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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. We have a blistering, blistering show today.

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Speaker 1: A first, everyone should go into their podcast provider of choice, rate, review, subscribe,

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Speaker 1: mostly review the podcast. You review the podcast, and if

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Speaker 1: I like what you say, if it's especially original, funny, clever, thoughtful,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna send you some swag, including the very cool

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Speaker 1: Action Network hoodie that I am wearing this very second.

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Speaker 1: Later on in the show, we're gonna have Darren Revel

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Speaker 1: and professional better Simon Hunter. Come on, we're gonna go

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Speaker 1: over our Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest picks folks. Last

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Speaker 1: week we went four oh in one and the one

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Speaker 1: we lost was a gut wrenching Bucks plus six against

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks, which could have ended in regulation if the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks field goal kicker could have made a kick. Instead

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Speaker 1: we lost. Instead, we pushed because they scored an overtime touchdown,

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Speaker 1: which you knew was going to happen. Plus, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: have a promotion. We're gonna pronounce something in conjunction with

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Speaker 1: points bet that every Revel hater on the Internet is

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Speaker 1: gonna love and Darren as is his m O is

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Speaker 1: embracing it like you wouldn't believe that's going to come

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Speaker 1: on later in the show, but first from the New

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Speaker 1: Orleans representing all the BOYD gaming books in the state

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Speaker 1: of Nevada and throughout the country, and looking at me

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Speaker 1: face to face, looking deeply into my eyes. Mr Bob

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Speaker 1: Scoot Gee, oh my brother, it is so good to

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Speaker 1: be with you face to face here in New York.

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Speaker 1: You were in town for a conference. We were both

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Speaker 1: at the conference the past couple of days. I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of looking at you face to face. Um. We are

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Speaker 1: set up today legendary Broadway Video. People may recognize it

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Speaker 1: as the production company that is owned by Lord Michael's

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Speaker 1: and produces so many great movies and TV shows. Uh,

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Speaker 1: it happens to be our studio for the day. And

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Speaker 1: so we're walking in here and there's like, here's you know,

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Speaker 1: John Belushi in like his samurai outfit, and there's Gilda

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Speaker 1: Radner in like a picture on the wall, and there's

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Speaker 1: SNL paraphernalia, and it's us two schmucks recording a gambling

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Speaker 1: podcast like in the coolest studio we've ever been. It's amazing,

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Speaker 1: it's and it's in the Brill Building, in the Bill Building,

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Speaker 1: which explain to people that is well, I mean all

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Speaker 1: the famous acts like Carol King back in the sixties

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Speaker 1: and seventies, uh, Neil Diamond, Neil, I mean all of the

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Speaker 1: the famous artists recorded and wrote their their music like

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Speaker 1: right out of this building many years and so historic.

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Speaker 1: I saw people just out on the sidewalk trying to

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Speaker 1: peek in the historic building as as we were coming in.

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Speaker 1: I mean even the elevators, so there were some of

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Speaker 1: the most ornate elevators I've ever seen. They were amazing.

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Speaker 1: It's the home and hit makers like us. We're hit makers,

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Speaker 1: we're making hits, we're winners. I don't know about last week.

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Speaker 1: Was there any hits last week? I don't know, Scoots, Like,

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Speaker 1: I felt like I did really well last week. I'm

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Speaker 1: pretty pleased with how things turned out in my project,

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Speaker 1: my quest to win two hundred and fifties, to bet

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Speaker 1: all two hundred and fifty six games. It's Tuesday afternoon. Um.

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Speaker 1: I had a little bit of a bad beat with

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Speaker 1: the Giants last night. I had him plus seven. I

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Speaker 1: went against all my instincts. As you and I discussion

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Speaker 1: and and everyone can get like on Sunday mornings. I

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Speaker 1: highly recommend you listen to Scooch and I download the

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Speaker 1: radio dot com app search for you Better You Bet

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Speaker 1: um on Sunday mornings because we will basically have the

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Speaker 1: Mad Money experience for sports betting. There's fifty dollar bets

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Speaker 1: coming in, Scooches, moving lines, and we're talking about all

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Speaker 1: the action that is coming in in real time as

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Speaker 1: lines are moving and bets are being made. UM. And

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Speaker 1: one of the things we talked about was that the

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Speaker 1: idea that it is always better to bet on the

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Speaker 1: home dog that is getting the bets versus the road

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Speaker 1: favorite that is getting eighty percent of the bets. And

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Speaker 1: for some reason, I went against all my instincts and

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Speaker 1: I bet on the Packers against the Chargers. I bet

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Speaker 1: on the Browns against uh, who do they play the Broncos. Um.

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Speaker 1: But I did bet on the Ravens and I did

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Speaker 1: bet on the Giants, and I kind of feel like

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Speaker 1: I made the mistake. And if I had followed my gut,

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Speaker 1: I would have ended the weekend three and one. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: the Ravens, Chargers, Broncos, all those plays that we said,

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Speaker 1: you know, you just bet the home doll. Even though

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Speaker 1: they're bad teams. You just kind of hold your nose,

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Speaker 1: you make the bets. They're getting just too many points

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Speaker 1: and just historically you have to do it over the

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Speaker 1: course of the entire season to be profitable and get

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Speaker 1: get up to that. But the books had had a

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Speaker 1: great weekend, I mean, with the exception of maybe that

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Speaker 1: Seahawks game that was a bad beat for us too,

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Speaker 1: because we opened six and a half on that, we

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Speaker 1: let them take six and a half, went down to four,

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Speaker 1: and then everybody laid four and four and a half

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Speaker 1: going back up. So one of those dreaded medals we

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Speaker 1: often talk about. All right, So this Thursday night, we

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Speaker 1: finally have a game that is decent, right because we've

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Speaker 1: got the Chargers visiting the Raiders and the l A

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Speaker 1: Chargers who just beat the Packers, the Raiders who sneaky,

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Speaker 1: sneaky good lately, I like, I like when like you

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Speaker 1: try to look at me, we are we are recording

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Speaker 1: behind like basically where people would normally do voiceovers, and

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Speaker 1: so there are these huge sort of stands where people

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Speaker 1: can keep their scripts and they are higher than our faces,

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Speaker 1: and they've got these cool lights so you can like

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Speaker 1: see the light you can see the script when you're recording,

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Speaker 1: and Scooch and I are on these like bar stools,

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Speaker 1: but we can't actually see each other. So it's funny

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Speaker 1: we might have never be in the same room. Um.

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Speaker 1: Oakland is sneaky good and a sneaky wise Guy favorite lately.

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Speaker 1: I had Oakland minus two last week against the Jets.

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Speaker 1: I'm against the Lions, love that spot for them. Why

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Speaker 1: wouldn't I like Oakland as a home dog here? You,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know why you wouldn't. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we were we we kind of like them, But they're

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Speaker 1: they're betting the Charges in this one. So right now

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Speaker 1: we're gonna need the Raiders, and I can tell you

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Speaker 1: we're gonna be quick to move this if we even

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Speaker 1: get just the slightest bet on the Raiders. I'm going

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Speaker 1: from minus one the Charges to minus one. Uh the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: We've liked them the last few weeks, and I've talked

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Speaker 1: about it going back to the Packer game, where just

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Speaker 1: I know I can't take a whole lot out of

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Speaker 1: that first half, but but I did, and they have

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Speaker 1: a good running game and their defense is stepping up.

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Speaker 1: I thought last week was a good spot mainly because

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Speaker 1: the Lions were kind of in a downward trend. But

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Speaker 1: this Raider team has not been getting any of the

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Speaker 1: kind of respect that they probably deserved. We had them

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Speaker 1: ranked pretty high to start the season. If you remember

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Speaker 1: the first game out of the year, we had them

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Speaker 1: almost a three point favorite against the Broncos. Uh and

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Speaker 1: that line moved five points to the Broncos minus two

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Speaker 1: and a half. So we've been kind of high on

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Speaker 1: the Raiders all the way through the year, and we've

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Speaker 1: done pretty well on them. I think the public is

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Speaker 1: finally going to kind of pick up after last week.

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Speaker 1: We may see this line come back a little bit,

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Speaker 1: especially in Vegas. People love the Raiders in Vegas, so, um, well,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be quick to move this one. Here's what

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Speaker 1: I don't get. Why would the Raiders ever be underdogs

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Speaker 1: in this spot? You think we should open them the favorite? Yeah? Well,

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Speaker 1: I mean you look at what the Chargers just did

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Speaker 1: against the Packers, who was ranked one of the top

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Speaker 1: two three teams in the NFC. So, uh, you know

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Speaker 1: you can't. We've often said you can't take too much

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Speaker 1: out of just one game, but uh, I guess if

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Speaker 1: you look gonna what the line would have been before Sunday,

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Speaker 1: it probably would have been the same, so there's not

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Speaker 1: too much of an adjustment. And uh, we're gonna let

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Speaker 1: the money dictate where the line goes, all right, Baltimore Ravens,

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Speaker 1: big big win. By the way, Just for the record,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be on the Raiders in this game,

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Speaker 1: just to be clear. Baltimore nine and a half against

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Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals on the road. We just talked about

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Speaker 1: the rule. I can guarantee this is gonna be. This

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Speaker 1: is gonna be rule, and you're never gonna get, um,

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Speaker 1: the Ravens at a higher spot than you are right

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Speaker 1: now coming off of a big, big win against the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: I don't even know of nine and a half is

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Speaker 1: big enough. I think you gotta make it bigger, well, Wed,

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Speaker 1: and I'll make it and I'll bet on the Bengals. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: We we We opened ten and we've been at ten

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Speaker 1: since yesterday, so um, and we we agree. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I think the wise guys gonna see how high this

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Speaker 1: line gets. So you know, a lot of times we

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Speaker 1: we often talk about part of handicapping is predicting where

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Speaker 1: the line is going to be so that you can

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Speaker 1: get the best of the number. So if you think

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Speaker 1: this line is going to go up, you would want

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Speaker 1: to bet it now. Whereas if you think, uh, you

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Speaker 1: want to bet the Bengals and you think the line

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Speaker 1: is gonna go up, you would want to wait until Sunday.

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Speaker 1: So I do think this line is going to go

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Speaker 1: up based on the public perception. I mean, I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at the ticket account right now and it's about twenty

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Speaker 1: five to one Ravens tickets to Bengals tickets, which means

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Speaker 1: this is just just gonna be just one way by

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Speaker 1: the public. Like you said, it might be nine. So

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Speaker 1: so the wise guys are waiting. They know that they're

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Speaker 1: going to get a great number on the Bengals on

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Speaker 1: this one, so they're not going to tip their hand

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Speaker 1: now and take the ten when they know it's going

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Speaker 1: to go up to eleven. But I think the play

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Speaker 1: is the Bengals coming off of by a little extra

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Speaker 1: time to prepare. If you remember they played in weeks

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Speaker 1: six and the Bengals only lost by six and that

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Speaker 1: one and that was at Baltimore, So can hang with

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Speaker 1: this team, especially you want to talk about a spot

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Speaker 1: coming off the biggest win of the year so far

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Speaker 1: for the Ravens. It's a perfect spot. Double digits at

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Speaker 1: home with the Bengals. Alright, So Scooch, what do I

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Speaker 1: do here? Like, I want to bet on the Bengals

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Speaker 1: so badly, and the Bengals are such a bad team.

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Speaker 1: I know they're gonna break my heart, So tell tell

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Speaker 1: me how I get away with this. It is a

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Speaker 1: it is an honest to god stinkfest in every single way. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and that and that's the problem with with betting on

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Speaker 1: bad teams like this is even when you know that

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Speaker 1: they should be covering, they're gonna find They could always

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Speaker 1: find a way with a pick six, a fumble recovery,

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Speaker 1: a block punt something. That's what makes them an O

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Speaker 1: and eight team. So that's the that's the downside. That's

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Speaker 1: the stuff you have to fade when you bet these

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Speaker 1: real bad teams. But again, we're playing percentages, and if

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Speaker 1: you're playing percentages, you're getting ten points in this spot

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Speaker 1: when you should probably only be getting about seven seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. Alright, So basically you're saying, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: have to bet on the Bengals, which is the last

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Speaker 1: thing in the world I want to do. Huh. Except

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Speaker 1: maybe betting on Atlanta as a nearly two touchdown dog

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Speaker 1: on the road at New Orleans. Yeah, what am I

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Speaker 1: gonna do? This one's a little different. I mean the

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Speaker 1: ticket account is almost the same, almost to one. Saints

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Speaker 1: the Falcons. Uh. Just the Falcons have just been just

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Speaker 1: really hard to bet on, even even probably worse than

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Speaker 1: than the Bengals. Uh. The difference here is the Saints

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Speaker 1: are at home. So even though you're supposed to bet

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Speaker 1: the double digit dog and this one, I don't. I'm

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Speaker 1: glad I don't have to bet these these are the ones.

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Speaker 1: I'm just happy we could just make the lines and

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Speaker 1: let the and let the public dictate. Uh, you know

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Speaker 1: where it goes from here. But this, this is a

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Speaker 1: tough one. I stay away from this one. Well, I

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Speaker 1: gotta bet it. I gotta bet all two and like

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Speaker 1: I eight and six last weekend, I think I'm seventy

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Speaker 1: and fifty four on the year. Whatever it is, I'm

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Speaker 1: killing it. Everyone should be following me. I'm betting a

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Speaker 1: like a six clip. I gotta bet this game, but

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Speaker 1: I gotta bet the Saints. Well, you might have uh,

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Speaker 1: Matt Ryan back, so he is a list of the

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Speaker 1: problem I'm not sure how good that that is. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if it's an upgrade at this point. But

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Speaker 1: what do you think I think about that? Do you

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Speaker 1: think that you don't care? No in the least. No,

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Speaker 1: I don't want the money bet on the Falcons is

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Speaker 1: money wasted. I know how much you like the Falcons. JU,

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Speaker 1: here's a great one. This is a really interesting game.

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Speaker 1: Oh my god, this whoa. I don't know how you

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Speaker 1: set this line the way you did Buffalo on the

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Speaker 1: road at Cleveland you got it looks like you got

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Speaker 1: the Browns as about three point favorites. Here the high

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Speaker 1: line Buffalo bills looking amazing, Like for for a couple

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Speaker 1: of years, everyone who said Sean mcdermot's a great coach.

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Speaker 1: This is a great defense against the Browns team that

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Speaker 1: is in a free fall. Like you got Baker Mayfield

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Speaker 1: and a sad mustache and a team that cannot get

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Speaker 1: out of its own way in a prime spot, going

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Speaker 1: against Brandon Alan, Brandon Allen who had never played and

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Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos who really looked awful, um with their

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Speaker 1: entire team questioning their philosophy, and they can't get out

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Speaker 1: of there with a win. Now, they're supposed to win

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Speaker 1: at home. They're supposed to be three point favorites at

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Speaker 1: home against an unbelievably good defense. I think I think,

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Speaker 1: I think that's what every recreational better is going to

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Speaker 1: say when they walk in and they see the Browns

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Speaker 1: a favorite in this one, when they feel like the

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Speaker 1: Bills are the better team and the Bills maybe the

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Speaker 1: better team. But again, we're just talking home field here,

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Speaker 1: and I think the Sharp guys agreed with us because

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Speaker 1: we did shade it a little bit towards the Bills.

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Speaker 1: We actually hung two and a half and the first

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Speaker 1: couple of bets out of the gate was laying the

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Speaker 1: Browns minus two and a half and we went to

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Speaker 1: three on this one. So this might be another rule

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Speaker 1: where is on the Bills and the Sharp guys are

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Speaker 1: on are on the Browns now. Having said that, we've

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Speaker 1: been in situations where kind of the professional betters manipulate

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Speaker 1: the market and especially around key numbers, and if they're

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Speaker 1: able to drive a number up to a key number

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Speaker 1: like three early in the week off of just a

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Speaker 1: few small bets, then maybe the Bills is the right

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Speaker 1: play for the Sharp guys. And then they come in

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Speaker 1: and bet three four times as much on the Bills

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Speaker 1: at plus three rather than betting them early in the

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Speaker 1: week at plus two and a half. These are the

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Speaker 1: kind of things we have to play cat and mouse

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Speaker 1: with with a lot of the professional betters, especially around

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Speaker 1: key numbers. I am promised by that game. It's it's

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Speaker 1: a tough one. The wise guy play is going to

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Speaker 1: be in the Browns. Yeah, because it's a short short pa.

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Speaker 1: I mean, especially if you got the two and a

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Speaker 1: half and I think and they obviously did get the

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Speaker 1: two and a half or early, so uh yeah, it's

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Speaker 1: one of those you know, you lay minus one, you

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Speaker 1: lay minus two at home. Uh, you know, take the

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Speaker 1: big dogs at home, just to certain rules that you

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Speaker 1: have to follow if you're going to be successful throughout

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Speaker 1: the year. The Jets and the Giants are playing in Theory.

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Speaker 1: The Giants are visiting the Jets and their two and

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Speaker 1: a half point road favorites. Uh, this is an interesting one,

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Speaker 1: like how do you handicap this? The Giants looked dreadful

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Speaker 1: and the Jets look dreadful. I mean, look one of us,

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Speaker 1: uh playing scoocher let actually put the took the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: on the money line. Last week. Um, I'm pretty sure

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Speaker 1: it was me. This is also, by the way, later

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Speaker 1: on in the show, we're gonna talk about the Revel

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Speaker 1: uh promo, and the Jets Giants is at the centerpiece

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Speaker 1: of that. People are going to really enjoy it at

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Speaker 1: the end. If Revel loses, he's gonna end up having

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Speaker 1: to do something so publicly embarrassing that I think the

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Speaker 1: entire world can rally around it. Um. So, the Giants

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Speaker 1: are two and a half quote unquote road favorites against

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Speaker 1: the Jets. Rock Hard plays bad worse. This is the

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Speaker 1: corner TV game TV game. I'm gonna show you this.

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Speaker 1: There's not one bet on this game. Oh my god?

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Speaker 1: You see that? Can I take a picture of that?

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Speaker 1: Am I allowed? I can't take a picture of that,

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Speaker 1: but I'm sharing it. I'm sharing it with you, all right. Well,

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Speaker 1: Scools just showed me his screen and there's literally not

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Speaker 1: a single bet on the Jets Giants. The only bet

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Speaker 1: might be Darren Ravel making a bet for your enjoyment

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Speaker 1: that everyone else can pile in on when they play

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Speaker 1: with points bet. We're gonna talk about that later in

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Speaker 1: the show. What am I supposed to do? Right? I

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Speaker 1: guess I take I guess I like, are the Jets

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Speaker 1: consider a home dog here? No, No, they're not. I

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Speaker 1: mean this one. I mean I favored we We favored

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Speaker 1: the Giants. That's why we made them a slight favorite.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's essentially playing on a neutral field. But

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Speaker 1: I mean, which team is worse, that's what you're handicapping.

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Speaker 1: And we've we've had a couple of games like this before,

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Speaker 1: uh you know, with with the Dolphins playing, and I

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Speaker 1: mean at some point you just have to say, who

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Speaker 1: is trending worse at the moment. I think the Giants,

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Speaker 1: like you said, was a bad beat last night against

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Um, I think the Giants are the much

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Speaker 1: better team at this point, all right, So I'll bet

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Speaker 1: the Giants in that game. Well, it's just money. You

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Speaker 1: gotta bet it. You gotta bet somebody. And at the

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Speaker 1: end of the day, what I'd rather put my money

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Speaker 1: in Pat Shermer and Daniel Jones or Adam Gaze and

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Speaker 1: Sam Donald. Yeah, I guess that's really what it comes

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Speaker 1: down to. Yep. Well, I put my money on Brian

330
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Speaker 1: Floors and Ryan Fitzpatrick. So I guess I know what

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Speaker 1: I'm thinking there. The Kansas City Chiefs three and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites on the road at Tennessee. I don't

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Speaker 1: think this is big enough. This is a game where

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Speaker 1: I'm going to defy. Yeah, you don't like to to see,

335
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Speaker 1: do you? Oh? No, I don't like them because I

336
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Speaker 1: just don't think they have a chance to win the

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Speaker 1: Pantheon Cup. I don't care if al Pacino is coaching

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Speaker 1: them or not. Yeah, I know I know that. Uh.

339
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Speaker 1: We're actually so we're we're waiting to see if Mahomes

340
00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:20,680
Speaker 1: is playing in this one because it's gonna it's gonna

341
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Speaker 1: make a big difference as well as they're playing without them,

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Speaker 1: and and the big wins that they've had with more

343
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Speaker 1: I mean, uh, you know that was a that was

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Speaker 1: a huge win last week against the Vikings. Uh. So,

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Speaker 1: I know the public is going to take that into account.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna be high regardless of whether Mahomes is in

347
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Speaker 1: or not. But this line can go up as high

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Speaker 1: as seven if he's in. Right now, we're looking at

349
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Speaker 1: about three and a half four, But if he's definitely

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Speaker 1: in and appears to be healthy, we're gonna we're gonna

351
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Speaker 1: move this up to seven. Are you impressed with Matt more.

352
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Speaker 1: Have you changed your power rating on Matt More as

353
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Speaker 1: a quarterback? We did. I mean we we talked about

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Speaker 1: it even that the Broncos game that uh, that Mahomes

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Speaker 1: went out. I mean he looked good right out of

356
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Speaker 1: the gate. I mean they did have a couple of uh,

357
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Speaker 1: you know, bad losses at home, but he still looked effective.

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Speaker 1: And I wouldn't attribute those losses to him. Uh, you know,

359
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Speaker 1: against some good teams and uh and again I mean

360
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Speaker 1: he his his throws. I mean there was a couple

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Speaker 1: that Mahomes couldn't have done any better in that game,

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Speaker 1: uh Sunday. So uh, we they were a good team.

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Speaker 1: Look with with Mahomes, obviously they're a great team, but

364
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Speaker 1: there's still a real good team with without them. So uh,

365
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Speaker 1: we want to be high on this one, and we're not.

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Speaker 1: We're not Titans fans. We were kind of fading that

367
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Speaker 1: we were pretty high last week against the Titans, and

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Speaker 1: and we were right on that one. So uh, we're not.

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Speaker 1: We're not gonna want to need the Titans. By the way,

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Speaker 1: there's not a throw in the world that Matt Moore

371
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Speaker 1: can make that Patrick Mahomes couldn't make it look better.

372
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Speaker 1: Let's just be crystal clear about that. The Tampa Bay

373
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Speaker 1: Buccaneers are four and a half point favorites over the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. What I like to do in this scenario

375
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Speaker 1: is think of all the ways in which both teams

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Speaker 1: can let me down. Can it be Cliff Kingsbury, uh

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Speaker 1: calling a great first fifteen plays and then not being

378
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Speaker 1: able to get his team to go in the right

379
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 1: direction for the next forty seven minutes? Can it be

380
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:30,719
Speaker 1: Jamis Winston finding ways to let the ball slip out

381
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:32,840
Speaker 1: of his hands as he goes for a too long

382
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 1: wind up into a throw that will likely end up

383
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 1: being an interception anyways? Um? Can it be uh the

384
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 1: Bucks defense giving up yardage in chunks that are bigger

385
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,959
Speaker 1: than a t Rex could take out of a triceratops? Like,

386
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,439
Speaker 1: what are the ways in which this team, both of

387
00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,639
Speaker 1: these teams can let me down? Screech, and then just

388
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,159
Speaker 1: tell me so I can decide how I want to

389
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Speaker 1: be hurt on Sunday? Well, I think you just mentioned

390
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Speaker 1: them all. I mean, is it is it going to

391
00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:01,199
Speaker 1: be the five interception wins and day? Is it going

392
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 1: to be the the Kyler Murray fumble day? I mean there.

393
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,000
Speaker 1: There's so many ways that both these teams can let

394
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Speaker 1: you down. But the flip side of that is both

395
00:21:09,520 --> 00:21:11,760
Speaker 1: of them have tremendous amount of talent. They're just not

396
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,680
Speaker 1: they're just not polished and they haven't found that found

397
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,520
Speaker 1: the ways to win yet. And uh and at least

398
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Speaker 1: in the Cardinals case that the games that they have lost,

399
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Speaker 1: they they've made some of them very close. So you

400
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:24,960
Speaker 1: always feel like you have a little life with the Cardinals.

401
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 1: And uh, getting we actually tried to hang this a

402
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,880
Speaker 1: little a little high. We hung the Buccaneers five first

403
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:32,399
Speaker 1: couple of bets out of the gate were on the

404
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 1: Cardinals and drove it down to four and a half.

405
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Speaker 1: So I mean, the Buccaneers are the better team. Um,

406
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Speaker 1: but I will say that the Cardinals are a live

407
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,880
Speaker 1: dog here. Yeah, the Cardinals are always a live dog

408
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 1: because they will do so many things to give the

409
00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 1: game away and then scramble back in through the back

410
00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:54,400
Speaker 1: door as the game gets closer to ending. That's their

411
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 1: m O. That's what they're so good at right now.

412
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Speaker 1: And like, look, one day they're gonna be a really

413
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Speaker 1: good team and Kyler Murray is going to be amazing

414
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Speaker 1: and you're gonna feel great about betting on them. Right now.

415
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:09,159
Speaker 1: I just get Auntie. Yeah, that's all there is to it.

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Speaker 1: It makes me really sad. Hey, listen, right now, I'm

417
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Speaker 1: looking at UM. I am looking up the two thousand

418
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Speaker 1: and seventeen NFL Draft on my phone because that is

419
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Speaker 1: the year Mitch true Bisky was drafted. Okay, and the

420
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 1: Bears right now are hosting the Detroit Lines will be

421
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Speaker 1: two and a half point favorites. Something that I've started

422
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Speaker 1: to like to do recently. I don't know why is

423
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 1: UM go through the two two thousand seventeen NFL Draft,

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00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 1: in which, as we know, the Bears traded up, traded

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00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:50,880
Speaker 1: up to get Mitch Robinsky, passing the opportunity to get

426
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:57,880
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey and Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson. But lately

427
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:01,040
Speaker 1: I've also been thinking, like, who, wells, didn't the Bears

428
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:03,919
Speaker 1: get better? Better than Mr Bisky doesn't have to be

429
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:05,239
Speaker 1: people who are going to end up in the Hall

430
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 1: of Fame. They passed on this is this is what

431
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:11,360
Speaker 1: I do with my time now. They passed on Jamal Adams,

432
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:16,560
Speaker 1: who would have been amazing. They passed on uh Juju

433
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 1: Smith Schuster in the second round. They passed on Marshawn Lattimore,

434
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:24,560
Speaker 1: who's a shutdown cornerback. Um you name it. Like in

435
00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 1: every single way, they passed on so many guys who

436
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,399
Speaker 1: could have made a single O. J. Howard. I would

437
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:35,440
Speaker 1: take J. Howard? Would not? I would why not? He's

438
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:39,119
Speaker 1: athletic like Evan Ingram. Evan Ingram is like the only weapon.

439
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones thinks about all these guys Jabrill Peppers, he's

440
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 1: playing great. Like I'm at the end of the first round.

441
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,159
Speaker 1: I would have taken all these people, Taco Charleston, I

442
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,679
Speaker 1: wouldn't have taken t J. Watts right now? Would you

443
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:53,159
Speaker 1: take t J. Water and Mr Bisky, t J Wattick

444
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:57,280
Speaker 1: in the first round? Like? Come on, there's like Juju

445
00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 1: Smith Schuster was in the second round. Okay, here's my point.

446
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 1: The Bears are two and a half point favorites against

447
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:05,400
Speaker 1: the Lions. I'm not feeling good about taking the Bears

448
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 1: is a short home favorite there no Now, I mean,

449
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 1: as as bad as the Lions have played in the

450
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, and we've been downgrading them as well, Um,

451
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,919
Speaker 1: the Bears have been much worse. We Uh, First, I

452
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 1: think both the public and the wise guys will both

453
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,359
Speaker 1: agree on this one. I think this line is gonna

454
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,520
Speaker 1: come down. I've seen a couple of small bets from

455
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 1: guys that we respect, you know, bets in the neighborhood

456
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:31,199
Speaker 1: of a thousand dollars uh that are coming in on

457
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,679
Speaker 1: the Lions, which means that they probably feel that the

458
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:35,160
Speaker 1: line is gonna go down to two and a half

459
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 1: for them to be betting at at the plus three

460
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,359
Speaker 1: right now. They wouldn't do that if they didn't think

461
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 1: the line was gonna come down. And then the other

462
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:43,440
Speaker 1: thing is the public to their on the Lions as well.

463
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:45,800
Speaker 1: So I don't think we're gonna get much action on

464
00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:48,959
Speaker 1: the Bears at all. Um, so we're gonna be We're

465
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:51,120
Speaker 1: gonna be quick to move this one down. I might

466
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 1: I agree with you on this one. This is one

467
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 1: that we look back on and say, yeah, I probably

468
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,840
Speaker 1: shouldn't have opened it that high. What do you as

469
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,640
Speaker 1: you opened at like pick uh probab be one one

470
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:02,640
Speaker 1: and a half. A matter of fact, right after the show,

471
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 1: I'm going to call the guys down there in the hub,

472
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:06,640
Speaker 1: tell them the move it. I like that idea. Call

473
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:08,720
Speaker 1: the guys in the hub yeah, make them do your bidding.

474
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:14,200
Speaker 1: There the one in seven. They're on a roll. Miami

475
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:17,440
Speaker 1: Dolphins are visiting the Indianapolis Colts. There ten point underdogs.

476
00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 1: We don't know if Jacoby Brissett is playing, but Brian

477
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 1: Hoyer looks pretty good. Is there any throw he can

478
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:28,840
Speaker 1: make the Brissette camp make look better. It's like you're

479
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:32,159
Speaker 1: mad at me. Now you're throwing shots at me. You

480
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:37,879
Speaker 1: know you said something silly, but you raised an interesting

481
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,320
Speaker 1: point that I was going to ask in a more eloquent,

482
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:44,399
Speaker 1: thoughtful way. That adds substance to how people are thinking

483
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:47,679
Speaker 1: about these games versus just taking pot shots. Which is

484
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 1: what is the point spread differential between Jacoby Brissette and

485
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 1: Brian Hoyer? Uh three and a half to four? Is

486
00:25:56,600 --> 00:26:00,760
Speaker 1: this line? This line will be easily fourteen if he's

487
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 1: if he's a percent. So the thing of it is is,

488
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:09,480
Speaker 1: again I always qualify UH player like that that's starting

489
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:13,120
Speaker 1: versus him being a hundred percent healthy. So he would

490
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:16,160
Speaker 1: have to start and be healthy for to be fourteen.

491
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 1: So probably looking at more like thirteen because he won't

492
00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:22,639
Speaker 1: be a percent. And that point makes a difference. And

493
00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 1: the first couple of bets out of the gate were

494
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 1: on the Dolphins. So the Dolphins have covered what three,

495
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 1: three or four? I mean then they've covered like the

496
00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 1: last three or four games we've talked about last week,

497
00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:37,920
Speaker 1: and that's why you bet him on the money line

498
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: and Scooch Roulette because it was just a great spot

499
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,800
Speaker 1: for them, and we felt like, uh, you know, as

500
00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 1: bad as they started the year with all the turmoil

501
00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:49,919
Speaker 1: and unloading players, they played the last few games with

502
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,080
Speaker 1: a lot of heart and you could see that the

503
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:55,520
Speaker 1: morale was actually there and and as opposed to kind

504
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 1: of the Jets, who just feel like they're in a

505
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 1: downward spiral. But yeah, the Dolphins once again. I mean,

506
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:05,080
Speaker 1: if you're talking about the value getting double digits even

507
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 1: against a team like the Colts, Yeah, that's that's the play.

508
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 1: I agree. That's a no brainer to me. Take the Fins.

509
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:14,399
Speaker 1: I've liked him. It's like they're one of those teams

510
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:16,400
Speaker 1: where I've been betting on him the past few weeks

511
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,919
Speaker 1: and getting paid and I feel really good about it. Um.

512
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:22,040
Speaker 1: I just hope, like the bandwagon doesn't get so heavy

513
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:25,959
Speaker 1: that the wheels fall off. Yeah, the early the public actually,

514
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:29,680
Speaker 1: they they've probably they turned a little bit with the Dolphins,

515
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 1: and we're seeing pretty good two way actually even from

516
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 1: the general public on this one. So I don't think

517
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,240
Speaker 1: we're gonna see this number get driven up by the public.

518
00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:40,680
Speaker 1: So if anything, it will come down Los Angeles Rams

519
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorites on the road at Pittsburgh.

520
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:47,040
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh showed up, but they're an out of vinitary shank

521
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 1: away from losing that game and being three and five

522
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 1: and not being the side that wins. Is like a

523
00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:58,479
Speaker 1: short home favorite or a short home dog. The bets

524
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 1: about sixty the money on the Rams here. Yeah, as

525
00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:08,640
Speaker 1: bad as the Rams started the season and they had

526
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 1: their spell where we downgraded them slightly, Um, we had

527
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 1: a number of NFC teams kind of jumped them in

528
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,320
Speaker 1: the rankings. Uh, over the course of the first four

529
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 1: or five weeks, I think they've turned the corner. I think,

530
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 1: you know, essentially it's the same team back that that

531
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:28,199
Speaker 1: made it to the Super Bowl last year. So the

532
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:32,160
Speaker 1: talent levels there, uh, their their offense was just struggling

533
00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:34,840
Speaker 1: early on that I think I think we're gonna see

534
00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 1: that that same Rams team in the second half of

535
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,280
Speaker 1: the season that made it to the Super Bowl last year.

536
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 1: So we want to be high on them. We opened

537
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:43,680
Speaker 1: four and a half. We took a couple of big

538
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 1: bets on the Steelers. Public is on the Rams at

539
00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,320
Speaker 1: about a two and a half to one ratio with

540
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 1: us at least um. This is one of the games

541
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,720
Speaker 1: that the general public is just going to see a

542
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:58,440
Speaker 1: short number. So we want to be as high as possible,

543
00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:01,520
Speaker 1: and we'll let the We'll let the sharp guys get

544
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:03,720
Speaker 1: us heavy and straight bets on the Steelers, knowing that

545
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 1: we're going to be heavy and parleys on the Rams. Ah,

546
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 1: you mean the Millments, the Millmans. We're gonna let the

547
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 1: Millmans take as much as they want on the Steelers

548
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 1: because we know we're gonna get plenty of parley money

549
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 1: on the Rams. I just wanna, I wanna be sure

550
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:23,920
Speaker 1: that we're talking Carolina four and a half point dog

551
00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 1: now on the road at Green Bay. What a fascinating game.

552
00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:36,360
Speaker 1: Carolina comes out dominates this past weekend, um in a

553
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 1: game that I think a lot of people had a

554
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 1: hard time handicapping a week after getting annihilated by the Niners,

555
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 1: where everybody thought they were the right side as five

556
00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 1: and a half point dogs, or maybe even as straight

557
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:51,239
Speaker 1: up underdogs Green Bay back at home getting beat up

558
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 1: by the Chargers after getting the bets. How do you

559
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 1: make this number? Man? What do you have it at?

560
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:00,320
Speaker 1: This is a tough one. And we've got more action

561
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:02,320
Speaker 1: on this game, all one side, and then we have

562
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:04,840
Speaker 1: on any game on the board. So we hung the

563
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:09,080
Speaker 1: Packers minus six again. So we have the Packers, you know,

564
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,239
Speaker 1: right up there at the top of the NFC, you know,

565
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 1: obviously with the Saints and the Rams and the Niners,

566
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: and so there's We're gonna say. We knew we were

567
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:22,239
Speaker 1: going to see a high line, and I'm surprised at

568
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,440
Speaker 1: just how much the sharp guys waited on the Panthers.

569
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 1: They took six, they took five and a half. Um,

570
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 1: they're taking four and a half. We went straight from

571
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 1: five and a half to four and a half. We

572
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 1: skipped five. Uh, they were just all over the Panthers

573
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 1: in this one. So I could see this going down

574
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,520
Speaker 1: to four. Um, I'm not sure if anyone's at four yet.

575
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 1: I don't think so. But no, actually we're we're one

576
00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:46,719
Speaker 1: of the only four and a half. There's a lot

577
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 1: of fives out there still, so but they're still taking

578
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 1: taking the Panthers in this one. I think by game

579
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 1: day we're still going to see plenty of public money

580
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:59,239
Speaker 1: on the Packers, So I think I'm okay with this

581
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 1: one as well. Taken a lot of straight pat money

582
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:05,600
Speaker 1: on the Panthers. Yeah, that's a tough one. The only

583
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 1: thing is it reminds me a little bit of the

584
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 1: Seattle Buccaneers game last week where we also opened six

585
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 1: and a half, went down to four and then ended

586
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:17,200
Speaker 1: up getting middles on it. So just kind of the

587
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:20,560
Speaker 1: same dynamics so far seeing that line get driven down

588
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 1: and then we'll probably watch the public drive it right

589
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 1: back up. Dallas is a three point favorite at home

590
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:32,920
Speaker 1: against Minnesota. What is this line? Before the Cowboys game

591
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 1: last night, it was only two and a half. So

592
00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 1: then if the Cowboys lose, what is this line? Uh?

593
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 1: Probably one and ha, I don't think we would make

594
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 1: more than a one point adjustment either way on that game.

595
00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:52,480
Speaker 1: I like Minnesota here, so Minnesota coming off of that loss. Um,

596
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:53,959
Speaker 1: this is a tough one. And this is kind of

597
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:57,320
Speaker 1: a one of the bookmaker's dreams where you get two

598
00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 1: great teams, they're both evenly mats, So it's really the

599
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 1: home field that's deciding the line here. So the three points,

600
00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:06,720
Speaker 1: I think it's solid. I don't think we move this line.

601
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:08,760
Speaker 1: I don't think I don't think we'll move to two

602
00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: and a half or three and a half. If anything,

603
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:13,480
Speaker 1: we'll just move the money on this game. But uh, yeah,

604
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:17,720
Speaker 1: this one's kind of the game we just watch and enjoy. Yeah, right,

605
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 1: like you can just hold it, hold tight. Now you're

606
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 1: on the right number, the lands on three grade. You've

607
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 1: made the right move. Um, and everyone else would sort

608
00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:30,280
Speaker 1: of do your work for you. Big, big Monday night game,

609
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 1: the undefeated forty Niners the seven and two Seattle Seahawks,

610
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:37,520
Speaker 1: massive game. I think the Seahawks are massively overrated. They

611
00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 1: really just seem like the Russell Wilson's at this point. Uh.

612
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:43,200
Speaker 1: And they are six and a half point road dogs.

613
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:46,240
Speaker 1: And I would go with the Niners all day if

614
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 1: I'm getting half a point underneath the touchdown man oh

615
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 1: man of Chevits. Yeah. I've talked about the Niners all

616
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 1: year and how slow we've been kind of gradually upgrading

617
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:58,719
Speaker 1: their their rankings, and we've been kind of taking it

618
00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 1: on the chin. And but we got we got lucky

619
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 1: with one game against the Redskins, where they only want

620
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:09,560
Speaker 1: nine to nothing as ten point favorites. But we uh,

621
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 1: I think we were right on the money on that

622
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 1: Thursday night game where we talked a little bit about

623
00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,400
Speaker 1: how laying double digits even against a team like the Cardinals. Uh,

624
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 1: they were just so massively upgraded over the course of

625
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:23,600
Speaker 1: the first seven eight weeks that every bit of value

626
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 1: had been taken out of them. And even though they're

627
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 1: very capable of, you know, scoring forty points and blowing

628
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 1: a team out again, in the long haul, you have

629
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,520
Speaker 1: to keep betting those big underdogs. This case is a

630
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 1: little bit different. I think if Seattle was at home

631
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 1: getting some points would be a lot different. But uh,

632
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,960
Speaker 1: the forty Niners. We we didn't adjust the forty niners

633
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:45,600
Speaker 1: at all, even with the loss, uh, with with not

634
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 1: covering on Thursday night, so we left them the same

635
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:54,560
Speaker 1: power rankings. Seattle downgraded a little bit um only because

636
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 1: when a line moves the way it did like last

637
00:33:57,480 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 1: week against the Buccaneers from six and a half down

638
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 1: to four, then we've made a mistake as bookmakers. And

639
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 1: even though we can get lucky, we never want to

640
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 1: see a two and a half three point line move

641
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 1: without key injuries, so that indicates that we were probably

642
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 1: had the Seahawks ranked a little too high, so a

643
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:18,280
Speaker 1: little bit of an adjustment on them. Uh so otherwise

644
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 1: this line would have been even higher. Scooch guess what

645
00:34:21,600 --> 00:34:24,800
Speaker 1: time it is? Uh? Scooch we let we're going to

646
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 1: play some Scooch ru let. I believe I won last week.

647
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 1: You did, so you should definitely go. Did you end

648
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:42,319
Speaker 1: up having I went with the Packers lost, I did, Yeah.

649
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 1: I really thought the Packers were gonna gonna defy the logic.

650
00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 1: I went with the Mimi Dolphins on the main one.

651
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:53,719
Speaker 1: That was sweet pretty much you get extra points for

652
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:57,480
Speaker 1: that one. Should should get extra points. So who am

653
00:34:57,520 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 1: I going to take this week? You're going with the

654
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:07,000
Speaker 1: Dolphins and en I feel like God, this is tough.

655
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:10,360
Speaker 1: Give me the Lions plus two and a half. Lions

656
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:12,960
Speaker 1: plus two and a half. I was looking at that one.

657
00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 1: I absolutely have to go with the Cincinnati Bengals. That

658
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:19,279
Speaker 1: was gonna be my either choice, and I just could

659
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,839
Speaker 1: not pull the trigger on the Angles. It's tough. I've

660
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:23,600
Speaker 1: I've went with them a couple of times this year

661
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:26,759
Speaker 1: and they've they've let me down before. But like I said,

662
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:29,959
Speaker 1: they kept the last game against the Ravens pretty close,

663
00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 1: lost by six. Now they're getting ten at home. They

664
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:37,920
Speaker 1: can hang with them. All right. We soon shall see

665
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 1: Scooch Bob Scucci from New Orleans and board Gaming representing

666
00:35:43,239 --> 00:35:46,000
Speaker 1: all those books in the state of Nevada throughout the country.

667
00:35:47,040 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 1: Thank you for coming on your podcast, sir, Thanks for

668
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:53,240
Speaker 1: having me on my podcast. See buddy. All right, As promised,

669
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:55,440
Speaker 1: Darren Revel is joining me. We're gonna talk about our

670
00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:58,120
Speaker 1: Westgates Super Contest picks. In a few minutes. We'll bring

671
00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 1: on Professional Better Simon Hunter, who's gonna gauge our choices,

672
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 1: great our choices and give us something better if we

673
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 1: need to. Last week, Darren, you and I went four

674
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 1: oh and one. We are doing really well because the

675
00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:14,480
Speaker 1: week before we went three and two. We have not

676
00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:17,920
Speaker 1: had a lot of losing weeks in this contest. Before

677
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,640
Speaker 1: we get going, people need to start looking out for

678
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:23,520
Speaker 1: and we'll we'll tease this more on Twitter tomorrow when

679
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,080
Speaker 1: it's all set up. You're gonna do a video about this.

680
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 1: But I do want to let people know that pretty

681
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:31,960
Speaker 1: soon we're gonna be launching a promo with Points Bet

682
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 1: called Fade Revel and it basically gives everybody on the

683
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:42,759
Speaker 1: internet a chance to do what they love most, which

684
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 1: is find a way to troll you in a tangible way.

685
00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:51,400
Speaker 1: Because points bet is going to give an odds boost

686
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 1: to any game you pick. You're gonna take one side

687
00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:57,320
Speaker 1: and the fans are going to get a chance to

688
00:36:57,360 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 1: bet against you at better odds on the other side.

689
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:02,239
Speaker 1: I don't want to say what game we're picking yet.

690
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:05,560
Speaker 1: You're gonna introduce it all tomorrow on Twitter. It's Tuesday afternoon.

691
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:07,239
Speaker 1: It'll all be set up and ready to go up

692
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:11,359
Speaker 1: points betu dot com tomorrow. People will have to look

693
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,000
Speaker 1: for it. Um, you'll you'll put in the promo code

694
00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:16,719
Speaker 1: fade Revolt. I'm a little premature here because it's not

695
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:18,400
Speaker 1: all set up yet, so we gotta get it ready.

696
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 1: Um but I'm super excited about are you excited about it?

697
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 1: And then and there's one more element, which is that

698
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,720
Speaker 1: if you win, you get your money at boosted odds.

699
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:30,120
Speaker 1: But that means I lose and I have to do

700
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:34,880
Speaker 1: something very bad so and and we will have to

701
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:38,280
Speaker 1: show evidence of me doing that. So there's an added

702
00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:41,799
Speaker 1: element of when you win and I lose, well, not

703
00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:43,719
Speaker 1: only are going to show the evidence. Like, it's going

704
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:47,000
Speaker 1: to be pretty public and pretty embarrassing, and it most

705
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 1: likely will be in the middle of New York City,

706
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:52,279
Speaker 1: in the most populated space, doing something that puts you

707
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,640
Speaker 1: in a spot that you won't be able to tell

708
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:58,600
Speaker 1: your wife. Yes, I actually did pre tell my wife

709
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:00,920
Speaker 1: one of the first ideas and she said, you're not

710
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:05,279
Speaker 1: doing that, and um, I just said, okay, we'll talk

711
00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:09,759
Speaker 1: about it. So that's how bad it is, folks. And

712
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:13,799
Speaker 1: it's your opportunity to profit off of going against Danni Ravel,

713
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,280
Speaker 1: which is literally really all anybody wants to do. Darren,

714
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:24,799
Speaker 1: Let's make some choices. What do you think? Okay, talk

715
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:30,000
Speaker 1: to me. So, uh, you are probably not going to

716
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:34,160
Speaker 1: agree with one of my picks this week, but my

717
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:38,160
Speaker 1: goal is to get one into you and then you

718
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:41,439
Speaker 1: maybe take two because you're more experienced, and Simon gives

719
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:44,759
Speaker 1: us two. We'll see. Anyway, here we go. I like

720
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:47,600
Speaker 1: all the big spreads this week, and I want to

721
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:52,360
Speaker 1: take advantage of them. Two on the plus side and

722
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:56,080
Speaker 1: one on the minus side. The most popular bet of

723
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:59,640
Speaker 1: the week, the Joe is too square. Public bet of

724
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:05,719
Speaker 1: the week is gonna be Baltimore minus ten, and I

725
00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:09,120
Speaker 1: like it, and I know that you don't like it.

726
00:39:10,080 --> 00:39:13,920
Speaker 1: Uh So I like Baltimore minus ten, hate it with

727
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 1: the heat of a thousand Sons so much that I like,

728
00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 1: I'm practically betting the Bengals right now. I know because

729
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 1: the first of all, um, obviously I don't have any

730
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 1: face in Andy Dalton, in and eight Andy Dalton. Obviously

731
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 1: you have the very uh public last game bias of

732
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:36,760
Speaker 1: the beating the Patriot. Andy Dalton's not even playing this weekend?

733
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 1: What Andy Dalton's no longer the starter for the Cincinnati Bengals.

734
00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:45,160
Speaker 1: Oh no, he's not right exactly, but still but still

735
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:49,480
Speaker 1: minus ten. I love it. No what else you gout?

736
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:57,840
Speaker 1: Atlanta plus thirteam. See, here's the thing. I love the

737
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:03,440
Speaker 1: Saints here, love him not at that number. Not at

738
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:06,800
Speaker 1: that number? What about the Saints at that number? Don't

739
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:09,799
Speaker 1: you like? You don't like that Drew Brees came back

740
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:12,879
Speaker 1: and covered. You don't like that Teddy Bridgewater could beat

741
00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:15,319
Speaker 1: the Sick, could beat the Falcons by thirteen points. You

742
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:17,440
Speaker 1: don't like that the Falcons have yet to show up

743
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,160
Speaker 1: for a game and their team is in a free

744
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 1: fall and they can't play with their coach and Matt Ryan,

745
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:23,640
Speaker 1: if he's playing, is coming off an injury. That this

746
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:26,560
Speaker 1: team is soft. They haven't done anything in five years,

747
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:28,880
Speaker 1: and that includes not winning the Super Bowl when they

748
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:31,920
Speaker 1: were up three. What don't you like about betting against

749
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:35,880
Speaker 1: the Falcons at two points as two touchdown dogs. Yeah,

750
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:38,440
Speaker 1: it's just a very high number that I'm not confident in.

751
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 1: But but maybe you can convince. But you're confident in

752
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 1: the Bank and the you're confident in the Ravens on

753
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:47,600
Speaker 1: the road off of a huge public win, but you're

754
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 1: not confident in the Saints at home with a Hall

755
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 1: of Fame quarterback. Yes, I want a Favorabelle so badly

756
00:40:54,800 --> 00:41:01,839
Speaker 1: right now? What's next? Giant minus two and a half? Okay, Jet?

757
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:04,800
Speaker 1: The Jets are that bad and two and a half

758
00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:08,719
Speaker 1: is just you know, the Giants stuck with the Cowboys

759
00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:13,040
Speaker 1: for a little bit. Um, I've had a bad run

760
00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:16,840
Speaker 1: for Danny Dimes. But I think the Jets are terrible

761
00:41:17,440 --> 00:41:19,960
Speaker 1: and two and a half is not a bad number.

762
00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:21,839
Speaker 1: I don't hate that. I don't hate that at all.

763
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 1: And then you know what, I don't know, I just

764
00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 1: I feel so good about Miami. Um me too, you know,

765
00:41:32,840 --> 00:41:34,719
Speaker 1: And it's not just from the first win. I felt

766
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:37,720
Speaker 1: good about them for a couple of weeks. It magic

767
00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:44,439
Speaker 1: completely agree. I I he him being I just think

768
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:48,800
Speaker 1: he is the oddsmakers don't really haven't really accounted for

769
00:41:49,440 --> 00:41:51,959
Speaker 1: what he can do, just because their record is so bad.

770
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:55,560
Speaker 1: I think they're serviceable now. Before they had no offense

771
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 1: and no defense. And if you're going to give me

772
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:01,720
Speaker 1: ten and a half on Miami, they are a different

773
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,560
Speaker 1: team than they were to start the season. I like

774
00:42:04,719 --> 00:42:08,760
Speaker 1: that number. Also, I don't know Jacoby Brissetta is playing.

775
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 1: We don't know that yet. We don't know that yet. Okay,

776
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 1: so it depends on what will happen by Thursday where

777
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:19,520
Speaker 1: we have to lock it. And now I'm going to

778
00:42:19,600 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 1: do something I've never done before. I feel like we

779
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:25,759
Speaker 1: should play a game, but I don't know which way.

780
00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:30,920
Speaker 1: Cleveland Ballo, I'll tell you which way. I'll tell you

781
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:36,600
Speaker 1: I like that game. It's West. I'll tell you which way. Really,

782
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:42,120
Speaker 1: we're taking the Browns. Yeah, I agree, I want so listen.

783
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:45,560
Speaker 1: I agree with you on the Browns in Miami. Yep.

784
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:50,920
Speaker 1: So we can go in with those yep. All right?

785
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:54,759
Speaker 1: Uh And we are on total opposite sides on the

786
00:42:54,840 --> 00:43:03,880
Speaker 1: Bengals in the Cities. Simon Hunter, and now a word

787
00:43:04,000 --> 00:43:12,239
Speaker 1: from a wise guy with Simon Hunter. How you doing, dude?

788
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:16,479
Speaker 1: You different this studio? Yeah, we do right, We sound

789
00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:21,560
Speaker 1: very fancy. We are in the Broadway Video studio. Broadway Video,

790
00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:26,360
Speaker 1: you know, producer of many, many, many fine films and

791
00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:33,520
Speaker 1: television shows. Uh. Lauren Michaels, Lauren Michaels Saturday Night Live.

792
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:40,920
Speaker 1: You know, I thought it was porn Broadway Video, and

793
00:43:41,280 --> 00:43:43,520
Speaker 1: I don't know it sounded like that. It does sound

794
00:43:43,520 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 1: a little bit like eighties pornershe I agree with you.

795
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 1: It's always at the end with the custodial records number

796
00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:50,880
Speaker 1: or whatever. But look, at the end of the day,

797
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:52,360
Speaker 1: it's Lauren Michael. So you can name it whatever he

798
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:57,600
Speaker 1: wants and it's gonna sound cool. Simon four oh in

799
00:43:57,640 --> 00:43:59,879
Speaker 1: one last week, thanks to you. I appreciate the help,

800
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:03,120
Speaker 1: as does Darren. Um. I felt like we came out

801
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:06,880
Speaker 1: of last week with six good choices. Um. The Bucks

802
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:10,400
Speaker 1: broke our heart by, you know, giving up a touchdown

803
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 1: and over time that was a push. But Darren and

804
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:16,920
Speaker 1: I have run through some games. There's two we agree

805
00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 1: on right now too that we violently oppose each other. Okay,

806
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:25,759
Speaker 1: you're ready, but before we go, okay, let me just

807
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:29,640
Speaker 1: say that it was definitely one of those things where

808
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:33,319
Speaker 1: if Darren just had slept through that check, we'd be

809
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 1: sitting here five and oh. But he just had to

810
00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:40,880
Speaker 1: wake up that week and had to say. It's one

811
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:42,920
Speaker 1: of these things where it's my my job is professional.

812
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:47,440
Speaker 1: It's funny that, like, you know, it's not other professional jobs.

813
00:44:47,640 --> 00:44:50,600
Speaker 1: And you know, Joe Schmaltz the street side, I know

814
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:52,640
Speaker 1: just as much as this guy who does this for

815
00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 1: a living. So it's one of those where I don't

816
00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:56,640
Speaker 1: want to be yelling at and but I come on

817
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 1: and I say, for my number one pick of my contests,

818
00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:02,000
Speaker 1: the char Justice, and we switched that went out. I

819
00:45:02,040 --> 00:45:04,240
Speaker 1: was heartbroken, but it's like, we don't know the future.

820
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:06,560
Speaker 1: We got unlucky with that Bucks one. But I hate

821
00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:09,040
Speaker 1: that we're so close to five and oh, but at

822
00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:11,160
Speaker 1: least you wanted to see it. So I'm really really excited.

823
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 1: I think we're only five and a half or six

824
00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:16,560
Speaker 1: back of the league, so we're halfway through. Boys, We're

825
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 1: doing really good. Yeah, I'm gonna stop. We should not

826
00:45:20,160 --> 00:45:22,759
Speaker 1: really talk too much during the games anymore because I

827
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 1: feel like I feel like I get too excited, and

828
00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:29,120
Speaker 1: you know, it's it's an it's nice camaraderie, but I

829
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 1: don't think it's worth it. When the football gods turned

830
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:35,600
Speaker 1: against me for doing for talking early, I don't think

831
00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:40,080
Speaker 1: I even realized, um that it was ravel who cost

832
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:44,440
Speaker 1: us that win. I did. Yeah, like as you said,

833
00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:46,839
Speaker 1: you texted back and you said not like, yeah, let's

834
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 1: drop the bucks and just keeop what we have. And

835
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 1: he he made me break down why I like the Chargers,

836
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:54,920
Speaker 1: and like I told him, it's just one of these spots.

837
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:57,040
Speaker 1: There's only a couple of years where it's a home

838
00:45:57,120 --> 00:46:03,160
Speaker 1: dog that's comfortable, like a solid team that's getting a

839
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:05,759
Speaker 1: left of percentage of the bet. So like in my mind,

840
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 1: I just didn't see the charters not covering that three now.

841
00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:11,760
Speaker 1: But like he said, he's the public. Any public person

842
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:13,879
Speaker 1: was in the Green Bay. That's that's how they fall

843
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 1: from traps. That that's the Vega sleeves. So that's that's

844
00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:19,040
Speaker 1: what's it's a part people like me that can just

845
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:22,239
Speaker 1: see see what Vegas is doing. And that's what like, like,

846
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,600
Speaker 1: this weekend was a huge weekend for me because I

847
00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:27,359
Speaker 1: love home dogs and I feel like almost every home

848
00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:29,400
Speaker 1: dog hit for me on the money line, so it

849
00:46:29,480 --> 00:46:33,880
Speaker 1: was a good week they did except for except for

850
00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:40,640
Speaker 1: the Giant Cardinals and the Cardinals, Yeah, that was really disappointing. Well, listen,

851
00:46:41,040 --> 00:46:43,359
Speaker 1: here's what we love so far, Simon. And by the way,

852
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 1: I have breaking news in the podcast. I'm just waiting

853
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:49,400
Speaker 1: on confirmation and I will announce it as soon as

854
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:53,160
Speaker 1: it's ready. But here's what we like so far. We

855
00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 1: love the Browns minus three against the Bills, and we

856
00:46:56,840 --> 00:47:04,000
Speaker 1: both love Miami plus ten against the Colts. And do

857
00:47:04,080 --> 00:47:06,320
Speaker 1: we know do we know yet if we sets playing

858
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:11,160
Speaker 1: in this um this game? We don't so uh. I

859
00:47:11,200 --> 00:47:13,239
Speaker 1: think we gotta wait until, like we can get a

860
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:15,040
Speaker 1: little bit closer and get the official lines and that

861
00:47:15,120 --> 00:47:18,239
Speaker 1: might help us make a decision. But even if playing

862
00:47:18,600 --> 00:47:21,359
Speaker 1: the line's gonna move to thirteen or fourteen, I'm still

863
00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:25,200
Speaker 1: gonna like the Dolphins in that spot. Yeah, I mean,

864
00:47:25,320 --> 00:47:26,839
Speaker 1: it's hard for me to talk to you guys off

865
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:29,480
Speaker 1: of that one. Um that define n feels like one

866
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:32,400
Speaker 1: of those let down spots for the Dolphins after the

867
00:47:32,480 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 1: first one of the season. But the Colts don't get

868
00:47:37,680 --> 00:47:39,920
Speaker 1: these clues. They make mistakes all along the way and

869
00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:45,440
Speaker 1: they keep teams close. I do like that Dolphins line, um,

870
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:47,680
Speaker 1: but it is interesting to see because it is like

871
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:49,719
Speaker 1: it is a nice little let down spot for them

872
00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:52,040
Speaker 1: after their first win. What do you have that model

873
00:47:52,120 --> 00:47:56,800
Speaker 1: that I like? I like the value, I gotta do it.

874
00:47:56,880 --> 00:48:00,200
Speaker 1: I think I got it at fourteen and I came

875
00:48:00,200 --> 00:48:02,960
Speaker 1: out I think fifteen, and then all the Sharks just

876
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:05,319
Speaker 1: hit it real quick and they took it off the

877
00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:07,960
Speaker 1: board and then they reopened it at this eleven. So

878
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:10,440
Speaker 1: I spoke they were getting good value because I'm I

879
00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:12,399
Speaker 1: readjusted it and I got it at ten, so we're

880
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:16,960
Speaker 1: getting a point of value. Um. But it's all. It's

881
00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:18,640
Speaker 1: all depends on the first that's gonna play or not.

882
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:20,640
Speaker 1: But I do like that bell from the slide and

883
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:24,160
Speaker 1: then with the Browns, that's that's a swanline by you guys.

884
00:48:24,160 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 1: So that's one of those where people are gonna be

885
00:48:27,200 --> 00:48:29,960
Speaker 1: hyping up the bills and Cleveland's coming in as a

886
00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:34,120
Speaker 1: wounded dog. Get didn't probably know. No one's probably betting

887
00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:37,560
Speaker 1: on Cleveland, especially after last Super last week. It wasn't

888
00:48:37,560 --> 00:48:39,720
Speaker 1: really in their fault. They're just walking into a bad spot.

889
00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:42,799
Speaker 1: It's cleven that there. They're a bad team. I'm not

890
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:45,160
Speaker 1: gonna lie like just watching them, they're just functional. They

891
00:48:45,160 --> 00:48:46,880
Speaker 1: don't look like they're having a good time. But this

892
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:49,799
Speaker 1: is a nice get lad spot for Cleveland. Um, but

893
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:53,080
Speaker 1: we can put that on a sidecas it's a tough

894
00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:54,680
Speaker 1: week where there's a bunch of teams on a boy.

895
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 1: But we have to always keep in mind ourselves. We

896
00:48:57,200 --> 00:48:59,879
Speaker 1: want to we want to back Cleveland. We do want

897
00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:02,359
Speaker 1: to back the way the way Baker looked, the way

898
00:49:02,400 --> 00:49:04,680
Speaker 1: Baker looked deaf for I mean, that was that was

899
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:08,879
Speaker 1: something else. I mean he I think he was doing that.

900
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:10,840
Speaker 1: He was doing that just a method you guys in

901
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:13,040
Speaker 1: the media. Man, that's how you like. That's how young

902
00:49:13,080 --> 00:49:14,840
Speaker 1: people are. They just they're just trying to screw with

903
00:49:14,920 --> 00:49:17,360
Speaker 1: you guys. But that was hilarious about him. Listen to

904
00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 1: fucking Simon Simon next like he's like, you know, a

905
00:49:20,080 --> 00:49:23,600
Speaker 1: media condoseur. Now he's on he's on one podcast and

906
00:49:23,640 --> 00:49:26,040
Speaker 1: he's like, yeah, the players are just messing with you

907
00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:30,759
Speaker 1: guys in the media. Simon here three times in one day,

908
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:35,040
Speaker 1: three times in one day, Simon, here's the two games

909
00:49:35,080 --> 00:49:40,759
Speaker 1: that we violently disagree on. I love the Bengals at

910
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:43,239
Speaker 1: plus nine and a half or ten. I love the

911
00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:46,520
Speaker 1: Saints at minus thirteen. Darren is on the opposite side

912
00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:52,120
Speaker 1: of both of those. I'm with you on both. I like, uh,

913
00:49:52,280 --> 00:49:58,040
Speaker 1: obviously I don't. I don't really see how you can

914
00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:00,440
Speaker 1: like Atlanta. What have they shown you that think they

915
00:50:00,440 --> 00:50:03,239
Speaker 1: can go? Indeed, the Saints off by one of the

916
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:07,239
Speaker 1: best defense is one of the best offenses. You're trying

917
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 1: to do, You're trying to do the sharp angle, but

918
00:50:10,160 --> 00:50:12,359
Speaker 1: I feel like the smart sharp size. Definitely that since

919
00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:16,160
Speaker 1: the game, like it's a nice smush like in between

920
00:50:16,600 --> 00:50:19,319
Speaker 1: the Ravens just beat the Patriots. They played this game

921
00:50:19,360 --> 00:50:22,160
Speaker 1: and then they come home to play the Texas. So

922
00:50:22,239 --> 00:50:24,000
Speaker 1: this this this fee is like a really good spot

923
00:50:24,040 --> 00:50:27,760
Speaker 1: for since to hear with the plus twn dude, right now,

924
00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:34,480
Speaker 1: we're basically going into this weekend loving Miami, Cleveland and Cincinnati. Darren,

925
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:37,200
Speaker 1: we have gone full sharp and you like the Saint.

926
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:39,160
Speaker 1: I mean, let's let's we like the Saints too, right,

927
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:43,960
Speaker 1: I like to Saints. Well this this week I actually

928
00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:47,239
Speaker 1: do like um, I do like more chalk Davids, Like

929
00:50:47,760 --> 00:50:51,200
Speaker 1: I really like. And it's like a weird thing because

930
00:50:51,239 --> 00:50:54,040
Speaker 1: everyone just saw Green Bay and dominative. I like Green

931
00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:57,320
Speaker 1: Bay coming home here playing Carolina after Caroline had a

932
00:50:57,360 --> 00:51:02,080
Speaker 1: big green big win. Because I know people everyone's stall

933
00:51:02,120 --> 00:51:05,080
Speaker 1: getting mccaffre turn VP and he's the real deal. But

934
00:51:05,440 --> 00:51:09,960
Speaker 1: I don't see this God Alan dueling with Aaron Rodgers

935
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:15,239
Speaker 1: in Green Bed in Lambeau. I like, like, what do

936
00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:19,160
Speaker 1: you have that power? Raided Simon. We're not getting crazy

937
00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:22,360
Speaker 1: value unfortunately. I mean I liked it that it was

938
00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:24,120
Speaker 1: four and a half. Now I'm seeing most folks with

939
00:51:24,160 --> 00:51:26,640
Speaker 1: that five. I got it a minus seven Green Bay.

940
00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:29,080
Speaker 1: So it's kind of like last week Redigos id Ego's

941
00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:31,600
Speaker 1: minus seven. It's the same exact kind of spot where

942
00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:34,200
Speaker 1: it's a home team. Getting there just shortened us a

943
00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:36,600
Speaker 1: little bit because people are thinking Caroline is a pretty

944
00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:39,440
Speaker 1: good team, where I just think they're a different team

945
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:42,040
Speaker 1: on the road. Jesus, you got it a minus seven?

946
00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:46,000
Speaker 1: Did you bet? In August? No? No, I'm saying that's

947
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:50,280
Speaker 1: what I got into my systems. I took the minus.

948
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:52,160
Speaker 1: I took the minus four and a half already, and

949
00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:54,200
Speaker 1: now we're teaming up to minus five. So other Sharks

950
00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:57,200
Speaker 1: must be hitting it too, all right, it's kind of

951
00:51:57,800 --> 00:51:59,439
Speaker 1: this is like this is a weird week where there

952
00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 1: there is a lot of like like they're sharp lines,

953
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:05,200
Speaker 1: but it's ones that's it's tough to take. Like the

954
00:52:05,320 --> 00:52:08,439
Speaker 1: Jets is a really smart spot this week. We don't

955
00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:11,120
Speaker 1: want to be taking the Jets. And another really sharp

956
00:52:11,200 --> 00:52:15,640
Speaker 1: smart spot is San frank where people are gonna be

957
00:52:15,680 --> 00:52:17,959
Speaker 1: looking at that and saying, wow, I'm getting six six

958
00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:22,799
Speaker 1: and a half with Russell Wilson. Why wouldn't you take that?

959
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:24,920
Speaker 1: Like if people are still thinking Sant frans and over

960
00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:27,160
Speaker 1: eighteen because they just saw Arizona come all the way

961
00:52:27,160 --> 00:52:30,680
Speaker 1: back on prime time against them, So I think you're

962
00:52:30,680 --> 00:52:34,920
Speaker 1: gonna actually getting value here on San Frank. I completely

963
00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:37,120
Speaker 1: agree with you. I was just saying a scooch in

964
00:52:37,160 --> 00:52:39,800
Speaker 1: the first half of the podcast. I like San Francisco

965
00:52:39,880 --> 00:52:45,800
Speaker 1: there a lot, Yeah, because like the Bucks once again Winston,

966
00:52:45,880 --> 00:52:49,200
Speaker 1: oh my god. But if if you just can put

967
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:51,319
Speaker 1: together one good game, they should have beat them by

968
00:52:51,320 --> 00:52:54,960
Speaker 1: fourteen points. So I think they're the biggest FRAUDULYN seven

969
00:52:54,960 --> 00:52:57,280
Speaker 1: and two team right now. Then them in the builds.

970
00:52:57,320 --> 00:52:59,960
Speaker 1: Their records don't really indicate what kind of team they are,

971
00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:03,640
Speaker 1: which is why I like the Browns. So yeah, that's

972
00:53:03,640 --> 00:53:05,200
Speaker 1: why I give you guys in the Browns ones. But

973
00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:08,399
Speaker 1: that's that's the tough little swallow this week are gonna

974
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:11,720
Speaker 1: kill ourselves. And we're like, wow, we're back to Browns

975
00:53:12,160 --> 00:53:14,640
Speaker 1: because we've been digging the browns. Bullet like you wanted

976
00:53:14,640 --> 00:53:16,319
Speaker 1: to take the Browns again last week and I talked

977
00:53:16,320 --> 00:53:19,120
Speaker 1: you off that ledge, thank God, But it's just should

978
00:53:19,120 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 1: we just stay we're here from the Browns. Wow, Let's

979
00:53:22,640 --> 00:53:25,719
Speaker 1: let's level set here. Let's say we like we don't

980
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:28,399
Speaker 1: have two hours. Yeah, let's say we like green Bay,

981
00:53:29,160 --> 00:53:35,680
Speaker 1: San Francisco. Let's say green Bay San Francisco, the Bengals

982
00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:41,200
Speaker 1: and the Science. No, what about Miami. Well, I'm kind

983
00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:43,200
Speaker 1: of convincing that letdown spot. But if you love them,

984
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:45,239
Speaker 1: what we can put them in there? How about green

985
00:53:45,280 --> 00:53:49,080
Speaker 1: Bay San Francisco, Bangles Miami? And then while we while

986
00:53:49,120 --> 00:53:51,160
Speaker 1: we put Miami's the switching for once we know what

987
00:53:51,200 --> 00:53:55,040
Speaker 1: the deals in the burst shut sign because I actually

988
00:53:55,160 --> 00:53:57,120
Speaker 1: I actually wasn't like I do I get it too,

989
00:53:57,120 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 1: because I like I like that number two? But alright,

990
00:54:01,600 --> 00:54:06,560
Speaker 1: green Bay San Francisco Bengals, Uh, simon, give us our

991
00:54:06,560 --> 00:54:08,759
Speaker 1: final two teams one of which will be switched out

992
00:54:08,760 --> 00:54:16,040
Speaker 1: if we like the Miami game. Gilliants, Come on, what

993
00:54:16,040 --> 00:54:22,760
Speaker 1: what were you thinking there? Giants? No? No, no, no, no, no.

994
00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:26,600
Speaker 1: I like I like the Jets there. Man, I know

995
00:54:26,719 --> 00:54:32,960
Speaker 1: they're they're horrible, They're absolutely horrible. But um I honestly

996
00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:34,680
Speaker 1: I like the one. I like the ones we have.

997
00:54:34,800 --> 00:54:38,359
Speaker 1: I said, we just keep we keep Miami's the other

998
00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:41,560
Speaker 1: the other games I'm looking at, I'm not getting the

999
00:54:41,600 --> 00:54:44,560
Speaker 1: crazy amount of value that like that. I would like

1000
00:54:44,560 --> 00:54:46,440
Speaker 1: to take am like the Cowboys minus through I have

1001
00:54:46,560 --> 00:54:49,560
Speaker 1: that line of minus story, but I do really like

1002
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:52,560
Speaker 1: the Cowboys in that spot. How about Green Bay, San

1003
00:54:52,600 --> 00:54:57,600
Speaker 1: Francisco Bengals Browns, and then we choose between Miami and

1004
00:54:57,640 --> 00:55:01,520
Speaker 1: the Saints depending on the line we see. Yeah, I

1005
00:55:01,600 --> 00:55:10,360
Speaker 1: like Daniel Yes, boys voice a lot of words, But

1006
00:55:10,400 --> 00:55:12,319
Speaker 1: hey man, it's any worth it if we're getting the money.

1007
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:14,840
Speaker 1: It's we got. We got. We got five games that

1008
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:16,719
Speaker 1: we like. We were four on one last week, three

1009
00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:18,879
Speaker 1: and two of the week before. We are playing. Well,

1010
00:55:19,520 --> 00:55:23,040
Speaker 1: I'm proud of you both. Simon Hunter Professional Better, Darren

1011
00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:27,080
Speaker 1: Revel Professional Fader. Everybody get ready to go check out

1012
00:55:27,120 --> 00:55:30,879
Speaker 1: Points Bet look for the promo code Fade revel Uh.

1013
00:55:30,960 --> 00:55:33,319
Speaker 1: You're gonna see some fun stuff and you're gonna get

1014
00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:36,880
Speaker 1: to get boosted odds in the game that Darren chooses.

1015
00:55:37,360 --> 00:55:40,960
Speaker 1: If you bet against him, you're getting significantly better value.

1016
00:55:41,200 --> 00:55:44,280
Speaker 1: This has been the favorites. Thank you, Thank you, Simon.

1017
00:55:44,360 --> 00:55:46,960
Speaker 1: This has been the favorite from the Action Network downloaded

1018
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:49,759
Speaker 1: Apple podcast. Don't forget you put a review in there

1019
00:55:49,760 --> 00:55:52,360
Speaker 1: that I like that I think is good. I'm sending

1020
00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:54,759
Speaker 1: you an Action Network Cittie. They are great hoodies. You've

1021
00:55:54,800 --> 00:55:58,080
Speaker 1: seen the pictures on the Twitter space. Downloaded from radio

1022
00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:01,719
Speaker 1: dot Com. Search for the favorites. Whatever you get your podcasts.

1023
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:11,839
Speaker 1: Until next time, I love you, Hm.