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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre.

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Speaker 3: What is up? Straight firefam, It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight

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Speaker 3: Fire for Friday, October thirteenth. I remember as a kid,

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Speaker 3: Friday the thirteenth always a big scary day. People were

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Speaker 3: worried about Jason from Friday the thirteenth, and it was like,

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Speaker 3: you know, we try to have sleepovers and scare the

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Speaker 3: crap out of each other. A lot of fun. Not

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Speaker 3: a lot of scaring happening Thursday night, unless you are

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Speaker 3: talking about the Denver Broncos offense. Holy hell are they ugly?

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Speaker 3: Russell Wilson can't get out of his own way. Sean

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Speaker 3: Payton just looked disgusted, like, what did I gelt myself into?

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Speaker 3: Chiefs win nineteen to eight? If you had the ten

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Speaker 3: and a half out, Chiefs win by eleven, not a

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Speaker 3: deserved cover. Listen, this is the Cams City deal, folks,

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Speaker 3: and we'll dive into it. Not an impressive start for

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Speaker 3: Kansas City, but I need to let you guys know.

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Speaker 3: Today we have a lengthy interview breaking down virtually every

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Speaker 3: week six game with Alex Monico. He does the money

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Speaker 3: Line Monico Podcast at the volume excellent stuff. I've known

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Speaker 3: him for a few years. I actually met him at

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Speaker 3: the Super Bowl. He just came up to me. He's like, dude,

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Speaker 3: I'm a huge fan, blah blah blah, and like I'm

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Speaker 3: into gambling. I was like, oh, I became friendly, super

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Speaker 3: nice guy. He's got some funny lines. And we agree

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Speaker 3: a little bit on Week six, but not one hundred percent.

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Speaker 3: All right, So the big takeaway Chiefs nineteen Broncos eight

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Speaker 3: Broncos season appears over the fire sale begins. Randy Gregory's gone,

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Speaker 3: Frank Clark is next, sounds like Jerry Judy is on

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Speaker 3: his way out. I don't know. I want to take

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Speaker 3: this to the Kansas City Chiefs first. I know everybody

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Speaker 3: will have fun kicking Sean Payton and Russell Wilson. Go ahead,

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Speaker 3: I don't care, go fire away. I'm gonna talk about

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs for a second. So if you look at

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Speaker 3: what they've done this season, the Kansas City chief have

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Speaker 3: been unimpressive. They are now four and one. They lost

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Speaker 3: the opener to the Lions twenty one twenty no Kelsey,

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Speaker 3: no Chris Jones. They bounced back in Jacksonville seventeen to nine. Unimpressive.

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Speaker 3: They beat the Bears forty one to ten. That was

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Speaker 3: the first Taylor Swift game. Then they beat the Jets

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Speaker 3: twenty three to twenty after leading seventeen to nothing. And

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Speaker 3: then they beat the Vikings twenty seven to twenty and

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Speaker 3: a game that Vikings could have thrown a hail Mary

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Speaker 3: to have a shot. It felt close, and on nineteen eight,

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Speaker 3: a game that didn't feel close. But the Chiefs have

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Speaker 3: been unimpressive. They've only topped thirty points once this year.

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Speaker 3: You look at the forty nine ers, they're over thirty

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Speaker 3: every game. My takeaway from this game is the Kansas

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Speaker 3: City Chiefs right now they're bored. Okay. This is a

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Speaker 3: team that won the Super Bowl last year. The year

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Speaker 3: before that lost to the AFC Championship Game, the year

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Speaker 3: before that lost in the Super Bowl, year before that

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Speaker 3: won the Super Bowl. This is a team that's used

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Speaker 3: to January and February football, and right now September football

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Speaker 3: just has them unimpressed. And here we are. The calendar

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Speaker 3: turns to October and it's like a shrug. I mean,

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Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes, they know they roll the football out, they're

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Speaker 3: gonna win the game. They're the better team. They're not

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Speaker 3: it doesn't. It doesn't feel like a max effort. Remember

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Speaker 3: last year how we talked about, Hey, what's going on

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Speaker 3: with the Chiefs Andy Reid, Like, why are they gonna

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Speaker 3: start calling the good plays?

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Speaker 4: Andy?

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Speaker 3: What are you gonna open up the offense get creative

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Speaker 3: like you see Mike McDaniels opening the playbook. Kyle Shanahan's

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Speaker 3: doing cool stuff. Chiefs aren't even doing cool stuff. And

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Speaker 3: a lot of people are gonna knock the receivers. Rashi

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Speaker 3: Rice actually looks pretty good. Sky Moore total dud Canarios.

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Speaker 3: Tony had a touchdown their only score. But my takeaway

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Speaker 3: is the Chiefs are just bored right now. They know like, hey,

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Speaker 3: we're better than these guys. Hey we're gonna be playing

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Speaker 3: in January. It almost has the feel of one of

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Speaker 3: those dominant Golden State Warriors or Lebron teams from the

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Speaker 3: last decade where they were just better than everyone and

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Speaker 3: they would have wacky regular season results, close games, narrow losses,

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Speaker 3: and people are like, oh, wait a minute, what's going

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Speaker 3: on with Lebron, What's happening with the Warriors? And the

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Speaker 3: reality is they're just bored. Like the regular season to

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs ain't no thang. Now it gets interesting here. Shortly,

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Speaker 3: they have a big one next week against the Chargers,

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Speaker 3: who have been their nemesis in the division. They've played

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Speaker 3: a lot of close games recently, then another one with

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Speaker 3: the Broncos that'll be a snoozer in Denver, and then

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Speaker 3: back to back games where you'll have that real feel.

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Speaker 3: And if they try to sleepwalk through the Dolphins and Eagles,

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Speaker 3: they will lose those games. They will now will they

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Speaker 3: be ratcheted up energy wise and interest wise. It just

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Speaker 3: when they're not connecting. It doesn't feel like, damn, we

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Speaker 3: missed it. Come on, we gotta be better. It's just like, uh,

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Speaker 3: didn't happen. We'll get him next time, and they will

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Speaker 3: get them next time. I don't know, Robert, It's not

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Speaker 3: an incendiary take here. There's not much takeaway from the game.

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Speaker 3: I'm not gonna hammer the Broncos because everyone else is

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Speaker 3: doing that, including Steve Smith. I can't go after Steve Smith.

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Speaker 3: He might knock me out if he sees me. I

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Speaker 3: don't know. It just feels like the Chiefs are bored

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Speaker 3: right now. I mean you could say that.

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Speaker 4: I mean I think in the first quarter they actually

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Speaker 4: ran a hook and ladder play, Like, who does that

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Speaker 4: in the middle of an NFL game? You know that's

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Speaker 4: not a hail Mary situation. I thought that was kind

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Speaker 4: of interesting. I mean some of their play calls, like

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Speaker 4: they they decided a few years ago that they are

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Speaker 4: just not going to quarterback sneak Patrick Mahomes, So they

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Speaker 4: have a field goal unit out there and then they

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Speaker 4: shift and then they try to do a quarterback steak

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Speaker 4: inside the goal inside the ten yard line and fails.

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Speaker 4: So possibly the one thing I'll say about them is

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Speaker 4: that they're like the AFC version of the Philadelphia Eagles

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Speaker 4: to me, where they don't look as impressive as you'd

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Speaker 4: like them to look, but they're still winning. And that's

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Speaker 4: kind of a scary thought for the rest of the

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Speaker 4: NFL that their C level game is good enough to

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Speaker 4: be five and one right heading into Week six. On

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Speaker 4: the flip side, however, is with Philadelphia when you watch

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Speaker 4: them play it, you know they have dudes everywhere, right,

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Speaker 4: They're loaded. Once their defense gets a little healthier on

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Speaker 4: the back end, I think they're gonna look back at

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Speaker 4: they're gonna look very similar to the Super Bowl team

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Speaker 4: we saw last year. And with them, it's more just hey,

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Speaker 4: let's get our mojo back. Let's get things going offensively.

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Speaker 4: You know they're close, They're right there. It's coming, you

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Speaker 4: can feel it coming. He just hasn't happened yet. With

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Speaker 4: Kansas City, their defense has been lights out. They've been

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Speaker 4: one of the big surprises of the season. But offensively,

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Speaker 4: I'm being serious when I say I don't know if

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Speaker 4: they have another gear that they can get to to

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Speaker 4: become the All Cat Chiefs again. Right, Travis Kelsey is great,

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Speaker 4: but he's clearly hobbled. And not only that is he's

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Speaker 4: in advance age. He doesn't look like he is as

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Speaker 4: explosive as he had been in years past. But more importantly,

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Speaker 4: they have absolutely nobody on the outside that scares you.

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Speaker 4: Nothing like there is nobody. So before we started recording,

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Speaker 4: I decided to go through the NFL standing and see

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Speaker 4: if I could find a team that would make sense

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Speaker 4: for them to try to trade for a wide receiver.

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Speaker 4: So obviously you can eliminate anyone in the AFC West

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Speaker 4: because you're not going to trade with Indivision, And then

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Speaker 4: there's certain teams that are too good you wouldn't be

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Speaker 4: able to make a trade with anyways. So you go

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Speaker 4: down the list, you're like, oh, maybe because they can

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Speaker 4: get like Deontay Johnson. Maybe the Steelers kind of pack

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Speaker 4: it in because they're off to the work. Well, his

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Speaker 4: contract's too big, contracts, two bigs. You can't make that trade.

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Speaker 4: You know, t Higgins in the last year of his deal,

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Speaker 4: but no way, the Bengals are trading him to the Chiefs.

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Speaker 4: So you scratch that off the list, and then you

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Speaker 4: keep moving down, You keep moving down, and then you're like,

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Speaker 4: all right, well, you know Terry McLaurin. You know they're

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Speaker 4: not really using him too much in Washington the way

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Speaker 4: they should, but you know, his contracts, two bigs, you

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Speaker 4: can't trade for him. And then you're you keep sliding down.

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Speaker 4: You know, Justin Jefferson obviously would be great, but there's

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Speaker 4: no way. I don't think Minnesota trades him. I think

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Speaker 4: they'd rather franchise tag him in the offseason than trade

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Speaker 4: him if they could. So the further you get down

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Speaker 4: the list and only one name kind of keeps popping

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Speaker 4: out to me, let me know what you think, Yes,

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Speaker 4: go for it.

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Speaker 3: I will go with Mike Evans. No.

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Speaker 4: I did consider him. I did consider him, but I

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Speaker 4: think that the way Tampa Bay is kind of shocking

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Speaker 4: some people this year, and they're competitive in that division.

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Speaker 4: I kind of cross them up, but that would be

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Speaker 4: a good fit. Hollywood Brown, that's the one I'm thinking of. Okay,

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Speaker 4: it a deal, Yeah, last year of his deal. Obviously, Arizona,

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Speaker 4: as plucky as they are, they're not going anywhere. And

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Speaker 4: he's the kind of guy who's the right contract last

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Speaker 4: year and the right age twenty six where you could

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Speaker 4: conceivably give up a second or a couple of seconds

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Speaker 4: or a third and not feel like you're mortgaging your

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Speaker 4: future for right now, not guarantee to be able to

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Speaker 4: resign him in the off season, you know what I mean.

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Speaker 4: But I think that they have to make some kind

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Speaker 4: of move to get another weapon, even if it's as

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Speaker 4: simple as bringing back McCole Hardman, who's not great at all.

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Speaker 3: Yet, but Jets are looking to move off him.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, right, just having any kind of reliable receiver they

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Speaker 4: can count on, because barring a miraculous sec second half

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Speaker 4: of the season resurgence by Rashie Rice, I know he's

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Speaker 4: a rookie, Like I just don't see their weapons on

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Speaker 4: the outside being someone you can get them back to

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Speaker 4: what you're used to seeing in Kansas City.

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Speaker 3: I like the Eagles point. I went and looked at

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Speaker 3: their games there. They've been a little more explosive down

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Speaker 3: the field, and they do have Aj Brown and Devonte Smith.

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Speaker 3: They top thirty three twice, I'm sorry, once with the overtime,

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Speaker 3: went over and over Washington, although they were over thirty

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Speaker 3: in regulation. It's weird. They just want to grind teams

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Speaker 3: into dust with that offensive line. We're just gonna keep

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Speaker 3: play keep away from Matt Safford and win twenty three fourteen.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna play keep away from Baker and just run over.

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Speaker 3: They just exert their will. I don't know that Ksey

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Speaker 3: can do that. And as you noted, one for five

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Speaker 3: in the red zone. I just again I come back

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Speaker 3: to like and this is gonna obviously people are gonna

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Speaker 3: laugh and whatever.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 3: We play in rec League basketball. We had a game

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Speaker 3: on Thursday night and there was some We were a

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Speaker 3: little nervous because it up here we might only have

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Speaker 3: four guys, and then we had to rope in another guy,

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Speaker 3: and then a guy got an early work flight to

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Speaker 3: come back. Listen, we got a team. We love our

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Speaker 3: squad and we were nervous about the game and we

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Speaker 3: get out there in the other team only has five guys,

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Speaker 3: and they had their two good guards. We know them,

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Speaker 3: we'd play with them regularly, so like, we just need

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Speaker 3: to shut these two guys down, and of course we

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Speaker 3: blow them out. But you get in the game and

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Speaker 3: as soon like you know, six minutes in, we knew

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Speaker 3: this was going to be a beatdown. And we're still

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Speaker 3: trying hard and having fun. But it wasn't like we

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Speaker 3: were totally locked in. There was some lackadaisical passes. You

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Speaker 3: can't do that stuff against the really good teams. And

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Speaker 3: it feels Rob like Andy Reid. I don't know, is

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Speaker 3: he setting up stuff for later in the season, tinkering,

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Speaker 3: putting stuff on tape purposely to maybe throw the Chargers

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Speaker 3: off and then hit them with something else. The only

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Speaker 3: thing I noticed on the play calling was for some reason,

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Speaker 3: Travis Kelcey was wide open in the mouthfield like every down,

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Speaker 3: nine targets, nine catches. I mean, Rob, you even said it.

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Speaker 3: They're outside weapons, stink, So why aren't you hugging up

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Speaker 3: Kelsey saying, hey, Rice, Kadarius, Tony, you guys beat me

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Speaker 3: and put them in a man coverage. My guess is

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Speaker 3: that's what the Chargers do. Brandon Staley's a creative defensive mind.

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Speaker 3: We did I mean he didn't show it against Tyreek

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Speaker 3: Hill earlier this year, but is it doesn't that seem

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Speaker 3: like a logical place to start stopping the Chiefs? Go

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Speaker 3: eliminate Travis Kelce. Taylor Swift was at the game. Patrick

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Speaker 3: Wilm's clearly feeding him. You know, it just feels like,

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Speaker 3: let's take away Kelsey. I know, easier said than done,

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Speaker 3: but I don't know safety in a linebacker. Go ahead,

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Speaker 3: we'll get beat over the top. We don't care if

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Speaker 3: you're gonna beat us over the top with whoever the

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Speaker 3: other receivers are. I mean, justin Moore. I think it's

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Speaker 3: just a more sky more like. Those guys don't scare me.

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Speaker 3: I think you just got to take away Kelsey and

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Speaker 3: let's see what the counter punch is like. I don't

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Speaker 3: know what it would be. Pacheco, I gotta say Rob.

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Speaker 3: I like Pacheco man. That guy runs hard, doesn't look

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Speaker 3: like he's doesn't look like he's gonna have a long career,

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Speaker 3: but it looks like he's good when he's shining man,

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Speaker 3: he there is a little Marshawn Lynch in there.

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Speaker 4: No has anybody said, I'll tell you what the guy

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Speaker 4: he reminds me of Blast from the Past Mary in

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Speaker 4: the Barbarians. I think, you know, he even even down

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Speaker 4: to the dreads like he just runs so up. He's

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Speaker 4: running through guys over and over and over. It seems

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Speaker 4: like he seeks out contact at times, you know, and

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Speaker 4: that could actually be his downfall.

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Speaker 2: He can get dude.

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Speaker 4: Another two yards if he goes to the left, but

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Speaker 4: he's like, I'm gonna run through your face instead.

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Speaker 3: Oh I love that guy, but he was dead. Did

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Speaker 3: you know that?

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Speaker 4: I did not know.

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness. To the Found Dead's Apartment twenty twenty two,

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Speaker 3: Heat Struck.

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Speaker 2: But it's interesting.

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Speaker 4: That you brought up that you brought up Travis Kelsey,

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Speaker 4: because yeah, he was wide open, especially in the early

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Speaker 4: in the game, basically always over the middle like it

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Speaker 4: was in he'd find the soft part in the zone.

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Speaker 4: That's one thing he's great at at this point in

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Speaker 4: his career. But to your point, in the second half,

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Speaker 4: I mean he finished with nine for one to twenty four.

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Speaker 4: In the first half he had seven for one oh nine,

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Speaker 4: and you know what did they finish with nineteen points?

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Speaker 4: So they scored thirteen in the first half they scored

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Speaker 4: six and the second half in part because they changed

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Speaker 4: up their defensive schemes. I didn't even know Van Joseph

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Speaker 4: could do that based on what we've seen in the

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Speaker 4: first month of the season. I didn't even know he

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Speaker 4: knew that there were other things you could call because

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Speaker 4: they've been getting rand Rube shot by every quarterback and

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Speaker 4: running back tandem in the NFL. But as soon as

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Speaker 4: they decided we're going to stop playing this soft zone

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Speaker 4: over the middle and we're going to force you to

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Speaker 4: either run the ball or you're gonna have to throw

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Speaker 4: it out to the outside, it kind of it kind

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Speaker 4: of flustered the Chiefs offense a little bit, like we

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Speaker 4: were waiting for the explosion and it just never came.

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Speaker 3: Well, it's funny you say explosion. I just looked Patrick

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Speaker 3: Mahomes had three hundred yards passing like it did.

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Speaker 4: He's great on another curve than everyone else though, you

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Speaker 4: know that.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Well listen, Zack Wilson would kill for a

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Speaker 3: three hundred yard passing game, Okay, in his cag that's fair.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I think Zach Wilson just had his first

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Speaker 3: four hundred yard offense game with him at quarterback against

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Speaker 3: the Broncos last week. So anyways, so Chiefs win. They

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Speaker 3: now moved to five and one. Unimpressive, but does it matter.

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Speaker 3: We'll have to chew on that for next week. Let's

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Speaker 3: get to our guest and Week six picks, Alex Monaco

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Speaker 3: I think this week you've got to give a strong,

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Speaker 3: strong look. It's gross, but bear with me. The Cleveland

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Speaker 3: Browns at home getting four and a half five against

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Speaker 3: San Francisco going to be a fascinating game. You're buying

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Speaker 3: terms and responsible gaming resources. You know a guy Jason

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Speaker 3: likes to think he knows everything when it comes to sports.

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Speaker 3: I know what sports fans want, but for everything he doesn't.

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Speaker 3: He knows a guy who does.

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Speaker 1: Let's just say I know a guy who knows the

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Speaker 1: guy who knows another guy.

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Speaker 3: Let's welcome in a guy I've known Cheese what five

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Speaker 3: years now, big gambling guy. He's here with the volume

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Speaker 3: in the family. Alex Monaco, Alex, how you doing, my man?

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Speaker 2: Jay Max?

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Speaker 1: Thanks for having me on. I was talking to you

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Speaker 1: right before. I'm about ready in New York here to

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Speaker 1: be a Jet. You're wearing the Jet shirt.

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Speaker 2: I got it.

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Speaker 1: Yes, Yes, I got met life behind me. We got

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Speaker 1: a little synergy going.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't I would not wish that on you.

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Speaker 3: I'm trying to get my kids to be Jets fans.

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Speaker 3: They're just having none of it. They're like, Jet stink.

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Speaker 3: Why are you fans of them? You know, kind of

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Speaker 3: born in New York. It's a dumb reason to like

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Speaker 3: the Jets. But we will. I don't know if we'll

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Speaker 3: talk about Jets Eagles. Maybe let's start Alex. Let's first

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Speaker 3: of all, how how's the season looking for you? Big picture?

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Speaker 2: So far?

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Speaker 1: Season has been well, Jason, A little bit of a

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Speaker 1: five hundred start. Caught a little five on one heater

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Speaker 1: last week on volume these one off games Monday night

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Speaker 1: Thursday night. I started out, well, sometimes you get a

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Speaker 1: little emotional about him. They're very much one off games.

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Speaker 1: That's how you gotta look at him. I took a

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Speaker 1: couple of bowt ones, but for the most part, we're

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Speaker 1: still around fifty five to fifty six is percent, so

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Speaker 1: we're above sea level.

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Speaker 3: It seems like road teams are having a lot of

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Speaker 3: success this year. I like an irrational number of road

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Speaker 3: teams this week. Also, you know, we talked about this

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Speaker 3: with Preston Johnson yesterday. There's a lot of two and

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Speaker 3: a half and three and a halfs this week. I

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Speaker 3: think there's six of them total. Those are dangerous. If

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Speaker 3: it's on three, hey, we get it, field goal, understand.

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Speaker 3: But the two and a half three and a half?

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Speaker 3: Is there any tell from for you when you see

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Speaker 3: a two and a half, for instance, I don't know.

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Speaker 3: We let's go Atlanta Washington. Atlanta's two and a half.

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Speaker 3: A why aren't we getting Atlanta three and B? Does

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Speaker 3: this mean you like Atlanta?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: It's interesting, Jason, because sometimes you gotta what the week

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Speaker 1: play out, and I'm big on looking at splits. I

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Speaker 1: try to shop around, see where the money is, see

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Speaker 1: where the tickets are at multiple books. Two and a

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Speaker 1: half three doesn't really change me personally thinking one way

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Speaker 1: or another too much. And I was on the banks

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Speaker 1: mius two and a half last week that was moving

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Speaker 1: to mius three a little. They're that same number against

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Speaker 1: Seattle this week. It doesn't really change my thinking. It's

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Speaker 1: more when it goes from two and a half to

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Speaker 1: three and a half. As you know, key number is

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Speaker 1: when you start to have to maybe get in your

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Speaker 1: noggin and convince.

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Speaker 2: Yourself one way or an Yeah.

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Speaker 3: One of the theories is when you see two and

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Speaker 3: a half, it means that the professional gamblers don't want

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Speaker 3: the favorite, because otherwise, you know, we'd see a three.

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Speaker 3: But if it's two and a half, maybe the side

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Speaker 3: is the dog. I was with you on Cincinnati last week.

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Speaker 3: I think forty nine ers were three and a half

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Speaker 3: against Dallas and a lot of the sharps I put

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Speaker 3: the air quotes up. Obviously they love Dallas and they

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Speaker 3: got destroyed. I don't know. I see that number this

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Speaker 3: week a lot, and it makes me a little nervous.

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Speaker 3: I'm like, did I just get lucky? I was five

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Speaker 3: and zero last week in the contest, but you know,

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Speaker 3: week before one and four, I don't know. Let's start

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Speaker 3: with the big news though, Deshaun Watson, according to Josina Anderson,

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Speaker 3: will not play Sunday against the Niners. Now, early in

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Speaker 3: the week, I had said this was a great spot

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Speaker 3: for the Browns before I knew any of the Watson stuff.

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Speaker 3: Sunday night, I took three and a half with Cleveland.

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Speaker 3: I was like, oh, that's great. I got a great

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Speaker 3: number three and a half. You know, can't give that

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Speaker 3: Browns defense off of bye And then of course the

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Speaker 3: Watson stuff happens and I had to buy out of it.

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Speaker 3: Late Thursday, I got eight. After I saw Watson didn't practice.

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Speaker 3: I was like, come on, so I got a minus

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Speaker 3: eight Cleveland buying out of my earlier position. Now it's ten.

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Speaker 3: Where can you take Sanfray at ten? Or is that

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Speaker 3: still insane? Giving this Browns defense?

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Speaker 1: This is crazy line movement. You don't see this very often,

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Speaker 1: And yeah, to your point, you know they do that.

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Speaker 1: The books lay out the week aheadlines, and I believe

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Speaker 1: that was around San Fran minus three and a half

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Speaker 1: before they beat the brakes off of the Cowboys. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is a tough game because splits wise and sharp wise,

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Speaker 1: any inside information, anything you can find out there is

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Speaker 1: really tough for a game like this. I mean all

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Speaker 1: about to say, I do think infrastructure wise, on both

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Speaker 1: sides of the trenches, I do think the Browns can hang.

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Speaker 1: I guess the question becomes is it a loutdown spot

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Speaker 1: for Sanfran? After that's you know, primetime game bye for

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Speaker 1: the Browns. I mean there's a couple of reasons to

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Speaker 1: want to like Cleveland. It's more, could we not even

429
00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:07,760
Speaker 1: have gotten dtr We gotta go with PJ.

430
00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:09,600
Speaker 2: I mean that's where.

431
00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,280
Speaker 1: It's like, I mean, I don't even know if he

432
00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,520
Speaker 1: has a picture in mad I can't sit here and

433
00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:16,800
Speaker 1: take a certified third stringer.

434
00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,080
Speaker 2: And I do think he's got a little bit of

435
00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 2: sneaky athleticism.

436
00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:20,520
Speaker 1: But I mean this is one of those games where

437
00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:23,840
Speaker 1: if just Sam Fran does everything fundamentally right, you seen

438
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 1: Cleveland kind of get cooked a couple of times here.

439
00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:28,720
Speaker 1: I might have to swallow the points even though it's

440
00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:29,879
Speaker 1: just a disgusting play.

441
00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,399
Speaker 3: Either way, well, I had looked it up because I

442
00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:34,119
Speaker 3: was really hot for the Browns. Earlier this week I

443
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:36,400
Speaker 3: looked up Jim Schwartz, who's the new DC in Cleveland,

444
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:38,119
Speaker 3: and earlier in the year, I mean, this guy was

445
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:39,760
Speaker 3: on fire. He was dominating. So I'm like, well, let

446
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:43,600
Speaker 3: me look up Schwartz against Shanahan. And you know, Schwartz

447
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 3: was in Buffalo, he was in Philly, and with the

448
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 3: Tennessee Titans, he had won six straight. Now he wasn't

449
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 3: the head coach in all those but his defense against

450
00:20:52,840 --> 00:20:55,679
Speaker 3: Shanahan's offense sixth straight. So there is something he likes

451
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,600
Speaker 3: to play a lot of Manda man. You know, Debo's

452
00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:00,359
Speaker 3: not win a Manda man. I I don't know if

453
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:02,400
Speaker 3: Kittle is at this age. Iyuka is the guy that's

454
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,320
Speaker 3: a problem. But you've got Denzel Award for him, and

455
00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:07,200
Speaker 3: I just wonder, you know, Alex, we know that forty

456
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:09,400
Speaker 3: nine Ers offensive line has had trouble on the right side.

457
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:12,600
Speaker 3: Trent Williams is a superstar, but is it gonna get

458
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 3: a little creaky? The problem is, like I was on

459
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 3: DTR against the Ravens, not knowing him as DTR, I

460
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 3: thought I watched it and they couldn't move the football.

461
00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,159
Speaker 3: You do that against Niners, it's game over those linebackers,

462
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,399
Speaker 3: like you should probably bet anytime touchdown for the San

463
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 3: Francisco defense, right yeah, And then you're.

464
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,119
Speaker 2: Looking at thirty six and a half.

465
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,840
Speaker 1: Speaking of moving line movement over under, I mean, it's

466
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:36,879
Speaker 1: moving like crypto over here. Now it's a ten on

467
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,439
Speaker 1: a refresh on my screen. So I mean, I like

468
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:43,639
Speaker 1: your analysis. So I do think a defensive game we

469
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:45,879
Speaker 1: haven't seen. I always say this in betting, you haven't

470
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,560
Speaker 1: seen a blemish on someone's record. A CJ. Strau with

471
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:50,520
Speaker 1: a pick, a rock pretty with a pick, how do

472
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:51,480
Speaker 1: we know what they are?

473
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:53,160
Speaker 2: And a little bit of a face of adversion.

474
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,879
Speaker 1: So we haven't even seen San Francisco catch really any

475
00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,879
Speaker 1: smoke yet. This is far and away, probably outside of

476
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 1: a top tier team they will face in the trenches.

477
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,200
Speaker 1: It started. You're starting to make me think a little bit.

478
00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:10,200
Speaker 1: I mean, when you have line movement like this, I mean,

479
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:12,760
Speaker 1: for example, look at the Cardinals. Were the Bengals I

480
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:15,040
Speaker 1: think were minus six and a half and that Cardinals

481
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:16,760
Speaker 1: on a look ahead then they get blown out by

482
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 1: the Titans. So the number moves sometimes on line movement

483
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:21,879
Speaker 1: like this, you kind of got a rock with it

484
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 1: and just plug the schnozz and hope you cover.

485
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll see. I mean, I don't know if I

486
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 3: I it's just a tough one. I will forty nine ers.

487
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:31,960
Speaker 3: I think I looked this up because you mentioned it

488
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,200
Speaker 3: and I sent it on the Herd brock perty histrail

489
00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:36,040
Speaker 3: for like two and a half minutes in his career

490
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 3: with the Niners in the fourth quarter was that game

491
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 3: against the Raiders last year? And it was like early

492
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:42,240
Speaker 3: fourth quarter and then they tied it up and never trailed.

493
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:44,520
Speaker 3: But I digress. Is there a game that jumps out

494
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,359
Speaker 3: to you that you bet heavy earlier this week that

495
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 3: you absolutely love? Maybe a house payment, I don't know,

496
00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:52,560
Speaker 3: college fund for the kids that you just absolutely loved.

497
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 2: Just month month of Manhattan studio rent j M's.

498
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:59,239
Speaker 3: Studio in Manhattan, Dude, baller, what could you want to say?

499
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 3: The neighborhood or famous?

500
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 2: You know I am.

501
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 1: I'm in the flat Iron area, so I'm paying you know,

502
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:07,160
Speaker 1: I'm paying more a mortgage for you know, a five

503
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:11,040
Speaker 1: ten man barely fitting in the uh in the cubicle here.

504
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:12,720
Speaker 2: But yeah, not great area, great area.

505
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:15,600
Speaker 3: What's it like bringing the ladies back to the flatter.

506
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 3: That's a good area.

507
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:17,639
Speaker 2: It's a good area.

508
00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 1: You know, house stays, cleans, bachelor living, little little Mikey

509
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: from Swingers s but a little more full full fridge

510
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,120
Speaker 1: because I got some Italian in me. So you know, okay,

511
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 1: got bridge stays full, Yeah, house clean. But so I

512
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:31,719
Speaker 1: kind of want to give you a favorite. I like,

513
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 1: I almost want to give you something that's so gross

514
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 1: it's it's worse than your aunt's cooking on a Thanksgiving

515
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 1: that you have to go to.

516
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:40,480
Speaker 3: I mean, probably Giants Panthers.

517
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna go, not even with the three

518
00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:45,639
Speaker 1: they're giving us. I think I'm going to take this

519
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:46,880
Speaker 1: Patriots team j mac.

520
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,440
Speaker 3: Oh, Yeah, that's not that gross at all. It's a lot.

521
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:50,320
Speaker 2: But here's the thing.

522
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 1: No one wants to touch them right now. But biggest

523
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:55,399
Speaker 1: blowouts of Belichick's career. I mean, you start looking at

524
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:58,159
Speaker 1: the numbers here, you start looking at the betting trends,

525
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:00,640
Speaker 1: and I could pick three or four for you off

526
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,760
Speaker 1: a double digit loss short turnaround a week for the Raiders.

527
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:07,200
Speaker 1: They haven't broke eighteen points with McDaniels in this Yeah,

528
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 1: and this advisory's rocket. I personally I call him a

529
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 1: non leader and men. I don't think this guy's got

530
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 1: the locker room under control. I think they caught a

531
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:17,680
Speaker 1: little bit of adrenaline on a primetime get right spot

532
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 1: love on the strip, my little b minus dad punt

533
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:23,160
Speaker 1: then go according to plan. Now you gotta go against

534
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:27,399
Speaker 1: your boss. Wouldn't you ever take the understudy? Mean in

535
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 1: this setup, you gotta put the hoodie on. Go Darth

536
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:33,480
Speaker 1: Vader here. And my favorite stat of all of it

537
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:38,000
Speaker 1: is teams getting blown out by twenty plus and our

538
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 1: road dogs are are damn near two to one fifty

539
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,119
Speaker 1: and twenty six against the spread in the last five years.

540
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:45,680
Speaker 2: And Belichick, we know about him.

541
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:49,399
Speaker 1: And with mac twenty point blowout losses four two and

542
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 1: one ats, So I'm.

543
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:51,680
Speaker 2: Comfortable with the three.

544
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:53,800
Speaker 1: I like the money line, I don't I don't see

545
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 1: McDaniels in this fifteen minutes.

546
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:57,840
Speaker 3: I don't have any I like that bet. I'll probably

547
00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 3: have it in the contest. So it's funny because I

548
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,160
Speaker 3: hear all this. You know they can't move the football,

549
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 3: and I get it. So I'm gonna you tell me

550
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,560
Speaker 3: the team they faced, and I'll give you the DVA

551
00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 3: defense because it's crazy. Other than Miami who's twenty fifth

552
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:12,239
Speaker 3: and DVA defense. I think everyone they face pretty good.

553
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:13,639
Speaker 3: Who if they face, because I don't have it off

554
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,199
Speaker 3: the top of my head. We talk in we talk

555
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 3: at Raiders, we talk in Patriots, Patriots, Patriots. See, that

556
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 3: was part of my ration now here, Jason, they played

557
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 3: the Eagles. Eagles are threete yep.

558
00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 2: Brutal defense. They got alltle susceptibility.

559
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:26,959
Speaker 1: Saints.

560
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:31,479
Speaker 3: Saints are were they They're five in defense, so very

561
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:32,640
Speaker 3: good defense. So they didn't score.

562
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 1: It's a tough defense.

563
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, and your Jets they played the Jets too, Jets.

564
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 3: Jets are not as high as I thought. They're fifteenth.

565
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,000
Speaker 3: But bottom line is they played good defenses other than Miami,

566
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 3: and now you step down in class to face the

567
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,879
Speaker 3: Raiders were twenty fourth, and like you know, Jordan Love

568
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,440
Speaker 3: doesn't vomit all over himself. Packers probably win that game.

569
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,120
Speaker 3: I don't think very highly of this this Raiders team

570
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:55,960
Speaker 3: at all. I think the Patriots offensive lines have even

571
00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 3: getting healthier. I don't know if you saw the injury report,

572
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:00,640
Speaker 3: but it's like, Oh, their offensive line is coming back

573
00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 3: and they're gonna be able to run the football all right. Yeah,

574
00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:05,719
Speaker 3: this feels like a I don't know about a smash spot,

575
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:10,959
Speaker 3: but it's offensively. Can you ever smash the Patriots? They

576
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:12,199
Speaker 3: like they just don't have dudes?

577
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 2: Yeah they don't. But you did make a good point.

578
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:19,320
Speaker 1: Lines trending in a healthier direction, and Matt couldn't look worse.

579
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 2: I actually like Belichick.

580
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 1: I'm big on like the press conference is how like

581
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:25,840
Speaker 1: Burrow when he was last week saying I'd rather go

582
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,360
Speaker 1: on the road and get booed than at home. Yeah,

583
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 1: that's the dog I'm looking for in a in a

584
00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 1: get right Bilow spot. And the fact that Belichick doubled

585
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 1: down on not making a quarterback change. I think that's

586
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:41,320
Speaker 1: a subtle confidence booster in a room with absolutely no Jews.

587
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:43,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I'm with you. We like that. That's probably

588
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 3: almost certainly to be one of my plays. Let's go

589
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:49,720
Speaker 3: Jacksonville Indianapolis. I don't know have you looked at this

590
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 3: game at all?

591
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 2: I've looked at this game.

592
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,879
Speaker 1: This is sort of a spot play, you know you

593
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 1: look at I got an interesting staff from Action Network here.

594
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 1: They do great in the weeds numbers. I got a

595
00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:04,639
Speaker 1: post London trip number for you here. So if you

596
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:08,239
Speaker 1: go to London, you come back, no bot. Eleven out

597
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 1: of the last eleven teams have either been tied or

598
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 1: trailing at some point the fourth you factor that in

599
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,440
Speaker 1: Jacksonville sort of playing with house money on a two

600
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 1: zero trip. You know, you go across the pond, you

601
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 1: catch a dub. I don't know what Buffalo was thinking,

602
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,439
Speaker 1: showing up on Friday like a bunch of fratros for

603
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 1: a four day weekend to catch Arsenal and man City

604
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:26,119
Speaker 1: over there.

605
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:27,600
Speaker 2: I mean, Arball left on Monday.

606
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 3: What is Buffalo doing.

607
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 1: That's the kind of inside of information you need, and

608
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,919
Speaker 1: you change your pick, you go. They showed up on Friday.

609
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 1: All that to say, Jacksonville comes home playing with house money.

610
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,120
Speaker 1: I called Gardner Minshew the best relief pitcher in football.

611
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,679
Speaker 1: I mean, this dude's come out of the bullpen three

612
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 1: times and gotten a dub.

613
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:48,919
Speaker 2: Or at least showed up serviceably.

614
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:50,600
Speaker 1: All that to say the line will we moved the

615
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:52,240
Speaker 1: point after.

616
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 2: The quarterback shift?

617
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:53,919
Speaker 5: Yeah?

618
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:55,440
Speaker 2: I kind of like.

619
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 3: The points here.

620
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:59,119
Speaker 1: I don't love the road dog element, but this is

621
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 1: more of a spot play, a kind of selling ish

622
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:04,840
Speaker 1: high on the jack. They kind of play down in

623
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 1: their competition sometimes and rise to the occasion against the

624
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:08,160
Speaker 1: cream of the crop.

625
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 2: So that's what I'm hoping for.

626
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 3: Interesting, it's you. So you said that interesting stat that

627
00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 3: you saw in action. So here's the thing. I'm not

628
00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 3: a big trend guy. But my buddy Ta, I don't.

629
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:18,480
Speaker 3: I don't know if you know him. He's been on

630
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 3: the Pott he used to come on my radio show.

631
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 3: He has his own site, and he had that earlier

632
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:24,439
Speaker 3: this week and I was like, Wow, that's staggering. So

633
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 3: I said it on the Herd. I don't know if

634
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 3: Action got it from us or Ta, but I do wonder, like,

635
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 3: do you buy a lot of the action trends and stuff?

636
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:35,159
Speaker 3: They do sound interesting, but do you like find anything

637
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:36,600
Speaker 3: actionable from the trends?

638
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 2: I do a little bit.

639
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 1: Again, I kind of say, I'm not a science guy,

640
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 1: but I'm not not a science guy. It's like, I'm

641
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 1: not a huge trends guy, but I'm not not a

642
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 1: trends guy. I mean this London thing, the NFL scripts

643
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 1: in full force when you look at it like that,

644
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 1: I mean Buffalo, the whole world was on Buffalo. That's

645
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 1: a forty eight piece slaughtering against Miami the week before

646
00:28:58,080 --> 00:28:58,719
Speaker 1: they go across.

647
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 2: So it's just like these one off games Jacksonville. I

648
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:03,240
Speaker 2: guess they'd have.

649
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,680
Speaker 1: The most home field advantage of anybody over there, clearly,

650
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:07,960
Speaker 1: but still coming back travel week this it's.

651
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:09,600
Speaker 2: A lot of moving parts for these creatures.

652
00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 3: I have it so I've I've struggled with the divisional

653
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:14,120
Speaker 3: matchups the first three weeks. I don't have the EXAC

654
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:15,760
Speaker 3: number because I don't want to look at it was ugly.

655
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:19,240
Speaker 3: I just couldn't handicap the divisional dogs. They kept crushing

656
00:29:19,800 --> 00:29:24,640
Speaker 3: and I just wonder, like Colts already saw this team,

657
00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 3: Who's that get the edge to Jags or Colts?

658
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:30,640
Speaker 1: Well, I mean it kind of remains to be seen

659
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 1: because I'm curious how good the coaching staff, the new

660
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:34,760
Speaker 1: coaching staff in India is.

661
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:36,920
Speaker 2: I mean it seems like, I mean.

662
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,120
Speaker 1: The fact that a backup quarterback and a backup running

663
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 1: back the pay the Jonathan Taylor pay day they've been

664
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 1: waiting for for forever, and it's a Zach Moss DFS

665
00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 1: coming out party. It's almost like they have a new

666
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:53,560
Speaker 1: sort of company culture over there. And you know, these

667
00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 1: these divisional games, I think sometimes when you get them.

668
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,360
Speaker 1: I look at the AFC North like that, like last week.

669
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 1: You know, easy to take the Ravens, probably the grocer players.

670
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 1: The Steelers were the points. Sometimes in those certain spots

671
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 1: you gotta just take the dog with the points in

672
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,920
Speaker 1: the divisional game. Yeah, the answer question, I still don't

673
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 1: know edge wise. I mean, obviously quarterback head coach you

674
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,160
Speaker 1: go with Doug ep And and the.

675
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:17,520
Speaker 3: Prince was Oh, no, I like Psyching a lot man.

676
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 1: No, I like Psychen too. I mean it is interesting

677
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,960
Speaker 1: limited tape. I guess on minshew all that to say,

678
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,120
Speaker 1: I think they cover. I still think the Jags win.

679
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:28,600
Speaker 3: All right, let's go Vikings Bears. This is probably not

680
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,400
Speaker 3: a game you want to focus on. That being said,

681
00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 3: I'm just fascinated. This dipped at some point during the

682
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 3: week to two and a half after the justin Jefferson News,

683
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:39,120
Speaker 3: Vikings only favored by two and a half. Now it

684
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 3: is outdoors Bears coming off the huge win on Thursday

685
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:47,360
Speaker 3: in Washington. Extra rest Bears. If you look at it,

686
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 3: they've actually played six really good quarters in a row. Well, actually, no,

687
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 3: they played the good first half against Denver I'm sorry,

688
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 3: good first half and then they clunky second half. So

689
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 3: they've shown well against dregs of the league. But is

690
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:03,000
Speaker 3: Minnesota dregs of the league. Maybe I'm not sure. I

691
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 3: don't know what to do here. Another divisional matchup? Is

692
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 3: this to stay away or anything?

693
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:10,280
Speaker 1: You know what I'm going. I'm rolling up the sleeves

694
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 1: J Mac, I'm taking the Vikings.

695
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:14,720
Speaker 2: I'm doing it. I know it's a little gross.

696
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: Again you lose JJ, but it's one of these teams

697
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:20,800
Speaker 1: again eleven to one score wins last year. Pendulum's clearly

698
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 1: swinging the other way. But they're the worst team in

699
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 1: the league in turnovers. There's two smoking mirror teams that

700
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 1: I don't think are as one isn't as.

701
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:28,120
Speaker 2: Bad as they are.

702
00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 1: Minnesota and Tampa Bay is tied with the Niners at

703
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 1: plus seven and turnover differential. They are not a true

704
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 1: first place team in my humble opinion, I am leaning

705
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 1: Lions if we're.

706
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 2: Talking that out. But all that to say, the Vikings.

707
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:43,320
Speaker 1: You know this is I called Kirk Cousins like a

708
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:46,560
Speaker 1: He's like a responsible dad who voluntarily tucks in his

709
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: shirt on the weekend and he's just getting take advantage

710
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 1: of in the house. The kids are having weekdays sleepovers,

711
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:55,760
Speaker 1: dessert for breakfast. It doesn't even make sense. That Kirk's

712
00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:57,360
Speaker 1: putting up these numbers. He was the first guy to

713
00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,400
Speaker 1: double digit touchdowns in the league. He was top three

714
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:01,760
Speaker 1: in passing yard. This is all while they're.

715
00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 2: One in three, one and four.

716
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: What's even more perplexing is that they were bottom five

717
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 1: in yards and d last year. Flores does have them

718
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 1: playing better defense. I just think they're because they're not

719
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 1: protecting the ball. These fumbles are killing them. The Bears

720
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:16,640
Speaker 1: are almost you know, they don't know what to do

721
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:20,360
Speaker 1: in a spot where they win, and you know, maybe

722
00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 1: they're feeling themselves. I kind of like Minnesota here as

723
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 1: low as you could possibly go.

724
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,360
Speaker 3: Well at two and a half, right, yeah, two and

725
00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 3: a half?

726
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, three, you know how it goes home divisional dog,

727
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 1: you start to think a little differently. But two and

728
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:35,800
Speaker 1: a half, I might have to go road favorite. I

729
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:38,800
Speaker 1: mean we were favorites. We're all in, but.

730
00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 3: Three I'm looking at. I don't have the exact numbers,

731
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 3: but I remember from the game. Fields had hours in

732
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 3: the pocket against Washington, like they didn't blitz and they

733
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 3: left their bad cornerbacks on islands. So Vikings don't have

734
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 3: good cornerbacks. But Floraz is blitzing more than anyone in

735
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 3: the league forty six percent. So if they get to fields,

736
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 3: how's he going to do under pressure? So I'm just

737
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:02,400
Speaker 3: you look at those tendencies. My gut would tell me.

738
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 3: By the way, the Bear's injury report. So they're starting

739
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,600
Speaker 3: running ba Khalil Herbert has a practiced ankle, their backup

740
00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 3: running back Roshawn Johnson has a concussion, and then there

741
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 3: I think their third dring running back Travis Homer has

742
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 3: a hamstring. Neither have practiced yet this week. I don't

743
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 3: know who the four string guy is. I might need

744
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 3: to go grab me in fantasy. But that's not great, right,

745
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 3: It's not great. It's not And you know this is

746
00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:26,959
Speaker 3: a Minnesota offense.

747
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 1: My only game I got wrong last week was Minnesota

748
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 1: with the four I tried to get cute at home

749
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 1: and them covering. But I just don't think they're as

750
00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 1: bad as their record portrays them to be. I don't

751
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: think statistically it really tells the story. I really do

752
00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 1: think it is situational football. They could not be playing worse.

753
00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 2: This is also an interesting psychology question.

754
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:50,840
Speaker 1: In the Grown Man World, Cousins is thirty five Connolly's

755
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 1: thirty eight. I mean that's like a freshman and a

756
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 1: senior riding together in the car to high school. Do

757
00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:01,640
Speaker 1: you really respect the coach like that when you're when

758
00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:03,479
Speaker 1: you're less than a thousand days away from each other.

759
00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:06,360
Speaker 2: I don't know.

760
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 3: I don't know how that figures in the day anygain.

761
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:10,759
Speaker 3: But that's I had done. I didn't saying they need.

762
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 1: What I'm saying is someone needs to say something with

763
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 1: their chest in the locker room. And Kirk Cousins is

764
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:19,319
Speaker 1: too polite. Again, he's the nice dad and he's not.

765
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:22,160
Speaker 2: We need a little you like that. Yeah he's not

766
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 2: and he's not that guy. But it doesn't look like

767
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 2: Kevin is either.

768
00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 3: Huh. A little philosophy with all this stuff, that's deep

769
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:33,799
Speaker 3: I got. I gotta appreciate that. All right, Yeah, I'll

770
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 3: let you pick the next game I have. I have

771
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,120
Speaker 3: two others I want to drill down on real quick.

772
00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:38,879
Speaker 2: But well, I would like to talk out.

773
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:40,759
Speaker 1: I'd love to hear what side you're on with this

774
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:43,359
Speaker 1: with this Mayfield Jerry Goff show down.

775
00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:45,239
Speaker 2: I know CoP's two guys in the dome and.

776
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,879
Speaker 1: Out, but my problem is Baker Mayfield's on college game

777
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 1: day putting on mascot HAPs definitely sipping on some sauce

778
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,800
Speaker 1: on his off week. I gotta be honest, man, I

779
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 1: would have liked them at home, bunkering down, studying film.

780
00:34:58,000 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 1: You can do what you want on a bye week.

781
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 1: But again he goes out of his normal routine. He

782
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 1: goes to the game. Guarantee you he's celebrating after that

783
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 1: Gabriel game winning tug.

784
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 2: Now he's got to get back in the rhythm.

785
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:12,120
Speaker 1: I mean, the biggest thing to me on the Lions

786
00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:14,479
Speaker 1: that isn't isn't hit home enough.

787
00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:15,560
Speaker 2: It's not the offense.

788
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,320
Speaker 1: They have a top three run Dye Jase, top three Rundy.

789
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:22,040
Speaker 1: They had a seven SAT game against Ritter and the Falcons.

790
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,560
Speaker 1: I don't know what Aaron Glenn's doing over there. I

791
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 1: don't know if they're sitpping on something that's just new.

792
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 1: They are a real defense, and we already know they've

793
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 1: been top five in this league offensively going on.

794
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:37,040
Speaker 2: A year plus. No hook, big problem.

795
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 3: I gotta sway and a half anymore.

796
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 1: I'm not seeing three and a half on DK. I

797
00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,799
Speaker 1: mean ay, and I'll double check. I mean, I you

798
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,719
Speaker 1: like Tampa or Detroit? Yeah, I mean here's and going

799
00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 1: in the weeds A little more. So you you get

800
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 1: out gained by Minnesota by over one twenty five, but

801
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 1: you win the turnover differential by three, so you win

802
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:56,719
Speaker 1: that game kind of on the Minnesota point. They win

803
00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,560
Speaker 1: the turnover battle against the Bears, they win that they

804
00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 1: cover they shouldn't have.

805
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:02,760
Speaker 2: Then they really kind of got exposed by Philly.

806
00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:05,360
Speaker 1: I mean, you got out gained by three hundred yards

807
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:08,160
Speaker 1: on Monday night football on your field. And then you

808
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:12,000
Speaker 1: beat Jamis Winston who's been a cheerleader for four years.

809
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:15,799
Speaker 1: So who have they beat that? We sit here and go, oh,

810
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 1: this is a first place club. Yet we're looking at

811
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:20,360
Speaker 1: a coin flip in the NFC South to win the

812
00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:23,359
Speaker 1: division right now? And that number one thing I said

813
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,560
Speaker 1: to you about the turnover differential, what happens when.

814
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,280
Speaker 2: Baker throws a pick? How fast we forget?

815
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:32,160
Speaker 1: And I do believe this Lions defense is a lot

816
00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 1: more opportunistic than years past. Little banged up, I will

817
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:37,920
Speaker 1: say in the secondary. I hope they get healthier. But

818
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:39,880
Speaker 1: it looks like Decker's going It looks like arman Ra

819
00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 1: was limited in practice. I got a swallow three here.

820
00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:46,359
Speaker 1: I know it's a it's a by high spot. I

821
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 1: think Tampa.

822
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:48,359
Speaker 2: Oh what do I do?

823
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:52,680
Speaker 1: Have one number as well for you how we're thinking, okay,

824
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:57,200
Speaker 1: rest helps well? Home Dogs offul bye, which is the

825
00:36:57,239 --> 00:37:00,920
Speaker 1: Bucks only hitting at forty two since twenty fifteen.

826
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 3: So everybody thinks home dog off a bye And in reality,

827
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 3: it's not an edge exactly.

828
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,279
Speaker 1: And to me, I just go trenches on both sides

829
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 1: in this game. It's not a glamorous way to break

830
00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 1: it down. But this offensive line, which was PFF ranked

831
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 1: top five in Detroit, is gonna push around a team

832
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:20,560
Speaker 1: in Tampa that obviously they got vitave, they got some

833
00:37:20,600 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 1: guys up front, but also they don't run the ball

834
00:37:23,520 --> 00:37:25,839
Speaker 1: well in Tampa. Again, they have not established a run

835
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:28,200
Speaker 1: and I mentioned that under seventy rush yards per game

836
00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:29,799
Speaker 1: to start the season. So you're gonna have to have

837
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 1: Baker beat them all. Swall the three I'll take JG sixteen.

838
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:38,200
Speaker 3: Football is back. No more preseason games. The regular season

839
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:41,240
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840
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:44,000
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841
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842
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848
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849
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851
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853
00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 3: Interesting thing you said about they couldn't stop the run

854
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,800
Speaker 3: in that offensive line for Detroit. So the last time

855
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,320
Speaker 3: a team went into Tampa with a great run game,

856
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:36,520
Speaker 3: I was on Tampa. I was like it, Oh, come on,

857
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,360
Speaker 3: let's see And they got bullied on Monday Night Football

858
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:41,400
Speaker 3: by the Eagles who just pushed them around. DeAndre Swift

859
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:43,560
Speaker 3: at like a buck seventy. Why can't the Lions just

860
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 3: do that again?

861
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:44,680
Speaker 1: Right?

862
00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 3: So I don't think it's a great matchup for the Bucks.

863
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 3: But then I look at the injury report.

864
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 1: Are you ready?

865
00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:51,799
Speaker 3: So Brian Branched, the young kid out of Alabama, has

866
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:54,960
Speaker 3: at practice Wednesday or Thursday. Jamior Gibbs still hurt. I mean,

867
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:59,279
Speaker 3: he's a rookie hamstring. You gotta guard Jackson Laport of

868
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:01,440
Speaker 3: the tight end, who's on his way to setting tight

869
00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:04,319
Speaker 3: end rookie records. None of these guys have practiced at all,

870
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,319
Speaker 3: and then mostly the defensive back. However, Mike Evans says,

871
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:09,279
Speaker 3: we don't know what his status is coming off the buy.

872
00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:12,279
Speaker 3: He doesn't seem happy. Remember he was chirping kind of

873
00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:16,440
Speaker 3: in the preseason. Actually, when the wheels come off for Tampa,

874
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,400
Speaker 3: I feel like it's going to be really really ugly.

875
00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:20,399
Speaker 3: I just I don't know if it's this week, your

876
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 3: your home dog off of by status interesting, it's something,

877
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:26,560
Speaker 3: it's not nothing, but it feels like you're buying high

878
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,520
Speaker 3: on Detroit here, right I am, But again I'm not really.

879
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,160
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not mister Sharp over here. So I

880
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 1: do rock with the public occasionally. I mean I am

881
00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:37,040
Speaker 1: on the Broncos Thursday night. That could get ugly quick,

882
00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:40,200
Speaker 1: but you know, sometimes I just I try to outthink

883
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:40,520
Speaker 1: the room.

884
00:39:40,560 --> 00:39:42,359
Speaker 2: And again, even sharps are wrong, you know.

885
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, they're wrong a lot. The Lions last fifteen

886
00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 3: games thirteen and two ats yir roling Ben Johnson, Man.

887
00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:52,080
Speaker 1: He's good juggernaut they are give me I might be

888
00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:54,320
Speaker 1: on two cups of coffee now thanks to Danny Campbell,

889
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:55,440
Speaker 1: I might have to doubble lot.

890
00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 3: All right, let's go to a game. This is an

891
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:04,680
Speaker 3: interesting one. So last week Eagles Rams, Eagles, you know,

892
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:07,920
Speaker 3: just exert their will second half, pull away from the Rams.

893
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,359
Speaker 3: And then I saw this stat. Remember last year how

894
00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:14,160
Speaker 3: every week after you played the Niners you were just

895
00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:16,080
Speaker 3: exhausted and beat up and you lost. I think it

896
00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:18,279
Speaker 3: was like thirteen straight. Oh yeah, I saw stat that

897
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:22,040
Speaker 3: the Eagles the last two plus years, the same thing

898
00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 3: holds true. The week after teams played the Eagles, They're

899
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,759
Speaker 3: now twenty and thirty five ats. I was like, wow,

900
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,280
Speaker 3: I had not noticed that, but apparently it's getting worse.

901
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 3: So I looked at the Rams and I'm like, I

902
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:33,520
Speaker 3: like the Rams this week, and now the numbers seven?

903
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 3: Should the Rams be like seven against anyone? Or is

904
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 3: this hey, hey, hey, did you see how Burrow carved

905
00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 3: up this terrible secondary. Well, Stafford is not a worse quarterback,

906
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:48,480
Speaker 3: and he has better weapons than just Jamar Chase, like Pooka,

907
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:53,360
Speaker 3: Cooper Cupp is back Tyler Higbee the tight end. Like,

908
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:56,920
Speaker 3: I don't know. I was looking at the Rams, but

909
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:58,239
Speaker 3: I don't know that I can lay seven in a

910
00:40:58,280 --> 00:40:59,120
Speaker 3: divisional matchup.

911
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:01,440
Speaker 1: I know. I mean, you remember, Jason, this was the

912
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:04,879
Speaker 1: the Lions of two years ago. The Giants of last

913
00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 1: year started to be the Cardinals to kick it off,

914
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:09,839
Speaker 1: they were what three and one hrs to start the month,

915
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 1: and then they were under the last undefeated against the

916
00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:15,360
Speaker 1: spread team. So I don't know, I mean seven points.

917
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:18,960
Speaker 1: They looked so abysmal last week. That was that was

918
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:21,359
Speaker 1: like a gift that we'll get from the books once

919
00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:23,319
Speaker 1: a year. That Bengals MIAs two and a half. That's

920
00:41:23,320 --> 00:41:24,759
Speaker 1: how I felt. I mean, that was an eleven and

921
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:28,040
Speaker 1: a half total win team versus four and a half preseason,

922
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:30,120
Speaker 1: and you got less than a field goal. All that

923
00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:33,800
Speaker 1: to say, I do think maybe we are overreacting.

924
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 2: I mean, would this be five and a half if

925
00:41:35,560 --> 00:41:37,360
Speaker 2: that was more of a competitive game. I don't know,

926
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 2: is this line inflated?

927
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:42,440
Speaker 3: Well, I don't see the James Connor lost. Like James

928
00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 3: Connor was good. I mean, he could he killed Dallas.

929
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:46,719
Speaker 3: He was like their number one skill position guy. And

930
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:49,640
Speaker 3: now he's out and it's like the backup I picked

931
00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 3: him up in fantasy some guy literally never heard of.

932
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:53,399
Speaker 3: And it's like you look around and you're like, huh,

933
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:55,640
Speaker 3: if the Rams could get a lead, I don't know

934
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:58,279
Speaker 3: that Arizona's going to come back. But again, it's a

935
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:01,839
Speaker 3: visional matchup. One other thing real quick. This is like,

936
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:05,040
Speaker 3: you know, silly handicapping, but I'm gonna put it out

937
00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:07,880
Speaker 3: there just because last year it was fascinating. One of

938
00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 3: my buddies saw something where he said, if you there

939
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:13,400
Speaker 3: was like a four or five week stretch where it

940
00:42:13,440 --> 00:42:17,399
Speaker 3: went like twenty one and four teams that lost verse

941
00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:19,719
Speaker 3: teams that we are, teams that didn't cover first, teams

942
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:21,279
Speaker 3: that did cover. Do you remember that was? Oh?

943
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:22,359
Speaker 2: That was the theme last year.

944
00:42:22,480 --> 00:42:26,200
Speaker 3: That was huge and then it was massive, and I

945
00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:29,880
Speaker 3: just wonder the psychology of it, the movement of the lines.

946
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:32,239
Speaker 3: The books know that the casual gambler is going to

947
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:34,239
Speaker 3: back the team that just won whatever they just saw.

948
00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:37,319
Speaker 3: I'm wondering I say that to you, does it mean

949
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:38,239
Speaker 3: anything at all?

950
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 2: I think so.

951
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:41,359
Speaker 1: I mean, look, I got a Week five number here,

952
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 1: seven underdogs covered six to one out right six Oh,

953
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:48,680
Speaker 1: and I believe that it was back to five through

954
00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 1: a month of the season where never did we see

955
00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:54,920
Speaker 1: the underdogs out performing the favorites on the straight up

956
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:55,600
Speaker 1: side of things.

957
00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:57,240
Speaker 2: So, I mean we do.

958
00:42:57,120 --> 00:42:59,799
Speaker 1: See a little bit of week to week kind of

959
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:02,920
Speaker 1: I keep saying the pendulum thing, but it seems like

960
00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:07,240
Speaker 1: if last week's theme was seven underdogs covering and six outright,

961
00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:10,239
Speaker 1: the only team that won that lost and covered was

962
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:14,280
Speaker 1: a Texans, Jag Saints, Colt, Steelers, Jets, all all covered

963
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:17,640
Speaker 1: as dogs. Interesting, I wonder to your point, I'm kind

964
00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:19,160
Speaker 1: of with you on favorites this week.

965
00:43:19,200 --> 00:43:19,439
Speaker 2: Again.

966
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:21,759
Speaker 1: I even like Baltimore and minus four and that's a

967
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:25,320
Speaker 1: disgusting You would never take Baltimore minus fool against the Titans,

968
00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:26,840
Speaker 1: but it's in London, see, you kind of got to

969
00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:27,840
Speaker 1: look at it a little different.

970
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:32,839
Speaker 3: But Titans didn't cover either, So there's five Sunday didn't cover.

971
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:36,120
Speaker 3: Versus did Washington, Atlanta Atlanta? Well, that depends on the

972
00:43:36,200 --> 00:43:37,719
Speaker 3: number you got for Atlanta. I had one and a half,

973
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:39,560
Speaker 3: so they were good in the contest. Washington did not.

974
00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 3: Minnesota did not Chicago did. I think that's kind of

975
00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:46,720
Speaker 3: leads to your Minnesota pick, which I liked. Houston Saints.

976
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:48,960
Speaker 3: I had them as a non cover, but I guess

977
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:53,000
Speaker 3: maybe they could have. And Saints did Patriots Raiders, which

978
00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:56,680
Speaker 3: is another game you highlighted. And then this is the

979
00:43:56,760 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 3: ultimate plug and play Carolina Miami. I don't know, dude,

980
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:04,120
Speaker 3: is that fifteen or fourteen?

981
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:08,880
Speaker 1: I'm staring right now on Draft Kings it is thirteen

982
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:10,840
Speaker 1: and a half, all right, moving on under fourteen.

983
00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:13,720
Speaker 3: So somebody, somebody bought out the fourteens. Huh.

984
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 2: Someone had to.

985
00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:17,279
Speaker 1: But I may be going to MetLife and taking the

986
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:19,160
Speaker 1: plus seven, my friend, I may be doing it.

987
00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 2: I actually feel very good about Jets.

988
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:25,240
Speaker 3: Well, Jets covered, Eagles Eagles covered, so it doesn't totally apply.

989
00:44:25,320 --> 00:44:29,080
Speaker 3: Oh wait is the game? Yeah, that's at met Life.

990
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:30,719
Speaker 3: Jets Eagles. Huh.

991
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:32,200
Speaker 2: Here's another interesting thing.

992
00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:34,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, Zach Wilson six.

993
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:38,040
Speaker 2: And one, Jason come for one hundred plus yards.

994
00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 3: I'm just sicking. Wait wait, wait, wait, wait six and

995
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 3: one when they rush for one hundred.

996
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:46,560
Speaker 1: That is that's something that has to be something. Hall

997
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:50,560
Speaker 1: Pass went nuts last week. I mean, I'm just saying

998
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:54,560
Speaker 1: I I'm stock up on the Jets. I'm so impressed

999
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:56,800
Speaker 1: that this locker room has stayed together. This is a

1000
00:44:56,920 --> 00:45:00,279
Speaker 1: top five locker room even without Rogers. I'm talking more

1001
00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:01,040
Speaker 1: owl wise more.

1002
00:45:01,560 --> 00:45:04,279
Speaker 3: Was it a teting? Was it a teetering like right

1003
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:07,160
Speaker 3: before the Denver game? I mean Aaron Rodgers.

1004
00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:11,839
Speaker 1: Absolutely, Yeah, No, Look, I love you like the kid

1005
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:14,960
Speaker 1: that would you know, got He looks like he was

1006
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:17,399
Speaker 1: someone that may be at a range Rover in high

1007
00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:21,080
Speaker 1: school and got private LESSNSS third grade maybe what. But

1008
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:23,799
Speaker 1: here's the thing that's good. He complete, he kind of got.

1009
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:25,319
Speaker 1: You know, A couple of guys showed up in his

1010
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:28,960
Speaker 1: locker and he got humble. And the guy I like

1011
00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 1: humble Zach Willson. No, I don't like cocky Zack Wilson,

1012
00:45:33,200 --> 00:45:34,719
Speaker 1: but I don't think he was. I'm gonna make it

1013
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:38,160
Speaker 1: uncomfortable in August for my start. I don't like that guy.

1014
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:40,400
Speaker 1: I like this guy, the guy that may have been

1015
00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:43,840
Speaker 1: knocked around and comes back humbled and was like, all right,

1016
00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be polite to everyone I run into in

1017
00:45:46,120 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 1: the high school cafeteria. I look at I look at

1018
00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 1: the NFL as a high school cafeteria, by the way,

1019
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 1: which is a conversation for another day.

1020
00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:54,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, we'll get there. But you mentioned run defenses,

1021
00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:57,000
Speaker 3: so I looked it up and there's a lot of way.

1022
00:45:57,040 --> 00:45:59,720
Speaker 3: I mean you could look at you know, uh dvo

1023
00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:03,280
Speaker 3: a yards per attempt, just basic yards per attempt. Eagles

1024
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:06,520
Speaker 3: have the fourth best run defense in the league three

1025
00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:08,720
Speaker 3: point four yards per attempt. The only ones better Lions,

1026
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:12,319
Speaker 3: Brown Seahawks. So if the Eagles run, d's great and

1027
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:14,480
Speaker 3: the Jets can't run. So this has to be a

1028
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:15,279
Speaker 3: Zach Wilson game.

1029
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:19,560
Speaker 2: It's gonna have to be a Jets defense game. It's

1030
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:21,759
Speaker 2: gotta be. And again, I had never been to MetLife.

1031
00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:24,080
Speaker 1: I mean I was like, I gotta go meet fire

1032
00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:26,359
Speaker 1: Manette as soon as I possibly can. I mean this,

1033
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:31,840
Speaker 1: the crowd is allbelievable, Jason, the salty language. This is

1034
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:35,359
Speaker 1: how well the stadium knows their the room. They didn't

1035
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:37,640
Speaker 1: show Taylor Swift once. It was all about the game.

1036
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:39,920
Speaker 1: I know it was all about her on the jumbo track.

1037
00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:42,680
Speaker 2: Didn't show. I didn't see her once. I didn't see

1038
00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:43,080
Speaker 2: her once.

1039
00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:46,719
Speaker 1: Honestly, I think they would have probably, you know, let

1040
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:47,200
Speaker 1: it be known.

1041
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:50,080
Speaker 2: They didn't like that. But all that to say, I

1042
00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:53,280
Speaker 2: think this team could have caved in Denver. They came together.

1043
00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:56,319
Speaker 2: I mean again, they beat Josh Allllen, They got him

1044
00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:58,160
Speaker 2: to turn the ball over three thoughts first week.

1045
00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:00,920
Speaker 1: So if I said they could make Jaywenhart's uncomfortable, they

1046
00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:02,319
Speaker 1: can cover. I'm not saying they're gonna win. I think

1047
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:02,759
Speaker 1: they can come.

1048
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:04,840
Speaker 3: I think I saw this that they held Mahomes and

1049
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:06,560
Speaker 3: Allen to their worst games of the season. Okay, I

1050
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 3: told you, Alex, you got one thousand dollars, and you

1051
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:13,760
Speaker 3: must bet one of these three underdogs. Okay, Jets Eagules,

1052
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:18,480
Speaker 3: Jets at seven, Panthers, Dolphins. I see thirteen and a half. Yeah,

1053
00:47:18,680 --> 00:47:21,359
Speaker 3: I think that's right. And then the third third dog

1054
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:22,799
Speaker 3: that you have to bet one of the three is

1055
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:27,240
Speaker 3: the Giants and Buffalo. I'm seeing fourteen for the Giants.

1056
00:47:27,840 --> 00:47:29,440
Speaker 2: You want me to make a straight up pick or

1057
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 2: against the spread?

1058
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:32,000
Speaker 3: No, ats, you gotta bet one of them.

1059
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 1: I'm going with your bullys.

1060
00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:35,239
Speaker 3: I'm going with your I mean, it's the small it's

1061
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:36,040
Speaker 3: the shortest line.

1062
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:36,760
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1063
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:40,319
Speaker 1: But I mean I also I genuinely believe in this

1064
00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:44,960
Speaker 1: Jets team like this is this is the eight team

1065
00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:48,400
Speaker 1: that if they were healthy we would be talking to

1066
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:51,680
Speaker 1: they would be the Dolphins of this year. Where I'm

1067
00:47:51,680 --> 00:47:54,600
Speaker 1: at I may but I'm in New York, though, I'm

1068
00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:56,799
Speaker 1: Hobno'm in a round. I got everyone in my ear

1069
00:47:56,840 --> 00:47:59,480
Speaker 1: all about the Jets, So that could be I could

1070
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 1: be emotion getting emotionally swayed. I just think I see

1071
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 1: I see a team that gave up seventeen. I mean,

1072
00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:08,520
Speaker 1: I'm obviously checking the live lines all the time, just

1073
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 1: for plus twenty two and a half Sunday night, down

1074
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:12,360
Speaker 1: seventeen nothing to the Chiefs.

1075
00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 2: We could go and they damn your back.

1076
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:19,560
Speaker 3: Is Zach Wilson in New York? Guy? Or does he

1077
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:22,120
Speaker 3: live in Jersey or near the facility?

1078
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 2: In good question?

1079
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:24,640
Speaker 3: New York?

1080
00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:24,799
Speaker 4: Oh?

1081
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:26,200
Speaker 3: I thought you might. You might have been seeing him

1082
00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 3: on my should.

1083
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:27,759
Speaker 2: Know, I should know.

1084
00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:29,800
Speaker 1: I know more where the I don't know where the

1085
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:31,319
Speaker 1: football guys are. A lot of the football guys are

1086
00:48:31,360 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 1: out in the burbs from what I've heard.

1087
00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:36,840
Speaker 3: My guess is the Jets were really freaking thrilled that

1088
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:39,080
Speaker 3: they were able to pull off the w in Denver.

1089
00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:40,960
Speaker 3: So they got to the two and four, three and three,

1090
00:48:40,960 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 3: it would have been nice. I don't think this is

1091
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:46,879
Speaker 3: a reasonable ask. And then after this you come out

1092
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:48,040
Speaker 3: of it and you're like, all right, so now we

1093
00:48:48,080 --> 00:48:51,400
Speaker 3: got some winnable games. Giants, that's a dumb now they

1094
00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:54,600
Speaker 3: got to buy. But the Giants, Chargers will be tough

1095
00:48:54,680 --> 00:48:57,560
Speaker 3: Raiders is a win. They always play the Bills, tough Dolphins.

1096
00:48:57,640 --> 00:49:02,000
Speaker 3: We'll see Falcons. Texans should be saying.

1097
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:03,600
Speaker 1: If you were to say over under seven and a

1098
00:49:03,640 --> 00:49:05,719
Speaker 1: half wins on the season, I think I think this

1099
00:49:05,760 --> 00:49:06,840
Speaker 1: is an eight to nine club.

1100
00:49:07,160 --> 00:49:08,759
Speaker 2: I don't think that's that hot of a.

1101
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:13,520
Speaker 3: Take Washington late in the season, Patriots and three of

1102
00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:15,600
Speaker 3: their last four on the road. I just I don't

1103
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:16,879
Speaker 3: have a lot of faith in zech Wison. All right,

1104
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 3: final game, Let's see what was the other? Oh, Seattle,

1105
00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,600
Speaker 3: Cincinnati got to talk about this one. So Cowhard loves

1106
00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:25,840
Speaker 3: the Bangals here obviously the recency bias of what he

1107
00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 3: saw last week, and he's noted it like Joe Burrow's back,

1108
00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:33,160
Speaker 3: Like that's basically the analysis. I look at Seattle and

1109
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:34,920
Speaker 3: I don't know how much do you value coming off

1110
00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:36,279
Speaker 3: the buy. I need to look up Pete Carroll off

1111
00:49:36,280 --> 00:49:36,480
Speaker 3: the buy.

1112
00:49:36,560 --> 00:49:38,840
Speaker 5: Somebody sent me six and three. We'll see, Yeah, I

1113
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 5: got that in front of me. Pete off of buy

1114
00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:49,080
Speaker 5: is sixty one percent. Gino off as an underdog is

1115
00:49:49,120 --> 00:49:51,920
Speaker 5: twenty thirteen and two. So he's sixty one. Both of

1116
00:49:51,960 --> 00:49:55,320
Speaker 5: them are sixty one percent in this spot. That's not nothing.

1117
00:49:55,680 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 1: Here's my thought on the on the Bengals' they're like

1118
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:02,640
Speaker 1: an NBA team betting. NBA's like a gamer runs. They're

1119
00:50:02,680 --> 00:50:04,320
Speaker 1: just doing it in a little bit of week to

1120
00:50:04,400 --> 00:50:06,080
Speaker 1: week status rather than in one game.

1121
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:07,759
Speaker 2: This is a team that.

1122
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:11,279
Speaker 1: Let's not forget, had twelve straight covers covers. I know

1123
00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:15,000
Speaker 1: we talk about Jared Goff covering. Listen to Burrows numbers

1124
00:50:15,080 --> 00:50:19,200
Speaker 1: j Mac outside of the division seventeen and four straight up.

1125
00:50:19,200 --> 00:50:23,279
Speaker 2: We know he wins seventeen three and one against the

1126
00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:25,360
Speaker 2: spread in those very twenty one games.

1127
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:28,200
Speaker 3: Well, now hold up time out, time machine. That's that

1128
00:50:28,320 --> 00:50:33,680
Speaker 3: is impressive. Like those numbers are good. Okay, I'm curious

1129
00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:37,000
Speaker 3: how often was he a favorite? How many of those

1130
00:50:37,040 --> 00:50:39,520
Speaker 3: were at home versus away? Like there's a I need

1131
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:41,960
Speaker 3: a little more context. That is impressive outside of the division,

1132
00:50:42,120 --> 00:50:45,680
Speaker 3: but like, can you what what does that mean? Like

1133
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:48,120
Speaker 3: why does he excel outside of the division because opponents

1134
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:49,879
Speaker 3: are not used to seeing something I don't.

1135
00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:53,239
Speaker 1: I just don't know, Like I think it's like, I mean,

1136
00:50:53,280 --> 00:50:55,839
Speaker 1: I joke my B minus joke about the AFC North

1137
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:57,360
Speaker 1: is like they beat up on each other, like the

1138
00:50:57,400 --> 00:50:59,800
Speaker 1: Gronkowski's at the dinner table for the last piece of

1139
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 1: like they just everybody just just beat each other up.

1140
00:51:03,719 --> 00:51:07,959
Speaker 1: In the AFC North, the thing that Burrow does very

1141
00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:11,480
Speaker 1: well is he responds to a version and we forget

1142
00:51:11,600 --> 00:51:14,759
Speaker 1: he's been banged up in September multiple years already. He's

1143
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:16,719
Speaker 1: like a thirty five year old going on twenty six.

1144
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:20,480
Speaker 1: All that to say, win opponents allow more than nineteen

1145
00:51:20,520 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 1: points per game, which is clearly a b mis Seattle defense.

1146
00:51:23,120 --> 00:51:24,959
Speaker 1: Burrows eighteen three and one as well.

1147
00:51:25,120 --> 00:51:27,560
Speaker 2: So I can go all day. I just I can'nut

1148
00:51:27,600 --> 00:51:27,920
Speaker 2: back a.

1149
00:51:27,960 --> 00:51:31,640
Speaker 1: Team that gave up three hundred and fifty pass yards

1150
00:51:31,680 --> 00:51:34,000
Speaker 1: and thirty seven points to a guy that should be

1151
00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:35,919
Speaker 1: hanging out with his kids on the weekend. Andy Dahl,

1152
00:51:36,520 --> 00:51:39,399
Speaker 1: I mean, where is this d again? I think it's

1153
00:51:39,440 --> 00:51:42,680
Speaker 1: more about everyone thinking what they saw on Natty TV

1154
00:51:42,760 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 1: Monday night with Seattle getting double digit sacks against Woody

1155
00:51:45,680 --> 00:51:46,400
Speaker 1: from toy story.

1156
00:51:46,520 --> 00:51:49,680
Speaker 2: Daniel Jones, that's not the story. That's not the story.

1157
00:51:49,719 --> 00:51:52,480
Speaker 1: The story is the Bengals of a bye week. That's

1158
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:56,200
Speaker 1: the other rationale here. You know, football psychology, Just get

1159
00:51:56,239 --> 00:51:59,040
Speaker 1: to the bye week three and three, and we will

1160
00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:01,560
Speaker 1: come back and we It's like getting a week off

1161
00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:05,360
Speaker 1: for Thanksgiving or Christmas break. As a student, you cannot

1162
00:52:05,400 --> 00:52:08,120
Speaker 1: look forward to that week more. And that's what they have.

1163
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:10,520
Speaker 1: There is no look ahead. The look ahead is sleep

1164
00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:12,799
Speaker 1: on your casper, Mattress. I got I ASTs to all

1165
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:13,560
Speaker 1: the points.

1166
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:16,600
Speaker 3: So so the bye week I had not thought of that.

1167
00:52:16,680 --> 00:52:19,120
Speaker 3: So Seattle's coming off the buy you said, Bengals going

1168
00:52:19,200 --> 00:52:21,799
Speaker 3: into it, Bengals going into it, Jets are going into it.

1169
00:52:21,840 --> 00:52:24,440
Speaker 3: Is there any data on how teams are ats the

1170
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:26,280
Speaker 3: week before a bye and then is there a breakout

1171
00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:28,040
Speaker 3: of how they are as a favorite versus or the

1172
00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:30,920
Speaker 3: favorites versus the underdogs? Because my thought would be, think

1173
00:52:30,960 --> 00:52:33,680
Speaker 3: about this the week when you're in like you mentioned

1174
00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:36,960
Speaker 3: Christmas break, like the week before you're taking a vacation.

1175
00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:38,520
Speaker 3: Aren't you kind of sort of checked out?

1176
00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:39,000
Speaker 1: Now?

1177
00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:40,719
Speaker 3: I know that's different from athletes. No, I'm kind of

1178
00:52:40,719 --> 00:52:42,719
Speaker 3: like I was thinking about the vacation. I'm planning, what

1179
00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:44,239
Speaker 3: do we doing? You know, the girlfriend, the wife. I

1180
00:52:44,239 --> 00:52:46,759
Speaker 3: don't know, Burrow's wiped up, but like you're thinking about

1181
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:49,160
Speaker 3: that now. I don't know the psychology at Joe Burrow

1182
00:52:49,160 --> 00:52:52,239
Speaker 3: and the Bengals, they're already at home, so they're around

1183
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:54,640
Speaker 3: their friends and family all week. I would I don't

1184
00:52:54,640 --> 00:52:56,000
Speaker 3: know if you have the numbers. I don't have it,

1185
00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:56,440
Speaker 3: but I'm.

1186
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 1: Not on that up like no, I like the put

1187
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:00,360
Speaker 1: I like the I like the the push back on

1188
00:53:00,400 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 1: the thought though that is actually it's it's hilarious. You

1189
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:03,880
Speaker 1: might have take that the call. You might have to

1190
00:53:03,880 --> 00:53:06,080
Speaker 1: talk out that psychology of it. Is it better to

1191
00:53:06,120 --> 00:53:08,279
Speaker 1: go into Christmas break or come out of it? That's

1192
00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:11,080
Speaker 1: what we got right here in Seattle. And yeah, and

1193
00:53:11,160 --> 00:53:12,320
Speaker 1: the Bengals.

1194
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:13,520
Speaker 3: And we don't know. There's so much we don't know,

1195
00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:15,239
Speaker 3: Like what did the Browns do on there by week?

1196
00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:18,320
Speaker 3: You know, I mean clearly Watson was not rehabbing.

1197
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,480
Speaker 1: All we know is Baker Mayfield went back to college,

1198
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 1: like Van Wilder.

1199
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:23,200
Speaker 2: That's all we know.

1200
00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:26,719
Speaker 3: That's all wild By the way, Van Wilder not a

1201
00:53:26,840 --> 00:53:30,080
Speaker 3: terrible movie. Oh right, was that Ryan Reynolds or the

1202
00:53:30,120 --> 00:53:30,520
Speaker 3: other one?

1203
00:53:30,560 --> 00:53:33,320
Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, Ryan rend I'm I'm the king of dropping

1204
00:53:33,560 --> 00:53:36,480
Speaker 1: fifteen year two old American pie references. So yeah, I

1205
00:53:36,520 --> 00:53:39,840
Speaker 1: got you and any American pie in two thousands.

1206
00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:41,080
Speaker 3: You could reference American pie two.

1207
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:41,719
Speaker 2: Oh I can.

1208
00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:44,239
Speaker 1: I can reference American Pie two all day. That was

1209
00:53:44,280 --> 00:53:49,120
Speaker 1: the funny story lake House Summer something. Indeed, Stiffmeister's House,

1210
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:53,240
Speaker 1: which one was American Pie three. That was an American wedding.

1211
00:53:53,440 --> 00:53:56,160
Speaker 1: That was when then Jason Biggs got married. Okay, so

1212
00:53:56,239 --> 00:54:00,560
Speaker 1: I think to the girl from band yeah yeah, ok yeah, No.

1213
00:54:00,560 --> 00:54:02,719
Speaker 3: No. When I was at us Weekly, we were at

1214
00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:05,560
Speaker 3: some event and there was this girl and I was like, gosh,

1215
00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:08,200
Speaker 3: who is this actor. I can't place her, I've seen her.

1216
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:10,239
Speaker 3: So me and my buddy end up talking to her,

1217
00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:12,600
Speaker 3: and you know, you want to try to act like

1218
00:54:12,640 --> 00:54:14,640
Speaker 3: you're not like oh in all and all this stuff.

1219
00:54:14,880 --> 00:54:18,040
Speaker 3: And so finally, what movie were you in? American Pie?

1220
00:54:18,040 --> 00:54:19,600
Speaker 3: And I think it was American Pie two, and I'm like,

1221
00:54:19,640 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 3: oh my gosh, that is it. And she had like

1222
00:54:22,040 --> 00:54:25,200
Speaker 3: a small role in the movie. But I was like

1223
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:27,680
Speaker 3: American Pie two and then I went back and watched that. Dude,

1224
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:30,560
Speaker 3: that movie's horrible. It's not even fun. American Pie one

1225
00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:32,040
Speaker 3: is a classic.

1226
00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:33,960
Speaker 2: No, no, you're right, you're right.

1227
00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:41,040
Speaker 3: How about this American Pie or Knocked Up? That's tough.

1228
00:54:41,400 --> 00:54:43,680
Speaker 1: The problem is my dad looks like you and Gene

1229
00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:45,960
Speaker 1: Levy from American Pie minus c eyebrows.

1230
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:47,000
Speaker 2: So I'm a little.

1231
00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:51,200
Speaker 3: Okay, let's let's remove that. Is there a better It

1232
00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:56,719
Speaker 3: is super Bad the best teen movie of the two thousands.

1233
00:54:56,960 --> 00:54:57,840
Speaker 2: I think it has to be.

1234
00:54:58,239 --> 00:54:59,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it has to be.

1235
00:55:00,200 --> 00:55:03,400
Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, I'm born in ninety I'm early thirties.

1236
00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:05,480
Speaker 1: That's about ray in my wheelhouse, you know, into high

1237
00:55:05,480 --> 00:55:06,360
Speaker 1: school something like that.

1238
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:08,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, geez, I.

1239
00:55:08,040 --> 00:55:11,040
Speaker 3: Remember seeing that movie in the theater with the now Wife,

1240
00:55:11,480 --> 00:55:15,320
Speaker 3: and I was laughing out loud at all the juvenile stuff.

1241
00:55:15,360 --> 00:55:17,400
Speaker 3: I think it was a little embarrassed. But like so

1242
00:55:17,640 --> 00:55:21,520
Speaker 3: many classic lines, the old man Fogel and the id, like,

1243
00:55:21,560 --> 00:55:24,720
Speaker 3: oh it was that movie. Listen, Monico, if that comes

1244
00:55:24,719 --> 00:55:27,920
Speaker 3: on cable, I'm planted on the sofa. I'm not changing

1245
00:55:27,960 --> 00:55:30,759
Speaker 3: the I don't even have the remote. Like, oh, we

1246
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:32,720
Speaker 3: go all of a sudden, we're back in two thousand

1247
00:55:32,719 --> 00:55:35,240
Speaker 3: and three. We don't even care about commercials because super

1248
00:55:35,239 --> 00:55:37,040
Speaker 3: bats on. I'll sit through them, no problem. Yeah, I

1249
00:55:37,080 --> 00:55:39,960
Speaker 3: might even watch a TBS version and then add in

1250
00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:42,720
Speaker 3: the cuss words that I know are coming, you know. Anyways,

1251
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:45,160
Speaker 3: all right, Alex Monico, great stuff. You do a lot

1252
00:55:45,200 --> 00:55:47,920
Speaker 3: for the volume. You just a content machine. Keep up

1253
00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:49,120
Speaker 3: the good work. Good luck this weekend.

1254
00:55:49,120 --> 00:55:51,600
Speaker 2: Bro, Hey Jason, thank you so much man I appreciation.

1255
00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:52,120
Speaker 3: Hi, Buddy,