know,

455
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:28,120
Speaker 3: without Jamar Chase, it might make sense to give Chase

456
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 3: Brown even more work because they need that explosive option

457
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,399
Speaker 3: out of the backfield. So I am very worried about

458
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 3: Mixing's floor right now. Usually he's the high floor guy.

459
00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:38,719
Speaker 3: We know he's getting a ton of work, but with

460
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 3: that being kind of a mystery, he has a very

461
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,440
Speaker 3: low floor, a little bit too touchdown dependent. I think

462
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:46,199
Speaker 3: to be an RB one right now. So he's in

463
00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 3: that mid range RB two mix for me right now.

464
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:51,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have him RB nineteen as well.

465
00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:54,800
Speaker 1: I haven't liked about fifteen.

466
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,120
Speaker 2: Touches or so for seventy ish scrimmage yards.

467
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,679
Speaker 1: It's just you can't depend on him to get those

468
00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:02,119
Speaker 1: you know, eighty ninety percent rates like he was earlier

469
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 1: in the year. Similarly, Austin Eckler lowing him RB twenty eight.

470
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,359
Speaker 1: He's the RB twenty two in consensus last five games

471
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 1: is thirteen and a half touches for just under sixty

472
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 1: scrimmageyards per game. Obviously, you know, new coaching staff, things

473
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,679
Speaker 1: could change, but he's been just just charge of.

474
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,920
Speaker 2: Run game in general has just been struggling. He's been struggling.

475
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,160
Speaker 1: And you mentioned it last week with Easton Stick as

476
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:28,800
Speaker 1: a quarterback.

477
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:32,200
Speaker 2: Now no Herbert. It just lowers the projected score.

478
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:36,040
Speaker 1: And you obviously Buffalo is rounded into shape and playing

479
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,679
Speaker 1: you know, motivated football. Who knows what's going on with

480
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 1: his Charger team? Have they checked out? But you know

481
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 1: Buffalo is obviously gonna bring it. Just shut down one

482
00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 1: of the top offenses in the league in the Dallas Cowboys.

483
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:50,119
Speaker 1: So this is this is a dicey matchup for Echuer.

484
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 1: I think he's more of a more of a flex

485
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:57,160
Speaker 1: this week than like bodified RB, you know, starting startable

486
00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 1: RB one or two.

487
00:22:58,680 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm right there with you.

488
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 3: Be twenty eight, which if you drafted him number two overall,

489
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 3: maybe first overall. Not happy about that entering the Fans playoffs.

490
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:11,639
Speaker 3: I mean, you could do Benjamin if you're decided between

491
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:15,920
Speaker 3: us Neckler and Jalen Warren. You're playing Warren right mm hmm,

492
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:17,760
Speaker 3: or like James Connor.

493
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 1: But yeah, oh yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, crazy you are.

494
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:24,399
Speaker 2: I mean, I just don't know what to expect.

495
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,080
Speaker 1: I mean, he's a nice bullet to have if you're like,

496
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:29,159
Speaker 1: you know, if deep wea you need a flex or something.

497
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:31,399
Speaker 1: But yeah, if you're just relying on him now the

498
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 1: floor at this crucial time, yeah as well.

499
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 2: And I mean I mean the right.

500
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,160
Speaker 1: I mean we saw Bshn Robinson get like one point

501
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 1: against the worst run defense, so it could happen to anyone.

502
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 1: But I mean yeah, we could kind of see it

503
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,280
Speaker 1: coming a little bit with that word. We just don't

504
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 1: know what the new coaching staff is going to do,

505
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:49,560
Speaker 1: all right, what do you got for a prop?

506
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:53,000
Speaker 3: Well, speaking of Jon Robinson, let's let's go right to

507
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 3: total rushing and receiving yards against the Colts. I'm just

508
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 3: rolling with what I I have. Here is my initial projections.

509
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:05,919
Speaker 3: Let's go seventy two and a half yards.

510
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:11,680
Speaker 1: Uh, I'm seventy eight, so I'll go over.

511
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:14,480
Speaker 2: I mean, this is it's it's uncomfortable, but this is

512
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 2: kind of how.

513
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:16,679
Speaker 1: This sopping team has been all year. Right, It's like

514
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:22,399
Speaker 1: one Arthur Smith is like, you know, draft very talented

515
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 1: players in the top ten and use them as decoys.

516
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:26,280
Speaker 1: Like he's almost got to figure it out here. So

517
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:29,879
Speaker 1: you know this is you know, we had Robinson kind

518
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,480
Speaker 1: of get benched. I thinks down to stretch after the fumble. Uh,

519
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 1: and he wasn't even being used as he went like

520
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,440
Speaker 1: Algier mixed in a lot from the first driver. And

521
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:41,520
Speaker 1: so usually with this Falcon team, when you know, when

522
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 1: a guy goes down super bad, he'll come, he'll bounce back.

523
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,920
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'll I'll reluctantly take the over on that one.

524
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,080
Speaker 1: But yeah it's not pretty.

525
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 2: Yeah no it's not.

526
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,640
Speaker 3: And he takes former first round picks uh and gives

527
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,879
Speaker 3: him a career when their thirties. But yeah, no, I

528
00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 3: was baffled with that. The game where he had the

529
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 3: headache and everything, that was one thing, but this was

530
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 3: they just clearly just wanted to use Algiers to lead back.

531
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 2: It was as simple as that.

532
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 3: So it's yeah, I don't know if it's because of

533
00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 3: the rain, they just wanted to place smash mouse style.

534
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 2: They had some.

535
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,080
Speaker 3: They're they were missing two stars on the offensive line.

536
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:19,920
Speaker 3: It was just confusing. So yeah, I could go back

537
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,320
Speaker 3: the other way this week. I was just curious where

538
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 3: you had it. Where do you have him rank though

539
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 3: eight and a half?

540
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 1: Like, let's see, that's gotta be rb uh seven. So yeah,

541
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,719
Speaker 1: he's he's up there. Yeah, but I mean there's not

542
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 1: really many, Like you said, it's like everyone has the

543
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 1: same kind of issues and like even putting you know,

544
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:44,080
Speaker 1: giving him his like fifty percent of carries and whatever,

545
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 1: it is under fifty percent.

546
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 2: Actually now, yeah, I still have him popping out.

547
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 3: You know.

548
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 2: It's also falcons do I mean, I know it's a

549
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 2: lot of it was.

550
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,040
Speaker 1: Ritter whose bench, but the Falcons do point better at

551
00:25:56,080 --> 00:26:00,199
Speaker 1: home in general, and you know your indoors indoor track year,

552
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 1: it's that time of year.

553
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:05,199
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, if you have them, you're firing up

554
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 3: up unlus. You're completely stacked at running back. But you know,

555
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:14,399
Speaker 3: Kyle Pets is constantly on that set start fringe. Oh

556
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,159
Speaker 3: you know when it comes to Robinson, you're starting him.

557
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 2: We're just disappointed with his use of just how I

558
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 2: put it.

559
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:22,960
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean it was it did turn around

560
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 1: for like, you know, four games to be fair, and

561
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:27,760
Speaker 1: then it just kind of like four games straight without

562
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 1: you know, fifteen plus touches and then.

563
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 2: Yeah back to share at all.

564
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:35,680
Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Action Network podcast is presented by

565
00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:40,439
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566
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570
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Speaker 1: problem call one eight hundred, Gambler all right, wide receiver,

571
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 1: Top five Ceedee lamb Tyreek Kill assuming he returns this week.

572
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:15,480
Speaker 1: A mon Raw justin Jefferson, welcome back to my top

573
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 1: five and AJ Brown Yeah, I got Lamb Tyreek Jefferson,

574
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 1: Monra and AJ so yeah same same pretty much.

575
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 2: Who you high on? I'm high on Chris Godwin.

576
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:31,199
Speaker 3: He's my wide receiver twenty to open the week, obviously

577
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 3: coming off that massive ten catch one hundred and fifty

578
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 3: five yard game. He's been the squeaky wheel the past

579
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,440
Speaker 3: two games ever since. You know his wife I guess

580
00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:42,880
Speaker 3: complained on Instagram about that zero catch game three weeks ago.

581
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:46,679
Speaker 3: He's seen a target on thirty eight percent of his

582
00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 3: routes run since that time. And just you know, you

583
00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:53,840
Speaker 3: talked about Baker Mayfield earlier. Baker Mayfield is playing at

584
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 3: a really high level coming off his best game of

585
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 3: his career, So I think that's going to help keep

586
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:02,720
Speaker 3: this momentum with Godwin. It's been working targeting him obviously.

587
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,119
Speaker 3: You know, Mike Evans is there, but these two can

588
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 3: obviously both have a top ten week any given weeks.

589
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 3: So this is a Jags defense that's just been really

590
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:16,160
Speaker 3: shaky dealing with injuries in their secondary. So I think

591
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 3: we can treat Godwin, you know, as a mid to

592
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:20,240
Speaker 3: low one wide receiver two.

593
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:24,439
Speaker 2: And you know Trevor Lawrence playing will help this.

594
00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 3: I think if Trevor Lawrence is ruled out, I'd probably

595
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,240
Speaker 3: move Godwin down a little bit because the Bucks might

596
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 3: be a little more run heavy. But either way, I

597
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 3: think he's back in that wide receiver two mixes. Based

598
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:34,920
Speaker 3: on the last two weeks.

599
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:39,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, he's definitely trending upwards. And you know, with

600
00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 1: Baker playing well and this Palmer's getting less involved, David

601
00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,240
Speaker 1: Moore kind of has overtaken him, so it's pretty cut out,

602
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 1: cut and dry, like they're targeting you know, White, and

603
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:54,000
Speaker 1: then Evan's and Godwin. For the most part, I'm high

604
00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 1: on Rashid Rice is inside my top ten this week,

605
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 1: and a lot of it is he is out participation,

606
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 1: which was in the fifties and sixties for most of

607
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 1: the year, even though he was productive last three weeks

608
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 1: sixty nine ninety three percent, So he's finally being treated

609
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 1: like a true number one wide receiver in terms of snaps. Uh.

610
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 1: And then you have this Vegas defense that plays the

611
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 1: third most zone coverage and Rice is averaging two point

612
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:25,040
Speaker 1: eight yards per route against zone that's seventh in the

613
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 1: NFL per PFF, and it's a full yard per route

614
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:33,080
Speaker 1: more than he averages against man covered. So great matchup

615
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 1: and finally seeing you know, eighty ninety percent of the

616
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 1: snaps for Patrick Mahomes, who needs badly needs a wide

617
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 1: receiver to step up. And like you said, you know

618
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 1: Kelsey is probably not at his peak form either. Uh,

619
00:29:46,360 --> 00:29:49,160
Speaker 1: So you know this is you're essentially getting Patrick Mahomes'

620
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:52,160
Speaker 1: top target playing ninety percent of the snaps. That's that's

621
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 1: essentially what Kelsey what is too. So it's just you know,

622
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 1: this guy he's wait in the year. This is kind

623
00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 1: of reminds me of a monra It just when he

624
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 1: was a rookie. It's just like every week, it just

625
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:06,200
Speaker 1: his snaps kept going up, his numbers kept going up.

626
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 1: I think Rice is kind of doing the same thing.

627
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 1: So top ten for me this week.

628
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's one of those guys where I'm kind of

629
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,760
Speaker 3: like suppressing his initial projections a bit. If I just

630
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 3: let it rep he'd but he'd beat my wide receiver

631
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 3: six and if Pittman's out, he'd be my top five. Like,

632
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 3: how many receptions are you projecting him for? Is it

633
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 3: over six at this point?

634
00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:29,040
Speaker 2: Yep?

635
00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 1: Six and a half, six and a half for six,

636
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:31,440
Speaker 1: six and a.

637
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 3: Half, I mean, yeah, that's where I am. It's it's

638
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 3: we're at that point though. And the Vaders were a

639
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 3: great matchup for him too.

640
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:38,440
Speaker 2: Yeah.

641
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 1: And Mahomes is still one of those quarterbacks like a

642
00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 1: lot of like this this has been this year pass

643
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 1: volume and you know, you get into a matchup with

644
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 1: these backups and whatnot. But Mahome's still averaging you know,

645
00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:52,480
Speaker 1: close to forty attempts per games, gonna good bet to

646
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 1: complete you know, twenty five passes so per game, so

647
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 1: that that also kind of plays into it. Mahomes is

648
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 1: still getting volume even if the efficiency hasn't been there

649
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:03,000
Speaker 1: as much.

650
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 2: Okay, who you lo, I'm low on Gabe Davis. He's

651
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:08,920
Speaker 2: my wide receiver fifty six.

652
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 3: Not that too many people probably have him in their

653
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:18,120
Speaker 3: starting lineup right now, but he's always that nice, you know,

654
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 3: potential bench option if you're like a bigger underdog in

655
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 3: a matchup. I always say you want to lean on

656
00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 3: a guy like Kay Davis that obviously has a really

657
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:28,560
Speaker 3: high ceiling for you know, a fringe starter guy. But

658
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 3: based on what we saw last week where the Bills

659
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:36,120
Speaker 3: blew out the Cowboys and Josh Allen only completed seven passes.

660
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 3: Now they face a you know, Chargers team that just

661
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:42,920
Speaker 3: lost by forty plus of the Raiders, I'm expecting they don't.

662
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:45,520
Speaker 3: They do not want Josh Allen chucking it up deep

663
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,880
Speaker 3: to Gay Davis here, So I am way way low

664
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:50,920
Speaker 3: on him. You know, he's my boy, but this is

665
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 3: a spot where you can't even use him as a

666
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 3: wild ass flyer. He has to be on your bench

667
00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 3: this week and maybe next week. If you're in a

668
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 3: spot you're a big underdog, he might help you out there.

669
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:04,120
Speaker 3: But I am extremely low.

670
00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 2: So he's he's my wide receiver fifty six to open

671
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 2: the week. So yeah, leave on your bench this week.

672
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:12,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, fest player. That's that's about it. In case the right,

673
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:17,240
Speaker 1: I mean it's the Chargers. It's like, bro, tell me

674
00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 1: the most Charger play ever? Wasn't Darius Davis returning a

675
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 1: punt for a touchdown and like, as it's happening, you

676
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,320
Speaker 1: see that he has the punter to beat and he

677
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 1: hasn't beat by like twenty yards and fucking a dude

678
00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 1: with a dude with stonehands name smart holds the punter.

679
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 1: Like yeah, like of all players to do it, and

680
00:32:40,040 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 1: of all times to get a penalty like that was

681
00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 1: that was?

682
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 2: That was?

683
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 1: That's that that probably should have got Brandon Stalely fired

684
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:47,720
Speaker 1: on its own beyond like.

685
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 3: I think they're trying to get him fired if I'm

686
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 3: being honest, But yeah, that that game was just insane.

687
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 3: And then how about I think what was that three

688
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:59,120
Speaker 3: or four weeks an earow I was using all yeah, right,

689
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 3: sneaky staf back and then he just goes ape shit

690
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 3: in a prime time solo game.

691
00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 2: Go figure.

692
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:06,960
Speaker 1: But I'm saying never just count the charges ability to

693
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 1: make other opponents look good. So like dfast out roll Davis.

694
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 1: But you're right, yeah, he's he's I think outside of

695
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 1: my top fifty as well. It's just it's a full slate.

696
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,200
Speaker 1: There's a lot and there's a lot of wide receivers

697
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 1: we could trust. Yeah, well, I mean I trust Palmer

698
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:22,880
Speaker 1: on the other side of that game, probably even with

699
00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 1: Keenan allenback a little boy, than I trust Davis. So yeah, yeah,

700
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 1: he's about wide receiver fifty two, so not as well

701
00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 1: as you, but yeah, way down there, I got a couple.

702
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,600
Speaker 1: One is Terry McLaurin, who I liked last week. You know,

703
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 1: thought spooky wheel Bye we coming off to buy that.

704
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 1: That was like the spot and I mean it wasn't

705
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: even looking great until Jacoby Brissette came and kind of

706
00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 1: saved the day. But now he's going up against the Jets,

707
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:51,000
Speaker 1: and that's not ideal unless your name is Jalen Waddle.

708
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 1: So you know, they're still number three in past defense,

709
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:58,440
Speaker 1: DVO number four and DVOA against number one wide receivers.

710
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 1: According to FTN and Lauren is just the wide receiver

711
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,120
Speaker 1: thirty eight and Fantasy points per game in half PPR

712
00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 1: for guys who've played at least six games, so it's

713
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:11,319
Speaker 1: not as if he's been lighting it up. So yeah,

714
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 1: I have him in the mid thirties and he's kind

715
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:17,719
Speaker 1: of inside the top thirty consensus coming off that big week,

716
00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:20,359
Speaker 1: but I don't think we could trust him. And even

717
00:34:20,360 --> 00:34:22,960
Speaker 1: that quarterback situation now is who knows. I mean, they're

718
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:25,959
Speaker 1: probably going back to Howe, but that actually doesn't help

719
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 1: Terry McLaurin. And then another guy who I don't know,

720
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:32,920
Speaker 1: I've people have been He's been ranked so high these

721
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:35,920
Speaker 1: last few weeks and I just I can't get there.

722
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:37,120
Speaker 2: And that's Odell Beckham Junior.

723
00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:39,680
Speaker 1: He's a wide receiver thirty five and consensus he's a

724
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 1: wide receiver fifty four, and it's kind of a similar

725
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,600
Speaker 1: ranking to last week. He only has three games with

726
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 1: fifty or more yards, four games with four more receptions,

727
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:51,719
Speaker 1: so he's been kind of relying on, you know, touchdowns,

728
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:52,320
Speaker 1: big plays.

729
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,840
Speaker 2: But as we can see, low.

730
00:34:55,680 --> 00:35:00,200
Speaker 1: Floor, which showed itself in that game against Jacksonville. He

731
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:03,680
Speaker 1: played San Francisco, so Baltimore may have to throw, but uh,

732
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 1: you know, we saw it. You know, San Francisco completely

733
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:08,920
Speaker 1: shut out the Cardinal receivers last week. I mean it

734
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:10,759
Speaker 1: was all I think the tight ends finished one, two

735
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,759
Speaker 1: and three in total receiving yards for the Cardinals last week.

736
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:16,440
Speaker 1: So this is another matchup where you know, the ceiling

737
00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 1: is high for Back. I mean, he's still talented guy,

738
00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:22,720
Speaker 1: but the floor is super low. And he's only playing

739
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 1: on about fifty to sixty percent of the pass plays,

740
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,399
Speaker 1: which is just not ideal. And you know, even coming

741
00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 1: off the buy where you know, presumably healthier fifty seven

742
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,760
Speaker 1: percent and fifty nine percent route participation for the season

743
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 1: fifty eight percent, so right in line even coming out

744
00:35:41,080 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 1: of the by uh that he really hasn't hit anything higher,

745
00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:47,960
Speaker 1: you know, hasn't even gotten to the seventies. And since

746
00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 1: Week one where he played every every pass play League

747
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,279
Speaker 1: one and since then that got hurt, right, I think

748
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,839
Speaker 1: he got hurt the next game. But yeah, similar, yeah, yeah,

749
00:35:56,880 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 1: so yeah, pretty much. So, Yeah, he's been they been

750
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:03,439
Speaker 1: kind of you know, pulling him off the field for

751
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 1: for a lot of snaps and rotating in Bateman, rotating

752
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:10,359
Speaker 1: in Agalre. So uh, the ceiling is there, but the

753
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:13,440
Speaker 1: floor is kind of similar place to Gabe Davis, so

754
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:16,400
Speaker 1: I have him fifty four, two spots behind Gabe actually,

755
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:20,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, well with Odell, all right, let's see what

756
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:24,280
Speaker 1: are you doing for prop Let's go back to Jordan Addison.

757
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 1: I think he's interesting again with you know, Jefferson back.

758
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:31,440
Speaker 1: But Addison obviously balled out last week.

759
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:31,719
Speaker 2: So.

760
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,280
Speaker 1: He's kind of in that fringe are a wide receiver

761
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 1: two receiver three range for me, So let's go with

762
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 1: his receiving yardage. I'm gonna go with fifty two and

763
00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 1: a half.

764
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 2: Oh was that? Was that going to be a forty?

765
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:52,200
Speaker 1: And there is an I'm gonna go something high forties.

766
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 1: But he's yeah, consistently performing even with Jefferson in the

767
00:36:57,320 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 1: lineup in terms of his yardage. So yeah, I'll bump

768
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 1: it to a little bit high, essentially put it out

769
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:05,560
Speaker 1: my true average projection instead of lowering it a little

770
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 1: bit for the meeting.

771
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 2: Oh, I hate that, I'm gonna have to go under.

772
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 2: I hate this.

773
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,600
Speaker 3: He's been overperforming because he's fricking good. But yeah, with

774
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson, TJ. Howkinson there, he like he has to

775
00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:20,479
Speaker 3: do damage on his you know, limited target share.

776
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:24,160
Speaker 2: But man, that that's that's good line. You know. I

777
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 2: think they probably figured out that ty Chandler is their

778
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:27,279
Speaker 2: best running back.

779
00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:29,839
Speaker 3: That took him, yeah yeah, fifteen weeks, so maybe they

780
00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 3: lean on him a bit. But I think that's a

781
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:34,920
Speaker 3: good number, and he has a wide range of outcomes.

782
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,560
Speaker 3: But I would say his median is a little bit lower.

783
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 3: But it did look like, you know, it's been a

784
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 3: long time since Jefferson, Addison, and Osborne all played a

785
00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:48,400
Speaker 3: full game, but it does look like Addison leap frog Osborne.

786
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 3: Osborne is only playing in eleven personnel, so that that

787
00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 3: has been encouraging, but that it's been warranted for a

788
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 3: while now, so he has much higher floor than normal.

789
00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 3: But I'm gonna go under here, but that is a

790
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:00,680
Speaker 3: good number.

791
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:02,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'd rather be I'd rather have you

792
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:05,440
Speaker 2: on the under for that, So I don't want to

793
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 2: be on the under. Trust me, all right? Tight end?

794
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:10,000
Speaker 2: Top five? Who you got?

795
00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:13,640
Speaker 3: Uh? Travis Kelsey, although I should have gone with like

796
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:15,800
Speaker 3: Sam Reporter in the one of Fancy Pros, tell you

797
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:17,960
Speaker 3: that was the week or he was an opening? Uh,

798
00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 3: Trey McBride, George Kittle, TJ. Hockinson and Sam Laporta.

799
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:29,359
Speaker 1: I got Kelsey McBride, Nadjoku Hockenson and oh yeah yeah

800
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:33,319
Speaker 1: Ki Joke, which is actually his ECR. So consensus has

801
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 1: kittled Will too, So I don't know simonship, but yeah, Jo,

802
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:38,719
Speaker 1: yeah yeah, I guess it is.

803
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:41,919
Speaker 3: Joku deserves to be in the top five.

804
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,480
Speaker 2: I don't know why I don't have him there. We'll

805
00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:47,279
Speaker 2: probably get there. But who are you high on?

806
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 3: H I've been waiting for this moment, but I'm high

807
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 3: on Tanner Hudson. He's my tight end fifteen. He's officially

808
00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:57,640
Speaker 3: in the streaming discussion this week. Uh. You know, he's

809
00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:00,759
Speaker 3: been one of Jake Browning's favorite targets. He's seen a

810
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:04,080
Speaker 3: target on thirty two percent of his routes run with

811
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:07,719
Speaker 3: Browning under center. However, just a playing time hasn't been there.

812
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:12,319
Speaker 3: He's typically been around a thirty thirty five percent route participation,

813
00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 3: you know, over the past three games with Browning, but

814
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,920
Speaker 3: last week it jumped up to forty eight percent, and

815
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:22,280
Speaker 3: that was likely due to Jamar Chase you know, having

816
00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:24,319
Speaker 3: to leave the game. You know, just they need him

817
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,239
Speaker 3: as another receiving option. So this this week we could

818
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:30,479
Speaker 3: see him top fifty percent, My god, if it gets

819
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:33,319
Speaker 3: over sixty percent, this is kind of like Chigakonku last year.

820
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:36,000
Speaker 3: Like I'm his ceiling is massive if he gets the

821
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:39,800
Speaker 3: playing time. So this we could see that happen this week. Obviously,

822
00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:42,680
Speaker 3: I don't think the thirty two percent target rate will

823
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:45,080
Speaker 3: be sustainable if he sees that much more playing time,

824
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,880
Speaker 3: but I don't know, Jamar Chase not in the lineup,

825
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:51,560
Speaker 3: it could still be over thirty percent. So he's a

826
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:54,359
Speaker 3: high end tight end two option and deeper leagues. And

827
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:57,239
Speaker 3: again he's a streaming option where he has a very

828
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 3: very high floor for your typical streaming option. So if

829
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,440
Speaker 3: you're like a favorite, and I don't know why you're

830
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 3: streaming tight end, but if you need like at least

831
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:07,719
Speaker 3: a handful of points from that slot, Hudson's probably your guy.

832
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's just been every week. It's like when he's

833
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:14,400
Speaker 1: on the field, they just target him. He's like essentially

834
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:15,440
Speaker 1: there to catch passes.

835
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:16,719
Speaker 2: That's why they think.

836
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 1: Mid season they signed him to the roster and it

837
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:21,400
Speaker 1: wasn't really you know, obviously, not for special teams or

838
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,360
Speaker 1: anything like that. So yeah, he's been. He's been on

839
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 1: trending up. I'm high Cole Comet against the Cardinals.

840
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 2: He's my tight end ten. He's tight in thirteen consensus.

841
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,200
Speaker 1: He's a tight end six and points per get Fantasy

842
00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:37,720
Speaker 1: points per game this year, and he's facing this Cardinal

843
00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 1: defense that's twenty fifth and DVOA against tight end. So like,

844
00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 1: Comets is kind of getting sleep slept on, especially with

845
00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 1: you know, some of the bigger names back, but you know,

846
00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:53,240
Speaker 1: just based on kind of their underlying metrics and and

847
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:55,239
Speaker 1: things like that, Like I actually have Comet ahead of

848
00:40:55,239 --> 00:41:00,080
Speaker 1: guys like Taysom Hill, Dallascodder, guys like that this week.

849
00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:02,280
Speaker 1: So I think, you know, people are kind of reluctant

850
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:05,440
Speaker 1: to play him over some of those guys, but uh,

851
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:07,799
Speaker 1: you know, just by the raw numbers, he deserves it.

852
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 2: He's been a top six tight end.

853
00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:12,360
Speaker 1: I even have over Adalta Cocage is barely actually not

854
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:13,280
Speaker 1: even barely by.

855
00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:14,160
Speaker 2: A point, by a whole point.

856
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:18,680
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, So you know, it's it's it just kind

857
00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 1: of goes to show you I we're at that point

858
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:22,839
Speaker 1: of the year where we have enough data to kind

859
00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 1: of show who these guys are, especially gy that Kamen

860
00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:27,120
Speaker 1: has been you know, hasn't been injured or anything like that.

861
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 1: You know, DJ Moore hasn't been injured, so you kind

862
00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:31,279
Speaker 1: of what you see is what you get here. So yeah,

863
00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:33,759
Speaker 1: I have him as the top ten tight end this week.

864
00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:36,600
Speaker 1: Wouldn't be uh, wouldn't shot, wouldn't be afraid to use

865
00:41:36,680 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 1: him in a in a big spot?

866
00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:39,440
Speaker 2: Who are you loah?

867
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:43,799
Speaker 3: So I apologize to our producer David, but I am

868
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,319
Speaker 3: low on Taysom Hill Unfortunately, I believe me. I don't

869
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 3: want to say this either, but he's my tight end

870
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:52,280
Speaker 3: twenty against the Rams, and you know he he obviously

871
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:55,120
Speaker 3: has the widest range of outcomes of all tight ends

872
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:58,719
Speaker 3: really and this week's no different. Usually I say that's

873
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:01,359
Speaker 3: a reason to start him because tight end it's such

874
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 3: a crap shoots, it's a low scoring position. Why not

875
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:07,600
Speaker 3: just force him in your lineup? But there's no more

876
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:10,840
Speaker 3: teams on buy. A lot of tight ends are back healthy,

877
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 3: you know, Dalton Schultz return, Dallas Podder's back, even Darren

878
00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:17,759
Speaker 3: Waller decided to return actually last week. So there's a

879
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:21,960
Speaker 3: lot more players with a higher floor then Taysom, like

880
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:27,160
Speaker 3: Tanner Hudson like definitely Tanner Hudson over him. But Taysom

881
00:42:27,200 --> 00:42:29,440
Speaker 3: had a low floor game last week. He was tightened

882
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:31,920
Speaker 3: fifty seven, which is weird because the Saints won that

883
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:35,000
Speaker 3: game pretty Hanley. Usually that's when he sees more usage.

884
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 3: You know, maybe they were easing him back because he

885
00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:40,920
Speaker 3: was coming back from injury or whatever. So that doesn't

886
00:42:40,920 --> 00:42:42,680
Speaker 3: help that they have a short week coming up here.

887
00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:46,240
Speaker 3: So I just think he's more likely to his floor

888
00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 3: this week. So if if you're you know, the favorite

889
00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:51,640
Speaker 3: in your matchup and you have a really good option

890
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:54,520
Speaker 3: at tight end, just play them over him. But if

891
00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 3: you're a massive underdog and you want to tap into

892
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,880
Speaker 3: Taysom's top five upside, sure he's always an option for that.

893
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 3: But just this week, I'm leaning towards him being closer

894
00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:05,600
Speaker 3: to his floor unfortunately. So that's why he's He's outside

895
00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:08,319
Speaker 3: of my top fifteen even, which is pretty rare this

896
00:43:08,320 --> 00:43:08,920
Speaker 3: season for me.

897
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:10,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's my tighten's twenty as well.

898
00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:13,440
Speaker 1: Another guy I think I think perfect DFS played though,

899
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 1: because right, oh, isn't it. The Saints are another one

900
00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:17,440
Speaker 1: of those teams, like we talked about this with the

901
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:20,319
Speaker 1: where there's like there's just this natural variance within the

902
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:23,399
Speaker 1: team's usage. It's not like, you know, certain teams every week,

903
00:43:23,520 --> 00:43:26,719
Speaker 1: same kind of usage certain teams one week.

904
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 2: It's like like.

905
00:43:28,280 --> 00:43:30,239
Speaker 1: Even the tight end rotation, like now you're starting to

906
00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:33,840
Speaker 1: mixing Jimmy Graham more. Juwan Johnson's playing less against his

907
00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:36,839
Speaker 1: You never quite know what to expect with the Saint team.

908
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 1: So yeah, dfs play, but it terms of medium projection, Yeah,

909
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:41,160
Speaker 1: he's not tight.

910
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:42,880
Speaker 2: End twenty as well.

911
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:47,880
Speaker 1: I'm well on Dallas Goddard tight ended fourteen for me,

912
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:51,680
Speaker 1: and that sounds kind of low, but I mean number one,

913
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:56,160
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurt's not playing two quarterback number two, as you mentioned,

914
00:43:56,200 --> 00:43:58,600
Speaker 1: a lot of other guys healthy that we just have more,

915
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,319
Speaker 1: you know, the numbers, just underlying numbers just look better.

916
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:05,359
Speaker 1: And this Giant team quietly, you know, the one thing

917
00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:08,680
Speaker 1: they have done this offseason upgrade that linebacking corps and

918
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:12,759
Speaker 1: now roll and behold number one in DVOA against tight ends.

919
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:15,880
Speaker 1: And I can't remember the last time a Giant football

920
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:19,520
Speaker 1: team was good against tight ends because the linebacker has

921
00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:23,520
Speaker 1: been a problem for this organization for decades. Although it

922
00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:26,120
Speaker 1: seems like since Antonio Pierce left back in the day,

923
00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:28,279
Speaker 1: so you know, his Giant team playing better.

924
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:30,280
Speaker 2: They also play the eighth most man coverage.

925
00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:32,920
Speaker 1: You know, under wing Martindale, they still blitz a lot,

926
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:36,040
Speaker 1: so you know that involves staying in the blitz sometimes

927
00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:38,920
Speaker 1: box sometimes excuse me for the tight end. And Goddard

928
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 1: only has seen twenty three percent of his targets come

929
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:45,120
Speaker 1: against man coverage this year according to PFF, so not

930
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 1: the greatest matchup. Maybe, you know, they they look at

931
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:50,160
Speaker 1: you know, hurts the struggle on the deep ball. Maybe

932
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:53,040
Speaker 1: they give him a bunch of short underneath completions, but

933
00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:55,319
Speaker 1: nothing's kind of sticking out, that's kind of putting them

934
00:44:55,320 --> 00:44:57,520
Speaker 1: over the top. Year. Uh, you know, maybe he gets

935
00:44:57,560 --> 00:45:00,600
Speaker 1: like a six for thirty eight type game, but yeah,

936
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:03,839
Speaker 1: touchdown probably isn't super high here compared to a lot

937
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,640
Speaker 1: of the other guys. So yeah, I'm blowing him. This

938
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:09,319
Speaker 1: would be kind of a fringe start stream guy for me.

939
00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:12,160
Speaker 2: Where you going for the problem.

940
00:45:12,719 --> 00:45:16,640
Speaker 3: Let's go Darren Waller. Curious where you're projecting him rank

941
00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 3: wise and you know stat wise, So let's go with

942
00:45:20,160 --> 00:45:25,120
Speaker 3: his receiving yards against the Eagles, and I'm just gonna

943
00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:26,760
Speaker 3: throw it out there, thirty three and a half.

944
00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:27,960
Speaker 2: Where are you going?

945
00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:33,480
Speaker 1: I'll go over I have him average right around a

946
00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 1: little over forty, so still high thirties median. He had

947
00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:39,479
Speaker 1: forty yards I believe was yeah, forty against the Saints.

948
00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:41,920
Speaker 2: There's forty something. Let me double check that.

949
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:45,279
Speaker 1: Yeah he yeah, four for forty on six targets. But

950
00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:48,839
Speaker 1: he only played like half the snap, so I think

951
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:50,400
Speaker 1: you'll see him play a little bit more.

952
00:45:51,120 --> 00:45:54,799
Speaker 2: Could be a trailing game script. So yeah, I'll go over.

953
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:58,279
Speaker 1: I mean, he's I don't think he would have came

954
00:45:58,360 --> 00:46:00,600
Speaker 1: back if it wasn't if he wasn't true at least

955
00:46:00,680 --> 00:46:04,160
Speaker 1: somewhat you know, ready to go here. So yeah, I

956
00:46:04,239 --> 00:46:07,759
Speaker 1: have him over, but I don't like taking overs. But yeah,

957
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:10,960
Speaker 1: pretty significant difference between what'd you say it.

958
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:13,680
Speaker 2: Was thirty thirty three and a half. Yeah, yeah, definitely

959
00:46:13,719 --> 00:46:16,200
Speaker 2: have him way over that. I mean, where are you

960
00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 2: ranking him twelve? Oh? Are you so you're in the

961
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:22,520
Speaker 2: fantasy playoffs? Are you trusting him?

962
00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:28,160
Speaker 1: I mean over Kyle Pitts and I don't Yeah, yes, yeah.

963
00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 3: Trusting him over Dalton Schultz or like a Tanner Hudson, Like.

964
00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 1: If if Stroud plays, I would trust Schultz higher. Right now,

965
00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:41,360
Speaker 1: it's kind of still iffy, and judging by the spreading

966
00:46:41,360 --> 00:46:43,719
Speaker 1: total of that game, they're like he's still not out

967
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:46,160
Speaker 1: of the protocols we recorded on Tuesday, So yeah, but

968
00:46:46,239 --> 00:46:49,880
Speaker 1: yeah Schultz, Yes, but Pitt's Goddard Friarmouth.

969
00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:52,359
Speaker 2: No, you know what I mean, like.

970
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:55,480
Speaker 3: A Tucker Christian Watson's out again and you have Tucker

971
00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:58,440
Speaker 3: Craft and Darren Waller, probably not.

972
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 1: Kraft because the Panthers have their numbers against tight ends

973
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:05,520
Speaker 1: are just ridunculous, like they just give up numbers to

974
00:47:05,640 --> 00:47:08,720
Speaker 1: tight end. So it's like like I have Craft right there,

975
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:12,319
Speaker 1: like in terms of raw projection, and I think in

976
00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:16,399
Speaker 1: like a DFS he makes sense. But the median, it's

977
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:18,640
Speaker 1: the floor I think for Craft is probably lower than

978
00:47:18,680 --> 00:47:20,719
Speaker 1: Waller because the thing about Waller is when he's on

979
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:24,279
Speaker 1: a field, he's gonna see targets more than likely. It

980
00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:26,600
Speaker 1: seemed like Daniel Jones, if anything, was killing his value

981
00:47:26,640 --> 00:47:30,279
Speaker 1: more than more than anything. So yeah, I mean it's

982
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,000
Speaker 1: not pretty's and this could change, so definitely check our

983
00:47:33,080 --> 00:47:36,160
Speaker 1: rankings at actually dot com. But right now, yeah, I

984
00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:39,279
Speaker 1: do have him kind of in that same mix, you know,

985
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:41,280
Speaker 1: and I'm expecting him to play more than the forty

986
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:43,600
Speaker 1: whereas it like forty seven percent.

987
00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:45,439
Speaker 2: Of route he played last week.

988
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:49,240
Speaker 3: So yeah, that great plug there. Please check our rankings

989
00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:51,920
Speaker 3: Sunday morning. We're a bit busy. I know he's going

990
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,439
Speaker 3: to be in the Sizart discussion. I wish I could

991
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:56,279
Speaker 3: answer all the questions. That's why I just wanted to

992
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:58,960
Speaker 3: kind of address it now when people are asking us

993
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:00,960
Speaker 3: and we're on vince Me, we can't.

994
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 2: We can't address it then.

995
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:04,840
Speaker 3: But yeah, it's tough, but you probably do have to

996
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:07,600
Speaker 3: roll the dice on him over most guys.

997
00:48:07,920 --> 00:48:10,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean there, it's definitely it's worth, Like you said,

998
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:12,720
Speaker 1: work discussion. There's a bunch of guys in that range,

999
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:15,360
Speaker 1: so it checking the ranks, it's gonna be important. But

1000
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:18,759
Speaker 1: right now, yeah, he's looking better than some.

1001
00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:23,920
Speaker 2: Okay, Uh, yeah, that's that's yeah. It's gonna do it.

1002
00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:26,560
Speaker 1: For our week sixteen player projections up sod of the

1003
00:48:26,600 --> 00:48:29,839
Speaker 1: Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM for more great

1004
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:31,719
Speaker 1: Fantasy content from Sean and I'm be sure to check

1005
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:34,440
Speaker 1: out our full Fantasy preview episode that's out right now

1006
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:38,280
Speaker 1: over on the Fantasy Flex podcast channel. Uh, don't forget

1007
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:39,120
Speaker 1: being stuck.

1008
00:48:39,120 --> 00:48:39,720
Speaker 2: He's betting.

1009
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:43,480
Speaker 1: Preview episode drops every Thursday right here, and you can

1010
00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:46,800
Speaker 1: also check out Action network dot com for all of

1011
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:50,200
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1012
00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:54,200
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00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:55,880
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1014
00:48:56,480 --> 00:48:57,560
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1015
00:48:57,400 --> 00:48:59,560
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1016
00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:01,399
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