1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Our next guest is Stephen Lynch. She's Managing director of 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:06,720 Speaker 1: the British Chamber of Commerce and China, to discuss business 3 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:11,319 Speaker 1: sentiments as China gradually moves to reopen um. Now, Steve, 4 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: and your report finds business hesimism. Is that a record high? 5 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: Do you expect that to turn around as the restrictions 6 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: are getting eased or does the exit from COVID zero 7 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 1: presents just a whole new series of new hurdles. I 8 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 1: think it presents a whole new series of new hurdles. 9 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 1: I think we've just seen a complete you turn in 10 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 1: China COVID policy. So, as mentioned, we launched our sentiment 11 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: survey yesterday. COVID nighting controls are having an enormous negative 12 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: impact on all aspects of business, so sentiment, revenue projections, 13 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: investment decisions, offshoring all pointing in a negative direction. And 14 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 1: as you mentioned, factually this is the most pessimistic British 15 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: businesses have ever been. Now, we collected this data over 16 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: a month ago and a lot has changed, but one 17 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: thing was very clear. Businesses were at a tipping point. 18 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: Something needed to be done because this sentiment was was 19 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 1: feeding into decision making and it was feeding into action, 20 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: and we have seen action. We've seen an outpouring of anger, 21 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: protests on the street that's just unheard of here in China. 22 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 1: And this is all due to the breadth of the 23 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 1: zero COVID fatigue as well as the social and economic 24 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: problems that were that we're facing this country. And it 25 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: was all united around this zero COVID. So we have 26 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: seen dramatic change in the last few days, new policy measures, 27 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: which is extremely positive and very welcomed by business. I mean, 28 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: I will say and I will air on the side 29 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: of caution because of what is about to happen. COVID 30 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 1: is about to happen in this country. So we're just 31 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 1: sitting the beginning of the end almost you know, we're 32 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: moving away from the zero COVID policy to COVID is coming, 33 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 1: or should I say, COVID is already here in China. Stephen, 34 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 1: extend to your view to include Hong Kong where you are, 35 00:01:57,960 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: because we know that there has been a little bit 36 00:01:59,880 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 1: of brain drain. Some of that, yes, may be tied 37 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:05,559 Speaker 1: to the National Security Law in Hong Kong. A number 38 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 1: of Hong Kongers had the ability to apply to living 39 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 1: in the UK under a new visa program. But the 40 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 1: extent to which there was brain drain or is brain 41 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: drain now in Hong Kong. Is Beijing paying attention to 42 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: that at all? Well, I'm actually currently sitting in Beijing 43 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: at the moment, but my apologies that the comment no, no 44 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:29,079 Speaker 1: no absolute point. So I mean, I've never seen anything 45 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:32,839 Speaker 1: anything like this. You know, three years of a very 46 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:36,840 Speaker 1: vocal and very harsh policy no COVID, no COVID was 47 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 1: allowed in the country and it means if there was 48 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 1: one case, a city could be shut down. And so 49 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 1: almost overnight this policy has this, this policy has been 50 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 1: completely dumped. So no quarantine offices are about open factories, bars, restaurants, 51 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 1: no testing. That was the policy for the last three years. 52 00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:55,799 Speaker 1: There's no testing. You know, this is just complete confusion 53 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 1: about what's happened in regards to the messaging, and it 54 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 1: all ties back to the shore on economic problems that 55 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 1: work that will been caused by this this zero COVID 56 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:07,400 Speaker 1: And you know, I will say, you know, if people 57 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 1: are confused and they're scared because the exit wave is 58 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 1: about to happen, people are going to get sick. People 59 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 1: are going to get very sick. And for the last 60 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: three years here in China, the messaging has been COVID 61 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 1: is bad, COVID is one of the most worst things 62 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 1: that can happen to you. And now in the last 63 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 1: week that is not the case. COVID is no longer 64 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: serious and you will not get that sick if you 65 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,360 Speaker 1: get COVID. So there is a lot of confusion. Again, 66 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 1: this is a policy, it's a positive step in regards 67 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 1: to opening up and an exit strategy. But we're about 68 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:40,839 Speaker 1: to face a whole new set of challenges. In three 69 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: it was an extraordinary one alien and just the space 70 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: of a few weeks, Stephen, we've got about a minute lift. 71 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 1: I just want to refer back to your report that 72 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 1: the top three regulatory challenges that you've found for British businesses, 73 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 1: though I have nothing to do with COVID, can you 74 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 1: tell us about those exactly exactly, So this is not 75 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: just the COVID issue. China has a long way to 76 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 1: restore certainty. There's lots of confusion. China needs to restore 77 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 1: confidence for foreign businesses in market. Almost every single business 78 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 1: that it got harder to do. Almost every single business 79 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 1: said they feel less welcome and this is due to 80 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 1: longstanding market access and business environment issues. So they really 81 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,359 Speaker 1: need to double back down on the opening up and 82 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,919 Speaker 1: reform agenda, UM and make sure that that foreign businesses, 83 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: British businesses feel welcome in the market because you know, 84 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 1: no longer can it just be market opportunity and market potential. 85 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 1: They need to realize that. Yeah, and um, I note 86 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 1: that hiring foreign staff and retaining them in China also 87 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,359 Speaker 1: one of the challenges that you note their Stephen Lynch 88 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 1: very firm views. Thank you for joining us on Bloomberg 89 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 1: Daybreak Asia. Stephen Lynch is a Managing director of the 90 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 1: British Chamber of Commerce in China, discussing the findings of 91 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 1: their reporters China moves to a COVID zero environment and 92 00:04:56,800 --> 00:05:00,040 Speaker 1: the challenges that's presenting for foreign businesses operating the it