WEBVTT - Tech Stocks Slammed; New Bloomberg Presidential Poll

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Garen Moscow. Here are the

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<v Speaker 2>stories we're following today.

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<v Speaker 1>The drop in Nasdaq futures comes after a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>key tech earnings reports after the bell a huge run

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<v Speaker 1>up in a trio of stocks on optimism over artificial intelligence.

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<v Speaker 1>It's turning into investor disappointment this morning. Let's start with

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<v Speaker 1>Google parent Alphabet. Those shares are down more than five

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<v Speaker 1>and a half percent in early trading. Softness in the

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<v Speaker 1>company's core search advertising business is a focus, and we

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<v Speaker 1>get more on that from Bloomberg Technology host ed Ludlow

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<v Speaker 1>in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 3>One thesis or idea is that maybe the streets concern

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<v Speaker 3>about weakness in the search business is they don't yet

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<v Speaker 3>see tangible evidence that all of the R and D

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<v Speaker 3>and work in generative AI and all of the product

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<v Speaker 3>release is actually doing anything supportive to Google's core business.

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<v Speaker 3>Compare and contrast that with Microsoft, where you see the

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<v Speaker 3>contribution of AI across its kind of legacy and newer

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<v Speaker 3>offerings and software suites. Aed Lovelife for bloombergis in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, ed, thanks, So we're also seeing weakness in

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<v Speaker 2>shares of Microsoft this morning that stock is down about

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<v Speaker 2>one point six percent despite easily beating profit and revenue forecasts,

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<v Speaker 2>and we get the latest from Bloomberg's John Tucker, John

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<v Speaker 2>and Karen.

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<v Speaker 4>Microsoft posted its strongest revenue growth since twenty twenty two,

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<v Speaker 4>sixty two billion dollars. The profit easily beat estimates, coming

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<v Speaker 4>in at two dollars ninety three cents a share. Artificial

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<v Speaker 4>intelligence products are driving spending on cloud computing. Microsoft's as

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<v Speaker 4>Your Cloud Services sales gain thirty percent, But as one

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<v Speaker 4>analyst puts it, the company delivered a healthy set of results,

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<v Speaker 4>but not as strong enough dose to appease the market.

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<v Speaker 4>A loptimism for Microsoft's AI prospects last week cent to

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<v Speaker 4>its market cap above three trillion dollars. John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, John, thanks for also seeing shares of chip

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<v Speaker 1>maker Advanced micro Devices fall nearly seven percent. AMDs stock

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<v Speaker 1>had been one of the favorite picks of investors looking

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<v Speaker 1>for ways to bet on AI computing. The second biggest

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<v Speaker 1>maker of computer processors, gave a week revenue forecast for

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<v Speaker 1>the current period.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, Nathan, while investors diggest earnings, they'll have another huge

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<v Speaker 2>event on the calendar of this afternoon the FED decision

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<v Speaker 2>and more importantly J Powell's news conference, we get more

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<v Speaker 2>from Bloomberg's Michael McKee.

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<v Speaker 5>Will the Fed offer any surprises today? Certainly not on

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<v Speaker 5>interest rates. Fed funds stay in the five and a

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<v Speaker 5>quarter to five and a half percent range, and it

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<v Speaker 5>is likely they will change their tightening bias to something

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<v Speaker 5>more neutral, dropping language about additional policy firming. That will

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<v Speaker 5>put the burden of making news on Chairman J.

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<v Speaker 6>Powell.

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<v Speaker 5>The biggest news he could make would be guidance on

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<v Speaker 5>rake cut timing, which is very unlikely. Finally, with tug

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<v Speaker 5>in cheek, we ask, will Powell say the words soft landing?

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<v Speaker 5>Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Mike, thanks and catch our special edition at

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Survey Lence, the Fed decides starting at one thirty

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<v Speaker 2>pm Wall Street time on Bloomberg Radio and television.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's turn to politics. Now, this just crossed the Bloomberg terminal.

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<v Speaker 1>Karen a Brand Bloomberg News Morning Consult poll. It finds

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<v Speaker 1>President Biden continues to trail former President Donald Trump in

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<v Speaker 1>seven swing states. Six in ten voters in those states

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<v Speaker 1>say the president bears responsibility for a surge in migrants

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<v Speaker 1>at the US Mexico border.

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<v Speaker 7>Bloomberg's Amy Morris has the numbers. The monthly survey serves

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<v Speaker 7>as a warning for Biden, who lags Trump forty two

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<v Speaker 7>to forty eight percent across all seven swing states in

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<v Speaker 7>a head to head matchup, But when a third party

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<v Speaker 7>candidate is added, Trump's lead grows by another nine percentage

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<v Speaker 7>points and voter's main concern is the economy by far,

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<v Speaker 7>but now more respondents also call immigration their most important issue.

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<v Speaker 7>The gap between those two issues is narrowing, which suggests

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<v Speaker 7>the Republican efforts to put immigration at the center of

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<v Speaker 7>the campaign are working, and the trust gap is growing

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<v Speaker 7>by a twenty two point margin. Swing state voters say

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<v Speaker 7>they trust Trump over Biden to handle immigration. In Washington,

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<v Speaker 7>Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio, All right, Amy.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you well. From the White House to Congress, the

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<v Speaker 2>House Homeland Security Committee has voted along party lines to

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<v Speaker 2>move toward in peaching Homelands and Security Secretary Alejandro Majorcis

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<v Speaker 2>over problems at the border. Republican Marjorie Taylor Green has

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<v Speaker 2>been pushing this since last year. The facts and the

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<v Speaker 2>data and the statistics do not lie.

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<v Speaker 7>Secretary Mayorcis is willfully breaking federal immigration laws.

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<v Speaker 2>Congressoman Marjorie Taylor Green spoke from the House floor, and

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<v Speaker 2>Democrats here, Republicans are not providing the resources to enforce

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<v Speaker 2>the law.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, let's turn back to the markets and company news.

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<v Speaker 1>Karen Walmart has announced a three for one stock split,

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<v Speaker 1>and we get the story from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett.

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<v Speaker 8>The company says a lower price will help more of

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<v Speaker 8>its employees buy shares. CEO Doug McMillan said, quote, Sam

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<v Speaker 8>Walton believed it was important to keep our share price

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<v Speaker 8>in a range where purchasing whole shares rather than fractions,

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<v Speaker 8>was accessible to all of our associates. The world's largest

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<v Speaker 8>retailer has an existing stock purchase program for employees, through

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<v Speaker 8>which they buy stock directly and the company matches fifteen

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<v Speaker 8>percent of the purchase up to eighteen hundred dollars a year.

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<v Speaker 8>In New York, Charlie Bloomberg Radio, All right.

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<v Speaker 2>Charlie, thanks Lelon Muss fifty five billion dollar Tesla pay

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<v Speaker 2>package has been struck down by a Delaware judge following

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<v Speaker 2>a shareholder challenge. If the decision survives appeal, it could

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<v Speaker 2>threaten the entrepreneur's fortune and throw the fate of his

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<v Speaker 2>companies into question. Mus twenty eighteen award was the largest

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<v Speaker 2>compensation package in history. Tesla's board will now need to

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<v Speaker 2>agree on new payment terms for their CEO.

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<v Speaker 1>And Karin and other wealthy executives. In the news, Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>News has learned media mogul Byron Allens made a fourteen

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<v Speaker 1>point three billion dollar offer for all outstanding shares of

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<v Speaker 1>Paramount Global. Paramount is one of the crown jewels in

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<v Speaker 1>a global media empire controlled by the Redstone family. Shares

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<v Speaker 1>of Paramount are up nearly twenty one percent in early training.

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<v Speaker 2>And Bloomberg News has learned Carlisle Group co founder David

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<v Speaker 2>Rubinstein and a consortium of investors have agreed to buy

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<v Speaker 2>the Baltimore Orioles baseball team from the Angelos family for

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<v Speaker 2>one point seventy three billion dollars. Time now for a

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<v Speaker 2>look at some of the other stories making news around

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<v Speaker 2>the world, and for that were joined by Bloomberg's Amy

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<v Speaker 2>Morris Samy.

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Good morning, Karen.

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<v Speaker 7>Some are calling Israel's secret counter terrorism operation at a

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<v Speaker 7>hospital in the West Bank a potential war crime. Members

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<v Speaker 7>of the Israeli special forces disguised themselves as hospital staff

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<v Speaker 7>to sneak into a hospital room and then shoot three

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<v Speaker 7>Palestinian fighters who Israel says we're planning more attacks. Tofts

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<v Speaker 7>University professor of international law Tom Danenbaum says these kinds

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<v Speaker 7>of tactics are generally out of bounds.

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<v Speaker 9>Even if they were clear targets clearly misusing the hospital,

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<v Speaker 9>it would still be a war crime to present as

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<v Speaker 9>a civilian or a medic to get proximate to them.

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<v Speaker 7>The Palestinian Foreign Ministry posted on social media calling the

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<v Speaker 7>killings heinous and a crime against humanity. Tunnels under Gaza

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<v Speaker 7>are about to be flooded with water by the Israeli

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<v Speaker 7>military to keep the Palestinian militant group of MAAS from

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<v Speaker 7>using the estimated three hundred fifty miles of tunnels that

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<v Speaker 7>they built. The plan has drawn criticism over potential dangers

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<v Speaker 7>to nearly one hundred and thirty hostages still being held,

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<v Speaker 7>and over damage to drinking water and sewage systems. President

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<v Speaker 7>Biden says he has decided how to respond to the

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<v Speaker 7>killing of three US service members and a drone attack

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<v Speaker 7>in Jordan this week, but he also says he doesn't

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<v Speaker 7>want to expand the war in the Middle East. Deputy

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<v Speaker 7>depending on Press Secretary Sabrina Singh, we.

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<v Speaker 10>Don't want to see escalation in the region. We don't

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<v Speaker 10>seek a wider regional war, and that's exactly what the

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<v Speaker 10>President said. However, we're not going to sit back and

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<v Speaker 10>let these attacks go unanswered. We are going to respond.

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<v Speaker 10>That's not escalation, that's proportionate. We believe we have the

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<v Speaker 10>right to respond.

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<v Speaker 7>Iran has now signals it's prepared to hit back against

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<v Speaker 7>any US strike on its soil or assets abroad. The

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<v Speaker 7>largest social media companies are going to face some questions

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<v Speaker 7>today about protecting children online. Bloomberg's Ed Baxter with that story.

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<v Speaker 11>The heads of Meta, Snapchat, discoord X, and TikTok in

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<v Speaker 11>front of the Senate Judiciary Committee. The name of the

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<v Speaker 11>herring is big Tech, the online child sexual exploitation crisis.

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<v Speaker 11>But Senator Richard Bloomenthal says it will get into other

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<v Speaker 11>areas as well.

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<v Speaker 2>We're really interfering with a cash cow that they are

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<v Speaker 2>very reluctant to modify.

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<v Speaker 11>And says it will be uncomfortable.

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<v Speaker 2>They need to be put on the spot.

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<v Speaker 11>And Bloomenthal says a change of the company's priorities at Baxter, Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 7>Radio well more news coming up, global news twenty four

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<v Speaker 7>hours a day and whenever you want it. With Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 7>News Now, I'm Amy Morris and this is Bloomberg Karen

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<v Speaker 7>gret Amy.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you. We do bring you news throughout the day

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<v Speaker 2>right here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get

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<v Speaker 2>the latest news on demand, and that means whenever you

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<v Speaker 2>want it. Just subscribe to Bloomberg News Now and you

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<v Speaker 2>can get the latest headlines right at the click of

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<v Speaker 2>a button. You can get informed right on your schedule.

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<v Speaker 2>You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on

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<v Speaker 2>the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot com plus Apple, Spotify,

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<v Speaker 2>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for

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<v Speaker 2>the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John Stashauer, John Karen.

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<v Speaker 12>A couple of the big upsets in college basketball. The

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<v Speaker 12>biggest one was in Atlanta. Georgia Tech came in two

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<v Speaker 12>and seven and acc played North Carolina was nine and oho,

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<v Speaker 12>but naighth and George, a freshman for the All Jackets,

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<v Speaker 12>scored with seven seconds left and Georgia Tech stormed the

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<v Speaker 12>court after upsetting North Carolina seventy four to seventy three.

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<v Speaker 12>The Triels are ranked third. Tennessee is ranked fifth. Lost

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<v Speaker 12>at home to South Carolina sixty three fifty nine. Fifth

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<v Speaker 12>straight win for Marquette atop the Big East, winning at

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<v Speaker 12>Villanova eighty five to eighty. Michigan State beat Michigan eighty

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<v Speaker 12>one sixty two. For longtime Spartans coach Tom Izzo, that's

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<v Speaker 12>career winning number seven hundred. He gets it on his

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<v Speaker 12>sixty ninth birthday. Southeast go to twenty two and two

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<v Speaker 12>at home, got thirty points from Jason Tatum, beat Indiana

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<v Speaker 12>one twenty nine, one twenty four. The Warriors top the

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<v Speaker 12>Sixers one nineteen, one oh seven, and Steph Curry went

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<v Speaker 12>for thirty seven made eight three pointers. Joel Embi, who

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<v Speaker 12>had missed a the game's, returned for the Sixers.

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<v Speaker 8>But then had to lead with a knee injury.

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<v Speaker 12>He's headed for an MRI. Ben Johnson, a hot assistant

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<v Speaker 12>in the NFL, spoke with both Seattle and Washington. He

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<v Speaker 12>was considered the favorite to get the commander's job, but

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<v Speaker 12>then he removed himself from consideration. He's only thirty seven

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<v Speaker 12>fields he'll get a job at some point and he's

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<v Speaker 12>decided to stay in Detroit, whereas where he's the offensive coordinator.

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<v Speaker 12>Arthur Smith fired as the coach in Atlanta after three years,

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<v Speaker 12>now taking over the offense in Pittsburgh.

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<v Speaker 1>He used to coach the offense in Tennessee.

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<v Speaker 12>John Stashenewer Bloomberg Sports.

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<v Speaker 6>From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco,

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<v Speaker 6>Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on siriusxam, the Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 6>app in Bloomberg dot com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning,

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<v Speaker 6>I'm Nathan Hager.

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<v Speaker 1>The kickoff of big tech earnings is looking like a

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<v Speaker 1>bit of a disappointment so far for investors. Both Microsoft

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<v Speaker 1>and Google parent Alphabet delivered quarterly results that beat Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street expectations as a whole, but expectations around artificial intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>might not have hit the bar for both these tech giants.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's bring in Alex Web for more on the tech story.

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<v Speaker 1>Alex covers all things tech for us at Bloomberg. Alex,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for being here. Is that the story was ai

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<v Speaker 1>price to perfection for these companies.

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<v Speaker 13>Yes, expectations are exceptionally high. Microsoft's trading at thirty six

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<v Speaker 13>times it's forward earnings. That means that in order to

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<v Speaker 13>meet expectations, you really have to beat them, and beat

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<v Speaker 13>them by a generous margin. The irony is that AI

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<v Speaker 13>did provide a six percentage point tailwind to Microsoft. Don't

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<v Speaker 13>forget AI right now is very much a cloud product.

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<v Speaker 13>It's about getting companies to build their AI functionality on

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<v Speaker 13>Microsoft Azure in the case of Microsoft. But some investors

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<v Speaker 13>were saying, actually that six percentage point growth concealed other

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<v Speaker 13>or offset other weakness in that cloud business and was

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<v Speaker 13>one reason weren't too happy about it, and you saw

0:12:01.559 --> 0:12:03.240
<v Speaker 13>a bit of a set off in the shares. There's

0:12:03.240 --> 0:12:05.319
<v Speaker 13>also a little bit of profit taking in these moments

0:12:05.320 --> 0:12:10.640
<v Speaker 13>when you don't see blockbuster numbers coming out. Google enjoyed

0:12:10.640 --> 0:12:12.960
<v Speaker 13>again some boost from AI with its cloud business. It's

0:12:13.000 --> 0:12:16.880
<v Speaker 13>cloud business just posted its first full fiscal year of profits.

0:12:17.800 --> 0:12:20.160
<v Speaker 13>But actually for them it's really about the ads where

0:12:20.200 --> 0:12:22.920
<v Speaker 13>the ads business was a little bit weaker than anticipated.

0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:25.960
<v Speaker 13>That still generates the lion's share of its revenue, and

0:12:26.000 --> 0:12:28.959
<v Speaker 13>of course is providing the cash flow to expand into

0:12:29.040 --> 0:12:30.760
<v Speaker 13>things like AI and of course the cloud.

0:12:31.040 --> 0:12:33.280
<v Speaker 1>So then I guess that would raise the question about

0:12:33.360 --> 0:12:38.240
<v Speaker 1>whether the Google's parent company Alphabet will have the resources

0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:40.960
<v Speaker 1>to kind of play catch up with Microsoft and some

0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:42.920
<v Speaker 1>of the other players in the AI space. Is that

0:12:42.960 --> 0:12:43.880
<v Speaker 1>the concern here.

0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 13>Well, it's yeah. I mean, it's just more that there's

0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:50.199
<v Speaker 13>less less money to go around. Really, Google was actually

0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:52.160
<v Speaker 13>in a pretty good place when it comes to AI

0:12:52.320 --> 0:12:54.280
<v Speaker 13>if you think about it, not just in terms of Microsoft,

0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:57.520
<v Speaker 13>but in terms of Amazon. Right Amazon's really the leading

0:12:57.600 --> 0:13:01.280
<v Speaker 13>player in the cloud. If anything, people a little bit

0:13:01.360 --> 0:13:03.760
<v Speaker 13>investors are a little bit worried about what Amazon has

0:13:03.800 --> 0:13:06.240
<v Speaker 13>to offer in the space, and it might be one

0:13:06.280 --> 0:13:08.760
<v Speaker 13>reason why Google is gaining a little bit of ground.

0:13:09.640 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 13>But it still has, you know, very deep pockets, with

0:13:13.000 --> 0:13:17.720
<v Speaker 13>cash flow of sixty nine billion dollars in the in

0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:21.280
<v Speaker 13>the most recent fiscal year. Of course, investors are always

0:13:21.280 --> 0:13:22.680
<v Speaker 13>going to be concerned about how much of that cash

0:13:22.679 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 13>flow is going to be reinvested. It looks like there's

0:13:24.640 --> 0:13:27.400
<v Speaker 13>going to be still quite a lot because fundamentally the

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:31.080
<v Speaker 13>big spending, corporate spending on AI isn't coming through yet.

0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:34.160
<v Speaker 13>They've done a lot of the preparation. The likes of Google, Microsoft,

0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:37.080
<v Speaker 13>and Amazon, they've invested, they're invested in, and they have

0:13:37.200 --> 0:13:39.840
<v Speaker 13>invested in and are investing in data centers with the

0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:42.160
<v Speaker 13>sort of chip sets from Nvidia that will help fuel

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:46.199
<v Speaker 13>this technology. But the big spending from Fortune five hundred

0:13:46.200 --> 0:13:48.160
<v Speaker 13>companies hasn't really started with Gusta yet.

0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:51.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we've talked about the softness and the core ad

0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:56.160
<v Speaker 1>business for Google. There's softness in Microsoft's stock this morning,

0:13:56.200 --> 0:14:00.560
<v Speaker 1>despite the company delivering its best revenue growth since twenty

0:14:00.640 --> 0:14:04.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty two. What's the issue for Microsoft investors?

0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:07.400
<v Speaker 13>I mean, you do if you see a lot with

0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:09.560
<v Speaker 13>Apple as well, that when they have a quarter that's

0:14:09.600 --> 0:14:12.680
<v Speaker 13>you know, fine and maybe slightly beats expectations, even you

0:14:12.760 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 13>then see your sell off in the shares because you

0:14:15.200 --> 0:14:17.840
<v Speaker 13>know they've been on such a tear recently and they've

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 13>been you know, tipped it into that that crown or

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:25.280
<v Speaker 13>now has that crown of being the world's most valuable company.

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:29.880
<v Speaker 13>So the any sign of a little bit of weakness,

0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:33.000
<v Speaker 13>which is kind of really all you're seeing with Microsoft,

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:36.480
<v Speaker 13>a little bit of weakness is a reason to do that,

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 13>not the sort. And they've also maybe held back a

0:14:39.560 --> 0:14:41.920
<v Speaker 13>little bit on the bullishness for the forecast for this

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:44.480
<v Speaker 13>year when it comes to the growth of AI. That's

0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 13>from an investor relations perspective, probably quite canny given how

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:51.880
<v Speaker 13>high investor how high expectations already are. If you can

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:54.320
<v Speaker 13>temper that a little bit, it gives you more room

0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:56.240
<v Speaker 13>to play with heading into the next fiscal year.

0:14:56.640 --> 0:14:58.400
<v Speaker 1>Well, we got John Alex, I've got to get your

0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:03.080
<v Speaker 1>reaction to this judgment from the Delaware Chancery Court avoiding

0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk's fifty five billion dollar compensation package. What's your

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:09.040
<v Speaker 1>take on it.

0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:13.320
<v Speaker 13>It's interesting because you know, a lot of the critics

0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:15.080
<v Speaker 13>of el Musk will say, well, this is the news

0:15:15.880 --> 0:15:20.880
<v Speaker 13>Delaware regulators essentially, or the Delaware system doing its job

0:15:20.960 --> 0:15:24.760
<v Speaker 13>properly and protecting investors. The upshot might actually be that

0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 13>investors end up with a little bit less protection if

0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:31.640
<v Speaker 13>he decides to, you know, move the incorporation to somewhere

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:35.640
<v Speaker 13>like Texas or Nevada where the protections for shareholders are

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:38.800
<v Speaker 13>perceived as not being quite as stringent. That's what he's

0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:41.480
<v Speaker 13>already done with Twitter or x if you prefer so.

0:15:43.240 --> 0:15:45.880
<v Speaker 13>It looks as though he won't get access to all

0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:47.800
<v Speaker 13>that money. I think it's mostly in the form of

0:15:47.800 --> 0:15:53.960
<v Speaker 13>equity that doesn't necessarily have big, meaningful implications for the

0:15:54.040 --> 0:15:57.160
<v Speaker 13>operations of Tesla. Maybe a little bit around the edges

0:15:57.200 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 13>for X given the capital requirements at that company and

0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:03.840
<v Speaker 13>for some of the other portfolio companies, but ultimately it's

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:05.040
<v Speaker 13>really about Musk himself.

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:09.120
<v Speaker 1>Lots to talk about in the tech space, certainly this morning.

0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:13.160
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for the roundup as we kick off big tech earnings,

0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 1>and I'll look ahead toward the end of the week

0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:19.400
<v Speaker 1>to Apple, Amazon and Meta Platform, so I'm sure we'll

0:16:19.440 --> 0:16:21.560
<v Speaker 1>be checking back in with you as well. Alex, thanks

0:16:21.560 --> 0:16:23.920
<v Speaker 1>again for being here. Alex Webb a covering tech for

0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:28.560
<v Speaker 1>us for Bloomberg News. Now let's pivot to politics, because

0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:32.000
<v Speaker 1>we did get a brand new Bloomberg News Morning Consult

0:16:32.080 --> 0:16:35.840
<v Speaker 1>poll of the seven key swing states that could be

0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>pivotabal to deciding this election, and it raises some interesting

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 1>new issues for some of those voters. Let's bring in

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:48.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News national political reporter Gregory Cordy to break down

0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:52.960
<v Speaker 1>what we've learned from this latest iteration of the Bloomberg

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 1>News Morning Consult Swing state poll. What did we find, Gregory, Yeah.

0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:00.440
<v Speaker 14>Well, as we've talked about, this is a race that

0:17:00.560 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 14>really we haven't had much movement in terms of the cannons,

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:07.639
<v Speaker 14>in terms of the issue environment, except that this month,

0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 14>we are starting to see a shift in what voters

0:17:11.560 --> 0:17:14.359
<v Speaker 14>are concerned about. It's a small shift, but it's perceptible,

0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:20.600
<v Speaker 14>and it's away from the economy and towards immigration as

0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:22.680
<v Speaker 14>an issue. Now, the economy is still far and away

0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:25.480
<v Speaker 14>the number one issue among voters, but as some of

0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:29.120
<v Speaker 14>these economic indicators that we're looking at, and especially inflation,

0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:32.920
<v Speaker 14>starts to ease a little bit, that creates some room

0:17:33.040 --> 0:17:36.360
<v Speaker 14>for voters to worry about some other things. And by

0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 14>and Marge, what they're worried about is the crisis at

0:17:38.880 --> 0:17:42.440
<v Speaker 14>the US Mexico border. And of course that's an issue

0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:47.400
<v Speaker 14>that former President Donald Trump does well in with voters.

0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:50.439
<v Speaker 14>By a twenty two point margin, voters say they trust

0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:54.960
<v Speaker 14>Trump over Biden about that on that issue, and by

0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:57.119
<v Speaker 14>about a two to one margin they say they blame

0:17:57.200 --> 0:18:00.920
<v Speaker 14>Biden for what's going on there. So this is not

0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:03.239
<v Speaker 14>this is a shift in the issue environment, but not

0:18:03.280 --> 0:18:07.879
<v Speaker 14>one that necessarily benefits President Biden. And so overall, what

0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:12.600
<v Speaker 14>we're seeing is the race remains with about a six

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:16.560
<v Speaker 14>point lead by Donald Trump across the seven swing states

0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:18.120
<v Speaker 14>that we're pulling in.

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:22.919
<v Speaker 1>So does that mean that the former president is widening

0:18:22.920 --> 0:18:27.080
<v Speaker 1>his lead against the current president based on this issue

0:18:27.119 --> 0:18:30.040
<v Speaker 1>that's emerging is more of a concern for voters immigration.

0:18:31.320 --> 0:18:34.560
<v Speaker 14>Months a month, we're seeing about a one point increase

0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:36.960
<v Speaker 14>in Trump's lead, but we should say that that's within

0:18:37.080 --> 0:18:41.280
<v Speaker 14>the margin of errors, so it's not necessarily a perceptible lead.

0:18:41.359 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 14>But when we see this lead month over month happening,

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:48.600
<v Speaker 14>and this is also consistent with other public polling out there,

0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:51.240
<v Speaker 14>I think we can pretty much say confidently that President

0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 14>Trump is leading in this race both nationally and in

0:18:54.160 --> 0:18:57.080
<v Speaker 14>these swing states are most likely to decide the election.

0:18:57.480 --> 0:19:01.000
<v Speaker 1>What does this poll say about what vote perceive as

0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:03.479
<v Speaker 1>driving the problems at the border.

0:19:04.640 --> 0:19:07.800
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, it's interesting because voters have a pretty sophisticated view

0:19:07.840 --> 0:19:11.760
<v Speaker 14>of this. Actually, they while about sixty percent of them

0:19:12.359 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 14>blame Joe Biden form, they also understand that there's a

0:19:16.760 --> 0:19:20.960
<v Speaker 14>lot of other geopolitical factors at play here, and so

0:19:21.560 --> 0:19:26.840
<v Speaker 14>corruption in other countries, and the economic environment in Central

0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:30.960
<v Speaker 14>and Latin America, war famine. They understand that all those

0:19:31.000 --> 0:19:35.399
<v Speaker 14>are driving this mass migration of people northward through the

0:19:35.440 --> 0:19:40.000
<v Speaker 14>gap through Mexico into our border. But when they look

0:19:40.040 --> 0:19:45.360
<v Speaker 14>at the domestic political situation, Biden and Democrats get mostly blamey.

0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:48.680
<v Speaker 1>Now this is coming, of course, at a time when

0:19:48.880 --> 0:19:52.399
<v Speaker 1>the Senate is negotiating a border security bill. President Biden

0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:56.280
<v Speaker 1>is trying to move that forward, and House Republicans are

0:19:56.320 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 1>now moving to impeach Homeland Security Secretary May orgis over

0:20:00.280 --> 0:20:03.359
<v Speaker 1>at the border. How could that potentially shape voter perceptions

0:20:03.359 --> 0:20:04.280
<v Speaker 1>of this issue.

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:08.159
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, President Biden is very much trying to shift the

0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:11.480
<v Speaker 14>conversation on this by putting forward a proposal to say, hey, look,

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:15.720
<v Speaker 14>give me the emergency authority, give me the spending uh,

0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:18.600
<v Speaker 14>and I will close the border and we will we

0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:21.879
<v Speaker 14>will address this crisis. Now, we should say that this

0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:25.680
<v Speaker 14>Paul was in the field before some of these latest

0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:29.720
<v Speaker 14>back and forth machinations and negotiations, and so we're we

0:20:30.040 --> 0:20:32.760
<v Speaker 14>just started to see that in this Poul while I

0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 14>was in the field where especially Democrats were giving Biden

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:41.440
<v Speaker 14>credit for making those overtures. Obviously Republicans aren't quite ready

0:20:41.440 --> 0:20:43.920
<v Speaker 14>to give him credit for that yet. But as this

0:20:44.080 --> 0:20:44.960
<v Speaker 14>issue goes.

0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:45.119
<v Speaker 2>On, and.

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:49.920
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, Biden continues to try to flip the script on

0:20:50.359 --> 0:20:54.679
<v Speaker 14>Republicans because look it's now former President Trump who's trying

0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:56.720
<v Speaker 14>to quash any deal on the border. He says it's

0:20:57.160 --> 0:20:59.480
<v Speaker 14>a no deal on the border is better than a

0:20:59.480 --> 0:21:02.679
<v Speaker 14>bad deal, and it's put Democrats in the position of

0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 14>trying to go on the un offensive on the issue.

0:21:05.119 --> 0:21:07.280
<v Speaker 1>In our last thirty seconds here, Greg gree, I know this.

0:21:07.320 --> 0:21:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Pole also asked about former President Donald Trump's legal issues

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:12.320
<v Speaker 1>as well. What did we find there.

0:21:13.440 --> 0:21:16.160
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, fifty three percent of Slang State voters said they

0:21:16.200 --> 0:21:20.080
<v Speaker 14>would not vote for Trump if he is convicted in

0:21:20.160 --> 0:21:22.879
<v Speaker 14>one of these four criminal cases he's been indicted in. Now,

0:21:22.920 --> 0:21:25.800
<v Speaker 14>of course many of them wouldn't have voted for him

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:28.239
<v Speaker 14>in the first place, but that is a majority. And

0:21:28.359 --> 0:21:31.280
<v Speaker 14>what that means is even some Republicans say that they

0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:33.919
<v Speaker 14>would no longer support him if he's convicted, and of

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:36.280
<v Speaker 14>course if he's sent in the prison, even fewer would

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 14>continue to support him. So that's the area of vulnerability

0:21:39.840 --> 0:21:43.080
<v Speaker 14>for President Trump as he goes and tries to navigate

0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:45.480
<v Speaker 14>all of these criminal cases he's facing this year.

0:21:48.480 --> 0:21:51.520
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the

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0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:32.280
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