Speaker 1: To on the move, going deep Speedlis Peace, do hell
Speaker 1: peas do.
Speaker 2: From the Baptist Health Studio. This inside the Baptist Help
Speaker 2: Training Complex. This is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield. He's got
Speaker 2: my ad hands in the playoffs?
Speaker 1: What is up Dolphins? And welcome to the Drift Time Podcast.
Speaker 1: I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show,
Speaker 1: we are going to make this episode as close to
Speaker 1: a Travis locked on Dolphins episode as we can. I
Speaker 1: took a deep dive into the tape, the context, the
Speaker 1: stats around everything regarding this Odell Beckham move, how I
Speaker 1: think it changes things for the Dolphins, how it could
Speaker 1: prevent a lot of the issues we saw on the
Speaker 1: offense down the stretch, and how it could create some
Speaker 1: issues for the opposition we'll see in twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1: Plus we'll also go ahead and talk about HI think
Speaker 1: this offense can break records in twenty twenty four. All
Speaker 1: of that in a heck of a lot more From
Speaker 1: the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 1: This is the Drive Time Podcast.
Speaker 2: Ye daff is first six hundred.
Speaker 1: And six points in an NFL season. This was back
Speaker 1: during the sixteen game seasons thirty seven point nine per game.
Speaker 1: That was what the twenty thirteen Denver Broncos did as
Speaker 1: they broke the record for points per game and total
Speaker 1: points scored in an NFL season. And that is surely
Speaker 1: a high per game total thirty eight points per game,
Speaker 1: but six hundred points with seventeen games on the schedule.
Speaker 1: I think it's doable. That's thirty five point three points
Speaker 1: per game. And here is how the Dolphins can and
Speaker 1: will do that. First, the roster reset series is done.
Speaker 1: Rookie Minnie camp is coming up this week. We'll have
Speaker 1: the schedule release, I believe next week, I think, I think.
Speaker 1: And then we get into OTAs and man, from there,
Speaker 1: it's at least for me, a sprint to a news
Speaker 1: with a six week vacation sandwiched in there. And that
Speaker 1: sounds kind of gratuitous to say, because six week vacations
Speaker 1: pretty nice, But to me, those six weeks go by
Speaker 1: faster every single year.
Speaker 2: It's funny.
Speaker 1: I used to wish that time away more than anybody
Speaker 1: else on the planet. I never forget, I'll never forget
Speaker 1: when I went to Disneyland with my brother and his son,
Speaker 1: and then my wife joined us later it was for
Speaker 1: a work trip for him. He works in insurance and
Speaker 1: gets all these great lavish vacations out of it. And
Speaker 1: Dolphin's camp streted on like day three of that trip,
Speaker 1: and I was like, let's get these first two days
Speaker 1: out of the way. I want to go read practice reports, which,
Speaker 1: in hindsight, reading the tweets I was bringing from the people,
Speaker 1: I read from them back then, those tweets were not
Speaker 1: very useful.
Speaker 2: But I digress.
Speaker 1: But every time of year, every year, this time of year,
Speaker 1: I used to wish that time away more than anybody else.
Speaker 1: And this is scientifically proven by the way, by myself
Speaker 1: and my own feelings literally counting away summer months. Here's
Speaker 1: how football crazy I used to be. I will never forget.
Speaker 1: Two of my best buddies made a three hour road
Speaker 1: trip to an amusement park silver Wood and Idaho for
Speaker 1: those that know the Pacific Northwest, and I opted to
Speaker 1: skip the trip so I could stay home and watch
Speaker 1: the Hall of Fame game. That's a sickness man now,
Speaker 1: fifteen fifteen years or so later. I enjoy the golf,
Speaker 1: I enjoy the beach, I enjoy the time with my
Speaker 1: family and revel in those times, I get the sense
Speaker 1: the audience of a certain age maybe feels the same way.
Speaker 1: But who the heck knows Do the young people still
Speaker 1: do that with their sports? I don't know, but I digress.
Speaker 1: All of this is a preamble into opining what's next
Speaker 1: here on the podcast. Well, luckily, I've been holstering a
Speaker 1: couple of things here that happened to coincide, at least
Speaker 1: two of them with the Odell Beckham signing and every
Speaker 1: day listeners, Hell you once a week listeners know how
Speaker 1: much I thought receiver or really just additional pass catchers
Speaker 1: was one way to get this offense to the next level,
Speaker 1: and quite frankly, it's something they desperately needed down here
Speaker 1: in Miami. And just a reminder, as I've been rewatching
Speaker 1: broadcast copy on my days off, I guess I'm still
Speaker 1: pretty sick with football. I feel like people forget how
Speaker 1: productive this offense was.
Speaker 2: Last year.
Speaker 1: Scoring twenty points was like a woefully bad day for
Speaker 1: the offense. I'm old enough to remember when twenty points
Speaker 1: for the Dolphins was probably going to be a victory
Speaker 1: that Week four game in Buffalo. It's like, what is
Speaker 1: run with the Dolphins offense? Meanwhile, seventy the week prior.
Speaker 1: In the next two games, just score thirty one and
Speaker 1: forty two, like even with the late season air quote struggles,
Speaker 1: four hundred and ninety six points, eight hundred and twenty
Speaker 1: two yards literally a drop or two or a third
Speaker 1: and short conversion or a field goal or two away
Speaker 1: from seven thousand yards and five hundred points. I mean,
Speaker 1: do we realize that twenty nine point two points per
Speaker 1: game is the sixty third best mark in NFL history?
Speaker 1: Did you guys know that thirty two teams play the
Speaker 1: whole year every year? Sixty third all time Dolphins offense
Speaker 1: last year in points per game, and that was with
Speaker 1: the following limitations. Tyreek Hill playing just sixty three percent
Speaker 1: of the offensive snaps, Jalen Waddle playing under fifty six
Speaker 1: percent of the offensive snaps. The snaps they were both
Speaker 1: on the field together for forty four percent of your
Speaker 1: offensive snaps last year. That's where the obvious addition of
Speaker 1: Beckham and how his signing should make us better. Right
Speaker 1: with them on the field together, Reek and Waddle we
Speaker 1: averaged six point seven yards per play without one of them.
Speaker 2: It was six yards per play. Pretty damn good.
Speaker 1: Still without both of them five point six yards play,
Speaker 1: actually six point six led the NFL. Only US and
Speaker 1: the Niners had over six yards per play last year,
Speaker 1: and averaging five point six yards per play would have
Speaker 1: had you tied for six in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: So like the whole Tyreek and Waddle are the only
Speaker 1: reason we are good idea, Well, it's pretty much nonsense,
Speaker 1: because for fifty six percent of your snaps you had
Speaker 1: other guys on the field and you still averaged five
Speaker 1: point six yards play, the seventh most of the National
Speaker 1: Football League. But if you want those early season gaudy numbers,
Speaker 1: pushing seven yards per play in an NFL record, you're
Speaker 1: gonna want those guys to get So the big takeaway
Speaker 1: is that, regardless, it's still pretty damn good. And that's
Speaker 1: where I get to this point. And look, I am
Speaker 1: completely innudated with this stuff. So perhaps you're listening during
Speaker 1: your set of curls at the gym, or while you
Speaker 1: crank out your mid quarter projections for Q two at
Speaker 1: your desk, and you're saying to yourself, Travis, I know
Speaker 1: they were good. You don't have to convince me of that, brother.
Speaker 1: And this isn't even another Twitter Dia Tribe. I listen
Speaker 1: to NFL podcasts all the time. I won't lift list
Speaker 1: the specific one I'm talking about here, but it's like,
Speaker 1: we don't trust this offense is the sentiment I've heard
Speaker 1: multiple times. How do we know they can keep it
Speaker 1: rolling as the year goes along. I mean, it's not cold.
Speaker 1: We didn't play well against the Titans, and that game
Speaker 1: was here.
Speaker 2: It wasn't just.
Speaker 1: Because of cold weather. It's because of availability. That was
Speaker 1: the night that Tyreek got hurt. He misses the next game.
Speaker 1: You still scored thirty points, but still probably working through
Speaker 1: a sore sprained angle when he does get back a
Speaker 1: couple of weeks later, and then Waddle goes down these
Speaker 1: in the game that Tyreek comes back for with an
Speaker 1: even more severe angle that gets him back in time
Speaker 1: to play on a tight ankle in negative thirty degree
Speaker 1: temperatures in Kansas City. And that's all without saying, oh,
Speaker 1: by the way, we had backups from the opening day
Speaker 1: offensive line on eighty percent of the offensive line.
Speaker 2: Like it's a.
Speaker 1: Freakin lot man so to bring this all back on
Speaker 1: track and maybe land the plane here a little bit.
Speaker 1: Injuries are the biggest to turrent this offense can face
Speaker 1: and it will stay that way, as it does for
Speaker 1: any team. But next, I would argue the best way
Speaker 1: to combat this offense slowing down late in the year again,
Speaker 1: aside from just staying healthy, is a consistent separator not
Speaker 1: named Waddle or Tyreek. That's that's my contention. So Odell
Speaker 1: on third down, pretty good, isn't he? Just last year
Speaker 1: on third down alone, ten catches for one hundred and
Speaker 1: eighty yards and two touchdowns on eighteen targets, and all
Speaker 1: those catches went for first downs with an average distance
Speaker 1: to gain of six point seven yards on those targets,
Speaker 1: so converting an average of third and long at a
Speaker 1: fifty six percent and oh, by the way, eighteen yards
Speaker 1: per reception more than his total on both first and
Speaker 1: second down, and a yards per target of ten point
Speaker 1: zero on top of that. I mean, that's converting and
Speaker 1: hitting explosive, and it's all over the tape. More on
Speaker 1: that in just a moment, but just to go deeper
Speaker 1: on third and six or I'd rather check that third
Speaker 1: to four and six, So third medium he caught nine
Speaker 1: of twelve targets for one hundred and seventy two yards.
Speaker 1: All of those were first downs seventy five percent of
Speaker 1: the time, converting on third medium, on third and long
Speaker 1: he caught two of four for a fifty percent conversion rate.
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm just saying that's a very very tangible
Speaker 1: aspect you didn't have last year. I'm going to approve
Speaker 1: that to you here in just a minute. But first
Speaker 1: career third down one hundred and nineteen conversions on two
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty nine targets a forty four percent conversion rate,
Speaker 1: and in an offense last year as more of a
Speaker 1: featured role opposed to being the guy right, he was
Speaker 1: Odell Beckham Junior there for a while for the Giants
Speaker 1: and the Browns alike.
Speaker 2: The numbers jump.
Speaker 1: It's funny how that works a little bit different of
Speaker 1: a role, less of the attention from the defense, and
Speaker 1: those numbers go up, just like he's gonna see here.
Speaker 1: It reminds me of when you get one of your
Speaker 1: sluggers who maybe maybe he's struggling, or maybe you just
Speaker 1: have some other guys you want to shake the order
Speaker 1: up with, and you put him in the sixth spot
Speaker 1: in the batting order, and you gets to said he'd
Speaker 1: had a fastballs and all of a sudden the ball's
Speaker 1: jumping off of his bat. Again, I wanted to take
Speaker 1: a look at last year's other options outside of reek
Speaker 1: and waddle and try to put this three to the test.
Speaker 1: So Brax and Barrios caught eleven, or rather had eleven
Speaker 1: conversions on seventeen targets, which is pretty good. But let's
Speaker 1: think about this. I mean, I watched the tape and
Speaker 1: those are pretty open instances for the most part, and
Speaker 1: we're talking about nine yards per catch. Odell converts at
Speaker 1: that same rate and doubles the yards you get as
Speaker 1: a result. Hey, sometimes your hypothesis doesn't always go the
Speaker 1: track you want to. But I think there is context
Speaker 1: here to prove this point. It's about situation, and I
Speaker 1: can tell you right now this does more to tell
Speaker 1: you about the opportunity Odell has here with the space
Speaker 1: he'll get to operate than it does to disparage a
Speaker 1: Bras and Barrios or somebody else on the team. Because
Speaker 1: before this year career, Barrios on third down had a
Speaker 1: forty four percent conversion rate too. But you see when
Speaker 1: Odell is the man and he's posting that and you're
Speaker 1: getting single coverage with a three way go and like
Speaker 1: thirty yards of space and you have the exact same production.
Speaker 1: Do you see what I'm getting out here? How there's
Speaker 1: an opportunity for way more? What do I always say,
Speaker 1: there's more meat on the bone? I know Seth Levet
Speaker 1: from the Fish Tank podcast appreciates that sentiment. Cedric Wilson
Speaker 1: had five conversions on eleven third down targets last year.
Speaker 2: Again, pretty good, but opportunity.
Speaker 1: Man. I'm telling you, we'll get the tape here in
Speaker 1: a moment. We'll get to the tape here in the moment.
Speaker 1: I should say twenty five career first downs on fifty
Speaker 1: five career targets on third down.
Speaker 2: Again, that's not bad forty five percent.
Speaker 1: But again, the tape, and most of that was in
Speaker 1: Dallas when he was behind Lamb and Gallop and all
Speaker 1: the boys. Was Brandon Cooks there, I can't remember, but
Speaker 1: he was pretty far down the list of options in
Speaker 1: Dallas like he was here in Miami. Let's keep going
Speaker 1: back to twenty twenty two with Trent Sherfield, because I
Speaker 1: love all these guys, by the way, some of my
Speaker 1: favorite players to be around. But you get what I'm
Speaker 1: doing here, right, I hope laying the content on this
Speaker 1: thickly helps you understand what this offense can be with
Speaker 1: this one addition, I mean, look at the Niners when
Speaker 1: Juwan Jennings began to figure it out. It's amazing what
Speaker 1: happens when you don't just have the two or three
Speaker 1: top guys, you have fourth and fifth options that can
Speaker 1: really make differences for you. I think it's a modern
Speaker 1: game today for these top offenses. And that's before we
Speaker 1: get to the value of depth in case of an
Speaker 1: injury Sherfield. In twenty twenty two third downs, he had
Speaker 1: seven first downs on nineteen targets and just five point
Speaker 1: six yards per target. So it did get a lot
Speaker 1: better in twenty twenty three. But twenty twenty four, that's next, right,
Speaker 1: what did you grow upon last year? You got better
Speaker 1: on these third down situations, But let's get it even
Speaker 1: better from where it was last year, because in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty two it was thirty six percent at five point
Speaker 1: six yards per target. That is not a good mark
Speaker 1: to hit. Also, Odell doesn't drop the football one drop
Speaker 1: last year on sixty three targets, and that, by the way,
Speaker 1: tracks with Malik Washington and Taj Washington. The draft picks
Speaker 1: and John Us Smith for that matter. All those guys
Speaker 1: had drop rates under two percent last year college or
Speaker 1: the pros, and look, Reak and Waddle are going to
Speaker 1: drop some footballs. Go look at the list of league
Speaker 1: leaders and drops. It's the guys who also lead the
Speaker 1: NFL in catches in yards every year. Aman Ross Saint
Speaker 1: Brown was number one and Tyreek's number two and drop
Speaker 1: passes last year, and you could argue they were the
Speaker 1: best receivers in the entire NFL last season. So you're
Speaker 1: willing to accept that when you're talking about literal all
Speaker 1: pros in some instances first ballot Hall of famers in
Speaker 1: the future, and maybe a little less so with players
Speaker 1: that are not as explosive as Tyreek and Waddle. That
Speaker 1: right there is all you need to know. But you
Speaker 1: know that's not how we do things on Drive Time.
Speaker 1: We're gonna make it a deep dive here, So let's
Speaker 1: go ahead and take a break right there, come back
Speaker 1: on the other side and get to the rest of
Speaker 1: this very exploratory podcast taking a look at how the
Speaker 1: Dolphins offense in twenty twenty three can break records. Maybe
Speaker 1: that's next Draft Time podcast. Your host Travis Winfield brought
Speaker 1: to you by Auto Nation queued you up there in
Speaker 1: the first segment. I want to go back now and
Speaker 1: get to some real in depth detail here, and this
Speaker 1: is the second segment of my Lockdown Dolphins podcast. Was
Speaker 1: always a like deep dive, and that's kind of what
Speaker 1: we're gonna do here. I would write an article for
Speaker 1: Lockdown Dolphins dot com and tell you the outcome of
Speaker 1: those search research projects.
Speaker 2: That's what we're gonna do right here.
Speaker 1: So just off of watching the tape when ten and
Speaker 1: seventeen were not on the field together or the defense
Speaker 1: whatever it was both or one on or one on,
Speaker 1: both off when they were taking them away, look elsewhere.
Speaker 1: The result was bodied, bodied, bodied hell. I saw a
Speaker 1: little rub route that freed up Cedric Wilson on a
Speaker 1: flat and it took it, and it took him across
Speaker 1: that man. I could have used a sun dial to
Speaker 1: measure how long it took him to get off that
Speaker 1: pick and turn the ball up field until run after
Speaker 1: the catch. Did you guys watch Odell last year? Limited opportunities?
Speaker 1: But I saw long touchdowns where he flat out runs
Speaker 1: past dude on a literal fifty yard bomb on a
Speaker 1: double move against the Rams, or a sixty five yard
Speaker 1: touchdown on a catch and run against the Bengals where
Speaker 1: he catches a little square in and takes off an
Speaker 1: outrun the entire defense. Do we have that last year
Speaker 1: in our number three? To quote Leonardo DiCaprio in Wolf
Speaker 1: of Wall Street, absolubsolutely not. And that's just talking about
Speaker 1: what you have when they're all on the field together.
Speaker 1: One of the biggest detriments the Dolphins had last year
Speaker 1: was when one of those guys was out with injuries
Speaker 1: down the stretch. Because we had the Jets game, no Tyreek,
Speaker 1: the Cowboys game, Waddle gets injured early, Wattle not there
Speaker 1: for the Buffalo or Baltimore games, like the biggest games
Speaker 1: of the year, you didn't have both these guys in
Speaker 1: the field, and that's when your offense creater the biggest
Speaker 1: against the best defenses go figure right. But with one
Speaker 1: of those guys out now, we don't have the same
Speaker 1: issues where you can squat on Tyreek and completely take
Speaker 1: him out of a route concept the way Buffalo did
Speaker 1: in that season finale, because Odell Beckham is not gonna
Speaker 1: get plastered in one on one coverage every single rep.
Speaker 2: You can win with that.
Speaker 1: It creates a much bigger bubble, a bigger ripple effect
Speaker 1: of we can withstand this injury, we can compete at
Speaker 1: a high level despite this injury. And yeah, when they're
Speaker 1: all together, that's the best of the entire world. If
Speaker 1: you could that for the whole year, we're gonna break
Speaker 1: records in my opinion. But you can at least sustain
Speaker 1: and with stan injuries because of this, and it helps
Speaker 1: you just you don't have to change the entire complexion
Speaker 1: of your game plan because Odell can get to place
Speaker 1: as fast and quick and not take all those throws
Speaker 1: off the menu that you have with Wreek and Waddle.
Speaker 1: I talked about the play against the Cowboys. There's a
Speaker 1: play the Wattle pick the two a pick throwing to
Speaker 1: Waddle in the first quarter of the KC game in
Speaker 1: the playoffs. This is going to be a theme on
Speaker 1: this next project I'm doing right here, where there is
Speaker 1: literally four acres of land in the middle of the
Speaker 1: football field and we have to win a one on
Speaker 1: one matchup against like cornerback four. We can't do it.
Speaker 1: We cannot do it. This is one of those examples
Speaker 1: where Cedric is just completely wiped out one on one
Speaker 1: coverage three way go cannot get off the line of
Speaker 1: scrimmage with the press and he's wiped all the way
Speaker 1: out of the play.
Speaker 2: You can't have that.
Speaker 1: You can't win with that when teams are going to
Speaker 1: play the way teams playoff last year, it just completely
Speaker 1: took away any cohesion the offense had. I don't think
Speaker 1: it's possible now with Odell Beckham, the fold over, with
Speaker 1: John Husmith in the field four for that matter, or
Speaker 1: if Devon a chance splits out and plays receiver, because
Speaker 1: he can do that. When you have Jalen Wright and
Speaker 1: Raheem Moster, you've got options. But this is more about
Speaker 1: Odell Beckham, So I digress. But here's what I want
Speaker 1: to do. I want to take a look at this
Speaker 1: is the project third down sacks and turnovers, or the
Speaker 1: failures in the two games that we were atrocious on
Speaker 1: third down and that ultimately, in my opinion, cost us
Speaker 1: the division, the Tennessee game and the Buffalo finale. So
Speaker 1: let's go ahead and start here with the sacks and
Speaker 1: break each of these plays down and try to figure
Speaker 1: out what went wrong and where it went wrong. The
Speaker 1: first one is the week two game at the Patriots.
Speaker 1: It's a third nine play where they bracket waddle from
Speaker 1: that three high safety look they ran the entire night
Speaker 1: against US, and Kyle Duggar runs down and just walls
Speaker 1: off Tyreek on a crosser and it puts Barrios, Smythe
Speaker 1: and Moster all in these one on one positions. They
Speaker 1: rolled the third safety entirely away from Bragxon Burris a
Speaker 1: side of the field, so he had nobody outside of him,
Speaker 1: and from from the numbers all the way out to
Speaker 1: the sideline, nobody over there. The whole top of the
Speaker 1: field vertically, which with Beckham that's open, with Barros that's
Speaker 1: not accessible, and then anything underneath that he wants, which
Speaker 1: you usually get by threatening deep with the speed, So
Speaker 1: it's like thirty yards of space and we are completely
Speaker 1: erased on the play.
Speaker 2: You can't have that.
Speaker 1: The next third down sack is a game in Kansas
Speaker 1: City or in Germany, i should say, And it's a
Speaker 1: third and ten after a Claypool false start. But this
Speaker 1: is just Spagged being Spags gets a free round with
Speaker 1: the cat blitz. Good Night at the Jets in the
Speaker 1: third quarter, third and four, Austin Jackson gets destroyed by
Speaker 1: Bryce Huff. That sometimes happens, right. That was Austin's worst
Speaker 1: game of the year in my opinion. So it's three
Speaker 1: plays in one because of the receiver separation. We're going
Speaker 1: to do this whole thing here. The next one is
Speaker 1: a game home versus the Jets. A third and three.
Speaker 1: We tried to stress a corner route against a cover
Speaker 1: two blitz with Braxton and he just cannot get there
Speaker 1: fast enough.
Speaker 2: It's open, but we're not there. This is what I'm
Speaker 2: talking about.
Speaker 1: There's parts of the field we couldn't stress because we
Speaker 1: couldn't have that third option get to this space quick enough.
Speaker 1: So two for four I'm chalking up to not having
Speaker 1: Odell Beckham on the roster and Dallas against Dallas in
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter again it's a third and eight play
Speaker 1: are hot, which is Barrios just takes way too long
Speaker 1: to get there. By the time two is the top
Speaker 1: of his drop, he's still trying to get off the reroute.
Speaker 1: At the top of the route, it's not accessible for
Speaker 1: your quarterback. And that's how you take these third down
Speaker 1: sacks because they double wattle, they double reek. They just
Speaker 1: run this one on one coverage in thirty yards of
Speaker 1: space and they win those plays. The third down I
Speaker 1: and T's against the Chargers, this is a third and
Speaker 1: twelve kind of hell Mary and they bracket Reek and
Speaker 1: Waddle and they try to throw the vertical to Braxon,
Speaker 1: which that's not his game. And to be fair with
Speaker 1: to be fair, he was interfered with. But I mean
Speaker 1: obj or that right right. Two more players here against
Speaker 1: the Giants are Iont's the pick six boneheaded throw by Tua.
Speaker 1: No need to go into that any further. Third quarter,
Speaker 1: it's a miscommunication between Tua and Wattle. Wattle stops Tua
Speaker 1: throws at the spot that he was running two And
Speaker 1: this happens a lot with Tua and Wattle. It happened
Speaker 1: against the Titans, it happened in twenty twenty one against
Speaker 1: the Falcons. Like, let's get that button, utboys. You guys
Speaker 1: have been together for four years now, going back in college,
Speaker 1: it's like six seven years at Philly. In the fourth quarter,
Speaker 1: throws a good ball. They don't call the DPI on
Speaker 1: Raheem Mostert, Like forget that game. By the way, Man
Speaker 1: total Bs also wattles in the exact same spot as
Speaker 1: his man, and he peels off, his man peels off
Speaker 1: for the pick, So no way the spacing was designed
Speaker 1: that way. That's your top line guy's waddle and just
Speaker 1: messing up the Patriots game here in hard rock. A
Speaker 1: third and fifteen and egregious throw by Tua right the
Speaker 1: right to the robber, so that one goes on Tua
Speaker 1: two is not you know, not to blame for some
Speaker 1: of these, Like I will acknowledge that there are some
Speaker 1: bad players, but a quarterback. I'm getting to a certain
Speaker 1: point though. The Jets game, the Black Friday pick before that,
Speaker 1: before the end of the half, third and one. This
Speaker 1: was made into a big deal, but it's basically, throw
Speaker 1: the ball to the sideline or the half is over.
Speaker 1: So a pick, an incompletion or even a completion inbounds
Speaker 1: all the same, not worth breaking down and over that.
Speaker 1: And then the two games that I think most people
Speaker 1: would say ruin the season, and I agree either or
Speaker 1: and the third down conversion rate was awful in both
Speaker 1: Buffalo and Tennessee. And we didn't have Reek for most
Speaker 1: of one against the Titans and didn't have Waddle at
Speaker 1: all or the other.
Speaker 2: So it fits the agenda.
Speaker 1: So the Titans we're five for thirteen, and what's funny
Speaker 1: is the first two third downs were conversions nineteen yards
Speaker 1: Tyreek one yard run to Moster with Tyreek on the field,
Speaker 1: and then Tyreek gets hurt and it goes the other way.
Speaker 1: In the second quarter, it's third and seven incomplete for
Speaker 1: Waddle bs route bs throw. Sometimes you have to take
Speaker 1: your medicine, and we sucked on that. One should have
Speaker 1: been a pick six. It's what I talked about earlier,
Speaker 1: where Waddle stops running to a throws where he thinks
Speaker 1: he's running and it should have been a pick six.
Speaker 1: The next is a third and fifteen draw play. I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna break that down. They did not convert that.
Speaker 1: The next is a third down play in the third quarter,
Speaker 1: third and two, and it's incomplete. To Cedric Wilson, it's
Speaker 1: a fade, And look, I get we all despise the fade,
Speaker 1: but sometimes it truly was the best option. You want
Speaker 1: to stop throwing fades a Tyreek or Cedric Wilson, go
Speaker 1: sign a separator like Odell Beckham. Sound good enough to me,
Speaker 1: sound good enough to you, Just to me. Third quarter
Speaker 1: of that game, just a couple I think the very
Speaker 1: next drive, third and four incomplete to h HN. Tua
Speaker 1: actually has Reek and Bury us underneath here, and I
Speaker 1: like that he big play hunts because I like him
Speaker 1: to stay aggressive. But he took a shot eight who
Speaker 1: ran a vertical and just cook the slower cornerback. I
Speaker 1: think it was Roger McCreery, who runs like a four
Speaker 1: to five, and it cost him an eighty six yard
Speaker 1: touchdown because he slows up for a beat and if
Speaker 1: he keeps running, I still think he runs under that
Speaker 1: ball and has a game changing touchdown. Don't change that style,
Speaker 1: by the way, keep going vertical when you have those
Speaker 1: opportunities in the NFL. Later on the game, a fourth
Speaker 1: quarter third and three sack, Tua just slips trying to
Speaker 1: change directions. Bad quarterback play there a couple of drives later,
Speaker 1: third and six sack. He doesn't pull the trigger here
Speaker 1: with Citri Wilson open. This was to his worst game
Speaker 1: of the year by far, in my opinion, just was
Speaker 1: not good at all. In the fourth quarter of that game.
Speaker 1: It's a third and six sack and there's a hold
Speaker 1: right here. But it's a perfect example because both Reek
Speaker 1: and Waddle are bracketed and Barrios gets open. But I
Speaker 1: put it on the clock, and it took him two
Speaker 1: point six to eight seconds to get to the top
Speaker 1: of the route.
Speaker 2: That's painfully long.
Speaker 1: It's an eight yard route to a climbs and resets,
Speaker 1: but the play is broken down by then and it
Speaker 1: goes as a sack. Like it's widespread across the offense.
Speaker 1: Here why these things didn't work out? And I'm gonna
Speaker 1: get to my point here. In just a second fourth
Speaker 1: quarter of that game, it's third and three eight, Chan
Speaker 1: goes for two. I forgot about this, but he had
Speaker 1: the inside track for the first down and tries to
Speaker 1: cut it outside to get out of bounds and doesn't
Speaker 1: make it out of bounds and doesn't make the mark,
Speaker 1: and we wind up turning it over on the next
Speaker 1: play because we have a total meltdown with immediate pressure,
Speaker 1: totally discombobulated, rookie mistake that I think eventually didn't give
Speaker 1: you a chance to a couple more throws to get
Speaker 1: back into field goal range to win that game. So
Speaker 1: it was a big issue in that big, critical game.
Speaker 1: How about the finale against the Bills four for ten
Speaker 1: on third down, the first one in the first quarter,
Speaker 1: a third and seven play on your opening drive. It's
Speaker 1: a pick. It's a BS throw. They bracketed Barrios outside
Speaker 1: and gave deep access, and Tua is a beat late
Speaker 1: and underthrows it to Tyreek Hill. That could have been
Speaker 1: a touchdown, but he missed on that throw. Later in
Speaker 1: the first quarter, a third and eight goes incomplete to Tyreek.
Speaker 1: They have safety help on Tyreek to the boundary the
Speaker 1: short side of the field and inside leverage funneling deep
Speaker 1: and outside. So you force a throw against that on
Speaker 1: an out and you miss. It's the one spot they're
Speaker 1: taking away, or the one I guess, the one area
Speaker 1: he can try to get to. But they're so well
Speaker 1: defended against that throw, and Tua never came off of that.
Speaker 1: And I'm watching inside where Barrios has this one on one,
Speaker 1: a three way go versus Taron Johnson, who is their
Speaker 1: best corner. I will give him that with literally though
Speaker 1: not another defender between the numbers or twenty yards in
Speaker 1: front of him. This is what I'm talking about. It's
Speaker 1: four acres of land. I keep making that number up.
Speaker 1: But the Bills did this because they knew if we
Speaker 1: put our best guy in that position, he can cover
Speaker 1: that much space. If it's Odell Beckham. I don't think
Speaker 1: he can. I really don't think he can. Later in
Speaker 1: the game, third quarter, a third and three complete to
Speaker 1: Barrios for two. We catch the ball six inches short
Speaker 1: of the sticks and can't make a move on an
Speaker 1: open field tackle to get those extra few inches, you
Speaker 1: gotta have those. A third and twenty four for ten
Speaker 1: yards to Durham, not breaking that down. In the fourth
Speaker 1: quarter twelve twenty six to play a third nine play,
Speaker 1: it's an incomplete pass to Cedric Wilson. Another cover two
Speaker 1: trail inside leverage. This is designed to force the ball
Speaker 1: to the perimeter. But if you can win a one
Speaker 1: on one inside, you don't have to do that at all.
Speaker 1: You can just take the inside cheese. We could not
Speaker 1: get open this time. Cedric gets the fourteen acres worth
Speaker 1: of space to work with inside and he's literally washed
Speaker 1: out of the all twenty two by a blue jersey.
Speaker 1: He has gone off the tape and it's number thirty.
Speaker 1: That's Dan Jackson. That was Buffalo's like cornerback four coming
Speaker 1: into the year, and the ball was money, but he
Speaker 1: broke it up because he was right there. But if
Speaker 1: you win that route, you extend that drive, you don't
Speaker 1: punt it back to Deontay Hardy, maybe that game goes different,
Speaker 1: And I think Odell Beckham is a better option in
Speaker 1: that spot. In the fourth quarter later on third and
Speaker 1: seven incomplete to Tyreek Hill, just dropped it, good throw,
Speaker 1: got a good look, just dropped the ball. So it's
Speaker 1: not just one thing like the quarterback can do better.
Speaker 1: Your best players can do better. But I'm telling you why.
Speaker 1: The best option is the route. The Dolphins took more
Speaker 1: on that second than the I int it wasn't a
Speaker 1: third down, but Claypool, like gosh, don't want to see
Speaker 1: that ever again. So that's nine plays in the plays
Speaker 1: we just evaluated where we had time, space and options
Speaker 1: to get open and just flat out couldn't do it.
Speaker 1: Just got bullied by one person on the opposite team.
Speaker 1: You have to find a way to beat those. If
Speaker 1: you convert even half of those four of them, less
Speaker 1: than half, that's honestly probably good enough to swing one
Speaker 1: of those games. And you're twelve and five and your
Speaker 1: division champions. Nine plays chalked up to the lack of
Speaker 1: separation outside of ten and seventeen, So you can here's
Speaker 1: the ultimate point. You can spend three million dollars on that.
Speaker 1: Or you can strip down your entire operation, rebuild the
Speaker 1: whole thing, the whole thing you've been building for three years,
Speaker 1: take a gamble on a Rickie quarterback who has less
Speaker 1: than a fifty percent chance to be as good as Tua,
Speaker 1: and start over and hope you get the same five
Speaker 1: hundred points and seven thousand yards on top of the
Speaker 1: stuff you just missed with Tua. Or you can sign
Speaker 1: Beckham for three million. I mean, the reason I write
Speaker 1: all of this out it's simple. If Odell can change
Speaker 1: the outcome of three of those plays, it's a home
Speaker 1: playoff game against Pittsburgh and a blowout win that erases
Speaker 1: so many of the takes you've seen out there, right,
Speaker 1: That's what I'm driving at here. So when you say
Speaker 1: you can't win with a certain guy, or the rebuild failed,
Speaker 1: or whatever you want to say, that, there isn't an
Speaker 1: industry in the world where that approach, where you would
Speaker 1: approach something so delicate and so important, with the lack
Speaker 1: of pouring over the why of something failed. I hope
Speaker 1: I provide you guys with the why here of why
Speaker 1: this thing failed the way it did and how this
Speaker 1: fix could be the ultimate solution for it. Speaking of that,
Speaker 1: to go ahead and take our last break right there,
Speaker 1: come back on the other side and talk about a
Speaker 1: little bit more of this, how the Dolphins can be
Speaker 1: flexible about a potential swap in personnel, A whole bunch
Speaker 1: of stuff here. That's next Draft Time podcast, your host
Speaker 1: Travis Wingfield, brought to you by AutoNation. One thing I
Speaker 1: wanted to look at for this project or for this
Speaker 1: podcast was what the Rams did over the last couple
Speaker 1: of years. And they were originally like a ninety percent
Speaker 1: eleven personnel team when Sean mcvagh first came in. Then
Speaker 1: they changed and they have since gone back to that
Speaker 1: and found ways to get more guys on the field
Speaker 1: and effect. Jordan reg Jordan Rod Reig wrote a great
Speaker 1: story or maybe you should detail this in a podcast.
Speaker 1: I forget about how when the Rams drafted Cooper Cup,
Speaker 1: they originally signed two tight ends Tyler Higbe and Gerald
Speaker 1: Everett that year. I think it was to run a
Speaker 1: twelve personnel operation, kind of like the Dolphins run their
Speaker 1: twenty one personnel and all the two receiver sets they
Speaker 1: run down here, and then they drafted Cooper Cup and
Speaker 1: We're like, he's so good. If we don't run eleven personnel,
Speaker 1: we're going to take him off the field. We don't
Speaker 1: want to do that. Let's go ahead and adapt to that.
Speaker 1: And I look at Miami, a team that I start
Speaker 1: the podcast off with the idea that Odell gives us
Speaker 1: so many more options in the passing game, helps protect
Speaker 1: you against injury and provides more flexibility with what you
Speaker 1: can do when you do go eleven personnel with Reek,
Speaker 1: Waddle and Beckham. But that got me thinking about something else,
Speaker 1: and I tweeted this, so apologies for the redundancy. Here
Speaker 1: I discussed fast twenty one personnel. It's two running backs
Speaker 1: in the field and they're both running backs, not fullbacks.
Speaker 1: And how we don't just lose that package because of
Speaker 1: one injury now because you have Jalen Wright who can
Speaker 1: make up for Devon hen or Raheem Moster with his
Speaker 1: speed and explosiveness. That doesn't even include the options of
Speaker 1: a two back personnel that features, for my money, the
Speaker 1: game's best fullback and alec Ingold. We did that whole
Speaker 1: thing on Odell's third down conversion rate. How about John
Speaker 1: Huis Smith and think about the diversity you have between
Speaker 1: him smythe Julian Hill and Jody forts and Jody Fortson
Speaker 1: can play. I don't mean he can't stay healthy, but
Speaker 1: his tape is awesome. And then we talked about this
Speaker 1: with the Rams last year, a team that was the
Speaker 1: eleven the lowest eleven personnel offense in the league last year. Well,
Speaker 1: now you have Beckham, you can get the sense that
Speaker 1: number has to increase. I just see an offense that
Speaker 1: can get in and out of different groupings, has backups
Speaker 1: to the top options, and can essentially adapt for the
Speaker 1: type of opponent you're going to see every single week.
Speaker 1: And best of all, I think the Beckham signing indicates
Speaker 1: in my assumption that will get more three receiver sets.
Speaker 1: It shows to me a willingness to adapt and change,
Speaker 1: to see what the market offers, to get the best roster,
Speaker 1: and then formulate how you want to attack. Don't say,
Speaker 1: well he doesn't fit what I want to do. If
Speaker 1: you get a good player, change the way you do things, right.
Speaker 1: I just keep thinking about this. Two things. A we're
Speaker 1: more equipped with a depth we have this year to
Speaker 1: withstand the attrition than the previous two years. And be
Speaker 1: the law of averages it has to be better.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 1: It's not guaranteed, obviously, but at some point we have
Speaker 1: to make it to the playoffs without multiple entire position
Speaker 1: groups being wiped out or our top two quarterbacks being
Speaker 1: down for the game. Right, I just feel like that
Speaker 1: has to happen to some point. And I will say this,
Speaker 1: I'm seeing all these notes, and you know, I saw
Speaker 1: Adam Beasley tweet about how the Dolphins are a guard
Speaker 1: and a safety away from being better than they were
Speaker 1: last year. Like, it's good to see the beat coming around.
Speaker 1: It's amazing how we can go from the blackest Monday
Speaker 1: to they're actually probably better this year. And a couple
Speaker 1: of last points I want to make here, You're gonna
Speaker 1: look at the offensive line as the issue for the offense, right,
Speaker 1: I got that comment when I talked about us on Twitter.
Speaker 1: No one wants to talk about the offensive line. It
Speaker 1: was bad in December, Yeah it was, and they were
Speaker 1: banged up as hell. But even with that, what they did,
Speaker 1: and that was without the number three receiver for most
Speaker 1: you know, well, they didn't have a number two for
Speaker 1: most time. It definitelydn have number three year, but they
Speaker 1: didn't have number two for most of those games. They
Speaker 1: clearly think that was the biggest issue. How can you
Speaker 1: doubt these guys? Right, Like, that's the thing. I don't
Speaker 1: get number one offense five hundred point seven thousand yards
Speaker 1: and we don't trust those guys. And maybe this is
Speaker 1: just me reading too much Twitter. The guy who had
Speaker 1: a full blown melt down last year when toront Arms
Speaker 1: had got hurt in training camp and he said the
Speaker 1: whole year was over. Like, you were wrong, dude, and
Speaker 1: they were right. Surprise, Well, they're telling you again how
Speaker 1: they feel about it. And I look at how this
Speaker 1: offensive line was put together and it kind of reminds
Speaker 1: me of the depth. They've created a different positions across
Speaker 1: the roster. I think the most important thing, or maybe
Speaker 1: the mission for the offensive line this year was to
Speaker 1: have the entire roster and even some guys who will
Speaker 1: probably be cut, be a guy that you can slot
Speaker 1: in and say, Okay, we're gonna be good there. Like
Speaker 1: I look at our top ten guys just in terms
Speaker 1: of you know, who I think are the best players
Speaker 1: on the on the offensive line room, and there's ten
Speaker 1: guys I feel like can slot in and be like, Okay,
Speaker 1: we can live with that. We can we can have
Speaker 1: that guy play there and be okay. I thought Lester
Speaker 1: Cotton was responsible for so many miss yards last year,
Speaker 1: but I digress. We'll be fine, I think there. And
Speaker 1: maybe there's even more that's just based on past evidence,
Speaker 1: like clean late each year, and maybe maybe Leam Miikenberg
Speaker 1: gets the Austin Jackson jump this year. And I know
Speaker 1: the pushback here is going to be they need more.
Speaker 1: I agree they do. We need one more interior guy,
Speaker 1: in my opinion, and just be patient, like it's may
Speaker 1: I promise you there's gonna be players that contribute to
Speaker 1: this team in September or October whatever. They're not on
Speaker 1: the team yet, Capete, we be good with that. To
Speaker 1: bring it home. Five hundred points is the minimum. Six
Speaker 1: hundred is my goal. That's thirty five point three per game.
Speaker 1: I don't just think it's doable. I think that's the target.
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna happen. Sound good, All right, let's
Speaker 1: go ahead and get out of here. I have some
Speaker 1: other stuff I wanted to talk about in this podcast.
Speaker 1: We'll go ahead and bump that because we got long
Speaker 1: here towards the end. But you guys know what my
Speaker 1: favorite part of this job is, it's being around the guys,
Speaker 1: and you can too. Finn's Weekend returns May thirty first
Speaker 1: through June first, and Coconut Grove joined Dolphins players, coaches,
Speaker 1: alumni and more for a one of a kind offshore
Speaker 1: fishing competition and an evening celebrating with foods, drinks, and
Speaker 1: great music. Register your boat or purchase party tickets on
Speaker 1: Finnswekend dot com. All proceed from fins Weekend will benefit
Speaker 1: the Baptist Health Foundation. Also, please be sure to subscribe
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Speaker 1: us a review. If that helps me get to more
Speaker 1: Dolphins fans helps the show grow, we appreciate that. Follow
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Speaker 1: really good one. Don't want to miss that one with
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