WEBVTT - Markets, Cannabis, And Rivian (Podcast)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside

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<v Speaker 1>my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring

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<v Speaker 1>you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along

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<v Speaker 1>with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast

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<v Speaker 1>on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. I want to bring

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<v Speaker 1>on Veronica Willis. She's a vice president investment strategy analysts

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<v Speaker 1>at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Franca, I'm guessing you're

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<v Speaker 1>having some I guess interesting calls with your clients here

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<v Speaker 1>as these markets sell off here and uh during this

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<v Speaker 1>first four and a half months of two gives a

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<v Speaker 1>sense of kind of what your clients are asking you

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<v Speaker 1>and maybe wait, wait what you're telling them? Absolutely, you're right.

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<v Speaker 1>We get calls all the time really concerned about inflation.

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<v Speaker 1>Have we seen the peak in inflation? What are we

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<v Speaker 1>expecting to happen with inflation? And then also, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>what should I do as a client when fox are

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<v Speaker 1>down and bonds are down together? Where can I go?

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<v Speaker 1>And so I'll kind of start off with looking at inflation.

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<v Speaker 1>It might be a little bit too early to tell

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<v Speaker 1>whether or not inflation is peeped. With cp I we

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<v Speaker 1>saw a little bit of a slowdown from the previous month.

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<v Speaker 1>The same with p p I, but both a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit higher than what analysts were expecting, and so that's

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<v Speaker 1>something we really want to watch really closely with those increases,

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<v Speaker 1>especially in the services areas where inflation might be a

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<v Speaker 1>little stickier than many of us expected. And so inflation

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<v Speaker 1>is something we're watching closely over the next eighteen months.

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<v Speaker 1>We think inflation can remain um above those long term

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<v Speaker 1>averages through three before sort of returning to more normalized level.

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<v Speaker 1>That's next year, Paul, I know where we're thinking about.

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<v Speaker 1>We're thinking about next year, and you know, we really

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<v Speaker 1>want to try the guy our clients to that longer

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<v Speaker 1>term perspective, especially if they're in longer term plans, to

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<v Speaker 1>not make rash decisions because of the short term volatility

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<v Speaker 1>and to really stick to that long term plan. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>recently in our vice, our allocation advice, we've brought a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit more neutral with our stocks. If you have

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<v Speaker 1>if you have a longer term perspective Veronica um and

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<v Speaker 1>you're worried about inflation that far out do you, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>start getting into stocks now, assuming you just hold out

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<v Speaker 1>or start adding to your position now if you've already

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<v Speaker 1>got it just because you have a longer term position. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>we've taken a lot of pain, but and and there

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<v Speaker 1>may be more to come. Um, but do you think

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<v Speaker 1>stocks are a good way to head against inflation? Absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>That's exactly what we've been telling our clients. If you've

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<v Speaker 1>got a targeted allocation to your equities, you want to

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<v Speaker 1>make sure that you are moving back into equities during

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<v Speaker 1>these down terms. If you're a long term investor, you

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<v Speaker 1>really want to make sure that you've got that allocation

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<v Speaker 1>set up the way that you intended it so that

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<v Speaker 1>when markets start to recover, you're able to recover quickly

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<v Speaker 1>and not be over allocated in the less risky areas

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<v Speaker 1>like bonds. And it's hard to weather that short term volatility,

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<v Speaker 1>but if you're thinking out to that long term, you've

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<v Speaker 1>got to keep that perspective and make sure that that

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<v Speaker 1>allocation is set up so that you can, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>recover quickly when markets eventually upswing right and Veronica, what's

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<v Speaker 1>the Wells Fargo economic call? Are you guys calling for

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<v Speaker 1>a recession? Because I'm sure you know a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>folks are concerned that maybe this federal reserve may go

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<v Speaker 1>a little too fast, too quickly, and in fact push

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<v Speaker 1>this economy into a recession. What do you guys think

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<v Speaker 1>about that? Here in the US, we are expecting economic

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<v Speaker 1>growth this year um and economic growth next year, but

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<v Speaker 1>at lower levels than what we were expecting before. So

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<v Speaker 1>our base case is slowing economic growth, but we're acknowledging

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<v Speaker 1>that the risks of the recession are rising. It's something

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<v Speaker 1>that we're watching very closely, especially looking at the consumer

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<v Speaker 1>spending data. That's something we'll be watching very closely. We've

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<v Speaker 1>seen weakening consumer sentiment not yet spill over into weakening

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<v Speaker 1>weaker consumer spending, but that's something that we're keeping a

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<v Speaker 1>close eye on because that's a huge driver for the U.

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<v Speaker 1>S economy. What do you think about the moves that

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen in crypto? How much does it matter to

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<v Speaker 1>you know, real investors, to to your clients, um, because

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<v Speaker 1>they're making huge headlines and it's like watching a train

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<v Speaker 1>wreck here in slow motion, but we're not seeing much

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<v Speaker 1>contagion into the you know, playing vanilla uh financial assets

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<v Speaker 1>right now, we don't have any kind of recommended allocations

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<v Speaker 1>in crypto, and so we kind of guide our investors towards,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a stock bond and then if you've got

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<v Speaker 1>exposure in real assets you like um commodities right now

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<v Speaker 1>in the longer term perspective, and so that's sort of

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<v Speaker 1>where we're kind of guiding our clients towards those types

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<v Speaker 1>of assets as opposed to something like crypto. N I

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<v Speaker 1>guess a lot of folks are saying, you know, stagflation

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<v Speaker 1>is probably the bigger risk than recession. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>so we got you got inflation, which we do. You

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<v Speaker 1>have slowing growth with which we do. Is that something

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<v Speaker 1>that you're talking to your clients about. It's it's a

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<v Speaker 1>question we've gotten sometimes just what will you know the

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<v Speaker 1>slow growth and this higher inflation. Mean, we do recognize

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<v Speaker 1>that inflation should remain higher than are those longer term

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<v Speaker 1>averages in the near term, but we are expecting it

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<v Speaker 1>to slow. So it's a risk, but it's not our

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<v Speaker 1>our basic case, it's not our base risk that we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing right now. We're a little bit more concerned about

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<v Speaker 1>the flowing and economic growth. All right, ron Kay, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much for joining us. Appreciate getting your thoughts

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<v Speaker 1>here on these markets. Ronica willis investment strategy analyst at

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<v Speaker 1>Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Check out with Robert Teater, head

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<v Speaker 1>of Investment Policy and Strategy Group at Silver Crest Asset Management. Robert,

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<v Speaker 1>you know in the wall of worry that is out there,

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<v Speaker 1>there are increasing number of bricks here, most recently, I guess,

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<v Speaker 1>geopolitical risk. Are there any positive science out there that

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<v Speaker 1>might support this market at some point? I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>a great question. There are a massive number of bricks

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<v Speaker 1>in that wall of worry. I think most of them

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<v Speaker 1>have been reasonably well factored into the market here. In

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<v Speaker 1>other words, they're pretty well known. But I think the

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<v Speaker 1>most important item to crack some of this downside momentum

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<v Speaker 1>is is solving some of those problems and solving some

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<v Speaker 1>of those bricks. And the and the most important of

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<v Speaker 1>all the bricks, of course, is inflation. And so that's

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<v Speaker 1>where we take a bit of a deeper. I've and say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, what's going on with these metrics and inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>and are we starting to see some glimmers of hope?

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<v Speaker 1>And I think we are, and so hopefully that will

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<v Speaker 1>start to be reflected going forward in prices. Where are

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<v Speaker 1>you seeing glimmers of hope? Yes, there there aren't a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>So from the very beginning of the inflation problem, we've

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<v Speaker 1>asked ourselves three questions, which is inflation, is its spiking,

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<v Speaker 1>is it's spreading, and is it's sticking around? Clearly, it's

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<v Speaker 1>been sticking around for a long time. It has spiked

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<v Speaker 1>quite a bit, although perhaps it's starting to slow a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit as the month over month eatings have come

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<v Speaker 1>in just a little bit lighter than prior months. And

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<v Speaker 1>then to the question of is it's spreading, We've done

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<v Speaker 1>some analysis around all the categories within c p I,

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<v Speaker 1>looking at where they sit versus their three year pre

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<v Speaker 1>COVID average, and we've seen a slight decline in the

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<v Speaker 1>number of categories that are showing inflation above that prior

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<v Speaker 1>historical average. It's only slight, so you know, there's still

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<v Speaker 1>seventy categories above the three year average, but that's down

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<v Speaker 1>from in prior months. So we'll see if this trend

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<v Speaker 1>continues a little bit for inflation at least perhapsing and

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<v Speaker 1>maybe easing a little bit in coming months. Robert, are

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<v Speaker 1>you are you in the camp that believes that the

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<v Speaker 1>federal reserve can materially rain in inflation. I'm not sure

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<v Speaker 1>i am, because it just feels like it's so much

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<v Speaker 1>more supply side driven to the all the supply chain

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<v Speaker 1>challenges that have developed over the actual economy. Though, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that'll do it, but that's not we're looking for. How

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<v Speaker 1>do you think about the FEDS ability, Robert to to

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<v Speaker 1>kind of get a handle on inflation, right that and

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<v Speaker 1>that is the blunt tool instrument, and I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>partially what investors are starting to worry about here. Like you,

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<v Speaker 1>I share the view that inflation is a pretty complex

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<v Speaker 1>problem here. A lot of it is related to supply

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<v Speaker 1>chains and whack the mole problems and a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>different things going on um Clearly, one area though, where

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<v Speaker 1>the rate hikes transmit pretty quickly is in the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that you know, we've seen rates of all types go

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<v Speaker 1>up pretty quickly, especially for things like mortgages, and with

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<v Speaker 1>housing being a big part of cp I, that will

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<v Speaker 1>hopefully start to moderate some of the price increases that

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing in the housing market and transmit to a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit more stability and pricing overall. But as for

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<v Speaker 1>the other increases, those are related to a lot of problem,

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<v Speaker 1>solve thing that needs to go on industry by industry.

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<v Speaker 1>So what is an investor to do right now? Especially

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<v Speaker 1>if UM we are in a position where markets are

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<v Speaker 1>going to just sure and lower and lower UM. Where

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<v Speaker 1>where does an investor go? Well, I think one of

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<v Speaker 1>the things here that's really important is to try to

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<v Speaker 1>focus on time horizon and that's not easy to do

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<v Speaker 1>when markets are sometimes going up and down three, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>one day after the other. But I think it is

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<v Speaker 1>really these are going down three one day after the other.

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<v Speaker 1>They have been and there's been there's been a few

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<v Speaker 1>that have been up. But I agree it is a

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<v Speaker 1>very choppy environment and I think it's I think it

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<v Speaker 1>is likely to stay that way. It's not an easy

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<v Speaker 1>environment to make some changes in though, because I do

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<v Speaker 1>think that the longer term fundamental backdrop is still pretty sound.

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<v Speaker 1>So forecast for the economy are still for pretty decent

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<v Speaker 1>growth New York FED at at four percent or so,

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<v Speaker 1>Earnings came in pretty solid this quarter, and the outlook

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<v Speaker 1>going forward is pretty solid. So I think the underlying

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<v Speaker 1>fundamental picture is still very decent, if not good, But

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<v Speaker 1>it's in this macro environment that's been very difficult and

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<v Speaker 1>The challenge there of is we don't know the timeline

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<v Speaker 1>exactly when those problems will change, but when they do,

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<v Speaker 1>those clouds will start parting. And I think what we

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<v Speaker 1>see behind it is is a pretty good backdrop again

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<v Speaker 1>for the economy and earnings. Is it even worth your

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<v Speaker 1>time and analysis and investors time and analysis to try

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<v Speaker 1>to get a sense of where the bottom is? Are

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<v Speaker 1>there any valuation calls to be made? Is there a

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<v Speaker 1>volume call to be made where you say, Okay, this

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<v Speaker 1>feels like the bottom. Yeah, that's never easy to do.

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<v Speaker 1>Certainly evaluations come in quite a bit, so that's a

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<v Speaker 1>bit compelling. Um. I think sentiment has gotten to the

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<v Speaker 1>sort of maximum awfulness, So that's potentially another sign that

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<v Speaker 1>we could be nearing a bottom. And the thing that

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<v Speaker 1>I'm really looking for is when do we see any

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<v Speaker 1>change in the things that have caused the momentum to

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<v Speaker 1>the downside to really build? And again, in my mind,

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<v Speaker 1>there's really only two ways to break that downside momentum.

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<v Speaker 1>One is to see some improvement in inflation, the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>brick in the in the wall of where as he

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<v Speaker 1>were saying, And the second would be if we get

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<v Speaker 1>the passage of time and a little bit of stability,

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<v Speaker 1>and investors again are allowed to you know, enabled to

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<v Speaker 1>look forward a bit and look at the picture that's

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<v Speaker 1>headed over the next six quarters or so when we

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<v Speaker 1>think the earnings backdrop is good. So either of those

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<v Speaker 1>two things I think would turn the tide of it.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a pretty challenging and unpredictable environment right now. Do

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<v Speaker 1>you like any alternative assets? I mean, with your hedge

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<v Speaker 1>fund history, where are you hedging? Yeah, no, that's a

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<v Speaker 1>good question. It should be a good environment for a

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<v Speaker 1>number of different types of alternative investments, partly because of

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<v Speaker 1>the time horizon function and partly because of the ability

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<v Speaker 1>to hedge out some market risk. We do think that

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<v Speaker 1>stock selection plays a really key role here, So strategies

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<v Speaker 1>like long short equity or active equity management on the

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<v Speaker 1>on the public market side, um, we like a lot

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<v Speaker 1>because we think again that problem solving is happening industry

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<v Speaker 1>by industry, company by company having to deal with the

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<v Speaker 1>myriad of issues that have come up as a result

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<v Speaker 1>of COVID and supply chain challenges and staffing challenges, and

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<v Speaker 1>we could go on and on with the challenges, but

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<v Speaker 1>companies solving those, we think sets up very well for

0:11:50.800 --> 0:11:53.480
<v Speaker 1>stock selection here, all right, Robert here, thank you so

0:11:53.559 --> 0:11:56.160
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us. Good good stuff there, Robert Teeter,

0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:58.640
<v Speaker 1>head of Investment Policy and Strategy Group of Silver Crust

0:11:58.679 --> 0:12:05.120
<v Speaker 1>Asset Management. Now, let's get to marijuana. Kim Rivers joins

0:12:05.240 --> 0:12:10.160
<v Speaker 1>us chair and CEO over at true leave UM and

0:12:10.920 --> 0:12:14.840
<v Speaker 1>can tell us, first of all, what exactly you're doing

0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:18.719
<v Speaker 1>in the industry. You're growing? Are you an intermediary? Are

0:12:18.720 --> 0:12:23.760
<v Speaker 1>you selling? What's true leave do sure So truly is

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:27.160
<v Speaker 1>a multi space operator. We operate in eleven markets across

0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:31.120
<v Speaker 1>the US. We have a very large fut print with

0:12:31.360 --> 0:12:33.640
<v Speaker 1>the largest retail supprint of a hundred and sixty five

0:12:33.679 --> 0:12:37.400
<v Speaker 1>retail locations and over four million square feet of cultivation

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:41.000
<v Speaker 1>and processing, which allows us at the scale to manufacture

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:45.360
<v Speaker 1>over SKUs that we distribute through both retail and wholesale channels.

0:12:45.400 --> 0:12:49.520
<v Speaker 1>All right, So, to me, the most interesting thing complex

0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:53.599
<v Speaker 1>and difficult in the cannabis industry right now is UM

0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:59.280
<v Speaker 1>identifying strains and translating that to the consumer. I just

0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:03.600
<v Speaker 1>watched eight documentary CBD Nation and talked about UM, the

0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 1>fact that certain strains can shrink tumors, fight Alzheimer's. UM

0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:11.360
<v Speaker 1>do all these amazing things, but you've got to have

0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:15.320
<v Speaker 1>the right ratio of THHC to cb D as well

0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:19.360
<v Speaker 1>as the right turpenes um and it gets so difficult.

0:13:19.440 --> 0:13:22.440
<v Speaker 1>How do you do that? Yeah, well we think that

0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:26.320
<v Speaker 1>obviously communication through brand is uh, you know where the

0:13:26.360 --> 0:13:30.040
<v Speaker 1>future of cannabis and certainly something that we're very focused on. UM.

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:32.880
<v Speaker 1>You're speaking about, you know, both ratio in terms of

0:13:33.200 --> 0:13:36.400
<v Speaker 1>different CANNABINALT components of products. There's a lot of work

0:13:36.480 --> 0:13:37.880
<v Speaker 1>and we're doing a lot of work right now on

0:13:37.960 --> 0:13:41.520
<v Speaker 1>the R and D space around UM, you know, formulations

0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:45.040
<v Speaker 1>of specific products to address specific concerns. But really it

0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:48.560
<v Speaker 1>comes down to you know, basic brand building and basic

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:53.920
<v Speaker 1>basic communication and matching brands UM with needs skates across

0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:57.280
<v Speaker 1>markets at the correct value propositions. So UM, you know,

0:13:57.360 --> 0:14:00.400
<v Speaker 1>certainly there's exciting work that's going on in the annabis

0:14:00.400 --> 0:14:02.640
<v Speaker 1>arena UM and we're we're friend and center in that

0:14:02.720 --> 0:14:06.320
<v Speaker 1>work across That's just what we're doing in our eleven markets.

0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:09.000
<v Speaker 1>So what are the brands UM out there. I'm not

0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:11.600
<v Speaker 1>as familiar with the flower as I am with the edibles,

0:14:11.640 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 1>but you've got conna Um, You've got plus you've got

0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:18.199
<v Speaker 1>Kiva that are big players. What brands are you are

0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:22.160
<v Speaker 1>you running? Yeah? So I mean on the edible front, right,

0:14:22.160 --> 0:14:24.240
<v Speaker 1>we have we have see Talk that we run in house.

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:27.920
<v Speaker 1>We launched that that suite of products UM earlier this

0:14:28.000 --> 0:14:31.680
<v Speaker 1>year across UM again across our home markets. We also

0:14:31.760 --> 0:14:35.480
<v Speaker 1>have a brand partnership with with Banging in the edible space. Uh.

0:14:35.640 --> 0:14:38.000
<v Speaker 1>When we look at our wellness, health and wellness brands,

0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:42.000
<v Speaker 1>we have Momenta Ethanson who is the Survivor winner and

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:45.360
<v Speaker 1>just completed the Boston Marathon as a brand ambassador for US. Uh.

0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:48.400
<v Speaker 1>He actually completed the Boston Marathon utilizing our products as

0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:51.120
<v Speaker 1>part of his regimen. Uh, so that was very exciting.

0:14:51.720 --> 0:14:54.360
<v Speaker 1>We have, certainly on the flower side, our premium flower

0:14:54.440 --> 0:14:58.160
<v Speaker 1>Strange Streams are cult of our collection which have to

0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:02.360
<v Speaker 1>your point communicated benefits of higher level PC but also

0:15:02.440 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>a higher level of turpene and flavonoid profiles which have

0:15:05.920 --> 0:15:09.400
<v Speaker 1>been very very well adopted in our markets. So again

0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 1>it's important to have brands across segments. Muses our our

0:15:12.840 --> 0:15:16.560
<v Speaker 1>concentrate line again for folks who who are are concentrate

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:20.400
<v Speaker 1>users UM and you know it's UM. We've got also

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:23.160
<v Speaker 1>a partner with Blue River, which is a solventless company

0:15:23.520 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 1>who's doing some exciting work on the solventless side of things.

0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:29.120
<v Speaker 1>But um, really I would stay going back to edibles.

0:15:29.160 --> 0:15:30.960
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that we've really been focused on

0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:34.160
<v Speaker 1>in edibles is not only, of course, great tasting products

0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:38.480
<v Speaker 1>UM that are consistent, but also adding in additional nanoformulations

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:42.400
<v Speaker 1>fast act. Yeah. Act. That's the key, Paul, because you

0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:44.320
<v Speaker 1>don't want to you don't want to take an edible

0:15:44.440 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 1>and think, like a half hour later, this isn't working.

0:15:47.480 --> 0:15:50.760
<v Speaker 1>Then you eat another one only to realize that was

0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 1>too much. Right, So the key this nanotechnology. So what's

0:15:54.560 --> 0:15:57.280
<v Speaker 1>the key again, I'm ready. There's a nanotechnology that helps

0:15:57.280 --> 0:15:59.680
<v Speaker 1>it helps you get hit, get get the hit of

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:02.520
<v Speaker 1>its master so that you know, you know how your

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:07.800
<v Speaker 1>dose should be exactly. Hey Kim, where are we with

0:16:08.080 --> 0:16:13.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of the state by state cannabis legislation? How broad

0:16:13.080 --> 0:16:19.440
<v Speaker 1>is this? Like? How many states can cannabis be recreational sold? Uh? So,

0:16:19.560 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean currently recreational cannabis UM is available UM in

0:16:24.360 --> 0:16:26.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, less than half of the states, but that's

0:16:26.440 --> 0:16:29.360
<v Speaker 1>certainly increasing and we expect to increase that to increase

0:16:29.400 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 1>over time. We've got large parts of the country, particularly

0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:35.080
<v Speaker 1>in the southeast, and then uh, you know, the the

0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:38.240
<v Speaker 1>central part of the country that have yet to adopt

0:16:38.320 --> 0:16:42.080
<v Speaker 1>medical programs. Um. So you know, typical lifecycle of cannabis

0:16:42.120 --> 0:16:45.000
<v Speaker 1>adoption and the state is to lead with a medical

0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:49.000
<v Speaker 1>program that oftentimes is restrictive on the front side and

0:16:49.000 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 1>then develops over time into a more lenient and then

0:16:52.680 --> 0:16:55.640
<v Speaker 1>finally an adult use market. And certainly that's the pattern

0:16:55.680 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 1>that we've seen. Yeah, across it's all going there. It's

0:16:59.800 --> 0:17:01.840
<v Speaker 1>just it's a matter of time. Where are you on

0:17:01.880 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the Sativa versus Indica debate, because well, we've got to

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:07.160
<v Speaker 1>define that, Okay. So there's a lot of people who

0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:11.080
<v Speaker 1>swear by sativa versus Indica, saying the former gives you

0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:13.680
<v Speaker 1>like a nice head buzz, it'll get you energetic, maybe

0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:15.919
<v Speaker 1>a little pressure behind the eyes, but you can be

0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 1>really creative and get things done, whereas indica is like

0:17:19.320 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 1>a couch high. It's a body high. It'll help you sleep,

0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:27.000
<v Speaker 1>you know. Um. But then some people say that differentiator

0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:32.080
<v Speaker 1>isn't necessarily reliable. What do you think, Kim, Well, I mean,

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:34.320
<v Speaker 1>I think and again it all comes down to the

0:17:34.400 --> 0:17:37.159
<v Speaker 1>science and and really I mean the science and indicate

0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:40.440
<v Speaker 1>sitiva are are labels that that have developed over time

0:17:40.480 --> 0:17:45.520
<v Speaker 1>as just a simplified indicator on how certain strings typically

0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:48.119
<v Speaker 1>affect folks. UM. But really it does come down to

0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:51.960
<v Speaker 1>UM again the terp turpine profile UM and in the

0:17:52.000 --> 0:17:55.040
<v Speaker 1>genetics of that particular plant UM, which again is why

0:17:55.080 --> 0:17:58.280
<v Speaker 1>we think there is such an opportunity for clear communication

0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:01.359
<v Speaker 1>UM in branding in this in the space. So you know,

0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:03.480
<v Speaker 1>I think that looks to tiva indica serve as a

0:18:03.600 --> 0:18:06.679
<v Speaker 1>as a you know, a decent indicator so that folks

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:09.600
<v Speaker 1>can make at least an informed UM informed decision, but

0:18:10.040 --> 0:18:12.439
<v Speaker 1>really as just like just like with wine or with

0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:16.439
<v Speaker 1>other other products, that folks become more sophisticated. We find

0:18:16.480 --> 0:18:18.600
<v Speaker 1>that UM, you know, instead of just focusing on those

0:18:18.680 --> 0:18:22.720
<v Speaker 1>labels UH there instead you know, gravitating more towards understanding

0:18:22.720 --> 0:18:26.480
<v Speaker 1>what the underlying UM, you know, components of that particular product,

0:18:26.560 --> 0:18:29.040
<v Speaker 1>all about the turps. I think that's the key, you know,

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:31.600
<v Speaker 1>and the science there's still a long way to go

0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:35.480
<v Speaker 1>in terms of identifying the turpins and figuring out what

0:18:35.520 --> 0:18:40.920
<v Speaker 1>they do, UM, what mixtures UH result in in which affects.

0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:44.640
<v Speaker 1>I think it's just so fascinating UM you're the extra.

0:18:44.720 --> 0:18:49.439
<v Speaker 1>I'm learning him. Are you high right right now? No?

0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:53.280
<v Speaker 1>I just said earning, so m my my, now I am.

0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:55.320
<v Speaker 1>I have been if you can tell my throat I have.

0:18:55.640 --> 0:18:58.280
<v Speaker 1>I have been kind of pounding some uh let's see

0:18:58.280 --> 0:19:01.720
<v Speaker 1>throat coat tea and some big cuill over here. But

0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:04.959
<v Speaker 1>sometimes if you're congested, maybe just a little bit of

0:19:05.720 --> 0:19:08.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, just just one little hit can can dry

0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:10.640
<v Speaker 1>you up right away, right away. All right, Kim Rivers,

0:19:10.680 --> 0:19:12.680
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for joining us. Kim Rivers chair

0:19:12.680 --> 0:19:15.000
<v Speaker 1>and CEO of Truly It is a publican trade stock.

0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:23.159
<v Speaker 1>T c n n F is the ticker. Ed Ludlow

0:19:23.200 --> 0:19:26.560
<v Speaker 1>is also in San Francisco, UM and he is basically

0:19:26.640 --> 0:19:32.040
<v Speaker 1>our kind of evies reporter rocket ships. He's the rocket guy. UM.

0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:34.560
<v Speaker 1>He really covers all the Silicon Valley like tech stuff.

0:19:34.920 --> 0:19:39.119
<v Speaker 1>And what about weed? Do you ever indulge? I do

0:19:39.240 --> 0:19:44.199
<v Speaker 1>not cover that industry and I do not indulge, but

0:19:45.440 --> 0:19:48.359
<v Speaker 1>in California many people do. And that's do we have

0:19:48.400 --> 0:19:50.760
<v Speaker 1>a dedicated before we get to riving, because that's why

0:19:50.800 --> 0:19:53.479
<v Speaker 1>do we have a dedicated weed reporter. We do. Tiffany

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:56.080
<v Speaker 1>Carry and I really recommend you follow her on Twitter

0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:58.320
<v Speaker 1>and on the Bloomberg terminal for all of her reporting.

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:00.800
<v Speaker 1>All right, I'm in let's get to Ribbyan right now,

0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:04.680
<v Speaker 1>because um, I was not only UM was I reading

0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:08.600
<v Speaker 1>the stories yesterday and following very closely, especially because I'm

0:20:08.640 --> 0:20:12.600
<v Speaker 1>sure you saw that Folkswagen is bringing back the International Scout. Yes,

0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:14.880
<v Speaker 1>and it looks a heck of a lot like a Ribban.

0:20:16.200 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 1>It kind of does, isn't it. Yeah, And it's electric.

0:20:18.840 --> 0:20:21.480
<v Speaker 1>It'll be a direct competitor UM to that, and the

0:20:21.520 --> 0:20:25.080
<v Speaker 1>Bronco went for it. Finally electrifies the Bronco. Why didn't

0:20:25.080 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>bring that one out electric first? I'll never understand. But

0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:30.720
<v Speaker 1>Ribbyan did pretty well. And I saw an analyst quote

0:20:30.880 --> 0:20:33.080
<v Speaker 1>UM at a Wells Fargo calm Lange, and I thought

0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:36.000
<v Speaker 1>was really good. He said, no, bad news is sometimes

0:20:36.040 --> 0:20:41.440
<v Speaker 1>good news. Yeah. I mean, that's basically the perfect sum

0:20:41.480 --> 0:20:44.840
<v Speaker 1>of the earnings that nothing really happened. You know. They

0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:48.720
<v Speaker 1>reaffirmed guidance for the year they'll build twenty five thousand evs.

0:20:48.760 --> 0:20:51.880
<v Speaker 1>That was already essentially a cut forecast of the year

0:20:51.960 --> 0:20:55.679
<v Speaker 1>because the factory on paper was capable of doing fifty

0:20:55.760 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>thousand this year and supply chain problems part shortages. Um,

0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:04.520
<v Speaker 1>But you know this is a company that's fledgling. Right.

0:21:05.240 --> 0:21:08.160
<v Speaker 1>We've been so caught up in the equity story where

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:10.399
<v Speaker 1>the stocks fallen from a hundred and seventy two dollars

0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:12.560
<v Speaker 1>a share in November following the I p O to

0:21:12.720 --> 0:21:16.199
<v Speaker 1>around dollars a share that we forget. It's just a

0:21:16.200 --> 0:21:19.320
<v Speaker 1>fledgling company trying to get off the ground. So it

0:21:19.440 --> 0:21:22.359
<v Speaker 1>is is there still again judging by the start press

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:25.880
<v Speaker 1>you just mentioned here, we're down sev year to date, right,

0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:27.880
<v Speaker 1>I guess there's real concern about it. This is an

0:21:27.880 --> 0:21:32.000
<v Speaker 1>ongoing concern whether they can actually make enough cars to

0:21:32.040 --> 0:21:35.680
<v Speaker 1>turn a profit. We've we've really been debating this um

0:21:35.720 --> 0:21:39.000
<v Speaker 1>in the team today because not all EV makers or

0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:41.560
<v Speaker 1>would be ey makers are equal, right, you know, Rivian,

0:21:41.880 --> 0:21:45.119
<v Speaker 1>I've been inside the factory. It's real. You know, they

0:21:45.359 --> 0:21:49.840
<v Speaker 1>produced around twenty vehicles in the quarter. They've built five

0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:54.800
<v Speaker 1>thousand of them since starting production in September. They are

0:21:54.880 --> 0:21:59.119
<v Speaker 1>supply constrained, right, That demand vastly outweighs their ability to build.

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 1>But their ability to build is also constrained by part shastages.

0:22:02.320 --> 0:22:04.360
<v Speaker 1>And the message from management on the cool was very

0:22:04.440 --> 0:22:08.200
<v Speaker 1>much it's improving and and they're having to go cap

0:22:08.200 --> 0:22:11.440
<v Speaker 1>in hand right to their suppliers and say we're ready

0:22:11.480 --> 0:22:13.399
<v Speaker 1>to build vehicles. You guys just have to give us

0:22:13.400 --> 0:22:16.920
<v Speaker 1>the parts, because when you're a small player, you don't

0:22:16.920 --> 0:22:19.400
<v Speaker 1>have that leverage of scale that say a Tesla has

0:22:19.480 --> 0:22:21.960
<v Speaker 1>or a GM or Ford has to put pressure on

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:24.560
<v Speaker 1>supplies to make them come up with the goods. By

0:22:24.560 --> 0:22:29.080
<v Speaker 1>the way, your your wedding is coming up. If I decided, listen,

0:22:29.119 --> 0:22:32.159
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna give breaking News a Rivian for his wedding,

0:22:32.880 --> 0:22:36.320
<v Speaker 1>UM and I put in the order today, would I

0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:39.359
<v Speaker 1>get the truck and time? No? Not even close. So

0:22:39.359 --> 0:22:44.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean we're talking. That's a generous offer. By the way, Matt,

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 1>you know my better half, she's very much thinking about

0:22:48.320 --> 0:22:51.240
<v Speaker 1>a future home and sort of kitchen where but if

0:22:51.280 --> 0:22:53.200
<v Speaker 1>a Rivian would be good. But this is the story.

0:22:53.760 --> 0:22:56.720
<v Speaker 1>You know that it's a one or two year waiting list.

0:22:56.760 --> 0:22:59.200
<v Speaker 1>It's exactly and it's one or two you're waiting list

0:22:59.240 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 1>for an expense SA products. They've already raised prices, right,

0:23:02.200 --> 0:23:04.840
<v Speaker 1>and they've actually come out and said subsequently that we

0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:07.399
<v Speaker 1>can't actually guarantee the price. Now, how much is a

0:23:07.400 --> 0:23:10.199
<v Speaker 1>conservatively built I'm sure you've been on the configurator and

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 1>put together your dream riving and how much is it

0:23:12.000 --> 0:23:17.160
<v Speaker 1>a conservatively built truck dollars? Basically, Yeah, it's a lot,

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:20.280
<v Speaker 1>isn't it. And especially if you're gonna wait by that time,

0:23:20.800 --> 0:23:23.320
<v Speaker 1>you'd imagine that Ford with the F one fifty might

0:23:23.440 --> 0:23:28.280
<v Speaker 1>use that opportunity to to scale quicker and offer a

0:23:28.320 --> 0:23:30.800
<v Speaker 1>lower end product similar price point though, by the way,

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:34.480
<v Speaker 1>because I've I've configured my F one fifty lightning on

0:23:34.520 --> 0:23:39.200
<v Speaker 1>the website and I also get to eight or ninety's

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:44.200
<v Speaker 1>and that's without putting on the rooftop tent and um

0:23:44.240 --> 0:23:46.640
<v Speaker 1>I got the tunnel grill. I mean, there's so many

0:23:46.680 --> 0:23:51.000
<v Speaker 1>cool things, especially that you can add to ominal fashioned stock.

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:53.320
<v Speaker 1>Guy when I buy an imp and I see, uh,

0:23:53.720 --> 0:23:56.119
<v Speaker 1>you know some of these big big insider self stock

0:23:56.359 --> 0:23:58.560
<v Speaker 1>like day one when they're when when they can, like

0:23:58.600 --> 0:24:00.680
<v Speaker 1>in this case, forward and shaping work and sold the

0:24:00.760 --> 0:24:03.600
<v Speaker 1>ribbyan staff. What does the company say about that? Yeah,

0:24:03.640 --> 0:24:07.399
<v Speaker 1>they they're sanguine about it. I mean, you raise a

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:08.800
<v Speaker 1>really good point. A lot of the pressure on this

0:24:08.840 --> 0:24:11.240
<v Speaker 1>stock in recent weeks has been the lock up expiry, right,

0:24:11.359 --> 0:24:14.440
<v Speaker 1>and this was a blockbuster ip O. Remind your listeners

0:24:14.480 --> 0:24:16.800
<v Speaker 1>six biggest I p O in in US history, the

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 1>biggest one at a time where it was still revenue

0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:24.439
<v Speaker 1>still distant volume revenue sales were actually soften. They expecting

0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:27.560
<v Speaker 1>this quarter had just gone, Um, how do you valueate?

0:24:27.640 --> 0:24:30.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean on the cool Adam Jonas of Morgan Sanley,

0:24:30.040 --> 0:24:32.240
<v Speaker 1>who you guys are familiar with, he was really fixated

0:24:32.240 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>on enterprise value. Superstar car analyst, right, superstar car analyst.

0:24:36.400 --> 0:24:39.080
<v Speaker 1>And he was like, guys, the market has no patients

0:24:39.520 --> 0:24:42.880
<v Speaker 1>for companies like yours who are burning through cash. Ribbyan's

0:24:42.920 --> 0:24:44.960
<v Speaker 1>point is, well, we are burning through cash, but we

0:24:45.000 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 1>have seventeen billion dollars on the balance sheet. I don't

0:24:47.520 --> 0:24:50.440
<v Speaker 1>want to pus in the same bucket as Nicola. That's

0:24:50.440 --> 0:24:53.639
<v Speaker 1>what I'm saying is that not we v makers are equal.

0:24:53.800 --> 0:24:56.600
<v Speaker 1>Right that you you think about the Lord's Towns, the Nicholas,

0:24:57.119 --> 0:24:59.800
<v Speaker 1>they don't have seventeen billion dollars of cash. The concern

0:24:59.840 --> 0:25:01.960
<v Speaker 1>from market, and what you see reflects in the equity

0:25:01.960 --> 0:25:04.760
<v Speaker 1>story is it's going to take them a lot and

0:25:04.880 --> 0:25:07.679
<v Speaker 1>a long time to reach profit. But the message from

0:25:07.680 --> 0:25:11.320
<v Speaker 1>the management was scale, scale brings profit. We've got a beautiful,

0:25:11.320 --> 0:25:13.639
<v Speaker 1>shiny factory. And I can tell you because I know

0:25:13.680 --> 0:25:16.359
<v Speaker 1>I've been there. Thousands of built trucks are on the

0:25:16.359 --> 0:25:20.119
<v Speaker 1>lot waiting for delivery. They just fledgling working out the logistics.

0:25:20.160 --> 0:25:23.840
<v Speaker 1>I like the suv uh, the enclosed suv version, rather

0:25:23.880 --> 0:25:25.480
<v Speaker 1>than the pick up truck, because if I'm gonna pick

0:25:25.520 --> 0:25:27.520
<v Speaker 1>up truck, I'm gonna get America pickups. Trying to get

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:31.000
<v Speaker 1>American pickup truck ed love West Coast Corresponding Bloomberg News

0:25:31.000 --> 0:25:34.000
<v Speaker 1>bring us the latest on ribbing that starts up today.

0:25:34.040 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 1>That's a good news. The bad news down seventy year

0:25:36.600 --> 0:25:41.720
<v Speaker 1>to date. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast.

0:25:42.119 --> 0:25:45.320
<v Speaker 1>You can subscribe and listen to interviews of Apple podcasts

0:25:45.440 --> 0:25:49.360
<v Speaker 1>or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm

0:25:49.400 --> 0:25:53.439
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at Matt Miller three. Put on ball Sweeney.

0:25:53.440 --> 0:25:56.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you

0:25:56.080 --> 0:26:00.840
<v Speaker 1>can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio