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Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to The Herd podcast. Be sure to

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Speaker 1: catch us live every weekday on Fox Sports Radio and

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Speaker 2: You're listening to Fox Sports Radio.

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Speaker 1: Oh well, committed to Tuesday football is back?

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Speaker 3: We are back and are set. Listen.

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Speaker 1: I don't talk about sets much, okay, or graphics, but uh,

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Speaker 1: the people that run this network to make big decisions

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Speaker 1: and you know, take town cars to work.

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Speaker 3: They have done a good.

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Speaker 1: Job with our sets, our design and our graphics. And

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Speaker 1: so you'll see some flares out there and some cool

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Speaker 1: stuff and we appreciate the effort. You know, if the

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Speaker 1: host gets older, you know you need help. I need support.

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Speaker 3: My back's hurting from cherry.

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Speaker 1: Com lit backs hurting from all that golfs. You can

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Speaker 1: tell what's happening to this show, Nick right in a

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Speaker 1: couple of minutes.

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Speaker 2: So here we go.

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Speaker 1: This is our last heard hierarchy going into the season. Listen,

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Speaker 1: the hardest part of this hierarchy was not the top.

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Speaker 1: It was who do I put ten to eleven twelve.

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Speaker 1: I got to watch the first couple of weekends.

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Speaker 3: So here we go.

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Speaker 2: Heard hierarchy. I'm now go the top ten NFL teams

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Speaker 2: according to College.

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Speaker 1: Number ten, I'm gonna put Detroit in there. They've got

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Speaker 1: two new coordinators, they lost two offensive linemen. The strength

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Speaker 1: of their team. They get Aiden Hutchison back. I think

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Speaker 1: their division is better this team last year. You know

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Speaker 1: you're talking fourteen to fifteen wins. I think it's major pullback.

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Speaker 1: They are so good upstairs. They've built a really cool culture.

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Speaker 1: I've always liked Jared Goff more than the rest of

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Speaker 1: the media gallery. But I don't think this team wins

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Speaker 1: their division, and I think losing elite coordinators go as

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia can get ugly fast.

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Speaker 3: I have them at ten.

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Speaker 1: Number nine, I'll put the Rams, although I think Houston

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Speaker 1: is a dangerous opener with Will Anderson, the Rams left

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Speaker 1: tackle just started practicing this week, and I mean, anybody

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Speaker 1: spotted Matt Stafford in LA.

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Speaker 3: I think it's a dangerous opener.

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Speaker 1: But I think they have the second best coach in

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Speaker 1: the league, and when Stafford has time to throw with

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Speaker 1: this young defense, they'll win games.

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Speaker 3: This is amazing.

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Speaker 1: They were the young They played more rookies than anybody

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Speaker 1: in the NFL last year, and yet we're.

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Speaker 3: The least penalized team.

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Speaker 1: They're a completely buttoned up organization, but left tackle and

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Speaker 1: quarterback is a lot of question marks, and Houston is

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Speaker 1: a scary opener with their pass rush. Number eight the Packers.

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Speaker 1: Let me ask you, is Jordan Love good? I don't know,

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Speaker 1: but I.

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Speaker 3: Like the culture. I like the team.

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Speaker 1: They were actually last year one in five in division,

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Speaker 1: which is rare for them, so I think they'll improve.

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Speaker 1: There were ten and one against everybody else. Jordan Loves

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Speaker 1: starts the season slow, so that's a real thing. Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow's done the same thing. Reasons I don't know. Again,

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Speaker 1: I thought they went out and got a number one

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Speaker 1: ride receiver. The Mica trade is absolutely worth a win.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if it's worth two. But they won

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Speaker 1: eleven games last year and we're banged up at quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Just out of respect for the organization and the coach,

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Speaker 1: I think the Mica trade works for them. I think

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Speaker 1: they win the division. Number seven Commanders are good. I

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Speaker 1: wonder if they're great. They have five primetime games. They're

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Speaker 1: the oldest team in the league.

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Speaker 3: Did you know that?

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Speaker 1: Looked it up this morning. Older players do not like

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Speaker 1: primetime games. The Chiefs are used to it, but it

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Speaker 1: can be disruptive. Also, Jadeen Daniels and the Commanders scored

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Speaker 1: on fifty percent of their drives. I'm gonna go with

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Speaker 1: that's not going to happen again. The Deebo Samuel Chess

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Speaker 1: piece is really interesting, but I have them at seven.

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Speaker 1: I'm higher on the Seahawks than everybody else. At five

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Speaker 1: to one. They're the best bet to win a division.

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Speaker 1: And here's my thing. Second year, with a really bright

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Speaker 1: young coach, upgrade at coordinator and quarterback, they will be

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Speaker 1: more run specific. Gray's Abel has been a big pickup.

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Speaker 1: He had a great preseason. They could not run the

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Speaker 1: football last year. They will be a run first team.

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Speaker 1: They'll miss some big plays with DK Metcalf, absolutely, but

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Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, I don't think there's a better

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Speaker 1: personnel guy in the league than John Snyder. Their last

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Speaker 1: three drafts not a lot of misses, and I love

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Speaker 1: this draft. I have the Seahawks at six, number five,

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Speaker 1: But are they Kansas City? No. I think this is

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Speaker 1: where the gap happens. The final five teams. Listen, Kansas

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Speaker 1: City was twelve to zero one score games. That's not

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Speaker 1: going to happen. But Andy Reid and Mahomes are, you know,

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Speaker 1: the best at what they do in this sport, which

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Speaker 1: is leaning offense. But the problem is that Rashi Rice

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Speaker 1: six game suspension. I feel like they've been bailing water

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Speaker 1: at wider receiver for three years and it's worked. But

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Speaker 1: you know, let's be honest about that. Guess who was

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Speaker 1: closer to his prime Travis Kelce. So they're going to

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Speaker 1: be good. They have the best defensive coordinator, the best coach,

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Speaker 1: the best quarterback. The division is a handful, but I

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Speaker 1: think they'll be a playoff team. But they got They

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Speaker 1: were so good in one score games, and I think

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Speaker 1: the Raiders, the Broncos, and the Chargers are all going

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Speaker 1: to be a step better.

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Speaker 2: Number four Denver.

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Speaker 1: I think it's universally understood that bow Knicks is a

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Speaker 1: hit and will only get better. This is the team

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Speaker 1: last year that was very good but not great in

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Speaker 1: one score games. Now Breeze and Peyton were great in

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Speaker 1: one score game, so boone Nicks is not going to

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Speaker 1: be one in six and one score games. They also

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Speaker 1: went out and got real players the fun get safety, Green,

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Speaker 1: bought linebacker greenlot linebacker Evan Ingram at tight end. They

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Speaker 1: went and got productive veterans who will make an impact immediately.

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Speaker 1: They didn't just go to the transfer portal and get

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Speaker 1: rotational guys. They want and got productive stars in this league.

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Speaker 3: I have Denver at.

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Speaker 2: Four, number three.

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Speaker 1: You know, Lamar Jackson seven years, won seventy eight games,

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Speaker 1: and every game they lose is either against a playoff

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Speaker 1: team or it's close. I know, I know they don't

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Speaker 1: win in the postseason. It's a fair criticism, but I'm

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Speaker 1: I think structurally, like Kansas City, I don't see holes

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Speaker 1: in the organization. Number one rushing defense, number one rushing offense.

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Speaker 1: Everybody else says it's a passing league. Baltimore's like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we can do that. But I have them at three,

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Speaker 1: number two. Listen, well, they've beaten the Chiefs in the

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Speaker 1: regular season, just not the postseason. I like Buffalo, James

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Speaker 1: Cooks got his deal signed, they got all their early

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Speaker 1: draft picks. They went with defense, and that's what they

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Speaker 1: should have done. Listen, I think Josh Allen is the

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Speaker 1: most talented football player in the world. His strength movement.

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Speaker 1: I don't think there's anything quite like it. He doesn't

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Speaker 1: have Mahomes as hardware, but he doesn't have Mahomes as coach.

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Speaker 1: Joey Bosa that's like under the radar. Still a good player,

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Speaker 1: but the Chargers didn't want to pay play for two

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Speaker 1: rush ends.

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Speaker 3: So I just think they're lined up to get to

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Speaker 3: a super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Number one, best overall roster composition in the league. Don't

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Speaker 1: love their head coach, but what do you want me

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Speaker 1: to say? In the trenches O line and D line,

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Speaker 1: they nailed two early round corners. I think they have

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Speaker 1: the most players in the NFL, either in their prime

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Speaker 1: or close to their prime. I can't find a hole

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Speaker 1: on the team outside of I don't always love the

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Speaker 1: personality of the head coach, but for a team that

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Speaker 1: just blew out the Chiefs, they were kind of strangely

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Speaker 1: under the radar, So I have them at number one.

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Speaker 4: Hey, it's Ben host of a Fifth Hour with Ben Mallero.

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Speaker 4: Fifth Hour? I'll tell you it's a spin off of it.

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Speaker 2: Or wherever you get your podcasts. Be sure to catch

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Speaker 2: live editions of The Herd weekdays and noon eastern non

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Speaker 2: am Pacific.

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Speaker 1: Okay we start. Here's my predictions for this year. We

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Speaker 1: start in the AFC, an easier conference to predict because

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Speaker 1: the top quarterbacks are so good. In the AFC East,

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Speaker 1: I'm going Josh Allen and the Bills, Patriots' most improved

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Speaker 1: team get in as a wild card team. Maybe not

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Speaker 1: good enough to win a playoff game, but coach and

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Speaker 1: rosters much better. Dolphins third, I'm going with that just

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Speaker 1: because of Tua and an offensive coach. I think the

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Speaker 1: Jets roster is good. I don't know what Aaron Glenn is.

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Speaker 1: They just lost their best or second best offensive lineman.

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Speaker 1: I'm staying put with that one. AFC North again, I

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Speaker 1: think it's fairly predictable. Ravens arguably best operation in the

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Speaker 1: sport With Lamar, I'll go with the quarterback and Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow next, although, like J. Mack, I worry about how

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Speaker 1: they start and their offensive line. Aaron and the Steelers

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Speaker 1: will be around five hundred or a game above or below,

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Speaker 1: and the Browns are in a rebuild. I love their

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Speaker 1: coaching GM. I like Joe Flacco, Miles Garrett's amazing, but

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Speaker 1: they're fourth AFC South. I'm just gonna go with what

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Speaker 1: I know. Demiko Ryans hell of a coach, and I

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Speaker 1: like c J. Stroud.

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Speaker 3: Rebuilding the old line worries me. CJ.

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Speaker 1: Stroud's a gamer. Step back a little last year, but

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Speaker 1: it wasn't his fault. He couldn't keep wide receivers healthy.

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Speaker 1: Jaguar second, I'm like J.

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Speaker 5: Mack.

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Speaker 3: I like them, but I never love them. Titans.

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Speaker 1: Third, Coles don't know what quarterback they're gonna use. That's scary.

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Speaker 1: Their fourth, well, they do know what quarterback, and it's

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Speaker 1: not a great one. AFC West, I think it's very difficult.

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Speaker 1: I think you have four really good teams. I think

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Speaker 1: the Broncos have the best roster. Kansas City, Reid and Mahomes.

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Speaker 1: Once again, I don't know a rookie left tackle. Joe

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Speaker 1: Tooney's gone, worries me also wide receiving Corps, no Rashi Rice, Travis,

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Speaker 1: Kelsey getting old. I think the Broncos will look very

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Speaker 1: clearly early in the season like a Super Bowl contender.

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Speaker 1: Chargers losing Rashawn Slater, the left tackle worries me greatly.

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Speaker 3: Joe Alt moves over.

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Speaker 1: But now they've got a right tackle issue, and the

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Speaker 1: Raiders will be the best, best fourth place team in

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Speaker 1: the division. So Bill's Ravens, Texans, Broncos are the division winners.

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Speaker 1: Patriots Bengals, Chiefs are wild card teams. New England Bengals

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Speaker 1: are both new playoff teams. NFC again, I think it's

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Speaker 1: pretty static. Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys. I actually have said this.

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Speaker 1: If the Giants get B to B plus quarterback play,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna shock some people. They're gonna They're gonna go

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Speaker 1: toe to toe with Washington. But I don't know if

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Speaker 1: Jackson Dart's ready, if Russell Wilson falters. But I do

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Speaker 1: like the Giants roster. I love Abdull Harder in their

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Speaker 1: defensive front. It's nothing but dogs up front. I think

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Speaker 1: in the NFC North again, I'm just gonna kind of

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Speaker 1: roll with the quietest offseason. The Green Bay Packers young still,

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Speaker 1: but I like their first pick, another wide receiver for

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love. Lions have two new coordinators, but I love

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Speaker 1: almost everything else about the organization. Bears, Vikings all know

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Speaker 1: a lot more after Monday Night, third and fourth, respectively.

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Speaker 1: NFC South is not a very good division. The Sainte stink.

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure the Bucks are as good as a

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Speaker 1: lot of the NFL execs and betters think. But I

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Speaker 1: trust Baker, I trust the GM, I trust the roster.

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Speaker 1: Atlanta is weird. I've spent more money on the Falcons

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Speaker 1: losing bets. I don't know what Atlanta is. I'll just

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Speaker 1: wait till Thanksgiving. Panthers are better than people think. I'll

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Speaker 1: put them third, Saints fourth NFC West. Here's my big change, Rams.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to have them winning the division again. Bottom

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Speaker 1: line is they won the division last year. Despite starting

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Speaker 1: one to four, they still won their division. No team

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Speaker 1: played more rookies last year, and their defense the last

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Speaker 1: month of the season was second best. With all those rookies,

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Speaker 1: it was second best scoring defense in the NFL last month.

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Speaker 1: It'll be better. It's had a great camp. Seattle the

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Speaker 1: reason I moved them from first to second. They have

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Speaker 1: the cheapest offense in the NFL. They don't have a

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Speaker 1: number one receiver. Gray Zabel is a potential impact offensive lineman,

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Speaker 1: but their online last year stunk, so I don't think

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Speaker 1: they have the firepower again. I think Seahawks could win

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Speaker 1: nine games. I think the Niners could win nine and

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Speaker 1: Seahawks win the tiebreaker. I don't think there's a big

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Speaker 1: gap in this division between the Rams, Seahawks, Niners, and Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: I don't if the Cardinals won eight and the Rams

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Speaker 1: won ten, that could be the difference. I only have

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Speaker 1: one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks. I only have three new playoff teams. The

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Speaker 1: NFL average is closer to five, but I have argued

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Speaker 1: that number has been going down in recent years. Why

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Speaker 1: because it's becoming a more quarterback dependent league, and if

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Speaker 1: you've got a great quarterback or a very good one,

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Speaker 1: you are more predictably a playoff team. So it used

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Speaker 1: to be there were six new playoff teams, then five

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Speaker 1: playoff team It's getting down to four, and I think

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Speaker 1: this year it's three. So as the quarterback becomes more important,

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Speaker 1: and offensive coaches have a better relationship with that quarterback.

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Speaker 1: The league is getting, at least not on a week

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Speaker 1: to week basis, but on a macro level, a little

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Speaker 1: easier to predict.

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Speaker 2: One more heard. The Herd streams twenty four hours a day,

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Speaker 2: seven days a week within the iHeartRadio app. Search Herd

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Speaker 2: to listen live or on demand whenever you like.

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Speaker 1: You know a lot of people would not do a

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Speaker 1: blazing five to start the year because well, I'm terrible

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Speaker 1: in Week one, but it's too much fun. Let's have

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Speaker 1: Let's have a good five minutes here with my picks.

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Speaker 1: I feel good, as I always do. I felt good

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Speaker 1: every week last year that didn't mean anything. And here

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Speaker 1: we go with our opening blazing five.

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Speaker 2: Let's blaze it up right up. It's Collins Blazon fuck

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Speaker 2: Giants had Commanders.

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Speaker 1: I like the Giants plus six and a half. At

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Speaker 1: least one underdog of six plus points is one outright

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Speaker 1: in Week one. I think the Giants could be the play.

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Speaker 1: They played nine one score games last year and both

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Speaker 1: games against the Commanders were close. Brian Burns, Dexter, Lawrence

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Speaker 1: abdul Carter. This is a top two or three defensive line,

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Speaker 1: and I mean, let's be honest, it's week one. We

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Speaker 1: saw what d Lins can do last night. Malik neighbors

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Speaker 1: matchup problem even with dan Quinn back into the defense.

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Speaker 1: Last year for Washington was a bit of a mess.

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Speaker 1: The Commanders great year, but they played twelve one score

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Speaker 1: games and their defense again was bad with a defensive coach.

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Speaker 1: So I think the debo Terry McLaurin thing is fascinating,

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Speaker 1: but I think it won't be perfect until later in

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Speaker 1: the season. This is a go either way game. I'll

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Speaker 1: take Washington to win, but six and a half. I'm

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Speaker 1: taking it with the Giants twenty seven to twenty three.

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Speaker 1: Commanders close, Steelers and Jets. I like the Jets plus

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Speaker 1: a field goal. This is the lowest over and under.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the home dog plus the three points.

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Speaker 1: They held fourth quarter leads in six of their twelve losses.

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Speaker 1: Last year, the Jets were in games, and that's with

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Speaker 1: an old quarterback that couldn't extend plays.

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Speaker 3: Now they have a young quarterback that can.

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Speaker 1: The Steelers had a lot of turnover left tackle gone,

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Speaker 1: quarterback gone, best receiver gone, best running back gone. With

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Speaker 1: a defensive culture, you think they're going to look good

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Speaker 1: in Week one. I mean, my takeaway is, is the

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Speaker 1: wrong team getting points here? I think the Jets rosters

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Speaker 1: good and I've got a young quarterback who played in

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and knows their personnel. And by the way, Aaron

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Speaker 1: Rodgers with all these new parts week one, last three

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Speaker 1: times week one he started, he's lost all of them

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Speaker 1: and has not played well, and he's not the most

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Speaker 1: committed guy in the offseason. I like the Jets here

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Speaker 1: to win straight out twenty four to twenty money line baby.

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Speaker 2: Forty nine ers at Seahawks.

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Speaker 3: I like the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: You know, since lumen Field opened up in two thousand

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Speaker 1: and two, Seattle's got the best home winning percentage nine

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Speaker 1: to one record at home week one and by the way,

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Speaker 1: six of their final late games last year after the

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Speaker 1: bye they won. They needed a buy for this new

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Speaker 1: coaching staff, and they've upgraded at coordinator. They're gonna run

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Speaker 1: the ball, They're gonna speed the game up. Gray's Abel,

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Speaker 1: the draft pick, watched them run the ball. Sam Darnold's

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Speaker 1: an athletics upgrade at quarterback, and the Niners McCaffrey's banged up,

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Speaker 1: Brandon Ayyuk's out Greenlaw's gone.

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Speaker 3: Who fungus gone?

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Speaker 1: By the way, Niners were not great against their division

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Speaker 1: last year. They were one in five in division and

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Speaker 1: two and six on the road last year. Were not

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Speaker 1: a great road team or division team. And the red

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Speaker 1: zone defense, that's why they brought sala in, was a

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Speaker 1: bit of a mess.

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Speaker 3: That was thirty first.

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Speaker 1: I liked the Seahawks and the points to win straight

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Speaker 1: out twenty four to twenty three.

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Speaker 2: Lions at Packers.

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Speaker 1: I really like green Bay bet of the weekend, young

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Speaker 1: team entering their prime, added Micah Parsons.

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Speaker 3: I like green Bay.

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Speaker 1: Here only team in the league top five offense and

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Speaker 1: total defense. And by the way, we think to ourselves,

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Speaker 1: you know, Jordan Love wasn't great last year.

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Speaker 3: I went and looked it up this morning.

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Speaker 1: Final seven games last year, nine touchdowns, no picks.

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Speaker 3: He's fine. Lions lost both coordinators.

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Speaker 1: If they do replace them deftly, it'll probably be later

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Speaker 1: in the season. And Dan Campbell's not been a good

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Speaker 1: underdog coach twelve and twenty one and one as an

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Speaker 1: underdog head coach. When they got better players, they win.

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Speaker 1: When they're at home with better players, they win on

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Speaker 1: the road. Did they have better players than Green Bay.

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure Jared Off without McVeagh and Ben Johnson

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Speaker 1: never been quite as good. I like Green Bay to

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Speaker 1: win outright. Twenty eight to twenty four. Texans and Rams

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Speaker 1: take the under forty three and a half. Nineteenth ranks

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Speaker 1: scoring offense Texans against the twentieth scoring offense. Here's the

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Speaker 1: truth about the Rams. Last year didn't have a great

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Speaker 1: point differential even with Stafford. Both teams come into the

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Speaker 1: season with o line issues, Stafford's backson issue, left tackle

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Speaker 1: Alaric Jackson blood Clotts didn't practice a ton, and the

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Speaker 1: Texans beat up on their division. They were five and

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Speaker 1: one against the AFC South. They weren't great out of

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Speaker 1: their division. They've got a first time play colored offensive

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Speaker 1: coordinator and a lot of new faces on the offensive line.

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Speaker 1: And I am here to tell you the Rams defensive

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Speaker 1: front is filthy and getting better. I think it is

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Speaker 1: a very low scoring game at the over unders forty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. It feels like twenty seventeen or

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Speaker 1: twenty one seventeen Rams to me, probably at home. I

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Speaker 1: give him the edge, but I'm taking the under. Here.

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Speaker 1: Take the under forty three and a half. J mack

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Speaker 1: any thoughts on that love Love Love the Jets pick.

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Speaker 5: That's my favorite of your five outside of the Packers,

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Speaker 5: which I also have.

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Speaker 3: But that forty nine Ers one.

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Speaker 5: You didn't really mention the Christian McCaffrey missed practice yesterday,

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Speaker 5: then the forty nine Ers did not make him available

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Speaker 5: to the media. I have him in multiple fantasy leagues

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Speaker 5: and I'm sweating bad.

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Speaker 1: Oh.

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Speaker 3: I feel so terrible for you.

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Speaker 2: Thanks, friend.

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Speaker 1: You need to go into every weekend with a little humility,

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Speaker 1: rock perty, taken over that game and winning.

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Speaker 3: On the road, beating your guy, he would deserve credit.

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Speaker 3: That's a tough no.

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Speaker 2: I yuk And if mccaffreick.

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Speaker 1: Even kaim told me a week ago, I said, where

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Speaker 1: did you hate going when you were a the GM Arizona.

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Speaker 1: He goes Seattle. He goes that is a rough place

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Speaker 1: to play. He goes that crowd lubricates, they're ready to roll.