Speaker 1: Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins. Now let me check
Speaker 1: your pulse if you're not. What is up? Dolphins?
Speaker 2: And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast, part of the
Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins podcast network, covering your team, your Miami Dolphins.
Speaker 2: How's it going to everybody? I am your host, Travis
Speaker 2: Wingfield And on today's show, time to turn the page
Speaker 2: post haste.
Speaker 1: At long last, it is Jetsweek. The preview show moves
Speaker 1: up a day for us.
Speaker 2: Here we'll tell you about the critical matchups, a not
Speaker 2: so brief Jets introduction, storylines that pop and key to
Speaker 2: the game from the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist
Speaker 2: Health Training Complex. This is.
Speaker 1: The Drive Time Podcast Jets Week.
Speaker 2: We talked about this on the post game show with
Speaker 2: Seth and OJ. Fans of this team don't like the Patriots,
Speaker 2: Bills and Jets. And if you're an old timer or
Speaker 2: approaching old timer like I am, then you also include
Speaker 2: the Indianapolis Colts in that equation. But as we previewed
Speaker 2: the Jets game, I told the fellas, there's just something
Speaker 2: about the Jets that takes my hatred for that team
Speaker 2: to a different stratosphere for me. I think it really
Speaker 2: went back to the Rex Ryan years, went to twelve
Speaker 2: on one the ten scale. I thought that they talked
Speaker 2: more than any team that hadn't accomplished anything and anybody
Speaker 2: else ever in National Football League history, I thought.
Speaker 1: I think now.
Speaker 2: Social media probably carries that torch these days, because especially
Speaker 2: this offseason, when the discourse among national pundits that the
Speaker 2: entire cognacenti chose the Jets over the Dolphins and their
Speaker 2: AFC wildcard picks. For the most part, everybody had Buffalo
Speaker 2: winning the AFC East. But then the Jets fans on
Speaker 2: Twitter talking about the Dolphins like they were also rams
Speaker 2: just did not sit well with me because now as
Speaker 2: we move on here and the Dolphins have dealt with
Speaker 2: their injuries and they lost Aaron Rodgers, but that rest
Speaker 2: of that roster has not carried their team the way
Speaker 2: you would think a good football team would, right, So
Speaker 2: it always stuck in my craw that way, and right
Speaker 2: now they're reeling jokes on them, but also the games
Speaker 2: on national TV, on a game that most people are
Speaker 2: going to watch as they're coming back from their shopping
Speaker 2: spreeze and setting in for another round of turkey Sandy's
Speaker 2: and firing up their prime accounts to watch some professional football.
Speaker 2: Who cares about some of these college games? You want
Speaker 2: to watch pro football every week. I want to blow
Speaker 2: a team out, but the smile that will be ingrained
Speaker 2: on my stupid face for the next nine days if
Speaker 2: we go up there and win a game thirty four
Speaker 2: to six. Have you guys seen the horror film Smile.
Speaker 2: I think it's a twenty twenty two vehicle, perhaps twenty
Speaker 2: twenty one. You know, it's basically the premise is the
Speaker 2: demon possesses your body and then you smile at people
Speaker 2: and that's how they kill you or something.
Speaker 1: I don't know, but that would be me.
Speaker 2: I would be on the cover of the movie Smile,
Speaker 2: and it would actually probably go beyond the Commander's game
Speaker 2: providably win.
Speaker 1: That game, because I just love beating this team.
Speaker 2: I want that blowout to avenge Bart Scott's we're gonna
Speaker 2: put hot sauce on Reggie Bush and then actually trying
Speaker 2: to injure him in that game. Instead of Al Michael
Speaker 2: saying it's Jumbo Elliott, I want to hear he's got whill.
Speaker 2: I want to remake taking their quarterback and Chad Pennington
Speaker 2: going into their building and putting a bow on Brett
Speaker 2: Farre's one and done with the jest. So many great
Speaker 2: memories from this rivalry. Bye bye Ricky, Bye bye streak.
Speaker 2: But I think this spotlight game in a season that
Speaker 2: I think is going to be very special. I think
Speaker 2: this could be one of our favorite footnotes in the
Speaker 2: Dolphins and Jets rivalry. Let's go ahead and meet these
Speaker 2: guys real quick, and we always start at the quarterback position,
Speaker 2: where it just didn't pan out for this team in
Speaker 2: any sense, and in fact, it derailed their entire season.
Speaker 2: But I do want to make the point that the
Speaker 2: offense had plenty of issues outside of the quarterback position.
Speaker 2: In fact, somebody on Twitter wrote back to me I
Speaker 2: said that they think the offensive line is the bigger
Speaker 2: culprit for this Jets failure on offense. And I agree
Speaker 2: with the premise that the injuries and their production has
Speaker 2: been awful.
Speaker 1: But when I tell you.
Speaker 2: Going back to BYU, going back to cool Prows, Zach
Speaker 2: Wilson has never beat a team from the pocket in college,
Speaker 2: high school, in pros, and the retreating against rushers that
Speaker 2: are faster than you are, with cover guys that are
Speaker 2: faster than you are it's not gonna work, and it
Speaker 2: didn't work. It was I never had more conviction on
Speaker 2: a negative draft grade on a player than this guy,
Speaker 2: especially after watching him last season and for the Jets
Speaker 2: to bring him back as the backup guy and then
Speaker 2: to not make a move to go get somebody in
Speaker 2: four plays into your season. When you lose Aaron Rodgers, thanks,
Speaker 2: you know, I mean, you gave the keys to the
Speaker 2: franchise to a narcissistic, ego maniac quarterback who makes all
Speaker 2: the decisions for you. And I'm sure you guys have seen,
Speaker 2: you know, ghost of Adam Gayze on Twitter. My buddy, right,
Speaker 2: I don't even know his real name, but that's my guy.
Speaker 2: He posted a theory about Aaron Rodgers. He got that
Speaker 2: from me. We were having a conversation in DMS. That's
Speaker 2: my theory. If you watched Hard Knocks in the summer edition,
Speaker 2: you saw how Rogers is the owner, the GM, the
Speaker 2: head coach, and the quarterback of that team. Right, there
Speaker 2: was a moment on the sideline where Rogers had the
Speaker 2: headset on. Salah did to and Sawa said something kind
Speaker 2: of lightheartedly and Rogers like disagreed, and Sala immediately changed
Speaker 2: his position to agree with his quarterback, because Aaron Rodgers
Speaker 2: surrounds himself in his entire life with yes men. Why
Speaker 2: do you think they didn't get a quarterback after Rogers
Speaker 2: got injured? Why do you think they would do that,
Speaker 2: Brian Winhorse, Why would they do that? We couldn't have
Speaker 2: a new guy come in and spark the team and
Speaker 2: lead them to the postseason, right, Because if that happens
Speaker 2: and it takes Aaron Rodgers two or three games next
Speaker 2: September to get back to being the former version of himself,
Speaker 2: then you're gonna have Jets fans who are not hesitating
Speaker 2: at all to boo Rogers off the field and call
Speaker 2: for Josh Dobbs or not Joe Flacco. But you get
Speaker 2: the point, right, And that's something that his vanity would
Speaker 2: just simply not allow for so really, like Farv giving
Speaker 2: us Pennington was the best thing that happened to this
Speaker 2: franchise in the eight years post the Marino retirement, Rogers
Speaker 2: going to the Jets is maybe the next best thing
Speaker 2: the Jets have done for us because it caused them
Speaker 2: to sink another year of any defense. And if you've
Speaker 2: got time, go ahead and check out how often elite
Speaker 2: defenses in today's NFL, even in the century, sustain their
Speaker 2: production over the course of three years. You're lucky to
Speaker 2: get too, very lucky to get too top notch defensive performances,
Speaker 2: and back to back years. You almost never get three
Speaker 2: unless you're talking about like Baltimore two thousand, but even
Speaker 2: that was different era. Tampa Bay two thousand and two,
Speaker 2: that's also a different era. Seattle and the Oughts. That's
Speaker 2: about the closest you get to that, and the Niners
Speaker 2: are pretty good right now. But defense is hard to sustain.
Speaker 2: Right My friends listen to the show can confirm this.
Speaker 2: I've been saying it since well I'm not sure when exactly,
Speaker 2: but anyone that had eyeballs, that's most of you, and
Speaker 2: a baseline level of football knowledge. That's a majority of
Speaker 2: a minority of football watchers right on this podcast. Though
Speaker 2: that's not you because you listen to this podcast because
Speaker 2: you know ball, but casual watchers don't have that, right.
Speaker 2: But if you had those two things, you knew you
Speaker 2: knew it was so obvious. You knew that Zach Wilson
Speaker 2: was not capable of leading an NFL offense.
Speaker 1: It was so obvious.
Speaker 2: That's why I like these Jets debates on Twitter about
Speaker 2: whose fault it is blow my mind because yeah, the
Speaker 2: offensive line's bad. Yeah, Rogers' personal wide receiving room is
Speaker 2: not that great. Yeah the running backs Dalvin Cook was
Speaker 2: slow last year. Surprise, surprise, he's slow this year. They
Speaker 2: had those debates, and I'm thinking to myself, all those
Speaker 2: are true, but it doesn't take a PhD to figure
Speaker 2: out what the true issue here is in this offense.
Speaker 2: It's honestly a perfect litmus test for who has a
Speaker 2: clue with football and who does not. Because people that
Speaker 2: think that a no look past here and there or
Speaker 2: a cool, you know, frozen rope shot.
Speaker 1: From the far hash, they think that that is the talent.
Speaker 2: The talent that wins is understanding coverage and having to
Speaker 2: play with pace and rhythm and attacking those coverages with
Speaker 2: concepts that you understand from your own offense. That's winning
Speaker 2: quarterback play. And he has never, once, not one time,
Speaker 2: shown a proclivity to do that. And you guys know
Speaker 2: what happens to a team with a top five defense
Speaker 2: and a bottom five offense. You lived it for years.
Speaker 2: Maybe not quite those extremes in terms of top and
Speaker 2: bottom five. But you've seen Dolphins teams that had really
Speaker 2: good defense and really bad offense, and what happens annually
Speaker 2: to those teams, the defense wears down. I said that
Speaker 2: was coming for this Jets team. I hoped it would
Speaker 2: happen before this game, and it happened the game before
Speaker 2: this game Sunday in Buffalo. Effort was down, the Levy
Speaker 2: broke these guys.
Speaker 1: They kind of quit on that game.
Speaker 2: You could see Sauce guard or jogging after a catch
Speaker 2: that he allowed for eighty one yards to the house,
Speaker 2: like kind of like Bake did on the Christian Wilkins
Speaker 2: play on Sunday.
Speaker 1: They meled it in.
Speaker 2: You think they want to get up on a short
Speaker 2: week against a vastly superior team. I promise you there's
Speaker 2: a handful of players that will go into that game,
Speaker 2: play in that game, just hoping to get back to
Speaker 2: their families on Friday night.
Speaker 1: So that's my diet tribe.
Speaker 2: The current status of the Jets story really starts in
Speaker 2: week fifteen of twenty twenty and thirteen three oh and
Speaker 2: thirteen outfit on the fast track to pick first in
Speaker 2: a draft class that had Trevor Lawrence the Golden Boy
Speaker 2: right The Jets have the ball at their own thirty
Speaker 2: seven yard line with three point fifty four to play,
Speaker 2: nursing a twenty three to twenty lead over the Los
Speaker 2: Angeles Rams. They go Gore for three, Gore for eight,
Speaker 2: first down, Gore for four, Gore for no gain, third
Speaker 2: and six, dump off to Frank Gore breaks two tackles
Speaker 2: and gets to the first down marker. They go into
Speaker 2: victory formation. They won the next week as well, but
Speaker 2: they already had taken themselves off the first pick of
Speaker 2: the draft with that victory and that game. Right there
Speaker 2: is the difference between pick number one and pick number
Speaker 2: two and Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson.
Speaker 1: Lucky right, Dolphins fans.
Speaker 2: I also had Justin Fields comfortably as my number two quarterback,
Speaker 2: and I believe that if they built the infrastructure offensively
Speaker 2: that he could work with, then you know, Matt, maybe
Speaker 2: he's even Matt Lafleur, I don't know. I think that
Speaker 2: he would have been a perfect compliment his skill, in
Speaker 2: his style to that team. You have a running quarterback
Speaker 2: with a good defense and a good running back like
Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson Russell Wilson, like it's that's happened for a
Speaker 2: lot of successful teams. I think we'd be in real trouble.
Speaker 2: Not in trouble, but we would have a real fight
Speaker 2: for the division on our hands right now. If Justin
Speaker 2: Fields was a quarterback of the New York Jets, but
Speaker 2: they Joe Zach Wilson and now he's QB three after
Speaker 2: they stayed with.
Speaker 1: Him for ten games? Ten what were you doing?
Speaker 2: And of four and six, Mark, they won four of
Speaker 2: those games? Hell, they beat the Eagles. How I got
Speaker 2: no friggin clue, man, I mean I watched that again.
Speaker 2: I saw but like I would take the Eagles ninety
Speaker 2: nine times out of one hundred in that situation.
Speaker 1: But thanks in large part to a very good defense.
Speaker 2: Right offensively historic levels of bad bro, twenty two point
Speaker 2: nine percent third down conversion rate would be the lowest.
Speaker 1: In the sty E Jusey of.
Speaker 2: The National Football League if it ends that way, and
Speaker 2: it probably is going to, because guess what, Tim Boyle
Speaker 2: is not any better Bro. However, the draft capital they
Speaker 2: accumulated through some great trades Jamal Adams, Jewe Doolan, Seahawks
Speaker 2: Jude Doom helped them have one of the best draft
Speaker 2: classes we've ever seen. Sauce Gardner, Garrett Wilson, Jermaine Johnson,
Speaker 2: and Breese Hall all from twenty twenty two is right
Speaker 2: up there with Jaylen Waddell, Jalen Phillips, and Javon Holland.
Speaker 2: They built a top flight defense using a combination of
Speaker 2: the draft and free agency. Like in free agency DJ Reed, CJ. Moseley,
Speaker 2: Quincy Williams, and then in the draft with Michael Carter,
Speaker 2: Bryce Huff, Michael Carter the second off the running back.
Speaker 2: They cut Quinn Williams, one of the best in the league,
Speaker 2: John Frankly Myers in the draft. All those guys have
Speaker 2: been fantastic for them. It's just been the complete opposite
Speaker 2: on offense. And I have very little doubt that Mackai
Speaker 2: Becton would be a Pro Bowl caliber player if his
Speaker 2: health did not betray him annually just got Carter off
Speaker 2: versus Buffalo. But luckily for him and I'm brutin for
Speaker 2: the kid, just won the two weeks for his injury,
Speaker 2: so he'll miss this game, but he'll be back this
Speaker 2: year for the Jets.
Speaker 1: Hopefully.
Speaker 2: They signed Lake and Thomas into a big deal and
Speaker 2: outside of that San Francisco system, it's been a disaster.
Speaker 2: It's at least he's available, I guess, but it's not
Speaker 2: been good. I think this year's second round pick, Joe
Speaker 2: Tipman is going to be a beast. He's very athletic
Speaker 2: center in the pivot. Vera Tucker is a great player,
Speaker 2: but he's also in his second straight year of season
Speaker 2: ending ir But Ben, it's been a lot of patchwork.
Speaker 2: They signed Dwayne Brown, who's a million years old, who's
Speaker 2: had his own health issues. They brought in Billy Turner,
Speaker 2: who's been in fourteen camps since last year. Seems like
Speaker 2: Dennis Kelly was in season free agent signing as well.
Speaker 2: They signed Dalvin Cook to par with Breeze Hall. He
Speaker 2: averages three point three yards per carry and the lowest
Speaker 2: yards above expected.
Speaker 1: In the next gen stats in the NFL.
Speaker 2: I think it just shows you how difficult it is
Speaker 2: to execute the rebuild even when you have all the resources.
Speaker 2: And look, Rodgers returns next year, maybe they have better
Speaker 2: injury luck. Maybe he brings over another buddy of his
Speaker 2: and this time it's actually a good player in Devonte Adams.
Speaker 1: Who knows.
Speaker 2: My point is a couple of bad breaks can set
Speaker 2: the whole thing off course, and it happened for the Jets,
Speaker 2: and now they're going to rely on a forty year
Speaker 2: old quarterback coming off an achilles surgery to lead them
Speaker 2: back to the Promised Land next year with a pick
Speaker 2: in the middle of the first round.
Speaker 1: Most likely. We'll see, we'll see. But I love that.
Speaker 1: I absolutely love it.
Speaker 2: Because I dislike this team nearly as much as I
Speaker 2: love my Miami Dolphins. To put a bow on the
Speaker 2: Jets introduction here before we get to storylines, It's a
Speaker 2: good thing that Joe Douglass had that twenty twenty two
Speaker 2: class right, because twenty twenty one Zach Wilson, to me
Speaker 2: is the biggest bust in NFL history with all you
Speaker 2: had on the line right there and the quarterbacks you
Speaker 2: had available to you. He is right next JaMarcus Russell,
Speaker 2: and I'm taking him because at least Russell, you know what,
Speaker 2: never mind, Yeah, it's very close, but I'm taking Wilson
Speaker 2: as a bigger bust vera Tucker second straight year on
Speaker 2: season ending, ir that's just bad luck, Elijah Moore if
Speaker 2: they traded him away for pennies, Michael Carter, you cut
Speaker 2: him for what, I don't know.
Speaker 1: Dalvin cook, Baby, that's weird.
Speaker 2: He did find Michael Carter, the second their slot cornerback,
Speaker 2: who was very good in this draft, so that was
Speaker 2: the one saving grace there. But twenty twenty, McKai Becton
Speaker 2: hasn't finished a season yet, and this year he might
Speaker 2: if he comes back. I wrote that down before I
Speaker 2: saw the news on him. Marvin Mims he got cut
Speaker 2: pretty quickly. Ashton Davis is the fourth safety on the roster.
Speaker 2: But I loved his game, so I will not talk
Speaker 2: badly about that because I was wrong too. Jabari's and
Speaker 2: Ninga remember he had like a crazy bad workout or
Speaker 2: something like that, and he dropped all the way to
Speaker 2: the third round. They still drafted him and he got
Speaker 2: cut like the next year, the next season, and then
Speaker 2: with five Day three picks, only one is still around
Speaker 2: their cornerback for Bryce Hall. So yeah, that's what bad
Speaker 2: drafting looks like for all you weirdo Greer haters up there.
Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and get to the storylines for this game.
Speaker 2: First ever Black Friday game, and I keep hearing people
Speaker 2: ask because anybody who played on Friday before, Yeah, it's
Speaker 2: happened a lot. Actually, In fact, Dolphins fans. You should
Speaker 2: know this. Two thousand and five, and I'm weird. I
Speaker 2: remember these dates like Mike McDaniel does. Two thousand and five,
Speaker 2: there was a hurricane in town and they pushed the
Speaker 2: game up to Friday night, and I'll never forget following
Speaker 2: the game on my like flip one of those like
Speaker 2: flip phones on the Little Dots game cast against the
Speaker 2: Kansas City Chiefs. Fronnie Briden had like a sixty five
Speaker 2: yard touchdown run, but we lost by like two touchdowns.
Speaker 2: It was a bad game. But it's not the first
Speaker 2: ara of Black Friday or not. It's the first ever
Speaker 2: Black Friday game. It's not the first Friday game. But
Speaker 2: short week on the road is always going to be
Speaker 2: a test. That's the biggest obstacle. I think this week
Speaker 2: you're most likely just walking through. They'll have one practice
Speaker 2: this week. Coaching matters even more in these games, so
Speaker 2: a big test for McDaniel, Fangio and the entire staff.
Speaker 2: I am curious to see what the environment's like. I
Speaker 2: know what it will look like. If they were six
Speaker 2: and four, it would be tough. But these last two losses,
Speaker 2: the quarterback change a holiday, I wonder what the crowd
Speaker 2: noise situation is going to be like up there. In fact,
Speaker 2: let's go ahead and check out the weather report. I
Speaker 2: think it's supposed to be like forty five degrees. Sorry,
Speaker 2: I'm doing this live, guys. My apologies East Rutherford on Thursday.
Speaker 2: Oh nice, the rain subsides by Thursday. But yeah, it's
Speaker 2: forty two low, fifty two high. So yeah, right around
Speaker 2: forty five degrees. It's that's a little chilly, but they'll
Speaker 2: be all right. Next story line two of versus the Jets.
Speaker 2: He's only two an ONUS career.
Speaker 1: Against the Jets.
Speaker 2: Didn't play him last year, missed both games with injuries.
Speaker 2: Didn't play him in twenty twenty because he was not
Speaker 2: the starter in the Fitzpatrick first game and the second
Speaker 2: game Flores held him out even though you can play
Speaker 2: to start Ryan Fitzpatrick. And he won that game twenty
Speaker 2: two through twenty to nothing, twenty three nothing I forget.
Speaker 2: But anyway, so he's two years of his career. Did
Speaker 2: not play a game against a division rival, so he's
Speaker 2: two to zero. It was a sweep in twenty twenty one,
Speaker 2: and I thought his best game that year, Pampa game
Speaker 2: was pretty good. But I thought the way he can,
Speaker 2: you know he can torn it himself against the Jets
Speaker 2: in that road game was really impressive.
Speaker 1: So two against the Jets.
Speaker 2: You beat Scott Thompson last year and you lost to
Speaker 2: him at the end of the year, So you're playing
Speaker 2: a real QB one this week. Jets State of the
Speaker 2: Jets Man Players Only meeting last week. JJ Watt came
Speaker 2: out and said after the Buffalo Players Only meeting that
Speaker 2: you might as well start making your vacation plans because
Speaker 2: it's over.
Speaker 1: Once you do that.
Speaker 2: Then they have that showing on Sunday that would really
Speaker 2: challenge your team metal I would have to think. I'm
Speaker 2: curious to see how they try to overcome that. I'm
Speaker 2: curious how the defense respawns. It got bad late in
Speaker 2: that game. Man, that long touchdown blacked effort and pursuit
Speaker 2: after the ball carrier. And we've seen it happen when
Speaker 2: great defenses wear down after being asked to consistently go
Speaker 2: out there after offensive three and now offensive right now,
Speaker 2: over and over, go get more stops. It is challenging.
Speaker 2: It wears you down. They held up as one of
Speaker 2: the top defenses in the NFL through the first nine games,
Speaker 2: then the Levy snapped right. I am very, very very
Speaker 2: curious to see what the Jets look like in this game.
Speaker 2: I'm inclined to think it will be bad. I think
Speaker 2: their performance here will dictate what this team is in
Speaker 2: the final seven games and ultimately decide if Robert Salah
Speaker 2: gets another year. I think Joe Douglas already has a
Speaker 2: very tough, uphill battle to come back next year. Too
Speaker 2: many bad drafts, too much Aaron Rodgers GMing going on
Speaker 2: there to survive that.
Speaker 1: But I think the Jets could be.
Speaker 2: In one of these states of total catatonia in this game.
Speaker 1: On the road again.
Speaker 2: Final note here, we've only played three road games since
Speaker 2: Week two, and we lost them all, damn it. I
Speaker 2: would argue that they are the three toughest teams or
Speaker 2: venues to play against, and in the Bills, I'm still
Speaker 2: convinced that was the best single performance in a game
Speaker 2: this year by any team in the NFL. And then
Speaker 2: at Eagles and then at Germany in a crowd of
Speaker 2: mostly Chiefs fans. Those are tough asks. You won convincingly
Speaker 2: in your Week two road game. Week one was back
Speaker 2: and forth, and that was a different game because our
Speaker 2: defense wasn't what it is right now, but we had
Speaker 2: the explosive offense. But two and zero on the road,
Speaker 2: can we get back in the win column there? And
Speaker 2: I would love to see a clean operation, no wasted timeout,
Speaker 2: it's no false starts, no pre snap stuff. Just be
Speaker 2: clean on the road and you should have success in
Speaker 2: this game. Let's go ahead and take our first break
Speaker 2: right there and come back on the other side and
Speaker 2: talk Dolphins offense first Jets defense. That's next Drive Time Podcast,
Speaker 2: your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by I don't Know,
Speaker 2: Segment two on.
Speaker 1: A Tuesday preview edition of the Drive Time Podcast.
Speaker 2: I kind of feel like Wednesday is a little bit
Speaker 2: too early to do my previews, but we're already pot
Speaker 2: committed and Tuesday feels like it's way too early, even
Speaker 2: though the game's on Friday.
Speaker 1: But here we are. We're sticking with the schedule.
Speaker 2: We're talking about Dolphins and Jets Friday from the Meadowlands,
Speaker 2: three o'clock kickoff on Amazon Prime and a potential.
Speaker 1: Very fun day for Dolphins fans.
Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and meet the Jets defense, who lines
Speaker 2: up like this at the safety position defending against two
Speaker 2: A tongue Bai Lowa. Jordan Whitehead plays every snap for them.
Speaker 2: They lost his running mate Tony Adams this week was
Speaker 2: injured against Buffalo, and so Adrian Amos, a guy they
Speaker 2: signed in training camp when Chuck Clark, who was signed
Speaker 2: to start for them, had a season ending injury.
Speaker 1: So Amos, more.
Speaker 2: Of a nickel safety in his career, will be the
Speaker 2: starter on Sunday. It seems like every week we play
Speaker 2: a team that has a safety who's down, which is
Speaker 2: nice for a team that has such a good passing offense.
Speaker 2: And then Ashton Davis thirteen percent of the snaps as
Speaker 2: well at the cornerback position. This is where they are
Speaker 2: best in their entire football team. Sauce plays eighty nine percent,
Speaker 2: DJ Reid plays eighty percent, and then Bryce Hall has
Speaker 2: played twenty percent. Also on the edge inside the guys
Speaker 2: against the Barrioses of the world, Durham Spice of the
Speaker 2: world is Michael Carter the second sixty three percent of
Speaker 2: the snaps and Brandon Eckles has played thirteen percent. If
Speaker 2: you add those up, it equals their entire nickel defense basically,
Speaker 2: so there's your two guys that have played pretty much
Speaker 2: every snap of every game when they're in that nickel package.
Speaker 2: And then up front it's pretty good too. Quinton Williams
Speaker 2: is just a beast seventy percent of the snaps. John
Speaker 2: Franklin Myers is also a beast fifty nine percent of
Speaker 2: the snaps. Quentin Jefferson's played fifty percent, and then Solomon
Speaker 2: Thomas has paid thirty six percent of the snaps. It's good,
Speaker 2: it's deep, it's strong, it's aggressive, it's one gap penetrate.
Speaker 1: Get up field with your hair on fire.
Speaker 2: And off the edge, Jermaine Johnson has clicked for them
Speaker 2: man sixty five percent of the snaps off the edge.
Speaker 2: He's a really good pass rusher, so is Bryce Huff
Speaker 2: and Jets fans have been calling for him for years.
Speaker 2: He finally is getting a chance this year thirty eight
Speaker 2: percent of the snap count. He is the team leader
Speaker 2: in QB pressures. And then Michael Clemens, a guy that
Speaker 2: I think is also a good player thirty percent of
Speaker 2: the snaps off the edge. At linebacker going up against
Speaker 2: our running backs is CJ. Moseley, who does not leave
Speaker 2: the field every single snap. And then Quincy Williams has
Speaker 2: really blossomed into a good player for them. So I
Speaker 2: mentioned the injuries at safety's there. Michael Carter missed the
Speaker 2: Buffalo game. He's like, it's a big drop off from
Speaker 2: him to the rest of their slot cover guys, so
Speaker 2: if he can't go.
Speaker 1: That would be a very, very big deal.
Speaker 2: He was added to their injury report on Friday with
Speaker 2: the hamstring, so you know hamstrings can be tricky. We
Speaker 2: didn't know how long Rob Hunt be out. He's missed
Speaker 2: now the Chiefs game, the bye week, and the Raider games,
Speaker 2: so three weeks off for Rob Hunt. It's even if
Speaker 2: he comes back, Like, how healthy's going to be to
Speaker 2: cover guys that run four two?
Speaker 1: I'd be curious about that.
Speaker 2: So Brandon Eckles is his replacement, and then nose tackle
Speaker 2: Al Woods on that very good front. He is out
Speaker 2: for the year as well. But outside of that, defense
Speaker 2: is mostly healthy. Their personnel usage. They run their base
Speaker 2: defenses twelve percent of the time. Three to four is
Speaker 2: seven percent, four to three is five percent, But they're
Speaker 2: in nickel eighty five percent of the time. They almost
Speaker 2: always stay in that package, and it's because their top
Speaker 2: three cornerbacks are probably three of their best players in
Speaker 2: the entire team. I would say that Gardner, Reed and
Speaker 2: Carter is the number two cornerback trio for me behind
Speaker 2: Ramsey X and Coho. The scheme is a lot like
Speaker 2: what you get here what you got in San Francisco.
Speaker 2: I should say where Sla cut his teeth as a
Speaker 2: defensive coordinator.
Speaker 1: There his hair on fire.
Speaker 2: Get up field, disrupt that one gap penetration technique that
Speaker 2: you play. It's tight physical coverage on the perimeter and
Speaker 2: two tone setting very fluid off ball linebackers who just
Speaker 2: they play with depth, they play with width, they played downhill,
Speaker 2: they play fast. They will stand those two high structures
Speaker 2: and passing situations. Obviously every team does, but they want
Speaker 2: to play in that and will adjust if they have to.
Speaker 2: And that's why I think it's important that Miami makes
Speaker 2: them do that, make them get out of their their
Speaker 2: you know they're too high look and force them to
Speaker 2: bring somebody down to play the run extra hat in
Speaker 2: the bucks. I think it's important for this Dolphins offense,
Speaker 2: not just in this game, but for the rest of
Speaker 2: the year, to get the perimeter run game going. Make
Speaker 2: those corners tackle. Sauce doesn't want to tackle. DJ reads
Speaker 2: pretty good at but Sauce doesn't want to tackle, make
Speaker 2: that one gap rush, hesitate, just one step.
Speaker 1: That's all you need.
Speaker 2: If you do that, you'll have lots of success. And
Speaker 2: then the game up there last year and the game
Speaker 2: down here for that matter, Miami got the ball on
Speaker 2: the edges effectively in both those games. It allowed Miami
Speaker 2: to sustain drives while working with your third string quarterback
Speaker 2: right in his first action in the Jets game and
Speaker 2: then late in the year when he came back off
Speaker 2: the bench for Teddy Bridgewater after the Patriots game and
Speaker 2: that season finale. So I know the game last year,
Speaker 2: it was forty to seventeen. It looked like a blowout, but
Speaker 2: the Dolphins were kicking a field goal in the fourth
Speaker 2: quarter potentially take a lead.
Speaker 1: We missed it because it was fifty plus. We did
Speaker 1: to miss those.
Speaker 2: But after that the wheels fell off right, and that
Speaker 2: was after a Tanner Connor drop pass. Want to puts
Speaker 2: you first and ten, just on the edge of the
Speaker 2: red zone to maybe score a touchdown, go by five
Speaker 2: points at that point in the game. So that's that's
Speaker 2: where I think Tua is kind of like your ace,
Speaker 2: like your pitcher, your stopper in a pitching rotation, like
Speaker 2: we're on a losing streak here. Put you know, Felix
Speaker 2: Hernanda's in the game, let's go ahead and get sselfs
Speaker 2: to w here.
Speaker 1: Tua makes great decisions.
Speaker 2: I would like to see him going a run here
Speaker 2: against some of these teams were coming up against of
Speaker 2: cleaning up that one bad decision per game that he averages,
Speaker 2: which is honestly about most quarterbacks that are at his
Speaker 2: peak will have one bad decision per game like that.
Speaker 1: But strive for perfection. Wind up among excellence.
Speaker 2: Right. I think you get the perimeterive run game going,
Speaker 2: you get your horn Hanald stretch game going, and then
Speaker 2: that allows these speedy wide receivers to find softer spots.
Speaker 1: And for two, it turns back to the defense.
Speaker 2: Get back and whip his head back around and make
Speaker 2: those quick decisions with a pass rush that has been
Speaker 2: held at bay because of the way you've attacked them
Speaker 2: off the edges there. I'm very, very excited about Waddle
Speaker 2: and Hill versus Reed and Sauce.
Speaker 1: I want to win that matchup badly. First time.
Speaker 2: We get that with two at the controls, right, and
Speaker 2: I thought there were some changes narrow misses and the
Speaker 2: two contests last year that you hope that two of
Speaker 2: being in the lineup changes a little bit, right, it should.
Speaker 2: The Jets play sixty eight percent zone and thirty percent man,
Speaker 2: and that's actually a top ten man rate in the NFL.
Speaker 2: Everyone plays zone these days, but I think that zone
Speaker 2: rate should increase against this Dolphins team. I don't think
Speaker 2: you want to run man coverage against this team. I
Speaker 2: think the Jets will want to generate pressure with four
Speaker 2: and get their backers into those hooks, those deep hook
Speaker 2: and deep curl flat zones and make Miami push the
Speaker 2: ball to the perimeter. So attacking the edge is not
Speaker 2: just a run game focal point for me this week.
Speaker 2: It's a passing game idea too. In fact, some splits
Speaker 2: that tell that story. Buffalo ran why off either tackle
Speaker 2: last week nineteen times for seventy five yards? That will
Speaker 2: go a long way if you can get that production,
Speaker 2: and then you know, if you have one more run
Speaker 2: that pops like a fifty yard or all of a
Speaker 2: sudden like that changes the entire game. Right, and Raheem
Speaker 2: Moster and Devon a Chan if he plays both very
Speaker 2: capable of that. Vegas the week before sixteen for fifty seven.
Speaker 2: Not crazy. It's still better than four yards of pop, right,
Speaker 2: is it? I don't know math fifteen thirty two for no,
Speaker 2: it's just under four yards of pop. But you can
Speaker 2: see that's where teams have had their success. Both Vegas
Speaker 2: and Buffalo had the less than thirty percent success right
Speaker 2: run of the football inside against this very stout interior
Speaker 2: defense of the Jets. As far as the passing game,
Speaker 2: O'Connell went seven for ten for ninety two yards and
Speaker 2: a touchdown throwing the ball outside the numbers against this
Speaker 2: Jets defense. Josh Allen last week was eleven for fifteen
Speaker 2: with eighty five yards, and both of his touchdowns came
Speaker 2: on throwing the ball outside the numbers. I think you
Speaker 2: can get that with your matchups I e. Waddle and
Speaker 2: Barrios on those speedouts if Bracs can go. Of course,
Speaker 2: those longer developing over routes cont will be missed for
Speaker 2: the pick against the Raiders in that game. Working off
Speaker 2: the play pass and those, you know, you kind of
Speaker 2: stretch the roof of the defense then sneak that over
Speaker 2: out in their underneath vacated coverage. I love those concepts.
Speaker 2: We can get them cranking and if you get your
Speaker 2: run game going. You can get to those plays, of course,
Speaker 2: the comebacks and deep outs to Tyreek, and then of
Speaker 2: course the screen game. The key names to focus on
Speaker 2: here for the Jets, Bryce Huff will rush the majority
Speaker 2: of the time against Tarron Armstead.
Speaker 1: He leads the Jets with forty.
Speaker 2: Eight QB pressures. He's been very, very good, very explosive player,
Speaker 2: high motor. But of course I like t set against anybody,
Speaker 2: so that's a matchup for us to win. I think
Speaker 2: John Franklin Myers does a lot of his work off
Speaker 2: those three, four and five technique positions, a heavy end,
Speaker 2: heavy handed. Hopefully Rob Hunt is ready to roll, because
Speaker 2: I talked about on the All twenty two podcast. Guard
Speaker 2: was an issue on Sunday. I like it when Rob
Speaker 2: and Austin can deal with you know, JFM and the
Speaker 2: rest of the boys they have up there who want
Speaker 2: to reset the line of scrimmage.
Speaker 1: Quinn Williams has thirty nine pressures.
Speaker 2: Connor is coming off his best game, but if you
Speaker 2: go over his career, and this is for most like
Speaker 2: lighter centers in the National Football League, playing against these
Speaker 2: biggest and best defensive tackles is usually a challenge, especially
Speaker 2: in pass pro, Like they're gonna get their stats because
Speaker 2: they are Aaron Donald, because they are Quinn Williams, because
Speaker 2: they are Jeffrey Simmons like, and you know he's gonna
Speaker 2: have these guys the next four weeks now, Quinn Williams,
Speaker 2: next week, Debron Payton, Jonathan Allen, then Jeffrey Simmons and
Speaker 2: then Quinn Williams again. So it's gonna be a run
Speaker 2: of good dtackles here for Connor Williams.
Speaker 1: But he's played really well.
Speaker 2: Best game last week, I thought as a Dolphin and
Speaker 2: it's a key matchup, but of course you have helped
Speaker 2: there with both guards. And then Quincy Williams and CJ.
Speaker 2: Mosley are two guys that I think worry me the
Speaker 2: most in this entire team because they are instinctive players
Speaker 2: who can wind up in places they're not supposed to be,
Speaker 2: kind of like Robert Splain last week, with tremendous speed
Speaker 2: to all fields like downhill sidelines, getting depth. That's why
Speaker 2: I think it's imperative to get them moving side to
Speaker 2: side to the mixture passing game from the inside out
Speaker 2: stretch it wide stretch at verdegt or horizontally space them
Speaker 2: out and then hit those you know, timing routes over
Speaker 2: the middle. Raheem is great at doing this at those
Speaker 2: guys out with speed, but also having the vision to
Speaker 2: get certain gaps and catching the football and the perimeter.
Speaker 2: And then Devon Hen obviously hopefully we have him for
Speaker 2: the same reasons. Also, I think we're gonna cook sauce.
Speaker 2: Sauce is gonna be cooking up his own sauce in
Speaker 2: this game. He's too grabby. Use our motion. Maybe they
Speaker 2: do a little bit less study this week as they
Speaker 2: are in f it mode, Like that's kind of how
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna come out, get our motion, going
Speaker 2: test their communication and their will and how much they
Speaker 2: actually put into game planning this week on a short week,
Speaker 2: and get some clean releases to get explosives and get flags.
Speaker 2: My prediction here is we see two field flipping flags
Speaker 2: against an aggressive Jets secondary. This is the real premier
Speaker 2: side of the matchup.
Speaker 1: Good on good here.
Speaker 2: Jets top ten and most defensive categories, Dolphins number one
Speaker 2: in most offensive categories. But the Miami defense has been
Speaker 2: stifling as of late. How do they keep it rolling
Speaker 2: against the Jets. Well, that's next Draft Time Podcast, your
Speaker 2: host Travis Wingfield, brought to you.
Speaker 1: By I Dontation.
Speaker 2: Dolphins defense versus Jets offense on a Tuesday preview edition
Speaker 2: of the Draft Time Podcast. Tim boy Timmy Liam McPoyle
Speaker 2: mcboyle won't be starting the game for the Jets against
Speaker 2: the Dolphins safety trio or really due at this point
Speaker 2: of Holland and Elliott, their receivers Garrett Wilson ninety two percent,
Speaker 2: Alan Lazard eighty one percent. They'll go up against Ramsey
Speaker 2: and Howard, and then on the inside co who's gonna
Speaker 2: get Xavier Gibson who plays thirty one percent of the
Speaker 2: snaps and the tight ends Tyler Conklin and cj Usama
Speaker 2: sixty nine and thirty eight percent of the snaps respectively.
Speaker 2: Their offensive line is gonna go like this. Carter Warren
Speaker 2: is a rookie left tackle, play his first action on
Speaker 2: Sunday against the Bills. Lake and Thomasin's left guard, Joe
Speaker 2: Tipman's the center, The right guard is Chris Glasser, who
Speaker 2: the right.
Speaker 1: Tackle is Max Mitchell. So that's who we have to
Speaker 1: deal with.
Speaker 2: The offensive line is akin to how our cornerback position
Speaker 2: was a year ago.
Speaker 1: Here's who is out.
Speaker 2: Makai Becton was finally having a good year, but he's
Speaker 2: gonna miss the game. He moved back to left tackle
Speaker 2: to replace the injured Dwayne Brown, so technically on their
Speaker 2: third tackle. Their best offensive lineman, Elijah Vera Teker's out
Speaker 2: for the year. His replacement was Wes Schweitzer. He's out
Speaker 2: for the year. Connor McGovern is also on ir He
Speaker 2: was the starting center on opening day and was playing
Speaker 2: some guard in place of some other injured players to
Speaker 2: get rookie Joe Tipman into the lineup. Billy Turner, you
Speaker 2: guys remember him, he was an in season signing. He
Speaker 2: missed the last game with an injury, and Austin Declis
Speaker 2: was also inactive for the Buffalo game, so look a
Speaker 2: change had to happen at quarterback right. This offense was
Speaker 2: again historically bad statistically, but the offensive line attrition plays
Speaker 2: a big part of that. They lined up with a
Speaker 2: rookie third round pick, Carter Warren last week. He should
Speaker 2: started the game against US here, and then Chris Glasser
Speaker 2: is a UDFA from twenty twenty two on his fourth
Speaker 2: team in one and a half years. Tipman the second
Speaker 2: round draft pick Thomainson, a big free agent acquisition who
Speaker 2: has not worked out, and then Max Mitchell was a
Speaker 2: fourth round pick last year who has not played that well.
Speaker 2: You're just not going to develop continuity with that many injuries,
Speaker 2: and most teams don't even have five quality players in
Speaker 2: this position group, so to expect them to get any
Speaker 2: production from guys like eight, nine and ten is asking
Speaker 2: a whole heck of a lot. They're down to backups
Speaker 2: at just about every position. It's tough to make a
Speaker 2: living that way. Personnel usage eleven personnel, one back, one
Speaker 2: tight end, three receivers is two thirds of their offense
Speaker 2: sixty six percent. They run two tight ends sixteen percent
Speaker 2: of the time. That's twelve personnel. They go thirteen personnel
Speaker 2: nineteen percent of the time, So that's that might be
Speaker 2: a little bit more new recently, and I think they
Speaker 2: might see more of that going into this game with
Speaker 2: the offensive line issues, maybe some more two man route
Speaker 2: combos and max protection. And they also run twenty one
Speaker 2: personnel six point seven percent of the time, but that
Speaker 2: has gone down because it was a lot of haul
Speaker 2: and cook early on, but now cook doesn't play.
Speaker 1: Much because it was cooked.
Speaker 2: I think we keep this brief because I don't know
Speaker 2: what it looks like with Tim Boyle here man like
Speaker 2: he's barely played and there's not enough tape to really
Speaker 2: see scheme tendencies, especially considering his only action with the
Speaker 2: Jets was like in the you know, garbage time last week,
Speaker 2: I covered a lot of the offensive line actrician already
Speaker 2: in the offense. In general, I found this hilarious though,
Speaker 2: a quote from Boyle on what he brings to the team.
Speaker 2: Here's a quote from the athletic decisiveness is a part
Speaker 2: of my game that I lean on. Just trying to
Speaker 2: get the ball out, not forcing things into coverage. There's
Speaker 2: a part of the game where taking a sack is
Speaker 2: better than trying to jam it into coverage and throwing
Speaker 2: an interception. So I think I bring I just get
Speaker 2: the ball out quick. It takes a lot of heat
Speaker 2: off the offensive line, It gets our playmakers the ball
Speaker 2: in space. We have some guys that can make some
Speaker 2: people miss. So like, even his own assessment of his
Speaker 2: own game is confusing, like do you eat sacks because
Speaker 2: they're better than picks, which sounds like Zach Wilson, Or
Speaker 2: do you get it out fast? And getting the ball
Speaker 2: out quick. Without a real run game and no real
Speaker 2: threat of a vertical game. I think Miami crowds the
Speaker 2: line of scrimmage and makes life very, very tough on him.
Speaker 2: It has just been a slog for this group for
Speaker 2: all those reasons. Quarterback play has been atrocious, the worst
Speaker 2: we've ever seen. The skill group hasn't had anyone step
Speaker 2: up beyond the star of the group and Garrett Wilson,
Speaker 2: and he has injuries, and the offensive line injuries have
Speaker 2: been insurmountable. So they turned Tim Boyle in hopes of
Speaker 2: turning these trends around right. They scored a single touchdown
Speaker 2: in their last forty six possessions. That was a touchdown
Speaker 2: and a lop sided game in Buffalo on Sunday, and
Speaker 2: it was already sixteen nothing at that point in the
Speaker 2: second half. The touchdown was their first on a drive
Speaker 2: that started in their own territory since Week five. Guys,
Speaker 2: it's week twelve, two months, and that was a one
Speaker 2: play drive of seventy two yards a run by Breeze
Speaker 2: Hall that went to the house. Since then, they have
Speaker 2: four drives that scored touchdowns on sixty six drives. It
Speaker 2: was a seventy two yard run from Breeze Hall, a
Speaker 2: one play drive that was an eight yard touchdown run
Speaker 2: after a turnover in the Philly game that again was
Speaker 2: Breeze Hall, a fifty yard pass from Zach Wilson, a
Speaker 2: check down to Breese Hall that he took the rest
Speaker 2: of the way, and then an eleven play drive in
Speaker 2: Buffalo for eighty four yards and a touchdown. So, spoiler,
Speaker 2: two of your keys to victory are right there. Tackle
Speaker 2: Breeze Hall and do not give them a short field
Speaker 2: by turning the football over. Some more final notes and
Speaker 2: numbers here. That left tackle I mentioned the rookie has
Speaker 2: a ninety pass block efficiency that is eight points below
Speaker 2: what you want to be. It's not good. Tomlinson ninety
Speaker 2: five to five. That is three points below where you
Speaker 2: should be at left guard. Tipman ninety eight point one.
Speaker 2: Pretty good. Most centers are above that pretty good. Glasser
Speaker 2: ninety six point one that is two points below where
Speaker 2: you want to be. And then Max Mitchell ninety five two.
Speaker 2: That's just all three points below where you want to be.
Speaker 1: Like it's bad.
Speaker 2: Jalen Phillips, Bradley Chubb, Andrew Vank, pick your guy. All
Speaker 2: these guys have four plus sex, they're gonna add to
Speaker 2: that toll. I we'll come back to that. Garrett Wilson
Speaker 2: is dealing with an elbow injury, but he toughed it
Speaker 2: out last week. But he had a rough game, and
Speaker 2: I wonder how much of that had to do with
Speaker 2: the elbow. Two catches, nine yards and a lost fumble.
Speaker 2: He's now lost a fumble each of the last two weeks,
Speaker 2: and they both occurred.
Speaker 1: After the injury happened. What do you know.
Speaker 2: We've explained the importance of Breece Tyler Conkin's made some
Speaker 2: plays as well, But for me, there just isn't a
Speaker 2: bad route to take here because x Or Ramsey can
Speaker 2: lock down Lazard co who can absolutely lock down Gibson.
Speaker 2: But I wonder if that's where you help since I
Speaker 2: love Ramsey on Wilson also, but I think in just
Speaker 2: real quick x his play style always shuts down a
Speaker 2: player like Alan Lazard. But I think the smartest play
Speaker 2: is help wherever Will goes, like when he changes sides
Speaker 2: to the field. Just stay where you are, help on
Speaker 2: that side, and then just dominate all your one on
Speaker 2: ones that you have vastly, vastly superior players at I
Speaker 2: think we come out of this game with multiple takeaways
Speaker 2: I mentioned I come back to the sack production. I
Speaker 2: think five plus sacks. I think they shut the offense out.
Speaker 2: That's my call. What's at stake, big, big game, man.
Speaker 2: It's always important to win divisional games, especially on the road.
Speaker 2: This would give us a two to one divisional mark
Speaker 2: in the road this year. We did it in twenty
Speaker 2: twenty one, I sent a tweet out that was wrong
Speaker 2: and deleted Dick, I'm a freaking idiot. The last time
Speaker 2: before that was twenty sixteen. It was the last time
Speaker 2: we won double digit games and made the playoffs in
Speaker 2: the same year, So go figure. The playoff leverage scale
Speaker 2: says similar importance. And even though ESPN Analytics has Miami
Speaker 2: right now at ninety seven percent to make the playoffs,
Speaker 2: that's because the expected wins are baked into that and
Speaker 2: that includes this game. But going off the Great Summer
Speaker 2: Sports Leverage Scale, a win vault Miami into ninety percent,
Speaker 2: while I lost keeps them right around seventy five percent,
Speaker 2: So a pretty big sliding scale, or fifteen percent. If
Speaker 2: Miami holds Serve in the division and then wins just
Speaker 2: one game between Washington, Tennessee, Dallas and Baltimore the other
Speaker 2: four games on the schedule. They win the division at
Speaker 2: a four and three finish where you beat the Jets
Speaker 2: twice and the Bills Miami would have an eleven and
Speaker 2: six record and a five and one divisional record with
Speaker 2: is split against the Bills Buffalo by virtue of the
Speaker 2: loss to us, we then have six losses minimum and
Speaker 2: would be three and three in the division, and we
Speaker 2: win the tiebreaker. But of course we have bigger sights,
Speaker 2: so that's kind of relevant right now. The AFC division
Speaker 2: leaders have the following conference records. This is where my
Speaker 2: mind is focused more than Buffalo Bills. They're already in
Speaker 2: the rearview mirror to me, never look back at those guys.
Speaker 2: Baltimore's eight and three, Case, Jacksonville, Miami are all seven
Speaker 2: and three as far as conference records. Baltimore's five and three,
Speaker 2: Case's five and one, but they own the head to
Speaker 2: head tie breakers, so this is irrelevant here. You must
Speaker 2: have a better record than Case. You also can beat
Speaker 2: Baltimore in week eighteen to get yourself a better record there.
Speaker 2: But Jacksonville's also five and two in conference, which means
Speaker 2: We're going to have to rely on tie breakers if
Speaker 2: it comes down to that, because we do not play
Speaker 2: them head to head this year. This is also fun,
Speaker 2: totally irrelevant. If we win the game, we'll own the
Speaker 2: one seed going into play on Sunday, but a win
Speaker 2: by KC over Vegas, or a win by Baltimore over
Speaker 2: the Chargers or a win by Jacksonville over Houston takes
Speaker 2: that spot right back away. But of course a loss
Speaker 2: by any of those teams would bump us up one
Speaker 2: spot in the AFC seeding. Makes sense, so a big game.
Speaker 2: Gotta win these ones down the stretch. Hopefully we run
Speaker 2: the table. I think we can, but truthfully, if we
Speaker 2: were to drop one of the games, the best ones
Speaker 2: would be Washington or Dallas because their NFC games keep
Speaker 2: winning all the games, but especially the conference games. My
Speaker 2: key's to victory. We heard them already tackle Breeze Hall.
Speaker 2: We spelled it out for you guys. They've scored when
Speaker 2: he gets going for explosive plays. Otherwise they don't score.
Speaker 2: He has three hundred and eighty yards of his five
Speaker 2: to forty four are after initial contact, and he's forced
Speaker 2: twenty one missed tackles. He's forced twelve more on his
Speaker 2: thirty one catches. Get him to the ground, and their
Speaker 2: offense goes nowhere. Protect the football is number two again.
Speaker 2: To that point, the Jets have done a good job
Speaker 2: capitalizing on short fields, but long fields means they cannot
Speaker 2: score touchdowns. Don't make it easy on that. Don't turn
Speaker 2: the ball over. You're gonna win this game. It's that
Speaker 2: simple number three attack the edges of the Jets defense.
Speaker 2: Winning the edge and the running game keeps us ahead
Speaker 2: of the chains. It neutralizes their pass rush and their
Speaker 2: heavy flooding of the middle of the football field zones
Speaker 2: opens up chances outside. When outside the numbers win the game.
Speaker 2: Areas of concern protect toua in true dropback situations. Just
Speaker 2: keep too a healthy. We should be okay. Those middle
Speaker 2: of the field players getting hands on football is also
Speaker 2: a little bit of a concern. They're areas to exploit
Speaker 2: literally every single matchup when they have the football. Then
Speaker 2: on our offense, aggressiveness of their corners and the perimeter
Speaker 2: running game and passing game.
Speaker 1: My prediction. You know, it's funny.
Speaker 2: I told myself I wasn't gonna dive into the lopside
Speaker 2: and margin game again. But then I thought to myself, look,
Speaker 2: look at everything you just said, Like, I don't think
Speaker 2: the Jets find points in this game. Maybe maybe a
Speaker 2: cheap field goal or two on a short field. I
Speaker 2: am certain they're not finding the paint, so maybe maybe
Speaker 2: six points tops. But I am a little concerned about
Speaker 2: the Miami offense right now. Not because I don't think
Speaker 2: they can do it, because I think the injuries on
Speaker 2: the interior line have drafts change their ability to run
Speaker 2: the football and protect in true drop back situations. But
Speaker 2: then also like, are you going to let one awful
Speaker 2: predictions sway your confidence?
Speaker 1: Shooters? Keep shooting right.
Speaker 2: The only two games I woefully missed this year We're
Speaker 2: Buffalo and last week. I got the result right last week,
Speaker 2: But man, I felt like I was way off having
Speaker 2: the pulse of this team and that Raiders team. I
Speaker 2: think a lot of short fields, a lot of possessions.
Speaker 2: I think multiple takeaways Dolphins thirty, Jets zero. I think
Speaker 2: we get the outside running game cranking a lot better
Speaker 2: than last week. I think we hit some explosive plays,
Speaker 2: some big penalties as well, have more punts than I like,
Speaker 2: but put together two full length drives for six score
Speaker 2: once on defense, score on a short field, kick, a
Speaker 2: field goal or safety, something like that. Thirty nothing. That's
Speaker 2: the game. That's the prediction. That's the podcast today. We'll
Speaker 2: come back tomorrow with the great Ryan Fitzpatrick on the
Speaker 2: show breaking down this game well, also picked the games
Speaker 2: and here from assistant coaches and heading to a game
Speaker 2: on Friday. In the meantime, you all please be sure
Speaker 2: to subscribe to the podcast on Apple, on Spotify, wherever
Speaker 2: you get your podcast from going Ahad and Lewis are rating.
Speaker 1: Leave us a review.
Speaker 2: You can follow me on social at Winkle NFL, the
Speaker 2: team at Miami Dolphins. Check out the fish Tank podcast
Speaker 2: with my guys Seth and Juice. Check out the YouTube
Speaker 2: channel for media Availabilities and Dolphins Today and my Bradley
Speaker 2: Chubb breakdown.
Speaker 1: Go check it out.
Speaker 2: And last button, not least Miami Dolphins dot com. Until
Speaker 2: next time, fins up, Come on camera, Daddy
Speaker 1: He's coming home.