WEBVTT - The Mark Moss Show Jan 28, 2022

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, everyone, welcome to another episode of The Mark Moss

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<v Speaker 1>Show where we're talking about bitcoin. We're talking about bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking about the decentralized revolution. Each and every week

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<v Speaker 1>it's the most important, most profitable part of your week,

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<v Speaker 1>trying to understand what's going on. Of course, each and

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<v Speaker 1>every week I bring to you some education to help

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<v Speaker 1>you build that foundation. I bring you the latest breaking

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<v Speaker 1>news and headlines, and then I try to bring you

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<v Speaker 1>some of the best and brightest people in the industry

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<v Speaker 1>to give you some some different insights into what's going on.

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<v Speaker 1>And um today I'm in the studio with a with

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<v Speaker 1>a good friend, Brandon quit Um. You can find him

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at b quit Um. That's q U I

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<v Speaker 1>T t e m at b quit Um. He uh.

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<v Speaker 1>He works with Swan Bitcoin and company that I work

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<v Speaker 1>with as well, and um man, he has just some

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<v Speaker 1>great insights. I always love talking to him. So Brandon,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for joining. Hey, Mark, thanks for having me on.

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<v Speaker 1>Good to see you as always. Yeah, you know, I know,

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<v Speaker 1>um shoot, I think it was like a month ago.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe we were both in Miami. Um, we both we

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<v Speaker 1>both did kind of shows with Peter mccorm podcast, which

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<v Speaker 1>was which was cool, and then we got to go

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<v Speaker 1>have have some dinner. And UM, I always love having

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<v Speaker 1>conversations with you, and I wanted to talk about that.

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<v Speaker 1>We were both kind of laying out different thesis is UM,

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<v Speaker 1>but they also overlap at the same time. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think there's some some some good stuff in there. And UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I think the big thing is like, Uh, you've been

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<v Speaker 1>talking a lot about, you know, an eighty year cycle

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<v Speaker 1>that's based off of a book, UM, the Fourth Turning,

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<v Speaker 1>And UM, well, I think the Fourth Turning is interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>It's it's bigger than that. UM. But it's kind of

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<v Speaker 1>like this eighty year cycle. And UM, while I've been

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<v Speaker 1>saying that, a lot of what's going on today as

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<v Speaker 1>far as like UM, tensions are high, people alread each

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<v Speaker 1>other's throats. There's people all over the world that are

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<v Speaker 1>protesting in the streets, and a lot of people think

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<v Speaker 1>it's random, right, like, uh, it's a black Swan event.

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<v Speaker 1>Like who would have ever predicted that a virus would

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<v Speaker 1>come and do this? Right, It's it's random. Um. History

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<v Speaker 1>actually tells us it's not random. History actually tells us that, no,

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<v Speaker 1>this is you can call it the virus if you will,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's not random. Would you agree with that, and

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<v Speaker 1>if so, maybe set that up for us a little bit. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's a good point. I definitely do not

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<v Speaker 1>think that what we're seeing today is random. Um. Obviously

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<v Speaker 1>the world is complex. However, in in the individuals that

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<v Speaker 1>we all are acting in our own local environment, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>there appears to be patterns that emerge from this individual

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<v Speaker 1>actor level. And one thing that humans struggle with related

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<v Speaker 1>to this is that we always think linearly what I

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<v Speaker 1>do yesterday? What am I doing tomorrow? And that that

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<v Speaker 1>works in some instances, but it also leads us astray

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<v Speaker 1>when looking at the grand picture, the bigger picture of history.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I would I would turn people to cycles,

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<v Speaker 1>and I would like people to accept the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>cycles exist. Right. We measure our days and our years

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<v Speaker 1>based on cycles in um, the sun and the moon

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<v Speaker 1>for example. UM. If you look through history, their cycles

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<v Speaker 1>between is labor strong? Is capital strong? The individual? The collective?

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<v Speaker 1>Are we religious? Not? Right? There's all these different cycles.

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<v Speaker 1>And yeah, I do think we're at the end of

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<v Speaker 1>a long cycle, both from a Ray Dalio debt perspective,

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<v Speaker 1>but also through the fourth turning lens, which just looks

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<v Speaker 1>at individuals and the generations that they make up. And

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<v Speaker 1>the thesis is essentially that we're all born in the

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<v Speaker 1>same time period. Let's say we're millennials were born at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time, so the conditions upon which we're raised

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<v Speaker 1>are all the same, and so that sort of imprints

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<v Speaker 1>us with a certain mode, and we sort of respond

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<v Speaker 1>in predictive ways as a group, and then that group

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<v Speaker 1>sort of grows up and then they start to push

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<v Speaker 1>back on history and in somewhat predictable ways. So the

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<v Speaker 1>individual is unpredictable, but the demographics or the generational segment

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<v Speaker 1>is a little bit more predictable. And you mentioned one

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<v Speaker 1>thing about what we're seeing in the world, like is

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<v Speaker 1>the cancel culture consistent or is that new right? And

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<v Speaker 1>I think what most people notice right now is no

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<v Speaker 1>one can trust the institutions. And that's very common at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the cycle, where essentially we look around

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<v Speaker 1>and we see healthcare, we see politics, we see government,

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<v Speaker 1>we see economics, and none of these institutions work for us.

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<v Speaker 1>And so that eroding trust sort of causes us to

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<v Speaker 1>civilization to respond in a way where it's time to

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<v Speaker 1>collectivize and it's time to make change, and that's sort

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<v Speaker 1>of the stress we feel right now. It's also at

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<v Speaker 1>the valley of the religious cycle. And so this is

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<v Speaker 1>the lowest point of religion the last eight years. And

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<v Speaker 1>so instead of turning to higher powers like traditional religions,

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<v Speaker 1>we choose politics as our religion. And that's why you

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<v Speaker 1>see so much in fighting right now. Who There's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of things in there. I should have been I

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<v Speaker 1>should have been writing more of them down. UM. I

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<v Speaker 1>think about one the loss of trust institutions, as you said, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and then I think about the low point of religion,

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<v Speaker 1>and and those are a little bit different. Let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>about the religion one for a minute, because is I

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<v Speaker 1>think what we have is that um, and and you

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<v Speaker 1>tell me where this fits in. But like what we

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<v Speaker 1>have is that the media is trying to tell us

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<v Speaker 1>today that we organize based off of sex or preference

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<v Speaker 1>or race or gender or whatever it may be. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>But really we we we organize or group on values.

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<v Speaker 1>So like at the Bitcoin conference, for example, would be

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<v Speaker 1>thirty five thousand people, all different races and genders and

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<v Speaker 1>sexual preference, whatever, but we're all they're based off of

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<v Speaker 1>shared values. And UM, it seems like morality or if

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<v Speaker 1>you want to call it religion has a and whatever

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<v Speaker 1>religion you want to, you know, subscribe to UM. They

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<v Speaker 1>have the shared sense of values of morality. And the

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<v Speaker 1>United States also used to have a shared set of values, right,

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<v Speaker 1>hard work and freedom and things like that, and it

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<v Speaker 1>seems like it's been completely destroyed. Not just all religion

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<v Speaker 1>has been driven out, but all sense of values. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>would you group kind of morality together like that? And

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<v Speaker 1>is that kind of how you see it? Yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's right. I think religion is one source of

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<v Speaker 1>morality that people have drawn. Another one would be traditional

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<v Speaker 1>American values, like you said, which is power to the individual,

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<v Speaker 1>decentralization of central control from our government standpoint right. Essentially,

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<v Speaker 1>everyone has a chance, everyone has an equal opportunity to succeed.

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<v Speaker 1>And what it seems like now is that the state

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<v Speaker 1>has increasingly grown in size and power. And what that's

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<v Speaker 1>led to is UM individuals essentially outsourcing our higher power

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<v Speaker 1>or our morality to the big government. And so it

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<v Speaker 1>sort of feels like a surrogate parent or a surrogate

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<v Speaker 1>god in a sense. And so what that's led to

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<v Speaker 1>is a sort of a decline in what we would

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<v Speaker 1>consider traditional values. UM A decline from classical liberal values

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<v Speaker 1>and instead sort of a more of a collectivist mindset.

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<v Speaker 1>And UM, during chaotic periods like this, right, we're going

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<v Speaker 1>through a lot of volatility. I think everyone would agree

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<v Speaker 1>with that. During that period, it is natural to try

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<v Speaker 1>to collectivize a little bit because as we see this

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<v Speaker 1>grand challenge and it feels like the right thing to

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<v Speaker 1>do is come together and make the change. But that

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<v Speaker 1>also has some dark consequences. Right. For example, we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of cancel culture, and that is that feels

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<v Speaker 1>to me like an impulse from society to say, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>there's big problems, we have to work together to get

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<v Speaker 1>through them. And if you're not with us, you're against us. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the phrase that I always come back to you.

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<v Speaker 1>And so what it leads to as individuals essentially eating

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<v Speaker 1>their own um. And so I call I call cancel

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<v Speaker 1>culture friendly fire and UM. It feels like the right

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<v Speaker 1>thing to do, but it actually undermines what we need,

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<v Speaker 1>which is to push decision making back out to the individual. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>That's how society is strongest, That's where prosperity is built

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<v Speaker 1>by individuals working hard and creating value rather than giving

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<v Speaker 1>up control to the centralized planners who, despite their best intentions, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>central planning is not an appropriate way to steer an economy.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just not fundamentally possible to a lurp up all

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<v Speaker 1>the data that a market economy produces. And so we're

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<v Speaker 1>sort of, in my view, we're sort of shooting ourselves

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<v Speaker 1>in the foot by over collectivizing here. Um. And if

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<v Speaker 1>we want to tie one more thing back to these cycles,

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<v Speaker 1>about eighty years ago, we're on the tail end of

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<v Speaker 1>World War two or sorry that the beginning of World

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<v Speaker 1>War two and the end of the Great Depression, and

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<v Speaker 1>we saw a similar impulse where a lot of collectivism

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<v Speaker 1>came together, and that might have been needed during World

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<v Speaker 1>War two. But I do not see a reason for

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<v Speaker 1>us to overly collectivized or overly spend money now, as

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<v Speaker 1>if we're in wartime conditions. There's a lot of things

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<v Speaker 1>to dig in on that, um good places. I was

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<v Speaker 1>um talking to another big investor, kind of macro guy yesterday,

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<v Speaker 1>UM Chris Martinson, and he said, UM, I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>the world is in a blowoff top right now. So

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<v Speaker 1>in economics or in bitcoin, if you look at like

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<v Speaker 1>we had, there's this huge pair of allah run and

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<v Speaker 1>then you have the blowoff top and he said he

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<v Speaker 1>thinks the world is gonna blow blow off top. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna explain what that means in a second. Um, if

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<v Speaker 1>you're listening to the markma Show, we're talking about bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking about cryptocurrencies and this decentralized revolution. We're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about it from a bigger lens today with Brandon quit

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<v Speaker 1>Hum from Swan Bitcoin. He's in the studio with me

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<v Speaker 1>at b quit Um on Twitter. Give him a shout

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<v Speaker 1>out and say hi, check out Swan Bitcoin. UM, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna talk more about how bitcoin fix into this

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<v Speaker 1>long lens of cycles. Don't go away and be right back,

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<v Speaker 1>all right, welcome back. You are listening to the Mark

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<v Speaker 1>Moa Show and we're talking about bitcoin and and the

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<v Speaker 1>decentralized revolution that's happening. And I'm joined in the studio

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<v Speaker 1>to day by my friend that Brandon quit Um from

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<v Speaker 1>Swan Bitcoin. You can find him on Twitter at b

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<v Speaker 1>quit Um q U I T T E M. And

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about of course bitcoin. Um, we're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>it from a much longer lens. UM looking at really

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<v Speaker 1>an eighty year time frame. I like to look back

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<v Speaker 1>at two U fifty years and five hundred years, but

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<v Speaker 1>but we're looking at eighty years. Some of it is

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<v Speaker 1>based off of a book called The Fourth Turning, which

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<v Speaker 1>talks about four twenty year cycles, um, and then some

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<v Speaker 1>of it is just some other stuff that we have.

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<v Speaker 1>But UM Brandon, before the break, I was telling you

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<v Speaker 1>I was talking to this other a macro investor yesterday, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>Chris Martinson, and he was talking about how he thinks

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<v Speaker 1>the world is going into a blowoff top and so

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<v Speaker 1>in in in financial markets, a blow off top is

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<v Speaker 1>when you start going to this parabolic phase. And what

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<v Speaker 1>happens is humans were very basic. We're motivated by two things.

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<v Speaker 1>We want to rush towards pleasure and run from pain.

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<v Speaker 1>And so when the prices of things start going higher, higher, higher,

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<v Speaker 1>it starts sucking everybody in. They want pleasure and they

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<v Speaker 1>bye bye bye bye bye, which then only pushes things

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<v Speaker 1>up even higher. And then when it blows off, then

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<v Speaker 1>people want to run from pain, so they cell Celles

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<v Speaker 1>cell And what he was saying is he thinks the

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<v Speaker 1>world is heading into a blow off top of socialism.

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<v Speaker 1>And so you had just said that we're starting to

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<v Speaker 1>push more and more stuff onto the state and that's

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<v Speaker 1>basically the same thing he said. And so you think

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<v Speaker 1>about socialism dying, Um, you know maybe with the fall

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<v Speaker 1>of the Berlin Wall in Russia, etcetera. But it but

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<v Speaker 1>it didn't. And really, you know, even in the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen it really increase since, not decreased. And he

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<v Speaker 1>kind of made the same point that we're continuing to

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<v Speaker 1>put more and more stuff on the state. So like,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to deal with my healthcare, you just

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<v Speaker 1>handle healthcare. I don't want to day with my kids,

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<v Speaker 1>you just handle education, right and and all throughout the

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<v Speaker 1>world we've done that, and that's socialism, um. And the

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<v Speaker 1>nanny state has grown and it's starting to just suck

0:11:30.080 --> 0:11:32.679
<v Speaker 1>in everything. And he said, I think it's going up.

0:11:32.679 --> 0:11:35.000
<v Speaker 1>It's sucking everything, and we're in this parabala and then

0:11:35.000 --> 0:11:37.480
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna have this socialism blow off top. Does that

0:11:37.520 --> 0:11:41.000
<v Speaker 1>sound like maybe it makes some sense? Yeah, I hate

0:11:41.000 --> 0:11:44.200
<v Speaker 1>to say that. That does sound like it does make sense. Um.

0:11:44.240 --> 0:11:46.880
<v Speaker 1>I think that would be again a huge mistake. And

0:11:47.000 --> 0:11:50.040
<v Speaker 1>it might feel nice in the short term for individuals

0:11:50.040 --> 0:11:54.720
<v Speaker 1>to give up autonomy or our agency to the state. Um. However,

0:11:54.800 --> 0:11:57.160
<v Speaker 1>it brings back that problem again, which is that the

0:11:57.200 --> 0:12:00.440
<v Speaker 1>world is more complex than we think. And it certainly

0:12:00.440 --> 0:12:03.560
<v Speaker 1>more complex than a group of central planners. No matter

0:12:03.640 --> 0:12:06.280
<v Speaker 1>how many equations they have, no matter how much data

0:12:06.320 --> 0:12:09.960
<v Speaker 1>they think they can collect, the reality is civilization is

0:12:10.000 --> 0:12:13.440
<v Speaker 1>far more complex, and so UM. I would like to

0:12:13.480 --> 0:12:17.080
<v Speaker 1>see a world where we rebuild with market based economies,

0:12:17.080 --> 0:12:19.760
<v Speaker 1>which have proven to be more successful. UM. But what

0:12:19.800 --> 0:12:23.240
<v Speaker 1>I what I attribute this resurgence to is one economic

0:12:23.280 --> 0:12:26.400
<v Speaker 1>inequality is at a I think it's about an eighty

0:12:26.480 --> 0:12:29.680
<v Speaker 1>year high for that as well. And in that type

0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:32.480
<v Speaker 1>of situation, people do get desperate and they do look

0:12:32.480 --> 0:12:35.800
<v Speaker 1>for someone to bail them out. UM. However, that that's

0:12:35.840 --> 0:12:38.320
<v Speaker 1>not the way forward. I just can't. I just can't

0:12:38.320 --> 0:12:40.520
<v Speaker 1>handle that sort of a future. And I think what

0:12:40.559 --> 0:12:43.800
<v Speaker 1>the state wants to do here is use better technology

0:12:44.280 --> 0:12:48.760
<v Speaker 1>to upgrade the state's capacity. And so we're seeing um

0:12:49.120 --> 0:12:52.120
<v Speaker 1>mass surveillance, both on the social layer but also on

0:12:52.200 --> 0:12:54.520
<v Speaker 1>the financial layer. And I think most people just sort

0:12:54.559 --> 0:12:58.280
<v Speaker 1>of accept that everything that they do is being spied on, UM,

0:12:58.280 --> 0:13:00.720
<v Speaker 1>which is a little bit scary. But the state assumes

0:13:00.760 --> 0:13:03.400
<v Speaker 1>they can just spy on everything and then make better

0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:06.960
<v Speaker 1>decisions on our behalf. And I don't think that that's

0:13:07.040 --> 0:13:09.400
<v Speaker 1>morally right. I think I would rather be in charge

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:12.319
<v Speaker 1>of my own life. Um. And simultaneously, it's just not

0:13:12.480 --> 0:13:15.319
<v Speaker 1>it's just not practically the best way to make decisions

0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:18.240
<v Speaker 1>because again, you can't make decisions from a central point.

0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:22.400
<v Speaker 1>Too much data, the world's too complex. Yeah, today I

0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:27.160
<v Speaker 1>saw Russia, the Bank of Russia, so that it's not official,

0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:30.760
<v Speaker 1>but the Bank of Russia calls for full ban on crypto.

0:13:31.040 --> 0:13:34.520
<v Speaker 1>Russia central Bank suggests making crypto trading, mining, and usage illegal.

0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:38.720
<v Speaker 1>Owning crypto would be allowed, so you can own it,

0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:40.960
<v Speaker 1>but you can't trade it or minded or use it.

0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:44.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't get that part. But but they said here,

0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:48.319
<v Speaker 1>I love this part right here. Um, by offering an

0:13:48.320 --> 0:13:50.640
<v Speaker 1>outlet for people to take their money out of the

0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:55.360
<v Speaker 1>national economy, they risk undermining it and making the regulator's

0:13:55.480 --> 0:14:03.160
<v Speaker 1>job of maintaining optimal monetary policies order. So by offering

0:14:03.200 --> 0:14:05.439
<v Speaker 1>an outlet, if if there's an anilet of people take

0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:07.559
<v Speaker 1>their money out, they risk undermine it and make the

0:14:08.000 --> 0:14:12.080
<v Speaker 1>regular job of maintaining this control the central planning maintain

0:14:12.160 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 1>optimal monetary policies harder. But but what's optimal, right? Optimal

0:14:17.559 --> 0:14:20.160
<v Speaker 1>for me isn't optimal for you, And that kind of

0:14:20.200 --> 0:14:23.640
<v Speaker 1>goes back to this central planner, like, how does somebody

0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:26.880
<v Speaker 1>in Washington know what's best for me in southern California?

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:31.120
<v Speaker 1>How does one person know what's best for million people

0:14:31.120 --> 0:14:33.840
<v Speaker 1>in the United States or you know whatever? Um, and

0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:36.560
<v Speaker 1>this is this is in Russia obviously, but I think

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:39.000
<v Speaker 1>that kind of goes to your point, like these central planners,

0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:42.480
<v Speaker 1>how do they know what's best for everybody? And and

0:14:42.800 --> 0:14:47.000
<v Speaker 1>is there one single best for everybody? These are good questions,

0:14:47.040 --> 0:14:50.280
<v Speaker 1>and um, you know my answer already. Of course they

0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:53.400
<v Speaker 1>can't know what's best for everyone, even though they'll pretend

0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:55.880
<v Speaker 1>to be the moral voice in the room. And of

0:14:55.920 --> 0:15:00.160
<v Speaker 1>course they make they make their They essentially build up

0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:03.400
<v Speaker 1>the problem upon which they're willing to solve or they're

0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:06.240
<v Speaker 1>the only ones capable of solving it. But the reality

0:15:06.320 --> 0:15:09.640
<v Speaker 1>is the solution a k A. State intervention in markets.

0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:14.400
<v Speaker 1>That solution actually is the problem, because by intervening with

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:19.360
<v Speaker 1>free market activity, you create all these unintended consequences. And

0:15:19.400 --> 0:15:23.720
<v Speaker 1>so um, not surprising coming from Russia, Um, not surprising

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:28.680
<v Speaker 1>coming from China. Right. Bitcoin is a freedom enabling technology.

0:15:28.760 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 1>It empowers the individual at the expense of the state

0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:35.680
<v Speaker 1>or any power structure who wants to coerce the individual.

0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:38.680
<v Speaker 1>And so I like to say that bitcoin is incongruent

0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 1>with authoritarianism. And so it's not surprising that we see

0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 1>these autocratic states push bitcoin out. Why because it undermines

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:51.600
<v Speaker 1>the central planners and so, um, what I see here

0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 1>as an opportunity is as China and Russia start to

0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:59.400
<v Speaker 1>push out this this freedom technology, this is an opportunity

0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:02.800
<v Speaker 1>for the u US to embrace this technology. China and

0:16:02.840 --> 0:16:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Russia are obviously are diametrically opposed global enemies to use

0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:10.280
<v Speaker 1>some colorful language, but if that is true, this is

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:14.600
<v Speaker 1>our turn to lean in because bitcoin is fundamentally of

0:16:14.640 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 1>American values. Bitcoin accepts the centralization of powered, empowers the individual. Um,

0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:24.240
<v Speaker 1>it is a freedom based technology. That's what made America

0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:27.120
<v Speaker 1>a strong country, and that that's why America is still

0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:31.600
<v Speaker 1>a strong country after several hundred years today. Yeah yeah,

0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:34.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, without playing deep into the politics side, I

0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 1>mean to your point, right, I mean, you said Russia

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:40.040
<v Speaker 1>and China are kind of diametrically opposed, but like the

0:16:40.160 --> 0:16:42.880
<v Speaker 1>US is even more so. So it's kind of like

0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:44.760
<v Speaker 1>this enemy of my enemy is my friend. Kind of

0:16:44.800 --> 0:16:49.000
<v Speaker 1>a thing, and you know, uh, maybe there you see

0:16:49.040 --> 0:16:50.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of China and Russia doing a lot of

0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:52.360
<v Speaker 1>the same things until we'rekin on the opposite side. And

0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:55.680
<v Speaker 1>I would hope I would like to see that the

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:58.400
<v Speaker 1>US would go, we'll shoot and and maybe with this

0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:01.040
<v Speaker 1>kind of Cold war re escalating kind of a thing

0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:03.640
<v Speaker 1>with Ukraine, they would the US would be like, well, shoot,

0:17:03.920 --> 0:17:06.159
<v Speaker 1>tensions are high with China and Russia right now, so

0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:08.600
<v Speaker 1>we should take the opposite side of the bet. If

0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:12.239
<v Speaker 1>they want to push bitcoin out, we should you know,

0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:15.439
<v Speaker 1>use it. And we have this huge economic advantage to

0:17:15.440 --> 0:17:17.560
<v Speaker 1>do so. We've taken over the big majority of the

0:17:17.600 --> 0:17:20.520
<v Speaker 1>mining because bitcoin. China shot themselves in the foot with that.

0:17:21.720 --> 0:17:23.880
<v Speaker 1>But unfortunately I'm seeing that may not be the case.

0:17:23.920 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 1>And so today, at the time of this recording, UM

0:17:27.320 --> 0:17:30.639
<v Speaker 1>there was also a big conversation going on um in

0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:34.720
<v Speaker 1>among all the lawmakers in the United States talking about

0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:37.639
<v Speaker 1>what they should do in regards to proof of work

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:42.440
<v Speaker 1>versus proof of steak. Should they do something about that?

0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Brian Brooks, formerly of of a coin Base and then

0:17:46.320 --> 0:17:48.240
<v Speaker 1>of the o c C. He said, quote, it's not

0:17:48.320 --> 0:17:50.359
<v Speaker 1>up to the government to decide if bitcoin is important

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:53.800
<v Speaker 1>to the country's future. That's the market end quote. But

0:17:53.880 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 1>that's not what they think. I want to dig in

0:17:55.320 --> 0:17:57.440
<v Speaker 1>more to that when we come back. I mean the

0:17:57.480 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 1>studio we're talking about bitcoin and decentral cryptocurrency. We're talking

0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:04.960
<v Speaker 1>about the Bitcoin revolution. I'm innistry with Brandon Quidum. We're

0:18:04.960 --> 0:18:07.480
<v Speaker 1>gonna come back and talk more about what's going on

0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:10.320
<v Speaker 1>in this cycle and what they're talking about today. Don't

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:12.440
<v Speaker 1>miss it, don't go away, all right, welcome back. You're

0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 1>listening to the Mark Moa Show, and we're talking about bitcoin.

0:18:15.359 --> 0:18:19.520
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about the decentralized revolution, and uh, today we're

0:18:19.520 --> 0:18:22.159
<v Speaker 1>talking a little bit more specifically. Um. I got Brandon

0:18:22.200 --> 0:18:24.359
<v Speaker 1>Quitum in the studio with me, and we're talking about

0:18:24.760 --> 0:18:27.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of this eighty year lens kind of zooming out,

0:18:27.080 --> 0:18:29.120
<v Speaker 1>trying to get a little clarity how what we're seeing

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:32.160
<v Speaker 1>in the world today isn't random, it's actually repeated, repeated

0:18:32.200 --> 0:18:35.240
<v Speaker 1>throughout history. I mean, we're talking about kind of where

0:18:35.280 --> 0:18:37.760
<v Speaker 1>some of this fits into bitcoin today, and we're just

0:18:37.800 --> 0:18:40.800
<v Speaker 1>talking about how you see countries like China and Russia

0:18:40.960 --> 0:18:43.560
<v Speaker 1>really trying to get uh, you know, push bitcoin out

0:18:43.560 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 1>because it's opposite of what they want, which is freedom.

0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 1>They want to essentially plan a control app in the

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:52.520
<v Speaker 1>United States. Is the land of the free the United States.

0:18:52.520 --> 0:18:54.160
<v Speaker 1>I grew up in anyway with the land of the free.

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 1>UM and and I was reading a quote here. So today,

0:18:57.359 --> 0:19:00.480
<v Speaker 1>at the time of this recording, we had lawmakers talking

0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:04.200
<v Speaker 1>about bitcoin and mining and cryptocurrencies and proof of work

0:19:04.280 --> 0:19:08.159
<v Speaker 1>versus proof ofstaken and UH CEO Brian Brooks bit furious

0:19:08.160 --> 0:19:10.119
<v Speaker 1>CEO said it's not up to the government to decide

0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:13.720
<v Speaker 1>if bitcoin is important to the country's future. That's the markets,

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:18.119
<v Speaker 1>that's what he's saying. But we're kind of seeing the opposite. Um.

0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:22.000
<v Speaker 1>Of course, good old Senator Elizabeth Warren, everybody's a favorite

0:19:22.040 --> 0:19:26.480
<v Speaker 1>champion of the free markets. She said, quote the extraordinarily

0:19:26.640 --> 0:19:30.040
<v Speaker 1>high energy usage and carbon emissions associated with bitcoin mining

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:32.800
<v Speaker 1>could undo much of our work to tackle the climate,

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:36.280
<v Speaker 1>not to mention the harmful impacts of crypto mining has

0:19:36.280 --> 0:19:39.560
<v Speaker 1>on local governments and electricity prices. And here's the best part.

0:19:40.080 --> 0:19:42.840
<v Speaker 1>It's time for Congress and federal regulators to step up

0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 1>and address the serious risk that crypto poses to our

0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:52.119
<v Speaker 1>economy and our environment. So that part she's been saying

0:19:52.119 --> 0:19:53.359
<v Speaker 1>this on and on, this is not the first time

0:19:53.400 --> 0:19:58.359
<v Speaker 1>she said this the risk that cryptocurrency poses to our economy. Again,

0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:02.639
<v Speaker 1>if people same thing that Russia said, if people have

0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:08.600
<v Speaker 1>an outlet, it undermines our ability to manage the optimal economy.

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:11.200
<v Speaker 1>She's basically saying the same thing that Russia saying. It

0:20:11.320 --> 0:20:14.720
<v Speaker 1>sounds like to me, I don't know, what do you think? Yeah, Unfortunately,

0:20:14.760 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 1>it's not surprising comments coming from Elizabeth Warren. Um. What

0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:22.440
<v Speaker 1>really frustrates me here is that she claims to be

0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:25.800
<v Speaker 1>one of the people, and she always fights for individual

0:20:25.920 --> 0:20:30.080
<v Speaker 1>rights and individual financial freedoms especially, and she's very anti banks.

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:33.239
<v Speaker 1>When she fight for the individual's rights, or does she

0:20:33.600 --> 0:20:36.879
<v Speaker 1>fight for a collective group of less empowered people. I

0:20:36.880 --> 0:20:38.840
<v Speaker 1>think that's maybe a difference, right, She's trying to lump

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:43.440
<v Speaker 1>all everyone like kind of like kind of like Marxism

0:20:43.560 --> 0:20:46.720
<v Speaker 1>lumps the proletarians and the bourgeoisie together. So it's almost like,

0:20:46.760 --> 0:20:48.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if she's fine for the individual or

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 1>the collective group of these disempowered groups. Maybe Yeah, I

0:20:52.040 --> 0:20:54.640
<v Speaker 1>think I think you're right, that is more accurate. Um.

0:20:54.680 --> 0:20:56.520
<v Speaker 1>I guess the point I was trying to make is

0:20:56.640 --> 0:21:00.159
<v Speaker 1>her what she wants to be perceived as is in

0:21:00.320 --> 0:21:04.440
<v Speaker 1>anti banks. And yet what she's arguing here is that

0:21:04.800 --> 0:21:08.480
<v Speaker 1>individuals should not be able to be their own bank,

0:21:08.600 --> 0:21:11.880
<v Speaker 1>as it were, by owning bitcoin. She's arguing that the

0:21:11.920 --> 0:21:15.959
<v Speaker 1>existing financial system should be in charge of all economic

0:21:16.080 --> 0:21:18.879
<v Speaker 1>issues in the US. And to me, that sounds a

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:22.359
<v Speaker 1>lot like empowering the existing system, which doesn't seem to

0:21:22.400 --> 0:21:25.399
<v Speaker 1>be working for quite a few individuals, and so I

0:21:25.480 --> 0:21:28.600
<v Speaker 1>find that to be extremely um, a lot of hypocrisy,

0:21:28.640 --> 0:21:33.040
<v Speaker 1>will say in her in your comments there, Yeah, so um,

0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:35.159
<v Speaker 1>you had said in when you first opened up, you

0:21:35.200 --> 0:21:37.520
<v Speaker 1>were saying that like these institutions, we've seen the rise

0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:40.840
<v Speaker 1>or the growth of these institutions, you know, the continuing centralization,

0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:43.720
<v Speaker 1>the continuing growth of these things getting bigger. And then

0:21:43.720 --> 0:21:46.400
<v Speaker 1>you had said that if they're not working for people anymore,

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:49.639
<v Speaker 1>and so there's a loss of trust in these institutions

0:21:49.640 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 1>because they're not working for us anymore. And so if

0:21:52.080 --> 0:21:54.159
<v Speaker 1>we kind of go back to that in light of

0:21:54.160 --> 0:21:58.200
<v Speaker 1>what we talked about, right, um, where we have politicians

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:00.400
<v Speaker 1>like Elizabeth Warren trying to kind of grow o these

0:22:00.400 --> 0:22:03.240
<v Speaker 1>institutions even bigger, to take more power away, but we're

0:22:03.280 --> 0:22:06.520
<v Speaker 1>not trusting them. Uh, they're not working for us. And then,

0:22:06.960 --> 0:22:10.399
<v Speaker 1>in light of this eighty year cycle, where do you

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:13.120
<v Speaker 1>think things go from here? Or or maybe better yet,

0:22:13.119 --> 0:22:15.880
<v Speaker 1>where does history tell us things go from here? Yeah,

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:18.320
<v Speaker 1>that's a good question, And this is the most common

0:22:18.400 --> 0:22:21.439
<v Speaker 1>question I get when discussing the fourth turning is Okay, fine,

0:22:21.760 --> 0:22:23.960
<v Speaker 1>I feel you on the thesis. But where do we go?

0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:27.920
<v Speaker 1>And history says that we're right around the late nineteen

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:31.159
<v Speaker 1>thirties if we would look to the previous fourth turning cycle,

0:22:31.560 --> 0:22:33.679
<v Speaker 1>and so if you think about that time tail end

0:22:33.720 --> 0:22:37.640
<v Speaker 1>of the Great Depression, UM FDR new Deal, we're just trying,

0:22:37.720 --> 0:22:40.680
<v Speaker 1>we're building social security f D. I see a lot

0:22:40.760 --> 0:22:43.240
<v Speaker 1>of changes, but what we haven't had yet is the

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 1>beginning of World War Two. And historically in fourth turnings

0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:49.479
<v Speaker 1>there's always a crisis period which is sort of the

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:52.600
<v Speaker 1>peak the crescendo of this this part of the cycle.

0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:54.800
<v Speaker 1>And it's my belief that we have not hit the

0:22:54.800 --> 0:22:58.359
<v Speaker 1>crescendo yet. And I know that probably makes people a

0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:00.560
<v Speaker 1>little bit nervous. Hey, the last for you have been

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:03.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of scary. How could it get worse? And I

0:23:03.280 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 1>don't want to be the bearer of bad news, but

0:23:05.040 --> 0:23:07.440
<v Speaker 1>if I had to look to history, I would say

0:23:07.480 --> 0:23:10.080
<v Speaker 1>that it's going to get worse, and so what does

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:13.479
<v Speaker 1>that mean for the individual? UM? That means prepare. It

0:23:13.480 --> 0:23:16.400
<v Speaker 1>means think about what what what your future is? Make

0:23:16.480 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 1>yourself um anti fragile right, Maybe get a second passport,

0:23:20.920 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 1>maybe own some bitcoin that no one can take from you,

0:23:23.720 --> 0:23:25.960
<v Speaker 1>and just start to think what if things got worse?

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:28.880
<v Speaker 1>What if I lost my income? Um? Are you prepared

0:23:28.920 --> 0:23:32.960
<v Speaker 1>for volatility? And hopefully that that time never comes? But

0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:36.000
<v Speaker 1>I think it's prudent to prepare at this point. I

0:23:36.040 --> 0:23:39.200
<v Speaker 1>wonder I did Two weeks ago, I did a show

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:42.240
<v Speaker 1>I had just go on on. We were talking about

0:23:42.280 --> 0:23:46.040
<v Speaker 1>this mass formation psychosis, which is uh got a lot

0:23:46.040 --> 0:23:49.320
<v Speaker 1>of got a press and publicitly lately since Dr Malone

0:23:49.320 --> 0:23:52.080
<v Speaker 1>was on Joe Rogan UM and I was talking about that.

0:23:52.160 --> 0:23:53.800
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, have you have you heard any of

0:23:53.840 --> 0:23:56.080
<v Speaker 1>that about the mass formation psychosis? Okay, so you've you've

0:23:56.119 --> 0:23:58.879
<v Speaker 1>heard some of that. And what was interesting and I

0:23:58.880 --> 0:24:03.600
<v Speaker 1>had actually heard was his name Dr Dmitri Uh. I

0:24:03.640 --> 0:24:05.160
<v Speaker 1>heard him talk about it like four or five months

0:24:05.160 --> 0:24:08.480
<v Speaker 1>ago on Aubrey Marcus podcast. UM. But he was talking

0:24:08.520 --> 0:24:11.400
<v Speaker 1>about how how do we how do we get into it?

0:24:11.880 --> 0:24:17.040
<v Speaker 1>Which was people are disconnected, um, which I think is

0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:19.840
<v Speaker 1>a breakdown in society, a breakdown of religion, a breakdown

0:24:19.840 --> 0:24:22.160
<v Speaker 1>a morality, a breakdown of the family unit. Right, those

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 1>things keep people connected. So you break those things. To

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:26.120
<v Speaker 1>the point you were making earlier, you break those things down.

0:24:26.119 --> 0:24:29.880
<v Speaker 1>People are disconnected. Um. Each one is like a sort

0:24:29.920 --> 0:24:34.320
<v Speaker 1>of downstream. Then you have no, um, no sense of purpose.

0:24:34.400 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>So if you're not connected, there's no sense of purpose

0:24:36.520 --> 0:24:38.679
<v Speaker 1>that that makes sense. And then they have this this

0:24:38.960 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 1>uh untethered anxiety. And then somebody comes along and says,

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:44.520
<v Speaker 1>this is the reason why I come with me. But

0:24:44.640 --> 0:24:48.040
<v Speaker 1>more importantly I was thinking, um. He then said, the

0:24:48.119 --> 0:24:49.879
<v Speaker 1>solution to come out of that is then we need

0:24:49.920 --> 0:24:52.760
<v Speaker 1>to bring people. We need to connect people again. Um.

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:55.960
<v Speaker 1>If we connect people again, um, and then we want

0:24:56.040 --> 0:24:59.240
<v Speaker 1>to show them a better way. We can't say no, no, no,

0:24:59.320 --> 0:25:01.240
<v Speaker 1>don't go over there, stay where you're at, because they're

0:25:01.240 --> 0:25:04.200
<v Speaker 1>not happy with where they're at. We need to show

0:25:04.240 --> 0:25:06.480
<v Speaker 1>them no, don't go that way, actually go this way.

0:25:06.520 --> 0:25:10.640
<v Speaker 1>This is a better way. UM. And so I thought

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:12.840
<v Speaker 1>that was really cool. It made me think about bitcoin,

0:25:12.920 --> 0:25:15.719
<v Speaker 1>because this the central bank that the money printer has

0:25:15.760 --> 0:25:18.480
<v Speaker 1>distorted all these areas of life that they're unhappy with,

0:25:18.960 --> 0:25:20.560
<v Speaker 1>and if we can take them to a new sound

0:25:20.560 --> 0:25:22.680
<v Speaker 1>money system, maybe that's somewhere that they want to go.

0:25:23.320 --> 0:25:25.880
<v Speaker 1>But I'm curious how that may or may not fit

0:25:25.920 --> 0:25:27.560
<v Speaker 1>into this fourth turning where you kind of have this

0:25:27.680 --> 0:25:30.800
<v Speaker 1>fourth generation where they want to kind of recreate a

0:25:30.880 --> 0:25:34.879
<v Speaker 1>new world. Does that fit in somehow? Yeah, I do

0:25:34.960 --> 0:25:37.359
<v Speaker 1>think it does. And just to touch on the mass

0:25:37.359 --> 0:25:40.120
<v Speaker 1>formation psychosis really quickly, and then I'll connect it back

0:25:40.160 --> 0:25:45.399
<v Speaker 1>to the bigger question you post two minutes. If we're going, yeah, okay,

0:25:45.600 --> 0:25:47.760
<v Speaker 1>if we're gonna um, if we're going to get people

0:25:47.800 --> 0:25:50.040
<v Speaker 1>out of this, assuming there is some sort of mass

0:25:50.119 --> 0:25:54.919
<v Speaker 1>formation psychosis, turn off the news, find real friends locally, right,

0:25:55.080 --> 0:25:59.040
<v Speaker 1>adopt bitcoin, just totally diverge yourself and and find other

0:25:59.040 --> 0:26:01.119
<v Speaker 1>friends who are willing to do such a thing. And

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:03.000
<v Speaker 1>if we tie it back to the big picture here,

0:26:03.040 --> 0:26:06.479
<v Speaker 1>I think what bitcoin represents right now actually is the

0:26:06.560 --> 0:26:11.639
<v Speaker 1>solution to our our Frain institutions, because bitcoin itself actually

0:26:11.720 --> 0:26:15.000
<v Speaker 1>serves as an institution. It is sort of like a

0:26:15.000 --> 0:26:18.960
<v Speaker 1>a property rights government, judge, jury executioner all in one,

0:26:19.480 --> 0:26:23.639
<v Speaker 1>and so it provides the order that society needs today.

0:26:23.880 --> 0:26:25.960
<v Speaker 1>And so I think this both fits in at the

0:26:26.000 --> 0:26:28.320
<v Speaker 1>long term death cycle, right, we need to redo the

0:26:28.359 --> 0:26:31.440
<v Speaker 1>financial system. Okay, here's this bitcoin thing. And also it

0:26:31.520 --> 0:26:34.920
<v Speaker 1>serves the social need where people are crying out for order.

0:26:34.960 --> 0:26:37.159
<v Speaker 1>We're crying out for that one leader to give us

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:40.080
<v Speaker 1>that one solution. And it's my belief that bitcoin is

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:43.200
<v Speaker 1>best for the individual and also best for our planet

0:26:43.240 --> 0:26:46.040
<v Speaker 1>as we go through this major transition at the end

0:26:46.040 --> 0:26:51.359
<v Speaker 1>of another fourth turning. Yeah, it's just interesting. I know,

0:26:51.560 --> 0:26:53.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, each one of these cycles is different. And

0:26:53.920 --> 0:26:56.800
<v Speaker 1>the fourth turning it's popularized, was the you know, hard times,

0:26:56.840 --> 0:26:59.560
<v Speaker 1>great strong man, strong man, great great times, great times,

0:26:59.640 --> 0:27:02.000
<v Speaker 1>week and week been bad times. I think about it

0:27:02.000 --> 0:27:04.960
<v Speaker 1>like an eighty year cycle. You look at um Germany

0:27:05.040 --> 0:27:07.400
<v Speaker 1>coming out of World War two. Country was destroyed, worse,

0:27:07.480 --> 0:27:10.159
<v Speaker 1>hyper inflation. Ever, the people had to rebuild their country

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:13.719
<v Speaker 1>from their bare hands. Hard times created strong men. Germany

0:27:13.760 --> 0:27:16.320
<v Speaker 1>became the economic powerhouse of all of Europe. I mean,

0:27:16.359 --> 0:27:18.680
<v Speaker 1>they've been the economic engine of Europe and here we

0:27:18.720 --> 0:27:21.080
<v Speaker 1>are eighty years later. They only worked twenty eight hour weeks,

0:27:21.080 --> 0:27:22.880
<v Speaker 1>their taxes are the highest, and the nation they've shut

0:27:22.920 --> 0:27:25.960
<v Speaker 1>down all their energy and they're having extremely hard times

0:27:26.040 --> 0:27:29.280
<v Speaker 1>right now, just eighty years later, which is amazing. Um,

0:27:29.320 --> 0:27:31.440
<v Speaker 1>you're listening to the Markma Show. We're talking about bitcoin

0:27:31.840 --> 0:27:33.560
<v Speaker 1>from a long lens of history. I'm in the studio

0:27:33.600 --> 0:27:37.320
<v Speaker 1>with Brandon quithum Um from Swan Bitcoin talking about kind

0:27:37.320 --> 0:27:40.000
<v Speaker 1>of this fourth turning and how bitcoin fits into it. Uh,

0:27:40.200 --> 0:27:42.679
<v Speaker 1>don't go away back with more, everyone, welcome back. You

0:27:42.680 --> 0:27:45.760
<v Speaker 1>are listening to the Markma Show and we're discussing bitcoin

0:27:45.920 --> 0:27:49.119
<v Speaker 1>each and every week, of course, and this decentralized revolution

0:27:49.560 --> 0:27:51.880
<v Speaker 1>that's going on and there's so many ways to look

0:27:51.920 --> 0:27:54.560
<v Speaker 1>at this and one thing that I always loved and

0:27:54.600 --> 0:27:56.439
<v Speaker 1>if you if you've been watching my YouTube channel for

0:27:56.480 --> 0:27:58.480
<v Speaker 1>a long time, then you know I love to bring

0:27:58.680 --> 0:28:02.600
<v Speaker 1>history in the one subject that I liked in school. Um.

0:28:02.680 --> 0:28:04.680
<v Speaker 1>And if you're not watching my YouTube channel then you should,

0:28:04.760 --> 0:28:07.000
<v Speaker 1>so just check me out Mark Moss on YouTube. But

0:28:07.359 --> 0:28:09.359
<v Speaker 1>we're talking. I'm in the studio with Brandon quit Um

0:28:09.400 --> 0:28:11.480
<v Speaker 1>from Swan Bitcoin. You can find him at b quit

0:28:11.560 --> 0:28:14.239
<v Speaker 1>Um on Twitter, and we're kind of talking about this

0:28:14.440 --> 0:28:18.639
<v Speaker 1>uh eighty year cycle, this fourth turning generational theory kind

0:28:18.680 --> 0:28:22.560
<v Speaker 1>of thing and how it fits into bitcoin and we're

0:28:22.720 --> 0:28:26.200
<v Speaker 1>just kind of talking about this uh, mass formation psychosis.

0:28:26.280 --> 0:28:30.119
<v Speaker 1>That's and how that maybe fits in. Um. You know

0:28:30.560 --> 0:28:33.520
<v Speaker 1>one thing, Brandon is uh, you'd you'd said, you know,

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:35.960
<v Speaker 1>the one question everybody wants to ask is like what

0:28:36.119 --> 0:28:38.000
<v Speaker 1>comes next? And you said, well, maybe if we go

0:28:38.000 --> 0:28:43.040
<v Speaker 1>back to UM, we kind of see that. Um. I

0:28:43.080 --> 0:28:44.920
<v Speaker 1>was kind of looking at UM and I know this

0:28:44.960 --> 0:28:47.200
<v Speaker 1>isn't something that you've maybe studied a lot, but if

0:28:47.240 --> 0:28:50.000
<v Speaker 1>you zoom out, well, in the eighty year cycle, there's

0:28:50.000 --> 0:28:52.800
<v Speaker 1>also what's known as like a pendulum. And there's a

0:28:52.800 --> 0:28:56.120
<v Speaker 1>book actually written called the Pendulum, and every eighty years

0:28:56.240 --> 0:29:00.360
<v Speaker 1>goes between a me and a we cycle, so me

0:29:00.480 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 1>being individualism and we being collectivism, and so it kind

0:29:03.880 --> 0:29:07.800
<v Speaker 1>of swings back and forth over an eighty year cycle.

0:29:08.080 --> 0:29:13.280
<v Speaker 1>And UM, right now we're peeking out at centralization. That's

0:29:13.280 --> 0:29:16.600
<v Speaker 1>where the pendulum is maxing out at. And the pendulum

0:29:16.720 --> 0:29:19.120
<v Speaker 1>is going to swing back per you know this theory

0:29:19.440 --> 0:29:21.400
<v Speaker 1>which they've been able to trace it back for thousands

0:29:21.440 --> 0:29:26.160
<v Speaker 1>of years, UM, at least a thousand years maybe UM,

0:29:26.360 --> 0:29:30.480
<v Speaker 1>And uh, we're you know, the peak centralization is maxing out,

0:29:30.480 --> 0:29:35.640
<v Speaker 1>will swing back to decentralization. So maybe I guess that's

0:29:35.640 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 1>the direction that we go what's interesting is if you

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:42.240
<v Speaker 1>look at like a K wave chundurative wave theory, or

0:29:42.440 --> 0:29:44.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, technological revolutions, they happen on in between a

0:29:44.720 --> 0:29:48.720
<v Speaker 1>forty to sixty year time frame, about fifty years UM

0:29:48.840 --> 0:29:51.400
<v Speaker 1>and so at a time when the world is maxing

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:54.080
<v Speaker 1>out on centralization and it's about to start swinging back

0:29:54.080 --> 0:29:57.920
<v Speaker 1>to decentralization, we have a technological revolution, a K wave

0:29:58.000 --> 0:30:01.120
<v Speaker 1>that's starting with a new technology, the Bitcoin, that gives

0:30:01.200 --> 0:30:05.080
<v Speaker 1>us exactly what we need, which is decentralization. Is pretty interesting. Yeah,

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:06.800
<v Speaker 1>I think the way have a lot of good points there,

0:30:06.880 --> 0:30:10.160
<v Speaker 1>and I think there's some really nice parallels starting to

0:30:10.280 --> 0:30:13.200
<v Speaker 1>form as we move from a centralized world to a

0:30:13.280 --> 0:30:17.000
<v Speaker 1>primarily decentralized world. And you mentioned that the tech cycle

0:30:17.120 --> 0:30:19.720
<v Speaker 1>right where it's very clear that we're in the information age.

0:30:20.120 --> 0:30:22.480
<v Speaker 1>On the information age gave us the Internet, it gave

0:30:22.600 --> 0:30:26.240
<v Speaker 1>us remote work, it gave us a centralization of communication,

0:30:26.320 --> 0:30:29.320
<v Speaker 1>all these wonderful things. And I do see the very

0:30:29.440 --> 0:30:32.000
<v Speaker 1>very beginning of a new growth right in the in

0:30:32.040 --> 0:30:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the in the individual world. And so some parallels would be, um,

0:30:35.680 --> 0:30:40.520
<v Speaker 1>let's say mass media, right, the large media institutions, the CNN,

0:30:40.560 --> 0:30:44.440
<v Speaker 1>the New York times, shifting over to social media, which

0:30:44.480 --> 0:30:46.960
<v Speaker 1>now feels to be absorbed by the state into now

0:30:47.000 --> 0:30:50.520
<v Speaker 1>what we would maybe call independent media, things like Mark Moss,

0:30:50.920 --> 0:30:54.160
<v Speaker 1>things like Joe Rogan having more viewership than CNN, and

0:30:54.200 --> 0:30:56.400
<v Speaker 1>all the things combined. UM. I think we're going to

0:30:56.480 --> 0:31:00.960
<v Speaker 1>see a shift from centralized monetary systems like a dollar

0:31:01.200 --> 0:31:04.440
<v Speaker 1>or any other feed of currency, towards a decentralized monetary

0:31:04.480 --> 0:31:07.280
<v Speaker 1>system such as bitcoin. UM. I think we're starting to

0:31:07.280 --> 0:31:10.760
<v Speaker 1>see a pushback from industrial education or what we would

0:31:10.800 --> 0:31:15.760
<v Speaker 1>consider mainstream education, and we're seeing homeschool homeschooling on the rise,

0:31:16.080 --> 0:31:20.840
<v Speaker 1>growing exponentially, all these alternative online school type things. UM.

0:31:20.960 --> 0:31:23.480
<v Speaker 1>We're also seeing the death of the wage earner and

0:31:23.520 --> 0:31:26.600
<v Speaker 1>the rise of the creative economy right where young people

0:31:26.640 --> 0:31:29.520
<v Speaker 1>aren't loyal to their employers, nor should they be. Um,

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:32.880
<v Speaker 1>it's more of an information economy where individuals go out

0:31:32.920 --> 0:31:35.840
<v Speaker 1>there and solve problems and interact with the world. And

0:31:35.840 --> 0:31:38.480
<v Speaker 1>and now all of a sudden, capital goes from physical

0:31:38.560 --> 0:31:43.800
<v Speaker 1>goods machinery into ideas. Right. Um, we also have the

0:31:43.880 --> 0:31:46.360
<v Speaker 1>nine to five where you go into the office. Now

0:31:46.400 --> 0:31:48.880
<v Speaker 1>you can work remotely, and so you sort of add

0:31:48.920 --> 0:31:50.720
<v Speaker 1>all these things up and what do you get? You

0:31:50.760 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 1>get a very different world. And I think we can

0:31:53.880 --> 0:31:56.520
<v Speaker 1>also draw a thesis from another book I know you

0:31:56.560 --> 0:31:58.840
<v Speaker 1>and I have talked about, which is a sovereign individual,

0:31:59.200 --> 0:32:02.960
<v Speaker 1>which is that as we transition into the information age,

0:32:03.200 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 1>we're going to see a separation from large nation states

0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:10.840
<v Speaker 1>into smaller ones, sort of a Balkanization. And why does

0:32:10.840 --> 0:32:15.320
<v Speaker 1>this occur? While in an information economy there's actually diseconomies

0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:19.240
<v Speaker 1>of scale where the largest um or the largest country

0:32:19.600 --> 0:32:21.520
<v Speaker 1>is the one or the most powerful country is one

0:32:21.520 --> 0:32:23.920
<v Speaker 1>of the largest military. Now it's the one with the

0:32:24.000 --> 0:32:27.920
<v Speaker 1>most creative output or the most intangible capital. And so

0:32:28.080 --> 0:32:30.760
<v Speaker 1>I see instead of maybe two or three hundred countries,

0:32:31.120 --> 0:32:35.200
<v Speaker 1>I see maybe two thousand or three thousand countries, let's say,

0:32:35.200 --> 0:32:37.680
<v Speaker 1>over the next fifty years. And that's simply due to

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:41.520
<v Speaker 1>the fact that smaller, more nimble countries, let's say Singapore

0:32:41.600 --> 0:32:44.360
<v Speaker 1>for example, in recent times, um they actually have an

0:32:44.360 --> 0:32:47.160
<v Speaker 1>ability to take what we've learned from the previous age

0:32:47.480 --> 0:32:50.840
<v Speaker 1>and upgrade our governments into more of an information age style.

0:32:51.600 --> 0:32:53.680
<v Speaker 1>And I think that empowers the individual in all those

0:32:53.680 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 1>ways we mentioned. Very optimistic. Yeah, that's a that's a

0:32:57.200 --> 0:32:58.840
<v Speaker 1>great take. I mean if you go back two hundred

0:32:58.880 --> 0:33:02.400
<v Speaker 1>fifty years, UM, we had the start of the Industrial Revolution,

0:33:02.680 --> 0:33:06.440
<v Speaker 1>and the industrial revolution started centralizing and so um that

0:33:06.560 --> 0:33:08.280
<v Speaker 1>was the start of the factory, which was the start

0:33:08.320 --> 0:33:10.520
<v Speaker 1>of the cities, and then the giant factories and workers

0:33:10.560 --> 0:33:12.880
<v Speaker 1>and assembly lines and things like that. And so for

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:14.640
<v Speaker 1>the last two and or fifty years we've been on

0:33:14.640 --> 0:33:18.880
<v Speaker 1>this central as centralizing scale, or or pendulum, if you will.

0:33:19.480 --> 0:33:22.720
<v Speaker 1>And now that's starting to swing back the other way,

0:33:22.760 --> 0:33:26.320
<v Speaker 1>and now it's going to start decentralizing. So the centralization

0:33:26.360 --> 0:33:29.640
<v Speaker 1>not only centralized people from the farms in the fields

0:33:29.680 --> 0:33:33.120
<v Speaker 1>into cities and factories, but it also centralized economic activity

0:33:33.120 --> 0:33:35.520
<v Speaker 1>into a country. So if you want to be successful,

0:33:35.680 --> 0:33:38.240
<v Speaker 1>you had to be in America basically, So people left

0:33:38.240 --> 0:33:39.760
<v Speaker 1>from all over the world to come to America. And

0:33:39.760 --> 0:33:41.320
<v Speaker 1>then if you want to be successful America, you had

0:33:41.320 --> 0:33:42.840
<v Speaker 1>to move to the big city because that's where the

0:33:42.880 --> 0:33:46.720
<v Speaker 1>jobs were. Um. But today, especially sped up by the pandemic,

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:48.880
<v Speaker 1>to your point, people are moving everywhere. So we see

0:33:49.160 --> 0:33:52.600
<v Speaker 1>real estate blowing up in Wyoming and and uh, Montana

0:33:52.720 --> 0:33:56.680
<v Speaker 1>and Idaho or whatever. People can finally go live where

0:33:56.680 --> 0:33:59.600
<v Speaker 1>they want and still work. And then not even just that,

0:33:59.720 --> 0:34:03.520
<v Speaker 1>but also they can move to Central America or or

0:34:03.560 --> 0:34:07.760
<v Speaker 1>Mexico or whatever. I was. I drove from southern California

0:34:07.800 --> 0:34:11.279
<v Speaker 1>in northern California like two weeks ago, go snowboarding and

0:34:11.440 --> 0:34:15.960
<v Speaker 1>um driving from Orange County up to Mammoth Mountain. It's

0:34:15.960 --> 0:34:18.600
<v Speaker 1>about a six or seven hour drive with traffic, and

0:34:18.680 --> 0:34:23.280
<v Speaker 1>for probably four of those hours you don't see anything

0:34:23.920 --> 0:34:27.200
<v Speaker 1>like in California, Like you drive for like four hours

0:34:27.239 --> 0:34:30.360
<v Speaker 1>of nothing. And I was just thinking about I was

0:34:30.360 --> 0:34:34.680
<v Speaker 1>talking with my daughter and I was just like, you know, everything,

0:34:34.800 --> 0:34:37.400
<v Speaker 1>Like people that think the world's overcrowded haven't really traveled,

0:34:37.440 --> 0:34:39.560
<v Speaker 1>they haven't flown in an airplane or whatever, because it's

0:34:39.560 --> 0:34:42.319
<v Speaker 1>just people are super compacted in the cities. But that's

0:34:42.360 --> 0:34:45.359
<v Speaker 1>because of the industrialization of the world. But I think

0:34:45.400 --> 0:34:47.759
<v Speaker 1>things will really over the next fifty years, as you said,

0:34:47.840 --> 0:34:49.879
<v Speaker 1>or even hundred years, things will really start spreading out

0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:52.320
<v Speaker 1>more evenly throughout the country and throughout the world. It

0:34:52.560 --> 0:34:55.160
<v Speaker 1>would be pretty amazing. I think, Yeah, I think you're

0:34:55.239 --> 0:34:57.800
<v Speaker 1>right about that. And I guess the last piece I

0:34:57.840 --> 0:35:00.319
<v Speaker 1>would add to that is that the in it has

0:35:00.320 --> 0:35:02.440
<v Speaker 1>allowed us to do that and even move to Central

0:35:02.400 --> 0:35:06.040
<v Speaker 1>America or Mexico. But the money states centralized, they could

0:35:06.040 --> 0:35:08.720
<v Speaker 1>still squeeze the money, and that is the missing piece.

0:35:08.760 --> 0:35:10.879
<v Speaker 1>I think that really unlocks it. Yeah, that's a really

0:35:10.920 --> 0:35:14.279
<v Speaker 1>good point. Right, we could we could move, let's say

0:35:14.719 --> 0:35:18.520
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand seven, you could work remotely and travel

0:35:18.520 --> 0:35:22.640
<v Speaker 1>around and make a living online. However you're still hamstring

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:25.239
<v Speaker 1>by the money, which is such a foundational element. And

0:35:25.280 --> 0:35:29.000
<v Speaker 1>so yes, bitcoin does represent money for everyone. It's a

0:35:29.120 --> 0:35:33.040
<v Speaker 1>single economic language that the entire globe can can on

0:35:33.040 --> 0:35:36.600
<v Speaker 1>board too. And people might be wondering in the West, well,

0:35:36.800 --> 0:35:39.080
<v Speaker 1>we already have the dollar. The dollar works pretty well,

0:35:39.280 --> 0:35:42.279
<v Speaker 1>which is true, right, Relatively, the dollar is strong. We

0:35:42.320 --> 0:35:46.160
<v Speaker 1>have modern financial systems, but at least one billion, probably

0:35:46.200 --> 0:35:49.520
<v Speaker 1>more like two billion people don't have any financial services.

0:35:49.840 --> 0:35:52.280
<v Speaker 1>They can't raise money, they can't open a bank account,

0:35:52.360 --> 0:35:54.759
<v Speaker 1>they can't take out a mortgage, and so things we

0:35:54.800 --> 0:35:57.440
<v Speaker 1>take for granted here in the West, um, are are

0:35:57.520 --> 0:36:00.440
<v Speaker 1>things that bitcoin can solve globally. And you touched on

0:36:00.480 --> 0:36:04.000
<v Speaker 1>another point which I would like to highlight, which is federalism. Right,

0:36:04.239 --> 0:36:06.840
<v Speaker 1>states have their own ability to make their own laws,

0:36:07.200 --> 0:36:09.719
<v Speaker 1>and our founding fathers made this a really big deal

0:36:09.880 --> 0:36:13.279
<v Speaker 1>during the formation of the country for a couple of reasons. One,

0:36:13.360 --> 0:36:17.319
<v Speaker 1>it allows individuals in their local environment to choose the

0:36:17.440 --> 0:36:20.080
<v Speaker 1>rules that best represent the people that are going to

0:36:20.200 --> 0:36:23.120
<v Speaker 1>have to abide by those rules, So it's better for people.

0:36:23.640 --> 0:36:27.359
<v Speaker 1>And at the same time, it offers a laboratory to experiment.

0:36:28.120 --> 0:36:29.600
<v Speaker 1>If you want to live in New York and have

0:36:29.719 --> 0:36:33.040
<v Speaker 1>those rules, fine, move there, do what you do, and

0:36:33.080 --> 0:36:35.520
<v Speaker 1>we'll watch and see the results. And if you want

0:36:35.520 --> 0:36:38.239
<v Speaker 1>to move to Texas and have different rules, okay, we'll

0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:41.000
<v Speaker 1>see the competition and we'll let the best, the best

0:36:41.040 --> 0:36:43.520
<v Speaker 1>ideas rise to the top and then they can be distributed.

0:36:43.560 --> 0:36:47.319
<v Speaker 1>So practical and moral, yeah, that's the best. Vote with

0:36:47.360 --> 0:36:49.280
<v Speaker 1>your feet, vote with your money. But it only works

0:36:49.320 --> 0:36:51.200
<v Speaker 1>if you can actually move and vote in different areas.

0:36:51.239 --> 0:36:53.839
<v Speaker 1>When you federalize it or centralize it all doesn't work

0:36:53.880 --> 0:36:57.200
<v Speaker 1>as as well. That's why I believe the world shifts

0:36:57.280 --> 0:37:00.239
<v Speaker 1>is actually through competition, not through war. Let's into the

0:37:00.239 --> 0:37:03.520
<v Speaker 1>Markmas Show. We're talking about bitcoin and the decentralized revolution.

0:37:03.520 --> 0:37:06.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm in the studio with Brandon Quitum from swan Bitcoin.

0:37:06.880 --> 0:37:09.280
<v Speaker 1>Check them out swan Bitcoin, check out b quit Um

0:37:09.360 --> 0:37:12.400
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter. Um and that's it. Thanks for listening.