WEBVTT - The Moon vs. Mars

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<v Speaker 1>Brought to you by Toyota. Let's go places. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>Forward Thinking. Hey there, and welcome to Forward Thinking, the

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<v Speaker 1>podcast that looks at the future and says, by rocket

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<v Speaker 1>to the moon, by airplane to the rocket, by taxi

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<v Speaker 1>to the airport, by front door to the taxi, by

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<v Speaker 1>throwing back the blanket hanging down the legs. I'm Jonvin Strickland,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Lauren Vocoma, and throughout McCormick. That's that they might

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<v Speaker 1>be giants. Quote. It's a great song. I'll play it

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<v Speaker 1>for you after the show. All right, So today we

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to talk We're still talking about space exploration. If

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<v Speaker 1>you heard our previous podcast, we were talking about the

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<v Speaker 1>the benefits and risks of manned space exploration versus unmanned

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<v Speaker 1>space exploration. And today we want to talk a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit more about the idea of colonization, not just exploring space,

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<v Speaker 1>but finding other places where we could live and do

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<v Speaker 1>science and stay there for prolonged time periods of time,

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<v Speaker 1>not just for a short visit and then pop right back.

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<v Speaker 1>You get a good butt groove going on your space couch, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you need to exactly get so that that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you can sit there and essentially say it's somewhere like

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<v Speaker 1>this place is mine. Not only do I have a flag,

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<v Speaker 1>check out the butt. It's not gonna fit your butt,

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<v Speaker 1>I guarantee it. Um. Yeah. So, uh, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>can space become home? That's really the question we're asking.

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<v Speaker 1>And the two main candidates that that I think most

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<v Speaker 1>people think about when we talk about colonization, at least

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<v Speaker 1>in the foreseeable future, like within the next few decades,

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<v Speaker 1>would be either Earth's Moon or Mars. Those seem to

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<v Speaker 1>be the two leading candidates when you agree so well,

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<v Speaker 1>they're you know, cooler than mercury, less totally poisonous than venus. Yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's true. Okay, So, as we talked about in our

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<v Speaker 1>last podcast, Uh, it's gonna be mega dangerous to go there.

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<v Speaker 1>So because space wants to kill you, Yes, space wants

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<v Speaker 1>to kill you. Anytime you leave Earth, you're you're taking

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<v Speaker 1>a big risk. So what are the benefits? Why would

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<v Speaker 1>people want to create colonies on the Moon and Mars? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I can I can give you some overview about the Moon. Uh, specifically,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean NASA was looking at the possibility of going

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<v Speaker 1>back to the Moon and in fact ended up having

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<v Speaker 1>a project in two thousand six called why the Moon?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, why why would we go back there? And

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<v Speaker 1>they came up with more than They actually asked people

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<v Speaker 1>all around the world, like they were asking leading scientists

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<v Speaker 1>and engineers as well as other people you know, thinkers, authors,

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<v Speaker 1>all sorts, not to say that authors don't think all

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<v Speaker 1>that often. Uh so, I'm the son of an author.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just a joke at my dad. So they asked

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<v Speaker 1>all these folks like, you know, why should we go

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<v Speaker 1>back to the moon, and ended up compiling a list

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<v Speaker 1>of over two d reasons or more than two hundred reasons,

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<v Speaker 1>I should say, and uh, but the they generally fell

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<v Speaker 1>into certain major category. Um. So for the Moon specifically,

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<v Speaker 1>they said that they talked about just the idea of

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<v Speaker 1>having a human settlement beyond Earth, this idea that this

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<v Speaker 1>is another frontier that we can explore and uh and

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<v Speaker 1>make a home on, and and that that's a powerful

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<v Speaker 1>idea all on its own out the door, and that

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<v Speaker 1>that could apply not just to the Moon, obviously, that

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<v Speaker 1>could apply to any anybody that's out in space, but

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<v Speaker 1>specifically they were referring to the Moon in this case.

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<v Speaker 1>They also said that you could pursue scientific study to

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<v Speaker 1>answer questions about the history of the Earth, the history

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<v Speaker 1>of our solar system, and the history of the universe

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<v Speaker 1>and what our place is within that context. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>these are big questions, and sometimes to get perspective, you've

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<v Speaker 1>gotta leave stuff behind, you know, like our planet. And

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<v Speaker 1>we could learn more about the actual history of the Moon,

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<v Speaker 1>like how was the moon form. We've got lots of

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<v Speaker 1>theories on it, but this would help us, uh test

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<v Speaker 1>those theories and see if the theories seem to hold

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<v Speaker 1>true based upon the observations we can make their Beyond that,

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<v Speaker 1>they said that you could test technologies, systems, and processes

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<v Speaker 1>that we'd use for deeper space exploration and support future

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<v Speaker 1>missions to other places like Mars and beyond. So, in

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<v Speaker 1>other words, used the Moon as a test bed so

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<v Speaker 1>that we can learn oh well, you know, we've created

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<v Speaker 1>the best practices that we need to make space exploration

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<v Speaker 1>as safe and uh and and scientifically profitable as possible.

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<v Speaker 1>H Yeah, not just a test bed, but it would

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<v Speaker 1>be an important staging point for actual missions, right sure. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you're talking about one six the gravity of Earth, so

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<v Speaker 1>from yeah, yeah, compared to Earth, it is far easier

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<v Speaker 1>to get a vehicle off the surface of the Moon

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<v Speaker 1>that it is on Earth. So if you were able

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<v Speaker 1>to ship materials to the Moon and then put those

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<v Speaker 1>materials together and then uh and then launch a ship

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<v Speaker 1>from the Moon, then you could use as a staging

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<v Speaker 1>ground a launch pad really, so you could use to

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<v Speaker 1>go on deeper space exploration missions, whether those are manned

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<v Speaker 1>or unmanned. You can even you know, launch unmanned missions

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<v Speaker 1>from the mood if you wanted to um beyond that.

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<v Speaker 1>It would provide a challenging objective that would require global

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<v Speaker 1>cooperation and participation in a peaceful way. In other words,

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<v Speaker 1>this is something that goes well beyond the capabilities of

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<v Speaker 1>any one nation. It would be a global effort. And

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<v Speaker 1>the idea being that if you can create a challenge,

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<v Speaker 1>a task that requires cooperation on this global scale, So

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about a peaceful effort where we can get

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<v Speaker 1>some cooperation around the entire world to meet this incredible

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<v Speaker 1>challenge at hand. That's so that's one of the things

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<v Speaker 1>that that programs like the Apollo are are are allouded for,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, for even just within a single nation, bringing

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<v Speaker 1>people together and making people figure out how to how

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<v Speaker 1>to work, you know, between governments and corporations, and although

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<v Speaker 1>the Apollo program certainly has, it's also other the other

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<v Speaker 1>political side, which was it was part of the space race,

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<v Speaker 1>where it was almost a afrontation confrontational thing between the

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<v Speaker 1>United States and the Soviet Union. Maybe it's right. I

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<v Speaker 1>think I've read those people interpreting it in a in

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<v Speaker 1>a kind of generous light, saying that the space race

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<v Speaker 1>gave us a way to um to express our sort

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<v Speaker 1>of international competitive instinct in a way that was not

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<v Speaker 1>violent like the the the Olympics, but with a more

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<v Speaker 1>you know, nuclear threat behind it. As about to say,

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<v Speaker 1>because when you think about it, the other side of

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<v Speaker 1>the space race is saying, hey, I can put this

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<v Speaker 1>thing into orbits, you better, but I can put it

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<v Speaker 1>into Moscow or you know, Washington, d C. Depending upon

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<v Speaker 1>which part you're in. So, but this would be a

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<v Speaker 1>way of saying, instead of it being one pitting one

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<v Speaker 1>nation against another in a race to get to a

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<v Speaker 1>finish line, it's more saying, this is a challenge that's

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<v Speaker 1>worthy of us. Let's band together and meet it. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's kind of an attempt to take that same sort

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<v Speaker 1>of spirit of of competition, but instead of working against

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<v Speaker 1>each other. We're working against a an external challenge that

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<v Speaker 1>is pretty significant. Um, the sheer scientific findings. We were

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<v Speaker 1>talking a little bit about those in the previous episode.

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<v Speaker 1>But but but you know, the the necessities that human

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<v Speaker 1>beings have and in those kind of environments, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's up on the International Space Station station they've

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<v Speaker 1>got a water filtration system that can effectively recycle up

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<v Speaker 1>to all onboard water, including your urine, sweat and tears. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>like the water vapor you breathe out could end up

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<v Speaker 1>being recycled. Yeah, yeah, which you know is a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit water world. But but but other than that, is

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<v Speaker 1>is a terrific scientific advancement. Yeah yeah, So I mean

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<v Speaker 1>that sort of stuff, the things that would become a

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<v Speaker 1>necessity for us just to make this work could end

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<v Speaker 1>up in you know, inspiring technology or directly spawning technology

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<v Speaker 1>here on Earth that benefits everybody in some other way. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>And and the only way you really get that benefit

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<v Speaker 1>is if you really back the initiative to trying to

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<v Speaker 1>do this. Beyond that, it also ex band's Earth's economic

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<v Speaker 1>sphere to the Moon. So like in other words, we

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<v Speaker 1>actually we literally increase our potential wealth by including the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon as part of that, and you might think like, well,

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<v Speaker 1>what the heck is on the Moon? What's good to

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<v Speaker 1>get there? Well, m real estate as a steel right now,

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<v Speaker 1>But you know about that guy who's Yes, I do,

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<v Speaker 1>I do know about that guy who's selling it. But um,

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<v Speaker 1>if you're listening and you're tempted to buy a plot

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<v Speaker 1>of land on the Moon, don't do it. No, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a shady deal. Yeah, the claimed will probably not be

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<v Speaker 1>on her right but but there is stuff on the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon that could be very useful. There was a discovery

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<v Speaker 1>that the regules, that's the the dirt essentially the soil

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<v Speaker 1>that is on the Moon. Um, it's also what we

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<v Speaker 1>call really any any extra terrestrial dirt. Yeah, Mars has

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<v Speaker 1>regules as well, but the regul on the Moon contains

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<v Speaker 1>helium three in concentration is much greater than you would

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<v Speaker 1>find here on Earth. And helium, aside from being completely wasted,

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<v Speaker 1>as a children's toy and awesome way to make your

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<v Speaker 1>voice sound funny. Yeah you sound awesome. Yeah, I sure do.

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<v Speaker 1>You should do a whole episode on helium. Yeah, but

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<v Speaker 1>you mean literally, like we're on helium while we're doing

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<v Speaker 1>the episode. It would have to be short because we

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<v Speaker 1>could asphyxiate. But anyway, Uh, yeah, well, I think what

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<v Speaker 1>you were going to say is that helium has lots

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<v Speaker 1>of scientific uses, right. For example, you can use helium

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<v Speaker 1>to to to cool things. You know, use liquid helium,

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<v Speaker 1>you can use that to to cool uh, scientific equipment

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<v Speaker 1>that needs to be close to absolute Yeah, helium three

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<v Speaker 1>can get things within a few thousands of a kelvin,

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<v Speaker 1>like a single less than one kelvin. Zero kelvin is

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<v Speaker 1>absolute zero. That means there is no molecular movement. Helium

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<v Speaker 1>three potentially useful infusion. It is also potentially useful for

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<v Speaker 1>a fusion. Now, helium three because it's non radioactive, means

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<v Speaker 1>that you could use that as a potential fuel infusion

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<v Speaker 1>reactors and not have to worry about dealing with radiation.

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<v Speaker 1>And you could essentially starts to produce uh protons as

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<v Speaker 1>its byproduct. But you can control protons with a magnetic field.

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<v Speaker 1>You can actually contain protons that way, So while it's

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<v Speaker 1>giving off protons at high speeds during these fusion reactions,

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<v Speaker 1>you could harness the energy and minimize any risk relatively

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<v Speaker 1>easy if you have enough helium. And when I say

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<v Speaker 1>relatively This is still an incredibly complicated thing, but it's

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<v Speaker 1>access to that helium would make this much easier than

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<v Speaker 1>it is right now. It's also important for detecting things

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<v Speaker 1>like neutrons, which you might not think is that important

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<v Speaker 1>unless you happen to be checking for any sort of

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<v Speaker 1>illegal smuggled plute plutonium which gives off neutrons as it decays.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's a very effective detection method for for things

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<v Speaker 1>like neutrons. But we don't have a lot of it

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<v Speaker 1>here on Earth. The Moon has lots of it from

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<v Speaker 1>what we can tell. Uh it may be that shady

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<v Speaker 1>parts of the Moon have a lot more of it

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<v Speaker 1>than the sunny parts of the Moon, But at any rate,

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<v Speaker 1>there is the possibility that we could end up using

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon as a resource for helium three. And then

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<v Speaker 1>there is the whole idea of inspiring future generations of

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<v Speaker 1>students to really focus on STEM fields so that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>all the science and technology, engineering and math disciplines that

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<v Speaker 1>could benefit from you know, students just flooding it because

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<v Speaker 1>there's this this initiative to build a colony on the Moon.

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<v Speaker 1>All of these are big reasons, and of course, like

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<v Speaker 1>I said, they listed more than two hundred total, and

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<v Speaker 1>they all kind of fell into these broad categories. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's sort of why we would want to look at

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<v Speaker 1>the moon. Um. And now what about why we would

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<v Speaker 1>want to go to Mars. A lot of the reasons

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be similar. Things like the inspiring the

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<v Speaker 1>generation of people. I mean, that's clearly going to be

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<v Speaker 1>play a part. Uh. Science and technology would obviously play

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<v Speaker 1>a part share uh, and also it would again be

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<v Speaker 1>another global effort. Mars is a that's it is not

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<v Speaker 1>a small task either. That keep in mind the Moon

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<v Speaker 1>is about two hundred thirty eight thousand, nine hundred miles

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<v Speaker 1>away or three four thousand, four hundred kilometers from Earth. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>Mars when it's at its closest point. Keep in mind

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<v Speaker 1>that the orbital path of Earth and Mars means that

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes they are quite far away. Yeah, they can sides

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<v Speaker 1>of the Sun. Yeah, which means that Mars is further

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<v Speaker 1>away from Earth than the Sun would be. Uh. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>at its closest point, it is about thirty three million,

0:12:42.240 --> 0:12:45.320
<v Speaker 1>nine d twenty seven thousand miles away or around fifty

0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:49.839
<v Speaker 1>four million, six hundred thousand kilometers and its furthest point

0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:53.800
<v Speaker 1>it is two hundred forty nine million, two hundred thousand

0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:57.840
<v Speaker 1>miles away or four hundred one million kilometers on average

0:12:57.880 --> 0:13:00.800
<v Speaker 1>is about a hundred thirty nine million, eight hundred thousand

0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:04.640
<v Speaker 1>miles or two or twenty five million kilometers. So it's

0:13:04.880 --> 0:13:07.720
<v Speaker 1>much further away than the Moon, and that that presents

0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:11.240
<v Speaker 1>one of the many, many challenges when you compare the two.

0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:14.000
<v Speaker 1>Not to say that either would be a cake walk,

0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 1>but there are some extra considerations you have to make

0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:20.599
<v Speaker 1>depending upon which place you're choosing. Sure as as a

0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:23.079
<v Speaker 1>launch pad, you know it could when when it's when

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:26.640
<v Speaker 1>it's further out than Earth two or or closer I

0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:29.200
<v Speaker 1>suppose at that point than Earth, to certain things that

0:13:29.240 --> 0:13:31.800
<v Speaker 1>could be pretty cool. Yeah, you have to. You have

0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>to account if you're launching anything for Mars, you have

0:13:34.320 --> 0:13:37.840
<v Speaker 1>to account for mars Is gravitational effect, which is not

0:13:37.960 --> 0:13:41.080
<v Speaker 1>as big as Earths. It's around six Earth's, but still

0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:45.000
<v Speaker 1>much greater than the Moon's, which is one six that

0:13:45.240 --> 0:13:49.400
<v Speaker 1>of Earth's, so you still have to battle against gravity.

0:13:49.400 --> 0:13:51.480
<v Speaker 1>You also have an atmosphere, although it's a thin one

0:13:51.920 --> 0:13:55.240
<v Speaker 1>on Mars, and that can you know that also plays

0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:58.440
<v Speaker 1>into the whole launch aspect and re entry and all

0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 1>that kind of stuff. So Mars is a launching pad

0:14:01.760 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 1>is certainly a possibility if you were able to build

0:14:04.920 --> 0:14:08.839
<v Speaker 1>out a colony of sufficient complexity, but it's uh, it

0:14:08.880 --> 0:14:10.960
<v Speaker 1>would be a larger challenge than to do the same

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:14.040
<v Speaker 1>thing on the Moon. Also, we were not sure what

0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:16.440
<v Speaker 1>we could get resource wise out of Mars yet. We

0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 1>we don't have enough data to really say, yeah, if

0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:22.360
<v Speaker 1>we want a lot of stuff that's oxidized, then we

0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:24.880
<v Speaker 1>can get plenty of that. But that might not be

0:14:24.960 --> 0:14:27.400
<v Speaker 1>that we can rust stuff here on Earth. I mean,

0:14:27.560 --> 0:14:30.160
<v Speaker 1>there might be really cool stuff there could be well,

0:14:30.200 --> 0:14:32.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean, one advantage of a colony on Mars is

0:14:32.720 --> 0:14:36.600
<v Speaker 1>that Mars is potentially the bigger research prize than the Moon. Sure,

0:14:36.720 --> 0:14:40.280
<v Speaker 1>because nobody really thinks we're going to find evidence of

0:14:40.400 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 1>life on the Moon, but it's who knows, you know,

0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:46.240
<v Speaker 1>we might find evidence on Mars that there was once

0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:49.720
<v Speaker 1>microbial life on the surface. Yeah, those canals didn't pan out,

0:14:50.120 --> 0:14:54.000
<v Speaker 1>So maybe we'll actually see some some some microbial or

0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 1>at least some evidence of microbial life on Mars. But

0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 1>that would hopefully that we didn't bring ourselves. That's a

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 1>good that's good as well. Yeah, so there are definitely

0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:08.280
<v Speaker 1>benefits for either. And I think that you know, we've

0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:13.160
<v Speaker 1>always dreamed of exploring other place. Maybe always is the

0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:15.360
<v Speaker 1>wrong word, but as long as I can remember, we

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 1>dreamed of exploring, dream of exploring, like the bodies of

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:23.600
<v Speaker 1>gods that were crossing this guy. Probably not, but you know,

0:15:23.720 --> 0:15:26.800
<v Speaker 1>now we're we're definitely at that point, although we call

0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:30.200
<v Speaker 1>those bodies of God's rockets, uh, but you know, we're

0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:33.080
<v Speaker 1>at the point now where we do dream of the

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 1>exploration and establishment of a colony somewhere else. And I

0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:41.760
<v Speaker 1>think Mars has its own kind of appeal because while

0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:44.600
<v Speaker 1>there are some major challenges that we're gonna have to

0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:46.800
<v Speaker 1>talk about in a minute, uh, the fact that it

0:15:47.040 --> 0:15:50.080
<v Speaker 1>is in some ways much more similar to Earth than

0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:52.160
<v Speaker 1>the Moon is. I mean, there is an atmosphere, even

0:15:52.160 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 1>though it's not a breathable atmosphere, it's not very thick, uh.

0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:58.200
<v Speaker 1>And there is more gravity on Mars, although it's not

0:15:58.240 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 1>as great as Earth's gravity in uh, it kind of

0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 1>feels like that would be a better fit in some ways.

0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:07.320
<v Speaker 1>So that kind of leads us into a discussion about

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:10.320
<v Speaker 1>what the challenges are of establishing colonies at either the

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:14.760
<v Speaker 1>Moon or Mars um. And they share some stuff in common,

0:16:14.840 --> 0:16:17.160
<v Speaker 1>but there are also some very you know, there's some

0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:19.360
<v Speaker 1>things that are peculiar to just one or the other.

0:16:20.200 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 1>Uh So, I mean the first problem is getting there.

0:16:23.880 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 1>Not getting to the Moon is significantly less difficult than

0:16:27.920 --> 0:16:30.640
<v Speaker 1>getting to Mars, so a couple of days. Yeah, Yeah,

0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:33.040
<v Speaker 1>getting to the Moon is a few days, whereas getting

0:16:33.040 --> 0:16:36.120
<v Speaker 1>to Mars, depending upon where Mars and Earth are along

0:16:36.160 --> 0:16:38.160
<v Speaker 1>their orbits. And yeah, hopefully we would sink that up

0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:41.400
<v Speaker 1>so that it was a shorter trip, but the best

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:45.000
<v Speaker 1>estimates about a hundred and eighty days, right, Yeah, generally

0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:48.360
<v Speaker 1>like six months tends to be the on the shortest

0:16:48.400 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 1>of short And even then, you're not aiming at where

0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:53.400
<v Speaker 1>Mars is. You're aiming at where it's going to be, right,

0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 1>you have to do a trajectory of where Mars will

0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 1>be by the time your spacecraft gets to that point

0:16:57.800 --> 0:17:01.280
<v Speaker 1>in space. Yeah, we discussed last time what happens to

0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 1>your body while you're in space on transit. In transit

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:08.280
<v Speaker 1>to Mars, dred and eight days in interplanetary space is

0:17:08.440 --> 0:17:10.520
<v Speaker 1>not very cool. As it turns out, there's a lot

0:17:10.520 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 1>of radiation going on in space. Yeah, there's a there's

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:17.800
<v Speaker 1>solar radiation there's cosmic radiation, cosmic rays. Uh, these are

0:17:18.320 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 1>nasty things to encounter. It's not it's not something that

0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:25.360
<v Speaker 1>you definitely it's not something you want to be exposed

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 1>to for very long. So it means that either you

0:17:27.840 --> 0:17:32.720
<v Speaker 1>would have to shield your spacecraft in such a way

0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:35.440
<v Speaker 1>so that it could block the majority of this radiation,

0:17:35.520 --> 0:17:37.960
<v Speaker 1>which adds weight to your spacecraft, it makes it more

0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 1>difficult for you to have to launch it, or you

0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 1>just have to endure the danger of traveling through that.

0:17:45.200 --> 0:17:48.639
<v Speaker 1>Now that that's just kind of a nonstarter, Like you

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:51.920
<v Speaker 1>just have to find a way to shield the astronauts

0:17:52.200 --> 0:17:55.680
<v Speaker 1>right the the there was one study that was done,

0:17:56.080 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 1>uh back by the f a A actually back in

0:17:59.119 --> 0:18:01.399
<v Speaker 1>two thousand five. If that said that if you were

0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:04.239
<v Speaker 1>to take a journey to Mars and back. Now this

0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 1>was a thought of if we were to visit Mars

0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:09.640
<v Speaker 1>but then ultimately return to Earth. As we'll discussed later

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:13.439
<v Speaker 1>on the podcast. Now the look at going to Mars

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:16.879
<v Speaker 1>essentially means a one way ticket because the difficulty of

0:18:16.880 --> 0:18:20.200
<v Speaker 1>getting someone back to Earth is so great that it's

0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:25.280
<v Speaker 1>it would push back the mission many more years for

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:27.919
<v Speaker 1>us to be able to do that. So the FAA

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:31.320
<v Speaker 1>estimated that it would take about five and thirty six

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:34.760
<v Speaker 1>days in space total to get two Mars and back

0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:37.960
<v Speaker 1>because remember those both planets are continuing to travel through

0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:40.240
<v Speaker 1>space while you're going on this mission, which means that

0:18:40.680 --> 0:18:42.960
<v Speaker 1>by the time you land on Mars, Earth is not

0:18:43.119 --> 0:18:46.239
<v Speaker 1>where you thought it was gonna be like, So you

0:18:46.240 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 1>actually have to wait for the plants to start to

0:18:48.119 --> 0:18:50.880
<v Speaker 1>line up. Against that you can optimize your travel time.

0:18:50.920 --> 0:18:52.879
<v Speaker 1>Otherwise you have to worry about how much more fuel

0:18:52.880 --> 0:18:55.200
<v Speaker 1>you're going to carry, which again changes all the other

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:58.439
<v Speaker 1>parameters of mission. It's really complicated in other words, like

0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:01.800
<v Speaker 1>one change to one thing changes everything else. Um, they

0:19:01.880 --> 0:19:06.480
<v Speaker 1>said that they estimated someone who would be between and

0:19:06.520 --> 0:19:10.879
<v Speaker 1>thirty four years old would have a ten chance of

0:19:11.359 --> 0:19:17.600
<v Speaker 1>contracting cancer if you're male, if you're female, seventeen. So uh,

0:19:17.640 --> 0:19:20.600
<v Speaker 1>that's a that's a you know, that's a significant number.

0:19:20.640 --> 0:19:24.000
<v Speaker 1>That's just and that's just the trip. So Mars, as

0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:26.879
<v Speaker 1>it turns out, does not have enough of an atmosphere

0:19:26.920 --> 0:19:29.719
<v Speaker 1>to really block a lot of this nasty radiation, and

0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:33.879
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't have a magnetosphere to repel cosmic rays, and

0:19:34.160 --> 0:19:38.600
<v Speaker 1>cosmic rays are thought to possibly lead to diseases like Alzheimer's. Yeah, yeah,

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:40.560
<v Speaker 1>so yeah, it's not just cancer. There are a lot

0:19:40.640 --> 0:19:43.600
<v Speaker 1>of nasty things that can happen to you upon exposure

0:19:43.640 --> 0:19:46.679
<v Speaker 1>to this stuff. You are vulnerable to it while you

0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:49.080
<v Speaker 1>are traveling to Mars, and you would still be vulnerable

0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:52.840
<v Speaker 1>on the surface of Mars. Will talk about a proposed

0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:56.719
<v Speaker 1>mission to Mars that and how they are talking about

0:19:56.800 --> 0:20:00.639
<v Speaker 1>getting trying to get around that, trying to keep people

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:05.840
<v Speaker 1>safe from this kind of radiation. But the point is

0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:09.080
<v Speaker 1>that's something you gotta worry about. Now. The Moon benefits

0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:12.760
<v Speaker 1>from being close enough to the Earth where not all

0:20:12.800 --> 0:20:14.639
<v Speaker 1>of this radiation is going to hit the Moon, but

0:20:14.680 --> 0:20:17.400
<v Speaker 1>it's still quite a bit still does hit the Moon. Yeah,

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:21.040
<v Speaker 1>the moon is is from what I read, and maybe

0:20:21.040 --> 0:20:23.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm wrong. I thought the moon was was pretty much

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:26.320
<v Speaker 1>just as bad a radiation situation as the surface of Mars.

0:20:26.400 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 1>But the it's well, it's different because of the lack

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:33.080
<v Speaker 1>of atmosphere. That certainly plays a huge role with the Moon.

0:20:34.240 --> 0:20:38.160
<v Speaker 1>But the advantages is the length of the trip, right, Yeah,

0:20:38.160 --> 0:20:41.480
<v Speaker 1>you're talking about exposed as long on the way there,

0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:44.760
<v Speaker 1>and the heathetically come home within a certain period of time,

0:20:44.800 --> 0:20:47.760
<v Speaker 1>so to to minimize your exposure exactly. Yeah. And and

0:20:47.840 --> 0:20:50.320
<v Speaker 1>but so if we're talking about in both cases that

0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:52.840
<v Speaker 1>they could build a surface on the structure that would

0:20:52.840 --> 0:20:57.359
<v Speaker 1>protect you from the radiation or under the ground. Yeah, um,

0:20:57.800 --> 0:21:00.240
<v Speaker 1>build a surface on the structure. I think that's what

0:21:00.280 --> 0:21:02.919
<v Speaker 1>I said, build a structure on the surface. Sorry, Uh

0:21:03.000 --> 0:21:06.160
<v Speaker 1>that would yeah, well, so that would keep you safe

0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:09.560
<v Speaker 1>in either place. But the trip to Mars is unavoidable.

0:21:09.600 --> 0:21:12.720
<v Speaker 1>It's going to be long, even in the best case. Now,

0:21:13.400 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 1>some other challenges to discuss. Uh. You know, we've also

0:21:16.600 --> 0:21:20.439
<v Speaker 1>said in the last podcast about how long exposure to

0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:24.200
<v Speaker 1>micro gravity can result in other problems, things like your

0:21:26.160 --> 0:21:29.200
<v Speaker 1>bone loss, your your body fluids redistribute, and you can

0:21:29.280 --> 0:21:33.000
<v Speaker 1>start to have cardiovascular and blood pressure problems. Uh. Now

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 1>on a trip to Mars, that's dangerous. The ones you

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:37.680
<v Speaker 1>get to Mars, the gravity is a little bit better,

0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:39.879
<v Speaker 1>so you you could avoid some of those problems the

0:21:39.920 --> 0:21:42.280
<v Speaker 1>moon one six the Earth gravity, so some of those

0:21:42.280 --> 0:21:47.000
<v Speaker 1>problems would remain. Uh, big concerns like if you spend

0:21:47.040 --> 0:21:49.040
<v Speaker 1>any appreciable amount of time on the Moon and then

0:21:49.080 --> 0:21:50.840
<v Speaker 1>came back to Earth, you probably feel like you were

0:21:50.840 --> 0:21:54.760
<v Speaker 1>wearing lead clothing. Um. And uh, and it's possible that

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:56.919
<v Speaker 1>you could be suffering from some of these problems like

0:21:56.960 --> 0:22:00.280
<v Speaker 1>muscle loss and bone loss that uh, muscle less you

0:22:00.280 --> 0:22:03.159
<v Speaker 1>can recover from, but bone loss is something that is

0:22:03.200 --> 0:22:06.960
<v Speaker 1>pretty you know, pretty much permanent. Medical technology. Yeah, there's

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:08.760
<v Speaker 1>no coming back. Now. Maybe by the time we actually

0:22:08.760 --> 0:22:10.399
<v Speaker 1>have a colony on the Moon we can fix that.

0:22:10.480 --> 0:22:14.640
<v Speaker 1>We'll have like Dr McCoy's little medical device that will

0:22:14.800 --> 0:22:19.720
<v Speaker 1>magically restore bone loss, but right now we don't have that. UM,

0:22:19.800 --> 0:22:24.160
<v Speaker 1>So both of those trips would have those issues as well,

0:22:24.200 --> 0:22:26.320
<v Speaker 1>and that once you got to Mars you probably could

0:22:26.480 --> 0:22:28.800
<v Speaker 1>avoid some of the muscle loss and bone loss stuff,

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:30.280
<v Speaker 1>but on the trip there you'd still have to deal

0:22:30.320 --> 0:22:33.479
<v Speaker 1>with it. Um. You don't have a breathable atmosphere in

0:22:33.560 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 1>either location, so you have to make sure that you

0:22:36.080 --> 0:22:38.760
<v Speaker 1>bring something with you. Now, in the case of the Moon,

0:22:38.800 --> 0:22:41.399
<v Speaker 1>you pretty much have to bring all of it, I

0:22:41.400 --> 0:22:45.800
<v Speaker 1>mean uh, and then continually resupply with Mars. There's talk

0:22:45.960 --> 0:22:48.000
<v Speaker 1>of the fact that you might be able to get

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:51.560
<v Speaker 1>ice from Mars and then treat it so that you

0:22:51.600 --> 0:22:54.240
<v Speaker 1>can make it a breathable atmosphere, but you would have

0:22:54.280 --> 0:22:57.000
<v Speaker 1>to treat it because the stuff that is on Mars

0:22:57.480 --> 0:23:00.360
<v Speaker 1>is not friendly to human lungs. Oh. Yeah, it's another

0:23:00.440 --> 0:23:03.080
<v Speaker 1>problem with Mars, isn't it. It's got some stuff there

0:23:03.119 --> 0:23:06.359
<v Speaker 1>that we don't our bodies don't like. Yeah, the Mars regular,

0:23:06.480 --> 0:23:10.119
<v Speaker 1>as it turns out, is pretty toxic overall. Um, there's

0:23:10.240 --> 0:23:13.359
<v Speaker 1>a There are a lot of words here that I

0:23:13.400 --> 0:23:15.359
<v Speaker 1>do not know how to say at all. Okay, um

0:23:15.400 --> 0:23:21.919
<v Speaker 1>poison dust, poison dust, um, silicates, silicates, Yeah, Silicates are

0:23:21.920 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 1>stuff that react with water to form things like hydrogen, peroxide,

0:23:25.840 --> 0:23:29.720
<v Speaker 1>hydroxyl and superoxide. UM and bt dubs. Water is in

0:23:29.720 --> 0:23:32.879
<v Speaker 1>our lungs, so when you when you breathe silicates in

0:23:33.480 --> 0:23:37.480
<v Speaker 1>quartz dust does the same thing, and it's blamed for

0:23:37.480 --> 0:23:43.560
<v Speaker 1>for for lung cancer and UH silicosis in minors. Um

0:23:43.560 --> 0:23:47.919
<v Speaker 1>which which is a terrible lung disease. UM uh gypsum

0:23:48.080 --> 0:23:50.919
<v Speaker 1>Um is a sulfate material that forms again in the

0:23:50.960 --> 0:23:53.800
<v Speaker 1>presence of water. It's not technically toxic, but it's an

0:23:53.800 --> 0:23:56.760
<v Speaker 1>extreme ice, skin and respiratory irritant, like on the level

0:23:56.760 --> 0:24:02.480
<v Speaker 1>of coal dust, um uh and uh perch perch lare it? Yes,

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:07.640
<v Speaker 1>there you go that UM. It's which is a group

0:24:07.640 --> 0:24:10.119
<v Speaker 1>of chemicals that are used as some oxidizers and rocket

0:24:10.160 --> 0:24:13.760
<v Speaker 1>fuel um which can which can basically break down the

0:24:13.760 --> 0:24:17.800
<v Speaker 1>thyroid gland too. So you have to make sure that

0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:20.720
<v Speaker 1>whatever environment you have, you are completely free of these

0:24:20.760 --> 0:24:23.480
<v Speaker 1>contaminants that could otherwise kill you, these toxic things that

0:24:23.520 --> 0:24:25.320
<v Speaker 1>could kill you. It's not like you're going to be

0:24:25.359 --> 0:24:30.520
<v Speaker 1>running around barefoot in this stuff or anything. But you'd

0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:33.720
<v Speaker 1>have to imagine that like the cleansing process to get

0:24:33.920 --> 0:24:36.480
<v Speaker 1>like like anything that you took in from outside would

0:24:36.480 --> 0:24:40.080
<v Speaker 1>have to go through the kind of DeCamp decontamination. Yeah,

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:41.879
<v Speaker 1>it would. It would be the it would be the

0:24:41.960 --> 0:24:44.720
<v Speaker 1>space version of de lousing. It would be it would

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:49.280
<v Speaker 1>be this incredibly thorough process. It would have to be

0:24:49.320 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 1>in order for you to avoid contaminating the habitable areas

0:24:54.200 --> 0:24:58.040
<v Speaker 1>of the colony. And maybe this gives us a moment

0:24:58.119 --> 0:25:01.720
<v Speaker 1>to talk about what is actually feasible in terms of

0:25:01.760 --> 0:25:06.320
<v Speaker 1>a habitable environment on these planets. Uh in, not planet

0:25:06.359 --> 0:25:10.200
<v Speaker 1>the Moon and the planet Mars. We're not talking about

0:25:10.240 --> 0:25:14.400
<v Speaker 1>these these big space cities like you see in the movies.

0:25:14.480 --> 0:25:16.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, in the near future, we're basically talking about

0:25:16.920 --> 0:25:19.960
<v Speaker 1>living in a can. Yeah, a few, maybe a few

0:25:20.000 --> 0:25:23.760
<v Speaker 1>cans that are connected by by tubes, underground cans well,

0:25:24.040 --> 0:25:26.520
<v Speaker 1>especially for for Mars, it would have to be um

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:29.040
<v Speaker 1>and we'll talk about the specific one. Mars one is

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:32.479
<v Speaker 1>the one will specifically talk about. But um, you know,

0:25:33.119 --> 0:25:34.840
<v Speaker 1>the moon would probably be a good idea too, just

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:38.239
<v Speaker 1>so that you can avoid that radiation problem. But the

0:25:38.280 --> 0:25:40.879
<v Speaker 1>other big issue of course with Mars is that it

0:25:41.000 --> 0:25:43.560
<v Speaker 1>is so far away that you know, we could send

0:25:44.359 --> 0:25:47.000
<v Speaker 1>materials there, but it's going to take the better part

0:25:47.040 --> 0:25:50.159
<v Speaker 1>of a year to get there, depending upon where Earth

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:51.960
<v Speaker 1>and Mars are in their orbits. So if you left

0:25:52.000 --> 0:25:56.000
<v Speaker 1>your phone charger, yeah, or food food right, or that

0:25:56.119 --> 0:25:59.840
<v Speaker 1>your oxygen making equipment isn't making oxygen at the rate

0:26:00.080 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 1>you need it, then you're not in good shape mentioning food.

0:26:05.840 --> 0:26:08.160
<v Speaker 1>This brings up another thing that's pretty interesting I read

0:26:08.160 --> 0:26:13.479
<v Speaker 1>in a Slate article about Mars colonization. One issue is

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:16.119
<v Speaker 1>that we don't know what the long term effects of

0:26:16.160 --> 0:26:21.280
<v Speaker 1>being separated from Earth bacteria are on the diet. Like,

0:26:21.920 --> 0:26:25.080
<v Speaker 1>so they're there's soil bacteria all over the Earth, and

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:28.560
<v Speaker 1>having good biodiversity of bacteria and the soil is apparently

0:26:28.600 --> 0:26:31.560
<v Speaker 1>important for growing the kinds of crops that keep our

0:26:31.600 --> 0:26:35.360
<v Speaker 1>gut flora healthy, right, right, um. There there's a project

0:26:35.400 --> 0:26:38.560
<v Speaker 1>called the Human Microbiome Project that that has found that

0:26:39.400 --> 0:26:42.239
<v Speaker 1>bacterial cells outnumber our cells in our own bodies like

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:45.240
<v Speaker 1>ten to one. We've got something like a hundred trillion

0:26:45.320 --> 0:26:48.640
<v Speaker 1>bacteria living in US at any given time. So really,

0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:53.040
<v Speaker 1>were not so much human as we are bacteria planets. Yes,

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:56.440
<v Speaker 1>we are giant bacteria bags well by mass, we're a lot.

0:26:56.720 --> 0:26:59.359
<v Speaker 1>We out number back, not out number, but our cells

0:26:59.359 --> 0:27:03.960
<v Speaker 1>are bigger, we outmask but but but but any any

0:27:04.000 --> 0:27:08.359
<v Speaker 1>given human contains up to like ten thousand strains of

0:27:08.400 --> 0:27:12.640
<v Speaker 1>bacteria um. And and all of those are different depending

0:27:12.680 --> 0:27:14.439
<v Speaker 1>on what you eat and where you live. Like like,

0:27:14.480 --> 0:27:16.720
<v Speaker 1>for example, if you eat a bunch of sushi, Um,

0:27:16.720 --> 0:27:19.720
<v Speaker 1>there's there's a uh, there's there's a bacteria for that

0:27:19.720 --> 0:27:22.320
<v Speaker 1>that helps you break down the seaweed, there's a bacteria

0:27:22.359 --> 0:27:24.640
<v Speaker 1>for that. There's a bacteria. It's much better than there's

0:27:24.720 --> 0:27:27.880
<v Speaker 1>nap for that. Um Yeah, well but so so yeah.

0:27:28.000 --> 0:27:30.800
<v Speaker 1>If so, if you're on Mars and you you're eating

0:27:30.840 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 1>food grown hydroponic lee on Mars, you're not getting that

0:27:33.560 --> 0:27:36.479
<v Speaker 1>biodiversity right. It has none of the If you're just

0:27:36.520 --> 0:27:38.840
<v Speaker 1>growing out of water, you don't have that soil, and

0:27:38.920 --> 0:27:43.560
<v Speaker 1>it would be just drastically expensive to ship dirt to Mars.

0:27:43.680 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 1>Whether or not those bacteria could even live in those

0:27:46.880 --> 0:27:50.760
<v Speaker 1>environments that we're artificially creating for ourselves is a questions.

0:27:51.600 --> 0:27:54.399
<v Speaker 1>So those are the challenges. Let's talk a little bit

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:57.760
<v Speaker 1>about some of the proposed missions that either will or

0:27:57.880 --> 0:28:02.800
<v Speaker 1>would or could have the colony on Mars or the Moon. Well, okay,

0:28:02.840 --> 0:28:05.400
<v Speaker 1>and and and this is this kind of ties back

0:28:05.400 --> 0:28:08.480
<v Speaker 1>into the challenges as well, because because that the costs

0:28:08.560 --> 0:28:12.000
<v Speaker 1>of doing all of this stuff is large end end

0:28:13.680 --> 0:28:17.000
<v Speaker 1>astronomi dear s. I was avoiding that word, but there

0:28:17.040 --> 0:28:21.080
<v Speaker 1>you go. Um uh yeah, grain at me like an idiot.

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:25.720
<v Speaker 1>I am an idiot looking at going to the moon.

0:28:26.160 --> 0:28:29.160
<v Speaker 1>Um about back in two thousand four, that's why the

0:28:29.200 --> 0:28:34.720
<v Speaker 1>moon kind of concept um the the initial estimates were

0:28:34.920 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 1>between a hundred and we're about a hundred billion dollars

0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:42.360
<v Speaker 1>through um, but other people said that it could cost

0:28:42.400 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>somewhere between two hundred fifty billions. And the Constellation program,

0:28:47.160 --> 0:28:50.640
<v Speaker 1>which was a program that NASA had proposed back in

0:28:50.680 --> 0:28:54.360
<v Speaker 1>the mid two thousand's that would have been our Moon

0:28:54.480 --> 0:29:00.440
<v Speaker 1>colony and future deep space exploration program. Uh. One of

0:29:00.440 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 1>the major criticisms leveled against that program was that it

0:29:04.040 --> 0:29:08.520
<v Speaker 1>was already going over budget and it was behind schedule,

0:29:09.080 --> 0:29:11.880
<v Speaker 1>um and so it may have been that that one

0:29:12.280 --> 0:29:15.320
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar estimate was in fact low. I mean, it's

0:29:15.880 --> 0:29:17.640
<v Speaker 1>it's hard to say when you first come up with

0:29:17.680 --> 0:29:19.880
<v Speaker 1>these things because a lot of the challenges you will

0:29:19.880 --> 0:29:23.120
<v Speaker 1>discover as you embark upon these projects aren't known at

0:29:23.120 --> 0:29:25.560
<v Speaker 1>the beginning, right you start to discover them as you

0:29:25.600 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 1>go along, and then you realize, oh, now I had

0:29:27.880 --> 0:29:30.080
<v Speaker 1>to take this into consideration. Wait a minute, now that

0:29:30.160 --> 0:29:32.440
<v Speaker 1>I know this one piece of information that affects these

0:29:32.440 --> 0:29:36.200
<v Speaker 1>other fourteen things I thought I knew before, and uh

0:29:36.280 --> 0:29:37.720
<v Speaker 1>if I don't have any of the numbers in front

0:29:37.720 --> 0:29:38.760
<v Speaker 1>of me, But if you look at any of the

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:42.000
<v Speaker 1>NASA programs, most of them have gone tremendously over budget,

0:29:42.040 --> 0:29:44.760
<v Speaker 1>and not in those you know, like government spending kind

0:29:44.800 --> 0:29:46.840
<v Speaker 1>of kind of ways. Just because of of what you

0:29:46.880 --> 0:29:49.640
<v Speaker 1>were saying. Yeah, I mean, not not to say that

0:29:49.720 --> 0:29:55.719
<v Speaker 1>every NASA program has been a model of efficient management,

0:29:55.760 --> 0:29:59.760
<v Speaker 1>because there are certainly cases of mismanagement within the Space program,

0:29:59.840 --> 0:30:03.560
<v Speaker 1>but it's not like that's the one and only factor

0:30:03.640 --> 0:30:07.440
<v Speaker 1>that leads to a project going over budget sure and UM.

0:30:07.480 --> 0:30:12.120
<v Speaker 1>In contrast the Mars one cost um, which which is

0:30:12.160 --> 0:30:13.960
<v Speaker 1>one of the projects we're probably about to talk about

0:30:14.000 --> 0:30:17.360
<v Speaker 1>in detail. UM their their estimated cost is UM about

0:30:17.400 --> 0:30:20.040
<v Speaker 1>six billion dollars for the first colony of four people.

0:30:20.200 --> 0:30:25.840
<v Speaker 1>This makes no sense to me, which is ridiculous. Although

0:30:25.840 --> 0:30:29.800
<v Speaker 1>although Elon musk Um roughly estimated to Mars colony at

0:30:29.840 --> 0:30:33.320
<v Speaker 1>only thirty six billion UM, and I would say they

0:30:33.400 --> 0:30:36.320
<v Speaker 1>all had to go in Tesla's right, we had just

0:30:36.520 --> 0:30:39.160
<v Speaker 1>getting the Tesla and launch it into space and then

0:30:39.200 --> 0:30:41.080
<v Speaker 1>you could drive there and the nice thing is it's

0:30:41.080 --> 0:30:47.640
<v Speaker 1>a silent ride. But you know, I am but it

0:30:47.680 --> 0:30:51.120
<v Speaker 1>wasn't before. But it's But it's ridiculous. It's crazy to

0:30:51.160 --> 0:30:53.560
<v Speaker 1>me that the people are estimating going to Mars in

0:30:53.600 --> 0:30:56.680
<v Speaker 1>this this six billion, this thirty six billion numbers. When

0:30:56.840 --> 0:30:59.400
<v Speaker 1>we were talking about going to the Moon, uh, you know,

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:05.440
<v Speaker 1>almost a decade ago. For yeah, it's well, they're going

0:31:05.480 --> 0:31:08.160
<v Speaker 1>to finance it by reality TV. So what's the problem.

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:09.840
<v Speaker 1>All right, Well, before we get into that, let me

0:31:09.880 --> 0:31:12.760
<v Speaker 1>talk about the Moon one first. Because this this this

0:31:12.880 --> 0:31:16.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of predates the Mars one circus. I think it's

0:31:16.520 --> 0:31:18.680
<v Speaker 1>it's safe to call it a circus, right, No, I well,

0:31:18.800 --> 0:31:22.000
<v Speaker 1>so unfair. I don't want to I don't want to

0:31:22.040 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 1>throw a wet blanket on Mars one. I'm just saying it.

0:31:25.800 --> 0:31:28.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm very skeptical. I don't want to say I don't

0:31:28.480 --> 0:31:31.880
<v Speaker 1>want to be a downer and say like, don't try.

0:31:32.080 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm just saying like, it's I don't know how you're

0:31:34.800 --> 0:31:36.560
<v Speaker 1>going to do. We'll get into that. We'll talk about

0:31:36.600 --> 0:31:39.959
<v Speaker 1>the Mars one fiasco in a minute. So, uh, I'm sorry,

0:31:40.600 --> 0:31:42.920
<v Speaker 1>my my brain switched off. Now let's talk about the

0:31:42.960 --> 0:31:45.840
<v Speaker 1>Moon for a second. So NASA had the Constellation program

0:31:45.840 --> 0:31:48.960
<v Speaker 1>that they had proposed where it would UH. The idea

0:31:49.080 --> 0:31:54.080
<v Speaker 1>was to to create a crew exploration vehicle, which was

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:58.200
<v Speaker 1>eventually named the Orion, and the Orion crew Exploration vehicle

0:31:58.320 --> 0:32:04.320
<v Speaker 1>was to replace the previous UH methods of delivering people

0:32:04.400 --> 0:32:08.280
<v Speaker 1>into space UM and also to create a new type

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:13.280
<v Speaker 1>of heavy lifting vehicle, essentially a rocket, so that that

0:32:13.320 --> 0:32:17.719
<v Speaker 1>would replace what in the Constellation program was the Area's

0:32:17.800 --> 0:32:24.200
<v Speaker 1>five rocket. So the Constellation program was meant to establish

0:32:24.240 --> 0:32:26.560
<v Speaker 1>a presence on the Moon, a colony on the Moon,

0:32:26.760 --> 0:32:30.960
<v Speaker 1>and then further go into space, perhaps eventually exploring and

0:32:31.000 --> 0:32:35.080
<v Speaker 1>maybe even colonizing Mars and beyond. That was the idea,

0:32:35.160 --> 0:32:37.720
<v Speaker 1>and some of the missions would be you know, unmanned

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:41.280
<v Speaker 1>missions that we would fire off from the Moon and etcetera. Uh.

0:32:41.360 --> 0:32:45.000
<v Speaker 1>The problem was that the budget, it went over budget,

0:32:45.000 --> 0:32:49.520
<v Speaker 1>it was behind schedule. UH. It had been criticized widely because, UM,

0:32:49.760 --> 0:32:52.720
<v Speaker 1>it's hard. It can be very difficult for scientists to

0:32:53.800 --> 0:32:58.480
<v Speaker 1>justify the cost in the eyes of politicians and their

0:32:58.520 --> 0:33:02.920
<v Speaker 1>constituents who don't see an immediate return on investment. UM.

0:33:03.200 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 1>It's not to say that people all undervalue what science

0:33:06.880 --> 0:33:09.200
<v Speaker 1>brings to us and they don't realize it. It's just

0:33:09.280 --> 0:33:12.200
<v Speaker 1>that it's a tough sell. Sure, Sure when when you're

0:33:12.200 --> 0:33:18.400
<v Speaker 1>going you know, like like healthcare and food education and

0:33:18.640 --> 0:33:21.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean granted these the work that we do in

0:33:22.040 --> 0:33:25.280
<v Speaker 1>these endeavors can often benefit us in those arenas, but

0:33:25.320 --> 0:33:27.600
<v Speaker 1>it's hard to make that direct connection when you are

0:33:28.360 --> 0:33:31.560
<v Speaker 1>just trying to justify an enormous price tech. Right. So

0:33:31.760 --> 0:33:35.479
<v Speaker 1>NASA eventually, first they shelved the program and then essentially

0:33:35.520 --> 0:33:39.400
<v Speaker 1>the Obama administration scrapped it. So the Constellation program is

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:42.920
<v Speaker 1>no more. The Crew Exploration vehicle lives on the Orion

0:33:43.400 --> 0:33:46.600
<v Speaker 1>that has continued to be funded and developed, although now

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:50.160
<v Speaker 1>the focus at least in the short term, it's less

0:33:50.240 --> 0:33:53.680
<v Speaker 1>on the Orion being an exploration vehicle and more for

0:33:53.800 --> 0:33:58.480
<v Speaker 1>being a an alternative to an escape pod for the

0:33:58.520 --> 0:34:00.880
<v Speaker 1>I S S folks, the International Space Station folks, so

0:34:00.920 --> 0:34:03.040
<v Speaker 1>that way we don't have to depend upon the Russian

0:34:03.080 --> 0:34:06.480
<v Speaker 1>soyas capsules. Instead we have our very own capsules we

0:34:06.480 --> 0:34:10.120
<v Speaker 1>could use um. And then there's also that heavy lifting

0:34:11.000 --> 0:34:15.600
<v Speaker 1>vehicle that is still being funded, which would be used

0:34:15.600 --> 0:34:20.480
<v Speaker 1>to put crew and cargo and heavy supplies out into space.

0:34:20.800 --> 0:34:23.200
<v Speaker 1>It would be a necessary part of deep space exploration.

0:34:23.520 --> 0:34:26.640
<v Speaker 1>There's been a lot of criticisms directed toward the Obama

0:34:26.680 --> 0:34:29.360
<v Speaker 1>administration for putting that into motion, because a lot of

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:32.080
<v Speaker 1>people said that really the Area's five rocket would have

0:34:32.320 --> 0:34:34.480
<v Speaker 1>done all of that, and that if we had stuck

0:34:34.520 --> 0:34:38.080
<v Speaker 1>with the Constellation program, we would already be preparing people

0:34:38.120 --> 0:34:42.080
<v Speaker 1>to go out into space, like within the next two years,

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:45.440
<v Speaker 1>we could have had someone on Mars. That's the argument

0:34:45.520 --> 0:34:49.120
<v Speaker 1>that the critics have made towards this program. Where the

0:34:49.120 --> 0:34:51.560
<v Speaker 1>truth lies, I don't know, because this is a complex issue.

0:34:51.600 --> 0:34:53.360
<v Speaker 1>We've got a lot more than just the science and

0:34:53.400 --> 0:34:57.160
<v Speaker 1>technology going on. You've got politics and economics, and eventually

0:34:57.200 --> 0:34:59.440
<v Speaker 1>you get well beyond my level of expertise. So I

0:34:59.480 --> 0:35:04.640
<v Speaker 1>don't know which side is the more realistic, but it's

0:35:04.640 --> 0:35:07.719
<v Speaker 1>certainly it certainly does not look like we're going to

0:35:07.760 --> 0:35:12.080
<v Speaker 1>have a lunar colony there anytime in the near future.

0:35:12.719 --> 0:35:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Maybe we do within I don't know. Twenty is as

0:35:19.200 --> 0:35:21.520
<v Speaker 1>close as I would go. I know that Obama had

0:35:21.520 --> 0:35:26.440
<v Speaker 1>talked about even establishing a a presence on an asteroid

0:35:26.480 --> 0:35:30.520
<v Speaker 1>by in preparation to landing people on Mars by twenty

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:37.120
<v Speaker 1>thirty five sometime around then. But you know, it's there

0:35:37.120 --> 0:35:38.680
<v Speaker 1>have been a lot of critics saying that, how can

0:35:38.719 --> 0:35:40.520
<v Speaker 1>you expect us to do that when you essentially hit

0:35:40.600 --> 0:35:45.640
<v Speaker 1>reset on the program we had designed to do those things. Uh, meanwhile,

0:35:45.960 --> 0:35:49.880
<v Speaker 1>Mars one, So Mars one is a totally different animal.

0:35:50.040 --> 0:35:54.360
<v Speaker 1>It's a private approach as opposed to a government sponsored approach,

0:35:54.960 --> 0:35:57.520
<v Speaker 1>and it's a one way ticket. Yeah. Yeah, you do

0:35:57.600 --> 0:36:02.120
<v Speaker 1>not come back, at least, there's no mean right. Maybe

0:36:02.160 --> 0:36:04.160
<v Speaker 1>you would, maybe you would live long enough for us

0:36:04.160 --> 0:36:07.040
<v Speaker 1>to develop a way to get you back, but that

0:36:07.200 --> 0:36:09.600
<v Speaker 1>the plan is that once you go, that's where you're

0:36:09.640 --> 0:36:11.920
<v Speaker 1>going to be spending the rest of your days. It's

0:36:11.960 --> 0:36:15.680
<v Speaker 1>on that red planet. It's a it's a run by

0:36:15.840 --> 0:36:20.560
<v Speaker 1>a technically a nonprofit foundation that is run by a

0:36:20.640 --> 0:36:23.440
<v Speaker 1>for profit group. Yeah. Well really, what you have is

0:36:23.440 --> 0:36:26.799
<v Speaker 1>you've got a for profit arm that does all the

0:36:26.840 --> 0:36:31.680
<v Speaker 1>merchandizing and like we said, the Mark TV, the TV

0:36:31.840 --> 0:36:35.640
<v Speaker 1>reality show that's supposed to be the no, that's supposed

0:36:35.640 --> 0:36:37.879
<v Speaker 1>to be the main way for generating revenue. The TV

0:36:37.960 --> 0:36:41.040
<v Speaker 1>reality show and merchandizing would generate the revenue needed to

0:36:41.080 --> 0:36:46.080
<v Speaker 1>pour into the research, development, production and execution of this project.

0:36:46.160 --> 0:36:49.520
<v Speaker 1>So the the the idea is that through the applicant

0:36:49.600 --> 0:36:53.000
<v Speaker 1>process and through the launch and through the settlement, um,

0:36:53.040 --> 0:36:56.320
<v Speaker 1>you would be you know, yeah, yeah, doing a reality

0:36:56.360 --> 0:36:58.479
<v Speaker 1>TV series what these people are going through. You would

0:36:58.480 --> 0:37:01.480
<v Speaker 1>have a Mars one big brother essentially is from from

0:37:01.480 --> 0:37:04.719
<v Speaker 1>the very beginning where you have the selection process through

0:37:04.800 --> 0:37:09.480
<v Speaker 1>the training process, and that training would probably involve putting

0:37:10.400 --> 0:37:14.319
<v Speaker 1>applicants into hostile environments where they have to pretty much

0:37:14.320 --> 0:37:17.000
<v Speaker 1>spend all their time within UH kind of like a

0:37:17.000 --> 0:37:20.040
<v Speaker 1>biodome experience, you know, but put the someplace where they

0:37:20.160 --> 0:37:25.480
<v Speaker 1>really could not venture beyond their their UH stations because

0:37:25.960 --> 0:37:28.520
<v Speaker 1>they would die. So something like Antarctica or whatever, you

0:37:28.600 --> 0:37:30.880
<v Speaker 1>put the someplace where it would be really tough to survive.

0:37:30.920 --> 0:37:34.680
<v Speaker 1>So that which yeah, yeah, for training purposes, but also

0:37:34.800 --> 0:37:37.600
<v Speaker 1>it makes great television folks. Um I mean and in

0:37:37.640 --> 0:37:42.440
<v Speaker 1>the way that interesting fact, I'm pretty sure that the

0:37:42.440 --> 0:37:46.800
<v Speaker 1>Soviet cosmonauts were banned from playing chess after um, someone

0:37:46.880 --> 0:37:51.120
<v Speaker 1>in Antarctica killed someone over the outcome of a chess match.

0:37:51.840 --> 0:37:54.120
<v Speaker 1>That's so, this is a kind of TV that we

0:37:54.120 --> 0:37:57.160
<v Speaker 1>can look forward to on the Mars one projects. So

0:37:57.160 --> 0:38:00.560
<v Speaker 1>so this does raise questions obviously, like let's a that

0:38:00.920 --> 0:38:03.799
<v Speaker 1>let's say that everything goes really well and despite the

0:38:03.840 --> 0:38:06.360
<v Speaker 1>myriad of challenges we mentioned, not to mention all the

0:38:06.440 --> 0:38:11.160
<v Speaker 1>other challenges based upon the actual Mars one radiation, the

0:38:11.719 --> 0:38:14.600
<v Speaker 1>fact that they have to to build these like what,

0:38:14.719 --> 0:38:16.920
<v Speaker 1>They'll build the capsules and send them to Mars. That's

0:38:16.960 --> 0:38:18.880
<v Speaker 1>the plan, right, and they the capsules land on the

0:38:18.920 --> 0:38:22.120
<v Speaker 1>surface of Mars. Rovers that they also put on the

0:38:22.120 --> 0:38:24.560
<v Speaker 1>surface of Mars help bring those capsules to where they

0:38:24.600 --> 0:38:28.000
<v Speaker 1>need to be, and then astronauts and the rovers together,

0:38:28.360 --> 0:38:30.440
<v Speaker 1>the first group of astronauts, the first group of four

0:38:31.520 --> 0:38:35.480
<v Speaker 1>would land on Mars and with yeah, so around the

0:38:35.480 --> 0:38:38.879
<v Speaker 1>same time as what Obama's plan would would do through uh,

0:38:39.120 --> 0:38:43.319
<v Speaker 1>through the new NASA initiative. UH. The they would use

0:38:43.360 --> 0:38:47.239
<v Speaker 1>the rovers to help build the living space they would need.

0:38:47.280 --> 0:38:50.399
<v Speaker 1>So essentially, the rovers and the first group before would

0:38:50.400 --> 0:38:54.000
<v Speaker 1>be in charge of putting together all the habitable space

0:38:54.640 --> 0:38:59.200
<v Speaker 1>for the next group before and the next group before.

0:38:59.239 --> 0:39:02.600
<v Speaker 1>I think there's twenty total. The plan was to send

0:39:02.600 --> 0:39:05.879
<v Speaker 1>out another four people every um, every every so often,

0:39:05.920 --> 0:39:08.879
<v Speaker 1>every every couple of years. So uh, at any rate,

0:39:08.920 --> 0:39:12.120
<v Speaker 1>the idea of being the first four would have the

0:39:12.239 --> 0:39:14.799
<v Speaker 1>most palatial estate for a while because they'd be the

0:39:14.800 --> 0:39:17.000
<v Speaker 1>ones in charge of putting it all together. But you know,

0:39:17.160 --> 0:39:19.319
<v Speaker 1>to address that issue of radiation and the fact that

0:39:19.360 --> 0:39:21.240
<v Speaker 1>they don't have the protection on the surface of Mars

0:39:21.280 --> 0:39:24.359
<v Speaker 1>that we do on Earth, that talked about burying, you know,

0:39:24.400 --> 0:39:27.839
<v Speaker 1>digging underground and putting some of the stations there. Some

0:39:28.080 --> 0:39:31.520
<v Speaker 1>like the living quarters would be down there. According according

0:39:31.600 --> 0:39:34.960
<v Speaker 1>to Mars, one five ms of or about sixteen point

0:39:35.040 --> 0:39:38.000
<v Speaker 1>four feet of Martian soil would be equivalent to being

0:39:38.000 --> 0:39:44.560
<v Speaker 1>protected by Earth's atmosphere. And yeah, so, I mean it

0:39:44.600 --> 0:39:47.919
<v Speaker 1>doesn't sound like it'd be of very comfortable experience. You'd

0:39:47.920 --> 0:39:52.160
<v Speaker 1>be living underground on Mars with no way of getting back. Now,

0:39:52.239 --> 0:39:55.520
<v Speaker 1>let's however, I mean, you know, it's a lot of people.

0:39:55.560 --> 0:39:59.480
<v Speaker 1>You know, applications have gone, you know, everyone on the

0:39:59.480 --> 0:40:03.440
<v Speaker 1>planets least well, they say they have at least a

0:40:03.480 --> 0:40:08.640
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousands. Did I read some criticism It was something

0:40:08.719 --> 0:40:12.359
<v Speaker 1>like they were counting applications that were started but not

0:40:12.480 --> 0:40:15.439
<v Speaker 1>completed or so That's why I say. They say, it's

0:40:15.440 --> 0:40:18.320
<v Speaker 1>almost like when they talk about when a when a

0:40:18.480 --> 0:40:21.279
<v Speaker 1>technology company tells about how many units they've sold, and

0:40:21.320 --> 0:40:23.520
<v Speaker 1>they include all the units that they have shipped to

0:40:23.600 --> 0:40:26.760
<v Speaker 1>retailers that haven't been sold to consumers, they've been sold

0:40:26.760 --> 0:40:30.840
<v Speaker 1>to retail establishments, but they counted as units sold. Well, regardless,

0:40:30.880 --> 0:40:33.879
<v Speaker 1>I would say that it's captured the public's imagination. Right.

0:40:33.920 --> 0:40:36.200
<v Speaker 1>But see, here's here's the point I was getting at

0:40:36.239 --> 0:40:39.759
<v Speaker 1>before I went on my incredibly long tangent. So let's

0:40:39.760 --> 0:40:43.520
<v Speaker 1>assume that they beat all the odds and somehow they

0:40:43.600 --> 0:40:47.480
<v Speaker 1>managed to land these rovers the capsules. Everything works, They

0:40:47.480 --> 0:40:51.719
<v Speaker 1>put it all together before I get there. They no

0:40:51.719 --> 0:40:55.280
<v Speaker 1>one's killed each other. Everything's hunky dory. The four got

0:40:55.360 --> 0:41:00.000
<v Speaker 1>people settled down for a long Martian nap, and uh,

0:41:00.200 --> 0:41:02.680
<v Speaker 1>the ratings for the TV show start to slip, and

0:41:02.719 --> 0:41:06.600
<v Speaker 1>then the TV show that doesn't receive the financial support

0:41:06.640 --> 0:41:08.799
<v Speaker 1>that it once had. What happens to those people that

0:41:08.840 --> 0:41:11.319
<v Speaker 1>we've put on Mars And what happens when the TV

0:41:11.440 --> 0:41:16.160
<v Speaker 1>show goes away when people stop buying Mars one trucker

0:41:16.200 --> 0:41:20.719
<v Speaker 1>hats and T shirts. We're sorry, colonists, you have been canceled. Right, Yeah,

0:41:20.760 --> 0:41:24.680
<v Speaker 1>what do we do? You know that's there's a Now

0:41:24.719 --> 0:41:26.560
<v Speaker 1>we have a moral obligation, or at least an ethical

0:41:26.560 --> 0:41:30.080
<v Speaker 1>obligation to the people we have put on this planet

0:41:30.120 --> 0:41:33.319
<v Speaker 1>to keep them alive. Like, well, that's weird that you'd

0:41:33.320 --> 0:41:35.719
<v Speaker 1>have an ethical obligation to people who are put there

0:41:35.719 --> 0:41:38.760
<v Speaker 1>by a private enterprise, you know, not by your government

0:41:38.880 --> 0:41:41.600
<v Speaker 1>or something. I also wonder. I mean, again, this is

0:41:41.600 --> 0:41:44.959
<v Speaker 1>the skeptic in me. You've got a nonprofit organization that's

0:41:45.000 --> 0:41:47.920
<v Speaker 1>overseeing all of this, and there's the for profit side

0:41:47.960 --> 0:41:50.200
<v Speaker 1>that is designed to get all the money for it,

0:41:50.200 --> 0:41:54.800
<v Speaker 1>and the nonprofit side essentially has like ninety five controlling

0:41:54.840 --> 0:41:59.080
<v Speaker 1>interests in this private enterprise. Essentially, the nonprofit is in

0:41:59.160 --> 0:42:03.160
<v Speaker 1>charge of making sure that the funds go to where

0:42:03.160 --> 0:42:05.120
<v Speaker 1>they need to go with research and development and all

0:42:05.120 --> 0:42:09.120
<v Speaker 1>this kind of stuff. Uh, the skeptic in me worries

0:42:09.160 --> 0:42:12.640
<v Speaker 1>that that's this. I would like to think that everyone's

0:42:12.680 --> 0:42:14.480
<v Speaker 1>on the up and up. But the skeptic and me

0:42:14.600 --> 0:42:17.440
<v Speaker 1>can't help but say, you know, if this were a scam,

0:42:17.480 --> 0:42:19.520
<v Speaker 1>this is a heck of a scam where you've got

0:42:19.520 --> 0:42:23.000
<v Speaker 1>a non private organization that's essentially funneling all this money.

0:42:23.080 --> 0:42:26.400
<v Speaker 1>So I don't say that this necessary. I mean, obviously

0:42:26.440 --> 0:42:28.160
<v Speaker 1>for it to work, they would have to have the

0:42:28.200 --> 0:42:30.759
<v Speaker 1>people involved, Otherwise you don't have a product to sell.

0:42:31.320 --> 0:42:33.960
<v Speaker 1>So I would like to think that this is mostly

0:42:33.960 --> 0:42:35.960
<v Speaker 1>on the up and up, but at the very least,

0:42:36.000 --> 0:42:39.840
<v Speaker 1>I have to say it seems overly optimistic, if not naive.

0:42:40.719 --> 0:42:44.000
<v Speaker 1>While we're on the negative side, I wanted to have

0:42:44.360 --> 0:42:47.600
<v Speaker 1>another kind of dark concern I have about this is that,

0:42:47.800 --> 0:42:50.880
<v Speaker 1>so we've talked about the inspiration factor that you know,

0:42:51.000 --> 0:42:54.320
<v Speaker 1>so many kids wanted to get into science and exploration

0:42:54.520 --> 0:42:59.080
<v Speaker 1>and engineering and stuff because of the moon landing. Uh

0:42:59.120 --> 0:43:01.560
<v Speaker 1>and and are to the benefit of the Mars one

0:43:01.600 --> 0:43:04.879
<v Speaker 1>if it succeeded and everything went according to plan, would

0:43:04.920 --> 0:43:07.239
<v Speaker 1>be oh yeah, so we can renew that there's this

0:43:07.320 --> 0:43:10.200
<v Speaker 1>new sense of adventure about going to space and kids

0:43:10.200 --> 0:43:13.560
<v Speaker 1>are really inspired. Is it possible that there could be

0:43:13.600 --> 0:43:17.080
<v Speaker 1>the opposite effect. Now, if you have a reality TV

0:43:17.200 --> 0:43:23.400
<v Speaker 1>show where, assuming something bad happens, uh, we're watching people

0:43:23.520 --> 0:43:27.160
<v Speaker 1>slowly deteriorate in health over the course of eleven months

0:43:27.239 --> 0:43:30.960
<v Speaker 1>until they all die. Could that have a to the

0:43:30.960 --> 0:43:36.600
<v Speaker 1>opposite effect really discourage people? I think it certainly would. Yeah,

0:43:36.640 --> 0:43:40.279
<v Speaker 1>it's I agree that. And even if it just even

0:43:40.280 --> 0:43:44.320
<v Speaker 1>if this were a project that just ultimately fails because

0:43:44.480 --> 0:43:48.320
<v Speaker 1>it was too ambitious, like not saying that everyone is

0:43:48.680 --> 0:43:52.560
<v Speaker 1>sincere in their desire of fulfilling this project. If it

0:43:52.600 --> 0:43:56.160
<v Speaker 1>fails because it was too ambitious and uh, and they

0:43:56.160 --> 0:43:58.000
<v Speaker 1>don't have a lot to show for it, that could

0:43:58.440 --> 0:44:00.759
<v Speaker 1>end up hurting it as well. And it doesn't have

0:44:00.800 --> 0:44:04.040
<v Speaker 1>to be a complete like disaster and ending the loss

0:44:04.080 --> 0:44:06.320
<v Speaker 1>of human life for it to have a negative impact.

0:44:06.680 --> 0:44:09.680
<v Speaker 1>But then again, here we are naysaying, and we could

0:44:09.680 --> 0:44:11.919
<v Speaker 1>have made a lot of these criticisms about the plan

0:44:12.040 --> 0:44:14.200
<v Speaker 1>to put somebody on the moon a decade. I mean,

0:44:14.320 --> 0:44:17.680
<v Speaker 1>that was ambitious. Lots of people said that that would

0:44:17.719 --> 0:44:20.279
<v Speaker 1>be impossible, that it would result in the death of astronauts,

0:44:20.280 --> 0:44:22.839
<v Speaker 1>said it just that there was no point to it. Yeah,

0:44:22.960 --> 0:44:25.239
<v Speaker 1>And and so I just want to I want to

0:44:25.239 --> 0:44:27.279
<v Speaker 1>show prudence there, you know, I want to say like

0:44:27.719 --> 0:44:31.920
<v Speaker 1>that I'm skeptical, but that if you're listening people involved

0:44:32.239 --> 0:44:34.799
<v Speaker 1>involved in Mars one and you're really trying to do this,

0:44:35.000 --> 0:44:37.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, work on it. Yeah, I'm not trying to

0:44:37.480 --> 0:44:39.600
<v Speaker 1>say stop. I will say I will say, if you

0:44:39.640 --> 0:44:42.719
<v Speaker 1>are working for Mars one, that I find your approach

0:44:42.760 --> 0:44:47.080
<v Speaker 1>to discussing the dangers of radiation to be a little carevilly.

0:44:47.760 --> 0:44:50.000
<v Speaker 1>For example, you remember when I mentioned that if you

0:44:50.040 --> 0:44:52.319
<v Speaker 1>were between the ages of twenty five and thirty four

0:44:52.520 --> 0:44:55.759
<v Speaker 1>and you spent um. So so if you're between those

0:44:55.800 --> 0:44:59.520
<v Speaker 1>ages and you've spent a good amount of time in space,

0:45:00.239 --> 0:45:04.480
<v Speaker 1>your chances for developing cancer if you're male increased by

0:45:04.520 --> 0:45:09.080
<v Speaker 1>ten percent and female by about se um. And then

0:45:09.800 --> 0:45:13.200
<v Speaker 1>Mars one's response to that, saying this is quoting from

0:45:13.200 --> 0:45:15.520
<v Speaker 1>their website. Let's compare it to the people who do

0:45:15.600 --> 0:45:19.200
<v Speaker 1>not go to Mars in their lifetimes. Men have a

0:45:19.200 --> 0:45:21.800
<v Speaker 1>twelve percent chance of contracting prostate cancer and women have

0:45:21.840 --> 0:45:24.440
<v Speaker 1>a twelve and a half percent chance of developing breast cancer.

0:45:25.080 --> 0:45:28.920
<v Speaker 1>That's in your lifetime. Okay, that's one specific kind of

0:45:29.080 --> 0:45:31.680
<v Speaker 1>cancer to specific kinds of cancer. So we're talking. They're

0:45:31.760 --> 0:45:35.120
<v Speaker 1>they're comparing a person's entire lifespan to the amount of

0:45:35.120 --> 0:45:37.560
<v Speaker 1>time it would take just to go to Mars and

0:45:37.600 --> 0:45:41.160
<v Speaker 1>then be exposed to radiation. So I think that that

0:45:41.320 --> 0:45:44.840
<v Speaker 1>is at best, that's misinformation. At worst, it's completely disingenuous,

0:45:44.880 --> 0:45:48.120
<v Speaker 1>and it it misleads people into thinking that it's safer

0:45:48.160 --> 0:45:52.360
<v Speaker 1>than it really is. And I I'm sure that assuming

0:45:52.440 --> 0:45:53.800
<v Speaker 1>that they are all on the up and up, that

0:45:53.880 --> 0:45:56.320
<v Speaker 1>through the screening process and the training process, all of

0:45:56.360 --> 0:45:59.520
<v Speaker 1>that information will become much more concrete for the people

0:45:59.520 --> 0:46:03.120
<v Speaker 1>who are are serious about pursuing this. I'm sure it

0:46:03.120 --> 0:46:05.920
<v Speaker 1>would be disclosed. Yeah, But on the face of it,

0:46:05.920 --> 0:46:09.480
<v Speaker 1>it makes me uneasy. Yeah, yeah, especially when you're charging

0:46:09.480 --> 0:46:12.880
<v Speaker 1>for applications and you're inviting the whole world to apply.

0:46:13.760 --> 0:46:16.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's a little bit, it's a little bit squiggly.

0:46:17.160 --> 0:46:22.040
<v Speaker 1>Jim Bob, you are going to go to Mars. Don't

0:46:22.080 --> 0:46:24.479
<v Speaker 1>worry about cancer. So are we ready to talk about

0:46:24.600 --> 0:46:28.200
<v Speaker 1>some other options? Let's okay. So we we've talked a

0:46:28.200 --> 0:46:30.200
<v Speaker 1>lot about the Moon and Mars, and those are the

0:46:30.239 --> 0:46:34.319
<v Speaker 1>big ones, I think, but our imagination doesn't have to

0:46:34.360 --> 0:46:37.400
<v Speaker 1>stop there. I mean, it's possible that we could colonize

0:46:37.680 --> 0:46:40.759
<v Speaker 1>other places in the Solar system too, uh, And I

0:46:40.800 --> 0:46:42.480
<v Speaker 1>wanted to talk about a few of those, and I

0:46:42.480 --> 0:46:45.880
<v Speaker 1>want to start with one that's kind of kind of counterintuitive,

0:46:45.880 --> 0:46:48.279
<v Speaker 1>but for a strange reason I think might be the

0:46:48.480 --> 0:46:53.640
<v Speaker 1>most likely place, which would be asteroids. And the reason

0:46:53.920 --> 0:46:57.239
<v Speaker 1>I think that is because asteroids have one of the

0:46:57.280 --> 0:47:02.120
<v Speaker 1>most obvious financial incentives. Sure there could be could be

0:47:02.239 --> 0:47:05.200
<v Speaker 1>are chock full equil stuff. Yeah, there are asteroids that

0:47:05.239 --> 0:47:07.440
<v Speaker 1>could have a lot of metals that are in the

0:47:07.760 --> 0:47:12.719
<v Speaker 1>platinum family, which are exceedingly rare on Earth, super rare

0:47:12.760 --> 0:47:15.000
<v Speaker 1>on Earth, but not so much in asteroids. And they say,

0:47:15.040 --> 0:47:19.480
<v Speaker 1>like one asteroid could have more platinum group metals than

0:47:19.520 --> 0:47:23.399
<v Speaker 1>have ever been mined on Earth so far and so

0:47:23.719 --> 0:47:26.400
<v Speaker 1>and those are very expensive, you know, more expensive than

0:47:26.440 --> 0:47:29.560
<v Speaker 1>gold usually, and they're also incredibly useful. It's not just

0:47:29.640 --> 0:47:32.759
<v Speaker 1>that they're pretty. We can use them in electronics, they're

0:47:32.800 --> 0:47:36.759
<v Speaker 1>they're useful in platinum used in like in fuel cells, right,

0:47:36.800 --> 0:47:40.040
<v Speaker 1>and you can use platinum and fuel cells that for catalysts,

0:47:40.200 --> 0:47:42.840
<v Speaker 1>so that you can have hydrogen based fuel cells, I

0:47:42.880 --> 0:47:44.440
<v Speaker 1>should say, because there are a lot of different kinds,

0:47:44.440 --> 0:47:47.040
<v Speaker 1>but in hydrogen based fuel cells. More often than not,

0:47:47.120 --> 0:47:50.080
<v Speaker 1>the catalysts tends to be platinum. Uh. So this is

0:47:50.120 --> 0:47:54.520
<v Speaker 1>really useful, highly valuable, and so there's a financial incentive

0:47:54.560 --> 0:47:57.239
<v Speaker 1>for people to work really hard and invest lots of

0:47:57.280 --> 0:48:01.160
<v Speaker 1>money to get there and set up shop. Now, the

0:48:01.200 --> 0:48:05.439
<v Speaker 1>other side of that is that asteroids are extremely they're

0:48:05.440 --> 0:48:09.680
<v Speaker 1>not friendly to humans because they don't have an atmosphere

0:48:09.920 --> 0:48:13.239
<v Speaker 1>and they don't have a magnetosphere. Some some might be

0:48:13.239 --> 0:48:16.480
<v Speaker 1>big enough to have a small magnetosphere, and there's not

0:48:16.680 --> 0:48:21.359
<v Speaker 1>signific not significant enough to protect us from radiation. So

0:48:21.400 --> 0:48:24.440
<v Speaker 1>you'd still have that that space radiation problem unless you

0:48:24.480 --> 0:48:27.720
<v Speaker 1>were to drill down deep or have very protective coating.

0:48:27.840 --> 0:48:31.640
<v Speaker 1>Step one higher, Bruce willis step two. Yeah, but it's

0:48:31.680 --> 0:48:33.560
<v Speaker 1>all the same stuff we've been talking about. There, You're

0:48:33.600 --> 0:48:36.279
<v Speaker 1>you're exposed to radiation in a bad way. It's it's

0:48:36.280 --> 0:48:40.080
<v Speaker 1>a low or micro gravity environment, which is a pro

0:48:40.280 --> 0:48:43.359
<v Speaker 1>and a coon on asteroids. Number one, it's a pro

0:48:43.600 --> 0:48:46.600
<v Speaker 1>because it makes it that much easier to land and

0:48:46.640 --> 0:48:49.600
<v Speaker 1>take off um, but it's a con because it has

0:48:49.640 --> 0:48:52.040
<v Speaker 1>this negative effect on humans. And one of the pros

0:48:52.080 --> 0:48:55.000
<v Speaker 1>also is that it might be much easier to build

0:48:55.120 --> 0:48:58.920
<v Speaker 1>load bearing structures like living quarters and stuff on the

0:48:58.960 --> 0:49:02.239
<v Speaker 1>surface of an asteroid, i'd because of that low gravity. Um,

0:49:02.280 --> 0:49:05.560
<v Speaker 1>it would require you know, just less material. Again, they're

0:49:05.560 --> 0:49:07.080
<v Speaker 1>they're they're a little bit further out in the Moon,

0:49:07.239 --> 0:49:11.080
<v Speaker 1>so so that can have a potential for yeah launch,

0:49:12.719 --> 0:49:15.240
<v Speaker 1>They're they're near Earth asteroids and there are Main Belt

0:49:15.280 --> 0:49:18.560
<v Speaker 1>asteroids and and so we've thought about both. It seems

0:49:18.600 --> 0:49:20.640
<v Speaker 1>more likely to me that if we were to set

0:49:20.680 --> 0:49:23.280
<v Speaker 1>up shop would be on one of the bigger, nearer

0:49:23.280 --> 0:49:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Earth asteroids that they want to exploit. But also you

0:49:26.680 --> 0:49:29.279
<v Speaker 1>could focus on Main Belt asteroids or even like the

0:49:29.360 --> 0:49:37.440
<v Speaker 1>Dwarf Planet series. Um, yeah, that's oh oh mega. Yeah.

0:49:37.480 --> 0:49:40.719
<v Speaker 1>But like we've been saying that all these challenges are there,

0:49:40.960 --> 0:49:43.560
<v Speaker 1>but these are other places we might look. Here's a

0:49:43.680 --> 0:49:47.160
<v Speaker 1>really cool one I came across, which is and this

0:49:47.239 --> 0:49:50.399
<v Speaker 1>is very fantastical. It's this is looking a long way

0:49:50.440 --> 0:49:53.640
<v Speaker 1>in the future, not not any near term. But uh.

0:49:53.960 --> 0:49:58.080
<v Speaker 1>I read uh Universe Today article that interviewed this NASA

0:49:58.120 --> 0:50:01.640
<v Speaker 1>scientist named Jeffrey Landis, and he talked about an interesting

0:50:01.680 --> 0:50:06.200
<v Speaker 1>way of possibly colonizing Venus in the far future. Venus

0:50:06.280 --> 0:50:09.560
<v Speaker 1>Venus which which can melt lead. Yeah, the surface of

0:50:09.560 --> 0:50:14.840
<v Speaker 1>which can melt lead, boil sulfur the surface of screen.

0:50:15.719 --> 0:50:18.920
<v Speaker 1>The surface of Venus has a pressure about ninety times

0:50:18.960 --> 0:50:22.239
<v Speaker 1>that of Earth's atmosphere, so it's like a pressure that's

0:50:22.280 --> 0:50:24.719
<v Speaker 1>not quite as much as the bottom of the deepest

0:50:24.840 --> 0:50:27.480
<v Speaker 1>part of Earth's ocean, but like being at the bottom

0:50:27.480 --> 0:50:31.080
<v Speaker 1>of some parts of the ocean. Um. See I'm seeing here.

0:50:31.120 --> 0:50:34.320
<v Speaker 1>It has a mean surface temperature of seven thirty five kelvin,

0:50:34.360 --> 0:50:36.840
<v Speaker 1>which is about four sixty two degrees celsius or a

0:50:36.880 --> 0:50:39.799
<v Speaker 1>balmy eight sixty three degrees fahrenheit. Yeah, like we said,

0:50:39.880 --> 0:50:43.840
<v Speaker 1>melts lead, So drop your artillery shell and it's just liquid.

0:50:44.160 --> 0:50:47.360
<v Speaker 1>All of your books catch fire. But this plan but

0:50:47.520 --> 0:50:49.919
<v Speaker 1>so there it's well it's not so much a plan

0:50:50.000 --> 0:50:52.680
<v Speaker 1>and that anybody's gonna do it real soon. But he

0:50:52.840 --> 0:50:55.600
<v Speaker 1>just talked about it is a sort of thought experiment,

0:50:55.640 --> 0:50:58.920
<v Speaker 1>and it actually sounds really cool. So he had this

0:50:59.000 --> 0:51:05.200
<v Speaker 1>idea that a balloon filled with breathable air would float

0:51:05.480 --> 0:51:09.680
<v Speaker 1>in Venus's atmosphere because of Venus's atmosphere is so thick,

0:51:10.640 --> 0:51:13.640
<v Speaker 1>so the density of this balloon full of air that

0:51:13.680 --> 0:51:16.680
<v Speaker 1>we could have breathed would float in Venus's atmosphere at

0:51:16.719 --> 0:51:19.560
<v Speaker 1>a place where the atmospheric pressure is about one bar

0:51:19.920 --> 0:51:24.160
<v Speaker 1>or one atmosphere, which is totally livable for us. Um,

0:51:24.400 --> 0:51:27.959
<v Speaker 1>just floating in the atmosphere by itself. Are you telling

0:51:28.000 --> 0:51:30.040
<v Speaker 1>me there's talking about a floating colony that he's talking

0:51:30.080 --> 0:51:37.120
<v Speaker 1>about a floating cloud city on exactly. Yeah, it would

0:51:37.120 --> 0:51:46.160
<v Speaker 1>be Lando Calarisians city on Venus. And um, yes, we've

0:51:46.200 --> 0:51:49.520
<v Speaker 1>all seen that old adlay Williams in the cult forty five.

0:51:49.680 --> 0:51:55.600
<v Speaker 1>What does it say? He says works every time. But yeah,

0:51:55.680 --> 0:52:00.799
<v Speaker 1>and so we'd all be chilling with Lando. Um. But

0:52:00.800 --> 0:52:03.160
<v Speaker 1>but the cool thing about this is so just imagine

0:52:03.360 --> 0:52:06.480
<v Speaker 1>you would counteract a lot of these problems if you're

0:52:06.520 --> 0:52:09.239
<v Speaker 1>if you're in the atmosphere at this level, it would

0:52:09.280 --> 0:52:12.080
<v Speaker 1>be a reasonable temperature at this level in the atmosphere

0:52:12.120 --> 0:52:15.600
<v Speaker 1>because where this balloon would float would be comparable to

0:52:15.640 --> 0:52:19.759
<v Speaker 1>Earth's atmosphere temperature. Um, it would be you would be

0:52:20.200 --> 0:52:25.000
<v Speaker 1>uh safe from rapid decompression because the atmospheric pressure outside

0:52:25.040 --> 0:52:28.040
<v Speaker 1>would be about the same as it would be inside. Um.

0:52:28.200 --> 0:52:32.319
<v Speaker 1>So you have all these cool benefits. Now you would

0:52:32.360 --> 0:52:36.960
<v Speaker 1>have some problems number one, like how would you build this? Also,

0:52:37.320 --> 0:52:41.799
<v Speaker 1>if I'm not mistaken, the clouds on Venus are made

0:52:41.800 --> 0:52:45.239
<v Speaker 1>of sulfuric acid. That's exactly right, and it would be

0:52:45.680 --> 0:52:48.560
<v Speaker 1>that that's one of the main problems he identified. He

0:52:48.680 --> 0:52:52.760
<v Speaker 1>thought that the hardest part of this would be making

0:52:52.800 --> 0:52:55.520
<v Speaker 1>the balloon out of a material that's sturdy enough to

0:52:55.719 --> 0:52:58.920
<v Speaker 1>hold it and keep it in place and not not

0:52:59.040 --> 0:53:01.279
<v Speaker 1>too heavy at the same time to sink it. But

0:53:01.320 --> 0:53:04.480
<v Speaker 1>that would be sturdy enough to withstand the corrosive effects

0:53:04.480 --> 0:53:06.640
<v Speaker 1>of the sulfuric acid that would build up on the

0:53:06.680 --> 0:53:10.080
<v Speaker 1>outside of the balloon. Um. But anyway, I think that's

0:53:10.120 --> 0:53:13.200
<v Speaker 1>a really interesting idea. Uh. And then that of course

0:53:13.280 --> 0:53:16.680
<v Speaker 1>leads to the other question that if you're talking about colonization,

0:53:16.800 --> 0:53:19.960
<v Speaker 1>we're not necessarily talking about on the surface. So could

0:53:20.000 --> 0:53:23.960
<v Speaker 1>we create floating cities and other gas planets like the

0:53:24.000 --> 0:53:27.920
<v Speaker 1>gas giants. The answer there is probably no, because gas

0:53:27.960 --> 0:53:33.600
<v Speaker 1>giants like a Jupiter just has massive radiation stormy and yeah,

0:53:33.640 --> 0:53:38.200
<v Speaker 1>it's Jupiter is just a death trap. Um. Really, like,

0:53:38.280 --> 0:53:42.640
<v Speaker 1>it's way worse than just interplanetary radiation. Mars was hostile.

0:53:42.680 --> 0:53:46.480
<v Speaker 1>You don't know anything yet. Seriously, Jupiter, it's like it's

0:53:46.520 --> 0:53:49.520
<v Speaker 1>not just that you're you're lacking the protection of Earth,

0:53:49.560 --> 0:53:53.880
<v Speaker 1>but you're subjecting yourself to additional radiation. Um. And there's

0:53:53.920 --> 0:53:58.279
<v Speaker 1>a huge gravity. Well, and that creates a big problem. Um.

0:53:58.320 --> 0:54:02.560
<v Speaker 1>But so could we colonize other planets? Well, uh, here's

0:54:02.600 --> 0:54:07.880
<v Speaker 1>one that's another weird option. What about Mercury. Well, you say,

0:54:07.920 --> 0:54:10.839
<v Speaker 1>why would we colonize Mercury? And how could we do it?

0:54:10.840 --> 0:54:13.359
<v Speaker 1>It's so hot. Mercury is actually not quite as hot

0:54:13.400 --> 0:54:16.560
<v Speaker 1>as Venus, but it's almost as hot. So why would

0:54:16.560 --> 0:54:19.560
<v Speaker 1>you do that? Well, it turns out the polar regions

0:54:19.600 --> 0:54:23.640
<v Speaker 1>of Mercury might be safe temperatures, um, if you go

0:54:23.800 --> 0:54:26.640
<v Speaker 1>straight to the north or south pole. Uh. And another

0:54:26.680 --> 0:54:29.799
<v Speaker 1>thing that's interesting is satellite data makes us think that

0:54:29.840 --> 0:54:34.160
<v Speaker 1>there is probably water ice on the poles of Mercury,

0:54:34.200 --> 0:54:37.440
<v Speaker 1>which is a sort of a must have. It's kind

0:54:37.440 --> 0:54:39.520
<v Speaker 1>of it's way up there on our list of things

0:54:39.560 --> 0:54:42.319
<v Speaker 1>what we want, um, and so you can get it

0:54:42.360 --> 0:54:45.280
<v Speaker 1>this there might be other volatiles that would be useful

0:54:45.320 --> 0:54:49.960
<v Speaker 1>for us. And one of the big pluses of colonizing

0:54:50.080 --> 0:54:55.319
<v Speaker 1>Mercury would be solar energy. Okay, Now, the surface of

0:54:55.400 --> 0:55:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Mercury gets a huge amount of solar energy. It gets

0:55:00.200 --> 0:55:02.719
<v Speaker 1>way more than the surface of the Earth does. And

0:55:02.760 --> 0:55:05.680
<v Speaker 1>if you could set up shop on Mercury where you're

0:55:05.719 --> 0:55:10.359
<v Speaker 1>collecting solar energy, you could create a just ginormous surplus

0:55:10.400 --> 0:55:13.120
<v Speaker 1>of energy that's useful in space, be way more, way

0:55:13.120 --> 0:55:16.560
<v Speaker 1>more effective than our our Earth based photovoltaics because of

0:55:16.600 --> 0:55:20.200
<v Speaker 1>the yeah, proximity to right and so so that's one

0:55:20.239 --> 0:55:24.319
<v Speaker 1>big selling point of of Mercury. Uh. And so some

0:55:24.360 --> 0:55:26.879
<v Speaker 1>people have even said, like, if you go way way

0:55:26.920 --> 0:55:30.200
<v Speaker 1>into the future, I don't know if you've read about, like, uh,

0:55:30.320 --> 0:55:33.040
<v Speaker 1>some of the plans for creating like Dyson spears. Have

0:55:33.040 --> 0:55:36.239
<v Speaker 1>you ever heard of this concept where you would be

0:55:36.280 --> 0:55:40.840
<v Speaker 1>creating just tons and tons of solar panels to harness

0:55:40.880 --> 0:55:43.239
<v Speaker 1>all of the Sun's energy. Basically a lot of these

0:55:43.239 --> 0:55:48.120
<v Speaker 1>plans involved something basically like, uh, turning the planet Mercury

0:55:48.280 --> 0:55:53.399
<v Speaker 1>into solar panels, like you're you're just mining it to death. Um.

0:55:54.280 --> 0:55:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Of course that's so far in the future. That's it's

0:55:57.040 --> 0:56:00.440
<v Speaker 1>basically fantasy, but it's an interesting idea. Um. So, then

0:56:00.520 --> 0:56:02.680
<v Speaker 1>there are a couple other places in the Solar system

0:56:02.719 --> 0:56:05.719
<v Speaker 1>we might look. I've already mentioned that Jupiter is kind

0:56:05.719 --> 0:56:08.200
<v Speaker 1>of a death trap, but there are really cool reasons

0:56:08.239 --> 0:56:10.719
<v Speaker 1>we might want to go to Europa, Yeah, which is

0:56:10.719 --> 0:56:15.399
<v Speaker 1>still pretty rough. Oh yeah, I'm not saying we want

0:56:15.440 --> 0:56:17.680
<v Speaker 1>to go there, like it'd be real nice, and I'm

0:56:17.680 --> 0:56:23.279
<v Speaker 1>saying there's there's a strong incentence. But yeah, like there

0:56:23.320 --> 0:56:27.480
<v Speaker 1>are like they're like the amount of lethal radiation you

0:56:27.520 --> 0:56:31.560
<v Speaker 1>would receive in Jupiter as uh you know, it's it's

0:56:31.600 --> 0:56:34.799
<v Speaker 1>it's a huge amount, but uh it's only like one

0:56:34.960 --> 0:56:38.800
<v Speaker 1>six that on Eurobo, which is still pretty nasty stuff.

0:56:38.960 --> 0:56:43.080
<v Speaker 1>Well yeah, on one day, one day of surface exposure

0:56:43.120 --> 0:56:46.000
<v Speaker 1>on Europa, they say is is a fatal dose of

0:56:46.120 --> 0:56:49.520
<v Speaker 1>radiation for a human. So again you need massive protection.

0:56:50.120 --> 0:56:52.640
<v Speaker 1>Uh So Europa for those of you who don't know that,

0:56:52.640 --> 0:56:55.560
<v Speaker 1>that's a moon of Jupiter and it's the place in

0:56:55.600 --> 0:56:58.799
<v Speaker 1>the Solar system that we're that scientists are the most

0:56:58.880 --> 0:57:03.480
<v Speaker 1>excited about life. They think that Okay, now Europa is

0:57:03.520 --> 0:57:07.360
<v Speaker 1>covered in this icy crust, and underneath that icy crust,

0:57:07.400 --> 0:57:10.560
<v Speaker 1>they're pretty sure there are vast oceans of liquid water,

0:57:11.239 --> 0:57:13.799
<v Speaker 1>and they think in those oceans of liquid water, it's

0:57:14.000 --> 0:57:17.200
<v Speaker 1>entirely possible that there is microbial life. We just don't know,

0:57:17.480 --> 0:57:21.000
<v Speaker 1>but that's on the radiation, some kind of eldriche horror.

0:57:24.800 --> 0:57:27.600
<v Speaker 1>They think it's the best place to look um and

0:57:27.640 --> 0:57:30.840
<v Speaker 1>so that's a really cool reason to go there. Um.

0:57:30.880 --> 0:57:33.520
<v Speaker 1>Of course, the drawback of that is one of the

0:57:33.600 --> 0:57:37.479
<v Speaker 1>challenges to human colonization might be the same thing. Uh now,

0:57:37.600 --> 0:57:41.560
<v Speaker 1>if there are alien microbes there, that might be bad

0:57:41.600 --> 0:57:45.920
<v Speaker 1>times to be fair, to be fair, Yeah, the the

0:57:46.000 --> 0:57:53.800
<v Speaker 1>likelihood of alien and and terrestrial biology being all um

0:57:54.000 --> 0:57:56.440
<v Speaker 1>compatible in any way so like for it to be

0:57:56.560 --> 0:57:58.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of a bacteria or a virus kind of thing

0:57:59.200 --> 0:58:04.480
<v Speaker 1>is the likelihood is low because it's the development would

0:58:04.480 --> 0:58:07.400
<v Speaker 1>have been so far separated that the chance that they're

0:58:07.400 --> 0:58:10.040
<v Speaker 1>being compatibility is also low. Well, it can still be

0:58:10.240 --> 0:58:13.520
<v Speaker 1>toxic though, Oh yeah, so toxicity would still be an issue,

0:58:13.760 --> 0:58:16.240
<v Speaker 1>but you wouldn't necessarily worry about catching some sort of

0:58:16.280 --> 0:58:18.880
<v Speaker 1>weird European I don't know. No, it would be more

0:58:18.920 --> 0:58:20.840
<v Speaker 1>likely that it would be something like you know, the

0:58:21.120 --> 0:58:24.800
<v Speaker 1>the europa version of Chlistradian bata lineum, which causes botulism,

0:58:25.080 --> 0:58:29.480
<v Speaker 1>which you know is a neurotoxin that can kill on

0:58:29.520 --> 0:58:32.480
<v Speaker 1>the magnitude of nanograms. So yeah, or you can use

0:58:32.520 --> 0:58:34.800
<v Speaker 1>it to smooth out those wrinkles. I don't know. It

0:58:34.800 --> 0:58:37.480
<v Speaker 1>sounds like you're saying like you're sure that it wouldn't

0:58:37.560 --> 0:58:40.400
<v Speaker 1>have a biochemistry similar to Earth life. I would say

0:58:40.400 --> 0:58:43.120
<v Speaker 1>that we don't know. We don't know whether it would.

0:58:43.600 --> 0:58:46.920
<v Speaker 1>I'd say that it would be separated by enough time

0:58:47.760 --> 0:58:52.320
<v Speaker 1>that the likelihood of it having compatibility would be low,

0:58:52.480 --> 0:58:55.360
<v Speaker 1>not that not that it's I would just say that

0:58:55.600 --> 0:58:57.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't think I could comment on the likelihood. I

0:58:57.920 --> 0:59:00.720
<v Speaker 1>don't know why we would we would know one way

0:59:00.800 --> 0:59:06.080
<v Speaker 1>or another at any rate. Anyway, So yeah, well it

0:59:06.120 --> 0:59:09.919
<v Speaker 1>would be because it's icy. Um, so it's yeah, it's

0:59:10.040 --> 0:59:16.320
<v Speaker 1>very cold. As we discussed before, Jupiter's radiation is completely nasty.

0:59:16.520 --> 0:59:20.440
<v Speaker 1>People have talked about one way to protect ourselves if

0:59:20.440 --> 0:59:23.000
<v Speaker 1>we were to set up a colony on Europa would

0:59:23.000 --> 0:59:26.080
<v Speaker 1>be to drill under the ice. And water is actually

0:59:26.200 --> 0:59:28.960
<v Speaker 1>pretty good at shielding from radiation because of the hydrogen

0:59:29.040 --> 0:59:31.960
<v Speaker 1>content in water. Um, so if you drill deep enough

0:59:31.960 --> 0:59:35.840
<v Speaker 1>in the ice, you would be protected on Europa, we think, yeah. Um.

0:59:35.960 --> 0:59:38.880
<v Speaker 1>And so the Jupiter has other moons too, I mean

0:59:38.920 --> 0:59:42.040
<v Speaker 1>there's there's Ganymede, which doesn't it doesn't have nearly as

0:59:42.120 --> 0:59:45.520
<v Speaker 1>much radiation as Europa does have some magnetosphere as well,

0:59:45.600 --> 0:59:48.480
<v Speaker 1>that's true, but there's not as much to do one.

0:59:48.760 --> 0:59:51.120
<v Speaker 1>Have you ever been there? It was a slow place

0:59:51.200 --> 0:59:53.840
<v Speaker 1>on a Saturday night and it's only Thursday morning. Ganymedes

0:59:53.960 --> 0:59:57.560
<v Speaker 1>Gennamed is not a research prize like Europa is. Of course,

0:59:57.640 --> 1:00:00.720
<v Speaker 1>there's and then there's like, well there's also a Calisto. Yeah, okay,

1:00:00.760 --> 1:00:03.400
<v Speaker 1>which is which receives even less radiation to the point

1:00:03.480 --> 1:00:05.760
<v Speaker 1>where you know, maybe we don't have as much of

1:00:05.800 --> 1:00:08.240
<v Speaker 1>a research base there, but it could be another launching

1:00:08.320 --> 1:00:11.920
<v Speaker 1>pad for further deep space exploration. I want to talk

1:00:11.960 --> 1:00:15.160
<v Speaker 1>about one more really cool possibility and that Saturn's moon

1:00:15.360 --> 1:00:18.720
<v Speaker 1>tighten r. Have you all read about Titans. Titans cool

1:00:18.800 --> 1:00:23.040
<v Speaker 1>because it's sort of like planet oil, not oil, but hydrocarbons,

1:00:23.320 --> 1:00:25.880
<v Speaker 1>you know. Uh So it's a planet that's full of

1:00:26.000 --> 1:00:30.240
<v Speaker 1>we think methane and all these organic compounds, probably liquid

1:00:30.440 --> 1:00:33.120
<v Speaker 1>lakes on the surface, and it has it's the only

1:00:33.520 --> 1:00:36.360
<v Speaker 1>moon as far as I know, in our Solar system

1:00:36.440 --> 1:00:38.680
<v Speaker 1>that has a dense atmosphere. Now, to be fair, when

1:00:38.680 --> 1:00:41.520
<v Speaker 1>you say liquid lakes, we're talking liquid lakes and things

1:00:41.560 --> 1:00:44.880
<v Speaker 1>like methane and ethane, not liquid water. Well, no, they

1:00:44.920 --> 1:00:47.200
<v Speaker 1>think there might be some water, but we're not talking

1:00:47.240 --> 1:00:49.440
<v Speaker 1>about all water. Yeah, it would be a lot of

1:00:49.520 --> 1:00:54.080
<v Speaker 1>methane and stuff. Uh, so that's really cool. But it's freezing.

1:00:54.320 --> 1:00:58.120
<v Speaker 1>It has low gravity, and it's let me talk about

1:00:58.160 --> 1:01:01.320
<v Speaker 1>how cold it is. So the butchure on Titan surfaces

1:01:01.360 --> 1:01:06.560
<v Speaker 1>about negative two degrees eighty nine degrees fahrenheit. That's a

1:01:06.600 --> 1:01:10.080
<v Speaker 1>negative a hundred and seventy eight degrees celsius um in

1:01:10.200 --> 1:01:13.360
<v Speaker 1>for some perspective, I just quickly looked up the lowest

1:01:13.400 --> 1:01:18.080
<v Speaker 1>temperature ever recorded on Earth, that's ever recorded on Earth anywhere.

1:01:18.520 --> 1:01:20.959
<v Speaker 1>That was a negative a hundred and twenty eight point

1:01:21.120 --> 1:01:25.240
<v Speaker 1>six degrees fahrenheit or negative eighty nine point two degrees celsius,

1:01:25.320 --> 1:01:29.560
<v Speaker 1>and that was in Vostok Station in Antarctica. Clearly, no

1:01:30.560 --> 1:01:32.560
<v Speaker 1>no measurement has ever been taken. After I've told a

1:01:32.640 --> 1:01:36.080
<v Speaker 1>really bad pun and Lauren has reacted because, let me

1:01:36.120 --> 1:01:39.680
<v Speaker 1>tell you, there's no molecular movement in that room. The

1:01:40.280 --> 1:01:44.320
<v Speaker 1>level of coldness is unimaginable. I mean, it's how cold

1:01:44.440 --> 1:01:46.440
<v Speaker 1>this is. It's one thing they talked about is it's

1:01:46.480 --> 1:01:50.360
<v Speaker 1>so cold that the atmosphere is just extremely thick. You know,

1:01:50.440 --> 1:01:54.040
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of a soupy atmosphere. You could you could

1:01:54.240 --> 1:01:58.640
<v Speaker 1>wear wings and fly, you know, although you know it's

1:01:58.680 --> 1:02:01.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure that we could work out the heat management

1:02:01.480 --> 1:02:05.600
<v Speaker 1>system if we, you know, had the technology to get there. Yeah, yeah,

1:02:05.600 --> 1:02:09.400
<v Speaker 1>and there. But it's full of resources, and that that's

1:02:09.440 --> 1:02:13.840
<v Speaker 1>what's cool. I mean, it's like it's your interplanetary gas station. Well, yeah,

1:02:14.240 --> 1:02:17.040
<v Speaker 1>some of the other planets may have lots of resources

1:02:17.080 --> 1:02:18.720
<v Speaker 1>that would be very useful to us. It's just the

1:02:18.800 --> 1:02:21.440
<v Speaker 1>question of is there any way of getting there and

1:02:21.520 --> 1:02:23.920
<v Speaker 1>getting the resources to where we would need them in

1:02:24.040 --> 1:02:27.280
<v Speaker 1>a way that makes sense. Like Urinus might have lots

1:02:27.280 --> 1:02:29.000
<v Speaker 1>of helium three on it, but to get out there

1:02:29.000 --> 1:02:31.920
<v Speaker 1>and to get back take a monumental effort. So on

1:02:32.040 --> 1:02:35.760
<v Speaker 1>the other hand, I would not recommend colonizing anywhere near

1:02:35.880 --> 1:02:40.200
<v Speaker 1>Neptune because that's where event Horizon happens, and if you've

1:02:40.240 --> 1:02:43.160
<v Speaker 1>seen it, you should know very very poorly. Yeah, so

1:02:43.320 --> 1:02:47.800
<v Speaker 1>you just you don't do that. Okay, Well, you know,

1:02:48.960 --> 1:02:51.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't have any problem going to Mars despite Mars attacks.

1:02:52.080 --> 1:02:55.080
<v Speaker 1>But let's I think that wraps up our discussion here.

1:02:55.120 --> 1:02:57.280
<v Speaker 1>So the interesting thing here is that I don't think

1:02:57.360 --> 1:03:01.160
<v Speaker 1>we're going to be abandoning these dreams of colonization anytime student,

1:03:01.160 --> 1:03:03.800
<v Speaker 1>and I really hope that we're able to see um

1:03:04.120 --> 1:03:06.840
<v Speaker 1>live to see some of these come to fruition. And

1:03:07.200 --> 1:03:11.240
<v Speaker 1>while we do feel skeptical about the Mars One initiative,

1:03:11.320 --> 1:03:13.640
<v Speaker 1>maybe that is the one that works out. You know,

1:03:13.840 --> 1:03:16.040
<v Speaker 1>it's too early for us to say. It may very

1:03:16.120 --> 1:03:19.760
<v Speaker 1>well be that the ingenuity and determination the people who

1:03:19.760 --> 1:03:22.400
<v Speaker 1>are on that program are up to the challenge of

1:03:22.480 --> 1:03:25.840
<v Speaker 1>getting people on the planet and having them uh survive,

1:03:25.960 --> 1:03:28.720
<v Speaker 1>and and really, if they are, we're going to find

1:03:28.760 --> 1:03:31.800
<v Speaker 1>out so many amazing things that it's just gonna be

1:03:32.080 --> 1:03:35.320
<v Speaker 1>a boon for for all of mankind. Really, whenever we go,

1:03:35.440 --> 1:03:39.240
<v Speaker 1>and I think we will, it will be it's going

1:03:39.280 --> 1:03:41.720
<v Speaker 1>to be pretty awesome. Yeah. So, I mean, I certainly

1:03:41.760 --> 1:03:44.280
<v Speaker 1>hope it works out. You know, don't don't let our

1:03:44.320 --> 1:03:47.720
<v Speaker 1>skepticism translate into us being like we shouldn't try. I

1:03:47.840 --> 1:03:49.520
<v Speaker 1>think all of us believe we should try. We just

1:03:49.560 --> 1:03:52.000
<v Speaker 1>want to make sure that every effort that has made

1:03:52.240 --> 1:03:54.880
<v Speaker 1>is our best effort. I think at a certain point

1:03:54.920 --> 1:03:57.760
<v Speaker 1>that trying is even more important than than than whether

1:03:57.840 --> 1:04:00.480
<v Speaker 1>we succeed or not. Yeah, and only there in an

1:04:00.520 --> 1:04:02.800
<v Speaker 1>immediate sense. How only concerns I have, of course are

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<v Speaker 1>for people's safety. That's paramount obviously, and then to make

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<v Speaker 1>sure that nothing we do ends up discouraging future generations

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<v Speaker 1>from trying to look at how they mucked it up.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's just let's just go to the bar, and I

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<v Speaker 1>don't want that to happen. So so we're gonna sign

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<v Speaker 1>off on this episode. But if you guys have anything

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<v Speaker 1>to say about colonization space, what what you think are

1:04:23.640 --> 1:04:26.480
<v Speaker 1>the best approaches, what what you think is uh the

1:04:26.560 --> 1:04:29.760
<v Speaker 1>most likely scenario, or if you think it's just ridiculous,

1:04:29.760 --> 1:04:31.840
<v Speaker 1>you should let us know. I want to hear everything.

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<v Speaker 1>Let us know. Send us an email are address as

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<v Speaker 1>FW thinking at discovery dot com or go to FW

1:04:37.360 --> 1:04:39.120
<v Speaker 1>thinking dot com. That's where you're going to find all

1:04:39.240 --> 1:04:42.760
<v Speaker 1>the podcasts, the blog post, the videos, links to supporting

1:04:42.920 --> 1:04:45.120
<v Speaker 1>articles that give more information about this kind of stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>We think you're really gonna like it, and we will

1:04:47.560 --> 1:04:53.040
<v Speaker 1>talk to you again really soon. Wrong for more on

1:04:53.120 --> 1:04:55.520
<v Speaker 1>this topic in the future of technology. This is is

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<v Speaker 1>Forward Thinking dot Com AH, brought to you by Toyota.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's go places,