WEBVTT - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Drop to Lowest Since March 2020

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Karl Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on the Bloomberg Radio or watch us

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<v Speaker 1>on YouTube search Bloomberg Clovel News Well. A group of

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<v Speaker 1>top vaccine experts meeting today also tomorrow to consider whether

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<v Speaker 1>people who get the COVID nteaen vaccines made my BRAJOURNA

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<v Speaker 1>and J and J should receive booster shots. This is

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<v Speaker 1>continuing to kind of figure out who needs what, right,

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<v Speaker 1>who needs what and web rank. The US FDA is

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<v Speaker 1>going to send Merc's COVID nineteen pill to an advisory

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<v Speaker 1>committee for review, using a public form to discuss any

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<v Speaker 1>safety concerns ahead of a potential authorization. Remember this is treatment,

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<v Speaker 1>so it really could change the game for people who

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<v Speaker 1>are infected with COVID. All right, So that's some of

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<v Speaker 1>the broader, bigger stories. When it comes to COVID nineteen.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Penny wheel Or is someone we have reached out

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<v Speaker 1>to throughout the pandemic. She's present CEO at the Line

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<v Speaker 1>of Health. They have UM a lot of hospitals, I

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<v Speaker 1>think over ten. I think it's about a dozen in

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<v Speaker 1>the Minnesota area, UM and so they have really a

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<v Speaker 1>front row seat to what's been going in the Midwest

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to COVID. She's back with us on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from Minnesota. Dr Wheeler, it is so nice

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<v Speaker 1>to have you back with us um this. You know, COVID.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we all had hoped by now that we've

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<v Speaker 1>been beyond it, UM, but we're not. What's going on

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<v Speaker 1>in the Midwest, well sure, we sure wish we were

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<v Speaker 1>beyond it here. You know. Unfortunately the country as a

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<v Speaker 1>whole is going down from the delta variant, but we

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<v Speaker 1>are still UM peaking here. So it seemed like the

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<v Speaker 1>whole variant and it's infectivity moved north. So we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>cases here that are exceeding even our our second highest

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<v Speaker 1>peak right now, and the situation has changed because the

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<v Speaker 1>staffing is so vallenge challenging everywhere. So it's it's tough

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<v Speaker 1>going right now. In the words of one doctor that

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<v Speaker 1>I've heard of it just to show you the strain,

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<v Speaker 1>he said, I don't know whether to drive for my

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<v Speaker 1>shift in the e D or to drive into the reservoir.

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<v Speaker 1>It's that it's that taxing for our caregivers who are

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<v Speaker 1>just doing amazing work. Can you give us any numbers

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<v Speaker 1>about what you're seeing in the thirteen hospitals and more

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<v Speaker 1>than ninety clinics with with who's being affected right now,

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<v Speaker 1>who's hospitalized right now, in the portion of those who

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<v Speaker 1>are or not who are not vaccinated? Yeah? Sure, can

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<v Speaker 1>we we uh at a line to take care about

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<v Speaker 1>percent of the people who are hospitalized with COVID in

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<v Speaker 1>our states were pretty good litmus tests. The vast majority

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<v Speaker 1>of the people requiring hospitalization are unvaccinated. Eight percent of

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<v Speaker 1>the people in our i c U s right now. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, intensive care units are unvaccinated, and that's where

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing the the primary really se your illness and sadly, sadly,

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<v Speaker 1>way too many deaths occurring. So that's still that's still

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<v Speaker 1>the case. Um, so and and again the numbers are

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<v Speaker 1>in this geography still rising rather than falling. What's the

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<v Speaker 1>risk planning or contingency planning that you guys are doing

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<v Speaker 1>in anticipation of another way potentially or a variant that

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<v Speaker 1>trips us up again? Yeah, well certainly, you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of it has to do with cash. How can

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<v Speaker 1>we have adequate staffing available? So a lot of our

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<v Speaker 1>our leaders are taking frontline positions and trying to bolster

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<v Speaker 1>the staffing. We're trying to eliminate things that are unnecessary

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<v Speaker 1>so that we can accommodate the surge we're having. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>We have a centralized access center so it can level load. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, where people can go of one hospitals fold

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<v Speaker 1>and another hospital take it. And we do that actually

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<v Speaker 1>with the whole state of Minnesota and the other health

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<v Speaker 1>systems in the state UM as well. So we're trying

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<v Speaker 1>to do some of those things to accommodate the needs.

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<v Speaker 1>COVID is a big nied but we're also seeing delayed

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<v Speaker 1>care needs of significance all at a time when staffing

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<v Speaker 1>is really challenge. Dr Wheeler help set expectations for what

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<v Speaker 1>things look like, Caroline, I are flying today tonight. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the first time I've gone on a long flight. Your

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<v Speaker 1>first time flying, Caroline, what eighteen months? Yeah, exactly. We're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be wearing masks throughout the flight at the airport.

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<v Speaker 1>Is this something we're gonna be doing for the rest

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<v Speaker 1>of our lives. Yeah, that's a good question. I wish

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<v Speaker 1>I could predict it. What what has happened is we

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<v Speaker 1>can only kind of see almost two to three weeks

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<v Speaker 1>ahead of us. And beyond that, I mean, I wouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>have predicted this, you know, Um, beyond that, it's really

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<v Speaker 1>hard to predict. I'm I'm. I think that some of

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<v Speaker 1>the rise in the cases are because of school openings,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think that the more vaccinations we can get

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<v Speaker 1>into the pediatric population that will help as well. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're also realizing that some of what Japan

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<v Speaker 1>did traditionally we probably should do more of in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of masking when we're when we're not well, So some

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<v Speaker 1>of that be savior probably should stay with us to

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<v Speaker 1>keep people safe. It's hard to predict long term. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I've definitely gotten much more comfortable we're wearing a mask.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like I almost miss it sometimes when I'm

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<v Speaker 1>out and about walking and it's not there. Um, I

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<v Speaker 1>just want to ask you, you guys are transitioning. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you're gonna have a new CEO and you're gonna move

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<v Speaker 1>off to I believe the board. Tell us a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit about that transition. Yeah, well, you know, I it's

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<v Speaker 1>these people are so amazing. It's going to be these

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<v Speaker 1>people with what they've accomplished for the CUIs that I

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<v Speaker 1>will miss them most. But I am so grateful for

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<v Speaker 1>the organization. I love to transition it to our chief

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<v Speaker 1>operating officer and President Lisa Shannon, who's just really solid,

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<v Speaker 1>so real smooth transition. Our our employees don't need any

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<v Speaker 1>more disruption than they already have, and that to stay

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<v Speaker 1>on the board and have that continuity is really important

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<v Speaker 1>for us in the communities we serve. Well, it sounds

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<v Speaker 1>like you've been a great leader. I know you guys

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<v Speaker 1>have been had so much stuff to deal with, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>certainly in this and we're not out of it out

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<v Speaker 1>of the wood yet, and we have really leaned on

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<v Speaker 1>you in terms of getting your ps sspective. So thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much, and uh you take care. Dr Penny Wheeler,

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<v Speaker 1>President and Chief executive Officer at A Line of Health

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Minnesota. I do think this is

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<v Speaker 1>just a way of life. It is to some extent. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it is too. I mean there's the before

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<v Speaker 1>times in the aftertimes, right. We kind of joke about it,

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<v Speaker 1>but it really is. It's going to be the way

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<v Speaker 1>that we live with it, and I think that we're

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<v Speaker 1>getting more and more used to it. I think that

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<v Speaker 1>kids part of it is is different because there are

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<v Speaker 1>no vaccines yet for many kids, but hopefully getting closer

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<v Speaker 1>to it. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. The

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<v Speaker 1>US initial Joba's claims, we've been talking about it dropping

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<v Speaker 1>to the low since March of time. Prices paid to

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<v Speaker 1>US producers rose in September. We also heard about that

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<v Speaker 1>from Charlie at the slowest pace of the year. And

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<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing, Tim, is cooling costs of services, including

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<v Speaker 1>air fairs as the delta variant impacted demand. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>pretty significant. It is pretty significant to join us to

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<v Speaker 1>help us dig through these numbers and all this data

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<v Speaker 1>is read Picker, US economy reporter at Bloomberg New She

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<v Speaker 1>joins US on the phone from Washington, read it is

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<v Speaker 1>always great to have you on the show. Thanks for

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<v Speaker 1>joining us today. Where do you want to start? Do

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<v Speaker 1>you want to start with initial jobless claims or do

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<v Speaker 1>you want to start with p P I What do

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<v Speaker 1>you think is more important? UM? So they're both important,

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<v Speaker 1>but let's start with claims. UM. So, you know, in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of things for having me on the show, it's

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<v Speaker 1>always fun to be here. UM. In terms of them

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<v Speaker 1>following below three thousand, I mean needs to great news

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<v Speaker 1>all around, especially when you think about the fact of,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the prependemic level of these claims in what

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<v Speaker 1>was one of the best job markets in years was

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<v Speaker 1>around two hundred and fifteen thousand or so UM a week. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think what it really shows you when we

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<v Speaker 1>think about this labor very confusing labor market that we're in,

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<v Speaker 1>is we're in a jobs market where quaitsret record level,

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<v Speaker 1>turnover is high, and businesses are struggling to fill open positions.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, employers are very much trying to hold

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<v Speaker 1>onto their workers, and you know, from an inflation perspective,

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<v Speaker 1>we've we've seen that in terms of folks raising wages,

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<v Speaker 1>offering all kinds of incentives and bonuses. UM. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think the labor market is in a very interesting

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<v Speaker 1>state right now. But the jobless claims figures really point

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<v Speaker 1>us in that direction of things are getting better. I

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<v Speaker 1>just thinking as you're talking about this, read, I'm just

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about Domino's Pizza, the company reporting earnings today and

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<v Speaker 1>saying that it can't get enough people to cook and

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<v Speaker 1>deliver pizzas, which actually hurts sales for the most recent quarter, Carol.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is has a significant economic impact, right. We

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<v Speaker 1>just heard for Penny Wheeler over the line of health healthcare,

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<v Speaker 1>she can't get enough workers. It's just everywhere. Um. But nonetheless,

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<v Speaker 1>this is a better sign when it comes to what

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<v Speaker 1>we've been seeing in the labor market. And this is important,

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<v Speaker 1>right because the jobs market, the monthly jobs markets are

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<v Speaker 1>backward looking, and so this gives us a better better

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<v Speaker 1>feel of real time data. Absolutely, And you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think anyone has a great handle on what's going on. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know one piece that I thought was really

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<v Speaker 1>good today, Uh, Katya Dmitrieva and Jill Shaw actually had

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<v Speaker 1>a really nice Business Week piece, UM that was talking

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<v Speaker 1>about some of the stories of folks who aren't working

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<v Speaker 1>right now and why you know, despite the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>we have these near record job openings. UM. But I

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<v Speaker 1>will say, you know, looking at the silver lining of this,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, from a worker perspective, you know, we have

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<v Speaker 1>the highest clips right on record, UM, which shows that

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of folks have a lot of confidence that

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<v Speaker 1>they could find a new job, whether that's a job

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<v Speaker 1>that fits their lifestyle, better, has their hours, has better pay, um,

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<v Speaker 1>whatever it may be. UM. And you know we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>pretty robust way games as well as employers try to

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<v Speaker 1>attract these folks. So UM. From a worker perspective, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>it is a good time to you know, be a worker.

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<v Speaker 1>And from that point of the labor market it's quite

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<v Speaker 1>tight UM, which has you know, obviously had implications for

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<v Speaker 1>the set as well. Let's talk about those other numbers.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just thinking, is that it gets to be you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm hearing this and it's like dominos can't get workers.

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<v Speaker 1>We just heard from the CEO of a line of

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<v Speaker 1>health and we're getting into the end of the year. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk producer price index though, and and what we

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<v Speaker 1>learned this morning, the smallest advance UH in quite a

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<v Speaker 1>while read yeah, and you know, in that coming on

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<v Speaker 1>the heels of the CPI data that we got a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit earlier this week, UM, and it was it

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<v Speaker 1>was good news and some ways because we saw some

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<v Speaker 1>of that services inflation cooled down a little bit, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>but we also saw a pretty still pretty robust inflation

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<v Speaker 1>from the good side. UM. And you know, the way

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<v Speaker 1>that I often think about the economy where we are

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<v Speaker 1>right now is we have lower growth and higher inflation

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<v Speaker 1>than many economists were expecting just a few months months ago.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, in terms of the growth picture, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we've essentially seen that consumers spinning in the third quarter

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<v Speaker 1>has proven to be much weaker than economists thought a

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<v Speaker 1>few months ago. A large part of that is ELSA,

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<v Speaker 1>but you've also got these massive supply Chaine disruptions that

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<v Speaker 1>are reaking havoc on growth and reaking havoc on PPI,

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<v Speaker 1>the pp I index um as as well as consumer prices. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I just think of something like, I assume

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<v Speaker 1>the manufacturing data where you've got solid news new orders growth, right,

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<v Speaker 1>producers can't get the scale of material right they need

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<v Speaker 1>to kill those orders. It's you know, data points that

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<v Speaker 1>investors certainly seem to be pretty happy about Bloomberg News

0:11:29.320 --> 0:11:33.000
<v Speaker 1>US economic reporter read pick it. You're listening to Bloomberg

0:11:33.040 --> 0:11:36.680
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:11:36.800 --> 0:11:40.560
<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. This is among our most read.

0:11:40.600 --> 0:11:42.200
<v Speaker 1>In fact, I think it might still be the most

0:11:42.280 --> 0:11:44.800
<v Speaker 1>read on the Bloomberg in the past eight hours. It's

0:11:44.800 --> 0:11:48.120
<v Speaker 1>also Today's Big Take. It's part of an ongoing Business

0:11:48.160 --> 0:11:51.760
<v Speaker 1>Week online series here at Bloomberg, and this one in

0:11:51.840 --> 0:11:53.960
<v Speaker 1>particular takes a look at how wealthy New Yorkers are

0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:56.560
<v Speaker 1>getting a steel on property taxes. You heard it right, Tim.

0:11:56.840 --> 0:12:00.440
<v Speaker 1>Jason Grotto is senior investigative reporter at Bloomberg. He joins

0:12:00.480 --> 0:12:02.319
<v Speaker 1>us now on the phone from Chicago. Jason, it's great

0:12:02.360 --> 0:12:04.280
<v Speaker 1>to have you on the show. Congratulations to you and

0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:06.640
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the team on today's Big Take. I

0:12:06.720 --> 0:12:08.719
<v Speaker 1>read this story and I thought to myself, you know what,

0:12:08.880 --> 0:12:10.760
<v Speaker 1>it is so true when you look at real estate

0:12:10.800 --> 0:12:14.559
<v Speaker 1>in New York City, there the amount of money that

0:12:15.120 --> 0:12:17.240
<v Speaker 1>so many condos are worth. It is shocking to see

0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:20.240
<v Speaker 1>how low some of the property taxes are. You found

0:12:20.280 --> 0:12:22.760
<v Speaker 1>a two million dollar condo in Brooklyn that only pays

0:12:22.800 --> 0:12:26.040
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and fifty seven dollars a year in property taxes.

0:12:26.600 --> 0:12:30.800
<v Speaker 1>Why is that? Well, first, thanks thanks so much for

0:12:30.920 --> 0:12:34.120
<v Speaker 1>having me. Um. Uh, it's it's the result of the

0:12:34.240 --> 0:12:37.160
<v Speaker 1>system that you know, over the last thirty years or

0:12:37.240 --> 0:12:41.359
<v Speaker 1>so has been you know, added to just become incredibly

0:12:41.480 --> 0:12:45.479
<v Speaker 1>complex and and the low tax though on that particular

0:12:46.120 --> 0:12:49.559
<v Speaker 1>condo is the result of two things. One is the

0:12:49.800 --> 0:12:54.760
<v Speaker 1>extreme undervaluation of condo and and cooperatives of the market

0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:57.920
<v Speaker 1>values that the city comes up with um. And then

0:12:58.000 --> 0:13:02.240
<v Speaker 1>the other is the very generous um exemptions and abatements

0:13:02.280 --> 0:13:05.719
<v Speaker 1>that are provided to certain condos and cooperatives that drive

0:13:05.800 --> 0:13:09.200
<v Speaker 1>the build down even further. Well, and you guys, um

0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:12.959
<v Speaker 1>looked into a ton of city records when it came

0:13:13.000 --> 0:13:18.280
<v Speaker 1>to condo sales and taxes. UM. So tell us in

0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:21.360
<v Speaker 1>terms of your takeaway, is it policy? Is it? It's

0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:25.160
<v Speaker 1>something that just has been not noticed, Like, how does

0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:30.679
<v Speaker 1>something like this perpetuate for so long? Well, yeah, that's right.

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>So we ended up analyzing millions of property tax records

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:38.480
<v Speaker 1>in New York City and found, you know, a consistent pattern,

0:13:38.679 --> 0:13:43.160
<v Speaker 1>first that the city drastically undervalues these properties by the

0:13:43.240 --> 0:13:48.000
<v Speaker 1>magnitude of about and the other um thing that we

0:13:48.080 --> 0:13:52.319
<v Speaker 1>found is that the valuations have a pattern. Lower priced

0:13:52.640 --> 0:13:58.720
<v Speaker 1>properties are overvalued relative to market prices h market values,

0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:02.560
<v Speaker 1>and higher priced ones are undervalues. And so the first

0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:05.360
<v Speaker 1>part of the process, where everyone is overvalued, it really

0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:09.240
<v Speaker 1>obscures the second part, which is known as regressivity. Essentially,

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 1>New York has a regressive property tax system, and the

0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:16.400
<v Speaker 1>low valuations mask that because you know, if I own

0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:19.960
<v Speaker 1>a two dollar home and they're only capturing eighty five

0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:22.800
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars of my value, I'm thinking, hey, I'm getting

0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:25.440
<v Speaker 1>a good deal. What what I don't know is that

0:14:25.560 --> 0:14:28.320
<v Speaker 1>the person owns a two million dollar home, they're only

0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:32.720
<v Speaker 1>capturing you know, two hundred thousand of that. So you know,

0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 1>one might be getting thirty seven of their value captured

0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:39.640
<v Speaker 1>and the higher end property will be getting about and

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>that skews the tax bills for the entire city that

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:45.080
<v Speaker 1>valuation process. Jason, this is one of the stories that

0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 1>encourage everyone to read online because there's an interactive element

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:50.920
<v Speaker 1>to it, and there are some amazing, amazing visuals that

0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 1>show on a chart how much a condo is worth

0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:58.280
<v Speaker 1>and the portion of that that they're paying in property

0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:01.160
<v Speaker 1>taxes per year and it's it's pretty mind boggling to

0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:02.640
<v Speaker 1>see and you really have to look at it to

0:15:02.760 --> 0:15:05.400
<v Speaker 1>just understand the magnitude of it. So, what is New

0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:07.080
<v Speaker 1>York City? What a New York State? What do they

0:15:07.120 --> 0:15:11.720
<v Speaker 1>say about this? Because they are leaving money on the table? Yeah, um,

0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:15.120
<v Speaker 1>so we were not granted any interviews with the city

0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:18.720
<v Speaker 1>despite months of trying. Um, you know, what do they

0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:20.880
<v Speaker 1>do about it? You know, it's kind of the big question.

0:15:21.000 --> 0:15:24.760
<v Speaker 1>And the problem here is that this issue has been

0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:28.480
<v Speaker 1>going on for so long that the market itself, the

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:33.640
<v Speaker 1>real real estate market itself, has incorporated these um skewed

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:38.440
<v Speaker 1>taxes into actual values that capitalize them. So untangling this

0:15:38.840 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 1>is going to be a real problem. And that's one

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:43.840
<v Speaker 1>reason why it hasn't been six in thirty years. There

0:15:43.880 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 1>have been three mayoral efforts to try to fix the

0:15:46.200 --> 0:15:48.720
<v Speaker 1>property tax system in New York. So people are well

0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:52.680
<v Speaker 1>aware that there's you know, underlying problems. But you know,

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:54.920
<v Speaker 1>in order to fix it, you're gonna you're talking about

0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:59.080
<v Speaker 1>a massive wealth transfer. Um, people who own really high

0:15:59.240 --> 0:16:02.000
<v Speaker 1>end condos and co ops will be taxed at much

0:16:02.080 --> 0:16:04.360
<v Speaker 1>higher rates, which could impact the value of the property.

0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:06.440
<v Speaker 1>And that in the nutshell is why it's so hard

0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:08.120
<v Speaker 1>to fix. You can't help but feel I have to say,

0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:10.560
<v Speaker 1>we went through recently like a tax reassessment and like

0:16:10.680 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 1>everybody was like, well wait, what is your property? Like

0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:15.600
<v Speaker 1>how you know? And I feel like as transparency or

0:16:15.640 --> 0:16:17.520
<v Speaker 1>if this data was all put out there and everybody,

0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:20.640
<v Speaker 1>certainly those who are benefiting by not so I want

0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:23.480
<v Speaker 1>that stuff put out there. But if you are being penalized,

0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:27.640
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna be like, well, wait a minute, this isn't fair. Yeah.

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean I think you know, first of all, New

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.360
<v Speaker 1>York is not alone in this in these issues. We

0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:36.280
<v Speaker 1>published the story earlier this year looking at this at

0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:40.160
<v Speaker 1>a nationwide level, and we found that that this problem

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:45.520
<v Speaker 1>of regressivity is inherent in jurisdictions across the country. New

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:50.120
<v Speaker 1>York is huge and it is particularly bad and kind

0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 1>of as New York goes, so it was the rest

0:16:52.040 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 1>of the country. UM, so we wanted to drill down

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:57.480
<v Speaker 1>into New York. But you know, the thing that you're

0:16:57.600 --> 0:17:02.000
<v Speaker 1>touching on, the transparency piece is key. If people can't

0:17:02.040 --> 0:17:05.120
<v Speaker 1>see clearly, um, it's it's very hard to understand what's

0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:09.440
<v Speaker 1>going on, what is the relationship between landlords and this policy?

0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:11.160
<v Speaker 1>Because I think to myself, Okay, well New York City

0:17:11.200 --> 0:17:12.920
<v Speaker 1>is a place where a lot of people rent, and

0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:18.480
<v Speaker 1>I wonder to what extent landlords have had favorable tax advantages. Well,

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:21.080
<v Speaker 1>what we found is that actually the effective tax rate,

0:17:21.160 --> 0:17:23.680
<v Speaker 1>which is really just you know, the property tax of

0:17:23.840 --> 0:17:26.320
<v Speaker 1>bill divided by the value of the market price of

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:29.680
<v Speaker 1>the property. We found that rental properties actually pay a

0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:33.840
<v Speaker 1>higher effective class rate than condos and condos because that

0:17:33.960 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 1>was what we studied, but cooperatives are valued the same

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:39.720
<v Speaker 1>way UM, and and what that means is they're in

0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:42.520
<v Speaker 1>the same what they call tax class. So it's a

0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:45.960
<v Speaker 1>matter of how is the distribution of the property tax burden,

0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:49.280
<v Speaker 1>how is it distributed? And within the tax class, everyone

0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:51.399
<v Speaker 1>should be paying the same effective tax rate. And what

0:17:51.520 --> 0:17:55.760
<v Speaker 1>we found is that UM, condominiums are pay much lower

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:59.760
<v Speaker 1>effective tax rates UM than rentals. And what that means is,

0:18:00.280 --> 0:18:03.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, to the extent that landlords passed the cost

0:18:03.240 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 1>of taxes onto their tenants, rents are higher than they

0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:10.280
<v Speaker 1>would be UM. Potentially if if if those taxes were lower,

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:12.560
<v Speaker 1>court landlords might pocket a lot of that money as well.

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:15.359
<v Speaker 1>So it's it's a very complex problem, but you know

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:18.119
<v Speaker 1>what it means is a lot of a lot of

0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:21.840
<v Speaker 1>the burden is being shifted onto rental properties. Yeah, that's interesting.

0:18:21.840 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 1>It sounds like nothing's going to change. Just got about

0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:27.000
<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds here right at this point. Um, I think

0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:29.600
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be very, very difficult. The political optics

0:18:29.640 --> 0:18:31.639
<v Speaker 1>of it are very bad, and sort of the lessons

0:18:31.840 --> 0:18:33.920
<v Speaker 1>you know that we're writing for a national audience, and

0:18:33.960 --> 0:18:36.920
<v Speaker 1>the lesson is don't let it get this bad. Nothing

0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:40.480
<v Speaker 1>gets people going there like property taxes and in terms

0:18:40.520 --> 0:18:45.000
<v Speaker 1>of are you in taxes in general? Um, Jason, thank you.

0:18:45.680 --> 0:18:48.520
<v Speaker 1>It is an in depth story, and as Tim said,

0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:51.600
<v Speaker 1>check out it online because there's a lot of interactive

0:18:51.600 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>components to it and a lot of information in details. Yeah,

0:18:54.000 --> 0:18:56.639
<v Speaker 1>you can see Jason's story. It's available at Bloomberg and

0:18:56.800 --> 0:18:59.160
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com, slash business Week. You can also

0:18:59.280 --> 0:19:00.879
<v Speaker 1>get to it on the blue Berg terminal. All you

0:19:00.920 --> 0:19:02.879
<v Speaker 1>gotta do is type in an I big take or

0:19:03.040 --> 0:19:06.080
<v Speaker 1>just a big take. Jason Grotto, He's senior investigative reporter

0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:09.160
<v Speaker 1>EP Bloomberg News, joining us on the phone from Chicago.

0:19:10.240 --> 0:19:17.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm ro macro journal now, but you let me drive no, no, no,

0:19:17.560 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 1>no home honey, please, I'll do the right drivel I

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:39.560
<v Speaker 1>want to drive drive by good question trying this is

0:19:39.600 --> 0:19:42.640
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the globe. Give me thanks, we'll try

0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:47.040
<v Speaker 1>us down on Bloomberg Radio. So just about time, minutes

0:19:47.119 --> 0:19:49.439
<v Speaker 1>left and today's trading session, getting ready to wrap up

0:19:49.520 --> 0:19:51.960
<v Speaker 1>the Thursday trade. We are hovering near our highs, as

0:19:52.000 --> 0:19:54.280
<v Speaker 1>you just heard from Charlie, just off of them. But

0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:59.040
<v Speaker 1>nonetheless a rally underway. Earnings a big reason why we're

0:19:59.040 --> 0:20:01.640
<v Speaker 1>gonna get into that economic data too. But let's break

0:20:01.640 --> 0:20:03.720
<v Speaker 1>it down. Let's get to the drive to the close

0:20:03.800 --> 0:20:07.320
<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg News Markets reporter Abigail Doolittle. She is on

0:20:07.400 --> 0:20:09.720
<v Speaker 1>the phone in our New York City bureau. It is

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:12.920
<v Speaker 1>definitely a risk on trade and it's broad based in

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 1>terms of the rally, it certainly is, Carol. We're looking

0:20:15.640 --> 0:20:17.879
<v Speaker 1>at the best day for the SMP five. Charlie was

0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:21.199
<v Speaker 1>mentioning up one point six percent since March. The nasdack

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 1>also up the same amount. That's the best day since May.

0:20:23.640 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Speaker 1>So that's the degree of the buying power and speaking

0:20:25.600 --> 0:20:28.800
<v Speaker 1>to the broad based nature of the rally, all eleven

0:20:29.040 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 1>of the SMP five hundred sectors are higher, most by

0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:35.679
<v Speaker 1>about one percent or more. The best is Materials up

0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:38.480
<v Speaker 1>two point. That has everything to do with the rally

0:20:38.520 --> 0:20:41.720
<v Speaker 1>and medals Materials and then Tech, and that has a

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:44.240
<v Speaker 1>lot to do with the fact that yielder down yet

0:20:44.359 --> 0:20:48.359
<v Speaker 1>another day, relieving valuation concerns. So it's a really nice

0:20:48.480 --> 0:20:51.200
<v Speaker 1>day for stocks for sure. Hey, Abigail, I'll talk a

0:20:51.240 --> 0:20:55.240
<v Speaker 1>little bit about the socks the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index because

0:20:55.760 --> 0:20:58.399
<v Speaker 1>it is having a day at one point higher by

0:20:58.440 --> 0:21:01.280
<v Speaker 1>more than two point four percent and uh and at

0:21:01.320 --> 0:21:04.159
<v Speaker 1>one point there were no stocks in the socks in

0:21:04.240 --> 0:21:07.560
<v Speaker 1>the red. You know, this is an interesting one um

0:21:07.800 --> 0:21:10.960
<v Speaker 1>for Shure Tim from the standpoint that the socks similar

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:13.879
<v Speaker 1>to the Russell two thousand, that small cap index in

0:21:14.000 --> 0:21:17.040
<v Speaker 1>recent days has been testing its two day moving average,

0:21:17.080 --> 0:21:20.320
<v Speaker 1>something that the other indexes have not done. H that's

0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:23.600
<v Speaker 1>long term support, the long term buyers, and yet it's

0:21:23.680 --> 0:21:26.200
<v Speaker 1>tip to day moving averages rounding down, telling you that

0:21:26.400 --> 0:21:29.320
<v Speaker 1>the near term buyers are not around. The dip buyers

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:32.560
<v Speaker 1>are gone. But today you have the socks right in between.

0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:35.520
<v Speaker 1>This is a range we're seeing ranges on other indexes

0:21:35.560 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 1>to and a range is all about information or all

0:21:38.359 --> 0:21:41.280
<v Speaker 1>about uncertainty. Folks are waiting for more information and I

0:21:41.640 --> 0:21:44.760
<v Speaker 1>believe that will probably gather more information on a micro

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:48.159
<v Speaker 1>level from the earnings reports. Everybody wants to know not

0:21:48.240 --> 0:21:51.720
<v Speaker 1>so much about demand, but about you know, supply margins, uh,

0:21:51.800 --> 0:21:54.160
<v Speaker 1>the supply chains. And then of course rates, are rates

0:21:54.200 --> 0:21:56.760
<v Speaker 1>going higher? Are they going lower? And forgive me the

0:21:56.840 --> 0:21:59.200
<v Speaker 1>socks higher by more than two point eight per cents?

0:21:59.280 --> 0:22:02.919
<v Speaker 1>As so, were you just talking about the socks? Are

0:22:02.920 --> 0:22:06.040
<v Speaker 1>the sp the socks with the fifty day You said

0:22:06.040 --> 0:22:08.280
<v Speaker 1>the trend line has been moving lower. Correct, Well, they're

0:22:08.320 --> 0:22:11.840
<v Speaker 1>both very similar. Um. The difference between the socks and

0:22:12.000 --> 0:22:15.040
<v Speaker 1>the SMP five hundred. The socks has been in a

0:22:15.200 --> 0:22:17.119
<v Speaker 1>range for much of the year, so it's been testing

0:22:17.119 --> 0:22:19.640
<v Speaker 1>that too inter day moving average, whereas the SMP five

0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:22.719
<v Speaker 1>hundred is between the one hundred and fifty day moving average.

0:22:22.920 --> 0:22:27.400
<v Speaker 1>But the same idea. These range bound treating areas where

0:22:27.680 --> 0:22:30.240
<v Speaker 1>investors just don't know, the buyers don't have enough information

0:22:30.400 --> 0:22:32.920
<v Speaker 1>to create new all time highs yet, and the sellers

0:22:33.400 --> 0:22:37.000
<v Speaker 1>don't feel confident enough to push these indexes lower. If

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:40.520
<v Speaker 1>the fifty day moving averages are sloping to the downside. Uh.

0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:43.199
<v Speaker 1>Some technicians really consider that to seek to be an

0:22:43.240 --> 0:22:45.720
<v Speaker 1>early sign of potential weakness. Well, that's what I was

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:49.280
<v Speaker 1>going to ask you. I mean, bottom line healthy move

0:22:49.359 --> 0:22:52.800
<v Speaker 1>that we're seeing today, reactive moved. What can you tell

0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:57.399
<v Speaker 1>from those technicals and the internals right now? Great question, Carrol.

0:22:57.440 --> 0:23:00.399
<v Speaker 1>It's probably a little bit more reactive until you have

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 1>a break out of the range. The range is exciting

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:05.240
<v Speaker 1>in terms of these up and down moves. Each week.

0:23:05.280 --> 0:23:07.160
<v Speaker 1>It seems to be up and right down and then

0:23:07.280 --> 0:23:09.560
<v Speaker 1>up and down and grabs a lot of attention. But

0:23:09.680 --> 0:23:11.640
<v Speaker 1>the thing you really want to watch is to see

0:23:11.720 --> 0:23:14.720
<v Speaker 1>which way the range breaks. And we just don't know.

0:23:14.840 --> 0:23:16.200
<v Speaker 1>We're right in the middle. It's going to come down

0:23:16.240 --> 0:23:18.920
<v Speaker 1>to earnings and it will come down to inflation and rates.

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:20.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's interesting. I'm just I've got I think

0:23:20.920 --> 0:23:22.879
<v Speaker 1>a six month up on the SMP five hundred and

0:23:22.920 --> 0:23:24.479
<v Speaker 1>for a long time, even though as we pulled back,

0:23:24.520 --> 0:23:27.479
<v Speaker 1>it was like this almost steady line to the up

0:23:27.600 --> 0:23:30.000
<v Speaker 1>side until we got to what was it like rolling

0:23:30.080 --> 0:23:32.840
<v Speaker 1>over in August and then it's really been choppy. So

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:35.080
<v Speaker 1>the one thing we know for certain is that there's

0:23:35.119 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 1>more volatility in this market. For sure. Volatility breeds volatility,

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:41.320
<v Speaker 1>and that's a terrific point on the SMP five hundred.

0:23:41.359 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 1>That uptrend had been beautiful for such a long time, right,

0:23:44.720 --> 0:23:47.480
<v Speaker 1>so clean and now more holding that fifty day moving

0:23:47.520 --> 0:23:49.879
<v Speaker 1>average time after time after time, telling those dip buyers

0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:52.760
<v Speaker 1>were there. But over the last three months, slowly but surely,

0:23:52.840 --> 0:23:55.040
<v Speaker 1>the index has been rolling over a little bit, not

0:23:55.200 --> 0:23:57.119
<v Speaker 1>a lot, but it's flattening. And when you have a

0:23:57.160 --> 0:24:00.520
<v Speaker 1>flattening market, it breaks the uptrend sugge. Seeing that there's

0:24:00.560 --> 0:24:02.720
<v Speaker 1>enough uncertainty that you could see some sort of a

0:24:02.880 --> 0:24:06.440
<v Speaker 1>correction if the buyers really don't step in, particularly after

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:09.240
<v Speaker 1>such a huge rally. You know, the SMP five hundred,

0:24:09.280 --> 0:24:11.960
<v Speaker 1>like many of the other indexes from the March lows

0:24:12.000 --> 0:24:15.919
<v Speaker 1>of a double to the peak or even more than

0:24:16.000 --> 0:24:17.760
<v Speaker 1>a double. I mean, that's a that's a pretty significant

0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:19.760
<v Speaker 1>statement that you could have these indexes going up so much.

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:22.080
<v Speaker 1>So just a little bit of cooling off on again

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 1>the micro wondering what will these earnings reports uh come out?

0:24:26.200 --> 0:24:28.840
<v Speaker 1>And the supply chain. You know, there's this great chart

0:24:28.920 --> 0:24:31.560
<v Speaker 1>that we've been passing around here today and yesterday. Uh.

0:24:31.720 --> 0:24:33.720
<v Speaker 1>I love when ned do that and you pass around

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:37.320
<v Speaker 1>char I say that with love because I love charts

0:24:37.359 --> 0:24:40.280
<v Speaker 1>to it's a fun thing to do. And this one's

0:24:40.359 --> 0:24:43.240
<v Speaker 1>especially great. It's not even a technical analysis start, it's

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:46.840
<v Speaker 1>showing that in the year of one more than three

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:50.800
<v Speaker 1>thousand mentions of supply chain have happened on earnings calls,

0:24:50.880 --> 0:24:53.760
<v Speaker 1>and previous years it's much closer to one thousands. So

0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 1>that's the degree of the constraint coming out of the pandemic.

0:24:56.880 --> 0:24:58.119
<v Speaker 1>And the big question is what does it mean for

0:24:58.200 --> 0:25:00.480
<v Speaker 1>outlooks on what does it mean for margins? That's probably

0:25:00.520 --> 0:25:02.880
<v Speaker 1>the big piece of what this range in all these

0:25:02.920 --> 0:25:06.960
<v Speaker 1>indexes represents right now, uncertainty about you know, our company

0:25:07.040 --> 0:25:08.320
<v Speaker 1>is going to be able to continue to put up

0:25:08.359 --> 0:25:11.600
<v Speaker 1>big results while their outlooks um be strong. And then

0:25:11.840 --> 0:25:14.639
<v Speaker 1>going back to the inflation and the rates question too,

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:16.840
<v Speaker 1>of course, it is Abigail pretty remarkable to hear what

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:20.040
<v Speaker 1>executives from the biggest banks are saying about the economy.

0:25:20.200 --> 0:25:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Brian winnahand just now with David Weston saying that Bank

0:25:23.520 --> 0:25:26.120
<v Speaker 1>of America's activity levels now bigger than before the pandemic,

0:25:26.200 --> 0:25:29.159
<v Speaker 1>projects US economic growth round five the next quarter, that

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:32.320
<v Speaker 1>people have money to spend, balances up. How is this

0:25:32.359 --> 0:25:34.639
<v Speaker 1>setting the tone before we can expect from other companies

0:25:34.680 --> 0:25:37.159
<v Speaker 1>and look full caveat here Dave Wilson reminding me that

0:25:37.280 --> 0:25:39.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, these banks are not waiting for products that

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:41.480
<v Speaker 1>are on ships off the Port of Long Beach in

0:25:41.560 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Los Angeles. Yeah, that's an interesting point. I would certainly

0:25:44.560 --> 0:25:45.879
<v Speaker 1>agree with Dave on that. In the way that I

0:25:45.920 --> 0:25:47.720
<v Speaker 1>would think about it is it's very queer that all

0:25:47.760 --> 0:25:51.280
<v Speaker 1>of the Fed liquidity and Central Bank liquidity and support

0:25:51.560 --> 0:25:55.240
<v Speaker 1>out of the pandemic has certainly helped Wall Street. But

0:25:55.920 --> 0:25:58.280
<v Speaker 1>will it continue to help Main Street? We just don't know,

0:25:58.359 --> 0:26:00.800
<v Speaker 1>and if we continue to have these supply chain issues

0:26:01.440 --> 0:26:04.160
<v Speaker 1>and labor issues. I mean Domino's Pizza today. Initially when

0:26:04.640 --> 0:26:08.000
<v Speaker 1>their report came out, they missed sales, and the thought

0:26:08.119 --> 0:26:10.119
<v Speaker 1>was that had to do with not as much interest

0:26:10.160 --> 0:26:13.320
<v Speaker 1>in pizza because of the pandemic, pizza fatigue. Basically am

0:26:14.160 --> 0:26:16.639
<v Speaker 1>there was like, no way, I love my pizza. I

0:26:16.720 --> 0:26:19.480
<v Speaker 1>love pizza too, I love white pizza, but I actually

0:26:19.600 --> 0:26:23.960
<v Speaker 1>love Domino's cheesy break Oh learning a lot about the chartress. Yes,

0:26:24.280 --> 0:26:26.680
<v Speaker 1>so we have a little bit of a Domino's habit.

0:26:26.760 --> 0:26:29.200
<v Speaker 1>But in any case, they miss sales not because of demand,

0:26:29.280 --> 0:26:31.520
<v Speaker 1>but because of labor. They didn't have enough people to

0:26:31.640 --> 0:26:34.520
<v Speaker 1>take the orders and deliver the pizza. Yeah, we see

0:26:34.520 --> 0:26:36.920
<v Speaker 1>that in other sort of retail stores of all thorces

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:41.640
<v Speaker 1>a crisis, That's what I say. Hey, we gotta run great,

0:26:41.720 --> 0:26:46.560
<v Speaker 1>great perspective. Bloomberg News Markets Reporter Abigail Doolittle. Thanks for

0:26:46.640 --> 0:26:50.359
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:26:50.520 --> 0:26:52.639
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:26:52.680 --> 0:26:55.240
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0:26:55.400 --> 0:26:58.120
<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube. Sarah to Bloomberg Global News

0:27:00.720 --> 0:27:02.120
<v Speaker 1>All