WEBVTT - Interview With Gianni Kovacevic: Masters in Business (Audio)

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<v Speaker 1>Brought to you by B A s F. We create Chemistry.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholds on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>This week on the podcast, I have a guest named

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<v Speaker 1>Gianni Kovachevik. It's taken me a while to learn how

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<v Speaker 1>to pronounce that precisely. He is the author of My

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<v Speaker 1>Electrician drives a Porsche, and he is an angel in

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<v Speaker 1>venture investor specializing in energy and alternative technologies. UH. He

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<v Speaker 1>also just took a Tesla and drove from Toronto to

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<v Speaker 1>Boston to Florida, all around the United States, ended up

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<v Speaker 1>in California and went to the Tesla plant. That's where

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<v Speaker 1>his trip UH finished up, and we chatted about everything

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<v Speaker 1>from the new technologies, what's taking place in China, alternative energies,

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<v Speaker 1>the rise and continue demand for copper, and why oil

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<v Speaker 1>is probably not your best long term investment. If you

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<v Speaker 1>are at all interested in automobiles, electricity, venture investing, or

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<v Speaker 1>alternative energy, I think you'll find this to be a

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<v Speaker 1>fascinating conversation. Without any further ado my chat with Giannikovich Evic.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>My guest today is Gianni covic Efic. He is the

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<v Speaker 1>author of the book My Electrician Drives a Porsche, investing

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<v Speaker 1>in the rise of the new spending class. He is

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<v Speaker 1>also a venture investor as well as resident of Vancouver, Canada.

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<v Speaker 1>Speaks multiple languages, English, German, Italian, Croatian. Just for you're

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<v Speaker 1>only stopping it for um Gianni. Welcome to Bloomberg. It's

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<v Speaker 1>so nice to be in New York Berry. So so

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<v Speaker 1>let's jump right into who you are and what you

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<v Speaker 1>do when when people ask you, what do you do?

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<v Speaker 1>How do you answer that question? I am a curious investor.

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<v Speaker 1>I follow trends. I try to be um. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I can turn myself to be a value investor, so

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not really a trader. I want to look at

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<v Speaker 1>deep value and effectively. I don't want to invest in

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<v Speaker 1>the story on page one is my friend Don Cox

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<v Speaker 1>would say that's the efficient market. I want to invest

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<v Speaker 1>in the story on page sixteen that's headed to page one.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm trying to make a career out of investing

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<v Speaker 1>on page sixteen stories. So, so what's your background? How

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<v Speaker 1>did you get into this line of business? I'm from Vancouver, Canada,

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<v Speaker 1>and what software is to Seattle is what let's say,

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<v Speaker 1>energy commodities, natural resources are to Vancouver, Canada. So a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of my friends we grow up and they become stockbrokers,

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<v Speaker 1>other ones become geologists, engineers, and just you end up,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, entering the workforce and there it is. It's

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<v Speaker 1>so important to basically Canada, in that part of our country,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly that you're just indoctorate into it, no different than

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<v Speaker 1>someone from as I say, Seattle or San Francisco would

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<v Speaker 1>get involved in software computers. And for those people who

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<v Speaker 1>have never been in Vancouver, one of my favorite cities

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<v Speaker 1>in North America and absolutely beautiful. Um So let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit about the entrepreneurial spirit, which very much

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<v Speaker 1>colors your book you're writing, what you focus on. How

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<v Speaker 1>do you become an entrepreneur in a place like Vancouver.

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<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of people up there who ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>ended up moving to Seattle, New York, San Francisco, even

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<v Speaker 1>Los Angeles. What what's life like in Vancouver for a

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<v Speaker 1>entrepreneur who might be more interested in things like software

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<v Speaker 1>and technology than as as one friend calls its sticks

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<v Speaker 1>and stones, timber and minerals. Well, that's where my heart

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<v Speaker 1>beats is supporting these things that I would say that

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<v Speaker 1>you don't want to give society what they think they

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<v Speaker 1>need or what they think they want. You want to

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<v Speaker 1>give them what they do not have and what they

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<v Speaker 1>what they don't already know that they want. We've seen

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<v Speaker 1>examples from them, from Henry Ford in the car from

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<v Speaker 1>the iPhone and Steve Jobs. The old joke is don't

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<v Speaker 1>skate to where the puck is, skates where it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be absolutely and so when you're looking at that

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<v Speaker 1>as an investor, I'm looking for people that are listening

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<v Speaker 1>to the music, They're not getting confused by the noise.

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<v Speaker 1>Classic page sixteen story or stories as investors. So entrepreneurial

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<v Speaker 1>ship is you know people in groups that want to,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, buy into that. You can see it, like

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<v Speaker 1>Warren Bufett would say, when something is so obvious you

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<v Speaker 1>don't even need a pencil and paper to figure it out.

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<v Speaker 1>It's like, you know, we've all heard of those ideas

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<v Speaker 1>that even that that Internet protocol or that app or

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<v Speaker 1>that gizmo in the past years and just say, wow,

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<v Speaker 1>that'll succeed. It's just so intuitive. And I think when

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<v Speaker 1>you're creating these visions as an entrepreneur, you're also managing

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's a lot of psychology, a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of sort of relationship building. The bigger and

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<v Speaker 1>organization gets you end up managing all these personalities. So

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<v Speaker 1>you want to find those mavericks that a create the

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<v Speaker 1>product that people want to need in the future and

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<v Speaker 1>they have the ability to stick handle that business as

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<v Speaker 1>it grows, you know, So how do you how do

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<v Speaker 1>you find that? While it takes a long time, I

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<v Speaker 1>think you need you know, years and years and years

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<v Speaker 1>of experience. You lose money, you win with this guy,

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<v Speaker 1>you win with that guy, and and you know, after

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<v Speaker 1>maybe fifteen or twenty years of experience, hopefully you can

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<v Speaker 1>narrow that down a little bit to have more winners

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<v Speaker 1>and losers. Don't don't we run the risk? Let me

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<v Speaker 1>push back a little bit on you. Don't. Don't we

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<v Speaker 1>run the risk of a little hindsight bias. Um. I

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<v Speaker 1>can't begin to tell you how many things that are

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<v Speaker 1>wildly successful today and everybody thinks, oh, sure, of course

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<v Speaker 1>that was a winner when they were first rolled out.

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<v Speaker 1>People look various scans at it. My favorite story is

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<v Speaker 1>Fred Smith, the guy who founded FedEx. It was a

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<v Speaker 1>graduate school paper and I think you got a d

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<v Speaker 1>and the professor said, why would anybody pay a premium

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<v Speaker 1>for overnight delivery when you have the post office? So so,

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<v Speaker 1>how much of of us looking at these things is obvious?

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<v Speaker 1>Is a little bit of hindsight bias as opposed to,

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<v Speaker 1>or ask differently, how can we really identify these things

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<v Speaker 1>in advance when no one really has a clue what's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna catch on or what's not? The answer is the

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<v Speaker 1>short answers. As you know, it's difficult. If it was easy,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we'd all be billionaires, you know, And if

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<v Speaker 1>it was easy, they would call it snowboarding. You know.

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<v Speaker 1>It's something you learn in a few days. It's not.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think when a trend gets underway, let's liken

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<v Speaker 1>it to a parade. It's very hard to create a parade.

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<v Speaker 1>But when you see it and when it's obvious, you

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<v Speaker 1>know you can it's going on. It's you want to

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<v Speaker 1>jump into that parade. You don't need to be the

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<v Speaker 1>lead float. You need just need to be in it.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, you need to understand. And because you have experience,

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<v Speaker 1>meaning you've kicked the tires, you don't go one day

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<v Speaker 1>to the next and say, oh, you know, um, Uber

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be something that's going to be important

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<v Speaker 1>to the world. I think if you're you have to

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<v Speaker 1>sort of understand how mobile technology evolved, and you don't

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<v Speaker 1>come in one day to the next. It happened, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with the iPhone in two thousand seven, apps started to

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<v Speaker 1>be developed. So already, hey, you use the first time,

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<v Speaker 1>you said, Holy smokes, this this works. I get it.

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<v Speaker 1>Uber has of course been a private company, so most

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<v Speaker 1>people out there can't investor don't have the ability to

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<v Speaker 1>invest in those things, you know, when you can go

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<v Speaker 1>on and on and on, and I think we we

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<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about, you know, trend building and

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<v Speaker 1>the way people can get themselves versed on this stuff

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<v Speaker 1>is subscribe to bloggers, newsletter writers, go to really high

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<v Speaker 1>quality conferences, get the collective opinion of many people and

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<v Speaker 1>their ideas, and you yourself will come up with your

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<v Speaker 1>own sort of trends that you can follow. I'm Barry Ridhults.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My

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<v Speaker 1>guest today is Gianni covic Efic. He is the author

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<v Speaker 1>of My Electrician Drives a Porsche, which is a look

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<v Speaker 1>at investing in the rise of the new spending class.

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<v Speaker 1>And let's talk a little bit about driving in cars.

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<v Speaker 1>And and you just completed a very interesting trip. You

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<v Speaker 1>went across country in a Tesla. How did that come about. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>the my book has nothing to do with fast cars.

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<v Speaker 1>It has everything to do with, as we say in

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<v Speaker 1>the subtitle, investing in the rise of the new spending class.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's this story about a young electrician and his

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<v Speaker 1>family doctor. So it's all about the electricity. It's all

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<v Speaker 1>about the electricity. And so so let's let's we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>talk about this in a few moments. Let's talk about

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<v Speaker 1>the cross country trip and how that worked powered by electricity. First,

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<v Speaker 1>what made you think of doing that? We wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>do a special book tour. I wanted to have something

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<v Speaker 1>that's not your you know, you go to ten or

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<v Speaker 1>twelve cities. So I figured, m I can showcase to

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<v Speaker 1>the world. In my opinion, the future is now with

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<v Speaker 1>respect to electric cars. So you have to exaggerate these things.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, you've got to go from, you know, around

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<v Speaker 1>the entire nation. I was also able to visit more cities,

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<v Speaker 1>I was able to talk to more people, and I

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<v Speaker 1>was able to engage with them. Be it be a government,

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<v Speaker 1>be at investors, be at regular society, and show them

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<v Speaker 1>physically that the future is now. We can do this. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>you can drive an electric car day to day across

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<v Speaker 1>the country whatever you wish. So where did you begin?

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<v Speaker 1>Let's let's trace your path. And you were tweeting this

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<v Speaker 1>out as you were traveling. What what did you Where

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<v Speaker 1>did you launch from? We started in Toronto, Canada, at

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<v Speaker 1>a major conference. It was one of the focused points

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<v Speaker 1>there where people would come and I had all the

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<v Speaker 1>sort of decoration on the car and I told them

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<v Speaker 1>what I'm going to be doing. And I drove to

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<v Speaker 1>Boston with a very skeptical German journalist, I will add,

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<v Speaker 1>someone who did not believe this would be so comfortable.

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<v Speaker 1>And I went from Boston all the way down to Pennsylol, Florida,

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<v Speaker 1>Toronto to Boston. How long did that leg take? It's

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<v Speaker 1>six hundred miles, just under six or miles. It took

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<v Speaker 1>me ten hours drive drive a couple of hours. How

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<v Speaker 1>how let's say you drive two miles about the range

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<v Speaker 1>of a Tesla to fifty Yeah, it's really getting between

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<v Speaker 1>the superchargers if you're doing cross country travel, so and

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<v Speaker 1>they're about between a hundred and fifty twitter and fifty

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<v Speaker 1>miles apart all the superchargers connecting all the major cities

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<v Speaker 1>today today today, already there. So you were able to

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<v Speaker 1>go from Toronto to Boston. So you drove two miles

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<v Speaker 1>to the first Buffalo. How long did it take charge

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<v Speaker 1>it up to go to the next charger. The computer

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<v Speaker 1>tells you how much time you need to get to

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<v Speaker 1>the next supercharger with a cushion meaning you have extreme

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<v Speaker 1>air conditioning on or extreme heating on or whatever. New traffic,

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<v Speaker 1>it's about thirty minutes between you have lunch time, at

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<v Speaker 1>the time of breakfast, the time of coffee. Some cities

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<v Speaker 1>it's only fifteen minutes because sometimes they're they're sandwich maybe

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<v Speaker 1>hundred hundred Toronto, Buffalo and from Buffalo, that's a whole

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<v Speaker 1>to Boston from Buffalo, isn't it? You go and do we? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you do? You do Albany and just at the Rochester

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<v Speaker 1>and uh into So so it's a day from Toronto

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<v Speaker 1>to Boston. Well, let's reverse engineer. Because of the German

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<v Speaker 1>journalist he I said, we're gonna stop when you're when

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<v Speaker 1>you need to use the restroom, when you're hungry, and

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<v Speaker 1>by the time we got to Boston, we were not

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen minutes inconvenience because you have to stop. You have

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<v Speaker 1>to stop, and you got to stop into a restroom.

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<v Speaker 1>So now this is curated. The computer tells us where

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna stop, and you have a p of chang

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<v Speaker 1>there you have. You know exactly what you're gonna do.

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<v Speaker 1>There's no curious where you get off the freeway. Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>or eating at you know this fast food joiner, that

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<v Speaker 1>fast food joint. You kind of know exactly what you're

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<v Speaker 1>up against when you get there. He was shocked from

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<v Speaker 1>a German perspective, which there may be a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more skeptical, although they're huge consumers of of alternates, like

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<v Speaker 1>wind is all you fly into Germany, half the country

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<v Speaker 1>looks like it's covered in wind farms. All right, So Boston,

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<v Speaker 1>I actually met you when you went from Boston to

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<v Speaker 1>New York and then from New York down to Florida.

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<v Speaker 1>Now normally that's a good day and a half drive.

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<v Speaker 1>How long does it take you to get from New

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<v Speaker 1>York to Florida. Well, we took the slow route. I

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<v Speaker 1>stopped in all the cities. I was doing book events

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<v Speaker 1>about two days per city, so I would come in,

0:11:58.760 --> 0:12:00.880
<v Speaker 1>I would the car would be charged before I came

0:12:00.880 --> 0:12:04.120
<v Speaker 1>into the city. I have enough range forty miles to

0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:06.199
<v Speaker 1>do all my nonsense around the city. Of course, when

0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:09.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm sleeping, the car's charging. More and more hotels and

0:12:09.559 --> 0:12:12.920
<v Speaker 1>businesses are now catering to people to have these with

0:12:12.960 --> 0:12:16.280
<v Speaker 1>the destination chargers, not the super fast ones, but the

0:12:16.320 --> 0:12:19.600
<v Speaker 1>ones that charge it around over forty You get each

0:12:19.600 --> 0:12:24.480
<v Speaker 1>hour in your park, you get about exactly and you

0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:26.920
<v Speaker 1>move on. And this is I liken this to the

0:12:27.240 --> 0:12:29.319
<v Speaker 1>charging network system. We can get into some other things

0:12:29.320 --> 0:12:31.520
<v Speaker 1>that are happening in the with the incumbents. But it's

0:12:31.520 --> 0:12:34.000
<v Speaker 1>really like the Model T was perfected on the assembly

0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:36.480
<v Speaker 1>line and started rolling out in October of nine eight,

0:12:37.200 --> 0:12:39.880
<v Speaker 1>So it's really like before there was a network of

0:12:39.880 --> 0:12:42.360
<v Speaker 1>guests exactly. So we're and we can do things a

0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 1>lot faster today, and there's an army of people that

0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 1>will and are doing this. It's not one company, it's

0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:49.800
<v Speaker 1>not just Tesla anymore. By the way, did Tesla have

0:12:49.800 --> 0:12:51.679
<v Speaker 1>anything to do with your trip or were they just

0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:56.679
<v Speaker 1>a lucky beneficiary of your idea? Yeah, I know the

0:12:56.840 --> 0:12:59.280
<v Speaker 1>We did not ask for permission with Tesla. I bought

0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:02.640
<v Speaker 1>the car. I sent Ellen my book, which the title

0:13:02.679 --> 0:13:06.160
<v Speaker 1>may shock people, but of course the character the doctor

0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 1>in the book buys a Tesla and adopts the Tesla

0:13:08.240 --> 0:13:10.560
<v Speaker 1>way of life and what they're now doing with merging

0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:13.160
<v Speaker 1>or attempting to merge solar city in Tesla, calling it

0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:15.640
<v Speaker 1>the Tesla lifestyle. A year and a half ago, I

0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:18.000
<v Speaker 1>was already saying that my book, that this is the future.

0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:21.320
<v Speaker 1>People want the package. They want that package where they

0:13:21.320 --> 0:13:25.120
<v Speaker 1>want to be completely independent from grid, from fossil fuels,

0:13:25.280 --> 0:13:28.080
<v Speaker 1>call it what you will in their homes for all

0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:30.600
<v Speaker 1>their transportation energy. And I'm gonna push back on that

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:33.839
<v Speaker 1>independence claim and that green claim and a little bit sure.

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.360
<v Speaker 1>But you ended up at the Tesla factory, right, is

0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:39.840
<v Speaker 1>that way you finished? Yeah? I ended up on me

0:13:40.280 --> 0:13:43.720
<v Speaker 1>fourth and one of the I believe founders and directors

0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:46.679
<v Speaker 1>of Tesla, Ira, Aaron Price, was having his Global Energy

0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:49.560
<v Speaker 1>conference that day. Was that part of the plan or

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:51.920
<v Speaker 1>just a lucky claim? It was kind of a lucky coincidence.

0:13:51.920 --> 0:13:53.400
<v Speaker 1>So I got my factory tour in the day of

0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:55.640
<v Speaker 1>the conference, you know, parked my car right there. And

0:13:55.679 --> 0:13:58.439
<v Speaker 1>it was really a day of modern energy where a

0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:00.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of these people, a lot of these thoughtly ters

0:14:00.240 --> 0:14:03.000
<v Speaker 1>were together, and I got my tour of the of

0:14:03.040 --> 0:14:06.800
<v Speaker 1>the Tesla factory on that day, and it was it was,

0:14:06.840 --> 0:14:10.800
<v Speaker 1>It was incredible. It's a there's a tectonic shift going on.

0:14:10.880 --> 0:14:14.400
<v Speaker 1>And until you've you know, really understood this from all angles,

0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>how we create service by sell you know cars in general,

0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:22.280
<v Speaker 1>make the parts feed into it. Yeah, the world is

0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:24.360
<v Speaker 1>going through a tectonic shift, in my opinion. How many

0:14:24.360 --> 0:14:27.960
<v Speaker 1>cities did you work your way through? All told, it

0:14:28.040 --> 0:14:31.520
<v Speaker 1>was twenty five official cities, but I stopped in probably

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 1>a hundred when you when you count in the lesser towns,

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:36.280
<v Speaker 1>and I stopped in a lot of universities, wanted to

0:14:36.320 --> 0:14:38.560
<v Speaker 1>talk to students and just just park the car. And

0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:41.160
<v Speaker 1>it's a talking point. What was the network of of

0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:44.800
<v Speaker 1>charging stations? Like? Did you ever find yourself? How does

0:14:44.800 --> 0:14:46.880
<v Speaker 1>the car find it? Do you ever find yourself? Do

0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:48.560
<v Speaker 1>you where am I going to find one of these things?

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:52.920
<v Speaker 1>What's that network? Like? Yeah, it's it's comprehensive already, which

0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:55.280
<v Speaker 1>is actually quite shocking the fact that they only started

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:57.960
<v Speaker 1>a few years ago. You tell the computer what two

0:14:57.960 --> 0:15:00.720
<v Speaker 1>cities you want to connect, and it says exactly where

0:15:00.760 --> 0:15:04.160
<v Speaker 1>you need to charge and how long. So it's kind

0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:06.640
<v Speaker 1>of a coup what Tesla has done already. And so

0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:09.720
<v Speaker 1>that's the city interconnection, the superchargers. His secret sounds like

0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:12.760
<v Speaker 1>it's the software as well as the network for sure,

0:15:12.800 --> 0:15:15.720
<v Speaker 1>the GPS. And then you have the destination chargers, which

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:19.040
<v Speaker 1>are going to be installed by the millions by people

0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:22.640
<v Speaker 1>that own businesses. So they're gonna pay Elon Musk cash

0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:26.280
<v Speaker 1>money for this destination charger, which an electrician can install

0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 1>in three or four or five hours, which means you

0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:32.040
<v Speaker 1>can connect any lifestyle point lifestyle point A to lifestyle

0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:35.360
<v Speaker 1>point B in any city, which means they've solved the puzzle.

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:38.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Ridlts. You're listening to Masters in Business on

0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:42.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. My guest this week is Gianni Kovia Sevic.

0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:47.920
<v Speaker 1>He is a investor, entrepreneur, environmentalist, and author of the

0:15:47.960 --> 0:15:52.040
<v Speaker 1>book My Electrician Drives a Porsche. Uh. Let's talk a

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:56.400
<v Speaker 1>little bit about realistic environmentalism. What does it mean to

0:15:56.480 --> 0:16:01.600
<v Speaker 1>be a realistic environmentalist. A listic environmentalist is someone who

0:16:01.680 --> 0:16:04.400
<v Speaker 1>is pragmatic I would call I would call them an

0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:08.120
<v Speaker 1>algebra ist. Algebra is so if we're looking at the

0:16:08.240 --> 0:16:11.680
<v Speaker 1>challenges that are surrounding energy around the world, where if

0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:14.440
<v Speaker 1>people want to make changes with the way we create, transfer,

0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:17.080
<v Speaker 1>and utilize energy, that's fine. You want to make policy,

0:16:17.120 --> 0:16:19.560
<v Speaker 1>that's also fine. You want to create that investment vehicles,

0:16:19.600 --> 0:16:21.400
<v Speaker 1>that's great, But you have to look at the other

0:16:21.440 --> 0:16:23.800
<v Speaker 1>side of the equation, because when you take fossil fuels

0:16:23.840 --> 0:16:26.760
<v Speaker 1>out of that equation, there has to be something on

0:16:26.800 --> 0:16:28.920
<v Speaker 1>the other side. You can't just wave your hand around

0:16:28.920 --> 0:16:31.320
<v Speaker 1>and say, let's not use oil anymore. Let's no, no

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:35.880
<v Speaker 1>more coal. So if you understand that a realistic environmentalist

0:16:35.920 --> 0:16:39.880
<v Speaker 1>is someone who looks at all the variables and he's

0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:42.480
<v Speaker 1>in the middle. He's neutral, he's a solutionist, or she

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:46.320
<v Speaker 1>is a solutionist. So I want to understand support invest

0:16:47.120 --> 0:16:51.560
<v Speaker 1>in all the elements that factually make that possible. We

0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:55.160
<v Speaker 1>can call a reduction and CEO two emissions, green gas emissions,

0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:58.960
<v Speaker 1>whatever it is, and that is a very large arena

0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:02.640
<v Speaker 1>on on the products, materials, building blocks that factually make

0:17:02.680 --> 0:17:05.200
<v Speaker 1>a reduction in CEO two emissions possible. So so let's

0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:09.639
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about vehicles like the Tesla um As.

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:14.720
<v Speaker 1>As a person who enjoys cars, likes horsepower, is not

0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:20.920
<v Speaker 1>afraid of internal combustion engines. I always have two issues

0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:24.320
<v Speaker 1>with with in general, the prius Is and Teslas of

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:26.560
<v Speaker 1>the world. And by the way, I love the Tesla.

0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:30.440
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a beautiful car, really well made, tremendous design.

0:17:30.800 --> 0:17:33.880
<v Speaker 1>But here are the two issues I have. First, depending

0:17:33.920 --> 0:17:37.160
<v Speaker 1>on the part of the country you're in, you're charging

0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:40.119
<v Speaker 1>off the electric grid, and very often that is coal

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:46.560
<v Speaker 1>fired electricity, which means you're not spewing junk out of

0:17:46.560 --> 0:17:49.480
<v Speaker 1>your tailpipe, but you are spewing junk out of the

0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:53.520
<v Speaker 1>source of the electricity. So why not have you respond

0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:55.680
<v Speaker 1>to that before I go onto the second one. Yeah,

0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:58.919
<v Speaker 1>that's an important question, and I liken that too. We

0:17:58.960 --> 0:18:01.920
<v Speaker 1>don't live in static Ville. Society lives in a place

0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 1>called progress Ville. In two thousand seven, two around of

0:18:07.640 --> 0:18:11.560
<v Speaker 1>America's primary electricity was generated by coal. Just in the

0:18:11.600 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 1>past year, natural gas has surpassed coal as the primary

0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:20.280
<v Speaker 1>fuel source. So coal is now around thirty and falling

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:26.520
<v Speaker 1>by it will be twenty of America's primary electricity. So

0:18:26.600 --> 0:18:30.240
<v Speaker 1>already it is the minority fuel source natural gas and

0:18:30.320 --> 0:18:33.399
<v Speaker 1>the others nuclear renewables. What have you are around se

0:18:34.119 --> 0:18:38.320
<v Speaker 1>America's fuel source and falling. So eventually this will continue

0:18:38.320 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 1>to fall. And remember, we're not going to go away

0:18:39.760 --> 0:18:43.159
<v Speaker 1>from coal because of policy, assets that are deemed on

0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 1>economic or assets that are stranded. We have so much

0:18:46.119 --> 0:18:50.800
<v Speaker 1>natural gas, massive supply, lots of structure cleaner. And here's

0:18:50.840 --> 0:18:53.919
<v Speaker 1>the thing that everybody forgets. You run a pipeline to

0:18:54.400 --> 0:18:58.640
<v Speaker 1>an electrical generation plans and that's it. You're done. There's

0:18:58.680 --> 0:19:02.080
<v Speaker 1>no trucking, ship ing, there's no think about what it

0:19:02.119 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 1>takes to move all that coal by rail by whatever

0:19:05.119 --> 0:19:08.520
<v Speaker 1>means that's got to be really expensive. That gas is

0:19:08.640 --> 0:19:11.840
<v Speaker 1>clearly going to be the winner in the electrical generation

0:19:12.600 --> 0:19:16.080
<v Speaker 1>UM universe, at least for the foreseeable future. And we

0:19:16.160 --> 0:19:19.400
<v Speaker 1>see that the data recently showed that more people work

0:19:19.400 --> 0:19:22.080
<v Speaker 1>in solar today than working coal in the United States.

0:19:22.280 --> 0:19:26.760
<v Speaker 1>That's an amazing stat The second UM criticism I've heard,

0:19:26.800 --> 0:19:29.720
<v Speaker 1>and I don't know how accurate this is, UH, is

0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:33.080
<v Speaker 1>that when you look at things like the lithium batteries

0:19:33.119 --> 0:19:36.840
<v Speaker 1>and all the rare earth metals and unique elements that

0:19:36.880 --> 0:19:40.360
<v Speaker 1>go into making a car like a Prius or a Tesla. Uh,

0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:42.600
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of really if you go all the

0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:45.720
<v Speaker 1>way upstream in the manufacturing process. There's a lot of

0:19:45.840 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 1>really bad manufacturing steps that take place to you know,

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:54.239
<v Speaker 1>strip mind and get access this This is from not

0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:58.520
<v Speaker 1>necessarily very accessible parts of the world. How do how

0:19:58.520 --> 0:20:01.480
<v Speaker 1>do we respond to to that criticism that hey, this

0:20:01.600 --> 0:20:06.360
<v Speaker 1>creates as much heavy metal pollution as it saves in carbon. Well,

0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 1>the real math and if you look at the UM

0:20:09.440 --> 0:20:13.159
<v Speaker 1>the Society of Concerned Scientists, they basically say that the

0:20:13.280 --> 0:20:16.440
<v Speaker 1>breakthrough or the break even is about nineteen thousand miles,

0:20:16.480 --> 0:20:19.000
<v Speaker 1>So it is true to create a full electric car,

0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:21.080
<v Speaker 1>there is some there's a little bit extra CEO two

0:20:21.080 --> 0:20:24.240
<v Speaker 1>emissions to create the car. According to their math, at

0:20:24.240 --> 0:20:26.800
<v Speaker 1>the nineteen thousand mile point, it's it's break even, but

0:20:26.880 --> 0:20:28.919
<v Speaker 1>eighteen months into it more or less something like that.

0:20:28.920 --> 0:20:31.360
<v Speaker 1>But it's it goes deeper than this because nothing comes

0:20:31.359 --> 0:20:33.960
<v Speaker 1>for Freeberry, nothing comes for free. People have to make

0:20:33.960 --> 0:20:36.920
<v Speaker 1>a choice. And that's what it might have of being

0:20:36.920 --> 0:20:40.040
<v Speaker 1>a realistic environmentalists. Just tell me what you like. You know,

0:20:40.200 --> 0:20:42.800
<v Speaker 1>what's the policy, what what's the will of the people? Where,

0:20:42.840 --> 0:20:45.560
<v Speaker 1>where's what's government want? Where where are the investors? Where's

0:20:45.600 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 1>the propensity to make this stuff possible? Because nothing comes

0:20:48.280 --> 0:20:50.960
<v Speaker 1>for free. If you want coal fired electricity, if you

0:20:50.960 --> 0:20:53.320
<v Speaker 1>want to use gasoline, if you want to keep searching

0:20:53.359 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 1>for fossil fuels, move it, refine it, move it again,

0:20:56.480 --> 0:20:59.400
<v Speaker 1>transport it, sell it, repeat every week. Okay, but that's

0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:02.239
<v Speaker 1>I don't believe that's where progress spell is. We are

0:21:02.280 --> 0:21:04.760
<v Speaker 1>going to go on the long course of time because

0:21:04.800 --> 0:21:06.800
<v Speaker 1>it's it's the future. It's just the smart way to

0:21:06.800 --> 0:21:09.200
<v Speaker 1>do it. And we should stop focusing on the cars

0:21:09.200 --> 0:21:11.439
<v Speaker 1>that you drive thirty minutes a day. The cars we

0:21:11.440 --> 0:21:15.359
<v Speaker 1>need to electrify are the taxis, the FedEx vehicles, the

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:18.080
<v Speaker 1>urban buses. We can make them electric and we know

0:21:18.200 --> 0:21:22.280
<v Speaker 1>that because the world's largest automobile market has accelerated those

0:21:22.320 --> 0:21:27.439
<v Speaker 1>programs to electrify urban transport. Those are the cars that China.

0:21:27.680 --> 0:21:31.440
<v Speaker 1>We're talking China. I'm Barry Ridholtz. You're listening to Masters

0:21:31.440 --> 0:21:35.359
<v Speaker 1>in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My guest today is giannikov Sevic.

0:21:35.720 --> 0:21:40.159
<v Speaker 1>He's the author of My Electrician Drives a Porsche Investing

0:21:40.320 --> 0:21:43.760
<v Speaker 1>in the Rise of the New spending class. I was

0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:46.800
<v Speaker 1>surprised that the book was really more of a parable

0:21:47.600 --> 0:21:51.960
<v Speaker 1>then your standard nonfiction book. So let's let's start out

0:21:52.080 --> 0:21:57.520
<v Speaker 1>with the basic premise of that that parable um uh,

0:21:57.800 --> 0:22:00.760
<v Speaker 1>tell me about Doc Anderson and and who he represents.

0:22:00.960 --> 0:22:02.879
<v Speaker 1>By the way, which character in the book are you?

0:22:03.760 --> 0:22:07.639
<v Speaker 1>I would be the electrician that was my guest. So

0:22:07.880 --> 0:22:12.400
<v Speaker 1>a young electrician goes to his doctor and tell tell

0:22:12.480 --> 0:22:16.560
<v Speaker 1>the story. It takes place in Seattle. So this world

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:19.679
<v Speaker 1>capital of sort of technology, and computers are one of them.

0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:22.480
<v Speaker 1>And the there's a fifty eight year old doctor, a

0:22:22.520 --> 0:22:26.520
<v Speaker 1>baby boomer, so I wanted to have that that demographic represented,

0:22:27.040 --> 0:22:30.520
<v Speaker 1>and a millennial gen x if you will, electrician And

0:22:30.640 --> 0:22:33.960
<v Speaker 1>he's helping his doctor renovator on a Saturday, and he

0:22:34.119 --> 0:22:36.840
<v Speaker 1>just asks the doctor, how do you baby boomers think?

0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:39.800
<v Speaker 1>How do you invest? What are you following? He leaves,

0:22:40.200 --> 0:22:42.200
<v Speaker 1>The doctor goes outside and his neighbor says, who's that

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 1>my electrician. The neighbor says, your electrician drives a Porsche.

0:22:46.440 --> 0:22:49.080
<v Speaker 1>The doctor goes out of his mind. How is this possible?

0:22:49.760 --> 0:22:52.720
<v Speaker 1>How is this possible? How can this young working class fellow,

0:22:53.160 --> 0:22:55.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, spend so much money on a lavish gift

0:22:55.200 --> 0:22:57.680
<v Speaker 1>like that? Comes back next Saturday he says, well, I

0:22:58.040 --> 0:23:00.480
<v Speaker 1>stop working as electrician about ten years ago. But because

0:23:00.520 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 1>of all the building blocks I learned and the trends

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:07.040
<v Speaker 1>I followed. I am now an investor full time. I

0:23:07.119 --> 0:23:10.159
<v Speaker 1>take it seriously and he he reads these things like

0:23:10.240 --> 0:23:13.639
<v Speaker 1>a financial soap opera daily weekly, He goes to conferences,

0:23:13.680 --> 0:23:18.200
<v Speaker 1>he meets with people. He wants to be a contrarian investor,

0:23:18.440 --> 0:23:22.080
<v Speaker 1>so he is searching for page sixteen stories which will

0:23:22.160 --> 0:23:25.960
<v Speaker 1>become page one. And of course with the subtitle investing

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:28.119
<v Speaker 1>in the Rise of the New spending Class, they go

0:23:28.240 --> 0:23:32.439
<v Speaker 1>and explore this army of new consumers, people that are

0:23:32.480 --> 0:23:35.639
<v Speaker 1>not rich, they're no longer emerging, they're not poor, and

0:23:36.119 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 1>all the implications of how they're changing the world and

0:23:39.840 --> 0:23:42.480
<v Speaker 1>the opportunity that they represent. So one of the things

0:23:42.560 --> 0:23:48.040
<v Speaker 1>you discuss is investing in human aspiration. Explain that what

0:23:48.240 --> 0:23:50.800
<v Speaker 1>that is first, and then how can we invest in

0:23:50.880 --> 0:23:55.119
<v Speaker 1>human aspiration? We often forget, you know, what it's like

0:23:55.320 --> 0:23:59.119
<v Speaker 1>to have, you know, salary escalation. I I come from Vancouver, Canada,

0:23:59.160 --> 0:24:01.440
<v Speaker 1>and I think it's pretty much the same around North America.

0:24:02.000 --> 0:24:05.280
<v Speaker 1>You have not had more spending power and probably thirty years.

0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:07.200
<v Speaker 1>You know, yeah, your salary might have went up a

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:10.000
<v Speaker 1>little bit, but you factor in ocalation. You know, you're

0:24:10.040 --> 0:24:12.280
<v Speaker 1>not making a lot of money. When my parents came

0:24:12.320 --> 0:24:15.600
<v Speaker 1>from Croatian nineteen seventy three. You know that was a

0:24:15.720 --> 0:24:19.120
<v Speaker 1>very special time. You had rampant salary escalation. I remember

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:22.040
<v Speaker 1>seeing these pace slips of my dad nineteen eighty eighty one.

0:24:22.080 --> 0:24:23.840
<v Speaker 1>He was working in north of Canada. He was making

0:24:23.880 --> 0:24:26.440
<v Speaker 1>a thousand dollars a week. Back then, Mary, you could

0:24:26.480 --> 0:24:28.879
<v Speaker 1>buy two Catollact cars every year. You could buy a

0:24:28.920 --> 0:24:32.960
<v Speaker 1>house for cash money. You cannot do that anymore. People

0:24:33.000 --> 0:24:37.240
<v Speaker 1>in emerging markets have had rampant salary escalation. Okay again,

0:24:37.280 --> 0:24:39.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm not I can I can concede they're not wealthy.

0:24:40.040 --> 0:24:42.320
<v Speaker 1>But someone in China thirty years ago, twenty five years

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:43.920
<v Speaker 1>ago might have made two or three thousand U S

0:24:43.960 --> 0:24:46.399
<v Speaker 1>dollars a year. Well, the averages now in the eastern

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:50.040
<v Speaker 1>provinces I speak of Shanghai, Tianjin, Beijing, they're making eighteen

0:24:50.080 --> 0:24:52.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty thousand dollars a year on average today. That's a

0:24:52.760 --> 0:24:55.560
<v Speaker 1>huge uptick from where they were. Absolutely, so what does

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:57.520
<v Speaker 1>that mean. That means they watch television every day, they

0:24:57.560 --> 0:25:00.880
<v Speaker 1>have air conditioning, they drive a car, They have almost

0:25:01.040 --> 0:25:04.240
<v Speaker 1>the same economic footprint you and I have. They have

0:25:04.320 --> 0:25:09.840
<v Speaker 1>a deluxe diet and so that's coming with ramifications. Now

0:25:09.920 --> 0:25:13.440
<v Speaker 1>with within that is tremendous opportunity and it always comes

0:25:13.480 --> 0:25:18.280
<v Speaker 1>back to probably one primary thing energy, the insatiable appetite

0:25:18.760 --> 0:25:21.639
<v Speaker 1>for that energy. So we need to understand as investors,

0:25:22.000 --> 0:25:26.280
<v Speaker 1>particularly because of this, you know, propensity to have climate change,

0:25:26.480 --> 0:25:29.280
<v Speaker 1>how we create, transfer and utilize what I call energy.

0:25:29.680 --> 0:25:33.200
<v Speaker 1>So let me digress a little bit. Solar has is

0:25:33.400 --> 0:25:39.159
<v Speaker 1>theoretically a source of infinite energy. How comes solar as

0:25:39.200 --> 0:25:42.399
<v Speaker 1>a technology has never had that breakthrough that allowed it

0:25:42.480 --> 0:25:47.520
<v Speaker 1>to be ubiquitous, practically free, or certainly really cheap. That

0:25:47.760 --> 0:25:52.119
<v Speaker 1>that that's something that I've always found perplexing. Yeah, because

0:25:52.200 --> 0:25:56.800
<v Speaker 1>it's technology, and it doubles microtrip for example double devery

0:25:56.840 --> 0:26:00.280
<v Speaker 1>eighteen months. For decades, the learning curve on solar has

0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:04.040
<v Speaker 1>had seven doublings in fifteen years. We are now at

0:26:04.040 --> 0:26:09.479
<v Speaker 1>a point where it is commercially viable. Solar works at night.

0:26:09.600 --> 0:26:12.320
<v Speaker 1>We capture thermal heat through with fluid. That means when

0:26:12.359 --> 0:26:14.240
<v Speaker 1>the sun goes down, it works at night. We are

0:26:14.480 --> 0:26:16.600
<v Speaker 1>now able and you're gonna see this. This is gonna

0:26:16.600 --> 0:26:18.560
<v Speaker 1>bag going through a tectonic shift, by the way and energy,

0:26:18.560 --> 0:26:20.040
<v Speaker 1>and you'll take a while to articulate that. We don't

0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:22.440
<v Speaker 1>have the time right now. But you the way we

0:26:22.600 --> 0:26:25.240
<v Speaker 1>desolinate water typically in the Middle East and the places

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:30.119
<v Speaker 1>around the equator, and they used they used fossil fuels

0:26:30.160 --> 0:26:31.760
<v Speaker 1>to do that. It takes a lot of pressure or

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:34.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of heat. Well, guess what my friends in

0:26:34.840 --> 0:26:36.960
<v Speaker 1>Germany are working on processes now where you do it

0:26:37.040 --> 0:26:41.080
<v Speaker 1>with solar power. It has arrived. It is commercially viable.

0:26:41.600 --> 0:26:44.159
<v Speaker 1>It is now a line item including wind. Wind has

0:26:44.160 --> 0:26:46.879
<v Speaker 1>had in the past fifteen years, four doublings. So we

0:26:47.080 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 1>when you when you look at this and you see

0:26:48.840 --> 0:26:50.800
<v Speaker 1>how the changes, I mean, where's the big investment happened

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:53.120
<v Speaker 1>in the past twenty four months. Not in fossil fuel

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:56.080
<v Speaker 1>electricity generation, it's all been on the lion's share is

0:26:56.119 --> 0:26:59.320
<v Speaker 1>now going into into these renewables across the board. And

0:26:59.440 --> 0:27:02.600
<v Speaker 1>because there's this army of people working on this, the

0:27:02.680 --> 0:27:05.760
<v Speaker 1>prize is so big. Then we get into the energy

0:27:05.840 --> 0:27:08.760
<v Speaker 1>storage and on and on. It's it's we're going through

0:27:09.320 --> 0:27:13.480
<v Speaker 1>probably a once in a multi generational tectonic shift on

0:27:13.560 --> 0:27:16.600
<v Speaker 1>how we create energy, which is going to impact that

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:19.679
<v Speaker 1>we transfer energy, cause there's only three ways to do that. Pipelines,

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:23.440
<v Speaker 1>railroads and ships and electricity, cables or micro grid. Well,

0:27:23.480 --> 0:27:25.639
<v Speaker 1>the future of energy transfer is going to be with electricity,

0:27:25.800 --> 0:27:27.840
<v Speaker 1>not with the not with the incumbents, and then the

0:27:27.880 --> 0:27:29.920
<v Speaker 1>way we utilize it. We're not going to be using

0:27:29.960 --> 0:27:32.760
<v Speaker 1>fossil fuels to utilize energy. When you look at that,

0:27:33.160 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 1>I always tell people oil is energy. Energy without fossil

0:27:37.080 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 1>fuels is electricity, and electricity demands what we want to

0:27:42.960 --> 0:27:45.000
<v Speaker 1>invest in those things. We want to invest in engineering.

0:27:45.040 --> 0:27:47.000
<v Speaker 1>We want to invest in in the in the in

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:50.800
<v Speaker 1>the technique, the techniques, the design, the building blocks, and

0:27:50.880 --> 0:27:53.840
<v Speaker 1>across the board. So so let's talk about something that

0:27:54.280 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 1>a theme that comes up over and over again in

0:27:56.359 --> 0:28:01.880
<v Speaker 1>the book China Copper. People, you're you're alluding to copper.

0:28:02.400 --> 0:28:05.600
<v Speaker 1>Tell us about copper and why is it the green metal.

0:28:06.440 --> 0:28:11.480
<v Speaker 1>There are four major energy commodities. You've got coal, natural gas,

0:28:11.760 --> 0:28:14.760
<v Speaker 1>and oil. The fourth one is copper. It's always been

0:28:14.800 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 1>relevant in the future. And I'm going to suggest something

0:28:17.840 --> 0:28:20.119
<v Speaker 1>very strong. I don't believe in my opinion, that we

0:28:20.240 --> 0:28:25.040
<v Speaker 1>are ever going to have another twenty five or increase

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:28.200
<v Speaker 1>in demand for oil. We are now at a point

0:28:28.280 --> 0:28:30.480
<v Speaker 1>we have to start talking about terminal decline. Coal is

0:28:30.480 --> 0:28:32.320
<v Speaker 1>already finished that in core is already on. It's a

0:28:32.359 --> 0:28:37.200
<v Speaker 1>twilight industry. Innovation adoption technology are not the friends of

0:28:37.240 --> 0:28:40.400
<v Speaker 1>the oil industry. You innovate, use less oil, you adopt

0:28:40.480 --> 0:28:43.160
<v Speaker 1>use no oil technology. The way we extract oil is

0:28:43.200 --> 0:28:46.160
<v Speaker 1>a game changer. When you look at the fourth commodity,

0:28:46.200 --> 0:28:50.680
<v Speaker 1>the energy commodity copper, there is conclusively going to be

0:28:51.000 --> 0:28:56.400
<v Speaker 1>thirty new customer base when you create and utilize greener

0:28:56.440 --> 0:29:00.280
<v Speaker 1>and cleaner energy Barry. It takes five more cop in

0:29:00.360 --> 0:29:03.280
<v Speaker 1>the case of offshore wind, a thousand percent more copper,

0:29:04.280 --> 0:29:06.920
<v Speaker 1>and there's been no fracking moment for the copper industry.

0:29:06.960 --> 0:29:10.240
<v Speaker 1>The way we extract copper. No one's building copper minds.

0:29:11.000 --> 0:29:13.400
<v Speaker 1>So we have to choose putting on our algebra hat again,

0:29:13.600 --> 0:29:15.720
<v Speaker 1>if we're gonna take away fossil fuels, we have to

0:29:15.800 --> 0:29:20.400
<v Speaker 1>recognize and appreciate the science in this equation. It takes

0:29:20.520 --> 0:29:25.280
<v Speaker 1>copper to make green energy possible, not by four hundred

0:29:25.880 --> 0:29:29.560
<v Speaker 1>power of magnitude. So I think that when you look

0:29:29.600 --> 0:29:32.080
<v Speaker 1>at the winners and losers, people want to follow and

0:29:32.240 --> 0:29:34.840
<v Speaker 1>understand the copper industry, not for the next three months

0:29:34.920 --> 0:29:37.760
<v Speaker 1>or six months. Because traditionally copper has been tethered to

0:29:37.760 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 1>the price of oil. But we go forward the next

0:29:39.960 --> 0:29:42.880
<v Speaker 1>to five, seven, ten years, things are going to change

0:29:42.920 --> 0:29:45.960
<v Speaker 1>tectonic shift. So let's talk a little bit about copper

0:29:46.120 --> 0:29:50.640
<v Speaker 1>usages and how the technology surrounding its extraction might change. Obviously,

0:29:51.320 --> 0:29:55.280
<v Speaker 1>anything electric is using copper wiring. I don't even think

0:29:55.320 --> 0:29:58.360
<v Speaker 1>we're allowed to use aluminum wiring in homes anymore. That

0:29:58.520 --> 0:30:02.080
<v Speaker 1>used to be an alternati, a cheaper alternative. Um, what

0:30:02.360 --> 0:30:07.440
<v Speaker 1>is the main application of copper in the the energy grid?

0:30:08.040 --> 0:30:10.000
<v Speaker 1>It's a good question, and were always got to be careful.

0:30:10.040 --> 0:30:12.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean I I read this stuff like Harlequin Romance Berry,

0:30:12.520 --> 0:30:14.480
<v Speaker 1>so you know other people don't. So let me try

0:30:14.520 --> 0:30:17.000
<v Speaker 1>to make this more interesting for people that know nothing

0:30:17.040 --> 0:30:20.640
<v Speaker 1>about this stuff. They experts will tell you that if

0:30:20.720 --> 0:30:24.840
<v Speaker 1>we adopt high efficiency energy systems, we can reduce CEO

0:30:24.920 --> 0:30:27.560
<v Speaker 1>two emissions by one point to five giga tons. So

0:30:27.640 --> 0:30:30.520
<v Speaker 1>if I translate that, that's like taking five million cars

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:33.600
<v Speaker 1>off the road. So what is a high efficiency energy system? Well,

0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 1>you make motors more efficient. Of America's electricity is consumed

0:30:39.160 --> 0:30:42.240
<v Speaker 1>by motors from the smallest to the biggest, meaning anything

0:30:42.320 --> 0:30:45.720
<v Speaker 1>from a vacuum cleaner, air conditioning across the elevators across

0:30:45.760 --> 0:30:49.200
<v Speaker 1>the board. You know, motors use the bulk of the electricity,

0:30:49.480 --> 0:30:51.480
<v Speaker 1>so you make them more modern, more efficient by using

0:30:51.520 --> 0:30:54.560
<v Speaker 1>a copper rotor transformers. You don't use aluminum windings, you

0:30:54.640 --> 0:30:58.160
<v Speaker 1>use copper windings. There is across society where if we

0:30:58.240 --> 0:31:03.440
<v Speaker 1>increase we increase the amplitude of copper, you reduce electricity consumption,

0:31:03.480 --> 0:31:06.320
<v Speaker 1>which means you need to generate less electricity. It's true

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:08.320
<v Speaker 1>that aluminium as a substitute in many cases, and it

0:31:08.560 --> 0:31:10.640
<v Speaker 1>will continue to be part of the solution. You know,

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:12.720
<v Speaker 1>copper will not be the be all end all, but

0:31:12.840 --> 0:31:16.240
<v Speaker 1>we will for efficiency use more copper. We talk about

0:31:16.240 --> 0:31:17.960
<v Speaker 1>a wind park because now if you're going to build

0:31:17.960 --> 0:31:20.920
<v Speaker 1>a two hundred megawatt power plant, which is a small

0:31:20.960 --> 0:31:22.840
<v Speaker 1>coal fired plant, or you say, you know what, let's

0:31:22.880 --> 0:31:25.640
<v Speaker 1>do a two hundred megawatt wind farm. My friend Rossbaty

0:31:25.760 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 1>just installed a two hundred megawatt project in Shannon, Texas.

0:31:29.840 --> 0:31:32.520
<v Speaker 1>You need sixty five you know, three and a half

0:31:32.600 --> 0:31:36.040
<v Speaker 1>megawatt wind turbines each head. It's a generator, is what

0:31:36.120 --> 0:31:38.960
<v Speaker 1>it is. Has almost two thousand pounds of copper. The

0:31:39.040 --> 0:31:41.680
<v Speaker 1>step up transformer you need to collect all that power

0:31:41.760 --> 0:31:45.720
<v Speaker 1>to one central location and then send it off, send

0:31:45.800 --> 0:31:47.440
<v Speaker 1>it off to the grid. You also have to arrest

0:31:47.520 --> 0:31:51.960
<v Speaker 1>the lightning. You know, it's very deluxe, very expensive, you know,

0:31:52.360 --> 0:31:55.960
<v Speaker 1>from a copper perspective, electricity to build. But once it's done,

0:31:56.600 --> 0:31:59.440
<v Speaker 1>you've got energy now for ten twenty thirty years. Now

0:31:59.640 --> 0:32:02.280
<v Speaker 1>we will address other things like curtailment, which means getting

0:32:02.280 --> 0:32:03.920
<v Speaker 1>the power out to people that are using it and

0:32:04.000 --> 0:32:07.760
<v Speaker 1>what have you. But this is early early days and

0:32:07.880 --> 0:32:09.600
<v Speaker 1>it's only going to get more and more as as

0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:12.280
<v Speaker 1>a percentage of power generation. So, Gianni, if people want

0:32:12.320 --> 0:32:14.520
<v Speaker 1>to find your writings, where's the best place for them

0:32:14.600 --> 0:32:18.200
<v Speaker 1>to to look to learn more about this? Well, my

0:32:18.280 --> 0:32:20.360
<v Speaker 1>book is it's all at all the US airports and

0:32:20.400 --> 0:32:22.880
<v Speaker 1>people can find find it on Amazon pretty easily. And

0:32:23.000 --> 0:32:25.320
<v Speaker 1>I Twitter once in a while, I think I go

0:32:25.440 --> 0:32:28.040
<v Speaker 1>through periods of being more or less busy. But my

0:32:28.120 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Twitter handle is at realistic in viral, and then people

0:32:32.240 --> 0:32:35.520
<v Speaker 1>can also source that to my personal website, which is

0:32:36.440 --> 0:32:41.880
<v Speaker 1>Realistic Environmentalist dot com. If you enjoy these conversations, be

0:32:42.040 --> 0:32:45.200
<v Speaker 1>sure and check out our podcast extras where we continue

0:32:45.280 --> 0:32:49.240
<v Speaker 1>the conversation. Check out my daily column on Bloomberg dot

0:32:49.280 --> 0:32:52.760
<v Speaker 1>com or follow me on Twitter at Rid Halts. I'm

0:32:52.840 --> 0:32:55.880
<v Speaker 1>Barry Rit Halts. You've been listening to Masters in Business

0:32:56.120 --> 0:32:59.640
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio, brought to you by b A SF

0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:04.000
<v Speaker 1>we create Chemistry. Welcome back to the podcast portion of

0:33:04.080 --> 0:33:06.560
<v Speaker 1>our show. Gihnni. Thank you so much for doing this.

0:33:06.640 --> 0:33:09.600
<v Speaker 1>There's so much stuff I missed that we really have

0:33:09.760 --> 0:33:12.720
<v Speaker 1>to go back to some of our early questions and

0:33:13.040 --> 0:33:15.080
<v Speaker 1>uh and and plow through it before I get to

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:19.560
<v Speaker 1>my favorite questions. Um and and we'll also talk cars

0:33:19.600 --> 0:33:24.240
<v Speaker 1>a little bit. Um. It's funny. Your electrician drives a Porsche.

0:33:24.440 --> 0:33:28.600
<v Speaker 1>My butcher drives a Porsche. I was picking up some

0:33:28.640 --> 0:33:32.160
<v Speaker 1>stuff for a barbecue, and I wasn't thinking. I put

0:33:32.280 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 1>the keys down on the and I have far too

0:33:35.120 --> 0:33:37.720
<v Speaker 1>many keys and far too many cars. And he sees

0:33:37.760 --> 0:33:41.440
<v Speaker 1>the little he sees the little automobile shaped key, and

0:33:41.560 --> 0:33:45.160
<v Speaker 1>he goes, oh, well, I have the same car. Oh really,

0:33:45.240 --> 0:33:46.880
<v Speaker 1>what do you? What do you have? I have a Panamera.

0:33:47.200 --> 0:33:49.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm like, oh, that's that's interesting. I drove one up

0:33:49.680 --> 0:33:52.600
<v Speaker 1>at Monisanlo Race. Wayne. I love the car. He says,

0:33:52.640 --> 0:33:55.760
<v Speaker 1>he just couldn't stop braving it. So, your electrician drives

0:33:55.760 --> 0:33:58.840
<v Speaker 1>a Porsche. My Butcher drives a Porsche, which I think

0:33:59.000 --> 0:34:02.720
<v Speaker 1>is is pretty pretty hilarious. Um, let's talk a little

0:34:02.720 --> 0:34:06.600
<v Speaker 1>bit about Tesla. Um, you've had the car for how long?

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:11.560
<v Speaker 1>I bought the car in December, and and what what's

0:34:11.600 --> 0:34:13.680
<v Speaker 1>your take on it? What? What do you love? What

0:34:13.800 --> 0:34:15.759
<v Speaker 1>do you what do you think they need to do better.

0:34:16.360 --> 0:34:18.359
<v Speaker 1>I've owned a lot of cars in my in my time,

0:34:18.440 --> 0:34:21.880
<v Speaker 1>and I've had multiple Porschas. I had a Ferrari three sixty,

0:34:21.960 --> 0:34:24.840
<v Speaker 1>a BMW M three, and I recently just sold my

0:34:25.560 --> 0:34:28.640
<v Speaker 1>eight l and it is the best car I've ever owned.

0:34:29.600 --> 0:34:32.839
<v Speaker 1>An that's what consumer reports said, although I will tell

0:34:32.960 --> 0:34:37.440
<v Speaker 1>you that M three is really a fun car. Different

0:34:37.480 --> 0:34:40.000
<v Speaker 1>horses for different courses, you know. So it depends on

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:42.000
<v Speaker 1>what you're doing, you know. But if you were to

0:34:42.040 --> 0:34:43.960
<v Speaker 1>have and I asked this question, So I'm I'm off

0:34:44.040 --> 0:34:45.480
<v Speaker 1>to Europe tomorrow and I'm going to be with my

0:34:45.560 --> 0:34:49.040
<v Speaker 1>friend who lives in Monaco. He has fifteen cars, doesn't

0:34:49.040 --> 0:34:51.480
<v Speaker 1>own a Tesla. But then you have a tough question.

0:34:51.520 --> 0:34:53.560
<v Speaker 1>I said, yeah, but hold on a second. If you

0:34:53.840 --> 0:34:56.600
<v Speaker 1>could only have one car, it had to take your

0:34:56.640 --> 0:34:59.320
<v Speaker 1>kids to school, had to be fast, had to be comfortable.

0:34:59.400 --> 0:35:01.960
<v Speaker 1>I had to that look good. It's a pretty good

0:35:02.040 --> 0:35:04.240
<v Speaker 1>single car to have. I mean, it covers all the bases.

0:35:04.239 --> 0:35:06.200
<v Speaker 1>You're not gonna go hunting to Wyoming with it, but

0:35:06.280 --> 0:35:09.719
<v Speaker 1>other than that, it pretty much covers everything. I thought

0:35:09.760 --> 0:35:14.360
<v Speaker 1>when they released the ninety s D with Insanity Mode,

0:35:14.960 --> 0:35:18.960
<v Speaker 1>I thought that was a game changer because it essentially said, look,

0:35:19.080 --> 0:35:22.640
<v Speaker 1>nobody's going to be drag racing against Ferraris and Lamborghinis.

0:35:22.719 --> 0:35:25.440
<v Speaker 1>Although go to YouTube and if you could find Tesla's

0:35:25.480 --> 0:35:29.840
<v Speaker 1>beating them, um, but it basically said to me, the

0:35:30.000 --> 0:35:34.920
<v Speaker 1>technology now exists that whatever automobile application you want to

0:35:35.000 --> 0:35:40.680
<v Speaker 1>try and and use this technology towards, there's nothing this

0:35:40.800 --> 0:35:43.520
<v Speaker 1>doesn't do. This can be to Ferrari and speed, it's

0:35:43.560 --> 0:35:47.040
<v Speaker 1>comparable to an suv and in terms of comfort and

0:35:47.320 --> 0:35:54.080
<v Speaker 1>space and it that really shifted my perspective about electric

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:57.560
<v Speaker 1>cars because it was no longer sort of a hobbyist gadget.

0:35:57.600 --> 0:36:00.319
<v Speaker 1>It's oh no, this is technology and we could tune

0:36:00.360 --> 0:36:03.680
<v Speaker 1>it to all different applications. I know they originally started

0:36:03.760 --> 0:36:09.960
<v Speaker 1>with their sort of Lotus adapted version, but that Insanity

0:36:10.040 --> 0:36:13.520
<v Speaker 1>mode made me think, well, why not skin of Tesla

0:36:14.200 --> 0:36:18.280
<v Speaker 1>with a really sexy looking body and compete with the Ferraris,

0:36:18.360 --> 0:36:21.280
<v Speaker 1>Lamborghinis and and even the four Gts of the world.

0:36:21.800 --> 0:36:24.520
<v Speaker 1>I think there's an audience for that, is that in

0:36:24.640 --> 0:36:26.759
<v Speaker 1>the future of Tesla in any way, shape or form.

0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:30.600
<v Speaker 1>They've got an offering right now which is coming out

0:36:30.680 --> 0:36:32.239
<v Speaker 1>with we all know what they have already. They go.

0:36:32.320 --> 0:36:36.719
<v Speaker 1>So they have the ninety, which is the sedan, the

0:36:37.320 --> 0:36:40.680
<v Speaker 1>AX which is the suv, which is really by the way,

0:36:40.719 --> 0:36:43.480
<v Speaker 1>the X is really interesting looking. There's someone in my

0:36:43.520 --> 0:36:46.960
<v Speaker 1>neighborhood has it. It's this sort of woody allen sleeper,

0:36:47.680 --> 0:36:51.480
<v Speaker 1>bulbous thing, but it's interesting looking. It's not like what

0:36:51.600 --> 0:36:54.080
<v Speaker 1>the hell is at it's oh, that's kind of interesting.

0:36:54.640 --> 0:36:59.040
<v Speaker 1>And of course the doors, which their core. What what

0:36:59.120 --> 0:37:01.960
<v Speaker 1>do they rename the doors? It's not the gull wing doors,

0:37:02.040 --> 0:37:06.680
<v Speaker 1>it's the or something like that. They're really an interesting

0:37:07.080 --> 0:37:14.399
<v Speaker 1>little gimmick, but it's an enormous expanse of space inside. Yeah, I'm,

0:37:14.440 --> 0:37:19.239
<v Speaker 1>I'm what they've done to rattle this industry. Let's pretend

0:37:19.280 --> 0:37:22.000
<v Speaker 1>were the incumbent automotive manufacturers for a moment, and if

0:37:22.000 --> 0:37:23.960
<v Speaker 1>you go back a few years, they do, you know, say, well,

0:37:24.000 --> 0:37:25.480
<v Speaker 1>no one's gonna want to buy these things. And then

0:37:25.520 --> 0:37:28.200
<v Speaker 1>there's no very dismissive, there's no there's no infrastructure. You know,

0:37:28.280 --> 0:37:30.920
<v Speaker 1>it'll take forever to do the infrastructure. This what was

0:37:31.000 --> 0:37:33.600
<v Speaker 1>a little company was able to build an infrastructure network

0:37:33.719 --> 0:37:36.400
<v Speaker 1>in less than three years. That's I mean, shame on you.

0:37:36.520 --> 0:37:38.360
<v Speaker 1>I say to all the incumbents, how could you be

0:37:38.480 --> 0:37:41.120
<v Speaker 1>so lazy? And now it's going to affect their businesses

0:37:41.840 --> 0:37:45.160
<v Speaker 1>now they all have been rolling out their own internal

0:37:45.239 --> 0:37:50.720
<v Speaker 1>electrical division v e v vly but carefully, because their

0:37:50.800 --> 0:37:54.280
<v Speaker 1>problem is their beholden to what is a franchise network.

0:37:54.760 --> 0:37:58.640
<v Speaker 1>It's very different space to cannibalize your own business. It's

0:37:58.719 --> 0:38:01.520
<v Speaker 1>the baby that's going to chew. They need to start

0:38:01.760 --> 0:38:03.840
<v Speaker 1>like other technology companies have done. They don't want to

0:38:03.840 --> 0:38:06.719
<v Speaker 1>become Blockbuster Video or Codac Film. We know that, and

0:38:07.280 --> 0:38:09.480
<v Speaker 1>we know people really has done a great job of

0:38:09.640 --> 0:38:12.319
<v Speaker 1>letting each new technology. You can't really buy a new

0:38:12.400 --> 0:38:17.040
<v Speaker 1>iPod anymore because the technology of the st chips. Now,

0:38:17.880 --> 0:38:20.600
<v Speaker 1>what used to be a five hundred dollar iPod with

0:38:20.760 --> 0:38:23.239
<v Speaker 1>a hundred megs of or a hundred whatever it is

0:38:23.280 --> 0:38:26.000
<v Speaker 1>gigs of storage, you can now buy a chip for

0:38:26.080 --> 0:38:27.800
<v Speaker 1>twelve dollars and you can put all that music on

0:38:27.840 --> 0:38:30.560
<v Speaker 1>a chip, and most the new cars you could just

0:38:30.640 --> 0:38:32.800
<v Speaker 1>plug in that s D and you don't need that anymore.

0:38:33.440 --> 0:38:35.640
<v Speaker 1>But up until that point, they were very good at

0:38:35.719 --> 0:38:40.359
<v Speaker 1>cannibalizing themselves. Each new version was faster, smaller, and more

0:38:40.440 --> 0:38:43.920
<v Speaker 1>storage and cheaper. The automobile companies don't think like that,

0:38:44.120 --> 0:38:46.840
<v Speaker 1>do they. There they have to put a siren on

0:38:46.880 --> 0:38:50.160
<v Speaker 1>these programs, and I believe they do a siren meaning

0:38:50.719 --> 0:38:53.480
<v Speaker 1>real quick. They don't have ten years. Because here's here's

0:38:53.480 --> 0:38:54.960
<v Speaker 1>how I see this playing out. And I follow this

0:38:55.040 --> 0:38:57.239
<v Speaker 1>for a long time, and I know some of the

0:38:57.280 --> 0:38:58.920
<v Speaker 1>companies a little bit more intimately because I know some

0:38:59.000 --> 0:39:02.120
<v Speaker 1>of the larger shareholders and such. And we've seen now

0:39:02.239 --> 0:39:04.680
<v Speaker 1>the front page story, of course is folkswagon. They've had

0:39:04.840 --> 0:39:06.920
<v Speaker 1>the so called settlement with the e P A fourteen

0:39:06.960 --> 0:39:10.640
<v Speaker 1>point seven billion dollars comes in multiple tiers, not the

0:39:10.719 --> 0:39:12.640
<v Speaker 1>least of which is a two billion dollar investment in

0:39:12.760 --> 0:39:15.200
<v Speaker 1>this infrastructure that can be used by other people. What

0:39:15.480 --> 0:39:20.720
<v Speaker 1>what is a few billion dollars amongst friends? Fifteen billion exactly?

0:39:20.800 --> 0:39:24.000
<v Speaker 1>And then these shot fines don't even shock people anymore.

0:39:24.520 --> 0:39:26.920
<v Speaker 1>But but the business is going to shock people because

0:39:27.000 --> 0:39:29.960
<v Speaker 1>what I've seen happen. Remember that the incumbents have this

0:39:30.320 --> 0:39:34.399
<v Speaker 1>franchise e system, the parts that feed into this car,

0:39:34.560 --> 0:39:36.720
<v Speaker 1>which is of course then serviced for ten or fifteen

0:39:36.800 --> 0:39:40.040
<v Speaker 1>years afterwards. The average and storm combustion engine car has

0:39:40.080 --> 0:39:43.400
<v Speaker 1>eighty parts. The average electric car has twenty. So what

0:39:43.520 --> 0:39:46.359
<v Speaker 1>have we seen happen? What keeps eking its ugly head up?

0:39:46.840 --> 0:39:49.640
<v Speaker 1>The plug in hybrid? Berry, you get a bit of

0:39:49.800 --> 0:39:53.279
<v Speaker 1>range range anxiety. People think they oh, just to comfort you.

0:39:54.120 --> 0:39:56.680
<v Speaker 1>Now you have a hundred major components in the car.

0:39:57.160 --> 0:40:00.040
<v Speaker 1>So four or five, six, seven years later to I

0:40:00.080 --> 0:40:02.360
<v Speaker 1>want to be servicing a plug in hybrid? No, thank you,

0:40:03.000 --> 0:40:06.080
<v Speaker 1>But hold on, isn't that a transitional technology? I mean,

0:40:06.200 --> 0:40:08.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's range anxiety, which is a fear for

0:40:08.600 --> 0:40:12.959
<v Speaker 1>the consumer. But that's temporary, which doesn't exist. I drove

0:40:13.000 --> 0:40:16.160
<v Speaker 1>across America. I have more experienced than probably you know,

0:40:17.160 --> 0:40:21.160
<v Speaker 1>almost everyone. Weekend, day, night, village, city, the city. You

0:40:21.280 --> 0:40:24.640
<v Speaker 1>don't need it, you can get anxiety. Isn't that just

0:40:24.800 --> 0:40:28.600
<v Speaker 1>a until people understand the technology, until they become familiar

0:40:28.680 --> 0:40:32.000
<v Speaker 1>with it. Look, the reality is I I drive three

0:40:32.080 --> 0:40:34.080
<v Speaker 1>miles to the train station in the morning, and I

0:40:34.200 --> 0:40:36.319
<v Speaker 1>drive not three minutes to the train station the morning,

0:40:36.600 --> 0:40:39.359
<v Speaker 1>three minutes home. On the weekend. Occasionally I go out

0:40:39.440 --> 0:40:42.239
<v Speaker 1>to the Hampton's it's seventy five miles each way, a

0:40:42.360 --> 0:40:46.440
<v Speaker 1>hundred miles each way. Occasionally I'll go upstate or I

0:40:46.560 --> 0:40:48.680
<v Speaker 1>can't remember the last time I got in the car,

0:40:48.760 --> 0:40:51.080
<v Speaker 1>and I actually can't remember, right, I hadn't had an

0:40:51.160 --> 0:40:54.080
<v Speaker 1>event up at Cornell, which I don't think is two

0:40:54.200 --> 0:40:57.279
<v Speaker 1>hundred miles from here, and if and if it is,

0:40:57.600 --> 0:41:00.520
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty close, so maybe I would to stop for

0:41:00.640 --> 0:41:03.719
<v Speaker 1>launch and charge up for a little bit. But most

0:41:03.800 --> 0:41:08.960
<v Speaker 1>people's driving the range anxiety is a artificial fear, and

0:41:09.040 --> 0:41:12.120
<v Speaker 1>it just takes a little experience and a little to

0:41:12.640 --> 0:41:15.600
<v Speaker 1>get by. That couldn't agree more, which is why, in

0:41:15.719 --> 0:41:19.040
<v Speaker 1>my opinion, the whole plug in hybrid thing, all this

0:41:19.160 --> 0:41:21.319
<v Speaker 1>engineering towards it and all this build out is going

0:41:21.360 --> 0:41:23.920
<v Speaker 1>to blow up in all their faces, is it? But

0:41:24.040 --> 0:41:28.920
<v Speaker 1>I always think these companies, like GMS original Vaults with

0:41:29.080 --> 0:41:32.719
<v Speaker 1>the plug in hybrid technology was a transitional technology, and

0:41:32.800 --> 0:41:36.600
<v Speaker 1>now their new car, the Bolt, is really the first

0:41:36.960 --> 0:41:40.279
<v Speaker 1>low cost, mass produced all electric that's gonna be out.

0:41:40.320 --> 0:41:43.520
<v Speaker 1>It's actually gonna beat the Tesla Model three to market.

0:41:43.560 --> 0:41:46.360
<v Speaker 1>It's supposed to be out this summer and reasonable thirty

0:41:46.400 --> 0:41:51.439
<v Speaker 1>something thousand dollars. That's also a game changer. But who's

0:41:51.440 --> 0:41:53.000
<v Speaker 1>gonna be Who's who are the new people in town?

0:41:53.160 --> 0:41:56.839
<v Speaker 1>The technologically advanced companies that are going to be coming

0:41:56.880 --> 0:41:59.560
<v Speaker 1>out with their own electric car. It's pretty hard for

0:42:00.120 --> 0:42:03.279
<v Speaker 1>you know, other companies to sort of um disrupt any

0:42:03.320 --> 0:42:06.400
<v Speaker 1>more technologies. So I believe the automotive industry is getting disrupted.

0:42:07.000 --> 0:42:09.000
<v Speaker 1>They're not going to make a hybrid car. They're gonna

0:42:09.040 --> 0:42:12.200
<v Speaker 1>make a believe this the most technologically advanced vehicle which

0:42:12.200 --> 0:42:14.120
<v Speaker 1>will be electric. When you get into whole rides share,

0:42:14.160 --> 0:42:16.160
<v Speaker 1>I think those cars have to be electric for purposes

0:42:16.200 --> 0:42:19.440
<v Speaker 1>of servicing. And what do you mean like the cars

0:42:19.520 --> 0:42:22.160
<v Speaker 1>that are owned by a big corporation. They might have

0:42:22.239 --> 0:42:24.640
<v Speaker 1>two thousand, three thousand all over the city and you

0:42:24.760 --> 0:42:28.160
<v Speaker 1>just rented per the minute, and that is going to

0:42:28.239 --> 0:42:31.279
<v Speaker 1>be increasingly I think more electric as as we as

0:42:31.320 --> 0:42:34.839
<v Speaker 1>we arrive. What about the Ubers of the future, Uber

0:42:34.880 --> 0:42:37.200
<v Speaker 1>the future self driving cars? I mean that that's something

0:42:37.239 --> 0:42:39.520
<v Speaker 1>that we will tackle five, t fifteen years down the road.

0:42:39.560 --> 0:42:43.160
<v Speaker 1>I think away a lot of counties, towns, cities, states

0:42:43.160 --> 0:42:44.600
<v Speaker 1>are gonna say, you know what you did it. You

0:42:44.719 --> 0:42:46.600
<v Speaker 1>still have to have a driver in the car, you know,

0:42:46.640 --> 0:42:49.320
<v Speaker 1>we just for for that. Who knows, either for jobs

0:42:49.400 --> 0:42:51.600
<v Speaker 1>or for safety, it's you're still gonna have to have

0:42:51.640 --> 0:42:53.960
<v Speaker 1>a driver. There busses and different things, I think, or

0:42:54.080 --> 0:42:55.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe a little bit different. I take the plane to

0:42:55.920 --> 0:42:59.560
<v Speaker 1>the train to go to JFK. That is a robotic tran,

0:42:59.760 --> 0:43:03.680
<v Speaker 1>a eletric tram from Jamaica to JFK Airport. There's nobody

0:43:03.800 --> 0:43:07.799
<v Speaker 1>driving those. They're fully automated. The track right on its

0:43:07.840 --> 0:43:10.200
<v Speaker 1>own track. But there's a series of them. They go

0:43:10.320 --> 0:43:12.759
<v Speaker 1>to the airport, they circle the airport, they come back.

0:43:13.200 --> 0:43:15.960
<v Speaker 1>There is six stops along the way. It's fully automated.

0:43:17.400 --> 0:43:22.760
<v Speaker 1>That looks like that's the future of transportation. The question

0:43:22.880 --> 0:43:30.719
<v Speaker 1>becomes how soon can Tesla produce a fairly self driving car? Well,

0:43:30.760 --> 0:43:34.040
<v Speaker 1>self driving is something that I just don't right now.

0:43:34.080 --> 0:43:35.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm not losing any sleep over that. It's not going

0:43:35.840 --> 0:43:38.320
<v Speaker 1>to impact me as an investor. What is more important,

0:43:38.400 --> 0:43:40.440
<v Speaker 1>I think for the general investor out there is to

0:43:40.600 --> 0:43:43.239
<v Speaker 1>understand a lot of the incumbents are going to make

0:43:43.280 --> 0:43:45.560
<v Speaker 1>a product that I liken it to forgive me Canada

0:43:45.719 --> 0:43:48.600
<v Speaker 1>a BlackBerry, they redesign it but no one buys it.

0:43:48.840 --> 0:43:51.360
<v Speaker 1>No one's gonna buy this plug in hybrid because the

0:43:51.520 --> 0:43:54.680
<v Speaker 1>offering they have by the more progressive companies is far

0:43:54.760 --> 0:43:57.880
<v Speaker 1>more as far more cool factor, far more futuristic factor

0:43:58.040 --> 0:44:01.960
<v Speaker 1>being all electric. And when you look at the if

0:44:02.000 --> 0:44:03.760
<v Speaker 1>we open the book a little bit deeper, how who's

0:44:03.760 --> 0:44:06.760
<v Speaker 1>because who's going to impact Barry the winners and losers

0:44:06.800 --> 0:44:09.279
<v Speaker 1>in this industry? Well, who wants the most real estate

0:44:09.320 --> 0:44:13.520
<v Speaker 1>with with respect to the car manufacturers? Which parts? Who

0:44:13.600 --> 0:44:17.160
<v Speaker 1>makes only mufflers? Are only radiators? On the other side,

0:44:17.160 --> 0:44:19.120
<v Speaker 1>who's going to be making this stuff that's that's more

0:44:19.200 --> 0:44:22.000
<v Speaker 1>technologically advanced? You know, people have to look at that.

0:44:22.040 --> 0:44:25.400
<v Speaker 1>If you're an investor, would be it an a dominant foundation? Whoever?

0:44:26.000 --> 0:44:28.560
<v Speaker 1>Get your analysts to really dig deep on this stuff

0:44:28.560 --> 0:44:31.640
<v Speaker 1>because it's I think this is going through a a

0:44:31.760 --> 0:44:33.880
<v Speaker 1>tectonic shift. And then of course we get to the

0:44:34.120 --> 0:44:36.360
<v Speaker 1>how do you electrify our fuel these things? Because that

0:44:36.440 --> 0:44:39.200
<v Speaker 1>also is going to have a dramatic impact with efficiencies.

0:44:39.440 --> 0:44:42.640
<v Speaker 1>So let's let's last few questions on Tesla. How do

0:44:42.719 --> 0:44:47.040
<v Speaker 1>you enjoy the automatic software updates? Which and how significant

0:44:47.080 --> 0:44:50.600
<v Speaker 1>are those changes to the car itself? For those that

0:44:50.600 --> 0:44:53.160
<v Speaker 1>are not familiar with how Tesla services their cars. If

0:44:53.239 --> 0:44:56.440
<v Speaker 1>it's not a mechanical problem. What they do. You have

0:44:56.600 --> 0:44:59.120
<v Speaker 1>full time internet in the car. While you're sleeping, you

0:44:59.200 --> 0:45:03.320
<v Speaker 1>get a down node of the new software, the operating system,

0:45:03.480 --> 0:45:06.439
<v Speaker 1>gizmore or whatever gadget that they've added to the car.

0:45:07.160 --> 0:45:11.680
<v Speaker 1>It happens remotely. It's incredible. They'll just wake up in

0:45:11.719 --> 0:45:14.719
<v Speaker 1>the morning and you've got you've got this update, and

0:45:14.800 --> 0:45:18.040
<v Speaker 1>it tells you exactly what you got. And also with

0:45:18.120 --> 0:45:19.879
<v Speaker 1>the respect of the car I have, which is auto,

0:45:19.920 --> 0:45:21.880
<v Speaker 1>has autopilot. So it's one of these ones that when

0:45:21.920 --> 0:45:23.520
<v Speaker 1>you get on the freeway and you're you're doing a

0:45:23.560 --> 0:45:25.399
<v Speaker 1>long trip. Let's say you're driving from we're going from

0:45:25.440 --> 0:45:28.400
<v Speaker 1>here to Washington, d C. Once we're on the freeway,

0:45:28.480 --> 0:45:30.799
<v Speaker 1>I put it into autopilot, I tell it how many

0:45:30.840 --> 0:45:33.280
<v Speaker 1>cars of safety I would like, and it just drives

0:45:33.840 --> 0:45:36.920
<v Speaker 1>your your hands free, your pedal free, so you have

0:45:36.960 --> 0:45:39.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot less. So it's when you're stopping driving, going,

0:45:39.840 --> 0:45:43.320
<v Speaker 1>stopping going, and steering on everything including stopping go traffic.

0:45:43.360 --> 0:45:45.319
<v Speaker 1>If you end up in a jam, it'll stop. It'll

0:45:45.360 --> 0:45:47.680
<v Speaker 1>just keep you know, inching along with traffic. It'll and

0:45:47.719 --> 0:45:50.480
<v Speaker 1>it'll ramp up to speed and you get there, you're

0:45:50.520 --> 0:45:54.080
<v Speaker 1>way less fatigued. But more importantly, it's space safer, the

0:45:54.920 --> 0:45:56.960
<v Speaker 1>ability if you know, God forbid that you end up

0:45:57.000 --> 0:45:59.279
<v Speaker 1>rerending someone, which is it happens in the world. That's

0:45:59.320 --> 0:46:01.959
<v Speaker 1>what Those are the most common accidents that should pretty

0:46:02.040 --> 0:46:05.759
<v Speaker 1>much go away if you've engaged this autopilot features the

0:46:05.840 --> 0:46:08.759
<v Speaker 1>normal the normal distractions that lead to a person to

0:46:09.520 --> 0:46:13.080
<v Speaker 1>I just saw one to look at the radio, they

0:46:13.160 --> 0:46:19.800
<v Speaker 1>dropped their whatever. This now can can do this pretty

0:46:19.880 --> 0:46:23.680
<v Speaker 1>much on highways. How far is it before this can

0:46:23.760 --> 0:46:27.439
<v Speaker 1>do this like the Google cars anywhere, Well, it works

0:46:27.480 --> 0:46:29.160
<v Speaker 1>even in the city. What it what it doesn't do

0:46:29.360 --> 0:46:32.640
<v Speaker 1>right now is to leave a parking space, navigate red

0:46:32.760 --> 0:46:34.560
<v Speaker 1>lights and turn you know, all that kind of stuff,

0:46:34.600 --> 0:46:37.120
<v Speaker 1>and and arrived to another parking space. That's what is

0:46:37.120 --> 0:46:39.640
<v Speaker 1>going to be the full autonomous driving. That's the next wave.

0:46:40.200 --> 0:46:42.480
<v Speaker 1>Which it doesn't keep me up at night. I'm not

0:46:42.560 --> 0:46:45.759
<v Speaker 1>even really too concerned about that. It's something that's for

0:46:45.920 --> 0:46:48.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, speaking from an investor, I mean, what is

0:46:48.040 --> 0:46:51.160
<v Speaker 1>it five seven, ten years down the road. Maybe it's

0:46:51.160 --> 0:46:55.240
<v Speaker 1>not going to impact my my portfolio decisions today. Interesting alright,

0:46:55.280 --> 0:46:59.000
<v Speaker 1>So beyond Tesla. Let's talk a little bit about some

0:46:59.160 --> 0:47:05.360
<v Speaker 1>of the questions we we didn't get to um the

0:47:05.520 --> 0:47:11.160
<v Speaker 1>charging stations, the network of charging stations. How how was

0:47:11.280 --> 0:47:16.759
<v Speaker 1>that put into place so quickly, so effectively, And what

0:47:16.920 --> 0:47:20.640
<v Speaker 1>are the costs to the Tesla owners for for doing

0:47:20.680 --> 0:47:25.520
<v Speaker 1>these chargings. For the first generation of US Tesla buyers,

0:47:25.600 --> 0:47:28.319
<v Speaker 1>it's free life of the car. So Tesla Corporation has

0:47:28.400 --> 0:47:30.839
<v Speaker 1>baked that into the price of the car. And they

0:47:31.200 --> 0:47:35.480
<v Speaker 1>effectively built this network of superchargers, which is a reasonable

0:47:35.560 --> 0:47:38.960
<v Speaker 1>distance connecting all the major cities in America today and

0:47:39.080 --> 0:47:42.520
<v Speaker 1>it works with these UM a white box. It's about

0:47:42.560 --> 0:47:46.319
<v Speaker 1>five ft tall, about a foot wide, and it's made

0:47:46.360 --> 0:47:48.640
<v Speaker 1>in a central factory. They ship them out to electrical

0:47:48.719 --> 0:47:52.640
<v Speaker 1>contractors around the nation. They procure real estate at shopping

0:47:52.719 --> 0:47:55.840
<v Speaker 1>centers or restaurants or what have you between all these cities,

0:47:56.600 --> 0:47:59.160
<v Speaker 1>and they implement the charging system. They wire them up,

0:47:59.400 --> 0:48:02.719
<v Speaker 1>and they're doing at a very quick rate. There's some

0:48:02.920 --> 0:48:05.960
<v Speaker 1>many thousands of them already. These are the superchargers or

0:48:06.040 --> 0:48:09.440
<v Speaker 1>the regular the superchargers, and the supercharger enables you to

0:48:09.640 --> 0:48:14.279
<v Speaker 1>top up the car to about in thirty minutes, which

0:48:14.360 --> 0:48:16.680
<v Speaker 1>is all you need because if you're going from city

0:48:16.719 --> 0:48:18.800
<v Speaker 1>to city. You just need to make it to the

0:48:18.880 --> 0:48:21.440
<v Speaker 1>next supercharger with a bit of a buffer if if

0:48:21.640 --> 0:48:24.560
<v Speaker 1>the carts to be cool, cool or heated, and that's

0:48:24.600 --> 0:48:27.880
<v Speaker 1>all you care about. And it does this flawlessly. I

0:48:27.960 --> 0:48:30.240
<v Speaker 1>went the entire trip. I did not have one issue.

0:48:30.280 --> 0:48:32.360
<v Speaker 1>California has a little bit of traffic though sometimes you

0:48:32.400 --> 0:48:35.760
<v Speaker 1>can see these stations full of Tesla's people. They're charging

0:48:35.800 --> 0:48:38.600
<v Speaker 1>their car, but it's easy to do, actually wait for

0:48:38.960 --> 0:48:41.320
<v Speaker 1>a charger. I never waited, but you could see that

0:48:41.320 --> 0:48:44.560
<v Speaker 1>they're full. The good news is the Electricians of America

0:48:44.640 --> 0:48:46.480
<v Speaker 1>can keep building out these things. If you have a

0:48:46.520 --> 0:48:50.319
<v Speaker 1>particularly busy station, more chargers. What's the software like? Does

0:48:50.440 --> 0:48:52.440
<v Speaker 1>it tells you where it is? Does it tell you, hey,

0:48:52.560 --> 0:48:54.759
<v Speaker 1>this is full? Is it? Is it that advanced? Or

0:48:55.320 --> 0:48:57.279
<v Speaker 1>it just says, here's the next charger and here you

0:48:57.360 --> 0:48:59.800
<v Speaker 1>have enough juice to get there. Oh, it's it's that advanced.

0:48:59.800 --> 0:49:01.719
<v Speaker 1>It tells you exactly what you have, what kind of

0:49:01.760 --> 0:49:03.440
<v Speaker 1>what kind of services are there? Maybe you want to

0:49:03.440 --> 0:49:05.320
<v Speaker 1>go to a different one because it has the restaurant

0:49:05.400 --> 0:49:07.360
<v Speaker 1>or coffee shop that you like. It tells you if

0:49:07.400 --> 0:49:10.280
<v Speaker 1>it's full all these things. It tells you the amount

0:49:10.320 --> 0:49:13.120
<v Speaker 1>of miles to get there, how much juice you're gonna

0:49:13.160 --> 0:49:16.040
<v Speaker 1>have left when you arrive, and of course the next destination,

0:49:16.080 --> 0:49:17.839
<v Speaker 1>because sometimes you don't have to wait thirty minutes, might

0:49:17.880 --> 0:49:19.160
<v Speaker 1>only be ten minutes, so you can get to your

0:49:19.239 --> 0:49:23.600
<v Speaker 1>destination and then charge there. So that is the superchargers.

0:49:23.640 --> 0:49:25.759
<v Speaker 1>But then people probably also want to know what about

0:49:25.880 --> 0:49:28.160
<v Speaker 1>when I'm not traveling city to city. Let's say I'm

0:49:28.200 --> 0:49:31.600
<v Speaker 1>just I drive twenty miles a day. I live in Raleigh,

0:49:31.600 --> 0:49:35.480
<v Speaker 1>North Carolina, and I commute around the city. How does

0:49:35.520 --> 0:49:38.080
<v Speaker 1>that change? Well, how often do you drive more than

0:49:38.080 --> 0:49:40.600
<v Speaker 1>two it fifty miles in a day in your own city? Almost?

0:49:40.840 --> 0:49:42.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't. I don't know many people that do that.

0:49:42.800 --> 0:49:45.399
<v Speaker 1>This is a this is a very rare or less

0:49:45.400 --> 0:49:48.040
<v Speaker 1>than one percent of the population. Do you sleep every day?

0:49:48.400 --> 0:49:50.880
<v Speaker 1>Of course so do I fantastic I do the charging

0:49:50.920 --> 0:49:53.120
<v Speaker 1>while I'm sleeping. And if you live in a dual

0:49:53.200 --> 0:49:58.160
<v Speaker 1>tariff area, meaning electricity is cheap at night when you're sleeping,

0:49:58.239 --> 0:50:00.640
<v Speaker 1>and it's expensive at five o'clock, well I'm not going

0:50:00.680 --> 0:50:03.080
<v Speaker 1>to charge my car at five o'clock when everyone's cooking dinner.

0:50:03.400 --> 0:50:06.440
<v Speaker 1>Because the utility says it's half price if you do

0:50:06.560 --> 0:50:09.120
<v Speaker 1>it at ten o'clock. In my program, the charger to

0:50:09.520 --> 0:50:11.919
<v Speaker 1>say charge charges from two to four in the morning

0:50:12.000 --> 0:50:15.160
<v Speaker 1>or whatever. It is absolutely, absolutely and there comes a

0:50:15.280 --> 0:50:19.880
<v Speaker 1>whole another level of infrastructure, of software, of convenience, of

0:50:20.000 --> 0:50:26.719
<v Speaker 1>design with making the charging lifestyle better location wise. You

0:50:26.760 --> 0:50:28.759
<v Speaker 1>know you're gonna be everywhere you go now because I

0:50:28.840 --> 0:50:31.520
<v Speaker 1>keep telling people you you already can connect lifestyle point

0:50:31.560 --> 0:50:34.720
<v Speaker 1>A to b. You know almost every city in America.

0:50:35.040 --> 0:50:36.160
<v Speaker 1>So if you go to the gym, you go to

0:50:36.200 --> 0:50:38.520
<v Speaker 1>the grocery store, you're going to Long Island, where wherever,

0:50:38.719 --> 0:50:41.880
<v Speaker 1>to the Hampton's. Whatever you're doing when you drive sixty

0:50:41.960 --> 0:50:45.960
<v Speaker 1>or seventy miles, you can now replace that because the

0:50:46.400 --> 0:50:49.640
<v Speaker 1>quicker destination chargers are at a rate of about forty

0:50:50.200 --> 0:50:54.000
<v Speaker 1>seven miles for each hour that you're charging. That's that's

0:50:54.120 --> 0:50:56.880
<v Speaker 1>that's what you get tanking up if you will. So

0:50:57.000 --> 0:51:00.719
<v Speaker 1>it um So these destination charge is there how many

0:51:00.760 --> 0:51:04.279
<v Speaker 1>of these out and about, although there are probably in

0:51:04.320 --> 0:51:07.720
<v Speaker 1>the millions already that many. They used to cost fifteen

0:51:07.800 --> 0:51:11.320
<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars. Now they cost five dollars. You go to Tesla,

0:51:11.560 --> 0:51:14.279
<v Speaker 1>they'll sell it to you and it takes an electrician

0:51:14.920 --> 0:51:17.040
<v Speaker 1>three or four or five hours to install. That sounds

0:51:17.120 --> 0:51:19.360
<v Speaker 1>like a lot. I would imagine it's even less than that.

0:51:19.480 --> 0:51:22.040
<v Speaker 1>These days you usually put it close to the electrical

0:51:22.120 --> 0:51:25.200
<v Speaker 1>service box. And so I tell people that there are

0:51:25.360 --> 0:51:28.760
<v Speaker 1>about a million electricians in America. If they each installed

0:51:29.400 --> 0:51:32.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, ten in a year, can we do that? Yeah,

0:51:32.800 --> 0:51:36.480
<v Speaker 1>well that's ten million destination chargers in one year. Who's

0:51:36.480 --> 0:51:38.480
<v Speaker 1>paying the five grand for that? And who pays for

0:51:38.520 --> 0:51:41.480
<v Speaker 1>the electricity? Well? Those are different. Because now if you're

0:51:41.480 --> 0:51:44.239
<v Speaker 1>a business, if you own a chain of hotels, I

0:51:44.280 --> 0:51:48.239
<v Speaker 1>would say you must have destination charging? Is it too?

0:51:48.360 --> 0:51:49.919
<v Speaker 1>Is it? Four? Is it ten? Will see how busy

0:51:49.960 --> 0:51:53.399
<v Speaker 1>you're it gets for your business, but we you won't

0:51:53.440 --> 0:51:55.160
<v Speaker 1>even be asking for it. If you don't have it,

0:51:55.520 --> 0:51:59.560
<v Speaker 1>you're going to become a relic. You'll you'll lose that audience,

0:51:59.600 --> 0:52:02.200
<v Speaker 1>at least you'll lose that today exactly. And that's the

0:52:02.719 --> 0:52:05.640
<v Speaker 1>small investment. Small investment. It's no different than a hotel

0:52:05.719 --> 0:52:08.239
<v Speaker 1>offering internet. You know twenty years ago you thought about it.

0:52:08.480 --> 0:52:10.800
<v Speaker 1>Today it's an automatic and it will be every business.

0:52:10.960 --> 0:52:12.800
<v Speaker 1>It'll be across the board, and it won't be a

0:52:12.840 --> 0:52:14.319
<v Speaker 1>shopping center. It won't be two of them. You're going

0:52:14.360 --> 0:52:16.759
<v Speaker 1>to see a bank of you know, thirty fifty of

0:52:16.880 --> 0:52:19.520
<v Speaker 1>these chargers that cater to all the electric cars that

0:52:19.560 --> 0:52:22.080
<v Speaker 1>are coming. So let's talk a little bit about some

0:52:22.200 --> 0:52:25.960
<v Speaker 1>other other things that we missed before. Tell me about

0:52:26.200 --> 0:52:29.920
<v Speaker 1>the new spending class. What is the new spending class.

0:52:31.960 --> 0:52:35.680
<v Speaker 1>The new spending class is an army of consumers that

0:52:36.480 --> 0:52:40.000
<v Speaker 1>they're not so called USA middle class wealthy. You know,

0:52:40.040 --> 0:52:42.440
<v Speaker 1>they don't make fifty dollars a year, but they have

0:52:42.600 --> 0:52:45.440
<v Speaker 1>the same economic footprint that you and I have. So

0:52:45.560 --> 0:52:48.520
<v Speaker 1>they basically they watch television every day, they drive a car,

0:52:48.760 --> 0:52:51.759
<v Speaker 1>they have air conditioning, they eat deluxe meals, which means

0:52:51.800 --> 0:52:55.080
<v Speaker 1>those meals need to be grown and delivered, and they

0:52:55.200 --> 0:52:59.120
<v Speaker 1>outnumber us by a margin. We all heard the term

0:52:59.239 --> 0:53:03.279
<v Speaker 1>emerging mark it's well, twenty five years later, more people

0:53:03.360 --> 0:53:06.720
<v Speaker 1>have emerged than those that are still left so called emerging.

0:53:07.120 --> 0:53:08.320
<v Speaker 1>But what do we call them? We don't have a

0:53:08.360 --> 0:53:11.040
<v Speaker 1>phrase for these people. I call them the new spending class.

0:53:11.280 --> 0:53:13.480
<v Speaker 1>So they're not rich, they're not poor, but we have

0:53:13.640 --> 0:53:17.520
<v Speaker 1>to follow their spending patterns. And of course, the biggest group,

0:53:17.560 --> 0:53:20.439
<v Speaker 1>which is the biggest demographic group in the world, which

0:53:20.480 --> 0:53:24.359
<v Speaker 1>is that massive population of China. I use that as

0:53:24.440 --> 0:53:27.759
<v Speaker 1>the example that weaves its way through my book over

0:53:27.880 --> 0:53:30.480
<v Speaker 1>and over and over, and we look at them the

0:53:30.560 --> 0:53:34.160
<v Speaker 1>demographics of China and four major blocks, and the biggest one,

0:53:34.200 --> 0:53:36.600
<v Speaker 1>of course, with the most impact and the most future

0:53:37.160 --> 0:53:41.120
<v Speaker 1>are the millennials of China. Four hundred and fifteen million people.

0:53:41.440 --> 0:53:44.480
<v Speaker 1>That's amazing. That's a hundred and fifty of the total

0:53:44.560 --> 0:53:49.000
<v Speaker 1>population of the US exactly, and it's it's their wants

0:53:49.080 --> 0:53:52.880
<v Speaker 1>and their needs. They have far higher expectations than the

0:53:52.960 --> 0:53:56.359
<v Speaker 1>generations before them. I know this. Look at the level

0:53:56.440 --> 0:53:59.160
<v Speaker 1>of enlightenment. The people that run China are those the

0:53:59.239 --> 0:54:01.560
<v Speaker 1>children of the Cultu real Revolution. They're sort of fifty

0:54:01.640 --> 0:54:04.920
<v Speaker 1>five to maybe seventy hundred and sixty million people in

0:54:05.000 --> 0:54:09.320
<v Speaker 1>that demographic block, but only one million graduated university. That's amazing,

0:54:09.640 --> 0:54:12.320
<v Speaker 1>less than one percent, less than one percent. These millennials

0:54:12.320 --> 0:54:14.320
<v Speaker 1>I talk about this, four and fifty million, over a

0:54:14.400 --> 0:54:18.960
<v Speaker 1>hundred million have already graduated university, typically in science, science, technology, engineering,

0:54:19.000 --> 0:54:23.920
<v Speaker 1>and math stem fields. These way higher expectations. The majority

0:54:24.000 --> 0:54:26.960
<v Speaker 1>of these young people were born rural, the majority now

0:54:27.080 --> 0:54:31.000
<v Speaker 1>live urban. And what do they want? They want everything

0:54:31.040 --> 0:54:33.080
<v Speaker 1>you and I have. In fact, they know how the

0:54:33.120 --> 0:54:36.120
<v Speaker 1>world works. They have an Internet connection. I mean, these

0:54:36.160 --> 0:54:38.719
<v Speaker 1>people are not ignorant to the to the comfort convenience

0:54:38.760 --> 0:54:42.560
<v Speaker 1>communication that everyone wants and everyone is taking for granted.

0:54:43.080 --> 0:54:45.760
<v Speaker 1>And we've seen this in their in their spending patterns,

0:54:45.840 --> 0:54:49.760
<v Speaker 1>and in how they're future is changing. And it's happening

0:54:50.440 --> 0:54:53.360
<v Speaker 1>so fast. It's not even five year blocks. You have

0:54:53.440 --> 0:54:54.960
<v Speaker 1>to be aware of the hyper aware of this stuff.

0:54:55.000 --> 0:54:57.120
<v Speaker 1>In sort of two year blocks, it's being turned up

0:54:57.719 --> 0:54:59.840
<v Speaker 1>top to bottom. So you've you've spent quite a bit

0:54:59.880 --> 0:55:03.040
<v Speaker 1>of time in China. What what cities have you spend

0:55:03.120 --> 0:55:06.200
<v Speaker 1>time in over there? I traveled I've been to China

0:55:06.400 --> 0:55:10.160
<v Speaker 1>a couple of times, and I traveled the country by train,

0:55:10.440 --> 0:55:12.320
<v Speaker 1>so rather than fly city to city, I thought it

0:55:12.400 --> 0:55:15.520
<v Speaker 1>was important to sort of see the landscape and understand

0:55:15.640 --> 0:55:19.399
<v Speaker 1>how what does it look like? And although I've seen

0:55:19.440 --> 0:55:21.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot of China, I've I've you know, visit a

0:55:21.960 --> 0:55:23.399
<v Speaker 1>lot of the country. I've been there a couple of times,

0:55:23.440 --> 0:55:24.799
<v Speaker 1>what have I seen a bit nothing? I mean, it's

0:55:24.840 --> 0:55:28.120
<v Speaker 1>the same size as America, right, So to really understand

0:55:28.200 --> 0:55:31.640
<v Speaker 1>it and go to all the those those other places,

0:55:31.680 --> 0:55:33.440
<v Speaker 1>it'll take me a lot longer. I'm gonna be going

0:55:33.480 --> 0:55:35.640
<v Speaker 1>again due to the book. We're taking the book into

0:55:35.680 --> 0:55:38.560
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese language. But the one thing that I will

0:55:38.640 --> 0:55:44.600
<v Speaker 1>tell you is that the Chinese population, they are optimists,

0:55:44.760 --> 0:55:48.800
<v Speaker 1>they're speculators, and by disposition, what what do these people?

0:55:49.680 --> 0:55:51.399
<v Speaker 1>I think that the future is going to be better.

0:55:52.239 --> 0:55:56.200
<v Speaker 1>They're not pessimistic. They don't have this you know, you know,

0:55:56.480 --> 0:55:59.520
<v Speaker 1>beaten down sort of like a salary stagnation that we've

0:55:59.560 --> 0:56:03.520
<v Speaker 1>had in Europe in the West, and it's it's just

0:56:03.640 --> 0:56:07.239
<v Speaker 1>incredible to the human potential of what's going on, not

0:56:07.360 --> 0:56:10.360
<v Speaker 1>just in China but in emerging markets in general, is

0:56:10.719 --> 0:56:13.840
<v Speaker 1>just a staggering sort of Um well, they're closer to

0:56:13.960 --> 0:56:17.480
<v Speaker 1>that zero bound level than they are to the we've

0:56:17.520 --> 0:56:22.080
<v Speaker 1>peaked and we've gone plateaued. So to them, the direction

0:56:22.239 --> 0:56:25.520
<v Speaker 1>is it's heading in the right right way. People who

0:56:26.120 --> 0:56:29.279
<v Speaker 1>experience that peak in plateau, you can see why there's

0:56:29.280 --> 0:56:33.640
<v Speaker 1>a little concern and worry. Hey, how come Although it

0:56:33.719 --> 0:56:36.480
<v Speaker 1>does seem to be very cyclical. We we had that

0:56:36.600 --> 0:56:39.120
<v Speaker 1>in the seventies and eighties, and now we're having it

0:56:39.200 --> 0:56:41.239
<v Speaker 1>again in the two thousand's. We'll see if this goes

0:56:41.280 --> 0:56:45.120
<v Speaker 1>away and comes back. Um in another twenty years. Tell

0:56:45.239 --> 0:56:48.080
<v Speaker 1>us about the ghost cities of China and why do

0:56:48.160 --> 0:56:50.760
<v Speaker 1>you think, uh, there was a big sixty minutes, pets

0:56:50.840 --> 0:56:52.560
<v Speaker 1>and a number of other things. Why do you think

0:56:53.320 --> 0:57:01.239
<v Speaker 1>that concern is unnecessary? Well, it is important. We can't

0:57:01.440 --> 0:57:03.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, just dismiss it for nothing. But China has

0:57:04.080 --> 0:57:07.120
<v Speaker 1>many different tiers of big cities. So you've got the

0:57:07.160 --> 0:57:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Tier one cities, which are the big you know, twenty

0:57:09.080 --> 0:57:12.120
<v Speaker 1>million people living in them, Tier two, which might be

0:57:12.200 --> 0:57:14.120
<v Speaker 1>five to ten million, and then we have the Tier

0:57:14.239 --> 0:57:17.040
<v Speaker 1>three and Tier four cities. This is there's been some

0:57:17.120 --> 0:57:20.040
<v Speaker 1>situations of ghost cities which which do exist. If you

0:57:20.120 --> 0:57:21.680
<v Speaker 1>build it, they will come. This is we have to

0:57:21.760 --> 0:57:25.280
<v Speaker 1>forget that China is a planned economy. Are there examples

0:57:25.360 --> 0:57:27.479
<v Speaker 1>in the country of China where they've built a city

0:57:27.520 --> 0:57:30.000
<v Speaker 1>that should house a million people for their distant future

0:57:30.280 --> 0:57:33.120
<v Speaker 1>and maybe it's not full yet. Yeah, I I would

0:57:33.120 --> 0:57:35.640
<v Speaker 1>imagine that there. That's what they're doing. I look at

0:57:36.000 --> 0:57:38.960
<v Speaker 1>this four fifteen million millennials. They're all under the age

0:57:39.000 --> 0:57:41.600
<v Speaker 1>of thirty five. By most of these people do not yet,

0:57:42.120 --> 0:57:45.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, have their own home that's coming. Where are

0:57:45.280 --> 0:57:47.960
<v Speaker 1>they all going to live? You know? This this will

0:57:48.040 --> 0:57:51.040
<v Speaker 1>get take. This will get resolved in the course of time.

0:57:51.080 --> 0:57:53.040
<v Speaker 1>And a lot of it is function of price. These

0:57:53.080 --> 0:57:55.840
<v Speaker 1>things are a lot cheaper, they're discounted. But if you

0:57:56.080 --> 0:57:59.240
<v Speaker 1>speak to people that own, you know, vast real estate

0:57:59.280 --> 0:58:02.040
<v Speaker 1>portfolios and China. Know, the richest man in China the

0:58:02.720 --> 0:58:05.480
<v Speaker 1>Dailine Wanda Group, which has the biggest balance sheet, if

0:58:05.520 --> 0:58:08.760
<v Speaker 1>you will, he looks at the debt levels, governmental debt levels,

0:58:08.800 --> 0:58:11.840
<v Speaker 1>and tier one tier two city debt levels. He is

0:58:11.880 --> 0:58:14.080
<v Speaker 1>not concerned. Okay, lives in China and he's not going

0:58:14.120 --> 0:58:16.120
<v Speaker 1>to sit there and bash the system and bash the government.

0:58:16.680 --> 0:58:18.480
<v Speaker 1>But you know, he is concerned a little bit about

0:58:18.480 --> 0:58:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Tier three and tier four cities has to get work

0:58:20.960 --> 0:58:24.000
<v Speaker 1>to the system. Will the if I liken it to America,

0:58:24.040 --> 0:58:28.439
<v Speaker 1>will the Kalamazoos and the Tallahassees of China bring down

0:58:28.480 --> 0:58:31.800
<v Speaker 1>the system? That's the question investors have to ask. In

0:58:31.880 --> 0:58:33.960
<v Speaker 1>the short term, anything can happen. And when I follow

0:58:34.040 --> 0:58:36.560
<v Speaker 1>this stuff, which I follow China like a financial soap opera,

0:58:37.040 --> 0:58:40.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm not necessarily continuing, you know, to read the people

0:58:40.240 --> 0:58:42.640
<v Speaker 1>that agree with me. I read the Kyle Basses, I

0:58:42.680 --> 0:58:44.480
<v Speaker 1>read the Jim Chainos of the world. What am I

0:58:44.600 --> 0:58:48.120
<v Speaker 1>missing anything can happen in the short term. I just

0:58:48.760 --> 0:58:51.520
<v Speaker 1>I am not concerned about the Chinese economy in the

0:58:51.640 --> 0:58:55.800
<v Speaker 1>medium to long run. I just am not. Facts can

0:58:55.880 --> 0:58:58.120
<v Speaker 1>change and we'll see what happens. We have to liken

0:58:58.280 --> 0:59:01.680
<v Speaker 1>the the economy to the stock market, and it is

0:59:01.760 --> 0:59:07.920
<v Speaker 1>becoming overwhelmingly a consumer society based on services. So let

0:59:07.960 --> 0:59:10.000
<v Speaker 1>me shift gears up a little bit on you. Um,

0:59:10.240 --> 0:59:13.240
<v Speaker 1>you talk about you're the founder of the CEO two

0:59:14.200 --> 0:59:20.840
<v Speaker 1>Master Solutions Partnership. What is that? This was a think

0:59:20.880 --> 0:59:23.280
<v Speaker 1>tank of a group of guys that I that I

0:59:23.400 --> 0:59:27.480
<v Speaker 1>associate with and deal with about looking at these challenges

0:59:27.520 --> 0:59:32.000
<v Speaker 1>and opportunities burning a lot of shoe leather. We have

0:59:32.160 --> 0:59:36.160
<v Speaker 1>been talking with endowments and foundations, and now it's becoming

0:59:36.360 --> 0:59:40.760
<v Speaker 1>a vehicle for us to invest in all the elements

0:59:41.200 --> 0:59:44.360
<v Speaker 1>that factually make the reduction and CEO two emissions possible.

0:59:44.720 --> 0:59:47.440
<v Speaker 1>What does that include, Well, this has to be a

0:59:47.560 --> 0:59:50.720
<v Speaker 1>strategy that's a lot that's ambivalent. So it basically if

0:59:50.760 --> 0:59:54.880
<v Speaker 1>you look at a typical portfolio construction. First, I will

0:59:54.920 --> 0:59:57.320
<v Speaker 1>I will preface it by saying we've always followed these things.

0:59:57.360 --> 0:59:58.959
<v Speaker 1>The things I'm gonna talk about now, we're not getting

0:59:59.000 --> 1:00:01.760
<v Speaker 1>into this because it's popular or themic. You know, we've

1:00:01.840 --> 1:00:04.320
<v Speaker 1>done you know, I've got twenty years of experience. My partner,

1:00:04.400 --> 1:00:08.040
<v Speaker 1>Matt Sublowski has got fifteen years of experience looking at

1:00:08.120 --> 1:00:10.600
<v Speaker 1>these things. So let's look at a typical portfolio construction,

1:00:10.640 --> 1:00:13.680
<v Speaker 1>subliminal ideas for people to look at within reduction of

1:00:13.760 --> 1:00:16.000
<v Speaker 1>CEO two emissions. Well, first of all, it's the building

1:00:16.000 --> 1:00:18.440
<v Speaker 1>blocks that make it possible, right, So we look at that.

1:00:18.520 --> 1:00:20.280
<v Speaker 1>We're not going to invest in coal and oil, but

1:00:20.360 --> 1:00:23.240
<v Speaker 1>we are going to look at things like copper. That's

1:00:23.240 --> 1:00:25.480
<v Speaker 1>important the fabrication of it. We're gonna look at the

1:00:25.480 --> 1:00:29.440
<v Speaker 1>automotive industry. You know, there's basically the winners and losers there.

1:00:29.480 --> 1:00:31.400
<v Speaker 1>So there's there's the lazy incumbents and then there's the

1:00:31.440 --> 1:00:34.440
<v Speaker 1>progressive incumbents. You look at a country like Germany, all

1:00:34.480 --> 1:00:36.480
<v Speaker 1>the people that feed into the parts that feed into

1:00:36.520 --> 1:00:40.320
<v Speaker 1>the automotive industry. How's that going to change? You've got

1:00:40.440 --> 1:00:45.600
<v Speaker 1>dozens of private and public companies that make cranks, pistons, radiators, valves, mufflers.

1:00:46.480 --> 1:00:49.840
<v Speaker 1>That industry is changing. We look at the technologies that

1:00:50.000 --> 1:00:54.880
<v Speaker 1>make this future energy economy possible, right, and that's people

1:00:54.960 --> 1:00:56.440
<v Speaker 1>that look at how how do you charge a car,

1:00:56.480 --> 1:00:58.280
<v Speaker 1>how do you manufacture them, how we're gonna sell them.

1:00:58.560 --> 1:01:01.640
<v Speaker 1>We look at the creation trans utilization of energy in general.

1:01:02.120 --> 1:01:05.840
<v Speaker 1>It's changing so far deeper than just investing in a

1:01:05.920 --> 1:01:07.920
<v Speaker 1>solar company or in a wind company. Let's look at

1:01:07.960 --> 1:01:11.720
<v Speaker 1>the gizmos, products in fabrication, the gearing that makes that

1:01:11.760 --> 1:01:14.080
<v Speaker 1>stuff possible, because there if they're gonna be busier, it's good.

1:01:14.320 --> 1:01:16.520
<v Speaker 1>How do we desalinate water? Who's going to do it?

1:01:16.840 --> 1:01:19.960
<v Speaker 1>What are the components made to make that possible? The

1:01:20.920 --> 1:01:24.800
<v Speaker 1>static ville, which is the vast network of pipelines, railroads

1:01:25.280 --> 1:01:30.720
<v Speaker 1>and distribution of electricity, tectonic shift again, tectonic shift, So

1:01:30.840 --> 1:01:33.040
<v Speaker 1>we're looking at all the components that make that possible.

1:01:33.080 --> 1:01:34.680
<v Speaker 1>And of course we get into the just a general

1:01:35.080 --> 1:01:39.280
<v Speaker 1>utilization of energy. So it's it's a vast sort of

1:01:39.480 --> 1:01:43.040
<v Speaker 1>arena that we're looking at, understanding and investing in. So

1:01:43.440 --> 1:01:46.120
<v Speaker 1>it's more than just the thing tank. It's a private

1:01:46.200 --> 1:01:51.040
<v Speaker 1>investment partnership that you are looking to take advantage of

1:01:51.120 --> 1:01:53.760
<v Speaker 1>client of the changes that are taking place in the

1:01:53.840 --> 1:01:58.640
<v Speaker 1>global uh climate, global world and basically global world. Is

1:01:58.720 --> 1:02:04.800
<v Speaker 1>that a phrase in the global environmental world and make

1:02:05.040 --> 1:02:09.040
<v Speaker 1>informed investments based on what you see as the next

1:02:09.120 --> 1:02:12.400
<v Speaker 1>coming trends. Yeah, as I call the algebra in the

1:02:12.600 --> 1:02:16.480
<v Speaker 1>this shift in energy away from fossil fuels. We understand

1:02:16.520 --> 1:02:18.960
<v Speaker 1>fossil fuels are important, but there is a shift happening.

1:02:19.120 --> 1:02:20.960
<v Speaker 1>You can argue is that happening faster slow? But it

1:02:21.080 --> 1:02:23.160
<v Speaker 1>is happening, and we're looking at the other side of

1:02:23.200 --> 1:02:26.440
<v Speaker 1>that algebraic equation, and we want to understand and support

1:02:26.480 --> 1:02:31.760
<v Speaker 1>and of course invest in those products, materials and building blocks.

1:02:32.120 --> 1:02:36.200
<v Speaker 1>It makes sense. So let's jump into our favorite questions

1:02:36.240 --> 1:02:38.880
<v Speaker 1>that we ask all of our guests. Um, we went

1:02:38.960 --> 1:02:41.760
<v Speaker 1>over your background. Uh, tell me a little bit about

1:02:41.840 --> 1:02:45.480
<v Speaker 1>some of your early mentors, Who who influenced your thought process,

1:02:46.000 --> 1:02:50.360
<v Speaker 1>Who who led you to this career path. Yeah. I

1:02:50.440 --> 1:02:53.960
<v Speaker 1>was a very curious person and I always surrounded myself

1:02:54.080 --> 1:02:57.160
<v Speaker 1>with you know, father figure types of guys. And we're

1:02:57.240 --> 1:03:01.360
<v Speaker 1>very lucky in Vancouver. There's a lot of UM influential

1:03:02.120 --> 1:03:05.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of UM guru types in the themes that I

1:03:05.880 --> 1:03:09.080
<v Speaker 1>follow and unlike, and I may like in this to

1:03:09.160 --> 1:03:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the software industry, where it's hard to get access to

1:03:11.680 --> 1:03:14.040
<v Speaker 1>the CEOs. Let's say it's hard to get access to

1:03:14.640 --> 1:03:18.760
<v Speaker 1>Larry Ellison or or Elon Musk in our industry in Vancouver.

1:03:18.880 --> 1:03:21.919
<v Speaker 1>It's actually you can actually rub shoulders with these guys.

1:03:21.960 --> 1:03:23.960
<v Speaker 1>And if you I was a young guy that was

1:03:24.080 --> 1:03:26.080
<v Speaker 1>very curious and I put a lot of effort into it,

1:03:26.200 --> 1:03:28.600
<v Speaker 1>and I was able to sort of surround myself with

1:03:28.720 --> 1:03:32.439
<v Speaker 1>these people like in these industries, and then we would

1:03:32.440 --> 1:03:34.480
<v Speaker 1>travel together, we would go to conferences, and you know,

1:03:35.120 --> 1:03:38.520
<v Speaker 1>ten years of dinners later, you you consider yourself friends

1:03:38.560 --> 1:03:41.520
<v Speaker 1>and mentors and and sort of you take their collective

1:03:41.560 --> 1:03:45.320
<v Speaker 1>experience and you put it into your own sort of path.

1:03:45.560 --> 1:03:47.080
<v Speaker 1>And now that I'm a forty one years old now,

1:03:47.160 --> 1:03:50.000
<v Speaker 1>so I'm sort of starting to mentor some younger people myself.

1:03:50.720 --> 1:03:55.840
<v Speaker 1>So what about investors out there who have tread the

1:03:55.880 --> 1:03:59.120
<v Speaker 1>path before you? What investors did you find influential to

1:03:59.320 --> 1:04:04.640
<v Speaker 1>your uh thought process? I always love the wisdom of

1:04:04.720 --> 1:04:07.600
<v Speaker 1>Warren Buffett. You can you can lose yourself and Warren

1:04:07.600 --> 1:04:09.920
<v Speaker 1>Buffett sort of readings and videos and such, and a

1:04:10.000 --> 1:04:11.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of people have followed him, of course, because he

1:04:12.320 --> 1:04:14.400
<v Speaker 1>he's just he's able to tell a story in such

1:04:15.000 --> 1:04:17.520
<v Speaker 1>plain English, you know. So I think you can still

1:04:17.880 --> 1:04:19.960
<v Speaker 1>for those that have not enjoyed his wisdom. I mean,

1:04:20.000 --> 1:04:21.880
<v Speaker 1>just go to YouTube and you can lose yourself for

1:04:22.000 --> 1:04:25.560
<v Speaker 1>hours and sort of his his philosophies. Reading some of

1:04:25.600 --> 1:04:27.920
<v Speaker 1>the books from before that you know, like Ben Graham

1:04:28.000 --> 1:04:30.360
<v Speaker 1>of course, the famous Value Investor, and sort of just

1:04:30.480 --> 1:04:33.720
<v Speaker 1>that plain street common sense you know that works, and

1:04:34.360 --> 1:04:36.920
<v Speaker 1>Napoleon Hill and those books that they're they're just how

1:04:37.000 --> 1:04:39.000
<v Speaker 1>to think and grow rich? Is that right? Yeah? Yeah,

1:04:39.000 --> 1:04:41.800
<v Speaker 1>they're they're just timeless, They're just totally they're absolutely So

1:04:41.880 --> 1:04:44.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna ask you, let's let's jump into the next question.

1:04:44.600 --> 1:04:46.480
<v Speaker 1>What are some of your favorite books? And that could

1:04:46.480 --> 1:04:49.920
<v Speaker 1>be fiction nonfiction, and within the nonfiction it could either

1:04:50.000 --> 1:04:53.000
<v Speaker 1>be technology or investment related or anything else. I don't

1:04:53.000 --> 1:04:55.760
<v Speaker 1>want you to feel constrained. Tell me about what what

1:04:56.040 --> 1:05:00.160
<v Speaker 1>books you found most influential. Let's talk about Napoleon Hill. Um,

1:05:00.240 --> 1:05:02.480
<v Speaker 1>what did you What was your takeaway from Think and

1:05:02.520 --> 1:05:05.960
<v Speaker 1>Grow Rich? Well, I think the that is I said

1:05:06.000 --> 1:05:10.000
<v Speaker 1>already that that common that that street common sense. You

1:05:10.040 --> 1:05:11.840
<v Speaker 1>know where you have to and you you also factor

1:05:11.920 --> 1:05:16.960
<v Speaker 1>in psychology and and just basic practices that help your business.

1:05:17.560 --> 1:05:19.280
<v Speaker 1>And the book is a is a quick read for

1:05:19.320 --> 1:05:21.920
<v Speaker 1>anyone that hasn't read it yet, very very fast, and

1:05:22.000 --> 1:05:23.920
<v Speaker 1>you can reread it probably every couple of years on

1:05:23.960 --> 1:05:27.040
<v Speaker 1>summer vacation. Right now, this is my summer read this

1:05:27.200 --> 1:05:29.840
<v Speaker 1>year is going to be a book by Mr McCullough,

1:05:29.920 --> 1:05:32.760
<v Speaker 1>which is um, The Right Brothers, not that when I'm

1:05:32.760 --> 1:05:34.520
<v Speaker 1>reading an older one. That's my next one. But it's

1:05:34.600 --> 1:05:37.680
<v Speaker 1>The Mornings on Mornings, Mornings on Horseback, which is the

1:05:37.720 --> 1:05:40.920
<v Speaker 1>book on the young Teddy Roosevelt, who is an incredible character.

1:05:41.280 --> 1:05:44.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't know anyone who has read one of the

1:05:44.200 --> 1:05:48.200
<v Speaker 1>mccaulla biographies and doesn't come away just wow. This was

1:05:48.240 --> 1:05:52.160
<v Speaker 1>a fantastic research, the research, the storytelling. And I'm just

1:05:52.760 --> 1:05:55.360
<v Speaker 1>breaking that one and I'm really looking forward to that

1:05:55.520 --> 1:05:57.400
<v Speaker 1>and I'll probably have that read in the first three

1:05:57.520 --> 1:05:59.720
<v Speaker 1>or four days of my vacation. Coming up. A book

1:05:59.720 --> 1:06:02.520
<v Speaker 1>I all so recently read was was a Walter Isaacs

1:06:02.560 --> 1:06:06.080
<v Speaker 1>and Steve Jobs, which is now the best selling biography

1:06:06.120 --> 1:06:08.200
<v Speaker 1>I think in history. Is that true? I had no

1:06:08.360 --> 1:06:11.560
<v Speaker 1>idea what a book, what a book, the storytelling. I

1:06:11.640 --> 1:06:13.760
<v Speaker 1>actually met Walter Isaacson when he came to Vancouver in

1:06:13.800 --> 1:06:16.160
<v Speaker 1>his book series My Friend that was sponsored it, so

1:06:16.280 --> 1:06:19.440
<v Speaker 1>we were able to enjoy a dinner with him talking

1:06:19.520 --> 1:06:23.120
<v Speaker 1>about some of the stories around making that book. Ye

1:06:23.320 --> 1:06:26.200
<v Speaker 1>Jobs reached out to him and said, I listen, I

1:06:26.280 --> 1:06:29.880
<v Speaker 1>want you to write my biography. Who does something like that.

1:06:30.400 --> 1:06:33.240
<v Speaker 1>He originally was a little reluctant. It's a great book

1:06:33.240 --> 1:06:37.240
<v Speaker 1>for anyone that wants to understand that that iconic you know, Americana,

1:06:37.320 --> 1:06:39.120
<v Speaker 1>which is Apple and all that the history and a

1:06:39.120 --> 1:06:42.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of the characters that were involved. One of my friends,

1:06:42.120 --> 1:06:44.480
<v Speaker 1>Robert Friedland, is featured in the book. He was the

1:06:44.480 --> 1:06:46.960
<v Speaker 1>guy with the apple farm in Oregon, and he was

1:06:47.000 --> 1:06:51.360
<v Speaker 1>the guy that Walter Isaacson would say they taught or

1:06:51.560 --> 1:06:55.800
<v Speaker 1>showed Steve Jobs that reality distortion field. And if anyone

1:06:55.920 --> 1:06:58.520
<v Speaker 1>has seen Robert Friedland give a talk, you see it.

1:06:58.600 --> 1:07:02.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean's just a captivating public speaker and amazing storyteller.

1:07:02.640 --> 1:07:04.800
<v Speaker 1>And then which is the same with with Steve Jobs

1:07:04.840 --> 1:07:07.120
<v Speaker 1>and so of what he was able to do. When

1:07:07.160 --> 1:07:10.200
<v Speaker 1>I was almost finished the book, Barry, I saved the

1:07:10.280 --> 1:07:12.760
<v Speaker 1>last forty pages and it took me three months. I

1:07:12.840 --> 1:07:15.480
<v Speaker 1>put it on the shelf and I just waited, and

1:07:15.840 --> 1:07:18.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, I read that last forty pages. It was

1:07:18.720 --> 1:07:21.520
<v Speaker 1>just again I I just don't want that book to end.

1:07:22.240 --> 1:07:24.400
<v Speaker 1>It was it was really interesting. There were a number

1:07:24.440 --> 1:07:27.680
<v Speaker 1>of books that have come out since then sort of

1:07:28.280 --> 1:07:31.720
<v Speaker 1>telling telling a different version of the story, including a

1:07:31.840 --> 1:07:37.080
<v Speaker 1>few Apple authorized biographies. I thought the book was harsh

1:07:37.160 --> 1:07:39.160
<v Speaker 1>but fair is that? Is that a good way to

1:07:39.240 --> 1:07:44.600
<v Speaker 1>describe it. He's a mercurial, different, difficult character, but it

1:07:44.720 --> 1:07:47.760
<v Speaker 1>seemed like he it was a very fair conversation. If

1:07:47.800 --> 1:07:51.120
<v Speaker 1>there was any criticism. It's a little technology light. It's

1:07:51.120 --> 1:07:54.480
<v Speaker 1>about Steve Jobs, the person that Steve Jobs, the technologist,

1:07:55.400 --> 1:07:58.080
<v Speaker 1>which is is kind of interesting. Give me one more book?

1:07:58.160 --> 1:08:01.360
<v Speaker 1>What else? What else have you read that really was

1:08:01.640 --> 1:08:05.200
<v Speaker 1>influential to you when I was around twenty years old

1:08:05.280 --> 1:08:08.080
<v Speaker 1>and probably the reason I wrote my book the way

1:08:08.160 --> 1:08:11.480
<v Speaker 1>it is. There's a Canadian book was written by David Chilton.

1:08:11.880 --> 1:08:15.400
<v Speaker 1>It's called The Wealthy Barber. That book sold two million

1:08:15.520 --> 1:08:17.880
<v Speaker 1>copies in Canada. To give you is it a good book? Well?

1:08:17.920 --> 1:08:21.639
<v Speaker 1>Two million? Healthy and it's it's a it's a simple

1:08:21.720 --> 1:08:25.880
<v Speaker 1>book about a barber who's wealthy and his pay. His

1:08:25.960 --> 1:08:27.840
<v Speaker 1>clients come in to cut their hair and he gives

1:08:27.880 --> 1:08:33.599
<v Speaker 1>them investment advice, just plane plane, straight common sense stuff. Now,

1:08:34.000 --> 1:08:36.040
<v Speaker 1>the book was around the days of eight and teen

1:08:36.080 --> 1:08:37.960
<v Speaker 1>percent interest, so those days are gone. You can't just

1:08:38.080 --> 1:08:40.639
<v Speaker 1>do that. The power of compound interest doesn't work anymore

1:08:41.040 --> 1:08:43.320
<v Speaker 1>in this interest rate environment, which is a different discussion

1:08:43.320 --> 1:08:45.760
<v Speaker 1>for a different day. But the but the way that

1:08:45.840 --> 1:08:48.120
<v Speaker 1>book is written, I think it's fun and it was

1:08:48.520 --> 1:08:51.679
<v Speaker 1>one of those early personal finance books that I read

1:08:51.760 --> 1:08:53.920
<v Speaker 1>that I just love and I recommended to any young person,

1:08:54.000 --> 1:08:56.320
<v Speaker 1>any millennial out there, you want to read that book

1:08:56.320 --> 1:08:58.160
<v Speaker 1>because it gives you a good foundation. There are a

1:08:58.280 --> 1:09:01.720
<v Speaker 1>run of parable books like that. The Wealthy Barber Um

1:09:02.360 --> 1:09:05.680
<v Speaker 1>The Richest Man in Babylon is another similar book, and

1:09:05.760 --> 1:09:08.320
<v Speaker 1>there's one other. I'm trying to remember the most recent

1:09:09.240 --> 1:09:13.080
<v Speaker 1>UM version of that sort of paradox that I have

1:09:13.200 --> 1:09:15.400
<v Speaker 1>it out there. I read it recently. I'm trying to

1:09:15.400 --> 1:09:19.320
<v Speaker 1>remember the title. I'll dig it up UM. Alright, So,

1:09:19.600 --> 1:09:24.839
<v Speaker 1>so beyond books, what what has changed since you've become

1:09:25.800 --> 1:09:28.320
<v Speaker 1>a venture investor? What do you think is is the

1:09:28.400 --> 1:09:33.240
<v Speaker 1>most significant positive and negative changes that that you've witnessed

1:09:33.280 --> 1:09:37.400
<v Speaker 1>over the past decade. It's harder to be a stockpicker,

1:09:37.760 --> 1:09:39.759
<v Speaker 1>you know, if we look at all the click trading

1:09:39.800 --> 1:09:42.320
<v Speaker 1>that takes place in the world, people buy ETF s

1:09:42.360 --> 1:09:44.840
<v Speaker 1>now Berry. You know, you look at the graph on

1:09:44.920 --> 1:09:47.000
<v Speaker 1>who used to be their own personal stock picker and

1:09:47.080 --> 1:09:48.960
<v Speaker 1>what was an et F. I mean, you know, you

1:09:49.080 --> 1:09:52.439
<v Speaker 1>interviewed the king of ETFs yourself, and it's all it's

1:09:52.479 --> 1:09:54.720
<v Speaker 1>went now to basically people buy e t F. So

1:09:55.600 --> 1:09:58.120
<v Speaker 1>you get volatility with that because with click trading, you

1:09:58.280 --> 1:10:02.640
<v Speaker 1>you dump positions. You know, we're just just sporadically. So

1:10:02.760 --> 1:10:04.920
<v Speaker 1>it's it's a lot harder an t F and you're

1:10:04.960 --> 1:10:08.479
<v Speaker 1>essentially dumping a hundred stocks exactly, and and then people

1:10:08.520 --> 1:10:10.599
<v Speaker 1>do it. The psychology the market comes in, you get

1:10:10.640 --> 1:10:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the greed, and greed very powerful emotion. We've seen the

1:10:14.200 --> 1:10:16.240
<v Speaker 1>Dow came off a thousand points here, you know, just

1:10:16.520 --> 1:10:19.360
<v Speaker 1>after the Brexit, you know, and that's it's a fear trade.

1:10:19.960 --> 1:10:23.320
<v Speaker 1>And so I think it's harder to be a stock picker,

1:10:23.800 --> 1:10:26.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, to to find deep value and to have

1:10:27.160 --> 1:10:31.679
<v Speaker 1>disproportionate benefit. So you need to be is a money manager.

1:10:31.720 --> 1:10:33.599
<v Speaker 1>I think you need to be long and short. It's

1:10:33.880 --> 1:10:35.960
<v Speaker 1>very hard to be long only. And one of my

1:10:36.120 --> 1:10:37.880
<v Speaker 1>one of my mentors in Germany told me says, when

1:10:38.360 --> 1:10:40.280
<v Speaker 1>me and traditionally I'm a value investor, so I am

1:10:40.360 --> 1:10:42.800
<v Speaker 1>long only, and he says the difference between people like

1:10:42.920 --> 1:10:45.240
<v Speaker 1>you and me. He says, I make money every day.

1:10:45.439 --> 1:10:46.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't care if the market's going up or down.

1:10:47.200 --> 1:10:49.080
<v Speaker 1>I just I just need to be right more times

1:10:49.120 --> 1:10:51.560
<v Speaker 1>that I'm wrong. And he says, you you have you

1:10:51.680 --> 1:10:54.080
<v Speaker 1>wait and wait, and I said, the way my heart beats,

1:10:54.160 --> 1:10:56.439
<v Speaker 1>I'm okay with that. I want to find deep value.

1:10:56.479 --> 1:10:58.559
<v Speaker 1>I want to get behind I have conviction as long

1:10:58.600 --> 1:11:00.320
<v Speaker 1>as I'm not wrong. Because you a SOO have to

1:11:00.360 --> 1:11:03.479
<v Speaker 1>admit when the facts change, so should you. If you're wrong,

1:11:04.000 --> 1:11:06.560
<v Speaker 1>get off the trade, you know. But typically I have

1:11:06.640 --> 1:11:08.439
<v Speaker 1>a window of maybe one to five years. I want

1:11:08.479 --> 1:11:10.920
<v Speaker 1>to get behind a theme and uh and ride that

1:11:11.000 --> 1:11:14.240
<v Speaker 1>pony all the way. So what do you see as

1:11:14.320 --> 1:11:17.400
<v Speaker 1>some of the next major shifts taking place in in

1:11:17.560 --> 1:11:22.439
<v Speaker 1>that space, either in in public markets or venture investment. Well,

1:11:22.479 --> 1:11:25.479
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about the the largest traded commodity in the world.

1:11:25.560 --> 1:11:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about oil, which is a huge market and

1:11:29.280 --> 1:11:31.120
<v Speaker 1>it's going through a tectonic shift. And let me just

1:11:31.560 --> 1:11:34.360
<v Speaker 1>give people some anecdotal information for those that are not

1:11:34.640 --> 1:11:38.720
<v Speaker 1>energy experts. We use today nine s million barrels a

1:11:38.800 --> 1:11:42.640
<v Speaker 1>day demand. And if you look at the prognosticators and

1:11:42.720 --> 1:11:44.840
<v Speaker 1>you ask them fifteen years ago or ten years ago.

1:11:45.160 --> 1:11:46.880
<v Speaker 1>How much oil are we going to use in the future.

1:11:47.200 --> 1:11:49.320
<v Speaker 1>All the charts end up going into the future to

1:11:49.439 --> 1:11:52.640
<v Speaker 1>about a hundred twenty million barrels a day. Hundred in

1:11:52.680 --> 1:11:57.080
<v Speaker 1>the future maybe not. The way we use oil is

1:11:57.160 --> 1:12:01.280
<v Speaker 1>so fundamentally changed. We are now things that you consume

1:12:01.479 --> 1:12:03.519
<v Speaker 1>of this ninety six million barrels a day, there are

1:12:03.640 --> 1:12:05.519
<v Speaker 1>there are applications that are going to go to zero

1:12:05.640 --> 1:12:09.640
<v Speaker 1>oil consumption, zero adoption. Five million barrels a day is

1:12:09.680 --> 1:12:12.360
<v Speaker 1>used to make electricity on islands around the world. You

1:12:12.439 --> 1:12:15.880
<v Speaker 1>look at the fines that were levied three weeks ago

1:12:15.920 --> 1:12:18.880
<v Speaker 1>by the European Union of all the Lorry, the semi

1:12:18.920 --> 1:12:23.360
<v Speaker 1>truck manufacturers billions of dollars because their efficiencies did not

1:12:23.520 --> 1:12:27.160
<v Speaker 1>go down in twenty five years. In four years, Barry,

1:12:27.280 --> 1:12:32.120
<v Speaker 1>they're going to use less fuel? Is that? What is

1:12:32.200 --> 1:12:34.639
<v Speaker 1>the is the key fact? It's a two prong effect.

1:12:34.720 --> 1:12:36.759
<v Speaker 1>For they're making them change the shape of the trucks

1:12:36.920 --> 1:12:39.519
<v Speaker 1>so they're gonna be aerodynamic European semi trucks, as everyone

1:12:39.600 --> 1:12:42.880
<v Speaker 1>knows how that big square, very un aerodynamic shape that

1:12:42.920 --> 1:12:45.240
<v Speaker 1>will that will go to be an aerodynamic shape, which

1:12:45.320 --> 1:12:47.840
<v Speaker 1>will have We've we've seen a lot of adaptations to

1:12:48.240 --> 1:12:50.360
<v Speaker 1>here here we have it. Not in Europe though, really not.

1:12:50.720 --> 1:12:53.679
<v Speaker 1>You would think that gasoline is so much more expensive

1:12:53.720 --> 1:12:57.519
<v Speaker 1>there that would be a being automatic. I'm actually looking

1:12:57.640 --> 1:13:00.640
<v Speaker 1>for something right now as we're as we're talking about it,

1:13:00.680 --> 1:13:02.960
<v Speaker 1>but I'm not so that's going to change. And then

1:13:03.000 --> 1:13:05.240
<v Speaker 1>we look at the the the automobiles that are used

1:13:05.240 --> 1:13:08.000
<v Speaker 1>eighteen hours a day, which is not not you and

1:13:08.120 --> 1:13:12.880
<v Speaker 1>I taxis the urban transports, buses, the world's largest automobile market,

1:13:12.920 --> 1:13:15.600
<v Speaker 1>which is China. Boy, this that industry is changing in

1:13:15.600 --> 1:13:18.280
<v Speaker 1>the next four or five years. It's a line item.

1:13:18.800 --> 1:13:22.920
<v Speaker 1>So conclusively, we're gonna use less oil. If people talk

1:13:22.920 --> 1:13:25.920
<v Speaker 1>about the fracking revolution in the United States, so we

1:13:25.960 --> 1:13:28.080
<v Speaker 1>know that the drill rigs went from about two D

1:13:28.320 --> 1:13:31.000
<v Speaker 1>six hundred and four years and what happened is we

1:13:31.120 --> 1:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>ended up having almost six million barrels of new production.

1:13:35.240 --> 1:13:37.720
<v Speaker 1>This is unprecedented. And then you look at it, well,

1:13:37.760 --> 1:13:39.960
<v Speaker 1>what about the demand side, because the world's growing and

1:13:40.000 --> 1:13:42.720
<v Speaker 1>there's India and all these other places. Let's look at

1:13:42.760 --> 1:13:46.240
<v Speaker 1>the fastest growing energy market in history, China. It took

1:13:46.320 --> 1:13:50.360
<v Speaker 1>them fifteen years to have five million barrels of new demand.

1:13:51.080 --> 1:13:55.599
<v Speaker 1>So this this revolution of how we extract oil. It's

1:13:55.680 --> 1:13:59.320
<v Speaker 1>it's it's not offset by demand. It's slowing down. We

1:13:59.439 --> 1:14:02.639
<v Speaker 1>used to grow three four percent a year annual oil demand.

1:14:03.320 --> 1:14:06.439
<v Speaker 1>We're coming in it's it's barely growing, it's maybe a percent.

1:14:07.439 --> 1:14:10.360
<v Speaker 1>What about the concept and I'm trying to remember which

1:14:10.439 --> 1:14:14.600
<v Speaker 1>Saudi king said this um and the quote is you

1:14:14.680 --> 1:14:18.040
<v Speaker 1>know you Americans waste oil using it as a fuel,

1:14:18.240 --> 1:14:21.640
<v Speaker 1>meaning it's real value is in the materials world and

1:14:21.720 --> 1:14:24.519
<v Speaker 1>as a basis for plastics and polymers and what have you.

1:14:25.720 --> 1:14:29.560
<v Speaker 1>How much of a demand for oil exists on not

1:14:29.720 --> 1:14:32.320
<v Speaker 1>on the energy side, but on the material side. And

1:14:32.400 --> 1:14:35.760
<v Speaker 1>what does that mean going going forward? Yeah, that's gonna

1:14:36.280 --> 1:14:38.519
<v Speaker 1>there is demand for that obviously to make plastics and

1:14:38.680 --> 1:14:41.400
<v Speaker 1>in certain products we we use petroleum, you know, the

1:14:41.560 --> 1:14:44.760
<v Speaker 1>petroleum industry, But that's not the lion's share of where

1:14:44.800 --> 1:14:48.040
<v Speaker 1>oil is consumed. Oil is consumed in mode of transportation,

1:14:48.280 --> 1:14:51.719
<v Speaker 1>and it's changing. And we saw the oil price collapse

1:14:51.880 --> 1:14:54.800
<v Speaker 1>in the past eighteen months because of a two million

1:14:54.880 --> 1:15:00.240
<v Speaker 1>barrel a day shifted displacement too much supply. So if

1:15:00.280 --> 1:15:02.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm talking about all these things I just talked about,

1:15:02.360 --> 1:15:04.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm talking about a displacement of two three five million

1:15:05.000 --> 1:15:09.360
<v Speaker 1>barrels a day in the next two five fifteen years. Well,

1:15:10.240 --> 1:15:12.040
<v Speaker 1>and at the same time you can extract more oil.

1:15:12.560 --> 1:15:14.640
<v Speaker 1>I like to tell people that of the six or

1:15:14.680 --> 1:15:18.040
<v Speaker 1>seven factors that can influence the price of oil, I

1:15:18.240 --> 1:15:22.200
<v Speaker 1>think that that industry, the oil industry, relies overweight now

1:15:22.360 --> 1:15:27.920
<v Speaker 1>on toxic geopolitics, because there's always it could be maybe

1:15:27.960 --> 1:15:31.200
<v Speaker 1>forty of politics in a barrel of oil. If things

1:15:31.280 --> 1:15:35.080
<v Speaker 1>go awry in a really sensitive oil environment, you should

1:15:35.160 --> 1:15:37.960
<v Speaker 1>have or you could have an increase in oil prices.

1:15:38.560 --> 1:15:41.240
<v Speaker 1>It does not rely on fundamentals anymore because across the

1:15:41.280 --> 1:15:45.400
<v Speaker 1>board innovation, adoption, technology we are going to use in

1:15:45.479 --> 1:15:49.240
<v Speaker 1>the future less oil. My friend Gary Shilling has a

1:15:49.320 --> 1:15:51.800
<v Speaker 1>ten dollar a barrel price target. I don't I don't

1:15:51.800 --> 1:15:55.200
<v Speaker 1>really do price targets, but that certainly gets your attention.

1:15:56.200 --> 1:15:59.040
<v Speaker 1>Long term, he's in the same camp as you. Hey,

1:15:59.720 --> 1:16:04.000
<v Speaker 1>this as an energy source, it's certainly if it's not

1:16:04.439 --> 1:16:07.760
<v Speaker 1>a twilight industry, it certainly has peaked. And as we

1:16:07.880 --> 1:16:12.439
<v Speaker 1>see more tesla's and more electrical adaptation, there's going to

1:16:12.520 --> 1:16:16.240
<v Speaker 1>be less and less UH oil consumption. Even if we

1:16:16.360 --> 1:16:21.840
<v Speaker 1>continue using gasoline powered cars as they become autonomous. They're

1:16:21.840 --> 1:16:25.559
<v Speaker 1>gonna become so much more fuel efficient than us humans

1:16:25.600 --> 1:16:30.040
<v Speaker 1>are are driving. It's gotta take a huge bite out

1:16:30.080 --> 1:16:32.880
<v Speaker 1>of the total demand that's out there. Yeah, they're gonna

1:16:32.960 --> 1:16:35.280
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna be electric. Even if let's let's assume right

1:16:35.320 --> 1:16:38.200
<v Speaker 1>now we don't sell one an electric car. We're gonna

1:16:38.200 --> 1:16:40.000
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna sell more cars in the future, more people

1:16:40.040 --> 1:16:42.560
<v Speaker 1>consuming more things. We can all agree to that. But

1:16:42.720 --> 1:16:44.640
<v Speaker 1>cars are mandated here in the United States to go

1:16:44.720 --> 1:16:47.920
<v Speaker 1>from miles a gallon to fifty four miles a gallon.

1:16:48.000 --> 1:16:52.080
<v Speaker 1>By that's the fleet sales for all of GM, all

1:16:52.160 --> 1:16:56.719
<v Speaker 1>of Mercedes, all of Toyota, their entire fleet has that average.

1:16:56.760 --> 1:16:59.360
<v Speaker 1>You use more or less oil in that atmosphere. Clearly,

1:16:59.760 --> 1:17:03.240
<v Speaker 1>my less thank you. If the lorry manufacturers of Europe

1:17:03.240 --> 1:17:05.680
<v Speaker 1>are going to have to have more efficiency between now

1:17:05.720 --> 1:17:07.599
<v Speaker 1>and are they going to use more or less oil

1:17:07.640 --> 1:17:11.439
<v Speaker 1>in that atmosphere? If we if half the islands around

1:17:11.479 --> 1:17:16.240
<v Speaker 1>the world that make electricity from bunker start using being diesel,

1:17:16.680 --> 1:17:18.600
<v Speaker 1>cheap diesel to make electricity, or we're gonna you know,

1:17:19.560 --> 1:17:22.160
<v Speaker 1>it's it's basic arithmetic. The ships around the world are

1:17:22.160 --> 1:17:25.080
<v Speaker 1>becoming more efficient. I mean just in the past twelve years, Barry,

1:17:25.160 --> 1:17:29.120
<v Speaker 1>the average airplane and car is about more fuel efficient.

1:17:29.520 --> 1:17:31.400
<v Speaker 1>Now the trucks are coming next, because the number they

1:17:31.439 --> 1:17:33.400
<v Speaker 1>just got the wrist slapped that three weeks ago that

1:17:33.479 --> 1:17:36.880
<v Speaker 1>these charge collusion charges have went went against them, which

1:17:36.920 --> 1:17:40.320
<v Speaker 1>is why they too have a siren on that program.

1:17:40.880 --> 1:17:43.360
<v Speaker 1>And then of course the grandaddy of them all urban

1:17:43.400 --> 1:17:48.080
<v Speaker 1>transport buses that operates six eighteen hours a day going electric.

1:17:48.560 --> 1:17:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Now we'd have to focus about the small markets that

1:17:51.000 --> 1:17:54.960
<v Speaker 1>are that aren't approaching this from a progressive point of view.

1:17:55.320 --> 1:17:57.040
<v Speaker 1>We have to go to the world's largest market, which

1:17:57.120 --> 1:18:01.519
<v Speaker 1>is doing this very quickly. So our fall anal two questions,

1:18:01.560 --> 1:18:05.880
<v Speaker 1>our favorite questions. First, if a millennial or recent college

1:18:05.920 --> 1:18:08.559
<v Speaker 1>graduate came up to you and ask for some career advice,

1:18:08.880 --> 1:18:12.600
<v Speaker 1>what would you tell them, Well, let's let's pretend there

1:18:12.600 --> 1:18:16.960
<v Speaker 1>are my brother's children, so I really, I really admire

1:18:17.040 --> 1:18:20.000
<v Speaker 1>this millennial I'm talking to. I would take them by

1:18:20.040 --> 1:18:22.280
<v Speaker 1>the hand, and I would sit down and I would

1:18:22.320 --> 1:18:27.479
<v Speaker 1>really explain fundamentally how energy is the umbilical court of

1:18:27.560 --> 1:18:30.880
<v Speaker 1>human progress, how it's changing, how we create, transfer, and

1:18:30.960 --> 1:18:33.639
<v Speaker 1>utilize that energy. Of course they'll come to the conclusion

1:18:33.680 --> 1:18:36.840
<v Speaker 1>that it's all electricity, and I would say, open up

1:18:36.880 --> 1:18:40.920
<v Speaker 1>your mind. Maybe it's electrical design, maybe it's engineering, maybe

1:18:40.960 --> 1:18:44.160
<v Speaker 1>it's the software technology. But you need to embrace that.

1:18:44.320 --> 1:18:46.400
<v Speaker 1>You need to have you need to know the fundamentals.

1:18:46.439 --> 1:18:48.960
<v Speaker 1>If you cut all this stuff in half, this green

1:18:49.120 --> 1:18:51.960
<v Speaker 1>energy that so many young people want, if you cut

1:18:52.000 --> 1:18:54.439
<v Speaker 1>it in half, you need to know how it works,

1:18:54.520 --> 1:18:58.200
<v Speaker 1>how it functions, how can you make it better? And maybe,

1:18:58.479 --> 1:19:00.479
<v Speaker 1>just maybe those people can change the world. We need

1:19:00.560 --> 1:19:04.000
<v Speaker 1>to inspire a generation of young people berry to go

1:19:04.120 --> 1:19:07.760
<v Speaker 1>to university with pride and take science, technology, engineering, and

1:19:07.880 --> 1:19:10.200
<v Speaker 1>math like so many other people around the world. That's

1:19:10.240 --> 1:19:13.320
<v Speaker 1>the advice I would give a millennial. And our final question,

1:19:13.640 --> 1:19:17.400
<v Speaker 1>what is it that you know about technology, energy, venture

1:19:17.400 --> 1:19:21.320
<v Speaker 1>investing today that you wish you knew fifteen years ago?

1:19:22.880 --> 1:19:25.360
<v Speaker 1>I wish I had a degree in psychology because it

1:19:25.439 --> 1:19:29.160
<v Speaker 1>makes you understand markets so much more. You know these

1:19:29.200 --> 1:19:32.720
<v Speaker 1>emotions of fear and greed. You know this this euphoria

1:19:32.800 --> 1:19:35.200
<v Speaker 1>that hits markets when you think you're a genius because

1:19:35.240 --> 1:19:37.160
<v Speaker 1>you're making money in the stocks you chose are all

1:19:37.200 --> 1:19:41.560
<v Speaker 1>going higher. Now, if you understood psychology, you you you

1:19:41.760 --> 1:19:44.720
<v Speaker 1>it's going to help you as an investor. So if

1:19:44.760 --> 1:19:47.000
<v Speaker 1>I if I knew more, and I do study this

1:19:47.040 --> 1:19:50.000
<v Speaker 1>stuff now just as a passive sort of fan of

1:19:50.280 --> 1:19:54.519
<v Speaker 1>of how markets are. So I don't want to use

1:19:54.520 --> 1:19:58.759
<v Speaker 1>the word manipulated, but move driven, driven by by emotion.

1:19:59.320 --> 1:20:01.599
<v Speaker 1>If you understand that better you're gonna have, you're gonna

1:20:01.600 --> 1:20:05.000
<v Speaker 1>add a few percentage points to your performance every year. Giohnny,

1:20:05.120 --> 1:20:07.759
<v Speaker 1>this has been terrific. Thank you for being so generous

1:20:07.800 --> 1:20:11.600
<v Speaker 1>with your time. We have been speaking with Giohnny Kovachevik,

1:20:12.080 --> 1:20:16.120
<v Speaker 1>author of My Electrician Drives a Porsche, investing in the

1:20:16.360 --> 1:20:21.200
<v Speaker 1>rise of the new spending class. If you enjoyed this conversation,

1:20:21.360 --> 1:20:23.160
<v Speaker 1>be sure and look up an inch or down an

1:20:23.200 --> 1:20:25.719
<v Speaker 1>inch and you could see any of the other nineties

1:20:25.720 --> 1:20:29.800
<v Speaker 1>seven or so. Uh, such conversations we've had. I know

1:20:30.080 --> 1:20:33.800
<v Speaker 1>this sounds like a conversation just between two people, but

1:20:34.040 --> 1:20:38.000
<v Speaker 1>a team of folks helped put this together. Uh. Taylor

1:20:38.080 --> 1:20:43.240
<v Speaker 1>Riggs is our scheduler slash booker, Charlie Vollmer is our producer,

1:20:43.600 --> 1:20:47.000
<v Speaker 1>Mark is our recording engineer. Mike Batnick is the head

1:20:47.040 --> 1:20:50.439
<v Speaker 1>of research. And you're gonna actually I need you to

1:20:50.520 --> 1:20:53.240
<v Speaker 1>sign this book to Mike Batnick, who gave you a

1:20:53.320 --> 1:20:58.040
<v Speaker 1>fantastic review on Amazon. Um, so before I forget, I

1:20:58.080 --> 1:21:00.479
<v Speaker 1>have to have you sign a book for him. Uh.

1:21:01.120 --> 1:21:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for everybody for helping make this program such

1:21:05.080 --> 1:21:08.599
<v Speaker 1>a delight to do and to listen to. I'm Barry Ridolts.

1:21:08.760 --> 1:21:12.240
<v Speaker 1>You've been listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio,

1:21:15.400 --> 1:21:18.720
<v Speaker 1>brought to you by B A s F. We create chemistry.