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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I'm chev Melman, chief content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: We are live on AMP and I am joined as

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Speaker 1: I am every episode by my co host, my companion,

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Speaker 1: my bff, my compadre, professional better mover of the Philadelphia Phillies,

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Speaker 1: Mr Simon Hunter, and hater of the Yankees. The Yankees

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Speaker 1: lose Man. That was great. Uh, it was a great weekend.

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Speaker 1: I asked you for for sports as a Philadelphia fan,

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Speaker 1: as a hater um Man chat. Yeah, still haven't gotten

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Speaker 1: over fully the Bryce Harper moment. And I know it's

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Speaker 1: a quick turnaround. What is it Friday? The game starts,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, right now, it doesn't get much better. As

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Speaker 1: a Philly sports fan, We're like, I get it. No

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Speaker 1: one likes us, we don't care. But I think even

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Speaker 1: most people can root for this Phillies team because it's

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Speaker 1: just a six seed out of nowhere kind of team.

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Speaker 1: So it's been a fun ride as a Phillies fan.

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Speaker 1: I disagree. I think that I was. I actually had

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Speaker 1: this conversation at dinner the other night with my soon

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Speaker 1: to be sixteen year old son to three days away

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Speaker 1: from and my wife. We were talking about the Phillies

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Speaker 1: going to the World Series and I believe something about

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Speaker 1: what's that, I said, your poor wife, Yeah, I believe

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Speaker 1: there is something about this Phillies team that has turned

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Speaker 1: fans in Philadelphia from hated to endearing and much the

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Speaker 1: way like fans of the Buffalo Bills kind of didn't

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Speaker 1: exist and now they're endearing and they're sort of happiness

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Speaker 1: and violence and you know, traditions of slamming each other

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Speaker 1: and jumping into tables. I think there's something about the

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Speaker 1: Phillies in the way sort of people are capturing this

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Speaker 1: joyous nous in social media on video and the way

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Speaker 1: like they're just so Philly, right, And we actually compared

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Speaker 1: it to Boston. There will never be anything about endearing

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Speaker 1: about Boston fans. They fucking suck and my people hate

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Speaker 1: people from Boston, whereas Philly, like, there's something very endearing

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Speaker 1: about what's happening right now with Philly fans. Well, the

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Speaker 1: biggest thing the reason again, Boston fans don't realize why

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Speaker 1: they're the worst. Every time, you guys got a new quarterback.

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Speaker 1: He's not gonna be a six time Super Bowl champion. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I think you guys need to get over that. There's

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Speaker 1: is no next time Brady. If I hear another Patriots

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Speaker 1: fan talk about some rookie quarterback that they just drafted

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Speaker 1: being next time Brady, this is the rest of our life. Shot.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, but yeah. My favorite Philly moment was

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Speaker 1: it was a news reporter from San Diego. Um, you know,

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Speaker 1: great looking guy doing a little report in front of

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Speaker 1: the stadium and it was kind of kicking have been

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Speaker 1: more than eight years old, a little Phillip fans just

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Speaker 1: giving the double bird to the camera on live news.

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Speaker 1: And that to me is Philly start the young man,

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Speaker 1: starting to start the young and but hilarious. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I would say that was all good. Now we get

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Speaker 1: to the football side. Um me, Chad had a bad

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Speaker 1: week finally though, finally had a real bad week. Um

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Speaker 1: but to me, still on three two in the contest,

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Speaker 1: what what are you talking about? We had a bad week?

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Speaker 1: Like at the end of the day we were three

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Speaker 1: and two in the contest. Yeah, I mean I lost

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Speaker 1: money though, so I'm assuming our fans did. Like I

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Speaker 1: went big on the forty nine ers. That was fucking terrible.

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Speaker 1: Thank God for the Seahawks though, that keeps saving me,

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Speaker 1: especially Seahawks money line. Um. But yeah, the nail on

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Speaker 1: the coffin the one that really hurt Chad's favorite team.

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Speaker 1: The Bears just absolutely took it to the Patriots last night,

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Speaker 1: which again never would have believed if you would have

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Speaker 1: said justin fields and goal eleven of sixteen versus Belichick

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Speaker 1: defense on the money a game in Foxboro where again

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Speaker 1: Belichick is seventeen and two straight up in that position

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Speaker 1: as a big favorite like that, justin fields and five

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Speaker 1: and night games came through. So it was just one

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Speaker 1: of those nights where yeah, I felt confident going in

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Speaker 1: about having them for our Survivor contests. And then ship

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Speaker 1: dude as soon as metcha both knew as soon as

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Speaker 1: that QB controversy started happening. Just not a good feeling

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Speaker 1: when you don't know who your quarterback is. So good week,

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Speaker 1: shitty ending. Let me debunk a few things. Number One,

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Speaker 1: last week, when I said I love the Bears of

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Speaker 1: plus eight, You're like, I'm putting an extremony on the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: Swear to god, you said that to me number one,

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Speaker 1: no response number one. Number two. I I know you're

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Speaker 1: gonna say I'm a partial Bears fan, but in this

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Speaker 1: case I was proven right. The Bears have been playing

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Speaker 1: well enough and Justin Fields has not been put in

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Speaker 1: a position to win with the play calling or the

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Speaker 1: talent around him. Specifically, they've been asking him to do

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Speaker 1: too much in the pocket against that command against the Commanders,

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Speaker 1: and Thursday night they did it again. All the same

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Speaker 1: things were true and score that game. Yeah, your chest

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Speaker 1: wasn't puffed out that week, wasn't no, but no real quick.

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Speaker 1: But I also said I saw a lot of that

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Speaker 1: game that made me think the Bears should not the

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Speaker 1: eight point underdogs against Patriots, And sure enough I was right.

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Speaker 1: I still think Justin Fields, guy, get rid of the

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Speaker 1: fucking ball, Like, don't just stand there, Like how many

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Speaker 1: times do you drop back rid of the ball in

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Speaker 1: two seconds and you're holding onto it in the pocket forever.

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Speaker 1: I got so mad last night, and I never get

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Speaker 1: mad at this stuff. I don't. I have perspective. I've

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Speaker 1: got a nice life. I love my wife, my kids

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Speaker 1: are amazing. I've been very lucky. There was a point

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Speaker 1: last night where he was holding the ball and I screamed,

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Speaker 1: throw the fucking ball, and my wife was like, what

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Speaker 1: is going on? And we were watching at the same time,

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Speaker 1: we were watching the Bulls Celtics. Big night for Chicago sports.

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Speaker 1: That was a good night for Chicago. The Chicago Money

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Speaker 1: land parlay. Did you do it? Chat? Did you do

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Speaker 1: the Chicago Money? I didn't do it, and I should have.

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Speaker 1: I saw the action, tweet it out and go, man,

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Speaker 1: I hope, yeah, that was good. No. No, Bulls are

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Speaker 1: two and two. The Bulls of the two best teams

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Speaker 1: in the East. You could say in the Heat and

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Speaker 1: the Celtics. They've lost to the Wizards and the Cavaliers.

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Speaker 1: But I will say NBA fucking awesome. I just love it.

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Speaker 1: And if you're not listening to the Buckets podcast every day,

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Speaker 1: uh with Matt Moore and a rotating cast of experts,

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Speaker 1: you're not. You're crazy because it is good and the

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Speaker 1: NBA is amazing. Let's recap for people what happened last

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Speaker 1: week and let's get on to week eight. As Simon said, uh,

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Speaker 1: we went three and two. We lost on San Francisco

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Speaker 1: plus two and a half. That hurt. We lost on

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Speaker 1: Atlanta plus six and a half. We said, we said,

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Speaker 1: have we reached Pete Falcons? Do we still believe? We

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Speaker 1: thought the number was too big and they got blown out.

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Speaker 1: We apparently we reached Pete Falcons. That means all pro

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Speaker 1: corner though again they're all pro corner. Yeah, touchdowns back

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Speaker 1: to back towards. Um all this really means, oh, Simon

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Speaker 1: is uh, if we've reached Pete Falcons, guess what, it's

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Speaker 1: almost time to back the Falcons again. Um, so we

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Speaker 1: lost in the Falcons. We won with Washington plus five

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Speaker 1: and a half Seattle plus six and a half, and

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Speaker 1: we had a last minute change Sunday morning to go out.

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Speaker 1: The Jets replaced them with the Tennessee Titans. Would have

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Speaker 1: been fine with either, but that's always tough. Though. The

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Speaker 1: four in two weeks. We're just like, ah, just I mean,

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Speaker 1: we should have I should have got I should have

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Speaker 1: got the beads. It was like Chad was saying in Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: But to me, again, I just thought, with DJ Reader

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Speaker 1: being out for that defense that day, better run it

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Speaker 1: on them. And boy was I raw. I mean again,

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Speaker 1: who knows about injuries, but Joe Burrow he had it

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Speaker 1: in that game. Like they're just certain games where they're

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Speaker 1: he's just not gonna miss Joe cool Man. He had

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Speaker 1: at that game. Simon, you're on a Romo scootle at

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Speaker 1: you had Seattle, I had the Lions. I love the Lions.

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Speaker 1: This week though, we'll talk about it. Uh Foxhole, we

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Speaker 1: had forty Niners plus three sign and says Washington plus

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Speaker 1: five and a half. Exact decision. The e D has

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Speaker 1: hit a little bit of a e D moment, if

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Speaker 1: you know what I'm saying. It's tough picking games on Tuesday. Brother,

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Speaker 1: it is Texans plus seven Big Balls, Atlanta plus six

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Speaker 1: Survivor Patriots Box, no fucking joke. We did nobody any favors.

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Speaker 1: Last night. I got killed and that was the worst part.

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Speaker 1: Like Circa, they went down from I think they're at

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Speaker 1: three two um. Last night, A bunch of people like

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Speaker 1: us lost in the Patriots. So that means there's a

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Speaker 1: hundred twenty five people left in the whole contest and

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Speaker 1: week eight, which is crazy. If they ended right now,

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Speaker 1: each person will get k So me and Chat are

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Speaker 1: hurting from that that game last night that cost us

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Speaker 1: a lot of money. That that was a bad one.

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Speaker 1: You told me that earlier today and I wish you hadn't.

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Speaker 1: I just gotta be honest with people because people keep

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Speaker 1: asking about it. It's like some years me and Chad

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Speaker 1: we'll have an extra contest, either I'll have one in

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Speaker 1: my own or you know, we'll sign up for two.

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Speaker 1: They're all out, like we're done, so we'll keep doing

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Speaker 1: it for the fans of the show. But I got

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Speaker 1: nothing to keep basing who we have taken because I

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Speaker 1: have no contest left. So um, it's tough, but you know,

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Speaker 1: there's there's a reason only five people are left one

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Speaker 1: of the biggest contests in the world. It's been a

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Speaker 1: hard year for Survivor. All right, let's get to it.

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Speaker 1: Dunt Dune, Dune dun Thursday Night football. The Baltimore Ravens

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Speaker 1: first half covering Machines visiting the Tampa Tanis. The Ravens

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Speaker 1: are one and a half point favorites, which is astonishing. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: Thursday Night has been kind to the home underdogs. It's

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Speaker 1: been kind to the unders. The Bucks could not look worse.

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Speaker 1: The Ravens finally held on to a double digit lead

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Speaker 1: kind of and closed the game out. I mean, I

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Speaker 1: know what I would do here, and I know what

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Speaker 1: you're gonna say you want to do, so, why don't

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Speaker 1: you start? Yeah, I think this game terrifies me. Like

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Speaker 1: I there's always times we all have numbers that are

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Speaker 1: just off, and that's when you're like, well you they

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Speaker 1: made you find value on the line. But the value

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Speaker 1: gets dictated a lot by the book itself, and what

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Speaker 1: the public is gonna do is said line. So sometimes

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Speaker 1: I do step in it. Um, But the public is

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Speaker 1: high right now. Again, the last two weeks the biggest

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Speaker 1: games bet the public is going seven and two, so

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Speaker 1: they've been winning on betting, very public sides. Again, people

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Speaker 1: always give me chet ship. They say all we do

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Speaker 1: is fade the public. We've gone six and four last

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Speaker 1: two weeks, so find a new slant. It's clearly not true. Um.

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Speaker 1: We again we talked it's not that we're fading the public.

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Speaker 1: It's the fact that there's gonna be value on the

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Speaker 1: line because of public has bet it the other way, right,

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Speaker 1: Like we talked about all the time, the job of

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Speaker 1: the book is to get money. They want to suck

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Speaker 1: you on certain games. They're always not gonna be right either.

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Speaker 1: I mean we saw it last night. The betting was

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Speaker 1: split last night on the Bears. What happened That line

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Speaker 1: went on up the nine at one point because they're

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Speaker 1: just trying to see when the professionals will come in.

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Speaker 1: That's what they're looking for. They don't really they don't

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Speaker 1: really care that the betting split. They're trying to figure

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Speaker 1: out where the limit is. Um apparently everyone's way off again.

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Speaker 1: They won. They won not just by a little bit.

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Speaker 1: They dominated that second half that Bears team. So this

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Speaker 1: is a line that right when it came out, I

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Speaker 1: made it minus three. The fact that it's minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half that's red flags to me because that's like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: am I overvaluing the Ravens? Or am I still again?

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Speaker 1: I still think this Buck's team just isn't as good

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Speaker 1: as the book thinks they are. Like again last week,

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Speaker 1: paying me and Chat not to take in the contest

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Speaker 1: because the line was only ten and it went up

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Speaker 1: all way up to thirteen. So we just couldn't talk

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Speaker 1: ourselves into it. But we said home dog, double digit,

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Speaker 1: home divisional dog, we're gonna take Carolina, and we didn't

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Speaker 1: have feel good about it. Little did we know that

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Speaker 1: was easy as better the week, But that's just what

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Speaker 1: you do in those scenarios, so mean cha. Let me

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Speaker 1: talk about it. The same exact scenario last year of

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Speaker 1: this Ravens team. They went down to Miami, who was

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Speaker 1: on owen six losing streak on a Thursday night game

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Speaker 1: that I got absolutely blown out by Miami. So I

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Speaker 1: want to take the Ravens here, but it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: the most public side. So coward move. Just taking Ravens

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Speaker 1: first half, you can get them in minus one fifty

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty. The money line, we already know the numbers. Lamar,

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Speaker 1: he's a covering machine in the first half above six

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Speaker 1: seven percent for his career. Um to me, can't can't

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Speaker 1: go him out full game. I'm probably getting up just

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Speaker 1: teasing the books or something, because I just don't get

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Speaker 1: this line at all. Um, bizarre one again. Maybe I'm

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Speaker 1: I'm leaving money on the table here not taking the

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Speaker 1: Ravens and public are gonna nail this one. But fishy line.

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Speaker 1: I just don't get the books to hang up plus

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Speaker 1: three on Tampa they would have got pro money, the

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Speaker 1: public still would have hammered the Ravens. So to me,

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Speaker 1: the smart the smart move the smart money here as

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Speaker 1: you take just blindly take the Tampa Bay Bucks here. Um,

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Speaker 1: but I don't know what to really do with the chat.

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Speaker 1: It's one of those few games I'm just stumped by

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Speaker 1: the line. I think I'd wait, like all the money's come,

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Speaker 1: all the tickets are coming in on the race evens. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: there's so much negativity around the box. You have to

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Speaker 1: take the box. There's a four losses for the Boks.

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Speaker 1: What's that is? A four straight losses? Now for the Bucks?

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Speaker 1: I know it's three, I can't remember. But what you're

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Speaker 1: just saying, it's it's it can't get any worse. It

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Speaker 1: can't get any worse. This is when you have to

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Speaker 1: take the box. It's a it's a season defining moment

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Speaker 1: for them. The Ravens have been so inconsistent in the

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Speaker 1: second in their last five so it's just like, you know,

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Speaker 1: I just want this number to get a little bigger. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: which is fair. So I'm saying if if you don't

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Speaker 1: your fair and patient, you just want to take it six,

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Speaker 1: you can get seven and a half right now in

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Speaker 1: a teaser. That's that's a good tease game. Good point,

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Speaker 1: good point, But the recommendation is to wait. Definitely will

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Speaker 1: not be one of our Foxhold Simon says, exact decision,

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Speaker 1: big balls, and it will not be in our contest.

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Speaker 1: Here's a game that gets interesting. Broncos plus three on

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Speaker 1: the road at the eggs, of the tickets on Jacksonville,

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Speaker 1: of the money on Denver. I have a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a theory here. You and I have had a

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Speaker 1: bias for the Jags all season, and it bid us

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Speaker 1: in the ass again this past week. You said something

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Speaker 1: really really smart last week about the Jacks and that

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Speaker 1: it might be taking longer for Doug Peterson to work

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Speaker 1: as magic and get rid of the losing culture that

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Speaker 1: we expected it to. And I watched you know that

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Speaker 1: Jack's Giants game, a lot of it, so many mistakes,

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Speaker 1: so many missed opportunities, not executing in the most important moments,

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Speaker 1: not getting beat just beating themselves, and that I mean again,

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Speaker 1: they should have won that game against the Giants going away.

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Speaker 1: This Broncos defense is really good. Yeah, I feel like

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Speaker 1: again we we talked about our luck metrics that we

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Speaker 1: do over the Act and Network. Our guys told us,

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Speaker 1: like even next said it was multiple times, the Giants

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Speaker 1: are the luckiest team in football right now. So the

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Speaker 1: Jaguars are driving down the field the end and a

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Speaker 1: half about the running in for a touchdown. Guy gets

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Speaker 1: tackled as he's crossing into whatever it was the three

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Speaker 1: yard line to get a first down. Ball pops up

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Speaker 1: to the Giants. They take the ball, they drive the field,

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Speaker 1: kick a field goal and a half. The game ended

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Speaker 1: them winning by three. So to me, again, Debil coach

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Speaker 1: of the year, no doubt, right, Like if the Giants

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Speaker 1: make the playoffs, he's he's looking at coach of the year.

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Speaker 1: To me, Um, it's incredible, it really is. What's interesting

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Speaker 1: is that the Giants have a culture of losing two

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Speaker 1: and Brian's day ball changed it, changed it immediately. But

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Speaker 1: again there's a couple of differences, but I would say

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Speaker 1: the biggest one to me is just the Daniel Jones

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Speaker 1: effect here at the end of the games. Whatever is

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Speaker 1: going on with him and say Quan it's working like

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Speaker 1: Sa Kwon will pick them up when they need it,

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Speaker 1: and Daniel Jones does, like every every time they need

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Speaker 1: her first down him, he's getting it. And that's the

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Speaker 1: craziest that I saw. He's on pace for over eight

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Speaker 1: yards rushing this year. Okay, who do you think the

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Speaker 1: other four quarterbacks are on that list. Chat. Daniel Jones

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Speaker 1: again is on pace for hundred rushing yards this year.

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Speaker 1: Let me think about it. Let me think about it

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Speaker 1: for a second. Uh Lamar Jackson, justin Fields, no hurts

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Speaker 1: and he might be uh Mike Vick Randall Cunningham. Oh oh,

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Speaker 1: I thought you meant this season like no, no, no,

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Speaker 1: historically okay, historically. So that's what I'm just saying is

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones is on pace to do something that's only

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Speaker 1: been done by some of the greatest athletes this game

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Speaker 1: has ever seen. So as much I want to knock

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Speaker 1: the guy, he's not the greatest passer. He's clearly a

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Speaker 1: good athlete. He's smart. Again, these games, these they'll roll

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Speaker 1: them out like the offensive schemes great, They'll get him

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Speaker 1: outside the pocket. If he sees there's no spy, he'll run.

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Speaker 1: I mean again, last night with Belichick, blew my mind.

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Speaker 1: How you not spy justin Field? Like that's what the

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Speaker 1: kid wants to do? It was bizarre world. He just

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Speaker 1: wouldn't spy him the entire game. Same thing with Daniel Jones.

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Speaker 1: So the Jaguars outplayed them in every way, did not

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Speaker 1: matter because this gain all comes down to coach. And

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Speaker 1: so when I look at this game the Jagson le Broncos, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I would love the fade. This Broncos team that just

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Speaker 1: seems like they're completely falling apart. Who's to say the

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Speaker 1: Jaguars on either again, this is it for their season,

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Speaker 1: so that would be I guess my reason you can

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Speaker 1: take them here. But again, last week we went three

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Speaker 1: no on Tuesday unders. I gave out this is another game.

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Speaker 1: I'll be on the under. It's just don't overthink it.

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Speaker 1: To me, two really good defenses. Like last week, the

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Speaker 1: Jaguars played really well against that Giants offense. I see

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Speaker 1: the same thing against the Denver team that just came

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Speaker 1: move the ball. Denver defense is good, like they took

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Speaker 1: everything away last week and they still couldn't do anything

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Speaker 1: like give up sixteen points at home. I couldn't get

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Speaker 1: the win. I just see Lebroncos playing hard still on defense. Um,

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Speaker 1: to me, this is I mean, we might be able

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Speaker 1: to talk into it because we always do. On the Jaguars,

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Speaker 1: I just can't put them in our contest. They just

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Speaker 1: are not good to us. So to me, it's a

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Speaker 1: stay away. I actually feel like by by Thursday this

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Speaker 1: will be the Broncos. Yeah, I think this might be.

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Speaker 1: This might get us some sharp calls and I think

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Speaker 1: by Thursday they sends up being our big balls better

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Speaker 1: the week. By the way, the total you mentioned the

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Speaker 1: under the total in this game is thirty nine right now. Um,

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Speaker 1: the total for the Jets and the Broncos was I

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Speaker 1: think it was thirty six and a half. The Broncos defense,

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Speaker 1: we gave it out the thirty nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: So again, beat beat the numbers. The Broncos defense giving

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Speaker 1: up fewer than seventeen points per game, yeah, incredible, and

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Speaker 1: they're losing every game. Yeah, their offense is averaging like what,

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Speaker 1: fifteen points a game? Sixteen points a game. It's fucking pathetic.

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Speaker 1: Steelers on the road at the Eagles Fly Eagles fly

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Speaker 1: ten and a half. Man, that is big, big burn.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you right now. I don't think the Eagles

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Speaker 1: cover that big of a number. They don't play well

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Speaker 1: enough in the second half. That's fair. I mean the

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Speaker 1: argument against it is what in the world happened last

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Speaker 1: week and how did they cover that number against Miami?

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Speaker 1: Miami was up thirteen nothing with five minutes to go

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Speaker 1: in the first quarter. They scored three points the rest

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Speaker 1: of the game. Game in at sixteen to ten, the

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Speaker 1: Steelers cover. That's why again we talk all the time

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Speaker 1: just bet the number is trying not to think this

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Speaker 1: is a really stupid game that we're betting on here football,

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Speaker 1: It's bizarre world. Again, these a lot we talked about

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Speaker 1: this year. A lot of people can play about the unders.

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Speaker 1: I just think these defensive schemes and the defenders are

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Speaker 1: out of this world. Like some of these guys on

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Speaker 1: these teams are just such freaks. The edges of the

396
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 1: offensive used to have is just being closed by athleticism.

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Speaker 1: Like these young corners are incredible. So again another game

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Speaker 1: of I don't know how the Steelers stopped the Eagle's offense.

399
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Speaker 1: Like the Steelers are playing with house money right now.

400
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Speaker 1: They beat a bad Bucks team, and they went down

401
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Speaker 1: to Miami and stopped the toa who look lost for

402
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Speaker 1: three quarters after that first quarter. Again, that could be

403
00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:02,400
Speaker 1: a Brian Flores thing. Had a good read on them,

404
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 1: helped out the defense, and two couldn't do much. But

405
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Speaker 1: I don't know how you backed the stealers here. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a big public dog in my opinion. UM,

407
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:14,399
Speaker 1: I like the Eagles in this position. But again, the

408
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Speaker 1: Eagles six and oh first half. It's just I'm gonna

409
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Speaker 1: keep preaching that people. We just gotta keep betting it. Um,

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Speaker 1: if it's under seven points, I would take the Eagles

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Speaker 1: first half. But I don't know if I've been convinced.

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Speaker 1: Chat chats hates taking big favorites, but I'm too and

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Speaker 1: oh this year taking big favorites. Um, I like this one.

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Speaker 1: I do like the Eagles in the spot coming off

415
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Speaker 1: about I gets a team that's coming off a road

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Speaker 1: win in Miami. We're all sign in right now. I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at the Action Network app at fan Duel. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is plus six and a half. Um, there are places, Uh,

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Speaker 1: you can get Philadelphia at five and a half. That's nice. Again,

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Speaker 1: it's all due for regression. We know last night the

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Speaker 1: Bears were own six and first half. They didn't just cover.

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Speaker 1: They won the first half outright. So it's always been

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Speaker 1: the lookout, don't go all one of this one. So

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Speaker 1: we're not gonna be on my biggest bets. It's just

425
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:10,359
Speaker 1: a really nice trend on what we chat to talk about.

426
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,200
Speaker 1: Eagles get big leads and then they fall upon in

427
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,600
Speaker 1: the second half. That's why Chat obviously likes Pittsburgh here.

428
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:18,840
Speaker 1: But I think they'll put it together after a goodbye week. Hey,

429
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,880
Speaker 1: don't forget if you're listening to this podcast, if you're

430
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,119
Speaker 1: listening live on AMP and you're in the Action Network

431
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:27,359
Speaker 1: app looking at lines, looking at numbers, betting as we

432
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 1: are talking, or um use FanDuel, click on the fan

433
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 1: duel sell in the app quick slip it. You go

434
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 1: right to a ticket, put in your bet in FanDuel.

435
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 1: No searching for the odds, no closing out of one

436
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 1: app going to another app. Best most seamless, most automagical experience,

437
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:51,800
Speaker 1: Quick slip in the Action app. Use it with FanDuel.

438
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 1: It's brilliant. We're gonna hold off. I'm not going to

439
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:59,800
Speaker 1: be convinced to take the Eagles yet, but I'm not well.

440
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:02,280
Speaker 1: I you might be able to convince me by Sunday. Yeah,

441
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:04,240
Speaker 1: I feel you can see where I'm coming from. Like Steelers.

442
00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:07,920
Speaker 1: This might be a position to sell high on the Steelers. Yeah,

443
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 1: it could be, you know, back to back. You're right.

444
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 1: I think people got some Kenny Pickett love. I think

445
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:19,920
Speaker 1: they pick it is plucky. Yeah, Patriots, short week on

446
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 1: the road, at the j e t s resurgence. We

447
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 1: should call them, we should call them the resurch Jets.

448
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 1: Get it now. I love the game. He hit the

449
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 1: word play you like the Jets? Is you love the Jets?

450
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 1: Stop trying to fade the Jets Jet All they do

451
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:40,119
Speaker 1: is winning cover. It's unbelievable. Home dog. It is kind

452
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 1: of amazing. What the what again? I get to Zach

453
00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 1: Wilson hate I've been betting on the kid. I've been

454
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 1: watching them. It's terrifying. He is bad. But you gotta

455
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 1: trust a home divisional dog in this position. Great defense

456
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 1: with a good run game, and I know they it's lost,

457
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:01,000
Speaker 1: obviously looking at their offense. Rook of the year Bryce

458
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:03,760
Speaker 1: Hall to a big knee injury. But I was hoping

459
00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:05,479
Speaker 1: the Patriots gonna win check because I was like, oh,

460
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:07,160
Speaker 1: this would be great because I didn't bet this show.

461
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 1: I was like, this will get up to plus three.

462
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 1: Obviously went down after the Patriots laid such a huge

463
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:15,280
Speaker 1: jagg great position. I mean you you're hearing guys in

464
00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:17,359
Speaker 1: that Patriots locker room talk about how messed up it

465
00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 1: was what they did to a guy that they've viewed

466
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:23,440
Speaker 1: as their leader in Mac Jones like Mac Jones all

467
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 1: off season was the leader of this team, right, So

468
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:27,919
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick has did the respectful things, so this guy

469
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,920
Speaker 1: is not gonna lose his job to an injury. When

470
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,639
Speaker 1: three and out, I might have been three straight drives,

471
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 1: he went three out. They put in Zappy. Zappy likes

472
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 1: the world on fire, and then he comes in the

473
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 1: lay and egg in the second half. So I didn't

474
00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:42,800
Speaker 1: really know through this Patriots team because they're so messed

475
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:44,399
Speaker 1: up right now. I feel like that drama is real

476
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 1: inside that locker room and the Jets, the vibes have

477
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 1: never been better. Again, two major injuries to their offense,

478
00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:53,159
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna be a broken record another under. I'm

479
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:55,160
Speaker 1: gonna be on as a Jets under. I just really

480
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 1: believe in their defense and don't trust their offense, especially

481
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:01,399
Speaker 1: now agains the Patriots team that it's just reeling to me. Again,

482
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:04,280
Speaker 1: I don't get why Belichick did it. He's been around

483
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,760
Speaker 1: so long. When has it ever worked doing a QB

484
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,960
Speaker 1: platoon there's always drama. I can't imagine awkward that wasn't

485
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 1: And again I get their professionals, but they're humans. So

486
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:16,119
Speaker 1: it's like they're going to halftime and Mac Jones and

487
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 1: Billy Zapp. You gotta sit next to each other and

488
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:20,280
Speaker 1: work on scheme before they head out. That's gonna be

489
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 1: weird as hell. So it's maybe I'm walking into a

490
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 1: chat and I felt like I was last week of

491
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 1: the Jets. It hit like the Jets one for us. Um,

492
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:30,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep Ryan. I just think it's another good

493
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 1: spot to get divisional team dog at home with a

494
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 1: great defense. I like this matchup. Yeah, it's it actually

495
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:43,719
Speaker 1: goes against It goes against our usual signals, right because

496
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:46,680
Speaker 1: the Patriots are a team that just got blown out

497
00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 1: and in prime time, the Jets are all of a

498
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:55,640
Speaker 1: sudden the public darling. So you'd almost expect the Jets

499
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 1: to be favored and to fade the Jets in this scenario.

500
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:04,120
Speaker 1: Yet they're plus two and half. It makes no sense. Well,

501
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,040
Speaker 1: I could see, honestly the public coming in on the

502
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,399
Speaker 1: Patriots because having the last couple of years of Patriots

503
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,479
Speaker 1: have been the Jets. Daddy, Like, I don't know if

504
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 1: the trends out, you know what the thing is, Like,

505
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 1: we talked about these, We talked about this last weekend.

506
00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:17,200
Speaker 1: I was joking about it, but I'm kind of serious. Hey,

507
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick is S eighty two without Tom Brady's quarterback B.

508
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 1: When we talk about the Steelers, when we talk about

509
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 1: the Patriots, when we talk about even the Seahawks for

510
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:32,399
Speaker 1: the past decade, you cannot have the same conversation because

511
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,359
Speaker 1: they don't have what you can argue is the greatest

512
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:39,439
Speaker 1: players in their history in Ben Roethlisberger or Tom Brady

513
00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 1: or Russell Wilson, like people who won them super Bowls.

514
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 1: So every single stat has to be in context of

515
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,480
Speaker 1: the fact that it was those three players. It's true,

516
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 1: but I told you, I just tried to trust trends

517
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 1: because there's little there's always little details they have to

518
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,200
Speaker 1: look into. And again it's say there asked last week

519
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,440
Speaker 1: I refused to put the Jaguars in our contest because

520
00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 1: they were and twelve or eleven or something like that

521
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 1: against NFC. They're just you can't just change overnight, like

522
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 1: I need to see it before I started believing. And

523
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 1: that's that's why I try to protect myself on these

524
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 1: trends where it's like I'm with you, I'm always about

525
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:12,760
Speaker 1: stayed up to date, and it's always about this week.

526
00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 1: I don't really care what happened five years ago. I'm

527
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:17,360
Speaker 1: looking at this week and this matchup. But I told

528
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:20,880
Speaker 1: you all the time, I respect my history. Russia winters.

529
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,800
Speaker 1: That's the key to everything. So that's one of these

530
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:26,600
Speaker 1: things I just every time I i'm losing it, I

531
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 1: try to go back to my base of like history

532
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:31,960
Speaker 1: always repeats itself. Don't fall into these stupid ass traps.

533
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:33,680
Speaker 1: And this is what it feels like with this game.

534
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 1: It's like home divisional dog. I'm with you about the Patriots.

535
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:39,520
Speaker 1: This line is just funky. Like I I just don't

536
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 1: get why the Jets are a dog. They're the better team.

537
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,720
Speaker 1: The public right now is coming on the Patriots too,

538
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:49,440
Speaker 1: which again is surprised. Uh all right, well, listen, I

539
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: wrote this one down. It could be an entry in

540
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 1: our contest. There is it? A Signmon says no? Yeah again?

541
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 1: You you know this week we have so many nice

542
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 1: dogs at home this week. There's a couple of coming

543
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,200
Speaker 1: up that I love. That's some tasty We got some

544
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 1: tasty dogs. Panthers on the road at the Falcons. Uh,

545
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 1: Falcons are four and a half auto play Falcons, don't

546
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:18,359
Speaker 1: care right, Falcons, Falcons, Falcons, Falcons. This is the time

547
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:22,680
Speaker 1: you play the Falcons relatively short number. They just got

548
00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:25,879
Speaker 1: blown out. Panthers going on the road. P J Walker

549
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 1: is gonna be the starter. They just beat the Bucks three.

550
00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,640
Speaker 1: Come on a team that doesn't know how to win

551
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 1: with like a coach that hadn't won before. Again, I'm

552
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 1: right there with chat, like I thought the public would

553
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:43,680
Speaker 1: be all over Atlanta and we were gonna get some

554
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 1: crap number like six and a half. Seven. I love it.

555
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:48,600
Speaker 1: Four and a half. Take the value that every time.

556
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 1: That's just it's bizarre world that division right now. Again,

557
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 1: you're a game out as a Panther fan, which is

558
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 1: crazy because you're two and five. But that's how bad

559
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 1: that division been has been this year. So to me,

560
00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 1: nothing's changed. I still think Atlanta is the sleeper in

561
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 1: this division. They're a good team. Major injury though obviously

562
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:10,840
Speaker 1: to their defense was an all pro corner. But yeah, Atlanta,

563
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 1: bad loss on the road, come home, get right spot

564
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:15,920
Speaker 1: against the Panther team that just one huge at home.

565
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:19,760
Speaker 1: Another sneaky underplay though again that Carolina defense. Everyone knows

566
00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 1: that got players like you. You go through their games.

567
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 1: The issue is always the quarterback position. The offenses couldn't

568
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 1: produce the defense is good. So I know the owners

569
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:28,800
Speaker 1: are the trends here, but this is just another game.

570
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:30,959
Speaker 1: I'll just blindly take the younger. I think both teams

571
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 1: and indivisional game we're gonna play for a low scoring fight. Again.

572
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 1: Atlanta run most run heavy team in football right now.

573
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,280
Speaker 1: I'm starting to like Arthur Smith a lot. I love

574
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 1: coaches that they get a player and they build the

575
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 1: system around those players. They don't just say this is

576
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 1: my system, you guys gotta work in it, which was

577
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 1: my biggest Knox on Chip Kelly. He he just has

578
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 1: the players around him. He says, that's what I'm gonnadad

579
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 1: my system too. Again, Mariota has played really well this

580
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: year and he's not really asked to do much like

581
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 1: throw the ball. Wise, he's just making or reads on

582
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:04,320
Speaker 1: that that option, keep the option reads. So fun, Team Atlanta,

583
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:06,800
Speaker 1: we're still Atlanta podcasting that let us down last week.

584
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 1: T s this year, can't complain. Listen mariotas no gino Smith, Right,

585
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 1: that's true. The Raiders on the Road. All of a sudden,

586
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: everyone's kind of resurgent on the Raiders. You were on

587
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 1: Green Dot Daily with me earlier today. Everyone should watch

588
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 1: a green Dot daily noon Action Network HQ on Twitter,

589
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 1: Action Network YouTube, in the Action Network capp setting the

590
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 1: agenda daily for sports beddors Uh. We talked about the

591
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:37,400
Speaker 1: Raiders in a sneaky way as a future. Why don't

592
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 1: you explain to people what you what choice you made

593
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 1: on the show. I just looked at all the different

594
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 1: teams and the schedules, and again it's just you're you're

595
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:48,600
Speaker 1: basing it off grades and math. It's like, take the

596
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 1: human element out of it, right, don't don't try to

597
00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:52,720
Speaker 1: look at Las Vegas is a two and four team.

598
00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:55,560
Speaker 1: Just go blank slate and look at them on paper.

599
00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:58,720
Speaker 1: The seventh most efficient offense. That's a big deal. In

600
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:01,080
Speaker 1: a year, were the scoring so low? We have a

601
00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 1: team here that we know can score and produce. And

602
00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 1: again you go through it again and one possession games

603
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 1: they're one in five. That's a big deal. We know

604
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 1: what happened against the Chiefs. They lost by one point,

605
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 1: and the chief looked like again the top two team

606
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:17,320
Speaker 1: they f C lost by one point. I just looked

607
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:19,360
Speaker 1: at that and thought to myself, Okay, if the numbers

608
00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 1: back it up, you're gonna find good value on this

609
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 1: Vegas team. And there is again you get a plus

610
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 1: three certain books for them to make the playoffs. The

611
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:28,360
Speaker 1: two and four right now, I get it. It's bad.

612
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:30,560
Speaker 1: I said that, Yeah, they could easily four and two

613
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,920
Speaker 1: like that game against Arizona, that game against the Chiefs,

614
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 1: those could have flipped easily and been towards this Vegas team.

615
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 1: Which if that had happened, what are we looking at

616
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 1: minus one fifty Because the way their schedule is gonna

617
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,960
Speaker 1: end to make the playoffs, they should just be way higher.

618
00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:45,719
Speaker 1: I put a closer plus two hundred plus one seventy

619
00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:48,040
Speaker 1: five than I do a plus three hundred plus three fifty.

620
00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 1: So the Vegas to me about them being a sneaky

621
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 1: playoff team, it's more about how easy the schedule is

622
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 1: and the fact that the Chargers have major injuries and

623
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 1: Denver is just falling apart right so in that division

624
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,719
Speaker 1: that's really sneaking. The last play of it is they

625
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:03,520
Speaker 1: play the last game that year against the Chiefs. And

626
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 1: to me, again, you never know the Bills that they

627
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 1: will and one in their division right now, so it's

628
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 1: gonna be interesting how they play in their division going forward.

629
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,560
Speaker 1: The Bills, but we all assume the Chiefs will get

630
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 1: the two seeds, so I could easily see them using

631
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 1: that final week as the rest week before heading into

632
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:25,200
Speaker 1: the playoffs. The Raiders are two point favorites against the

633
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 1: Saints in this game. I mean it's a short home underdog.

634
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 1: We've generally backed the Saints before. We believe in their defense,

635
00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 1: excellent at getting pressure without blitzing um. Andy Dalton turned

636
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 1: back into the orange pumpkin that he believed he was

637
00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:46,239
Speaker 1: this past week, and I don't know. I was all

638
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:48,840
Speaker 1: over the Cardinals. Loved the Cardinals on Thursday night. You

639
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 1: did not. So is your opinion changed, uh for this week?

640
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 1: Do you like the Saints a short home dogs? Yeahs

641
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:01,200
Speaker 1: changing the sense that I do think the Lattimore injury

642
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 1: has been a big deal to them. They just their

643
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 1: defense has not really got any stops since he's been out,

644
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 1: And that's one of these made about wait and see

645
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 1: the injury port because they don't have him to cover

646
00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:13,200
Speaker 1: Devote Adams. It's it's over. Like anytime they need a

647
00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 1: third down they're getting it with him. He's just we've

648
00:33:16,600 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 1: seen the effect with a green Bay. Green Bay looks

649
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 1: totally lost and that's the only piece they lost with

650
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 1: devote Adams. It's incredible where it's like that important on

651
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,360
Speaker 1: third down to have a guy you can trust and

652
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,840
Speaker 1: go to. And then we've seen it with Josh Jacobs

653
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,160
Speaker 1: these last three weeks. He's the best running back on football,

654
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,600
Speaker 1: which is just bizarre to say, but contractor year for

655
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,800
Speaker 1: the kid. So everything right now is just rolling on

656
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:41,920
Speaker 1: this Vegas team. McDaniels seems like he's got the pulse

657
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:43,920
Speaker 1: of this team. We look at the other way with

658
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 1: the Saints that felt like the everything game against the Cardinals, Like,

659
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:49,719
Speaker 1: I don't know what they're gonna do from this position.

660
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 1: They don't even have their own first round pick this

661
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:54,720
Speaker 1: upcoming draft, so they're not gonna be tanking for any quarterbacks.

662
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:59,040
Speaker 1: Um dark days for the Saints right now. So this

663
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 1: line stinks. At the same time, I think you're getting

664
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 1: good value. I got to set minus three for Vegas again.

665
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:09,600
Speaker 1: Better offense, more talented defense. I'm just trying not to

666
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:13,239
Speaker 1: overrate the States team like I have been where I

667
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,480
Speaker 1: like their identity a running the ball. It doesn't matter

668
00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:18,480
Speaker 1: if any Doone's will turn the ball over again four

669
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 1: in receptions last game. They're not all on him, but

670
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:23,160
Speaker 1: some of them are just terrible reads. And that's the

671
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 1: problem with any Dalton and I don't know the Raiders.

672
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:30,160
Speaker 1: To me in this position, anything under a three kind

673
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:31,239
Speaker 1: of has to be a bye. I don't know if

674
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 1: it's gonna make our contest. Well, I'll be on it

675
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,239
Speaker 1: the minus one and a half or minus two now.

676
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:39,400
Speaker 1: Right now in the contest, I have Jets plus two

677
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:41,640
Speaker 1: and a half, Falcons minus four and a half, and

678
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:47,520
Speaker 1: on the side to discuss Denver plus three Raiders minus two. Yeah.

679
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:51,840
Speaker 1: Football season is heating up, and now is the perfect

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00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:57,040
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708
00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:45,399
Speaker 1: The resurgent Chicago Bears who finally looked like they built

709
00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:48,000
Speaker 1: a game plan. As you were saying that Fitch justin

710
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 1: fields and not trying to turn him into something he isn't.

711
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:54,120
Speaker 1: A lot of r p O, a lot of design

712
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:58,359
Speaker 1: runs uh plays that were designed to get the ball

713
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 1: out quickly, even if he didn't always do that. UM

714
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,439
Speaker 1: loved it. They've got a defensive backfield that I think,

715
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:08,680
Speaker 1: with Brisker and Fuller, the safety and the corner that

716
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:11,360
Speaker 1: they drafted this year, I think they're set for a

717
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,920
Speaker 1: long time. I really like this team. Do I like

718
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:16,840
Speaker 1: him enough to bet him at plus nine and a

719
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:20,440
Speaker 1: half against the Cowboys? I really want to. Doesn't it

720
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 1: feel like the Cowboys stolen last week? I mean the

721
00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 1: lines were covering all fifty eight minutes. Yeah, I mean

722
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:27,919
Speaker 1: the amount of assholes that texted me feeling so proud

723
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 1: about their calling Dallas Again, I didn't have that much

724
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:32,839
Speaker 1: on the lines, but I assure it's ill didn't bring

725
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 1: it up to the chat someday morning. There's there are

726
00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 1: lines seven and a half in the Houston seven and

727
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:38,919
Speaker 1: a half, and I was just like, if I even

728
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:40,919
Speaker 1: mentioned this, Chad's gonna make us put these in because

729
00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 1: that's a good value on two teams. Luckily I didn't

730
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 1: even bring it up. Chad didn't because he asked me

731
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:48,959
Speaker 1: what games we had in. I left the lines because

732
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,440
Speaker 1: I had them in on Wednesday, because again seven a half,

733
00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:54,359
Speaker 1: I felt like that was a good number. But yeah,

734
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:56,359
Speaker 1: these assholes are right. I could not believe the lines

735
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:58,839
Speaker 1: didn't cover that number. So yeah, looking at this week

736
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:02,359
Speaker 1: with the Cowboys, how lucky can they be? Like they're

737
00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:05,080
Speaker 1: getting the team and the Bears. That's young inexperience off

738
00:38:05,120 --> 00:38:08,479
Speaker 1: a huge primetime win. Now going on the second road game.

739
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,960
Speaker 1: Auto play every time on the Cowboys here, I hate it.

740
00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:14,359
Speaker 1: I hate that I have to do this, but it's

741
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 1: always such a smart situational play. Throw On top of that,

742
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:21,000
Speaker 1: the most dominant part of this team, the Cowboys, is

743
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:23,239
Speaker 1: the defense. Like I just don't know how they're gonna

744
00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:25,640
Speaker 1: move the ball. Justin Fields is about to meet his

745
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,040
Speaker 1: match with Parsons. If you want to watch something cool,

746
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:31,960
Speaker 1: go back last year watch hey rookie. It's great these two.

747
00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 1: These two work out together every day, Justin Fields and Parsons,

748
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:38,040
Speaker 1: they're good friends. They even race and I'll leave it

749
00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:39,560
Speaker 1: up to you see who wins the race. It's might

750
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:42,839
Speaker 1: surprise you. Parsons is a freak man. So if you're

751
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:44,600
Speaker 1: looking for the one guy that can take away the

752
00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 1: biggest talent on the other side of Justin Fields, it's Parsons.

753
00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 1: So yeah, I like, I like Dallas here is a

754
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 1: big favorite. It's hard not to with every signal, Right,

755
00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:59,000
Speaker 1: Dallas kind of underperformed, Bears overperformed primetime spot DAC second

756
00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:03,080
Speaker 1: game back. Uh, it makes total sense. Yep. Well, I

757
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:05,719
Speaker 1: mean again, a one PM let down spot for the

758
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: Bears after a huge, huge Monday night week Again, it's

759
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 1: just a short weekend for a young team. That's really hard.

760
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 1: If it's a Tom Brady led team. Yeah, I kind

761
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:16,920
Speaker 1: of throw that out where it's like you've got the

762
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,840
Speaker 1: veteran presence there. What do you think these Bears players

763
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 1: were doing last night? You think they went home, went

764
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:23,799
Speaker 1: right to bed. Now, they had a good time, full

765
00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 1: stroll on Wednesday for practice and uh, I just think

766
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:30,120
Speaker 1: they get rolled here by the Cowboys. Uh, Dolphins on

767
00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:32,920
Speaker 1: the road at the Lions. Lions plus three and a

768
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:41,759
Speaker 1: half on FanDuel. I'm gonna say it right now. Executive

769
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:49,359
Speaker 1: d C. Jen the choice between the unthinkable and the impossible.

770
00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:57,920
Speaker 1: Executive decision. Dan Campbell coaching for his life three and

771
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:00,840
Speaker 1: a half. This team is at the this spot you

772
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:04,040
Speaker 1: could possibly be for a team getting blown up by

773
00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:07,160
Speaker 1: the Patriots, losing a cover in the final minutes against

774
00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:10,839
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. They're getting a monros st Brown back, They're

775
00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 1: at home, they've got a stellar offensive line. Expectations are

776
00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:18,480
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift plays. The Dolphins just got two and back.

777
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:23,280
Speaker 1: They won in prime time. Too much hype the tickets

778
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 1: on the Dolphins. I said it earlier this this season

779
00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:29,960
Speaker 1: when we took the Steelers at plus eight and a

780
00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:38,879
Speaker 1: half against the Bucks. Go ugly and cash your tickets. Yeah,

781
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:40,719
Speaker 1: I mean, if you didn't take a chat, I was

782
00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:42,880
Speaker 1: gonna make it one of my plays. It's a no brainer.

783
00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:46,759
Speaker 1: If not, now when lines like this is it Me

784
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:51,280
Speaker 1: and Chad talked before. Maybe I'm just I don't know cruel.

785
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,439
Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say, but I would

786
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 1: have fired Dan Campbell right when that game ended with

787
00:40:57,440 --> 00:40:59,719
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. To me, that was a fireball game where

788
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:03,319
Speaker 1: it's like you didn't have your defense prepared, your team

789
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,920
Speaker 1: prepared after a bio to play a Cowboys team that

790
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 1: was letting you steal that game. They were begging you

791
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:11,880
Speaker 1: to steal that game, and they just did not do it.

792
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:15,400
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm with Chad about this. Is it right? Like?

793
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 1: If this is if you like Campbell, if you want

794
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 1: to if you want him to keep being your coach

795
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:23,200
Speaker 1: and your Detroit you're at home against the team that

796
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:26,840
Speaker 1: I don't think Miami should be minus three and a

797
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:29,280
Speaker 1: half for anyone right now on the road, let alone

798
00:41:29,320 --> 00:41:32,359
Speaker 1: in Detroit. So the over is gonna be a fun

799
00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 1: one in this game, um exact to be a track

800
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:40,280
Speaker 1: meet for both teams. Jack can Of alluded to it earlier.

801
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:41,960
Speaker 1: It's a big deal. Swift is gonna be back. You

802
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:45,799
Speaker 1: need to see Swift. I'm on st Brown, So hold

803
00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:47,080
Speaker 1: off a little bit. If you have a three and

804
00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 1: a half, like Chad that earlier, maybe grab that now

805
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:51,120
Speaker 1: because I can tell you that pros are gonna be

806
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 1: all over Detroit, So grab the three and a half.

807
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:55,680
Speaker 1: If it's already gone at your book, just wait, just

808
00:41:55,800 --> 00:41:57,879
Speaker 1: wait and see what the injury report is on this one.

809
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:00,600
Speaker 1: But no brainer, I seuse this game came out. I

810
00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:02,160
Speaker 1: knew me chat We're gonna be honest, just a good

811
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:08,160
Speaker 1: position to be taking Detroit three and a half a gift, Hello, Detroit,

812
00:42:12,640 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 1: would you have taken it for? Simon says no, I

813
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 1: mean I got again. I got one. That's just I'm

814
00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 1: trying to keep getting grosser. Like last week that Washington

815
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:25,080
Speaker 1: football game felt gross again. That picks six the amount

816
00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:27,200
Speaker 1: of text I guy just from like friends and people

817
00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:29,080
Speaker 1: I know, because like they're asking one of my favorite

818
00:42:29,080 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 1: bets at week I said Washington. Holy sh it man,

819
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:34,440
Speaker 1: It's like hilarious how people react like it was the

820
00:42:34,480 --> 00:42:37,319
Speaker 1: second quarter maybe first quarter, Like why the fund did

821
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:40,080
Speaker 1: I bet on Heineke. It's like, just chill out, give

822
00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 1: the guy a half yea A long time Cardinals on

823
00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:47,560
Speaker 1: the road at the Vikings, Cardinals at four point underdogs.

824
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:51,479
Speaker 1: This is a sneaky one to me, this game, Yeah,

825
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:54,440
Speaker 1: because I know what you want to do? What do

826
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 1: I want to do? You want to take the Cardinals?

827
00:42:58,239 --> 00:42:59,719
Speaker 1: Are we going to do that? I didn't know what

828
00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 1: to do with this game because as soon as it

829
00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:04,839
Speaker 1: came out, I like back in Kirk at home. But yeah,

830
00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:07,600
Speaker 1: that's a I don't know, that's a lot of points

831
00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:09,520
Speaker 1: to Kirk to be favorite by it. I do think

832
00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:11,880
Speaker 1: it's probably because of the record, right, and everyone's just

833
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:15,520
Speaker 1: off the Cardinals. So I'm I'm there with Chad. It's

834
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 1: it's a pro play. It's just like Pittsburgh. I really

835
00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:21,200
Speaker 1: want to take Pittsburgh against Miami, held my nose and

836
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,279
Speaker 1: did it and again got rewarded for it. I guess

837
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:25,560
Speaker 1: I gotta do it with the Cardinals. It's just it's

838
00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:27,760
Speaker 1: a smart number three and a half against the Vikings

839
00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:31,359
Speaker 1: team that they just can't blow teams out. They keep

840
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:33,480
Speaker 1: every game close, doesn't know how good or bad you are.

841
00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:38,400
Speaker 1: So I like that play. I like it because I

842
00:43:38,600 --> 00:43:44,880
Speaker 1: just don't think you can underestimate the return of DeAndre Hopkins. Yeah, no,

843
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:50,759
Speaker 1: he's been great. No one's threw two picks sixes before

844
00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:53,640
Speaker 1: before the half, I mean, and they made it a

845
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,080
Speaker 1: ballgame the ended. The Cardinals are just bad. They are

846
00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:59,239
Speaker 1: a bad team. But I just I'm gonna keep getting

847
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:01,640
Speaker 1: caught by this Viking team because like again, Miami should

848
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:03,839
Speaker 1: have beat them out right and then even covering that game.

849
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:06,839
Speaker 1: So maybe the Likings will be like the Giants, will

850
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:08,719
Speaker 1: just keep catching me. Try and chase this, you know,

851
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 1: chase the dragon. But I gotta do it. I gotta

852
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:15,760
Speaker 1: take the Cardinals here. Titans a very short road favorites

853
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,640
Speaker 1: one and a half against the Texas. Right now, be

854
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:23,640
Speaker 1: careful everyone, this is no brainer. Gotta take it right,

855
00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:29,200
Speaker 1: take what I gotta take. The number on Euston, it's there.

856
00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:31,839
Speaker 1: They're basically telling you Tannehill's hurt. That's what this number

857
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:35,360
Speaker 1: is telling you. There's an injury to the Tennessee Titans.

858
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:38,360
Speaker 1: This game was five five and a half, dropped all

859
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:41,040
Speaker 1: the way down to one and a half. It's Tannell

860
00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:43,560
Speaker 1: has to be hurt. Like someone knows something. A professional

861
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:45,920
Speaker 1: group has moved this number, taking a position and the

862
00:44:45,960 --> 00:44:49,200
Speaker 1: books reacted. So you can wait and we'll see what

863
00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 1: the injury news is because I don't know how much

864
00:44:50,680 --> 00:44:53,040
Speaker 1: more this number is going to move. But it feels

865
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:54,960
Speaker 1: like last week all over again. The Burros were all

866
00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:56,600
Speaker 1: over the Jets in the public was because of what

867
00:44:56,680 --> 00:44:58,759
Speaker 1: the Jets have been doing. At plus three plus two,

868
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,840
Speaker 1: plus one and a half, Russell Wilson got out. They

869
00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 1: moved it all the way to um what was of

870
00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 1: minus two for the Jets. You could see that happen here.

871
00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:11,759
Speaker 1: But it's just an interesting pregame movement of like the

872
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:14,919
Speaker 1: books are literally going to take the tickets and ninety

873
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:16,920
Speaker 1: percent of the money on the Tennessee Titans. They're the

874
00:45:16,960 --> 00:45:19,920
Speaker 1: divisional team playing the worst team in football. Houston is

875
00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:21,600
Speaker 1: the worst team in football. I think we got agree

876
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:25,279
Speaker 1: on that, so bizarre world like, the only explanation to

877
00:45:25,360 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 1: me is you've got to trust the books. They're not

878
00:45:28,200 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 1: here to give out free money before Halloween. They're laying

879
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,040
Speaker 1: a trap. You want to be on the Texans side here.

880
00:45:34,120 --> 00:45:36,319
Speaker 1: So I couldn't believe when I saw this number. Though

881
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:38,399
Speaker 1: again I I saw it a five and a half

882
00:45:38,520 --> 00:45:41,920
Speaker 1: last week, reopened the app the Action app Um Sunday

883
00:45:42,080 --> 00:45:43,480
Speaker 1: night before going to bed, and I saw it was

884
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:45,800
Speaker 1: down to one and a half, and I was like, Tannehill,

885
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:47,239
Speaker 1: I know you got banged up in the game. Theyre

886
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:50,760
Speaker 1: brought in Williams or Willis, but I haven't heard anything

887
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:53,040
Speaker 1: else since then, So I don't know what's happening with

888
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:55,680
Speaker 1: that line. To be honest, why aren't you saying why

889
00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:57,520
Speaker 1: don't you making this your Simon says, if you think

890
00:45:57,560 --> 00:46:01,160
Speaker 1: the number is gonna move, Simon says, is better right now.

891
00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:05,680
Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna move. I think it's gonna move,

892
00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:07,200
Speaker 1: but I don't think it's gonna move into such a

893
00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:08,960
Speaker 1: way that's gonna really affect it out it like, yeah,

894
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:11,040
Speaker 1: you're gonna bet Houston right now. I just don't see it,

895
00:46:11,160 --> 00:46:14,239
Speaker 1: being like, do you see Houston get to minus two

896
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:21,680
Speaker 1: if Dan Hill's officially out? No? I feel like this

897
00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:23,799
Speaker 1: is the number though, Like I'm just waiting to see

898
00:46:23,800 --> 00:46:25,480
Speaker 1: what's gonna happen because I'm hoping you can maybe get

899
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:28,319
Speaker 1: plus three if Dan Hill is cleared to play. Um,

900
00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:31,480
Speaker 1: that's how I'm gonna wait on, all right, commanders uh

901
00:46:32,239 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 1: plus three At the Colts, the sam Elinger era begins.

902
00:46:37,239 --> 00:46:41,359
Speaker 1: Taylor Henik Taylor made to bet like you got two

903
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 1: terrible quarterbacks, two teams no one cares about. It's a

904
00:46:45,320 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 1: corner TV game. How are you not bet in this game?

905
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 1: Any self respecting better must put money on this game.

906
00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:56,359
Speaker 1: And I was thinking about making this my sigmon says,

907
00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 1: I got another one because this is gonna be the

908
00:46:57,960 --> 00:46:59,480
Speaker 1: most public side. I was hoping it was gonna be

909
00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:02,960
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan right at plus four. That was a gift

910
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:05,279
Speaker 1: when it was Matt Ryan and at quarterback yea. And

911
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:07,600
Speaker 1: not to have any faith in this kid, Sam, I'm

912
00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 1: happy to fade him get the plus three. I didn't

913
00:47:10,840 --> 00:47:13,400
Speaker 1: I wouldn't have moved um the number that much. So

914
00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:17,200
Speaker 1: let's be honest, like, we'll see again. Man. Maybe Ryan,

915
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan was what was holding together this team. I

916
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:23,240
Speaker 1: just the guy had the most turnovers, the most sacks

917
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:25,960
Speaker 1: across the board, the most interceptions, the most fumbled, most

918
00:47:25,960 --> 00:47:28,000
Speaker 1: sack player right now in football is Matt Ryan. So

919
00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:29,640
Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with it because I

920
00:47:29,640 --> 00:47:32,200
Speaker 1: think Chad Taylor where it's like the dog whatever. Who

921
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:33,880
Speaker 1: if the culture the underdog, I would have taken the

922
00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:38,440
Speaker 1: Washington's underdog. I'll take them. These teams are interchangeable. Washington's

923
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:41,360
Speaker 1: just slightly better on paper with what they have on offense.

924
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:45,439
Speaker 1: But we'll see again. Jonathan Taylor, he has not gotten going.

925
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:47,320
Speaker 1: Like that's like that's the thing right now with the

926
00:47:47,360 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 1: culture just waiting to see if he can get going.

927
00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:51,600
Speaker 1: Maybe that's why they're making their move or they really

928
00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 1: are taking because again there's good there's five good quarterbacks

929
00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:58,160
Speaker 1: this year. They're owing two against Tennessee. I guess they're

930
00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:00,600
Speaker 1: taking up position and taking but it just the bizarre

931
00:48:00,640 --> 00:48:02,600
Speaker 1: to me. Again, you have Nick Foles as the backup. Now,

932
00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:05,719
Speaker 1: I don't really know what the culture doing here, but yeah,

933
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:08,120
Speaker 1: I wanted to make this, Sigmon says, But again, I

934
00:48:08,200 --> 00:48:09,759
Speaker 1: think this is the number all week. But I'm gonna

935
00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:13,319
Speaker 1: grab it now anyway. Plus three But interesting, interesting, game

936
00:48:13,840 --> 00:48:16,359
Speaker 1: didn't get real? Why it moved the whole point off

937
00:48:16,400 --> 00:48:21,280
Speaker 1: the Matt Ryan News forty Niners visiting the Rams. Rams

938
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:24,600
Speaker 1: are underdogs at home. It's a battle for two teams

939
00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 1: that are gonna finish second to Gino Smith in the

940
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:30,960
Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks. I hope you're right. I hope you're right.

941
00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 1: I mean, what was your first thought when you saw

942
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:37,520
Speaker 1: this game? You finally take the Rams. That's what I

943
00:48:37,560 --> 00:48:39,479
Speaker 1: want to do too. We know, we know the history

944
00:48:39,520 --> 00:48:41,279
Speaker 1: of these two teams. Like again, I always go back

945
00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:46,360
Speaker 1: to it. I'll probably put the trend down on Thursday,

946
00:48:46,440 --> 00:48:48,520
Speaker 1: but I just don't. I don't know the exact numbers,

947
00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:51,839
Speaker 1: but it feels like every time in this position, Shane

948
00:48:51,880 --> 00:48:54,920
Speaker 1: Ann covers or he wins, Like it's just every single

949
00:48:55,040 --> 00:48:56,960
Speaker 1: time I know they got their number last in the

950
00:48:57,000 --> 00:49:00,400
Speaker 1: playoffs the Rams they won by three, But it's just

951
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:02,719
Speaker 1: always these two teams play that the four nineers just

952
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 1: have always historically played them. Well. Um, so again I'm

953
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:09,360
Speaker 1: I'm looking at a Los Angeles team that had a

954
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:12,480
Speaker 1: big win against Carolina right there, get right game, had

955
00:49:12,560 --> 00:49:14,600
Speaker 1: a bye week another playing against the four Nite team

956
00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:17,080
Speaker 1: that just got embarrassed and blown out by the Chiefs.

957
00:49:18,040 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 1: It's gonna be the big public side, but I'll do it.

958
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:23,279
Speaker 1: I'll drink the kool and I'll ride with the public. Again.

959
00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:25,000
Speaker 1: We joke all the time. Forty percent at the time,

960
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:27,320
Speaker 1: they're right the public. This is one of them. To me,

961
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:29,960
Speaker 1: I'll take the four nineers here is a short road favorite.

962
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:34,400
Speaker 1: It feels gross, feels absolutely gross. Indivisional game. But just

963
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:37,520
Speaker 1: playing against the trends and what I've seen, the four

964
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:39,799
Speaker 1: Nights are really good. Again. They moved the ball at

965
00:49:39,840 --> 00:49:42,400
Speaker 1: will against that Chiefs team. They were just settling for

966
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 1: field goals while my Homes was putting up seven. And

967
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:48,160
Speaker 1: again that's the Jimmy Jimmy Garoppolo effect. The guys just

968
00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:54,360
Speaker 1: we know he's capped, he's seeling his capped. But Deebo McCaffrey, Kittle,

969
00:49:54,560 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 1: I I can't get over how much Town is on

970
00:49:58,000 --> 00:50:00,560
Speaker 1: that FOURT nine years offense. So I gotta do it.

971
00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:02,920
Speaker 1: It gets a Rams team that, yeah, that's all fun

972
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:04,920
Speaker 1: and good. You can beat up on Carolina. We've seen

973
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 1: you play other good teams and you just don't not

974
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:12,719
Speaker 1: look good this year. When Christian McCaffrey gets comfortable and

975
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:16,879
Speaker 1: can do the majority of snaps on offense, that team

976
00:50:16,960 --> 00:50:18,520
Speaker 1: is going to be a problem. What do you think

977
00:50:18,520 --> 00:50:22,440
Speaker 1: of that trade? Though probably not worth it, because when

978
00:50:22,640 --> 00:50:28,600
Speaker 1: when do running backs sort of continue to climb as

979
00:50:28,719 --> 00:50:34,280
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey does or has at his age, especially coming

980
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:36,799
Speaker 1: off of two years of injuries, and every single time

981
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:39,320
Speaker 1: he carries the ball it looks like he could have

982
00:50:40,000 --> 00:50:44,600
Speaker 1: his head separated from his body or suffer an irreparable

983
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:50,440
Speaker 1: hamstring injury or some kind of deep, you know, thigh contusion.

984
00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:52,560
Speaker 1: And we're like, I could people ask about it. I

985
00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:54,400
Speaker 1: feel like me had the same boat. It's like we

986
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:56,920
Speaker 1: would never give up draft capital like that for an

987
00:50:57,000 --> 00:51:00,239
Speaker 1: aging running back who's been hurt the last two years years.

988
00:51:00,560 --> 00:51:03,160
Speaker 1: But I love it from the football standpoint of like

989
00:51:03,640 --> 00:51:06,640
Speaker 1: this is the dream, Like the Shanahan run scheme with

990
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:12,520
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, who's just incredible again running, catching, passing. He

991
00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:15,080
Speaker 1: landed on Friday and learned enough plays to play a

992
00:51:15,160 --> 00:51:17,640
Speaker 1: bunch of snaps in that game. It was just it

993
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,800
Speaker 1: was amazing. So as a fan of the four nineers,

994
00:51:20,800 --> 00:51:23,040
Speaker 1: I would hate it because it's like you literally are mortgage.

995
00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:25,400
Speaker 1: It kind of feels like you've mortgaged really your future

996
00:51:25,960 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 1: on this season and next season. But I love the

997
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:31,840
Speaker 1: move from the standpoint of McCaffrey is incredible, and you

998
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:35,439
Speaker 1: have him in a sing offense. They taking the Rams

999
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 1: approach and gone all in on this year, right. Maybe

1000
00:51:38,640 --> 00:51:41,479
Speaker 1: they feel like their defense is so good. They've seen

1001
00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:45,759
Speaker 1: how talented their defense is. They have you, like you said,

1002
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:49,839
Speaker 1: they have Kittle, they have Sweeney. Jimmy g is serviceable

1003
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 1: enough if you put him in the right position, if

1004
00:51:51,840 --> 00:51:56,919
Speaker 1: you give him that one running back in a weekend NFC. Yeah,

1005
00:51:57,360 --> 00:52:00,400
Speaker 1: like this is our shot. So I can totally understand

1006
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:03,520
Speaker 1: why they did it. One more note the starting left

1007
00:52:03,560 --> 00:52:06,200
Speaker 1: tackle No Bloom out for the season for this Rams team,

1008
00:52:06,280 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 1: So jesus you know what major issues in the offensive line.

1009
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:12,880
Speaker 1: I'm skipping this game forty Niners Foxhel. I don't want

1010
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:15,279
Speaker 1: to go in the foxil with the forty Niners. That's

1011
00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:17,319
Speaker 1: why you have to do it. It's it's a hard take.

1012
00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:19,960
Speaker 1: You're taking a road favorite again in a divisional game.

1013
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:24,080
Speaker 1: I hate, I hate, I hate that. You gotta do

1014
00:52:24,200 --> 00:52:32,400
Speaker 1: it all right, hitting Niners. We're the fossil. Let's clide

1015
00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:37,239
Speaker 1: down into the foxhole. Forty Niners. Mus want and a

1016
00:52:37,239 --> 00:52:41,360
Speaker 1: half foxhole. Uh, Giants on the road at the Seahawks.

1017
00:52:42,040 --> 00:52:45,880
Speaker 1: I mean, it's a battle of NFC juggernauts. I think

1018
00:52:45,920 --> 00:52:48,000
Speaker 1: you're sucking around. I know you've actually meant yeah, they

1019
00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:50,920
Speaker 1: are shad no joke, no punch line there. These are

1020
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 1: two of the best teams right now, and there are

1021
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:56,839
Speaker 1: bizarre a world. I said to me, But I can't

1022
00:52:56,840 --> 00:52:59,239
Speaker 1: believe the Eagles are six and oh and in the

1023
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:01,800
Speaker 1: Week eight they're only half a game up in their division.

1024
00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:07,120
Speaker 1: What is fucking happening. I don't understand anything anymore. Everyone

1025
00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:08,799
Speaker 1: knows what mean chedd A're gonna do. We're gonna lose

1026
00:53:08,840 --> 00:53:10,839
Speaker 1: more money, but this is what we do every week.

1027
00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:14,640
Speaker 1: We will take the Seahawks every time. Give me minus

1028
00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:17,520
Speaker 1: two and a half, give me minus three. I don't

1029
00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:19,440
Speaker 1: know what's happening. I don't know how the Giants keep

1030
00:53:19,480 --> 00:53:22,080
Speaker 1: doing it. But you have to assume this is a

1031
00:53:22,200 --> 00:53:26,040
Speaker 1: good matchup for the Seahawks at home. But my god, Danny,

1032
00:53:26,120 --> 00:53:28,239
Speaker 1: Danny Dimes on the road like anyone listening. If you

1033
00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:31,360
Speaker 1: take him plus three, I can't knock you. Like this

1034
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:34,480
Speaker 1: guy keeps covering and he's even better on the road historically.

1035
00:53:35,080 --> 00:53:38,239
Speaker 1: But it has to run out. Like again, the Seahawks

1036
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:41,200
Speaker 1: are a good team. Their all offense is good. Their

1037
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:44,080
Speaker 1: defenses really started playing well. Like the rookies they drafted.

1038
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:48,319
Speaker 1: It's crazy is on the same spot Bears drafted. Well

1039
00:53:49,200 --> 00:53:52,480
Speaker 1: would you say I was gonna say Kenneth Walker Right now,

1040
00:53:53,360 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker has the shortest odds for UH Offensive Rookie

1041
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:03,440
Speaker 1: of the Year right now Offensive Rookie of the Year

1042
00:54:04,000 --> 00:54:12,640
Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker at vanduel Um plus two hundred. The next

1043
00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:16,560
Speaker 1: is Breefe Hall at plus two fifty and he's out

1044
00:54:16,600 --> 00:54:22,000
Speaker 1: for the year. So again, I I just look at

1045
00:54:22,040 --> 00:54:24,200
Speaker 1: the Seahawks team and chat every week. Asked me like

1046
00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:27,520
Speaker 1: when is it gonna fall off for Gino? And I

1047
00:54:27,680 --> 00:54:29,360
Speaker 1: was right there with him where it's like, I know

1048
00:54:29,520 --> 00:54:31,719
Speaker 1: we're playing with borrowed time right now, because like this

1049
00:54:31,960 --> 00:54:34,520
Speaker 1: is this is crazy, like the books that finally put

1050
00:54:34,560 --> 00:54:37,640
Speaker 1: up Gino Smith m VP os. I think he's a one,

1051
00:54:38,120 --> 00:54:40,120
Speaker 1: but they finally hung him. He was never up there

1052
00:54:40,160 --> 00:54:42,200
Speaker 1: all summer, all season. He hasn't been up there, so

1053
00:54:43,880 --> 00:54:45,840
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's it's just it feels like a

1054
00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:49,080
Speaker 1: player we have to make on the Seahawks short favorite

1055
00:54:49,080 --> 00:54:52,360
Speaker 1: against a team that take out the luck rankings. I

1056
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:54,560
Speaker 1: know they're gonna be number one in luck rankings. The Giants,

1057
00:54:55,320 --> 00:54:57,759
Speaker 1: it's just not sustainable. A team that's six and oh

1058
00:54:57,880 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 1: or six and one and one possession games and anytime

1059
00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:02,680
Speaker 1: they need to turnover they get it. Anytime they need

1060
00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:05,080
Speaker 1: a big play from Daniel Jones or se Quant, they

1061
00:55:05,160 --> 00:55:08,399
Speaker 1: get it. It's just it's bizarre where but these teams

1062
00:55:08,440 --> 00:55:10,600
Speaker 1: happen every year. Last year with the Cowboys, the Cowboys

1063
00:55:10,640 --> 00:55:12,160
Speaker 1: at this point where the one seed in the NFC

1064
00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:14,880
Speaker 1: East in the NFC and they completely fell off the

1065
00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:17,480
Speaker 1: second half of the year. Not saying that Giants are

1066
00:55:17,480 --> 00:55:19,239
Speaker 1: gonna have that happen, because I really do believe in

1067
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:22,759
Speaker 1: the coaching, but it's just it's it's so hard to

1068
00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:24,839
Speaker 1: win in this league. I just can't believe what they're

1069
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:27,600
Speaker 1: doing with the pieces there. Um again, their top three

1070
00:55:27,640 --> 00:55:29,920
Speaker 1: receivers have been out as well. It's it's it's crazy

1071
00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:33,279
Speaker 1: what Daniel Jones is doing. So I'm stepping in it.

1072
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:35,319
Speaker 1: But again and make this line minus four and a half.

1073
00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:37,320
Speaker 1: I have to bet the value. I see the value

1074
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:41,000
Speaker 1: on the Seahawks. You're forgiving me minus two and a half.

1075
00:55:41,239 --> 00:55:44,239
Speaker 1: I'll take it. Like again, the most public dog this

1076
00:55:44,360 --> 00:55:46,279
Speaker 1: week to me, is probably gonna be in this Giants team.

1077
00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:48,720
Speaker 1: The public just keeps betting them and winning. Why wouldn't

1078
00:55:48,760 --> 00:55:51,800
Speaker 1: they do it? Here? Again, the line right now is three.

1079
00:55:52,000 --> 00:55:53,600
Speaker 1: I don't know where you're seeing two and a half,

1080
00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:57,200
Speaker 1: but I would still take three. Even then, you'll still

1081
00:55:57,239 --> 00:56:00,800
Speaker 1: take it, Which means your simon said is if you

1082
00:56:00,880 --> 00:56:03,120
Speaker 1: tell me your simon says, if you're going against Matt

1083
00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,520
Speaker 1: Mitchell and the Buffalo Bills with the Green Bay Packers

1084
00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:09,560
Speaker 1: and plus eleven and a half, man, that is just me. No,

1085
00:56:10,200 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 1: I'm crazy. I'm not that crazy, even though I do

1086
00:56:12,280 --> 00:56:15,600
Speaker 1: think this is probably the time to buy on Green Bay.

1087
00:56:16,200 --> 00:56:18,680
Speaker 1: What do we talk about when when the Bills played

1088
00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:23,520
Speaker 1: uh Pittsburgh many weeks ago. Josh Allen is a double diedge,

1089
00:56:23,520 --> 00:56:25,759
Speaker 1: your favorite. He's six and one a t s in

1090
00:56:25,840 --> 00:56:28,879
Speaker 1: his career. He beats the ship out of bad team

1091
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:31,600
Speaker 1: and he enjoys doing it. I love it, man, Mitchell,

1092
00:56:31,600 --> 00:56:33,799
Speaker 1: didn't you guys just have a bye week. Yeah, we've

1093
00:56:33,880 --> 00:56:36,759
Speaker 1: just spent two weeks having everyone tells for the best

1094
00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:39,279
Speaker 1: team football. So yeah, I don't disagree that it might

1095
00:56:39,280 --> 00:56:41,359
Speaker 1: be a time to fade, but just to stay away,

1096
00:56:41,520 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 1: just to stay away situation. So what are we doing here?

1097
00:56:43,960 --> 00:56:45,480
Speaker 1: Are we passing? So I was gonna say, this is

1098
00:56:45,520 --> 00:56:47,560
Speaker 1: another opportunity where if you want to play safe, you

1099
00:56:47,600 --> 00:56:49,960
Speaker 1: can just do Bill second half, because that's been cashing

1100
00:56:50,040 --> 00:56:53,600
Speaker 1: this year, taking them second half on the spread. But again,

1101
00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:56,080
Speaker 1: I'm on two big favorites this week. Ones the Eagles,

1102
00:56:56,120 --> 00:56:57,360
Speaker 1: the other one is going to be the Bills. I

1103
00:56:57,440 --> 00:56:59,279
Speaker 1: just I've learned my lesson on trying to take a

1104
00:56:59,400 --> 00:57:03,480
Speaker 1: position again. Josh Allen and primetime games, especially primetime games

1105
00:57:03,520 --> 00:57:05,480
Speaker 1: at home. He likes to show off of the crowd.

1106
00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:09,080
Speaker 1: He loves Buffalo, he loves playing there. I don't see

1107
00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:12,239
Speaker 1: how the Green Bay can move the ball against the

1108
00:57:12,360 --> 00:57:15,720
Speaker 1: number one, number two, number three, best defense on football.

1109
00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:18,120
Speaker 1: Depends on what rankings are going off of. They're the

1110
00:57:18,200 --> 00:57:21,000
Speaker 1: best right now. The Bills. We just saw them absolutely

1111
00:57:21,000 --> 00:57:24,560
Speaker 1: shutdown a Chiefs team that a few teams can like. There.

1112
00:57:24,720 --> 00:57:27,800
Speaker 1: That wasn't just myhomes having a bad day. That was

1113
00:57:27,920 --> 00:57:31,320
Speaker 1: brilliant scheme and putting your putting players in key positions.

1114
00:57:31,800 --> 00:57:33,680
Speaker 1: The Bill's got it all going right now. They gotta

1115
00:57:33,680 --> 00:57:36,880
Speaker 1: go on offense, they've gotta going on defense. I just

1116
00:57:37,040 --> 00:57:39,240
Speaker 1: don't see how the bleeding stops you for green Bay.

1117
00:57:39,320 --> 00:57:40,880
Speaker 1: And the craziest part is, I don't even know if

1118
00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:43,200
Speaker 1: this If this game was thirteen and a half, I

1119
00:57:43,240 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 1: don't even know if I would still take green Bay

1120
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:46,240
Speaker 1: at that number. Like you might have to get this

1121
00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:48,680
Speaker 1: to fourteen for me to take green Bay. That's how

1122
00:57:48,760 --> 00:57:51,920
Speaker 1: far these green Bay problems go. And maybe I'll be

1123
00:57:51,960 --> 00:57:53,440
Speaker 1: eating my words if the green Bay can get the

1124
00:57:53,560 --> 00:57:57,480
Speaker 1: running game established against Buffalo. But Buffalo has no glaring weaknesses,

1125
00:57:57,680 --> 00:58:00,600
Speaker 1: like they just they'll take away whatever team wants to

1126
00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:04,480
Speaker 1: do and that's it. Like, unless you're my homes, it's

1127
00:58:04,560 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 1: hard to make these games close. So it's the only

1128
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:10,320
Speaker 1: teams I've really played. This Buffalo team well, are the

1129
00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:12,480
Speaker 1: two of the best teams in football. Um or I

1130
00:58:12,520 --> 00:58:14,840
Speaker 1: guess you could say Miami did as well. But I

1131
00:58:15,000 --> 00:58:18,440
Speaker 1: just on paper, I just liked this Bill's matchup. I

1132
00:58:18,560 --> 00:58:21,000
Speaker 1: really wanted to take green Bay just because they have

1133
00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:24,680
Speaker 1: to turn around eventually. But after a loss to the

1134
00:58:24,760 --> 00:58:27,000
Speaker 1: Giants in England a Losso home to the Jets, and

1135
00:58:27,080 --> 00:58:30,040
Speaker 1: then I lost in Washington last week. I just can't

1136
00:58:30,080 --> 00:58:32,640
Speaker 1: see them slopping the slide in Buffalo. There's just there's

1137
00:58:32,640 --> 00:58:34,160
Speaker 1: too much going on for them to fix in this

1138
00:58:34,200 --> 00:58:37,760
Speaker 1: amount of time. All Right, we're down to it. We're

1139
00:58:37,800 --> 00:58:41,560
Speaker 1: down to the Battle of Ohio on Monday Night football,

1140
00:58:51,800 --> 00:58:55,880
Speaker 1: the Bengals visiting the Browns. The Browns are three point

1141
00:58:56,040 --> 00:58:59,560
Speaker 1: underdogs at home. I know what you're gonna say here,

1142
00:58:59,600 --> 00:59:03,080
Speaker 1: so go ahead say it. Simon says, take the Browns,

1143
00:59:08,880 --> 00:59:11,160
Speaker 1: no brainer. First bet I made when it came out

1144
00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:13,040
Speaker 1: this week. I think I might have opened it three,

1145
00:59:13,080 --> 00:59:14,760
Speaker 1: went up to three and a half. All the pros

1146
00:59:14,880 --> 00:59:17,760
Speaker 1: hit it right away, right back down to three. Easiest

1147
00:59:17,760 --> 00:59:21,200
Speaker 1: game of the week. Joe Burrow was godlike last week.

1148
00:59:21,320 --> 00:59:24,280
Speaker 1: The public was very happy with Joe. Now you're getting

1149
00:59:24,320 --> 00:59:26,480
Speaker 1: Joe in a primetime game, going to get to Brown's

1150
00:59:26,520 --> 00:59:28,800
Speaker 1: team that I mean, they're looking like the worst, one

1151
00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:30,560
Speaker 1: of the worst teams in football right now. What are they?

1152
00:59:30,600 --> 00:59:32,680
Speaker 1: Two and six now two and five? They are bad.

1153
00:59:33,040 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 1: They are a bad team right now. So going with

1154
00:59:36,280 --> 00:59:39,880
Speaker 1: what I always say in a primetime game and divisional game,

1155
00:59:40,480 --> 00:59:42,320
Speaker 1: a team that's getting none of the none of the bets,

1156
00:59:42,440 --> 00:59:45,720
Speaker 1: none of the money. Those are usually my darlings. Um

1157
00:59:46,040 --> 00:59:47,960
Speaker 1: the fact that it was three and a half. I

1158
00:59:48,120 --> 00:59:50,480
Speaker 1: loved it. I've even seen what the public is doing

1159
00:59:50,480 --> 00:59:52,440
Speaker 1: with this number yet, I just know what they're gonna do.

1160
00:59:52,600 --> 00:59:55,440
Speaker 1: They're gonna love Joey b in this position. So you

1161
00:59:55,560 --> 00:59:57,200
Speaker 1: can't wait if you want, if you can't if you

1162
00:59:57,200 --> 00:59:59,000
Speaker 1: want to wait for the three and a half. I

1163
00:59:59,040 --> 01:00:00,560
Speaker 1: just don't know if they're gonna it again because I

1164
01:00:00,560 --> 01:00:02,360
Speaker 1: just see like the pros will just buy that number

1165
01:00:02,400 --> 01:00:04,280
Speaker 1: every time. It's just too big of a number with

1166
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:07,640
Speaker 1: these teams. I'm telling you it sounds crazy. But since

1167
01:00:07,680 --> 01:00:10,600
Speaker 1: he's not that much better, the biggest difference is right

1168
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:13,360
Speaker 1: Joe Brohen, We've seen that time and time again. He

1169
01:00:13,560 --> 01:00:17,600
Speaker 1: is incredible. This is the definition of a trap game.

1170
01:00:17,880 --> 01:00:20,440
Speaker 1: Like again, I should have seen it coming last night

1171
01:00:20,480 --> 01:00:22,480
Speaker 1: with that Patriots game. Chah, I was right, like we

1172
01:00:22,520 --> 01:00:25,200
Speaker 1: should have known. But this is what the books do

1173
01:00:25,560 --> 01:00:28,880
Speaker 1: that they have everyone line up these prime time games.

1174
01:00:28,960 --> 01:00:30,800
Speaker 1: Everyone will throw this one at end of a teaser.

1175
01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:33,680
Speaker 1: Everyone will take the moneyline of this Bangos team. Easiest

1176
01:00:33,720 --> 01:00:36,480
Speaker 1: bet you'll make all year, and that's why again, this

1177
01:00:36,480 --> 01:00:38,360
Speaker 1: is why don't watch games of sports books. It's a

1178
01:00:38,480 --> 01:00:40,440
Speaker 1: lonely feeling being the only guy in their holding a

1179
01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:43,160
Speaker 1: Browns ticket. I can promise you that. So this is

1180
01:00:43,200 --> 01:00:44,760
Speaker 1: a bet at walk out of the book kind of

1181
01:00:44,800 --> 01:00:46,640
Speaker 1: bet for me. I'm not gonna stay and watch, but

1182
01:00:47,320 --> 01:00:48,960
Speaker 1: I love love this position of the Browns. It's a

1183
01:00:49,040 --> 01:00:51,520
Speaker 1: rare opportunity to taking this Browns. I'll talk on Thursday.

1184
01:00:51,520 --> 01:00:53,200
Speaker 1: It might up being one of my bigger bets this year.

1185
01:00:53,320 --> 01:00:56,600
Speaker 1: But I just love this position of a by low

1186
01:00:56,760 --> 01:00:59,800
Speaker 1: spot and sell high on this since he team and

1187
01:01:00,200 --> 01:01:04,280
Speaker 1: as some people like to say, bet it and forget it, Yeah,

1188
01:01:04,440 --> 01:01:06,560
Speaker 1: that's perfect example. This game is the bet it and

1189
01:01:06,640 --> 01:01:09,160
Speaker 1: forget it bet and forget it. You better now that

1190
01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:11,280
Speaker 1: you open up your book on one day and you're like,

1191
01:01:11,320 --> 01:01:13,040
Speaker 1: oh nice, I want to hunt it on that game. Well,

1192
01:01:13,080 --> 01:01:14,680
Speaker 1: don't forget. It's a Monday game. So I don't even

1193
01:01:14,680 --> 01:01:15,920
Speaker 1: know if I want to put it in the contest,

1194
01:01:16,000 --> 01:01:22,440
Speaker 1: but it'll be interesting. It'll be in a half. Yeah. Alright,

1195
01:01:22,560 --> 01:01:25,400
Speaker 1: So right now, the games that we've sort of identified

1196
01:01:25,520 --> 01:01:29,840
Speaker 1: as our most confident as we sit here, Tuesday Jets

1197
01:01:29,880 --> 01:01:32,160
Speaker 1: plus two and a half Falcons minus four and a half,

1198
01:01:32,720 --> 01:01:36,760
Speaker 1: Lions plus three and a half, Seahawks minus three, Browns

1199
01:01:36,880 --> 01:01:39,680
Speaker 1: plus three got a pretty long list of games that

1200
01:01:39,920 --> 01:01:45,680
Speaker 1: that will review on Thursday. As Lions move foxhold forty

1201
01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:49,200
Speaker 1: minus one and a half. Simon says, Browns plus three.

1202
01:01:49,360 --> 01:01:51,880
Speaker 1: Chat says Lions plus three and a half. We'll do

1203
01:01:51,960 --> 01:01:58,320
Speaker 1: our big balls on Thursday. Survivor, all right, that sucks.

1204
01:01:58,360 --> 01:02:00,480
Speaker 1: They were out. It's so brutal, was I mean, I

1205
01:02:00,480 --> 01:02:05,520
Speaker 1: don't even know how to kind of contextualize alright, So

1206
01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:07,920
Speaker 1: for the safest one if you haven't used them yet,

1207
01:02:08,320 --> 01:02:10,960
Speaker 1: it feels like the bells. I was honestly gonna use

1208
01:02:10,960 --> 01:02:12,959
Speaker 1: the landing here for me and Chat like, I felt

1209
01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:15,600
Speaker 1: like it was a perfect time to fade the Carolina

1210
01:02:15,680 --> 01:02:17,919
Speaker 1: team off a win with the Lanta at home, because

1211
01:02:17,920 --> 01:02:20,280
Speaker 1: you're never really gonna use the lane again. So if

1212
01:02:20,320 --> 01:02:22,680
Speaker 1: you want to know the safe play for me the Bills,

1213
01:02:23,720 --> 01:02:25,520
Speaker 1: the I need to use this team to save the

1214
01:02:25,600 --> 01:02:28,240
Speaker 1: Bills for Thanksgiving week, which is what most gonna have

1215
01:02:28,320 --> 01:02:30,840
Speaker 1: to do. If you're in a certain contests for Survivor,

1216
01:02:31,600 --> 01:02:33,400
Speaker 1: I would take at Lanta. This is a nice, nice

1217
01:02:33,440 --> 01:02:35,640
Speaker 1: time to get them out of the way. We've said

1218
01:02:35,680 --> 01:02:37,480
Speaker 1: it all. If you've been listening on AMP, thank you

1219
01:02:37,600 --> 01:02:41,240
Speaker 1: very much for joining us live. We're enjoying, uh, getting

1220
01:02:41,280 --> 01:02:43,640
Speaker 1: to talk to people alive. It's really fun. If not,

1221
01:02:44,000 --> 01:02:47,560
Speaker 1: we hope you will continue to download us from Apple, podcast,

1222
01:02:47,680 --> 01:02:50,720
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. I am Chad Moman,

1223
01:02:50,760 --> 01:02:53,800
Speaker 1: He's Simon Hunter. Our producer is Matt Mitchell. Don't forget

1224
01:02:54,000 --> 01:02:56,480
Speaker 1: rate reviews, subscribe, use five stars, say what if you

1225
01:02:56,560 --> 01:03:00,840
Speaker 1: want feedback is a gift. Until next time, and love

1226
01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:00,960
Speaker 1: you