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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Spreading the court ten seconds of maning to just go

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Speaker 3: show up to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's the truth for the wind, God

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Speaker 2: make a miracle. I've just up the water. Hit that

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Speaker 2: one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 4: Good evening, and welcome to the Bracket release Show presented

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Speaker 4: by BET three six five. I'm stuck in joining me

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Speaker 4: tonight my fellow Big Bets on Campus podcast co host

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Speaker 4: Mike Calabreese and Greg Wadell. We have a bracket that

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Speaker 4: we will obsess over for the next three to four days.

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Speaker 4: Every minute's all I'll be thinking about, and we will

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Speaker 4: get into that bracket. We'll give our first reactions to

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Speaker 4: just the bracket in general, and then we'll go reagent

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Speaker 4: by region, given some first look picks, our favorite upset

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Speaker 4: of the first round, and we'll even provide our initial

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Speaker 4: final fours. But I will say firsthand, I'm about zero

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Speaker 4: point one percent of the way done going through these games,

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Speaker 4: so mine could subject the change. But I will sweet

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Speaker 4: out my final four and shared on the podcast we'll

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Speaker 4: have later in the week after going through these games

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Speaker 4: more in depth. But gentlemen, it's the best time of

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Speaker 4: the year. We have the actual bracket. I personally have

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Speaker 4: done something that I've always done since I was a

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Speaker 4: little kid. I still get out a notebook and marker

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Speaker 4: and make the bracket and fill it in, even though

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Speaker 4: it will be available online within two seconds. It just

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Speaker 4: brings me a lot of joy and nostalgia. So Greg,

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Speaker 4: I'll go to you first. Give me your initial reactions

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Speaker 4: on this bracket and the tournament at large.

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Speaker 3: So for the sake of vibes, I'm going to start positively,

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Speaker 3: but it's my second biggest reaction.

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Speaker 2: Then I'll get to the negative one.

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Speaker 3: The positive they gave us some fun drama, like we

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Speaker 3: could get Jeremy Roach versus Duke followed by Caleb Love

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Speaker 3: versus Duke in the first three rounds of this tournament.

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Speaker 3: I adore the concept of that we have John Caliperi

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Speaker 3: versus Bill self.

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Speaker 2: For the right to face Rick Patino.

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Speaker 3: I adore the concept of that you pair Kentucky and

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Speaker 3: Illinois in the same pot. I know they got to

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Speaker 3: get through a couple I think dicey matchups in the

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Speaker 3: round of sixty four potentially, but if they get there,

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Speaker 3: that game is going to be Electric and two of

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Speaker 3: the biggest boomer bus teams in the country will deliver

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Speaker 3: great entertainment value. And lastly, you've got Auburn versus Louisville

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Speaker 3: in the state of Kentucky.

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Speaker 2: In the round of thirty two.

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Speaker 3: With the way all it's like there's just some grab

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Speaker 3: your popcorn potential matchups this year. There always are, but

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Speaker 3: it felt more so this year, and I'm very excited

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Speaker 3: for it as a fan.

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Speaker 2: Now to the negative quickly, my biggest reaction. Does the

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Speaker 2: committee want to do their job? When do they phone

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Speaker 2: it in?

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Speaker 3: Do they just decide on like Friday afternoon that they're

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Speaker 3: going to do the work for the rest of the

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Speaker 3: weekend and go golfing or something. I don't understand how

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Speaker 3: North Carolina makes this tournament unless they were evaluating this

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Speaker 3: as if North Carolina was still playing in the a

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Speaker 3: SEC tournament.

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Speaker 2: Right now, there's a bunch of.

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Speaker 3: Teams you can go down the list that just their

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Speaker 3: placements don't make any sense if you're paying any attention

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Speaker 3: to Saturday or Sunday. If you're not, fine, but clearly

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Speaker 3: they're not. We've known this for a couple of years.

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Speaker 2: I just feel like it's been even more emphatic this year.

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Speaker 3: It's not just Sunday's results that don't matter, it's Saturday's

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Speaker 3: results that don't matter in a lot of cases. And

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Speaker 3: it's crazy to me. North Carolina specifically in the tournament

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Speaker 3: is crazy to me.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, well, at least the ad wink wink left the

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Speaker 4: room for that discussion. I have my suspicions about that.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, I was shocked at you and C was in.

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Speaker 4: West Virginia was not in and that was the first time.

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Speaker 4: What did I see? The first time that a team

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Speaker 4: that was in the field in all one hundred and

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Speaker 4: eleven brackets on Bracket project and didn't make it first

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Speaker 4: time ever. Committee pointed to the debrees injury, which I

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Speaker 4: figured they would, and the fact that West Virginia hasn't

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Speaker 4: been a tournament team since mid January against Iowa State.

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Speaker 4: But that was shocking. I thought maybe there was a

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Speaker 4: chance West Virginia that I thought, but I didn't think

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Speaker 4: you and C would get in, West Virginia would get

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Speaker 4: left out. Pretty wild to me. You mentioned Louisville. That's

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Speaker 4: one of my takeaways. They kind of got robbed getting

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Speaker 4: the eight seed in lat Xington against the number one

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Speaker 4: overall seed, although allbring kind of stumbled down the stretch

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Speaker 4: a bit, but that's not a great job to me.

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Speaker 4: That was like, all right, well, we don't really respect

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Speaker 4: the ACC But then UNC got in so.

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Speaker 3: And stuck Clemson liked did we not pay attention to

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Speaker 3: Louisville Clemson in the tournament on Saturday night or whatever night?

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Speaker 3: It was right, like, if conference tournament games don't matter anymore,

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Speaker 3: let's not play them.

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Speaker 2: We lost so many good players to injury this week.

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Speaker 3: You have to factor this in as if it matters,

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Speaker 3: and you're right, even even just teams two seed lines

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Speaker 3: off from what they should be.

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Speaker 2: I feel like it's happening all over this bracket.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and who else who got shipped out to Wisconsin?

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Speaker 4: They obviously had no legs today? What did they go

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Speaker 4: seven of forty from three or something four and four

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Speaker 4: days get shipped out to Altitude to potentially put on

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Speaker 4: a Thursday on Thursday, potentially play back to back Altitude

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Speaker 4: teams if they win, and that's brutal. While Kentucky got

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Speaker 4: the three in Milwaukee that I'm sure a lot of

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Speaker 4: Wisconsin fans thought or were hoping to get for the Badgers,

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Speaker 4: so that definitely was not a great drawl and result

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Speaker 4: for Wisconsin. We'll see how they can bounce back.

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Speaker 3: Doc let me go fandom ruling weekend filing on Michigan

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Speaker 3: who wins the tournament?

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Speaker 2: Beat Purdue three rounds ago?

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Speaker 3: By what eighteen gets a five seed and has to

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Speaker 3: go to altitude on Thursday to get the best mid

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Speaker 3: major team we've seen in years.

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Speaker 2: It's it doesn't make sense.

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Speaker 3: It doesn't make sense how Purdue was locked in at

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Speaker 3: afoord to me over a Michigan team that punked them

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Speaker 3: three days ago.

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Speaker 4: It's a great point because, and I'll get into this

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Speaker 4: shortly with UC San Diego. All I heard from Michigan

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Speaker 4: fans when Michigan got destroyed by Illinois is the discourse

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Speaker 4: Michigan fans was, oh, well it was our fourth game

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Speaker 4: in nine days or something you would greg, right, was

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Speaker 4: that fourth game in nine days?

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Speaker 2: Four and nine? Correct?

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Speaker 4: So fourth game in nine days but on a great depth.

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Speaker 4: Well this will be the fourth game in eight days

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Speaker 4: in altitude without great depth. So yeah, not great for

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Speaker 4: Michigan and some of their issues which could be exposed

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Speaker 4: against U see San Diego, which we'll get to them

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Speaker 4: at Calvary's how are you. What are some takeaways you

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Speaker 4: have from the bracket?

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Speaker 5: Well, I kind of piggyback on what you were saying

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Speaker 5: about the tactile nature of filling out your bracket. It

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Speaker 5: takes me back to my first year at prep school

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Speaker 5: and the Monday morning after the the official bracket came

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Speaker 5: out and I see a bunch of seniors stealing supplies.

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Speaker 5: They got toner cartridges, they got printer paper, they got

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Speaker 5: a physical copy of the Philadelphia Inquirer. And we had

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Speaker 5: this disciplinarian librarian and she just came out and she's.

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Speaker 4: Like, what are you guys doing?

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Speaker 5: And they're like, oh, we have to print out like

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Speaker 5: a thousand brackets and just hand them out, and just

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Speaker 5: stony face, she was like, all right, just make sure

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Speaker 5: you get five on my desk.

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Speaker 4: Like. The fact is it took over.

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Speaker 5: The entire school for that entire week, and it's something

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Speaker 5: that it's still very near and dear to my heart.

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Speaker 5: In terms of this field, though there's plenty to dump

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Speaker 5: on the committee for I think you guys have already

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Speaker 5: touched on it. So I'm going to go slightly in

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Speaker 5: the opposite direction. This is just a bumper crop of

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Speaker 5: teams from the twelve line through the sixteen line. Eleven

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Speaker 5: teams between twelve and sixteen in the seating were number

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Speaker 5: one seats in their conference tournament and won them. And

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Speaker 5: that doesn't even include super dangerous teams like Grand Canyon

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Speaker 5: UNC Wilmington that won twenty six and twenty seven games respectively.

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Speaker 5: There's just so many of these teams that are not

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Speaker 5: only super experienced, they went through the gauntlet winning regular

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Speaker 5: season titles, won their conference tournament title, but they also

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Speaker 5: bring something special to the table. You can go down

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Speaker 5: the list, you see San Diego leads to the nation

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Speaker 5: in turnover margin. McNeice leads the country in kill shot runs.

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Speaker 5: There's no hotter team really across the entire country than

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Speaker 5: Colorado State. They've won ten straight games by seventeen points

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Speaker 5: per game, and now they're in as.

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Speaker 2: A twelve seed.

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Speaker 5: They're actually going to go off as a favorite, depending

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Speaker 5: on injury situation.

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Speaker 4: Here with Penny's.

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Speaker 5: Memphis team, Liberty and Yale, they could knock down fifteen threes,

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Speaker 5: make it to you know, the Sweet sixteen. That wouldn't

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Speaker 5: shock me. Even a team like Troy. Troy is gonna,

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Speaker 5: you know, really give Kentucky problems on the offensive glass.

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Speaker 5: They're also top five in rim and three point rate

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Speaker 5: in the entire country, and you know, the list goes

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Speaker 5: on and on and on. But I'm just really excited

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Speaker 5: because there's a lot of years where we have bid

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Speaker 5: steelers and there's some teams that are just cannon fodder.

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Speaker 5: But really, I mean, this is going to be a

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Speaker 5: really interesting round of sixty four, at least for my money.

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Speaker 5: I know I'm going to be on a lot of

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Speaker 5: these teams plus the points, and certainly there's going to

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Speaker 5: be opportunities to hit some huge moneyline parlays round Robbins.

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Speaker 5: Because when you start putting some of these experienced teams

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Speaker 5: that won twenty six, twenty seven, twenty eight games, I

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Speaker 5: don't think they're going to be scared up against, you know,

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Speaker 5: teams outside of the Duke Houston and Auburns.

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Speaker 4: Of the world.

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Speaker 5: So I can't wait to dig into it. And I

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Speaker 5: agree with you, Stuck, I'm just the tip of the

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Speaker 5: iceberg in terms of all the prep and handicapping that

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Speaker 5: needs to be done in the next thirty six hours.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, no sleep anytime soon. I Yeah, I'm excited for

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Speaker 4: a lot of these first round matchups and the one

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Speaker 4: thing that we'll also have to spend time on. Greg

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Speaker 4: you mentioned this as the injuries. There's a lot of

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Speaker 4: key potential injuries and injury news for some of these

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Speaker 4: high seeds that will definitely be worth monitoring and could

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Speaker 4: play a part in determining how far a team could go.

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Speaker 4: We just saw the news with Iowa State and Gilbert.

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Speaker 4: That's big for the Clones, who I think easily could

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Speaker 4: have made a run. They still could, but maybe they're

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Speaker 4: ceiling probably isn't as high. Might be a little tougher

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Speaker 4: now without Gilbert. But there was a lot of injuries

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Speaker 4: from this past week and we'll cover them and every

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Speaker 4: single matchup on the podcast this week be out. We'll

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Speaker 4: do one episode for the Thursday games, we'll do that Tuesday,

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Speaker 4: and then we'll do another episode for the Friday games

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Speaker 4: that'll be out on Wednesday, and I believe we'll have

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Speaker 4: a quick episode on the first four games that we

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Speaker 4: will record tomorrow. I think the Three Men we will

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Speaker 4: have an episode too, So you covered from all angles,

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Speaker 4: but before we get to some looks in the individual regions.

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Speaker 4: Now is the best time to sign up for BET

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Speaker 4: three sixty five if you haven't already, and it's now

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Speaker 4: live in Illinois. By the way, elit eight Saturday, we'll

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Speaker 4: have a little get together sponsored by Bet three sixty five.

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Speaker 4: Joe's on Weed Street, myself, Jim Root, the other guys

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Speaker 4: from the three Men we've COI Mett'll be there. We'll

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Speaker 4: do an elite a preview, live favorites recording. It's free.

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Speaker 4: You got to RSVP. I'll tweet out the link again.

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Speaker 4: But just come out, some drinks, hangout, hopefully cash some

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Speaker 4: tickets on that Saturday in a little less than two weeks.

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Speaker 4: But for new Bet three six five customers, including those

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Speaker 4: in Illinois, you get one hundred and fifty dollars in

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Speaker 4: bonus bets. When you bet five dollars, you can sign

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Speaker 4: up using promo code Action. Just deposit ten dollars and

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Speaker 4: place a bet for five to get one hundred and

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Speaker 4: used on spread's totals, player props, futures, and more. Whatever

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Speaker 4: the moment. It's never ordinary at Bet three six five,

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Speaker 4: especially in Illinois. Must be twenty one or older in

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Speaker 4: present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois. Who is he

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Speaker 4: out of North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia or

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Speaker 4: eighteen and older in Kentucky gambling problem call one eight

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Speaker 4: hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off. In Iowa terms,

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Speaker 4: conditions and restrictions apply. All right, Let's start in the

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Speaker 4: South region, where Auburn is the favorite right around looking

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Speaker 4: at one book, Yeah, right around even money to come

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Speaker 4: out in the Michigan state. In Iowa state, we're both

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Speaker 4: around five to one. Texas A and M is twelve

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Speaker 4: to one. I could tell you that the first thing

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Speaker 4: that jumped out to me. This is the first region

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Speaker 4: I think that was revealed. I tweeted earlier this morning

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Speaker 4: that when Yale one that the worst the best matchup

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Speaker 4: for Yale will be Texas A and M. And as

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Speaker 4: someone of those TEXTA A and M futures, of course

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Speaker 4: it's Yale versus Texas A and M. The reason being

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Speaker 4: is because you got to shoot threes against the BYU defense,

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Speaker 4: and Texas A and M obviously can't shoot, so that

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Speaker 4: could be an interesting game. The other thing is that

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Speaker 4: tex AM actually is one of the teams that I

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Speaker 4: think could give Auburn a real scare. But can they

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Speaker 4: get there is the question. But let's take a look

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Speaker 4: at this region each give just a first look at

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Speaker 4: a bet or a future or something that you like. Calbrities,

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Speaker 4: I'll start with you.

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Speaker 5: I've been waiting really for weeks to fade Marquette, and

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Speaker 5: I at least got a matchup that I like. I'm

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Speaker 5: going to go in New Mexico money line plus one fifty.

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Speaker 5: I got the elite guard play to be able to

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Speaker 5: match Cam Jones. Donovan Dent has been phenomenal for much

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Speaker 5: of this season. He's the offensive engine for the Lobos,

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Speaker 5: but the Lobos can also win the shot volume battle

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Speaker 5: in two different ways. They can get after the Eagles

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Speaker 5: on the offensive glass, and they can win the turnover margin.

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Speaker 5: And really, when you look at these two teams since

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Speaker 5: February first, despite the fact that one is from a

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Speaker 5: mid major league and the other is from the Big East,

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Speaker 5: Marquette forty fifth, New Mexico forty eighth, So I think

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Speaker 5: this is a lot closer to a coin flip game.

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Speaker 5: So I'm happy to take the plus money on it.

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Speaker 4: And also, when you.

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Speaker 5: Look historically, this is the time of year to throw

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Speaker 5: out some of the regular season stats and look at

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Speaker 5: how teams perform in tournament settings.

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Speaker 4: Shock is smart for.

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Speaker 5: As good as he's been as an underdog over the

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Speaker 5: years in terms of tournament play, six first round exits

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Speaker 5: as a head coach, so it's not something that would

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Speaker 5: be a first time for him to get bounced right away.

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Speaker 5: So I'll go ahead with the Lobos here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, should control the boards in this game, But trusting

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Speaker 4: a Mountain West team in the tournament, that's a dicey

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Speaker 4: proposition based on recent history. Greg, what are you seeing

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Speaker 4: here in the South?

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Speaker 3: Well, I'm going to take one from cal Reese's book,

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Speaker 3: and I'm going to fade a big East team because

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Speaker 3: I haven't loved what I've seen from that conference in general.

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Speaker 3: Even some of the quote unquote big dogs that were

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Speaker 3: supposed to challenge Rick Patino and Saint John's just couldn't get.

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Speaker 2: It done over a twenty game sample size.

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Speaker 3: This year, I been looking to fade Crayton whenever possible

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Speaker 3: for a couple of weeks now, and a Louisville team

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Speaker 3: in a rupp arena in round one.

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Speaker 2: Is a spot I will absolutely take a stab at here.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be a home game for Louisville.

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Speaker 3: Minus two and a half is not nearly enough to

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Speaker 3: spoop me from just playing the number here. You think

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Speaker 3: about the matchup at the guard spot, Crayton entirely dependent

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Speaker 3: on Stephen Ashworth. He's very good. He's very very good

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Speaker 3: against really guards that can't provide any resistance or pressure.

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Speaker 3: If he runs up against guys that can, sometimes I

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Speaker 3: think he gets in over his head. Chucki Epburn is

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Speaker 3: one of the elite perimeter defenders in the country. I

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Speaker 3: think he's going to win that matchup, or at least

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Speaker 3: make it really really difficult on Ashworth. And then on

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Speaker 3: the flip side, I think you're gonna see Kulk have

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Speaker 3: to do some things he doesn't really like to do.

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Speaker 3: He likes to sit in that drop coverage and you

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Speaker 3: know't have the historic block rate that we've always seen.

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Speaker 3: Louisville is a team that will make him guard the

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Speaker 3: perimeter at times in this game. And if you let

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Speaker 3: the Louisville guards and wings get downhill with Kolk just

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Speaker 3: kind of sitting there protecting the rim, I think there's

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Speaker 3: gonna be a lot of space for guys like Fat

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Speaker 3: Edwards to operate.

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Speaker 2: Javon Hadley to make some plays.

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Speaker 3: This is a Louisville roster I just think has better players,

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Speaker 3: more positional size, skill talent everywhere outside of point guard

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Speaker 3: and center. And the matchups for Creighton's point guard and

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Speaker 3: center I think are a little frustrating, forcing them into

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Speaker 3: tough spots they don't like. So for that reason, I'll

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Speaker 3: take Louisville and I really hope we get that Louisville

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Speaker 3: Auburn game in round two and.

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Speaker 4: They sure get Smith back as well. Who's close this weekend.

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Speaker 4: He's important for shooting, for spacing. Their offense just has

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Speaker 4: a much higher ceiling when he is in the lineup.

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Speaker 4: I will this is gonna be I think Hardley, it's

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Speaker 4: going to be an ty Greg show for me. Sorry Greg,

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Speaker 4: but I'm going with you. See San Diego. It's the

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Speaker 4: only bet I the only early bet I placed. I

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00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:12,040
Speaker 4: pretty much knew I was gonna bet them no matter what.

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Speaker 4: I have a feeling that everyone is going to be

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Speaker 4: on them. And here's the thing. People people will say, Oh,

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Speaker 4: they're the trendy underdog, everyone's picking them, that they have

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Speaker 4: no chance, there's absolutely nothing to do with happens some Yeah,

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Speaker 4: there's trendy underdogs that will lose. I remember coming on

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Speaker 4: this show and touting Ohio and did it for four

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Speaker 4: straight days against Virginia and they were like the trendiest

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Speaker 4: I think thirteen ever and then they ended up beating Virginia.

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Speaker 4: So I'm not afraid of a trendyman major. The turnover

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Speaker 4: disparity in this game will be devastating. I mean, you

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Speaker 4: see San Diego should be able to force a ton

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Speaker 4: of turnovers in Michigan who can't take care of the ball.

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Speaker 4: It's one of the things they've worked for them today

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Speaker 4: against Wisconsin. Wisconsin doesn't force turnovers. Well, you see San Diego.

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Speaker 4: Does you see San Diego doesn't turn it over? Just

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Speaker 4: from a shot buying perspective, they're going to be right

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Speaker 4: in this. I love this UC San Diego team. They

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Speaker 4: keep over performing in the market. The market can't catch

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Speaker 4: up to them. Number one against the spread team in

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Speaker 4: the country. I think they were finished seventy eight percent

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Speaker 4: and I already mentioned Michigan. Maybe that's fatigue. Fourth game

359
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Speaker 4: in eight dates. They don't have great depth, so I

360
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Speaker 4: like the Tredents to pull off the upset. I think

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Speaker 4: this is basically a coin flip game, so I'll take

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Speaker 4: the points there. Great, you have good feelings bad. I mean,

363
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 4: this Michigan team, everyone wrote them off. They win a

364
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Speaker 4: couple of games. Are the vibes different? Now?

365
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Speaker 2: Are you afraid of the tying me? Anything past this

366
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Speaker 2: is gravy?

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Speaker 5: No.

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Speaker 3: I look, I'm not going to come with any case

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Speaker 3: against UC San Diego. That's been your team all year

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Speaker 3: for good reason. This is a historically good mid major team.

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Speaker 3: They are everybody's darling for a reason.

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Speaker 4: And it's a.

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Speaker 2: Perfect matchup as you laid out.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the one thing you see San Diego is

375
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Speaker 3: absolutely lead at is the one thing Michigan is diabolically

376
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 3: bad at. The only thing I would push back on.

377
00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:10,280
Speaker 3: I'll just reveal this in my bracket. I'm gonna have

378
00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:13,919
Speaker 3: Michigan winning this game uncomfortably so the Texas A and

379
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:15,640
Speaker 3: M matchup, if they get through Yale, to.

380
00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 2: Me, is worse for Michigan. It's a horrible draw. Though.

381
00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,639
Speaker 3: To have the turnover disparity in game one, then the

382
00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,760
Speaker 3: offensive rebounding of the Aggies in game two. There's your

383
00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:27,280
Speaker 3: reward for winning three straight in the Big Ten tournament,

384
00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:30,040
Speaker 3: I guess. But the pushback for me with San Diego

385
00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:33,880
Speaker 3: it's just this. They aren't huge in the front court,

386
00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 3: like they've got a great two point.

387
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 2: Defense the way the guard works, but.

388
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,359
Speaker 3: Six' eight is still six' eight when You See blag

389
00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:43,359
Speaker 3: Golden And, DANNY wolf i don't know that they're going

390
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:46,520
Speaker 3: to be as effective as the profile might. Indicate there

391
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 3: it will come down, to turnovers and if this is

392
00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:50,880
Speaker 3: something like twenty two, to three.

393
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:52,199
Speaker 2: It's night night For.

394
00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 3: San diego michigan took care of It, against, perdue though

395
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 3: and produce defense thrives on perimeter pressure, As WELL so i.

396
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:01,159
Speaker 3: DON'T know i don't lay me from the, play stock

397
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:02,640
Speaker 3: but my heart will hurt when.

398
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:04,520
Speaker 2: IT happens, i.

399
00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 4: Yeah it's, the tournament, is parity the tournami. Of margin

400
00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,080
Speaker 4: it is going to be a huge factor in. That

401
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,200
Speaker 4: game so we'll See if michigan can take care and

402
00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:16,680
Speaker 4: see if they have tired legs. In altitude and if

403
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,800
Speaker 4: You See, san diego You see saneo's offense also can

404
00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:23,080
Speaker 4: beat you in just a multitude. Of Ways so i'm

405
00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:25,680
Speaker 4: it's probably. MY favorite i can't wait for. That game

406
00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:27,680
Speaker 4: there are there times out for, the GAMES.

407
00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:30,639
Speaker 2: Yet I think i saw. It's late it's like THE

408
00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 2: ten pm Slot.

409
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:36,840
Speaker 4: On, thursday perfect, perfect, time baby get a good amount

410
00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:38,679
Speaker 4: of drinks in before. That one, all right let's move

411
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 4: on To The, east Region where duke is the odds

412
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:46,640
Speaker 4: on favorite minus One twenty alabama second four, To one

413
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 4: arizona seven, To one wisconsin ten, TO one byu nineteen.

414
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:57,159
Speaker 4: To one first, look. HERE caliberys, I mean i can

415
00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 4: tell you my first, thought was out of all the, Tops,

416
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:05,960
Speaker 4: seeds duke, if healthy which is the, CAVEAT there i

417
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:09,159
Speaker 4: think has the easiest path at least Of THE, elite

418
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 4: a but also probably to the. Final four that was

419
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:15,880
Speaker 4: my first initial. Takeaway here but what are you looking

420
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,639
Speaker 4: at In the. East, Region yeah i'm with You. On

421
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 4: duke we're going to talk you final Four in champions.

422
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:23,080
Speaker 4: Soon enough, You know duke showed me so much with.

423
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,720
Speaker 4: That flag it's going to be hard to get in

424
00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:28,120
Speaker 4: front of that. Runaway train i'm going to Go sat

425
00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:31,439
Speaker 4: mary's laying four and a Half. AGAINST vandy, i mean

426
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 4: you can pick and choose when you think coaching.

427
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 5: Experience Matters But mark byingsen has coached IN Two ncaa,

428
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:39,840
Speaker 5: Tournament Games randy bennett has coached, in FIFTEEN and i

429
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 5: think there's been a little bit of an overreaction in

430
00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:45,639
Speaker 5: the past two tournament runs For the gales that they've Struggled. In,

431
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 5: march well they Lost To grand canyon, last year which

432
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 5: was a difficult athletic matchup, for them and then two

433
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:52,879
Speaker 5: years before that It was yukon on their way To The.

434
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:55,840
Speaker 5: National CHAMPIONSHIP so i don't think they're necessarily snake bit

435
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 5: or have issues preparing FOR the. Ncaa tournament and when

436
00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 5: you look at the past Six We saint mary's is

437
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:01,640
Speaker 5: the fifth.

438
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 4: Rated defense in the. ENTIRE country i think that's going.

439
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:05,960
Speaker 5: To travel they're also the second team in the entire

440
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 5: year when you look at the entire body of work

441
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 5: in their away from, home raiding that matters so much

442
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 5: more to me because there's, you know obviously you're playing

443
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 5: in neutral sites the. Entire time how do you react

444
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:20,119
Speaker 5: to just the logistics, Of travel how does, your game,

445
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:24,040
Speaker 5: you know translate from opponent to opponent and potentially having

446
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 5: stability and not just relying on the three. Point shot

447
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:28,359
Speaker 5: it's Nice If saint mary's could make some threes UNLIKE

448
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:31,399
Speaker 5: that wcc final Against, the zags but they were still

449
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,200
Speaker 5: in that game despite going over from.

450
00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 4: Long RANGE so i think they got.

451
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:36,640
Speaker 5: Their worst game of the year out of, their SYSTEM

452
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:38,080
Speaker 5: so i think this is going to be a nice

453
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 5: bounce back for them and they could be a trendy

454
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:41,199
Speaker 5: pick to make a deep run in.

455
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 4: This, region.

456
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,719
Speaker 3: Greg what are You saying i'm going to Jump on

457
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:50,680
Speaker 3: baylor minus one and a Half Against. Mississippi, State look

458
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 3: i'm not A huge baylor guy, this YEAR but i

459
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 3: think they're a team that if they go up against

460
00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 3: a team that's a little chaotic defensively and not, most

461
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 3: disciplined they can really devour still with the offensive skill that.

462
00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 3: They Have, mississippi state, to me they really don't profile

463
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:10,119
Speaker 3: all that well on the. Defensive end they have had

464
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 3: everybody make threes against them.

465
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:15,639
Speaker 2: This year they're sort of just like a blocks and steels.

466
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 3: Type team but even when you add, that together like

467
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:20,760
Speaker 3: turnover rates really the only thing in the green on

468
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 3: their profile defensively, at All and baylor takes care. Of

469
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 3: it they've got great. GUARD play i don't think turnovers

470
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:26,200
Speaker 3: are going.

471
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:26,800
Speaker 2: To be a problem in.

472
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 3: That game on the, flip side They're Really josh, hubbard

473
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 3: Dependent And josh hubbard's a, little guy as. We know

474
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 3: he could, go, nuclear sure but At least baylor has

475
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:36,360
Speaker 3: multiple bodies they.

476
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 2: Can throw at.

477
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 3: Him defensively Not that baylor's the most disruptive, defensive TEAM

478
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:42,680
Speaker 3: but i kind of just feel like it's four on

479
00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:45,520
Speaker 3: one at the. Guard spot i'll take the Four with

480
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 3: Baylor with scott through a guy who's had some success

481
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:47,919
Speaker 3: in the.

482
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 2: Tournament before so, to, ME again i don't think it's

483
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 2: going anywhere past the. First round this is.

484
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:57,120
Speaker 3: Not an INDICATION that i love anything beyond the, first

485
00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 3: MATCHUP but i love Fading This mississippi state team all

486
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:01,440
Speaker 3: year when they run up against the best of.

487
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,000
Speaker 2: The best they're three and eight Outright Versus ken pomp.

488
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 3: Top thirty they really didn't pick up any marquee wins

489
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 3: against the best teams IN. The sec and you remember

490
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:11,879
Speaker 3: last year in the, Tournament Too mississippi state was kind

491
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 3: of a.

492
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:13,159
Speaker 4: Oh will they?

493
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:15,280
Speaker 3: WON'T they i. Don't know it's An Iffy michigan. State

494
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 3: Team michigan state just pants them in. THAT game i

495
00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 3: think we see the Same.

496
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 4: From baylor could be a good Game for baylor to

497
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 4: break out more Of the drew Zone Against, mississippi state

498
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:35,360
Speaker 4: who can't shoot. A lick so interesting schematic matchup there

499
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,400
Speaker 4: you'd have to worry a little Bit About mississippi state

500
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 4: on the, offensive GLASS but I think baylor can also

501
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 4: do some damage on the offensive, glass THERE so i

502
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:45,879
Speaker 4: don't mind that one, At, first klan it's got to

503
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:49,439
Speaker 4: dig in a. LITTLE further i already mentioned this Is anti.

504
00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:55,919
Speaker 4: Greg SHOW so i Went against Michigan your wolverines on your.

505
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,879
Speaker 4: First pick i'm going to go Against your cougars in

506
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:04,399
Speaker 4: the second PICK with bcu. AGAIN catching i think the

507
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 4: LAST line i saw. WAS three i think it's a coin.

508
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 4: FLIP game vc is like a top. Thirty TEAM they

509
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:16,600
Speaker 4: i think their physicality and pressure can really GIVE this byu,

510
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 4: offense issues and they can force turnovers in, this game

511
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,959
Speaker 4: get some. Easy BUCKETS b yu is gonna pack it

512
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,560
Speaker 4: IN the vcu might not have much success in the,

513
00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 4: offensive class which is a big path of, their offense

514
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 4: but they. Have shooters if they if they're on, AT

515
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,679
Speaker 4: all i think they win. This GAME so i like

516
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 4: getting some points With the rams despite, the ugly ugly

517
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:45,560
Speaker 4: GAME that i watch today between Them And. George, mason

518
00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 4: greg where are you Gonna where you're? Gonna Be b

519
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:51,200
Speaker 4: why you going In your elite eight first.

520
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 2: Run AT this i do have them In the.

521
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 3: ELITE eight i will, SAY this i am not nearly

522
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 3: as spooked BY the vcu matchup as a lot of

523
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 3: the Group chats i'm in with smart, basketball people are

524
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 3: this was your? Right stuck you're the same way YOU

525
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 3: Identified Uc san diego and identify.

526
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,120
Speaker 2: This spot these are The two i'm hearing most from.

527
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:14,480
Speaker 3: SMART people i trust on like schematically huge advantage underdog here,

528
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 3: TO me i think the it's overplaying HOW much byu

529
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 3: will struggle WITH the. Vcu physicality this Is. Not houston,

530
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 3: they're good they, force turnovers But like houston is the

531
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:32,640
Speaker 3: very best in terms of physical terrifying nature.

532
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:33,680
Speaker 2: Other Than maybe auburn that you're.

533
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 3: GONNA see I think vcu can do that against teams

534
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 3: IN the. A ten i think they could do that

535
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 3: at times in. This game but like Acting Like, ritchie

536
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:44,560
Speaker 3: saunders isn't still going to be able to get to

537
00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:46,920
Speaker 3: the free throw line AGAINST a vcu team that's, REALLY.

538
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,680
Speaker 2: Physical i think is a miss. From me Jego or

539
00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 2: demon's got to.

540
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,159
Speaker 3: Play well certainly the path TO a vc victory is

541
00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:56,560
Speaker 3: like seven plus Turnovers, from demon but he's been better

542
00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 3: lately in this huge win streak leading up To the,

543
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:01,160
Speaker 3: Houston GAME so I will i'll fade, you. Here stuck

544
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:02,879
Speaker 3: if we need to go back to the, Betting board

545
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 3: i'm game. For IT but I have byu going all

546
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:07,440
Speaker 3: the way to that duke matchup In the.

547
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 4: Elite eight, all right we'll talk about that on the podcast.

548
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:17,400
Speaker 4: This week let's move To the, midwest Region where houston

549
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 4: is the favorite plus one fifty five to come out Of.

550
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:24,879
Speaker 4: The midwest tennessee plus. Three fifty gonzaga the eight is

551
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,560
Speaker 4: the third favorite at eight. To one kentucky plus, Eight

552
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 4: fifty illinois plus Nine hundred perdue eleven. To one that

553
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,440
Speaker 4: the first thing that jumps, out here Obviously. Is houston

554
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 4: if you just go Based On, ken palm there ranked

555
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 4: third and they have a potential second round matchup with

556
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 4: the team that's, ranked ninth so you have two Top

557
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:54,280
Speaker 4: Ten ken pomp. Teams there so not the greatest Draw.

558
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,159
Speaker 4: FOR houston i actually was Surprised that gonzaga fell to

559
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 4: an eight after they won their, conference TOURNAMENT but i

560
00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:04,840
Speaker 4: thought they would move up to, a seven but definitely a.

561
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:08,880
Speaker 4: Dangerous eight calgary's what are you seeing here In?

562
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 5: The midwest the one that pop for me Having watched

563
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:15,120
Speaker 5: kentucky IN The, sec tournament the way in which they,

564
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 5: got bounced being so lifeless on, the boards not putting in,

565
00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 5: the effort not having, the fundamentals and here Comes a

566
00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:22,760
Speaker 5: troy team catching.

567
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:24,720
Speaker 4: Double digits it's eleven out in the market.

568
00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 5: Right now their fourth and offensive rebounding percentage in the, Entire.

569
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 5: Country connorway their guard is SOMEONE who i think can

570
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 5: handle the physicality and the, jump up, you know playing

571
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,119
Speaker 5: against better, guards DEFENSIVELY so i trust him to have

572
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 5: the ball in his hands for the majority of. This

573
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 5: game And the trojans just play that modern way you

574
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 5: know that you should be playing. Basketball analytically their fifth

575
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 5: and rim and three, point RATE so i think there's

576
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 5: an opportunity for them to be able to get some,

577
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 5: good looks make their possessions, worth it and then on the,

578
00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 5: offensive glass get those second. Chance buckets they also defensively

579
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 5: really make you earn it in the half court fourth

580
00:28:57,440 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 5: lowest points per possession when they settle into their house.

581
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:04,480
Speaker 5: Court defense So can kentucky, have patients, you know be

582
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:07,040
Speaker 5: able to crack that half court defense and cut down

583
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 5: on the mistakes that, you know essentially ended their their

584
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 5: chance at WINNING an sec. TOURNAMENT title i have my,

585
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:14,160
Speaker 5: questions There so i'm going to go ahead And. TAKE

586
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,480
Speaker 5: troy i think this number is. Too good my projections

587
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 5: would have it closer. To seven so anything north. TO

588
00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:20,400
Speaker 5: ten i think it's on For a kentucky team that

589
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:22,840
Speaker 5: they've had some ghosts in recent tournaments and some, early

590
00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:26,240
Speaker 5: exits with some issues against teams that matched up well schematically.

591
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:29,920
Speaker 4: AGAINST them i think this. Will, Repeat Yeah troy well.

592
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 4: Coach team they have an. Elite defense they'll press that

593
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 4: like ninety. Fifth percentile they'll mix up man and zone

594
00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:39,840
Speaker 4: and the half court there's they PLAY zone i think

595
00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 4: at the eighty. Fifth percentile so they need to cause

596
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 4: havoc and turnovers, on defense and so how healthy Is

597
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 4: mont bauler is also important for this, particular matchup expecting

598
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,280
Speaker 4: the play but is their? Rust there but a really

599
00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 4: good shot vying team because they crashed the offensive glass

600
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:01,600
Speaker 4: fifth nationally as, you mentioned they force turnovers at a top.

601
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 4: Fifty rate defense doesn't allow anything in the post and

602
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 4: an elite pick and Roll d BUT they i do

603
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 4: worry about Them because kentucky could just shoot the lights

604
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 4: out from three because they're. VULNERABLE there i am also

605
00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 4: Curious if kentucky doesn't hasn't really played zone this year,

606
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:26,640
Speaker 4: At All we'll pope breakout on his zone because you

607
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:30,880
Speaker 4: Can zone troy. To Death like troy needs to score

608
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 4: at the rim if they're not, getting steals which might,

609
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 4: be tough and they shoot a ton of threes but

610
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 4: they don't. Make them they just have a bunch of

611
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 4: like twenty nine percent three point shooters chucking. Them up

612
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 4: So Unless cooper campbell's the, one exception but he's in

613
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 4: there And, now rigsby then their defense takes. A hit,

614
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 4: so yeah really interesting. Schematic matchup troy can be feisty

615
00:30:55,400 --> 00:31:00,960
Speaker 4: just because of their shot, vying profile And obviously kentucky

616
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:05,080
Speaker 4: profiles is a potential vulnerable. Top seed if they're on

617
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:10,160
Speaker 4: and go in nuclear, from three which is higher likely

618
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 4: to Happen, against troy then you know they're going to

619
00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 4: beat a team. Like this, but yeah things could get

620
00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 4: Dicey for kentucky certainly in. This, matchup greg what are

621
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 4: you looking at In. The midwest i'm gonna.

622
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 3: Take high point plus the points plus nine and a

623
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,560
Speaker 3: HALF and i think they're gonna win. The game and

624
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 3: my initial glance, At this i'm gonna dig into it

625
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 3: a little. Bit more But high point Is the CINDERELLA

626
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,920
Speaker 3: that i had sort of targeted pre tournament in Addition To,

627
00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 3: san DIEGO and i think they have everything you need

628
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:41,400
Speaker 3: to make a deep run in.

629
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 2: This tournament they've got a bunch of high.

630
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:49,080
Speaker 3: Major talent you can go through, the Names But kamanie

631
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 3: Hamilton Played mississippi State To marian Williams At. Texas tech

632
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 3: pettiford Was a kansas recruit back in.

633
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:54,040
Speaker 2: The day.

634
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 3: Five star he comes off the bench for This high.

635
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 3: Point team they just. Got dudes you watch, this team

636
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 3: they don't have the look and feel of a mid

637
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 3: major and you look And.

638
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 2: Feel perdue when you watch.

639
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 3: Them play there's a lot of guys that Play for

640
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:10,600
Speaker 3: purdue That Aren't trey Kaufmann Or braiden smith who do

641
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 3: feel pretty. MID majorie i think, the athleticism just the

642
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 3: profile of this team is a huge advantage, for them

643
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 3: and they can Really exploit purdue's horrible two point. Percentage

644
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 3: defense perdue has zero. Rim protection that's been the story.

645
00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 3: All season they had a month long stretch at the

646
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 3: End of january where they looked like they had solved

647
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 3: it by being this super high, pressure defense but all

648
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 3: that did was wear their superstar Down And braiden smith's

649
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,520
Speaker 3: been pretty damn bad for the last. Three WEEKS so

650
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 3: I Think, high points fifteenth best two point, percentage offense

651
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 3: is going to completely feast in. This game and then

652
00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 3: on the, FLIP side i expect them to hold, up okay,

653
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 3: internally now it's easier said. Than Done kaufman ren could

654
00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 3: get thirty against anybody at, this point but they have

655
00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 3: a legitimate seven Footer In. BODO bodo i think size

656
00:32:57,640 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 3: HAS disrupted Tkr against michigan's, front court Just flag golden

657
00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:04,040
Speaker 3: being seven feet tall really hurt him In The big ten.

658
00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 3: Tournament matchup So this purdue team has been running. On

659
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:08,720
Speaker 3: fumes they've had a couple of days to get. It

660
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:11,400
Speaker 3: together but like if you play the message, board game

661
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 3: there are Rumors That braden smith's looking elsewhere for his

662
00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:18,240
Speaker 3: next season in. College basketball vibes are weird With this,

663
00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 3: purdue TEAM and I Think high point is the perfect

664
00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 3: profile to.

665
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 2: Take advantage that was a.

666
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 3: Real report wouldn't call it, a report would call it

667
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,800
Speaker 3: RUMBLINGS that i do believe are.

668
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,440
Speaker 2: VERY real i think there's some seeking out of.

669
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:37,479
Speaker 4: That interesting nothing really jumped out of me in at

670
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:41,640
Speaker 4: first glass without going into all, these games but for,

671
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:47,960
Speaker 4: one thing one LOOK that i might Consider is Purdue high.

672
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:52,600
Speaker 4: POINT over, i mean the pace might not, be great

673
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 4: and it's a pretty. HIGH number I think i WOULD

674
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:59,320
Speaker 4: have i see one, fifty Four But braiden smith Against

675
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 4: high point drop and This high point defense is not

676
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 4: good AND who, i mean they haven't, played anyone any

677
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 4: offense of. THIS caliber i think the only team that

678
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 4: they played that's in. The field they didn't Play any

679
00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:15,239
Speaker 4: power conference team. TO year i think the only team

680
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:19,920
Speaker 4: that they played in the Field Is, norfolk STATE and

681
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:23,280
Speaker 4: i think they gave up seventy five in. That game,

682
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:28,319
Speaker 4: so Yeah this purdue defense as ISSUES that I Think

683
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 4: high point can exploit in a multitude. Of WAYS so

684
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:35,439
Speaker 4: i think that game profiles. ISN'T over i think both

685
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 4: offenses have many pass. To success, all right let's move on,

686
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,239
Speaker 4: TO well i guess before we move on to, the

687
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:47,520
Speaker 4: west quick break for. An, attery march, of course is

688
00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:49,720
Speaker 4: the best month of, the year not just, for sports

689
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 4: but also forgetting the best Yeal On. Action pro you

690
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,000
Speaker 4: Can Get action pro for just over five dollars a

691
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:57,360
Speaker 4: month for the, entire year and FOR the, ncaa tournament

692
00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 4: You'll Get sean kerner's. Bracket Simulations nick giffin's, player props

693
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 4: which are always Money. THROUGHOUT march i think he was

694
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:08,239
Speaker 4: like eighty Percent. Last march and if you care or

695
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:10,399
Speaker 4: picks thirty minutes before they go out to, everyone else

696
00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:13,359
Speaker 4: Go to Actionetwork dot Com slash march now to get.

697
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 4: On Board That's action Network dot Com. Slash march, all

698
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:23,239
Speaker 4: right let's get To the west Region where florida everyone's.

699
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 4: Now Picked all i'm Seeing on Twitter is florida's winning.

700
00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:29,080
Speaker 4: It all. Pretty wild this is the, team though of

701
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 4: LIKE four i think four of their starters used to

702
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:35,319
Speaker 4: be at. Mid majors they've all come together and Then

703
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:40,360
Speaker 4: some florida minus won ten to win. This Region texas

704
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:43,920
Speaker 4: tech five, To One saint john six, To one maryland

705
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:47,280
Speaker 4: eleven at ten, To one kansas thirteen, To one missouri fourteen.

706
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:52,320
Speaker 4: To one pretty tough tough draw In. THE west, I

707
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 4: mean florida has been So Good. TEXAS tech i think,

708
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:57,720
Speaker 4: when Healthy and i'm hearing that they should be, FULLY

709
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:02,479
Speaker 4: healthy i think they're top Five Team. Saint john's we've

710
00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 4: all seen how dominant they were Throughout THE big. E

711
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,920
Speaker 4: season maryland one of the best starting fives in. THE

712
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:13,080
Speaker 4: country i mean it was top. Four teams that's as

713
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 4: tough as it gets for. A region i think in

714
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:22,200
Speaker 4: the tourney This year calvary's what are you seeing In The?

715
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 4: WEST region? I agree i think this is the region.

716
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:26,920
Speaker 5: OF death i think you can make a strong ARGUMENT

717
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,359
Speaker 5: if i knew one hundred Percent The texas tech would

718
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:32,200
Speaker 5: be healthy and that, you know they get their their

719
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 5: legs BACK against U.

720
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:34,479
Speaker 4: And c wilmington and then.

721
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,239
Speaker 5: They are back to being at, full strength hitting on,

722
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 5: ALL cylinders i would probably.

723
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,120
Speaker 4: Pick them but because there's a little bit.

724
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 5: Uncertainty and you kind of have to take the word,

725
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:44,719
Speaker 5: for it and, you know assuming that everyone comes back

726
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:46,800
Speaker 5: at one, Hundred percent we'll get into this shortly in

727
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:48,840
Speaker 5: service of my final. Four pick, but, overall yet this

728
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:50,399
Speaker 5: is an incredible region top.

729
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:52,239
Speaker 4: To bottom i'm ready to get.

730
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 5: Hurt again i'm Going with drake, this time not on

731
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:56,400
Speaker 5: the money line after getting burns what two years in.

732
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 5: A row i'll take the Points against miszoo six and

733
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:02,400
Speaker 5: a half coaching mismatch in. My Opinion here, ben McCollum

734
00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 5: a Five time Division two coach Of the Year Against,

735
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:10,120
Speaker 5: dennis gates who has WON one ncaa, Tournament, game drake by,

736
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:12,000
Speaker 5: the way getting six and a, half year they lost

737
00:37:12,040 --> 00:37:15,080
Speaker 5: one game by more than six all, season long and

738
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 5: in terms of the, tournament field when you look at

739
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,880
Speaker 5: teams who play better against, Better competition drake is the

740
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,279
Speaker 5: fifth best team in that Metric Per. Evan MIA so

741
00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:25,160
Speaker 5: i don't think they're going to, be scared, you know

742
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:27,080
Speaker 5: in a game, Like this but it really just comes down.

743
00:37:27,120 --> 00:37:29,680
Speaker 5: To tempo missoo doesn't play at a, lightning temple but

744
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:32,040
Speaker 5: they can be, sped up and certainly they're a team

745
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,799
Speaker 5: that hangs their hat on the. Offensive ends But if

746
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:37,160
Speaker 5: drake slows it down to their, preferred pace which is a,

747
00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:39,720
Speaker 5: SNAIL'S pace i think this is going to get dicey

748
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 5: in the.

749
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:40,839
Speaker 4: Second Half.

750
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 5: For miszoo every possession takes on increased importance when you're

751
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 5: playing at a low, possession Rate and, MASZOO also i

752
00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 5: think to be able to spur their fast break offense

753
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:53,759
Speaker 5: they score abut thirteen points per game, and transition they

754
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:55,520
Speaker 5: got to be able to Turn Over, bennett seertz who's

755
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:56,560
Speaker 5: going to have the ball in his hands for the

756
00:37:56,600 --> 00:37:59,200
Speaker 5: majority of. THIS game i trust. This kid watch probably

757
00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:02,200
Speaker 5: ten To fifteen drake's games this year In. The valley

758
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:04,520
Speaker 5: he was somebody in every single game that they. PLAYED

759
00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:06,520
Speaker 5: tough a lot of those games went. To overtime he

760
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:08,799
Speaker 5: hit the ball in, crunch time and he just gives

761
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 5: me the vibes Of a, march hero someone who can handle,

762
00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:14,319
Speaker 5: the pressure can score, for himself certainly facilitate for. His

763
00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:17,040
Speaker 5: teammates so this Is a drake team that was phenomenal

764
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:19,359
Speaker 5: really start to finish. This season six and A half

765
00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 5: i think is. Too rich anything north to. Two possessions

766
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:22,000
Speaker 5: you got to go With the.

767
00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:27,800
Speaker 4: Bulldogs, here yeah interesting. SCHEMATIC matchup I like drake's definitely

768
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:29,719
Speaker 4: going to slow the. Game Down keith missouri out a

769
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:33,120
Speaker 4: transition where they want to get pick and, roll defense

770
00:38:33,160 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 4: which is obviously always Big against drake and Starts against

771
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 4: it can be tough to run pick a Roll against

772
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,360
Speaker 4: missouri in some of. Their defenses they'll change up their defenses.

773
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 4: A lot against the role man they were really bad,

774
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:51,359
Speaker 4: this year but against the ball handed they were. Really

775
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 4: Good but drake will Definitely. Control tepo they will just

776
00:38:57,360 --> 00:39:01,400
Speaker 4: grind every possession down to the. Final Seconds, and missouri

777
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:03,360
Speaker 4: for what, it's worth kind of dig in further are

778
00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 4: but they were very poor late in the. Shot clock,

779
00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:09,880
Speaker 4: On Defense, MARK mitchell i believe he will be. Fully

780
00:39:09,920 --> 00:39:13,279
Speaker 4: healthy he could do some damage on the low bout

781
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 4: on the low Block. Against drake it was not not

782
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 4: really great at the rim if you're not turning. It,

783
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:24,120
Speaker 4: over Fascinating fascinating Exce's and. No's matchup can't wait to

784
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:27,279
Speaker 4: dive into that one a, Little, More greg what are

785
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:28,520
Speaker 4: you looking at In, the?

786
00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:31,840
Speaker 3: WEST guys i want to take you Back To tuesday,

787
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 3: march nineteenth twenty. Twenty four that Was When nico Medved

788
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:39,719
Speaker 3: In colorado state got THEIR first ncaa tournament win Of the.

789
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 3: Medved tenure he was playing a head coach who at

790
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:44,239
Speaker 3: the time knew.

791
00:39:44,200 --> 00:39:45,799
Speaker 2: That he was not going to be the head.

792
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:48,120
Speaker 3: Coach anymore he was two feet out the door and

793
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:49,840
Speaker 3: we didn't know That Was tony bennett Of The.

794
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:53,520
Speaker 2: Virginia cavaliers And now i'd like to bring it full circle.

795
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 3: By acknowledging the Fact That nico medved is now two

796
00:39:56,239 --> 00:40:00,319
Speaker 3: feet out. The door there's nobody, reporting this but guess

797
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:01,400
Speaker 3: what the transfer portals?

798
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:02,520
Speaker 2: Cooking already and if you.

799
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 3: Want to get a start at Your New Minnesota golden

800
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 3: gophers program that we All expect nico to take the

801
00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:09,520
Speaker 3: Job at the longer you play.

802
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:11,120
Speaker 2: IN the, ncaa tournament the worst that is.

803
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:13,400
Speaker 3: For you he doesn't have to do, anything here he

804
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:14,839
Speaker 3: doesn't have to win the job that.

805
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 2: He wants that's his. Dream program he's already got.

806
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,360
Speaker 3: It coming and he knows that you're giving me plus

807
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:22,400
Speaker 3: money For a memphis TEAM that i think this is.

808
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,640
Speaker 3: JUST disrespectful I Understand tyre's hunter. Is injured they have

809
00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:26,360
Speaker 3: the best player on.

810
00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 5: THE.

811
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 3: Floor pj haggerty is the best shooting guard in, college

812
00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 3: Basketball And nee clifford. Is phenomenal but we've Seen this

813
00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:34,600
Speaker 3: memphis team get up for some big moments.

814
00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:37,440
Speaker 2: This year think Back. To maui they were pretty stellar in.

815
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:41,759
Speaker 3: That TOURNAMENT and i can't Shake The mountain west's constant

816
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,400
Speaker 3: issues in. THIS tournament I Know colorado state just had

817
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 3: a special run to the.

818
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:47,760
Speaker 2: Conference title cut down. The nets that's.

819
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 3: Great, to me, PROFILE wise i couldn't believe that this

820
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 3: Was Not colorado state plus one thirty Instead of memphis

821
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 3: as an. Underdog here the only big vulnerability on the

822
00:40:57,480 --> 00:41:00,839
Speaker 3: sheep for Me from memphis, Defensive Rebounding coronado state can't.

823
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 3: Take advantage they're two hundred and. Seventy ninth that's not

824
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:05,640
Speaker 3: really what. They do the first Game without hunter went

825
00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 3: completely fine in the championship game in the. Conference tournament,

826
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:12,360
Speaker 3: if anything they're going to go Bigger, without HUNTER and

827
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 3: i think that that honestly could help them with The ne.

828
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,960
Speaker 3: Clifford Matchup so i'll take the quote unquote underdog that

829
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,120
Speaker 3: got the five, seed here one of the more overseeded

830
00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:22,120
Speaker 3: teams in, the tournament but the team with the best

831
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:22,920
Speaker 3: player on the Floor.

832
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:23,360
Speaker 2: And haggerty And The.

833
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:30,760
Speaker 4: Memphis, Tigers yeah memphis also has major. Turnover Issues colorida

834
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:34,000
Speaker 4: state doesn't really turn you over. On defense there's no

835
00:41:34,120 --> 00:41:37,680
Speaker 4: question that they. Are Playing colorado state is playing really

836
00:41:37,680 --> 00:41:41,120
Speaker 4: good basketball. Of Late But dan dange also has been

837
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:46,360
Speaker 4: just a Monster, for memphis especially. Of late although it

838
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 4: is worth mentioning if this could come into play in a.

839
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:56,759
Speaker 4: Close game danger has completely forgotten how to shoot a.

840
00:41:56,760 --> 00:42:00,520
Speaker 4: FREE throw i mean, It's stunning. He's not he was

841
00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:06,319
Speaker 4: never a good free, throw shooter probably like sixty percent for.

842
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:13,479
Speaker 4: His career looking at the last, four games he went

843
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:17,759
Speaker 4: oh of five four, of six three, of thirteen and oh,

844
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:23,320
Speaker 4: Of four so what is that oh, of nine three of. Twenty,

845
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:27,879
Speaker 4: two like he's about like twenty five percent of his past,

846
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:31,560
Speaker 4: five games and they just. Look horrendous something to keep

847
00:42:31,560 --> 00:42:33,680
Speaker 4: in mind if it's a really, close game because he's

848
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:35,480
Speaker 4: gonna go With The wafford kids.

849
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:38,440
Speaker 5: GRANNY shots i think there's time to practice before the

850
00:42:38,520 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 5: round of sixty.

851
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:41,880
Speaker 4: Four game just flip it up a. Little bit that

852
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:44,959
Speaker 4: is one of The most i'm glad that you brought,

853
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:48,359
Speaker 4: that up that we will get to Watch Some rick

854
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:56,960
Speaker 4: barry granny Shots With kyler Filowitch Of. Wafford electric like imagine,

855
00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,920
Speaker 4: IF well i, don't know it's gonna be hard from

856
00:42:59,920 --> 00:43:01,960
Speaker 4: the to be in the, game late but imagine if

857
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:07,360
Speaker 4: he has like free throws the. Tie late the just

858
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:13,000
Speaker 4: MUST see tv, For me i'm. Gonna go i'm Gonna

859
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:15,200
Speaker 4: Go texas tech to win the region five. TO one

860
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 4: i THINK they're i think they have a good path

861
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:21,719
Speaker 4: To the, sweet SIXTEEN and i think they actually match

862
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:27,920
Speaker 4: up pretty Well With saint JOHN'S and i Do have florida,

863
00:43:28,600 --> 00:43:31,120
Speaker 4: rated HIGHER but i don't have the gap. THAT wide

864
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:33,560
Speaker 4: I Think texas tech's top five team in the country,

865
00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:36,759
Speaker 4: went healthy and From what, i'm hearing they will be.

866
00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:40,919
Speaker 4: Fully Healthy so i'm Going With texas tech to come

867
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:45,360
Speaker 4: out of. This region so that's a spoiler for my

868
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:47,239
Speaker 4: one of my final. Four picks we'll get to all

869
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:49,920
Speaker 4: of our final four picks in just. A moment the

870
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:58,479
Speaker 4: first favorite upset of the First, Round calgares you're gonna

871
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,800
Speaker 4: Go where i'm also going. To, go yeah give Me

872
00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 4: the tridents Over.

873
00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:05,480
Speaker 5: The wolverines congrats On Your Big ten conference.

874
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:06,160
Speaker 4: Championship.

875
00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:08,520
Speaker 5: Title michigan two of the last three have lost in

876
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:11,480
Speaker 5: the round of Sixty four Iowa and purdue in, recent

877
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:14,320
Speaker 5: years so it has not been a Springboard To march maddeness.

878
00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:17,120
Speaker 5: Success necessarily and as we, Hit on michigan is super

879
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:19,239
Speaker 5: sloppy with, the basketball which plays right Into the.

880
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:21,240
Speaker 4: Traden's, hands yes they're.

881
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 5: Going to, be UNDERSIZED and i think there's going to

882
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,800
Speaker 5: be some Issues defending michigan's pick and Roll with Wolf.

883
00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 5: And golden but if they turn it over fifteen or

884
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:30,600
Speaker 5: twenty times in, THIS game i think there's an Opportunity

885
00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:32,239
Speaker 5: For san diego to really jump.

886
00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 4: On them this is a team that won over.

887
00:44:34,160 --> 00:44:37,080
Speaker 5: Thirty games they're on this, incredible streak and they were

888
00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:39,160
Speaker 5: also challenged at the very end Of The big west

889
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:42,240
Speaker 5: title game AGAINST A uc irvine team that their biggest

890
00:44:42,239 --> 00:44:45,320
Speaker 5: thing was. Interior defense with a seven to one big

891
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:49,200
Speaker 5: who was, you know basically altered shots was difficult to

892
00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:51,480
Speaker 5: deal with on the on the, offensive glass and they

893
00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:53,200
Speaker 5: were able to navigate that and win that one going

894
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 5: away in the. Second HALF so i think that's a

895
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:57,400
Speaker 5: perfect warm up for them to be able to Handle

896
00:44:57,520 --> 00:44:58,040
Speaker 5: The big ten.

897
00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:03,120
Speaker 4: Tournament champs so GIVE meet Uc. And, DIEGO yeah. I agree,

898
00:45:03,239 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 4: i mean could they lose, this, GAME absolutely i just

899
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 4: think it's a poin fill game FROM where i have

900
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:11,879
Speaker 4: these teams rated throwing. The rest the, turnover, Issues yeah

901
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:16,680
Speaker 4: michigan size could definitely be an issue at times at

902
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:19,480
Speaker 4: the rim against You See san diego, for SURE but

903
00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:24,920
Speaker 4: i think they'll have paths to offense here in a multitude.

904
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:27,920
Speaker 4: Of ways so that's where i'mgoing. As well it's my

905
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:31,439
Speaker 4: favorite upset as, of now although if you're looking for

906
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:37,799
Speaker 4: eight in Eight thirteen seeds have won a game in

907
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:41,640
Speaker 4: the first round in the past, eight tournaments so last

908
00:45:41,719 --> 00:45:48,359
Speaker 4: year It was Yale over Auburn. And yale if you're

909
00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:52,120
Speaker 4: looking for. A thirteen i Don't think yale is a

910
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 4: bad option in, your bracket that little pot if You See, San, Diego,

911
00:45:56,160 --> 00:46:03,440
Speaker 4: MICHIGAN texas A And, m yale, like ah it's, Super

912
00:46:03,480 --> 00:46:06,480
Speaker 4: FASCINATING like, i THINK like, i said text an them

913
00:46:06,520 --> 00:46:08,200
Speaker 4: Could give auburn issues be could they even get out

914
00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:09,800
Speaker 4: of the? First round? Like SO, BUT texta A. And

915
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:14,359
Speaker 4: m yale is going to just go. Under everything they're

916
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:16,759
Speaker 4: going to force a ton. Of THREES texas A and m.

917
00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:22,480
Speaker 4: Can't shoot y'all can compete on the Defensive glass yale

918
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:27,279
Speaker 4: does have a lot, of shooters And if polkiatos is

919
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 4: on it could be TROUBLE for A and m. For

920
00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:34,160
Speaker 4: Sure but i'll GO with U See san diego or

921
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:39,960
Speaker 4: now at the buzzer One, FINAL well I guess i'll,

922
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 4: ask you ays be before we get to a final,

923
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:45,399
Speaker 4: four pick do you have any just off. The cup

924
00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:48,640
Speaker 4: i'll put you on. The spot are there any like

925
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 4: crazy upsets that you could SEE like a you have

926
00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:59,160
Speaker 4: to go thirteen at least a. Thirteen seed is there

927
00:46:59,160 --> 00:47:02,680
Speaker 4: anyone that you? Could see there's usually one that no one.

928
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:05,040
Speaker 4: Sees coming, All.

929
00:47:05,040 --> 00:47:06,719
Speaker 5: Right but before we hop, into that let's flip at

930
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,000
Speaker 5: the greg for his, upset pick BECAUSE then i have a.

931
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:11,080
Speaker 5: Big one i'm gonna turn my back on a coach

932
00:47:11,200 --> 00:47:12,520
Speaker 5: and a Team that i've been backing all.

933
00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:14,520
Speaker 4: Season Long but i'm ready to cut off. The Ride,

934
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:16,960
Speaker 4: but greg what's your upset For the round the?

935
00:47:16,960 --> 00:47:20,080
Speaker 3: SIXTY four i did hit on it in the just

936
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:21,839
Speaker 3: the favorite play of the, region Already but i'm taking.

937
00:47:21,920 --> 00:47:23,160
Speaker 2: HIGH point i think They beat.

938
00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:26,839
Speaker 3: PURDUE outright i couldn't jump Off the purdue bandwagon quick

939
00:47:26,920 --> 00:47:29,000
Speaker 3: enough at, this point and the only OTHER one i,

940
00:47:29,040 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 3: WOULD add i think you mentioned it, Briefly STUCK but

941
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:35,279
Speaker 3: i think there's a World that kentucky goes Down to

942
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 3: troy and Then the internet bursts into Flames when kentucky

943
00:47:39,040 --> 00:47:41,719
Speaker 3: fans find Out That mark pope is not A great

944
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:42,680
Speaker 3: ncaa tournament.

945
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:51,320
Speaker 4: Coach. HISTORICALLY yeah, i MEAN maybe i Was thinking montana

946
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:53,719
Speaker 4: just because Of the wisconsin spot and, their Legs But

947
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:57,960
Speaker 4: big sky teams are horrendous in the tournament three and

948
00:47:58,040 --> 00:48:01,680
Speaker 4: thirty nine since nineteen. Eighty five they haven't beat high

949
00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:05,400
Speaker 4: major team since nineteen. Ninety nine uh, WITH uh i

950
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:11,239
Speaker 4: think That Was howard Arsenal And. Weaver state montana like

951
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:13,080
Speaker 4: they want to get to. The rim they have. No

952
00:48:13,200 --> 00:48:15,719
Speaker 4: size so even they do take away, the three but,

953
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 4: AT yeah, I can't i Can't go montana.

954
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:25,600
Speaker 2: For long maybe maybe lipscumb just Given no lipscomb was.

955
00:48:25,600 --> 00:48:29,000
Speaker 4: MY pick i mean we talked about it all.

956
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:32,080
Speaker 5: Year long, it's like, you Know When mam chilovich and,

957
00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 5: you know this whole lineup, is there and when you

958
00:48:35,080 --> 00:48:37,279
Speaker 5: have the sixth man of the year coming off the

959
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,680
Speaker 5: bench and not being forced into starter minutes and blah. Blah,

960
00:48:39,719 --> 00:48:42,359
Speaker 5: blah Well Now keishon gilbert's out for the Tournament. And

961
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:45,360
Speaker 5: lipscomb one of their calling cards is they are. So

962
00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:48,719
Speaker 5: disciplined they. Never fell so what they're gonna do, is say,

963
00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:50,759
Speaker 5: All Right iowa state with these, you know with one,

964
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:54,040
Speaker 5: starter out with just a go TO potential nba player,

965
00:48:54,320 --> 00:48:56,319
Speaker 5: not available beat us and we're not going to give

966
00:48:56,320 --> 00:48:58,440
Speaker 5: you free points of the. CHARITY stripe i think this

967
00:48:58,680 --> 00:49:01,160
Speaker 5: has all the makings of an early exit For An

968
00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:03,919
Speaker 5: iowa state team that coming Out, of malley we looked

969
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:05,840
Speaker 5: at them as a team that could absolutely win the.

970
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:08,719
Speaker 5: National championship, you know they get, into that even that

971
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:11,560
Speaker 5: BATTLE with byu a couple of, games ago where they,

972
00:49:11,640 --> 00:49:14,960
Speaker 5: you know they force what thirty turnovers and still somehow

973
00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 5: lose that Game. AT hilton i still had hope that

974
00:49:17,719 --> 00:49:19,719
Speaker 5: with a full deck they could make a. Deep RUN

975
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:21,640
Speaker 5: but i am off the wagon. Right now so in

976
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:23,399
Speaker 5: terms of a fourteen, OR higher i think you could

977
00:49:23,400 --> 00:49:24,600
Speaker 5: do a lot Worse than lipscom to.

978
00:49:24,640 --> 00:49:28,480
Speaker 4: Win, IT yeah i could see it just because of.

979
00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:32,200
Speaker 4: THEIR profile, i mean they take good gear of, the

980
00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:35,560
Speaker 4: ball they run beautiful and they run, beautiful offense and

981
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:39,560
Speaker 4: they have shooters, all over run. Beautiful motion and that's

982
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:41,400
Speaker 4: what you have to Do Against. Iowa state move, the

983
00:49:41,440 --> 00:49:45,279
Speaker 4: ball hit. Some threes, you mentioned they don't foul though

984
00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:49,960
Speaker 4: they're good on. The defensive glass talent disparent is gonna be.

985
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:52,279
Speaker 4: Pretty big, But yeah iowa was staate just with this

986
00:49:52,360 --> 00:49:57,360
Speaker 4: lineup in, constant flux and like what is going on with.

987
00:49:57,400 --> 00:50:02,320
Speaker 4: The team and So if lipscomb is hitting, their threes

988
00:50:02,880 --> 00:50:05,719
Speaker 4: which they'll shoot plenty of and they make plenty, of

989
00:50:05,719 --> 00:50:09,600
Speaker 4: them could be some TROUBLE for i would say always

990
00:50:09,600 --> 00:50:12,960
Speaker 4: say does a major, Turnover issues but that is one

991
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:17,960
Speaker 4: Thing that lipscomb won't pretty passive d won't. Really EXPLOIT

992
00:50:18,080 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 4: but i don't hate that as far as a super.

993
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:24,000
Speaker 4: Long shot but one final order of business before we

994
00:50:24,080 --> 00:50:27,480
Speaker 4: go and dive into these games before the podcast over

995
00:50:27,520 --> 00:50:30,400
Speaker 4: the next couple. Of days also action never, cap well

996
00:50:30,920 --> 00:50:33,880
Speaker 4: a bunch of stuff there previewing every single one of.

997
00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:36,799
Speaker 4: These games i'll have some high level, stuff too, going

998
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:41,360
Speaker 4: over like profiles, of teams ranking the upset chances of

999
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 4: the thirteenth or, fifteen seats STUFF that i do. Every

1000
00:50:43,719 --> 00:50:45,120
Speaker 4: year that'll be up in the next day. Or two

1001
00:50:45,520 --> 00:50:50,400
Speaker 4: but let's give our. First edition That's what i'm calling it.

1002
00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:52,200
Speaker 4: For mine if you want to say you're locking yours

1003
00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:55,520
Speaker 4: in and you want to, be bold more power. To

1004
00:50:55,600 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 4: you but let's give our first edition Of our final

1005
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:04,560
Speaker 4: Four And Howard NATIONAL. Champion calvariese i'll start. WITH you.

1006
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:08,200
Speaker 5: I Will go auburn Play In saint john's In the,

1007
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:12,080
Speaker 5: National semifinal Duke, against Tennessee and Duke.

1008
00:51:12,080 --> 00:51:13,239
Speaker 4: Over auburn For.

1009
00:51:13,280 --> 00:51:16,640
Speaker 5: The natty i've basically been Backing. The drums they're the best.

1010
00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:18,440
Speaker 5: Two teams we talked about the potential of.

1011
00:51:18,440 --> 00:51:19,480
Speaker 4: BETTING them i think it was.

1012
00:51:19,480 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 5: At plus one sixty five versus. The field, You know

1013
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:25,399
Speaker 5: DraftKings was. Offering that so just essentially looking at these

1014
00:51:25,440 --> 00:51:27,239
Speaker 5: two teams and the fact that we're going to get

1015
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 5: flagged back And what duke showed ME the sec tournament with,

1016
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 5: AT him i feel. Comfortable There, and houston they have

1017
00:51:33,160 --> 00:51:35,840
Speaker 5: just been on, the warpath but the committee just absolutely.

1018
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:37,520
Speaker 5: Host them you, mentioned it there's going to be a

1019
00:51:37,560 --> 00:51:40,160
Speaker 5: Top Ten ken palm matchup awaiting them in the round of.

1020
00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:42,600
Speaker 5: Thirty two that is not what they deserved after playing

1021
00:51:42,640 --> 00:51:44,440
Speaker 5: like one of the best teams in the entire country

1022
00:51:44,600 --> 00:51:47,319
Speaker 5: for the past. Three months but that ROUGH road, i

1023
00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:50,520
Speaker 5: think could, you know essentially knock them off before they

1024
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:51,440
Speaker 5: can even get.

1025
00:51:51,360 --> 00:51:52,480
Speaker 4: To an elite eight Matchup.

1026
00:51:52,600 --> 00:51:55,160
Speaker 5: AGAINST tennessee i really Like what tennessee's guards have shown

1027
00:51:55,160 --> 00:51:57,239
Speaker 5: me down, the STRETCH and i think it'll be enough

1028
00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:57,880
Speaker 5: for them to get to the.

1029
00:51:57,920 --> 00:52:02,879
Speaker 4: Final, Four also roberts. Fully healthy that's. A question there's

1030
00:52:03,040 --> 00:52:04,880
Speaker 4: so many we'll go through all them on. The podcast But,

1031
00:52:05,280 --> 00:52:07,920
Speaker 4: for houston is he? Fully healthy? All right so You're

1032
00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:13,799
Speaker 4: going Duke. Over, auburn oh so you're trusting you on.

1033
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:17,279
Speaker 4: This show you've Gave Out New Mexico mountain west team

1034
00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:19,560
Speaker 4: and now You're Trusting rick barnes to get to the.

1035
00:52:19,560 --> 00:52:23,359
Speaker 5: Final, Four Hey, RICK barnes i called when he went

1036
00:52:23,400 --> 00:52:26,520
Speaker 5: out in last. YEAR'S tournament i brought it up ad

1037
00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:29,480
Speaker 5: nauseum that he struggles in, tournament play but he showed

1038
00:52:29,520 --> 00:52:31,560
Speaker 5: me something in the last month with this team that

1039
00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:33,880
Speaker 5: gets TO the, sec final AND like, i said that

1040
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:37,680
Speaker 5: guard play, they needed, you know offensively for them to

1041
00:52:37,680 --> 00:52:39,719
Speaker 5: take a. Step forward and JUST when i look at,

1042
00:52:39,719 --> 00:52:42,840
Speaker 5: the path because so much about what we're discussing here is.

1043
00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:46,280
Speaker 5: Path dependent i'm not Afraid Of utah STATE or ucla

1044
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:48,479
Speaker 5: in the round of thirty two if it's Just Chalk

1045
00:52:48,520 --> 00:52:52,000
Speaker 5: ats kentucky awaiting them in the, sweet Sixteen whereas houston

1046
00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:55,319
Speaker 5: has to go through the zags and POTENTIALLY clumpson I

1047
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:58,359
Speaker 5: think tennessee it's just too good to pass up for a, team,

1048
00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:01,320
Speaker 5: that yes historically Bar and so struggled a little bit.

1049
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 4: And done less.

1050
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:04,880
Speaker 5: WITH more, I mean helly Had What kevin durant and

1051
00:53:04,920 --> 00:53:07,320
Speaker 5: couldn't get past the round of. Thirty two, So yes

1052
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:10,919
Speaker 5: i'm switching. Horses, HERE hey i just spent the entire

1053
00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:13,719
Speaker 5: year not saying anything Bad about Tim and lipsey after

1054
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:15,920
Speaker 5: spending twenty, twenty three twenty four dumping.

1055
00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:17,200
Speaker 4: On him i'm Off The iowa.

1056
00:53:17,200 --> 00:53:19,640
Speaker 5: State wagon i'm trying to balance out the mojo here

1057
00:53:19,760 --> 00:53:22,120
Speaker 5: going into at least the first week of.

1058
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:24,920
Speaker 4: The tournament, All, Right greg i'm looking, At yours but

1059
00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:30,239
Speaker 4: how you guys are almost the exact same Final Fours chalk,

1060
00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:32,160
Speaker 4: City here what do? You got It Is.

1061
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:35,680
Speaker 3: CHALK city i don't feel the best. ABOUT it i

1062
00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:37,680
Speaker 3: don't love, doing THAT but i think it's the story of.

1063
00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:40,160
Speaker 3: This season i've talked about it a LOT on bboc.

1064
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:44,000
Speaker 3: THIS year i think there are four pretty genuinely elite

1065
00:53:44,080 --> 00:53:47,080
Speaker 3: college basketball teams that would have held up extremely well

1066
00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:48,840
Speaker 3: in the past fifteen years of.

1067
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:50,919
Speaker 2: This sport it just is what, it is.

1068
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:53,319
Speaker 3: And they're all in, different regions and you can try

1069
00:53:53,360 --> 00:53:56,040
Speaker 3: and talk yourself into, different angles like what is Happening

1070
00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:59,239
Speaker 3: with auburn in the last. Four games that's the SPOOKIEST

1071
00:53:59,280 --> 00:54:01,400
Speaker 3: thing i think for. One seed, to Me that roberts

1072
00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:05,839
Speaker 3: Injury For houston florida has been, SO good i don't

1073
00:54:05,880 --> 00:54:08,640
Speaker 3: know what you, can, nitpick really And then Duke, is duke.

1074
00:54:08,560 --> 00:54:10,720
Speaker 2: Even Without, cooper flag they had no issues.

1075
00:54:10,800 --> 00:54:14,399
Speaker 3: Right now, To me I'm going chalk Other than I'm

1076
00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:18,719
Speaker 3: Going saint John's. OVER florida i really Think the johnnies

1077
00:54:19,080 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 3: physically have.

1078
00:54:20,200 --> 00:54:21,440
Speaker 2: What it takes to get through.

1079
00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:24,879
Speaker 3: THAT region i think as much as the Headlines Of

1080
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 3: bill Self Or john caliperry, Are Fun saint john's should

1081
00:54:28,600 --> 00:54:31,560
Speaker 3: physically destroy those teams if they get to a potential

1082
00:54:31,600 --> 00:54:34,920
Speaker 3: round of thirty two match. Up there once you get

1083
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:36,880
Speaker 3: past that, FINAL four i am going to Take the

1084
00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:40,520
Speaker 3: johnnies To, beat auburn SIMPLY because i do think there's

1085
00:54:40,520 --> 00:54:43,120
Speaker 3: some Volatility, with AUBURN and i don't love the fact

1086
00:54:43,120 --> 00:54:44,880
Speaker 3: that they have to Go through louisville in the round of.

1087
00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:47,160
Speaker 3: Thirty two as, you MENTIONED if A and m does

1088
00:54:47,239 --> 00:54:49,480
Speaker 3: find their way To a, SWEET sixteen i think that's

1089
00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:51,279
Speaker 3: a team that Can. Beat auburn we already saw that

1090
00:54:51,400 --> 00:54:54,520
Speaker 3: a week and a, half Ago so i'm probably least

1091
00:54:54,560 --> 00:54:56,880
Speaker 3: Confident in auburn to actually. Get there out of my,

1092
00:54:56,920 --> 00:54:59,879
Speaker 3: FINAL four I have duke running. The table don't even

1093
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:03,399
Speaker 3: think twice about it for. One second Duke Versus saint

1094
00:55:03,480 --> 00:55:05,960
Speaker 3: john's in the, TITLE game i honestly Expect to duke

1095
00:55:06,000 --> 00:55:08,239
Speaker 3: blow out at, this point as much as that's not

1096
00:55:08,320 --> 00:55:10,440
Speaker 3: fun for the casual college, basketball.

1097
00:55:10,080 --> 00:55:15,000
Speaker 4: Viewer Well saint john similar to you Mentioned. Against auburn

1098
00:55:15,000 --> 00:55:16,600
Speaker 4: similar to, THE text A and m can just like

1099
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:24,440
Speaker 4: Just crush auburn on the, offensive glass which is. Definitely Noteworthy,

1100
00:55:24,680 --> 00:55:26,560
Speaker 4: All right i'm not going to be. AS chalky i

1101
00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:33,239
Speaker 4: would Have Considered iowa state at full strength getting their

1102
00:55:33,280 --> 00:55:39,000
Speaker 4: Revenge over auburn from earlier, this season but there's just

1103
00:55:39,040 --> 00:55:41,800
Speaker 4: too much, Uncertainty now so For now I'm. Going auburn

1104
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:47,040
Speaker 4: I'm Going. TEXAS tech i already Mentioned, them DUKE who

1105
00:55:47,040 --> 00:55:50,280
Speaker 4: i think has the. Easiest path and then my crazy

1106
00:55:50,320 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 4: One is i'm just buying the Upside, of illinois which

1107
00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:59,160
Speaker 4: means they will lose in the. FIRST round i fully

1108
00:55:59,160 --> 00:56:01,239
Speaker 4: admit they could even lose the, first round but they

1109
00:56:01,239 --> 00:56:03,120
Speaker 4: could get out of that. Bottom half like that bottom

1110
00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:10,000
Speaker 4: half is pretty. Wide open illinois such an. Inconsistent team

1111
00:56:10,080 --> 00:56:13,400
Speaker 4: can they put it together? For four, we'll see but

1112
00:56:13,719 --> 00:56:15,800
Speaker 4: That's how i'm Going. With Auburn texas Tech. Took illinois

1113
00:56:15,920 --> 00:56:21,520
Speaker 4: i'll say, For Now texas tech is. My Winner guns

1114
00:56:21,560 --> 00:56:22,960
Speaker 4: Out producer.

1115
00:56:23,040 --> 00:56:25,960
Speaker 3: David here before, we wrap we wanted to add one,

1116
00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:29,840
Speaker 3: quick segment a market Report From Vegas Insider's. Patrick everson

1117
00:56:29,880 --> 00:56:32,200
Speaker 3: now that the bracket's, Been Released patrick Everson For.

1118
00:56:32,280 --> 00:56:35,440
Speaker 1: Vegas insider obviously the bracket, is out the odds are on.

1119
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:37,399
Speaker 1: THE board a lot of early action already coming in

1120
00:56:37,400 --> 00:56:39,839
Speaker 1: in multiple. Sports books let's quickly touch on a few

1121
00:56:39,840 --> 00:56:41,680
Speaker 1: of these first round games and then also look At

1122
00:56:41,719 --> 00:56:44,120
Speaker 1: the future's book, as well see what's going on with

1123
00:56:44,640 --> 00:56:47,400
Speaker 1: teams to win the national championship and. So forth biggest

1124
00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:49,839
Speaker 1: move early On At draft kings And Elsewhere, draft KINGS

1125
00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:52,960
Speaker 1: betam gm and Others. Was gonzaga that's Number nine georgia

1126
00:56:53,000 --> 00:56:55,200
Speaker 1: versus Number. Eight gonzaga gonzaga opens four and a Half

1127
00:56:55,200 --> 00:56:57,280
Speaker 1: A draft kings gets up to six and a half even,

1128
00:56:57,800 --> 00:57:00,320
Speaker 1: pretty quickly but onions.

1129
00:57:00,320 --> 00:57:00,840
Speaker 2: Are Split At.

1130
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:02,880
Speaker 1: Draft kings you're seeing sixty nine percent of bets come

1131
00:57:02,920 --> 00:57:05,759
Speaker 1: In on georgia eighty two percent of money come In,

1132
00:57:05,840 --> 00:57:09,120
Speaker 1: on gonzaga So the zags are taking the big bulk

1133
00:57:09,160 --> 00:57:12,080
Speaker 1: of the. Early cash there another interesting game early On

1134
00:57:12,080 --> 00:57:15,680
Speaker 1: in Louisville, against creighton and that's a nine versus eight matchup.

1135
00:57:15,680 --> 00:57:17,200
Speaker 1: As well creighton, The nine louisville.

1136
00:57:17,240 --> 00:57:17,680
Speaker 4: The eight In.

1137
00:57:17,720 --> 00:57:20,600
Speaker 1: The south louisville opens one and, a half goes up

1138
00:57:20,640 --> 00:57:24,120
Speaker 1: to two and a half even while taking sixty six

1139
00:57:24,160 --> 00:57:26,000
Speaker 1: percent of bets and seventy seven percent, Of cash so

1140
00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:28,360
Speaker 1: the tickets and money on the spread are Running. Toward

1141
00:57:28,720 --> 00:57:32,080
Speaker 1: Louisville there Arkansas against kansas in a ten to seven

1142
00:57:32,200 --> 00:57:36,160
Speaker 1: game In. The west kansas had a Very un kansas,

1143
00:57:36,240 --> 00:57:41,400
Speaker 1: like season and, right now early Betters like arkansas getting

1144
00:57:41,400 --> 00:57:43,240
Speaker 1: points here This open kansas five and a Half A

1145
00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:45,640
Speaker 1: draft kings went down to four and a half with

1146
00:57:45,760 --> 00:57:48,360
Speaker 1: seventy seven percent of bets and eighty eight percent of

1147
00:57:48,400 --> 00:57:51,680
Speaker 1: early money coming In, on arkansas and They're liking arkansas

1148
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:54,920
Speaker 1: on the money line. As well twelve versus. Five matchups

1149
00:57:54,960 --> 00:57:57,080
Speaker 1: everybody looks to these every year looking for a twelve

1150
00:57:57,160 --> 00:57:59,840
Speaker 1: to knock off. A five it's a fairly common occurrence

1151
00:57:59,840 --> 00:58:02,320
Speaker 1: IN the. Ncaa tournament sometimes. It'll leave it happened to

1152
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:04,480
Speaker 1: maybe three times in the course of, A tournament so

1153
00:58:05,240 --> 00:58:05,800
Speaker 1: a couple twelve.

1154
00:58:05,880 --> 00:58:07,080
Speaker 4: FIVE games i know.

1155
00:58:07,120 --> 00:58:10,200
Speaker 1: That you were talking earlier ABOUT That Uc san diego Game.

1156
00:58:10,200 --> 00:58:13,760
Speaker 1: Against michigan You See san diego obviously the. Twelve seed

1157
00:58:14,280 --> 00:58:16,760
Speaker 1: early action in this game on the. Money, line again

1158
00:58:16,840 --> 00:58:19,439
Speaker 1: since we're talking about, potential upset we're gonna talk about money.

1159
00:58:19,440 --> 00:58:22,160
Speaker 1: Line here you've got seventy five percent of early Tickets.

1160
00:58:22,200 --> 00:58:24,680
Speaker 1: On michigan but the money in this game early On

1161
00:58:24,680 --> 00:58:28,800
Speaker 1: at DraftKings is a fifty to Fifty split liberty a

1162
00:58:28,880 --> 00:58:32,400
Speaker 1: twelve Seed against oregon In the. East regional you're looking

1163
00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:36,160
Speaker 1: at difference of opinion. On this you've got sixty six

1164
00:58:36,200 --> 00:58:38,280
Speaker 1: percent of money line dollars coming In, on liberty the

1165
00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:40,680
Speaker 1: twelve seed put seventy three percent of money line tickets

1166
00:58:40,680 --> 00:58:44,400
Speaker 1: coming In. On oregon and then In the midwest in

1167
00:58:44,440 --> 00:58:47,640
Speaker 1: the twelve, five game you got McNeice, against clemson and

1168
00:58:48,240 --> 00:58:52,200
Speaker 1: similar To That oregon, liberty game you've got sixty six

1169
00:58:52,240 --> 00:58:54,959
Speaker 1: percent of money line dollars coming in on that twelve seed,

1170
00:58:55,040 --> 00:58:58,000
Speaker 1: underdog McNeice while seventy seven percent of money line cash

1171
00:58:58,400 --> 00:59:01,320
Speaker 1: is coming In. On clemson again in the, early going

1172
00:59:01,800 --> 00:59:04,440
Speaker 1: looking on to, futures here we got some great information

1173
00:59:04,520 --> 00:59:07,720
Speaker 1: FROM bet Mgm what seamus McGee had. To say he's

1174
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:11,840
Speaker 1: their league college basketball TRADER at betamgm trading manager, as

1175
00:59:11,840 --> 00:59:14,680
Speaker 1: well and He Said cooper flag's health obviously a, question

1176
00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:16,919
Speaker 1: mark but they expect action to pour In on duke

1177
00:59:17,360 --> 00:59:20,760
Speaker 1: if they get a clear Picture of flag Playing a

1178
00:59:20,760 --> 00:59:25,960
Speaker 1: flag Definitely playing duke is bet MGM's largest liability in the.

1179
00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:28,480
Speaker 1: Futures market they've taken more Tickets on duke and more

1180
00:59:28,520 --> 00:59:32,200
Speaker 1: Money on duke than any other Team and seamus also

1181
00:59:32,280 --> 00:59:34,040
Speaker 1: Knowther of Florida And michigan state are teams that they

1182
00:59:34,080 --> 00:59:36,600
Speaker 1: don't want to cut down. The, Nets obviously florida has

1183
00:59:36,640 --> 00:59:39,240
Speaker 1: looked very good of late and grabbed itself a number

1184
00:59:39,280 --> 00:59:42,320
Speaker 1: one seed and the process WINNING the, sec tournament And

1185
00:59:42,560 --> 00:59:45,520
Speaker 1: In michigan state won the Regular Season big ten title

1186
00:59:45,560 --> 00:59:48,200
Speaker 1: and is up relatively hat there on the odds board.

1187
00:59:48,640 --> 00:59:53,800
Speaker 1: As well florida is the second largest liability FOR bettam

1188
00:59:53,880 --> 00:59:56,560
Speaker 1: gm and. Here's why the largest Bet That benham gym

1189
00:59:56,600 --> 00:59:58,880
Speaker 1: is reporting right now to win The national championhip Was

1190
00:59:58,920 --> 01:00:00,280
Speaker 1: on florida if it was made a a couple of,

1191
01:00:00,320 --> 01:00:03,720
Speaker 1: weeks ago one hundred thousand dollars at nine. To one

1192
01:00:04,160 --> 01:00:06,600
Speaker 1: so If the gators, get there then that better is

1193
01:00:06,640 --> 01:00:10,680
Speaker 1: going to clear nine hundred thousand dollars. IN profit a

1194
01:00:10,680 --> 01:00:14,280
Speaker 1: few other bets of note on championship futures much less

1195
01:00:14,320 --> 01:00:17,760
Speaker 1: money bet but at much Greater Odds saint john's two

1196
01:00:17,840 --> 01:00:21,560
Speaker 1: thousand bucks at fifty. To one So if i'm doing my,

1197
01:00:21,600 --> 01:00:23,480
Speaker 1: MATH right i believe that's one hundred thousand dollars win

1198
01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:25,200
Speaker 1: If The red storm go all. The way And The

1199
01:00:25,240 --> 01:00:28,080
Speaker 1: red storm have looked very very good one thousand Dollars

1200
01:00:28,120 --> 01:00:30,760
Speaker 1: on missouri at one hundred and twenty five, to One

1201
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:32,960
Speaker 1: and missouri's definitely a, good team but there you can

1202
01:00:33,000 --> 01:00:35,200
Speaker 1: still get a pretty decent Number, on missouri so that

1203
01:00:35,200 --> 01:00:37,320
Speaker 1: would clear one hundred and twenty, five thousand and Then On,

1204
01:00:37,400 --> 01:00:40,880
Speaker 1: michigan state very, modest bet only four, hundred bucks but

1205
01:00:41,640 --> 01:00:44,480
Speaker 1: at plus fifty thousand.

1206
01:00:44,120 --> 01:00:45,480
Speaker 4: At, One point i'm surprised they were.

1207
01:00:45,480 --> 01:00:48,960
Speaker 1: That long that's way, out there so potentially a good

1208
01:00:49,000 --> 01:00:50,640
Speaker 1: six figure payout on that one.

1209
01:00:50,680 --> 01:00:51,600
Speaker 2: As well AND as, I.

1210
01:00:51,560 --> 01:00:54,120
Speaker 1: Knowed duke is the number One liability florida the second,

1211
01:00:54,120 --> 01:00:58,600
Speaker 1: Biggest Liability michigan state third biggest liability FOR, bet mgm

1212
01:00:58,960 --> 01:01:02,200
Speaker 1: and in terms of tickets and money Wagered On national,

1213
01:01:02,280 --> 01:01:05,400
Speaker 1: Championship features duke is, Number one auburn, Number Two michigan

1214
01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:08,400
Speaker 1: state number three in tickets and, in Money it's duke,

1215
01:01:08,640 --> 01:01:12,600
Speaker 1: Number one florida, number two obviously bolstered by that one

1216
01:01:12,680 --> 01:01:16,080
Speaker 1: hundred thousand, dollars Bet and auburn number three got a

1217
01:01:16,120 --> 01:01:20,040
Speaker 1: little BIT from espn bet as well to Win The.

1218
01:01:20,120 --> 01:01:23,000
Speaker 1: National championship the, Overall market duke leads the way, in

1219
01:01:23,080 --> 01:01:26,840
Speaker 1: tickets almost twice as many Bets on duke as on Number,

1220
01:01:26,920 --> 01:01:29,240
Speaker 1: Two Florida so duke is lapping the field in terms,

1221
01:01:29,240 --> 01:01:33,000
Speaker 1: of Bets and Florida and auburn are tied for second

1222
01:01:33,040 --> 01:01:36,400
Speaker 1: in terms of money WAGERED At, espn Bet but duke

1223
01:01:36,480 --> 01:01:38,640
Speaker 1: is number one there about one and a half times

1224
01:01:38,680 --> 01:01:41,720
Speaker 1: more Money than Florida or, auburn again who are tied.

1225
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:44,240
Speaker 1: For second most they run, two three i, should say

1226
01:01:44,240 --> 01:01:47,720
Speaker 1: in tickets and are tied in terms of handle to

1227
01:01:47,760 --> 01:01:49,919
Speaker 1: win The. National championship so they were having a little

1228
01:01:49,960 --> 01:01:52,560
Speaker 1: bit of a look at some interesting games in the.

1229
01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:54,480
Speaker 1: First round obviously the number one seeds are gonna be,

1230
01:01:54,560 --> 01:01:57,360
Speaker 1: huge favorites, no reason no real reason to talk about those,

1231
01:01:57,360 --> 01:01:59,160
Speaker 1: ones yet and also.

1232
01:01:58,960 --> 01:01:59,760
Speaker 4: A little bit of a look.

1233
01:01:59,800 --> 01:02:02,080
Speaker 1: At futures duke is going to be a problem FOR,

1234
01:02:02,080 --> 01:02:05,600
Speaker 1: bet mgm and PROBABLY For espn bet and likely for every,

1235
01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:09,160
Speaker 1: other book Especially If cooper fly ends up playing in

1236
01:02:09,160 --> 01:02:10,640
Speaker 1: the tournament and is fully healthy and good.

1237
01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:15,720
Speaker 4: To go, all right that'll do it. For us it's

1238
01:02:15,760 --> 01:02:18,160
Speaker 4: time to go really dive into. These games Thanks to

1239
01:02:18,680 --> 01:02:22,280
Speaker 4: Greg and mike for, Joining me thanks to our Producer

1240
01:02:22,840 --> 01:02:24,440
Speaker 4: get fed on the. Back end, most pointly thanks to

1241
01:02:24,480 --> 01:02:26,160
Speaker 4: all of you for. Tuning in thanks to OUR sponsor

1242
01:02:26,200 --> 01:02:30,400
Speaker 4: bet three to sixty Five Reminder big Bets On campus

1243
01:02:30,520 --> 01:02:32,440
Speaker 4: reevey listening to podcast while a bunch of episodes coming

1244
01:02:32,440 --> 01:02:35,640
Speaker 4: out in the next. Two Days chicago Lead Eight saturday

1245
01:02:36,000 --> 01:02:37,800
Speaker 4: Joe's On. Wheach street make sure you are cp. To

1246
01:02:37,880 --> 01:02:39,439
Speaker 4: that if you want to join, us there up's free

1247
01:02:40,200 --> 01:02:43,840
Speaker 4: and we'll have some live shows throughout. The tournament but

1248
01:02:43,920 --> 01:02:49,520
Speaker 4: thanks for, Tuning in, good luck happy. Bracket hunting we'll

1249
01:02:49,560 --> 01:03:04,840
Speaker 4: see you all later in. The. Week Cheers action network

1250
01:03:04,920 --> 01:03:06,280
Speaker 4: reminds you please.

1251
01:03:06,320 --> 01:03:09,800
Speaker 1: Gamble responsibly if you or someone you care about has a,

1252
01:03:09,840 --> 01:03:13,200
Speaker 1: gambling problem help is available twenty four to seven at

1253
01:03:13,240 --> 01:03:14,440
Speaker 1: one Eight hundred gambler