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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 2: All right here we got growing in Joe.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying it to cash, that's all. See the most gamblers,

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Speaker 1: when they go to gamble, they go to win.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabah to man.

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Speaker 2: We are.

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Speaker 1: What is up? Everybody?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM.

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Speaker 3: I'm your host, Chris Raybond, and this is your NFL

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Speaker 3: Week two betting preview where we will talk about our

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Speaker 3: favorite sides, totals, teasers, survivor picks, underdog, moneyline dogs, and

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Speaker 3: of course crack open our weekly Sunday six pack of

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Speaker 3: against the spread bets with the help of my co host,

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Speaker 3: the Prime Minister of DJ Nation, Stucky Stuck.

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Speaker 1: What is good?

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Speaker 2: Step Brother? Good to be back for Week two, usually

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Speaker 2: one of my favorite weeks overreaction week, although I think

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Speaker 2: the market's getting sharper in that regard. It was a

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Speaker 2: good week for us in Week one, although I have

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Speaker 2: no love for Shane Steichen in the play calling of

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Speaker 2: the Colts to not get in get one yard, Anthony

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Speaker 2: Richardson gets hurt just right, run the ball. I like

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Speaker 2: you would have ran it in every NFL teams always

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Speaker 2: scoring that, so you missed the touch push two.

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Speaker 3: They tried to touch push and got stuff at the

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Speaker 3: first time I've ever seen it stuffed.

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Speaker 2: That was a painful one. But shout the rabel the

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Speaker 2: dog got for kicking the bowl down four and then

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Speaker 2: luckily the Saints got a first out, so that was

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Speaker 2: the fun. Sweats being back, my biggest headlines from Week

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Speaker 2: one were unders dominated. The QB. Play across the board

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Speaker 2: was really poor, with a few exceptions like just the

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Speaker 2: yards per attempt historically.

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Speaker 1: Quite three week one six point three.

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Speaker 2: QB rust and a lot of hamstring injuries going into

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Speaker 2: and out of Week one. I think both of those

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Speaker 2: things are correlated with just the lack of preseason reps.

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Speaker 2: We always say that preseason doesn't matter, like look at

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Speaker 2: you know, Kenny Pickett. It to look like a star

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Speaker 2: in preseason, but reps do matter. Road teams continue their success,

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Speaker 2: which spit a trend over the last past five years

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Speaker 2: as homefield advantage continues to diminish. But obviously the biggest

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Speaker 2: storyline of the weekend was Aaron Rodgers lasting four plays

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Speaker 2: the fewest number of attempts for a week one starting

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Speaker 2: quarterback in NFL history, And of course it happened to

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Speaker 2: the Jets, who saw something similar happen in nineteen ninety nine.

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Speaker 2: Ye when they had the defense, the running backs, the

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Speaker 2: wide receivers with Crebett and Keishawn Johnson, and they brought

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Speaker 2: in Vinny Testaverdy and he tore his achilles I think

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Speaker 2: in the first quarter and had him on.

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Speaker 1: My fantasy team I was.

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Speaker 3: And that was back when you know, you didn't have

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Speaker 3: like one hundred fantasy teams like I do now, like

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Speaker 3: I had like one or two, and he was my

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Speaker 3: quarterback and I was just nastine.

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Speaker 2: That was the end of the Bill Parcells err and

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Speaker 2: then Belichick didn't want to take the job with the Jets.

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Speaker 2: He did take it originally that didn't end up going

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Speaker 2: to the Patriots, but we all know that ended. We'll

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Speaker 2: get to that game. And just some foreshadowing, this is

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Speaker 2: the worst, the ugliest three picks I've ever had in

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Speaker 2: the Sunday six packs, So I apologize in advance.

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Speaker 3: All Right, let's start it out with some Thursday night football.

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Speaker 2: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 2: Let's bet Thursday Night football.

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Speaker 3: All right, we got the Vikings going to Philadelphia to

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Speaker 3: take on the Egos. The line is six and a

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Speaker 3: half at bet MGM. The total is forty nine. I

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Speaker 3: think a couple of interesting things about this one. One

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Speaker 3: is that you know, shouts to Sean Kerner and Nick Giffin,

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Speaker 3: our guys with the luck rankings in Minnesota has the

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Speaker 3: biggest luck gap of Week two, so they got pretty

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Speaker 3: unlucky in that Bucks game. And also, as you and

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Speaker 3: I were talking about, you pointed out that nicolebe Dean,

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Speaker 3: who was already replacing, you know, stepping in for linebackers

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Speaker 3: that they lost rocking the green dot. He's going to

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Speaker 3: be out as well. So on a short week that

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Speaker 3: could pose some issues for Philadelphia.

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Speaker 1: What are you thinking here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, because then you had Chris Ellis came in and

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Speaker 2: he was horrendous. It's either him maybe Reblanket Ship gets

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Speaker 2: the green dot. But you also have to consider Fletcher

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Speaker 2: cost got a little banged up, and these things are

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Speaker 2: important on a short week, and James Bradbury the most important,

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Speaker 2: Like when you have a cancussion on a short week,

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Speaker 2: you're pretty much never going to play, and that's big

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Speaker 2: against this Vikings offense because they have like a more

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Speaker 2: explosive number two wide receiver. Well, I liked what I

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Speaker 2: saw from last week in Jordan Addison, and this is

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Speaker 2: like a Justin Jefferson, who for my money, is the

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Speaker 2: best receiver in the NFL revenge game, like he got

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Speaker 2: shut down last year in Philly against Darius Sleigh for

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Speaker 2: the most part, and he I'm sure it's gonna come

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Speaker 2: out with a vengeance here. We'll see if Sligh shadows

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Speaker 2: across the field, which is more likely now without Bradbury,

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Speaker 2: You're gonna get a lot of Josh Job which there's

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Speaker 2: a lot of moving parts for this defense which was

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Speaker 2: already weak up the middle. I do I do have

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Speaker 2: to say Jalen Carter was dominant to get eight pressures

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Speaker 2: for the Eagles, which is a little bit of a

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Speaker 2: concern against the Vikings interior offensive line, and because and

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Speaker 2: the Vikings offensive line is dealing with a couple injuries

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Speaker 2: as well. But if you know, when I look at

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Speaker 2: this game for a far and it is Thursday night,

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Speaker 2: which always makes me a little skittish, just there's like

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Speaker 2: a lot of rust in these primetime games. But these

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Speaker 2: primetimes been going under a crazy clip oh yeah, which

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Speaker 2: I think has given us a little value in this number.

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Speaker 2: And the fact that the Vikings only scored seventeen points

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Speaker 2: last week, but they should have scored more. They had

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Speaker 2: three hundred and seventy yards and averaged six yards per play.

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Speaker 2: They were moving the ball up and down the field.

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Speaker 2: They just kept turning it over. I think they had

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Speaker 2: a couple of fumbles in the red zone. So the

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Speaker 2: offense actually looked pretty good. And then the Vikings defense,

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Speaker 2: as we talked about last week, we expected Brian Flores

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Speaker 2: to blitz a ton. He's that's his mL He's a

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Speaker 2: very aggressive coordinator, and he did. He blitzed on forty

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Speaker 2: eight forty seven point two percent of Mayfield's dropbacks. Last

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Speaker 2: year they under Dontel they blitzed twenty one percent, So

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Speaker 2: he more than doubled the blitz rate for the Vikings,

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Speaker 2: which makes sense, that's his what he does. And you

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Speaker 2: have to mask the horrible secondary in the back end.

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Speaker 2: So there's two things here. One. Mayfield really struggled against

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Speaker 2: the blitz in the first half, but then really got

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Speaker 2: a hang of what the Vikings were trying to do.

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Speaker 2: There was even talk of like him knowing the signals

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Speaker 2: and in the second half he went seven to eight

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Speaker 2: against the Blitz with a touchdown. I think he had

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Speaker 2: a long touchdown pass and then he had a game

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Speaker 2: ceiling third down pass against the Blitz as well. And

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Speaker 2: what's gonna happen when Florest does this? Now you're going

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Speaker 2: up against even more potent offense with a quarterback whos

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Speaker 2: even more mobile and Jalen Hurts and obviously a much

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Speaker 2: better offensive line. But this Vikings defense is it's so

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Speaker 2: bad on the back end, and you know that they're

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Speaker 2: going to play aggressive the bask and you know if

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Speaker 2: he's gonna do that, so they're gonna give up a

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Speaker 2: ton of exposive plays. That's just what's gonna happen this

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Speaker 2: year against really competent offenses. And that's really what you

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Speaker 2: want for an over you don't, you know, teams marching

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Speaker 2: methodically down the field. So I think both passing offenses

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Speaker 2: can have a lot of success downfield with explosive passing plays,

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Speaker 2: which would lead to an over here. So yeah, Eagles

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Speaker 2: defensive injuries, Eagles offense against this aggressive Vikings defense with

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Speaker 2: not much on the back end. Also, Flores doesn't have

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Speaker 2: much prep time here. And that's one of the Vikings

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Speaker 2: could really have to rely on Flores's like game planning

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Speaker 2: and scheming for opponents. I think they're at a disadvantage

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Speaker 2: in that aspect as well. So I think all of

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Speaker 2: those things lead me to a rare Thursday Night over.

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Speaker 3: This is definitely gonna be one of your most disgusting

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Speaker 3: podcast pickwise all across the board a Thursday Night Over.

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Speaker 3: We'll see what happens this week. But yeah, I do

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Speaker 3: agree with you on I think that loss of Nikobe Dean,

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Speaker 3: you know, wearing the green dot, that that can go overlooked,

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Speaker 3: especially on a short week. I think that that is

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Speaker 3: going to be key. And Minnesota left a lot of

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Speaker 3: points out on the field. I do think the over

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Speaker 3: is the play. I would not feel comfortable laying the

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Speaker 3: points with Philly Vikings one of the most unlucky teams,

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Speaker 3: and Vikings I wouldn't be surprised if they won the game.

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Speaker 1: So don't really want to touch it, but I'll be

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Speaker 1: rooting for you on the over.

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Speaker 3: Right, let's get in two what we've all been waiting

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Speaker 3: for weekend week out. It's time for the week number

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Speaker 3: two sun Day six.

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Speaker 1: Pack Thursday for Action.

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Speaker 2: Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 1: All right, six pack went four and two.

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Speaker 3: As we mentioned last week, would have done five and

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Speaker 3: one in the could get that first and goal first

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Speaker 3: and go with the five second goal to two and

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Speaker 3: somehow they don't score. Brutal, but still a good week.

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Speaker 3: I'm up five to four hit the total. You didn't

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Speaker 3: you have first pick?

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Speaker 1: Where you're going? All right?

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Speaker 2: I said it's going to be ugly. I did consider

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs for what it's worth. We'll talk about that

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Speaker 2: game later. Passing on the Chiefs and for my first pick,

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Speaker 2: So look, it would have been nice. Hey we're back

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Speaker 2: in Patrick Mahomes under a field goal. Nope. For my

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Speaker 2: first pick of the week two Sunday six pack, I

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Speaker 2: am going with the New York Football Jets plus nine

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Speaker 2: and a half against the Dallas Cowboys. Yes, I'm backing

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Speaker 2: Zach Wilson, who I've thrown under the bus countless times.

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Speaker 2: I like this bet for two reasons. I'm showing a

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Speaker 2: little bit of value in the number. I make this

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Speaker 2: just a tad over a touchdown. But there's a couple

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Speaker 2: of things I think working in the Jets favorite number

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Speaker 2: one you're catching over a touchdown in the NFL with

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Speaker 2: a super low total, which is always going to be intriguing.

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Speaker 2: And getting this Jets rushing attack and their defense. When

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Speaker 2: you can get this defense, which is showed once again

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Speaker 2: it might be the best in the NFL. Going up

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Speaker 2: against another team that can also make that case catching

200
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Speaker 2: over a touchdown, it's always going to catch my eyes. Additionally, look,

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Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers is a huge loss. The market has adjusted

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Speaker 2: what close to a touchdown here. I had questions about

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Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers coming into the year, so we didn't know

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Speaker 2: it wasn't necessarily prime Aaron Rodgers We've seen in the

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Speaker 2: past two seasons. I only have him worth you know,

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Speaker 2: close to about four and a half to five points

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Speaker 2: this year. There's also just a psychological factor of the Jets.

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Speaker 2: Everyone has written them off. Right now. You're going in

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Speaker 2: on the road into battle with a you know, superior team.

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Speaker 2: Everyone is saying your season's over. This is that, you know,

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Speaker 2: it's kind of like you see this in the NBA

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Speaker 2: when your star is out and everyone steps up. But

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Speaker 2: this is like the type of game where everybody steps

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Speaker 2: up and I think you see just a spirited US

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Speaker 2: against the world. Jets effort. Happy to take nine and

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Speaker 2: a half with this defense last week. You know, I

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Speaker 2: know that the Cowboys love is at an all time high.

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Speaker 2: What did we really learn? Though we knew their defense

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Speaker 2: was going to be dominant, It's been a top three

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Speaker 2: defense the past two years. They also, you know, they

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Speaker 2: had a punt block field goal for a touchdown, a

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Speaker 2: pick six, and then that game just got out of

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Speaker 2: hand against an overmatch Giants team. There's still some questions

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Speaker 2: about this Dallas offense. The offensive line isn't at which

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Speaker 2: could be a problem against this nasty Jets defensive front.

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Speaker 2: So I'm taking the points with Zach Wilson. I'm sure

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Speaker 2: I'll regret it, but let's go to war.

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Speaker 1: Was not sure.

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Speaker 3: I mean I was not sure if you were going

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Speaker 3: to go that way just because of Zach. I knew

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Speaker 3: that was I knew that the Jets were a stucky pig.

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Speaker 3: But I know you've been trying to not back Zach lately,

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Speaker 3: so I was wondering if you're going to do it.

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Speaker 2: But maybe they use their punter and co and it

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Speaker 2: goes well. But if this has the potential to be

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Speaker 2: a really low scoring game, like I would also look

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Speaker 2: at the under I think you might have, but that

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Speaker 2: makes the points even more intriguing and appetizing for me.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, show a little bit of value. I like

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Speaker 2: to spot. Everyone has just out written the Jets off,

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Speaker 2: and I think the Jets can have some success running

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Speaker 2: the ball and that is going to keep them in

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Speaker 2: most games.

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Speaker 3: For my first pick and the second overall of the

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Speaker 3: week two Sunday six pack, I'm gonna get pretty ugly

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Speaker 3: myself here and go with the Seattle Seahawks plus five

247
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Speaker 3: and a half at the Detroit Lions. The Seahawks team

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Speaker 3: that what they do, just five straight three and outs

249
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Speaker 3: in the second half last week. They were up thirteen

250
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Speaker 3: to seven and then it just all went downhill. Still

251
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Speaker 3: might have tackle issues, but I think this is too

252
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Speaker 3: many points against this Lion team, even on long rest.

253
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Speaker 3: The biggest thing for Seattle last week wasn't even their tackles,

254
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Speaker 3: it was that they couldn't handle it. Aaron Donald Damian Lewis.

255
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Speaker 3: I believe he had a seven point nine PFF pass

256
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Speaker 3: blocking grade. That might be the lowest grade I've ever

257
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Speaker 3: seen them give. Aaron Donald got one sack for Harry's

258
00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:58,720
Speaker 3: five pressures in total. I believe they all came on. Lewis,

259
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Speaker 3: you know, just dominated the Lions. I like, you know,

260
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Speaker 3: Hutchinson on the edge, but they don't have the same

261
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Speaker 3: you know, no one really has the same type of

262
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Speaker 3: players Aaron Donald on the interior.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not as worried.

264
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Speaker 3: And let's remember, let's not forget Seattle last season when

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Speaker 3: the hype was kind of building up with Detroit, Detroit

266
00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,560
Speaker 3: was favored by more than a field goal at home,

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Speaker 3: and Seattle went and rolled up forty eight points on

268
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Speaker 3: him and snuck out forty eight to forty five. But

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Speaker 3: Seattle is up most of that. You know, that game

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00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:33,440
Speaker 3: was a little The score wasn't that close. I think

271
00:14:33,440 --> 00:14:37,520
Speaker 3: Detroit scored late. But I think Seattle still has enough

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Speaker 3: year to keep it close with Detroit if not win

273
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Speaker 3: this game. You know, they still have talented players at

274
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Speaker 3: the skill positions. Gino's still not going to make a

275
00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:47,320
Speaker 3: ton of mistakes. You know, I thought Seattle was one

276
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Speaker 3: of the more unlucky teams and Detroit was one of

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Speaker 3: the luckier teams last week.

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Speaker 1: You know, our luck rankings agree.

279
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Speaker 3: This is one of the four games with a luck

280
00:14:56,240 --> 00:15:01,080
Speaker 3: gap of over one hundred percent, and the differential in

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Speaker 3: terms of rank between the two teams is twenty four,

282
00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:08,720
Speaker 3: so you know, are those that signifies a pretty high

283
00:15:08,720 --> 00:15:11,080
Speaker 3: against the spread hit rate right there as it is.

284
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Speaker 3: But I just look at the Seattle team and I

285
00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:17,000
Speaker 3: don't see that big of a gap. Even you know,

286
00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:21,320
Speaker 3: the tackles, yes, they were, you know, they're solid, and

287
00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,440
Speaker 3: there they were for rookies. You know, they exceeded expectations.

288
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Speaker 3: But let's not act like these are elite tackles or

289
00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,120
Speaker 3: anything like that. And you know, one of the backups

290
00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:33,160
Speaker 3: for Seattle came in last week and did fine. I

291
00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:34,840
Speaker 3: think I think the issue is more on the interior.

292
00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:36,880
Speaker 3: I don't think Detroit is gonna pose that same kind

293
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Speaker 3: of issue at Also, you know Sean McVay Division game

294
00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,200
Speaker 3: last week, you know, all all off season to prepare,

295
00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:47,280
Speaker 3: it just painted Seattle, I think in the worst possible light.

296
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Speaker 3: But this is still a team I think that still

297
00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:53,080
Speaker 3: has some talent, you know, and I still think they

298
00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:55,280
Speaker 3: can win a shootout in.

299
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Speaker 1: This game against Detroit if they have to.

300
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Speaker 3: But you know, Detroit for all, you know, all the hype,

301
00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:02,360
Speaker 3: and you know I was on them week one against

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00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:05,680
Speaker 3: Kansas City, But I mean, you put up twenty one

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00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:08,920
Speaker 3: points against Kansas City in the game.

304
00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:09,680
Speaker 1: Huh.

305
00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:12,880
Speaker 3: Well yeah, really fourteen on offense, right, fourteen you get

306
00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:14,800
Speaker 3: you get a handed a lucky pick six.

307
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Speaker 1: Uh. And that's with Chris Jones out.

308
00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:21,320
Speaker 3: That's with all offseason or prepare you know, that's with

309
00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:24,720
Speaker 3: no one ever has seen having seen film on what.

310
00:16:24,640 --> 00:16:29,240
Speaker 1: You're gonna do with Jamior Gibbs. You know, the hype.

311
00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,640
Speaker 1: It's just there's too much hype with this Detroit team

312
00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:32,520
Speaker 1: right now.

313
00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:37,440
Speaker 3: So let's go Seattle plus five and a half. And

314
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Speaker 3: if you want some trends, I mean, this is Week two.

315
00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:45,680
Speaker 3: This is classic overreaction week. The teams that looked great,

316
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Speaker 3: you know, Detroit beats Kansas City, those teams tend to struggle,

317
00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:53,520
Speaker 3: and then teams that looked terrible like Seattle did tend

318
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Speaker 3: to do well.

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Speaker 1: So let's see.

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Speaker 3: We have a Week two dogs off a loss going

321
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Speaker 3: against the favorite that was a dog in Week one

322
00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,399
Speaker 3: forty seven and twenty five against the spread since two

323
00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:10,600
Speaker 3: thousand and five sixty five percent. You have Week two

324
00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:15,320
Speaker 3: road teams off a double digit loss since two thousand

325
00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:18,359
Speaker 3: and five, thirty six and twenty one against the spread

326
00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:25,240
Speaker 3: sixty three percent. Week two underdogs plus six or less

327
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Speaker 3: that didn't cover in week one sixty four percent against

328
00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,720
Speaker 3: the spread since five at fifty eight and thirty three.

329
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Speaker 1: I mean, the trends are endless here. This is how

330
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Speaker 1: you bet week two.

331
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Speaker 3: You find a team that you know the public is

332
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Speaker 3: down on or that struggled if there's not really as

333
00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:42,439
Speaker 3: big of a gap. I mean, I don't think the

334
00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,680
Speaker 3: Lions should be weighing five and a half six against

335
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Speaker 3: many teams. Not yet give me Seattle.

336
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, another one. Week two favorites of over a field

337
00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:53,280
Speaker 2: go after winning as a dog in Week one, which

338
00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:56,080
Speaker 2: applies to the Lions and Bucks this week, or thirty

339
00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:58,919
Speaker 2: eight and a half percent early in the past twenty

340
00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:02,639
Speaker 2: five years in week two. This is the spot. The

341
00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:04,560
Speaker 2: Seahawks are the spot. I just don't know if I

342
00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:06,520
Speaker 2: could get there. I mean I was low in the

343
00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:08,600
Speaker 2: Seattle team, lower than the market. I was lower than

344
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:10,520
Speaker 2: you on them. I mean, you go back to the

345
00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:13,159
Speaker 2: second half of last year. We started to see the

346
00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,439
Speaker 2: cracks like there are only two wins wherever the Rams

347
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:18,080
Speaker 2: backups backup quarterbacks. By the way the circle of life

348
00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:19,399
Speaker 2: in the NFC West, the forty nine ers are on

349
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,080
Speaker 2: the Rams who won, the Seahawks, who won the forty

350
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:24,280
Speaker 2: nine ers, so that rang true again. But yeah, and

351
00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:26,359
Speaker 2: the lines are off a pretty fluky win. They do

352
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 2: have extra rest. But I'm just ware that Seattle might

353
00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,479
Speaker 2: be a fraud. Their deep could take a big step back,

354
00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:34,960
Speaker 2: you know, but if you're missing both your tackles. They

355
00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:38,479
Speaker 2: signed Peters, Jason Peters is forty one. But in the

356
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,280
Speaker 2: first half, you take all those offensive line injuries. The

357
00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:43,879
Speaker 2: first half the Seahawks against the Rams, by the way,

358
00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:47,120
Speaker 2: the horrendous defense, they scored thirteen points, they had ten

359
00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:49,120
Speaker 2: first downs, the average five and a half yards per

360
00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:52,960
Speaker 2: play EPA per play positive point one to two. The

361
00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 2: second half where they didn't have their starting tackles, no points,

362
00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:01,800
Speaker 2: no first downs, zero point nine cards per play, negative

363
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:06,200
Speaker 2: point seven five four EPA per play. That is horrific.

364
00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:08,680
Speaker 2: So I agree Seahawks with the spot. I just think

365
00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:10,840
Speaker 2: that they might be a fraud. But we'll say this

366
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,200
Speaker 2: is definitely the Week two spots, so I can't hate

367
00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:18,359
Speaker 2: on you for this pick. For my second pick and

368
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:22,200
Speaker 2: the third overall of the Week three Sunday six pack,

369
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:28,760
Speaker 2: I'm going with the Buffalo Bills minus nine and a half.

370
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,719
Speaker 2: We'll call it chomp around. As always, think he might

371
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,080
Speaker 2: be able to find an eight and a half or

372
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 2: nine out there. I think that is one of the

373
00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:42,240
Speaker 2: overreactions that might be happening from week one is I

374
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:46,000
Speaker 2: saw people say Josh Allen is no longer good, he's bad.

375
00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,399
Speaker 2: This is back to what everyone thought, Well, are we

376
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,479
Speaker 2: just throwing out his entire tracker in the NFL. By

377
00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:53,600
Speaker 2: the way, this is not the first or the last

378
00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 2: time he will struggle against the Jets. Go back to

379
00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:59,240
Speaker 2: last year when he looked horrible. You had no touchdowns,

380
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:01,920
Speaker 2: two interceptions against the Jets. I believe like we eight

381
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,080
Speaker 2: and then they lost that flugie into the Vikings when

382
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:06,639
Speaker 2: that came to the thirties in overtime, and then they

383
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,000
Speaker 2: won like eighth straight. It's okay, you struggle against the Jets.

384
00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:12,159
Speaker 2: A lot of quarterbacks will do that. Josh Allen is

385
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:15,000
Speaker 2: a you know, is a bit more inconsistent than a

386
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 2: Mahomes and that's why he's not at that level. But

387
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:19,679
Speaker 2: he's still one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.

388
00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:22,359
Speaker 2: This is also one of the best teams in the NFL.

389
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:26,120
Speaker 2: Still at home off of a loss, playing a Raiders

390
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 2: team coming across the country who you know, won in

391
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:30,199
Speaker 2: the final seconds against the Broncos team. They didn't get

392
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:32,479
Speaker 2: any pressure the entire game. I think a league lewer

393
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:36,480
Speaker 2: eleven percent pressure rate when they didn't Bletz and you know,

394
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:38,359
Speaker 2: so Jimmy g was comfortable in a system, hit a

395
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 2: couple plays and ended up scoring seventeen points after a

396
00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:45,400
Speaker 2: late touchdown. I am, look, the Raiders offense will be okay.

397
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,679
Speaker 2: I think the Villas defense can do enough here to

398
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:53,200
Speaker 2: hold them in check. But it's the Raiders defense, which

399
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,960
Speaker 2: was going up against Russell Wilson and an offense that

400
00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:58,639
Speaker 2: just wasn't stretching the field. That's not gonna happen here.

401
00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:00,679
Speaker 2: Their secondary, I don't think is hold up. I think

402
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:03,240
Speaker 2: the damn is gonna break. And I think the Bills

403
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,720
Speaker 2: come out and vintage Bills form and below this game,

404
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 2: open early and keep their foot on the gas. If

405
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:14,400
Speaker 2: you look historically, Josh Allen, thirty seven of his fifty

406
00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:16,800
Speaker 2: three career regular season wins have been by more than

407
00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:20,840
Speaker 2: seven points. Over the past few seasons under McDermott. When

408
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 2: the Bills win, they win big because usually you're getting

409
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,639
Speaker 2: good Josh Allen. So I like the Bills to win

410
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,400
Speaker 2: this game by double digits. Look, if the Bills win

411
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:33,800
Speaker 2: that game against the Jets and the Raiders, you know,

412
00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:36,680
Speaker 2: don't get that touchdown late, I think the spread is

413
00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:40,440
Speaker 2: over ten. So I'll happily take nine and a half

414
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 2: here and count on a Josh Allen bounce back in

415
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 2: a angry Bill's double digit win, which they've done way

416
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 2: more times than not in this spot.

417
00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 1: Like this to speaks to the Bills greatness.

418
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:57,960
Speaker 3: Not only do they usually win big under with Josh

419
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 3: Allen and Sean mcgermott. That Jet loss by six in

420
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 3: overtime was their biggest regular season loss since December twelfth

421
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 3: of twenty twenty one. All three of their games last

422
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:14,879
Speaker 3: year that they lost in the regular season were.

423
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:16,560
Speaker 1: By three points or three or less.

424
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,640
Speaker 3: Two points to Miami, three to the Jets, and three

425
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 3: to the Vikings. So yeah, this Bills team is very good.

426
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 3: The Jets just are very, very very good defense. They're

427
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 3: going to destroy this Raider d I think, and.

428
00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 2: Look, jimmyj is a good average NFL quarterback and he

429
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 2: can win you games like last week, but he's not

430
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 2: capable of keeping up with the elite quarterbacks in the NFL.

431
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:44,159
Speaker 2: And I'm not sure why, but people have forgotten that

432
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 2: Allen is right up there at the top.

433
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 3: For my second pick, the fourth overall of the week

434
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 3: two Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons

435
00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:01,200
Speaker 3: plus one and a half at home against the green

436
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 3: Bay Packers.

437
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 1: And I haven't Lanta as a slight favorite year, so you.

438
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 3: Know, interesting to me that they're laying points at home.

439
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 3: I know green Bay went good, you know, you called

440
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:16,720
Speaker 3: it green Bay destroyed Chicago. But that score is a

441
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,400
Speaker 3: little bit misleading. You know, thirty was it thirty eight

442
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 3: to twenty? You know that our expected score had it

443
00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:27,560
Speaker 3: twenty two to nineteen, like a three point game. So

444
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 3: I think green Bay another one of those teams that

445
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:32,920
Speaker 3: got a little bit lucky, you know, got got to

446
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:34,840
Speaker 3: turnover some things.

447
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 1: Had some things go right for them. And when you

448
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:38,440
Speaker 1: look at this.

449
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 2: Atlanta team, have you put your Bears your Bears futured

450
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:42,200
Speaker 2: arrest yet?

451
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 1: By the way, no, no, I still got a Justin

452
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 1: Field's MVP future. It's probably it's probably dead, but yeah,

453
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:51,400
Speaker 1: you know it's tweak one.

454
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:54,400
Speaker 3: I mean, I still I still think the I still

455
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:55,879
Speaker 3: have hope for the Bears, but we'll talk about that

456
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 3: in a second. But you know this is not about

457
00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 3: necessarily fading Green Bay, you know, based on me being

458
00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 3: low on them. It's me being high on Atlanta and

459
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:09,240
Speaker 3: having these teams rated fairly evenly, and yet I'm still

460
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 3: getting you know, more than a point within Atlanta at home.

461
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 3: You know, I think Green Bay is going to struggle

462
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 3: against this this run game. You know, we've seen them

463
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:19,360
Speaker 3: struggle against the run game.

464
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 1: In the past. Also a little different with Atlanta.

465
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:25,359
Speaker 3: You know, they're gonna be able to put some some

466
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:26,919
Speaker 3: heavier personnel on the field.

467
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:28,119
Speaker 1: You know, Chicago wasn't doing that.

468
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:30,360
Speaker 3: I think Tanyan was came into that game banged up,

469
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,000
Speaker 3: you know, Blossom game, they weren't you know, not really

470
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:38,159
Speaker 3: a great great option there. But I think Atlanta heavy personnel.

471
00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:40,640
Speaker 3: Really like what Arthur Smith is doing. You know, he's

472
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:44,040
Speaker 3: kind of finding a way for desmer Ritter to not

473
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,959
Speaker 3: lose the Falcons games. You know, he went fifteen out

474
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 3: of eighteen because he was just throwing gummeas to the playmakers.

475
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:56,360
Speaker 3: And now you have you know, Drake London, you still

476
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 3: have Kyle Pitts kind of waiting to be unleashed. Bijon

477
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,760
Speaker 3: looked great, Tyler out gear, a guy I loved in

478
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 3: fantasy looked great. So I just think this is a

479
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:08,040
Speaker 3: coin flip game that the Green Bay Packers are, you know,

480
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 3: favored on the road.

481
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,680
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't like it. Give me the give

482
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 1: me the Falcons.

483
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 3: Second straight road game also for the for the pack

484
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:22,120
Speaker 3: So give me the Falcons. And again had that expected

485
00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 3: score for Green Bay was like seventeen points below of

486
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 3: the total below their actual total, So that that's a

487
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 3: spot I want.

488
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:30,640
Speaker 1: To attack in week two.

489
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 3: And all the trends, same trends I mentioned for Seattle

490
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 3: Detroit apply here, so I won't list them again. But

491
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 3: there's like I have like ten sixty plus percent trends

492
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 3: for the Atlanta Falcons. But bottom line, I just think

493
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,119
Speaker 3: these two teams are fairly even. I think Atlanta can

494
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,600
Speaker 3: run on green Bay and I don't think they should

495
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 3: be laying points on at home.

496
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 2: I don't mind this one at all. I love both

497
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:56,479
Speaker 2: these teams coming into the year. Falcons offensive line, very

498
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 2: good run blockers across the board. I mean, I guess

499
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 2: berger on is the one week piece. There as still

500
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 2: major question marks, but they will commit to the run

501
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:05,680
Speaker 2: and they should have success running on this Packer's defense.

502
00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 2: That historically struggled against the run. But some of the

503
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:12,360
Speaker 2: things I like from the Falcons own Oniamada and Bates,

504
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:15,280
Speaker 2: two of their big acquisitions that we talked about on

505
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 2: the defense side of the ball. They were both great

506
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,920
Speaker 2: last week, so that should help the defense. There's still

507
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:25,400
Speaker 2: not a lot of consistent edge rush, but they now

508
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 2: are pretty good in the interior. They might be able

509
00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:30,639
Speaker 2: to take advantage of Josh Myers in that aspect. I

510
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:34,199
Speaker 2: still have some questions about him and his consistency. And

511
00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 2: don't forget the Packers have some injuries. We don't know

512
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 2: if Watson will be good to go, and that's important

513
00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 2: against a Falcons team that does have one really good

514
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 2: corner in aj Terrell and then Aaron Jones and one

515
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 2: of the many you know, hamstring and those type of

516
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 2: injuries that we saw last week. We don't know if

517
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 2: he's good to go. When he's on the field, he's

518
00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,840
Speaker 2: just an explosive play waiting to happen, and Dylan just

519
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 2: doesn't have that same level of explosiveness. Like I don't

520
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:09,560
Speaker 2: mind this great spot here for my third pick and

521
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 2: the fifth overall the Week three Sunday six pack. Look,

522
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 2: I told you we're going ugly. We went, we're laying

523
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 2: nine and a half. We're taking nine and a half

524
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 2: with Zach Wilson, So let's throw another Wilson in this

525
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 2: time of favorite, a second favorite. I don't know if

526
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,720
Speaker 2: I've ever done that's maybe once, but we're gonna lay

527
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 2: three and a half with the Denver Broncos at home

528
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:36,400
Speaker 2: against the Washington Commanders, and look, I I'm scared to death.

529
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 2: I need Russell Wilson to win by more than a

530
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,400
Speaker 2: field goal. But I think this is a really good

531
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:42,920
Speaker 2: spot the back of the Broncos, who have historically been good

532
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 2: early this season at home in altitude in the first

533
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 2: couple weeks of the season. But you're basically laying the

534
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:53,480
Speaker 2: same price that you were last week against the Raiders.

535
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 2: And I have the Raiders power rated a couple points

536
00:27:56,200 --> 00:28:00,080
Speaker 2: higher than Washington, and I watched earlier this week. I

537
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,800
Speaker 2: watched that entire Washington game because Sam Holly took six sacks.

538
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:05,200
Speaker 2: I'm like, how the hell did you take six sacks

539
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 2: against this Arizona defense? Last year? JJ Watt I think

540
00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 2: had like half of their sacks and he's no longer

541
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:15,160
Speaker 2: there obviously, So I watched the game. How was so indecisive.

542
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:17,880
Speaker 2: Wasn't even all on the offensive line, which did struggle,

543
00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:21,880
Speaker 2: but so indecisive, holding the ball way too long, which

544
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 2: just led to mistakes. And even when Arizona wasn't generating

545
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:27,040
Speaker 2: a pass rush, they were able to get to hell.

546
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,480
Speaker 2: And that's important for this Broncos defense, which generated no

547
00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 2: pressure last week. I expect their defense to come out

548
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:35,359
Speaker 2: with a tear on fire after that performance last week,

549
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 2: but they don't even need to generate a lot of pressure.

550
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 2: How I just don't think he's ready yet and the

551
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 2: market is rating him too highly from what I've seen.

552
00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:46,560
Speaker 2: And I did like some of the things I saw

553
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:50,320
Speaker 2: from the Broncos offense last week, which Peyton installed. He

554
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 2: went so much more heavy play action this year than

555
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 2: it did last year. A lot of you know, extra

556
00:28:56,080 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 2: protectors in there, and Russ was really efficient. Now missing piece,

557
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 2: there was no explosiveness, but he didn't make the mistakes.

558
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 2: He's really efficient, just you know, nickel and diming down

559
00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,880
Speaker 2: the field. That's where potentially Jerry Judy comes in. That's

560
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:10,960
Speaker 2: they need him. I don't know if he's gonna play

561
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 2: another hamstring guy, but I'm willing to take the risk

562
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,720
Speaker 2: that there's a chance that he's in there and he

563
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 2: can help take the top off of defenses and provide

564
00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,800
Speaker 2: that spark for the explosive plays. Because I really like

565
00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 2: the scheme and this is a big coaching advantage too.

566
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,240
Speaker 2: I'll take Sean Payton over Ron Rivera any day of

567
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 2: the week. But I just think it's a good bounce

568
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 2: back spot for the Broncos. I think we're getting the

569
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 2: Broncos cheap here, probably the first and last time I'll

570
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 2: lay over a field goal with Russell Wilson. But let's

571
00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 2: give it a go. Broncos minus three and a half.

572
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:44,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was thinking about the under for this game.

573
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 3: I don't trust how either, but that Bragodee, I don't know,

574
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 3: like it should be better when you look at the

575
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 3: talent on paper, and I mean Demari Math has just

576
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 3: got completely destroyed lastic. I think give an eight of

577
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 3: nine catches two touchdowns, both touchdowns.

578
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 1: I don't know. I might still bet this under because

579
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:05,479
Speaker 1: I do agree.

580
00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, the buckles, they did not. They generated no pressure

581
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 2: at all, don't they have Gregory and Gregory did nothing.

582
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 2: He chirped all week, never showed up, Alan did nothing.

583
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 2: So I'm hoping that those and expecting those guys to

584
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 2: bounce back a little bit.

585
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 3: I do think, you know, Judy comes back, it's still

586
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:24,880
Speaker 3: probably gonna be short passes, just you know, relying a

587
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 3: guy like Judy to to.

588
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 2: Do something to yeah, because yeah, is gonna be this

589
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:30,800
Speaker 2: big too. But yeah, I think Wilson, like if you

590
00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 2: look at his past chart, I mean it is there's

591
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 2: nothing downfield. It was. It was bad, but that that

592
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 2: was something that like, he didn't make any mistakes. It

593
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 2: was an efficient outing because you just got to get

594
00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:45,000
Speaker 2: Russ into just comfortable throws. And because he's just not

595
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 2: the same guy that he was, he can't do what

596
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 2: made him great anymore. You also have to add in

597
00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 2: some explosiveness, which Judy would certainly help with. But coaching

598
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 2: mismatch put this over the edge for me. All right.

599
00:30:56,280 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 3: For my third pick and the sixth overall of the

600
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:04,280
Speaker 3: week to Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Chicago

601
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 3: Bears plus two and a half.

602
00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 1: See if you can find a three.

603
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 3: The two and a half is at plus one hundred

604
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:11,080
Speaker 3: at bed MGM, so you could probably find a three

605
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:13,920
Speaker 3: plus I mean minus one twenty or something like that.

606
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 3: But you know, this was this is another one of

607
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,480
Speaker 3: these games. I already talked about it, where yes, Chicago

608
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 3: got out played by Green Bay, but it wasn't to

609
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 3: the extent that the score shown and the same by

610
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 3: the same token, even though we were both on the Bucks.

611
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,600
Speaker 3: The Bucks got a little bit lucky last week against Minnesota.

612
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 3: So again, just this is week two, we're still just

613
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 3: trying to find spots and another two teams. I still

614
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 3: have pretty even we rated. You know, you know the Bears,

615
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:48,240
Speaker 3: I do think that there's more to their offense than

616
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:49,480
Speaker 3: what they showed last week.

617
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: You know, green Bay does have a little bit.

618
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:55,800
Speaker 3: More talent on defense than you know, maybe the Bucks

619
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:57,840
Speaker 3: half because I mean I don't know like this Bucks.

620
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:00,360
Speaker 3: I think the Bucks are good on defense, but then

621
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 3: some of the some of the like watching them last week,

622
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 3: I mean there were guys running open, and I just

623
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 3: felt like the Vikings left a lot of points on

624
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,479
Speaker 3: the field. And I think I think you said they

625
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 3: probably should have had like twenty eight points or something

626
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 3: like that.

627
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:13,480
Speaker 1: And I totally agree.

628
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 3: Justin fields, he's gonna be able to do some things

629
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 3: off script, which you know, Cousins and the Vikings weren't

630
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:22,240
Speaker 3: able to do last week. I think you get a bigger,

631
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 3: more of a contribution from DJ Moore this week. You know,

632
00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:31,120
Speaker 3: last week I couldn't expect too much going against Jaiyeir and.

633
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 1: This Bucks team.

634
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 3: I mean, it's still projected to be one of the

635
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 3: worst in the league. You still have Baker Mayfield, So

636
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 3: now you're getting the Bears as a underdog, You're getting

637
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 3: the Bucks as a favorite. Baker probably is gonna make

638
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 3: some mistakes, h and I just trust Chicago here to

639
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:49,000
Speaker 3: make some plays.

640
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:50,640
Speaker 1: Kind of rebound from last week.

641
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 3: Just a classic Bilow cell high spot whidle concerning.

642
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 1: But I'm still gonna all you gotta say.

643
00:32:57,800 --> 00:32:59,440
Speaker 2: All you have to say is your buying low and

644
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,480
Speaker 2: selling high, which I agree with. This is the spot. Look,

645
00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 2: I was super low on the Bears, lower than you

646
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 2: and the Bears coming into the air, and I was

647
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,160
Speaker 2: a little higher than the market on the Bucks at three.

648
00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 2: I agree it's Bears are nothing. A couple things concern

649
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 2: me though. Obviously the Bears d is horrendous, Jordan Love

650
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 2: looked like an all Pro and didn't have his number

651
00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:23,080
Speaker 2: one receiver, and also the Bears offensive line was a disaster,

652
00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 2: and the Bears predictably got no pressure at all. They

653
00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:30,920
Speaker 2: did not address that, and by the way, they are

654
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,800
Speaker 2: two big off season acquisitions at linebacker meetingless they did nothing.

655
00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 2: Four or five total pressures. Rashan Gary, who played ten

656
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 2: passing steps, had more pressures than the Bears as a team.

657
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 2: But on principle, just Bilo sell high with this number,

658
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 2: chop around for the three.

659
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:49,680
Speaker 3: I know it's not a pressure spot, but I got

660
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 3: a fad Baker here. He is eleven and twenty three

661
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 3: in his career as a favorite. That is thirty two

662
00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 3: percent against the spread, and he's currently on an o

663
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 3: EH streak. He's failed to cover his last eight games

664
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:10,120
Speaker 3: as a favorite, dating back to October third, twenty twenty one.

665
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:11,400
Speaker 1: That was the last time.

666
00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 3: Baker Rayfield covered as a favorite, way back when he

667
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:15,399
Speaker 3: was was like what three four teams ago.

668
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,400
Speaker 1: A fourteen to seven win as a one point.

669
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:22,319
Speaker 2: Dog as expected. Week two ugly, ugly, as always, just

670
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:22,960
Speaker 2: how we like it.

671
00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:25,880
Speaker 3: I'll recap stuck as the Jets plus nine and a

672
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,760
Speaker 3: half at the Cowboys, the Broncos minus three.

673
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:31,440
Speaker 1: And a half at home against.

674
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 3: The Commanders, and the Bills minus nine and a half

675
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:37,799
Speaker 3: at home against the Raiders. I have the Seahawks plus

676
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,040
Speaker 3: five and a half at Detroit, the Falcons plus one

677
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:41,439
Speaker 3: and a half at home against.

678
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:43,440
Speaker 1: The Pack, and the Bears plus two and a half.

679
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 3: See if you can get the three, but for the contest,

680
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 3: will go two and a half at Tampa Bay.

681
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,280
Speaker 2: If the Jets don't cover, we get rip Zach Wilson.

682
00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,560
Speaker 2: If the Bills don't cover, I get to rip my

683
00:34:55,880 --> 00:35:00,200
Speaker 2: our producer, Matte metriets diehard Bills fan. And if the

684
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:02,880
Speaker 2: Broncos don't cover. As a favorite with Russell Wilson, I

685
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:05,360
Speaker 2: get to rip myself. I'll take accountability there.

686
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,719
Speaker 3: All right, that was our Sunday six pack, and now

687
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 3: it is time for our coaches pep talk. You keep

688
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:13,759
Speaker 3: playing the way you're playing, we're gonna get an ass

689
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:14,520
Speaker 3: feed again to night.

690
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:18,800
Speaker 1: I don't stopped right now. This week's coach is pep talk.

691
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:22,520
Speaker 3: Is our producers a long time favorite pep talk. It

692
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:26,280
Speaker 3: comes to us from actor Al Pacino in the nineteen

693
00:35:26,600 --> 00:35:30,840
Speaker 3: ninety two film Glenn Gary Glenn Ross and got it

694
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:35,759
Speaker 3: dedicated to Cadarius, Tony and Sky Moore combined to one

695
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 3: of eight targets for one yard. I mean that was

696
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,960
Speaker 3: that was brutal. You know, help out your all world quarterback.

697
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:45,319
Speaker 3: I mean, y'all were supposed to be the top two

698
00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:48,799
Speaker 3: wide receivers. People were drafting you guys in fantasy even

699
00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:51,440
Speaker 3: if Kelsey's back, Like, the Chiefs are gonna need receivers

700
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 3: at some point in this year. You know, the AFC

701
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:56,160
Speaker 3: is loaded, They're gonna have to score points, so canarious.

702
00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:58,759
Speaker 3: Tony sky Moore didn't forget about you too. You were

703
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 3: bad too, So dedicating the pep talk to those guys, What's.

704
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:07,360
Speaker 1: You're hired for? Just to help us? Does that seem

705
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 1: clear to you?

706
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:13,200
Speaker 2: To help us, not to fuck us up. I'm also

707
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 2: going to dedicate the pet talk to Sean McDermott and

708
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 2: going back to second circle, back to my bills pick.

709
00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:21,319
Speaker 2: Let's get another cover in this spot ten to three

710
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 2: and one against the spread after a loss five and

711
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:26,359
Speaker 2: zero as a favorite of seven or more.

712
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 1: Oh nice favorite training You see those all right?

713
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:32,359
Speaker 3: Stuck you and I know more memories are made when

714
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:35,280
Speaker 3: you're there for live NFL action and when you need tickets,

715
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:38,759
Speaker 3: Ticketmaster has got you covered. As the official marketplace of

716
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:42,279
Speaker 3: the NFL. Ticketmaster gives you more ways to find your

717
00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:45,759
Speaker 3: perfect seat. Their interactive seat map gives you three hundred

718
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,479
Speaker 3: and sixty degree previews of your section to make sure

719
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:52,279
Speaker 3: you have the best view of those pivotal plays and if.

720
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:52,919
Speaker 1: Your plans change.

721
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:56,640
Speaker 3: Ticketmaster gives you more flexibility to sell or transfer your tickets,

722
00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:59,840
Speaker 3: plus mobile tickets to make getting in on game de breeze,

723
00:37:00,160 --> 00:37:02,959
Speaker 3: and you can even customize your Ticketmaster app to rep

724
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 3: your favorite teams. Colors find tickets today at ticketmaster dot com.

725
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:09,799
Speaker 1: Slash NFL.

726
00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:14,360
Speaker 3: Let's get in to our favorite total of week number

727
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 3: two said, I was thinking about the Broncos Commanders, but

728
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,600
Speaker 3: gonna be some turnovers there, and I'm not sure what's

729
00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:22,960
Speaker 3: going on with Judy, and would have worried about Mathis

730
00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 3: and that lack of a pass rush from Denver. So

731
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:27,440
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with the Jets Dallas under thirty nine

732
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:30,520
Speaker 3: and a half. Both of these teams are popping in

733
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:34,000
Speaker 3: our luck rankings. The Jets scored about four and a

734
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:36,920
Speaker 3: half points more than their expected score and Dallas was

735
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:41,160
Speaker 3: about thirteen high. As you mentioned, Dallas got the blocked

736
00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 3: the block field goal, Dallas got the pick six, so

737
00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 3: a lot of things kind of went right for Dallas

738
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:49,600
Speaker 3: to put up that forty. But I think the important

739
00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 3: thing for me is the Jets have shown it against

740
00:37:53,080 --> 00:37:55,520
Speaker 3: the best. You know, they can shut down Josh Allen,

741
00:37:56,600 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 3: you can shut down pretty much anybody this side of Mahomes.

742
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:04,240
Speaker 3: And on the other side, that Dallas defense is going

743
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:09,240
Speaker 3: to be a nightmare for a guy like Zach Wilson

744
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 3: who still struggles to make decisions. I think what we

745
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 3: started to see last year with Zach Wilson was you're

746
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 3: just gonna go super run heavy and you're gonna kind

747
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:20,840
Speaker 3: of try to hide him. The Jets can do that.

748
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:25,239
Speaker 3: Dalvin cooked Breese Hall looked really good. But even with

749
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:28,680
Speaker 3: Breese Hall and that running game, I do think there's

750
00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:31,960
Speaker 3: a little bit of value here on this under in

751
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:35,640
Speaker 3: the sense that Breese Hall popped yet another long run

752
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 3: was eighty three yards I believe it was. But outside

753
00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:43,160
Speaker 3: of that, the Jets run game really didn't get much going.

754
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:47,160
Speaker 3: And the Cowboys, I don't think they're as good of

755
00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:49,719
Speaker 3: a run dye as a pasty, but I think they're

756
00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:50,120
Speaker 3: gonna be.

757
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:51,399
Speaker 1: Able to load up a little bit.

758
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 3: You know, they have guys on the outside that are

759
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 3: gonna be able to cover, and they're gonna trust and

760
00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:56,440
Speaker 3: they're gonna be able to get pressure on Zach when

761
00:38:56,440 --> 00:39:01,040
Speaker 3: they need to. But that Jets, why, I think that's

762
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:06,479
Speaker 3: a real concern. The yards before contact. Breist Hall had

763
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:10,280
Speaker 3: negative yards on average before contact.

764
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, all of his yardage was him.

765
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:16,319
Speaker 3: Breaking tackles and making plays, and you can't you know,

766
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:18,239
Speaker 3: he's a very talented guy, but you can't always rely

767
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:21,200
Speaker 3: on at Dalvin Cook average just two and a half

768
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:25,560
Speaker 3: yards per carry, only about under a yard before contact.

769
00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:30,280
Speaker 3: So this Jets run game might be a little bit stifled.

770
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:33,279
Speaker 3: But more so, I just think this Jets defense is

771
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:36,320
Speaker 3: going to be able to lock down Dallas in a

772
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:38,840
Speaker 3: way that the Giants just couldn't do because their offense

773
00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:41,759
Speaker 3: and their special teams put him in a huge hole

774
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:44,239
Speaker 3: and then their defense is nowhere nearest talents. So give

775
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:47,400
Speaker 3: me this under thirty nine and a half Jets Cowboys.

776
00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 3: I'm expecting like a sixteen to ten Dallas win thirteen ten,

777
00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:54,640
Speaker 3: sixteen to ten, something like that. You'll probably cover with

778
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 3: the Jets, And I'm not expecting this game to get

779
00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:01,439
Speaker 3: anywhere close to forty points with these With these two teams,

780
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 3: then remember Dalla's not going to be as fast as

781
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,759
Speaker 3: paced as they as they were under Kellen Moore either,

782
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:06,680
Speaker 3: So that also helped.

783
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 2: Yeah. I also think both coaches are going to approach

784
00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:14,600
Speaker 2: this game with kids' gloves from a play calling perspective,

785
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 2: because they're going to say, so the Jets are going

786
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:19,600
Speaker 2: to say, look, we just can't turn it over, right,

787
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:21,959
Speaker 2: we got to rely on our defense shortened this game.

788
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 2: And the Cowboys are going to say, let's not make

789
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 2: a mistake because we're playing Zach Wilson and we can

790
00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:31,359
Speaker 2: win this game with our defense. And by the way,

791
00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:34,480
Speaker 2: my prop last week for when I wrote up Cowboys

792
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 2: Jets was Dak could not throw an interception. I thought

793
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:38,800
Speaker 2: that there was it was price to just because of

794
00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,560
Speaker 2: the offseason narratives. But Jack came out a bunch had

795
00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:44,680
Speaker 2: a bunch of quotes saying like, I guarantee you I'm

796
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:47,279
Speaker 2: not going to throw whatever this amount of picks, And

797
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:49,879
Speaker 2: I'm that was a big focus that's on his mind

798
00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 2: early in the season. So I think eventually he's going

799
00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:56,239
Speaker 2: to open things up unless we couldn't have to. But

800
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:58,040
Speaker 2: I think early the season he's going to be a

801
00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:01,759
Speaker 2: little more hesitant to make the riskier throws and be

802
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 2: a little bit more conservative overall. So I think that

803
00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:07,920
Speaker 2: this game just screams defensive rock fight. Two of the

804
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:10,359
Speaker 2: best defenses in the NFL could be by the end

805
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:13,080
Speaker 2: of the season. These could be one two. I agree

806
00:41:13,080 --> 00:41:15,000
Speaker 2: with you here. I'm actually gonna go with an over

807
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:18,680
Speaker 2: for my favorite total of the week again in a row. Shocking. Yeah,

808
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:21,120
Speaker 2: last week I ended up getting forty three waited on

809
00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:24,080
Speaker 2: the forty three. It was a mistake. I mean, Grant

810
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:26,839
Speaker 2: one Andrews was out, which was huge. The Ravens lost

811
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:30,239
Speaker 2: two starting offensive lineman. The one thing I underestimated was

812
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:32,960
Speaker 2: just the Texans. And we'll talk about that game, but

813
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:36,000
Speaker 2: their offensive line, you know, they're down to their you know,

814
00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:37,839
Speaker 2: they even lost fan during the game, but they're down

815
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:41,400
Speaker 2: to their third center, their second guard, their third tackle.

816
00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 2: And in that offense that you know, it's a Shanahan offense.

817
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:49,880
Speaker 2: The hardest thing to get right is the offensive line

818
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:52,799
Speaker 2: in that scheme, and it's obviously going to take some

819
00:41:52,800 --> 00:41:55,719
Speaker 2: time under Bobby Slowick. So and that showed up on

820
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:58,799
Speaker 2: the road with a rookie quarterback. So the Texans just

821
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:01,160
Speaker 2: couldn't take advantag edge of Humphrey being out and they

822
00:42:01,160 --> 00:42:03,840
Speaker 2: were under pressure a ton. So yeah, that was an

823
00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:07,440
Speaker 2: incorrect play there. But I'm going to go with two quarterbacks.

824
00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:12,920
Speaker 2: I do trust in Stafford and brock Purty looked tremendous

825
00:42:12,960 --> 00:42:14,680
Speaker 2: last week. We go over forty four and a half

826
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:19,359
Speaker 2: in the forty nine ers in Rams. Circle of life

827
00:42:19,360 --> 00:42:23,880
Speaker 2: in the NFC westne always reference states that the Shanahan

828
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:26,520
Speaker 2: owns the Rams, and this game's at the Rams technically,

829
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:30,040
Speaker 2: but we know there's not much home field there, especially

830
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:32,640
Speaker 2: when they play the forty nine ers as close to nothing.

831
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:37,359
Speaker 2: But this forty nine Ers offense is humming, and we

832
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:39,359
Speaker 2: talked about I think this total is a little lower

833
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:41,759
Speaker 2: because of what the Rams did last week, but we

834
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:44,400
Speaker 2: were talking earlier in the season like what are how

835
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:46,840
Speaker 2: are we going to set Rams totals? You know without

836
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 2: Cup and well, number one Stafford looked tremendous. He looked

837
00:42:51,600 --> 00:42:53,480
Speaker 2: as healthy as I seen him in a long time.

838
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:56,440
Speaker 2: Some of the throws that he was making and Poka

839
00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:59,920
Speaker 2: Nakua was awesome. They were going downfield, and that's how

840
00:42:59,920 --> 00:43:01,879
Speaker 2: you have to attack this forty nine Ers defense. That's

841
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:05,520
Speaker 2: where they're vulnerable is downfield. They give up explosive plays,

842
00:43:05,840 --> 00:43:09,919
Speaker 2: their weaknesses in their secondary and from how Stafford looked

843
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:12,320
Speaker 2: last week in a game script where they should be behind,

844
00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:15,000
Speaker 2: I think he can put up enough points here, and

845
00:43:15,040 --> 00:43:18,160
Speaker 2: the forty nine Er should have no problem scoring against

846
00:43:18,160 --> 00:43:22,240
Speaker 2: this Rams defense. This total should be closer to forty

847
00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:24,560
Speaker 2: seven forty eight. With the way the forty nine Ers

848
00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:30,040
Speaker 2: offenses looked, they should get to twenty eight. Since parties

849
00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:32,359
Speaker 2: take it over, they get to thirty every game, and

850
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:37,480
Speaker 2: Doddy's stafford to get to seventeen. Yeah, I'll take that.

851
00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:40,399
Speaker 2: Give me the forty nine Ers Rams over.

852
00:43:41,080 --> 00:43:43,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd be interested in the Niners team total possibly

853
00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:47,719
Speaker 3: as well, because if one side does, you know, come

854
00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:50,040
Speaker 3: back down to Earth, it's going to be the Rams,

855
00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:52,919
Speaker 3: you know, not going against the Seahawks defense this week.

856
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:55,760
Speaker 2: Here's the point totals for the forty nine Ers since

857
00:43:56,200 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 2: Purdy took over. They scored thirty last weekgainst the Steelers,

858
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:04,880
Speaker 2: thirty three against Miami, thirty five against the Bucks, thirty

859
00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:09,000
Speaker 2: seven against Washington, thirty seven against the Raiders, thirty eight

860
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:14,600
Speaker 2: against the Cardinals, and twenty one against Seattle. I mean

861
00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:18,879
Speaker 2: they are easily clear thirty in every one of those

862
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 2: games except for one on a Thursday night game.

863
00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:24,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, Niners team total is twenty six and a half

864
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:25,640
Speaker 1: at ben MGM.

865
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:26,640
Speaker 2: So interesting.

866
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:30,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, stuck is going Niners Rams over forty four and

867
00:44:30,480 --> 00:44:34,600
Speaker 3: a half. I'm going gets Cowboys under thirty nine and

868
00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:38,160
Speaker 3: a half. Now it is time for our favorite teaser

869
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:38,839
Speaker 3: of the week.

870
00:44:39,640 --> 00:44:50,880
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers dollars. Don't tease me please

871
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:55,200
Speaker 1: all right.

872
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 3: If you're not familiar with teasers, it's when you get

873
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:02,400
Speaker 3: an extra a lotment of points, which is usually six

874
00:45:02,840 --> 00:45:06,920
Speaker 3: to parway on multiple spread bets. So for example, if

875
00:45:07,200 --> 00:45:09,799
Speaker 3: you had a two team six point teaser with a

876
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:12,920
Speaker 3: seven and a half point favorite becomes a one and

877
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:14,759
Speaker 3: a half point favorite, a seven and a half point

878
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:17,759
Speaker 3: underdog would become a thirteen and.

879
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:20,880
Speaker 1: A half point underdog. Stuck.

880
00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:24,400
Speaker 3: I know you have some content out explaining how you

881
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:25,920
Speaker 3: go about these teasers.

882
00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:29,240
Speaker 2: I will have something in my week in my preview,

883
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 2: my NFL preview every week now, so make sure you

884
00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:34,359
Speaker 2: check out the Action ORKAP and Action ork dot com

885
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:36,960
Speaker 2: for that. I'll also tweet out my weekly preview every week.

886
00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:39,240
Speaker 2: And for this week, I'm going to tease the Falcons.

887
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:42,000
Speaker 2: We already talked about. Think Packers a little bit over

888
00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:44,719
Speaker 2: value here, especially when you attribute the when you take

889
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:47,560
Speaker 2: account of their injuries, and then I think the matchup

890
00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:51,560
Speaker 2: for the Falcons run, heavy offense works in their favor here,

891
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:56,640
Speaker 2: and I'm going to pair them with the Steelers and stealership.

892
00:45:56,640 --> 00:45:58,960
Speaker 2: But that's on Monday Night and we're not covering those games.

893
00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:01,320
Speaker 2: So if you're looking just for a teaser, I would

894
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:04,400
Speaker 2: go with the Patriots. You're teasing them from two and

895
00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:06,160
Speaker 2: a half to eight and a half. I much prefer

896
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:10,280
Speaker 2: the Steelers because you're getting a much lower scoring projected

897
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:14,040
Speaker 2: game than Miami New England, and New England has wide

898
00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:17,399
Speaker 2: receiver injury issues. They're both their guards didn't play last week.

899
00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:20,800
Speaker 2: Like their offensive line is a mess. Now the Miami

900
00:46:20,800 --> 00:46:23,359
Speaker 2: defense is bad. I'll be curious to see how this

901
00:46:23,520 --> 00:46:26,719
Speaker 2: New England defense tries to stop. We talked about this

902
00:46:26,760 --> 00:46:28,840
Speaker 2: all off season. I said, Okay, let's see what McDaniel

903
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:31,799
Speaker 2: does to adjust to what the Chargers did last year

904
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:35,080
Speaker 2: to shut down their offense. The amount of different motions,

905
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:38,879
Speaker 2: prestat motions that Tyreek Kill used most on the same

906
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:41,360
Speaker 2: side of the field, like, so he's not going to

907
00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:43,440
Speaker 2: the other side of the field where you're prepared for it,

908
00:46:43,640 --> 00:46:45,600
Speaker 2: some going into the backfield coming out. I mean, it

909
00:46:45,640 --> 00:46:49,920
Speaker 2: was amazing to watch and he was unstoppable with his

910
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:52,800
Speaker 2: with all of the motion that they were utilizing. Curious

911
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 2: to see the game plan Bell check comes out, But

912
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:58,600
Speaker 2: just simple math. Going from two and a half to

913
00:46:58,680 --> 00:47:00,759
Speaker 2: eight and a half there and then getting talkins over

914
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:02,840
Speaker 2: a field over a touchdown.

915
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:04,719
Speaker 3: Don't mind it a lot of these one and a

916
00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:07,360
Speaker 3: half two and a half spreads This week, I'm going

917
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:11,719
Speaker 3: to actually tease the Niners down from eight and a

918
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:15,759
Speaker 3: half to two and a half. Kyle Shanahan has won

919
00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:19,120
Speaker 3: his last eight regular season games against Sean McVay. Did

920
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:21,879
Speaker 3: who's a playoff game in there, but eight and one

921
00:47:22,160 --> 00:47:26,600
Speaker 3: if you want to be specific. All time, including the postseason,

922
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:31,320
Speaker 3: Shanahan is ten and three against the spread against McVeigh.

923
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:35,640
Speaker 3: And of those eight, you know, consecutive regular season wins,

924
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 3: three of them came by a field goal. So I'm

925
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:42,720
Speaker 3: not underestimating the Rams here because you know, we've seen

926
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:44,919
Speaker 3: Sean McVay kind of come out for a great game

927
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:47,799
Speaker 3: plan and kind of get more, you know, do more

928
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:51,399
Speaker 3: with less. Last week obviously got some help as well,

929
00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:54,160
Speaker 3: But I still feel confident in the Niners to continue

930
00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:54,760
Speaker 3: this domination.

931
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:56,439
Speaker 1: I mean, I just think they look really good.

932
00:47:56,680 --> 00:48:00,160
Speaker 3: I'll tease the Texans plus one and a half hal

933
00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:01,120
Speaker 3: is the number.

934
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:02,800
Speaker 1: I'll tease it up to seven and a half.

935
00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:06,400
Speaker 3: You know, you and I both I think entered the

936
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:09,759
Speaker 3: season higher on the Texans than the Colts. Maybe the

937
00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:12,520
Speaker 3: Colts eke this out, but I have a hard time

938
00:48:12,560 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 3: seeing them blow the Texans out in this spot at home.

939
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:20,440
Speaker 3: For the Texans, I think this Texans defense is pretty solid,

940
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:24,280
Speaker 3: and you're gonna start to see some mistakes from Anthony

941
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 3: Richardson and you already saw him take a big hit,

942
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:29,840
Speaker 3: so we'll see, you know how he kind of reacts

943
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 3: this week. But overall, I like this Texan team. I

944
00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 3: think it's a better team overall than the Colts. So

945
00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:37,920
Speaker 3: I think Texans in general, this is gonna be a

946
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:40,880
Speaker 3: team that probably is pretty feisty all year, even if

947
00:48:40,920 --> 00:48:44,080
Speaker 3: they don't win many games. So I'll tease them up

948
00:48:44,160 --> 00:48:46,080
Speaker 3: to seven and a half along with the Niners down.

949
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:51,960
Speaker 3: All right, So Stuck has the Falcons at seven and

950
00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:54,600
Speaker 3: a half, the Patriots at eight and a half, and

951
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:56,640
Speaker 3: I got the Niners my two and a half, and

952
00:48:56,719 --> 00:49:01,040
Speaker 3: the Texans plus seven and a half before we.

953
00:49:01,040 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 1: Get into our underdog moneyline parlay.

954
00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:06,120
Speaker 3: As a reminder, the Action Network podcast is presented by

955
00:49:06,200 --> 00:49:10,040
Speaker 3: bet MGM used bonus code action when signing up to

956
00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:14,560
Speaker 3: get fifteen hundred hours paid back in bonus bets if

957
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 3: your first bet loses. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

958
00:49:23,680 --> 00:49:29,919
Speaker 3: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and y.

959
00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:33,720
Speaker 3: Owning terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older.

960
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:49,160
Speaker 3: Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler. All right, stuck,

961
00:49:49,239 --> 00:49:52,600
Speaker 3: you started off the season right. Hit the Dolphins on

962
00:49:52,680 --> 00:49:56,960
Speaker 3: the money line for last week against the Chargers. My

963
00:49:57,160 --> 00:50:00,760
Speaker 3: Steelers were never close this week.

964
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:02,080
Speaker 1: Where are you going?

965
00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:04,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go with the team. You just talked about

966
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:09,160
Speaker 2: the Houston Texans small underdog here. I said before the

967
00:50:09,200 --> 00:50:11,760
Speaker 2: season that I have them power to higher than the Colts.

968
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:14,759
Speaker 2: And now they're at home and look, I am a

969
00:50:14,760 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 2: bit worried about the offensive line, but you are playing

970
00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 2: at home and it's not really a great Colts defense.

971
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 2: So I think this will be a nice break for CJ.

972
00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:25,360
Speaker 2: Stroud and George fanp was practicing today, which is a

973
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:28,160
Speaker 2: good sign. But I'm not a believer in this Colts team.

974
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:32,200
Speaker 2: I think this sets up for a Texans win at home,

975
00:50:32,400 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 2: and I ultimately think that CJ. Shoud is still more

976
00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:39,320
Speaker 2: NFL ready. So I came in before the season saying

977
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:41,839
Speaker 2: that the Texans are better. I got them at home

978
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:43,960
Speaker 2: here as a dog, I'm going to take them in

979
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:46,000
Speaker 2: a game where I powerate them higher and make them

980
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:47,920
Speaker 2: a favorite. So let's go with the Texans. Who are

981
00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:48,239
Speaker 2: you going with?

982
00:50:48,680 --> 00:50:49,600
Speaker 1: You know, I gotta do it.

983
00:50:49,640 --> 00:50:52,480
Speaker 3: I know you're thinking about this team too, but gotta

984
00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:56,160
Speaker 3: go with the Titans here as a plus one P

985
00:50:56,440 --> 00:51:01,000
Speaker 3: forty dog at home against the Chargers. This Charger team

986
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:03,400
Speaker 3: just betting on them. The Charger, you know, it seems

987
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:07,080
Speaker 3: like one thing gets fixed and another thing breaks this time.

988
00:51:07,520 --> 00:51:09,719
Speaker 3: You know, they were able to run the ball, but

989
00:51:11,640 --> 00:51:14,400
Speaker 3: the pass offense wasn't as efficient as I thought it

990
00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 3: could have been, and they gave up nearly six hundred

991
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:20,840
Speaker 3: total yards. And now a lot of the Chargers success

992
00:51:20,920 --> 00:51:23,400
Speaker 3: last week did come on the ground. He got Ecro

993
00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:27,520
Speaker 3: a little banged up. But this Titan defense, this is

994
00:51:27,680 --> 00:51:30,480
Speaker 3: a defense that can stop the run and make the

995
00:51:30,560 --> 00:51:34,239
Speaker 3: charges one dimensional, and I think that's gonna lead to

996
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 3: you know, a couple of mistakes here and there for

997
00:51:37,840 --> 00:51:40,840
Speaker 3: justin Herbert and on the other side, you know that

998
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:44,880
Speaker 3: Saints defense gave the Titans a lot of problems. You know,

999
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:46,680
Speaker 3: they were lucky to escape with that cover because they

1000
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:50,000
Speaker 3: kicked the field goal. But you know, this Charger defense,

1001
00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:53,360
Speaker 3: it's been We've seen this now. The last time he

1002
00:51:53,400 --> 00:51:58,919
Speaker 3: saw the Charger defense, it was giving up what thirty

1003
00:51:59,000 --> 00:52:01,720
Speaker 3: points in the second half to the Jaguars and then

1004
00:52:02,280 --> 00:52:05,960
Speaker 3: thirty six and nearly six hundred yards offense to the Dolphins.

1005
00:52:06,400 --> 00:52:09,080
Speaker 3: So you know, if the Titans offense is gonna get

1006
00:52:09,120 --> 00:52:11,080
Speaker 3: off the schneid, I think it's gonna it could be

1007
00:52:11,160 --> 00:52:11,560
Speaker 3: this week.

1008
00:52:11,719 --> 00:52:13,080
Speaker 1: I thought Derrek Henry looked great.

1009
00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:17,480
Speaker 3: I thought Spears looked great, didn't really get Burkes involved.

1010
00:52:18,040 --> 00:52:21,759
Speaker 3: Tannehill just overthrew Chig on a short touchdown. Tannehill left

1011
00:52:22,480 --> 00:52:25,600
Speaker 3: a lot of throws on the field. So I think

1012
00:52:25,640 --> 00:52:30,719
Speaker 3: that this week home dog taking the Titans here for

1013
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:35,480
Speaker 3: able nine and six straight up as a home moneyline

1014
00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:36,920
Speaker 3: home underdog.

1015
00:52:37,280 --> 00:52:38,840
Speaker 1: So give me Tennessee.

1016
00:52:39,600 --> 00:52:41,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't I like this one. That was the

1017
00:52:41,800 --> 00:52:46,719
Speaker 2: other one. I considered the Echler injuries pretty worry some

1018
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:50,520
Speaker 2: for sure. The only thing I'm worried about here is

1019
00:52:50,560 --> 00:52:54,080
Speaker 2: the Titans secondary, how it will hold up. The corners are,

1020
00:52:55,400 --> 00:52:57,760
Speaker 2: we're pretty bad outside of McCrary, and you have Faulton

1021
00:52:57,760 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 2: dealing with a hamstring hooker concussion, and then Tannehill had

1022
00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:03,719
Speaker 2: a disastrous day, even though the offensive line held up

1023
00:53:03,760 --> 00:53:06,560
Speaker 2: pretty well better than I thought. Jill had had some

1024
00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:09,640
Speaker 2: struggles to left tackle times, but it wasn't pressure that

1025
00:53:09,640 --> 00:53:13,040
Speaker 2: got him. He was just missing. Yeah, some horrific throws. Yeah,

1026
00:53:13,040 --> 00:53:15,200
Speaker 2: you hope that he bounces back and he's not just

1027
00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:18,479
Speaker 2: like washed because that was a terrible game. But yeah,

1028
00:53:18,480 --> 00:53:20,840
Speaker 2: I mean, variable as a dog can never go wrong.

1029
00:53:21,400 --> 00:53:22,960
Speaker 2: For what it's worth, He's twenty three to nine and

1030
00:53:23,040 --> 00:53:26,560
Speaker 2: one against the spread, seventy two percent as a dog

1031
00:53:26,600 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 2: of three or more, covering by an average margin of

1032
00:53:29,719 --> 00:53:34,719
Speaker 2: six point one points per game. So yeah, let's go

1033
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:37,319
Speaker 2: a little and out. By the way, teams that are

1034
00:53:37,360 --> 00:53:39,440
Speaker 2: dogs that are between teams that are zero to one

1035
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:42,920
Speaker 2: and Week two have historically hit at a sixty three

1036
00:53:43,000 --> 00:53:46,960
Speaker 2: percent clip. So yeah, let's go a little AFC South

1037
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:51,280
Speaker 2: money line underdog parlay with the Titans and Texans.

1038
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 1: Parlay those two together.

1039
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:55,040
Speaker 3: You got the Texans at plus one oh five the

1040
00:53:55,080 --> 00:53:59,160
Speaker 3: Titans plus one forty at bet MGM just under four

1041
00:53:59,160 --> 00:54:03,080
Speaker 3: to one odds when you parlay them. If you want

1042
00:54:03,160 --> 00:54:06,200
Speaker 3: to check other parlay odds, be sure to check out

1043
00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:11,040
Speaker 3: the Action Network betting odds calculator at actionnetwork dot com.

1044
00:54:11,160 --> 00:54:14,440
Speaker 1: Now it is time for meaningful.

1045
00:54:14,200 --> 00:54:17,640
Speaker 3: To some the games that we haven't covered in any

1046
00:54:17,640 --> 00:54:20,560
Speaker 3: other segment. That's going to be a touchdown, but that

1047
00:54:20,640 --> 00:54:23,680
Speaker 3: may be meaningful to some of you. Do you know

1048
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:28,440
Speaker 3: what I mean? First is Ravens at Bengals. You know

1049
00:54:28,520 --> 00:54:30,200
Speaker 3: the line is three and a half in favor of

1050
00:54:30,200 --> 00:54:33,000
Speaker 3: the Bengals. I am attempted to take the Ravens despite

1051
00:54:33,040 --> 00:54:36,920
Speaker 3: all their injuries. Kind of a contrarian spot, but I

1052
00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:41,560
Speaker 3: do have flashbacks to other times when the Ravens have

1053
00:54:41,640 --> 00:54:46,560
Speaker 3: been banged up, particularly in the secondary, and Cincinnati made

1054
00:54:46,600 --> 00:54:48,880
Speaker 3: him pay. And I do think Burrow is going to

1055
00:54:48,920 --> 00:54:51,000
Speaker 3: bounce back sooner than later. Maybe now, maybe it's not

1056
00:54:51,080 --> 00:54:54,560
Speaker 3: this week, maybe it is, but you know, still, Lamar

1057
00:54:54,680 --> 00:54:58,000
Speaker 3: Jackson is ten and one against the spread as an

1058
00:54:58,040 --> 00:55:03,600
Speaker 3: underdog ninety one percent. Harbaugh is sixty percent above sixty percent,

1059
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:06,160
Speaker 3: I know, fifty nine percent, excuse me, forty four.

1060
00:55:06,000 --> 00:55:08,960
Speaker 1: And thirty all time. So it is tempting, you know,

1061
00:55:09,040 --> 00:55:10,319
Speaker 1: especially getting the hook here.

1062
00:55:10,760 --> 00:55:14,239
Speaker 3: But I do think that there's a possibility that this

1063
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:17,880
Speaker 3: Raven secondary just can't hang with this with this beangled

1064
00:55:17,880 --> 00:55:18,399
Speaker 3: pass game.

1065
00:55:18,520 --> 00:55:21,000
Speaker 2: What do you think, Yeah, that's the concern. I think

1066
00:55:21,040 --> 00:55:23,120
Speaker 2: the right line is three and a half now with

1067
00:55:23,160 --> 00:55:26,440
Speaker 2: all of the injuries. I mean you're talking you might

1068
00:55:26,440 --> 00:55:30,799
Speaker 2: be missing six key starters. Dobbins is out, Marcus Williams,

1069
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:32,520
Speaker 2: one of the better safeties in the league, is out,

1070
00:55:32,880 --> 00:55:35,040
Speaker 2: and then two of your most important offensive linemen your

1071
00:55:35,080 --> 00:55:38,560
Speaker 2: center and left tackle, and Lenderbaum and Stanley are probably out.

1072
00:55:38,680 --> 00:55:42,880
Speaker 2: Marlon Humphrey's already out. That's massive because that means that

1073
00:55:42,920 --> 00:55:45,840
Speaker 2: you're going to have most likely Brandon Stevens and Ronald

1074
00:55:45,920 --> 00:55:50,920
Speaker 2: Darby trying to cover Chase and Higgins. That's not great. Meanwhile,

1075
00:55:51,040 --> 00:55:53,160
Speaker 2: Mark Andrews might not play againy I think he's fifty

1076
00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:56,160
Speaker 2: to fifty. That's huge. They really missed him last week.

1077
00:55:56,560 --> 00:55:59,040
Speaker 2: And the Bengals on the other end are injury free.

1078
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:02,120
Speaker 2: The one thing that will work in the Ravens favor

1079
00:56:02,160 --> 00:56:04,880
Speaker 2: their defense when they had full strength secondary. They've been

1080
00:56:04,920 --> 00:56:07,359
Speaker 2: able to fluster Burrow in the past couple of meetings,

1081
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:09,920
Speaker 2: and he's done really nothing against them. But when their

1082
00:56:09,920 --> 00:56:12,160
Speaker 2: secondary is not healthy, they just can't hold up. There's

1083
00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:14,279
Speaker 2: just such a talent gap. You know, last year the

1084
00:56:14,320 --> 00:56:17,040
Speaker 2: Bengals lost to Cooper Rush in the second game.

1085
00:56:18,080 --> 00:56:19,879
Speaker 1: So it's probably a better defense than this Ravens.

1086
00:56:19,960 --> 00:56:24,080
Speaker 2: Yes, much better defense. But Barrow was definitely rusty still

1087
00:56:24,560 --> 00:56:26,479
Speaker 2: and not at rhythm. So that's that's what the Ravens

1088
00:56:26,520 --> 00:56:28,440
Speaker 2: that the hope for here. I don't know if I

1089
00:56:28,520 --> 00:56:30,399
Speaker 2: believe in the Ravens pass rush yet. It was better

1090
00:56:30,440 --> 00:56:32,640
Speaker 2: than I thought, but you were playing against the Texas

1091
00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:35,440
Speaker 2: offensive line that was down to like you know, piecemeal,

1092
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:38,600
Speaker 2: was like fourth and fifth string guys. So we'll say

1093
00:56:38,640 --> 00:56:41,560
Speaker 2: it's really going to come down to is Barrow crisp? Yeah?

1094
00:56:41,640 --> 00:56:43,200
Speaker 2: I think the rain has the right line with all

1095
00:56:43,280 --> 00:56:46,040
Speaker 2: these injuries, Yeah, I could see it. I always hardball

1096
00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:50,000
Speaker 2: as a dog is always always worth a look, but

1097
00:56:50,239 --> 00:56:53,440
Speaker 2: the injuries on the offensive line is secondary. Going on

1098
00:56:53,480 --> 00:56:57,600
Speaker 2: the road, just I would need at least four and

1099
00:56:57,640 --> 00:56:59,600
Speaker 2: a half to consider.

1100
00:56:59,200 --> 00:57:03,000
Speaker 3: It here being out is big, but Zay Flowers it

1101
00:57:03,120 --> 00:57:05,160
Speaker 3: looks like a star, and that was something that was

1102
00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:07,320
Speaker 3: a guy that you know, of all the receivers in fantasy,

1103
00:57:07,320 --> 00:57:09,719
Speaker 3: I was like, I don't think it's gonna be Smith

1104
00:57:09,719 --> 00:57:12,200
Speaker 3: and Jigbo or Addison with the clearest path to just

1105
00:57:13,360 --> 00:57:15,200
Speaker 3: monster value right from the jump. I think it's gonna

1106
00:57:15,200 --> 00:57:17,280
Speaker 3: be Zay And sure enough when you get like nine

1107
00:57:17,320 --> 00:57:18,120
Speaker 3: catches that we won.

1108
00:57:18,120 --> 00:57:19,400
Speaker 1: So that helps a little.

1109
00:57:19,800 --> 00:57:21,880
Speaker 3: I could see this game being close down to the end.

1110
00:57:21,880 --> 00:57:24,280
Speaker 3: I could see the Ravens moves in like another heartbreaker.

1111
00:57:25,040 --> 00:57:27,240
Speaker 3: But so I will be monitoring this because it's not

1112
00:57:27,560 --> 00:57:30,200
Speaker 3: you know, I feel like the market is just it's

1113
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:32,400
Speaker 3: kind of accounting for all the what's going wrong with

1114
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:36,280
Speaker 3: the Ravens, but the Bengals aren't really in peak form either.

1115
00:57:36,360 --> 00:57:41,040
Speaker 3: If it's gonna hit four especially I might yeah. And

1116
00:57:41,080 --> 00:57:43,640
Speaker 3: then we got the Chiefs Chiefs at the Jags, Chiefs

1117
00:57:43,680 --> 00:57:49,640
Speaker 3: three and a half point favorites. The total is fifty one,

1118
00:57:49,880 --> 00:57:52,600
Speaker 3: so it's one of the uh I think it's the

1119
00:57:52,720 --> 00:57:55,880
Speaker 3: highest highest total of the week.

1120
00:57:56,400 --> 00:57:57,360
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts here?

1121
00:57:57,400 --> 00:58:00,480
Speaker 3: We know Mahomes like that three is exactly kind of

1122
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:03,120
Speaker 3: where the trends reverse for Mahomes and now it's up

1123
00:58:03,160 --> 00:58:05,640
Speaker 3: to three and a half. The trends favorite the Jaguars,

1124
00:58:05,640 --> 00:58:11,080
Speaker 3: but Mahomes is thirteen and three straight up off a loss.

1125
00:58:12,680 --> 00:58:16,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the most likely outcome here to my opinion, Like,

1126
00:58:16,840 --> 00:58:19,280
Speaker 2: if you need Mahomes to win, he's fourteen to four.

1127
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:20,880
Speaker 2: It gets spread when he's not favored by more than

1128
00:58:20,920 --> 00:58:25,280
Speaker 2: three points. If I had to guess how this game goes,

1129
00:58:25,840 --> 00:58:31,959
Speaker 2: Chiefs win by three, I trust Mahomes read with extra

1130
00:58:32,000 --> 00:58:33,920
Speaker 2: rest to get this done. Chris Jones back against the

1131
00:58:33,960 --> 00:58:38,160
Speaker 2: Jaguars offensive line that already had some question marks now

1132
00:58:38,240 --> 00:58:42,840
Speaker 2: has injury questions in the interior with Sheriff ed Fordner

1133
00:58:43,120 --> 00:58:46,080
Speaker 2: who both might miss, which is huge against Chris Jones.

1134
00:58:46,320 --> 00:58:50,200
Speaker 2: We know the Jags defense is trash, and if the

1135
00:58:50,240 --> 00:58:52,960
Speaker 2: Chiefs get Kelsey back, I think that like that, I

1136
00:58:53,080 --> 00:58:57,640
Speaker 2: make this Chiefs like I make this Chiefs minus three

1137
00:58:57,760 --> 00:59:00,000
Speaker 2: point six. I'm lower on the giants in the market.

1138
00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:04,200
Speaker 2: If Kelsey plays at Chris Jones plays. If not, then

1139
00:59:04,480 --> 00:59:10,160
Speaker 2: you know I'd be actually like a tad under three.

1140
00:59:10,680 --> 00:59:13,400
Speaker 2: So this is all about the number. I would not

1141
00:59:13,480 --> 00:59:15,480
Speaker 2: lay three and a half with the Chiefs. I took

1142
00:59:15,520 --> 00:59:18,120
Speaker 2: a little tiny bit on Oprah's I tweeted about two

1143
00:59:18,120 --> 00:59:19,600
Speaker 2: and a half minus two and a half with the Chiefs.

1144
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:21,600
Speaker 2: I would take that. If it's there at three and

1145
00:59:21,640 --> 00:59:24,560
Speaker 2: a half, I would actually, depending on Kelsey status is

1146
00:59:24,560 --> 00:59:27,440
Speaker 2: what I'd have to monitor. I wouldn't blame anyone for

1147
00:59:27,520 --> 00:59:33,160
Speaker 2: taking the Jags, and I would not look anywhere but

1148
00:59:33,720 --> 00:59:37,600
Speaker 2: JAG's overs for now. That defense I think is bad

1149
00:59:37,640 --> 00:59:42,320
Speaker 2: and has injuries, an offense with Ridley, and how fast

1150
00:59:42,320 --> 00:59:44,160
Speaker 2: that they've been going and how pass heavy that they've

1151
00:59:44,200 --> 00:59:46,920
Speaker 2: been since the second half of last year. And you

1152
00:59:46,960 --> 00:59:49,160
Speaker 2: know Mahome's going to come out with a vengeance and

1153
00:59:49,200 --> 00:59:51,520
Speaker 2: if he has Kelsey back, and those receivers aren't going

1154
00:59:51,520 --> 00:59:53,680
Speaker 2: to play as bad as they did last week, and

1155
00:59:53,720 --> 00:59:57,440
Speaker 2: he's going up against this Jaguars secondary should pick it apart.

1156
00:59:57,520 --> 01:00:00,480
Speaker 2: So it's either over nothing and then the chief Jags.

1157
01:00:00,480 --> 01:00:02,240
Speaker 2: That's the most court number in the NFL, right around three.

1158
01:00:02,240 --> 01:00:04,000
Speaker 2: It depends on the number at three and a half.

1159
01:00:04,000 --> 01:00:06,960
Speaker 2: For me, it's no play at three. I lean Chiefs

1160
01:00:07,200 --> 01:00:10,640
Speaker 2: at two and a half. I like the Chiefs.

1161
01:00:10,160 --> 01:00:14,440
Speaker 3: Trivia question for you, When is the last time Andy

1162
01:00:14,480 --> 01:00:16,600
Speaker 3: Reid started oh and two?

1163
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:20,840
Speaker 2: Uh, Andy Reid? Oh and two? You always got to

1164
01:00:20,840 --> 01:00:23,840
Speaker 2: think about the how the person is phrasing the question.

1165
01:00:24,000 --> 01:00:25,919
Speaker 1: The chiefs Andy with the Chiefs, Andrey with the Chiefs.

1166
01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:28,320
Speaker 3: I'll give you that, Oh with the Chiefs. Yeah, yeah,

1167
01:00:28,360 --> 01:00:30,520
Speaker 3: but what year? Which year was it?

1168
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:34,880
Speaker 2: I don't think it has not happened with Mahomes. I'm

1169
01:00:34,920 --> 01:00:39,000
Speaker 2: gonna say. I'm gonna say two thousand and fourteen.

1170
01:00:39,520 --> 01:00:42,800
Speaker 1: Yup, nailed it. He ye, yeah, yeah. Started he lost

1171
01:00:42,800 --> 01:00:45,560
Speaker 1: to Jake Locker twenty six to ten and we won.

1172
01:00:46,040 --> 01:00:48,280
Speaker 3: And then Peyton Manning and the Broncos twenty four to

1173
01:00:48,280 --> 01:00:51,680
Speaker 3: seventeen and they still managed to finish nine and seven,

1174
01:00:51,880 --> 01:00:54,600
Speaker 3: but they missed the playoffs that year. Ever since then

1175
01:00:54,960 --> 01:00:57,200
Speaker 3: got now least won. The Chiefs are the Chiefs are

1176
01:00:57,200 --> 01:01:00,600
Speaker 3: gonna win his game. It's just by how much? And

1177
01:01:00,840 --> 01:01:03,080
Speaker 3: uh yeah, three and a half. I would not trust them.

1178
01:01:03,520 --> 01:01:05,640
Speaker 3: Just take the money line if you really want to invest,

1179
01:01:06,600 --> 01:01:09,880
Speaker 3: it's close it out. Our Survivor Pool Pick of a Week.

1180
01:01:15,800 --> 01:01:18,320
Speaker 2: The Survivor Pool Pick of the week.

1181
01:01:19,840 --> 01:01:21,760
Speaker 1: All right, this is a this is an ugly week.

1182
01:01:22,000 --> 01:01:22,880
Speaker 1: Where are you going this week?

1183
01:01:23,040 --> 01:01:25,040
Speaker 2: This week, I'm getting a little risk. I'm getting a

1184
01:01:25,040 --> 01:01:26,440
Speaker 2: little risk here. I think it's a good week to

1185
01:01:26,480 --> 01:01:29,720
Speaker 2: do that. Like the Cowboys and the Bills are the

1186
01:01:29,720 --> 01:01:33,200
Speaker 2: obvious choices, but I want to save them for later

1187
01:01:33,240 --> 01:01:36,120
Speaker 2: in the season. So a team that's a favorite that

1188
01:01:36,160 --> 01:01:38,360
Speaker 2: I think is going to win that I actually took

1189
01:01:38,600 --> 01:01:42,240
Speaker 2: bet as a favorite. Sous Russell Wilson's really could really

1190
01:01:42,320 --> 01:01:46,439
Speaker 2: ruin my weekend. But I'm going to go to the Broncos. Yeah,

1191
01:01:46,520 --> 01:01:48,520
Speaker 2: one of the Wilson's. I'm gonna go with the Broncos

1192
01:01:48,640 --> 01:01:51,640
Speaker 2: at home against Washington. I think that they avoid a

1193
01:01:51,840 --> 01:01:54,960
Speaker 2: zero and two start the rest of their schedule. Granted,

1194
01:01:55,000 --> 01:01:57,720
Speaker 2: they get the Jets at home at Miami. After this,

1195
01:01:57,800 --> 01:02:01,000
Speaker 2: it's at Miami, at Chicago, at can A City home

1196
01:02:01,040 --> 01:02:06,280
Speaker 2: against Green Bay, Kansas City at Buffalo, Minnesota, Cleveland, at

1197
01:02:06,360 --> 01:02:09,760
Speaker 2: Houston like Houston later in the year, on the road

1198
01:02:09,840 --> 01:02:13,840
Speaker 2: at the Chargers, at the Lions Patriots, Chargers at the Raiders,

1199
01:02:13,880 --> 01:02:17,040
Speaker 2: like I don't. I would not feel comfortable using them

1200
01:02:17,360 --> 01:02:19,000
Speaker 2: in any other game. Really.

1201
01:02:19,120 --> 01:02:20,840
Speaker 3: I think there's also something to be said for just

1202
01:02:20,880 --> 01:02:24,120
Speaker 3: not using the Broncos and Survivor this year. You know,

1203
01:02:24,520 --> 01:02:27,160
Speaker 3: I'll throw that out there, but I do agree that

1204
01:02:27,200 --> 01:02:29,440
Speaker 3: you want to go a little bit riskier this week,

1205
01:02:29,800 --> 01:02:32,600
Speaker 3: see if you can get some separation. So I'm going

1206
01:02:32,680 --> 01:02:34,960
Speaker 3: to go with the Giants here and just continue to

1207
01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:38,200
Speaker 3: fade Arizona. I think the Giants are you know, it

1208
01:02:38,240 --> 01:02:39,440
Speaker 3: is on the road, but I do think they're a

1209
01:02:39,480 --> 01:02:43,160
Speaker 3: little better equipped take care of business against Arizona because

1210
01:02:43,400 --> 01:02:46,080
Speaker 3: the thing that Washington did to keep Arizona in the game,

1211
01:02:46,120 --> 01:02:48,400
Speaker 3: besides the old line, which could be an issue for

1212
01:02:48,400 --> 01:02:51,360
Speaker 3: the Giants as well, but is turn the ball over.

1213
01:02:51,640 --> 01:02:53,800
Speaker 3: And you know, the Giants did turn the ball over

1214
01:02:53,800 --> 01:02:56,920
Speaker 3: a couple of times last week, but not usually their

1215
01:02:57,080 --> 01:02:59,840
Speaker 3: m O Daniel Jones, especially in a game like this

1216
01:03:00,040 --> 01:03:02,080
Speaker 3: where you know he knows he's not gonna have to

1217
01:03:02,080 --> 01:03:04,960
Speaker 3: put up a ton of points. Usually you can count

1218
01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:07,680
Speaker 3: on him not to turn the ball over. And when

1219
01:03:07,680 --> 01:03:09,760
Speaker 3: I look at this Arizona team, I mean they got

1220
01:03:09,760 --> 01:03:12,280
Speaker 3: three turnovers from from Washington, so they had a plus

1221
01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:15,080
Speaker 3: one differential, so they kept it close. But josh Dobbs

1222
01:03:15,600 --> 01:03:19,640
Speaker 3: averaged four point four yards per attempt, And you say, okay, well,

1223
01:03:19,680 --> 01:03:22,760
Speaker 3: Washington's defense is good. Yeah, but for his career, Joshua

1224
01:03:22,880 --> 01:03:26,320
Speaker 3: Dobbs averages five point one yards square attempts on one

1225
01:03:26,360 --> 01:03:30,840
Speaker 3: hundred and fifteen pass attempt So I'm just not really

1226
01:03:30,920 --> 01:03:36,200
Speaker 3: expecting anything from him offensively. So hopefully, you know, maybe

1227
01:03:36,240 --> 01:03:40,320
Speaker 3: your Jets surprised the Cowboys or something like that, But

1228
01:03:40,880 --> 01:03:43,440
Speaker 3: I like taking the Giants his shorter road favorites here

1229
01:03:43,520 --> 01:03:45,919
Speaker 3: and getting against still when I think is the worst

1230
01:03:45,920 --> 01:03:46,680
Speaker 3: team in the week.

1231
01:03:46,640 --> 01:03:48,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, Giants schedule the rest of the way is brutal.

1232
01:03:48,960 --> 01:03:50,960
Speaker 2: And by the way, sometimes there's like he could look

1233
01:03:51,000 --> 01:03:53,440
Speaker 2: at trends as I'll mention this trend a lot, but

1234
01:03:53,480 --> 01:03:55,720
Speaker 2: there's trends that could fit both teams, and some point

1235
01:03:55,760 --> 01:03:57,640
Speaker 2: you could sometimes you could have people that cherry picked

1236
01:03:57,640 --> 01:03:59,440
Speaker 2: trends and then just you can make a case for

1237
01:03:59,480 --> 01:04:02,320
Speaker 2: one side. But in this case, you know, the Giants

1238
01:04:02,360 --> 01:04:05,440
Speaker 2: are off a thirty five point plus loss. Teams over

1239
01:04:05,520 --> 01:04:07,360
Speaker 2: the past twenty years that have lost by thirty five

1240
01:04:07,360 --> 01:04:09,840
Speaker 2: plus seventy five to forty one to five against the

1241
01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:12,240
Speaker 2: spread sixty four point seven percent, covering by more than

1242
01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:15,160
Speaker 2: a field goal per game. However, those teams are usually

1243
01:04:15,240 --> 01:04:17,400
Speaker 2: lose by thirty five plus, they're usually underdogs the next

1244
01:04:17,400 --> 01:04:19,520
Speaker 2: week when they're laying over a field goal, they're only

1245
01:04:19,560 --> 01:04:21,960
Speaker 2: eight to nine against the spread. Also, teams off a

1246
01:04:21,960 --> 01:04:25,520
Speaker 2: shutout loss fifty eight percent against the spread over the

1247
01:04:25,560 --> 01:04:28,600
Speaker 2: past thirty years, but just twenty three and twenty four

1248
01:04:28,640 --> 01:04:31,040
Speaker 2: against the spread as a favorite. And as I mentioned before,

1249
01:04:31,480 --> 01:04:35,320
Speaker 2: Week two dogs between zero to one teams forty seven

1250
01:04:35,480 --> 01:04:37,720
Speaker 2: twenty five and three against the spread over sixty five percent,

1251
01:04:37,720 --> 01:04:40,920
Speaker 2: which applies to the Titans, Cardinals, and Texans. So, you know,

1252
01:04:41,080 --> 01:04:43,640
Speaker 2: Giants off of a shutout loss, off of thirty five plus,

1253
01:04:44,200 --> 01:04:46,640
Speaker 2: Normally I'd be looking to back them, but this number

1254
01:04:47,320 --> 01:04:48,880
Speaker 2: is just too high, and the Giants are on a

1255
01:04:48,880 --> 01:04:52,040
Speaker 2: team I'm looking to back as a favorite. But I

1256
01:04:52,080 --> 01:04:54,960
Speaker 2: do agree that this is a good Survivor pick. But

1257
01:04:55,320 --> 01:04:57,680
Speaker 2: there's some trends that fit both the Cardinals and Giants here.

1258
01:04:57,720 --> 01:05:00,200
Speaker 2: So that game from a spread perspective is a here

1259
01:05:00,240 --> 01:05:00,760
Speaker 2: past for me.

1260
01:05:00,880 --> 01:05:02,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, maybe maybe the one will get up to six

1261
01:05:02,560 --> 01:05:05,960
Speaker 3: and then just tease it down to zero, but yeah,

1262
01:05:06,000 --> 01:05:07,880
Speaker 3: as it stands, yeah, I don't want to weigh the

1263
01:05:07,960 --> 01:05:11,440
Speaker 3: number either. Again, just some of these teams getting favorite

1264
01:05:11,440 --> 01:05:14,120
Speaker 3: on the road already. I mean you have the the

1265
01:05:14,200 --> 01:05:17,320
Speaker 3: Packers road favorites, you have the Colts a road favorite,

1266
01:05:17,360 --> 01:05:21,040
Speaker 3: you have, I mean just some really odd road favorites.

1267
01:05:21,080 --> 01:05:25,520
Speaker 3: Giants five and a half got to be six. Yeah,

1268
01:05:25,720 --> 01:05:28,760
Speaker 3: that's it's not gonna go well for some of these teams.

1269
01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:31,520
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm taking for Survivor. And that's gonna wrap

1270
01:05:31,560 --> 01:05:36,320
Speaker 3: it for our Week to Action Network podcast.

1271
01:05:37,320 --> 01:05:39,480
Speaker 1: Thank you for listening. We'll be back Thursday all season long.

1272
01:05:39,520 --> 01:05:42,160
Speaker 3: As a reminder, our friends at the Favorites podcast still

1273
01:05:42,200 --> 01:05:45,080
Speaker 3: have one hundred and seventeen grand up for grabs in

1274
01:05:45,120 --> 01:05:48,240
Speaker 3: their free weekly NFL Pick Them contest. Sign Up is

1275
01:05:48,320 --> 01:05:52,520
Speaker 3: still open Favorites dot Action Network dot com. That's Favorites

1276
01:05:52,640 --> 01:05:54,520
Speaker 3: dot Action Network dot com.

1277
01:05:55,200 --> 01:05:56,400
Speaker 1: Be sure to enter.

1278
01:05:56,600 --> 01:05:59,120
Speaker 3: You can't get paid if you don't play. And you

1279
01:05:59,160 --> 01:06:02,080
Speaker 3: can hear more of me this week with my guy

1280
01:06:02,200 --> 01:06:06,080
Speaker 3: Kerner talking fantasy dfs and all that good stuff on

1281
01:06:06,160 --> 01:06:08,960
Speaker 3: the Fantasy Flex Pod. You can hear Stuck talking college

1282
01:06:08,960 --> 01:06:13,640
Speaker 3: ball over on the Big Bets on Campus podcast Friday mornings.

1283
01:06:13,840 --> 01:06:17,040
Speaker 3: Stuck is on X at Stucky two. I'm at Chris

1284
01:06:17,120 --> 01:06:19,480
Speaker 3: Raybond and we are at those same handles on a

1285
01:06:19,560 --> 01:06:23,640
Speaker 3: free award winning Action Network app until week three. Let's

1286
01:06:23,680 --> 01:06:34,880
Speaker 3: get Thish money let Go. Action Network reminds you please

1287
01:06:34,920 --> 01:06:36,000
Speaker 3: gamble responsibly.

1288
01:06:36,320 --> 01:06:38,920
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1289
01:06:39,120 --> 01:06:41,520
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1290
01:06:41,560 --> 01:06:42,320
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler