1 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 1: Hi everyone, this is Lee Clasgow and we're Talking Transports. 2 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to Bloomberg Intelligence Talking Transport Podcast. I'm your host, 3 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 1: Lee Clasgow, Senior Freight transportation Logistics Analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence, 4 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:21,160 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's in house research arm of almost five hundred analysts 5 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: and strategists before diving in little public service announcement. Your 6 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: support is instrumental to keep bringing great guests onto the 7 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: podcast like the one we have today. If you haven't already, 8 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:33,880 Speaker 1: please do take a moment to follow rate and share 9 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 1: the Talking Transport Podcast with your friends, colleagues and family. 10 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:41,159 Speaker 1: We appreciate your support. I'm very excited to have Garnett 11 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: Rupelt CEO of Ardmore Shipping Corp. Which is a market 12 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: cap around four hundred and seventy five million in trades 13 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 1: under the symbol ASC. Prior to his appointment in twenty 14 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 1: twenty four as CEO, he served Ardmore as Chief Commercial Officer. 15 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: Since joining the company in twenty thirteen, he has spent 16 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: twenty three years across multiple sectors in the maritime industry 17 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 1: and acquired extensive international exposure, having worked in five countries 18 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: across three continents throughout his career. Before joining Ardmore in 19 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 1: twenty thirteen, mister Rupel was a tanker projects broker with 20 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 1: Potent and Partners in New York. Previously, he held various 21 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 1: roles up to trade manager for ap Mahler, Maersk and 22 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:28,320 Speaker 1: Mayersk broker in the US, Europe and Asia. He holds 23 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: an Executive NBA from INCIAD and later completed their International 24 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: Director's program. He also graduated from the Institute of Chartered 25 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 1: Shipbrokers in London, Maersk's International Shipping Education and was a 26 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 1: credited Shipping Merchant by the Hamburg Chamber of Conference. Welcome 27 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:47,560 Speaker 1: to the podcast, Garnett. 28 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 2: Thank you so much, Lia, I'm very glad to be here. 29 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: Okay, so Ardmore Shipping, you know, I know it, but 30 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: it might not be a household name. Could you just 31 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: talk a little bit about what what do you guys do? 32 00:01:56,480 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 2: Yeah? Great, So we're a global owner and operator of 33 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:04,600 Speaker 2: product and chemical tankers. So in terms of cargoes, it's 34 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 2: pretty much everything that comes out of the refinery, which 35 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 2: you know a lot of people would have touch points with. 36 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 2: That could be gasoline, diesel, jet fuel. In terms of 37 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:17,679 Speaker 2: the commodities we carry, but then also increasingly interesting new 38 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 2: emerging cargoes, biofuels, blending components, recycled oils, used cooking oils. 39 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:28,079 Speaker 2: You know, a wide range of chemicals as well that 40 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 2: could be used for all sorts of industrial and petrochemical purposes. 41 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 2: We are globally set up across three key hubs in Europe, 42 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 2: here in the US, in Houston, and in Singapore. We 43 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 2: are fully integrated shipping company with a trading platform that 44 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 2: works in close liaison with the technical and operational parts 45 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 2: of the business, always looking to really drive and optimize 46 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: TSE performance. It's kind of about key metric how much 47 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:59,359 Speaker 2: we earn on a per day basis for pro vessel. 48 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 1: Just just for those out there, TSE is time charter equivalent. Yes, 49 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: that's how that's how ship ship owners get paid. Indeed, 50 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 1: and roughly how big is the fleet? 51 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 2: We own and operate twenty six ships, most of them 52 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 2: we own, twenty two of them are fully owned. Four 53 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 2: of them we we have chartered in from the market 54 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 2: from third party owners. We have very close and long 55 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 2: standing operating relationships with. 56 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:27,239 Speaker 1: And ships aren't cheap. So like, roughly, what's the valuation 57 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 1: of the fleet? Do you guys have that? 58 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:33,360 Speaker 2: Well, you know, if you if you roughly would assume 59 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 2: a product anchor a new building would cost you forty 60 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 2: five million, and then you know, five year old ships 61 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 2: beforeably be you know, it's sort of very steps below that. 62 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 2: But you know, ships have been earning incredible cash flows 63 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 2: over the past few years with a really emerging landscape 64 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 2: of trade flows and that has been reflected and as evaluations. 65 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: And so and so, who are add More's customers, Like, 66 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: who are who are the people that you're working. 67 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 2: With the main oil majors, blue hip refiners, major oil traders, 68 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 2: so really people that you would know from the refining 69 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 2: an energy landscape, from the commodity trading landscape would be 70 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 2: the core group of our customers. We have a really 71 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 2: widespread customer base where you wouldn't really find anybody that 72 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 2: would ever have more than ten percent of revenue in 73 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:31,039 Speaker 2: our company. So you know, it's really all about increasing 74 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 2: trading opportunities for art More. That can shift depending on 75 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:38,159 Speaker 2: where we see strength in the market by region, but 76 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 2: also by cargo group and customer group. 77 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 1: And is most of your business contract or is it 78 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:46,600 Speaker 1: spot And if it's for contract, what's the typical duration 79 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 1: of a contract with one of your customers. 80 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 2: So the majority of the business is really operating in 81 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:53,799 Speaker 2: the spot market, and if you want to maximize earnings, 82 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:56,920 Speaker 2: that's probably where you find yourself. That said, there could 83 00:04:56,920 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 2: be times when you strategically choose to either charter outships 84 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 2: on a fixed contract or charter ships in as well 85 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:08,560 Speaker 2: if you see opportunities to you know, employ those ships 86 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 2: in a meaningful and profitable way. Those would typically be 87 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 2: contracts for up to one yet duration. And then there's 88 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 2: also others other structures that are sort of in between 89 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 2: hybrid structures. But the predominant way of operating in this 90 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 2: market is really through spat trading, which means that every 91 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:28,839 Speaker 2: voyage is negotiated and new, which then for us makes 92 00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 2: it possible to create really interesting combinations. So if you 93 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 2: look at the more simple ships, they would maybe carry 94 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 2: crude oil from the Middle East to let's say China, 95 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 2: and then they go back empty. For us, we can 96 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 2: really reduce that empty leg quite meaningfully, where you know, 97 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 2: we just we had one example where we managed to 98 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:55,039 Speaker 2: keep one ship trading for a full year without any 99 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 2: empty legs. Of course, mentorship is empty, it doesn't make 100 00:05:57,360 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 2: any money. So part of the trick is really if 101 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 2: you want to let's say, bring diesel into Argentina, you 102 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 2: find some soybean oil to go to Asia. With that 103 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 2: there you can you know, trade maybe the refined product 104 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,040 Speaker 2: markets for a while, or you carry some biofuel back 105 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:13,920 Speaker 2: to Europe. And how you combine those voyages you can 106 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,919 Speaker 2: really you can really maximize the earning potential of your assets. 107 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:19,479 Speaker 1: And this is just a basic question for I guess 108 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,560 Speaker 1: the product tanker market. So if you have diesel oil 109 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,480 Speaker 1: and then then all of a sudden you have soybean oil, 110 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 1: do you have to clean out the inside of the 111 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:30,480 Speaker 1: tanker or absolutely? 112 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:34,039 Speaker 2: OK. Yeah, there's a rigorous cleaning process that involves sort 113 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 2: of sequentially, you know, cleaning chemicals, fresh water, and and 114 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 2: and a fairly you know, fairly thorough process. And that 115 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 2: also means that as you get to the more complex 116 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 2: end of the product slate, if you want to cross 117 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 2: trade between refined products, chemicals, agricultural goods, you really need 118 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:55,839 Speaker 2: to know what you're doing because the magic really happens 119 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:59,279 Speaker 2: in that in that cross trade. But also if you 120 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:02,360 Speaker 2: if you don't have the organizational capability to do that 121 00:07:02,480 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 2: well and efficiently and safely. There's also a lot of downside. 122 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 2: So for us, this really is core to what we 123 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 2: would consider our most competitive advantage where you know, we 124 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 2: don't just own the ships that have that capability. We've 125 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 2: also built through a lot of effort over the years, 126 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 2: the the you know, really the organization to know how 127 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 2: to do this well and some of those more complex 128 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 2: traits are a lot harder to penetrate, and for us, 129 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 2: this is how we distinguish ourselves as a business. 130 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 1: Okay, and this is another another basic question. So when 131 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 1: you're cleaning the product tanker, is it taking out of service? 132 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:41,480 Speaker 1: Is it like hours, days, weeks? How long is that process? 133 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 2: It's typically a number of days. But the way we 134 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 2: would look at that is that the cost and the 135 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 2: time and the shifting expenses that you might endure to 136 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:56,440 Speaker 2: clean would be put into a very thorough you know, 137 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 2: revenue and cost calculation of any business we would look at. 138 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 2: But that's why being so integrated between the commercial and 139 00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 2: operational parts of the company where you can make those 140 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:10,559 Speaker 2: estimates to a high degree of accuracy, but then also 141 00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 2: introduce you know, digital tools to put you in a 142 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 2: position to to learn from past voyages, where every voyage 143 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 2: is an improvement opportunity and feed that then in this 144 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:23,680 Speaker 2: live feedback loop into into this commercial machine as you 145 00:08:23,840 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 2: as you're reevaluating, reevaluating those opportunities in the future. So 146 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 2: accuracy and speed of execution is kind of part of 147 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:32,079 Speaker 2: the success formula in this business, right. 148 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: And so at the day of us recording this, you 149 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,480 Speaker 1: Art Moore has a very busy day. You guys had 150 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:40,679 Speaker 1: fourth quarter earnings and you had an analyst day. Can 151 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:43,839 Speaker 1: you can you talk about the fourth quarter and then 152 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 1: maybe we can talk about you know, what you discussed 153 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: at the analyst day today. 154 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I think sort of key key key highlights 155 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 2: for us is really the performance we have delivered where 156 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 2: you know, for for for the past a few years, 157 00:08:56,960 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 2: really we have delivered on on a lot of different 158 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 2: levels for the company where we have generated really strong performance. 159 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 2: You mentioned the TC figure, you know, is very relevant 160 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 2: for us. So our TC for the last year was 161 00:09:11,679 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 2: in excess of thirty thousand dollars a day. We have 162 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 2: driven down our break even levels substantially just to rigorous 163 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 2: cost management but also delevering the company where our break 164 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 2: even now is just above eleven thousand dollars a day, So, 165 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 2: you know, very strong cash generation through really multiple market 166 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 2: scenarios and as the cycle plays out. At the same time, 167 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 2: we've been able to return capital to shareholders through a 168 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 2: quarterly dividend, which is a third of earnings, and we've 169 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 2: also executed on a share buyback program last quarter where 170 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 2: we have also been able to return about a quarter 171 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 2: of our market cap to shareholders. And at the same time, 172 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 2: we have made some really significant investments into the business, 173 00:09:57,280 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 2: into our fleet, finding ways to increase fuel efficiency, increase 174 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 2: cargo versatility, and these are incredible investments that give you 175 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 2: returns sometimes in excess of one hundred percent, regardless of 176 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:12,040 Speaker 2: what happens in the marketplace. And then we've also modernized 177 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:15,120 Speaker 2: the fleet where we sold our oldership last year, bought 178 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 2: a very modern ship, and are finding ways to make 179 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 2: some really meaningful improvements to our commercial and long term 180 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 2: sustainability of our fleet. 181 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:29,000 Speaker 1: Okay, and so you know you're saying that, you know, 182 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 1: you guys are operating around twenty thousand dollars a day 183 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 1: over your break even, So I guess where are we 184 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,559 Speaker 1: in the cycle or rates high in your market, are 185 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,839 Speaker 1: they kind of mid level? Or where are rates and 186 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 1: where should we expect them to go? Given supply demand dynamics. 187 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 2: Rates are still very high, certainly compared to historical norms, 188 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:50,880 Speaker 2: and I think we are, you know, really encouraged that 189 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 2: we will be in a position to generate really attractive 190 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 2: cash flows really regardless of the market environment. The market 191 00:10:57,000 --> 00:11:00,800 Speaker 2: is good. You know, we are starting the quarter, the 192 00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 2: current quarter as broad guidance around twenty two and a 193 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 2: half thousand dollars per day on our m R tankers, 194 00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:09,319 Speaker 2: which is again given out break even devils, really strong 195 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:12,600 Speaker 2: cash generation. There has been a step down from sort 196 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 2: of the levels we have seen before the last summer, 197 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 2: simply because in the fourth quarter there was this general 198 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 2: kind of risk of approach which we've seen well in shipping, 199 00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:25,839 Speaker 2: but really below that. Of course, you know, every time 200 00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 2: a cargo is trade at, a ship moves, and if 201 00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 2: we see less trading activity on oil products and the 202 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 2: commodities we carry, there is less movement on ships, and 203 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 2: of course that has a has a sort of a 204 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 2: dampening effect on freight rates. So still really good levels, 205 00:11:40,400 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 2: but we're probably off the peaks we would have seen 206 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 2: in the last spring, just because I think the world 207 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:46,719 Speaker 2: was just in a weird place where a lot of 208 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:48,839 Speaker 2: people were wondering what does all of this mean for US? 209 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 2: You know, trade wars, tariffs, you know, sanctions, and I 210 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 2: think now we're in a place where a lot of 211 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 2: our market participants are moving from that point of uncertainty 212 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 2: to taking positions arboutraging some of those new cargo flows, 213 00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 2: taking fixed term positions on vessels. And you know, refining 214 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:10,400 Speaker 2: margins have also jumped up here at the start of 215 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 2: the year. And of course the more the more money 216 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:17,959 Speaker 2: is to be made refining a barrel of oil production 217 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:21,880 Speaker 2: goes up. And every time, of course oil products are refined, 218 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:25,079 Speaker 2: they also need to move somehow somewhere and that very 219 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 2: often involve ships. 220 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:31,440 Speaker 1: Right. What has the I guess, the war between Russia 221 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,680 Speaker 1: and Ukraine, what has that dislocation done for rate that 222 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 1: I'm assuming that's been a net positive for rates obviously 223 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:38,840 Speaker 1: a negative for everything else. 224 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,839 Speaker 2: Of course, yeah, I mean, certainly, you know, not the 225 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 2: context we would have liked to see freight move up, 226 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 2: but dislocation was significant where Europe has been relying before 227 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:53,559 Speaker 2: the invasion of Ukraine heavily on bringing in oil products 228 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 2: and diesel from Russia, including you know, Baltic Russia. That 229 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:01,600 Speaker 2: is a very short trait from the Baltic into Northern 230 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 2: Europe once those product flows were sanctioned on borgoed. Rather, 231 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 2: the product inflows into Europe had to come from places 232 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:18,560 Speaker 2: that were substantially further away. So rather than from kind 233 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:22,319 Speaker 2: of across European trade, those would have come from the 234 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 2: US Gulf or from places as far away as the 235 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:28,720 Speaker 2: Middle East or even Asia. And that's of course a 236 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:31,920 Speaker 2: really large multiple in terms of voyage distance that ties 237 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:37,320 Speaker 2: up ships and removes supply effectively. There's always this double 238 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 2: double effect, of course, where not only does Europe have 239 00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:46,240 Speaker 2: to source its barrels from places further afield, at the 240 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 2: same time Russia was still producing diesel and those would 241 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:54,720 Speaker 2: find new markets in South America, in West Africa, some 242 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:57,440 Speaker 2: of them even as far as the Middle East. So 243 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:02,000 Speaker 2: an emergence of a two way trade that was significantly 244 00:14:04,200 --> 00:14:07,120 Speaker 2: longer than what we've seen before, right, And of course 245 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:09,560 Speaker 2: there is this interesting parallel if I may just add, 246 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:14,600 Speaker 2: where if we see, if we see talks of tariffs 247 00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 2: between you know, Canada and the US, where a third 248 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 2: of a third of the product imports into this part 249 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 2: of the US the US Atlantic Coast is actually coming 250 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 2: from Canada, and that's a relatively short trade and if 251 00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 2: now you will see those product imports increasingly sourced from 252 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:40,720 Speaker 2: Europe or from West Africa, the voyage length is sixfold, 253 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:44,120 Speaker 2: so again very significant in terms of the tunnel impact. 254 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 2: And equally, those Canadian barrels would likely also find new 255 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 2: markets that by definition would be further afield. 256 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: So these geopolitical risks are a good thing for the 257 00:14:55,560 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 1: tanker market ironically, Yes, gotcha, And I guess you know, 258 00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 1: barring those like where with that just like make rates 259 00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 1: to drop like significantly, Like where are we I guess 260 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 1: pre Russia Ukraine war in terms of raids? 261 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 2: Right? So I mean these are some of the questions 262 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 2: that people are asking themselves. Now you take those factors away, 263 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 2: does this mean the markets are just going to reverse? 264 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 2: And you know, two things that are important to point 265 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 2: out the evolving demand and supply picture. What don't mean 266 00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 2: by that? On the demand side, oil consumption is continuing 267 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,920 Speaker 2: to increase. We're going to see another one point one 268 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:39,640 Speaker 2: million barrels a day, you know, forecast in twenty twenty five. 269 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:43,120 Speaker 2: I think it's clear that oil products and oil will 270 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 2: continue to play a major role still to meet the 271 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:52,160 Speaker 2: global demands for energy and mobility. At the same time, 272 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 2: you see an emerging trend of biofuels, and these are 273 00:15:54,880 --> 00:15:58,120 Speaker 2: interesting new liquid products that come into the mix. But 274 00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 2: then also every time trades get reshuffled, that creates this 275 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 2: uncertainty that creates increased trading activity, creates bottlenecks, basically creates 276 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 2: inefficiencies in the system, and that tends to be really 277 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:15,680 Speaker 2: positive for freight rates as well. At the same time, 278 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:23,440 Speaker 2: on the supply side of things, the old demo demographic 279 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:27,000 Speaker 2: of the global tanker fleet, so ships that are older 280 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 2: than twenty years become harder to trade very often near 281 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 2: that age where they will be scrapped or recycled or demolished, 282 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 2: is actually three and a half times the audobook. So 283 00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 2: if you look at the supply side of things, long 284 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:45,840 Speaker 2: term fundamentals are also really attractive. So I think short 285 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:50,160 Speaker 2: term there's enough of sort of wildcard factors all positive 286 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 2: around terraffs. A lot of ships have been sanctioned also 287 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,640 Speaker 2: more recently, while the long term fundamentals we believe are 288 00:16:58,640 --> 00:16:59,920 Speaker 2: still very compelling. 289 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 1: Right, and I guess once if rates do go down, 290 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 1: a lot of those older ships will just get scrapped 291 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:08,640 Speaker 1: because it doesn't make any economic sense for them to 292 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:09,919 Speaker 1: be to be moving around. 293 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 2: That's exactly right. And a lot of those older ships 294 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 2: now have actually found their way into sort of gray 295 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:19,480 Speaker 2: area trades that would find a way to circumvent you know, sanctions, 296 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 2: you know, certainly something we wouldn't engage in. But there 297 00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 2: has been emergence of what is called the shadow fleet, 298 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:27,880 Speaker 2: sort of fringe players, and in a way they're being 299 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 2: kind of kept alive quote unquote through those marginal trades. 300 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 2: Once you take that away, once ships get to a 301 00:17:34,840 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 2: certain age, the capital investment in just maintaining those ships 302 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:43,560 Speaker 2: steel work and just keeping them tradeable is significant. So 303 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 2: that should really remove a lot of that older supply 304 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:47,399 Speaker 2: from the fleet. 305 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 1: So have you been keeping your fleet away from the 306 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 1: Suez Canal, you know, given the risks there. 307 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:55,920 Speaker 2: Yes, I mean we have not transited the Red Sea 308 00:17:56,400 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 2: since you know, the end of twenty twenty three. For us, 309 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 2: the safety of our seafarers is always going to be 310 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 2: a fir ust priority and anything that happens from here 311 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 2: would have that as the overarching objective. We're in close 312 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:13,720 Speaker 2: contact with industry associations, with security advisors, with other industry 313 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:16,840 Speaker 2: peers as well. But for us to resume transit to 314 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 2: the Red Sea. We would really have to see a credible, 315 00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:25,840 Speaker 2: sustained normalization of conditions. And look, I mean not to 316 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:29,840 Speaker 2: unpack the situation in the Middle East, but it's safe 317 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,800 Speaker 2: to say that the situation in all of you remains 318 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,320 Speaker 2: infinitely complex. And these things don't tend to move in 319 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 2: a straight line. So we're holding back. And all the 320 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,439 Speaker 2: other higher t owners that we have been interacting with 321 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 2: are also still very decisively stepping away from the Red Sea. 322 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,479 Speaker 1: And that's been that Also, that whole dislocation has been 323 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 1: a positive for rates because of the dislocation that is 324 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:56,480 Speaker 1: created and forcing people around the Cape of Good Hope in. 325 00:18:56,400 --> 00:19:03,680 Speaker 2: Africa has definitely played a part. Mars actually more hasn't 326 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,120 Speaker 2: been that huge of an impact. I mean, only four 327 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:08,359 Speaker 2: percent of them Mars really would be on would be 328 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 2: on that trade. But you know, overall, of course ships 329 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:12,679 Speaker 2: had to go along a distance, so that would have 330 00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 2: had its impact. Interesting thing is, even if we saw 331 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:18,240 Speaker 2: a reversal again, you're looking back at sort of that 332 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 2: you know, trade lane shifting, which creates a lot of 333 00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:24,040 Speaker 2: movement in product markets, and if we were to go 334 00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:28,159 Speaker 2: the shorter route again, you know, actually you would expect 335 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:31,280 Speaker 2: to see more cargo flows, especially of those premium runs 336 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 2: east to west. So you know, the the the red 337 00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 2: Sea situation has been a part of some of those 338 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,639 Speaker 2: market drivers, but certainly hasn't been the only one. And 339 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:42,119 Speaker 2: I wouldn't I wouldn't look at it, you know, with 340 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:43,280 Speaker 2: singular view. 341 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:45,360 Speaker 1: Right in earlier you talked to a kind of big 342 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,879 Speaker 1: picture about supply demand dynamics and and how you know 343 00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:52,440 Speaker 1: there's a large percentage of ships that could be scrapped. 344 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 1: Is there any difference between sub segments within the product 345 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: anchor market? Like are some more? Are some even better 346 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 1: than other in terms of the supplied demanded dynamics that 347 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,240 Speaker 1: are favorable at rates on. 348 00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:08,160 Speaker 2: A relative basis. DMRs are still you know, probably looking 349 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,479 Speaker 2: looking more favorable on a relative basis. Also the chemical 350 00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:15,800 Speaker 2: tankers where that you know that that ratio between old 351 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:18,959 Speaker 2: ships and the autobook is compelling, as I said three 352 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 2: and a half three and a half times. 353 00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 1: So can you tell our listeners what is an MR ah? 354 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:28,800 Speaker 2: Yes, probably should have set that at the start. It 355 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 2: stands for medium range tankers roughly fifty thousand tons you know, 356 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,879 Speaker 2: dead weight or basically how much cogo they can carry. 357 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,760 Speaker 2: They would really be what we call the workhourses of 358 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:44,439 Speaker 2: the tanker trade. It's the largest sector, it's by far 359 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:48,000 Speaker 2: the most liquid sector with the one thousand, six hundred 360 00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:51,239 Speaker 2: vessels globally, and that's partially why we so attracted to it, 361 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,960 Speaker 2: because there's always lots of trading activity. But aside from 362 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,720 Speaker 2: just liquidity on the asset side, you can also trade 363 00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:00,399 Speaker 2: these ships in the most versatile way, as I explained earlier, 364 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,600 Speaker 2: exploring not just petroleum based trades but also a lot 365 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,439 Speaker 2: of emerging in alternative cargo flows that just give us 366 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:08,520 Speaker 2: that optionality when we trade our ships. 367 00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:12,160 Speaker 1: So what we're kind of the long term or I guess, yeah, 368 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,720 Speaker 1: I guess longer term picture that you were painting today 369 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:18,359 Speaker 1: at your investor day for the audience. So you know, 370 00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,720 Speaker 1: where are you seeing demand going for because obviously it's 371 00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:24,120 Speaker 1: going to be hard to predict because all the geopolitical 372 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:25,119 Speaker 1: stuff that we talked about. 373 00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:29,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, great, great point. I mean the long term demand picture, 374 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:34,919 Speaker 2: annual growth in oil products and demand for oil seems 375 00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:39,200 Speaker 2: to be still a very clear trend that will carry 376 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:42,400 Speaker 2: through for a while. So we are fairly positive about 377 00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,960 Speaker 2: about the demand picture. At the same time, you know, 378 00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:52,120 Speaker 2: aside from the aging fleet, yard capacity is really fully utilized. 379 00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 2: At this point. There are a lot of ships on 380 00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 2: order outside of the tanker sector, container ships, gas carriers, bulkers. 381 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 2: So if you wanted to order a ship from a 382 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,359 Speaker 2: first class shipyard in Japan, that'd say you're looking at 383 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,040 Speaker 2: a delivery in twenty twenty nine. You might get some 384 00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:13,159 Speaker 2: earlier slots in China, you know, possibly in Korea, but 385 00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:16,119 Speaker 2: you're really looking several years out if you wanted to 386 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:19,959 Speaker 2: not add supply to the fleet. So even if we 387 00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:24,400 Speaker 2: saw new ordering you know, ramp up from here, which 388 00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:28,840 Speaker 2: we don't at the moment anyway, this would be spread 389 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 2: out over a you know course of really the rest 390 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:34,840 Speaker 2: of the decade. So we remain very constructive about it's 391 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:38,560 Speaker 2: an old fleet new you know, shipyard capacity is really 392 00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 2: restrained and the demand picture just remains positive. And you know, again, 393 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 2: I think we see this every day. Where as much 394 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,480 Speaker 2: as of course there is a desire to increasingly move 395 00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:53,040 Speaker 2: away from faster based transportation fuels, they still very much 396 00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:55,199 Speaker 2: remain part of the mix. And I'm through all of 397 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:56,960 Speaker 2: our listeners when they figel up their car or get 398 00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:58,480 Speaker 2: on a plane experience that. 399 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 1: So yeah, and when you guys are ordering a new ship, 400 00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:05,199 Speaker 1: do you are you agnostic to where it's built or like, 401 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,239 Speaker 1: are the or the Japanese ships much better than the 402 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:10,520 Speaker 1: ones that they're making in Chinese? In China right now 403 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:12,640 Speaker 1: in terms of the product tanker market. 404 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,560 Speaker 2: At the moment, the ships that we own have all 405 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:20,160 Speaker 2: been built at Japanese and Korean shipyards. Chinese shipyards have 406 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:24,440 Speaker 2: certainly developed in terms of quality. So I think you 407 00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:28,320 Speaker 2: you certainly shouldn't look past China. And and we're not 408 00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 2: in any We're not in any conversation on new buildings. 409 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,400 Speaker 2: You know, we look at all sources of deal floid 410 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 2: all times. But you know, I think I think they're 411 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 2: all builders of quality tonnage with the slight difference in 412 00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:45,720 Speaker 2: maybe the the finer touch points and pricing as well. 413 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,119 Speaker 1: And so you know, switching gears a little bit. You know, 414 00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:52,160 Speaker 1: emissions is has become an important thing for a lot 415 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:56,040 Speaker 1: of fleets, has been important to you know, the the 416 00:23:56,119 --> 00:24:00,800 Speaker 1: industry with IMO targets, which some might view it is aggressive. 417 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:06,080 Speaker 1: How are you guy, what is your plans for reducing 418 00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 1: your emissions? Like what technologies are you investing in today 419 00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:13,800 Speaker 1: for the reductions that are expected I guess twenty thirty 420 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 1: and twenty fifty. 421 00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, great, great question. For us, we're probably taking a 422 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 2: very pragmatic approach to this, where for us, being just 423 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,320 Speaker 2: a very efficient company that is focusing on fuel efficiency 424 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:29,720 Speaker 2: has always been part of our DNA since the company 425 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,560 Speaker 2: was found in a twenty ten because you know, in 426 00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:35,680 Speaker 2: a way, if you can pollute less and also save 427 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 2: that fuel cost, fuel is our largest variable. Cost is 428 00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,320 Speaker 2: a no brainer. And so one thing is of course, 429 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 2: you know, buying ordering ships that are fuel efficient, but 430 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,439 Speaker 2: even with existing tonnage, you can do a lot to 431 00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 2: make them more efficient on the margin, one by just 432 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:57,439 Speaker 2: upgrading the ships physically from the way the main engine 433 00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:01,040 Speaker 2: is is run. Also, a lot of the you know, 434 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:05,000 Speaker 2: auxiliar rear generators offer a lot of improvement opportunities. But 435 00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:09,280 Speaker 2: also increasingly how you integrate artificial intelligence in how you 436 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 2: execute your voyages. Because every time you decide on the 437 00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:16,040 Speaker 2: speed of a ship, you do one or two things. 438 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 2: Either you go fast capture stronger market, or you go 439 00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:22,679 Speaker 2: slower and there where you save fuel. So you're basically 440 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:26,880 Speaker 2: making an economic output decision at infinite points throughout the voyage. 441 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 2: And by using you know, AI assisted optimization tools, you 442 00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:34,760 Speaker 2: can really make sure that marginal cost and model revenue 443 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,000 Speaker 2: are balanced at all times throughout the voyage and thereby 444 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 2: profit is maximized. So one of many examples, but we 445 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:44,800 Speaker 2: feel that, you know, before you you have to get 446 00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:50,600 Speaker 2: into you know, placing larger bets on new alternative fuels 447 00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,640 Speaker 2: that of course all come at a larger capital outlay. 448 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:55,920 Speaker 2: There's a lot you can do with your existing fleet 449 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:57,800 Speaker 2: and making it just more fuel efficient in the end 450 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,119 Speaker 2: now and then just again integrating that with the with 451 00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,119 Speaker 2: the rest of your organization in terms of how you 452 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 2: trade around that. 453 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,240 Speaker 1: Right, And if you're ordering a new fleet or a 454 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:07,919 Speaker 1: new ship, are you ordering like a dual fuel and 455 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:10,800 Speaker 1: what are those dual fuels that you're kind of focused on. 456 00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:14,800 Speaker 2: Well, we're engaging with with some of our customers, you know, 457 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:17,720 Speaker 2: blue chip customers on some longer term projects where they 458 00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:22,119 Speaker 2: have some needs to to embrace some of those modern 459 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:26,679 Speaker 2: fuels on either the propulsion side or carrying those cargoes, 460 00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:30,520 Speaker 2: and that for us would be something we'd be very 461 00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:33,679 Speaker 2: happy to execute on today. Otherwise, you know, if you 462 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,560 Speaker 2: were to order ship today, you can basically have have 463 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 2: these ships duel fuel ready where you basically spend a 464 00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:43,840 Speaker 2: little bit more to get that optionality. As right now, 465 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:50,280 Speaker 2: the the the landscape of alternative fuels is still you know, evolving. 466 00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: Are you optimistic that the industry is going to be 467 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:56,800 Speaker 1: able to be zero admissions by you know when the 468 00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:58,679 Speaker 1: IMO is looking for that to happen. 469 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:06,359 Speaker 2: It's an ambitious target and we probably still fall short 470 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:12,919 Speaker 2: of really meaningful ways to either incentivize owners or you know, 471 00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:18,720 Speaker 2: charterers to to really go from a level of ambition 472 00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:23,160 Speaker 2: and commitment to this becoming a commercial and financial reality. 473 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 2: So time will tell, but you know, twenty thirty is 474 00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,119 Speaker 2: kind of upon us. In twenty fifty when you think 475 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,520 Speaker 2: about the lifespan of ships is also not that far away. 476 00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 1: Right, Okay, So what is Ardmore's capital allocation strategy? What's 477 00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:39,840 Speaker 1: what's what's the focus when you're when you're dealing with that. 478 00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:43,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, great, great questions. So for key elements the way 479 00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:47,439 Speaker 2: we look at capital allocation, one is really around you know, 480 00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 2: reinvesting in the business could just be maintaining the fleet, 481 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:56,240 Speaker 2: making it more fuel efficient, making sure it's it's it's 482 00:27:56,359 --> 00:28:00,280 Speaker 2: increasing in terms of versatility, but also you know, at 483 00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 2: the right time, well priced a creative growth then it's 484 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,560 Speaker 2: you know, making sure that our debt levels are at 485 00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 2: healthy levels, and you know we have very aggressively repaid 486 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 2: debt over the past few years. And then of course 487 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:19,359 Speaker 2: it's returning capital to our shareholders where we have a 488 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:24,919 Speaker 2: well established dividend policy third of earnings. And then you know, 489 00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:28,399 Speaker 2: as is appropriate, if we see most valiant buying our 490 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:31,840 Speaker 2: own stock or we've seen significant dislocation, you know, we 491 00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:34,360 Speaker 2: can also engage on share buybacks. 492 00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 1: Do you guys have a debt leverage target or are 493 00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:38,480 Speaker 1: you at the target. 494 00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:41,080 Speaker 2: Pretty much at zero at this point or close to zero? 495 00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:44,920 Speaker 2: And the way we probably should look at leverage in 496 00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 2: this industry is almost through the cycle, where you know, 497 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:50,680 Speaker 2: there are times when you're producing significant cash flows where 498 00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,200 Speaker 2: it's really time to de lever to then you know, 499 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:57,520 Speaker 2: first of all, be resilient when there's kind of gyrations 500 00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:00,360 Speaker 2: in the market, but more importantly, those would be the 501 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 2: opportune time to then expand and modernize, and then of 502 00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:07,600 Speaker 2: course you want to be in a position to level 503 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:09,720 Speaker 2: up again, so you almost want to look at your 504 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:13,200 Speaker 2: ideal dead levels on a through cycle basis, which then 505 00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:16,400 Speaker 2: might be I don't know, thirty forty percent without without 506 00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 2: kind of necessarily committing to kind of specific numbers. But 507 00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 2: if it's in a good market as close to zero 508 00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:25,520 Speaker 2: and when you really want to expand during a weaker 509 00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:28,240 Speaker 2: part of the market to like fifty to sixty percent, 510 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:29,760 Speaker 2: it's maybe somewhere between those two. 511 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:32,920 Speaker 1: And you know, like, so looking at twenty twenty five, 512 00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 1: our earnings expectations for you guys, you know they're down there. 513 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 1: They're expected down considerably from twenty twenty four, which was 514 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,520 Speaker 1: a good year. I guess peak earnings for you guys 515 00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:44,400 Speaker 1: for twenty twenty two is that right? 516 00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:48,120 Speaker 2: We had? Interestingly enough, we had throughout all those years, 517 00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 2: we've had strong and week quarters, and I think that's 518 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 2: that's quickly forgotten. Where don't you don't find a year 519 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 2: that just runs through at a certain level. You actually 520 00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:58,480 Speaker 2: see a lot of volatility month and month in quarter 521 00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:00,760 Speaker 2: on quarter, which you know, even as we were looking 522 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 2: at twenty twenty two, for instance, and you really saw 523 00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,560 Speaker 2: rates straight up, there were actually week months and week 524 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:06,720 Speaker 2: quarters in that time as well. 525 00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 1: So what is I guess the outlook for rates so 526 00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,240 Speaker 1: far in the first quarter twenty twenty five versus last year. 527 00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:18,959 Speaker 2: We think we've kind of seen things turn around at 528 00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,080 Speaker 2: this point. I mean we are guiding at the moment 529 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:23,640 Speaker 2: roughly twenty two and a half thousand dollars per day 530 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,600 Speaker 2: for the MRS in the current quarter. And this is 531 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:29,440 Speaker 2: still at a time when when you know, there's some 532 00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:33,520 Speaker 2: seasonal drivers that are holding freight back. A big driver 533 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 2: of strength and freight rates is US golf refinery activity. 534 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,720 Speaker 2: And we've had this big cold snap in Texas not 535 00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 2: too long ago, and that we reduced activity a lot. 536 00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,719 Speaker 2: But then also we're now in this seasonal time when 537 00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,520 Speaker 2: refineries just go through their maintenance cycle. So we down 538 00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:56,160 Speaker 2: to roughly eighty percent of Houston refinery utilization and typically 539 00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:59,080 Speaker 2: in a normal in normal times, this would be somewhere 540 00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 2: between nine three to ninety five percent. So we feel that, 541 00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 2: you know, some of the re emergence of East to 542 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 2: west flows tariffs should really set us up for a 543 00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 2: for you know, stronger rates than we've seen so far. 544 00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:15,360 Speaker 1: Okay, and I'm sorry, So the twenty thousand is that 545 00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:18,320 Speaker 1: up or down from last year? What first quarter of 546 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. 547 00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:25,239 Speaker 3: Uh, that's uh, that's down down Okay, yeah, okay, So 548 00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:28,800 Speaker 3: I mean it's really you know, your your revenues and 549 00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,680 Speaker 3: earnings are like one hundred percent tied to whatever the 550 00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:34,560 Speaker 3: spot market's doing, because you guys are absolutely yeah. 551 00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:37,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, So roughly for every for every ten thousand dollars 552 00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:41,880 Speaker 2: a day in TSE, our annual EPs moves by roughly 553 00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:46,880 Speaker 2: two point three dollars. So it's it's very significant. But 554 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,160 Speaker 2: also there of course, as we're making these marginal adjustments 555 00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 2: to efficiency, uh, and in vestler performance, you can actually 556 00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:57,240 Speaker 2: lock in some some really strong relative gains regardless of 557 00:31:57,280 --> 00:31:58,880 Speaker 2: what happens in the broader marketplaces. 558 00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:02,720 Speaker 1: And so you know, running a large product tanker fleet, 559 00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:03,640 Speaker 1: what keeps you up at. 560 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:08,000 Speaker 2: Night first and foremost always, uh, you know, safety of 561 00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,920 Speaker 2: our ships, right, I mean this is you know, these 562 00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:14,280 Speaker 2: are real physical trades ships, you know, going through bad 563 00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 2: weather sometimes and in ports that are not quite to 564 00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 2: the to the standard we used here, used to here, 565 00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 2: So I think that's always really of us priority. Then 566 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:28,760 Speaker 2: really making sure that we stay off the forefront of 567 00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:33,960 Speaker 2: what's possible, you know, continuing to look for ways to innovate, optimize, 568 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:36,120 Speaker 2: really keeping a track of what's what's happening in the 569 00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:40,440 Speaker 2: market and how can we find new ways to to 570 00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,080 Speaker 2: to invest in the fleet, grow the fleet, create long 571 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:47,240 Speaker 2: term shareholder value and and just being very focused on that. 572 00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:49,880 Speaker 1: So yeah, on the innovation side you mentioned earlier like 573 00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:52,800 Speaker 1: AI using AI. Guess from your from a voyage standpoint, 574 00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:55,760 Speaker 1: is that stuff that you guys buy off the shelf 575 00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:57,320 Speaker 1: or is this stuff that you develop and. 576 00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,440 Speaker 2: Have Every company should make it a say on the 577 00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 2: AI strategy if they want to be developers of AI, 578 00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:09,080 Speaker 2: investors in AI, or just really good adopters of AI. Right, 579 00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:11,760 Speaker 2: And for us, we made a decision that you know, 580 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:15,560 Speaker 2: it's the third because the former two options don't really 581 00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:18,280 Speaker 2: align without aligned, without cost strategy or with our expertise. 582 00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:21,920 Speaker 2: So for us, it's been, it's been, it's been always 583 00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 2: just being very much on the forefront looking through a 584 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:28,920 Speaker 2: lot of you know, the full full realm of improvement opportunities. 585 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:34,040 Speaker 2: For twenty efficiency upgrades we embraced and rolled out across 586 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:37,520 Speaker 2: the fleet. We typically would review two hundred, so quite picky. 587 00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,720 Speaker 2: Not everything is as effective as people make you believe. 588 00:33:41,760 --> 00:33:44,040 Speaker 2: There's a lot of snake all out there. But we've 589 00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:47,160 Speaker 2: had really good, good experience with the with the solutions 590 00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 2: we choose to adopt. And that goes from again actually 591 00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,880 Speaker 2: physical upgrades to our ships. How can we how can 592 00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 2: we manage voyage execution, but also how can we make 593 00:33:57,120 --> 00:33:59,440 Speaker 2: make decisions on cargo flows? And the markets do just 594 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:03,600 Speaker 2: tracking tracking ship movements and cargo flows in a very 595 00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:08,080 Speaker 2: intuitive way, which gives all ship traders the tools to 596 00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:10,719 Speaker 2: make the right decisions the fast. 597 00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:14,080 Speaker 1: So when I introduced you, you know, I mentioned the 598 00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 1: twenty three years of experience in the industry. What attracted 599 00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:21,160 Speaker 1: you to the shipping industry? Were you kind of like 600 00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:23,920 Speaker 1: were you born into it? Did you fall into it? Like, 601 00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:26,960 Speaker 1: how did you, you know, start your career in shipping? 602 00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:30,840 Speaker 2: Really the wide horizon that wasn't born into it, no 603 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:33,760 Speaker 2: family ties. I'm the first in my family to venture 604 00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 2: into the maritime space. There was just something about the 605 00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:40,160 Speaker 2: international exposure and the business that really attracted me. And 606 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:42,160 Speaker 2: you know, my first years at MARSK were very formative 607 00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:45,680 Speaker 2: in that sense where the management program was extremely international 608 00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,400 Speaker 2: and at the chance to live in different parts of 609 00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:54,359 Speaker 2: the world. And then you know, specifically energy shipping is 610 00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 2: fascinating because everything that really happens in the world, you're 611 00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:00,600 Speaker 2: right at the center of it. I think we've seen 612 00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:04,880 Speaker 2: certainly recent years how even the mainstream media has probably 613 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:08,520 Speaker 2: picked up more on coverage of shipping trends, whether it 614 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:14,440 Speaker 2: was supply chain bottlenecks during COVID or you know, shifting 615 00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,919 Speaker 2: shifting trades on the back of Russia, Ukraine, the Red Sea. 616 00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:20,800 Speaker 2: And yeah, you're right at the center of what happens 617 00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:22,439 Speaker 2: in the world, which has drawn me into it. 618 00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:24,319 Speaker 1: And so you lived all over the world, you have 619 00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:25,600 Speaker 1: one place that is your favorite. 620 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,040 Speaker 2: New York will always have a very very special place 621 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,359 Speaker 2: in my heart, you know. And whenever I'm back here, 622 00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:34,239 Speaker 2: part of me has never left. So it's it's great 623 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:35,760 Speaker 2: to be back here. That's great. 624 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,600 Speaker 1: And then you know, I guess you know what is 625 00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:42,319 Speaker 1: your favorite thing about your job? 626 00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 2: As CEO of Ardmore, we are a company that really 627 00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:50,880 Speaker 2: means business. Yeah, when we talk about corporate governance and 628 00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:55,160 Speaker 2: our values and making a difference, it's not just window dressing. 629 00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:58,759 Speaker 2: It's not just stuff for an annual report. We live 630 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,719 Speaker 2: it every day. Meaningful interaction with the board on some 631 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,520 Speaker 2: of those big questions that of course affect you know, 632 00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:08,200 Speaker 2: shareholder value, but also the business and all our stakeholders 633 00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:11,839 Speaker 2: or staff or employees. Uh and and of course our 634 00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:16,239 Speaker 2: business partners too. So that's what I feel very passionate about. 635 00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:18,520 Speaker 2: Art More. I feel very passionate about the way we 636 00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,120 Speaker 2: really live innovation and don't just put it into a 637 00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:24,640 Speaker 2: corner and say that's our innovation department. Really permorates every 638 00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:27,919 Speaker 2: part of the organization. So there's something very entrepreneurial about 639 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:32,440 Speaker 2: art More and and I think that's what what ultimately 640 00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:35,280 Speaker 2: drives me and motivates me. And it's really the people 641 00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:39,279 Speaker 2: around me, where a lot of people within Artmore have 642 00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 2: been able to progress their careers within the company, where 643 00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:45,840 Speaker 2: people have always had a chance to kind of step 644 00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:50,759 Speaker 2: in and step up and and and this this from 645 00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:54,200 Speaker 2: you know, the CEO transition, which of course was an 646 00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:58,640 Speaker 2: internal succession, but all the layers in the company around 647 00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:01,680 Speaker 2: that too have always given the people a chance to 648 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:03,920 Speaker 2: grow and develop. And also that I think makes it 649 00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:06,160 Speaker 2: quite unique and a great place to work for. 650 00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:08,120 Speaker 1: Okay, great, And before I let you go, I like 651 00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:09,560 Speaker 1: to ask this of all my guests, do you have 652 00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:12,399 Speaker 1: a favorite book about the industry or about leadership that's 653 00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:13,399 Speaker 1: kind of close to your heart. 654 00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:17,319 Speaker 2: I always enjoy reading books about maybe not so much 655 00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 2: the industry, but really what lies underneath moving tankers, which 656 00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:25,040 Speaker 2: is you know, commodity trading. So books like the King 657 00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:29,440 Speaker 2: of oil, which covers the emergence of the spot market 658 00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:33,280 Speaker 2: for oil. Basically, Mark rich Font of glen Core developed 659 00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:37,000 Speaker 2: that more recently The World for Sale. If you want 660 00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:42,080 Speaker 2: to understand how tankers move, why they move, when they move, 661 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:45,640 Speaker 2: need to understand why and when and how oil moves 662 00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:50,279 Speaker 2: first and foremost, so I enjoy reading those books. Leadership 663 00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:54,960 Speaker 2: for Me The Culture Map by Aaron Mayer for the 664 00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:57,960 Speaker 2: shipping industry, very relevant companion on how you can really 665 00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:01,800 Speaker 2: lead across cultures and leverage understanding those different dimensions of 666 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,400 Speaker 2: how we all show up in the market, in the 667 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:08,080 Speaker 2: workplace and how that is affected by how we were 668 00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:11,960 Speaker 2: raised by all parents in school, and how you can 669 00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:15,759 Speaker 2: redeceive the opportunity and arguably also you know, beauty and 670 00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:19,239 Speaker 2: working in such a such an international place by shipping great. 671 00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:22,040 Speaker 1: Well, garn, I really appreciate your time. Learned a lot 672 00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:24,759 Speaker 1: here about ad more and about your career. So thanks 673 00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:25,920 Speaker 1: so much for joining us today. 674 00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:27,759 Speaker 2: Thank you. I really appreciate it, and. 675 00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,520 Speaker 1: I want to thank you for tuning in. If you 676 00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:33,000 Speaker 1: liked the episode, please subscribe and laver review. We've lined 677 00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:34,960 Speaker 1: up a number of great guests for the podcast, so 678 00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:39,879 Speaker 1: please check back to hear conversations with C suite executives, shippers, regulators, 679 00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:43,160 Speaker 1: and decision makers within the freight markets. Also, if you 680 00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:45,520 Speaker 1: have an idea for a future episode, please hit me 681 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,880 Speaker 1: up on the Bloomberg terminal or on x at Logistics late. 682 00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:50,839 Speaker 1: Thanks everyone, take care by now