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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday morning

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Speaker 1: edition the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parot.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning, we are here on bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet mgm with the

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Speaker 1: offer ten dollars bet to win one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: bucks on any event. Promo code Juice one fifty at

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Speaker 1: betmgm betmgm dot com For new users Juice one fifty

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Speaker 1: that promo code to get into ten dollars wager win

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty bucks. We're always on bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com YouTube for the video and where you get your

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Speaker 1: audio podcasts where. Uh well, I'm frustrated. It looks like

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Speaker 1: the Warriors are going to beat the Atlanta Hawks, so

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Speaker 1: we'll go one in one on our NBA plays, so

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Speaker 1: down the juice there on that and then we're down

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Speaker 1: a full unit because of the or one point one

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Speaker 1: units on the day because the same game teaser does

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Speaker 1: not hit. Now, I'm not gonna go too crazy here, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm very frustrated with the referees. I'm very frustrated with

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Speaker 1: the turnovers, and those are two bad football teams. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Steelers are not a good team. Okay, maybe you're

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Speaker 1: a Steeler fan, but your team's bad. Okay, it's a

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Speaker 1: bad team. And the Bears are horribly coached and they

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Speaker 1: have horrible turnovers, and Matt Maggie is just an horrendous

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Speaker 1: leader of that football team and just the whole thing.

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Speaker 1: But the referees were the worst. Steeler stink Bear stink

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Speaker 1: reps were embarrassingly bad. I mean, on both sides, embarrassingly bad.

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Speaker 1: And well, I mean.

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Speaker 2: The Bears cover the over hits. The books did very well.

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Speaker 1: There a lot of people on the under, are a

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Speaker 1: lot of big money on the under, and a lot

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Speaker 1: of folks were on the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: In the public.

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Speaker 1: It's about sixty to forty split the most numbers. I

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Speaker 1: saw Bears cover and I teased it and we pulled

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Speaker 1: it down. We would have gotten the teaser right, pulled

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Speaker 1: it down to one, and if we had taken the over,

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Speaker 1: pulled it down from forty from thirty nine to thirty three,

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Speaker 1: and taken the over, he would have cashed. But I

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Speaker 1: didn't trust the Bears offense, and I also didn't trust

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Speaker 1: them to turn the football over and to gift the

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Speaker 1: Steelers multiple scores. Didn't see that coming. I thought they

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Speaker 1: would be at least competitive, and they were competitive, but

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Speaker 1: then I thought the Steeler defense would be better and

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Speaker 1: stop the Bears offense, and it didn't. So just I'm

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Speaker 1: done with primetime unders.

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Speaker 2: That's it.

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Speaker 1: That was my last time. I will not bet a

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Speaker 1: primetime under. I'm also done with same game parlays for

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Speaker 1: a while. I know a lot of you guys want,

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Speaker 1: including me, I want to have action on the primetime games,

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Speaker 1: but the numbers are getting sharper and sharper, and it's

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Speaker 1: just a frustrating thing to bet totals right now.

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Speaker 2: I mean it really is.

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Speaker 1: And you know games that probably should have stayed under.

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Speaker 1: That game should have stayed under the thirty nine, It

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Speaker 1: should have stayed under, and instead it goes way over

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Speaker 1: and gets into the fifties, and you just kind of

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Speaker 1: shake your head at it. You're just like, my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: how many flags and just really TICKI tach personal foul calls,

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Speaker 1: taunting calls, just ridiculous flags all over the place from

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Speaker 1: that refereeing crew.

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Speaker 2: So not a good night, bad read by me.

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Speaker 1: No more same game teasers for a while because I

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Speaker 1: can't get the totals right. I'm getting the sides right

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Speaker 1: when pulling the sides down, and I just if I'm

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Speaker 1: tempted to do a same game teaser, I just to

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Speaker 1: take the dog, Like just if I want to go

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Speaker 1: from seven to one, just take the dog, Just take

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Speaker 1: the points and just kind of hold my nose and

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Speaker 1: hope it's not a blowout. And in primetime games they're

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Speaker 1: not turning into blowouts because the referees are going to

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Speaker 1: make sure it's not going to be a blowout. So

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Speaker 1: just a bummer, all right. So here we are with

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Speaker 1: our conversation for college basketball. Okay, I have two plays

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Speaker 1: for us tonight, and I have two futures to give you,

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Speaker 1: including a two unit future that I'm going to give

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Speaker 1: you because I think we need to get on it,

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Speaker 1: because I think it's it's that much value to hop

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Speaker 1: on it. And I don't normally do two units, but

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Speaker 1: I think there's value. We're got to lay a little

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Speaker 1: juice here, but I think there's value on jumping on this.

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Speaker 2: So we'll do that right now.

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Speaker 1: If you guys go listen to the sharp support, you

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Speaker 1: can hear a half an hour conversation with myself and

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Speaker 1: Brian Bevin, who is an average college basketball gambler, thirty

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Speaker 1: minute talk on the on the first week of games.

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Speaker 1: We break down five different games and also a lot

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Speaker 1: of future conversations and outlooks for teams and breaking down

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Speaker 1: some long shot bets and things you might want to

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Speaker 1: get into. So go listen to the sharp support if

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Speaker 1: you like college basketball before you bet Here on a

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Speaker 1: Tuesday for college hoops, go ahead and jump in on it.

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Speaker 1: All right, So let me give you a quick rundown

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Speaker 1: as to what I am looking at for college basketball.

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Speaker 2: Here we are going to tiptoe in.

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Speaker 1: There are a couple of things that are about to

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Speaker 1: happen that have not happened for over a year.

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Speaker 2: Crowds.

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Speaker 1: College basketball is the most difficult sport in all of

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Speaker 1: sports to win on the road, all right. It is

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Speaker 1: so difficult to win in some of these crazy barns

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Speaker 1: and going to nowhere, Iowa, or going down to Florida,

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Speaker 1: or going up to you know, Washington to Spokane to

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Speaker 1: go take on Gonzaga. I mean, it's just incredibly difficult.

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Speaker 1: And in November, we have a lot of neutral site

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Speaker 1: games that are going to have fans like the big

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Speaker 1: event coming up here at MSG with two games, big

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Speaker 1: games tonight. I'm gonna wait and watch. Like we're gonna

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Speaker 1: watch Alabama, right, how does Bama look shooting threes for

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Speaker 1: Nate Oates's team. We're gonna watch the Creighton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: Do those first half overs come in like they did

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Speaker 1: last year. We're gonna watch Villanova. Are they going to

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Speaker 1: be killing people again in the Big East? Or we're

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Speaker 1: gonna be watching Gonzaga. Are they just heads and tails

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Speaker 1: better than everyone else that they're going to play? Are

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Speaker 1: we going to be able to fade Ucla? I'm not

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Speaker 1: buying Ucla by any means. They were a couple of

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Speaker 1: possessions away from losing in the play in game and

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Speaker 1: then went all the way to the final four.

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Speaker 2: Now everyone's like they're a.

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Speaker 1: Top ten team. Really okay, I mean could have fooled me.

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Speaker 1: I mean they were in the play in game. But fine,

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Speaker 1: Like the Pac twelve did very well in the tournament.

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Speaker 1: We all knocked them all year and in the tournament

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Speaker 1: they were awesome. So we're gonna wait and watch. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna tiptoe in. I know we want to have

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Speaker 1: some action. So I'm gonna have one unit in play.

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Speaker 1: I've got a half unit play, two half unit plays

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Speaker 1: to give you, guys. But look, if you want to

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Speaker 1: fade it, you want to follow it, do whatever you

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Speaker 1: want with this. I'm not going heavy by any means.

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Speaker 1: And I really want to watch college basketball tonight. So

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Speaker 1: we're not gonna do NBA, not gonna do, not gonna

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Speaker 1: do NHL. I'm just gonna bet some college basketball. Well,

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Speaker 1: let's start in the futures market. All right, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Villanova. Who at DraftKings right now, you can get

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Speaker 1: Villanova to win the Big East at minus one oh five.

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Speaker 1: It was even money at certain books. I think off

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Speaker 1: shores you could find it even money. You can look around,

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Speaker 1: look at bet MGM, look around regular season, not tournament. Okay,

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Speaker 1: regular season. You can get this at right now at DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: For Villanova to win the regular season, crown in the

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Speaker 1: Big East. They're going to win the regular He's in Crown,

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Speaker 1: right This is a two unit bet for me.

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Speaker 2: It's minus one to zero five.

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Speaker 1: They've got Colin Gillespie back, who's going to be the

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Speaker 1: preseason who's going to be the player of the year.

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Speaker 1: He's preseason. But I mean, the kid's been around forever. Okay,

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Speaker 1: fifth year suffered a torn MCL late in the year.

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Speaker 1: He is the emotional leader of this team.

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Speaker 2: He is going to be.

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Speaker 1: An unbelievable force for this Wildcats team as long as

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Speaker 1: he stays healthy. He's a guy who just stirs the drink.

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Speaker 1: He averages about fourteen points per game, hits a bunch

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Speaker 1: of threes, He's a guy who plays big minutes.

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Speaker 2: I love this dude.

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Speaker 1: I think he's going to be a monster weapon as

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Speaker 1: long as he stays healthy for this team. Once again,

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Speaker 1: there is depth upon depth for Jay Wright's team.

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Speaker 2: You have Caleb.

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Speaker 1: Daniels, who's a guy. I think he's gonna have a

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Speaker 1: very nice year. Justin Moore was a second team He

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Speaker 1: is a preseason second team All Bee selection.

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Speaker 2: He will step up here.

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Speaker 1: He'll be a scoring option guy that came off the

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Speaker 1: bench last year, but we'll step into a shooting role,

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Speaker 1: into a starting role here. Jamade and Samuels is a

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Speaker 1: guy that will come in Eric Dixon at center. Look,

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Speaker 1: there's nobody, and I mean there's nobody in this conference

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Speaker 1: that's gonna come near to nova. Connecticut is plus four seventy. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they are way way back Xavier plus seven hundred, Butler

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Speaker 1: nineteen to one, Saint John's twenty to one, Creton twenty

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Speaker 1: two to one. Okay, this is all Villanova and you're

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Speaker 1: basically basically getting even money on Villanova to win the

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Speaker 1: Big East.

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Speaker 2: We're going two units here.

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Speaker 1: Regular season Crown runs through Nova in Philadelphia. I just

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Speaker 1: don't see anybody in the conference coming near Villanova. They're

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Speaker 1: probably gonna run away with this in high to be

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Speaker 1: quite honest, and I just think it's a down year

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Speaker 1: for the Big East except for everybody else except Nova,

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Speaker 1: who I think is a Final four contender again, National

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Speaker 1: championship contender again. When you bring back guy like Colin Gillespie,

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Speaker 1: you got to watch out for what Villanova and Jay

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Speaker 1: Wright are going to be able to accomplish Nova to

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Speaker 1: win the Big East minus one oh five two units

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Speaker 1: were dropping down on this, and I've got one more

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Speaker 1: future bet.

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Speaker 2: It's a one unit wager, and we're going to the

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Speaker 2: Missouri Valley.

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Speaker 1: If you're new to the juice, by the way, get

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Speaker 1: used to Big East and Missouri Valley Big Game two conferences.

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Speaker 1: I bet on a Ton Pac twelve to two, But

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Speaker 1: those are kind of the three conferences I look at.

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Speaker 1: I do bet Big twelve, I do bet Big ten.

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Speaker 1: But my history, my knowledge, my eye all go to

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Speaker 1: those three conferences because I watch them the most and

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Speaker 1: I have the most experienced covering them and watching these games.

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Speaker 1: We're talking about Loyola Chicago, which, interestingly enough Loyola Chicago

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Speaker 1: to win the Missouri Valley Regularly Conference title is plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty. Now, I love me some Drake, Okay, but

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Speaker 1: we're gonna see what Drake looks like. They lost a

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Speaker 1: bunch of players, including one to Kansas. They lost a

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Speaker 1: bunch of players. You got Loyola who lost the head

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Speaker 1: coach in Porter Moser who went to Oklahoma. Totally understand it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: what happens. But they've only lost one player. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Krowig's gone. Okay, they're big from last year, but they're

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Speaker 1: bringing back like everyone else. Like everyone else. They got

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Speaker 1: Lucas Williamson, They've got Bryden Norris. I mean, they've got

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Speaker 1: Keith Clemens and jalb Hodson. I mean, these dudes, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna be deep and they're gonna be really hard to

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Speaker 1: deal with.

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Speaker 2: And they've got a really young head coach.

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Speaker 1: Okay, but this is a guy who was the right

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Speaker 1: hand man, and he was a guy who.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you could say Poter Moser.

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Speaker 1: Did a lot, but Valentine was right there. And so

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Speaker 1: they've got a new head coach who's young, but he's

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Speaker 1: got a very experienced team. And again, I mean, Drake

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Speaker 1: is probably their number one contender at plus two at

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Speaker 1: plus two twenty Northern Iowa plus five hundred, Missouri States

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Speaker 1: plus six fifties, Southern Illinois nineteen to one, Indiana State

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Speaker 1: thirty to one. I just this is man. They are experienced,

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Speaker 1: they know how to win, they expect to win, and

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Speaker 1: they could be a top twenty five team this year

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Speaker 1: if everything comes together, and they may make another run

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Speaker 1: in the dance.

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Speaker 2: Inexperienced coaching.

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Speaker 1: Fine, that comes into tournament play, and that comes into

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Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament, not in the regular season. Okay, Loyola

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Speaker 1: regular season one unit at plus one fifty for Layola

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Speaker 1: Chicago to win the Missouri Valley Conference regular season. Those

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Speaker 1: are my only two future bets in college basketball. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the rest of it, I'm not really sure what happens. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I think we're wide open here. On a lot of

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Speaker 1: these conferences. I think the Big twelve is wide open

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Speaker 1: with Texas or KU sleep out, don't sleep on Baylor, Purdue, Michigan,

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Speaker 1: Ohio State.

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Speaker 2: All three of those teams Illinois as well. In the

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Speaker 2: Big Ten. You got to watch out for them.

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Speaker 1: I think sat Bonamtcher is a pretty good bet to

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Speaker 1: win the Atlantic Ten. But a little bit ups and down,

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Speaker 1: and look, the ACC is wide open in a lot

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Speaker 1: of ways. North Carolina is five to one. That's insane

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Speaker 1: value on the tar Hills. It's insane value on five

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Speaker 1: to one on the toar Hills to win the ACC

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Speaker 1: with how talented they're going to be. I know they

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Speaker 1: got a first year head coach, you know, you know,

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Speaker 1: having those traditional years can be difficult.

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Speaker 2: But Hubert Davis coming in five to one, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I mean, everyone's gonna bet Duke at plus two thirty,

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Speaker 1: but it's coach k is going away year. So that's

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Speaker 1: where we're gonna start here with what we're watching. Well,

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Speaker 1: let's start with Kansas and Michigan State first, and then

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Speaker 1: we'll get into Duke and Kentucky coming up here tonight. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so it's obviously a monster game Monster. The Champions Classic

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Speaker 1: is always awesome. Everyone wants to watch this, right, everyone

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Speaker 1: wants to be involved. Number has climbed to minus four

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Speaker 1: and a half for Kansas. Kansas won't be at full

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Speaker 1: strength due to a DUI. They've got a bunch of

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Speaker 1: transfers coming in. Okay, this is going to be the

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Speaker 1: story of college basketball in twenty twenty one, twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 1: All these new faces. Remy Martin is a baller. I

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Speaker 1: love this kid, Remy Martin going from Arizona State where

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Speaker 1: he was mister do Everything, to Kansas where he's got

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Speaker 1: all these other players around him. Huge, huge, But Game

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Speaker 1: one m Game one. I mean Joseph Yusefu, a player

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Speaker 1: we fell in love with with.

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Speaker 2: Drake last year.

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Speaker 1: He's on Kansas like he's another transfer coming in on Kansas.

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Speaker 1: It's crazy how many players have transferred and moved around

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Speaker 1: and on new teams.

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Speaker 2: Kansas is going to be really, really good.

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Speaker 1: Okay, they're a Final Four contender, They're a National championship contender.

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Speaker 1: But this is tom Izzo, all right, this is tom Izzo.

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Speaker 1: Game one out of the gate. Not saying I don't

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Speaker 1: like Bill self, but we've watched these games enough when

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Speaker 1: Michigan State.

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Speaker 2: Because of the way the Izzo.

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Speaker 1: Is and how well he coaches and how he will

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Speaker 1: he gets his players ready, You're giving me four and

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Speaker 1: a half points on tom Izzo. You might get five,

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Speaker 1: you might get five and a half. The public is

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Speaker 1: all over Kansas, Okay, all over Kansas. But what's crazy

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Speaker 1: is that normally in these games they come down to

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Speaker 1: one or two posessions, and the dogs historically have had

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Speaker 1: a really good record against the spread. I got over

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Speaker 1: a possession. I got mischie in State plus four and

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Speaker 1: a half. Here, maybe we get a back door, some

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Speaker 1: late free throws, something coming down the stretch, half a unit.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Michigan State. I'm taking Izzo Michigan State to

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Speaker 1: come up. You guys may get a better number than me.

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Speaker 1: I got four and a half to night here in

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Speaker 1: Vegas and the Champions Classic, unbelievable event. We always know

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Speaker 1: that sometimes early in the year, maybe people don't know

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Speaker 1: how good they are or where they are. Kayu's got

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Speaker 1: a better roster. There's no debating that I'm taking the

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Speaker 1: better coach. I am taking tom Izzo and Michigan State

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Speaker 1: at plus four and a half. And then let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Duke and Kentucky numbers one.

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Speaker 2: All right. Pallo Bonceo, the.

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Speaker 1: Six foot nine, two hundred and fifty pounds dude shooting

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Speaker 1: threes runs, could be the number one pick overall. Former

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Speaker 1: GATORAYD Player of the Year in Washington. I mean, if

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Speaker 1: this kid plays the way people think he could, now,

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Speaker 1: they're not comparing him to Zion. He doesn't have Zion

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Speaker 1: type athleticism, but he may be a better all around

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Speaker 1: player than Zion. He may be a better passer than Zion.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people like this kid a lot. This

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Speaker 1: is Coach K's going away season, all right. We know

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Speaker 1: that coach K is retiring at the end of the year.

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Speaker 1: Both North Carolina and Duke Well have new coaches coming

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Speaker 1: up next season, which is kind of crazy that we're

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Speaker 1: talking about new coaches. But Coach K is handing things

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Speaker 1: off and he's got John Shire there for the run

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Speaker 1: and that's his program. And Shire has been recruiting really,

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Speaker 1: really well, and this talented team for Duke is going

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Speaker 1: to be really really tough to deal with. Kentucky is

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Speaker 1: going to be Kentucky. But Kentucky, like everyone else, has

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Speaker 1: all these transfers coming in and freshman's coming in. It's

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Speaker 1: can they put everything together? Can they put this roster together?

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Speaker 1: They're gonna be really good in the beginning of well,

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Speaker 1: probably conference play.

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Speaker 2: But right now I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is coach K against Coach Cal. I'm

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Speaker 1: a UMass guy Coach Calipari. My freshman year went to

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Speaker 1: the Final four. I'm a coach cal fan. I like

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Speaker 1: Coach Cal. But in these games, there's a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a coaching mismatch, and you better believe the coach

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Speaker 1: K it's going to be locked in all year long

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Speaker 1: on this season to go out and try to win

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Speaker 1: you know, ACC regular season, ACC Tournament and the national

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Speaker 1: championship in his final year of coaching. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: with Duke here. I'm only laying a point. Duke minus

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Speaker 1: won half a unit. Taking Duke over Kentucky at minus

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Speaker 1: one could be a defensive battle, could be a lower

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Speaker 1: scoring game that people think. But I'm just taking Duke

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Speaker 1: because a couple of reasons. Well, one, I think Coach K.

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Speaker 1: But two, it's gonna be a pro Duke crowd big time.

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Speaker 1: I mean, so many Duke It's why they play in

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Speaker 1: this thing every year. It's while they play in the

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Speaker 1: Champions Classic, it's while they play at MSG. It's because

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Speaker 1: Duke fans. There are so many Duke fans in New

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Speaker 1: York City. They go there, they move there for the

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Speaker 1: financial district, the financial jobs, and they just go bonkers

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Speaker 1: when Duke comes and plays at MSG. Can't I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying Kucky can't win. But again we're going light because

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Speaker 1: it's early. These are tough games to call. If I

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Speaker 1: go zero into I gozo in two, So be it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: fada if you want. I'm taking Michigan State plus four

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Speaker 1: and a half in Duke minus one, both for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit. All right, So Nova to win the

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Speaker 1: Big East regular season at minus one oh five for

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Speaker 1: two units, go shop around and find that. And Loyola

356
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Speaker 1: at plus one fifty. Let me see real quick, because

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Speaker 1: this number was moving tonight, and I want to make

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Speaker 1: sure that I'm giving you guys the best number. It's

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Speaker 1: number I got, but I want to make sure you

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Speaker 1: guys are getting the same best number that I got

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Speaker 1: for the Big East.

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Speaker 2: For conference winners.

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Big East and yeah, it's still

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Speaker 1: minus one oh five.

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Speaker 2: That's great.

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Speaker 1: So it's minus one oh five for Villanova to win again,

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Speaker 1: just so you know, in invent of a tie the

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Speaker 1: winner of this bet, the conference one seed wins this bet,

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Speaker 1: all right. So if Nova has the same record as

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Speaker 1: somebody else and they lose a tie breaker, we lose, okay.

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Speaker 1: But if they win a tie breaker and they're one

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Speaker 1: the one seed, that's who it is going into the tournament.

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Speaker 1: Whoever the one seed is for the tournament in New

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Speaker 1: York for the Big East, that's who wins the bet.

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Speaker 1: So two unit bet. I never do this, but it's

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Speaker 1: a future wager that I think has tons of value

377
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,640
Speaker 1: and we should get plus money on both future wagers

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00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:10,719
Speaker 1: like this. We're not getting it. So we're going two

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Speaker 1: units and mins one oh five at DraftKings for Villanova

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Speaker 1: to win the Big East and Leola at plus one

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Speaker 1: fifty to win the Missouri Valley Conference. You can chop

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Speaker 1: around FanDuel's got that right now. DraftKings too for Loyola

383
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Speaker 1: Chicago to win the Valley. So I not the biggest

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Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley Conference at plus one fifty for one

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Speaker 1: units minus Matt Parraltz. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning it's the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast always be brought to you by bet

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Speaker 1: MGM