1 00:00:09,280 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network. 2 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman. I am going to be joined 3 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:23,799 Speaker 1: by my BFF, professional better Simon Hunter. Somehow, some way, 4 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: NFL is in the books. Despite its strangeness, it ended 5 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:37,280 Speaker 1: the same way so many others have ended. Simon tom 6 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 1: Brady winning the Super Bowl. We're gonna talk about how 7 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:44,760 Speaker 1: we liked the bus money line. We're gonna talk about 8 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 1: how you had a Buck's future. Because the bigger question 9 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: then tom Brady winning, is did you the listeners win? 10 00:00:56,520 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 1: Did Simon and I win? Me think we did? Me 11 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 1: thinks we did. Simon. More importantly, it's time to turn 12 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: the page. We got to move on. We cannot rest 13 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: on our laurels. We cannot count our cash for umpteen 14 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: hours after the game. What can we win on next year? 15 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: Never too early to talk NFL futures, NFL m v P. 16 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: We are going to do that today. We will get 17 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: to a lot of your questions for me and Simon. 18 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 1: We will announce the winner of our Super Bowl. Phrase 19 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: that pays contest, That person and their charity are getting 20 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 1: some cash. First, let's welcome Simon. Hello Simon, Hello Simon. 21 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 1: Anyone if you do that to you remember that that 22 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: Mike Myers skid from SNL. Simon, I'm Simon. I like drawing. Hello, motive, 23 00:01:55,760 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: It's Simon. I'd like to do drawers. Yeah, Man, Simon's 24 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: not an easy name to grow up with. Man Simon says, 25 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 1: is like the ultimate uh. Anything you say from the 26 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: age about four to ten, they go, oh, does Simon say? So? 27 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 1: That was definitely a fun experience here in America. Well 28 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 1: also also, eventually you end up co hosting a podcast 29 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: and the idiot host creates an entire uh phrase that 30 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 1: pays experienced out of the name because he's not clever 31 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: enough to think of anything else. I was gonna say, 32 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: simple minds think of simple things. So it's no fault 33 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: to you, my friend. So chat before we start. I 34 00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 1: have to uh, people need you to make a public apology. 35 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 1: You asked if Andy Reid is even close to be 36 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: on the same level as Bill Belichick, Do you want 37 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 1: to apologize everyone for even bringing that up? Well, look, 38 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: I honestly that was one of the questions that was 39 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 1: asked when Mitchell producer Extraordinaire tweeted out from the favorite 40 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: handle on Twitter that what questions do you have for 41 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 1: us today, and someone asked me to address that. I 42 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: was gonna wait, Um, but I will address it. Look, 43 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 1: I I I don't know what to say. I'm not 44 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: going to apologize for it. I felt. I felt in 45 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:29,359 Speaker 1: advance of the game that I like Andy read a lot. 46 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: I like in as a human being. I like what 47 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 1: he's brought to the game. I like the coaching tree 48 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: he's developed. I like how he's been so innovative. I 49 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: like the way he handles himself. Um. So my hope 50 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: was that he would win super Bowls and eventually be 51 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: considered a better coach than Bill Belichick. By the way, 52 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 1: it's Belichick is so great without Tom Brady. Belichick is 53 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: a guy who got fired, Oh my god, I got 54 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 1: fired in Cleveland, has not been able to draft talent, 55 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: and decided to put his first post Tom Brady season 56 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: in the hands of a wounded, UH debilitated UH Cam Newton. 57 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 1: So I'm not Bill Belichick great coach. I'd still make that, 58 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 1: you know what, I'd still make the case than Andy 59 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 1: Reid could end up being a better coach than Bill Belichick. Also, 60 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 1: his quarterback was playing on one ft and his quarterback 61 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 1: didn't have a left tackle or a right tackle, like, 62 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: these things happen. These things happen. I'm not going to 63 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 1: apologize for it. So that was a very nice apology chat. 64 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:49,679 Speaker 1: I appreciate you doing that. The fans appreciate that apology. 65 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, Bill Belichick. If you watch 66 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:57,000 Speaker 1: those early Super bowls, Tom Brady, he's, no doubt the goat. 67 00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: But I mean, dude, those defenses for the Patriots, like 68 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 1: they shut down the greatest show on turf, like Belichick is, 69 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:08,560 Speaker 1: he's the goat. But yeah, by the way, isn't that 70 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 1: the one where they were videotaping in the stands all 71 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: the place? So if you're not if you're not cheating, 72 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: you're not trying yet. How hard is it to stop 73 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:21,359 Speaker 1: a team when you know every single play that's coming. 74 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:24,480 Speaker 1: I don't want to hear about how great he was 75 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 1: Marshall falk and how he decided they were gonna chip 76 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 1: Marshall Falcon that was gonna be the way that they 77 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 1: won the game. They won the game because he knew 78 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:40,479 Speaker 1: the place. Okay, boy, genius McVeigh three points in the 79 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Yeah, I have some medicine. Why am I 80 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,039 Speaker 1: defending the Patriots? I hate the Patriots. No, it's not 81 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:49,800 Speaker 1: making me defend the Patriots. What is happening right now 82 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 1: at all? You know what we should do. We should 83 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 1: all be praising Bruce Arians, because here's a guy who 84 00:05:57,240 --> 00:06:00,679 Speaker 1: like is a gun slinger to the end, and during 85 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 1: this season, you can remember earlier in the year, like 86 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: he very easily could have been catering to tom Brady's 87 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 1: every win and handling him with kid gloves. And early 88 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 1: in the year, like he came out and he was 89 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 1: critical of tom Brady, and everyone's like, oh my god, 90 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:18,839 Speaker 1: how could do that tom Brady? Tom Brady didn't care. 91 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 1: It seemed like they had a very adult, respectful relationship 92 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: in a way that maybe tom Brady was never able 93 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:29,359 Speaker 1: to have with Bill Belichick in terms of having input, 94 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 1: in terms of having his say in terms of guiding 95 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 1: the team, like Arians clearly treats his players significantly differently 96 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:42,159 Speaker 1: than anybody else does, and was able to find a 97 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 1: way to get buy in into his offense from the 98 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 1: best quarterback ever who had been playing it one way 99 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 1: for twenty years, and together they won a super Bowl 100 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:56,280 Speaker 1: and we won the Bucks money line bet. And I 101 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 1: don't know that there is a single bit of difference 102 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 1: between the importance of those two things. There's amazing There's 103 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:05,919 Speaker 1: a ton of stats from this game that are just 104 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:09,279 Speaker 1: amazing just about how epic Brady is. But the most 105 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 1: my favorite has to be the fact that all every 106 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: person that scored a touchdown in that game for the 107 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 1: Buccaneers wasn't on the team the year before. But Gronkowski 108 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 1: came in free agency when I were traded to them 109 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 1: for NET, came there when they they picked them up, 110 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: and a b came there when they picked them up. 111 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: So it's just Brady man. Like, I know, it's different 112 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 1: because we're living in the moment and it's it's weird 113 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 1: when you're living in the moment of history. And I 114 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 1: know that the ratings were down, like Darren tweeted that 115 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 1: everything like that, But I think enough people not that 116 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: they were disappointing that game, but they wanted a good 117 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 1: game where someone that bet on the Buccaneers. That was 118 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: one of the most fun games I've ever experienced in 119 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: my life. It's like, as soon as he drove that 120 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: field and scored a touchdown that first quarter, even though 121 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: it's brutal because I was a push on the first 122 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 1: quarter under oh my god, did he look good? And 123 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 1: you were just everyone was just like, the Chiefs are 124 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 1: not gonna stop this Buck in your offense, like you 125 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 1: saw that in that drive, that that the running and 126 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: passing attack with the Buccaneers. Who knows how many times 127 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: if they play that game a thousand times the exact 128 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:17,200 Speaker 1: same situation, you honestly look at numbers and you would 129 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 1: say what the Chiefs might win of the time. They 130 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 1: just looked totally outmatched, just a offensively and defensively. So 131 00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 1: we can break it down even more because that game, Man, 132 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: there was a lot to unpack from that game. All right, 133 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: well let's do that because we had five bets that 134 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,000 Speaker 1: we ended up giving out on Sunday from the ten 135 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: or so that we talked about in the podcast last week. 136 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:42,960 Speaker 1: One of them was Bucks money line, and you also, 137 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 1: by the way, had a pretty big Bucks future. So 138 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:49,839 Speaker 1: before we unpack the four other props, I do want 139 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 1: to talk about why did we feel so good about 140 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:55,959 Speaker 1: the Bucks money line? I have my opinions, I'm happy 141 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 1: to share them. Why did you feel so good about 142 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 1: the Bucks money line? And how good do you feel 143 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 1: about that Bucks future? I was a coward honestly about 144 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:08,240 Speaker 1: the books future I the whole entire year. In the 145 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 1: back of my mind, I was like, in no way, 146 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 1: it cashes, Just no way, Simon Hunter, professional coward, first 147 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:18,840 Speaker 1: year on the offense, all these guys brand new to 148 00:09:18,920 --> 00:09:22,120 Speaker 1: each other, the fact that no team had ever played 149 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:25,680 Speaker 1: at home like hosted the Super Bowl, and I just 150 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: thought all these different little things, I just kept saying, 151 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 1: no way. So, like I told you, I hedged out 152 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 1: pretty much the whole way because I just did not 153 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 1: believe it. And and by the time I got to 154 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,960 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, I had the date on the numbers saying, no, 155 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,679 Speaker 1: You're getting crazy good value here in the Buccaneers. Like 156 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:46,559 Speaker 1: we talked about it. Did I see that scenario playing 157 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:50,080 Speaker 1: out of thirty one to nine win? No? I mean 158 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:52,679 Speaker 1: that The fact that my homes has never not had 159 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 1: a touchdown in the game was the main reason I 160 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 1: just did not see this being a blow. I just 161 00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 1: I couldn't. I cannot. I could not see him not 162 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 1: getting the end zone. And I've watched already three times 163 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, Like I just I couldn't get over 164 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 1: that what Todd Bowls did. Because you watched the Buffalo 165 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 1: game just two weeks ago, I said, it two weeks ago. 166 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: It's one of the best offensive performances I've ever seen 167 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. Everything they did was just genius. All the illusion, 168 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 1: the movement, everything top bowls just outsmore to them to 169 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 1: the highest degree. He just triple team Tyreek, put two guys, 170 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:33,600 Speaker 1: two linebackers in the middle against Kelsey, and just kept 171 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 1: everything in front of the where he knew the offensive 172 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: line was not gonna be able to stop these dns. 173 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 1: Just like we talked, we loved shack the shacks over 174 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:44,080 Speaker 1: a half a sack that was a no sweat. He 175 00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 1: had two sacks. He easily should have five sacks. I mean, 176 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 1: my homes is unbelievable. Like him him not getting those sacks. Man, 177 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: I couldn't get over watching it. I was just I 178 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:56,959 Speaker 1: was fearful of his life because I've got to a 179 00:10:56,960 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: point where it's like, what is this guy still doing here? 180 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:02,840 Speaker 1: But in that fact that we didn't get that four 181 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 1: and a half sack cover on our prop that that 182 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: was just sickening because they had him three or four 183 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,079 Speaker 1: times dead their rights and he got out of it. 184 00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 1: Because it's Patrick Mahomes that m Let's talk about that 185 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:19,559 Speaker 1: prop for a second. Uh, the four and a half sacks. 186 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 1: Prop that was my biggest liability of the day. Oh no, 187 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 1: And I was so sure of it. I kept talking 188 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 1: about it. Every time I talked about it, I convinced myself. 189 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:38,640 Speaker 1: I found some more outs. Uh. The fact that that 190 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 1: he wasn't sacked five times on his own was astonishing 191 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:46,720 Speaker 1: and gut wretching, and I couldn't believe it. Up to 192 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 1: h I convinced the buddy of mine UH in Illinois 193 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:54,080 Speaker 1: to be betting it. And we were texting each other 194 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 1: at the end of the game, and I'm thinking, we 195 00:11:57,280 --> 00:11:59,679 Speaker 1: just need him to get the ball one more time, 196 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 1: like the box, just have to punt the ball, get 197 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:06,679 Speaker 1: the Chiefs one more desperate attempt, and like every time 198 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 1: he dropped back it just in that last series, it 199 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 1: wasn't even close. What I don't what I don't get 200 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:18,680 Speaker 1: is why wasn't that that botched snap that went over 201 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:21,199 Speaker 1: Brady's head that he then had to fall on then 202 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:24,320 Speaker 1: he was tagged down. Why wasn't that considered a sack? 203 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:28,319 Speaker 1: And I still don't get that. I don't understand why 204 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: it's not considered a sack. Um. Maybe they considered like 205 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 1: a kneel down play or something but he's not dead 206 00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 1: until they touched him. So that's why I didn't really 207 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 1: understand the play. He got touched down in the backfield. 208 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:42,679 Speaker 1: That's technically a sack. The same thing happened to my 209 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:47,000 Speaker 1: homes they counted as a sack. But that that prop 210 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 1: is weird. The worst part is I had a bunch 211 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 1: of four, so like I never thought I was gonna 212 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 1: push on that, Like seriously, when that game got into 213 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 1: the second half, I go, man, he is just gonna 214 00:12:57,040 --> 00:13:01,080 Speaker 1: get dominated by these guys. But that's how it goes 215 00:13:01,120 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 1: bad luck. Like we'll talk about the fat man prop man, 216 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:08,080 Speaker 1: Oh my god, Chad, alright, remind people what that was 217 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 1: because we talked about that in the podcast last week. 218 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,040 Speaker 1: So it's kind of better where if I better grand 219 00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 1: on it, I'm getting twenty K back. And it's one 220 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:19,240 Speaker 1: of these that I joked about. It's you're hoping for 221 00:13:19,280 --> 00:13:22,080 Speaker 1: them to bring in the sixth man, a big offensive lineman, 222 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:25,000 Speaker 1: and they just do a little trick play where they 223 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 1: squeak out, they'll be wide open and the ball is 224 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 1: gonna be thrown to him every time. And had a 225 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:34,640 Speaker 1: little bit of info um right from both teams, like 226 00:13:34,760 --> 00:13:37,960 Speaker 1: different be writers talking about they do have trick plays 227 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 1: that they could pull out that had offensive lineman involved 228 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 1: in it. And man, as soon as the telecast said, 229 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: oh they got the sixth linemen in here, Brady does 230 00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: the play. He runs back everyone. I see the linebackers 231 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,880 Speaker 1: step step up. I see the guy scooting to the 232 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:57,520 Speaker 1: back of the end zone. Brady puts it right into 233 00:13:57,600 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 1: his hands and the guy literally had to go right 234 00:13:59,880 --> 00:14:01,839 Speaker 1: there his hands into his face, mess and drops it. 235 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,839 Speaker 1: So that's why it's twenty to one. These guys aren't 236 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:08,000 Speaker 1: paid to catch the ball, their their offensive lignment, but man, 237 00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: that would have that would have helped the day. So basically, 238 00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: my my two biggest prop bets were the over one 239 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,960 Speaker 1: and a half field goals and the most points second half. 240 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go through my tickets. I probably want 241 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 1: a decent amount on the props, Like the over one 242 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 1: and a half interceptions came through like that was a 243 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: real nice one, and that that second half one hurt. 244 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 1: But you'll hear me next year the same thing. I'll 245 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: stay on the show. That's a bet you just always make. 246 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 1: We saw the opportunities the Chiefs guy in the red 247 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 1: zone two different times. They just couldn't score, and the 248 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 1: Buccaneers did the same thing. They had no reason to 249 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 1: really push the ball downfield. They were up twenty points, 250 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 1: so it was just a bad, bad luck situation with 251 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 1: that one. But overall, yeah, man, the the Buccaneers money line, 252 00:14:56,880 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 1: I don't know what your reasons for taking up, but 253 00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: I I said that simple. If you believe in a 254 00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 1: side in the Super Bowl, the only time you take 255 00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 1: the money line is when it's the dog, because that's 256 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 1: how the bookmakers win. If you took the plus they 257 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 1: were the Buccaneers, you just took it at minus one 258 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 1: tent So if you're being a hundred, you're only getting 259 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:17,920 Speaker 1: ninety back where we took the money line, which is 260 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: a percentage wise is a smarter bet because over time, 261 00:15:21,800 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 1: like we always talk about, that's how people need to 262 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 1: start thinking about this game. And the Super Bowl is 263 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 1: so unique. I'm I'm trying to drill into people's head 264 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 1: here that the spread, of course it matters, but you're 265 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: hurting yourself in the Super Bowl. You're not taking the 266 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:41,200 Speaker 1: value that's there. And I I I just didn't see 267 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: a situation where if the if the Buccaneers won, how 268 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:46,280 Speaker 1: do they not win by a field goal. So I 269 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: gave up the alternative line of minus two and a 270 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:50,440 Speaker 1: half just because there's a ton of value there that 271 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 1: even if I don't hit that bet this year, next year, 272 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 1: if I take an alternative line again, I hit it. 273 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:58,360 Speaker 1: Now I'm up on two years and and even on 274 00:15:58,360 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 1: one on one. So that's all I'm trying to stillip 275 00:15:59,880 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 1: you cool the fact that I'm on a crazy run 276 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: here where these keep hitting like the Chiefs minus six 277 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 1: and a half last year. I did not deserve that 278 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:09,160 Speaker 1: to hit. They got a flute touch on the right 279 00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 1: end of the game, and that's the only reason I 280 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 1: covered the alternative line. But that's why you're playing it. 281 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 1: I'm talking. That's why I'm trying to install people. Weird 282 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:17,560 Speaker 1: things happen in these Super Bowls like we saw on Sunday, 283 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:20,400 Speaker 1: Like that's what I'm betting on because the values there. 284 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 1: The bookmaker wants you to play the street because even 285 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 1: if they lose, they're still not losing as bad because 286 00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 1: so many people took the three or three and a 287 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 1: half because they thought they were getting good value when 288 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:33,440 Speaker 1: they weren't. The You had a really interesting staff that 289 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 1: you talked about on the podcast last week where you 290 00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: pointed out that if you like the underdog, take the 291 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 1: money line because the spread does not come into play. So, 292 00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 1: being the diligent reporter that i'm that I am, I 293 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 1: looked it up and I went back. It's the last 294 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 1: time an underdog covered but did not win was two 295 00:16:54,640 --> 00:17:02,160 Speaker 1: thousand nine Super Bowl Steelers Cardinals, Steelers on that last 296 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 1: second play to Santonio Holmes. And every time there has 297 00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 1: been an underdog that covered since then, they've won the 298 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:17,960 Speaker 1: game outright. And then the flip side is the favorites 299 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 1: if they won the game, they covered out right. So 300 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,360 Speaker 1: the point spread from an underdog point of view has 301 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:27,440 Speaker 1: never come into play since that two thousand nine season. 302 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:30,399 Speaker 1: And you could argue that two thousand nine Super Bowl 303 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 1: that was a fluke because of what happened in the 304 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 1: last second because the Carlo's winning that game in the 305 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 1: end of the first half. Do you remember Harris picking 306 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 1: up the ball running all the way times. So again, 307 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:45,840 Speaker 1: that's what I'm trying to still people, is that think 308 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:48,360 Speaker 1: about that. So we have eleven years now where you've 309 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 1: wasted value on taking these numbers, And that's what I'm 310 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 1: trying to still people say, underdog, I don't even know 311 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 1: what the numbers are. Say they're just sixteen and thirty two, 312 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,400 Speaker 1: whatever the number is straight up against the spread. Look 313 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: at those number because there's huge underdogs in that whole 314 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: sequence where if you've just been taking that money line 315 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 1: on the dog, it's been paying out like you're in 316 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: the positive. And if you're sixteen and thirty two, you're 317 00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,800 Speaker 1: gonna be above that midway point. Because just off my head, 318 00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 1: the Rams when they got upset by the Patriots, there 319 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:19,919 Speaker 1: were fourteen point underdog the Patriots. When the Giants upset 320 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:22,720 Speaker 1: the Patriots, I know they're at least eleven or thirteen 321 00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 1: point underdog or something like that. So that's one of 322 00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: those what I'm saying, Yeah, that's great, you had a 323 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 1: thirteen point cover, so you had a zero sweat in 324 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:32,359 Speaker 1: that game, but you're not making the money. Everything is 325 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 1: gonna be a sweat regardless. So just take that money 326 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:36,359 Speaker 1: line on these dogs when you really do believe in 327 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:38,120 Speaker 1: the dogs. That's what I'm trying to instill with people. 328 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 1: Because last year I had the Chiefs. They were the 329 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 1: favorite last year, so I didn't take the dogs. So 330 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:44,440 Speaker 1: when I took the Chiefs last year, I took the 331 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 1: alternative line, and I took the minus two. Neither of 332 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 1: two came into play the one by eleven. So that's 333 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:51,399 Speaker 1: what I'm trying to say is over the years, if 334 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,720 Speaker 1: you do what I'm talking about, even when you lose, 335 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,160 Speaker 1: you're gonna win long term because you're getting a good 336 00:18:56,160 --> 00:19:01,120 Speaker 1: plus value on these numbers. The key is is you're 337 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,439 Speaker 1: playing for the long haul. You're not just playing for 338 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 1: the one game like this is what you do. You're 339 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:09,719 Speaker 1: doing it for a while. Uh, And people need to 340 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 1: sort of think about think about that horizon when they're betting. 341 00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 1: It's not just betting this one game and what you 342 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 1: win in this one game. It's what you're winning over 343 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:24,320 Speaker 1: the course of a very long period of time. As 344 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 1: they talked about talked about over one and a half 345 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 1: field goals, almost you had one taken off the board. Uh, 346 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 1: you came back and got one in the last few minutes. 347 00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: Over four and a half sacks. We did not get 348 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 1: Buck's money line. We got, uh, specially second half higher scoring. 349 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:44,919 Speaker 1: We talked about that, we did not get a two 350 00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:47,240 Speaker 1: point conversion. Just weren't a lot of it, wasn't a need, 351 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 1: weren't any opportunities. Now the Chiefs side, they were the 352 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 1: only ones are in the spot we need the Chiefs 353 00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:55,520 Speaker 1: to score, and I really honestly thought they're gonna have 354 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 1: at least two touch ones in that second half. I 355 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 1: was really stunned. They finished the second half of just 356 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 1: three points. So we just never had the opportunity to 357 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:09,880 Speaker 1: have a team, either team go for two great season. 358 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:13,640 Speaker 1: It was a good season. It's one of those two 359 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 1: where people, I'm sorry man about the playoffs, but at 360 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 1: the same time, it was what is the eleven games 361 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 1: we had in the playoffs during the season, we have 362 00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:25,600 Speaker 1: sixteen a week So that's what I try to break 363 00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:29,440 Speaker 1: down to people. You're just going off such a small sample. 364 00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:31,280 Speaker 1: That's why I know people like the bet more in 365 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 1: the playoffs, but you're doing more damage because you're lessening 366 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 1: your value and you're going from sixteen games on a 367 00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:41,560 Speaker 1: Sunday to a really small sample each weekend. The bet 368 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:43,960 Speaker 1: off of so on that happy we get in the 369 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 1: super Bowl and a good note because I know that's 370 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:48,920 Speaker 1: what people really care about, and especially like my clients, 371 00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 1: that's that's all they want to do. They want to 372 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,359 Speaker 1: be at the party being the smartest guy there because 373 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:54,960 Speaker 1: they had a big bet on what every team was 374 00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:56,760 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. So we've had a nice run now 375 00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,120 Speaker 1: two years in a row. Buddy had the chief last year, 376 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:01,640 Speaker 1: had the books this year. Can't. Can't complain winning back 377 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: to back Super Bowls. Well, guess what it's time to 378 00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:11,000 Speaker 1: talk about next year. Let this be the first moment 379 00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:18,199 Speaker 1: that we are already turning the calendar over too. Super Bowl. 380 00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 1: Oh my god, it's like three dred and sixty two 381 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:26,439 Speaker 1: days away. Time to start planning. Uh. I want to 382 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:29,800 Speaker 1: start with this one because look, this was the question 383 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,719 Speaker 1: that most of you asked. And we're gonna get to 384 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 1: to a few questions, but the universal question was Super 385 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 1: Bowl future Rookie of the Year. When listener sent in 386 00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:46,359 Speaker 1: and I think you'll like this, Jalen hurts to one 387 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 1: to win m VP. Let's start with Super Bowl futures. 388 00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,800 Speaker 1: Let me read off the top ten where we will 389 00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,919 Speaker 1: find no value, because then we will dip into the 390 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:01,160 Speaker 1: second ten, which is where we find the value. If 391 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 1: not more Chiefs. They are five and a half to one, 392 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:12,920 Speaker 1: the Packers nine to one, the Bucks nine to one, 393 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:19,120 Speaker 1: the Ravens Interesting, Interesting twelve to one, the Bills twelve 394 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:24,600 Speaker 1: to one, Rams twelve to one, and then the final 395 00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:27,480 Speaker 1: two and the teams forty nine or fourteen to one, 396 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 1: st seventeen to one, any of those appealing to you, No, 397 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:34,719 Speaker 1: stay and stay away from that. Ravens one. We need 398 00:22:34,760 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 1: to see what the deals with their offensive line next 399 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 1: year because if a marketing or protection I don't see 400 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:42,600 Speaker 1: him one in these playoff games. We saw it happen 401 00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,000 Speaker 1: against the Bills, So we gotta wait and see what 402 00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:46,840 Speaker 1: the deals with the line of the Ravens before I 403 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 1: touch that. But with these ones, we can break it down. 404 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 1: I don't do anything unless it's above plus two thousand. 405 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 1: At this point, I'm I'm just looking for a long, 406 00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 1: long odds because if you're gonna tie your money up 407 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,160 Speaker 1: right now, you want to do it on something that's 408 00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,040 Speaker 1: not paying you back at a crazy amount, like of 409 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:07,600 Speaker 1: course the pack the Packers and the Buccaneers. That's good value. 410 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:09,679 Speaker 1: These are two teams we know they're gonna probably be 411 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: back in the exact spot there in last year, but 412 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 1: the value is not there where you want to take. 413 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:16,639 Speaker 1: Like the Buccaneers. They were doing kind of bad in 414 00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:18,440 Speaker 1: the middle of the season. I think they lost two 415 00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 1: in a row. That's when you take a buck's futures, 416 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,040 Speaker 1: you don't take it right now when there is no 417 00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,359 Speaker 1: value after they just want to Super Bowl. So exactly 418 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,119 Speaker 1: we can dive in the next column because there's no 419 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:31,879 Speaker 1: value in that one. Uh, you're right. The Bucks were 420 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,880 Speaker 1: at seven and five and then they want on a tear. Uh. 421 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:47,199 Speaker 1: The next round, Browns one, Seahawks Miami to one, Indeed 422 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:56,640 Speaker 1: to one, Chargers one, Titans one, Cowboys, Patriots and Steelers 423 00:23:57,040 --> 00:24:02,800 Speaker 1: each at thirty one. Now we're getting interesting. Yeah, I'm 424 00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:05,120 Speaker 1: so enticed by the Browns, but I know that's gonna 425 00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:08,439 Speaker 1: be a trendy pick. And this is the fact they 426 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: have such a die hard fan base. I just don't 427 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 1: think there's gonna be value in the Browns futures because 428 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:17,760 Speaker 1: they're just it's just gonna be bent down too much. 429 00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 1: For if this was maybe plus three thousand, I'd be 430 00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 1: a little more intrigued, because you just have to remember 431 00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,120 Speaker 1: they still have the Ravens and there's in their division. 432 00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:28,520 Speaker 1: It's gonna be hard for them win that division at 433 00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:30,520 Speaker 1: that number. I don't see a lot of value in 434 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 1: betting on them, but win the division. But the mid 435 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,359 Speaker 1: tier one. I like the fact that the Colts and 436 00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,080 Speaker 1: the Dolphins are both two teams that they have their 437 00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:41,720 Speaker 1: pieces in place to go get a quarterback like a 438 00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 1: DeShawn Watson. Well, we've senior with the Dolphins is the 439 00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:48,760 Speaker 1: Dolphins have cap space. Who knows to a the first 440 00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:51,040 Speaker 1: round pick that Houston gave to them and another first 441 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,879 Speaker 1: round pick for Deshaun Watson, and then they pick up 442 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 1: Allen Robinson in free agency. That's a pretty good offense 443 00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,480 Speaker 1: with already a great defense. So that Dolphins wins a 444 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:04,760 Speaker 1: little and icing and the Colts same situation. Frank reich 445 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:09,640 Speaker 1: Ton of money, great defense, great offensive line, good good 446 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:13,160 Speaker 1: players at all the different skill positions and talks. Now 447 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,400 Speaker 1: the Eagles get Carson Wentz. And I know you don't 448 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:20,080 Speaker 1: like Carson. You think he's bad. But I've seen enough 449 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,080 Speaker 1: tape on this guy that I know he has it 450 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,640 Speaker 1: in him to be a good quarterback that can win games. 451 00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:26,720 Speaker 1: And if he has a great offensive line he's protecting 452 00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:31,679 Speaker 1: and can stay healthy, he does well. But I'm scared 453 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 1: of his whole mental makeup. That the Eagles brought in 454 00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 1: a quarterback this year and he melted, He fell apart. 455 00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 1: Where we saw Aaron Rodgers, his team drafted a quarterback. 456 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:45,000 Speaker 1: He went to the NFC Championship game. That's the kind 457 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:47,639 Speaker 1: of quarterback mental I want. I want so much, pretty 458 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:52,320 Speaker 1: tough and other than the only reason I'm playing this 459 00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:56,720 Speaker 1: Colts when it's just the main fact of that team, Carson. 460 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,119 Speaker 1: If he can get right, that's crazy good value and 461 00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 1: the division. They're the only team we're really scared over 462 00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:05,639 Speaker 1: the Titans. And we know what the Titans are. They 463 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:08,320 Speaker 1: got Tannehill, they got Derrick Kennedy, they have a great offense, 464 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 1: but they got a bad defense. So at this value 465 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 1: them and the Titans that they're the same exact value 466 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,600 Speaker 1: right now, I just have a hard time seeing the 467 00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,679 Speaker 1: Titans repeating that division. So I do like the Colts 468 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:24,399 Speaker 1: at this value of plus two thousand, eight hundred deep. 469 00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 1: But do you really think Carson Wentz is going to 470 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:31,879 Speaker 1: be the quarterback? If Carson Wentz isn't the quarterback, what 471 00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 1: what is this team? Kobe Brissett. I I still think 472 00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:40,800 Speaker 1: there's other moves to be made that even if it's 473 00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:43,520 Speaker 1: not him, I still think they could they could do 474 00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:47,239 Speaker 1: something to get a quarterback in there. I'm I'm not 475 00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:49,840 Speaker 1: on down, I'm not all in on just the fact 476 00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: that they're gonna get Wentz. But it honestly does feel 477 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,840 Speaker 1: like it makes more sense where the Bears that trade everything, 478 00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,040 Speaker 1: they're thrown out there, it doesn't make sense. I don't 479 00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,760 Speaker 1: know why they would bring Nick Foles back here. We 480 00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:04,280 Speaker 1: just had a QB controversy. You think it's healthy to 481 00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:07,000 Speaker 1: bring back defending to the guy who wanted Super Bowl 482 00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,800 Speaker 1: for us to a city that we're not sure about her. 483 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:11,480 Speaker 1: It's I think he's got the tools and he could 484 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,520 Speaker 1: be a great quarterback. But if we're seven weeks in 485 00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:16,560 Speaker 1: and this kid is not producing, people are gonna be 486 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:18,760 Speaker 1: calling for Nick Foles. How's that healthy to a second 487 00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:22,040 Speaker 1: year quarterback? So I I just don't see the Bears 488 00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 1: rumors really being true. And I think the Colt rumors 489 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,359 Speaker 1: that just makes more sense on paper, and for both 490 00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 1: teams that the Eagles No, Frank right, And I think 491 00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:32,919 Speaker 1: that we both of us have a need. We need 492 00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: to get rid of Carson once they need a quarterback. 493 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 1: It just feels like that matches up more likely than 494 00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:40,879 Speaker 1: any other team for Carson. So it's interesting to me. 495 00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,119 Speaker 1: The Dolphins to me, are the team that you're playing 496 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,960 Speaker 1: like you played the Bucks last year, where you think 497 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 1: there's a good opportunity for them to upgrade significantly in 498 00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:54,000 Speaker 1: the one area that can make a real difference for them, 499 00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 1: which is quarterback. I totally get it. Uh, we're not 500 00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,399 Speaker 1: talking about the Seahaw because that division is going to 501 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 1: be so hard it's gonna be hard for them to 502 00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:07,200 Speaker 1: get out of it. Um. We talked about the Colts 503 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:12,560 Speaker 1: Chargers to meet Chargers and Cowboys are two of them? 504 00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:18,520 Speaker 1: More Chargers Cowboys and Patriots Charger one Cowboys thirty two one, 505 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:23,400 Speaker 1: Patriots thirty two one. Cowboys will have Dak Patriots. I'm 506 00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 1: banking or if they make a trade for Jimmy g 507 00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:33,200 Speaker 1: uh And and UM Chargers new coach Derwin James back 508 00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 1: uh bossa playing healthy like we've seen what happened with 509 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:43,120 Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, Like that is a team that can turn 510 00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:45,360 Speaker 1: it up with a lot of weapons if they get 511 00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 1: just the people they already have, healthy on defense and 512 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,720 Speaker 1: a better coach. No value in the Chargers That numbers 513 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,480 Speaker 1: should be better. I don't know why it's this low. 514 00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 1: May because the public art thinking exactly what you're thinking. 515 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 1: That all like Herbert looked incredib last year. New coach, 516 00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 1: new offense that will work to his benefit. It could, 517 00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 1: but we'll keep going on the list. Year. I got 518 00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:12,120 Speaker 1: other teams that like better, but the Cowboys was the 519 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:15,360 Speaker 1: same exact thing the NFC East. I don't see this 520 00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,240 Speaker 1: team being that much better than any other team the 521 00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:20,000 Speaker 1: NFC eats. We saw the Cowboys last year before Dad 522 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 1: got hurt. They weren't good. They were not a good 523 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:24,760 Speaker 1: team they had. If they didn't have that flute comeback 524 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:26,840 Speaker 1: win against Atlanta, they would have started the year one 525 00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:30,680 Speaker 1: in five. So I'm not buying the Cowboys. Their price 526 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: is not there either. The public has already bet that down. 527 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:39,280 Speaker 1: And the Patriots I love. I love that they have 528 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,280 Speaker 1: all this stuff for annim where they have a bunch 529 00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:43,160 Speaker 1: of money. In a year the teams are gonna be 530 00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:46,160 Speaker 1: strapped for cash because the cap has come down, and 531 00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 1: the Patriots actually have money, and they have a bunch 532 00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:52,280 Speaker 1: of guys coming back from COVID. But like we talked about, 533 00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:54,240 Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know the avenue is with 534 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:57,320 Speaker 1: them with a quarterback. I can't see Belichick shipping off 535 00:29:57,360 --> 00:29:59,280 Speaker 1: a bunch of first round picks for a quarterback. He's 536 00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:01,400 Speaker 1: never really been that kind of guy. Maybe they do 537 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,960 Speaker 1: something to draft, but that's one of those. I'd wait 538 00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: on that because it's not that great value anyway for 539 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:10,080 Speaker 1: that team, just because already talked about I like the Dolphins, 540 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:12,280 Speaker 1: we all obviously both like the Bills. That's just a 541 00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,480 Speaker 1: tough division. At that number, I don't I just don't 542 00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:18,480 Speaker 1: see the value there. The Patriots vikings forty to one. 543 00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,040 Speaker 1: Here's what I know you're gonna like, oh my god, 544 00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 1: I still you know, like I know you like this. 545 00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:31,400 Speaker 1: Panthers forty five to one, Cardinals fifty one, Falcons fifty 546 00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:41,920 Speaker 1: to one, Bears fifty one, Raiders one, Eagles one. So 547 00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 1: I love the Panthers, but they were at eighty to 548 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:47,360 Speaker 1: one before the Watson news kind of leaked that they 549 00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 1: were trying to go after Stafford and Watson. I think 550 00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:52,360 Speaker 1: the bookmakers go, Okay, this team might be a player, 551 00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 1: we might build a liable eighty one. So they dropped 552 00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:56,240 Speaker 1: it down to forty to one. Now it's back up 553 00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:59,719 Speaker 1: to one. It's it's all right, but I feel like 554 00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 1: we're kind of missed the value one because they're no 555 00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:05,600 Speaker 1: sure thing to get Watson. They have moves that can 556 00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:08,480 Speaker 1: make to get them, but a team I really feel 557 00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:11,840 Speaker 1: like he's gonna have a real chance here again Watson 558 00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:14,400 Speaker 1: that people aren't talking about enough for the Raiders. So 559 00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:18,040 Speaker 1: the Raiders have a couple of first round picks they 560 00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:21,720 Speaker 1: can give up and Derek Derek Carr to Houston. We 561 00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:24,200 Speaker 1: saw the Raiders go tote toe last year the Chiefs. 562 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:29,920 Speaker 1: I like. I like that upside at five thousand uh 563 00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:33,760 Speaker 1: one because I don't know, man, that Raiders team. They're 564 00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,160 Speaker 1: gonna have a pack stadium next year if if they're 565 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:39,200 Speaker 1: allowed to, and that's a big home field advantage. And 566 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,719 Speaker 1: I know Gruden's wilted here the last two years. At 567 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 1: the end of the season, his teams have just fallen apart. 568 00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:49,440 Speaker 1: But I've seen it on offense. They have the weapons, 569 00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 1: they have all these weapons around their car. That team 570 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:55,640 Speaker 1: can put up points. And if you're getting Watson in there, man, 571 00:31:55,880 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 1: that that could be a really special team. So had 572 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 1: that whole little bunch there, I would say they're my favorite. 573 00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,400 Speaker 1: I like the Raiders idea, the Raiders at fifty one 574 00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:08,600 Speaker 1: fields bucks esque. So let's get down to that last 575 00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:13,000 Speaker 1: bracket here. Broncos one, No, they already fooled me last year. 576 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:18,120 Speaker 1: Thanks Simon the football team one. I also noticed you 577 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,720 Speaker 1: passed over the Cardinals at fifty one when we liked 578 00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 1: them last year at um any comment there by the way, yeah, man, 579 00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:28,640 Speaker 1: Mitchell knows why. Cliff Kinsbury, Man, I'm not I'm not 580 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:31,080 Speaker 1: putting any more futures on Cliff Kinsbury. I'm done with 581 00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 1: that Guy's good point. Cliff Kingsbury. Washington football team six one. 582 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:44,600 Speaker 1: The Bengals look like the Giants sixty five, the Jets 583 00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:49,360 Speaker 1: sixty six to one. Actually those are all six. The 584 00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 1: Jags are at eighty, the Lions and Texans at a hundred. 585 00:32:55,840 --> 00:33:00,120 Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Washington Let's talk about it. We 586 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,960 Speaker 1: love them, we love him, and I feel like when 587 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:06,240 Speaker 1: I go through the playoffs there, of all the teams, 588 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:08,760 Speaker 1: they really gave the most problems to the Buccaneers. That 589 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,240 Speaker 1: front four. Really they really got to Tom. I know 590 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:14,520 Speaker 1: that he had a good, pretty good game against them, 591 00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:16,920 Speaker 1: but that's a playoff Tom. I mean, we know we 592 00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:20,120 Speaker 1: just saw what he did in this playoffs. But this 593 00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 1: team feels like that's all they're missing as a quarterback, 594 00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,240 Speaker 1: and it doesn't have to be Watson for them. I 595 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:26,840 Speaker 1: feel like if they can just get a guy just 596 00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:31,320 Speaker 1: like Alex Smith that can control the clock, protect the ball, 597 00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:34,760 Speaker 1: and just not put the team in bad positions. That's 598 00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,960 Speaker 1: a real, real sleeper team with that defense. So at 599 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:42,800 Speaker 1: plus six thousand, no real clear cut team in that division. 600 00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:46,400 Speaker 1: That's great. I do I like. I like that team. 601 00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 1: Second year of the Washington football team. I know a 602 00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,640 Speaker 1: lot of people like the Giants, but I just I 603 00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,160 Speaker 1: don't believe in Daniel Jones, so I'm just not gonna 604 00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:56,800 Speaker 1: bank on them. Then the next year were for that 605 00:33:56,920 --> 00:33:59,320 Speaker 1: division for the best value, I think the Washington football 606 00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:02,800 Speaker 1: teams to pull future, that's really good value. I totally 607 00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:05,200 Speaker 1: agree with you, and I'm so glad you said, because 608 00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:07,400 Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, I never would have thought of 609 00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,160 Speaker 1: it unless you did. Never, I never would have thought 610 00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:13,960 Speaker 1: of it. That's what I'm here for. But I just 611 00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:15,960 Speaker 1: that's the same thing where we talked about the same 612 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,160 Speaker 1: exact spot we were telling about the Buccaneers, is that 613 00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,600 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers are a team that they were nine and 614 00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:24,480 Speaker 1: seven last year, and even though Winson through thirty interceptions, 615 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,560 Speaker 1: and I thought at fifty one, at fifty five to one, 616 00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:30,399 Speaker 1: just to make the playoffs, if they can get in, 617 00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 1: that's great odds to have for super futures. That was 618 00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 1: only my logic last year. Taking it where it's same 619 00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:37,719 Speaker 1: thing this year. I'm looking at teams, where can we 620 00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:39,960 Speaker 1: see an avenue of these teams making the playoffs and 621 00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:42,680 Speaker 1: that that odds is it worth betting right now? Because 622 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,600 Speaker 1: this is a long time to have your money locked 623 00:34:44,680 --> 00:34:48,000 Speaker 1: up and on these teams giving it out. I'm giving out. 624 00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:50,480 Speaker 1: I feel comfortable putting the investment in them right now 625 00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,920 Speaker 1: because I could see either of these teams making the playoffs. Like, 626 00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,400 Speaker 1: there's all avenues for these teams to make the playoffs 627 00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:59,959 Speaker 1: next year, alright, So so that's where we're gonna sort 628 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:03,759 Speaker 1: of think about it. We like the Raiders in the 629 00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:07,800 Speaker 1: fifty to one range, We like the Washington Football team 630 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:11,680 Speaker 1: uh in about sixty to one range, and there are 631 00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 1: a couple of other teams that we liked, specifically the 632 00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:17,879 Speaker 1: Browns and the Panthers, but we think the value has 633 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:23,960 Speaker 1: been wrung out of those teams. Well, update obviously, because 634 00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 1: we're gonna keep doing shows and everything. We're gonna keep 635 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:30,719 Speaker 1: updating that because it's the free agency This year is 636 00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:34,360 Speaker 1: going to be absolutely crazy. I mean, the QB movement 637 00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:36,760 Speaker 1: we're gonna see, especially ify they're going on the drafts. 638 00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:39,600 Speaker 1: We have five teams taking quarterbacks in the first round. 639 00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:44,399 Speaker 1: So it's definitely gonna be a lot going on this offseason. Yeah, 640 00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,239 Speaker 1: it's gonna be crazy, and we'll keep talking about it. 641 00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:48,480 Speaker 1: We got free agency, we got drafted, like a whole 642 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:56,080 Speaker 1: bunch of things. Simon honey Bucket Hero at honey Bucket Hero, 643 00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,880 Speaker 1: I would like to know how do you learn to 644 00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:03,799 Speaker 1: old the models like the ones you Stucky Raybon and 645 00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:09,160 Speaker 1: the pros use. Um. I don't know what they use. 646 00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 1: I'll be honest. Um, what I can say for myself 647 00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:17,240 Speaker 1: is I kind of got lucky. I basically went on Reddit. 648 00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:20,920 Speaker 1: Guys are on there and they're posting their own algorithm 649 00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:23,560 Speaker 1: and things they used to use for betting. So when 650 00:36:23,600 --> 00:36:28,320 Speaker 1: I started out, I pretty much just use an Excel spreadsheet. Um, 651 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:30,000 Speaker 1: if you have the money, you really want to do 652 00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:32,880 Speaker 1: it right, you can pay. You can pay for people's 653 00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:35,120 Speaker 1: models and then just build it yourself a tweak it 654 00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,399 Speaker 1: as you go along with it. There's websites out there, 655 00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,960 Speaker 1: and if you're lazy, you can just use you guys. 656 00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:43,080 Speaker 1: You guys have bet labs. You have plenty of stuff 657 00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:45,799 Speaker 1: that's giving out data and numbers that it's pretty much 658 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:47,840 Speaker 1: the in thing I'm doing. They have their own models, 659 00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:51,359 Speaker 1: and you can go up their models. And it's not 660 00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:56,200 Speaker 1: saying that, um, you should trust it, but you should 661 00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,040 Speaker 1: try to use their model for when it lines up 662 00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,600 Speaker 1: with you. Like if you're on the same side as them, 663 00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:02,720 Speaker 1: and the numbers you're using our match up with, there's 664 00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,120 Speaker 1: you can kind of use that for free. Well, I 665 00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,080 Speaker 1: know it costs money, but these other sites, they're gonna 666 00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:11,040 Speaker 1: cost you a little bit. They're gonna cost a decent 667 00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:14,520 Speaker 1: amount of money to use. UM. People put a lot 668 00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:18,600 Speaker 1: of time and like myself, I mean every week, it 669 00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:21,240 Speaker 1: might be forty hours during the season that I'm literally 670 00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 1: just plugging in numbers off other websites because it's not 671 00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:26,160 Speaker 1: like I can just copy and paste everything, like you 672 00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:29,640 Speaker 1: have to do all this stuff manually. So I would say, 673 00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:31,840 Speaker 1: if you're really into it, there's plenty of things you 674 00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:33,880 Speaker 1: can go about finding to build your own model. But 675 00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:39,080 Speaker 1: I would say unless you're really committed, it's it's time consuming. 676 00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 1: Like I put in a lot of time into it, UM, 677 00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:48,720 Speaker 1: so it's hard to say. I would say start with Excel. 678 00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:50,880 Speaker 1: Start with Excel, because that's gonna be the easiest thing 679 00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:52,640 Speaker 1: to do with breaking down the numbers you're pulling out. 680 00:37:55,239 --> 00:38:01,080 Speaker 1: I appreciate you being a professional and plugging the labs 681 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:07,640 Speaker 1: products at Action Network. That is good of you. Uh. 682 00:38:07,960 --> 00:38:12,839 Speaker 1: Is Simon really on a side for every single spread 683 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:16,240 Speaker 1: and total for all two hundred and fifty six games 684 00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:23,239 Speaker 1: in a regular season Coyote Peterson, Oh yeah, yeah, I 685 00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:28,480 Speaker 1: mean it's uh, that's that's I told you. Like I, 686 00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:30,799 Speaker 1: I only have a fine, fine amount of time to 687 00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:35,040 Speaker 1: make money, And the biggest thing for me is if 688 00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:37,879 Speaker 1: if I have a game, I simply don't like it. 689 00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:39,800 Speaker 1: Like I remember, we hit a point where I hated 690 00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:41,960 Speaker 1: the Jets. It might have been Week five or six. 691 00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:46,319 Speaker 1: I just hated them. And even if my system liked them, man, 692 00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:50,640 Speaker 1: I was putting maybe just two hundred tops on whatever 693 00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:52,600 Speaker 1: the spread was off the Jets if I had to 694 00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:56,280 Speaker 1: bet it. But I would say normally I have action 695 00:38:56,320 --> 00:39:00,560 Speaker 1: on every single game, every single total. Um, it's probably 696 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:04,600 Speaker 1: two to three games a week that I'm like betting 697 00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:06,919 Speaker 1: heavy on, and then certain weeks there will be one 698 00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:10,839 Speaker 1: game where I'm like really really betting heavy on. But yeah, 699 00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:13,239 Speaker 1: I'll have action on every game just because if you 700 00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:16,200 Speaker 1: look at the numbers, there's always value. People Like I know, 701 00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:18,200 Speaker 1: I saw people not picking the super Bowl because they 702 00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:21,280 Speaker 1: didn't think there's value. There's always value, Like, don't be fooled, 703 00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:24,040 Speaker 1: there's always value in the game. It's more about just 704 00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:28,359 Speaker 1: committing to what you think. So I wouldn't advise it. 705 00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:31,120 Speaker 1: I would say for the people starting, how do what 706 00:39:31,160 --> 00:39:33,719 Speaker 1: means we're doing? Pick your five best every week. That's 707 00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: just easier to track and it's easier to be profit 708 00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:38,239 Speaker 1: from that. When you're bett in every game, it's harder 709 00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:42,040 Speaker 1: to make a profit. And by the way, you can 710 00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:46,080 Speaker 1: track those in the action that we're at boom all right, 711 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:49,319 Speaker 1: Uh that was our questions for this week. I had 712 00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:51,360 Speaker 1: a question to you, Are you a top? Are you 713 00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,279 Speaker 1: a top bunk or you a bottom bunk in a 714 00:39:53,280 --> 00:40:07,680 Speaker 1: bunk bed? I I would say I would go top bunk. Wow, 715 00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:10,600 Speaker 1: Chad's a power top everyone. Let that. Let the record 716 00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:13,719 Speaker 1: show chat is a power top. That's funny because I'm 717 00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:15,680 Speaker 1: a power bottom. So that's why we work well together. 718 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:20,160 Speaker 1: Somehow I feel like you're finding a way to make 719 00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:23,319 Speaker 1: fun of me with this, and I don't know what 720 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,560 Speaker 1: it is. That's why I love you, man. I loved 721 00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:27,359 Speaker 1: how long it took you to think too, like that 722 00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:29,560 Speaker 1: was that really broke your brain there for a second. 723 00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:36,400 Speaker 1: It did it did? Okay. The winner of last week's 724 00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:42,439 Speaker 1: Phrase that Pays contest is Elvero Ibanyes. Elvero, please reach 725 00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:44,480 Speaker 1: out to Matt dot Mitchell at Action at work dot 726 00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:48,200 Speaker 1: com for your four hundred and forty dollar prize. Remember, 727 00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:53,600 Speaker 1: I was awarding ten dollars for every game, every bet 728 00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:57,280 Speaker 1: that we wanted, while we only went two and three 729 00:40:57,440 --> 00:40:59,799 Speaker 1: in the props that we're talking about today in the 730 00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,279 Speaker 1: app because I couldn't put in all the props that 731 00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:06,640 Speaker 1: we liked in the app. I went with Leonard four 732 00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,440 Speaker 1: Net over three and a half receptions and over forty 733 00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:13,640 Speaker 1: and a half yards the Bucks money line, and I 734 00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:17,680 Speaker 1: went with Patrick Mahomes over forty one and a half 735 00:41:17,680 --> 00:41:21,320 Speaker 1: past attempts those all one. I also went with Patrick 736 00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:24,160 Speaker 1: Mahomes under nineteen and a half rushing yards that lost 737 00:41:24,160 --> 00:41:28,800 Speaker 1: in the first quarter. So Alvero Ebanyes, who said Simon 738 00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:32,040 Speaker 1: says it bet the big game because it's the last 739 00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:36,160 Speaker 1: time we'll be able to make a bank off at 740 00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:41,279 Speaker 1: the Favorite Pods Advice for six months, and you just 741 00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:46,400 Speaker 1: made some bank buddy, four hundred and forty dollars. Alvera 742 00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:49,960 Speaker 1: ebony Is and don't worry, my friend. We will have 743 00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:53,200 Speaker 1: draft props so the NFL it never stops. We'll make 744 00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:56,000 Speaker 1: you money in the off season. We will make you 745 00:41:56,480 --> 00:42:02,279 Speaker 1: money in the meantime, wrapping up the NFL Season twenty 746 00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:07,040 Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter at Simon Hunter Tan I am Chad Millman. 747 00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:10,360 Speaker 1: This has been the Favorites from the Action Network. Follow 748 00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:14,479 Speaker 1: us at the Favorites pod. Download the free Action Network Gap. 749 00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:18,200 Speaker 1: Listen to the podcast from Apple, from Spotify, wherever you 750 00:42:18,200 --> 00:42:23,440 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. Until next time, Love you