1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:11,559 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up, 2 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: straight Fire? Fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. This is Straight 3 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:20,079 Speaker 1: Fire for Friday, November nine. I figured this is probably 4 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 1: the Friday where everybody starts to get into Thanksgiving break mode, 5 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: at least college kids, certainly elementary and high school kids, 6 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: and then you know parents. I'm sure not a lot 7 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: of them are working next week. Well you know, I am, 8 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:37,240 Speaker 1: because sports don't take rest ever, feels like obviously there's huge, 9 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: huge Thanksgiving football games. Um, next week in the NFL 10 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 1: is gonna be crazy, and uh, this podcast will be 11 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:46,519 Speaker 1: around next week, probably not every day next week, but 12 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: we will be around next week obviously. I want to 13 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: start by thanking Brian Winhorse for Thursday's podcast. It was tremendous. 14 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: I hope you guys enjoyed it. Today's podcast will be 15 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: NFL heavy Picks coming up. I gotta start with the 16 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: Thursday night. I can't say the bad words this early 17 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: in the podcast. Too many kids of dad's that I 18 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 1: know have told me they listen to the pods, so 19 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 1: I'll keep it, you know, g rated, But oh my gosh, 20 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 1: how bad was Falcons zero Patriots? You know you knew 21 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:18,720 Speaker 1: that like midway through the first quarter, approaching the second quarter, 22 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 1: like this is unwatchable. If it were a movie, you 23 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: would have walked out in the first thirty minutes. It 24 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 1: was bad football. Patriots win. They if you're playing him 25 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: in fantasy football, their defense score like twenty eight points, 26 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 1: which is just absolutely brutal. I do fortunately have Nick Folk, 27 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:36,759 Speaker 1: the kicker for the Patriots, who's the only guy who 28 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 1: did anything. That's how bad the game was. And I'm 29 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 1: sorry I had to laugh at this. This was funny. 30 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,319 Speaker 1: So Matt Ryan will get to in a second. It's 31 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,319 Speaker 1: obvious they're not winning the game. They're down a lot 32 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 1: to zero fourth quarter, and they bring in Josh Rosen. 33 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: So he's like, oh, Josh rose remember the guy who's 34 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 1: picked tenth a few years ago. U c l a kid. 35 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: He was the one who had a hot tub and 36 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: his like dorm room was pretty funny. Josh Rosan's third 37 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 1: path us interception pick six, and I mean you're just like, oh, jeezus, 38 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: three picks for the pay. That's awful. So what are 39 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 1: the Falcons doing? The next series? They bring in Phelippe A. Franks, 40 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 1: the rookie out of Florida drops back, first pass intercepted. 41 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: That's how bad it was for the Falcons. Three quarterbacks 42 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: take the field, all of them throw interceptions. Atlanta somehow 43 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 1: mustard about a hundred sixty five yards of total offense. 44 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: It was even worse than it sounds. They got to 45 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 1: the red zone twice, came up with zero points. You 46 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 1: knew what was gonna get ugly early when they had 47 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: a forty five yard field goal. Falcons make it, but 48 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: there's a flag and they have to re kick it 49 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 1: five yards back. Well, take a guess what happens. Obviously 50 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: shanked it, and that was that. It was pretty bad. 51 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 1: Matt Jones now five and on the road. Hey, listen, 52 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: you gotta give credit to the rookie. You know, Cosnahan 53 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 1: pulling his hair out watching every single mac Jones performance, 54 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:58,919 Speaker 1: where you know that obviously Cashanahan wanted mac Jones as 55 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:00,839 Speaker 1: his guy, got talked out of it. We've been all 56 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 1: over this for probably eight months now, and it's gonna 57 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: be a story, especially if the Niners don't make the 58 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: playoffs and Trey Lance continues to not be ready. Mac 59 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 1: Jones is gonna get New England into the postseason. But 60 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 1: I just want to point out to everybody who's excited, 61 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: uh Patriots who want five in a row. They're dominating. 62 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 1: Listen the upcoming schedule Titans, who have the best record 63 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: in the a f C at the Buffalo Bills, where 64 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,919 Speaker 1: the Patriots will be considerable underdogs at the Colts. That'll 65 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: be an interesting game, especially if the Patriots have lost 66 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: two in a row. Then they have another game with 67 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 1: the Bills, and at that point we will know whether 68 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: or not the Patriots are going to the playoffs. Those 69 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 1: three games should decide it because they close out with 70 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: two likely layups in the Jagson Dolphins. Um so, so 71 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: they're at least getting nine wins. I don't know if 72 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: nine's gonna do it in the a f C. But 73 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 1: we'll do more on the Patriots in their playoff chances 74 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 1: after this weekend. Again, before we get the best bets 75 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: for college football in the NFL, I just need to this. 76 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan Saga is getting kind of sad right. This 77 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: guy was an m v P in her had the 78 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:04,120 Speaker 1: Falcons what a quarter away from the Super Bowl against 79 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: the Patriots before that collapse, and this is staggering. In 80 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 1: the last three years he's been essentially the same guy. 81 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: I cannot believe this is real. Mattie Ice quarterback rating 82 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: two point one, three point three point one. He's basically 83 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:29,039 Speaker 1: had an identical QBR for three straight years. He's just 84 00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 1: like treading water. Matt Ryan's qb R fifty nine point 85 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: six in fifty nine point eight point five. I mean 86 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 1: this is Matt Ryan has basically plateaued as a quarterback. 87 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: He's on a franchise going nowhere. They have a new 88 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 1: head coach, he has no offensive line to speak of, 89 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 1: no run game. Julio Jones was gone. Calvin Ridley sounds 90 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 1: like he's not gonna come back this season. Of course, 91 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,040 Speaker 1: he's on my fantasy team, so it's natural they he 92 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 1: will come back. And I just wonder at the end 93 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 1: of the season, if you're the Falcons, like, what do 94 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 1: you do? You do not have a quarterback in the pipeline. 95 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 1: I don't know how attractive of a free agent destination 96 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:15,160 Speaker 1: Atlanta is for quarterbacks. Like Jimmy G's gonna have options, 97 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 1: like Pittsburgh's gonna come calling. There'll be other good teams 98 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 1: that have a chance at the playoffs. Atlanta has no 99 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 1: chance at the playoffs. I don't know what they do do. 100 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:27,040 Speaker 1: They have to tank from here on out because they're 101 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:31,159 Speaker 1: not headed toward a top five pick and this draft 102 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 1: is not loaded with quarterback prospects. Plus they're gonna have 103 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 1: to get in line behind Houston and Detroit, two very 104 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 1: needy quarterback teams. So I don't know what the solution is, 105 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 1: but you kind of feel for Matt Ryan, like, hey man, 106 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:45,839 Speaker 1: remember Matt Stafford was like, guys, I gave this a shot. 107 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 1: We've tried hard, of been here forever. Let me just 108 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: go somewhere else. I know Matt Ryan has wedded to 109 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 1: the area. He's well liked. I don't know that there's 110 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:57,840 Speaker 1: a greater player in franchise history than Matt Ryan. And 111 00:05:57,880 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: if he says, guys, can I have a shot to 112 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: win somewhere else? I'm turning thirty seven in May, of 113 00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:10,279 Speaker 1: what can I? Can I go somewhere else? Because frankly, 114 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan's gonna have a chance to do He could 115 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 1: still do some things like if Seattle loses Russell Wilson, 116 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 1: could Matt Ryan win in Seattle? I don't know about 117 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: behind that offensive line Indianapolis, it makes like a great 118 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: landing spot with that behind that offensive line and run game. 119 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:29,479 Speaker 1: The problem is, of course, uh Indie seems like they're 120 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:32,840 Speaker 1: linked to Carson Wentz. But I will add, if they 121 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 1: don't make the playoffs, are we sure they're sticking with 122 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz. I know they gave up picks for went 123 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 1: but are we certain that he is the future there? 124 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: He's been good, he hasn't turned the ball over much, 125 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:46,600 Speaker 1: but I don't think he's won a big game or 126 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 1: come close. Like, if if he doesn't get them over them, 127 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:53,159 Speaker 1: do they kick the tires on Mattie Ice. I I 128 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 1: just feel like his time in Atlanta is definitely over 129 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 1: and someone around the league is going to have to say, hey, man, 130 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 1: let's get this guy shot. You know, let's let's give 131 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:05,159 Speaker 1: him a chance. We've got a team that can, I 132 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 1: don't know, maybe come close to contending Pittsburgh Steelers. I 133 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: just don't know about matt Ryan outdoors in the cold weather, 134 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 1: it doesn't seem like a great fit. That's why I 135 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: mentioned Indie and the dome. That could work, But what 136 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 1: cuple of Carson Wentz. You look to the West Coast 137 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: and maybe the Raiders, if they punt from Derek Carr, 138 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:29,920 Speaker 1: maybe they consider Mattie Ice, But I can't see him 139 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: surfacing in Denver. That doesn't make any sense at all. 140 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:36,400 Speaker 1: Those NFC East teams, um, you know the Eagles, they 141 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: obviously aren't going to be committed to Jalen Hurts. We 142 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: know they want to Shaun Watson. But the New York Giants, like, 143 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 1: it's just nothing really makes sense for Matt Ryan, Like 144 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 1: Matt Stafford got the perfect landing spot right warm Weather, 145 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: a uh NFC West team, so he's he's in good 146 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 1: climates for the most part until he has to get 147 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 1: to the playoffs and go to Green Bay or maybe 148 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: next year Chicago, not this year. But a Dome team 149 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:03,120 Speaker 1: makes sense. And the last one, I'll say, they're in 150 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: the division. So it seems highly unlikely. But what if 151 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints said, Mattie Ice, you want you 152 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 1: want to come a couple of states away and play 153 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 1: with us. You want to give it a shot, because 154 00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: in that Dome, if they can get a receiver in 155 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: the draft, if they can coax Michael Thomas into returning 156 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 1: with Kamara, like I mean, Sean Payton, are you kidding me? 157 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 1: I think that would be a home run. But again, 158 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: staying in the division seems highly unlikely at any rate. 159 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:29,679 Speaker 1: Let's get to the best bets this weekend for college 160 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 1: football and the NFL. Fox Sports Radio has the best 161 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 1: sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our 162 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 1: shows at Fox sports Radio dot com and within the 163 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 1: I Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live. 164 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 1: The only thing better than sitting on your couch watching 165 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: the game. He's making money while you do it. Here's 166 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 1: your best bet. Alright, it's time for the best bet 167 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 1: here on straight fire, really strong weekend last weekend if 168 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: you were a member the College Picks for the Fox 169 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: colub where I have to pick the best games. And 170 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 1: again I don't advise always betting on the best games 171 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 1: because they are the sharpest lines. There's the most information 172 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 1: out injury and otherwise about the biggest games. When I'm 173 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:17,599 Speaker 1: about to give you Southern Miss getting fifteen here in 174 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:19,520 Speaker 1: a minute, you're gonna be like, huh, let me just 175 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 1: find it and bet it because there isn't as much 176 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 1: I mean, you're not gonna watch that game on television, 177 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 1: and most people out there couldn't name five players on 178 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: Southern Miss or their head coach. But that's where the 179 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 1: machine can find an edge, and some of these picks 180 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:35,559 Speaker 1: are machine generated. But let's go to the big Let's 181 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:37,840 Speaker 1: start with the big games. We'll go college football and 182 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: then the NFL. So in college it's a good slate 183 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 1: of games, not great, and unfortunately I like some dogs. 184 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:49,679 Speaker 1: I'll start with this. Iowa State getting four probably one 185 00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:52,200 Speaker 1: of my favorite bets of the weekend. Oklahoma we know 186 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:55,080 Speaker 1: they are a sinking ship. They lost last weekend, probably 187 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:57,320 Speaker 1: looking ahead to this game, and they got Oklahoma State, 188 00:09:57,320 --> 00:10:00,199 Speaker 1: the big rivalry game on deck that could be I 189 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:02,320 Speaker 1: think for the big twelfth title. I like Iowa State. 190 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 1: They've been a massive underachiever this season. I believe they're 191 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:07,839 Speaker 1: six and four and they started out the season in 192 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:09,640 Speaker 1: the top ten. They got a lot of returning guys 193 00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 1: from the running back to the quarterback to the tight end, 194 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 1: like they should be better than this. This feels like 195 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 1: a massive performance from Matt Campbell's guys. Is Matt Campbell 196 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 1: ever gonna move on from here? I don't know if 197 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,560 Speaker 1: it's stock is down given this season, but I like 198 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: I was s take getting four looks like it's at 199 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 1: three and a half this morning. But I got four 200 00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 1: earlier this week in another big game. And this is 201 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:33,959 Speaker 1: a tough one. Utah favored favored, yes by a field 202 00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:37,960 Speaker 1: goal over Oregon. Now, everybody in their mom's betting Oregon here. 203 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 1: They are the classic public dog. They are a top 204 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 1: five team in the playoff rankings. Everybody saw them beat 205 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 1: Ohio State. Everybody is gonna be on Oregon here. I 206 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 1: I'll take Utah at home. Give me, give me the Utes. 207 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 1: I don't think anyone else is back at them. I'm 208 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:52,960 Speaker 1: on an island, which is where I like to be. 209 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:57,440 Speaker 1: McEntire Island is a lovely place. And uh, I personally 210 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 1: don't like Utah that much this season, But in this spot, 211 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:05,200 Speaker 1: I've got to unprincipled, Like, what is the line telling you? Okay, 212 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: Oregon is the team everybody knows in the college football 213 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:09,920 Speaker 1: player everybody knows them, and they are underdogs on the 214 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 1: road to Utah. But everybody is backing the Ducks. No, 215 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 1: I'm taking Utah favored by three, three and a half. 216 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:19,319 Speaker 1: And the other one that's interesting, And again you're not 217 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:23,480 Speaker 1: kinda like this. Give me Sparty getting nineteen against the Buckeyes. O. 218 00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 1: How the state's murdered almost everyone on the schedule, Oh, 219 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,079 Speaker 1: except the teams that can run the football. Or are 220 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 1: halfway decent. I mean they beat a lot of bad teams. 221 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:34,720 Speaker 1: Did not cover against Penn State, I had the buck eyes, 222 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,320 Speaker 1: did not cover against Oregon, I had the buck eyes. 223 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 1: Um let. The Minnesota running back before he got injured, 224 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 1: rushed for like a buck sixty. Listen. I don't know 225 00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 1: if the Heisman kid, Kenneth Walker is going to have 226 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 1: a hundred fifty or two hundred in this one. Ohio 227 00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:50,319 Speaker 1: State would probably be smart to just stack the box 228 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:53,160 Speaker 1: and not let him have any airspace. But Walker is good, 229 00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:56,079 Speaker 1: and I think Michigan State can probably hold onto the 230 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,160 Speaker 1: ball long enough. It's probably a decent look at the 231 00:11:58,200 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 1: first half under because Ohio State's gonna come out probably 232 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 1: a little bit tight. We know what game they have 233 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: next after this one. I wouldn't be shocked if Michigan 234 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 1: State kept it close. I can't envision them winning, but 235 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 1: you give me nineteen against an Ohio State defense that's 236 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:18,400 Speaker 1: vastly overrated and a Michigan State program that has lost 237 00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 1: the last four of the Buckeyes by twenty or more, 238 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:23,840 Speaker 1: including last year by forty. I can see a big, 239 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 1: you know, a tough performance from melt Tucker and the Spartan, 240 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 1: So I took the nineteen. Now the non interesting games, 241 00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 1: the games that I bet that, you know, I don't 242 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:36,079 Speaker 1: want to say. You never want to blindly follow anybody. 243 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:43,000 Speaker 1: Navy plus four, Southern miss plus fifteen, Notre Dame minus seventeen, Yes, 244 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:45,959 Speaker 1: and Middle Tennessee State plus three and a half. The 245 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:50,440 Speaker 1: last one is SMU getting eleven. Now, this number has 246 00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 1: been all over the place. If it gets underneath uh, 247 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: double digit, if it gets to nine, I kind of 248 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:58,160 Speaker 1: gonna take Cincinnati here. But this is the big one 249 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:01,599 Speaker 1: for the Bearcats if they win this basically there, I 250 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 1: don't want to say in the playoffs, but that's as 251 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 1: good as the resume is gonna get because they've got 252 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 1: a tomato can next week. This is a tough SMU 253 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 1: is pretty good. They got the Oklahoma transfer Tanner Mordecai. 254 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:14,400 Speaker 1: I mean, guys got thirty seven touchdown passes. You know, 255 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:16,599 Speaker 1: he went toe to toe with Jalen Hurts for the 256 00:13:16,600 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 1: starting job and then Rattler lost out both of those 257 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: and then transferred. But he was a backup to Kyler Murray. 258 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: He's been around the block. The kid can play, and 259 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 1: the Cincinnati defenses kind of looks suspect. The last couple 260 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,200 Speaker 1: of weeks, they're playing like a tight team that's nervous. 261 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 1: They didn't cover Um. I'm betting against him. I didn't 262 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:36,280 Speaker 1: take him in the column, but I'm taking SMU getting 263 00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,680 Speaker 1: getting the double digits. But again, if it's you know, 264 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 1: if you waited and didn't listen to this until Friday 265 00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 1: night or late Saturday or early Saturday morning, you know 266 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 1: this could be under ten at that point. I'm not 267 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 1: advising UM taking SMU because that's just where that's a 268 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 1: bridge too far, right. Come on, we're talking about Cincinnati there. Loaded. 269 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 1: So those are the college picks this week. And on 270 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: the NFL front, Listen, I had four and one week 271 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 1: in the contest, the four million dollar contest, So I 272 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 1: spent some time looking at the standings like an idiot. 273 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:06,559 Speaker 1: Anytime I do that, I'm overthinking it. And you guys, 274 00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 1: remember that tennis tournament I was in. I made it 275 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 1: to the semifinals. I'm leading in the first set for 276 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:13,160 Speaker 1: one against this guy. You know, he's got like a 277 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 1: fifteen years younger than me. Um okay player, but I'm 278 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:18,400 Speaker 1: up for one. I'm like, all right, I got this. 279 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:21,680 Speaker 1: I started thinking about the final which was the next day. 280 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:23,240 Speaker 1: I was like, I'm gonna have to miss my my 281 00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 1: son's basketball game. I might have to miss my daughters too. 282 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 1: Oh man, um, what am I gonna eat tonight? So 283 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,200 Speaker 1: I get a good rest that I'm ready for the finals. 284 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 1: I start thinking about the finals in the middle of 285 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 1: the semifinal match, just because I was up for one, 286 00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 1: and of course I lost track, lost the set, totally 287 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:43,640 Speaker 1: unraveled and lost. I haven't played tennis since that loss, 288 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 1: which I think was late July early August, which it 289 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 1: just it hurt too bad and I need to walk 290 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:51,920 Speaker 1: away from the game for a little bit. So this 291 00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 1: is kind of happening here. I had a really good 292 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: week in the contest uh three and oh in um 293 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 1: picks that we're not a teaser last week in Fox column, 294 00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 1: and irrationally, I like a lot of games this week, 295 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:09,440 Speaker 1: which can be troubling. Um, let's start. So this is funny. Guys. 296 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: Remember last week on the pod, I mentioned there's a 297 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:18,280 Speaker 1: trend that I guess so it popped on TikTok, which 298 00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 1: you know is going to get out there before it 299 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 1: hits the mainstream. Teams that did not cover facing teams 300 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 1: that covered we're hitting at seventy two weeks ago. I 301 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 1: think it was seven and oh last week, depending on 302 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 1: how you I'm sorry, three weeks ago, one seven oh, 303 00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 1: two weeks ago, depending on how you scored the Aaron 304 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:41,280 Speaker 1: Rodgers UM Kansas City game. It was four and one. 305 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 1: Like given that Aaron Rodgers a late scratch and the 306 00:15:44,040 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 1: number move like six points, I kind of tossed that 307 00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 1: one out the window. So this went four and one. 308 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:51,280 Speaker 1: There are four of those this week. Okay, we saw 309 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: Falcons Pats on Thursday Night Football. That was one of them. 310 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: Jets Dolphins is another. And again we have a bit 311 00:15:57,640 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 1: of a sketchy quarterback situation. Joe Flacco gonna be the starter. Now. 312 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 1: We have seen spots starters come into the NFL this 313 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 1: season for one start and just shock people. Colt McCoy 314 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 1: against the Niners. Colt McCoy is a veteran, Will Flacco 315 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 1: is a veteran too. Cooper Rush for Dallas in Minnesota. Uh, 316 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 1: Mike White for my Jets against the Bengals. We've seen 317 00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 1: guys come in and I don't want to shock the 318 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 1: world is a little bit strong, but we've seen some 319 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: surprising results from backup quarterbacks coming out of nowhere in 320 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: the first game. After that, you know, they turned into 321 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 1: a pumpkin, which happens. Joe Flacco applies here. I took 322 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 1: a nibble of the Jets. I haven't decided if I'm 323 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 1: gonna take it in the contest yet or not. Three 324 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 1: and a half. It's probably a buy for me, but 325 00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 1: I'm seeing it three in the contest. So it's like, listen, 326 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:50,520 Speaker 1: I really think the Jets have a shot this week. 327 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say a sentence and just let it marinate. 328 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 1: Should the Miami Dolphins be favored over anybody? Just let 329 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 1: it sit in. Think about they were favored against the 330 00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:05,840 Speaker 1: Houston Texans. The line came down against them when Tyrod 331 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:09,440 Speaker 1: was reported back and the Dolphins turned the ball over 332 00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:12,679 Speaker 1: five times at home against Houston, and we're able to 333 00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 1: barely cover the spread. Okay, Now they go on the 334 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,159 Speaker 1: road favored and you want to back them here, I 335 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,960 Speaker 1: think his Jets are nothing, So plus three is the line. 336 00:17:22,280 --> 00:17:25,199 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in 337 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:28,200 Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox sports 338 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:31,400 Speaker 1: radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app. 339 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,960 Speaker 1: Search f s R to listen live. The next one 340 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,000 Speaker 1: that fits that trend is the Colts Bills. Now, I 341 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: got the Colts at seven and a half, I got seven. 342 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:43,160 Speaker 1: I think there are some legit edges for the Colts here, 343 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:46,760 Speaker 1: and you never want to say I feel supremely confident 344 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 1: going against one of the best teams in the league. 345 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:55,120 Speaker 1: But if you guys look at the who who the who, 346 00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:57,360 Speaker 1: the built Buffalo Bills have beaten this season, and it's 347 00:17:57,400 --> 00:17:59,360 Speaker 1: not a murderous road. They don't have a great resume. 348 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 1: It's it's just not that impressive. And what should I 349 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 1: care that they beat up a lot of bad teams. 350 00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 1: I mean when they had to face a good run 351 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 1: defense in Pittsburgh, they lost the opener. When they had 352 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 1: to face a good run defense in Jacksonville, and I 353 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:15,040 Speaker 1: know they were down a couple of linemen. Jacksonville pushed 354 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:17,840 Speaker 1: him around, and then of course they lost the Titans, 355 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 1: who had a good run run game. Well, Jonathan Taylor 356 00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: is tied for the legal lead in rushing. Like, there's 357 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 1: a legit opportunity here for the Colts to ball, to 358 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 1: control the ball and uh Steelers went on the road, 359 00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:32,800 Speaker 1: Remember guys, they went to uh what remember that playoff 360 00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:35,760 Speaker 1: game in Buffalo last year, Colts go in a six 361 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,440 Speaker 1: and a half point dogs cover the spread, had four 362 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 1: d seventy yards of offense, twenty seven first downs. I 363 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:44,199 Speaker 1: know it was rivers and not wins, but if they 364 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:47,040 Speaker 1: don't go two for five in the red zone, hello, 365 00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:49,920 Speaker 1: the Colts win that game. They were really good. I'm 366 00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:53,239 Speaker 1: just I like Frank Rich a lot. I trust him 367 00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:55,160 Speaker 1: in this spot. I think they can deliver. I don't 368 00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: know about the upset, but I can definitely see them 369 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 1: um pushing and ringing against the Bill team that listened 370 00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 1: to Are they good? Of course they're good, but they 371 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 1: haven't had a ninety yard rusher this season. They're not 372 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 1: gonna win against the Colts offensive line, which is as 373 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:12,280 Speaker 1: healthy as it's been all season. And you know, people 374 00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:14,840 Speaker 1: want to look at last week they went up seventeen 375 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:16,919 Speaker 1: nothing on the Jags. They kind of fell asleep. You 376 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:18,600 Speaker 1: think maybe they were looking ahead to this game just 377 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: a little bit, and the Jacksonville Jaguars came back and covered. Meanwhile, 378 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:25,919 Speaker 1: what a buffalo do They smacked around the Jets by 379 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:29,160 Speaker 1: like thirty. So I think there is some value on Colts. 380 00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 1: I had to take it, and I'm going to take 381 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 1: it in the contest, and the final one that fits 382 00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:36,879 Speaker 1: the trend is the uh Cleveland Browns against maybe somebody 383 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,320 Speaker 1: named Tim Doyle. I think that's his name, because Jared 384 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:42,879 Speaker 1: Goff has an oblique injury and it sounds like Jared 385 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:46,119 Speaker 1: Goff is not gonna go. Now that could change here 386 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 1: in the next twenty hours. Um, but let me just 387 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:52,320 Speaker 1: make sure I got the guy's name correct. It is 388 00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: Tim Tim Boyle. I'm sorry, Tim, I was confusing it 389 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 1: with that uh o'doyle rules that that what is that 390 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: um Adam Sandler movie and then Susan Boyle who was 391 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:04,880 Speaker 1: that singer and whatever that show was. I don't watch 392 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:07,640 Speaker 1: reality TV, but Susan Boyle was such a good singer. Anyways, 393 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:10,920 Speaker 1: Tim Boyle is the backup in Detroit, not David Blow 394 00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 1: somebody named Tim Boyle. I look this up. He hasn't 395 00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 1: thrown an NFL pass since Welcome to the NFL. This 396 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 1: is Myles Garrett. He's gonna be coming at you. And 397 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 1: you just look at that like, oh goodness, gracious, good luck, 398 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:28,119 Speaker 1: Tim Boyle. Now I dug up a fun stat from 399 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:31,840 Speaker 1: the Lions tie with the Steelers. Are you ready for this? So, 400 00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 1: Mason Rudolph dropped back and threw fifty passes in the 401 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 1: overtime game last week, the Detroit Lions did not sack 402 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:44,640 Speaker 1: Mason Rudolph once, but even worse, they did not hit 403 00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 1: Mason Rudolph once. Think about this. Do you throw fifty 404 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:51,119 Speaker 1: passes and you're not hit once? I mean, this defense 405 00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,760 Speaker 1: is very, very bad. I think with the return of 406 00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb they were able to exploit it on the 407 00:20:56,840 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 1: ground run all over them. I think the Browns can 408 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,160 Speaker 1: contained them. When the Browns have stepped down in class. 409 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 1: They've really beat up on some bad teams um namely 410 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 1: the Chicago UM Chicago Bears. They crushed them. They smack 411 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 1: around bad teams. Listen, Patriots are pretty good, so I 412 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:17,199 Speaker 1: like the Browns. Double digit favorites are always risky. The 413 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:20,920 Speaker 1: other ones I'm looking at. Uh, I took the Vikings 414 00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:24,200 Speaker 1: plus two. This Aaron Rodgers thing, I don't. I guess 415 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:26,440 Speaker 1: we're gonna find out today what's going on. But hasn't 416 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,560 Speaker 1: practiced the last two days. By the way, neither as 417 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:32,399 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson. I stayed away from that game, but it's weird. 418 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:36,800 Speaker 1: In the last two weeks, every single contender has had 419 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 1: a midseason slip. Up. Remember that led to the pod 420 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 1: this week with Sam Monson, wh were like, who the 421 00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 1: heck is good? Well, I don't know. I look at 422 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 1: the Grammy Packers, I said, okay, um, the Bills they 423 00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 1: lost to the Jaguars. The Rams have lost two in 424 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:53,639 Speaker 1: a row. The Bucks lost to Washington, Dallas lost to Denver. 425 00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:57,920 Speaker 1: Green Bay has with Aaron Rodgers not had a slip 426 00:21:58,000 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 1: up yet. And you wonder you saw David bock dr 427 00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:02,040 Speaker 1: who's supposed to be back. We've been talking about this 428 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:03,879 Speaker 1: for weeks that one of the best left tackles of 429 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 1: football not practicing this week. Aaron Rodgers, Sorry, not not 430 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,440 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. Aaron Jones the running back out this week. 431 00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: The Vikings get healthier, go look at I'm gonna They 432 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,760 Speaker 1: had two big starters down last week, including Bars still 433 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:19,879 Speaker 1: beat the Chargers Bar and their big run stopper Pierced 434 00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:22,440 Speaker 1: in the middle. He's back. I just think things line 435 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 1: up here for it. We're a Vikings big, big performance 436 00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 1: and a win, an outright win. So I like Vikings 437 00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:29,679 Speaker 1: money line and getting to By the way, this is 438 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:31,679 Speaker 1: not a primetime game, so Kirk Cousins, you don't have 439 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:35,320 Speaker 1: to worry about him absolutely vomiting all over himself. Um 440 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:38,040 Speaker 1: give me the Vikings. I took Washington at three and 441 00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: a half. I know that's not gonna sound very appealing 442 00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:45,439 Speaker 1: because it's like, Oh, you're taking Taylor Henikioff beating the Bucks. 443 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 1: Oh okay, Well, I mean look on the other side 444 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:53,359 Speaker 1: of the football, guys, Carolina smashed Arizona and now Cam 445 00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:55,280 Speaker 1: Newton sounds like he's going to be the starter, and 446 00:22:55,320 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: you're like, oh, Kim Newton, really, guy was touched for 447 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:04,280 Speaker 1: nine weeks throughout the league and now he's gonna start. Huh. 448 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,920 Speaker 1: And I the Chase Young thing, Okay, he hadn't played 449 00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,680 Speaker 1: that well this season. Washington got healthier from the bye. 450 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,200 Speaker 1: I know they got some turnover luck in that game 451 00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:16,400 Speaker 1: against Tampa early Brady picks. But again, as I said 452 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 1: with Miami Jets, say this out loud, the Carolina Panthers 453 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,320 Speaker 1: are favored by three and a half. The last two 454 00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:27,480 Speaker 1: times they were favored just happened to be against NFC 455 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:31,120 Speaker 1: East teams, the Eagles and the Giants. Do you want 456 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,360 Speaker 1: to take a gander at what happened in both those 457 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:36,720 Speaker 1: games they were favored, they lost out right, and I 458 00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,480 Speaker 1: would not be shocked if Washington won this out right now, listen, 459 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,439 Speaker 1: you get the hook, it's money three. It probably ends 460 00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 1: up pushing. This is gonna be a field goal game, right. 461 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:47,680 Speaker 1: It doesn't feel like anybody absolutely crushes the other. McCaffrey 462 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: scares me a little bit. The Washington linebackers, according to 463 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus, great out very very poorly. Um Davis 464 00:23:54,920 --> 00:24:00,160 Speaker 1: ranked seventy five out of eighties six linebackers Holcom out 465 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,200 Speaker 1: of a D six linebackers, and the other linebackers someone 466 00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 1: named Khaliki Hudson out of Michigan. I don't know any 467 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 1: of these gentlemen, um, and that those are the guys 468 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:13,359 Speaker 1: that would be matched up with Christian McAffrey out of 469 00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 1: the backfield. So yes, I have some concern about this 470 00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:21,360 Speaker 1: Washington defense. Uh. John Bostick has played awful. Uh. The kid, 471 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 1: the young kid Davis at A Kentucky also struggles. So 472 00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:27,000 Speaker 1: I don't know what their game plan is for McCaffrey. 473 00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 1: One would hope Ron Rivera has something dialed up. And um, 474 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,600 Speaker 1: the final one, I know, I'll talk about survivor in say, 475 00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:36,399 Speaker 1: but the final against the spread is I'm looking at 476 00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,359 Speaker 1: the Houston Texans getting ten and a half simply a 477 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:42,200 Speaker 1: fade of the Titans, because I'm I'm pot committed fading 478 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,600 Speaker 1: the Titans right every week. I know Dave um our 479 00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:47,640 Speaker 1: guy David Baker, who's been saying, don't listened Titans for real, 480 00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:50,919 Speaker 1: don't fade them. Dave, There's no way ten and a 481 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,840 Speaker 1: half you're actually getting that this week, right. There's zero 482 00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:59,520 Speaker 1: chance that you would dive into this game and say, yeah, 483 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:01,360 Speaker 1: give me the Titans favorite by ten and a half. 484 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:03,359 Speaker 1: There's just no way. There's no way you're doing that 485 00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 1: getting ten and a half. I mean, if there's a 486 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:07,399 Speaker 1: letdown spot now, I know I've been saying this for 487 00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 1: weeks in the Titans, this has to be it, right, 488 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,160 Speaker 1: I mean all five straight games I saw stat they 489 00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 1: are seven and oh this season against teams that made 490 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 1: the playoffs last year. Like that's impressive. This team just 491 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 1: keeps on rolling in. If there is gonna be a letdown, 492 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:25,440 Speaker 1: it's probably this week. Now. I didn't take it yet, 493 00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,240 Speaker 1: but I'm probably gonna take it. That's why I'm saying 494 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 1: it here. Final note, there's a long gambling segment Survivor. Okay, 495 00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:34,440 Speaker 1: I've told you guys a lot about the contest. It's 496 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,879 Speaker 1: a mid I thought it was a mid five figure payout, 497 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:38,880 Speaker 1: but I'm hearing it's closer to eighty thou dollars, which 498 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:43,560 Speaker 1: would be a really really big hit. Um, I have 499 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,160 Speaker 1: Tennessee or Cleveland, and I just told you that I'm 500 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:50,400 Speaker 1: probably gonna take the Texans. Texans getting ten and a half, 501 00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,240 Speaker 1: So I think Cleveland has to be the side for 502 00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 1: me in Survivor. And if you go down swing in 503 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,960 Speaker 1: now Baker gets knocked out of the game case Keenum, 504 00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,760 Speaker 1: there's a level of confidence in him filling in. You know, 505 00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:03,920 Speaker 1: in knows Stefanski system. He's a veteran. I'm definitely gonna 506 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:07,960 Speaker 1: go against Tim. Tim Boyle here and I all earlier 507 00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:10,480 Speaker 1: stated how backup quarterbacks have come in and done fairly well. 508 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,880 Speaker 1: But I think I have to go with Cleveland at 509 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,920 Speaker 1: home the run game. I mean, if something changes in 510 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 1: Chubb can't go, um, maybe I rethink it and go Tennessee. 511 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 1: But um, it's either Cleveland or Tennessee the next week 512 00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,159 Speaker 1: and Survivors the real, real tough one. I started to 513 00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 1: look at it a bit this weekend. It made my 514 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,919 Speaker 1: stomach get a little queasy, just because it's really a 515 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 1: difficult week and Survivor, but it went from two hundred 516 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:38,919 Speaker 1: and sixty eight people to a hundred and two. I 517 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:42,479 Speaker 1: had two accounts or I had two entries. I lost 518 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 1: one on the Bengals Jets, and I mean one more left. 519 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,680 Speaker 1: I mean there was so much carnage in the last 520 00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:50,520 Speaker 1: three weeks that I'm I'm in the mix here, and um, 521 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,880 Speaker 1: it's funny. This has taken precedence for me over fantasy 522 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:56,800 Speaker 1: because well a, because how much money is it's take 523 00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,199 Speaker 1: can also be like bragging rights, and I think my 524 00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 1: strategy have been else I've saved the Bills. If I 525 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 1: save the Titans here, they have the easiest schedule the 526 00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,640 Speaker 1: rest of the season, So I still would have Titans 527 00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:10,320 Speaker 1: and Bills, who are the two best teams in the 528 00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,000 Speaker 1: a f C. Those are good to have in my pocket. 529 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,320 Speaker 1: And you know, unfortunately neither of them has a great 530 00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 1: spot next week. So it's dicey. Survivor is fun uh, 531 00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 1: Me and my son needs some fantasy help this weekend 532 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:23,919 Speaker 1: to get in the playoffs. I'm in good shape in 533 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,600 Speaker 1: one league, but um, the other four, it's like up 534 00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:29,760 Speaker 1: in the air. All right, guys, thanks for listening. To 535 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:31,719 Speaker 1: have a great weekend. Talk to you Monday