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Speaker 1: You're listening to Fox Sports Radio.

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Speaker 2: Oh what is going on? Happy super Bowl Eve over.

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Speaker 3: Here as we get you all set for Super Bowl

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Speaker 3: fifty eight. You know, one of my favorite stories all

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Speaker 3: week fellas Rich Hornberger Jared Smith here as they always are.

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Speaker 3: One of my favorite stories all week was the Las

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Speaker 3: Vegas mayor Carolyn Goodman, and she went out on a

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Speaker 3: podcast earlier this week and said, Hey, the Oakland a

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Speaker 3: should just stay in Oakland. Yeah, and then later that

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Speaker 3: same day she added context and basically did a flip flop.

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Speaker 3: So I got to thinking, can I do that with

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Speaker 3: my picks? You know, for instance, if I take the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs plus two and that's wrong, could I just clarify

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Speaker 3: and add context that I meant the Niners minus two?

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Speaker 2: Would that work with you guys? Oh yeah, dude, of course.

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Speaker 2: That's how this all works, like with Betty, Like you

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Speaker 2: submit your slip and then when when you lose, you

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Speaker 2: can go to the window and explain the reason why

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Speaker 2: you did it, and the like maybe the headspace. I

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Speaker 2: had a couple of drinks, you know, it was a

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Speaker 2: bad week of work. And then usually the books they'll

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Speaker 2: give you your money right back, and then like you know,

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Speaker 2: maybe you get into a little trouble with the misses,

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Speaker 2: you know, maybe you're out lay with the boys, and

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Speaker 2: things happen, and all you need to do is just

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Speaker 2: give her a little context, like a week later, and

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Speaker 2: everything's gonna be fine. Listen what happened on that podcast

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Speaker 2: and I listened to the conversation she was having on

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Speaker 2: the Front Office pod. Uh was she had a moment

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Speaker 2: of truth. She had a moment where she was asked

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Speaker 2: a question and she basically said what she really feels

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Speaker 2: about the whole situation. I think there was even I

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Speaker 2: think she was even trying to bite her tongue and

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Speaker 2: not tilt her hand completely to borrow a gambling term.

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Speaker 2: But but yeah, it came off. It came off sounding

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Speaker 2: how how it was supposed to come off, that the

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Speaker 2: a's are forcing this, That there are people around Vegas,

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Speaker 2: clearly in high places, who aren't that thrilled because a

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Speaker 2: politician is the voice piece of the people with the

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Speaker 2: money in an area or a country. And so as

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Speaker 2: a result, she said what she said, and now she's

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Speaker 2: trying to walk it back.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, first of all, no address Brian's original point. Absolutely

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Speaker 1: not not happening. Absolutely not he's trying to get guys,

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Speaker 1: Let's be honest, he's trying to get out of the mayo.

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Speaker 1: He's already seeing it smelling in jeopardy. Let's change the

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Speaker 1: rules a little bit. No. I think the Las Vegas

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Speaker 1: mayor situation is interesting because I do think there is

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Speaker 1: sentiment around around some people here in town, maybe that

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Speaker 1: have higher up positions, that it's more hard, they're gonna

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Speaker 1: do more harm than good in the long run, and

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Speaker 1: you know, the economy and all this stuff. I don't

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Speaker 1: know enough about that part of it to really make

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Speaker 1: a distinction, but I'll tell you this, if they do

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Speaker 1: get to I'll be going to a lot of games,

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Speaker 1: because major League Baseball here in Vegas, just like hockey,

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Speaker 1: just like the NFL. This is a sports town. I

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Speaker 1: mean walking around this week, I was, I was downtown yesterday,

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Speaker 1: I was, you know, on Radio Row this week. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't feel like the super Bowl is overwhelming Vegas in

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Speaker 1: any way. I mean, I haven't been any of the

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Speaker 1: cool party, so maybe that's a little bit different. But

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Speaker 1: this town was kind of built for these events, so

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Speaker 1: I think they can handle baseball. They can absolutely handle

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Speaker 1: the super Bowl and all for the sports guys bring it.

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Speaker 3: All well as we dive headfirst into the Super Bowl

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Speaker 3: fifty eight waters and they are inviting waters here. The

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Speaker 3: question I have is what's the biggest question in your

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Speaker 3: mind regarding this game? What question, which might be hard

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Speaker 3: to answer, maybe not, carries the most weight. And so

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Speaker 3: I think of two things here and one leads into

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Speaker 3: the other. First is what will Spags come up with?

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Speaker 3: Steves Bagnolo, the great Chiefs defensive coordinator, he's seventeen to

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Speaker 3: four as a defensive coordinator in the playoffs. What will

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Speaker 3: he come up with? Will he use a six to

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Speaker 3: one front? Will he use six linemen at the d

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Speaker 3: line to try to slow down that zone running attack

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Speaker 3: of the forty nine Ers a la Belichick in Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Fifty three against the Rams, very similar?

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Speaker 3: That's been talked about a lot this week, And so

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Speaker 3: what will Spags come up with? And that leads directly

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Speaker 3: into what I think is the biggest question of this game.

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Speaker 3: How much will brock Purdy need to do. It's not

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Speaker 3: to say he can't do it, but how much is

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Speaker 3: on his plate? Is Christian McCaffrey and that Niners running

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Speaker 3: attack held, I don't know, relatively in check or just

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Speaker 3: not allowed to go off right again, the Chiefs not

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Speaker 3: allow CMS to go off and in turn, how much

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Speaker 3: will brock Purdy need to do, because I think the

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Speaker 3: more he needs to do, the more that benefits the Chiefs.

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Speaker 3: He had seventeen off target passes in these two playoff

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Speaker 3: games against the Packers and the Lions. That's a ton.

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Speaker 3: He's had a seventh in turnover worthy passes among qualifying quarterbacks,

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Speaker 3: like he lucked out against the Packers. Should have had

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Speaker 3: two picks, including a pick six. So how much is

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Speaker 3: on his plate? That is a huge question in this game.

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Speaker 3: It's the biggest one in my mind.

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Speaker 2: Biggest storyline for me is brock Purdy. Rock Perdy has

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Speaker 2: looked shaky for about five quarters of the postseason he's

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Speaker 2: participated in. He's had some really great moments, He's had

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Speaker 2: some good quarters, but the majority of the quarters he's

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Speaker 2: played so far have been rough. If you look at

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Speaker 2: three quarters of that Green Bay Packers game, he pulled

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Speaker 2: it together at the end and he got them that

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Speaker 2: winning drive and that was a real two minute need

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Speaker 2: to have it effort out of brock Party. But then

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Speaker 2: we saw the follow up in the NFC Championship game,

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Speaker 2: a really shaky first half. He really turned it on

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Speaker 2: in the second half. They needed him to. They needed

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Speaker 2: a whole bunch of points in a hurry, and Brock

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Speaker 2: Perty was able to help deliver with that offense. And

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Speaker 2: so I think the biggest storyline heading into this game

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Speaker 2: is how is the kid going to handle the moment?

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Speaker 2: Because whether or not, he started a whole bunch of

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Speaker 2: games at the college level, and I respect that. I

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Speaker 2: think it's important. I think those experiences influence who you

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Speaker 2: are as a pro obviously, But this is much much bigger.

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Speaker 2: This is so much harder. It is really difficult when

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Speaker 2: you start to weigh and balance all that everything means

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Speaker 2: and it comes down to this moment right here, right now.

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Speaker 2: Maybe this is his only opportunity, Maybe this is his

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Speaker 2: only bite at the apple. Patrick Mahomes has been there.

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Speaker 2: This will be his fourth time doing this as a quarterback.

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Speaker 2: This is Perty's first time in a Super Bowl. So

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Speaker 2: I think the biggest storyline heading into this Super Bowl

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Speaker 2: is how does Brock Perdy handle the moment?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I agree, actually, And I think if you go

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Speaker 1: back and you watch the last time these two teams played,

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Speaker 1: Jimmy g didn't quite handle that moment well, missing Reids

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Speaker 1: early in the game, and then the late throw to

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Speaker 1: Emmanuel Sanders, which was like the play of the game.

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Speaker 1: And usually you know, want to overthrow something by I

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Speaker 1: think it was a five to ten yard overthrow. Usually

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Speaker 1: want to underthrow give your guy a chance. So again,

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Speaker 1: those are the little things that broadcast to do well.

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Speaker 1: Here are the numbers that I can I've been trying.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to quantify the greatness of Patrick Mahomes and

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Speaker 1: compare it to who is going to be facing in

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Speaker 1: this game to see how much of attax I'm willing

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Speaker 1: to pay on the Chiefs, because if you want to

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Speaker 1: bet the Chiefs this game, you got to pay the

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Speaker 1: ma home stacks. So here you go, zero turnover worthy

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Speaker 1: plays in the playoffs for Mahomes. The negatively graded dropback

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Speaker 1: rate is what alarms me if you look at the

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Speaker 1: difference here. So Mahomes for the postseason is at six percent,

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Speaker 1: which is down from ten percent in the regular season.

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Speaker 1: So we know Mahomes didn have the best year, but

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Speaker 1: he has drastically improved that negatively graded dropback rate in

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Speaker 1: the postseason. Brock Purty twenty three percent negatively graded drop

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Speaker 1: back rate in the postseason. For perspective, that would be

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Speaker 1: the worst rate of any quarterback with at least two

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Speaker 1: hundred dropbacks in the entire NFL this year in the

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Speaker 1: regular season, So that puts it in perspective. Just Brock

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Speaker 1: hasn't been very clean, and that goes back to the

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Speaker 1: original point you were trying to make Brian with Spags,

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Speaker 1: because I think if Spags can get them into tougher

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Speaker 1: down and distances on third right, get away that first

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Speaker 1: and ten run for McCaffrey that's coming, or the second

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Speaker 1: and eight run and make it third and eight, and

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Speaker 1: then you could crank up those blitzeres and make make

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Speaker 1: Brock's life really tough, because what we've seen is when

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Speaker 1: it's been a little bit difficult for him in the pocket,

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Speaker 1: that's when things have kind of broken down. He made

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Speaker 1: some nice plays in the second half of those two,

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Speaker 1: you know, earlier playoff games, but as you guys mentioned,

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Speaker 1: this is the Super Bowl and this is the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: who I think is a much different animal. So I

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Speaker 1: really think this Chiefs defense against Brock Purdy and the

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Speaker 1: Niners is probably.

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Speaker 2: The key for me.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the stat that blows my mind from Championship Sunday

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Speaker 3: two weeks ago is the Ravens they finished with only

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Speaker 3: six carries by their running backs.

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Speaker 1: That's not happening in this game.

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Speaker 3: And to put that in perspective, that's the Ravens' lowest

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Speaker 3: total in four hundred and seventeen games since two thousand.

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Speaker 3: It's insane what they did against the Chiefs. They played

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Speaker 3: into the Chiefs hands, especially spags. But like Jared said,

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Speaker 3: there is zero chance the Niners do that tomorrow. They

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Speaker 3: could be on their third string running back Jordan Mason

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Speaker 3: is getting more than six carries if they're down to

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Speaker 3: that guy. So that's the question is it's a lot

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Speaker 3: like a boxing match, you know, to these jabs, to

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Speaker 3: these shots to the body, how much did they add up?

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Speaker 3: While the Niners keep running it and running it and

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Speaker 3: running it. And the Chiefs that's been their weakness is

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Speaker 3: rush defense. How good are they against the rush. It's

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Speaker 3: a huge deal in this game, and in turn, that's

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Speaker 3: gonna put more or less on Perdy's plate. That's just

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Speaker 3: how it's gonna play out well.

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Speaker 2: And then also you know, sort of everything dovetails off

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Speaker 2: of each other, so you know you're talking about spags

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Speaker 2: and the defensive effort. Jared and I we're commenting on

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Speaker 2: Purdy and how he responds to the moment and what

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Speaker 2: he's looked like in the postseason so far, and then

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Speaker 2: spin it back on to the Chiefs. Can they be

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Speaker 2: patient enough right, because one of the hallmarks of the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs this season has been the defense has really carried them.

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Speaker 2: The offense has done just enough, and it gets really

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Speaker 2: frustrating if you're a star quarterback, and make no mistake,

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Speaker 2: Mahomes is a star quarterback. They just had a tough

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Speaker 2: year offensively. But what happens with stars when things aren't

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Speaker 2: going perfectly, Sometimes you get impatient. Sometimes you try to

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Speaker 2: force things. And that's where we've seen Mahomes get into

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Speaker 2: trouble before it's happened in the postseason. To him, he

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Speaker 2: gets a little impatient, as if he get happy in

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Speaker 2: the pocket, nobody's getting open. They should be getting open.

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Speaker 2: I've got my best man beaters against man defense, and

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Speaker 2: nobody's coming free. We got tons of crossing routes, we

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Speaker 2: had those rub routes to the right side, and our

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Speaker 2: corner route didn't get open. So I guess I got

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Speaker 2: to extend the play and find somebody getting free in

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Speaker 2: the scrambled drill and then all of a sudden he

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Speaker 2: throws it across his body over the middle of the

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Speaker 2: field and it's intercepted. He's got to make sure he

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Speaker 2: specifically he the star quarterback of this Kansas City Chiefs team,

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Speaker 2: stays patient. If you're playing with a small lead, if

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Speaker 2: you're playing with a small deficit, it's not time to

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Speaker 2: try to fire on this defense and try to find

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Speaker 2: a tight window to fit a ball through. Because it's

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Speaker 2: the Super Bowl, you know, you only get so many

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Speaker 2: mistakes before they add up to a loss. So that

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Speaker 2: is one of the other storylines that I think is

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Speaker 2: important is while Perty's got to handle the moment, Mahomes

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Speaker 2: kind of does too. He can't go out there trying

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Speaker 2: to play hero.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I think if you ask me, right,

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Speaker 1: that's the easiest question of the day, of the two

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Speaker 1: batteries that I like to call it, right, head coach,

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Speaker 1: quarterback or OC quarterback, which one he ad trusts more,

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Speaker 1: Perty or Shanahan or Reid and Mahomes like, I think

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Speaker 1: it's it's blatantly obvious, which what's the answer there? I'll

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Speaker 1: add this context on the matchup that I do think

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Speaker 1: is kind of the key here, the Chiefs defense against

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Speaker 1: the Niners offense. I think the schedule down the stretch

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Speaker 1: plays a factor here. The Niners have actually faced the

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Speaker 1: second easiest schedule of run defenses this year, and again

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Speaker 1: the running game has been fantastic. They have taken advantage

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Speaker 1: of that, whereas the Chiefs, granted the Ravens didn't run it,

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Speaker 1: but they face five straight like top ten rushing offenses

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Speaker 1: down the stretch. I mean, they have been tested in

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Speaker 1: that regard, and I think Spags, who's got experience against

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Speaker 1: his Kyle Shanahan's scheme of course, saw in the Super Bowl, right,

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Speaker 1: they played him last year and they held. They held

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Speaker 1: CMC down in that game last year. I mean, the

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Speaker 1: game script kind of got away from the Niners, but

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Speaker 1: only had thirty yards in the first eleven carries before

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Speaker 1: he broke one late. So I do think the Spag

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Speaker 1: scheme against that Niners, that Niners rushing offense is going

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Speaker 1: to be key here. And we'll see if Party can

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Speaker 1: handle the moment, because he doesn't. He hasn't been tested

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Speaker 1: the quite way you'd want a quarterback to be tested,

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Speaker 1: and he doesn't have a lot of dropbacks against top

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Speaker 1: ten passing defense this year, the fifth lowest rate in

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Speaker 1: the league. He hasn't phased the secondary quite like the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs this year. To me, it's the Chiefs defense, and

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Speaker 1: I know it's all offense, right, mahomes pretty. I think

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Speaker 1: if this Chiefs defense really sets the tone, I think

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Speaker 1: that's how they can make themselves in a spot where

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Speaker 1: they phase the running game out right. Take a two

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Speaker 1: score lead, make McCaffrey a moot point, put the ball

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Speaker 1: in party's hands.

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Speaker 3: sports books, the King of parlays. Okay, so simple question here,

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Speaker 3: which defense do you question more in this matchup?

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Speaker 6: Now?

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Speaker 3: Now, first glance on this one, I say I question

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Speaker 3: the Niners defense more because of primarily the way they

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Speaker 3: fared in the playoffs and the outside runs give them problem.

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Speaker 3: So Pacheco could be a handful in that regard. And

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Speaker 3: you're going up against this guy named mahomes Oh by

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Speaker 3: the way, right, But in this particular matchup, the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: rush defense, that's the vulnerability. And you're going up against

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Speaker 3: Christian McCaffrey, so that tips the scales a little bit.

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Speaker 3: But I still question the Niners defense. At the end

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Speaker 3: of the day more because the Chiefs this isn't their

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Speaker 3: first rodeo. This is the fourth time they've been in

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Speaker 3: the Super Bowl in five years. We know mahoe credentials, right,

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Speaker 3: So I think the way the Niners have performed in

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Speaker 3: the playoffs and who they're going up against, I would

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Speaker 3: question their defense more in this one.

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Speaker 2: I would too. You know, if you think about it,

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Speaker 2: is Jordan Love, Patrick Mahomes or anything even close to it,

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Speaker 2: as Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes or anything close to it,

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Speaker 2: the answer is no. And then you start to think

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Speaker 2: about some of the issues that emerged with the two

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Speaker 2: games that the Niners have appeared in. You know, Aaron

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Speaker 2: Jones with the Green Bay Packers, it didn't seem like

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Speaker 2: they ever really came up for an answer getting him

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Speaker 2: the football, the run game in the first half, especially

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Speaker 2: with the Detroit Lions, and outside of you know, some

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Speaker 2: really critical moments where the Niners defense stepped up in

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Speaker 2: a big way. Fourth down conversions failing by the lines.

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Speaker 2: But also you know, you look at those drives. It

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Speaker 2: did come down to a fourth down play, but if

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Speaker 2: Reynolds just squeezes the ball in his hands, that drive

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Speaker 2: extends and then We don't know what happens after that.

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Speaker 2: Maybe as a result of a touchdown on either one,

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Speaker 2: potentially it's the Lions in the Super Bowl instead of

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Speaker 2: the Niners. So yeah, I have a lot more concerns

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Speaker 2: with the Niners defense than I do with the Chiefs defense.

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Speaker 1: Totally agree. Halfunga injury earlier in the year was the

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Speaker 1: big one like that that changed the way that the

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Speaker 1: Niners kind of defend the run. He is like a

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Speaker 1: sideline to sideline pit bull. I mean, you want to

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Speaker 1: talk about Jackpot being a pit bull. Kafunga is a

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Speaker 1: pit bull on the field, and I think when you

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Speaker 1: lose him, you lose a little bit of that starch

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Speaker 1: defending the run game. And man, it has been the

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Speaker 1: edges that's been the issue for the Niners. And you

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Speaker 1: get a guy like a Funga who can go sideline

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Speaker 1: the sideline like that, all of a sudden, I'm seeing,

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Speaker 1: you know, just absurd success rates for rushing plays to

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Speaker 1: the outside on this Niners defense. And we saw the

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Speaker 1: outside zone with Gibbs and Jones, right and those two

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Speaker 1: playoff games. Even Montgomery, who's not like that game breaking

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Speaker 1: type of back, had a big one. So I just

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Speaker 1: think of all the four of the four units on

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Speaker 1: the field, and we did an exercise earlier this week

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Speaker 1: where we went with each unit like position, like quarterback,

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Speaker 1: running back, receiver, and we kind of graded who has

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Speaker 1: the edge. I think if you stack the four units

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Speaker 1: in this game Niners offense, Chiefs offense, Niners defense, Chiefs defense,

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Speaker 1: it is clear cut to me the Niners defense is

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Speaker 1: the fourth of those four units. You can make the

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Speaker 1: argument the efficiency of the Niners offense against the greatness

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Speaker 1: of Patrick Mahomes and which offense is better, but I

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Speaker 1: think it is a clear edge defensively. Now, you could

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Speaker 1: make the case that the one weakness for the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: is something the Niners do well offensively, but it is

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Speaker 1: a clear edge for me. Niners defense the fourth of

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Speaker 1: those four units on the field.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: And the thing too is if you look at the

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Speaker 3: Niners defense, really a lot of static play, right, They

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Speaker 3: don't move around, they don't change what you're looking at.

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Speaker 3: They play a lot of zone, you know, and going

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Speaker 3: up against Mahomes specifically like that, that is just not

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Speaker 3: a great formula. So it's not just what the Niners

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Speaker 3: haven't done against the Packers and the Lions where you say, oh, whoa,

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Speaker 3: it's them. It's it's also how they've played Mahomes in

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Speaker 3: the past and what they do this season under Steve Wilkes,

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Speaker 3: like how they play and how that's likely to fare

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Speaker 3: against Mahomes.

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Speaker 2: It's just not a great formula.

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Speaker 3: So if you're not changing the pictures of what he sees,

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Speaker 3: if he's like, Okay, I know this dB is gonna

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Speaker 3: be there, I know this safety is gonna be there,

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Speaker 3: good luck, good luck because that pass rush better get

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Speaker 3: home or he's gonna dice you up.

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Speaker 2: That's just what he does. Yeah, Look, Jared Goff, for example,

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Speaker 2: is a quarterback that he's I'm not gonna I'm not

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Speaker 2: gonna offend him. But when you look at film of

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Speaker 2: him reading defenses, he's not getting to the level that

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Speaker 2: Mahomes is in terms of getting to certain plays and

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Speaker 2: getting out of certain plays that Mahomes will get to

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Speaker 2: or get out of. He's not going to, let's put

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Speaker 2: it this way, get off of his second read onto

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Speaker 2: his third, or you see the side of the field

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Speaker 2: and realize he's getting mixed coverage and swing his attention

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Speaker 2: to the opposite side of the field. So what Ben

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Speaker 2: Johnson has done masterfully, and Sean McVeigh before that. With

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Speaker 2: Jared Goff is he's created an environment where he can

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Speaker 2: have success because they're playing percentages and these are such

403
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Speaker 2: brilliant offensive minds that Jared Goff has gotten the opportunity

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Speaker 2: to work with that he's had success. The reason why

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Speaker 2: I'm talking so much about Jared Goff is that is

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Speaker 2: the last quarterback that the forty nine Ers faced, and

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Speaker 2: he had a field day with them. I mean the

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Speaker 2: Detroit Lions really they were doing mostly whatever they wanted

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Speaker 2: to that defense for most of the game. So when

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Speaker 2: you take Jared Goff out of that situation and then

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Speaker 2: insert Patrick Mahomes with a Hall of Fame tight end,

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Speaker 2: a Hall of Fame coordinator, and having a brilliant mind himself,

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Speaker 2: there's gonna be no question where to go with the football.

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Speaker 2: There's going to be no fooling him at the line

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Speaker 2: of scrimmage. You're gonna have to beat the best, and

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Speaker 2: if he plays at his best, that's gonna be a

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Speaker 2: tall task for the forty nine ers defense.

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Speaker 1: Do you guys watch the interview with Steve Young and

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Speaker 1: Tom Brady on that pod this week?

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Speaker 2: I did?

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Speaker 1: I mean, you want to talk about. First of all,

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Speaker 1: two greats right just in their own right, but the

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Speaker 1: way Brady was describing the level of quarterback play in

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Speaker 1: the NFL today and some of the things he sees with,

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Speaker 1: you know, just kind of the chuck and duck mentality

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Speaker 1: of some of these guys. You're not dealing with that

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Speaker 1: in this game. Like this game has two just elite

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Speaker 1: people to get into plays and get out of play

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Speaker 1: is on the sideline with Shanahan and Reed. And I

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Speaker 1: think you've got two quarterbacks and party, I know, still

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Speaker 1: young at this, but I think both of them are

432
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 1: you know, the ability to kind of maneuver on the

433
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,160
Speaker 1: fly with what the coveragers are showing you. I think

434
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,160
Speaker 1: these are two of the better quarterbacks in the league

435
00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 1: in that regard. I'm glad you mentioned Ben Johnson. I

436
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,280
Speaker 1: think Andy Reid and company are going to learn a

437
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,439
Speaker 1: lot from what the Lions did last week, because if

438
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:25,600
Speaker 1: you ask right, we've gone thirty minutes, we haven't mentioned

439
00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey's name yet, So I'll do it right now.

440
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 1: What the Lions did last week to get Sam Laporte

441
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 1: of thirteen targets against this Niners defense, they stacked the

442
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 1: tight ends and they ran. They put Laporte in the back,

443
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,399
Speaker 1: and they ran the front tight end who's like a

444
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:45,119
Speaker 1: decoy right at Warner, right in the middle of the field,

445
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:47,439
Speaker 1: and then they let Laporte a kind of freestyle a

446
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,400
Speaker 1: little bit. Who does that sound like? I mean, it's

447
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:54,880
Speaker 1: just I think, I really think the Niners defense might

448
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,400
Speaker 1: be overwhelmed early in this game. And if they are,

449
00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:59,680
Speaker 1: what adjustments are made in the trus Steve Wolks to

450
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,960
Speaker 1: kind of get things in check. Because if the play

451
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,159
Speaker 1: action game for the Chiefs is working, and it's been

452
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: working so far in the postseason. They haven't used a

453
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:08,400
Speaker 1: lot in the regular season, they've used it a little

454
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,159
Speaker 1: more in the postseason, and you get those tight end

455
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,080
Speaker 1: routes where Kelsey's just wreaking havoc and Warner gets, you know,

456
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,359
Speaker 1: schemed out. I mean, there's edges for this Chiefs offense

457
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:19,719
Speaker 1: against his Niners defense, and I think Mahomes gonna find him.

458
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 2: I'm gonna jump in for a second, Brian, because I

459
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 2: Jared said something that really is important for anybody who's

460
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 2: watching games and trying to figure out, why can't you

461
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,680
Speaker 2: stop Travis Kelce. You know, the same question was being

462
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:37,680
Speaker 2: asked forever, why can't you stop Gronk? It's like, yeah,

463
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 2: I know, he's a big, strong athlete, but he's not

464
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:42,880
Speaker 2: the fastest guy on the field. Do you have other

465
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 2: really fast guys out there who are trying to cover Gronk?

466
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 2: You know, he isn't even the biggest guy on the field.

467
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:51,959
Speaker 2: Sometimes you'll have defensive linemen out there trying to cover him.

468
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:53,879
Speaker 2: Now they look kind of like pigs on ice. But

469
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 2: the point being, like, what makes a Travis Kelcey, what

470
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,640
Speaker 2: makes a Gronk so special? And it's exactly what Jared said.

471
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 2: You're breaking rules with those guys. So in a typical offense,

472
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,320
Speaker 2: there are certain things that a defender can count on,

473
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,960
Speaker 2: Like you say, okay, well that that route broke in,

474
00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:15,360
Speaker 2: so this next route must break out because you don't

475
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 2: want to bunch up too many people in the same area.

476
00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:21,120
Speaker 2: But that that's true for most, it's not true for all.

477
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 2: Travis Kelcey and Patrick Mahomes. They can discuss a play

478
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,680
Speaker 2: really quickly in the huddle and go out to the

479
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:32,719
Speaker 2: line of scrimmage and do something that's so unconventional and

480
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 2: it works because it breaks convention because you're not doing

481
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:40,239
Speaker 2: what the defense is expecting you to do anymore, and

482
00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 2: so same thing defensively. Ask a quarterback, any quarterback, what

483
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 2: frustrates you the most When you go out there and

484
00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:49,320
Speaker 2: you have a great play design against a great a

485
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,399
Speaker 2: great look like, you have the coverage you want, you

486
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 2: have cover two, and you have all your cover two

487
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 2: beaters out there. It's when somebody screws up the coverage.

488
00:25:57,560 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 2: When all of a sudden, somebody doesn't isn't in the

489
00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 2: place they're supposed to be, and maybe they get lucky,

490
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,119
Speaker 2: or they shut down a route, or it makes the

491
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 2: quarterback hesitates like, oh wait a second, are we looking

492
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 2: at a man's side? What the heck are they running?

493
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:11,400
Speaker 2: And then all of a sudden you have to think

494
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:15,280
Speaker 2: instead of react. And so that's the reason why Travis

495
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:17,399
Speaker 2: Kelce or in this case, you know, talking about the

496
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 2: Lions game plan against the forty nine Ers defense a

497
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:24,439
Speaker 2: Sam Laporta is so good because they find ways to

498
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:26,680
Speaker 2: break convention to get themselves open.

499
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 3: By the way, a couple of nerd numbers real fast here,

500
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 3: love nerd numbers. You love these the Niners and their

501
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 3: two playoff games. How bad has their defense been? Well,

502
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:40,359
Speaker 3: try this on for size. Oh boy, their defensive EPA

503
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:44,680
Speaker 3: per play was minus point one. That doesn't sound like

504
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 3: a lot. But also they allowed two point six points

505
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 3: per drive. Those two figures would finish below the Cardinals,

506
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:56,439
Speaker 3: who ranked in the bottom of the league in both

507
00:26:56,880 --> 00:27:00,199
Speaker 3: categories in the regular season. That's what the Niners have

508
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:05,320
Speaker 3: done against what you guys have said, Jordan Love, Jared Goff.

509
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know.

510
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:07,200
Speaker 2: Yeah.

511
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 1: By the way, those guys were pretty good this year.

512
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 2: So they were, but they're not mahomes.

513
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,120
Speaker 1: No, no, no, not absolutely.

514
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:18,200
Speaker 3: By the way, one of the members of our crew

515
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:22,160
Speaker 3: is seething, seething about an award that was handed out

516
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 3: on Thursday. You will hear about that coming up. First though,

517
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:28,720
Speaker 3: you will hear from a man named Nick Cope, which

518
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,320
Speaker 3: I do believe is not seathing. And that's a good thing.

519
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 3: What's going on?

520
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:32,080
Speaker 2: Nick?

521
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,520
Speaker 7: No note, I got a nerd number? How about two?

522
00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,440
Speaker 3: And oh though for the forty nine ers, yeah kind

523
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 3: of sound.

524
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 2: Are you a pretty fan boys Niner game? Oh boy? Guys.

525
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,919
Speaker 8: Well, when the Super Bowl does wrap, all the attention

526
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 8: is going to go to free agency and the draft

527
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,439
Speaker 8: and NFL Meter reports this morning that the Bears would

528
00:27:55,520 --> 00:28:00,119
Speaker 8: require a historic Hall of picks and overall compensation to

529
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,240
Speaker 8: move off the number one pick, suggesting that they will

530
00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 8: likely take a quarterback with that selection. Last night, and

531
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:09,600
Speaker 8: the NBA Lakers held off the Pelicans for a one

532
00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 8: to thirty nine to one to twenty two. Wind'angelo Russell

533
00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:15,000
Speaker 8: led LA with thirty points. Kings pulled away from the

534
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,240
Speaker 8: Nuggets one thirty five to one zero six to Monte.

535
00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 8: Sabonas had a triple double seventeen points, seventeen.

536
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 7: Boards, ten assists. Bucks blew out the.

537
00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:24,880
Speaker 8: Hornets one twenty to eighty four to twenty six for Dame,

538
00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:28,399
Speaker 8: and the Celtics edged the Wizards won thirty three to

539
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:32,399
Speaker 8: one twenty nine. College football reports say former Washington and

540
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,400
Speaker 8: Alabama offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb is headed back to.

541
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 7: Seattle to be the OC for the Seahawks.

542
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 8: Grub had followed Kaitlin to board A Tuscaloosa, but he

543
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 8: will never coach a game there. Ohio State officially announced

544
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 8: UCLA coach Chip Kelly as their next offensive coordinator and

545
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:50,120
Speaker 8: quarterbacks coach. UCLA Athletic director Martin Jarmans of the Plane

546
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 8: is to have a new coach in place within the

547
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 8: next four days and the second round of the Phoenix

548
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 8: Open has resumed just moments ago. They're completing the second round.

549
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 8: Before they get under away with the third round. Andrew

550
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:05,160
Speaker 8: Novak and Nick Taylor top the leaderboard at twelve under guys,

551
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:06,680
Speaker 8: back to you, Thank you Nick.

552
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by

553
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:12,840
Speaker 3: Bett MGM. Shortly after the show, our podcast will be

554
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 3: going up. If you miss anything on today's show, be

555
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:17,720
Speaker 3: sure to check it out. Just search Fox Sports Radio

556
00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 3: wherever you get your podcasts. Also, be sure to follow,

557
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 3: rate and review that Bad Boy again. Just search Fox

558
00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,960
Speaker 3: Sports Radio wherever you get your podcasts, and you'll see

559
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 3: the show posted right after we get off the air. Okay,

560
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 3: So NFL honors this week. Shout out to the Houston Texans.

561
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 3: They get both the offensive end defensive Rookies of the Year.

562
00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 3: Quite a haul with CJ. Stroud number two overall, Will

563
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 3: Anderson Junior number three overall in last year's draft. Miles

564
00:29:46,360 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 3: Garrett wins Defensive Player of the Year, the great Browns

565
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:51,240
Speaker 3: defensive end.

566
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 2: How about this comeback player of the Year.

567
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 1: Yeah.

568
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 3: This caught the attention of our technical producer Chris Purfett.

569
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:01,720
Speaker 3: The first thing he said to me it wasn't good morning,

570
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 3: it wasn't hey pull around the corner.

571
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 2: It was actually it was your mic is live. That was.

572
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 1: You.

573
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 7: I told you what up.

574
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 1: That's an important qualifier from your audio guy. Make sure

575
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 1: you know that. Mike.

576
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, Mike is hot. Yeah.

577
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 3: But the second thing he said was I got a

578
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 3: real problem with Comeback Player of the Year.

579
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:25,600
Speaker 2: And I was like, okay, I thought he was Team.

580
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:29,160
Speaker 3: DeMar Hamlin, you know, and he goes, it should have

581
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:31,800
Speaker 3: been Baker Mayfield.

582
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 2: It turned out to be Joe Flacco who got off

583
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:36,840
Speaker 2: the couch. He was eating Bond.

584
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 3: Bonds and Cheetos, and the Browns gave him a call

585
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,320
Speaker 3: and said, hey, can you still throw it? And he's like,

586
00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 3: I haven't thought about throwing it, but yeah, probably, I guess.

587
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 3: And he wins Comeback Player of the Year. What do

588
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 3: you guys think about that?

589
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's uh, it's it's interesting, man. I think I

590
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:56,040
Speaker 2: think I feel the same way about player honors as

591
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 2: I do about Hall of Fame, as I do about

592
00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 2: Pro Bowl voting, as I do you about Hall of

593
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 2: Fame voting. And by the way, a former teammate of mine,

594
00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 2: Antonio Gates, was completely snow for the Pro Football Hall

595
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:12,560
Speaker 2: of Fame. You cannot write the history of the NFL

596
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 2: without mentioning Antonio Gates and what he's done to revolutionize

597
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:19,520
Speaker 2: the tight end position. I mean, legitimately, this year's Super

598
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 2: Bowl and many preceding it came down to who's got

599
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:26,520
Speaker 2: the better tight end as the game's unfold and because

600
00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 2: and that's because of Antonio Gates and obviously Gonzales, and

601
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:32,120
Speaker 2: obviously there have been others who have helped usher in

602
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:36,800
Speaker 2: that era in the NFL, changing fundamentally how offenses prepare

603
00:31:36,840 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 2: and play. But I digress to get back to my

604
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:45,400
Speaker 2: right with the honors, huh. But yeah, my problem with

605
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 2: these things, you know, having other people quantify greatness for

606
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:52,480
Speaker 2: me screw you, honestly.

607
00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 1: Oh, I just I.

608
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 2: Don't like I don't like it. I think Pro Bowl,

609
00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 2: All Pro all these lists are dumb. I think all

610
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 2: star lists are dumb. I think Halls of Fame are dumb.

611
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 2: I think having somebody else be the gatekeeper of how

612
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 2: we remember great athletes is idiotic. There should be a museum,

613
00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 2: and you should include people, and obviously there's gonna be

614
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,920
Speaker 2: different wings, and maybe Tom Brady gets his own wing

615
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 2: of said museum, right but but there, that's how we

616
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,240
Speaker 2: should do this and categorize. I don't understand why we

617
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 2: have to classify one player and single them out as

618
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:33,760
Speaker 2: the better than the rest, because when you really get

619
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 2: into the minutia of this and you start breaking down

620
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:41,680
Speaker 2: stats or breaking down context, at some point objectivity leaves

621
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 2: the room and it gets far away before this decision

622
00:32:45,120 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 2: is made. This is completely subjective, and it is very

623
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 2: stupid that it bears any weight in our minds.

624
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:53,040
Speaker 1: I could not agree more.

625
00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 2: I completely disagree. I could not disagree.

626
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 1: You go, free one, you go.

627
00:32:57,560 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 3: It's like, yeah, we get it. It's objective. Sometimes it's

628
00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 3: gonna be bs. Sometimes you're gonna get silly results. But

629
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:07,320
Speaker 3: to chalk everything up, everything in totality, the Hall of

630
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 3: Fame is dumb. It's just because Antonio Gates doesn't get.

631
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 2: In right, not only Antonio Gates, for so many other

632
00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 2: players who have been stuffed forever. Don Coriel waiting forever

633
00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 2: togain to Hall of Fame. Don Corriel was the innovator

634
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:23,640
Speaker 2: of offenses that we still see today. Andy Reid is

635
00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 2: standing on the shoulders of Don Coriel. It took him forever. Look,

636
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:30,720
Speaker 2: my point is, why do I need to wait for

637
00:33:30,800 --> 00:33:33,400
Speaker 2: a Hall of Fame or for a bunch of voters

638
00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 2: in a room to tell me who the defensive player

639
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:37,680
Speaker 2: of the year is. I know who it is in

640
00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 2: my opinion. I don't need to hear somebody else's opinion.

641
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:43,960
Speaker 2: That's the reason why all this is very silly. It's

642
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:47,680
Speaker 2: just to stir up more publicity for a league that's

643
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 2: already a juggernaut, or any league. Frankly, they all do it.

644
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 2: I'm not blaming the NFL specifically here. They all do it.

645
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,320
Speaker 2: They want you to follow their stars. They want to

646
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:57,880
Speaker 2: promote the stars they want to promote, and so does

647
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 2: the media. By the way, the media is as guilty

648
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:03,040
Speaker 2: as anybody else, and frankly the fans as well. Everybody's

649
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 2: in on it together. It's very silly. It doesn't it

650
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:10,319
Speaker 2: doesn't matter to me in the least bit. But I

651
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 2: i I because I do what I do, because we're

652
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:16,920
Speaker 2: broadcasters talking about sports, and because I know there's so

653
00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 2: many people entrenched and dug in on their side of arguments.

654
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:25,479
Speaker 2: I'll play ball, but I do understand that the ball,

655
00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 2: I should say, the sport that I'm playing ball with

656
00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 2: right now. Talking about Halls of Fame or Most Valuable

657
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:34,879
Speaker 2: Players or you know, offensive player or Rookie of the Year.

658
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:38,000
Speaker 2: It's all very, very silly. It doesn't matter at all.

659
00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:43,920
Speaker 1: Wow, this conversation started with DeMar Hamlin comeback Player of

660
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:44,279
Speaker 1: the Year.

661
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:46,360
Speaker 2: And then Rich and then started.

662
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 1: Rich with scorts to earth on like every entity sports has

663
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:55,680
Speaker 1: ever known, and Joe Flacco.

664
00:34:55,840 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 2: Goodness, we're talking about back Yeah? Well, okay, okay, I'll

665
00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:03,680
Speaker 2: give you an example, like why why is football fun

666
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:08,440
Speaker 2: to watch versus say, figure skating? The reason is because

667
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:11,719
Speaker 2: when I watch a football game exactly. Yeah.

668
00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 1: I feel the same way about like sports that are judged.

669
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 2: Like boxing. That's another one, Like unless there's a ko

670
00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:23,040
Speaker 2: a tko, I gotta wait until I watched the fight,

671
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:25,640
Speaker 2: if you know what I mean, Like, I'll tell you

672
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 2: who won. Why am I waiting for some scorer to

673
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:32,640
Speaker 2: tell me what? Like? So that's that's my problem with

674
00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:35,080
Speaker 2: all this. Yeah, should it be Joe Flacco? Should be

675
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:38,759
Speaker 2: DeMar Hamlin? Guess what? It's completely subjective. It is a

676
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:42,640
Speaker 2: dumb debate. Do you think? What do you think? Yeah?

677
00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:47,040
Speaker 2: What am I more personally impressed by? Yeah, I'm more

678
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:51,719
Speaker 2: personally impressed by the fact that a guy died on

679
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 2: a field, and he decided, you know what, I'm gonna

680
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:59,120
Speaker 2: stare this fear down and I'm gonna get back out there.

681
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,160
Speaker 2: And even if he played one snap of football, even

682
00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:04,319
Speaker 2: if it was a meaningless play of football, the fact

683
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:06,040
Speaker 2: that he was still willing to go out there and

684
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 2: try it again, it impresses me. Joe flackom impresses me.

685
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:14,200
Speaker 2: And everybody's entitled to that opinion. But we're talking about

686
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:15,960
Speaker 2: something opinion, a bit opinion.

687
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 3: There's no doubt Damar had the better storyline. I look

688
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:21,799
Speaker 3: at this a little bit more cold hearted. I know

689
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:23,480
Speaker 3: it's going to be shocking for you guys, because I'm

690
00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 3: such a shocking.

691
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 1: Mormon.

692
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:30,160
Speaker 2: What am I getting?

693
00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:30,839
Speaker 6: Right?

694
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 3: Am I getting a couple of special teams plays and

695
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 3: a couple of backup safety plays? Am I getting a

696
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:38,480
Speaker 3: guy that's coming off the couch and playing quarterback at

697
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 3: a high level that helps our team get into the playoffs?

698
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 1: Hamon had more first place votes. I think the voting

699
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 1: system is what kind of screwed over Hamlin here, But

700
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:48,719
Speaker 1: that's another story for another day. That Rich probably.

701
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:50,360
Speaker 2: Thing about.

702
00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:54,160
Speaker 3: We got Rich Arnberger Penn State All American, Jared Smith FSR.

703
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:57,880
Speaker 3: Betting analyst. I'm Brian No coming up next the parlay platter.

704
00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:02,439
Speaker 3: It's got a handful of legs, okay, and you're gonna

705
00:37:02,520 --> 00:37:08,319
Speaker 3: need one thing here, quarterbacks running right the.

706
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 2: Little sneak peak. Jared will lay it out for you

707
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 2: right around the corner.

708
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.

709
00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by

710
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,359
Speaker 3: bet MGM. Every time you make a wager at BETMGM,

711
00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:24,360
Speaker 3: you earn BETMGM Rewards points that can be redeemed for

712
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:27,920
Speaker 3: things like free bets and risk free tokens. They can

713
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,520
Speaker 3: also be converted to MGM rewards points that could be

714
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 3: used towards dining shows and hotel rooms at over twenty

715
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:35,520
Speaker 3: MGM resorts.

716
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 2: All right, let's dive into this.

717
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 7: Check this out ar late latter Okay.

718
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,520
Speaker 3: Jared Smith, you've been in the lab, You've been concocting

719
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 3: things over here.

720
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:47,880
Speaker 2: What are you thinking for the platter?

721
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:51,600
Speaker 1: Well, we last week, we gave you that crazy fifty

722
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,759
Speaker 1: to one mahomes uice check anytime touchdown parlay a little

723
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:57,160
Speaker 1: more conservative this week. Again. This is kind of how

724
00:37:57,160 --> 00:37:59,880
Speaker 1: I see the game script playing out, and it's actually

725
00:37:59,920 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 1: a pretty decent payout here is about a thirteen to

726
00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:06,160
Speaker 1: one payout on the SGP. As Brian alluded to, a

727
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:09,840
Speaker 1: couple of quarterback rushing props. I love quarterback rushing props

728
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:12,440
Speaker 1: in high profile games. These guys have shown the ability

729
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 1: to move it with their legs. Mahomes will go twenty

730
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:18,279
Speaker 1: five or more rushing yards, purty, nice little low number

731
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:20,799
Speaker 1: there at ten or more rushing yards. A couple of

732
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:23,800
Speaker 1: touchdown props. Gotta be touchdowns in this game, right, Travis Kelce.

733
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:26,319
Speaker 1: I mean this is the red zone guy. I really

734
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 1: think he's gonna be a targeted early and often in

735
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,920
Speaker 1: this game. And Christian McCaffrey because the dude just scores

736
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,399
Speaker 1: a touchdown every single game. And I'll take the Chiefs

737
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:36,279
Speaker 1: money line. I think the Chiefs are winning this game

738
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:38,600
Speaker 1: and we'll go over forty seven and a half. You

739
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 1: put all those together, six legger thirteen to one. Not

740
00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:43,919
Speaker 1: the biggest payout we've given out here on the show,

741
00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:45,479
Speaker 1: but not too shabby. Gents.

742
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 2: What do we think? All right? All right? Yeah? The

743
00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 2: ten plus rushing our t for Rock Party, I think

744
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:54,240
Speaker 2: is really smart. I think at some point the Chiefs

745
00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:58,400
Speaker 2: pass rush is going to get probably a little impatient,

746
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 2: and break some rush lane and he'll get out. He'll

747
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 2: break contain, he'll get you some yards on a scramble.

748
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:06,640
Speaker 2: We saw that in both of the playoff games so far,

749
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:08,359
Speaker 2: where he got out of the pocket and got lose.

750
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 2: So I like that prop a lot. Nice. I'm curious

751
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 2: how that's gonna go.

752
00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 3: I won like I had a big bet on Purdy,

753
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 3: believe it not, earlier this season against the Bengals, I

754
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 3: won a little in game No on his over rushing

755
00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:26,680
Speaker 3: yards He just running, Yeah, I did, but I think

756
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 3: in only four of sixteen games did he rush for

757
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:32,919
Speaker 3: double digit yards. It's just not what he does. He's

758
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:34,840
Speaker 3: done it in both playoff games and he might do

759
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,120
Speaker 3: it here. But it makes me nervous if he's just

760
00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:40,560
Speaker 3: not gonna run it all, you know. Yeah, curious about

761
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 3: that leg of the parlay?

762
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:44,720
Speaker 2: What do you know? Running leg all right? Coming up backs?

763
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:46,800
Speaker 2: Outside of the quarterbacks.

764
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:50,000
Speaker 3: And Christian McCaffrey, who's the most important player in the game.

765
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 2: Oh, what's going on? Everybody? Happy Super Bowl Eve?

766
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:56,440
Speaker 3: As we get all set for Super Bowl fifty eight

767
00:39:56,480 --> 00:40:02,280
Speaker 3: over here, I got a question, and this is a Humdinger. Okay,

768
00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:06,520
Speaker 3: I don't normally bust out the Humdinger questions every single week,

769
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:08,440
Speaker 3: I'll be honest with you, But for Super Bowl fifty eight,

770
00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 3: I'm busting out the Humdinger questions over here. Okay, outside

771
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 3: of the quarterbacks and Christian McCaffrey. Can't use Mahomes, Purty

772
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 3: or CMC. Outside of those three guys, who is the

773
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:24,960
Speaker 3: most important player in Super Bowl fifty eight?

774
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 2: I like it? Am I allowed to use Travis Kelcey

775
00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:30,319
Speaker 2: or is he ruled out as well?

776
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:33,520
Speaker 3: You're not allowed to change the conversation and say this,

777
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 3: Jack dev I hate this topic.

778
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:38,399
Speaker 2: And now why didn't Antonio Gates get into the Hall

779
00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:38,680
Speaker 2: of Fame?

780
00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:40,960
Speaker 3: You're not allowed to Short of that, you're allowed to

781
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:44,360
Speaker 3: do anything you want. Rich Well, I mean, you know,

782
00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:48,840
Speaker 3: stupid topics aside. This one's actually a good one because

783
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:53,360
Speaker 3: I think that the subjectivity here is important because where

784
00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 3: this subjectivity comes into play is in terms of how

785
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:02,080
Speaker 3: a defense is going to one of the biggest threats

786
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:06,320
Speaker 3: we've ever seen in the NFL at one given position,

787
00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:08,120
Speaker 3: and that's Travis Kelcey at tight end.

788
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,439
Speaker 2: You know, listen, even if he doesn't have a lot

789
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:15,120
Speaker 2: of targets. The most likely the reason why he doesn't

790
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:17,080
Speaker 2: have a lot of targets is because the forty nine

791
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:21,280
Speaker 2: ers have changed their defensive strategy to limit his targets,

792
00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:24,000
Speaker 2: to make it silly to throw it to Travis Kelcey.

793
00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 2: So when we're talking about of the most consequential players

794
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:31,239
Speaker 2: on the field, Yeah, Christian McCaffrey obviously is a game

795
00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 2: breaker and you're going to amend and adjust your defensive

796
00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:38,480
Speaker 2: strategy to handle his talent. But so is Travis Kelcey.

797
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:43,240
Speaker 2: So down yere no doubt. Regular season wasn't great for Kelsey.

798
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:45,560
Speaker 2: He turned it on at the end, and the postseason

799
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:48,400
Speaker 2: has proven to be you know what we're used to

800
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:52,760
Speaker 2: seeing out of him. Yeah, whatever the stat line looks

801
00:41:52,800 --> 00:41:55,000
Speaker 2: like after the game, I think I think if we're

802
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:58,919
Speaker 2: excluding McCaffrey, we're excluding the quarterbacks, Travis Kelcey is going

803
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:01,799
Speaker 2: to be the most important player on the field in

804
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:02,320
Speaker 2: this game.

805
00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:07,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's fair. My my like cynical brain

806
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:10,080
Speaker 1: wants to say Bill Vinovich, who's the head official here?

807
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:14,160
Speaker 1: But I'll stick to a player. I'll stick. It's only

808
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:16,399
Speaker 1: it's always something with the refs, right, and we'll get

809
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,840
Speaker 1: I have some ref numbers, and I made a wager

810
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:21,880
Speaker 1: on the amount of penalties that will be in this game.

811
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 2: It don't call holding very often.

812
00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 1: That new Yeah, And then you know, mister Bosa of

813
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 1: course wanted to you know, he's like, what's your what's

814
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:31,319
Speaker 1: your assessment on the Chiefs offensive line? They hold a lot?

815
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:35,520
Speaker 1: That was an interesting quote, But I'll go the other

816
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:38,560
Speaker 1: I'll go the other side of the coin. To Rich's point,

817
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 1: and it's Rashie Rice because if you think about what

818
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 1: the Niners should try to do outside of stopping that,

819
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:50,000
Speaker 1: you know, stopping the Chiefs running game with Pacheco, is

820
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:52,520
Speaker 1: trying to take Travis Kelcey away because of all things

821
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:54,799
Speaker 1: that Rich just said. I mean, he's kind of the

822
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:57,920
Speaker 1: tone setter there. So if they are able to scheme

823
00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 1: out Kelsey in any way, and he said, than done

824
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:04,400
Speaker 1: because of all the freestyling that he likes to do

825
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:08,279
Speaker 1: with Mahomes. But Rice has been the other guy. And

826
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 1: I think you look at the the numbers since about

827
00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:15,080
Speaker 1: week twelve is kind of the point where I really

828
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 1: saw the light bulb turn on for Rashi Rice. I mean,

829
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 1: the numbers pop off the page. How about this? Since

830
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:25,680
Speaker 1: week twelve, facing pretty much the same style of defense

831
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:27,879
Speaker 1: that the Niners face, which is a rush for kind

832
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,239
Speaker 1: of his own look. Rashie Rice has a twenty five

833
00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:33,720
Speaker 1: percent target share against those looks. That's more than Travis

834
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:36,560
Speaker 1: Kelcey's twenty one and a half percent. So you could

835
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:40,560
Speaker 1: make the case that the Chiefs offense because of the

836
00:43:40,600 --> 00:43:43,760
Speaker 1: way the Niners play defense with Kelsey and Rice match

837
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 1: up very well because if you take one away, the

838
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 1: other one might beat you. So I do think that's

839
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,480
Speaker 1: kind of the dichotomy. Obviously, the running game priority A.

840
00:43:53,080 --> 00:43:55,120
Speaker 1: You gotta stop Pacheco in the running game because it

841
00:43:55,160 --> 00:43:57,600
Speaker 1: sets up the Chiefs play action. But if you take

842
00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:01,200
Speaker 1: Kelsey away, you might be giving Rice one on ones

843
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:03,719
Speaker 1: down the field. And this dude can hurt you. He

844
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:04,720
Speaker 1: is a special player.

845
00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 3: We all went with Chiefs pretty interesting here. I'm gonna

846
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:12,319
Speaker 3: go with the defensive guy. I'm going Chris Jones. And

847
00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:15,440
Speaker 3: the reason I'm choosing Chris Jones outside of the quarterbacks

848
00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:18,360
Speaker 3: and Christian McCaffrey as the most important player in this game,

849
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:20,960
Speaker 3: the Chiefs don't have a lot of defensive tackles that

850
00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:24,160
Speaker 3: they can just rotate in, and they have to find

851
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:27,359
Speaker 3: a way to slow down Christian McCaffrey in that running game.

852
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:31,160
Speaker 3: And on top of that, Chris Jones has the ability

853
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:34,800
Speaker 3: to put heat on Purdy and make game changing plays.

854
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:38,840
Speaker 3: And you also see him in critical situations line up

855
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:41,160
Speaker 3: as a defensive end. He had a couple of sacks

856
00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:44,640
Speaker 3: last season in twenty twenty two when these two teams

857
00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:48,319
Speaker 3: met against Mike mclinchy, he had a couple of sacks there.

858
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:51,560
Speaker 3: And so in those situations, probably going up against Colton

859
00:44:51,640 --> 00:44:56,239
Speaker 3: m kivittz advantage Jones okay in those situations, and so

860
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:59,880
Speaker 3: think about that, if he's able to be effective again

861
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:03,400
Speaker 3: that's the run. If he's able to put heat on Purdy,

862
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:04,879
Speaker 3: could that speed him up?

863
00:45:05,080 --> 00:45:08,200
Speaker 2: Could that lead to an interception? Absolutely? It could.

864
00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:11,239
Speaker 3: He has the ability to change a game. I'm gonna

865
00:45:11,239 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 3: go with Chris Jones.

866
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,279
Speaker 2: I think it's great. I think that's that's one of

867
00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:20,480
Speaker 2: those low key, upfront, you know, hidden battles that can

868
00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 2: have a major impact on the way games are plays played.

869
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:27,799
Speaker 2: Especially picking an interior defensive lineman. It was a lot

870
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:30,959
Speaker 2: easier picking Aaron Donald because again the heat on his name.

871
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:34,400
Speaker 2: Aaron Donald was one of the most feared pass rushers

872
00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:38,080
Speaker 2: from the interior defensive line positions the league's ever seen.

873
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:40,640
Speaker 2: But Chris Jones, trust me when I tell you there

874
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:44,600
Speaker 2: is as many interior offensive linemen who will sing his

875
00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 2: praises the same way they will Aaron Donald's. He's slippery man.

876
00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 2: He's a big dude, but he gets skinny real fast,

877
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:55,000
Speaker 2: and he finds way to wedge himself into spots where

878
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:56,960
Speaker 2: he gets you on the shoulder. And that's the reason

879
00:45:56,960 --> 00:45:59,680
Speaker 2: why you see holding calls a lot called against the

880
00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 2: offense to why I've been working against him. You see

881
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:06,240
Speaker 2: situations where he's pushing the pocket up front. He's getting

882
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 2: quarterbacks to bail out backwards, which leads to deep sacks,

883
00:46:10,280 --> 00:46:14,040
Speaker 2: which leads to like backfoot throws, which leads to balls

884
00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 2: floating a little higher than they're supposed to be targeted for,

885
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:20,520
Speaker 2: which can lead to interceptions. But incompletions, how many times

886
00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:24,200
Speaker 2: have we seen drive stall because Chris Jones have swatted

887
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:27,799
Speaker 2: down a ball on second down? You know, and they're

888
00:46:27,920 --> 00:46:29,839
Speaker 2: just trying to get you know, set up a third

889
00:46:29,880 --> 00:46:34,759
Speaker 2: and manageable. He's an unbelievable player and I think he

890
00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 2: could have a big impact on this game.

891
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:40,400
Speaker 1: I agree about the Chris Jones thing because when I so,

892
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:43,960
Speaker 1: you know me, I love analyzing the offensive lines. And

893
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:46,319
Speaker 1: it's not just because I love Rich and all the

894
00:46:46,360 --> 00:46:50,080
Speaker 1: things that him and his ilk have done for the sport.

895
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:53,239
Speaker 1: It is a crucial element to what these teams are

896
00:46:53,239 --> 00:46:55,280
Speaker 1: trying to do. And it's not a very sexy element,

897
00:46:55,440 --> 00:47:01,560
Speaker 1: so it usually goes overlooked. But whoa I mean here

898
00:47:01,719 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 1: physically physically, physically sexy, metaphorically not very sexy. Thank you gosh,

899
00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:11,719
Speaker 1: I love you Rich. But the offensive line analysis I

900
00:47:11,800 --> 00:47:13,920
Speaker 1: got in this game from two people I trust the

901
00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:16,960
Speaker 1: most in terms of the you know, the analytics, and

902
00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:20,520
Speaker 1: that it's basically Trent Williams and four pylons. That's literally

903
00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:23,279
Speaker 1: the quote I got, Like it's it's one guy at

904
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:26,279
Speaker 1: left tackle who's like the best player ever, and it's

905
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:29,160
Speaker 1: four guys that you couldn't pick him out of a

906
00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:31,279
Speaker 1: lineup if you put him on the field and had

907
00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:34,120
Speaker 1: him run you know, practice drills or whatever. Like it's

908
00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 1: just it's not a very deep and talented group outside

909
00:47:39,040 --> 00:47:42,319
Speaker 1: of Trent Williams. Well, Trent plays on the outside, right,

910
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:45,560
Speaker 1: he's a tackle. Where does Chris Jones play on the inside?

911
00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:49,640
Speaker 1: So I think the the scheme is gonna be get

912
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:52,880
Speaker 1: to the outside, get behind Trent Williams. But the question

913
00:47:53,040 --> 00:47:57,040
Speaker 1: is Spags knows that, and there's ways to kind of,

914
00:47:57,239 --> 00:48:00,560
Speaker 1: you know, funnel things back to where you want because

915
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 1: of just how talented he is at scheming. So I

916
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:07,239
Speaker 1: think Chris Jones is gonna have a massive game here.

917
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:10,239
Speaker 1: He has a big matchup edge, and if there are

918
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:12,840
Speaker 1: ways for Spags to kind of funnel everything back to

919
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:15,320
Speaker 1: the middle, that's where I think Chris Jones could have

920
00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:16,279
Speaker 1: a massive day.

921
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:17,000
Speaker 2: Hey.

922
00:48:17,040 --> 00:48:20,840
Speaker 3: By the way, to underline Rich's point again about Travis Kelcey,

923
00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:26,200
Speaker 3: these playoff numbers are insane. So he's played seventeen playoff

924
00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:30,160
Speaker 3: games with Mahomes. Okay, he's got four other playoff games

925
00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:35,720
Speaker 3: before Mahomes took over, but the seventeen with Mahomes playoff numbers,

926
00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:39,280
Speaker 3: Travis Kelsey is a full regular season right, Seventeen games

927
00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:43,120
Speaker 3: worth one hundred and thirty three catches for over fifteen

928
00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:45,799
Speaker 3: hundred yards in eighteen touchdowns.

929
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:46,840
Speaker 1: That's a season.

930
00:48:47,440 --> 00:48:49,600
Speaker 2: In the playoffs, it's a season.

931
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,320
Speaker 3: But the tight end put up one hundred and thirty

932
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:54,879
Speaker 3: three catches for over fifteen hundred yards.

933
00:48:54,560 --> 00:48:57,680
Speaker 2: And eighteen touchdowns. So what he's done in the postseason

934
00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:00,680
Speaker 2: with Mahomes. That is the start of the day. You

935
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:04,560
Speaker 2: try to get that out immediately. That's unbelievable. So okay,

936
00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:07,160
Speaker 2: I love the fact that you bring this to the table.

937
00:49:07,600 --> 00:49:11,120
Speaker 2: Just imagine this. Imagine if you're a defensive coordinator and

938
00:49:11,280 --> 00:49:14,359
Speaker 2: you're looking at the Chiefs offense. I'm laughing as I'm

939
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:16,799
Speaker 2: saying it, because this is so ridiculous. You're looking at

940
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:20,080
Speaker 2: the Chiefs offense and you're like, all right, we gotta

941
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:24,320
Speaker 2: circle a number on this whiteboard. Who do we stop

942
00:49:24,440 --> 00:49:29,600
Speaker 2: here to make sure that we can generate some opportunities

943
00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:32,880
Speaker 2: for our offense. And if you're not circling eighty seven,

944
00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:36,520
Speaker 2: what are you doing now? I'm look, they had Tyreek Hill.

945
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:39,760
Speaker 2: There have been other great players on the Chiefs offensive

946
00:49:39,840 --> 00:49:43,400
Speaker 2: roster as well, and there's no question that. Look, Travis

947
00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:46,359
Speaker 2: Kelsey's getting paid too. He's gonna catch footballs, he's gonna

948
00:49:46,360 --> 00:49:47,960
Speaker 2: make plays. He's a great player. He's a Hall of

949
00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:51,160
Speaker 2: Famer for a reason. But still, those numbers are video

950
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 2: game numbers, Like that's what you would expect to see

951
00:49:53,640 --> 00:49:56,560
Speaker 2: put up on Madden two K twenty four, Like it

952
00:49:56,600 --> 00:49:59,399
Speaker 2: doesn't make any sense. Holy smokes.

953
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:03,040
Speaker 1: I think there's and we're at that point, right, Like

954
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:06,480
Speaker 1: I reached that point like two three days ago, where

955
00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:08,680
Speaker 1: you break this game down in so many different ways,

956
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:10,680
Speaker 1: and you talk about it in so many different ways.

957
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:13,839
Speaker 1: You try to find that little wrinkle and that you know,

958
00:50:13,880 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 1: the unsung, the undervalued. It's it's the stars for the

959
00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:20,480
Speaker 1: Chiefs guys like like that's it, Like you're not like,

960
00:50:20,680 --> 00:50:23,160
Speaker 1: don't waste your time betting the you know, the underling

961
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:25,880
Speaker 1: props if you're not betting Rice Pacheco or Kelsey props,

962
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:27,799
Speaker 1: like those are the guys that are gonna beat this

963
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:30,320
Speaker 1: Niners defense. Like those are the guys like Kansas City,

964
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:34,640
Speaker 1: Andy Reid. They are very much a we trust these guys,

965
00:50:34,920 --> 00:50:37,399
Speaker 1: especially those Kelsey numbers. I mean it's just like, how

966
00:50:37,440 --> 00:50:39,960
Speaker 1: does he not get ten targets in this game? Like

967
00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:43,200
Speaker 1: I don't see how they don't figure out a way

968
00:50:43,280 --> 00:50:45,359
Speaker 1: to get him the ball even if he's covered. They're

969
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:47,160
Speaker 1: gonna figure out a way to get him ten targets

970
00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:50,160
Speaker 1: in this game. So it that's where I struggle betting

971
00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:52,239
Speaker 1: some unders with some of these star players. Even though

972
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:55,160
Speaker 1: the numbers have been bet up considerably on a Kelsey

973
00:50:55,200 --> 00:50:58,000
Speaker 1: and McCaffrey. Who else are you going to in these spots,

974
00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:00,680
Speaker 1: like are you letting Elijah Mitchell go out there and on? Like,

975
00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:03,399
Speaker 1: this is Christian McCaffrey in the last game of the year.

976
00:51:03,520 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 1: Why doesn't he He's gonna have thirty touches. He better

977
00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 1: This is Travis Kelcey in the last game of the year. Well,

978
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:10,480
Speaker 1: you can throw Justin Watson, like you gotta get this

979
00:51:10,520 --> 00:51:14,560
Speaker 1: guy the ball. So, man, there's some star power on

980
00:51:14,640 --> 00:51:17,640
Speaker 1: both sides, but offensive line for the Niners, I think

981
00:51:17,719 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 1: that's a I think that's a weak spot. I think

982
00:51:19,200 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 1: that's where Chris Jones and this Chiefs defense might have

983
00:51:21,120 --> 00:51:21,680
Speaker 1: some success.

984
00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:25,480
Speaker 3: Man, That's where I go back to Belichick. Right when

985
00:51:25,520 --> 00:51:28,960
Speaker 3: Belichick went up against the Chiefs, he did a great

986
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:33,840
Speaker 3: job of limiting both Kelsey and Tyreek Hill. And so

987
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:36,920
Speaker 3: I just bring that up because if the Niners, if

988
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:40,280
Speaker 3: you're keying in on a guy, it should be Travis Kelcey,

989
00:51:40,360 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 3: because you want to be in a spot to say, Okay,

990
00:51:44,160 --> 00:51:46,920
Speaker 3: if the Chiefs can beat us with the combination of

991
00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:51,400
Speaker 3: Pachecko running it, Rice catching it, and Mahomes just running

992
00:51:51,440 --> 00:51:54,000
Speaker 3: it making some special plays, okay, we'll tip our cap.

993
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:57,480
Speaker 3: If you can make it work with Rice Pachecko and

994
00:51:57,520 --> 00:52:02,600
Speaker 3: sprinkling in some mahomes. Fine, like the Chiefs.

995
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:03,000
Speaker 2: Need it to be.

996
00:52:03,120 --> 00:52:06,800
Speaker 3: Like, if we're slowing down Christian McCaffrey enough where brock

997
00:52:06,840 --> 00:52:10,000
Speaker 3: Purty has to repeatedly throw into tight windows and he

998
00:52:10,040 --> 00:52:11,600
Speaker 3: can beat us, we'll tip our cap.

999
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:14,280
Speaker 2: I think that's what it has to be for both teams.

1000
00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:19,160
Speaker 3: But I would focus on eighty seven, okay, And it

1001
00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:23,080
Speaker 3: may matter. Yeah if ten or four beat us, meaning

1002
00:52:23,280 --> 00:52:26,319
Speaker 3: Pacheco and Rice, so be it. But it can't be

1003
00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:30,040
Speaker 3: Kelsey in his decorated history, including this postseason, he's gone

1004
00:52:30,120 --> 00:52:30,799
Speaker 3: off the last time.

1005
00:52:30,880 --> 00:52:31,480
Speaker 1: Ridiculous.

1006
00:52:31,640 --> 00:52:34,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, it is. And you know what's really funny is

1007
00:52:34,320 --> 00:52:37,359
Speaker 2: that it's almost the inverse, Like what you're saying is

1008
00:52:37,400 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 2: so perfect about the defense is needing to stop eighty seven.

1009
00:52:40,719 --> 00:52:44,120
Speaker 2: Andy Reid's a smart guy. Andy Reid has built offenses

1010
00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:47,640
Speaker 2: around feeding his stars. So you already know heading into

1011
00:52:47,680 --> 00:52:49,840
Speaker 2: this game what the game plan is gonna be. So

1012
00:52:50,520 --> 00:52:53,520
Speaker 2: I don't see it any other way. You gotta find

1013
00:52:53,520 --> 00:52:56,320
Speaker 2: a way to stop Travis Kelsey and and like you said,

1014
00:52:56,880 --> 00:53:00,240
Speaker 2: if I'm a defensive coordinator, if I'm Steve Wilkes, and

1015
00:53:00,239 --> 00:53:05,160
Speaker 2: and we lose because Isaiah Pacheco went off, Yeah, I'll sleep, Okay,

1016
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:07,520
Speaker 2: I'll sleep a lot better than if eighty seven has

1017
00:53:07,600 --> 00:53:11,359
Speaker 2: sixteen catches for one thousand yards in Super Bowl fifty eight.

1018
00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:15,239
Speaker 2: That would be I don't think that's mathematically possible.

1019
00:53:15,000 --> 00:53:18,560
Speaker 1: Kind of a record right there. I think, and again,

1020
00:53:18,600 --> 00:53:22,120
Speaker 1: it goes back to this Chiefs defense, and that's the

1021
00:53:22,200 --> 00:53:25,640
Speaker 1: unit we haven't mentioned, you know, as much maybe throughout

1022
00:53:25,680 --> 00:53:27,400
Speaker 1: the course of the season as we should have. I

1023
00:53:27,440 --> 00:53:29,160
Speaker 1: know it's a lot of focus on Mahomes. I think

1024
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:31,600
Speaker 1: this is the season where the Chiefs defense has kind

1025
00:53:31,600 --> 00:53:34,719
Speaker 1: of stepped to the forefront. But I really think this

1026
00:53:34,840 --> 00:53:38,399
Speaker 1: secondary with with Snead and McDuffie. I mean, you're talking

1027
00:53:38,440 --> 00:53:40,960
Speaker 1: about receivers and Ayyuke's kind of the one matchup that

1028
00:53:41,040 --> 00:53:43,279
Speaker 1: we'll target a little later in the day with with

1029
00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:45,719
Speaker 1: Snead on Ayuke. Like I just I don't see a

1030
00:53:45,760 --> 00:53:47,920
Speaker 1: lot of holes there. I think the game script matters

1031
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:49,720
Speaker 1: more for the Niners than it does for the Chiefs.

1032
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:51,800
Speaker 1: I think if the Niners fall behind by two scores,

1033
00:53:51,840 --> 00:53:54,480
Speaker 1: it's curtains. If the Chiefs fall behind by two scores,

1034
00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:57,759
Speaker 1: I could see Mahomes leading a comeback, just like he

1035
00:53:57,800 --> 00:54:00,000
Speaker 1: did four years ago. But the game script, I think

1036
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:02,720
Speaker 1: for Purdy and the Niners it matters a little bit more.

1037
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:04,280
Speaker 1: You have to stay on schedule.

1038
00:54:05,080 --> 00:54:09,880
Speaker 3: Those matchups man, you mentioned it, are you and Sneid? Yeah,

1039
00:54:09,960 --> 00:54:11,319
Speaker 3: Deebo and McDuffie.

1040
00:54:11,680 --> 00:54:13,480
Speaker 1: I'll take Snead in that first matchup.

1041
00:54:13,719 --> 00:54:14,200
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1042
00:54:14,239 --> 00:54:17,120
Speaker 2: But those are sensational matchups, O, they really are. Hey.

1043
00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:19,760
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Speaker 3: All right, We've got Rich Ornberger Penn State, all American.

1053
00:54:48,160 --> 00:54:51,920
Speaker 3: We've got jareded Smith FSR betting analyst. I'm Brian No

1054
00:54:52,040 --> 00:54:55,719
Speaker 3: coming up next. Our main man, Seamus McGee. Huh, he'll

1055
00:54:55,719 --> 00:54:58,400
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1056
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1057
00:55:02,160 --> 00:55:08,680
Speaker 3: will be from the meet Yeah, who knows what basketball life.

1058
00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 2: That'll probably be right. So that's all the way coming up.

1059
00:55:11,719 --> 00:55:15,600
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM.

1060
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1068
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1071
00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:55,040
Speaker 3: The money that's coming in for the Super Bowl quite

1072
00:55:55,040 --> 00:55:59,440
Speaker 3: a bit, right, expecting twenty three billion dollars wagered by

1073
00:55:59,480 --> 00:56:02,480
Speaker 3: American in this one of the money that's coming in

1074
00:56:02,520 --> 00:56:06,399
Speaker 3: at BEDMGM has anything surprised you in terms of how

1075
00:56:06,520 --> 00:56:08,960
Speaker 3: much of it is backing the Chiefs.

1076
00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:13,879
Speaker 6: Hey, guys, bring me back. Yeah, it's it's really eye

1077
00:56:13,920 --> 00:56:16,160
Speaker 6: opening how much we can't It seems like we can't

1078
00:56:16,160 --> 00:56:20,040
Speaker 6: write a bet on the Niners this week, and it's

1079
00:56:20,160 --> 00:56:22,840
Speaker 6: one way traffic on the Chief. We came into the

1080
00:56:22,880 --> 00:56:25,359
Speaker 6: week when the Niners were a big liability on the

1081
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:29,719
Speaker 6: Futures book, but the Chief money line action that completely

1082
00:56:29,800 --> 00:56:32,440
Speaker 6: wiped that out. So we're going to be rooting on

1083
00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:33,399
Speaker 6: the Niners for sure.

1084
00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:37,120
Speaker 1: I'm glad you mentioned that Future's action because that can

1085
00:56:37,200 --> 00:56:40,959
Speaker 1: be very confusing sometimes, Shamus, when you say futures action

1086
00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:43,239
Speaker 1: to a lot of people that don't do this as

1087
00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:47,839
Speaker 1: regularly as we do. And I think does that tell

1088
00:56:48,120 --> 00:56:49,960
Speaker 1: What it tells me is we might see some movement

1089
00:56:50,000 --> 00:56:52,000
Speaker 1: towards the Chiefs at some point, if all of a

1090
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:56,440
Speaker 1: sudden the exposure isn't quite as severe to San Francisco winning.

1091
00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:01,960
Speaker 6: Yeah, I can't imagine this moves direction towards the Niners. Yeah,

1092
00:57:02,040 --> 00:57:07,239
Speaker 6: I mean, there's no you're not going to write if

1093
00:57:07,239 --> 00:57:09,359
Speaker 6: you love the cheeks of plus two, you're gonna love

1094
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:10,719
Speaker 6: the plus two and a half, You know what I mean?

1095
00:57:10,719 --> 00:57:16,440
Speaker 6: And we keep writing chiefs numbers. So it's maybe I

1096
00:57:16,520 --> 00:57:18,960
Speaker 6: could maybe see this line going down to one and

1097
00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:21,680
Speaker 6: a half by kickoff, but yeah, a lot of time

1098
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:22,880
Speaker 6: between now and kickoff.

1099
00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:26,080
Speaker 2: Yep, So do you see value there? Like, I mean,

1100
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:29,880
Speaker 2: where should all right? I say, it's uh, I don't

1101
00:57:29,920 --> 00:57:34,560
Speaker 2: know John from from Iowa. It's his first time on

1102
00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:36,560
Speaker 2: the I don't even know if it's legal in Iowa.

1103
00:57:36,640 --> 00:57:39,200
Speaker 2: I'm assuming it is, but it is okay, cool, So

1104
00:57:39,680 --> 00:57:41,960
Speaker 2: John and Iowa. It's his first time betting on the

1105
00:57:41,960 --> 00:57:45,280
Speaker 2: bet MGM app. Where is the value? Because I know,

1106
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,280
Speaker 2: as we get closer and closer to kick up, there's

1107
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:49,920
Speaker 2: a lot of things that have been bet up or

1108
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:52,960
Speaker 2: bet down where the value has been sort of squeezed

1109
00:57:53,040 --> 00:57:55,160
Speaker 2: like a sponge. So where where would you say is

1110
00:57:55,200 --> 00:57:58,520
Speaker 2: the smartest money to place leading up to kickoff of

1111
00:57:58,760 --> 00:57:59,800
Speaker 2: Super Bowl fifty eight?

1112
00:58:01,360 --> 00:58:05,240
Speaker 6: The Super Bowl traditionally is one of the biggest opportunities

1113
00:58:05,280 --> 00:58:09,320
Speaker 6: for betters all year. We have over a thousand markets

1114
00:58:09,400 --> 00:58:12,840
Speaker 6: up on BETAMGM. If there's any sort of edge you

1115
00:58:12,920 --> 00:58:15,680
Speaker 6: think you might have on the game, there is more

1116
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:18,200
Speaker 6: than likely a bet on the app for you to

1117
00:58:18,560 --> 00:58:21,360
Speaker 6: kind of, you know, manipulate that edge that you have.

1118
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:23,960
Speaker 6: For example, last week I was talking about we have

1119
00:58:24,040 --> 00:58:26,240
Speaker 6: flayer props. Th're all four quarters in.

1120
00:58:26,240 --> 00:58:27,920
Speaker 1: The halves right now, that's impression.

1121
00:58:28,120 --> 00:58:31,680
Speaker 6: Start money on Juwan Jennings first quarter and first half

1122
00:58:31,800 --> 00:58:35,360
Speaker 6: under receiving starts. I mean, there is literally so many

1123
00:58:35,400 --> 00:58:37,040
Speaker 6: options you can go with the Super Bowl.

1124
00:58:38,480 --> 00:58:45,520
Speaker 3: I'm thinking about placing a bet right there on the under. Yeah,

1125
00:58:45,560 --> 00:58:48,000
Speaker 3: oh gosh, that's gotta be there's got to be a

1126
00:58:48,000 --> 00:58:48,880
Speaker 3: heavy tax on that.

1127
00:58:49,080 --> 00:58:49,280
Speaker 1: Well.

1128
00:58:49,400 --> 00:58:53,240
Speaker 3: Stick with the prop betting market there, Jamis Seamus anything

1129
00:58:53,280 --> 00:58:57,960
Speaker 3: I went, Jamis Winston on you for anything prop betting

1130
00:58:58,040 --> 00:59:00,200
Speaker 3: market wise that that you like here?

1131
00:59:01,560 --> 00:59:04,480
Speaker 6: I mean one, I don't know which angle I like here,

1132
00:59:04,560 --> 00:59:11,600
Speaker 6: but it's the kickoff markets are really interesting. So every

1133
00:59:11,600 --> 00:59:15,600
Speaker 6: it's pretty balanced on the handle on whether the opening

1134
00:59:15,680 --> 00:59:17,680
Speaker 6: kickoff is going to be a touchback or not. But

1135
00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:20,400
Speaker 6: if it's a return, it's going to be a pretty

1136
00:59:20,920 --> 00:59:23,800
Speaker 6: decent loser for us, just because it's the odds are

1137
00:59:23,840 --> 00:59:25,800
Speaker 6: about plus two twenty I think last time I looked

1138
00:59:25,800 --> 00:59:28,800
Speaker 6: at it. But one of our most bet in terms

1139
00:59:28,880 --> 00:59:32,640
Speaker 6: of handle, in terms of props is under twenty six

1140
00:59:32,680 --> 00:59:37,880
Speaker 6: and a half return yards. Uh hm, ReLU They touchbacks,

1141
00:59:38,480 --> 00:59:40,240
Speaker 6: so it's a weird one where it's like, if it

1142
00:59:40,320 --> 00:59:43,960
Speaker 6: is returned, that's gonna go against that prop. So it's

1143
00:59:43,960 --> 00:59:46,400
Speaker 6: almost like they're conflicting with one another. That really kind

1144
00:59:46,400 --> 00:59:47,240
Speaker 6: of stuck out to me.

1145
00:59:48,120 --> 00:59:51,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, I always think like the props, and this is

1146
00:59:51,320 --> 00:59:55,920
Speaker 1: like one of the the handicaps I always gravitate towards.

1147
00:59:56,240 --> 00:59:59,800
Speaker 1: The more markets that are open, the harder it is

1148
01:00:00,040 --> 01:00:02,480
Speaker 1: for you guys to keep track of them all. So

1149
01:00:02,880 --> 01:00:05,240
Speaker 1: instead of just worrying about if the Chiefs are gonna

1150
01:00:05,280 --> 01:00:08,000
Speaker 1: win and if the game's gonna go over, you should

1151
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:12,680
Speaker 1: be trying to correlate your prop plays to align with that. Because,

1152
01:00:12,720 --> 01:00:16,240
Speaker 1: as you mentioned, Shane, is the volume of markets are

1153
01:00:16,560 --> 01:00:20,440
Speaker 1: so deep. There's twenty different ways you could kind of

1154
01:00:20,440 --> 01:00:22,760
Speaker 1: bet the Chiefs to win without even betting on.

1155
01:00:22,760 --> 01:00:27,280
Speaker 6: The Chiefs exactly. So when you're booking stuff, I guess

1156
01:00:27,280 --> 01:00:30,800
Speaker 6: you have to prioritize. You know which props are going

1157
01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:33,880
Speaker 6: you know are always popular, which ones you definitely to

1158
01:00:33,920 --> 01:00:35,840
Speaker 6: keep an eye on it, which ones are correlated. So

1159
01:00:36,000 --> 01:00:39,479
Speaker 6: with player props, when you know John Jennings receiving yards

1160
01:00:39,480 --> 01:00:41,240
Speaker 6: from the whole game goes on there, then you have

1161
01:00:41,280 --> 01:00:43,400
Speaker 6: to Then you just go down the line, first half,

1162
01:00:43,480 --> 01:00:47,920
Speaker 6: receiving yards, receptions, all that, I mean, just the only

1163
01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:50,200
Speaker 6: way you get good at it, and just by doing

1164
01:00:50,240 --> 01:00:51,600
Speaker 6: the Super Bowl over and over again.

1165
01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:55,880
Speaker 2: When it comes to the Super Bowl, do you see

1166
01:00:56,040 --> 01:01:02,120
Speaker 2: the most uh I guess I'll say, uh, rise in subscription, right,

1167
01:01:02,240 --> 01:01:04,040
Speaker 2: you know, so I know you worked at one book,

1168
01:01:04,080 --> 01:01:06,919
Speaker 2: but overall, like people in the business, is this when

1169
01:01:07,000 --> 01:01:11,120
Speaker 2: people start, you know, start their their sports betting journey.

1170
01:01:11,200 --> 01:01:14,360
Speaker 2: Is it typically on the Super Bowl or is there

1171
01:01:14,400 --> 01:01:17,760
Speaker 2: another moment throughout the year that that eclipses this somehow?

1172
01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:21,080
Speaker 2: Because if I had to guess, I would say it's today,

1173
01:01:21,080 --> 01:01:21,800
Speaker 2: But I don't.

1174
01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:25,600
Speaker 6: Know football rank or pre in this business. This is

1175
01:01:25,640 --> 01:01:27,760
Speaker 6: definitely the number one day you're going to see people

1176
01:01:27,800 --> 01:01:31,040
Speaker 6: who probably don't bet on sports very often, maybe they

1177
01:01:31,120 --> 01:01:33,360
Speaker 6: never made a bet, but the Super Bowl comes around

1178
01:01:33,360 --> 01:01:34,960
Speaker 6: to go to a party, and you know, there's so

1179
01:01:35,000 --> 01:01:38,640
Speaker 6: many gambling commercials and it's everywhere now there's all these shows.

1180
01:01:39,240 --> 01:01:41,680
Speaker 6: So definitely you see like a day like today where

1181
01:01:41,880 --> 01:01:44,520
Speaker 6: there's a lot of people signing up. I think opening

1182
01:01:44,600 --> 01:01:46,880
Speaker 6: day of the NFL season you'll see a lot of

1183
01:01:46,880 --> 01:01:49,800
Speaker 6: people sign up. I mean, the only thing that comes

1184
01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:53,840
Speaker 6: anywhere close to football is probably the first weekend of

1185
01:01:53,840 --> 01:01:54,480
Speaker 6: March madness.

1186
01:01:54,560 --> 01:01:58,360
Speaker 3: Yep, I just thought about a new potential bit on

1187
01:01:58,440 --> 01:02:02,800
Speaker 3: this show, betting on betting, right, Yeah, so we bet

1188
01:02:03,120 --> 01:02:06,400
Speaker 3: on what your bet will be today, Seamus? Will it

1189
01:02:06,520 --> 01:02:10,080
Speaker 3: be right? Will it be Super Bowl fifty eight? Will

1190
01:02:10,120 --> 01:02:14,120
Speaker 3: it be some random college basketball game? Or or do

1191
01:02:14,200 --> 01:02:16,480
Speaker 3: you go crazy and do one from both?

1192
01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:17,920
Speaker 2: You know Crossport.

1193
01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:21,000
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'll do a little bit of both. I was

1194
01:02:21,080 --> 01:02:22,920
Speaker 6: gonna come on here, I have a super Bowl. I

1195
01:02:23,000 --> 01:02:26,760
Speaker 6: had to have a super Bowl pit that's fair this weekend.

1196
01:02:27,240 --> 01:02:29,960
Speaker 6: But for hoops, give me Alabama minor six and a

1197
01:02:30,000 --> 01:02:32,160
Speaker 6: half against LSU. I think they bounced back. I think

1198
01:02:32,160 --> 01:02:34,800
Speaker 6: they're big and Baton rouge alx he is just not

1199
01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:36,840
Speaker 6: good at all this year. I think they win big.

1200
01:02:37,520 --> 01:02:40,400
Speaker 6: But for the Super Bowl, you know the Niners. You

1201
01:02:40,440 --> 01:02:43,280
Speaker 6: look at them this postseason. They've been fighting back the

1202
01:02:43,320 --> 01:02:46,600
Speaker 6: whole year. Give me the double result or the halftime

1203
01:02:46,680 --> 01:02:51,240
Speaker 6: full time spop Chiefs. First half, Niners win the game. Wow?

1204
01:02:52,840 --> 01:02:55,880
Speaker 6: Where from plus six hundred to plus seven hundreds? So

1205
01:02:56,720 --> 01:02:58,600
Speaker 6: I think some decent value.

1206
01:02:58,360 --> 01:03:01,600
Speaker 2: Double it, double it the double result.

1207
01:03:02,160 --> 01:03:05,640
Speaker 1: Seamous is stealing my thunder. That's like a parlay double platter, right,

1208
01:03:05,680 --> 01:03:09,960
Speaker 1: there that Yeah, that is spicy, right, that is spicy.

1209
01:03:10,040 --> 01:03:10,560
Speaker 2: Seamous.

1210
01:03:10,560 --> 01:03:13,400
Speaker 3: Well, hey man, hope you enjoy Super Bowl fifty eight.

1211
01:03:13,640 --> 01:03:15,920
Speaker 3: We appreciate your time as always. Man, We'll catch you soon,

1212
01:03:16,000 --> 01:03:20,000
Speaker 3: Seamus thank joy again. There he is Seamous McGee, team

1213
01:03:20,040 --> 01:03:22,200
Speaker 3: lead of sports Trading at bet MGM.

1214
01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:25,000
Speaker 2: We have got to react to the double result, right,

1215
01:03:25,000 --> 01:03:26,080
Speaker 2: I love it? Man.

1216
01:03:26,280 --> 01:03:29,920
Speaker 3: First though, Nick, cope with the latest here? Nick, what

1217
01:03:30,080 --> 01:03:31,920
Speaker 3: is going on? By the way, Uh, give us a

1218
01:03:31,960 --> 01:03:35,280
Speaker 3: little backstory about yourself, Nick, just a cliffs notes version.

1219
01:03:35,560 --> 01:03:37,960
Speaker 3: Where you grew up, where you went to school. What

1220
01:03:38,000 --> 01:03:38,960
Speaker 3: do we need to know about you?

1221
01:03:39,080 --> 01:03:39,680
Speaker 2: Nick? All right?

1222
01:03:39,760 --> 01:03:43,000
Speaker 8: Northern California, guy, I did grow up a forty nine

1223
01:03:43,080 --> 01:03:44,160
Speaker 8: er fan, as I'm sure you.

1224
01:03:44,120 --> 01:03:46,080
Speaker 7: Could based on them.

1225
01:03:47,040 --> 01:03:47,200
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1226
01:03:47,240 --> 01:03:50,640
Speaker 8: Yeah, family had season tickets going all the way back

1227
01:03:50,680 --> 01:03:54,000
Speaker 8: to Keysar Stadium. So I was undoctrinated at a young age.

1228
01:03:54,800 --> 01:03:58,080
Speaker 8: Went to school back East Boston University, and then been

1229
01:03:58,120 --> 01:04:00,600
Speaker 8: back in La here for about eight years. So do

1230
01:04:01,040 --> 01:04:04,520
Speaker 8: some work with UCLA and UC riverside out here. What's

1231
01:04:04,560 --> 01:04:09,640
Speaker 8: the name of the school, Boston University, Boston un Terrors East.

1232
01:04:09,760 --> 01:04:12,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, for a second, I thought you said Boss University of.

1233
01:04:14,960 --> 01:04:17,680
Speaker 2: Great school. I went to Boss. You Dog.

1234
01:04:19,280 --> 01:04:22,200
Speaker 7: Yeah, not to be confused with the balso Hard University.

1235
01:04:23,320 --> 01:04:26,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, very nice. All right, guys.

1236
01:04:26,480 --> 01:04:28,920
Speaker 8: We got to report this morning from NFL media that

1237
01:04:29,040 --> 01:04:31,200
Speaker 8: if the Bears were to trade the number one pick,

1238
01:04:31,280 --> 01:04:34,200
Speaker 8: that you know, they don't want just any level of compensation,

1239
01:04:34,360 --> 01:04:37,919
Speaker 8: they want a historic level of compensation to move off

1240
01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:41,000
Speaker 8: of it. So if that doesn't happen, that that suggests

1241
01:04:41,000 --> 01:04:43,720
Speaker 8: that they will likely target a quarterback with that first

1242
01:04:43,800 --> 01:04:47,160
Speaker 8: overall pick. And the NBA last night, Lakers held off

1243
01:04:47,200 --> 01:04:50,000
Speaker 8: the Pelicans and one thirty nine to one, twenty two win.

1244
01:04:50,360 --> 01:04:53,560
Speaker 8: D'Angel and Russell at La with thirty. Zine Williamson had

1245
01:04:53,600 --> 01:04:56,640
Speaker 8: thirty himself for New Orleans Kings with a big win

1246
01:04:56,680 --> 01:04:58,680
Speaker 8: over the Nuggets one thirty five to one. Oho six

1247
01:04:58,720 --> 01:05:02,560
Speaker 8: triple double, four demonte a bonus, seventeen points, seventeen rebounds,

1248
01:05:02,640 --> 01:05:05,320
Speaker 8: ten dimes, Bucks blew out the Hornets won twenty to

1249
01:05:05,320 --> 01:05:08,240
Speaker 8: eighty four. Celtics just get by the Wizards one thirty

1250
01:05:08,280 --> 01:05:11,280
Speaker 8: three to one twenty nine. He was in college football

1251
01:05:11,320 --> 01:05:15,240
Speaker 8: reports a former Washington and Alabama offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb

1252
01:05:15,320 --> 01:05:17,200
Speaker 8: is headed back to Seattle. He's going to be the

1253
01:05:17,240 --> 01:05:20,480
Speaker 8: OC for the Seahawks. Grub had followed Kaitlin to board

1254
01:05:20,480 --> 01:05:24,320
Speaker 8: a Tusca Loosa, but after about a month on the job,

1255
01:05:24,360 --> 01:05:26,440
Speaker 8: give or take, he's going back to Seattle, going to

1256
01:05:26,560 --> 01:05:30,280
Speaker 8: join the NFL. Ohio State officially announced UCLA coach Chip

1257
01:05:30,360 --> 01:05:34,120
Speaker 8: Kelly as our next offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach. UCLA

1258
01:05:34,160 --> 01:05:36,360
Speaker 8: athletic director Martin Jarmans of the plan is to have

1259
01:05:36,400 --> 01:05:39,480
Speaker 8: a new coach in place within four days and then

1260
01:05:39,520 --> 01:05:41,920
Speaker 8: after a brief delay, this morning, second round of the

1261
01:05:41,920 --> 01:05:44,440
Speaker 8: Phoenix Open has resumed. They're going to be in and

1262
01:05:44,480 --> 01:05:47,520
Speaker 8: out of rain today. It appears Andrew Novak Nick Taylor

1263
01:05:47,600 --> 01:05:50,440
Speaker 8: top the leader board at twelve under guys, back to you,

1264
01:05:51,040 --> 01:05:51,640
Speaker 8: Thank you Nick.

1265
01:05:51,680 --> 01:05:54,520
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by

1266
01:05:54,600 --> 01:05:55,480
Speaker 3: Bett MGM.

1267
01:05:55,480 --> 01:05:56,120
Speaker 2: What did they play?

1268
01:05:56,160 --> 01:05:58,400
Speaker 3: Bet MGMs Free to play eight bit Barry for a

1269
01:05:58,480 --> 01:06:01,000
Speaker 3: chance to win daily prizes. Play US Hall of Famer

1270
01:06:01,040 --> 01:06:03,360
Speaker 3: Barry Sanders and choose to spin, stiff arm or juke

1271
01:06:03,400 --> 01:06:05,600
Speaker 3: your way to the end zone to win prizes. If

1272
01:06:05,600 --> 01:06:08,720
Speaker 3: Barry scores a touchdown, you score a reward. I don't

1273
01:06:08,760 --> 01:06:10,360
Speaker 3: want to take up too much time on this, but

1274
01:06:10,400 --> 01:06:12,080
Speaker 3: I just have to say I have to throw in

1275
01:06:12,080 --> 01:06:14,320
Speaker 3: my two cents here, so I thought it's something about

1276
01:06:14,880 --> 01:06:17,960
Speaker 3: the Bears. When Nick Cope was discussing the Bears are

1277
01:06:17,960 --> 01:06:21,919
Speaker 3: basically like, it's gonna take a king's ransom to move

1278
01:06:22,000 --> 01:06:25,360
Speaker 3: us off the number one overall pick, which is like, hey,

1279
01:06:25,960 --> 01:06:28,320
Speaker 3: well listen, if you make us an offer, right Like,

1280
01:06:28,400 --> 01:06:31,320
Speaker 3: that's what they're saying. Here's the funny twist to me,

1281
01:06:31,800 --> 01:06:35,640
Speaker 3: because there are a lot of people that will say, hey,

1282
01:06:37,160 --> 01:06:39,960
Speaker 3: trade the pick, you know, build around Justin Fields. And

1283
01:06:40,000 --> 01:06:43,439
Speaker 3: it's interesting to me because the main argument if you're

1284
01:06:43,680 --> 01:06:47,360
Speaker 3: of that mindset, which I am not at all, but

1285
01:06:47,520 --> 01:06:50,120
Speaker 3: if you're thinking that, a lot of the arguments would

1286
01:06:50,120 --> 01:06:53,640
Speaker 3: be the draft's a crap shoot. You know, if you

1287
01:06:53,720 --> 01:06:56,520
Speaker 3: take Caleb Williams number one, maybe he works out, maybe

1288
01:06:56,560 --> 01:06:59,120
Speaker 3: he does, and we don't know, but you get this

1289
01:06:59,360 --> 01:07:03,680
Speaker 3: king's hansom of what a bunch of draft picks that

1290
01:07:03,720 --> 01:07:05,880
Speaker 3: you still don't know if those guys are gonna work

1291
01:07:05,920 --> 01:07:09,360
Speaker 3: out or not. And you do know Justin Fields has

1292
01:07:09,400 --> 01:07:12,560
Speaker 3: not in three years, that's what you know.

1293
01:07:12,760 --> 01:07:15,680
Speaker 2: So I just had to throw that out there real fast.

1294
01:07:16,040 --> 01:07:19,640
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, I mean, you know what what's so interesting

1295
01:07:19,680 --> 01:07:25,120
Speaker 2: about draft capital versus h or even current players that

1296
01:07:25,240 --> 01:07:29,960
Speaker 2: you'll trade for draft capital is the evil you know

1297
01:07:30,160 --> 01:07:33,439
Speaker 2: many times is better than the evil you don't from

1298
01:07:33,440 --> 01:07:38,160
Speaker 2: the standpoint of now, you're taking the probability and you're

1299
01:07:38,240 --> 01:07:41,680
Speaker 2: you're just basically throwing chips on a roulette board, because

1300
01:07:41,720 --> 01:07:44,920
Speaker 2: what are the odds that of these players one of

1301
01:07:44,960 --> 01:07:46,720
Speaker 2: them is going to be better than the current player

1302
01:07:46,760 --> 01:07:49,880
Speaker 2: you're trading away, you know, a tremendous amount of draft

1303
01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:53,480
Speaker 2: capital for or even trading down in the draft. I

1304
01:07:53,480 --> 01:07:56,480
Speaker 2: guess it increases the number of chips you get to

1305
01:07:56,560 --> 01:07:59,720
Speaker 2: play with, but are you missing out on value? I

1306
01:08:00,120 --> 01:08:02,760
Speaker 2: think a lot of the times we look at we

1307
01:08:02,800 --> 01:08:06,680
Speaker 2: look at these these situations and we think of him

1308
01:08:06,720 --> 01:08:08,760
Speaker 2: as like, oh, a smart mover or a dumb move,

1309
01:08:08,880 --> 01:08:11,320
Speaker 2: and we kind of failed to remember that there's a

1310
01:08:11,400 --> 01:08:14,960
Speaker 2: human aspect to this. That a general manager is convincing

1311
01:08:15,040 --> 01:08:18,040
Speaker 2: an owner that he knows what's best for the future.

1312
01:08:18,160 --> 01:08:20,760
Speaker 2: And there's a little bit of self preservation built into

1313
01:08:20,800 --> 01:08:23,479
Speaker 2: all of these equations, like I want to keep my

1314
01:08:23,560 --> 01:08:26,320
Speaker 2: job for a little while longer, So if I stave

1315
01:08:26,439 --> 01:08:30,400
Speaker 2: off the future for long enough based on probability, he's

1316
01:08:30,439 --> 01:08:32,400
Speaker 2: got a wait to see how it shakes out before

1317
01:08:32,479 --> 01:08:36,519
Speaker 2: I'm judged and fired. So I it's it's gonna be

1318
01:08:36,560 --> 01:08:39,759
Speaker 2: an interesting offseason to see how the Bears handle this situation,

1319
01:08:39,880 --> 01:08:42,639
Speaker 2: especially with the amount of heat that the front office

1320
01:08:42,680 --> 01:08:44,680
Speaker 2: and the head coach has gotten in Chicago for a

1321
01:08:44,720 --> 01:08:45,320
Speaker 2: while now.

1322
01:08:45,800 --> 01:08:49,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I And did you see I saw Merrill Hodge

1323
01:08:49,280 --> 01:08:52,000
Speaker 1: uh recently, I think it was this week put out

1324
01:08:52,000 --> 01:08:56,320
Speaker 1: a pre scathing uh scouting report on Caleb Williams. And

1325
01:08:56,680 --> 01:08:59,320
Speaker 1: I know Merril Hodge. You know, he's had some interesting

1326
01:08:59,560 --> 01:09:02,360
Speaker 1: hits on on quarterbacks in the past. Member he was

1327
01:09:02,360 --> 01:09:04,800
Speaker 1: the one that predicted Johnny Manzel would be a bust. Yeah,

1328
01:09:04,920 --> 01:09:09,880
Speaker 1: so I think and Shane Waldron right like this Bears

1329
01:09:09,960 --> 01:09:12,960
Speaker 1: new offensive coordinator, like this is a tough ask, Like

1330
01:09:12,960 --> 01:09:16,400
Speaker 1: you're being put into a situation where the coaching staff

1331
01:09:16,439 --> 01:09:19,599
Speaker 1: around you has been taking heat and now you are

1332
01:09:19,960 --> 01:09:23,559
Speaker 1: being asked to groom a rookie quarterback presumably if they

1333
01:09:23,560 --> 01:09:26,680
Speaker 1: do end up taking Kayleb Williams or Drake May and

1334
01:09:27,280 --> 01:09:29,960
Speaker 1: Everfus's job is hanging into balance based off of what

1335
01:09:30,040 --> 01:09:30,920
Speaker 1: a first.

1336
01:09:30,680 --> 01:09:31,240
Speaker 2: Year O see.

1337
01:09:31,400 --> 01:09:33,280
Speaker 1: And I know he had some experience in Seattle, but

1338
01:09:33,720 --> 01:09:36,040
Speaker 1: you know, kind of new scheme, new system, new situation,

1339
01:09:37,000 --> 01:09:40,000
Speaker 1: and just a lot of pressure and I don't like

1340
01:09:40,040 --> 01:09:42,040
Speaker 1: what I saw from Kayleb Williams last year. I think

1341
01:09:42,040 --> 01:09:44,760
Speaker 1: he's still is, you know, gonna be the number one pick.

1342
01:09:44,800 --> 01:09:48,240
Speaker 1: But there's a lot of questions there. So man lesser

1343
01:09:48,280 --> 01:09:50,160
Speaker 1: of two evils might be a good way to phrase

1344
01:09:50,160 --> 01:09:50,840
Speaker 1: it there, Richard.

1345
01:09:50,960 --> 01:09:55,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, we'll have plenty of time. Oh yeah, next

1346
01:09:56,280 --> 01:09:59,920
Speaker 3: week show might be all justin Fields. Why they'd be

1347
01:10:00,040 --> 01:10:02,520
Speaker 3: out of their freaking minds to stick with that guy,

1348
01:10:02,360 --> 01:10:04,800
Speaker 3: but at least from my perspective as what would be.

1349
01:10:04,960 --> 01:10:06,800
Speaker 3: But I want to shift it back to Super Bowl

1350
01:10:06,880 --> 01:10:11,840
Speaker 3: fifty eight here real fast. BETMGM puts out these emails

1351
01:10:12,520 --> 01:10:15,200
Speaker 3: and they have all this data and all this stuff,

1352
01:10:15,240 --> 01:10:17,479
Speaker 3: And what caught my eye was a couple of the

1353
01:10:17,520 --> 01:10:20,240
Speaker 3: bets that have been made. I don't know about you guys,

1354
01:10:20,240 --> 01:10:23,840
Speaker 3: but sometimes I'll hear somebody else's bet and I'm like, Ooh,

1355
01:10:23,960 --> 01:10:27,040
Speaker 3: I like that bet. I'm gonna make that bet, or ooh,

1356
01:10:27,120 --> 01:10:28,880
Speaker 3: I don't like that bet at all. I'm gonna do

1357
01:10:28,920 --> 01:10:31,679
Speaker 3: the opposite of that bet. A couple caught my eye.

1358
01:10:32,040 --> 01:10:37,599
Speaker 3: So someone laid sixty five hundred dollars to win jes

1359
01:10:37,680 --> 01:10:41,879
Speaker 3: shy of a million on the correct score being chiefs

1360
01:10:41,960 --> 01:10:47,479
Speaker 3: thirty four niners twenty eight. If you've got sixty five

1361
01:10:47,560 --> 01:10:50,840
Speaker 3: hundred just laying around, you've got six g's and like

1362
01:10:51,200 --> 01:10:52,160
Speaker 3: I'm gonna say.

1363
01:10:52,000 --> 01:10:55,120
Speaker 2: Chiefs thirty four or forty nine ers for twenty eight.

1364
01:10:55,240 --> 01:11:00,120
Speaker 3: I guess, God bless you. But man, the chances of that,

1365
01:11:00,640 --> 01:11:04,640
Speaker 3: I can't believe it's just one fifty to one, Like

1366
01:11:04,960 --> 01:11:08,040
Speaker 3: that's all. I can't believe the odds aren't longer than that.

1367
01:11:08,840 --> 01:11:12,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's uh gosh. I mean, I know everybody wants

1368
01:11:12,640 --> 01:11:14,960
Speaker 2: to hear your pick and also your final score on

1369
01:11:15,000 --> 01:11:19,280
Speaker 2: the game, but I've never jared you would know better

1370
01:11:19,400 --> 01:11:22,800
Speaker 2: than probably any of us. How how often do do

1371
01:11:22,880 --> 01:11:25,439
Speaker 2: people go to the window with with a bet like that?

1372
01:11:25,600 --> 01:11:28,800
Speaker 1: Like often? But it's a terrible bet. Yeah, it's it's

1373
01:11:28,840 --> 01:11:31,320
Speaker 1: it's a it's a bet that every professional when you

1374
01:11:31,320 --> 01:11:32,679
Speaker 1: you know, when you guys do the show with Crack

1375
01:11:32,760 --> 01:11:36,320
Speaker 1: tomorrow and you can pose them that same question, Brian,

1376
01:11:36,360 --> 01:11:38,240
Speaker 1: I think he'll, you know, say that's a terrible bet.

1377
01:11:38,439 --> 01:11:40,360
Speaker 1: Like it's probably what he'll say. I mean, it's just

1378
01:11:41,400 --> 01:11:45,760
Speaker 1: there's no way to like pros make bets because they

1379
01:11:45,760 --> 01:11:48,320
Speaker 1: think the market's gonna move in their favor and they're

1380
01:11:48,320 --> 01:11:51,240
Speaker 1: gonna get that value, that closing line value, or they

1381
01:11:51,280 --> 01:11:55,120
Speaker 1: have such great information that it's just like I have

1382
01:11:55,160 --> 01:11:58,320
Speaker 1: to bet this. Neither of those things apply to those

1383
01:11:58,360 --> 01:12:03,000
Speaker 1: types of wagers, Like those are your proposition recreational sprinkles,

1384
01:12:03,040 --> 01:12:06,519
Speaker 1: as I like to say, And clearly, sixty five hundred

1385
01:12:06,560 --> 01:12:12,160
Speaker 1: bones that's a pretty big sprinkle, right, yeah, yeah, that

1386
01:12:12,280 --> 01:12:13,600
Speaker 1: is a large sprinkle.

1387
01:12:14,200 --> 01:12:17,000
Speaker 3: If you don't like a lot of risk while betting,

1388
01:12:17,640 --> 01:12:19,720
Speaker 3: maybe this is your cup of tea.

1389
01:12:19,760 --> 01:12:20,599
Speaker 2: How about this one.

1390
01:12:21,080 --> 01:12:27,400
Speaker 3: Someone is risking one hundred dollars to win eight dollars. Okay,

1391
01:12:27,520 --> 01:12:30,280
Speaker 3: both teams just have to score at least ten points.

1392
01:12:30,560 --> 01:12:34,400
Speaker 2: Wow, play one hundred to win eight, you know, not

1393
01:12:34,479 --> 01:12:35,280
Speaker 2: at a whole lot of risk.

1394
01:12:35,360 --> 01:12:37,840
Speaker 1: Those are the bets that the pros actually don't mind

1395
01:12:37,880 --> 01:12:40,400
Speaker 1: making in the game because a lot of times the

1396
01:12:40,439 --> 01:12:45,080
Speaker 1: heavy juice, like the minus one thousand juice bets, the

1397
01:12:45,120 --> 01:12:50,559
Speaker 1: public just loves betting the plus money. So the publical

1398
01:12:50,680 --> 01:12:53,760
Speaker 1: hammer the plus side of all these wagers, and you'll

1399
01:12:53,800 --> 01:12:56,000
Speaker 1: get a little bit of compression in the market and

1400
01:12:56,040 --> 01:12:58,920
Speaker 1: in the pros. Those number guys will look at the

1401
01:12:59,000 --> 01:13:01,800
Speaker 1: number and say, well, that number is off, and they'll

1402
01:13:01,840 --> 01:13:04,519
Speaker 1: just bet it like they don't care. They'll just bet it.

1403
01:13:04,680 --> 01:13:06,720
Speaker 1: You know, they have, you know, hundreds of thousands of

1404
01:13:06,800 --> 01:13:09,840
Speaker 1: you know, bullets to spend, so those crazy ones like

1405
01:13:09,880 --> 01:13:12,000
Speaker 1: will there be a safety in the game. The pros

1406
01:13:12,040 --> 01:13:14,759
Speaker 1: love betting the no on that. It's like a staple.

1407
01:13:14,920 --> 01:13:17,400
Speaker 1: Will there be overtime? It's like minus one thousand, But

1408
01:13:17,680 --> 01:13:22,320
Speaker 1: the pros love betting those big, big, juicy ones. No,

1409
01:13:22,479 --> 01:13:26,080
Speaker 1: that's interesting right there, Yeah, right tomorrow, give you some

1410
01:13:26,080 --> 01:13:28,519
Speaker 1: good Yeah. Can you see a team not scoring ten

1411
01:13:28,560 --> 01:13:29,439
Speaker 1: points in this game?

1412
01:13:29,680 --> 01:13:31,519
Speaker 2: No? I don't. I can't. I just can't.

1413
01:13:31,560 --> 01:13:34,840
Speaker 3: Just I can't, right, it can't as soon as to

1414
01:13:34,840 --> 01:13:37,920
Speaker 3: say it can't.

1415
01:13:37,640 --> 01:13:40,479
Speaker 2: Nine seventeen to seven.

1416
01:13:40,760 --> 01:13:44,080
Speaker 3: Yes, we've got rich Jordan berde Ben State All American

1417
01:13:44,160 --> 01:13:46,639
Speaker 3: Jared Smith with us FSR betting analyst, I'm Brian.

1418
01:13:46,720 --> 01:13:47,320
Speaker 2: No all right.

1419
01:13:47,320 --> 01:13:50,000
Speaker 3: Coming up next, it's where we bond prop it up,

1420
01:13:50,280 --> 01:13:54,680
Speaker 3: so many prop betting opportunities for us will throw out

1421
01:13:54,720 --> 01:13:57,360
Speaker 3: some of our picks. It is Fox Sports Radio's Countdown

1422
01:13:57,400 --> 01:14:00,559
Speaker 3: to kick Off presented by bet MGM. It is Fox

1423
01:14:00,600 --> 01:14:04,479
Speaker 3: Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. Be sure

1424
01:14:04,520 --> 01:14:06,880
Speaker 3: to check out the new looking features in the BETMGM

1425
01:14:06,920 --> 01:14:09,639
Speaker 3: app it's fast and easy access to the sports you love,

1426
01:14:10,000 --> 01:14:13,160
Speaker 3: whether it's teasers, live betting, the Daily Lions Boost, or

1427
01:14:13,160 --> 01:14:16,120
Speaker 3: the cash out feature. Place your first bet mgm sportsbook

1428
01:14:16,160 --> 01:14:18,719
Speaker 3: wager through the betmgm app if at least five dollars,

1429
01:14:19,000 --> 01:14:21,600
Speaker 3: and you'll receive one hundred and fifty eight dollars instantly

1430
01:14:21,600 --> 01:14:24,799
Speaker 3: in additional winnings, regardless of your wagers outcome.

1431
01:14:25,120 --> 01:14:26,879
Speaker 2: That's right, Once you've placed.

1432
01:14:26,640 --> 01:14:28,880
Speaker 3: A five dollars bet, you'll receive one hundred and fifty

1433
01:14:28,880 --> 01:14:32,400
Speaker 3: eight dollars in bonus bets, regardless of the wagers outcome.

1434
01:14:33,080 --> 01:14:37,120
Speaker 3: Download the betmgm app today or visit betmgm dot com

1435
01:14:37,160 --> 01:14:38,960
Speaker 3: and use code countdown.

1436
01:14:39,560 --> 01:14:40,439
Speaker 2: All right, let's do this.

1437
01:14:42,200 --> 01:14:46,360
Speaker 4: Check this out, drop it up.

1438
01:14:47,320 --> 01:14:52,719
Speaker 3: Player plays, yes, the inviting waters of player props over

1439
01:14:52,760 --> 01:14:55,040
Speaker 3: here or you know props in general. It doesn't have

1440
01:14:55,080 --> 01:14:57,800
Speaker 3: to be players. It give be game props as well.

1441
01:14:57,960 --> 01:14:59,640
Speaker 3: Jared will start with you, man, what do you like?

1442
01:15:00,120 --> 01:15:04,080
Speaker 1: Well, let's start with a unsung hero for the Niners offense.

1443
01:15:04,120 --> 01:15:06,240
Speaker 1: And I learned this week because I've been talking about

1444
01:15:06,320 --> 01:15:08,080
Speaker 1: him and putting him in my notes so much. How

1445
01:15:08,120 --> 01:15:15,240
Speaker 1: to spell used check Juszczyk if he has one reception

1446
01:15:15,320 --> 01:15:17,200
Speaker 1: in the game. You can cash a prop over at

1447
01:15:17,240 --> 01:15:20,559
Speaker 1: bet MGM over a half, it's like minus one fifty.

1448
01:15:20,800 --> 01:15:22,840
Speaker 1: I think he's going to be targeted because he's been

1449
01:15:22,880 --> 01:15:25,280
Speaker 1: targeted a lot in the postseason. And how about this

1450
01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:28,759
Speaker 1: to him for him to have the first Niners reception

1451
01:15:28,800 --> 01:15:31,120
Speaker 1: in the game is like twenty to one. Yet he

1452
01:15:31,200 --> 01:15:33,960
Speaker 1: had the first Niners reception a little earlier in the postseason,

1453
01:15:33,960 --> 01:15:36,280
Speaker 1: So again he's an unsung hero. Shout out to Christian

1454
01:15:36,360 --> 01:15:38,880
Speaker 1: use check all the memorabilia she's doing for the Super

1455
01:15:38,880 --> 01:15:41,800
Speaker 1: Bowl and et cetera. I think Kyle might have an

1456
01:15:41,840 --> 01:15:43,160
Speaker 1: interesting impact in this game.

1457
01:15:43,439 --> 01:15:46,439
Speaker 2: All right, you know, here you go. Travis Kelcey, we

1458
01:15:46,439 --> 01:15:48,920
Speaker 2: were talking about a little bit earlier on. I think

1459
01:15:48,960 --> 01:15:51,719
Speaker 2: he's going to be a huge factor in this game.

1460
01:15:52,160 --> 01:15:54,680
Speaker 2: I think he's going to be fed a lot, a

1461
01:15:54,760 --> 01:15:58,679
Speaker 2: lot of targets coming his way. Seven receptions is where

1462
01:15:58,800 --> 01:16:02,040
Speaker 2: I had it going over on the game. And then

1463
01:16:02,120 --> 01:16:05,760
Speaker 2: Christian McCaffrey the first quarter rushing total twenty four and

1464
01:16:05,800 --> 01:16:07,760
Speaker 2: a half. Give me the over there as well. I

1465
01:16:07,800 --> 01:16:10,360
Speaker 2: think the San Francisco forty nine ers are gonna stick

1466
01:16:10,360 --> 01:16:13,599
Speaker 2: with the run game at first test this rushing defense

1467
01:16:13,800 --> 01:16:16,439
Speaker 2: and also take some of the pressure off Rock Party.

1468
01:16:16,760 --> 01:16:18,840
Speaker 2: Remember this is a guy who's in his second year,

1469
01:16:19,000 --> 01:16:21,479
Speaker 2: but this is his first Super Bowl. I know he's

1470
01:16:21,479 --> 01:16:24,360
Speaker 2: been to a championship Chip game. He barely got to

1471
01:16:24,360 --> 01:16:27,240
Speaker 2: play that in the past, or I should say last

1472
01:16:27,320 --> 01:16:31,439
Speaker 2: year he beat the Detroit Lions in the second half.

1473
01:16:31,720 --> 01:16:34,599
Speaker 2: Give this guy a break. Let Christian McCaffrey do the

1474
01:16:34,640 --> 01:16:37,439
Speaker 2: heavy heavy work. In the opening script.

1475
01:16:38,640 --> 01:16:42,200
Speaker 3: Interesting, that's a I like what you're thinking, Rich, because

1476
01:16:42,240 --> 01:16:45,799
Speaker 3: even if it's just one possession, he could still get there. Yeah,

1477
01:16:45,840 --> 01:16:47,800
Speaker 3: but man, I feel a lot better if they have

1478
01:16:47,880 --> 01:16:50,600
Speaker 3: two possessions. And I don't know, right, I don't know

1479
01:16:50,640 --> 01:16:52,320
Speaker 3: if they will or not in the first quarter. That's

1480
01:16:52,680 --> 01:16:54,040
Speaker 3: that's a good sweat, you.

1481
01:16:54,000 --> 01:16:56,160
Speaker 2: Know, Yeah, good sweat. That's a good one.

1482
01:16:56,320 --> 01:16:59,280
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go Brock Purdy under twenty and a half

1483
01:16:59,320 --> 01:17:03,400
Speaker 3: completion because I go back to the last game against

1484
01:17:03,439 --> 01:17:07,519
Speaker 3: the Lions. They're down by seventeen points and they're still

1485
01:17:07,600 --> 01:17:10,519
Speaker 3: running the ball, you know, against this Chiefs defense, I

1486
01:17:10,560 --> 01:17:14,719
Speaker 3: think it's gonna be a heavy running game formula for them.

1487
01:17:15,160 --> 01:17:17,840
Speaker 3: Even if they're trailing, it's gonna have to be fourth

1488
01:17:17,880 --> 01:17:21,639
Speaker 3: quarter or late for them to just abandon the Running Game.

1489
01:17:21,760 --> 01:17:24,920
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna take under twenty and a half completions

1490
01:17:25,320 --> 01:17:28,519
Speaker 3: for Brock Party. I think Christian McCaffrey is their main

1491
01:17:28,760 --> 01:17:32,400
Speaker 3: horse in this game, and even when they're trailing, they

1492
01:17:32,479 --> 01:17:33,840
Speaker 3: still stick with the Running Game.

1493
01:17:33,960 --> 01:17:36,599
Speaker 2: So for those reasons, I'll take the Party under. I

1494
01:17:36,680 --> 01:17:36,920
Speaker 2: like it.

1495
01:17:37,000 --> 01:17:39,679
Speaker 1: And also that gives you an opportunity for reverse correlation

1496
01:17:39,840 --> 01:17:42,719
Speaker 1: because you think the Niners winning the game means Brock

1497
01:17:42,760 --> 01:17:45,360
Speaker 1: Purty throwing it less, and you'll get a big boost

1498
01:17:45,360 --> 01:17:47,960
Speaker 1: on the odds if you parlay Niners money line with

1499
01:17:48,040 --> 01:17:50,680
Speaker 1: an under on a Brock Party prop, because that's just

1500
01:17:50,680 --> 01:17:52,680
Speaker 1: the way the algorithm works. So I love where your

1501
01:17:52,680 --> 01:17:54,639
Speaker 1: head's at. I'll stick with Purty. I think you're throw

1502
01:17:54,640 --> 01:17:57,439
Speaker 1: an interception in this game, guys. I think that's the prop.

1503
01:17:57,479 --> 01:17:59,920
Speaker 1: I've seen bet up a lot, and we've seen the

1504
01:18:00,080 --> 01:18:01,920
Speaker 1: number move up to like minus one twenty. I think

1505
01:18:01,960 --> 01:18:04,040
Speaker 1: I would still bet it at that price, because man,

1506
01:18:04,080 --> 01:18:07,000
Speaker 1: this chief secondary. You make one of those you know,

1507
01:18:07,160 --> 01:18:10,439
Speaker 1: kind of duck noodle throws, and Steve McDuffie one of

1508
01:18:10,439 --> 01:18:13,120
Speaker 1: those guys, They're gonna be right there all over these

1509
01:18:13,200 --> 01:18:16,320
Speaker 1: Niners receivers. I'll say, Curdy throws a pick in the

1510
01:18:16,360 --> 01:18:16,800
Speaker 1: big game.

1511
01:18:17,360 --> 01:18:17,880
Speaker 2: I like that.

1512
01:18:18,479 --> 01:18:20,759
Speaker 3: I like, you know, it's something else that you mentioned, Jared,

1513
01:18:20,960 --> 01:18:24,439
Speaker 3: where this seems like it's a game for the big dogs. Yeah,

1514
01:18:24,479 --> 01:18:27,160
Speaker 3: you know, who's brave enough to just fade some of

1515
01:18:27,200 --> 01:18:30,559
Speaker 3: the secondary guys? Like just take Richie James over your

1516
01:18:30,600 --> 01:18:32,160
Speaker 3: four and a half receiving yards?

1517
01:18:32,160 --> 01:18:32,760
Speaker 2: You know what I mean?

1518
01:18:32,840 --> 01:18:36,200
Speaker 3: Like, just start taking the unders with some of those guys.

1519
01:18:36,439 --> 01:18:38,400
Speaker 3: I think those are probably good angles.

1520
01:18:38,680 --> 01:18:38,960
Speaker 2: All right?

1521
01:18:39,040 --> 01:18:43,200
Speaker 3: Coming up next, which team is more likely to beat itself?

1522
01:18:43,800 --> 01:18:44,080
Speaker 8: Oh?

1523
01:18:44,120 --> 01:18:48,559
Speaker 3: What is going on? Everybody? Super Bowl fifty eight? Eve,

1524
01:18:48,880 --> 01:18:53,639
Speaker 3: here we are, we are nearing the game. Kicking off

1525
01:18:53,680 --> 01:18:56,760
Speaker 3: will get you all set for it here, got a

1526
01:18:56,760 --> 01:18:59,840
Speaker 3: lot of different things to discuss. How about this, guys,

1527
01:19:00,880 --> 01:19:03,880
Speaker 3: If you look at the teams that have beaten themselves

1528
01:19:04,200 --> 01:19:07,479
Speaker 3: in the playoffs thus far, there have been numerous teams, right,

1529
01:19:07,560 --> 01:19:13,160
Speaker 3: The Lions come to mind first and foremost. Ravens come

1530
01:19:13,200 --> 01:19:17,880
Speaker 3: to mind, as they only had six running back carries

1531
01:19:18,520 --> 01:19:21,040
Speaker 3: against the Chiefs when they led the league in rushing

1532
01:19:21,360 --> 01:19:24,479
Speaker 3: on you, Toddmunkan, Oh that was just brutal. But with

1533
01:19:24,600 --> 01:19:28,400
Speaker 3: that in mind, which of these two teams do you

1534
01:19:28,560 --> 01:19:32,960
Speaker 3: think is more likely to beat itself? Would you go

1535
01:19:33,120 --> 01:19:36,240
Speaker 3: Chiefs or would you go Niners? And I'll start it

1536
01:19:36,240 --> 01:19:39,240
Speaker 3: off real fast. My initial feeling is like, oh, well,

1537
01:19:39,360 --> 01:19:41,800
Speaker 3: Chiefs have mahomes, They're not gonna beat themselves. And then

1538
01:19:41,840 --> 01:19:44,519
Speaker 3: I pause for a second, and I think, have the

1539
01:19:44,640 --> 01:19:49,120
Speaker 3: Chiefs kicked their bad habits? What we've seen throughout this season?

1540
01:19:49,479 --> 01:19:52,920
Speaker 3: Tony lining up offside, screwed up the game against the Bills,

1541
01:19:53,320 --> 01:19:56,160
Speaker 3: mvs dropping a ball against the Eagles, screwed up a

1542
01:19:56,200 --> 01:19:59,880
Speaker 3: win in that game. Five turnovers against the Broncos. Right,

1543
01:20:00,200 --> 01:20:03,360
Speaker 3: the pick six that bounces off of Tony, I think

1544
01:20:03,400 --> 01:20:05,120
Speaker 3: in the first game against the Lions.

1545
01:20:05,160 --> 01:20:05,360
Speaker 2: Right.

1546
01:20:05,640 --> 01:20:09,200
Speaker 3: The Chiefs have beaten themselves many times throughout the season.

1547
01:20:09,640 --> 01:20:13,120
Speaker 3: So the question is have they gotten rid of those

1548
01:20:13,200 --> 01:20:16,600
Speaker 3: bad habits? Are they a new team in the playoffs

1549
01:20:17,040 --> 01:20:21,000
Speaker 3: more so than not? Or will their bad habits come

1550
01:20:21,040 --> 01:20:22,759
Speaker 3: back to bite them in the Super Bowl. I would

1551
01:20:22,800 --> 01:20:27,240
Speaker 3: still trust the Chiefs more because, again, there are a

1552
01:20:27,280 --> 01:20:29,800
Speaker 3: lot of players that have been on these rosters that

1553
01:20:29,840 --> 01:20:31,599
Speaker 3: have made the Super Bowl in four of the last

1554
01:20:31,640 --> 01:20:33,759
Speaker 3: five seasons, and that matters.

1555
01:20:34,040 --> 01:20:35,639
Speaker 2: So if anyone's gonna.

1556
01:20:35,400 --> 01:20:37,400
Speaker 3: Screw it up, I would expect it to be the

1557
01:20:37,520 --> 01:20:41,719
Speaker 3: Niners with I'm sorry brock Birdy, who hasn't been experienced

1558
01:20:41,760 --> 01:20:45,960
Speaker 3: on this stage and is more about the supporting cast

1559
01:20:46,400 --> 01:20:49,799
Speaker 3: than himself. He's more of a trailer than a truck,

1560
01:20:49,920 --> 01:20:53,160
Speaker 3: just leading everything. So I think if someone is to

1561
01:20:53,160 --> 01:20:55,479
Speaker 3: screw it up, I think it would be the Niners.

1562
01:20:55,960 --> 01:20:58,280
Speaker 3: But when you stop and think about it and this

1563
01:20:58,400 --> 01:21:01,960
Speaker 3: season collectively, it's not by leaps and bounds that I'm

1564
01:21:02,000 --> 01:21:04,800
Speaker 3: just blindly trusting the Chiefs and no way they can

1565
01:21:04,840 --> 01:21:07,160
Speaker 3: screw this up. They have numerous times this season.

1566
01:21:07,400 --> 01:21:11,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, no, they absolutely have except for the postseason.

1567
01:21:12,000 --> 01:21:15,880
Speaker 2: You know, and and we know that we know that

1568
01:21:16,640 --> 01:21:21,120
Speaker 2: when an adrenaline junkie gets used to something, they have

1569
01:21:21,200 --> 01:21:23,760
Speaker 2: to up the ante to get the same thrill, right,

1570
01:21:23,840 --> 01:21:26,200
Speaker 2: you know, So maybe you start out, I don't know,

1571
01:21:26,479 --> 01:21:29,680
Speaker 2: just BMX riding and that doesn't do it enough, and

1572
01:21:29,760 --> 01:21:32,400
Speaker 2: so you start bunging jumping, and that doesn't do it enough.

1573
01:21:32,439 --> 01:21:35,240
Speaker 2: So you start skydiving and then eventually get used to that,

1574
01:21:35,439 --> 01:21:37,800
Speaker 2: and so you start base jumping, you know, jumping off

1575
01:21:37,840 --> 01:21:42,519
Speaker 2: of skyscrapers or you know, mountain outcrops, like you gotta

1576
01:21:42,600 --> 01:21:45,280
Speaker 2: keep up in the ante to get to get that

1577
01:21:45,360 --> 01:21:47,960
Speaker 2: same thrill. I think the Kansas City Chiefs are bored

1578
01:21:47,960 --> 01:21:50,639
Speaker 2: of the regular season. Yeah, I think the Kansas City

1579
01:21:50,680 --> 01:21:54,360
Speaker 2: Chiefs are the are the are the type of team

1580
01:21:54,400 --> 01:21:59,280
Speaker 2: that can fall complacent when the games don't feel that meaningful. However,

1581
01:21:59,760 --> 01:22:02,280
Speaker 2: you get them back into the Super Bowl, you're gonna

1582
01:22:02,280 --> 01:22:05,519
Speaker 2: see the brightest of stars shine the brightest. I think

1583
01:22:05,560 --> 01:22:07,519
Speaker 2: we saw that with Travis Kelce this season. I think

1584
01:22:07,560 --> 01:22:09,880
Speaker 2: he had an underwhelming year because I think it's a

1585
01:22:09,880 --> 01:22:13,519
Speaker 2: lot more difficult to get yourself mentally prepared and locked

1586
01:22:13,520 --> 01:22:16,880
Speaker 2: in and focused as focused on I don't know, a

1587
01:22:16,960 --> 01:22:20,040
Speaker 2: Week twelve game against the Chargers than it is to

1588
01:22:20,160 --> 01:22:24,519
Speaker 2: get excited for potentially one of your last Super Bowls

1589
01:22:24,560 --> 01:22:28,439
Speaker 2: of your career. So yeah, going back to the original question,

1590
01:22:28,960 --> 01:22:32,120
Speaker 2: I feel like the pressures on the forty nine ers

1591
01:22:32,160 --> 01:22:35,760
Speaker 2: in this situation because this is so much more important

1592
01:22:35,800 --> 01:22:39,200
Speaker 2: from a legacy standpoint for Kyle Shanahan, you know, for

1593
01:22:39,280 --> 01:22:42,679
Speaker 2: potentially Brock Purdy, for some of these guys on the roster,

1594
01:22:42,800 --> 01:22:45,479
Speaker 2: who many of them it's their first opportunity to play

1595
01:22:45,479 --> 01:22:47,440
Speaker 2: in a Super Bowl than it is for the Chiefs.

1596
01:22:47,560 --> 01:22:50,400
Speaker 2: So I feel like there's more When there's that much

1597
01:22:50,439 --> 01:22:53,920
Speaker 2: more pressure, there's more opportunity for mistakes.

1598
01:22:54,640 --> 01:22:57,000
Speaker 1: I mean, and let's be fair, like the Chiefs started

1599
01:22:57,120 --> 01:23:00,160
Speaker 1: seven and two, like it wasn't like they were, you

1600
01:23:00,160 --> 01:23:02,679
Speaker 1: know it, lolly gagging through the first half of the year,

1601
01:23:02,920 --> 01:23:05,840
Speaker 1: and then things got tough schedulely speaking, after the bye,

1602
01:23:05,880 --> 01:23:08,040
Speaker 1: right the game against the Eagles that devout, you know,

1603
01:23:08,080 --> 01:23:09,760
Speaker 1: that was the drop where they could have had the win.

1604
01:23:09,880 --> 01:23:12,639
Speaker 1: But the refereeing officiating wasn't great either in that Green

1605
01:23:12,680 --> 01:23:15,599
Speaker 1: Bay game, could have won that game. The Buffalo game

1606
01:23:15,760 --> 01:23:18,080
Speaker 1: was a close game down the stretch, field goal game.

1607
01:23:18,120 --> 01:23:20,559
Speaker 1: And then really the wake up call I think for

1608
01:23:20,640 --> 01:23:23,479
Speaker 1: this team to your point, Rich, was the Raiders game

1609
01:23:23,479 --> 01:23:26,479
Speaker 1: on Christmas Day. Yeah, like that was the moment where

1610
01:23:26,840 --> 01:23:30,720
Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs kind of said, Okay, we're now

1611
01:23:30,880 --> 01:23:33,400
Speaker 1: nine and six. We go from seven to two, then

1612
01:23:33,479 --> 01:23:36,000
Speaker 1: post by now we're nine and six, like we're two

1613
01:23:36,080 --> 01:23:38,800
Speaker 1: and four and a big stretch of the season. Now

1614
01:23:38,800 --> 01:23:40,439
Speaker 1: we got to flip the switch. What do they do?

1615
01:23:40,479 --> 01:23:42,360
Speaker 1: They beat the Bengals and they must win for the

1616
01:23:42,360 --> 01:23:44,600
Speaker 1: Bengals and that was a tight game. They win that

1617
01:23:44,640 --> 01:23:46,639
Speaker 1: game against the Chargers which was meaningless, and then they

1618
01:23:46,680 --> 01:23:50,360
Speaker 1: start the playoff run and you just saw the annie

1619
01:23:50,400 --> 01:23:54,519
Speaker 1: get raised and I think it's from a betting perspective,

1620
01:23:54,560 --> 01:23:56,400
Speaker 1: it's been really hard for a lot of these books

1621
01:23:56,400 --> 01:24:00,759
Speaker 1: because you quantify what the Chiefs were during the regular

1622
01:24:00,840 --> 01:24:04,479
Speaker 1: season and then you have to make an adjustment for

1623
01:24:04,560 --> 01:24:07,519
Speaker 1: the postseason because of their experience and their pedigree. But

1624
01:24:08,520 --> 01:24:11,160
Speaker 1: that doesn't always fly in the betting numbers world. Like

1625
01:24:11,240 --> 01:24:13,320
Speaker 1: numbers are numbers. This is what the Chiefs should be

1626
01:24:13,400 --> 01:24:17,200
Speaker 1: rated by. They're rated this well, they should be about

1627
01:24:17,200 --> 01:24:19,640
Speaker 1: a two or three point further underdog in a lot

1628
01:24:19,680 --> 01:24:22,600
Speaker 1: of these games, because that's what the ratings say. But

1629
01:24:22,640 --> 01:24:25,080
Speaker 1: you got Patrick Mahomes, you got Andy Reid, you got

1630
01:24:25,080 --> 01:24:28,080
Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey. There is a tax that is involved with

1631
01:24:28,160 --> 01:24:30,840
Speaker 1: these postseason games where they have the ability and it's

1632
01:24:30,880 --> 01:24:34,439
Speaker 1: not doesn't happen often. Not a lot of humans have

1633
01:24:34,560 --> 01:24:37,920
Speaker 1: this ability to just flip the switch and go back

1634
01:24:38,240 --> 01:24:40,920
Speaker 1: to what got you there. And man, Travis Kelcey for

1635
01:24:40,960 --> 01:24:42,400
Speaker 1: age thirty four, and I know he's not an old

1636
01:24:42,400 --> 01:24:44,799
Speaker 1: person in terms of life standards, but in terms of football,

1637
01:24:44,840 --> 01:24:47,800
Speaker 1: that's getting up there. He has been able to kind

1638
01:24:47,840 --> 01:24:49,960
Speaker 1: of turn a corner. And this Chief's team looks very

1639
01:24:49,960 --> 01:24:51,360
Speaker 1: different over the last three weeks.

1640
01:24:51,800 --> 01:24:52,120
Speaker 2: They do.

1641
01:24:53,080 --> 01:24:55,000
Speaker 3: I just want to throw this out there are we

1642
01:24:55,400 --> 01:24:59,080
Speaker 3: acting a little bit too much like that. Chiefs haven't

1643
01:24:59,120 --> 01:25:02,360
Speaker 3: made big miss in the playoffs because I go back

1644
01:25:02,400 --> 01:25:05,599
Speaker 3: to what you said, Jared, the game on Christmas Day

1645
01:25:05,600 --> 01:25:09,200
Speaker 3: against the Raiders. That was the last game they lost, Right,

1646
01:25:09,240 --> 01:25:12,800
Speaker 3: They've won five straight, including the playoffs, and that game

1647
01:25:12,840 --> 01:25:14,920
Speaker 3: against the Raiders that was a mistake fest.

1648
01:25:15,080 --> 01:25:16,120
Speaker 2: Oh right, Yeah.

1649
01:25:16,160 --> 01:25:19,040
Speaker 3: They gave up two scores in like eight seconds, I

1650
01:25:19,080 --> 01:25:19,680
Speaker 3: think it was.

1651
01:25:20,240 --> 01:25:21,679
Speaker 2: There was a fixed six, there.

1652
01:25:21,560 --> 01:25:27,600
Speaker 3: Was a well it was a fumble one of the Yeah.

1653
01:25:27,640 --> 01:25:32,920
Speaker 3: But in the playoffs they have committed fewer mistakes than

1654
01:25:32,960 --> 01:25:36,719
Speaker 3: their opponents, that's for sure, but they have committed they've

1655
01:25:36,720 --> 01:25:40,160
Speaker 3: made mistakes. They had Micole Hardman with the fumble out

1656
01:25:40,160 --> 01:25:42,719
Speaker 3: of the end zone. Yep, that was a big mistake

1657
01:25:43,280 --> 01:25:45,479
Speaker 3: you had in the first game against the Dolphins. I

1658
01:25:45,520 --> 01:25:48,439
Speaker 3: know it was ridiculously cold and maybe they got a

1659
01:25:48,479 --> 01:25:51,559
Speaker 3: free pass because of that, but they had a walk

1660
01:25:51,600 --> 01:25:54,439
Speaker 3: in touchdown and there was a careless block in the

1661
01:25:54,520 --> 01:25:55,920
Speaker 3: back that negated it.

1662
01:25:56,000 --> 01:25:57,519
Speaker 2: There were other mistakes in that game.

1663
01:25:58,280 --> 01:26:01,280
Speaker 3: Pretty clean for the most part against the Ravens, but

1664
01:26:01,720 --> 01:26:04,400
Speaker 3: they had a couple of breakdowns defensively where Zave Flowers

1665
01:26:04,439 --> 01:26:06,519
Speaker 3: got free for a touchdown. He got free for a

1666
01:26:06,640 --> 01:26:11,520
Speaker 3: huge gain against Sneeds. They've made mistakes. I think sometimes

1667
01:26:11,520 --> 01:26:15,880
Speaker 3: we're overrating the fact that as if they haven't made mistakes.

1668
01:26:15,920 --> 01:26:18,800
Speaker 2: They have, they've just made less than their opponents.

1669
01:26:18,840 --> 01:26:21,519
Speaker 3: But leading into this game against the Niners, I think

1670
01:26:21,560 --> 01:26:24,120
Speaker 3: we're acting as if they've been mistake free and they

1671
01:26:24,120 --> 01:26:24,679
Speaker 3: haven't been.

1672
01:26:25,040 --> 01:26:28,720
Speaker 2: No, and it's impossible to be mistake free. You know

1673
01:26:28,760 --> 01:26:31,439
Speaker 2: the question, you know we're skewing it towards who do

1674
01:26:31,600 --> 01:26:36,200
Speaker 2: you trust more? And without question, in my mind, unequivocally,

1675
01:26:36,280 --> 01:26:39,360
Speaker 2: it's the Chiefs. But no team is without mistakes, and

1676
01:26:39,840 --> 01:26:41,880
Speaker 2: you're gonna put the ball on the ground sometimes and

1677
01:26:42,080 --> 01:26:45,600
Speaker 2: you know there will be moments where you throw interceptions.

1678
01:26:45,760 --> 01:26:48,519
Speaker 2: What's actually fascinating, and I think it was Jared who

1679
01:26:48,520 --> 01:26:51,280
Speaker 2: brought it up earlier, is in the two games so

1680
01:26:51,439 --> 01:26:55,920
Speaker 2: far or the three for Patrick Mahomes, he has yet

1681
01:26:55,960 --> 01:26:58,920
Speaker 2: to thrown a turnover worthy.

1682
01:26:58,479 --> 01:27:02,479
Speaker 1: Pass YEP zero, which is remarkable because they being those

1683
01:27:02,600 --> 01:27:04,840
Speaker 1: like sometimes even if it's close, they'll give you one.

1684
01:27:05,040 --> 01:27:07,320
Speaker 2: And you turn the page and you look at the

1685
01:27:07,320 --> 01:27:10,360
Speaker 2: other side of the quarterback docket. Again. I know we

1686
01:27:10,479 --> 01:27:14,280
Speaker 2: spend way too much time talking about quarterbacks when it's

1687
01:27:14,320 --> 01:27:18,160
Speaker 2: regarding games, because there's other players that are at fault

1688
01:27:18,200 --> 01:27:21,680
Speaker 2: for games, you know, resulting in losses, or should be

1689
01:27:21,760 --> 01:27:24,720
Speaker 2: praised for games resulting in wins. But we often give

1690
01:27:24,760 --> 01:27:26,960
Speaker 2: all the blame all the praise to the quarterbacks. But

1691
01:27:27,520 --> 01:27:30,719
Speaker 2: it is a consequential position, especially when it comes to mistakes,

1692
01:27:30,760 --> 01:27:34,120
Speaker 2: because you are the ball handler on every single play.

1693
01:27:34,400 --> 01:27:39,759
Speaker 2: Brock Party has thrown a significant number of turnover worthy passes.

1694
01:27:40,000 --> 01:27:43,120
Speaker 2: He got very lucky in the green Bay Packers game

1695
01:27:43,520 --> 01:27:48,120
Speaker 2: because that final drive, that was something that brock Purty

1696
01:27:48,160 --> 01:27:54,400
Speaker 2: defenders hung their hat on. However, very very easily, if

1697
01:27:54,960 --> 01:27:57,360
Speaker 2: either one of those two defensive backs for Green Bay

1698
01:27:57,880 --> 01:28:00,479
Speaker 2: squeeze their hands around that football instead of having it

1699
01:28:00,560 --> 01:28:03,240
Speaker 2: hit the ground, the Green Bay Packers win that football game.

1700
01:28:03,360 --> 01:28:03,439
Speaker 4: Ye.

1701
01:28:04,080 --> 01:28:07,400
Speaker 2: If that, if that field goal kicker punches it through,

1702
01:28:07,920 --> 01:28:10,240
Speaker 2: the green Bay Packers win that football game or at

1703
01:28:10,360 --> 01:28:13,760
Speaker 2: very least push it into overtime. So the point being,

1704
01:28:14,120 --> 01:28:17,599
Speaker 2: if we're talking about the route to the Super Bowl,

1705
01:28:18,000 --> 01:28:20,600
Speaker 2: hyper focused on the postseason, and the reason why I

1706
01:28:20,640 --> 01:28:23,639
Speaker 2: want to focus on it and exclude the regular season

1707
01:28:23,760 --> 01:28:26,639
Speaker 2: when making this comparison is I don't think the Chiefs

1708
01:28:26,680 --> 01:28:29,720
Speaker 2: are the same team because going back to that adrenaline

1709
01:28:29,800 --> 01:28:31,519
Speaker 2: junkie thing I was talking about. I don't think the

1710
01:28:31,600 --> 01:28:35,040
Speaker 2: Chiefs are the same team in the in the postseason

1711
01:28:35,040 --> 01:28:37,360
Speaker 2: that they were in the regular season, because when you're

1712
01:28:37,479 --> 01:28:40,920
Speaker 2: used to success like this, it takes a postseason game

1713
01:28:40,960 --> 01:28:43,040
Speaker 2: for you to really lock in. And so I think

1714
01:28:43,080 --> 01:28:45,439
Speaker 2: they are much better team in the postseason as a result,

1715
01:28:45,880 --> 01:28:48,000
Speaker 2: and I trust them a lot more as a result.

1716
01:28:48,280 --> 01:28:50,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, And they don't have to make zero mistakes, right,

1717
01:28:50,520 --> 01:28:52,719
Speaker 1: They just have to make less mistakes than the Niners.

1718
01:28:52,960 --> 01:28:54,640
Speaker 1: Like you don't have to outrun a cheetah. You just

1719
01:28:54,680 --> 01:28:56,400
Speaker 1: have to run faster than the guy next.

1720
01:28:56,240 --> 01:29:00,400
Speaker 3: To you, you know, like if you make five stakes

1721
01:29:00,479 --> 01:29:04,040
Speaker 3: compared to the other team's one gigantic mistake is like, yeah,

1722
01:29:04,120 --> 01:29:06,840
Speaker 3: avoiding the huge jacks there also, Yeah, and I.

1723
01:29:06,760 --> 01:29:09,280
Speaker 1: Think that's what Patrick does well. Whereas here's some more

1724
01:29:09,479 --> 01:29:12,960
Speaker 1: numbers for you guys. Brock Purty all season the entire

1725
01:29:13,120 --> 01:29:18,800
Speaker 1: season has faced two top five passing defenses. Week six

1726
01:29:18,840 --> 01:29:21,599
Speaker 1: against the Browns twelve out of twenty seven, forty four

1727
01:29:21,640 --> 01:29:24,360
Speaker 1: percent completion rate, one hundred and twenty five yards a touchdown,

1728
01:29:24,360 --> 01:29:25,960
Speaker 1: and to pick the Niner scored seventeen points.

1729
01:29:26,720 --> 01:29:29,400
Speaker 2: But with charity it was Jake Moody who missed.

1730
01:29:31,800 --> 01:29:34,720
Speaker 1: No, it was it was Brock getting bullied by the

1731
01:29:34,760 --> 01:29:37,960
Speaker 1: defensive player of the year in Company Week sixteen against

1732
01:29:37,960 --> 01:29:40,320
Speaker 1: the Ravens. We all know how that turned out eighteen

1733
01:29:40,320 --> 01:29:42,080
Speaker 1: out of thirty two to two fifty five. Not bad.

1734
01:29:42,160 --> 01:29:46,720
Speaker 1: There zero touchdowns, four interceptions, Niner score twelve points. So,

1735
01:29:46,760 --> 01:29:50,160
Speaker 1: by the way, the Chiefs defense top five in dropback EPA,

1736
01:29:50,280 --> 01:29:52,360
Speaker 1: top five in success rate against the pass top five,

1737
01:29:52,400 --> 01:29:55,160
Speaker 1: and explosive pass rate top five and pressure rate this

1738
01:29:55,240 --> 01:29:59,600
Speaker 1: season like when Brock perties managed up. Those are the

1739
01:29:59,680 --> 01:30:05,680
Speaker 1: two data points that really stick out. It's mistakes, it's turnovers,

1740
01:30:06,160 --> 01:30:10,679
Speaker 1: it's barely getting into the teams in points. That's why

1741
01:30:10,720 --> 01:30:12,240
Speaker 1: I think it's that we go back to the top

1742
01:30:12,240 --> 01:30:13,960
Speaker 1: of the show. If you're just joining us, what is

1743
01:30:14,000 --> 01:30:17,360
Speaker 1: the unit, right the Chiefs defense. That is the unit

1744
01:30:17,400 --> 01:30:19,880
Speaker 1: that wins this game. I know, Mahomes and Kelsea, the

1745
01:30:19,960 --> 01:30:25,479
Speaker 1: Chiefs defense. That is the recipe for getting them across

1746
01:30:25,520 --> 01:30:27,519
Speaker 1: the finish line. And I think the numbers say they've

1747
01:30:27,520 --> 01:30:28,080
Speaker 1: got the edge.

1748
01:30:29,439 --> 01:30:30,479
Speaker 2: That's good stuff, man.

1749
01:30:30,680 --> 01:30:34,160
Speaker 3: And then it goes back to can the chief slow

1750
01:30:34,240 --> 01:30:37,880
Speaker 3: down the Niners running game? And do you go with

1751
01:30:38,000 --> 01:30:40,880
Speaker 3: that six to one defense? Yeah, do you see that

1752
01:30:40,960 --> 01:30:42,920
Speaker 3: a lot from Spagnolo in this one?

1753
01:30:43,360 --> 01:30:44,599
Speaker 7: Snack it out right.

1754
01:30:44,680 --> 01:30:47,719
Speaker 3: That's what Belichick did in Super Bowl fifty three against

1755
01:30:47,720 --> 01:30:50,519
Speaker 3: the Rams, who had a high powered offense. He went

1756
01:30:50,560 --> 01:30:54,519
Speaker 3: with six defensive linemen one off ball linebacker, and it

1757
01:30:54,680 --> 01:30:59,280
Speaker 3: gave the Rams fits and they scored three points. The

1758
01:30:59,360 --> 01:31:02,400
Speaker 3: Niners are not gonna score just three points tomorrow. I

1759
01:31:02,400 --> 01:31:05,439
Speaker 3: can guarantee you that. But that's what I'm wondering. Does

1760
01:31:05,520 --> 01:31:09,559
Speaker 3: Spags just polish off another gem of a game plan

1761
01:31:10,080 --> 01:31:12,760
Speaker 3: and slow down that running at ten? Because everything you

1762
01:31:12,880 --> 01:31:15,479
Speaker 3: rattled off there, Jared, if the Chiefs are able to

1763
01:31:15,520 --> 01:31:18,680
Speaker 3: do that, I just I don't see it.

1764
01:31:18,960 --> 01:31:20,040
Speaker 2: I'll tip my cap.

1765
01:31:20,160 --> 01:31:22,160
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna be stubborn to a fault where if

1766
01:31:22,200 --> 01:31:27,679
Speaker 3: party somehow shines in upstages Mahomes and the Chiefs, There's

1767
01:31:27,760 --> 01:31:31,080
Speaker 3: nothing more you can say right here, right now, right

1768
01:31:31,120 --> 01:31:34,439
Speaker 3: But I just I have a hard time seeing that.

1769
01:31:35,000 --> 01:31:38,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it's it's gonna be a fun game from

1770
01:31:38,560 --> 01:31:41,439
Speaker 2: this standpoint, Uh, I do. Actually, I don't want to

1771
01:31:41,479 --> 01:31:43,400
Speaker 2: tip my hand too far because I know that we

1772
01:31:43,520 --> 01:31:46,639
Speaker 2: have our rapid fire coming up, and I'm rolling off.

1773
01:31:46,439 --> 01:31:48,240
Speaker 1: The tip it because it gives me a chance to

1774
01:31:48,400 --> 01:31:48,840
Speaker 1: untip it.

1775
01:31:48,880 --> 01:31:51,519
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, okay, okay, yeah, well yeah, good point.

1776
01:31:51,560 --> 01:31:53,920
Speaker 1: Actually yeah, on the other side, just in case I

1777
01:31:53,960 --> 01:31:55,600
Speaker 1: need to make up some grounds.

1778
01:31:57,560 --> 01:32:00,880
Speaker 2: I know, I mean my last week's bets, we're all

1779
01:32:00,920 --> 01:32:03,479
Speaker 2: Super Bowl bets, so I mean, wait, okay, so here

1780
01:32:03,560 --> 01:32:06,280
Speaker 2: you go. I feel I feel like this is gonna

1781
01:32:06,280 --> 01:32:07,360
Speaker 2: be a lower scoring game.

1782
01:32:07,640 --> 01:32:08,439
Speaker 1: I don't mind it.

1783
01:32:08,680 --> 01:32:11,640
Speaker 2: And so as a result of that, I feel like

1784
01:32:11,880 --> 01:32:15,559
Speaker 2: exactly what we're talking about, those moments, they are so

1785
01:32:15,680 --> 01:32:18,559
Speaker 2: much more critical when when it's not as easy to

1786
01:32:18,560 --> 01:32:21,799
Speaker 2: score points. When points when you're more desperate for scores,

1787
01:32:22,240 --> 01:32:24,400
Speaker 2: you know, you're not finishing up the first half, like wow,

1788
01:32:24,439 --> 01:32:26,360
Speaker 2: we got a barn burner on hands. It's you know,

1789
01:32:26,439 --> 01:32:29,400
Speaker 2: twenty four to twenty one. We'll see what happens coming

1790
01:32:29,479 --> 01:32:34,880
Speaker 2: up next. You know, here's usher like like like it's, uh,

1791
01:32:36,200 --> 01:32:38,880
Speaker 2: gotta let it burn. No, this is this is one

1792
01:32:38,920 --> 01:32:41,200
Speaker 2: of those one of those games where I think it

1793
01:32:41,280 --> 01:32:43,519
Speaker 2: is going to be a little bit more of chess

1794
01:32:43,520 --> 01:32:45,400
Speaker 2: pieces moving on the board, a little bit more of

1795
01:32:45,400 --> 01:32:49,120
Speaker 2: a defensive battle, and and those mistakes they're going to

1796
01:32:49,200 --> 01:32:54,280
Speaker 2: be exemplified, highlighted, underlined, They're going to be more impactful

1797
01:32:54,320 --> 01:32:57,439
Speaker 2: than they would be in a score fest. You know

1798
01:32:57,640 --> 01:33:00,120
Speaker 2: that that you know some people are hoping for. I

1799
01:33:00,200 --> 01:33:01,360
Speaker 2: just don't see it going that way.

1800
01:33:02,080 --> 01:33:04,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, the core number in this game in terms of

1801
01:33:04,720 --> 01:33:06,479
Speaker 1: the total is on. And we haven't talked about the

1802
01:33:06,520 --> 01:33:09,400
Speaker 1: total much, but let's let's talk about the total. It

1803
01:33:09,520 --> 01:33:12,880
Speaker 1: like the core number says under. But the pros that

1804
01:33:12,920 --> 01:33:14,960
Speaker 1: I talked to and maybe Crack can echo this tomorrow,

1805
01:33:15,000 --> 01:33:16,800
Speaker 1: like it's just the Super Bowl has this weird way

1806
01:33:16,800 --> 01:33:19,320
Speaker 1: of getting funny sometimes, kind of like last year, Like

1807
01:33:19,320 --> 01:33:22,759
Speaker 1: it's just it just snowballs. And that's where I worry

1808
01:33:22,800 --> 01:33:25,680
Speaker 1: about betting the under. But in terms of the handicap

1809
01:33:25,720 --> 01:33:28,040
Speaker 1: that Rich just laid out and like the overall like

1810
01:33:28,200 --> 01:33:32,920
Speaker 1: power rating number, yeah, this one probably is destined for

1811
01:33:33,000 --> 01:33:37,160
Speaker 1: a mid forties kind of vibe high forties, a little

1812
01:33:37,200 --> 01:33:39,599
Speaker 1: bit too heavy on the number. But then you get

1813
01:33:39,640 --> 01:33:41,400
Speaker 1: like that weird fluky play and all of a sudden,

1814
01:33:41,439 --> 01:33:44,040
Speaker 1: just all heck breaks loose in the second half and

1815
01:33:44,040 --> 01:33:45,640
Speaker 1: then forty seven and a half, it's just like it

1816
01:33:45,920 --> 01:33:48,440
Speaker 1: just it just blows away. So I just I'm personally

1817
01:33:48,479 --> 01:33:50,759
Speaker 1: not betting the under in this game. But if someone

1818
01:33:50,800 --> 01:33:53,120
Speaker 1: walked up to me and said, here's a million dollars,

1819
01:33:53,240 --> 01:33:55,599
Speaker 1: you have to bet the total over under. I bet

1820
01:33:55,600 --> 01:33:59,280
Speaker 1: the under. You would I would like if it was like, hey,

1821
01:33:59,360 --> 01:34:02,639
Speaker 1: you have to you have to choose over, under, can't

1822
01:34:02,680 --> 01:34:04,599
Speaker 1: choose anything else. I would choose under.

1823
01:34:04,880 --> 01:34:08,200
Speaker 3: I love that, so my money give me the over.

1824
01:34:08,880 --> 01:34:11,760
Speaker 3: Your money would take a boatload, give me the under.

1825
01:34:11,880 --> 01:34:14,800
Speaker 1: Yep, yep, yeah, well because over's more fun like, and

1826
01:34:14,840 --> 01:34:16,959
Speaker 1: I view the Super Bowl differently from a betting standpoint,

1827
01:34:17,000 --> 01:34:19,120
Speaker 1: like I'm not like mister Sharp in the super Bowl,

1828
01:34:19,160 --> 01:34:22,280
Speaker 1: like I like betting the stupid props. I like having fun.

1829
01:34:22,760 --> 01:34:25,200
Speaker 1: I like throwing money on things that you know tappen

1830
01:34:25,320 --> 01:34:28,920
Speaker 1: instead of not happening. So it's just I try to

1831
01:34:29,000 --> 01:34:31,519
Speaker 1: treat the Super Bowl like it's a like it's its

1832
01:34:31,520 --> 01:34:35,080
Speaker 1: own separate entity and not part of my usual number.

1833
01:34:35,120 --> 01:34:37,120
Speaker 1: Says under, bet the under, because if it was a

1834
01:34:37,360 --> 01:34:39,040
Speaker 1: if this was week eight, i'd bet the under.

1835
01:34:39,520 --> 01:34:39,960
Speaker 2: But it's not.

1836
01:34:40,280 --> 01:34:41,080
Speaker 1: It's the super Bowl.

1837
01:34:41,640 --> 01:34:42,720
Speaker 2: It's interesting right there.

1838
01:34:43,200 --> 01:34:46,040
Speaker 3: It went over, its skyrocketed over last year, previous four

1839
01:34:46,080 --> 01:34:50,519
Speaker 3: super Bowls went under. Just you know, oh yeah, it's

1840
01:34:50,560 --> 01:34:54,040
Speaker 3: not about the last five super Bowls. It's about this matchup,

1841
01:34:54,160 --> 01:34:56,439
Speaker 3: and styles make fights and we get all of that,

1842
01:34:56,560 --> 01:34:58,639
Speaker 3: but you know, just to throw it out there.

1843
01:34:59,000 --> 01:35:03,000
Speaker 2: We have seen the opposite, not just the shootout.

1844
01:35:03,280 --> 01:35:05,000
Speaker 1: And I have a wild card that might lead to

1845
01:35:05,040 --> 01:35:07,120
Speaker 1: more points. We'll we'll get to that on a little

1846
01:35:07,120 --> 01:35:09,120
Speaker 1: bit later. And it's it's it's something that we haven't

1847
01:35:09,120 --> 01:35:11,559
Speaker 1: talked about yet today and I'm saving it for that.

1848
01:35:11,640 --> 01:35:14,000
Speaker 2: I like that. I'm writing it down right now. Jared's

1849
01:35:14,040 --> 01:35:14,639
Speaker 2: wild card.

1850
01:35:15,880 --> 01:35:18,519
Speaker 1: It is a wild card, my friends. And I'll be

1851
01:35:18,560 --> 01:35:21,320
Speaker 1: honest when I say it. You're gonna be like, oh, man,

1852
01:35:21,400 --> 01:35:23,960
Speaker 1: I remember when that happened last year. Oh my goodness,

1853
01:35:24,000 --> 01:35:25,000
Speaker 1: cause that happened again.

1854
01:35:25,360 --> 01:35:29,759
Speaker 3: What what do you think of FSR betting analyst Jared

1855
01:35:30,080 --> 01:35:31,400
Speaker 3: wild Card Smith?

1856
01:35:32,160 --> 01:35:32,800
Speaker 2: What do you think?

1857
01:35:33,840 --> 01:35:34,800
Speaker 1: That's spicy?

1858
01:35:35,400 --> 01:35:49,040
Speaker 2: You know? How about rich? That's actually accurate? Also, I'm

1859
01:35:49,080 --> 01:35:50,679
Speaker 2: Brian No coming up next.

1860
01:35:51,200 --> 01:35:53,479
Speaker 3: This team is a good reminder that you don't need

1861
01:35:53,520 --> 01:35:56,600
Speaker 3: to be perfect and in ways you can actually be

1862
01:35:56,840 --> 01:35:59,320
Speaker 3: really bad. We'll lay that out for you. It is

1863
01:35:59,360 --> 01:36:02,920
Speaker 3: Fox Sports he Countdown to Kickoff presented by Bet mgm.

1864
01:36:03,240 --> 01:36:06,960
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by

1865
01:36:07,040 --> 01:36:09,200
Speaker 3: Bett mgm.

1866
01:36:09,360 --> 01:36:09,599
Speaker 2: Man.

1867
01:36:09,640 --> 01:36:13,519
Speaker 3: So this, uh, it's crazy what the Niners have been

1868
01:36:13,560 --> 01:36:17,400
Speaker 3: able to do just building a star studded roster. They

1869
01:36:17,439 --> 01:36:20,799
Speaker 3: are just oozing with talent, have the most Pro bowlers

1870
01:36:20,840 --> 01:36:24,439
Speaker 3: on that roster. And it's crazy to me because you

1871
01:36:24,479 --> 01:36:28,280
Speaker 3: look at a few of the first round whiffs. Missed

1872
01:36:28,280 --> 01:36:31,880
Speaker 3: on Solomon Thomas, which is significant. That was the same

1873
01:36:32,000 --> 01:36:36,479
Speaker 3: draft they didn't take Mahomes, right, like, the Niners were

1874
01:36:36,479 --> 01:36:38,800
Speaker 3: one of the many teams that passed on Mahomes for

1875
01:36:38,960 --> 01:36:43,200
Speaker 3: Solomon Thomas who didn't work out. They drafted Trey Lance,

1876
01:36:43,360 --> 01:36:46,280
Speaker 3: traded a bunch of stuff to move up to number

1877
01:36:46,280 --> 01:36:49,719
Speaker 3: three overall to get Trey Lance. He obviously didn't work out.

1878
01:36:50,120 --> 01:36:53,840
Speaker 3: Ruben Foster was another first round pick, and he had

1879
01:36:53,880 --> 01:36:55,880
Speaker 3: his problems off the field, didn't work out at all.

1880
01:36:56,160 --> 01:36:59,400
Speaker 3: Those are three first round picks. Two of the three.

1881
01:37:00,120 --> 01:37:03,559
Speaker 3: We're in the top three, right, and they missed on

1882
01:37:03,600 --> 01:37:07,240
Speaker 3: both Solomon Thomas and completely on Trey Lance. And here

1883
01:37:07,280 --> 01:37:10,240
Speaker 3: they are where I hear this a lot, where hey,

1884
01:37:10,400 --> 01:37:13,360
Speaker 3: this team they screw up their first round picks. If

1885
01:37:13,400 --> 01:37:16,040
Speaker 3: you don't screw up the rest of your picks, and

1886
01:37:16,080 --> 01:37:18,559
Speaker 3: the Niners have done a great job of hitting on

1887
01:37:18,840 --> 01:37:22,720
Speaker 3: many many non first round draft picks, you can end

1888
01:37:22,800 --> 01:37:25,679
Speaker 3: up having a star stunted roster, just like the forty

1889
01:37:25,760 --> 01:37:29,479
Speaker 3: nine ers, but it is it's not the norm where

1890
01:37:29,520 --> 01:37:32,800
Speaker 3: you miss that much and you make this aggressive move

1891
01:37:32,840 --> 01:37:35,320
Speaker 3: like all right, let's trade first rounders, We'll trade three

1892
01:37:35,360 --> 01:37:36,960
Speaker 3: of them whatever, let's get Trey Lance.

1893
01:37:36,960 --> 01:37:39,479
Speaker 2: And it doesn't work out at all, and here they are.

1894
01:37:40,000 --> 01:37:43,800
Speaker 3: But it's a credit to what they've done outside of

1895
01:37:44,640 --> 01:37:47,879
Speaker 3: those first round misses, and they've hit. They've gotten Nick Bosa,

1896
01:37:48,000 --> 01:37:50,679
Speaker 3: they have had some first round successes, but the high

1897
01:37:50,680 --> 01:37:54,000
Speaker 3: profile misses man sometimes that cripples other teams, and it

1898
01:37:54,040 --> 01:37:55,120
Speaker 3: hasn't with the Niners.

1899
01:37:55,240 --> 01:37:58,200
Speaker 2: Well. And also you think about some of the moves

1900
01:37:58,200 --> 01:38:01,439
Speaker 2: that John Lynch has made building this current Super Bowl roster,

1901
01:38:02,120 --> 01:38:06,080
Speaker 2: the trade for Christian McCaffrey, namely among the most important

1902
01:38:06,120 --> 01:38:10,320
Speaker 2: trades potentially ever in the NFL. I mean, especially if

1903
01:38:10,320 --> 01:38:13,679
Speaker 2: the Niners end up winning this Super Bowl, and especially

1904
01:38:13,680 --> 01:38:16,080
Speaker 2: if Christian McCaffrey has a big game, which you would

1905
01:38:16,120 --> 01:38:19,599
Speaker 2: expect he will, if they win the Super Bowl, certainly,

1906
01:38:19,840 --> 01:38:22,320
Speaker 2: it's it's just a credit to John Lynch, it's a

1907
01:38:22,360 --> 01:38:26,200
Speaker 2: credit to Kyle Shanahan. They have survived so much together.

1908
01:38:26,760 --> 01:38:29,880
Speaker 2: Think about some of the quarterbacks they've won with, you know,

1909
01:38:30,040 --> 01:38:32,719
Speaker 2: I mean, could Jimmy Garoppolo have the career he's had

1910
01:38:33,160 --> 01:38:35,919
Speaker 2: if he wasn't in the forty nine Ers Shanahan offense.

1911
01:38:36,080 --> 01:38:39,800
Speaker 2: You know, it's just he's he's done so much with

1912
01:38:39,920 --> 01:38:42,679
Speaker 2: so little. Same thing with Brock Perty and now brock

1913
01:38:42,680 --> 01:38:44,920
Speaker 2: Perty's off to a great start to his career. It's

1914
01:38:45,000 --> 01:38:48,240
Speaker 2: clearly a great system fit for him, and I think

1915
01:38:48,280 --> 01:38:53,080
Speaker 2: that he's showcased some real high level potential in the league,

1916
01:38:53,120 --> 01:38:55,720
Speaker 2: and I'm very curious to see as he develops, if

1917
01:38:55,720 --> 01:38:58,320
Speaker 2: he can become. You know, some people are comparing him

1918
01:38:58,360 --> 01:39:02,360
Speaker 2: to a young Drew Brees or young Tom Brady even

1919
01:39:02,520 --> 01:39:04,360
Speaker 2: I mean, I think we get so far over our

1920
01:39:04,360 --> 01:39:07,240
Speaker 2: skis with some of these comparisons. But I do think

1921
01:39:07,320 --> 01:39:10,960
Speaker 2: that there's real potential with Brock Purdy to continue this assent.

1922
01:39:11,600 --> 01:39:14,200
Speaker 2: And we've seen it before, like Josh Allen. Josh Allen

1923
01:39:14,240 --> 01:39:17,679
Speaker 2: got better every year. He's stagnated a little bit recently,

1924
01:39:17,680 --> 01:39:19,400
Speaker 2: but he got better every year of his career the

1925
01:39:19,400 --> 01:39:22,280
Speaker 2: first four years, and so I'm very curious see where

1926
01:39:22,280 --> 01:39:24,839
Speaker 2: it goes with Brock Pardy. But back to Kyle Shannon

1927
01:39:25,040 --> 01:39:28,040
Speaker 2: John Lynch. After having some major whiffs, they've had some

1928
01:39:28,160 --> 01:39:29,080
Speaker 2: huge successes.

1929
01:39:29,520 --> 01:39:31,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then that's why they were They weren't quite

1930
01:39:31,360 --> 01:39:33,479
Speaker 1: the favorite in the NFC, but then in the Eagles,

1931
01:39:33,520 --> 01:39:36,040
Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's been the whole year of San

1932
01:39:36,080 --> 01:39:39,360
Speaker 1: Francisco dominance. The roster is dominant. That's why they were

1933
01:39:39,360 --> 01:39:41,720
Speaker 1: a big favorite in that game against the Ravens, right,

1934
01:39:41,760 --> 01:39:44,639
Speaker 1: And that was the other best team in the NFL

1935
01:39:44,680 --> 01:39:46,479
Speaker 1: in terms of power rating wise, and the Niners are

1936
01:39:46,479 --> 01:39:48,559
Speaker 1: still a favorite in that game and didn't go well.

1937
01:39:49,280 --> 01:39:53,160
Speaker 1: But that just is the respect that odds makers and

1938
01:39:53,160 --> 01:39:55,720
Speaker 1: and just the overall people that do a lot of

1939
01:39:55,760 --> 01:39:59,920
Speaker 1: the number making have for this Niners roster and the maca.

1940
01:40:00,479 --> 01:40:04,840
Speaker 1: I agree, Rich, I think McCaffrey. You know, running backs

1941
01:40:04,840 --> 01:40:08,960
Speaker 1: get overlooked a lot, but McCaffrey's not one of those guys,

1942
01:40:09,160 --> 01:40:11,479
Speaker 1: and some of the numbers are like historic, and I

1943
01:40:11,479 --> 01:40:13,880
Speaker 1: know he hasn't played in a lot of postseason games,

1944
01:40:13,920 --> 01:40:16,720
Speaker 1: but right now, McCaffrey just one of two players to

1945
01:40:16,800 --> 01:40:19,640
Speaker 1: average one hundred and ten scrimmage yards or more in

1946
01:40:19,680 --> 01:40:23,400
Speaker 1: the regular season and the postseason. The other one's Terrell Davis.

1947
01:40:23,439 --> 01:40:27,840
Speaker 1: Like you are talking about elite postseason and regular season

1948
01:40:27,920 --> 01:40:31,800
Speaker 1: running backs in the history of the NFL, and he

1949
01:40:31,880 --> 01:40:34,000
Speaker 1: is right there. How about this fifty plus scrimmage yards

1950
01:40:34,040 --> 01:40:37,400
Speaker 1: and a touchdown in six straight playoff games. Third player

1951
01:40:37,400 --> 01:40:39,559
Speaker 1: in NFL history to begin a career with that, with

1952
01:40:39,640 --> 01:40:42,160
Speaker 1: Terrell Davis and Marcus Alt. So you're talking about like

1953
01:40:42,200 --> 01:40:45,000
Speaker 1: the level that McCaffrey's playing at, the Hall of Fame

1954
01:40:45,400 --> 01:40:48,960
Speaker 1: type level of a position that is very undervalued in

1955
01:40:49,000 --> 01:40:53,000
Speaker 1: today's sports. So it's I don't want to say he

1956
01:40:53,040 --> 01:40:55,240
Speaker 1: can steal the game because he's like the best player

1957
01:40:55,280 --> 01:40:57,360
Speaker 1: on the field, but I think he's a guy that

1958
01:40:58,360 --> 01:41:00,639
Speaker 1: really we probably should be paying a little more attention

1959
01:41:00,680 --> 01:41:01,360
Speaker 1: to in this spot.

1960
01:41:01,800 --> 01:41:05,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, and what a hit for the Niners. Oh right, goodness,

1961
01:41:05,280 --> 01:41:10,040
Speaker 3: And you go back to it. The Niners traded second, third, fourth,

1962
01:41:10,120 --> 01:41:13,479
Speaker 3: and fifth round picks to get Christian McCaffrey, and they

1963
01:41:13,520 --> 01:41:15,320
Speaker 3: paid him. And oh, by the way, with the Panthers,

1964
01:41:15,400 --> 01:41:17,559
Speaker 3: he was really really good, but he was really banged

1965
01:41:17,640 --> 01:41:21,200
Speaker 3: up quite a bit, and they made that aggressive move

1966
01:41:21,640 --> 01:41:23,799
Speaker 3: and have done something that a lot of the league hasn't,

1967
01:41:23,880 --> 01:41:27,639
Speaker 3: which was greatly value a top end running back. Ask yourself,

1968
01:41:27,800 --> 01:41:30,559
Speaker 3: how many running backs in the game right now could

1969
01:41:30,560 --> 01:41:32,639
Speaker 3: you trade for a second round.

1970
01:41:32,520 --> 01:41:34,840
Speaker 1: He might be the only one, right like.

1971
01:41:35,400 --> 01:41:38,400
Speaker 3: Right, or a two and a three like you might

1972
01:41:38,439 --> 01:41:40,519
Speaker 3: be right, Jared, he might be the only guy you know.

1973
01:41:40,560 --> 01:41:42,439
Speaker 3: I thought about something real fast. I wanted to throw

1974
01:41:42,479 --> 01:41:45,920
Speaker 3: at you. I thought of the late great bum Phillips.

1975
01:41:46,120 --> 01:41:48,680
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, remember the former head coach. And he had

1976
01:41:48,680 --> 01:41:52,240
Speaker 3: a great saying. He said he could take his in

1977
01:41:52,560 --> 01:41:57,160
Speaker 3: and beat urin and take urin and beat his in right,

1978
01:41:57,240 --> 01:41:59,559
Speaker 3: meaning you could put this stud player on the other.

1979
01:41:59,439 --> 01:42:02,240
Speaker 2: Team and he bet his team. I thought about that

1980
01:42:02,240 --> 01:42:03,240
Speaker 2: with these quarterbacks.

1981
01:42:03,520 --> 01:42:06,600
Speaker 3: And this isn't to completely short change Brock Purty, but

1982
01:42:06,720 --> 01:42:09,400
Speaker 3: it's a way to look at it and change the

1983
01:42:09,479 --> 01:42:12,160
Speaker 3: perspective of some people that think he can't do anything wrong.

1984
01:42:13,040 --> 01:42:17,519
Speaker 3: That Niners star studded roster matters. What do you think

1985
01:42:17,600 --> 01:42:21,880
Speaker 3: about Rock Purty going to the Chiefs. Okay, you've got

1986
01:42:21,920 --> 01:42:24,799
Speaker 3: Travis Kelcey, who's still a stud, but he's lost a step,

1987
01:42:25,400 --> 01:42:28,640
Speaker 3: and what to work with. You're throwing to Rice and

1988
01:42:28,960 --> 01:42:32,599
Speaker 3: a bunch of bit players. You've got Pacheco in the backfield.

1989
01:42:33,000 --> 01:42:36,920
Speaker 3: Do you think Purty on the Chiefs is beating the Niners? Meanwhile,

1990
01:42:37,600 --> 01:42:43,720
Speaker 3: put Mahomes on the Niners with Aiyuk and Kittle and

1991
01:42:43,760 --> 01:42:48,720
Speaker 3: Debo and CMC and Trent Williams. It would be obscene

1992
01:42:49,439 --> 01:42:53,479
Speaker 3: what Mahomes would do with that supporting cast, and that again,

1993
01:42:53,560 --> 01:42:56,240
Speaker 3: that's not to say Purty can't play, but to act

1994
01:42:56,280 --> 01:42:59,439
Speaker 3: as if he isn't greatly benefiting from his supporting cast

1995
01:42:59,680 --> 01:43:00,760
Speaker 3: is just reckless.

1996
01:43:01,600 --> 01:43:04,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's one of these it's one of these

1997
01:43:04,439 --> 01:43:06,640
Speaker 2: things where and we do this all the time with

1998
01:43:06,720 --> 01:43:11,200
Speaker 2: quarterbacks where in a different environment would have looked the same,

1999
01:43:11,280 --> 01:43:13,920
Speaker 2: like c J. Stroud and Bryce Young if we flip

2000
01:43:13,960 --> 01:43:17,120
Speaker 2: flopped them, you know what what happens with the first

2001
01:43:17,160 --> 01:43:19,479
Speaker 2: overall in the second overall pick in twenty twenty three?

2002
01:43:19,520 --> 01:43:22,639
Speaker 2: Would CJ. Stroud look as good in the Carolina Panthers

2003
01:43:22,760 --> 01:43:24,679
Speaker 2: uniform as he did in the Houston I would say,

2004
01:43:24,720 --> 01:43:27,200
Speaker 2: I think he looks close. I think he looks the same.

2005
01:43:27,840 --> 01:43:28,879
Speaker 1: I would say, I would.

2006
01:43:29,040 --> 01:43:32,320
Speaker 3: Say, but close, because look at who's he got, Like

2007
01:43:32,400 --> 01:43:35,120
Speaker 3: what was Nico Collins before had a.

2008
01:43:35,320 --> 01:43:37,120
Speaker 1: Year and then he got hurt and I think it

2009
01:43:37,160 --> 01:43:39,400
Speaker 1: was I really think it was Frankly Bobby Slowic that

2010
01:43:39,560 --> 01:43:42,880
Speaker 1: deserves a lot of that credit too, and Panthers didn't happen.

2011
01:43:43,840 --> 01:43:47,519
Speaker 3: Frank Reich, I think he's still employed with c J. Stroud,

2012
01:43:48,200 --> 01:43:50,360
Speaker 3: so probably, yeah, that could be interesting.

2013
01:43:50,800 --> 01:43:53,160
Speaker 1: Honestly, I think that's more interesting than the Mahomes party one.

2014
01:43:53,240 --> 01:43:57,640
Speaker 9: Frankly, Yeah, well because because the Carolina Panthers legitimately had

2015
01:43:57,640 --> 01:43:59,920
Speaker 9: a crack at him, you know, I mean, yeah, yeps,

2016
01:44:00,600 --> 01:44:03,559
Speaker 9: you know party Actually funny we bring up the Panthers

2017
01:44:03,600 --> 01:44:05,760
Speaker 9: or I brought it up because uh, Matt Ruhle was

2018
01:44:05,760 --> 01:44:07,720
Speaker 9: talking about how he wanted to take him off the

2019
01:44:07,720 --> 01:44:10,439
Speaker 9: board and he got ruled in the seventh round.

2020
01:44:10,520 --> 01:44:13,040
Speaker 2: It sounds like a lot of revision, is I don't

2021
01:44:13,040 --> 01:44:14,880
Speaker 2: know if I would have brought that one up, but

2022
01:44:15,360 --> 01:44:18,960
Speaker 2: but yeah, it's uh, it's it's interesting when we start

2023
01:44:19,000 --> 01:44:22,040
Speaker 2: thinking about system fit because for years and years and

2024
01:44:22,120 --> 01:44:25,000
Speaker 2: years and years people said about Tom Brady he's a

2025
01:44:25,040 --> 01:44:28,400
Speaker 2: system quarterback. He's benefiting because the Patriots have such a

2026
01:44:28,439 --> 01:44:31,240
Speaker 2: good defense, and they have good running backs, and he

2027
01:44:31,280 --> 01:44:33,479
Speaker 2: has enough talent on the outside to throw it to

2028
01:44:33,960 --> 01:44:36,920
Speaker 2: and it's Belichick and it's all those things. And then

2029
01:44:36,960 --> 01:44:38,759
Speaker 2: eventually the tide does turn.

2030
01:44:39,080 --> 01:44:42,320
Speaker 1: Eventually, you know where the fourth and the fifth thing

2031
01:44:42,360 --> 01:44:42,680
Speaker 1: that did it.

2032
01:44:46,520 --> 01:44:49,720
Speaker 2: It's amazing. Definitely the seventh I think about the.

2033
01:44:49,760 --> 01:44:52,080
Speaker 1: Seventh he probably figured, oh yeah, maybe we should trust

2034
01:44:52,160 --> 01:44:53,000
Speaker 1: this guy.

2035
01:44:54,320 --> 01:44:58,880
Speaker 3: We're trusting Nick Cope here today because he has copious

2036
01:44:58,960 --> 01:45:02,680
Speaker 3: notes that he's would down in concise fashion for you

2037
01:45:02,760 --> 01:45:04,240
Speaker 3: right here, Nick with the latest.

2038
01:45:04,240 --> 01:45:05,040
Speaker 2: What's going on? Man?

2039
01:45:05,160 --> 01:45:08,360
Speaker 8: Yeah, guys, I try to be as efficient as possible,

2040
01:45:08,439 --> 01:45:08,840
Speaker 8: for sure.

2041
01:45:08,880 --> 01:45:10,120
Speaker 7: I like that whittled down.

2042
01:45:10,800 --> 01:45:13,040
Speaker 8: When the Super Bowl raps were gonna shift attention to

2043
01:45:13,120 --> 01:45:16,080
Speaker 8: free agency in the draft and NFL Meter reports that

2044
01:45:16,160 --> 01:45:19,960
Speaker 8: the Bears would require a historic level of compensation to

2045
01:45:20,080 --> 01:45:22,840
Speaker 8: move off the number one pick in the NBA. The

2046
01:45:22,840 --> 01:45:26,200
Speaker 8: Athletic report Spencer Dinwitty plants to sign with the Lakers

2047
01:45:26,240 --> 01:45:29,680
Speaker 8: after he clears Waivers. LA held off the Pelicans a

2048
01:45:29,720 --> 01:45:31,280
Speaker 8: one thirty nine to one to twenty two win.

2049
01:45:31,360 --> 01:45:31,760
Speaker 7: Last night.

2050
01:45:31,840 --> 01:45:35,439
Speaker 8: D'Angelo Russell had thirty kings pulled away from the Nuggets

2051
01:45:35,479 --> 01:45:36,200
Speaker 8: one thirty.

2052
01:45:35,960 --> 01:45:36,960
Speaker 7: Five to one oh six.

2053
01:45:37,080 --> 01:45:39,479
Speaker 8: Bucks blew out the Hornets one twenty to eighty four

2054
01:45:39,600 --> 01:45:43,040
Speaker 8: twenty six for Damian Lillard. Celtics edged the Wizards won

2055
01:45:43,160 --> 01:45:46,360
Speaker 8: thirty three to one twenty nine. College football reports say

2056
01:45:46,400 --> 01:45:49,680
Speaker 8: former Washington offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb will not be the

2057
01:45:49,720 --> 01:45:52,919
Speaker 8: OC for Alabama and instead is headed back to Seattle

2058
01:45:52,960 --> 01:45:56,479
Speaker 8: to be the offensive coordinator for the Seahawks. UCLA says

2059
01:45:56,560 --> 01:45:58,679
Speaker 8: they plan to have a new coach in place within

2060
01:45:58,760 --> 01:46:02,240
Speaker 8: four days after Kelly departed to be the offensive coordinator

2061
01:46:02,280 --> 01:46:05,719
Speaker 8: at Ohio State and Golf. After a brief delay, this morning,

2062
01:46:05,720 --> 01:46:08,679
Speaker 8: second round of the Phoenix Open has resumed. Andrew Novak

2063
01:46:08,760 --> 01:46:11,599
Speaker 8: Nick Taylor at top the leaderboard of twelve under. Third

2064
01:46:11,680 --> 01:46:14,439
Speaker 8: round set to begin with split Tea's at A three

2065
01:46:14,640 --> 01:46:19,840
Speaker 8: forty five Eastern. And finally, some international soccer news. Argentina's

2066
01:46:19,880 --> 01:46:23,400
Speaker 8: tour of China has been canceled by local soccer authorities

2067
01:46:23,640 --> 01:46:26,639
Speaker 8: after Lionel Messi did not play in an Inner Miami

2068
01:46:26,760 --> 01:46:30,519
Speaker 8: match in Hong Kong last weekend. Guys, back to you,

2069
01:46:31,160 --> 01:46:31,800
Speaker 8: Thank you Nick.

2070
01:46:31,840 --> 01:46:35,800
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.

2071
01:46:35,920 --> 01:46:38,439
Speaker 3: Shortly after the show, our podcast will be going up.

2072
01:46:38,760 --> 01:46:40,600
Speaker 3: If you missed anything on today's show, be sure to

2073
01:46:40,680 --> 01:46:43,360
Speaker 3: check it out. Just search Fox Sports Radio wherever you

2074
01:46:43,400 --> 01:46:44,400
Speaker 3: get your podcasts.

2075
01:46:44,800 --> 01:46:47,080
Speaker 2: Be sure to follow, rate and review it again.

2076
01:46:47,200 --> 01:46:50,120
Speaker 3: Just search Fox Sports Radio wherever you get your podcasts,

2077
01:46:50,320 --> 01:46:52,280
Speaker 3: and you'll see the show posted right after we get

2078
01:46:52,320 --> 01:46:52,840
Speaker 3: off the air.

2079
01:46:53,240 --> 01:47:00,960
Speaker 2: All right, let's do this, old you, Let's get trendy man.

2080
01:47:01,080 --> 01:47:03,599
Speaker 2: So many trends for a Super Bowl.

2081
01:47:04,160 --> 01:47:07,040
Speaker 3: But this one matters the most to me because it's

2082
01:47:07,080 --> 01:47:11,320
Speaker 3: recent Kansas City with Patrick Mahomes.

2083
01:47:11,520 --> 01:47:13,439
Speaker 2: They are ten one.

2084
01:47:13,439 --> 01:47:17,479
Speaker 3: And one against the spread as an underdog, and that

2085
01:47:17,560 --> 01:47:22,439
Speaker 3: includes the last two postseason games right against the Bills

2086
01:47:22,439 --> 01:47:24,760
Speaker 3: and the Ravens, respectively. Because they have to throw that

2087
01:47:24,800 --> 01:47:28,320
Speaker 3: in there every time you have to. It's it's mandated.

2088
01:47:28,439 --> 01:47:32,160
Speaker 3: But the one loss against the spread, they lost the

2089
01:47:32,200 --> 01:47:36,080
Speaker 3: game outright, it was against the Rams where Mahomes threw

2090
01:47:36,120 --> 01:47:37,280
Speaker 3: six touchdown passes.

2091
01:47:40,280 --> 01:47:41,800
Speaker 7: It's the only loss.

2092
01:47:41,560 --> 01:47:42,759
Speaker 2: When they were dogs.

2093
01:47:43,160 --> 01:47:46,360
Speaker 3: And that was a true road game, right, well it

2094
01:47:46,439 --> 01:47:48,200
Speaker 3: was in Los Angeles, right.

2095
01:47:49,880 --> 01:47:52,200
Speaker 2: Because I think it was technically a Chiefs home game.

2096
01:47:52,320 --> 01:47:57,120
Speaker 3: Wasn't either, Yeah, that was at the coliseum.

2097
01:47:57,280 --> 01:47:59,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, strange circumstances.

2098
01:47:59,320 --> 01:48:03,200
Speaker 3: But that's the only game they've lost while being underdogs,

2099
01:48:03,680 --> 01:48:06,639
Speaker 3: and that's not revision as history. That includes two games,

2100
01:48:07,000 --> 01:48:09,519
Speaker 3: the last two that the Chiefs have played. So to

2101
01:48:09,520 --> 01:48:13,800
Speaker 3: be an underdog again, who that is? That's quite the

2102
01:48:13,840 --> 01:48:14,960
Speaker 3: trend in the Chiefs favor.

2103
01:48:15,200 --> 01:48:18,160
Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, I mean, and how about Andy Reid after

2104
01:48:18,240 --> 01:48:19,000
Speaker 2: the bye? Right?

2105
01:48:19,080 --> 01:48:19,640
Speaker 1: Yeah?

2106
01:48:19,360 --> 01:48:22,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, anytime he has little time to work

2107
01:48:22,120 --> 01:48:25,040
Speaker 2: on a playscript, a little extra time to work on

2108
01:48:25,200 --> 01:48:28,559
Speaker 2: the communication with his offense, especially, but his defense too.

2109
01:48:29,080 --> 01:48:31,080
Speaker 2: Andy Reid could cooks some things up in the lab.

2110
01:48:31,160 --> 01:48:34,000
Speaker 2: Now not as good leading up to a Super Bowl

2111
01:48:34,040 --> 01:48:36,960
Speaker 2: as record currently at two and two, he's entering his

2112
01:48:37,040 --> 01:48:41,280
Speaker 2: fifth super Bowl. But I mean it's an absurd number.

2113
01:48:41,560 --> 01:48:45,519
Speaker 2: It's it's single digit losses up against something north of

2114
01:48:45,720 --> 01:48:49,960
Speaker 2: thirty five wins when he has a bye week, He's

2115
01:48:50,000 --> 01:48:53,599
Speaker 2: been incredibly productive when he's given extra time to prepare.

2116
01:48:53,680 --> 01:48:56,440
Speaker 2: So another one that bends in the favor.

2117
01:48:56,120 --> 01:48:58,559
Speaker 1: Of the Chiefs and spags off the bye too, I

2118
01:48:58,560 --> 01:49:00,519
Speaker 1: mean you throw it? Oh yeah as well. I mean, honestly,

2119
01:49:00,560 --> 01:49:02,799
Speaker 1: I think the two of those guys together with Mahomes

2120
01:49:02,880 --> 01:49:05,240
Speaker 1: is kind of the brain trust. You give them more time.

2121
01:49:05,320 --> 01:49:07,120
Speaker 1: I mean, that is just dangerous. So how about this

2122
01:49:07,200 --> 01:49:08,920
Speaker 1: is an interesting one. So the Niners had a great year, right,

2123
01:49:08,960 --> 01:49:11,799
Speaker 1: They won all these games. They were under five hundred

2124
01:49:11,800 --> 01:49:15,640
Speaker 1: against the spread, nine and ten against the spread this

2125
01:49:15,760 --> 01:49:19,559
Speaker 1: year and are one of my Twitter pials who does

2126
01:49:19,560 --> 01:49:23,040
Speaker 1: a great job handicapping. He's professional Cleve Tier on Twitter.

2127
01:49:23,120 --> 01:49:25,479
Speaker 1: Give him a shout out because he tweeted this out earlier,

2128
01:49:25,479 --> 01:49:26,640
Speaker 1: and I want to give him. I want to give

2129
01:49:26,680 --> 01:49:30,320
Speaker 1: him this due so over the last twenty four Super

2130
01:49:30,320 --> 01:49:34,840
Speaker 1: Bowl since two thousand, only two other teams won the

2131
01:49:34,880 --> 01:49:38,680
Speaker 1: Super Bowl with a negative ATS marchin. One of them

2132
01:49:38,720 --> 01:49:42,040
Speaker 1: was the Chiefs last year. Also Seattle in twenty fourteen.

2133
01:49:42,760 --> 01:49:45,400
Speaker 1: So it's been it's going to be hard, I think

2134
01:49:45,439 --> 01:49:49,840
Speaker 1: for the Niners who failed to meet odds maker expectations

2135
01:49:50,160 --> 01:49:51,960
Speaker 1: to meet them in this game. And I think that's

2136
01:49:51,960 --> 01:49:54,240
Speaker 1: where I look at San Francisco a little bit differently,

2137
01:49:54,280 --> 01:49:56,000
Speaker 1: like they want to buy a lot of games, straight up,

2138
01:49:56,280 --> 01:49:59,240
Speaker 1: but they failed to meet the expectations of the odds makers.

2139
01:49:59,320 --> 01:50:00,360
Speaker 1: More then not.

2140
01:50:01,280 --> 01:50:08,240
Speaker 3: All right, let's do this also in game bet eight man,

2141
01:50:08,240 --> 01:50:11,000
Speaker 3: this is the Super Bowl over here. We're throwing everything

2142
01:50:11,040 --> 01:50:11,559
Speaker 3: out at you.

2143
01:50:11,720 --> 01:50:14,280
Speaker 2: Right, yeah, let's go. This is what I'm thinking.

2144
01:50:15,040 --> 01:50:19,960
Speaker 3: If this game starts off scoring right, like we're seeing

2145
01:50:19,960 --> 01:50:23,439
Speaker 3: some quick scores scoring, I'm looking at an in game

2146
01:50:23,600 --> 01:50:28,320
Speaker 3: under because the Chiefs in the second half consistently this

2147
01:50:28,439 --> 01:50:32,519
Speaker 3: season and the playoffs, the scoring has just it's like

2148
01:50:32,560 --> 01:50:35,680
Speaker 3: the faucet you just shut it off. It's been a

2149
01:50:35,760 --> 01:50:38,679
Speaker 3: consistent theme in the games that they have played.

2150
01:50:39,040 --> 01:50:41,280
Speaker 2: You go to the last game they played against the Ravens.

2151
01:50:41,280 --> 01:50:44,559
Speaker 2: There are three points scored in the entire second half.

2152
01:50:44,680 --> 01:50:49,240
Speaker 3: So if you see some first half scoring, that Ravens

2153
01:50:49,320 --> 01:50:53,559
Speaker 3: game was a good example where there was some early scoring.

2154
01:50:53,880 --> 01:50:56,799
Speaker 3: The Chiefs, they go down, they score, The Ravens answer

2155
01:50:56,800 --> 01:50:59,639
Speaker 3: with the touchdown. You're like, Holy cal fireworks City. It's

2156
01:50:59,640 --> 01:51:01,439
Speaker 3: seven team to ten at the end of the day,

2157
01:51:01,680 --> 01:51:04,639
Speaker 3: you know what I mean. So if we see scoring initially,

2158
01:51:04,720 --> 01:51:06,719
Speaker 3: I'm looking at the end game under with the Chiefs

2159
01:51:06,720 --> 01:51:07,639
Speaker 3: playing in this one.

2160
01:51:07,720 --> 01:51:12,200
Speaker 2: Wow, Okay, yeah, let's see if the Chiefs go down early,

2161
01:51:12,560 --> 01:51:16,599
Speaker 2: you know that you're gonna get a bargain on Chiefs

2162
01:51:16,640 --> 01:51:20,360
Speaker 2: in terms of getting some points here, I would look

2163
01:51:20,439 --> 01:51:23,799
Speaker 2: to see. Look, I don't think Mahomes leaves the Super

2164
01:51:23,840 --> 01:51:27,640
Speaker 2: Bowl losing by any more than three points. I just

2165
01:51:27,680 --> 01:51:29,800
Speaker 2: don't see. I think Andy Reid and the Chiefs like

2166
01:51:29,840 --> 01:51:31,840
Speaker 2: to have the ability to come back, so they will

2167
01:51:31,880 --> 01:51:34,280
Speaker 2: and even if it's not enough to win the game.

2168
01:51:34,800 --> 01:51:37,920
Speaker 2: Like so, say they fall down fourteen to nothing early

2169
01:51:38,000 --> 01:51:40,680
Speaker 2: in the first quarter or the first half, we look

2170
01:51:40,720 --> 01:51:42,640
Speaker 2: at that and we say, well, if this is a

2171
01:51:42,720 --> 01:51:47,519
Speaker 2: Niners win, just watch that Chiefs plus number increase for

2172
01:51:47,680 --> 01:51:51,360
Speaker 2: you grab it above three and I bet you you'll

2173
01:51:51,400 --> 01:51:53,439
Speaker 2: be able to catch that bet. I'm talking on the

2174
01:51:53,439 --> 01:51:57,240
Speaker 2: whole game, on the whole game spread. So I'm looking

2175
01:51:57,280 --> 01:52:00,439
Speaker 2: at the Chiefs if they fall behind early, making it

2176
01:52:00,479 --> 01:52:02,800
Speaker 2: a much closer game in the end. So you could

2177
01:52:02,840 --> 01:52:05,920
Speaker 2: get some great value getting a whole game spread on

2178
01:52:05,960 --> 01:52:06,439
Speaker 2: the Chiefs.

2179
01:52:07,120 --> 01:52:08,719
Speaker 1: Guys are ready for a little wildcard action?

2180
01:52:08,960 --> 01:52:11,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, so we're.

2181
01:52:10,960 --> 01:52:13,880
Speaker 1: About to break ground here on Fox Sports radios countdown

2182
01:52:13,880 --> 01:52:17,440
Speaker 1: and kickoff. We are about to analyze the field conditions

2183
01:52:17,479 --> 01:52:20,200
Speaker 1: for a game played indoors. Are you ready for this?

2184
01:52:20,400 --> 01:52:20,840
Speaker 2: Let's do it.

2185
01:52:21,080 --> 01:52:25,680
Speaker 1: Do you remember last year's field condition very slippery. The

2186
01:52:25,720 --> 01:52:29,479
Speaker 1: field was built out the week prior by I don't know,

2187
01:52:29,560 --> 01:52:33,880
Speaker 1: some botanist people, and it just didn't quite set in time.

2188
01:52:34,479 --> 01:52:37,320
Speaker 1: Guess what they're doing this year for the field for

2189
01:52:37,400 --> 01:52:41,120
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl the exact same process. Now I'm being

2190
01:52:41,160 --> 01:52:45,120
Speaker 1: told the NFL has tried to, you know, bring new

2191
01:52:45,160 --> 01:52:47,519
Speaker 1: people in to fix whatever mistakes they made last year.

2192
01:52:47,920 --> 01:52:51,360
Speaker 1: They left the field out longer this time to try

2193
01:52:51,400 --> 01:52:54,320
Speaker 1: to get it to set. But here's the problem. In

2194
01:52:54,439 --> 01:52:58,160
Speaker 1: Las Vegas. This week we had rain on Monday, we

2195
01:52:58,240 --> 01:53:03,040
Speaker 1: had rain on Tuesday. It was a historically wet week

2196
01:53:03,240 --> 01:53:07,160
Speaker 1: for the city of Las Vegas. I'm not a botanist.

2197
01:53:07,400 --> 01:53:10,040
Speaker 1: I don't know what it's gonna be like, but if

2198
01:53:10,080 --> 01:53:13,280
Speaker 1: the field conditions are slippery again like they were last year,

2199
01:53:13,760 --> 01:53:17,679
Speaker 1: it was scoring left and right, so we live bet

2200
01:53:17,680 --> 01:53:20,960
Speaker 1: the over. If it's a little slippy out there again

2201
01:53:21,000 --> 01:53:21,639
Speaker 1: this year, all.

2202
01:53:21,600 --> 01:53:25,400
Speaker 3: Right, we need a George Toma, remember him, Yeah, the

2203
01:53:25,479 --> 01:53:26,200
Speaker 3: sod Father.

2204
01:53:26,760 --> 01:53:28,000
Speaker 1: I remember the Father.

2205
01:53:28,240 --> 01:53:29,559
Speaker 2: The NFC title game.

2206
01:53:29,600 --> 01:53:32,200
Speaker 3: I'll never forget John Madden like they've got new grass

2207
01:53:32,200 --> 01:53:34,960
Speaker 3: in the middle of the field between the Cowboys and

2208
01:53:35,000 --> 01:53:36,920
Speaker 3: the Niners, and George Toma.

2209
01:53:36,720 --> 01:53:38,920
Speaker 2: Got about fifty shoutouts that day.

2210
01:53:39,360 --> 01:53:42,880
Speaker 3: I'll never forget that. In the mid nineties craziness. That's

2211
01:53:43,280 --> 01:53:45,519
Speaker 3: what a nickname. Ninety five years old too.

2212
01:53:45,600 --> 01:53:46,080
Speaker 2: That's great.

2213
01:53:46,360 --> 01:53:50,080
Speaker 3: We've got Rich Ornberger Fence State All American, Jared Smith FSR,

2214
01:53:50,120 --> 01:53:51,240
Speaker 3: betting analyst with us.

2215
01:53:51,280 --> 01:53:53,680
Speaker 2: I'm Brian now coming up next.

2216
01:53:54,479 --> 01:53:57,840
Speaker 3: There is a Mayo in the coffee on the line

2217
01:53:57,880 --> 01:54:01,400
Speaker 3: here with whoever is the Kobu, whoever's in last place,

2218
01:54:02,240 --> 01:54:04,720
Speaker 3: has to do the Will Levis Special. We'll have at

2219
01:54:04,800 --> 01:54:08,479
Speaker 3: least three picks a piece for you to close it

2220
01:54:08,520 --> 01:54:10,240
Speaker 3: on out here. As we get set for Super Bowl

2221
01:54:10,280 --> 01:54:13,360
Speaker 3: fifty eight, it is Fox Sports Radios countdown to Kickoff

2222
01:54:13,640 --> 01:54:17,280
Speaker 3: presented by Bet MGM. It is Fox Sports Radios. Countdown

2223
01:54:17,280 --> 01:54:20,080
Speaker 3: to Kickoff presented by Bett MGM.

2224
01:54:20,160 --> 01:54:20,960
Speaker 2: Props to the crew.

2225
01:54:21,840 --> 01:54:27,240
Speaker 3: Bo Benson, trusted producer, excited about Spencer Dinwoodie joining the Lakers.

2226
01:54:27,280 --> 01:54:28,599
Speaker 1: That's all we're hearing this morning.

2227
01:54:29,240 --> 01:54:35,080
Speaker 3: We've got Chris Purfette, technical producer, does a great job.

2228
01:54:36,160 --> 01:54:40,720
Speaker 3: We've got Nick Cope Huh with his Niners here on today,

2229
01:54:40,880 --> 01:54:43,640
Speaker 3: going back to his roots in Northern California're ready for

2230
01:54:43,680 --> 01:54:44,600
Speaker 3: Super Bowl fifty eight.

2231
01:54:44,600 --> 01:54:46,000
Speaker 2: Good hanging with him today as well.

2232
01:54:46,200 --> 01:54:49,480
Speaker 3: Top of the hour up on game LaVar Arrington, DJ

2233
01:54:49,560 --> 01:54:51,960
Speaker 3: Hushman's Out of Plexical Burst. They'll get you all set

2234
01:54:52,000 --> 01:54:55,200
Speaker 3: for super Bowl fifty eight. All right, we got time

2235
01:54:55,280 --> 01:54:57,120
Speaker 3: to make some picks the moment of truth.

2236
01:54:57,200 --> 01:54:57,880
Speaker 2: Let's do it.

2237
01:55:00,760 --> 01:55:01,640
Speaker 4: Rapid fire.

2238
01:55:03,040 --> 01:55:05,200
Speaker 2: Okay, Jared, We'll start with you.

2239
01:55:05,240 --> 01:55:07,120
Speaker 1: What are you thinking, man, Let's do it all right.

2240
01:55:07,120 --> 01:55:09,120
Speaker 1: I'll give you two props and then for the play

2241
01:55:09,160 --> 01:55:10,960
Speaker 1: of the day, I'll give you my side and I'll

2242
01:55:10,960 --> 01:55:14,600
Speaker 1: tell you the final score. The props. Brandon Ayuk under

2243
01:55:14,800 --> 01:55:17,120
Speaker 1: four and a half receptions in the game. He's had

2244
01:55:17,160 --> 01:55:19,480
Speaker 1: three in both playoff games. We talked about the matchup

2245
01:55:19,520 --> 01:55:22,240
Speaker 1: with Lagerius need We talked about how great this Kansas

2246
01:55:22,280 --> 01:55:25,200
Speaker 1: City Chiefs defense is, most notably the secondary. I think

2247
01:55:25,240 --> 01:55:28,040
Speaker 1: it's a bad matchup for IU. He might break one

2248
01:55:28,360 --> 01:55:31,240
Speaker 1: or two long plays. We saw the breakdowns happen a

2249
01:55:31,240 --> 01:55:34,040
Speaker 1: couple times against the Ravens, but volume wise, under four

2250
01:55:34,040 --> 01:55:35,960
Speaker 1: and a half receptions, I think Gamescript will help him

2251
01:55:35,960 --> 01:55:39,480
Speaker 1: as well. Patrick Malmes over four and a half rushing attempts.

2252
01:55:39,560 --> 01:55:43,200
Speaker 1: I love rushing attempt props in big games and neel

2253
01:55:43,320 --> 01:55:45,640
Speaker 1: downs account by the way, in the prior three Super

2254
01:55:45,640 --> 01:55:49,000
Speaker 1: Bowls five, six, and nine, and he had six in

2255
01:55:49,080 --> 01:55:51,040
Speaker 1: each of his last two postseason games.

2256
01:55:51,640 --> 01:55:54,920
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna give you, guys all of mine

2257
01:55:55,000 --> 01:55:59,200
Speaker 2: based on spreads. First and foremost, the Chiefs plus two.

2258
01:56:00,000 --> 01:56:03,680
Speaker 2: Give me the Chiefs plus two. It's I know it's

2259
01:56:04,080 --> 01:56:06,760
Speaker 2: public for rich here, but if you're gonna give Patrick

2260
01:56:06,800 --> 01:56:10,200
Speaker 2: Mahomes points in a Super Bowl, I'm taking them, which

2261
01:56:10,240 --> 01:56:13,839
Speaker 2: also they're getting points in the first half, I'm taking them,

2262
01:56:14,240 --> 01:56:17,400
Speaker 2: which brings us to the total. The total is interesting.

2263
01:56:17,520 --> 01:56:19,960
Speaker 2: I think that a lot of people are hopeful that

2264
01:56:20,040 --> 01:56:23,000
Speaker 2: this game goes over. I mentioned this earlier. I'm definitely

2265
01:56:23,080 --> 01:56:25,240
Speaker 2: taking the under on this number. Forty seven and a

2266
01:56:25,280 --> 01:56:28,840
Speaker 2: half at bet MGM. Riding the under because I think

2267
01:56:28,840 --> 01:56:31,320
Speaker 2: it's gonna be a game of field position, a little

2268
01:56:31,320 --> 01:56:35,160
Speaker 2: bit more of a defensive battle. Okay, what's the under

2269
01:56:35,160 --> 01:56:37,800
Speaker 2: for the first half? Rich? Oh, the shoot I just

2270
01:56:37,800 --> 01:56:40,120
Speaker 2: added up. I'll get it for you in a sec. Okay, Okay.

2271
01:56:40,440 --> 01:56:42,560
Speaker 3: You know what's interesting is two of those three picks

2272
01:56:43,040 --> 01:56:45,400
Speaker 3: are what I picked last week. All right, I gotta

2273
01:56:45,440 --> 01:56:48,840
Speaker 3: make up some ground against Rich. He's stonewalling me over here.

2274
01:56:48,920 --> 01:56:52,960
Speaker 3: I see what's going on. I'm gonna say, brock Purty

2275
01:56:53,120 --> 01:56:56,400
Speaker 3: under twenty and a half completions. It's a tough defense

2276
01:56:56,440 --> 01:56:58,880
Speaker 3: to complete passes against tight windows. I think they're gonna

2277
01:56:58,920 --> 01:57:01,360
Speaker 3: run it a lot. They even run it when they're trailing.

2278
01:57:01,440 --> 01:57:03,480
Speaker 3: So give me the under twenty and a half. I'll

2279
01:57:03,520 --> 01:57:07,480
Speaker 3: take the under on Mahomes' longest completion thirty five and

2280
01:57:07,480 --> 01:57:10,680
Speaker 3: a half yards. The Niners, they're gonna make you dink

2281
01:57:10,720 --> 01:57:12,960
Speaker 3: and dunk work for it, so don't. I don't think

2282
01:57:12,960 --> 01:57:15,400
Speaker 3: he hits a deep ball here. And I'm gonna take

2283
01:57:15,840 --> 01:57:19,000
Speaker 3: under fourteen and a half for the largest lead of

2284
01:57:19,080 --> 01:57:21,880
Speaker 3: the game. I don't think anyone's leading by more than

2285
01:57:21,880 --> 01:57:22,760
Speaker 3: two touchdowns.

2286
01:57:22,800 --> 01:57:26,760
Speaker 2: What I'm going with? All right, let's do this.

2287
01:57:26,760 --> 01:57:28,880
Speaker 4: This is the best play of the day.

2288
01:57:28,960 --> 01:57:29,840
Speaker 6: It's a touchdowns.

2289
01:57:30,440 --> 01:57:32,720
Speaker 2: It's mad, all right, Jared, what is it? Bad?

2290
01:57:33,040 --> 01:57:36,800
Speaker 1: Chiefs plus two they win twenty nine twenty seven's your final?

2291
01:57:36,880 --> 01:57:38,240
Speaker 1: Butcker kicks a field goal to win it.

2292
01:57:38,840 --> 01:57:39,120
Speaker 6: Wow?

2293
01:57:39,520 --> 01:57:41,640
Speaker 2: Okay, and what's the line? Rich? I know you're gonna

2294
01:57:41,640 --> 01:57:44,040
Speaker 2: tell you. Oh h plus a half point plus a half.

2295
01:57:43,960 --> 01:57:45,640
Speaker 1: The Chiefs in the first Chiefs in the first half.

2296
01:57:46,240 --> 01:57:50,160
Speaker 2: All right, I think you're well prepared. Now just have fun.