1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:02,679 Speaker 1: Let's get to our guest, Inner Tanga and the senior 2 00:00:02,800 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: fellow Taiha Institute and Chairman of Asian Narratives with us 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: to discuss what we're seeing happening before our very eyes 4 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: in China. The COVID updates, the change in policy, the 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: end of isolation, opening up to the outside world. It's 6 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: all very exciting, but it carries both benefits and perhaps 7 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 1: a few things to be concerned about. Einer, thanks very 8 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: much for being with us. I suppose let's start with 9 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: with some of the the issues here, because you already 10 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:36,320 Speaker 1: see flights really packed because the airlines haven't put on 11 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: enough capacity to really handle it. And now you're going 12 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,840 Speaker 1: to have Chinese uh citizens traveling all around the world. 13 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: That's just one example, but there must be many like that. 14 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: How even is this going to be as we move forward, Well, 15 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: it's gonna probably be pretty explosive the Chinese here, economists 16 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: coming out of Beijing Shanghai are predicting a very sharp 17 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: v recovery, and that's going to be very good for 18 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 1: the rest of the world. I mean, Chinese tourists are 19 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: the number one source of tourism in the world prior 20 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,479 Speaker 1: to and it looks like they're going to be back 21 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: with vengeance. Question is how long will it last? The 22 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: question is also what prompted this sudden shift, the swift movement, 23 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:23,319 Speaker 1: the sudden revossal in zero COVID policy. What's your understanding, 24 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: what's your own reading? Well, I live here in Beijing, 25 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: and I saw the protest, but you have to remember 26 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 1: we're talking about a few thousand people spread out over 27 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 1: to twenty cities, mostly in colleges where there's a tremendous 28 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 1: amount of frustration going on. But that really wasn't the 29 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: seminal event. I think what really pushed things along was 30 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: so many people in China looking at the World Cup, 31 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 1: you know, seeing stadiums just completely packed, seeing people on 32 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: the field just quote living a normal life, and so 33 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 1: there is a sense that, Okay, maybe this is the 34 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: time to open up. I don't know if they were 35 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: as prepared as they could be, but remember, prior to 36 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: all of this concern about opening up, everyone was concerned 37 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 1: about China not opening up, and they said, oh, you know, 38 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: why why are you doing this? This is regressive and 39 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: repressive and all these things, and China was getting a 40 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: very bad wrap as soon as it opened up. It 41 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 1: seems that China is terrible because it's opened up. Well, well, 42 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: I think that a lot of people will look at 43 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 1: this as a net positive. I mean, there are are issues, 44 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: you know, that are attached to almost anything that you 45 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:35,080 Speaker 1: do with public policy. But if this is a a 46 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 1: positive going forward, who benefits the most? Is it the 47 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: Chinese people themselves? I mean, are they ready for it? 48 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 1: Are they uh, you know, are they ready to consume? Oh? Boy? 49 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 1: Are they ready to consume? Right now? They're going through 50 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 1: this period where they're adjusting. I mean, when the government 51 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 1: said okay, now you're you're pretty much free to go around. 52 00:02:57,280 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 1: There's no testing. Um, you know, when I get into 53 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 1: the equivalent of a d D which you called a 54 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: a hired car, no longer am I required to register anything, 55 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: even going into buildings. Um. There's only a few areas, 56 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:14,119 Speaker 1: like hospitals where they want you to have a pretest 57 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 1: so that you're not actively spreading around since of course 58 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: that's where sick people are and people who are um, 59 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: you know, have comorbidities and would be likely to suffer 60 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: because of this. But other than that, things are pretty 61 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 1: much open. But people are responding by being very cautious Um, 62 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: right now, we're back to traffic jams in in Beijing. 63 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: The subways are loaded. Uh, people are just going back 64 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: to work. But in the evenings you don't see the 65 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: large numbers of people out there at the clubs. There 66 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: are clubs very near my house, so I can see 67 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: their activity from my window. Uh, they are back in 68 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 1: full force. Um. But other places, Um, you know, if 69 00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: you go out to the restaurants, as I said, it's 70 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 1: about half full. Fact that's changed dramatically though, in about 71 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 1: a week. In Chinese tech, real estate, gaming that's all 72 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: been targeted by the government. Is the CLEMP down in 73 00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 1: all its forms over. I mean, what might be the 74 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 1: thinking be now as the government focuses on growth. Well, 75 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 1: I mean people kind of get mixed messages from the 76 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: Chinese government, and they really shouldn't. This is a socialist government. 77 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:31,280 Speaker 1: What they do is they measure things in terms of 78 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: the society. So they will continue to keep a very 79 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 1: very close eye on any kind of monopolies. They did 80 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 1: not like game the video gaming industry because it was 81 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 1: literally you know, sucking up a lot of time of 82 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: young people. Um. They would just go from studying too 83 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 1: much to using video games as a distraction, and it 84 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 1: wasn't really a very balanced life. So there's an example 85 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 1: where from the government's point of view, it was necessary 86 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: to intercede. And and that's what it is. It's not 87 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 1: about trying to depress the profits of Ali Baba. It's 88 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: really about helping the people. Einer, thanks very much for 89 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 1: being with us. We really appreciated. Einer Tongan, Senior Fellow 90 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: Taiha Institute and Chairman of Asia Narratives