1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, is a been stunning twenty four hours or 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,440 Speaker 1: so with respect to Russia and Ukraine. It's about seven 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: am here on the East coast. I'm going to break 4 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:11,040 Speaker 1: down for everybody of what we know. Here's the headline. 5 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:13,840 Speaker 1: The head of the Wagner Group, you have, Geny Brigosen, 6 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:16,919 Speaker 1: is currently in control of at least some part of 7 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: the city of rosavon Don in Russia, after launching what 8 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: is apparently a military coup against Vladimir Putin and his leadership. 9 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:25,959 Speaker 2: Rosavon Don. 10 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 1: We talked about it actually here before, huge logistical hub 11 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 1: for the Russian war in Ukraine. Let's back up, how 12 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: did we get here to this genuinely stunning and crazy development. 13 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 1: So Progozen some of you probably will know him. He 14 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: was the Russian mercenary warrior, head of the Wagner Group. 15 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 1: He actually took credit for the Russian victory in Bachma. 16 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 1: He's been probably one of the most serious fighters that's 17 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,639 Speaker 1: currently in the conflict, and he has always been a 18 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: major and fierce critic of the Chief of the Russian 19 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 1: Armed Forces and of the Russian Defense Minister. His criticism 20 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 1: has bainly been that the Wagner Group has not received 21 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: enough ammunition from the Russians, not enough support, that the 22 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:09,760 Speaker 1: Russian military is just throwing troops into the meat grinder 23 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 1: without any concern for their welfare, and is emerged as 24 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: a major defender for Russian troop welfare inside of Ukraine. 25 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: Well after he's got the city of Bakwen, he has 26 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 1: this victory, he's actually gained stature in the Russian public. 27 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 1: About twenty four hours ago, he put out a video 28 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: which stunned absolutely all of us, where he blasted the 29 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: war in Ukraine, said that it was launched under false pretenses. 30 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 1: He said that Russian oligarchs had gotten greedy after plundering 31 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 1: the Dunboss region, which was already in an active conflict zone, 32 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 1: and that they just wanted to pillage even more of Ukraine. 33 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: He even said that the war itself, the basis was 34 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: complete bs Russia was not in danger at the time 35 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 1: of the invasion, so obviously that was basically a redline, 36 00:01:56,640 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 1: and chaos ensued. So he demanded the resident nation of 37 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: the Defense Minister and then the chief of the Russian 38 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 1: Armed Forces. Now in the middle of the night Moscow 39 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,920 Speaker 1: time is when this sal going down. So the immediate 40 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 1: sign that the Russian authorities were absolutely not going to 41 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: let this stand. Is that the FSB, the main security agency, 42 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 1: the successor to the KGB, opened a criminal investigation against 43 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 1: him for quote armed mutiny. 44 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 2: So that's it. 45 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 1: That's like across the rubicon moment. Because you're a wanted man, 46 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 1: you're not going to immerge from this unscathed. So at 47 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:33,839 Speaker 1: this point things get even crazier. He starts posting all 48 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: these voice memos on telegram saying he's on his way 49 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: to Rostov not to go after him. He claims he's 50 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: been attacked, he claims that they had bombed him. Nobody 51 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: knows if any of this is true, right, But then 52 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 1: right in the middle of daylight, we wake up and 53 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,640 Speaker 1: we can actually see Wagner and progoes in not only 54 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: are in control at least of some parts of the city, 55 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 1: but are even storming or not storming, but like going 56 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 1: into the Russian military headquarters there. They're posting videos they've 57 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 1: been verified talking with the people around there quote unquote negotiating, 58 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: And that means like, at the very least, this is 59 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: stunningly successful in its own right, just because he's now 60 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,640 Speaker 1: gained control of a key part of a major logistical hub. Okay, 61 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 1: So then what happens, because now we're a pretty crazy event. 62 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: Russian President Vladimir Putin addresses the Russian nation. He gives 63 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 1: a full six minute address. He denounces Foregrozen, he denounces 64 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 1: the mutiny. He calls on everybody to lay down their arms. 65 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: He compares the rebellion currently to the nineteen seventeen Bolshevik 66 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 1: Revolution and says that the Wagner group's efforts are just 67 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 1: like that separate piece agreement that Lenin pursued which humiliated Russia. 68 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 2: In World War One. 69 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 1: The most important line from the full scale, basically declaration 70 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 1: of war against the Wagoner Group is this quote. Any 71 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: internal mutiny is a deadly threat to our state, to 72 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: us as a nation. It is a strike against our nation, 73 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: our people. Our actions to defend the fatherland from such 74 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 1: a threat will be brutal. 75 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 2: Okay. So, like I said, it's about seven am. So 76 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 2: here's what we know. 77 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: This is all that's really been confirmed so far. There 78 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: are videos to coming out of Russia every which way. 79 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:17,039 Speaker 1: They show a Wagner column of troops and of equipment 80 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:20,160 Speaker 1: trying to make its way towards Moscow. Amongst one of 81 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:23,040 Speaker 1: the major roads. A decent portion of the way it 82 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: has made there so far, not the majority like some 83 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 1: parts of it. 84 00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:27,160 Speaker 2: We don't actually know the progress. 85 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: We know that there are videos coming out right now, 86 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 1: helicopters can getting shot down or shot at, bombs being 87 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 1: dropped on the convoys, total chaos inside of Russia, you know, 88 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: to be clear, we don't know where this is all 89 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: going to end up. We don't know if they're going 90 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:43,800 Speaker 1: to make it to Russia. People in Moscow are kind 91 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 1: of freaking out. There's some security services. The Kremlin says 92 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 1: Putin is in the Kremlin and he's working in his office, 93 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: whatever that means. So look, some analysis just top line, 94 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 1: here's what I think, massive humiliation for Putin. You know, 95 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 1: he praised Wagner has recently three weeks ago, he was 96 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: given out metal cities guys, and now they're mounting a 97 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 1: full scale coup against him, and you know they're not 98 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 1: listening to him. They're going after his war effort, you 99 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 1: know right now, I mean this group is only twenty 100 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:11,280 Speaker 1: five thousand people. 101 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 2: They're walting into. 102 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:16,839 Speaker 1: A city of one million, effectively basically undefended, and are 103 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: the very least advanced couple hundred miles into Russia with 104 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: no resistance, I mean, with no resistance in that advance. 105 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,960 Speaker 1: You can say like at the very least the minuscule 106 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 1: lack of defense is the Russian troops in that area. 107 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 1: They either didn't care or they were sympathetic, and both 108 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:35,679 Speaker 1: are a total disaster for command and control of Putin. Now, 109 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:39,920 Speaker 1: what does this mean for Ukraine? That is probably the 110 00:05:39,960 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: most interesting question right now, because we could put it 111 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,360 Speaker 1: in a couple of different ways. Obviously, Zelenski and the army, 112 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 1: you know, they put out messages saying they're celebrating, they're 113 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 1: in the middle of their own counter offensive. We saw 114 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: those some strikes against Kiev last night, so it's not 115 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: like the air wars stopped, and you know, some Russian 116 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: resistance is still there. 117 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 2: On the front line. 118 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 1: But you know, when you're literal logistics for the wars 119 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:04,160 Speaker 1: occupied by someone mounting a coup against you, but that's bad. 120 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 1: So there is no question this is going to affect 121 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: the Russian war effort. We just have no idea how 122 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 1: much yet. Right now, the Ukrainians themselves doem to be 123 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,000 Speaker 1: in a weight and see mood and you know, see 124 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 1: what happens. As for Putin, I mean, I don't know 125 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 1: how he emerges unscaped from this, and I don't mean 126 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,560 Speaker 1: that he's going to be deposed, but this is a 127 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:26,520 Speaker 1: humiliation of the highest level on a national scale. I mean, 128 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 1: this is an armed mutiny against him, which challenging his 129 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:33,919 Speaker 1: legitimacy as the strong man of Russian Like when you 130 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: need to bomb your own cities and your infrastructure to 131 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: maintain control, you are not strong. And if he does, 132 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: even if he does make it out of this, he's 133 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:44,279 Speaker 1: going to make it a lot weaker. And you know 134 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 1: that's not necessarily good news either, just so you know, 135 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 1: because even if he does survive, there will be a 136 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: lot of bloodshed, and the military has shown obviously no 137 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:55,159 Speaker 1: qualms of killing innocent civilians. A lot of people could 138 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: die in some sort of arms stand off between the 139 00:06:57,240 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 1: two And at the current moment, it really does seem 140 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,119 Speaker 1: like either Putin has got to die as a result 141 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 1: of this. I don't see how it can get resolved. 142 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:06,800 Speaker 1: This could all turn very ugly. Then the question of 143 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:08,280 Speaker 1: what the hell is Putin going to do. Let's say 144 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 1: the thing is really successful and they make it to Moscow. 145 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:12,559 Speaker 1: What if people start turning on Putin? 146 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 2: What is he going to do? 147 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: He has total command and control of the Russian nuclear 148 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 1: arsenal of don't forget the Russian nuclear doctrine basically says 149 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: he's the one who gets to decide whenever they launch 150 00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:27,280 Speaker 1: and what they do. So that's huge uncertainty. What will 151 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 1: Putin do if is back against the wall? Will he 152 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: escalate the war in Ukraine? You know that wouldn't be 153 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 1: completely out outside the Roman possibility. Although logistically obvious, he's 154 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:36,680 Speaker 1: going to be a challenge. We don't know what he's 155 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 1: going to do. How is he going to be able 156 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 1: to keep power at this point? You know, who will 157 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: the oligarch's side with should note that most of the 158 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 1: power centers inside of Russia have come out in back Putin. 159 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 1: Kadirov and Chechnya has come out and issued statements of support. 160 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: Others have all you know, oligarchs and leaders have all 161 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: come out and denounced the coup. But you know, you 162 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 1: can denounce, but are you really going to work that 163 00:07:57,320 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 1: hard against it? You know, that's the real question. Are 164 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: we about to see an open, massive civil war inside 165 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: of Russia. One of the most stunning images I saw 166 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: was actually people Wagner guys inside of Rossov, laying on 167 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: the ground, you know, in the middle of the city, 168 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 1: pointing guns at the Russian military. They had duct tape, 169 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 1: you know, around their arms to distinguish themselves, and it's 170 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 1: just like a scene out of the nineteen you know, 171 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: nineteen seventeen to nineteen nineteen rebellion in civil war inside 172 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:24,679 Speaker 1: of Russia, of you know, the Whites and the Reds 173 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 1: against each other. You have tens of thousands of people 174 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 1: died in that conflict. So it's just stunning to be 175 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: able to see this all in real time. So look, 176 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 1: that's pretty much what we know right now. 177 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:36,000 Speaker 2: We can come back. 178 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:39,559 Speaker 1: We'll update everything everyone if anything else really big happens, 179 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 1: and encourage everybody to maintain and just pay attention to 180 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: to really like what is going on, you know, Before 181 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 1: I sign off, I'm just making sure that nothing else 182 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:52,559 Speaker 1: major significant has happened that we wanted to update everyone. 183 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 1: But I think that's a pretty good background as to 184 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 1: the current ku inside of Russia, as to kind of 185 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 1: how it started, where the main contours of where things 186 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 1: are going, and of what possible endgames and all of 187 00:09:09,080 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 1: that will look like. 188 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 2: So all of us wait and see mode. But no question. 189 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:18,319 Speaker 1: We're absolutely witnessing history right now. It's an absolutely stunning development. 190 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: And just thank you to all the premium subscribers. They 191 00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 1: enable our ability to put these kind of snap videos 192 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 1: out there and keep everybody updated and informed all of 193 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: our premiums all across the nation and the world. So 194 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: Breakingpoints dot com if you're able to help us out, 195 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 1: but otherwise, I think I'll sign off for now and 196 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 1: I'll continue to keep everybody updated if needed.