1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,320 Speaker 1: Let's talk about the bull market. 2 00:00:01,440 --> 00:00:02,279 Speaker 2: Is the bull market? 3 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:06,840 Speaker 1: Here? Are we in a bull market? And if so, 4 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: how long will it last? Yeah, it's just something that 5 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: we should look at because I guess Michael Wilson of 6 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:20,319 Speaker 1: Morgan Stanley states that his latest rally is a head 7 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 1: fake at forty two hundred level? Is he correct? 8 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 3: Or should we continue to buy at this level? 9 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 4: I mean I definitely wouldn't buy the S and P 10 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:32,520 Speaker 4: five hundred and forty two hundred flat or above because 11 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 4: it's a little bit too high. I like to like 12 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:36,559 Speaker 4: going back to the seven zel thing. I would like 13 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 4: to wait for discounts, but they're pushing us up higher. 14 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:43,160 Speaker 4: I mean the SMP opened up this year at thirty 15 00:00:43,200 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 4: nine or nine. We're at forty two sixteen some change. 16 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 4: And this is why I always say, like regardless of war, recession, election, scandal, 17 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 4: false positives like extinction level events that are being predicted, 18 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 4: they are all gonna find ways for the market to 19 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 4: go up. That like I always say, the market is 20 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 4: rid to go up, and because if not, the number 21 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 4: of people that will leave hedgephons and banks are it 22 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:14,760 Speaker 4: would bankrupt the country. So that they are gonna find ways. Now, 23 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 4: I don't like that there's only maybe thirty or forty 24 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 4: companies that are of incredible value to push this up, 25 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 4: and it's a lot of the mega caps pushing everything up. 26 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 4: But this bull market is here to stay now that 27 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 4: I always have said that the stock market is detached 28 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 4: from what's going on in the actual economy. There's two 29 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 4: different games. They're not a pure reflection of one another. 30 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 4: But yeah, the S and P is up. If I 31 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 4: look at NASDAK, NASDAK is. 32 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:42,040 Speaker 3: Growing too. 33 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 4: NAZDAC opened up at eleven thousand, ninety where thirteen forty one. 34 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 4: We'll talk about the Japanese market, but the NK opened 35 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 4: up at twenty five thousand, nine thirty five this year 36 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 4: were thirty one thousand. We're clearly in a bullmarket now 37 00:01:57,120 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 4: will stay. That depends on a few things, and this 38 00:02:00,640 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 4: debt crisis is one of them. But for right now 39 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 4: we are up and as stuck right now currently stuck. 40 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel like eight months ago we were talking 41 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 2: about what would twenty twenty three look like, when we 42 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: were talking about, well, we know that interest rates are 43 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 2: going to stop rising at some point, and I think 44 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 2: we might be there. 45 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 3: If we're not, this quarter will find it. At the 46 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 3: next FED meeting, we. 47 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 2: Saw inflation slow down, and I remember talking about earnings 48 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 2: and everybody was very skeptical about first quarters earnings and 49 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 2: second quarters earnings and how companies were losing money. And 50 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 2: we've pretty much seen a lot of companies. They didn't 51 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 2: They didn't lose too much. This episode is brought to 52 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 2: you by P and C Bank. 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These are just 88 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 5: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President 89 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 5: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christin Nohm, the United States 90 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 5: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border 91 00:04:56,480 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 5: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, or one 92 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 5: hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you were 93 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 5: here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly one 94 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 5: thousand dollars a day, imprisoned and deported, you will never return. 95 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:15,479 Speaker 5: But if you register using our CBP home app and 96 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,919 Speaker 5: leave now, you could be allowed to return legally. Do 97 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:24,159 Speaker 5: what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws, border 98 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 5: and families will be protected. 99 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 3: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security. 100 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 4: Well, we got to be honest about that. They revised, 101 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 4: God even Apple, let me. 102 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 3: Apple, Well Apple has as well. 103 00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:38,039 Speaker 2: They revised, but they still made nearly one hundred million 104 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 2: last quarter. 105 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 4: That's true, right, So and if I put into the 106 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 4: like the iPhone sales data now like when you count it. 107 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:47,240 Speaker 2: But even a company like Amazon, they did over one 108 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 2: hundred many. So, like when we're talked about a gross 109 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 2: pullback in some of these earnings data is because of 110 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 2: what inflation the impact that inflation had done in twenty 111 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,599 Speaker 2: twenty one, and we're looking at it, Is. 112 00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 3: It really as bad as we thought, it's my question? 113 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 2: Or did we over over try to anticipate something that 114 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:07,080 Speaker 2: was going to be extremely negative and it's not looking 115 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 2: that way. 116 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 4: Well, I'm gonna give a little I won't say pushback 117 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 4: with feedback. I'm gonna go back to the earlier thirty 118 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 4: of San Francisco. Real estate is currently vacant. I haven't 119 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:20,599 Speaker 4: got the numbers from New York, Chicago, and Miami. I 120 00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 4: would assume New York is probably at twenty percent commercial 121 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,920 Speaker 4: real estate. Yep, you think it's higher. 122 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:30,679 Speaker 3: I think they said twenty. 123 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I might might be more. 124 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 4: So in four or five major markets. That's correction territory. 125 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: Well, here's the thing. So the crazy thing is I 126 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:45,559 Speaker 1: live across the street from I live across the street 127 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 1: from an office building, a mall and an office building. 128 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:55,760 Speaker 3: You anybody in there? They're all vacant, even to anybody. 129 00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 3: Do I ever see anybody? I don't think I've ever 130 00:06:58,360 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 3: seen like the one across from. 131 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 1: All its building it used to be once COVID came. 132 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 1: I don't think they never really reopened it. But so 133 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 1: that's three that's three commercial properties that are vacant. 134 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 4: So I mean, I think it's a reflection. I think 135 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 4: the economy is a lot worse than what they're saying. 136 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 4: But I think they're playing the three card Monte game 137 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 4: like they're they're taking the companies that are doing incredibly 138 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 4: well overinflating some of the games in the stock market 139 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 4: to make it seem as if everything is stable when 140 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 4: the overall economy is not doing incredibly well. 141 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:34,239 Speaker 3: Yeah, the recession is secular. 142 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, And now, I mean based on what you're saying, 143 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 2: so like, and this is what Dave girls are saying too. 144 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 3: Real estate is on the commercial real estate is on 145 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:44,559 Speaker 3: the clock. 146 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 4: My graduates from my school being forced back drop drop, Mike, 147 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 4: drop back drop. 148 00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 5: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child 149 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 5: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador 150 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 5: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with 151 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 5: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just 152 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 5: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President 153 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 5: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States 154 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 5: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border 155 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 5: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over 156 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 5: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you 157 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 5: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly 158 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 5: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will 159 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 5: never return. But if you register using our CBP home 160 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 5: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally. 161 00:08:55,600 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 5: Do what's right, leave now. Under President Trump, America's law laws, 162 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 5: border and families will be protected. 163 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 3: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,