1 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from from for the 2 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:19,439 Speaker 1: first time the Volume Network. I am Schad Milman of 3 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:23,159 Speaker 1: the Action Network and guess what, Thank God, the n 4 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: c A Tournament is just days away. We're going to 5 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 1: get into that. We are certainly going to get into 6 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,200 Speaker 1: that because a year ago this time we were wallowing 7 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:36,479 Speaker 1: interfere and our disappointment, and we were adrift in uncertainty. 8 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 1: And I am not sentimental at all. I do think 9 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 1: what's happened this past year when it comes to sports 10 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:49,560 Speaker 1: being played, is somewhat miraculous. The fact it was largely 11 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 1: driven by greed. Who cares the fact that college athletes 12 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 1: especially have been treated differently, the exact opposite of the 13 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 1: credo the n c Double A lives by does not 14 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 1: matter because we got a tournament people, And our guest 15 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 1: today is the Action Networks very own one named wonder 16 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:12,880 Speaker 1: Stucky Man, who loves college foops so much he named 17 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 1: himself after an obscure college basketball player. He will break 18 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 1: down the attorney with me and Toda, my official official 19 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: co host of the pod, are new full time Action 20 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: Network colleague, Mr Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon mona money Chad, 21 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 1: I'm paid I got health insurance. These all these things 22 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 1: have happened to me. I'm so excited. I gotta tell you, 23 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: I'm more nervous about hiring you full time than just 24 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:52,200 Speaker 1: about anybody, and that includes like hiring a guy named 25 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 1: Stucky and a guy named Darren Ravel. But we do 26 00:01:56,600 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: have even bigger news. I mentioned the very first sentence, 27 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 1: the Volume Network. That's right. This morning, It's Tuesday. This 28 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: morning it was announced that we have partnered with my 29 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 1: good friend Colin Calherd and the Volume team on a 30 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 1: brand new partnership. The Favorites your Favorite Podcast Listeners UH 31 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: is joining the Volume platform, the new podcast platform that 32 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: Colin started last month. Obviously, we're super excited. I've known 33 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 1: Colin for years. I was lucky enough that when we 34 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 1: were both at ESPN and he had a football show 35 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:36,840 Speaker 1: on Sundays, he asked me to come on and he 36 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:40,239 Speaker 1: was the first one doing gambling segments on television. We've 37 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:43,680 Speaker 1: been good friends for a long time. I'm thrilled personally 38 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: that we're partnering with him. I'm thrilled that Action is 39 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,640 Speaker 1: partnering with him and Volume because it's a great match. 40 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: Because the guy has been so far ahead of the 41 00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 1: game and talking about betting. He lived in Vegas. He 42 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 1: knows the industry, he knows the space, he knows what 43 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,080 Speaker 1: audiences want. The fact that we get to do it 44 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: together as two companies is awesome. This podcast The Favorites 45 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 1: will expand to two times a week. We will do 46 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: it Tuesdays, We will do it Thursday's. Action Network analysts 47 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: like Stuckey and Simon will appear on Volume podcast as well. 48 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: You'll be able to follow Colin and everyone on the 49 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: Volume team. Uh, many of them are putting their picks 50 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 1: in the Action Network app. I mean that's legit, man. Yeah, Simon, 51 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,239 Speaker 1: you did a chat. All you needed was to bring 52 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:30,639 Speaker 1: on someone a little better looking than Scooch and look 53 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: what happened. We've blown up. Yeah. I want to give 54 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: you some credit, but I have to give it all 55 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: the Scooch. Thank you Scooch for leaving and letting us 56 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 1: take off. Right all right, Now that the housekeeping is 57 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: out of the way, let's get to some madness. March 58 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: madness has finally returned, and there's only one way to celebrate. 59 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: Let's get gambling. Gambling. Gambling, stucky, how are you holding 60 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: up now that we're you know, forty eight hours in 61 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: before a tournament that's starting a day later. Do you 62 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 1: like having it started day later? Is it just more 63 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 1: work to do, more time to prepare? Would you rather 64 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,119 Speaker 1: the games get going and squires be at your back 65 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 1: and call? From our apt perspective, like getting content out there, 66 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 1: It's it's helpful doing videos and podcasts, and the extra 67 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 1: day certainly helps, but it's it's just a long way. Um. 68 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: But you know, after last year, I will happily wait 69 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: an extra day after not having a tournament. And it's 70 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: funny that you bring up Stucky. I was just thinking 71 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 1: about it. I was like, I picked that random name 72 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 1: on a gambling form in two thousand four. Now, besides, 73 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 1: like my family and my wife, every single person I 74 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: now calls me Stuck, and that's like my name I 75 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,159 Speaker 1: go by on the Like it's I just randomly picked 76 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: it on a form fifteen years ago. Wow. But yeah, 77 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: I like it from a preparation standpoint. But I'm menching 78 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:49,359 Speaker 1: for these games to get started. I can't wait for Friday. 79 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 1: So let's let's start in I can't. I can't wait 80 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: for Friday either, and so look, the first thing I 81 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 1: want to do. We're gonna talk about the way we're 82 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:57,719 Speaker 1: gonna break this down is we're gonna talk about each bracket. 83 00:04:57,880 --> 00:04:59,720 Speaker 1: I want you to talk about your upset picks in 84 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: each bracket, and then I want you to tell us 85 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: who you think is going to come out of that 86 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 1: bracket for the final four. And yesterday, I gotta say, 87 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 1: the content in the app has been amazing and you're 88 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 1: driving so much of that UM And yesterday you posted 89 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 1: your three favorite n C Double A tournament underdogs. You 90 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,680 Speaker 1: bet right away. I will make a distinction, and I 91 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: want you to talk about some bets that you see 92 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 1: in each region as well. But when we're talking about 93 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: underdogs in this context, I want to talk about winners. 94 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: I want to talk about underdogs who are going to win. Uh. 95 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 1: And so I think I just just a piggyback on that. 96 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:40,840 Speaker 1: I have a piece that's coming out now that's entirely 97 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 1: too long, But if you need to know about these 98 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:46,159 Speaker 1: lower seeds, it'll be really useful. I ranked the the 99 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:50,800 Speaker 1: upset chances of teams ranked thirteen through fifteen, Like sixteen 100 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 1: seeds that's happened once. I don't care about that. I'm 101 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 1: I don't think there's any shot at Eve the win 102 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 1: this year. But I write and everyone has twelves doors five, 103 00:05:57,560 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 1: so I write the thirteen through fifteen seeds, and they're 104 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 1: answers of an upset. And it's not just in order 105 00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:05,839 Speaker 1: of seed or the line because and we'll talk about this, 106 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 1: there's when you're looking for an upset in a bracket, 107 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 1: it's different than when you're betting, because you might you 108 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: might want to look for games with more variants. You 109 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 1: might want to look for games with lower totals or 110 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 1: three point reliant teams, um that if things unfold a 111 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 1: certain way, they might be able to pull off the upset. 112 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 1: So check that out. It'll be up this afternoon at 113 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:32,159 Speaker 1: some point. That's good, good, big pimping right there. Yeah, 114 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 1: but I'm just fixed to saying like there isn't like 115 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 1: it's a good point by you. It's there's a distinction 116 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: between looking at the bets and then look trying to 117 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 1: find and under it all to give you an advantage 118 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 1: in the bracket. Yeah, look like people who people who 119 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 1: are picking brackets, who don't know anything about March madness, 120 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,160 Speaker 1: who don't know anything about college basketball. They just want 121 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:51,000 Speaker 1: to pick the winners for each round. But for betters. 122 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:53,159 Speaker 1: They're looking at the point spreads. And there's as many 123 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: opportunities when you were looking at the point spreads in 124 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 1: college basketball in March madness as there are anything else 125 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: because there's so many teams that bookmakers know they're gonna 126 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:06,159 Speaker 1: get outside attention on the public team, on the favorite team, 127 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 1: because that team might be more of a brand name 128 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 1: then the team that you have been following all year. 129 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 1: And I know there's a couple of them. We can 130 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 1: talk about that our prime for upsets or at least 131 00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 1: to keep the game close, and that's where there's going 132 00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 1: to be a lot of good a lot of good value. Um. 133 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 1: Let us start in the West, because that has the 134 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 1: number one team in the country. It has Gonzaga. Uh 135 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: and to me, it's also a region where, uh, it 136 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:39,080 Speaker 1: could potentially be very chalky. Um. So let's let's start 137 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 1: in the West. Give me your take right now of 138 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 1: the sort of upset contenders to actually win outright, let's 139 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 1: start with winning outright in the first round in the West. Yeah. 140 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: And one thing I'll add on to what you just 141 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 1: said is that in this year in COVID, with all 142 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: the interruptions, shortened seasons, for a lot of these teams. 143 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:02,280 Speaker 1: There's a lot of groups that are going to disagree 144 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:05,239 Speaker 1: on these games. And you know some of the math models, 145 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: like if you look at ken Palm out there and 146 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: there's a there's a number of them. They might be, 147 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 1: in my opinion, over valuing or undervaluing a certain team 148 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 1: because you might look at this team and say, well, 149 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 1: there are seasonal numbers aren't really reflective of who they 150 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: are now because for a month they dealt with COVID right, 151 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 1: and for that month they had a bunch of guys 152 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 1: out they were trying to recover once they came back. 153 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: So that's what I think really makes this to them 154 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 1: bit interesting. Um. But getting to the West, yeah, I 155 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 1: mean it's it's tough to see anyone taking out Gonzaga 156 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: getting through. But let's look at the first round for 157 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: potential upsets. I think, and I agree with you that 158 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 1: this is the chalkiest Brackett our region I should say, 159 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 1: of any if you want to search, I mean Cal 160 00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 1: Santa Barbara. They have an injury to one of their 161 00:08:53,040 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: guards who's questionable. To Corey McLaughlin is an excellent, I mean, 162 00:08:57,320 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 1: just the outstanding high major guard. He can play at 163 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: the next level for Santa Barbara. Just a solid all 164 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:05,319 Speaker 1: around team, well coached by Pastor neck Day. They don't 165 00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:08,320 Speaker 1: really have any flaws. They're just really solid. They have 166 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 1: in good interior play, have good guards. That's a team 167 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 1: that can scare Creighton and I create, especially if Creighton 168 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 1: has it off shooting night, so um I would look there. 169 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:23,000 Speaker 1: I also mentioned Eastern Washington and the only reason I'll 170 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,840 Speaker 1: mention that, and again this is COVID uncertainty. So if 171 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 1: you're looking for an upset in the first round, then 172 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 1: you value uncertainty, and Kansas certainly has uncertainty. They're gonna 173 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 1: be missing Jalen Wilson, one of their starters. It's not 174 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 1: a very deep team, David McCormick. They're big an arguably 175 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: best player. He's supposed to play, but he's still in 176 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:48,439 Speaker 1: COVID protocol. He's not traveling with the team, and so 177 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: I think Friday or Saturday the day of the game, 178 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 1: so it interrupted practices. You're already missing one starter. So 179 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: at AT Eastern watches an excellent offense. Their defense is 180 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: very questionable, but that's a an offense that can score. 181 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 1: That's a really intriguing one if you want to get 182 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 1: a little crazy, and we've seen Kansas certainly get upset 183 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 1: in the first round. And then my favorite one in 184 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 1: the West is Ohio. Um who I actually have going 185 00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:19,559 Speaker 1: to the sweet six team? UM COVID on certainty Virginia. 186 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 1: They're gonna be missing one player. We don't know who 187 00:10:21,559 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 1: it is yet. They had to pull out of the 188 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 1: a SEC tournament. Um, so who knows who that is. 189 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:28,680 Speaker 1: Ohio is playing as as well as any mid major 190 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:30,320 Speaker 1: in the country right now. They have a pro guard 191 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:32,320 Speaker 1: will be the best player on the court in Jason Preston, 192 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:35,559 Speaker 1: peaking at the right time. Defensive numbers are ugly, but 193 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 1: they actually showed defensive effort last week. And a team 194 00:10:38,559 --> 00:10:41,040 Speaker 1: that dealt with COVID for about a month so they 195 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: had guys out, their numbers are a little deflated. This 196 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 1: is a team that can shoot and score over that 197 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 1: pack line defense. I think Ohio is extremely live. Everybody 198 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:55,679 Speaker 1: loves Ohio. Yeah, well, there's a lot of copying, and 199 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 1: you know, I was obsessed with Ohio. I tweeted out 200 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 1: right when the line came out. And now I think 201 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:05,079 Speaker 1: it's one of those trendy dogs. Um, which stinks, but 202 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: there's a there's a lot of times when you look 203 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: on Twitter and one person loves something that everyone starts 204 00:11:09,880 --> 00:11:12,559 Speaker 1: to love it. So you get kind of clouded and thinking, 205 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:14,960 Speaker 1: all right, does everyone really like Ohio? But on Twitter 206 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:17,199 Speaker 1: it does seem like everyone now like so, which is 207 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:19,720 Speaker 1: a bit scary. But look, I trust my numbers, I 208 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:24,200 Speaker 1: trust the matchup, I trust Jason Preston, and then you 209 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:29,960 Speaker 1: have all the uncertainty in Virginia Simon, how do you 210 00:11:29,960 --> 00:11:36,680 Speaker 1: think about March Madness as a professional football better. I 211 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:38,599 Speaker 1: try to listen to guys like Stucky because like I 212 00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 1: knew enough and I I started watching when I get 213 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: back from vacation, which is like March so other than Duke, 214 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 1: which I watch all season. Um, yeah, I don't know 215 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:50,839 Speaker 1: much about college boss, but when I when I try 216 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 1: to do more Madness, I know a lot of people 217 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 1: trying to do the crazy upsets. I try to just 218 00:11:56,840 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 1: end up with a couple of twos and a couple 219 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 1: of ones in the final four. Um, that's just always 220 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:05,559 Speaker 1: been my mentality, where it's like, usually the best teams 221 00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 1: are gonna win, are gonna win in college basketball, so 222 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 1: where someone like Stuck you can find these match these 223 00:12:11,400 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 1: matchups and find the value because these twelve and five's, 224 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 1: like the all these different seedings, some of these teams 225 00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 1: are literally the exact same team, like on any given 226 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:23,280 Speaker 1: day you can win. So, like you're saying, there was 227 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:25,640 Speaker 1: crazy good line value, I jumped on a couple after 228 00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 1: like these guys posted what they liked, and uh, it's 229 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:30,200 Speaker 1: been crazy to see the line move on some of 230 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: these games. Some of these lines have already moved like 231 00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 1: three points since it opened up, So it's definitely pretty 232 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 1: crazy which one stuck, which ones have moved the most 233 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:41,679 Speaker 1: since these lines open. I mean, Ohio plus ten and 234 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 1: a half was just a bad opener. Um. I think 235 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 1: I tweeted out as soon as I came out, like 236 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 1: this is this line is pure sex um and that's it. 237 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 1: Like I think seven and a half now, um, you'll 238 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:54,360 Speaker 1: get and you'll get some resistance and buy back. But 239 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: depending on who Virginia has out, it could drop further 240 00:12:57,679 --> 00:13:01,079 Speaker 1: um and liberty. We can get to that and we 241 00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:03,320 Speaker 1: get to the Midwest against Oklahoma State, I got some 242 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:05,079 Speaker 1: nine and a half there. That's down the seven and 243 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:10,960 Speaker 1: a half UM. So there's been Those are probably I 244 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,440 Speaker 1: think the two biggest movers so far that have moved 245 00:13:13,440 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 1: two or three points, But there's been a couple that 246 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: have moved a couple of points. And are there any 247 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 1: teams that like we should be avoiding because of COVID, 248 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 1: Like teams that just haven't been right or they had 249 00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 1: like good players coming back from COVID that are just 250 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 1: teams that you would avoid just because of that stuff. Yeah, 251 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 1: I mean the two teams that had to pull out 252 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 1: that I just mentioned that I had to pull out 253 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:37,360 Speaker 1: of their conference tournaments last weekend ur Kansas, UM and Virginia. 254 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:40,080 Speaker 1: So what are the effects going to be from that? 255 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:44,640 Speaker 1: Who is gonna be Also, Georgia Tech announced today someone 256 00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 1: and for privacy issues they can't say who it is. 257 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: Someone is going to be out this weekend against the 258 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,560 Speaker 1: little Chicago UM. So keep your eye on there, keep 259 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 1: your eye on the news. But those are the two 260 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 1: teams that had to pull out of their conference tournaments 261 00:13:56,679 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: last weekend that UM I would probably avoid. There's just 262 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:03,439 Speaker 1: a lot of uncertainty there, especially from a bracket perspective. 263 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 1: And I'm not in love with either team anyway, but 264 00:14:06,280 --> 00:14:08,080 Speaker 1: but but ultimately I agree with you, and just you 265 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:09,719 Speaker 1: want to win a bracket pool, you want to get 266 00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:11,839 Speaker 1: like seven of eight and Elite eight you want to 267 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 1: get like they're depending on the size, they're like thirteen, 268 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: fourteen and the sweet sixteen, and you want to nail 269 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 1: the national champion and one good strategy, So like I 270 00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 1: I'd like to take like two or three some ideally 271 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 1: to thirteen to fifteen seeds that win. I never really 272 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 1: haven't gone past the sweet sixteen, and then that just 273 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:29,960 Speaker 1: makes all right, who do I want to pick as 274 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:31,840 Speaker 1: my sweet sixteen? A little easier if I nail them. 275 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: But this year, if you want to try and have 276 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 1: an edge on the field in a pool, I think 277 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:40,400 Speaker 1: you want to maybe try and pick a a national 278 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 1: champion that is coming from the Illinois or gid Zagga 279 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:46,360 Speaker 1: region because I think a lot of people are going 280 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 1: to have them in their final, including myself, um so Houston, Iowa. 281 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 1: Those are like good contrary and national title bracket pool winners. Yeah, 282 00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 1: well that's interesting, right, So let's le's advance it a 283 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 1: little bit because you did give Ohio is sort of 284 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 1: a strong reference, which I think is the right one, 285 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: and and obviously it's one that everybody is talking about. 286 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 1: But as you see this going through and you say 287 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 1: it's good to have sort of some of those lower 288 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 1: seeds and say a Sweet sixteen. Let's say we're talking 289 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 1: about a Sweet sixteen in the West. Other than Ohio, 290 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: which you said can get there, is there anybody else 291 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: from that bracket that you think, is it a lower 292 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 1: seed they can get to the sweet sixteen? Yeah, I mean, 293 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 1: looks at Santa bar If you want to roll with 294 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:37,640 Speaker 1: Santa Barbara, you gotta check the status of one of 295 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 1: their starting guards. They can certainly get there. I don't 296 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 1: think any of the team's in Gonzaga's region or half 297 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:47,720 Speaker 1: of the bracket are capable of taking Gonzaga out obviously 298 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 1: any given day, but realistically Gonzaga should cruise to the 299 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen and then Ohio. Look, Ohio is an electric offense. 300 00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 1: Gonzaga might score a hundred and ten on Ohio. UM 301 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 1: so that they're run by, which I hope it happens, 302 00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 1: will be fun, but the dance will end there in 303 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:07,960 Speaker 1: the bottom half. It's like, I don't I don't trust 304 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: usc enough. They have a really talented player in the 305 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 1: mobile will play in the NBA. Yeah, I don't trust can. 306 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: So it's like Oregon. Could Oregon make a run? They 307 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 1: play like a funky style with their zones. But if 308 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: they get to Iowa Garza, they don't want anyone who 309 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:23,360 Speaker 1: can cover Garza. I was playing more defense lately, so 310 00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 1: I think that we're set up here for Iowa Gonzaga 311 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 1: in a chalky region they played earlier this year. I 312 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 1: will compete. I think the final School was like nine. 313 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 1: You could see another game like that, Um, and Gonzaga 314 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 1: probably as too much firepower. But it's not that I will. 315 00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 1: It's not like I will can't win that game. UM. 316 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 1: You know there will be five six point underdogs. I 317 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 1: agree with you. By the way, to me, Gonzaga is 318 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: a team that makes it all the way through to 319 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 1: the finals. Here's the one thing that comes up every 320 00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:01,280 Speaker 1: time with Gonzaga and I pooh pooh this. But I 321 00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 1: want your opinion. Everyone says, can a team that's undefeated 322 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 1: make its way all through the tournament? Can a team 323 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:11,920 Speaker 1: that doesn't play tough like competition make its way through 324 00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,639 Speaker 1: the tournament. I have very specific thoughts on why these 325 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 1: things shouldn't apply to gun Zaga. But what's your take? Yeah? 326 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: I mean, look, I think every case is different. In 327 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:26,359 Speaker 1: in Gonzaga's case this year, Earlier this season, on a 328 00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:31,119 Speaker 1: neutral court. They beat Kansas two to ninety. They beat 329 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:35,520 Speaker 1: Auburn sixty seven. They beat West Virginia eight two, They 330 00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:40,719 Speaker 1: beat Iowa was that final score? They beat Virginia seventy, 331 00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 1: all on neutral courts. Six that's five or six tournament teams. UM. 332 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 1: So yeah, the their conference was down this year. It's 333 00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:55,239 Speaker 1: generally not great, um, and they ran through it like 334 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:57,800 Speaker 1: a hot knife through butter predictably. I mean, I use 335 00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: a really good team, by the way, arguably gonna be 336 00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:02,439 Speaker 1: the top twenty five team in the nation, and they 337 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:08,240 Speaker 1: beat them twice by double digits. So just all the 338 00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: metrics are there, the talent is there, and then you 339 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:12,720 Speaker 1: go back and you say, hey, look in the non 340 00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:16,240 Speaker 1: conference they beat all of these tournament teams pretty handily 341 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 1: and all on neutral courts. So UM, I don't think 342 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:23,800 Speaker 1: that there's any concern about Gonzaga's schedule. Now if they 343 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:25,720 Speaker 1: didn't there are some teams that didn't play a non 344 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:29,359 Speaker 1: conference schedule this year and just went right into a 345 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:34,400 Speaker 1: conference schedule. And given how poor Gonzaga's conferences this year, 346 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:36,439 Speaker 1: you could have questions and say, do we really know 347 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 1: how to lead this team? Is? For example, Colgate number 348 00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 1: eight in the net. They have really good shooters. But 349 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,359 Speaker 1: they played three teams all regular season. That's it. Three 350 00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:47,840 Speaker 1: and they played on like four times teaks IF, Army, 351 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:52,120 Speaker 1: holy Cross, and Lafayette that's it. So like all their numbers, 352 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:56,399 Speaker 1: they're shooting from three, they're holding teams from three, But like, 353 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,000 Speaker 1: what does that really mean? They played three phoot League 354 00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 1: teams all season? So, um, you have to look at 355 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:04,040 Speaker 1: I think this this year. You have to look at 356 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,920 Speaker 1: these teams just in a vacuum. There's so many different 357 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 1: types of profiles. But I have no questions about how 358 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 1: elite this Gonzaga team is offensively and then the differences 359 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:17,240 Speaker 1: this year. They're playing really good defense, which was a 360 00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 1: question last year. Top ten and adjusted efficiency just like 361 00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:23,959 Speaker 1: when they got to the national title. That defense is 362 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:29,640 Speaker 1: uh championship worthy. Simon Pencil and Gonzaga for your final four. 363 00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 1: Just do it right now. No, I'm all of them. 364 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 1: I like Iowa. I don't mind. I know. That's that's 365 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:39,679 Speaker 1: why when everyone's telling you they like Gonzaga. Like I 366 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:41,640 Speaker 1: was just thinking in my head, who was the last 367 00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:45,679 Speaker 1: like legendary undefeated college basketball team. I feel like it 368 00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:48,640 Speaker 1: was that Kentucky team that had all these first round 369 00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 1: draft picks, so I know Gonzaga is different than that, 370 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 1: But I just remember that Kentucky team. They even I 371 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 1: think it might have been maybe it was Butler. It 372 00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 1: was someone that ran into that was didn't have the biggest, 373 00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 1: the fastest, strongest guys. They just played that perfect game 374 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:03,879 Speaker 1: against the team that hadn't laws yet, that was feeling 375 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,560 Speaker 1: the pressure in that final two three minutes. So I'm 376 00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: off I like, I like the fate of Gonzi. Yeah, yeah, 377 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:13,879 Speaker 1: there's I think the number one overall seed is hasn't 378 00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:16,960 Speaker 1: won at all in like seven years. Um, and you're 379 00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,600 Speaker 1: talking about I'm in Lexington. This is a sore subject 380 00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 1: for us here. But Kentucky, which was by far and 381 00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 1: away the best team in the country, one of the 382 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 1: best teams of all time talent was they run into 383 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 1: Wisconsin in the final four. Um, but they I mean, 384 00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:34,399 Speaker 1: and they lost to Wisconsin. Wisconsin. That team had Decker 385 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,160 Speaker 1: and Kaminsky. But if you you have to go back 386 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,520 Speaker 1: to my national championship, by the way, is Zaga Illinois 387 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,160 Speaker 1: is boring and predictable as that sounds. Two thousand five 388 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:48,720 Speaker 1: North Carolina Illinois. They were clearly the two best teams, um, 389 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:53,360 Speaker 1: and that was and they made the championship. Doesn't happen often, UM, 390 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 1: So I'm hoping that we get a repeat. I have Illinois. 391 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,080 Speaker 1: I picked Illinois to win it all preseasons, so I'll 392 00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:00,760 Speaker 1: stick with my guns there. But if you want to 393 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 1: go Houston in their region, if you want to go Iowa, 394 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:05,679 Speaker 1: those are like the teams that I could see beating 395 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:09,400 Speaker 1: Illinois Oklahoma State if they get through the first round. 396 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:11,480 Speaker 1: But I don't hate the Iowa pick because Iowa is 397 00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:14,439 Speaker 1: a team that can score and can put up ninety 398 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 1: and get Zaga is off a little bit, they certainly 399 00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 1: can win a not a lot of people have it, 400 00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: so from a bracket perspective, I don't I don't hate 401 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,080 Speaker 1: that pick, but I don't see Gonzaga losing before the 402 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 1: Elite eight for sure. I like this though, because Simon, 403 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,440 Speaker 1: who obviously is a professional better and it has been 404 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 1: doing it very successfully for a very long time. If 405 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:32,160 Speaker 1: someone is new to the podcast, I should have more 406 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,359 Speaker 1: properly introduced Simon because he's been doing the podcast with 407 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,639 Speaker 1: me for a year and he is a legit professional 408 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,959 Speaker 1: better who d m me on Twitter and said I 409 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,360 Speaker 1: think I can make your podcast better because you're kind 410 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,760 Speaker 1: of smart, but you don't really know that much. And 411 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:48,800 Speaker 1: so this is a good opportunity for me to inform 412 00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:50,920 Speaker 1: people so you don't make them dumber. And so now 413 00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 1: he's been on the podcast, but he doesn't bet college basketball. 414 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 1: But this is a good sense, good way for like 415 00:21:55,960 --> 00:22:00,239 Speaker 1: Simon to take his professional betting wits and apply them 416 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 1: to college basketball. And I like that you're going contrarian 417 00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:06,560 Speaker 1: with Iowa. Let's go to the East because the East 418 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 1: is a bracket that I think is wide open. Michigan, 419 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:14,159 Speaker 1: the number one seed, has injury issues. They were fading 420 00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:18,080 Speaker 1: down the stretch because of those injury issues. I think 421 00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:21,800 Speaker 1: that like this is a bracket stuck, you know, start 422 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:26,640 Speaker 1: us off. There's like there's some real opportunity here. Yeah, 423 00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,240 Speaker 1: this one, take take a shot in because I think 424 00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 1: that there's two vulnerable number one seeds. We'll get to 425 00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:35,560 Speaker 1: one in another region, but Michigan is definitely one of them. 426 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 1: The and uh and like you look at Michigan and 427 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:42,760 Speaker 1: you look, all right, it's there at eight nine that 428 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:46,520 Speaker 1: can potentially scare one and can one get upset in 429 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:50,200 Speaker 1: the second round. And I look at a team like 430 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 1: st Bonaventure, who has an excellent, excellent big and you 431 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 1: know soon in the middle. They are great interior defense. 432 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:03,119 Speaker 1: He can bay basically defend Dickinson and State bonov was 433 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:08,400 Speaker 1: a great defensive team experienced, um well coached. They could 434 00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: because of how they can cover Dickenson. Because Dickinson is 435 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,679 Speaker 1: a nightmare matchup for most teams, and because of that, 436 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:15,399 Speaker 1: you either have to double him and then he opens 437 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,440 Speaker 1: up all their great shooters. Michigan runs great offense as well, 438 00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,920 Speaker 1: but yeah, Livers is hurt, but they could just guard 439 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:24,399 Speaker 1: him straight up, which is which is huge. But I 440 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,440 Speaker 1: don't know if St. Bonaventure can beat l s U. 441 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,640 Speaker 1: That's the problem in NFLS. You beat St. Bonaventure, Hunter 442 00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,439 Speaker 1: Dickinson might score forty points on putbacks, Elsie one of 443 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,960 Speaker 1: the outside the top three defensive rebounding. They have no one, 444 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,160 Speaker 1: no one who can cover Dickinson. I mean, Michigan could 445 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 1: shoot from three and he's just gonna he's he's just 446 00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,359 Speaker 1: gonna offensive rebound put back on put I mean he 447 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:49,920 Speaker 1: would go crazy. So that game is it's a mind 448 00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:52,720 Speaker 1: funk for me. But if you want to have Michigan 449 00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,120 Speaker 1: going down, I can see them LS you can score 450 00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:58,040 Speaker 1: on anyone too, so they could potentially outscore Michigan. I 451 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:01,680 Speaker 1: have Michigan going down personally the Sweet six team to 452 00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:06,119 Speaker 1: Florida State. Um, who I think is? I actually have 453 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:11,560 Speaker 1: them going to the final four? Stuck, no joke. So far, 454 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:16,000 Speaker 1: you have named three of the final four teams that 455 00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 1: I had publicly stated, what are the final four teams 456 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 1: for me before the seatings? One of these teams now 457 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:27,280 Speaker 1: can't make it and we'll get to that region. But 458 00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,920 Speaker 1: I have Florida State going to the final four as well, Gonzaga, Illinois, 459 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:34,280 Speaker 1: Florida State. I have all three of them. UM, talk 460 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,879 Speaker 1: to me about Florida State. Explain yourself. Well, you're I 461 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: gotta change my final four now, but you have the 462 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 1: same final four? Is me? Well, I don't know I 463 00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:45,400 Speaker 1: got it. But by the way, by the way, sometimes 464 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,879 Speaker 1: I'm really good at this. It might actually be in 465 00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 1: your favor. Chad Millman is proud of himself. Yeah, we'll see. 466 00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:55,680 Speaker 1: I hope. Otherwise I will make sure I'm the pressures 467 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:57,960 Speaker 1: on you. It's a I'll say, but Florida State. Look, 468 00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 1: it's always on me. The sure is always on me, 469 00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:07,840 Speaker 1: and yet I carry it like a warm blanket that 470 00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:11,120 Speaker 1: brings everybody together. Okay, I don't know how to transition 471 00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:13,679 Speaker 1: from that, but Florida State, I guess there are there 472 00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:15,920 Speaker 1: are warm blankets to me. They give me comfort because 473 00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:19,879 Speaker 1: they are just so long and athletic and deep. And 474 00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 1: this is the team that just poses so many matchup 475 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 1: problems because I mean, they just have pros and length 476 00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:27,160 Speaker 1: all over the place and it's very difficult to cover them. 477 00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 1: And they're really good defensively, is it? And we've seen it. 478 00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:34,680 Speaker 1: Florida State has made runs to the Sweet sixteen, Elite eight. 479 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:36,680 Speaker 1: And by the way, if they get to the final 480 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:40,600 Speaker 1: four and they face when when we get out our 481 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 1: final four picks before the bracket, I had give Zagon 482 00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: Florida State too, um kid Zagon Florida State. The last 483 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:49,360 Speaker 1: two tournaments have faced each other um and Florida State 484 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,000 Speaker 1: won the first one and get Zago won the second one. 485 00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:53,959 Speaker 1: So if they if they meet in the final four, 486 00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 1: to be the third straight tournament that they have faced 487 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:59,680 Speaker 1: each other. But just a really deep, long, talented team, 488 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,159 Speaker 1: they'll press. Um. They have so many options to score. 489 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:05,840 Speaker 1: They can really shoot the three too, but they can 490 00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:10,120 Speaker 1: also offensive rebound. There long inside protect the rim really well, 491 00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:13,920 Speaker 1: like there's just not They also shoot free throws really 492 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,679 Speaker 1: well this year. There's not a lot of weaknesses with 493 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:21,280 Speaker 1: this team and UNC Greensboro. They press to the unique 494 00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,880 Speaker 1: style which can give some teams trouble, and Florida State 495 00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 1: has turned the ball over some this year. Fartia State 496 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,679 Speaker 1: also presses. These are two of the top five press 497 00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:32,479 Speaker 1: defenses in the country. Florida States actually be pretty good 498 00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 1: against the press this year. I I they're just such 499 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,840 Speaker 1: an athleticism advantage here. I also think they would get 500 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:41,359 Speaker 1: by the winner of Georgetown Colorado, uh and then the 501 00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:43,959 Speaker 1: vulnerable Michigan. And when you get to Michigan, if Michigan 502 00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:48,320 Speaker 1: gets there, they have the size inside seven footers that 503 00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:51,280 Speaker 1: that can guard Dickinson, and they can match up on 504 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:54,280 Speaker 1: the perimeter, and they can create mismatches with their athleticism. 505 00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:57,760 Speaker 1: So it's just a really talented team. Sometimes they have 506 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:01,480 Speaker 1: these like stinkers, which which does concern me a bit. 507 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:03,320 Speaker 1: Um They did want to have notreeday and they lost 508 00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:04,760 Speaker 1: by about thirty with a chance to win the a 509 00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 1: C c um But I trust all the talent athleticism 510 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:13,239 Speaker 1: and they've they've Leonard Hamilton has in recent years has 511 00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:18,440 Speaker 1: been pretty trustworthy in the tournament. Uh, Simon, I want 512 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:22,760 Speaker 1: to see if you can guess the team Stucky wants 513 00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: to talk about that is the live wire, uh under 514 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:39,200 Speaker 1: you know, thirteen seed in this bracket. Mm hmm, I can't, 515 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:40,879 Speaker 1: I can't. I can't think of it all toide of 516 00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 1: my head. Stucky, do you want to say it? Do 517 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:50,000 Speaker 1: you want me to say it? You can say Abilene Christian? Why? 518 00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 1: Why is Abilene Christians Stucky? The team that you think 519 00:27:56,840 --> 00:28:01,800 Speaker 1: can advance against a Texas team that just one its conference, 520 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 1: that has the ever hot coach in shock a smart um. 521 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:10,000 Speaker 1: Give me some explanations here? Well, actually don't. Well I 522 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 1: think they can, but I don't. I haven't picked them. 523 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:15,639 Speaker 1: I love this team coming in. It's one of the 524 00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:19,520 Speaker 1: most aggressive that's if they're very long, very long for 525 00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,760 Speaker 1: a mid major. One of the most aggressive defenses in 526 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:25,639 Speaker 1: the entire country. They'll press you a bit. They trap everything. 527 00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:28,440 Speaker 1: They're just into the passing lanes. They are number one 528 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:32,520 Speaker 1: in the nation and turnover rate defensively and just an 529 00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 1: outstanding defense. And they have a seven foot or so 530 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:37,440 Speaker 1: I think seven ft one Colt and coal in the middle, 531 00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:39,520 Speaker 1: which not a lot of these mid major teams have. 532 00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 1: They run everything through him. On offense, it's one of 533 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 1: the heaviest post offenses in the country, and they have 534 00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:49,920 Speaker 1: shooters all around him. So it's just a very dangerous 535 00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 1: team with a unique scheme. And Texas does have turnover issues. 536 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:57,760 Speaker 1: They turn the ball over a lot. The thing that 537 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 1: worries me and this Apple and Christie a talented, very 538 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 1: well coached they have. They are unique, but they play 539 00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 1: almost the same defense as Texas Tech this no middle, 540 00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 1: don't let you get into the paint, put move everything in. 541 00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:16,600 Speaker 1: Texas face them three times. Additionally, Texas has a couple 542 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 1: of seven footers themselves, so unlike these other teams that 543 00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:22,479 Speaker 1: Ablene Christians used to playing and could have matched up 544 00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 1: with where Colton Cold was seven ft or they run 545 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:26,959 Speaker 1: all their offense through. Usually have to crash down on them, 546 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:28,960 Speaker 1: usually have to help on him. He takes I think 547 00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,960 Speaker 1: thirty of their shots, but then he can kick it 548 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:35,400 Speaker 1: out and they have all the great shooters all around it. 549 00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:39,480 Speaker 1: But Texas doesn't have to do that. Plus Abilene Christian, 550 00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 1: because of how aggressive they play, they fail a ton 551 00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:45,959 Speaker 1: and besides some of the Texas bigs, all the Texas 552 00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,760 Speaker 1: guards are automatic at the line, so that's what scares 553 00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 1: me here. I like Davelene Christian coming in to the tournament. 554 00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 1: I don't like the matchup, but I wouldn't be shocked 555 00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:58,360 Speaker 1: if they win. And if I don't really love any 556 00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:00,840 Speaker 1: lower thirteen through sixties eats here. If I had to 557 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:04,360 Speaker 1: pick one, and I'm not in my bracket, but that's 558 00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:07,440 Speaker 1: probably the one I would go with. Texas has some 559 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:12,040 Speaker 1: laps is mentally on defense. Sometimes Brown they're really talent. 560 00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:14,200 Speaker 1: He's really talented, but he checks out and he turns 561 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:17,480 Speaker 1: it over too much. So yeah, I I could see it, 562 00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:19,720 Speaker 1: but just it's not the best matchup for me. And 563 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 1: I think Texas is undervalued in the market. They've lost 564 00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:25,080 Speaker 1: a ton of close games, and a lot of those 565 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,400 Speaker 1: close games two really good teams came after they were 566 00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,560 Speaker 1: dealing with COVID, so I think a lot of their 567 00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:33,160 Speaker 1: numbers are are depressed because of that. Um They're peaking 568 00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,160 Speaker 1: at the right time and they have the length and 569 00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 1: side they can shoot. UM, So I think Texas finds 570 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 1: a way. But out of all the thirteen through fifteen 571 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,360 Speaker 1: seeds in this region, um Abilen Christian would be the 572 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:48,640 Speaker 1: one I would target. All right, Simon, uh, just putting 573 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 1: your bracket Florida State for the final four. I want 574 00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 1: you You're gonna get Iowa and you're gonna Florida. So 575 00:30:55,560 --> 00:30:58,400 Speaker 1: I thought of states first Texas, but if you want 576 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:03,640 Speaker 1: to go that, the autumn is is really interesting because Alabama, no, no, no, Simon, 577 00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:06,720 Speaker 1: this is your final four so far, Iowa. You're gonna 578 00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:10,400 Speaker 1: get Iowa playing Florida State in the final four, with 579 00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:13,000 Speaker 1: one of those teams going to the finals, because you're 580 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,800 Speaker 1: gonna get the East Region playing the West Region, and 581 00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:19,480 Speaker 1: how we're gonna go to the Midwest. I had to 582 00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 1: say before and I won big on Bama for the conference. 583 00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 1: I'm all in on Alabama got them in my final four. 584 00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:27,960 Speaker 1: Them in Iowa are on my uh on my side 585 00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:30,240 Speaker 1: for the Babo could get there, Bam, I could get there. 586 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 1: It's a tough path, I mean, but they can certainly 587 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:34,600 Speaker 1: get there. I mean, Yukon is not gonna be easy 588 00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:37,600 Speaker 1: in the second round with book Night and then Texas 589 00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:41,040 Speaker 1: team and they're doing that. That was playing second overall. 590 00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:43,800 Speaker 1: Just a defensive efficiency. That's the difference this year. But 591 00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:46,360 Speaker 1: they are still very three point reliant. So if they 592 00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,479 Speaker 1: have an off shooting night against one of these better teams. 593 00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:51,600 Speaker 1: It could be Lights, but then and then they'd have 594 00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:53,040 Speaker 1: to be Florida State. They can get there, though, then 595 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:54,320 Speaker 1: if you want to take a shot with you kinda, 596 00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:56,440 Speaker 1: I don't hate that at all, Simon. You and I 597 00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:59,320 Speaker 1: are gonna have our own little Brackett and I am 598 00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:02,040 Speaker 1: gonna be on Florida State and Gonzaga and you can 599 00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:05,320 Speaker 1: be on Iowa and Bama and see how that works 600 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:09,520 Speaker 1: out for us. Thanks. I'm writing it down just so 601 00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 1: you know. I'm taking notes because I gotta do fucking everything. 602 00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to the Midwest, because actually you 603 00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:19,800 Speaker 1: mentioned stock like Illinois. We both have Illinois coming out 604 00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:23,160 Speaker 1: of this bracket. Look, they've played thirteen quad one opponents. 605 00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 1: They've actually had thirteen quad one wins, most in the country. 606 00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:31,200 Speaker 1: What upsets me about this bracket is that I love Houston, 607 00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:35,680 Speaker 1: I love Loyola, I loved Georgia Tech. Before you gave 608 00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:39,160 Speaker 1: that news that someone that could potentially be important might 609 00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:42,200 Speaker 1: not play. I feel like the selection committee always does this. 610 00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:45,720 Speaker 1: They put the teams that gamblers love into the same 611 00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:48,240 Speaker 1: bracket and they screw us. And they did it with 612 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 1: Houston because Houston was the other team I at Florida State, Illinois, 613 00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:56,920 Speaker 1: Houston and Gonzaga in the final four before the seatings 614 00:32:56,920 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 1: were announced. Yeah, I don't like to draw either. I mean, 615 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,560 Speaker 1: Illinois was my team before this season all summer. I 616 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:05,200 Speaker 1: pimped them out. They have because you know, you have 617 00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,440 Speaker 1: two pros that are coming back, and then they have 618 00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:10,000 Speaker 1: these freshmen and the transfer that I loved, and I thought, 619 00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:12,800 Speaker 1: look in this ridiculous Big Ten, they're only gonna get 620 00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:15,240 Speaker 1: better and better as they approach Martin. They did. But 621 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:16,840 Speaker 1: if you want to be a contraying you probably don't 622 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 1: want Illinois if you want to like going to the final. 623 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,080 Speaker 1: But this is a team that I've said is gonna 624 00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:24,280 Speaker 1: win it all year. So I'd be a clown if 625 00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:26,560 Speaker 1: I if I didn't have them winning it now. So 626 00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:30,040 Speaker 1: I'm just sticking with my guns. But you, Houston, you 627 00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:31,440 Speaker 1: want to go with a good contraying pick of a 628 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:34,800 Speaker 1: team that is really rock solid. You can have Houston 629 00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:36,440 Speaker 1: going to the final four year and I wouldn't hate it. 630 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,440 Speaker 1: But I think Illinois is the second best team in 631 00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:40,520 Speaker 1: the country. Said that they're gonna win it all from 632 00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:42,840 Speaker 1: the start of here, So I have them beating Gonzaga, 633 00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:46,000 Speaker 1: as boring as that sounds, but because of that, my 634 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,360 Speaker 1: bracket is basically gonna come down to Illinois winning it right, 635 00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 1: and then I'm gonna have because a lot of people 636 00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:54,080 Speaker 1: are gonna have Illinois Gonzaga in the finals, I'm taking 637 00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 1: some other shots in the Midwest because if I'm right 638 00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:00,680 Speaker 1: with a couple other upsets, then I'm gonna make up 639 00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:03,280 Speaker 1: some ground. If I'm wrong, it's not really gonna kill 640 00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:05,120 Speaker 1: me as long as Illinois comes out of the region. 641 00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:07,160 Speaker 1: So that's the way that I'm thinking about the Midwest. 642 00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:09,719 Speaker 1: Is there anybody in the bottom half of that bracket 643 00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:14,560 Speaker 1: that you think is competitive? Yeah, I mean I don't 644 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:18,360 Speaker 1: think anyone is beating Houston until the Elite eight. But 645 00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:20,960 Speaker 1: if you want to give Syracuse a run to the 646 00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen, maybe the Elite eight, we've seen it before. 647 00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:26,680 Speaker 1: They could easily lose. I mean, the underdog in the 648 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:29,480 Speaker 1: first round, the Syracuse in the zone. It's tough to 649 00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:32,799 Speaker 1: prepare for um. It's a unique scheme once they get 650 00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:35,919 Speaker 1: out of conference. Teams aren't used to seeing it. And look, 651 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,280 Speaker 1: they could score this year. Buddy Bahan has been on fire. 652 00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:40,120 Speaker 1: That's a team that's dangerous, and then you know they 653 00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:43,000 Speaker 1: get into the second round against West Virginia. They West 654 00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 1: Virginia is a vulnerable three seed, but I also took 655 00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:48,160 Speaker 1: a shot up top. We're with Illinois and I have 656 00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:51,440 Speaker 1: Liberty going to the sweet sixteen to play Illinois. Almost 657 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,960 Speaker 1: everyone is gonna have Oklahoma State and Kate cunning Him 658 00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:58,880 Speaker 1: there and I could easily happen. UM. But if it 659 00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:00,880 Speaker 1: doesn't and it's on the Illinois wins that game and 660 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:05,279 Speaker 1: won't kill my bracket. UM, and Oklahoma State I think 661 00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:09,400 Speaker 1: is vulnerable in the first round. Kate Cunningham will probably 662 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 1: make enough plays down the stretch to win and pull 663 00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 1: it out, as he's done so many times this year. 664 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:19,080 Speaker 1: But Liberty is the worst possible matchup for Oklahoma State 665 00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:21,400 Speaker 1: as a thirteen four. And then in the next round 666 00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:26,400 Speaker 1: against Tennessee, another miserable matchup. Liberty packs it in defensively, 667 00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:29,680 Speaker 1: they make you beat them from the outside. Oklahoma State, 668 00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:30,920 Speaker 1: what they want to do is they want to get 669 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:32,960 Speaker 1: to the rim. They want to get out in transition. 670 00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:34,879 Speaker 1: They don't want to shoot three. It's not a great 671 00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:37,200 Speaker 1: three point shooting team. Liberty makes you be a three 672 00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:41,160 Speaker 1: point shooting team. Liberty takes away all of your transition opportunities. 673 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:43,640 Speaker 1: They don't cross the offensive glass. They get back. They're 674 00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:45,719 Speaker 1: one of the slowest teams in the nation, and they 675 00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:48,000 Speaker 1: can shoot. I think they have seven guys that are 676 00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:52,800 Speaker 1: overt from three four over forty. So they play slow, 677 00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,440 Speaker 1: they grind the game out. They can take away everything. 678 00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,799 Speaker 1: Oklahoma stables too because they pack it in. Also, they're 679 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:00,080 Speaker 1: they're all have a lot of size, but they're go 680 00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 1: to the defensive class and Oklahoma State likes to live 681 00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:04,640 Speaker 1: on the offensive glass. It's a top their top twenty 682 00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:06,879 Speaker 1: and getting to the room in the nation, Liberty top 683 00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:10,120 Speaker 1: twenty and preventing teams from getting to the rim. Oklahoma 684 00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:13,640 Speaker 1: State really good in transition. Liberty is does not let 685 00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:15,960 Speaker 1: you get out in transition, and Liberty is gonna make 686 00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,000 Speaker 1: you shoot. Oklahoma State doesn't want to shoot so and 687 00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:21,080 Speaker 1: they're gonna slow the game down, so unlike Colgate, who 688 00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,719 Speaker 1: can really shoot. We still don't know a lot about them. 689 00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,279 Speaker 1: They play fast, they're I think they're twenty five and 690 00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:32,799 Speaker 1: adjusted tempo, whereas Liberty I think is like or something 691 00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:36,719 Speaker 1: somewhere way down there, so fewer possessions, more variants. If 692 00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,239 Speaker 1: Liberty is hitting their shots. Um, it's a bad match 693 00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:41,719 Speaker 1: of program State. And then in the next round they 694 00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 1: play a Tennessee offense that in the half court is 695 00:36:44,040 --> 00:36:45,839 Speaker 1: just lost. They need to get out in transition, they 696 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:48,560 Speaker 1: need to unleash their athletes, and they can't really shoot. 697 00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:52,480 Speaker 1: So Liberty is a team that if they're making their shots, 698 00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:54,520 Speaker 1: and they have they're one of the best three point 699 00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:57,640 Speaker 1: shooting teams in the country. UM. And because of their 700 00:36:57,680 --> 00:37:02,400 Speaker 1: style and how they match up with Oklahoma State. UM. 701 00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:04,040 Speaker 1: Because of how they match up with Oklahoma State, you 702 00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:06,640 Speaker 1: have three and adjust a tempo because of how they 703 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:10,480 Speaker 1: play three point variants, slow the game down, your possessions, 704 00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:14,480 Speaker 1: they make their threes. It's it's a it's a scary 705 00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:16,080 Speaker 1: team to play. So I have them as one of 706 00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:18,080 Speaker 1: the teams going to the Sweet sixteam as a lower 707 00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:20,000 Speaker 1: seat by two going to the Sweet sixteen, or Liberty 708 00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:27,360 Speaker 1: in Ohio upset alert. I was just about to remind 709 00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:30,320 Speaker 1: people of the bracketbusters because there's a lot of information process, 710 00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:33,360 Speaker 1: so I want to condense and sort of organize for people. 711 00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:38,160 Speaker 1: So far, coming out of the West, we like Gonzaga 712 00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:41,719 Speaker 1: for the Final four, but we do like Ohio as 713 00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:44,560 Speaker 1: a bracket buster. To get to the sweet sixteen, and 714 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:46,840 Speaker 1: just so people when they're thinking about it, if you 715 00:37:46,840 --> 00:37:48,880 Speaker 1: want to win your brackets, you gotta choose upsets. In 716 00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:50,520 Speaker 1: the first two rounds. You've got to figure out which 717 00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:52,480 Speaker 1: teams are going to get there, and then after the 718 00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:55,440 Speaker 1: sweet sixteen it ends up being pretty chalky. Like the 719 00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:57,960 Speaker 1: teams that are better tend to win. When you get 720 00:37:58,000 --> 00:37:59,880 Speaker 1: to the final four, you're usually loaded with ones and 721 00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:03,239 Speaker 1: two seats. So the bracketbuster out of the West, I 722 00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:06,680 Speaker 1: would say, is Ohio. Out of the East, Stucky and 723 00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:10,800 Speaker 1: I both like Florida State. Simon, Um, you know he's silly. 724 00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,160 Speaker 1: He likes Alabama, But I am calling the bracketbuster out 725 00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 1: of the East Abilene Christian. Then out of the Midwest, 726 00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:21,640 Speaker 1: the bracketbuster will be Liberty, and we both like Illinois. 727 00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 1: But Simon, do you have a final four team from 728 00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:27,800 Speaker 1: the Midwest? Do you like Illinois? Do you like Houston 729 00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:30,920 Speaker 1: at the two seed? What is your thinking? And thanks 730 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:32,920 Speaker 1: to Stucky man. He I don't know if it was 731 00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:34,799 Speaker 1: your first show of the college season, so I know 732 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:36,880 Speaker 1: you're doing something NFL. It might have been December, but 733 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:38,840 Speaker 1: it feels like it was November. That was one of 734 00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:40,719 Speaker 1: your teams you talked about and you're hyping them up. 735 00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:43,440 Speaker 1: Illinois and I didn't really know much about him. I 736 00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:45,320 Speaker 1: knew they had a couple of guys who were returning, 737 00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:47,319 Speaker 1: so they like, they seemed like a good team. So 738 00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,080 Speaker 1: I bet it and I living went to the Philadelphia 739 00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:51,280 Speaker 1: week later. I saw it in better odds in Philadelphia, 740 00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,640 Speaker 1: so I bet it again and they came through. Man, 741 00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:57,440 Speaker 1: they really dominated UH this year, and coming to this position. 742 00:38:57,440 --> 00:38:59,400 Speaker 1: I always like to look for that one seed that 743 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,560 Speaker 1: everyone's really talking about, then the next team that people 744 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:04,440 Speaker 1: are talking about, and you have to pick either one 745 00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:06,279 Speaker 1: of them. You can't pick both because really it's gonna 746 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:08,640 Speaker 1: work out for you, like Stuck was saying, So I 747 00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:11,400 Speaker 1: don't like Gonzaga, I still love Illinois. So for for 748 00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,480 Speaker 1: my only one seed I'm taking the finals is Illinois. 749 00:39:14,520 --> 00:39:17,760 Speaker 1: I got them playing in the very very end. Wow, 750 00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:19,960 Speaker 1: I did not see that coming, all right, So you 751 00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:22,359 Speaker 1: and I are both going to have Illinois got it. 752 00:39:22,600 --> 00:39:25,000 Speaker 1: The two bracket busters that I have just want to clarify, 753 00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:27,839 Speaker 1: was going again in Ohio and Liberty. I'm both going 754 00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:30,960 Speaker 1: to the sweet sixteen, both playing the teams that I 755 00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:33,440 Speaker 1: have winning at all and if those teams don't go 756 00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:35,279 Speaker 1: to the final and probably not win my bracket. So 757 00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,000 Speaker 1: if those upsets don't happen, it's not gonna kill me, 758 00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:40,600 Speaker 1: right because I still at the end, I'm going to 759 00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:42,759 Speaker 1: have my teams that I need to win it go through. 760 00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:45,399 Speaker 1: So that's where I took a shot where I I'm 761 00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:47,520 Speaker 1: gonna have just a couple upsets and then I have 762 00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:49,960 Speaker 1: to hope that my Illinois Gonzaga gets through. All right, 763 00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:53,160 Speaker 1: let's talk about the South, because we mentioned the East 764 00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:55,520 Speaker 1: being a region where we don't think the number one 765 00:39:56,360 --> 00:39:58,879 Speaker 1: has a particular lock on a path to the final four. 766 00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:03,680 Speaker 1: The other one is the South and Baylor, and I 767 00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,920 Speaker 1: don't think you disagree with me here. Baylor to me 768 00:40:07,040 --> 00:40:10,240 Speaker 1: is a pretty vulnerable number one. Not because they're playing 769 00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:14,560 Speaker 1: the University of Hertford, which no joke. If I cut 770 00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:19,120 Speaker 1: down every tree and every house on the five blocks 771 00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:22,360 Speaker 1: from here in front of me, I would see the 772 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:28,400 Speaker 1: University of Hertford campus here in West Hartford, Connecticut. Uh, 773 00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:31,759 Speaker 1: why do you think Baylor is vulnerable here? They just 774 00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:35,279 Speaker 1: haven't been the same since coming back from a COVID break, 775 00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:37,760 Speaker 1: and they were really hit hard. They had a number 776 00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:39,759 Speaker 1: of players that came down with the virus. They were 777 00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:42,400 Speaker 1: on an extended break. This is a team that was rolling. 778 00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:46,480 Speaker 1: In my power ratings. I had them depending on the day, 779 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,200 Speaker 1: like it was Okay Zaga's number one, and then the 780 00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:52,359 Speaker 1: next day Baylor would roll and I would have number one, 781 00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:55,239 Speaker 1: like they were the two clear best teams, and then 782 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:57,600 Speaker 1: it was Illinois I had next, which is a step 783 00:40:57,640 --> 00:41:01,000 Speaker 1: alowt in Michigan. Michigan injuries drop them a little. For 784 00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:04,760 Speaker 1: Illinois just continue to surge up to that number two spot. 785 00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:07,400 Speaker 1: And Baylor they've just they dropped a couple of games. 786 00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:10,359 Speaker 1: Their defense it's just not been the same. They look 787 00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:14,400 Speaker 1: a step slow. Maybe they can get back to that level, 788 00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:18,439 Speaker 1: but it's just it's tough. They haven't they haven't yet. 789 00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:21,560 Speaker 1: Maybe they can find it in this tournament, but from 790 00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:25,560 Speaker 1: what I've seen in the Big twelve tournament with their defense, um, 791 00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:27,879 Speaker 1: they're just not at that same level as they were 792 00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:30,600 Speaker 1: earlier in the season. So I definitely think they're a 793 00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:33,000 Speaker 1: vulnerable one. If they put it all together, they can 794 00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:37,120 Speaker 1: win it all for sure. Um, But I'm I think 795 00:41:37,120 --> 00:41:39,600 Speaker 1: this is a good chance to go against a one 796 00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:44,400 Speaker 1: just like Michigan and pick someone else coming out of 797 00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:47,160 Speaker 1: this region to go to the Final four. I I 798 00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:49,760 Speaker 1: will probably have two or three brackets in a different contest. 799 00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,000 Speaker 1: I think in all three of them all end up 800 00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:55,719 Speaker 1: with different final four teams in the South. Who do 801 00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:58,640 Speaker 1: you like the most coming out of this Because there's 802 00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:00,759 Speaker 1: a lot of maybes and there are some team there 803 00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:03,799 Speaker 1: is one team in particular in this region that I 804 00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:09,040 Speaker 1: think has Illinois tendencies and has not gotten the credit 805 00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:12,760 Speaker 1: it deserves that is similar to what Illinois has gotten 806 00:42:12,760 --> 00:42:15,480 Speaker 1: in the last say, eight weeks of the season. Yeah. 807 00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:17,120 Speaker 1: I mean, well, I will say perdue as I got 808 00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:20,400 Speaker 1: enough credit. But it's Arkansas for me. Yes, it's Arkansas. 809 00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:25,439 Speaker 1: Whoo pig SUI you have Arkansas four too? Yes? Oh 810 00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:31,040 Speaker 1: my goshore, oh man, I'm fucked. Here's the problem here, 811 00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:33,719 Speaker 1: he honestly stuck. I might have Arkansas. I might we 812 00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:35,880 Speaker 1: might have the same final four by us mosis. It 813 00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:39,120 Speaker 1: might just be from listening to you doing the college 814 00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:42,839 Speaker 1: basketball podcasts on the Action Network, because obviously I would 815 00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:44,759 Speaker 1: have the same tendencies as you because I'm listening to 816 00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:47,680 Speaker 1: what you're saying, like Simon, I'm riding you to the bank. 817 00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:51,000 Speaker 1: That makes me feel better. Yeah, Okay, yeah, I have 818 00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:53,880 Speaker 1: Arkansas come out. They've been looking some of their overall 819 00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:56,680 Speaker 1: numbers deflated because they have been fully healthy all year 820 00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,200 Speaker 1: and once Justin s Fifth came back and they've been 821 00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:03,680 Speaker 1: They've been amazing, uh huge winning streak up until I've 822 00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:06,600 Speaker 1: lost this past weekend in the SEC tournament. Don't fall 823 00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:08,239 Speaker 1: them for that loss at all. This is a team 824 00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:11,239 Speaker 1: that doesn't really have many falls at all. Super athletic, 825 00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:15,880 Speaker 1: really good offense, many different options, not too reliant on 826 00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:18,960 Speaker 1: any one player or part of their game. They can 827 00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:22,759 Speaker 1: match up with a lot of teams defensively. Colgate is 828 00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:26,360 Speaker 1: a scary first round opponent because they could shoot. But 829 00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:27,920 Speaker 1: again it's like and I also don't know how good 830 00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:29,960 Speaker 1: cold it is. They only play three teams, but the 831 00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:34,120 Speaker 1: athletic mismatch in that game is drastic um, which I 832 00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:36,600 Speaker 1: think Arkansas and and then and Covie just played so 833 00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:38,520 Speaker 1: fast and both. I mean this totals at a hundred 834 00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:41,200 Speaker 1: and sixty and a half or round sixty one. So 835 00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:44,720 Speaker 1: with that many possessions, it's hard to for a team 836 00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:51,080 Speaker 1: that's significantly less talented to overcome that talent gap with 837 00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:53,160 Speaker 1: with you know, rooting for variance. But Code can shoot 838 00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:55,120 Speaker 1: they'll be scary, but I think Arkansas gets through that 839 00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:57,560 Speaker 1: game and then you know, they could get to Ohio 840 00:43:57,600 --> 00:43:59,319 Speaker 1: State and that could be a shootout. But I like 841 00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:02,480 Speaker 1: Arkansas there too. So yeah, I like Arkansas coming out 842 00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:04,880 Speaker 1: of it. They've been really consistent since being healthy. They 843 00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:07,360 Speaker 1: don't have many weaknesses. I think it's a team trending 844 00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 1: in the right direction. Um and not many people are 845 00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:12,719 Speaker 1: really talking about the Hogs. And it kills me to 846 00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:16,480 Speaker 1: say it because that means column is happy. Whoo pig 847 00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:20,359 Speaker 1: SUI right, you're talking about your friend, my friend, your 848 00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:24,120 Speaker 1: co host on the Action Network podcast, Colin Wilson, who 849 00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:28,720 Speaker 1: is from Arkansas, went to Arkansas. Isn't about Arkansas Booster 850 00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:32,120 Speaker 1: the head of the Eric Musselman fan club. He's been 851 00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:35,560 Speaker 1: talking about him all season? Is there a so I 852 00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:40,000 Speaker 1: agree with you? Is there a bracket buster that comes 853 00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:46,120 Speaker 1: out of this or is it? Well? Is there a bracketbuster? Um? 854 00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:48,520 Speaker 1: I don't. I mean, if you want to get crazy, 855 00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:52,839 Speaker 1: it's Colgate. But I don't see it. Um, but they 856 00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:55,040 Speaker 1: they have the shooting if they're hot. I just think 857 00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:58,200 Speaker 1: that because they play so fast, it's I can't see 858 00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:01,440 Speaker 1: it there. Winthrop's an interesting team. Because Villanova without Gillespie 859 00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:03,680 Speaker 1: has not been the same. They can easily win that 860 00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:06,840 Speaker 1: game as a twelve verse five. They'll have trouble with 861 00:45:06,920 --> 00:45:09,719 Speaker 1: produce interior though, So I don't know. I think their 862 00:45:09,760 --> 00:45:13,920 Speaker 1: ceiling is capped there the So I don't think this 863 00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:18,400 Speaker 1: is a really good region to go with a a bracketbuster. 864 00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:21,480 Speaker 1: I haven't. I have I used this region is all right. 865 00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:23,520 Speaker 1: Let me have Purdue Arkansas come out of it and 866 00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:25,600 Speaker 1: Baylor go down. I don't have any upsets. If you 867 00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:28,839 Speaker 1: want to get wild that some people do. Some people 868 00:45:28,880 --> 00:45:31,480 Speaker 1: want to pick a fifteen and it happens, then you 869 00:45:31,560 --> 00:45:34,239 Speaker 1: want to pick Oral Roberts. Um, this team does not 870 00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:39,000 Speaker 1: defend uh hoot, it's probably gonna score an eighty five 871 00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:42,399 Speaker 1: eighty they could score and they could maybe score ninety. 872 00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:44,960 Speaker 1: But Oral Roberts is one of the best offenses in 873 00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:48,719 Speaker 1: the country. Um. They have two players that they have 874 00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:50,680 Speaker 1: the leading score in the nation by the way, and 875 00:45:50,800 --> 00:45:55,000 Speaker 1: mac As he's tremendous him and then Obandard in the middle. 876 00:45:55,080 --> 00:45:59,319 Speaker 1: He's averaging nineteen and nine. But Aspis can go for forty. 877 00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:02,359 Speaker 1: He they've played at Oklahoma State or this year they 878 00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:07,560 Speaker 1: lost that nine. They lost by five at Wichita State. 879 00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:10,319 Speaker 1: They lost like eight seven eighty. They're in the games 880 00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:12,440 Speaker 1: of late at Arkansas is a team that will just 881 00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:17,359 Speaker 1: score and um Aces could put up forty realistically, they 882 00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:20,360 Speaker 1: will not defend. But Ohio State is a terrible defense 883 00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:24,600 Speaker 1: on the perimeter, terrible and pick and roll, very vulnerable 884 00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:28,360 Speaker 1: defensively on the perimeter. Or Roberts can take advantage. Ass 885 00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:30,040 Speaker 1: want to probably go for forty. They will have to. 886 00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:32,279 Speaker 1: This would have This could be a thriller, like if 887 00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:36,080 Speaker 1: Oora Roberts is hitting their shots. Um it's a very 888 00:46:36,160 --> 00:46:40,239 Speaker 1: three point reliant team, which you really like when you're 889 00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:45,880 Speaker 1: picking an upset and they they're three point frequencies. I 890 00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:47,840 Speaker 1: think it's top twenty five in the nation. They shoot 891 00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:51,280 Speaker 1: the three at thirty nine, So shoot a ton of threes, 892 00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:54,799 Speaker 1: make a ton of threes and they can score. Ohiostate's 893 00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:56,719 Speaker 1: vulnerable and what they're good at when they defend the 894 00:46:56,719 --> 00:46:59,600 Speaker 1: problem Ishiestates offense is awesome and or Obviens does not 895 00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:04,000 Speaker 1: defend any anybody. They won't defend at all. Um So 896 00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:08,279 Speaker 1: they're like they played Denver, one of the worst teams 897 00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:12,680 Speaker 1: in the nation art of this year and they won two. 898 00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:15,839 Speaker 1: Like against Denver, who I think is like the fourth 899 00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:19,840 Speaker 1: worst team in the country. So um they're Higo State's 900 00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:21,160 Speaker 1: gonna score at will. But if you think that a 901 00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:23,720 Speaker 1: Robberts just goes bonkers and they have the nation's leading score. 902 00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:26,799 Speaker 1: They have two legit pro level players, they have the 903 00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:29,080 Speaker 1: offense set could do it if Ohio States a little 904 00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:32,320 Speaker 1: all and if Kyle Young, who's important to them, didn't play, 905 00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:34,760 Speaker 1: Uh he got hurt last weekend. If he's not available, 906 00:47:35,360 --> 00:47:39,640 Speaker 1: that only helps um so Bora. Roberts is an intriguing 907 00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:42,000 Speaker 1: high variance team. The problem is they play really fast 908 00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:44,040 Speaker 1: and they're not gonna give any stops. But if you 909 00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:46,320 Speaker 1: want to get crazy, that's like the fifteen seed that 910 00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:49,319 Speaker 1: I think has the offense to actually do it. By 911 00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:53,399 Speaker 1: the way, that game Simon, that Ohio State or Roberts game, 912 00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:55,720 Speaker 1: that's where I want you to put all your money 913 00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:58,040 Speaker 1: on the over. So I wanted to have stuck about 914 00:47:58,280 --> 00:48:00,680 Speaker 1: this conference. I had a tough time pick. And I 915 00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:02,880 Speaker 1: know you just said what's going to Villanova? But doesn't 916 00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:05,759 Speaker 1: j Right just have such a huge advantage Oliver all 917 00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:08,360 Speaker 1: these other coaches that even when he's lacking the talent, 918 00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:11,120 Speaker 1: when it's in march madness like this. It's such a 919 00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:14,000 Speaker 1: huge advantage having a guy like him that he's won 920 00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:17,760 Speaker 1: two national championships. He seems like he never gets flustered 921 00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:19,399 Speaker 1: by the moment. We have a bunch of teams where 922 00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:20,759 Speaker 1: you're saying they're all kind of the same and you 923 00:48:20,840 --> 00:48:23,480 Speaker 1: both relatedd on Arkansas, but doesn't seem like there's one glaring, 924 00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:26,600 Speaker 1: overpowered team in this conference. And I'm I thinking too 925 00:48:26,680 --> 00:48:29,120 Speaker 1: much taking Villanova to be in my final four. Yeah, 926 00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:31,560 Speaker 1: I mean, I just haven't. They lost Colin Gleesterie was 927 00:48:31,600 --> 00:48:34,960 Speaker 1: probably the most important player there. Other started to guard 928 00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:36,920 Speaker 1: just more. He's hurt, like he played last game, but 929 00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:39,920 Speaker 1: he didn't look right. They played two games since losing Glaster. 930 00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:42,920 Speaker 1: They lost against Providence, who's not good this year, and 931 00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:45,479 Speaker 1: then they lost to Georgetown, which in hindsight, it doesn't 932 00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:47,400 Speaker 1: look as bad at a loss, but he was so 933 00:48:47,440 --> 00:48:51,200 Speaker 1: important for that offense, and he was the guy the creator, 934 00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:53,520 Speaker 1: and they had such a pretty ball movement and they 935 00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:56,840 Speaker 1: would generate so many open shots, and Gollespie he was 936 00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:59,479 Speaker 1: also the on floor leader. So it's a big loss 937 00:48:59,520 --> 00:49:02,440 Speaker 1: to try and then eat it. As brilliant as Jay 938 00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:06,120 Speaker 1: Right is and I think that he deserves the benefit 939 00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:08,600 Speaker 1: of the doubt and that he can potentially put something 940 00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:11,840 Speaker 1: together here. But this Villanova team defensively was already flawed, 941 00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:14,480 Speaker 1: especially inside. The with the with theer is really good, 942 00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:16,120 Speaker 1: by the way, But my problem is I don't know 943 00:49:16,160 --> 00:49:18,600 Speaker 1: if I can't trust Villanova putting it all together for 944 00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:20,000 Speaker 1: a Final four run. I don't even know if they're 945 00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,600 Speaker 1: gonnae in the first round because I just haven't seen enough. 946 00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:24,040 Speaker 1: But if you want to give j Right the better 947 00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:26,600 Speaker 1: of it out to go to the sweet six team, 948 00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:28,640 Speaker 1: that's fine. My biggest problem is they are very weak 949 00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:31,400 Speaker 1: on the interior. They don't have a glasspy on the outside. 950 00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:34,560 Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go against Perdue and their bigs um, 951 00:49:34,600 --> 00:49:37,959 Speaker 1: that would be I think a really bad matchup. Now 952 00:49:38,360 --> 00:49:40,880 Speaker 1: the what fits the profiles. A bracket buster would be 953 00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:44,919 Speaker 1: North Texas because well coached, grind, they want to play 954 00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:48,279 Speaker 1: a game fifty two to fifty. They are one of 955 00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:50,600 Speaker 1: the slowest teams in the nation. They shoot a lot 956 00:49:50,600 --> 00:49:53,640 Speaker 1: of threes. Perdue gives up a lot of threes, so 957 00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:57,160 Speaker 1: that could be a potential bracktist. My problem there is 958 00:49:57,200 --> 00:50:00,680 Speaker 1: Perdue as one of the best posts in ball of 959 00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:03,680 Speaker 1: college basketball trevy on Williams is excellent. Zach Eats really 960 00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:06,160 Speaker 1: come on, they just have so much size. And Simmons 961 00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:07,800 Speaker 1: is a good interior defender, but I don't think that 962 00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:09,920 Speaker 1: he could sun up person. Whatever Purdue needs a bucket, 963 00:50:10,000 --> 00:50:11,560 Speaker 1: even though this game could have a lot of high 964 00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:13,080 Speaker 1: variants because there's a lot of threes and it's been 965 00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:16,280 Speaker 1: low scoring totally, I think is one. I think whatever 966 00:50:16,280 --> 00:50:18,200 Speaker 1: Purdue needs a bucket down the stretch, they can go 967 00:50:18,239 --> 00:50:20,800 Speaker 1: in to Williams or Eady and and that's gonna be 968 00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:23,120 Speaker 1: the difference for Perdue. But North Texas fits the profile. 969 00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:26,320 Speaker 1: You want a lot of threes, low scoring game, higher variants. 970 00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:29,319 Speaker 1: But I just haven't seen enough with billan Nova host Callespie. 971 00:50:29,719 --> 00:50:32,400 Speaker 1: It's tough to recreate your offense, even for Jay Right. 972 00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:34,960 Speaker 1: But you're not being correct and saying that, Hey, I'm 973 00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:37,279 Speaker 1: gonna give Jay Right to benefit of the doubt here. 974 00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:39,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna switch him out right now, because like that 975 00:50:39,120 --> 00:50:41,000 Speaker 1: only we said makes sense. I know he's out, so 976 00:50:41,080 --> 00:50:43,719 Speaker 1: that makes sense that that's why people are doubting them. 977 00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:46,319 Speaker 1: So listen, I'm gonna make an executive decision right now. 978 00:50:46,520 --> 00:50:49,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna say that in the South I'm looking at 979 00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:53,120 Speaker 1: my notes are bracketbuster. And by the way, a bracketbuster 980 00:50:53,160 --> 00:50:54,960 Speaker 1: doesn't have to go to this sweet sixteen. You just 981 00:50:55,000 --> 00:50:57,719 Speaker 1: gotta be smart enough to make the right call for 982 00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:02,040 Speaker 1: the first and or second round. I'm calling Winthrop in 983 00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:05,480 Speaker 1: the first round. I am putting it on Winthrop. That 984 00:51:05,600 --> 00:51:07,239 Speaker 1: is going to be how I'm going to accrue a 985 00:51:07,239 --> 00:51:10,640 Speaker 1: lot of extra points when I'm building my bracket. And then, 986 00:51:10,920 --> 00:51:14,239 Speaker 1: like you stuck, I like Arkansas going to the final four, 987 00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:16,839 Speaker 1: probably because I've heard you say it a thousand times. Yeah, 988 00:51:16,880 --> 00:51:18,000 Speaker 1: And you just when you want to pick one of 989 00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:21,560 Speaker 1: these bracket busters, you want to be really confident in 990 00:51:21,600 --> 00:51:25,200 Speaker 1: another team in that half making it to the lead 991 00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:29,360 Speaker 1: eight or to the final four. Where if because the 992 00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:31,319 Speaker 1: worst what will ruin your bracket is if you pick 993 00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:33,920 Speaker 1: one of these bracketbusters and then that team and they 994 00:51:33,920 --> 00:51:35,560 Speaker 1: don't win, and then that team ends up going to 995 00:51:35,600 --> 00:51:39,239 Speaker 1: the final four, right, and you had you lost all 996 00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:41,479 Speaker 1: those points on the way, and other people are gonna 997 00:51:41,480 --> 00:51:43,160 Speaker 1: have that team going to the final four. So when 998 00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:45,799 Speaker 1: you want to pick one of these upsets, you want 999 00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:50,080 Speaker 1: to be very confident in another team that is gonna 1000 00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:51,760 Speaker 1: make it to the lead eight. So if it doesn't happen, 1001 00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:55,440 Speaker 1: it's not gonna kill your whole bracket. Simon, who now, 1002 00:51:55,640 --> 00:51:59,080 Speaker 1: knowing what you know now about Jay Wright in Villanova, 1003 00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:03,200 Speaker 1: what would you say about the South Region for you? 1004 00:52:03,760 --> 00:52:06,120 Speaker 1: Just because I don't want to copy you, guys, I'll 1005 00:52:06,200 --> 00:52:09,200 Speaker 1: roll for do they like? That's I just like Big 1006 00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:11,319 Speaker 1: Ten teams, So it's kind of a cop out. But 1007 00:52:12,120 --> 00:52:13,799 Speaker 1: they're the only other team that, like, I really know 1008 00:52:13,840 --> 00:52:15,720 Speaker 1: a lot about and I know, like what he was saying, 1009 00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:18,040 Speaker 1: Like they're great defensively, and they can shoot threes, and 1010 00:52:18,080 --> 00:52:19,759 Speaker 1: like when it comes to the tournament time, that's what 1011 00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:22,520 Speaker 1: I'm looking for. So it makes me a little nervous. 1012 00:52:22,640 --> 00:52:25,320 Speaker 1: He says, they can lose in the first round, but 1013 00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:27,239 Speaker 1: what can what can you do? I just don't want 1014 00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:30,080 Speaker 1: to follow the masses take Arkansas. I do not like Taylors, 1015 00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:32,960 Speaker 1: so I'll ride with. Look, I'm fine with that. I mean, 1016 00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:35,759 Speaker 1: I feel in this instance, I kind of know more 1017 00:52:35,800 --> 00:52:39,279 Speaker 1: than you, and so I'm fine with you guessing. And 1018 00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:42,359 Speaker 1: it's the one time during the year where I get 1019 00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:44,880 Speaker 1: to be a little bit sharper, maybe because I have 1020 00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:48,319 Speaker 1: listened to every episode of the Action Network podcast, the 1021 00:52:48,360 --> 00:52:52,560 Speaker 1: College Basketball version with Colin Stucky. So I am I'm 1022 00:52:52,680 --> 00:52:55,600 Speaker 1: loaded locked in uh and and Mr Randall and I 1023 00:52:55,640 --> 00:52:57,960 Speaker 1: have I have two brackets already that I've filled out 1024 00:52:58,040 --> 00:53:00,799 Speaker 1: for contest. Probably do one more another contest. I could 1025 00:53:00,920 --> 00:53:02,680 Speaker 1: change it, but as of now, I have Arkansas and 1026 00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:04,399 Speaker 1: the Final Four on one and Perdue in the other. 1027 00:53:04,560 --> 00:53:07,359 Speaker 1: So all right, there you go. Alright, So then our 1028 00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:10,920 Speaker 1: bracketbusters to remind everybody. In the West, we like Ohio 1029 00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:14,520 Speaker 1: as our bracketbuster. We like Ohio get into the sweet sixteen, 1030 00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:17,359 Speaker 1: but we like on Zagga making it to the final four. 1031 00:53:18,280 --> 00:53:20,600 Speaker 1: We like in the East, we're gonna go I am 1032 00:53:20,600 --> 00:53:23,640 Speaker 1: going with Abilene Christian to beat Texas in the first round. 1033 00:53:24,120 --> 00:53:26,720 Speaker 1: That will be our bracketbuster there, but we like Florida 1034 00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:29,880 Speaker 1: State to make it to the final four. In the Midwest, 1035 00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:32,280 Speaker 1: we like Illinois to make it to the final four, 1036 00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:35,600 Speaker 1: but we do like Liberty as our bracketbuster. And then 1037 00:53:35,600 --> 00:53:37,799 Speaker 1: in the South, we like win Thrip to at least 1038 00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:40,720 Speaker 1: win a first round game. Most likely of the teams 1039 00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:43,600 Speaker 1: that sort of have a chance that are underdogs, we 1040 00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:47,239 Speaker 1: like Arkansas or Perdue to go to the final four. 1041 00:53:47,880 --> 00:53:50,600 Speaker 1: That's gonna win people some brackets. And in this time 1042 00:53:50,600 --> 00:53:52,840 Speaker 1: of COVID where people have not had a chance to 1043 00:53:52,840 --> 00:53:56,440 Speaker 1: do brackets together since Virginia one it all. I think 1044 00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:59,680 Speaker 1: we've provided a service, fellows. We'll find out chat before 1045 00:53:59,719 --> 00:54:01,520 Speaker 1: we got Oh, I gotta show this off. I pulled 1046 00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:04,920 Speaker 1: it out just for you and Cowherd. So this is 1047 00:54:05,040 --> 00:54:09,040 Speaker 1: Jimmy V. It's from U two thousand three. It has 1048 00:54:09,080 --> 00:54:12,359 Speaker 1: your signature on there, it has Berman as Pat Summer all, 1049 00:54:12,680 --> 00:54:16,160 Speaker 1: Michael Jordan's, We've got Vince Carter and then Colin Cowherd, 1050 00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:18,239 Speaker 1: you and Chad on the same thing. Look at that 1051 00:54:18,400 --> 00:54:21,480 Speaker 1: both signed this two thousand three. Chad, what is that 1052 00:54:21,600 --> 00:54:23,920 Speaker 1: from just some people that you pulled a frame off 1053 00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,520 Speaker 1: the wall? That is a picture of Jimmy Jimmy Valvano 1054 00:54:26,600 --> 00:54:30,000 Speaker 1: from two thousand three. Yeah, and it's signed by all 1055 00:54:30,160 --> 00:54:32,600 Speaker 1: these famous people and then for some reason you're on it. 1056 00:54:33,000 --> 00:54:37,520 Speaker 1: That's so random. I don't even remember signing that. It's 1057 00:54:37,560 --> 00:54:39,760 Speaker 1: really right. I mean the names on your super random, 1058 00:54:39,840 --> 00:54:42,360 Speaker 1: Like Shaquille O'Neil's on here. So yeah, it's a pretty 1059 00:54:42,560 --> 00:54:44,200 Speaker 1: pretty cool piece, right. I think it was one of 1060 00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:46,400 Speaker 1: those um it was at Pinehurst. It was like a 1061 00:54:46,480 --> 00:54:50,960 Speaker 1: Jimmy V Foundation auction thing, so so I didn't know 1062 00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:53,439 Speaker 1: when did you? And you and Cowherd started. You guys 1063 00:54:53,440 --> 00:54:56,400 Speaker 1: were both working East Bend in two thousand three, definitely, 1064 00:54:56,680 --> 00:55:00,000 Speaker 1: I mean Colin was there. Colin was I'm pretty sure 1065 00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:02,480 Speaker 1: Colin was there in two thousand three. Look at that man. 1066 00:55:02,520 --> 00:55:04,360 Speaker 1: So yeah, I've had your guys names hanging on my 1067 00:55:04,400 --> 00:55:07,000 Speaker 1: wall these years, and now you're both my employers. That's 1068 00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:12,400 Speaker 1: pretty pretty random, unbelievable. Well, listen, uh is this picture 1069 00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:14,120 Speaker 1: what this pic? I was? I was told to show 1070 00:55:14,120 --> 00:55:19,520 Speaker 1: this to you. That is uh? When uh black hair 1071 00:55:20,040 --> 00:55:25,160 Speaker 1: Colin's Sunday football show? That is um when Colin was 1072 00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:27,799 Speaker 1: the pioneer at ESPN who started a football show and 1073 00:55:27,840 --> 00:55:30,759 Speaker 1: said I have to have gambling on it. And I 1074 00:55:30,800 --> 00:55:34,640 Speaker 1: remember very clearly. We were walking through the hallway of 1075 00:55:34,680 --> 00:55:37,040 Speaker 1: Building two, which is where all the radio studios are 1076 00:55:37,320 --> 00:55:40,680 Speaker 1: and where Colin did his radio show, and he's like, hey, listen, 1077 00:55:40,920 --> 00:55:43,800 Speaker 1: I'm starting this football show on Sundays. I'm gonna do gambling. 1078 00:55:43,800 --> 00:55:45,440 Speaker 1: I want to do gambling for like ten minutes. I 1079 00:55:45,440 --> 00:55:47,120 Speaker 1: think it'd be amazing. I think that's what the people 1080 00:55:47,160 --> 00:55:48,759 Speaker 1: really want, because I want you to come on, can 1081 00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:50,719 Speaker 1: you do ten minutes of gambling? I'm like, yeah, I 1082 00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:56,120 Speaker 1: can do that, and so I would say two thousand. 1083 00:55:56,880 --> 00:55:58,400 Speaker 1: You know, I was, by the way, I was at 1084 00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:02,319 Speaker 1: ESPN nine eight to two thousand seventeen, so this would 1085 00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:07,799 Speaker 1: have been in like two thousand thirteen, maybe two two thirteen, 1086 00:56:08,160 --> 00:56:10,600 Speaker 1: and uh yeah. He asked me to come do it, 1087 00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:12,640 Speaker 1: and then we started doing it and he had this 1088 00:56:12,640 --> 00:56:17,279 Speaker 1: show that was super fun, great producers, really creative, and 1089 00:56:17,440 --> 00:56:19,560 Speaker 1: he had me come on and do gambling segments and 1090 00:56:19,600 --> 00:56:22,560 Speaker 1: we'd sit there for fifteen minutes talking about who's gonna 1091 00:56:22,560 --> 00:56:25,600 Speaker 1: win and lose. It was a blast. Now you're back together, man, 1092 00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:29,680 Speaker 1: full star, back together, back together the Volume Network. This 1093 00:56:29,760 --> 00:56:33,000 Speaker 1: has been the favorites. This was our inaugural show on 1094 00:56:33,120 --> 00:56:36,040 Speaker 1: the Volume Network. I am Chad Mellman from my co host, 1095 00:56:36,080 --> 00:56:41,680 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter for our friend and colleague from the Action Network, Stucky. Uh. 1096 00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:44,160 Speaker 1: You can download the podcast at Apple Podcasts, at Spotify, 1097 00:56:44,200 --> 00:56:47,280 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcast. When we're back on Thursday 1098 00:56:47,719 --> 00:56:52,680 Speaker 1: with Simon and a panel of experts with more interesting 1099 00:56:52,840 --> 00:56:56,400 Speaker 1: information than you can possibly imagine, let's roll on the 1100 00:56:56,480 --> 00:56:59,439 Speaker 1: Volume Network until next time. I love you,