WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2021 NFL MegaPod Week 3 Preview 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:14.240 Check it on Man No Down Man Thursday, the most 0:00:14.240 --> 0:00:18.960 podcast of Megapod Live from the d R Home from 0:00:18.960 --> 0:00:22.599 the Megapod, not Circa, not that place, the d We 0:00:22.720 --> 0:00:27.120 like the space. We are old school. I like the duh. 0:00:27.240 --> 0:00:28.680 That is the voice by the way of our guest 0:00:28.760 --> 0:00:32.000 this week, West Reynolds. For those on the megapod uh 0:00:32.360 --> 0:00:34.360 feed who listened into the show for years and years, 0:00:34.560 --> 0:00:37.200 West has never been on here before, which is clearly 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:39.760 an oversight on my part. West is the co host 0:00:39.800 --> 0:00:42.120 of long Shots, the greatest golf betting show there ever 0:00:42.200 --> 0:00:44.839 was with Brady Cannon and Matt Humans at Visa. But 0:00:44.920 --> 0:00:46.479 West is far more than just the co host of 0:00:46.520 --> 0:00:50.040 long Shots. West Reynolds can co host any show about 0:00:50.080 --> 0:00:52.360 any subject. We're just talking about f one off air. 0:00:52.520 --> 0:00:54.200 West is like, yeah, I know about that too, and 0:00:54.240 --> 0:01:00.440 know it's about everything about anything, pop culture, everything, culture, wrestling, Yes, UFC, boxing, everything, 0:01:00.520 --> 0:01:02.640 West Reynolds, you think we're going to have a big 0:01:02.640 --> 0:01:06.120 crowd here for this UFC this weekend? West, you think that? 0:01:07.120 --> 0:01:09.840 I think so. I look, I watched the fights the 0:01:10.000 --> 0:01:13.120 I think it's McGregor and Plourier in the warehouse up 0:01:13.160 --> 0:01:15.560 that circle on the third floor, by the way, great 0:01:15.560 --> 0:01:17.440 place to go watch the fights if you if you're 0:01:17.480 --> 0:01:20.280 not in the arena at t Mobile, arguably one of 0:01:20.319 --> 0:01:23.240 the best places in town. Had a great time up there. West. 0:01:23.240 --> 0:01:24.600 Thank you for doing this for the first time. It's 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:26.679 an honor that you're here. And what's your favorite air 0:01:26.680 --> 0:01:29.240 Supply song? Just to prove a point, okay, the one 0:01:29.280 --> 0:01:36.480 that you love West? What do you go? Ahead? Todd, 0:01:36.480 --> 0:01:39.720 I'm sorry, how do you feel about Repenzia timm Assura 0:01:40.240 --> 0:01:43.120 scoring in the second half at home against Dinamo Bucharest 0:01:43.120 --> 0:01:46.880 and the Romanian come of course he asked the question 0:01:46.920 --> 0:01:49.040 that would tripped me off because I am not following that. 0:01:49.200 --> 0:01:51.200 Let's go back to air supply. It's a dead heat 0:01:51.240 --> 0:01:54.280 between even the nights are better, and you know I 0:01:54.280 --> 0:01:56.760 got to include that one. Did you hear Paul Howard's 0:01:56.800 --> 0:01:59.600 take this morning that Green Day is the second most 0:01:59.680 --> 0:02:02.080 over did band of all time? Who's the first? Most? 0:02:02.120 --> 0:02:05.840 You too interesting? And there's a lot of people that 0:02:05.920 --> 0:02:09.880 have that take. I don't know that I disagree by 0:02:09.880 --> 0:02:11.799 the way the other voices, of course, Todd wished it 0:02:11.919 --> 0:02:15.440 from his Bomb's Cork Addict in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, on the 0:02:15.440 --> 0:02:18.280 Big screen and Mike Palm, Ladies and gentlemen, the vice 0:02:18.320 --> 0:02:23.880 president of Operations. I've got against Dnamu in my fanal 0:02:24.280 --> 0:02:29.840 uh little table. Are you betting team totals? Yes, I've 0:02:29.880 --> 0:02:33.160 got Repenzia under a half and I'm re rolling now 0:02:33.240 --> 0:02:37.680 because I'm on both sides. Todd's betting soccer, betting tennis 0:02:38.040 --> 0:02:41.200 currently and we're gonna do the megapod And as always, 0:02:41.440 --> 0:02:44.919 we start Mike with the Circa Millions and Circus Survivor update. 0:02:44.919 --> 0:02:47.120 What do you and the millions? We have twelve people 0:02:47.200 --> 0:02:49.960 ten and oh. After two weeks one person oh and ten, 0:02:50.560 --> 0:02:54.600 So it's it's you know, out of four thousand entries, 0:02:54.720 --> 0:02:58.639 only twelve or ten and only one is in ten, 0:02:58.960 --> 0:03:03.320 So that's it's and millions more people didn't put in 0:03:03.360 --> 0:03:07.519 the thirty one didn't put their entry in the millions, 0:03:07.560 --> 0:03:11.440 which disqualifies them from the quarterly and overall Booby Prize. 0:03:11.440 --> 0:03:16.160 They could still win other quarters and Circa Circus Survivor. 0:03:17.840 --> 0:03:20.640 The not entry was knocked out the third most people 0:03:20.680 --> 0:03:24.080 this week. First was the Steelers, then was Seattle. The 0:03:24.160 --> 0:03:27.120 third most came from the non entry. How does it 0:03:27.240 --> 0:03:29.080 go up from week one? Week one? Should be the 0:03:29.080 --> 0:03:31.720 most that didn't get in because people die. People are 0:03:31.760 --> 0:03:33.840 in jail. You know there's a four months sign up, 0:03:33.840 --> 0:03:35.920 but what people do die? People do go to jail. 0:03:35.960 --> 0:03:39.520 The people are passed out on Fremont Street on Saturday night. 0:03:39.760 --> 0:03:44.440 Anything can happened, Yes, anything can happened. Um okay. Well, so, 0:03:44.480 --> 0:03:46.320 by the way, I'm struggling with Survivor this week because 0:03:46.360 --> 0:03:48.640 I don't know whether to go with Carolina tonight or 0:03:48.720 --> 0:03:51.760 Denver on Sunday. We'll get the Survivor here, Todd, do 0:03:51.880 --> 0:03:55.480 you advance last week? Yes? I advanced with the Denver 0:03:55.560 --> 0:03:59.200 Broncos over the Jacksonville Jaguar. You still have both entries left? 0:04:00.160 --> 0:04:02.080 I have to now I only have one. I only 0:04:02.120 --> 0:04:06.480 went into one. I'm currently six and four and millions 0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:09.240 after I had a smooth four and one. Who did 0:04:09.280 --> 0:04:13.360 you use week one and Survivor? I used the l 0:04:13.400 --> 0:04:15.560 A range all right, So Rams and Broncos off of 0:04:15.640 --> 0:04:21.080 todd slist, Bucks and Packers for me, Bucks and Packers off. Okay, okay, 0:04:21.160 --> 0:04:23.599 uh Todd. I hate to ask this question because I 0:04:23.640 --> 0:04:27.039 got whitewashed last week, But what are the as the 0:04:27.440 --> 0:04:32.360 pod stenographer, what were our records last week? On this show. Yes, 0:04:32.440 --> 0:04:35.520 as the pod stenographer. Last week was a rough week 0:04:35.560 --> 0:04:41.480 for young Gilly Ice going oh and three, Uh, he 0:04:41.960 --> 0:04:44.960 moves himself to one in five, although he did get 0:04:45.080 --> 0:04:47.920 very lucky with his teaser going to two and oh 0:04:48.000 --> 0:04:49.960 and teasers. He had New England and the Bengals, and 0:04:49.960 --> 0:04:52.800 the Bengals got a Justin Fields gift thank you for 0:04:52.839 --> 0:04:55.840 the long saving and so he goes to two and 0:04:55.920 --> 0:04:59.120 oh and teasers. Mikey was one and two. There you 0:04:59.120 --> 0:05:02.240 go to move to three and three and he lost 0:05:02.279 --> 0:05:05.400 his teaser. Oh, I go in with the Picksburg Spellers 0:05:05.480 --> 0:05:10.880 who cannot block anyone and therefore the Raiders knocked out 0:05:10.880 --> 0:05:13.040 his teaser. He's not one and one in teasers, and 0:05:13.120 --> 0:05:15.520 I had a stellar two and one to go to 0:05:15.640 --> 0:05:19.440 four and two, also winning my teaser easily. Broncos and 0:05:19.480 --> 0:05:22.040 Pats with my teaser to go to two and a teacher, 0:05:22.080 --> 0:05:23.960 I could tell you we're super excited to go through this. 0:05:24.040 --> 0:05:28.320 How did how did our week two guests? Uh? Two 0:05:28.360 --> 0:05:32.120 guests Drew Dinsick had the Steelers minus six losing, the 0:05:32.160 --> 0:05:35.000 Colts plus three and a half somehow covering and the 0:05:35.120 --> 0:05:38.240 Vikings plus three and a half, also covering He also 0:05:38.440 --> 0:05:41.840 got very lucky with the Bengals Packers teaser. I love 0:05:41.839 --> 0:05:43.919 how you when when other people are involved, you're like 0:05:44.080 --> 0:05:48.200 somehow and got lucky. But with you, it's just easy peacy, right, Todd, 0:05:48.200 --> 0:05:53.840 you're four and you're four and two now sometimes I'm 0:05:53.880 --> 0:05:57.719 three three? Thank Gil is one in five? Is that good? 0:05:58.600 --> 0:06:01.320 My question is is this the latest into the year. 0:06:01.360 --> 0:06:07.720 You've had the lead in the contest both years. I'm 0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:10.360 not worried about teasers. I'm talking about the best bets. 0:06:10.839 --> 0:06:13.480 It's the latest. It's like the it's like the Detroit 0:06:13.520 --> 0:06:17.920 Tigers latest they've been at the first place. We'll see 0:06:17.960 --> 0:06:21.040 what happens. H And also we have an additional member 0:06:21.040 --> 0:06:22.599 of the show. If you're watching a video here, Uh, 0:06:22.880 --> 0:06:26.000 Mike palm cut out, which which is the real awesome thing? Mike, 0:06:26.240 --> 0:06:28.039 you know you're gonna hate me for doing this back, 0:06:28.240 --> 0:06:30.520 but how is it? How is it that they gave 0:06:30.560 --> 0:06:32.560 you the back of this too with the uh you 0:06:32.560 --> 0:06:34.600 didn't you really like what's going on up there? No, 0:06:34.760 --> 0:06:36.520 they could have painted that. I mean, it doesn't have 0:06:36.560 --> 0:06:39.480 to be that life like it could have. Well, of 0:06:39.560 --> 0:06:42.440 us are getting younger. You feel great here, Mike, Thank 0:06:42.440 --> 0:06:45.000 you West, West, and I are going to be on 0:06:45.160 --> 0:06:48.000 both sides of here, all right, Um, so what do 0:06:48.040 --> 0:06:50.560 we do first Thursday night football? We don't have to 0:06:50.600 --> 0:06:52.440 have a pick here. I'm just curious if there are 0:06:52.480 --> 0:06:57.240 any thoughts about this. I have Carolina in multiple teasers 0:06:57.520 --> 0:07:00.800 with Arizona, with Cleveland. I even have one wacky one 0:07:00.800 --> 0:07:02.839 where I have them with like four other teams for 0:07:02.880 --> 0:07:07.040 plus three fifty. But yet I'm I'm terrified about taking 0:07:07.040 --> 0:07:08.880 them in the Survivor, even though I have them in 0:07:08.960 --> 0:07:11.440 teaser legs, which makes no sense, but Survivor tends to 0:07:11.480 --> 0:07:13.640 do weird things to your brain. West. I'm curious if 0:07:13.640 --> 0:07:15.040 you have any takes. I know I talked to you 0:07:15.040 --> 0:07:17.680 about this morning on a numbers game. What is your 0:07:17.720 --> 0:07:19.920 take on the Yeah, this would be a teaser only 0:07:20.000 --> 0:07:22.760 game for me on Carolina, because look, you can get 0:07:22.800 --> 0:07:25.080 it through the three and the seven, so Carolina down 0:07:25.080 --> 0:07:26.560 to two or if at seven and a half, you 0:07:26.560 --> 0:07:28.480 can get it down to one and a half, and 0:07:28.520 --> 0:07:30.480 that'd be the only way I would go here. I 0:07:30.480 --> 0:07:33.240 would be careful laying the points in this spot. And 0:07:33.280 --> 0:07:36.200 I agree with your caution on the Survivor because look, 0:07:36.600 --> 0:07:39.120 you have a Carolina team and when you're a young 0:07:39.200 --> 0:07:41.320 team like them, and I took them overseason wins. I 0:07:41.360 --> 0:07:43.480 do like this team. I like Matt Rule, I like 0:07:43.640 --> 0:07:46.200 Joe Brady. I like this defense. They've been drafting guys 0:07:46.200 --> 0:07:48.360 in the first round pretty much each of the last 0:07:48.360 --> 0:07:50.640 four years, and those guys are finally starting to play 0:07:51.000 --> 0:07:54.000 and produce and come together. This defense is absolutely for real. 0:07:54.440 --> 0:07:57.480 But what worries me on Carolina is you have a 0:07:57.520 --> 0:07:59.840 team that's not used to this spot. You have a 0:07:59.840 --> 0:08:02.480 team that's not used to winning and they're not used 0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:04.560 to success, and you're asking them to lay over a 0:08:04.600 --> 0:08:06.920 touchdown on the road. I know it's Davis Mills. I 0:08:07.000 --> 0:08:08.920 know he was eight of eight team last week with 0:08:08.920 --> 0:08:12.320 a touchdown in an interception in the second half against Cleveland, 0:08:12.520 --> 0:08:14.520 but you do at least give him a couple of 0:08:14.560 --> 0:08:17.160 days of practice with the number one, which he essentially 0:08:17.200 --> 0:08:19.760 did not have for the Cleveland game last week after 0:08:19.800 --> 0:08:22.760 Taylor when Taylor got knocked out. But I'd be a 0:08:22.800 --> 0:08:26.120 little careful laying this spot with Carolina. I think just 0:08:26.240 --> 0:08:28.080 on the math, you probably have to use them in 0:08:28.080 --> 0:08:30.200 a teaser. But this isn't something I'm willing to like. 0:08:30.280 --> 0:08:32.839 Go balls to the wall with so to speak, Does 0:08:32.880 --> 0:08:35.520 anybody differ with it? I think that I feel exactly 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:38.600 like that. Last week I said you should use the 0:08:38.600 --> 0:08:42.440 football team and survivor, no never in doubt, clear winner, 0:08:42.840 --> 0:08:48.319 wire or wire. And I think you must consider using 0:08:48.360 --> 0:08:50.440 the Panthers tonight as well. I think you have to 0:08:50.880 --> 0:08:54.720 because you cannot use Carol Cardinals, you cannot use Arizone. 0:08:54.760 --> 0:08:59.680 You must save them for Christmas. I think, well, see, 0:08:59.720 --> 0:09:02.880 I don't. I Detroit scares me. You know, Detroit has 0:09:02.920 --> 0:09:05.120 an offensive line they can block you for me, and 0:09:05.240 --> 0:09:07.280 for me, it's Carol will get the survivor. But for 0:09:07.320 --> 0:09:10.400 me it's Carolina versus Denver. That's that's why I don't 0:09:10.440 --> 0:09:12.760 know where else would you use Denver? Denver would get 0:09:12.800 --> 0:09:15.160 my vote now because they're in a very tough vision. 0:09:15.320 --> 0:09:18.280 If you West, let's just say it, at four entries left, 0:09:18.760 --> 0:09:21.720 would you split them between Carolina and Denver? This week? 0:09:22.040 --> 0:09:24.280 I would maybe lean a little bit more toward the Denver, 0:09:24.400 --> 0:09:27.000 So maybe three. And that's what I might do, because 0:09:27.200 --> 0:09:29.400 I think with Denver, you've gotta understand they're gonna have 0:09:29.400 --> 0:09:31.760 a toper schedule and they're gonna have two games of 0:09:31.800 --> 0:09:33.960 Kansas City they're gonna have two games at the Chargers, 0:09:33.960 --> 0:09:36.120 they're gonna have two games with the Raiders, and the 0:09:36.160 --> 0:09:38.439 non conference it gets a little tougher. And even though 0:09:38.440 --> 0:09:40.240 I kind of like the Jets and the Points, I 0:09:40.240 --> 0:09:42.920 would still probably use the Broncos. Yeah, we might as 0:09:42.960 --> 0:09:45.040 well flush out the surpriber talk about as I look 0:09:45.040 --> 0:09:48.560 at the schedule, Carolina and Denver. The only other time 0:09:48.600 --> 0:09:51.280 you can justify using either happens to be the same 0:09:51.360 --> 0:09:55.280 week also, so it's kind of like and by the way, 0:09:55.320 --> 0:09:57.600 it's really late in the season also, and I'm not 0:09:58.160 --> 0:10:01.199 I'm not. I'm trying to expunge last year for my brain, 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:05.640 where like normal survivors usually only get to like week ten, eleven, twelve, 0:10:06.000 --> 0:10:07.880 So who knows if that will even come into play. 0:10:08.120 --> 0:10:10.600 And Todd, I think you can holler if you hear 0:10:10.640 --> 0:10:14.120 me on this, but Jang Si Si has just broken glatch. 0:10:14.360 --> 0:10:16.160 So that's a big thing for me. That just happened. 0:10:16.200 --> 0:10:21.920 In tennis, you know your girls side, that's your play, 0:10:22.080 --> 0:10:25.360 just like you, Todd got those drive shots. I tried 0:10:25.440 --> 0:10:28.200 to do trick slices and angles and every day. If 0:10:28.240 --> 0:10:31.439 you can't handle the moon ball either, oh trust me, 0:10:31.520 --> 0:10:34.760 I can handle any time you want to come out like, 0:10:35.280 --> 0:10:36.880 I don't even know if you get three points on 0:10:36.960 --> 0:10:41.920 me and again, here we go, here we go, brutal. Alright, 0:10:42.040 --> 0:10:44.559 let's do best. Yeah we did. Thursday. I thought any 0:10:44.559 --> 0:10:46.000 other Thursday, And I thought, Todd, do you have any 0:10:46.240 --> 0:10:48.400 I just wanted to Thursday night, thought a little bit 0:10:48.440 --> 0:10:52.120 on the under maybe because I think the Carolina Panthers 0:10:52.880 --> 0:10:55.839 under Matt rule or rule or whatever he likes his 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:59.880 name to be pronounced. I like what they're doing. Defensively. 0:11:00.000 --> 0:11:01.840 They were pretty good the first week against the Jets. 0:11:02.080 --> 0:11:04.640 They were outstanding against the Saints. I mean, if you 0:11:04.720 --> 0:11:07.319 look at the drive charts for the Saints, Uh, the 0:11:07.400 --> 0:11:11.080 saints only touchdown came on a gift interception twenty yard drive. 0:11:11.360 --> 0:11:13.199 Other than that, it was three and out, three and out, 0:11:13.240 --> 0:11:14.760 five and out, three and o four and now three 0:11:14.800 --> 0:11:18.600 and it was NonStop, just totally domination of of Jameis 0:11:18.640 --> 0:11:21.200 Winston on the defensive end of the ball. So if 0:11:21.280 --> 0:11:25.000 they can do the same thing against uh Mills, uh, 0:11:25.360 --> 0:11:29.319 you know, Stanford guy, why not? And then uh, you know, 0:11:29.679 --> 0:11:32.640 I don't see I don't see the other you know, 0:11:32.720 --> 0:11:35.559 I don't see their offense under Donald being a you know, 0:11:35.720 --> 0:11:38.360 high flying offense, so you know you could get there 0:11:38.760 --> 0:11:43.520 four to ten, you know something like that. What do 0:11:43.600 --> 0:11:45.959 you think West is the effect of the of the 0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:52.199 Texas not having um the safety read is out and 0:11:52.280 --> 0:11:57.000 then also the linebacker UM. I never say this name 0:11:57.120 --> 0:11:59.800 right with the groogy a Hill. Yeh, I think that 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:02.920 without tonight. So that's why I would I would lean 0:12:03.000 --> 0:12:06.400 to to use Carolina, you would. I would be the 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:13.240 survivor about ahead, obscure, guys, do you know their backups? 0:12:13.480 --> 0:12:17.040 You don't know whether they're backups or that are granted 0:12:17.080 --> 0:12:20.120 at the quarterback position, you do. But in the linebacker position. 0:12:20.280 --> 0:12:22.360 This is what I can't stand when talking heads like 0:12:22.440 --> 0:12:25.000 people who run the Nuts Show or something get on 0:12:25.080 --> 0:12:28.760 there and start talking, start talking about, you know, oh, 0:12:28.920 --> 0:12:31.959 the backup linebacker. You know the linebackers out in the 0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:34.360 safeties out? Well, how do you know the backup if 0:12:34.440 --> 0:12:37.000 you actually do know that the backup linebacker is terrible 0:12:37.040 --> 0:12:39.319 in the backup safety terrible and by all means, But 0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:42.280 do you actually know that, Mr Nutts, I don't know it. 0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:45.719 I don't know what Todd Todd. Another question here is 0:12:45.840 --> 0:12:48.280 Matt Rule, your leader in the clubhouse for coach of 0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:52.719 the Year after two weeks. Hmm, that's a good one. 0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:56.760 It's not Sean Payton anymore. No, no, not at all, 0:12:57.040 --> 0:12:59.880 it's not him. All right, let's do some best bets 0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:04.560 West as the guest with your first one. Okay, first 0:13:04.640 --> 0:13:07.120 best bet, We're gonna go with the team that scored 0:13:07.240 --> 0:13:10.199 no points last week. To make that a best bet. 0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:12.320 Let's just let's just put it out there right now. 0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:15.000 I am going to go, and it's for me basically 0:13:15.160 --> 0:13:16.959 mainly in the market. There's some four and a halves 0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:20.000 out there too, because Derek Carr got ruled probable. I'm 0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:23.400 gonna go with the Miami Dolphins against the Las Vegas Raiders. 0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:25.400 They did beat them late in the year last year, 0:13:25.480 --> 0:13:28.120 so I know a payback spot for the Raiders because 0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:30.520 that's what eliminated them from the playoffs. Remember they got 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:33.839 that personal foul that continued that Miami drive, just like 0:13:34.160 --> 0:13:36.360 as the Raiders are wont to do get a personal 0:13:36.440 --> 0:13:40.440 foul in a key situation. But that was the game. Yes, yeah, 0:13:40.559 --> 0:13:43.240 where Brian Flora is basically subdim in and out. But 0:13:43.679 --> 0:13:46.240 it is gonna be Jacoby Brissette here. But I think 0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:48.199 the market's kind of telling you they don't think that 0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:51.400 there's much of a drop off really between Tuah and 0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:54.239 Jacobi Berset. But if you look at the look aheadline 0:13:54.280 --> 0:13:56.319 on this game, I think it was mainly not with 0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:58.959 the Miami adjustment. I think it was the Raiders adjustment 0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:01.559 because they went in and beat the Pittsburgh Steelers in 0:14:01.600 --> 0:14:05.160 a total dead spot off a short week, expending all 0:14:05.240 --> 0:14:07.559 that energy into your home opener, your first game in 0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:10.040 a new town with fans in the stand, and I 0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:12.120 think the look ahead was like a pick them. And 0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:14.280 now it's adjusted up to four. I think that that's 0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:16.959 a big move. I think the Raiders maybe now kind 0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:19.800 of feeling themselves a little bit. I think defensively, Dave 0:14:19.880 --> 0:14:22.160 still got some issues, especially in the secondary. I think 0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:24.440 that front four has done a very good job getting 0:14:24.480 --> 0:14:26.720 pressure on Lamar Jackson and the opener and then Big 0:14:26.800 --> 0:14:29.480 Ben in the last game. But I like the Dolphins 0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:31.640 here getting four. There are some four and halves out 0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:33.840 there as well. I like it. Do you? By the way, 0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:35.840 teams that have lost by more than thirty in the 0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:40.520 NFL are like over against the following week, which is 0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:42.880 a nice little and that makes sense, right because it's 0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:45.640 a recency bias, the market overreacts. And by the way, 0:14:45.680 --> 0:14:47.920 if you watch that game, you know, I'm not saying 0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:50.200 Miami would have won, but thirty five to nothing was 0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:52.720 about one of the more misleading scores of that week. 0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:55.560 And for those of us who do anything, aren't you guys, 0:14:55.720 --> 0:14:57.880 aren't you guys a little concerned with the fact that 0:14:57.960 --> 0:15:00.520 Miami doesn't look like they can block now matter who's 0:15:00.520 --> 0:15:04.080 playing quarterback. Like the first half of that game, every 0:15:04.200 --> 0:15:07.480 play was like they're getting sacked. It was ridiculous, regardless 0:15:07.520 --> 0:15:09.720 of who was the quarterback. So I love the pick too, 0:15:09.800 --> 0:15:13.200 but I'm so scared of how badly they blocked, well, 0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:16.240 half the offensive lines in the league camp block. I mean, 0:15:16.600 --> 0:15:18.120 I go back to what I think it was Bill 0:15:18.200 --> 0:15:21.440 Polian a few years ago said about the offensive line play. 0:15:21.760 --> 0:15:24.600 It's an epidemic. And I think he's absolutely right. Now. 0:15:24.760 --> 0:15:27.160 He was kind of speaking in the tone of, oh, 0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:30.640 this damn collective bargaining agreement, because he's always management, so 0:15:30.720 --> 0:15:33.360 of course he's gonna take the stand against labor. It's 0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:35.360 like they don't hit in pads enough and and I 0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:37.160 think he's right, But I also think you've got to 0:15:37.200 --> 0:15:40.200 look at the college offenses, that's a different skill set 0:15:40.240 --> 0:15:42.680 than what they do in the NFL. A you know, college, 0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:44.640 the name of the game is run as many plays 0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:46.760 as you can, as fast as you can get a 0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:49.600 guy open in space, and that's it, and just go tempo, 0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:52.400 tempo tempo. In the NFL, the reds are totally different. 0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:54.920 The protections are totally different. So I think you have 0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:57.520 a lot of we were talking about so many teams 0:15:57.560 --> 0:15:59.760 in the summer like that they have bad offensive lines. 0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:04.440 The Bears got a bad offensive line, All these teams, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. 0:16:04.680 --> 0:16:07.560 Steelers bad offensive line. Even teams that you thought would 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.440 have had good offensive lines like the Indianapolis goals have 0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:13.400 been absolutely terrible. Carson Wentz has been sacked six times 0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:16.480 in two weeks. So the offensive line, it's kind of 0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:18.360 one of those things where it's like, you know, about 0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:20.760 half to maybe two thirds of the team in the 0:16:20.840 --> 0:16:25.120 league aren't set on that old line. There's concerned about 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:28.440 the performance of Brissette last week though he looked so 0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:31.880 I think he's good, yeah, but he didn't looked like 0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:34.760 you couldn't even move He couldn't even move around. It 0:16:34.920 --> 0:16:36.600 was like a five step drop and just try to 0:16:36.640 --> 0:16:38.480 spray the ball eight yards here. I mean that was 0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:40.920 their whole offense once he hadn't practiced. I mean, you 0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:42.560 have to give him that sort and you go game 0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:45.440 plan specific to because it's going to be probably different 0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:47.800 how they attack the Raiders than they're going to attack 0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:49.840 the Bills. But you're right, he did not look great. 0:16:49.960 --> 0:16:52.200 But they are getting Will Faller back it looks like, 0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:54.280 so he's getting at least some help on that side. 0:16:54.600 --> 0:16:58.200 I think the two Raiders the two biggest points from 0:16:58.280 --> 0:17:00.280 last year, but not not last week out the two 0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:02.920 bags was one of them. Was you know, again, with 0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:05.600 the NFL, more than any other sport, we tend to 0:17:05.760 --> 0:17:08.000 always be results based and we're like, oh, look, yeah 0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:10.479 the Dolphins got smoked. Yeah, well, their starting quarterback got 0:17:10.560 --> 0:17:12.560 knocked out four minutes into the game. Can I prove 0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:14.399 to you that would have gone otherwise? I can't, but 0:17:14.720 --> 0:17:17.160 you know that's a thing. T J. Watt got knocked 0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:19.360 out after the first quarter in the Steelers game. Would 0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:21.080 that game have been different? I will sit here and 0:17:21.119 --> 0:17:22.720 tell you it would have been. I can't prove it 0:17:22.760 --> 0:17:24.439 to you, but but I think it would have been 0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:28.879 the other biggest thing is the last injury reports from 0:17:29.000 --> 0:17:31.520 last week. So on Primetime Action, which I do with 0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:34.400 Matt Brown and Kelly Billin on MSG Plus at Visa, 0:17:34.840 --> 0:17:37.160 we do we take such pride in like, Okay, these 0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:40.359 are the final injury reports. This team is decimated. This 0:17:40.480 --> 0:17:43.160 team is decimated. This team. Every one of those teams, 0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:45.200 they got the worst of the injury report last week 0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:47.720 in the final one. So I'm talking about the Ravens 0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:51.399 and the Vikings and the Niners. I'm forgetting something right 0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:55.240 that just got destroyed. All of those teams ended up covering. 0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:58.480 So I feel like last week was this weird aberration 0:17:58.600 --> 0:18:01.240 where if you waited, if you the prudent thing and 0:18:01.359 --> 0:18:04.520 waited for the final injury repoard, it almost screwed you, 0:18:04.960 --> 0:18:08.240 Whereas if you made your picks earlier, you were better off. 0:18:08.320 --> 0:18:10.159 And I don't think that's a normal thing. I think 0:18:10.200 --> 0:18:12.320 that's just an aberrational thing. But that, to me was 0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:14.639 the biggest betting point of last week, that if you 0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:18.880 played against teams that were decimated. And maybe this plays 0:18:18.920 --> 0:18:21.080 into your point to some degree, Todd, where it's like 0:18:21.240 --> 0:18:24.600 we just assume that if certain players are knocked out, 0:18:25.119 --> 0:18:28.480 it doesn't necessarily mean, it's the drop off that we 0:18:28.600 --> 0:18:31.320 think it is. Maybe, well, that's the thing. If if 0:18:31.400 --> 0:18:34.320 you have like cluster injuries on the offensive line, that's 0:18:34.359 --> 0:18:36.520 then yeah, that can be a thing. But if you've 0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:39.760 got my safeties out and my this guy's out, but 0:18:39.920 --> 0:18:42.320 we don't know who's is the second team guy good? 0:18:42.440 --> 0:18:45.120 Is he not good? I think sometimes it's it's overblown. 0:18:45.160 --> 0:18:46.680 And I was just taking a shot at Mikey because 0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:48.320 I like to take shots on Mikey because he takes 0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:50.720 shots to me. But but the point is, I think 0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:54.439 people sometimes get a little too overblown with that. Now, 0:18:54.480 --> 0:18:57.239 the quarterback position is an entirely different thing, because your 0:18:57.320 --> 0:19:00.640 quarterback is a giant thing. But the the the these 0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:02.520 injury things, I think you have to take them with 0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:04.200 a grain of salt. You really have to be careful. 0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:07.119 First of all, Todd, I asked Wes his opinion about 0:19:07.160 --> 0:19:09.960 the injuries affecting them. I didn't purport to know anything 0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:12.200 about it. I asked a guy that has a deeper 0:19:12.320 --> 0:19:15.840 knowledge of this than I do, Mikey. Mikey, I wasn't 0:19:15.840 --> 0:19:19.439 really attacking attacking people like you, you know, people who 0:19:19.440 --> 0:19:23.080 have shows, like people that have mediocre shows. What's the 0:19:23.119 --> 0:19:26.440 new name of the show. Odds on, odds on everybody, 0:19:26.640 --> 0:19:29.399 odds on. Yeah, I'm not gonna get used to that. 0:19:29.600 --> 0:19:32.440 We have two guests today in an hour show. Yes, 0:19:33.400 --> 0:19:37.760 Cadrea Ismail the Missile Yeah, and then Professor John Clayton, 0:19:37.800 --> 0:19:41.639 also Professor John, Professor John. All Right, we got we 0:19:41.680 --> 0:19:44.400 gotta we gotta move. Alright, Mikey, your first best bet, 0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:47.440 My first best bet is the forty Niners minus three 0:19:48.320 --> 0:19:51.600 on Sunday Night. Second, no, no, no, no, no no, 0:19:51.720 --> 0:19:53.840 I'm not laying three and a half. Todd, don't start 0:19:53.880 --> 0:20:02.040 that bullshit. Are okay? I'm three points. Listen. You just 0:20:02.359 --> 0:20:06.480 cannot underestimate how bad Matt Rule is in Sunshine States. 0:20:06.560 --> 0:20:09.920 I mean, this guy is an absolute disaster. The average 0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:12.359 scores of the five games he's played in Florida and 0:20:12.440 --> 0:20:15.320