Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.
Speaker 2: Good morning.
Speaker 1: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the
Speaker 1: stories we're following today.
Speaker 3: Karen, we begin with a political move that is roiling
Speaker 3: markets this morning. President like Donald Trump has made his
Speaker 3: first specific threat to curb global trade flows since his
Speaker 3: election win. We get the details from Bloomberg's Doug Prisner.
Speaker 4: In a post on Truth Social Trump said the US
Speaker 4: will impose an additional ten percent tariff on Chinese goods
Speaker 4: on top of all existing levies beginning his first day
Speaker 4: in office, and in a separate post, the president elect
Speaker 4: said he will impose a twenty five percent tariff on
Speaker 4: all goods from Canada and Mexico. Trump framed these new
Speaker 4: levies as necessary to clamp down on migrants and illegal
Speaker 4: drugs flowing across borders, and the announcement came just after
Speaker 4: Trump tapped Scott Besson to be the next US Treasury Secretary.
Speaker 4: His selection was viewed is a sign of a more
Speaker 4: measured stance on tariffs in New York. I'm Doug Prisoner,
Speaker 4: Bloomberg Radio.
Speaker 1: All Right, Doug, thanks, well, there's plenty of reaction this
Speaker 1: morning to Trump's tariff plans. Jennifer Hillman is the former
Speaker 1: General Counsel at the Office of the US Trade Representative.
Speaker 5: I think again, you can expect this to be very,
Speaker 5: very transactional, and I think that's part of the reason
Speaker 5: for announcing it well before he's even in office. I mean,
Speaker 5: he is clearly looking for and I would say, you know,
Speaker 5: Canada and Mexico to come to him with offers of
Speaker 5: things that they can do.
Speaker 1: Former General Counsel at the Office of the United States
Speaker 1: Trade Representative Jennifer Hillman made the comments on Bloomberg Insights
Speaker 1: with has Linda amin Well Caring.
Speaker 3: The dollar rallied and Asian stocks fell as Trump's comments
Speaker 3: ratcheted up concerns about his America First policies. This morning,
Speaker 3: a China Foreign Ministry spokesperson was asked whether there are
Speaker 3: any plans for talks before Trump takes office.
Speaker 6: Information to offer at this moment, but shall we remain
Speaker 6: open to gallog and communication in principle.
Speaker 3: China's Foreign Ministry, reacting to Trump's comments, the offshore you
Speaker 3: on week into a four month low. The Mexican peso
Speaker 3: and Canadian dollar both tumbled more than one percent.
Speaker 1: And Nathan Bloomberg News has learned shortly after Trump's post,
Speaker 1: Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau contacted the President elect and
Speaker 1: the two leaders had a phone call to discuss border
Speaker 1: security and trade. Sources a Trudeau pointed out to Trump
Speaker 1: that the number of migrants who crossed the Canadian border
Speaker 1: into the US is minuscule compared to those who crossed
Speaker 1: from Mexico, well cairing.
Speaker 3: The other major news coming out of Washington this morning
Speaker 3: is from the Justice Department. Federal prosecutors have moved to
Speaker 3: drop their two criminal cases against President elect Trump because
Speaker 3: he won the race. Bloomberg's Amy Morris reports from Washington.
Speaker 7: In the court filing, special counsel Jack Smith says the
Speaker 7: Justice Department policy requires him to abandon the case. Smith
Speaker 7: was working to hold Trump criminally accountable for efforts to
Speaker 7: subvert the twenty twenty election and mishandling of classified documents.
Speaker 7: Smith's team also emphasized that the move to abandon their
Speaker 7: pross USANs was not a reflection of the merits of
Speaker 7: the cases, but a recognition of the legal shield that
Speaker 7: surrounds any commander in chief. The team says it will
Speaker 7: continue to pursue cases against co defendants in the classified
Speaker 7: documents case. What is not clear is the fate of
Speaker 7: the state criminal cases still pending against Trump in Washington,
Speaker 7: Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio.
Speaker 1: All right, Amy, thank you now to the latest from
Speaker 1: the Middle East. And Israel and Hezbola may be getting
Speaker 1: closer to a size fire deal, even as both sides
Speaker 1: keep firing rockets and artillery at each other. Bloomberg'sdayna Chris
Speaker 1: reports Israel's security cabinet is expected to vote an agreement today.
Speaker 8: This has come almost two months after negotiations have started.
Speaker 8: We were here about a month and a half ago
Speaker 8: in October when Israel agreed to a US and France
Speaker 8: proposal for ceasfire agreement, and then we saw Israel not
Speaker 8: backing this deal. So there could be some sort of
Speaker 8: backing out of the deal by Israel. There is some
Speaker 8: opposition among Israeli officials to that deal.
Speaker 1: But if the deal passes, Bloomberg's Innacraser ports the US
Speaker 1: and France could announce it immediately. The latest proposal calls
Speaker 1: for a sixty day ceasefire where hez Below fighters had
Speaker 1: moved north of the tiny river, about nineteen miles from
Speaker 1: the Israeli border. Israel would reserve the right to respond
Speaker 1: if it sees hes below breaking the agreement. That part
Speaker 1: of the deal has gotten significant pushback well.
Speaker 3: Turning back to markets now, Karen, As we mentioned, the
Speaker 3: dollar has been strengthening following Trump's latest tariff comments. Futures
Speaker 3: have turned higher as well. Stocks gained yesterday, fueled by
Speaker 3: the nomination of Scott Bessen to be of Trump's Treasury Secretary.
Speaker 3: Laurie Calvacina' head of US equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets,
Speaker 3: remains bullas she has a sixty six hundred price target
Speaker 3: for the SMP five hundred next year.
Speaker 9: The sixty six hundred is the approximate median of those
Speaker 9: five different models than the outputs that they produced. There
Speaker 9: is a little bit of a range. At the low end,
Speaker 9: our valuation model, which also incorporates our earning testament, is
Speaker 9: getting this number a little bit below sixty two hundred
Speaker 9: or a pe at the end of next year on
Speaker 9: a trailing basis that would be about twenty two point
Speaker 9: seven times. On the high end, our cross asset model
Speaker 9: is pointing to a twelve point seven percent return on
Speaker 9: the year, which gets us well above sixty seven hundred,
Speaker 9: So there's a little bit of a range there, but
Speaker 9: that's sixty six hundred we think is a really reasonable
Speaker 9: base case to focus on at this point.
Speaker 3: RBC Capital Zori Calvicinas price target of sixty six hundred
Speaker 3: would be about a ten percent gain for the S
Speaker 3: and P five hundred from current levels.
Speaker 1: Well, we turn to the economy now. Nathan in Minneapolis
Speaker 1: Fed President Neil cash Care retails Bloomberg that it is
Speaker 1: still appropriate to consider another interest rate cut at the
Speaker 1: Central Banks December meeting.
Speaker 10: This is what I'm trying to understand right now is
Speaker 10: how much downward pressure are we putting on the economy
Speaker 10: and what is the path for inflation. But right now,
Speaker 10: knowing what I know today, you know still considering a
Speaker 10: twenty five basis point cut in December. It's a reasonable
Speaker 10: debate for us.
Speaker 1: To have Minneapolis Fed President Neil Cashcar and officials or
Speaker 1: receive more data both on inflation and the labor market
Speaker 1: before their December meet up. The latest update on the
Speaker 1: FEDS preferred to price gauges will be released tomorrow.
Speaker 3: In Company News, Karen Walmart is the latest business reversing
Speaker 3: course on diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives. The world's biggest
Speaker 3: retailer will no longer consider race and gender to boost
Speaker 3: diversity when granting supplier contracts, and will stop collecting demographic
Speaker 3: data when assessing financing eligibility. Walmart joins at least ten
Speaker 3: other companies, from Deer to Boeing that have pulled back
Speaker 3: on DEI commitments in recent months as Corporate America reconsiders
Speaker 3: diversity policies in the wake of last year's Supreme Court
Speaker 3: ruling banning affirmative action in college admissions, and.
Speaker 1: Nathan and Biden administration has finalized a deal to give
Speaker 1: Intel nearly seven point nine billion dollars in federal grants.
Speaker 1: That's the largest direct subsidy from a program to boost
Speaker 1: domestic semiconductor manufacturing. The agreement for the struggling chip maker,
Speaker 1: smaller than an earlier proposed award, means that Intel can
Speaker 1: begin receiving funds at it hits negotiated benchmarks on projects
Speaker 1: in four US states. In another development, Bloomberg News has
Speaker 1: learned Qualcom's int in pursuing an acquisition of Intel has cooled,
Speaker 1: and Intel shares they are down about one in a
Speaker 1: third percent this morning time. Now for a look at
Speaker 1: some of the other stories making news in New York
Speaker 1: and around the world. And from that we're joined by
Speaker 1: Bloomberg's John Tucker, John, Good Morning, Yeah, Good morning.
Speaker 11: Karen. The prosecutor oversees Wall Street stepping down. Manhattan US
Speaker 11: Attorney Damian Williams will resigned December thirteenth after three years.
Speaker 11: Let's get more from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellet.
Speaker 2: It comes as the leadership of the office known as
Speaker 2: the Sheriff of Wall Street transitions to Donald Trump's new administration.
Speaker 2: The forty four year old Williams has announced he plans
Speaker 2: to step down. Deputy US Attorney Edward Kim will temporarily
Speaker 2: step into the top job after Williams leaves. Trump announced
Speaker 2: earlier this month that he will be nominating former SEC
Speaker 2: Chair Jay Clayton to lead the office in New York.
Speaker 2: Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Radio.
Speaker 11: Fifty thousand flights are set to take off nationwide today,
Speaker 11: the most of this busy holiday week for drivers. This
Speaker 11: Thanksgiving holiday triple ass more than seventy million are sent
Speaker 11: to hit the roads today. The good News gasoline prizes
Speaker 11: nationwide are at their lowest levels since twenty twenty one
Speaker 11: Republican lawmakers. They're calling on the Biden administration to preserve
Speaker 11: documents related to the proposed sale of US deal to
Speaker 11: japan based Nippon Steal. They're expressing serious concerns that politics
Speaker 11: have tainted an ongoing national security review of the deal
Speaker 11: and raising the prospect of a congressional probe. And brothers
Speaker 11: Eric and Lyle Menendez were hoping for a December hearing
Speaker 11: to plead for their release after serving thirty five years
Speaker 11: for the nineteen eighty nine murders of their parents. Now
Speaker 11: the next hearing in Los Angeles is scheduled for late January,
Speaker 11: so it could be many months before the brothers could
Speaker 11: be released. And the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade, a tradition
Speaker 11: that started a century ago, it remains one of the
Speaker 11: few spectacles that still draws on a big audience to
Speaker 11: broadcast teas. Now, according to the Wall Street Journal, airing
Speaker 11: it is going to get a lot more expensive. The
Speaker 11: paper says NBC, which has had the broadcast right since
Speaker 11: nineteen fifty three, is trying to hammer down a new
Speaker 11: deal with Macy's to keep the events on the network.
Speaker 11: A new deal would kick in next year. With an
Speaker 11: average annual fee of more than sixty million dollars for
Speaker 11: around twenty million dollars in the current contract. Global News
Speaker 11: twenty four hours a day, whenever you want it with
Speaker 11: Bloomberg News Now. I'm John Tucker. This is Bloomberg. Karen.
Speaker 1: All right, John, thank you. Time now with the Bloomberg
Speaker 1: Spores update, Bronty. If I try state and OUTI here's
Speaker 1: John Stanshawer, John, Good morning.
Speaker 12: Good morning, Karen. The rare night when all five New
Speaker 12: York NBA and NHL teams were inaction, the hockey teams
Speaker 12: at home, the hoop teams.
Speaker 1: On the road.
Speaker 12: They both had impressive victories. The Knicks were in Denver.
Speaker 12: They are coming off a loss at Lowly Utah. With
Speaker 12: the Knicks against the Nuggets put on a show with
Speaker 12: sixty one percent shooting forty five assists, which ties the
Speaker 12: club record. The Nicks one going away one forty five
Speaker 12: to one eighteen for Ogiananobi, known more for his defense,
Speaker 12: a career high forty points. Karl Anthony Town scored thirty.
Speaker 12: Jalen Brunson had seventeen of those assists. Nets got thirty
Speaker 12: one from Dennis Shrewder. Beat the Warriors one twenty eight
Speaker 12: to one twenty at the Garden Saint Louis Blues the
Speaker 12: day after making a coaching change, won the third period
Speaker 12: three nothing beat the Rangers five to two, just as
Speaker 12: the Devils one five to two in Newark over Nashville.
Speaker 12: First career hat trick for Nico Heastiere, it was the
Speaker 12: natural hat trick. All three came in the second period.
Speaker 12: The Islanders at Ubs lost to Detroit four to two
Speaker 12: in La the Battle of the Harbod Brothers, and like
Speaker 12: the Super Bowl twelve years ago, johns Ravens one beat
Speaker 12: Jim who now coaches the Chargers, thirty to twenty three.
Speaker 12: Lamar Jackson two touchdown passes, another on the ground Derrick
Speaker 12: Henry one hundred and forty rushing yards. After the Giants
Speaker 12: Laiden egg Sunday and a lopsided loss at Tampa Bay,
Speaker 12: couple of Giants like Dexter Lawrence and rookie Melik Neighbors
Speaker 12: both called the Giants soft. Coach Brian Daboll reacted yesterday, I.
Speaker 13: Thought our guys played hard, go back in the value
Speaker 13: at the tape. There was certain plays that you want back,
Speaker 13: you know. We talked about some of the mistackles that
Speaker 13: happened offensively, some of the negative plays, particularly in the
Speaker 13: first half, and we had seventeen plays and you know
Speaker 13: that created some third longs that we didn't pick up,
Speaker 13: didn't control the time of possession. But the guys played hard,
Speaker 13: they play with effort, just didn't do enough.
Speaker 12: Meanwhile, Daniel Jones now officially an ex Giant and a
Speaker 12: free agent, having cleared waivers, College oaps and Maui second
Speaker 12: rank Yukon upset and overtime by Memphis ninety nine ninety seven.
Speaker 12: The Huskies came in with a record during twenty twenty
Speaker 12: four of thirty one and one. John stashed We're Bloomberg
Speaker 12: Sports Candy Mean.
Speaker 2: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM,
Speaker 2: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the
Speaker 2: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak.
Speaker 3: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. President to like Donald Trump
Speaker 3: has given markets a jolt with his threat to boost
Speaker 3: tariffs on Chinese imports by ten percent and twenty five
Speaker 3: percent for goods from Canada and Mexico, and an effort
Speaker 3: to stop I League immigration and Fentanel trafficking. Michael Stroback
Speaker 3: is chief investment officer at lombard Odia.
Speaker 14: Tariffs are messing up with the terms of trades of
Speaker 14: countries in ways that firms are not prepared for long
Speaker 14: term short term. Therefore you're on the losing end if
Speaker 14: you get hit by tariffs.
Speaker 3: That's Michael Stroback with lombard Odia. Joining us now is
Speaker 3: Lindsay Newman, geopolitical risk expert and calumnist for G zero Media.
Speaker 3: As we've watched the dollar strengthen and the currency is
Speaker 3: affected by these potential tariffs, we can on the news Lindsay,
Speaker 3: good morning. Should markets see this as a threat or
Speaker 3: a promise from the president?
Speaker 6: Delect morning, Nathan, Thanks for having me on. There should
Speaker 6: be very little that's surprising about Trump's overnight announcements. He
Speaker 6: has been telling us throughout the campaign that he planned
Speaker 6: to rely heavily on the lever of tariffs, particularly visa
Speaker 6: via China. And as I've been saying for years, when
Speaker 6: he lays out a policy platform, when he sells you
Speaker 6: his priorities believe him. So markets should be prepared for this,
Speaker 6: They should take it seriously. They now have two months
Speaker 6: before he actually steps into office to prepare. What I
Speaker 6: think is telling here, though, Nathan, is that he's decided
Speaker 6: not just to go after China, but also he's looking
Speaker 6: very closely in his neighborhood with Canada and Mexico. And
Speaker 6: this has to telegraph that no country is likely to
Speaker 6: be immune to Trump's scrutiny to his lens. It also
Speaker 6: has to be seen within the context of the upcoming
Speaker 6: USMCA trade agreement, which is going to be reviewed in
Speaker 6: twenty twenty six.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I wanted to ask you about how this could
Speaker 3: affect the USMC. I mean, during the President Elect's first term,
Speaker 3: he renegotiated NAFTA. I mean, how could a tariff threat
Speaker 3: like this fit in to the current trade agreement in
Speaker 3: North America.
Speaker 6: Yeah, he took the NAFTA, which he said was the
Speaker 6: worst trade deal, and then he renegotiated the USMCA trade deal,
Speaker 6: which he seemed pleased with at the time. You know,
Speaker 6: you hit the nail on the head here, though. This
Speaker 6: is really about a negotiation. These are really about negotiation tactics, right.
Speaker 6: You know, we have to always remember this is Trump's way.
Speaker 6: The fact that he himself has announced this news rather
Speaker 6: than relying on Scott Descent.
Speaker 9: His appointee to release this news.
Speaker 6: He's telling us on Thanksgiving week over his social media
Speaker 6: platform with various capitalizations. You can't distinguish between. We have
Speaker 6: to distinguish, I should say, between the noise and the signal.
Speaker 6: The noise is the style. The signal here is that
Speaker 6: he intends to go to pursue this and use it
Speaker 6: as a negotiating tactic, including for the USMCA trade deal,
Speaker 6: which they have to review and decide whether the US
Speaker 6: is going to look to unwind it. So that's going
Speaker 6: to be the end here to build in these sort
Speaker 6: of security provisions, the immigration provisions that are priorities for
Speaker 6: the Trump administration.
Speaker 3: Is there noise around this announcement when it comes to
Speaker 3: the progress that the Biden administration says it's made around
Speaker 3: illegal immigration as well as fentanyl trafficking, particularly.
Speaker 6: With China, there's absolutely noise here. But Trump has put
Speaker 6: this at the center of his platform. When we saw
Speaker 6: that he appointed Tom Holman to be Borders are when
Speaker 6: he's announced Stephen Miller as his deputy chief of staff.
Speaker 6: This is signaling that the Trump two point zero administration
Speaker 6: plans to move quickly on these issues. On immigration on Ventanyl,
Speaker 6: I fully expect him to have a host of executive
Speaker 6: actions in addition to the ones he's referenced overnight for
Speaker 6: his signature on day one. And look, Nathan, we saw,
Speaker 6: you know, Bloomberg reported that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau saw
Speaker 6: the post on True Social and called up Trump. So
Speaker 6: it's working. This is the intended outcome here. These are
Speaker 6: negotiating tactics. It's an opening salvo.
Speaker 3: So how can we expect China to negotiate, particularly given
Speaker 3: the current economic constraints at sunder got about thirty seconds left.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, we've seen the response to the posts
Speaker 6: where that China says are not looking to enter into
Speaker 6: a full phone trade war, and we have to expect,
Speaker 6: you know, there should be more room for carveouts, for
Speaker 6: example for Canada and Mexico, as we saw during the
Speaker 6: Trump one administration. Absolutely in Trump two point zero, Trump
Speaker 6: plans to pursue China and extend what he pursued during
Speaker 6: Trump one point zero and also with the Biden administration
Speaker 6: carried out. We have to remember they did not roll
Speaker 6: back any of those Trump one point zero tariffs.
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