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We 39 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 1: are finally turning our attention forward to the twenty twenty 40 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: four twenty twenty five NBA season, We're gonna do a 41 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: bunch of season previews on twenty different NBA teams. As 42 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: part of this series, we're gonna do a power ranking 43 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:20,520 Speaker 1: style and here at the start. In the beginning, we're 44 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: gonna go three teams per day, and then starting next 45 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: week we're gonna slow way down do one team per 46 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,799 Speaker 1: day as we get to our contender list. Today, we're 47 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 1: gonna be starting with the San Antonio Spurs, the Los 48 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 1: Angeles Clippers, and the Miami Heat. You guys know the drip. 49 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 1: Before we get started, subscribe to the Hoops Tonight YouTube 50 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: channel so you don't miss any more of our videos. 51 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at underscore JSNLTS. You guys don't 52 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 1: miss you announcement, So forget about a podcast feed wherever 53 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 1: you get your podcast under Hoops Tonight. And then keep 54 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: dropping mailbag questions in those YouTube comments so we can 55 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 1: keep hitting them throughout the rest of the year. And 56 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 1: then one last note before we get started, I'm currently 57 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 1: in the process of moving my studio to a different 58 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,119 Speaker 1: room in the house. So and we're also going to 59 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: do some updates, especially to the Two Suns podcast studio 60 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: that I do with with my buddy Luke. That's going 61 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: to be behind this. But we're doing a bunch of 62 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 1: new furniture and a bunch of new stuff. So it's 63 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 1: just gonna be a little bit construction zone over the 64 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 1: course of the next couple of weeks, so bear with me. 65 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 1: But it'll be nice to have some new digs for 66 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:20,360 Speaker 1: this season. It's also a little echoing in here, so 67 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: I'm sorry about that, but we're gonna get some acoustic 68 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: foam and stuff in here that should make that better 69 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 1: in the long run. So as we turn our attention 70 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 1: towards next season, I want to talk about a couple 71 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 1: of different things. We're gonna cover twenty teams in this 72 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: series in three different tiers, and the way I have 73 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 1: these tiers listed out are the first tier that we're 74 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 1: going to go through. Those are the nine teams that 75 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: we're gonna hit this week. Those are good teams that 76 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 1: need more firepower to truly contend for a title. So 77 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 1: these are teams that have solid foundations, they have good players, 78 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:56,560 Speaker 1: but they just don't quite have enough juice to really 79 00:03:56,640 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: realistically feel like they can win for playoffs series. These 80 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: are trade candidates. These are teams where we can see 81 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: if something might change over the course of the season, 82 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: but at this point I view them as long shots 83 00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 1: to win the titles we're going to start in that tier. 84 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: Our next tier, which we're going to start next week, 85 00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 1: is going to be that if things go right contenders. 86 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:19,279 Speaker 1: These are teams that have enough talent to compete for 87 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: a title, but they have significant holes or significant question 88 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:26,919 Speaker 1: marks that make it almost as likely that they would 89 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: lose in the first round as they would make a 90 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 1: deep playoff runt. So these are teams that certainly have 91 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 1: that upside, but the question marks are pretty substantial. I 92 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: have seven of these teams. We're going to hit them 93 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 1: one at a time starting next week, and then after 94 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: we get through those seven teams, we're going to get 95 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: to our bona fide top tier championship contenders. These are 96 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 1: teams with a ton of talent, very little in the 97 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: way of holes and weaknesses. Anything less than a conference 98 00:04:56,000 --> 00:05:00,919 Speaker 1: finals appearances and a conference finals appearance for these teams 99 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 1: would be deemed a massive failure. And I have four 100 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,279 Speaker 1: teams in that tier to start this year. You guys know, 101 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: the drill during this season, like these, all these teams 102 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 1: can jockey up and down based on how they're playing. 103 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: I will add teams or remove teams from the top 104 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: tier championship contenders or from the if things go right tier, 105 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:21,160 Speaker 1: based on how things go. We're gonna do power rankings, 106 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: probably on Fridays, similar to what we did last year. 107 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:26,720 Speaker 1: But this is just kind of an initial baseline before 108 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 1: we see any of these teams. These teams play, and 109 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 1: there's likely to be lots of movement because, as you 110 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 1: guys know, once the teams actually start playing, we tend 111 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,000 Speaker 1: to learn a lot more than we can just from 112 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: simple roster roster changes as far as the tiers go. 113 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:44,159 Speaker 1: This first group, so this uh these first nine teams 114 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: that I'm hitting this week on Monday, Wednesday, Friday. We're 115 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 1: gonna be hitting them three teams at a time, So 116 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 1: we won't go as far into depth with them as 117 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: we do with the top eleven, but we still will 118 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:58,480 Speaker 1: talk about their seasons, there are changes that they made 119 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 1: to the roster, and just expectations for them this year. 120 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 1: And then, as I mentioned, we're these next two weeks, 121 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: we're going to stay on our summer schedule. Of going 122 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 1: three times a week, so we'll go Monday, Wednesday, Friday. 123 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 1: We'll run breakout clips on the other days. But as 124 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 1: soon as we start getting real basketball, which is October fourth, 125 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 1: that following Monday, we're going to shift back to going 126 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 1: five times a week, and you guys can count on 127 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 1: getting a good mix of these kind of season previews 128 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: as well as preseason game reactions before we head into 129 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,480 Speaker 1: the actual season. So one last thing before we get 130 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: into the teams what are we looking for in a 131 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: basketball team's ability to contend? I want to talk a 132 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 1: little bit from the outside looking in at the entire 133 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 1: league on just certain things that we talk about. These 134 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 1: are going to be a lot of different concepts that 135 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: I've talked extensively on the show before. We talked about 136 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 1: it in our like what did we learn after the 137 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: NBA Finals, We talked about it through the year. These 138 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:56,719 Speaker 1: are pretty consistent basketball ideologies that I have that I 139 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 1: believe matter at the NBA level, And so I have 140 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,919 Speaker 1: five that I'm looking at with these teams as I 141 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:05,920 Speaker 1: start to evaluate them heading into the season. Number One, 142 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 1: what's your overall depth of talent? It's an eighty two 143 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:13,119 Speaker 1: game regular season. You might have a key starter miss 144 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: a month or two months. You might have two starters 145 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: miss time. You could have a star miss a substantial 146 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 1: amount of time. The overall amount of talent you have 147 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: on your roster is what matters within the eighty two 148 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: game season in terms of your ability to weather guys 149 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: being in and out of the lineup. If you've got 150 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: a core seven, that's awesome and you feel really good 151 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: about your playoff chances. If you can get their healthy, 152 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 1: but your back end of your roster isn't very good, 153 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:41,679 Speaker 1: then you could run into issues where you're going into 154 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks of hoops where you got four 155 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: good players on your team and a bunch of guys 156 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 1: that are kind of playing outside of what their pay 157 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: grade is, right, and you could have issues. So depth 158 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: of talent is something that we're going to be factoring 159 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 1: in too. Advantage creation. Do you have high level offensive 160 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:04,080 Speaker 1: players that can create advantages? The simple kind of you 161 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: know metaphor I used it to break this down is 162 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 1: if we were playing King of the Court and I 163 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: had let's just say, five average high school players playing 164 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: King of the Court, and I had you standing as 165 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,239 Speaker 1: the defender locked in right on the guy to start 166 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:22,640 Speaker 1: the possession, they're going to score at a certain rate. 167 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 1: But if I move that defender to the midline and 168 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: I make him close out before that offensive player goes 169 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 1: to try to do something, the score rate is going 170 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:36,319 Speaker 1: to skyrocket. At the high school level, but even at 171 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: the pro level, it's gonna go up substantially. Guys are 172 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 1: converting spot up possessions that's substantially higher rates against a closeout. 173 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 1: Then guys are converting in ISO situations or even lesser 174 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: quality spot up possessions where the defender doesn't get sucked 175 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:57,679 Speaker 1: as far into help. Right. So, having high level offensive players, 176 00:08:57,720 --> 00:09:01,320 Speaker 1: your star power on offense, and they're ability to consistently 177 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:06,439 Speaker 1: generate advantages makes for easier basketball for your role players. 178 00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:09,319 Speaker 1: There are a lot of NBA players that can play 179 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 1: well with an advantage, but that can struggle when that 180 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 1: advantage isn't there, and so that's a very important piece. Thirdly, 181 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:20,839 Speaker 1: aggregate offensive skill. When you have that advantage, and now 182 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:24,240 Speaker 1: we're playing driving kick basketball, do you have a group 183 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: that can consistently pay it off? The two kind of 184 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:30,760 Speaker 1: like bookends of this example that I would give you guys, 185 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:34,439 Speaker 1: or take a look at like Boston and how anytime 186 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 1: Jason Tatum would run a ghost screen with Derek White 187 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: and get a little bit of an advantage for him, 188 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 1: or beat Luka Dancic off the dribble and make that 189 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 1: first kickout pass, it's just beautiful driving kick basketball because 190 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: they have so much ball handling, shooting, and passing ability 191 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:52,359 Speaker 1: on the floor. Right. Juxtapose that with the Minnesota Timberwolves, 192 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 1: who are consistently playing a lot of guys that struggle 193 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 1: to dribble shooting, pass guys like Rudy Gobert, Jam McDaniels, Nikhil, 194 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: Alexander Walker, Kyle Anderson. All of a sudden, it doesn't 195 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 1: matter that Anthony Edwards is getting double teamed almost every 196 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 1: time he touches the ball because they can't capitalize on 197 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: it on the weak side. And that was a Minnesota 198 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 1: Timberwolves offense that struggled all year long and then struggled 199 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 1: mightily when they ran into a tough matchup in the 200 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: Western Conference finals. Right. So that aggregate offensive skill, the 201 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 1: totality of your team's ability to capitalize on advantages is 202 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 1: something that I'm going to be looking very closely at 203 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 1: for what's your strong base defensive scheme, Like, what is 204 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 1: the thing that you count on over the course of 205 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:38,959 Speaker 1: eighty two games to run defensively and that's gonna work 206 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: against the majority of the opponents that you run, Like, 207 00:10:41,520 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 1: do you have a good base drop coverage scheme? Do 208 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 1: you have a good base high drop scheme? Do you 209 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:49,800 Speaker 1: have a good base you know, switching scheme that you 210 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 1: use defensively? What's your like base defensive scheme. Is it 211 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 1: something that's gonna work reasonably well enough over the eighty 212 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 1: two games? And then lastly, defensive versatility. How vulnerable are 213 00:10:59,880 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 1: you to certain types of offensive players? Can you defend 214 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:06,079 Speaker 1: certain ways? There are different ways, Like if you run 215 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 1: into a specific matchup where it's really quick guards that 216 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 1: space you out, but you don't have athletic guards and 217 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:15,440 Speaker 1: so you can't contain the basketball and so you're dead 218 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 1: to rights in rotation all day. That was an issue 219 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: that the Lakers had with the Sacramento Kings last year, right, 220 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 1: the Oklahoma City Thunder and how they struggled against physical frontlines, right, Like, 221 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:29,040 Speaker 1: there are matchup things, matchup weaknesses that certain defenses can have, 222 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 1: and if you don't have another look that you can 223 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 1: go to to just make it so that there are 224 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: less of those holes that could potentially get you beat. 225 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:39,920 Speaker 1: That's something that can make you a stronger team. So again, 226 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:42,880 Speaker 1: overall depth of talent in order to weather the eighty 227 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 1: two advantage creation, to give your lesser players easier opportunities 228 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 1: aggregate offensive skill. How good are you at capitalizing on 229 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: those opportunities. What's your base defensive scheme? And do you 230 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:57,559 Speaker 1: have the ability to tweak things defensively as you run 231 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,559 Speaker 1: into tougher matchups down the line in THEL So, those 232 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:02,199 Speaker 1: are the main kind of concepts that I'm gonna be 233 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:04,600 Speaker 1: looking at again. We're gonna be hitting three teams today, 234 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 1: three on Wednesday, three on Friday, and then we'll hit 235 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 1: into our top eleven contenders one at a time starting 236 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 1: next Monday. So first and foremost number twenty, the San 237 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 1: Antonio Spurs. Let's take a quick look at their off season. 238 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 1: They lost Dominique Barlow, DeVante Graham, and Chatti Osman. They 239 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: added Harrison Barnes BJ Boston from the Clippers, Malachi Flynn 240 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 1: Chris Paul from the Golden State Warriors, and then in 241 00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 1: the draft Stefan Castle, a really interesting big guard out 242 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:35,680 Speaker 1: of Yukon. We covered him a lot during the draft, 243 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:37,559 Speaker 1: so you guys can go further back on our video 244 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:41,040 Speaker 1: feed to find some some more content surrounding Stefan Castle. 245 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:44,320 Speaker 1: Their depth chart going into the season. At guard, Chris Paul, 246 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 1: Devin Vessel, Stefan Castle, Trey Jones, Malachi Branham, forward's Keldon Johnson, 247 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:54,880 Speaker 1: Harrison Barnes, Jeremy Sohan, Julian Champaigne and Sandro I'm not 248 00:12:54,960 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: gonna butcher this, so please bear with me, Mamukelashvili, okay, 249 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:04,199 Speaker 1: and then at center, Victor Wembin Yama, Zach Collins, and 250 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:06,840 Speaker 1: Charles Bassi. As far as they're starters, my guess is 251 00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: they'll start Chris Paul and Devin Vassel together in the 252 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 1: back court, and then I think you'll see Harrison Barnes 253 00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 1: and Jeremy Sohan at the three and four, with Victor 254 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:15,720 Speaker 1: Webman Yama at the five. I think that's a pretty 255 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 1: straightforward starting group with the guys that they have. I 256 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,960 Speaker 1: think they've u Keldon Johnson Moore as a bench weapon. 257 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:23,320 Speaker 1: At this point. Let's talk a little bit about what 258 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 1: they do on the defensive end and then we'll talk 259 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 1: about the offense. So on the defensive end, they were 260 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:30,319 Speaker 1: pretty standard drop coverage team. At the tail end of 261 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 1: the year when mamo Keloshphili was playing more, they were 262 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:35,959 Speaker 1: running some drop with him as well. They were actually 263 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,840 Speaker 1: dropping with both him and Wemby, but with Harrison Barnes 264 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 1: and Jeremy Sohan. My guess is what they'll do is 265 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:44,680 Speaker 1: they'll switch two through four any actions that involve those 266 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 1: three players, but then they'll hedge with CP three and 267 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: any sort of guard screens where the guard is setting 268 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 1: the screen, and then they'll drop with Victor Wembanyama And 269 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 1: like even with CP three and Wemby in actions like 270 00:13:57,240 --> 00:13:59,720 Speaker 1: that's as good at drop coverage big, you can partner 271 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 1: with three to make it easier on him. He doesn't 272 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: need to be completely attached all the time. Wimby's so 273 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:08,559 Speaker 1: good at bothering ball handlers in ball screens. I think 274 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,079 Speaker 1: that's kind of like a nice partnership there to make 275 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:14,079 Speaker 1: an achievable defensive role for Chris Paul. They ran a 276 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: little bit of zone last year. They were twelve in 277 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:18,560 Speaker 1: zone frequency. They ran two hundred and twenty nine possessions. 278 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 1: I was middle of the pack. The numbers are interesting 279 00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 1: because they finished twenty first in defense with a one 280 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 1: fifteen point six defensive rating, but they were one eleven 281 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 1: point two and Wemby was on the floor, which is 282 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 1: really good. So like for perspective, the Miami Heat, who 283 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 1: were also going to talk about today, they were fifth 284 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 1: in defense last year at a one to eleven point 285 00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 1: five defensive rating, So Wemby at won eleven point two 286 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:42,840 Speaker 1: when he was on the floor basically was an elite defense. 287 00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:44,640 Speaker 1: He just only played twenty nine minutes and they just 288 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 1: got absolutely thrashed every time he was off the floor, 289 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,760 Speaker 1: So that's why their defensive rating wasn't very good. My 290 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 1: guess is Victor's minutes will go up this year. He 291 00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:56,040 Speaker 1: played what twenty nine something last year. My guess is 292 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:58,680 Speaker 1: he's up around thirty three minutes per game this year. 293 00:14:59,160 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: With Chris Paul and here and Barnes just two savvy 294 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: veterans who've been in the league for a long time, 295 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: I think that'll help with consistency of effort and communication 296 00:15:06,680 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 1: on the defensive end. So I think it's reasonable to 297 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:11,880 Speaker 1: think that the Spurs could move into that like fifteen 298 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 1: range defensively, maybe as high as ten, but in that 299 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 1: ten to fifteen range I think is an achievable goal 300 00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: for them defensively this year. Now the offensive side of 301 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 1: the floor is where things I think are going to 302 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: shift in a big way for the Spurs, Like adding 303 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 1: CP three just fundamentally alters their style. Right, because last 304 00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 1: year this was a heavy ball in player movement team. 305 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 1: They were seventh and passes made per game, they were 306 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: second in assists per game, a lot of like standard 307 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: five out stuff, a lot of Victor Weman Yama kind 308 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 1: of operating is at the elbow, running dribble handoffs, looking 309 00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: to turn and score. It was much more equal opportunity 310 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 1: on offense. And they also ran in transition a ton 311 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:55,160 Speaker 1: ran in transition a ton A lot of ball and 312 00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:58,240 Speaker 1: player movement, not as much pick and roll. Right, They 313 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 1: were sixteenth pick and roll frequency, second in transition frequency. 314 00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 1: I expect those numbers to change with Chris Paul. I 315 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 1: expect the pace of play to drop in them to 316 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:11,800 Speaker 1: be a little bit more methodical, and I expect them 317 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: to be a higher frequency pick and roll team. And 318 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: one of the main things that I'm looking for, I 319 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 1: want to see Victor Webbin Yama give more opportunities to 320 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:24,200 Speaker 1: score on the role rather than constantly having to operate 321 00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: with the ball in his hands. And the guy that 322 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 1: I look at here, Guys that I look at here 323 00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 1: as examples are guys like Anthony Davis and NICOLEA. Jokic. 324 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,920 Speaker 1: So like, as we know, NICOLEA. Jokic is this devastating 325 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 1: post up weapon, this devastating five out folkrum on offense. Right. 326 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 1: Anthony Davis less so in those regards, but similar in 327 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 1: the sense that he's a screening fom for the Lakers 328 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 1: and their guards. But he's also a guy that you 329 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 1: can run through the post. He had his best postseason, 330 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:54,280 Speaker 1: a post up season of his career. Right. But what 331 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: drives a lot of the success for both Jokic and 332 00:16:57,160 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 1: Anthony Davis as offensive players is they can catching the 333 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 1: pocket around ten to fifteen feet from good passers that 334 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,199 Speaker 1: are setting them up and those the players who have 335 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 1: the ball in this case Austin Reeves and d Loo 336 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 1: or Lebron for the Lakers or you know, Jamal Murray 337 00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 1: for the Nuggets. Those offensive players are high powered enough 338 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:21,640 Speaker 1: that they pull things towards them enough that the pocket 339 00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 1: is nice and open there for yo kitchen ad to 340 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 1: get a lot of these like easy floaters and quick 341 00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 1: catch like maybe an ISO move, but like a quick 342 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:35,439 Speaker 1: ISO move when the defender who's the screen defender is 343 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 1: out of position rather than squared up with them right. 344 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:40,840 Speaker 1: Kind of a similar context to what we were talking about 345 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:42,640 Speaker 1: earlier when we were talking about King of the Court 346 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 1: right and so Yo Kitchen ad supplement their offense with 347 00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 1: all these really high quality role touches. Victor Wiminnyama last 348 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:54,679 Speaker 1: year was sixteenth in role volume, so there were fifteen 349 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:58,160 Speaker 1: bigs who got more opportunities to score on the role. 350 00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:00,880 Speaker 1: He only had one hundred and seventy six possessions all year. 351 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,199 Speaker 1: It's like a little over two a game. So like 352 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:05,920 Speaker 1: I want to I just want to see Victor get 353 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 1: more of those opportunities. Like Rudy Gobaer had more catches 354 00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,920 Speaker 1: and opportunities to score on the role than Victor wenbin 355 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 1: Yama did last year. I'd like to see that number 356 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:17,480 Speaker 1: go from that one to seventy six, closer to two 357 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 1: point fifty, maybe even three hundred for Wemby, that I 358 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,720 Speaker 1: think is something that CP three can help him with. 359 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,159 Speaker 1: I just want to supplement again, Like we know what 360 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:29,719 Speaker 1: Wemby's upside is, but the more we can kind of 361 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 1: like get him easier opportunities to kind of supplement his offense. 362 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,439 Speaker 1: That's what can lead to some really high efficiency in 363 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 1: volume scoring seasons. I think floor spacing is going to 364 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:40,920 Speaker 1: be a big thing for this team, and I think 365 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 1: both Chris Paul and Harrison Barnes help in a big 366 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 1: way there. So as a team, the Spurs were twenty seventh, 367 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,680 Speaker 1: so fourth worst in the league converting spot up possessions 368 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 1: at zero point nine to eight points per possession. Harrison 369 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:56,840 Speaker 1: Barnes was a seventieth percentile spot up guy last year 370 00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 1: at one point one zero points per possession. Chris Paul 371 00:18:59,880 --> 00:19:03,280 Speaker 1: was an eighty sixth percentile spot up guy at one 372 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 1: point one point eight points spot up possession. Both of 373 00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:09,960 Speaker 1: them shot over forty five percent field goal percentage on 374 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 1: unguarded catch and shoot jump shots, so you just have 375 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:16,440 Speaker 1: a much higher level set of off ball offensive players 376 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:19,520 Speaker 1: too in situations where Wemby's operating with the Rocks. So 377 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:23,360 Speaker 1: in summary, I think it's a substantial increase in shooting 378 00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:27,360 Speaker 1: and ball handling, which obviously were two major weaknesses last year. Obviously, 379 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:29,800 Speaker 1: Wenby has another year of experience. We saw how well 380 00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:31,160 Speaker 1: he played at the tail end of the year which 381 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 1: I'll give you guys that stat that I gave you 382 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 1: the other day again here in a minute. But then 383 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:38,479 Speaker 1: he even had an impressive competitive run with Foeba so 384 00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,600 Speaker 1: at the Olympics. So here's one last crazy stat to 385 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 1: kind of set the stage for the Spurs this season. 386 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 1: In the final forty five games of the year last year, 387 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:49,679 Speaker 1: which again that's more than half the year, the Spurs 388 00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 1: were plus twenty eight when Victor Wmenyamo was on the floor, 389 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: and they were minus two to oh two with him off. 390 00:19:56,000 --> 00:20:00,359 Speaker 1: That's raw plus minus. So like, they were positive for 391 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 1: more than half the season with Victor Wembenyama on the floor, 392 00:20:04,840 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: and then they were massively negative, and that was with 393 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,160 Speaker 1: a really weak roster. You're giving him a lot of 394 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:14,160 Speaker 1: a veteran kind of like help this season. Obviously he's 395 00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:16,400 Speaker 1: a better player now than he was last year. So 396 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:19,400 Speaker 1: a lot to be really optimistic about as a Spurs fan. 397 00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,920 Speaker 1: Now as we know there's thirteen teams trying to win 398 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:26,160 Speaker 1: in the Western Conference, Teams like Houston they're trying to win, 399 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,639 Speaker 1: teams like Memphis, they're going to be right back in 400 00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:31,640 Speaker 1: the mix. They weren't in the mix last year. San 401 00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 1: Antonio's trying to win, and so will they get into 402 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,960 Speaker 1: the play in We'll see they'll be fighting in that range. 403 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,200 Speaker 1: My guess is they'll be in that eight to twelve range, 404 00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:41,439 Speaker 1: and whether or not they actually get in is going 405 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,160 Speaker 1: to come down to just how dominant Victor wembin Yama 406 00:20:44,359 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 1: is in his second season. All Right, Number nineteen The 407 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:06,120 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Clippers quick recap of their offseason. They lost 408 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:11,680 Speaker 1: bj Boston, Mussa, Diabate, Paul George, Mason, plum Lee, Daniel Tye, 409 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 1: and Russell Westbrook. They added Mo Bamba. He's a stretch five, 410 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 1: really good above the break shooter, but kind of a 411 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:21,040 Speaker 1: mixed bag everywhere else. Nick Batoum was one of my 412 00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 1: favorite three and D guys in the League's really good 413 00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 1: mobility and length to defend guards. Chris Dunn one of 414 00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,119 Speaker 1: the best guard defenders in the league. Derek Jones a 415 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:31,879 Speaker 1: guy who just had a phenomenal postseason run as a 416 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,240 Speaker 1: perimeter defender. You can kind of pick up the theme here, 417 00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 1: a lot of good perimeter defenders in Los Angeles playing 418 00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:39,240 Speaker 1: for the Clippers. We're gonna get more in that in 419 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,720 Speaker 1: a minute. And then Kevin Porter Junior, although the league 420 00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,920 Speaker 1: is apparently restarting an investigation into his domestic violence issue, 421 00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 1: so we'll see if he actually ends up playing, but 422 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,440 Speaker 1: he's on the roster as well. Their depth chart going 423 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: into next year James Harden, Norman Palll, Terrence Man, Bones Highland, 424 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,359 Speaker 1: Chris Dunn, Josh Primo and Kevin Porter Junior at guard 425 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:01,960 Speaker 1: at Ford, Kawhi Leonard, PJ Tucker, Derek Jones Junior, Nick 426 00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:05,560 Speaker 1: patom A Mere Coffee, and Kobe Brown, and then at 427 00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 1: center of y Kazubas, Kai Jones and Mobama. My guess 428 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,760 Speaker 1: is that their starting lineup is almost certainly going to 429 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 1: include James Harden, Terrence Man, Kawhi Leonard, it A, Vikazubach. 430 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:18,000 Speaker 1: It really just comes down to who you're going to 431 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 1: play at the three, and I look at two options there, 432 00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:24,320 Speaker 1: either Nick Patum or Derek Jones. Derek Jones I think 433 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,000 Speaker 1: is a little bit better and more versatile defensively, I 434 00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 1: think Nick Patum is a better shooter and close out attacker. 435 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,040 Speaker 1: So it's going to really just be about, you know, 436 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,679 Speaker 1: if Kawhi Leonard's just really really damn healthy and Terrence 437 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,600 Speaker 1: Man is kicking ass at the point of attack, maybe 438 00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 1: Tyler leans more towards shooting and close out attacking at 439 00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 1: that position. But if they're struggling on defense, or if 440 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:44,880 Speaker 1: they want to keep Kawhi off ball as much as 441 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:48,040 Speaker 1: possible to save his legs, maybe they end up going 442 00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 1: with Derek Jones. We also never know with this kind 443 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 1: of thing how much agent relationship played a role in 444 00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,159 Speaker 1: terms of the contract, So it's very possible that there 445 00:22:57,200 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: was a promise to play like like Derek Jones under 446 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,320 Speaker 1: the impression he's supposed to start per kind of the 447 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,080 Speaker 1: negotiation surrounding his contracts. So we'll see, but my guess 448 00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,760 Speaker 1: is it'll be bitwo more Derek Jones playing at the three. 449 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 1: We know on defense they will run drop coverage with Zubox, 450 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,920 Speaker 1: but they their preferred scheme under Tylus they want to switch, 451 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 1: especially late game situations. That's what they just kind of 452 00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:20,639 Speaker 1: go to as their as their kind of foundation. Defensively, 453 00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:24,639 Speaker 1: they're really really athletic on the perimeter, not at the 454 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:28,479 Speaker 1: forward position like the big forwards, but like guys who 455 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,880 Speaker 1: are going to be guarding opposing twos and threes. You're 456 00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:35,439 Speaker 1: not going to find many better defensive cores than what 457 00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 1: the Clippers have Terrence Man really good, Chris Donn really good, 458 00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:42,640 Speaker 1: Derek Jones really good, Nick Batoom really good. They're gonna 459 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:44,960 Speaker 1: get after the basketball, They're gonna defend well at the 460 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,159 Speaker 1: point of attack, and that I think is going to 461 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 1: allow them to be competitive over the course of the 462 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,919 Speaker 1: regular season. And that really is my main takeaway on 463 00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,200 Speaker 1: the Clippers heading into this year. I think this is 464 00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:58,040 Speaker 1: going to be a really good regular season team. They're 465 00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,240 Speaker 1: younger and more athletic than you'd think, Like their shot 466 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:05,560 Speaker 1: creators are older, like James Harden's older, obviously, Kawhi Leonards older, 467 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: Norman Powell as like a close out attacker shooter. He's older, 468 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:13,520 Speaker 1: he's thirty one now. PJ. Tucker's obviously really old. But 469 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,360 Speaker 1: all the other guys, all the other role players are 470 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:18,920 Speaker 1: relatively young, you know, Like there's a lot of guys 471 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:21,360 Speaker 1: in their mid to late twenties that are really good 472 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,399 Speaker 1: athletes on this roster. And when you combine that with 473 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:27,240 Speaker 1: I still think, you know, we have our question marks 474 00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:29,679 Speaker 1: surrounding Kawhi and James Harden in the playoffs, right, Like, 475 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:33,360 Speaker 1: will James Harden be able to get separation and get 476 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 1: to his shot against an elite defense, for multiple rounds. Like, 477 00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,240 Speaker 1: we know how that story goes, well, Kawhi Leonards, knee 478 00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 1: hold up, we know how that story goes. However, James 479 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:45,400 Speaker 1: Harden is still one of the best regular season offensive 480 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,600 Speaker 1: engines in the league. He averaged seventeen points, five rebounds 481 00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 1: in nine assists a game last year. You know how 482 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,679 Speaker 1: many players averaged at least sixteen points and eight assists 483 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,920 Speaker 1: in the entire NBA last year ten ten guys, and 484 00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:59,080 Speaker 1: Harden was one of them, while playing alongside two other 485 00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:02,640 Speaker 1: bald domin it stars. Right, So, like, really impressive season there. 486 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 1: Shot creation numbers were incredible. He's an eighty seventh percentile 487 00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:09,400 Speaker 1: pick and roll player, eighty sixth percentile ISO player, both 488 00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 1: right around one point one points per possession, which is 489 00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,560 Speaker 1: really good. So, like, I can count on James Harden 490 00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:16,960 Speaker 1: as long as he's healthy and on the floor to 491 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:21,160 Speaker 1: be a really good regular season shot creator. That's gonna 492 00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:24,240 Speaker 1: help you set a high floor for the offensive end 493 00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:26,960 Speaker 1: of the floor. Right, Kawhi Leonard, we know he has 494 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:28,960 Speaker 1: his health issues, but aside from the year he missed 495 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,919 Speaker 1: the entire season, he plays fifty games at least, Like 496 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,640 Speaker 1: you're probably gonna get fifty games from Kawhi at about 497 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,879 Speaker 1: near MVP level, right. So, like with those two guys 498 00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 1: kind of raising the offensive floor and just all of 499 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:47,760 Speaker 1: the quick, feisty perimeter defenders that they have, I think 500 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,680 Speaker 1: that's just gonna lead to a high regular season output. 501 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: And so again, whatever whatever your issues are with this 502 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,360 Speaker 1: team in the postseason, they they're gonna be a good 503 00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,320 Speaker 1: regular season team in my opinion. They have depth of 504 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 1: talent we've talked about. They've got shot creation as far 505 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 1: as aggregate offensive skill that other these pieces that we 506 00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,200 Speaker 1: talked about at the beginning of the show. Without Paul George, 507 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,720 Speaker 1: I'm a little worried about their shooting, but not so 508 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:12,879 Speaker 1: much with their like main players. It's more of a 509 00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 1: depth thing. I think, like if guys missed time in 510 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:16,760 Speaker 1: the regular season, they could be a little bit light 511 00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 1: on shooting. But then there's also multiple ways to provide spacing, 512 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,840 Speaker 1: like you can you can provide spacing driving closeouts too. 513 00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,800 Speaker 1: Derek Jones Junior last year had a season where the 514 00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,440 Speaker 1: shooting was somewhat inconsistent, but he was really good at 515 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:31,240 Speaker 1: like driving the slot, so like he'd catch on the wing. 516 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:33,879 Speaker 1: And again, there are a lot of like these baked 517 00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:36,199 Speaker 1: in driving lanes in basketball, right, Like, if you're on 518 00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:38,120 Speaker 1: the left wing and the balls on the right wing, 519 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,399 Speaker 1: and your defender's kind of towards the midline, and James 520 00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:43,399 Speaker 1: Harden just throws a swing pass to Derek Jones and 521 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,639 Speaker 1: he immediately catches and rips to the left. There's a 522 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 1: baked in driving lane there because his defender is sitting 523 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,400 Speaker 1: on his right shoulder like in the lane and closing 524 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:55,480 Speaker 1: out that way, And so Derek Jones provided spacing that way. 525 00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 1: So like, I'm not super worried about it, but I 526 00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:01,200 Speaker 1: wouldn't say it's a strength on this team. They have 527 00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:04,960 Speaker 1: a strong base defensive scheme, and the one knock I 528 00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 1: really have on them is their defensive versatility. This has 529 00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:09,600 Speaker 1: been a consistent issue for the Clippers over the years. 530 00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:12,800 Speaker 1: Whenever they do end up going switching, teams start to 531 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 1: hunt their centers. When they start to go small, They're 532 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:19,440 Speaker 1: not nearly big enough in terms of the overall aggregate 533 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:21,640 Speaker 1: side of their lineup. So like, I'm not a big 534 00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,239 Speaker 1: fan of the defensive versatility this unit, but that's more 535 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,000 Speaker 1: of a playoff issue anyway. So not a perfect team 536 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:31,320 Speaker 1: by any stretch. But like, without Paul George. There's not 537 00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 1: really a championship ceiling there, but I think they have 538 00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 1: a really strong regular season foundation, and I actually think 539 00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 1: they have a solid chance, even as a team that 540 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:41,399 Speaker 1: doesn't really have a chance to win the title, I 541 00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,560 Speaker 1: think they have a solid chance to like stay out 542 00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 1: of the play in. Like if you told me the 543 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:48,040 Speaker 1: Clippers finished with the five seed this year, I would 544 00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:51,440 Speaker 1: not be shocked, just with the sheer amount of regular 545 00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,840 Speaker 1: season kind of engine, type of talent that they have. 546 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,600 Speaker 1: All Right, last team for today, number eighteen, the Miami 547 00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,439 Speaker 1: Heat a team and that is more or less the 548 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,400 Speaker 1: same type of team they've been for the last few years. 549 00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:04,719 Speaker 1: But we're going to talk about him a little bit. 550 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,480 Speaker 1: Off season recap. They lost Caleb Martin, they lost Patty Mills, 551 00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 1: Orlando Robinson, and Delon Wright. They added Alec Burks, who 552 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,199 Speaker 1: just came off of a nice little bench run with 553 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:18,160 Speaker 1: the New York Knicks in the postseason, Josh Christopher kalel Ware, 554 00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:22,000 Speaker 1: a super athletic stretch five out of Indiana. And then 555 00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:24,400 Speaker 1: just even though these guys may not play a lot 556 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:25,680 Speaker 1: this year, I want to shout out a couple of 557 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,520 Speaker 1: Arizona guys. I'm a Tucson guy So Pella Larson and 558 00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:32,480 Speaker 1: Kashaw Johnson, two guys I really liked watching with Arizona, 559 00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 1: are on the team at least for training camp. Depth 560 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 1: chart at guard Tyler Harrow, Terry Rozier, Josh Richardson, Alec Burks, 561 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,600 Speaker 1: Pella Larson at for Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Heywood high Smith, 562 00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: Jim Hawkes Junior. Shout out Jime. We did that interview 563 00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:51,120 Speaker 1: earlier this summer. Nikola, Jovic, Keishaw Johnson, bam Out of Bayome, 564 00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:55,160 Speaker 1: Kevin Love, kellel Ware and Thomas Bryant are your centers. 565 00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 1: So hard to know what to make of this team 566 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:01,840 Speaker 1: after last year. On the one hand, Jimmy gets hurt, right, 567 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:03,719 Speaker 1: so you can't take too much from the playoff run, 568 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 1: and they stole a game in Boston classic Miami heat 569 00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:09,280 Speaker 1: fashion right, just grind it out. But on the other hand, 570 00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 1: according to Cleaning the Glass, their core four guys Terry Rogier, 571 00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:16,840 Speaker 1: Tyler Harrow, Jimmy Butler, and Bamata Byle. They played together 572 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,880 Speaker 1: two hundred and forty one possessions last years are roughly 573 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:23,320 Speaker 1: two and a half games two games ish in two 574 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:25,600 Speaker 1: hundred and forty one possessions. They got outscored by two 575 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 1: point one points per one hundred possessions. According to Cleaning 576 00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 1: the Glass. That's bad on both ends if you remove 577 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:35,360 Speaker 1: Terry Rozier from the equation because he obviously came at 578 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:40,120 Speaker 1: a trade deadline deal. The Terry the uh Tyler, Harrow, 579 00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,120 Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler bam At a bio trio played nine hundred 580 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,720 Speaker 1: and ninety three possessions and they were just plus three 581 00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:51,120 Speaker 1: point eight net per one hundred posessions, which is fine, 582 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 1: but it's not in the same stratosphere as the other 583 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 1: cores around the conference, like the Knicks Jalen Brunson, Isaiah Hartenstein, 584 00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,200 Speaker 1: og and ob eight hundred and seven nine possessions plus 585 00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:06,120 Speaker 1: twenty seven net, plus twenty seven points per one hundred possessions. 586 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:09,760 Speaker 1: The Celtics Jalen Brown, Jason Tatum, Derek White twenty seven 587 00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:13,960 Speaker 1: hundred and ten possessions plus nine points per one hundred 588 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:18,520 Speaker 1: possessions net. That's really really good. The Bucks Giannis Dame 589 00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:23,760 Speaker 1: Chris Middleton sixteen hundred possessions plus sixteen nets. So like 590 00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 1: the top teams in the conference, when they have their 591 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:30,120 Speaker 1: main guys on the floor, they kick ass. The Miami 592 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:34,000 Speaker 1: Heat don't just another random middle of the pack Eastern 593 00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 1: Conference team like the Cleveland Cavaliers Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, 594 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:42,000 Speaker 1: and Jared Allen eleven hundred and ninety possessions plus four 595 00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 1: point one net per one hundred possessions. So like even 596 00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 1: the Calves, who are just kind of a random middle 597 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:52,000 Speaker 1: of the pack standard team in the Eastern Conference, they don't. 598 00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:55,600 Speaker 1: Even the Miami Heat can't, even with their core, match 599 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 1: that level of production, which is major league concerning. Right, 600 00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:01,160 Speaker 1: Jimmy just wasn't as good as he was last year. 601 00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 1: Bam does continue to make small strides as an offensive player, 602 00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:07,240 Speaker 1: but he's still nowhere near as good as as he 603 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,440 Speaker 1: needs to be to be a real driver of high 604 00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 1: level offense. Right, Tyler Harrow is a pull up jump 605 00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:15,280 Speaker 1: shooter who isn't particularly good at hitting pull up jump shots. 606 00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:17,160 Speaker 1: He shot below forty percent on him last year, got 607 00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:19,720 Speaker 1: to zero point nine to eight points per shot. Like, 608 00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 1: if you're a professional pull up jump shooter, you need 609 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:24,680 Speaker 1: to be over a point per shot. Tyler Harrow's not there. 610 00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:27,600 Speaker 1: So the core just isn't as effective as it used 611 00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 1: to be. A little bit of a decline from Jimmy 612 00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:32,560 Speaker 1: the other guy's not really havn't enough. We'll see what 613 00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 1: a full training camp with Terry Rozier can kind of 614 00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:37,800 Speaker 1: do for them. Maybe it loosens things up for them 615 00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 1: on the offensive end. And I'm excited to see Bam 616 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 1: maybe with some more two big looks. If kelll Ware 617 00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:46,120 Speaker 1: and his ability to shoot and protect the rim kind 618 00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:48,400 Speaker 1: of translate, you could see a version of the two 619 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:50,520 Speaker 1: of them playing together, which saw what that looks like, 620 00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:53,800 Speaker 1: a much crazier version of it alongside Anthony Davis with 621 00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:56,400 Speaker 1: Team USA. Right, But like we'll get I'm excited. There's 622 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:58,880 Speaker 1: some things that I'm really looking forward to seeing with Miami, 623 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 1: but nothing that really drives for me a change in 624 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 1: opinion of what this team is capable of. I wonder 625 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 1: if they're a candidate for an aggressive and risky deal, 626 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,640 Speaker 1: like I have a talent ad type of deal, So 627 00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:13,160 Speaker 1: like if someone like Zach Lavine or Brandon Ingram or 628 00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:16,240 Speaker 1: Julius Randall got off to a good start, I wouldn't 629 00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,360 Speaker 1: be surprised if the Heat tried to make some sort 630 00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:21,760 Speaker 1: of aggressive move like that. But there's not really much 631 00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:23,360 Speaker 1: to get into with Miami. They're more or less the 632 00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:25,680 Speaker 1: same basketball team that they've been for a few years now. 633 00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,320 Speaker 1: The one real piece of optimism, like if I was 634 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:33,560 Speaker 1: trying to like talk myself into a more aggressive Miami take, 635 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:36,360 Speaker 1: what I'd say is last year they were fifth in defense, 636 00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:39,200 Speaker 1: and now you're getting a full training camp to try 637 00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:42,360 Speaker 1: to incorporate Terry Rose year, which will hopefully add more 638 00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:45,360 Speaker 1: offensive upside. And then the last piece of optimism is 639 00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,560 Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler. He had a bad year last year down 640 00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:51,640 Speaker 1: the board, his numbers were down, he got hurt, missed 641 00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:53,960 Speaker 1: the playoffs, and he's also more or less in a 642 00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 1: contract year, right, so like, maybe you just get this big, 643 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:00,960 Speaker 1: like fuck you bounce back season from Jimmy Butler, and 644 00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:04,520 Speaker 1: maybe that could turn things around. But it's just it's tough. 645 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,480 Speaker 1: And the other thing is is the rest of the 646 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 1: East is rapidly improving, right, Like, the Magic will be 647 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:12,600 Speaker 1: better this year than they were last year. The Pacers 648 00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:14,720 Speaker 1: will be better this year than they were last year. 649 00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 1: The seventy six ers will be better this year than 650 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 1: they were last year. So honestly, the mind Heat looked 651 00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,800 Speaker 1: like a playing team to me again, but obviously they 652 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,400 Speaker 1: have the upside of a potential trade if they decide 653 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 1: to get aggressive at some point during the season, but 654 00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 1: right now I have them at eighteen in my power rankings. 655 00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:33,680 Speaker 1: All right, guys, that is all I have for Day one. 656 00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,600 Speaker 1: We'll be back on Wednesday with three more teams. As always, 657 00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,280 Speaker 1: I sincerely appreciate you guys for supporting the show, and 658 00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:45,280 Speaker 1: I'll see you guys then the volume. What's up guys? 659 00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:48,080 Speaker 1: As always, I appreciate you for listening to and supporting 660 00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:50,760 Speaker 1: OOPS tonight. They would actually be really helpful for us 661 00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:52,640 Speaker 1: if you guys would take a second and leave a 662 00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:55,320 Speaker 1: rating and a review. As always, I appreciate you guys 663 00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:56,960 Speaker 1: supporting us, but if you could take a minute to 664 00:33:56,960 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 1: do that, I'd really appreciate it.