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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of this information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree on five dollars?

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Speaker 3: This is a ratable up? How by they tackled one?

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Speaker 2: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 1: My goodness, that's good prose, the best, relentless, refusing to

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Speaker 1: give up. All right, hit that horn very less there.

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Speaker 2: Here. Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast, presented by Prize Picks.

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Speaker 2: I am your host, Chris Raymond, and it's week one.

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Speaker 2: I'm joined by my guy, Sean Kerner, and we're here

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Speaker 2: to break down every matchup for fantasy football, DFS and

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Speaker 2: prop betting purposes. Sean, what's going on?

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Speaker 1: Man? We made it, buddy, it's week one. I am

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Speaker 1: I am so popped. It was good to me. I

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Speaker 1: love me some preseason, but I'm ready for these meaningful

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Speaker 1: games and getting to see, you know, all these players

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Speaker 1: in action. I'm just so pumped.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, preseason was cool, aside from that one time I

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Speaker 2: bet on the Falcons and they played no players, but

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Speaker 2: it was.

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Speaker 3: It was pretty It was pretty good. And yeah, I'm excited.

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Speaker 2: I think the opener, which is Tampa Bay and Dallas

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Speaker 2: is going to be a very interesting football game for

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Speaker 2: a number of reasons. Number one, you get to see

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Speaker 2: the champs again as usual to open the season. But

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Speaker 2: number two, you get to see Dallas in there what

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Speaker 2: should be a high.

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Speaker 3: Flying offense with Dak Prescott.

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Speaker 2: So that's actually the first matchup we're going to talk about, Sean,

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Speaker 2: So I want to I want to jump right into

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Speaker 2: this one. And the way we're gonna do this is

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Speaker 2: this year, instead of going position by position, we're gonna

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Speaker 2: try to get even more thorough, so we're gonna go

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Speaker 2: matchup by matchup. We are recording this on Tuesday, so

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Speaker 2: we have our projections their initial projections, but we have

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Speaker 2: our projections out. You can go to Action Network dot

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Speaker 2: com to check those out. But we're gonna introduce each

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Speaker 2: game with a key prop. So you used to throw

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Speaker 2: out four props. Now we're gonna have a prop for

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Speaker 2: every game because and we're gonna kind of use that

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Speaker 2: to introduce a key player, a key matchup and kind

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Speaker 2: of go from there throughout. You know, the guys, we're

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Speaker 2: kind of targeting or fading just the key players from

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Speaker 2: each matchup in Fantasy and Sean, I think for Tampa

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Speaker 2: Bay Dallas.

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Speaker 3: The one that stands out to.

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Speaker 2: Me is Ezekiel Elliott over under fifty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing yards. That is the line on Prize Picks

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Speaker 2: going against this tough Tampa Bay run defense.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I this line looks low, but I still like

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Speaker 1: the under. And around this time last week they had

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Speaker 1: seventy one and a half rushing yard, So you know

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Speaker 1: I took it when it was that high, but I

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Speaker 1: still like the under. Here you already mentioned it. This

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Speaker 1: is a tough matchup. You know, Tampa Bay was first

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Speaker 1: in DVA against the run last year. They brought back

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Speaker 1: every single starter from their Super Bowl team, So you

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Speaker 1: know tam Bay is gonna be a tough matchup for

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Speaker 1: all running backs. But you know this week's going to

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Speaker 1: be even tougher for Zeke. Zach Martin's going to be

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Speaker 1: out due to COVID Layel Collins is banged up. He's

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Speaker 1: expected to play, but he might not be one hundred percent.

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Speaker 1: You know, Dallas is a little bit over a touchdown underdog,

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Speaker 1: so this might not be a run heavy game. Script.

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Speaker 1: You know, all signs point to the under here, and

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Speaker 1: then you know, in season long fantasy, I have Zeke

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Speaker 1: ranked RB seventeen right now, So this is just the

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Speaker 1: week to fade, Zeke. I'm going under here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I have it right at sixty. So it's I'm

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Speaker 2: not too different from the prop. I wouldn't go over

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Speaker 2: on this one if I'm betting it, just because I

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Speaker 2: think the floor is lower here. You can get in

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Speaker 2: some bad negative game script. And we saw what Tampa

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Speaker 2: Bay does the teams with banged up offensive lines. It

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Speaker 2: was literally the last thing we saw in NFL football

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Speaker 2: that counts was Tampa Bay just messing up the plans

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Speaker 2: of a otherwise explosive offense but with some offensive line

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Speaker 2: issues in that Super Bowl. So yeah, Zeke, Yeah, he's

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Speaker 2: right at the fringe of the RB one RB two

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Speaker 2: tier for me. I don't think you can afford to

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Speaker 2: bench him if you drafted him as your.

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Speaker 3: RB one or anything like that.

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Speaker 2: But not really loving him in one game slates, not

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Speaker 2: really loving him in anything, you know, other than just okay,

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Speaker 2: I draft him as my first running back and you

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Speaker 2: know I got.

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Speaker 3: To play him.

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Speaker 2: What's what about a DFS cheat code, Sean, somebody in

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Speaker 2: this game that you are looking to play, somebody that

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Speaker 2: might be a little bit overlooked undervalue.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the cheat code for this game is

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Speaker 1: Michael Gallup. And you know, this is a game where

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Speaker 1: there's just so many good wide receivers. You have four

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Speaker 1: legit wide receiver, one slash wid wide receiver twos in

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Speaker 1: this game. And you know, I think Antonio Brown is

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Speaker 1: an interesting play as well. He's you know, Tampa Bay's

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Speaker 1: number three wide receiver. But I think Gallup I've been

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Speaker 1: bullish on him heading into this season. Last year, he

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Speaker 1: was sort of the forgotten guy because you know, he

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Speaker 1: ran more of those low percentage deep routes and he

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Speaker 1: should continue to do that this year. But they have

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Speaker 1: been moving around the formation. He's been lining up in

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Speaker 1: the slot a lot more, so I think it's gonna

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Speaker 1: help raise his floor. He's going to be more consistent,

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Speaker 1: and you know, the gap between he and Cooper and

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Speaker 1: Lamb might not be as big as people think. So

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Speaker 1: you know, I want to invest in Gallop early on

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Speaker 1: just in case, you know, he just breaks out this season.

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Speaker 1: I believe it's a contract season for him, so he's

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Speaker 1: going to be giving max effort. So I think this

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Speaker 1: first game, especially, we have so much wide receiver talent,

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Speaker 1: he's going to be overlooked, So I'm gonna be team

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Speaker 1: jamming men.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Gallup, you've been high on Gallop Wall offseason. I

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Speaker 3: like that one.

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Speaker 2: I think for me, it's still Antonio Brown though I

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Speaker 2: like him. I think you know, he's been he got

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Speaker 2: like a maintenance day or something.

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Speaker 3: He popped up on the injury report with a knee

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Speaker 3: even though he.

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Speaker 2: Was a full participant, so that may you know, how

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Speaker 2: that goes in DFS kind of scares people away sometimes

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Speaker 2: if especially if he doesn't get removed from the report.

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Speaker 2: But uh my, one my my reasoning for going Brown

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Speaker 2: over Gallop is because you mentioned the offensive line. If

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Speaker 2: Dak doesn't get time, I think that hurts Gallop the

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Speaker 2: most because I do think even though he's going to

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Speaker 2: be in the slot more, I still think he also

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Speaker 2: the guy that tends to go deepest downfield, So you

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Speaker 2: know that that does kind of worry me a little bit.

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Speaker 2: As the as the Cowboys number, you know, the third

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Speaker 2: target in that game. So I'll go a B. He's

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Speaker 2: a little bit cheaper than Gallop on one game slate.

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Speaker 3: So that's my guy. I think AB. You know, coming

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Speaker 3: into this new season, we might see a different AB.

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Speaker 3: You know, last year.

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Speaker 2: It was kind of comes through halfway through the season,

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Speaker 2: integrating him in, and he still had the team and

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Speaker 2: catches per game from that point on. So I'm curious

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Speaker 2: to see how Ab plays and I think, you know, primetime,

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Speaker 2: I think this is Yeah, I think AB's gonna like this.

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Speaker 2: You know, I think he's gonna enjoy this.

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Speaker 1: This I love it. And you know, his playing time

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Speaker 1: can only go up because last year he was still limited.

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Speaker 1: You know, he was running about sixty five to seventy

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Speaker 1: percent of the routes run per drop back. Where where

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Speaker 1: do you have his ruts run this year leaves?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, have it liked? I still have it a like

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Speaker 2: seventy like in the low seventies, I think. So I'm

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Speaker 2: still treating him as a true like third receiver. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think Scotty Miller and Tyron Johnson are you know,

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Speaker 2: those two guys aren't going to see much paying time.

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Speaker 3: I think Cameron Braid also will be another guy.

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Speaker 2: You know, he was barely playing when Gronk and Howard

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Speaker 2: or healthy, So those those guys are going to take

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Speaker 2: a back seat in my opinion. But I heard, you know,

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Speaker 2: an interesting report out of camp. I mean, this is

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Speaker 2: going in the weeds. But you know, Scotty Miller not

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Speaker 2: as good of a blocker as Tyler Johnson, and so

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Speaker 2: you know, there was some question is is he going

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Speaker 2: to be active on game days because you could go

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Speaker 2: with Johnson, you know, as like better as a run

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Speaker 2: blacker for that number four receiver. So that's that's that's

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Speaker 2: something I'm kind of watching too.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they're pretty loaded behind the top three receivers. I mean,

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Speaker 1: even like Jalen Dardin does potential long term. So it's

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Speaker 1: like it's it's amazing they haven't traded any of these

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Speaker 1: guys away, but you know, how do you have these

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Speaker 1: guys keep rotating in over Antonio Brown? I think Antonio

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Speaker 1: Brown's ceiling this year is massive. We we know he

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Speaker 1: has a high floor, but I think you know he

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Speaker 1: has a massive, massive ceiling. Still, so love that call

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Speaker 1: as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the only the one thing to play Devil's Advocate.

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Speaker 2: I hope doesn't happen. But you know, Tony Romo, I

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Speaker 2: think had this really good explanation of the Bucks offense

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Speaker 2: last year in comparison to years past with Brady in

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Speaker 2: New England, and he said, you know, Grady's used to

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Speaker 2: having you know, four guys underneath and one guy go deep.

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Speaker 2: And with the Bucks, four guys go deep, and he

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Speaker 2: has one outlet option underneath. And now that you have

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Speaker 2: Gio Bernard, you know, maybe you have two because Brown

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Speaker 2: was kind of that outlet guy for a lot.

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Speaker 3: Of the year last year.

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Speaker 2: You know it was you know, for the running backs

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Speaker 2: for net Sum obviously, but Brown was really doing most

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Speaker 2: of his damage underneath. So I hope that doesn't you know,

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Speaker 2: get cut into by by Bernard, or if it does,

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Speaker 2: I hope that you know, Bround is more of a factor,

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Speaker 2: you know, in an intermediate area, like we know he

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Speaker 2: can be.

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Speaker 1: So just it's scary to think of all the weapons

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Speaker 1: Tom Brady has, Like it's scary to think about.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so are the Bucks going to win by eight

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Speaker 2: points or more? The questioning there, I mean, now you

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Speaker 2: got thinking about it.

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Speaker 1: I'm passing on that. Like, if anything, it's it's Bucks

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Speaker 1: or Busts here. I don't know how you could take

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Speaker 1: Dallas just because we don't we didn't see Dak in

200
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Speaker 1: the preseason. He's going to be rusty. You know. It's

201
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Speaker 1: it's hard to go against Tampa Bay here, I'll say that.

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Speaker 2: And also I think I told you this when we

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Speaker 2: saw each other over the weekend or last week. But

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Speaker 2: Mike McCarthy is on a bunch of the first coat

205
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Speaker 2: fired leader boards, like he's got the best eyes on

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Speaker 2: a few different lists, so that's also interesting.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm kind of leaning Bucks there too.

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Speaker 2: But you guys check out the Action Network podcast for

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Speaker 2: those betting picks with Stucky and I. It's a little

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Speaker 2: tease for you guys that should be out tomorrow or

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Speaker 2: a day after this one. So let's move on to

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Speaker 2: the Philadelphia Eagles and the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are

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Speaker 2: three point favorites at home. The totals forty eight and

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Speaker 2: a half, and for our prop, I'm gonna go with

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Speaker 2: a tight end that's probably on the fringe of start

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Speaker 2: sits for a lot of people. If you missed out

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Speaker 2: on the stud tier tight ends, there's a good chance

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Speaker 2: you got this guy. Dallas Goddard over under forty three

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Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards is the line at prize pick.

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Speaker 1: I'm projecting this closer to thirty eight and a half,

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Speaker 1: so I'm going to have to go with the under here.

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Speaker 1: Zach Ertz never got traded, so you know, Dallas Godder.

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Speaker 1: You've been calling this Dallas. Goddard was being overdrafted pretty

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Speaker 1: much all summer. You know, I think they're both going

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Speaker 1: to pretty much split time. I haven't projected to run

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Speaker 1: her out about sixty five percent of the time. You know,

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Speaker 1: I think Gotter is as sending, you know, he's entering

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Speaker 1: his prime. I do like him as a talent, but

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Speaker 1: there's just too many weapons in this offense and not

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Speaker 1: enough passing yards to go around to really love taking

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Speaker 1: the over here. You know, they're they're boosting their wide

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Speaker 1: receiver depth chart by adding DeVonta Smith. Ques Watkins looks

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Speaker 1: like he's going to step up this year. So there's

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Speaker 1: just you know, too many weapons, and then we need

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts to break out as a passer. So I'm

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Speaker 1: going to hold off betting on or taking Goddard's over here,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna have to go out the under.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I have it at thirty five. I do have

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Speaker 2: him as a tight end ten. So for people wondering,

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Speaker 2: he is right on that fringe tight end seventeen.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I have got it.

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Speaker 2: About seven yards short of this number, just because of

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Speaker 2: the uncertainty for DFS or you know, in when we

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Speaker 2: say DFS, you know, this could also be a guy

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Speaker 2: who's also on the fringe of start sits and redraft.

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Speaker 2: You know, we're trying to focus on those players.

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Speaker 3: I know last year, you know.

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Speaker 2: We used to start off by, you know, who's our

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Speaker 2: top five or top three ranked guys at each position.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that's given much people much value just

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Speaker 2: because everyone's starting, you know, Patrick Mahomes and josh Awen,

252
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Speaker 2: these guys. But who's your DFS cheat code somebody from

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Speaker 2: this game that you're you think is a great value

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Speaker 2: in in DFS.

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Speaker 1: So my DFS chief code is actually a really really

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Speaker 1: good season long player, and that's Jalen Hurts. You know,

257
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Speaker 1: I was considering between either DeVonta Smith, Jalen Rager, Quz Watkins.

258
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Speaker 1: I think they all have a ton of upside, especially

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Speaker 1: this week against Atlanta, and then I was like, why

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Speaker 1: not just go all in on Jalen Hurts. I think

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Speaker 1: now is the time to buy in just in case

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Speaker 1: he has you know, a twenty nineteen Lamar Jackson or

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty Josh Allen breakout season where you know he

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Speaker 1: develops significantly as a passer. And we already know his

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Speaker 1: rushing upside, So this is a matchup he could just

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Speaker 1: go bananas. So I'm going naked Hurts here. You don't

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Speaker 1: you don't really need to stack it with anybody. I mean,

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Speaker 1: he has all these weapons I already talked about. I

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Speaker 1: do like Goddard still zach Ertz will still be a

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Speaker 1: pretty solid weapon. And you know, this matchup is a

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Speaker 1: good one. You know, the Falcons defense is looking pretty

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Speaker 1: rough going into this season, and new defensive coordinator DMPs

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Speaker 1: could get it to come together. He's been known as

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Speaker 1: like a blitz heavy head coach, and I was looking

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Speaker 1: at Jalen Hurts last year. You know, it was a

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Speaker 1: very limited sample size, but he had about forty five

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Speaker 1: dropbacks where he got blitzed and he finished top ten

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Speaker 1: in almost every metric I like to look at. So

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts might not be the quarterback you want a

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Speaker 1: blitz because he's dangerous with his legs. He has all

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Speaker 1: these weapons. So I just think this is this is

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Speaker 1: a week where Jalen Hurts We're going to look back

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Speaker 1: and maybe he was like even way too cheap going

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Speaker 1: into this season. So that's why he's my DFS cheek

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Speaker 1: code this week. In this matchup.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think he's absolutely too cheap, you know, at

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Speaker 2: his price, and it would almost certainly increase after this week.

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Speaker 3: So I like that call. I am going with.

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Speaker 2: You know, if you are trying to stack Hurts, so

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Speaker 2: you are looking for a dart throw, I think Quez

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Speaker 2: Watkins makes the most sense. He's reportedly going to I

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Speaker 2: mean not reportedly, he's it's been pretty obvious, but he's

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Speaker 2: won that you know, third receiver job. You know, Travis

294
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Speaker 2: Fogum got got dropped and I think resigned to the

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Speaker 2: practice squad. But Quez Watkins is mind priced across the industry,

296
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Speaker 2: and you know he's a guy this preseason he had

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Speaker 2: a fifteen point seven a dot so you know, Jalen

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Speaker 2: Hurts with those off script plays, I think is really

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Speaker 2: interesting in a stack with with Quees Watkins because most

300
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Speaker 2: people are going to go again I think with DeVonta

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Speaker 2: Smiths or or Dallas Goddard, but Watkins probably not somebody

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Speaker 2: you're starting in a redraft or anything like that. But

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Speaker 2: in DFS, I think he is the best option in

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Speaker 2: terms of like a low owned guy that you know

305
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Speaker 2: could easily lead the team in in air yards like

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Speaker 2: he should be out there at least as much as Goddard,

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Speaker 2: Ertz and Rager and you know, maybe not as much

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Speaker 2: as Davante, but literally, I'm pretty much as much as

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Speaker 2: anyone else on that team. So like Quz Watkins as

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Speaker 2: a as a stack option, cheak code. This week, all right,

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Speaker 2: let's go to Pittsburgh Buffalo, and this game is a

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Speaker 2: rematch of last year's game where Buffalo got to win.

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Speaker 2: I think I believe they picked six Roethlisberger last year,

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Speaker 2: so you know, Pittsburgh gets to give him some payback here.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Buffalo is a six and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 2: The total is forty eight. Seems a little bit high,

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Speaker 2: but gon Zak Moss entering year two. It was kind

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Speaker 2: of a committee backfield with Devin Singletary last year. But

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Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is a really tough run defense. So Zach Moss

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Speaker 2: is a per you know, a back that most people

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Speaker 2: probably drafted. Is that RB three. Maybe you thinking about

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Speaker 2: flexing him or he's your top flex option on your

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Speaker 2: roster over under twenty seven and a half rushing yards

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Speaker 2: is the line at Prize picks.

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Speaker 1: Ooh yeah, so that's that's pretty low. You know earlier

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Speaker 1: in the week that this is forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I love the under, but now that it's twenty seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, I'm gonna I'm gonna lean over here.

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Speaker 1: I'm projecting this closer to thirty four yards. It sucks that, like,

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Speaker 1: you know, the Bills are such a good offense and

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Speaker 1: we don't like either running back because this should be

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Speaker 1: a fifty to fifty split. It looked like Zach Moss

333
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Speaker 1: was actually running away with the job earlier in training camp.

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Speaker 1: You know, he was lighting it up, but then he

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Speaker 1: suffered I believe it's a hamscring injury. It really derailed

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Speaker 1: the momentum. So you know, Singletary got to like step

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Speaker 1: up and he looked really good in preseason. So I'm

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Speaker 1: expecting this to be close to a fifty to fifty split.

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Speaker 1: It's hard to feel confident either way on this, but

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Speaker 1: I'm going to have to go with the over here.

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Speaker 1: It is a touch tough matchup, but I think the

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Speaker 1: Bills should dominate this game. I think they'll end up

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Speaker 1: by you know, winning by a touchdown. So I think

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Speaker 1: Zach Moss could get you know, fourth quarter clean up duty.

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Speaker 1: But it's close, but I will go over here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you like the fact that the Bills are a

347
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Speaker 2: home favorite. That's usually a good spot for running backs,

348
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Speaker 2: but the Bills are still a pass heavy team. I

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Speaker 2: don't know how much they're going to try to slam

350
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Speaker 2: it into that Pittsburgh front. I have both Moss and

351
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Speaker 2: Singletary well under four yards of carry in this matchup.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I have a most rider around forty yards,

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Speaker 2: so I'm a little higher than you, but so I'm

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Speaker 2: over the prop but it's you know, it's tough to

355
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Speaker 2: kind of differentiate him from Singletary, and I don't see

356
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Speaker 2: either of them, you know, with major pass game usage

357
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Speaker 2: in this when you so I have it around, I

358
00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:06,000
Speaker 2: have mosts like under fifty totally yards. So not the

359
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:10,760
Speaker 2: not the most confident season long start. But this is

360
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Speaker 2: why we talk about these lines at price picks in

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Speaker 2: case you guys want to check those out, because it is, uh,

362
00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:19,840
Speaker 2: it is pretty low, you know, so there looks a

363
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Speaker 2: little bit over adjusted for the matchup, I think, And

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Speaker 2: so that may be when you want to put in

365
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Speaker 2: an entry, you know, because there's we both have it

366
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Speaker 2: projected well over the total.

367
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Speaker 3: Of course these lines do move.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, how do you how do you have each

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Speaker 1: running back projected like rankwuise. So I have Singletary RB

370
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Speaker 1: thirty six and Zach Moss RB forty one, So I'm

371
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Speaker 1: I'm basically staying away. This is more of a wait

372
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Speaker 1: and see approach to see how this shakes out. But

373
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Speaker 1: I would say both are sets this week.

374
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I have them at thirty three thirty four, So

375
00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 2: I guess, I guess I'm a little higher just because

376
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,439
Speaker 2: they're you know, they're both start they're kind of splitting

377
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Speaker 2: fifty to fifty. So yeah, but I mean, again, these

378
00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,400
Speaker 2: are initial projects, so maybe I'll find.

379
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Speaker 3: Some more backs to put ahead of them.

380
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,320
Speaker 2: But you have them, so they're both outside the top

381
00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:07,400
Speaker 2: thirty two if that tells you anything. But yeah, they're

382
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:07,880
Speaker 2: right there.

383
00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:10,359
Speaker 1: Oh and that's right. You probably have Matt Brida getting

384
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:13,040
Speaker 1: like zero touches. You're not on the Matt.

385
00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,000
Speaker 3: Brita point point five point five car.

386
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:19,360
Speaker 1: Okay, I figure he's getting the Taiwan Jones treatment.

387
00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, a little more than that. He's getting the yelled

388
00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:23,120
Speaker 3: in he's getting he's getting the yelled in when.

389
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Speaker 2: No one's hurt.

390
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:27,920
Speaker 1: That might why you're a couple of ranks ahead of me. Yeah,

391
00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,040
Speaker 1: have Brida getting two carries, So.

392
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Speaker 3: Okay, yeah, and I mean that's fair.

393
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 2: I mean Brito was a little bit involved, but I mean,

394
00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:39,359
Speaker 2: just judging from the table in the year's past, like

395
00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:43,159
Speaker 2: that third running back really hasn't been a factor. So

396
00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,960
Speaker 2: we'll see how it goes. I like Gave Davis. I

397
00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:50,280
Speaker 2: think he's really interesting. He's near min price. He's a

398
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:54,320
Speaker 2: guy that he could run the second most routes on

399
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:57,560
Speaker 2: this team. You know, even with every all the other

400
00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:00,840
Speaker 2: wide receivers healthy rents around, it's seventy one percent of

401
00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:04,040
Speaker 2: the snaps last year. Obviously, John Brown was in and

402
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,120
Speaker 2: out of the lineup. But Beasley, you know, he'll come

403
00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:08,280
Speaker 2: off the field in a lot of two wide sets.

404
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 2: And then Emmanuel Sanders, you know, thirty four years old,

405
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:14,560
Speaker 2: is he going to be like a ninety percent guy?

406
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Speaker 2: I don't know. So I think there's a good chance

407
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:21,720
Speaker 2: that Gabriel Davis is number two in routes run and

408
00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,400
Speaker 2: in air yards for this Bills team.

409
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Speaker 3: So I like him as a DFSCHCO.

410
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:31,200
Speaker 1: How about you, Yeah, I'm with you there on Gabe Davis.

411
00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:34,399
Speaker 1: I think Emmanuel Sanders is going to scare people away,

412
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:36,199
Speaker 1: so not too many people are going to be on

413
00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:39,200
Speaker 1: gab Davis this week. Even though outside of Stefan Diggs,

414
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,720
Speaker 1: he probably has the highest ceiling out of all these

415
00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:45,240
Speaker 1: pass catchers. So you know, give me that in GVPS,

416
00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 1: you know, a really high upside flyer. Again, I like

417
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,600
Speaker 1: to find ways to invest cheaply in these like high

418
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 1: octane pass offenses, So Gabe Davis is kind of that

419
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,399
Speaker 1: way to get in the Bills attack this week, and

420
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Speaker 1: I think he's going to be under rostered this week.

421
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 1: So of Gabe Davis, what.

422
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Speaker 2: About the three Pittsburgh receivers in season long? It was

423
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:11,200
Speaker 2: usually Deonta going first in Quaypool, then Juju, who I

424
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:15,280
Speaker 2: thought was a value in season one, but don't have

425
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 2: him ranked very highly in week one. Where are you

426
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 2: on who's the best of these three Steamer receivers to

427
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:23,080
Speaker 2: roster this week?

428
00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,840
Speaker 1: I think most weeks it's going to be Deontay Johnson,

429
00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:28,000
Speaker 1: So that's why I have him there this week. This

430
00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:32,199
Speaker 1: probably isn't a great Chase Claypool matchup. You know, the

431
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,520
Speaker 1: Bills tend to limit big plays. They allowed the fewest

432
00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,760
Speaker 1: pass attempts of twenty plus or more yards. They're more exposed,

433
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,320
Speaker 1: you know, the intermediate low A dot players. So I

434
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:45,880
Speaker 1: think Dantey Johnson could be have a plus matchup this week.

435
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:47,919
Speaker 1: It's I haven't really checked, but I don't know if

436
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 1: Trudevius White's going to be shadowing him. That's something we

437
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 1: usually know later in the week. But right now, I

438
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:56,440
Speaker 1: have Deontay Johnson leading these receivers, and let me see

439
00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 1: his rank right now. Yeah, so I have Johnson wide

440
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 1: receiver twenty six. I think most wicks he's going to

441
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:05,639
Speaker 1: be right around wide receiver twenty. So it is a

442
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:07,919
Speaker 1: bit of a downgrade for all of them, but I

443
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,720
Speaker 1: think Deontay is the play out of these three this week.

444
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have Deontay in half PPR at thirty two

445
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:20,000
Speaker 2: and Chase at thirty three. So, you know, kind of

446
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 2: being conservative here, we don't know exactly, like you said,

447
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,119
Speaker 2: what Tradevious White is going to do. I think this

448
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:29,159
Speaker 2: Bill's defense will be improved, and we still have to

449
00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:31,199
Speaker 2: see exactly how this Pittsburgh offense shapes up.

450
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 3: You know, it's a new offensive coordinator.

451
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, it's a new offensive coordinator, Mat Canada

452
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:39,680
Speaker 2: taking over for Randy Fickner. So while I do think

453
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:43,719
Speaker 2: on the season, these this Pittsburgh team will be a

454
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:47,280
Speaker 2: profitable one to kind of invest in in fantasy on

455
00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 2: the road in Buffalo in Week one, still working out

456
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 2: some kinks. Roethlisberger had a tough go aut it up

457
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:55,160
Speaker 2: there last year.

458
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 3: I just I'm being in one of.

459
00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:02,440
Speaker 2: Conservative with these Steelers week one, So thirty two and

460
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 2: thirty three for me, So deonce with the slightest of edges.

461
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 2: Let's go to the Minnesota Vikings visiting the Cincinnati Bengals.

462
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 2: Vikings are three point favorites. The total is forty eight

463
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:24,439
Speaker 2: in this one as well, So let's go with a

464
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:29,359
Speaker 2: rookie receiver who's made headlines for some of the wrong reasons.

465
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 3: This training camp.

466
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,560
Speaker 2: A lot of drops, a lot of issues even in

467
00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:39,159
Speaker 2: the preseason with drops, practice drops. So Jamar Chase. The

468
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:41,840
Speaker 2: line is fifty five and a half receiving yards at

469
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 2: prize picks.

470
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:49,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's been a roller coaster for Jamar Chase. I'm

471
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:53,919
Speaker 1: slightly over this with fifty seven yards, so I'm going

472
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,320
Speaker 1: to buy the dip here. I think people are probably

473
00:23:56,359 --> 00:24:00,199
Speaker 1: overreacting to the drops now. I think there is some

474
00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 1: reason for some concern here. He might start off a

475
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:06,359
Speaker 1: bit rusty. He did sit out the entire twenty twenty season,

476
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 1: so that could be part of it. He didn't drop

477
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:11,880
Speaker 1: any of those. None of those drops, I should say

478
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:15,240
Speaker 1: we're from Joe Burrow. If there's any silver lining there.

479
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,440
Speaker 1: Maybe he wasn't taking preseason seriously. Maybe he's an Allan

480
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,280
Speaker 1: Iverson type. Who knows. But I'm going to bet on

481
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,680
Speaker 1: talent here to prevail. So I think week one I'm

482
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 1: going to buy the dip here and go over on

483
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:26,920
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase.

484
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,160
Speaker 2: Are you're saying we should we should regress drops by

485
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 2: the quarternight by not the starting quarterback.

486
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 1: More by Brandon Ellen or Bryan Philly, whoever the help was. Yeah,

487
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:41,520
Speaker 1: I think it should matter. And yeah, he dropped four

488
00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 1: passes in a row. I mean that is really hard

489
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:46,520
Speaker 1: to do. That's why I'm concerned it could be a

490
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:50,160
Speaker 1: mental thing. Who knows, But you know, I think he'll

491
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 1: get it right before the season starts, hopefully and hit

492
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 1: the ground running. What do you think are you over

493
00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:56,479
Speaker 1: under this?

494
00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 2: I'm under I'm not too far under. I have it

495
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:05,240
Speaker 2: at fifty three in my initial projections, so by no means,

496
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:07,360
Speaker 2: you know, any a slouch.

497
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 3: In terms of the receiving yards.

498
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:12,600
Speaker 2: But I do kind of look at t Higgins, a

499
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 2: guy who a lot of people were taking, you know,

500
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,359
Speaker 2: after Jamar Chase at least earlier in draft season. I

501
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,640
Speaker 2: think now with the you know, the negative news coming

502
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,360
Speaker 2: out of camp, the ADP is kind of corrected a bit.

503
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 2: But t Higgins last season Week one, twenty two percent

504
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:33,120
Speaker 2: of the snaps, Week two sixty five percent of the snaps,

505
00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:36,520
Speaker 2: Week three seventy nine percent, you know, so they kind.

506
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 3: Of ramped him up slowly there. Now.

507
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 2: Granted it was you know, coming out of COVID as well,

508
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:43,919
Speaker 2: but that's kind of what Chase is doing. You know,

509
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:45,960
Speaker 2: he's a rookie and he sat out a year because

510
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 2: of COVID. So I'm just worried that they they they

511
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,520
Speaker 2: kind of ramp them up and use a couple of

512
00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:53,399
Speaker 2: weeks to really get him into the flow of things.

513
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 2: We have heard that, you know, Audentate, a reliable veteran

514
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 2: who should be active on game days, is going to

515
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,520
Speaker 2: perhaps take some of those snaps. That's what Zach Taylor says.

516
00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:06,000
Speaker 2: So I'm just being a conservative here. I have Chase

517
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:10,800
Speaker 2: as my wide receiver forty two, so oh yeah.

518
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,400
Speaker 1: That's a set. I have him wide receiver thirty two.

519
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 1: But I would recommend, you know, if you if you

520
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:18,359
Speaker 1: have a comparable option that's you know, a bit safer,

521
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 1: probably go that way. Jamar Chase is a player. I

522
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,920
Speaker 1: definitely see you getting better as the season goes along.

523
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:25,639
Speaker 1: So if you can, you bention him this week and

524
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 1: hope he goes off on your bench.

525
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:29,440
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm a little bit higher with wide receiver

526
00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:33,119
Speaker 2: thirty two on Chase this week. Yeah, like you, I

527
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 2: guess you're kind of using more of his like season

528
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 2: long averages, like for routes and stuff like that.

529
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:39,400
Speaker 3: Like I'm going a little bit under.

530
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll see. Like you said, these are initial projections.

531
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 1: You mentioned Audentate, I'm gonna be following that very closely.

532
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 1: If anything, you know, I could ramp up Audentate's routes

533
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:52,959
Speaker 1: run per drop back and that will directly you know,

534
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:57,440
Speaker 1: lower chases. So I might meet you. I might meet

535
00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 1: you somewhere in the middle, like by the end of

536
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:01,200
Speaker 1: the week. I could see Chase being my wide receiver

537
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 1: thirty six somewhere on that.

538
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:06,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, definitely. Yeah, So he's not a start for

539
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,880
Speaker 2: me in week one and west here in a deeper league.

540
00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 2: I just think, you know, he Higgins had a great

541
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:14,800
Speaker 2: season and he played twenty two percent of the snaps

542
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:17,120
Speaker 2: in week one. I mean that's something that I think

543
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 2: we could look back at, like, oh, how obvious was this?

544
00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:21,399
Speaker 2: And it's you know what I mean, like it's one

545
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:23,359
Speaker 2: of those things where I rather, I'm still you know,

546
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 2: he's still gonna be in the top fifty for me,

547
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:27,440
Speaker 2: but I yeah, I'm gonna recomend.

548
00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:30,480
Speaker 1: Do you have Higgins this week? He's my wide receiver twenty.

549
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,880
Speaker 2: Two seventeen, So I guess that's why we had We're

550
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 2: you know, uh, yeah, I'm a little higher on I've

551
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,520
Speaker 2: been high on Higgins most draft season, but I think

552
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,120
Speaker 2: this is, I mean the classic year to break out.

553
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:44,040
Speaker 3: Just you know, this is for me, this is a

554
00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 3: smash season for Higgins.

555
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:48,440
Speaker 1: You're not worried about the match pedal and very improved

556
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 1: Vikings defense potentially.

557
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, I you know, it's that's something I'll It's like

558
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 2: we were talking about off air, It's you know, week

559
00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 2: one matchups are tough because you do have to use

560
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:00,880
Speaker 2: some of the last year's now, but at the same time,

561
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,679
Speaker 2: it's a totally different defense. So I'm not accounting for

562
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 2: it too much. Higgins will definitely even if he drops

563
00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:08,720
Speaker 2: a few spots. He'll be in my top twenty four

564
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 2: almost certainly, so he'll be He'll be a wide receiver too.

565
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:14,760
Speaker 2: Either way, he's he's gonna be the guy I think

566
00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 2: early on the season Tower boy is gonna get you

567
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 2: four to five catches in about fifty yards. So let's

568
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 2: see four. What are we dfs cheek codes. I like

569
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 2: Joe Mixing here. This is a guy who when he

570
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,680
Speaker 2: was healthy last year, was getting ninety to one hundred

571
00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:32,520
Speaker 2: percent of the running back carries week in week out.

572
00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 3: Now he only played six games, but very high usage.

573
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:36,280
Speaker 1: Guy.

574
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 2: Should be healthy coming in week one. Not much behind

575
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 2: him on the depth chart. You know, the long time

576
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 2: reliable vet Jio Bernard has gone. So I look at this,

577
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 2: you know, I look at Mixing and granted you do

578
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 2: you don't like an underdog, but I lea stay at

579
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,560
Speaker 2: home number one. But I just look at Mixing and

580
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 2: I look at, okay, the coaching staff looking at what's

581
00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,760
Speaker 2: behind him, and there's really not much. You have samaj

582
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,080
Speaker 2: Ryan who stepped in at times last year, and then

583
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 2: you have Chris Evans, who eventually I think will be

584
00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 2: in that Geo Bernard role. But if they're giving Mixing

585
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:09,960
Speaker 2: you know, ninety to one hundred percent of the carries

586
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 2: last year with Geo on the team.

587
00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:14,280
Speaker 3: I mean, he's gonna get one hundred and.

588
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 2: Ten percent I think in week one, and he's he's

589
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:22,120
Speaker 2: in that mid range pricing in DFS. So that's my

590
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 2: guy here who maybe people don't touch quite as much

591
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:27,240
Speaker 2: because he's an underdog, and I know how you know,

592
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 2: we love our home favorite. So Joe Mixon for me.

593
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love that call. I think people will be

594
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 1: worried about the matchup. I think rightfully so. But as

595
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,720
Speaker 1: always is the case, it is running backs. Volume is king,

596
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 1: and at least early on, Mixon is going to have

597
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:44,920
Speaker 1: that volume. So love that as like a sneaky, not

598
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 1: contrarian play, but you know, pay up to be contrarian.

599
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:51,720
Speaker 1: I'm going with a much much cheaper guy in this matchup.

600
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 1: I'm going with Tyler Conklin. You know, I am still

601
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:58,040
Speaker 1: bummed that IRV Smith is going to miss this here.

602
00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:00,320
Speaker 1: I thought he was gonna have a breakout season with

603
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 1: Kyle Rudolph out of the picture. But you know, I

604
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 1: think Tyler Conklin's going to step up and be pretty good,

605
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 1: especially out of the game. I think Chris Herndon, may

606
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,480
Speaker 1: you know, eat into his value later on in the season.

607
00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 1: I'm not too worried about Herndon this week obviously, but

608
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 1: you know, when Kyle Rudolph was out the final four

609
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 1: games last year, you know, IRV Smith went off. I

610
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,560
Speaker 1: believe he was tight end four during that stretch. Tyler

611
00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 1: Conklin was tight end fifteen. So now we don't we

612
00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:29,440
Speaker 1: don't have Kyl Rudolph or IRV Smith to worry about.

613
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 1: So I think Tyler Conklin's going to be sneaky this year.

614
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:34,160
Speaker 1: I know we don't want to play Tyler Conklin, but

615
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 1: he's so cheap, you know, I kind of want to

616
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 1: get in before.

617
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 2: Wait, why don't we want to play Tyra Conklin.

618
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 3: Some people anti Conklin.

619
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 1: I'm trying to like tell the Conklin haters to, you know,

620
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 1: stop it.

621
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 2: Wait, there's an opinion on Tyler Conklin. I need to

622
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 2: go back on Twitter. There might not be I did.

623
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 2: I just did it, Like why is he polarizing?

624
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 1: I don't know, yeah, but he is obviously. I'm just saying, like,

625
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 1: would it be more fun to play Kyle Pitts? Absolutely,

626
00:31:03,040 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 1: but you know, Conklin's much much cheaper, and you know

627
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 1: this offense, we don't really know who the wide receiver

628
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 1: three is gonna be, right, I know you're KG Osbourne believer.

629
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:20,080
Speaker 2: No, I like Emir Smith Marsette long term, but in

630
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 2: terms of camp and the word out of camp, we

631
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:26,480
Speaker 2: joked that pretty much every Vikings receiver was rumored to

632
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:29,560
Speaker 2: be the third receiver at one point. But I've been

633
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 2: hearing from the you know a lot of the most

634
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 2: trusted beat writers that kJ Osbourne was the guy that

635
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 2: was in that role of the most. So I think

636
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 2: long term Smith Marsett. But week one, I think I

637
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,480
Speaker 2: have Osbourne with maybe like one more route.

638
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, either way, I consider, you know, the leading tight

639
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 1: end for the Vikings to essentially be the number three

640
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 1: wide receiver. So that's why, you know, I think Conklin,

641
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:55,440
Speaker 1: especially out of the gate, we want to be on

642
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:58,800
Speaker 1: him before the mainstream kind of catches up, So love

643
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,600
Speaker 1: him as a cheap player this week. He's my cheek

644
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:02,520
Speaker 1: code for this matchup.

645
00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:05,200
Speaker 2: Yeah. I like that because I'll put it like this,

646
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:11,040
Speaker 2: you have Logan Wilson, your main Pratt and.

647
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:13,760
Speaker 3: A team Davis Gaither.

648
00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 2: If you don't know who those people are, they're Cincinnati's linebackers,

649
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,760
Speaker 2: and you know those are the guys that Conklin will

650
00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:24,320
Speaker 2: probably be running some routes on. Cincinnati up the second

651
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 2: most schedule adjusted yards per game to tight ends at

652
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,040
Speaker 2: sixty three and a half last season, according to Football Outsiders.

653
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,800
Speaker 2: So I don't I look at their linebacking corpse and

654
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 2: I don't really see much improvement, you know, So are

655
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 2: you gonna are you gonna be bringing the safety over

656
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 2: conquent every time? I don't know if he's that kind

657
00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 2: of guy. So, you know, like I think, I think

658
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 2: this is I'm with you. I think this is a

659
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 2: good matchup for him. You know, tight ends are tough.

660
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:55,840
Speaker 2: You know, it's always when you're not talking about Kelsey

661
00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 2: or you know, I think even this week, you know

662
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 2: pitts in Hockinson that even that tier, there's like it's

663
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 2: a big drop off from those top three guys. So

664
00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 2: but you know, very cheap Tyler Conklin. Uh. If there

665
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 2: was ever a week to play him, it is it's

666
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 2: this one. Let's go to. Speaking of TJ. Hockinson, the

667
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 2: forty nine ers at the Detroit Lions and the Niners

668
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 2: favored by seven and a half at most sportsbooks with

669
00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 2: the total down at forty five, so could be a

670
00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 2: good spot for the Niners. And the prop I want

671
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:35,600
Speaker 2: to go with is one where I think season long,

672
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 2: a lot of people have Trey Sermon the rookie ahead

673
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 2: of Raheem Moster, but week one better in deference, right,

674
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 2: So Raheem Moster against this Lions defense. His over under

675
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:56,920
Speaker 2: at prize pick is sixty nine and a half rushing yards.

676
00:33:57,120 --> 00:33:59,560
Speaker 1: Yep. That's a big, big number that I am right

677
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 1: in line, and I would not take the under. If anything,

678
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 1: you would lean over here, but this is a big

679
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,440
Speaker 1: number and you made a good point there where you

680
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 1: know season long, I had Trey Shermon ranked a couple

681
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,400
Speaker 1: sorts ahead of Raheem Moser, and I pointed this out

682
00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:17,000
Speaker 1: in almost every iteration of my tears this offseason is

683
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:21,440
Speaker 1: Raheem Mosert will give you RB two value like early

684
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 1: in the season, and then I think eventually Tray Shermon

685
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 1: will pass him up and be the RB two to

686
00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 1: close out this season. So this week Mosert is my

687
00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 1: RB eighteen. I love him this week. I love the matchup.

688
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 1: He's a type of running back where he can break

689
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 1: off a couple of big runs and easily go over

690
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 1: this number. He won't need that many carries to do it.

691
00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:44,120
Speaker 1: But I am projecting him for about fourteen rush attempts

692
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 1: this week, so I think he has a he has

693
00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 1: a really high floor. And yeah, if anything, I lean

694
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:49,520
Speaker 1: towards the over here.

695
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have him round RB twelve, so I'm even

696
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 2: higher on him. I love him this week and I

697
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:00,320
Speaker 2: have him, but I do have a I about like

698
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,680
Speaker 2: sixty five or rushing yards, So I guess it's within

699
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:06,319
Speaker 2: a carrie of him going because I have him at

700
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:09,400
Speaker 2: four point nine, which is high because of that Detroit

701
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 2: run defense, you don't expect to be very good. So,

702
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,880
Speaker 2: like most of this week, as far as the line,

703
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 2: I'm staying away because I agree, I don't want to

704
00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:20,520
Speaker 2: bet the under, but that's a big number and we

705
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 2: you know, it's still Kyle Shanahan and we so we

706
00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,520
Speaker 2: don't know, and like this is such a good matchup

707
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 2: all the way around. I think that San Francisco, like

708
00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:30,960
Speaker 2: Jimmy g could throw like four touchdowns and and then

709
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:32,720
Speaker 2: moster it could give way to like the third string

710
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:36,840
Speaker 2: back of by like halftime. So you know, that's the

711
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:40,720
Speaker 2: only reason I'm a little conservative there. You know, in general,

712
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:43,800
Speaker 2: I'm always conservative betting over, so I wouldn't do it.

713
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:45,439
Speaker 3: But yeah, this is where I don't like the under.

714
00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 2: I need more of an edge than you know, five

715
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:51,120
Speaker 2: four or five yards to bet the to about the

716
00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:56,160
Speaker 2: under in a great matchup like this for moster or

717
00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 2: DFS cheat codes, where are you going in this one?

718
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 1: Sean? You know where I'm going with this one. I'm

719
00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 1: on raw Saint Brown, and you know, I think, out

720
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:08,239
Speaker 1: of the gate, I think he's going to be one

721
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 1: of Golf's favorite target. He should start in the slot

722
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 1: and we've seen, you know, in the past, golf loves

723
00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:17,320
Speaker 1: targeting the slot. Saint Brown could be his next Cooper Cup.

724
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:20,320
Speaker 1: And you know, even though we do love TJ. Hawkinson

725
00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:23,280
Speaker 1: on this podcast, he's been dealing with the shoulder injury.

726
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:24,799
Speaker 1: I don't know if he's gonna be one hundred percent

727
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:26,880
Speaker 1: for week one, so if anything, he might be eased

728
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,279
Speaker 1: in and Saint Brown could get an extra target or

729
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 1: two that might go to Hawkinson, you know, starting in

730
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 1: week two. So I think, just out of the gate,

731
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:35,719
Speaker 1: I want to be all in on Saint Brown. I

732
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 1: think he's perfect, you know for full PPR type formats

733
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:41,839
Speaker 1: he might not be startable and season long, you might

734
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:43,719
Speaker 1: he probably need to be in a deeper league to

735
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:46,759
Speaker 1: start him. But I do like him long term, and

736
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:48,680
Speaker 1: I think, you know, he'll he'll hit the ground running

737
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:49,520
Speaker 1: for rookie this year.

738
00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:53,640
Speaker 2: Totally agree. That's my guy too, you know, mid priced

739
00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:57,120
Speaker 2: pretty much across the industry, just the guy that you

740
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 2: may get, you know, eight nine targets from in week one,

741
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 2: especially if they there is a trailing game script now,

742
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:06,080
Speaker 2: the floor is really low.

743
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,920
Speaker 3: He could conceivably, I mean, he's a rookie, he could goosegg.

744
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 1: For oh we know, but oh, no way he's going

745
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 1: to a goose egg.

746
00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:16,880
Speaker 2: Hey, Hey, it's Jared goff Man. It's Jared goff against

747
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:20,000
Speaker 2: the defense that like Aaron Rodgers couldn't figure out twice

748
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:22,440
Speaker 2: in one season. You know, that's it's kind of on

749
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 2: that level. Again, I think or he's getting back to it,

750
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 2: So I'm not you know, I think there's a wide

751
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:29,320
Speaker 2: range of outcomes. But I do have Saint Brown projected

752
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,520
Speaker 2: for four point six catches and I have him in

753
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:35,319
Speaker 2: half pprs my wide receiver fifty nine, so you know

754
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:38,320
Speaker 2: he's out outside that top, you know for point fifty.

755
00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:40,600
Speaker 2: But he's right in that next tier if you're in

756
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:41,799
Speaker 2: a deeper league or something like that.

757
00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 1: I mean this, this already was the finnest and worst

758
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:47,879
Speaker 1: wide receiver depth chart in the league. And then they

759
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 1: cut for Shad Perryman.

760
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:52,839
Speaker 2: Yeah that made it better auditioned by subtraction, right, I'm

761
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:55,279
Speaker 2: not even joking. You probably think I'm joking, but I've

762
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:59,000
Speaker 2: been so like, like I posted a Prize picks propit

763
00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:01,040
Speaker 2: like three in the morning. It was like I think

764
00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:02,840
Speaker 2: it was either Mims or Tony, but it was it

765
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 2: was like somebody parlayd with Brashad Perriman. Like it was

766
00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 2: just like this guy. I couldn't believe when I saw

767
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 2: the lines for him for a season while it was

768
00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:13,480
Speaker 2: like seven hundred and fifty yards, just like this dude

769
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 2: hasn't even done that, Like like when is Paraman ever?

770
00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:22,239
Speaker 1: I agree, But like the competition got even better for

771
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:24,440
Speaker 1: like or worse however you want to describe it. For

772
00:38:24,520 --> 00:38:27,600
Speaker 1: Saint Brown, like he's absolutely going to be playing over

773
00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:29,680
Speaker 1: eighty percent of the snaps right out of the gate.

774
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:31,840
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, but I think I think I don't know

775
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:34,880
Speaker 2: if it changed much because I think with Brashad Perriman

776
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:38,160
Speaker 2: not on the field, Like I think Cephis or Raymond

777
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 2: or Benson is probably more likely to draw a target

778
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,640
Speaker 2: than that's God Perriman lumbering around out there.

779
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:48,239
Speaker 1: That's Lumberinger exactly. Like with Jared Goff under center, Yeah,

780
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:50,319
Speaker 1: would have been just running wins y, yes, which I

781
00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:50,880
Speaker 1: agree with that.

782
00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:51,359
Speaker 2: Yeah.

783
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:52,960
Speaker 3: So like that that's why I was like, it just

784
00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 3: wasn't a fit. It was like, uh, go.

785
00:38:55,920 --> 00:38:59,400
Speaker 2: Back with me to Alex Smith Washington first year before

786
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 2: he got hurt and Paul Richardson, like it was so

787
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:05,960
Speaker 2: obvious that that wasn't gonna be a fit. And I

788
00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:08,239
Speaker 2: remember I said it, and like the fan base got

789
00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:11,239
Speaker 2: mad at me, you know, Washington's fan base, and I

790
00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:13,359
Speaker 2: was like, like, I get like, I get that you're

791
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 2: excited about your new quarterback, but this is just not

792
00:39:16,600 --> 00:39:19,120
Speaker 2: the guy you want to pair him with. And you

793
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:20,799
Speaker 2: know that was the case of parament. So now we'll

794
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 2: see what happens. I think Tyrrell is a little better

795
00:39:23,280 --> 00:39:25,319
Speaker 2: just because he can also run those like you know,

796
00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:29,400
Speaker 2: intermediate crossing routes that golf likes. So you know, I

797
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:31,280
Speaker 2: have him actually at fifty three, a couple of spots

798
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 2: ahead of Saint Brown just because I think, you know,

799
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:37,840
Speaker 2: still a veteran guy. But in terms of catches, like

800
00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:40,720
Speaker 2: straight up catches, I have Saint Brown for six Williams

801
00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:41,279
Speaker 2: four to zero.

802
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:42,600
Speaker 3: So Williams gets.

803
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:45,000
Speaker 2: More yards and a little more lit a couple of

804
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 2: ticks higher on the touchdowns. All Right, we spent enough

805
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:53,799
Speaker 2: time talking Detroit here. Let's go to the a much

806
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 2: more interesting game for fantasy purposes, and that is the

807
00:39:56,719 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 2: Arizona Cardinals visiting the Tennessee Tightens. The Titans are three

808
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 2: points favorites. The total is a robust fifty two. So, Sean,

809
00:40:12,400 --> 00:40:18,480
Speaker 2: I'll ask you this to weed it off. Chase Edmunds

810
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 2: James Connor. There's gonna be some type of split going

811
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 2: on here. It's not necessarily one where it may change

812
00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:28,839
Speaker 2: as the season progresses. It's just one where it will

813
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:33,520
Speaker 2: change once James Connor inevitably gets hurt. So in Week one,

814
00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:38,880
Speaker 2: given that Connor should play Chase Edmunds over under forty

815
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,840
Speaker 2: three and a half rushing yards, is the lineup prize picks.

816
00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:44,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's a good line. I'm pretty much in line.

817
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:47,880
Speaker 1: I have them closer to you know, forty two rushing yards.

818
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 1: But if anything, this this probably does set up better

819
00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 1: for Chase Edmunds. You know their road dogs. I think

820
00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:58,080
Speaker 1: they could ease in James Connor. You know, he's still

821
00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:02,120
Speaker 1: recovering from offseason toe surgery. I didn't expect him to

822
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 1: have a huge role week one, so if anything, I

823
00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:07,520
Speaker 1: would lean towards the over. But how could you feel

824
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:09,800
Speaker 1: comfortable one way or the other this This is definitely

825
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:13,959
Speaker 1: a backfield where I'm in wait and see mode with

826
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:17,520
Speaker 1: with both backs obviously, but I'm also worried that Rondelle

827
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 1: Moore could eat into Edmund's role more than people think.

828
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,520
Speaker 1: You know, he's gonna be very active on these screen passes,

829
00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:25,880
Speaker 1: but he could also see you know, a couple of

830
00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:28,759
Speaker 1: carries a game, so he kind of like steps on

831
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:31,280
Speaker 1: Edmund's toes. They kind of have a similar skill set.

832
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:34,960
Speaker 1: So you know, I'm gonna be very cautious with this backfield.

833
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:38,440
Speaker 1: Even though we did mention we do like both running backs,

834
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:42,240
Speaker 1: We're probably too cheap at ADP because if either running

835
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:44,799
Speaker 1: back misses time, I think, you know, the other one's

836
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:47,399
Speaker 1: going to be a pretty good RB two. So heading

837
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 1: into the season, if you can, you know, you probably

838
00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:52,160
Speaker 1: want to bench Edmunds. You definitely want to bench Connor.

839
00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:54,360
Speaker 1: So this is sort of a wait and see situation

840
00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:55,400
Speaker 1: for me. This is a pass.

841
00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's because as long as we've known Cliff Kingsbury,

842
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:02,359
Speaker 2: he just doesn't give carries to that third running back.

843
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:04,319
Speaker 2: I mean, how do you who do you have? What

844
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:08,280
Speaker 2: do you have for Eno Benjamin and Jonathan Ward combined? Exactly?

845
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:10,879
Speaker 1: So I have like point so I have a half

846
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:14,040
Speaker 1: carry for each, oh more than me. I have them

847
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:17,799
Speaker 1: at zero. Let me see, I'm just destinating right now.

848
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:22,880
Speaker 2: I'll probably give them a half, but I start them

849
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:24,759
Speaker 2: out at zero because there's no injuries, you know.

850
00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:27,360
Speaker 1: I have them combined, combined for half a carry and

851
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:30,839
Speaker 1: combined for like point two catches. But that's exactly the point,

852
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:34,319
Speaker 1: right is Cliff Kingsbury really just has no use for

853
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:37,080
Speaker 1: these third string running backs. Even when when of the

854
00:42:37,160 --> 00:42:40,759
Speaker 1: running backs goes down. It seems like whenever Kennon Drake

855
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:43,319
Speaker 1: is out, you know, Edmunds gets all the work. That's

856
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:45,439
Speaker 1: going to be the case of Connor. So I think that, yeah,

857
00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:47,720
Speaker 1: just when it comes to these number three four running

858
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:49,360
Speaker 1: backs on the team. That's kind of why I do

859
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:51,200
Speaker 1: like the ceiling for both running backs.

860
00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:53,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, I bet the under point two catches on those

861
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:59,800
Speaker 2: dudes combined. Oh yeah, that's about point one eight too high.

862
00:43:00,200 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 1: Well, would you take minus eight hundred for the under.

863
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:05,360
Speaker 2: Because that's what it is, so I would take minus

864
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 2: eight thousands.

865
00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:13,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, yeah.

866
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:14,600
Speaker 2: No, but I mean no, seriously, like I'll probably give

867
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:16,840
Speaker 2: them like a percent of a snap. But like that's

868
00:43:17,200 --> 00:43:21,840
Speaker 2: that's how whittle those backs like the third string back

869
00:43:22,160 --> 00:43:25,120
Speaker 2: and usually they have two acts. They'll have too active

870
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 2: sometimes for special teams like the three and the four

871
00:43:28,520 --> 00:43:30,839
Speaker 2: running back, but they just don't play well.

872
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,960
Speaker 1: And part of that is their best running back is

873
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray. So yeah, right, you know that that's kind

874
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:40,040
Speaker 1: of why these number three number four running backs don't

875
00:43:40,040 --> 00:43:42,200
Speaker 1: see much work is because they are to have a

876
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 1: Russian quarterback.

877
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, and uh yeah, I'm at forty three yards for Edmunds,

878
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:51,319
Speaker 2: So that's that's a nope, that's right on. But let's

879
00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:55,600
Speaker 2: go to DFS cuz my favorite cheat code and also

880
00:43:56,080 --> 00:43:59,239
Speaker 2: the an automatic bet over one and a half touchdowns

881
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:01,760
Speaker 2: pretty much we in week out and that's Ryan Tannehill.

882
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:06,920
Speaker 2: I love Tannehill in one of the highest you know

883
00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:10,120
Speaker 2: over under games of the week, and he's been the

884
00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:13,200
Speaker 2: guy that you know, wait, in draft season, I finally

885
00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 2: started missing out on Jay when hurts some you know,

886
00:44:15,680 --> 00:44:18,879
Speaker 2: and I would try to get Ryan TANNAHI that would

887
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:20,560
Speaker 2: be the guy. I was like, Okay, if I'm not

888
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:22,680
Speaker 2: gonna if I if I let Jalen Hurs get past me,

889
00:44:22,840 --> 00:44:25,799
Speaker 2: I got to always get Ryan Tannaho. So that's my

890
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:31,080
Speaker 2: DFSG code for this Cardinals and Titans game. I mean,

891
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 2: you have a you know, heightened team projected for one

892
00:44:34,480 --> 00:44:36,080
Speaker 2: of the highest totals of the week. They're at home

893
00:44:36,280 --> 00:44:38,879
Speaker 2: three point favorites total fifty two. So do the math.

894
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 2: It's a lot of implied points. What about you, Sean.

895
00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:45,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, first, let me piggyback on that Tannehill call real quick.

896
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 1: Who who do the Carls have that are going to

897
00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:51,640
Speaker 1: slow down? Either aj Brown or Hula Jones because they

898
00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:54,080
Speaker 1: lost Patrick Peterson. Yes, he's not as good as he

899
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:58,440
Speaker 1: used to be, but also Malcolm Butler retired, Like how

900
00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 1: are they going to slow down? Either they can't write?

901
00:45:01,560 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 2: Yeahy is it going to be Alfred and uh Murphy

902
00:45:04,680 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 2: or something something that is that really what.

903
00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 3: We're doing here?

904
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:09,479
Speaker 1: That is really what we're doing here?

905
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:14,000
Speaker 2: And then I guess Marco Wilson would mix in like

906
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:18,439
Speaker 2: it's yeah, it's it's it's ugly. Yeah, so Ryan Tanno

907
00:45:18,520 --> 00:45:20,200
Speaker 2: maybe over two and a half touchdowns this.

908
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:23,080
Speaker 1: Oh and they have Dereck Henry to worry about too,

909
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:25,840
Speaker 1: So this is going to be I think.

910
00:45:25,719 --> 00:45:28,279
Speaker 2: We need to add a column to our projection spreadsheet

911
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:30,760
Speaker 2: for you know, we were just talking off air about

912
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:34,359
Speaker 2: you know, I just like created my model to do

913
00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:36,760
Speaker 2: the you know, three hundred yard passing games. I wonder

914
00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:38,279
Speaker 2: how it would look for the you know, the three

915
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:41,880
Speaker 2: touchdown three passing touchdown games because oh hell yeah. This

916
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 2: is because like Derrick Henry could get like one or

917
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,960
Speaker 2: two on the ground and I'd still like Tannehill in

918
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:47,359
Speaker 2: this one.

919
00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:49,600
Speaker 3: I mean, this is a this is a smash spot

920
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:50,320
Speaker 3: for Tennessee.

921
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:53,160
Speaker 2: That's a great point about the cornerbacks, Arizona's and Flux

922
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:55,360
Speaker 2: and whatever they were doing in the off season, you know,

923
00:45:55,560 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 2: but we're retiring that throat that you know, they haven't

924
00:45:58,280 --> 00:46:00,400
Speaker 2: practiced with whatever group they're going to be out there

925
00:46:00,400 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 2: with as much as probably you would have liked to.

926
00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:05,279
Speaker 3: So yeah, Tannehill for me.

927
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:07,600
Speaker 1: So I'll let you take Tannell. He's obviously a cheat

928
00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:11,719
Speaker 1: code here, but I'm going with Rundale Moore. I think

929
00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 1: this is the week. I think a lot of my

930
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,279
Speaker 1: cheat codes are going to be rookie wide receivers. I

931
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:19,560
Speaker 1: want to get on them early again this year. That

932
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:22,000
Speaker 1: was fun getting in early on you know, justin Jefferson

933
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:25,719
Speaker 1: Chase Claypool last year. Rondell Moore is sneaky. He might

934
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:28,319
Speaker 1: not have a super super high ceiling. He's probably not

935
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:31,840
Speaker 1: gonna score a ton of touchdowns, but he's gonna get targets.

936
00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:34,399
Speaker 1: They're going to manufacture touches f him. Like I said,

937
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:36,799
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if he gets two or three

938
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:40,719
Speaker 1: carries this game. You know, DeAndre Hopkins has been banged up.

939
00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:43,239
Speaker 1: I'm not worried about him at all, but I think

940
00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:46,479
Speaker 1: Rondale Moore should be the number two target this week.

941
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:49,640
Speaker 1: It's it's a great matchup for him as well. So

942
00:46:49,719 --> 00:46:51,720
Speaker 1: he's the guy with sneaky upsde you know, he's dangerous

943
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:53,200
Speaker 1: with the ball in his hands, so he can get

944
00:46:53,200 --> 00:46:55,440
Speaker 1: a screen pass and take it for eighty yards. So

945
00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:57,440
Speaker 1: that's that's why I do think he does have a

946
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:01,680
Speaker 1: higher ceiling than you know, the typical, you know, smallerish

947
00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:05,200
Speaker 1: yack kind of receiver. So I love his upside. I

948
00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:07,440
Speaker 1: think he's he has the potential to be a Deebo

949
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:10,640
Speaker 1: Samuel type, so I want to be in on him early.

950
00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 1: And he's pretty cheap across the industry as well.

951
00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:16,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm looking at my numbers and I I have

952
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:20,000
Speaker 2: Green and Kirk with four catches and more with three

953
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:23,760
Speaker 2: point three. But I think I need to over update

954
00:47:23,920 --> 00:47:28,160
Speaker 2: my more yards per catch because I use like, you know,

955
00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:30,560
Speaker 2: a dot, some combination at a dot and a regression

956
00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:33,520
Speaker 2: or whatever. But I have more getting only eight, like

957
00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:36,080
Speaker 2: nine yards per catch essentially, because you know, he's gonna

958
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:38,720
Speaker 2: he's gonna be one of those gadget guys that's.

959
00:47:38,560 --> 00:47:40,680
Speaker 1: Not too far. Yeah, I have nine point eight. He's

960
00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:43,600
Speaker 1: he didn't have a low A dot for sure, but yeah,

961
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:46,040
Speaker 1: he's just he does. He has a higher ceiling than

962
00:47:46,080 --> 00:47:48,920
Speaker 1: your typical low A dot guy because I think his

963
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 1: yack ability is just off the charts. So he's almost

964
00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:56,400
Speaker 1: like a really good pass catching back like a Barkley

965
00:47:56,440 --> 00:47:58,360
Speaker 1: or Kamara, where I think that he has the ability

966
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:01,120
Speaker 1: to take those to the house. But yeah, I'm closer

967
00:48:01,160 --> 00:48:04,560
Speaker 1: to you know, you know, sub ten yards per catch,

968
00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:06,759
Speaker 1: but I think he does have a higher ceiling than

969
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:09,800
Speaker 1: most receivers that have that kind of like prototype.

970
00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:13,120
Speaker 2: Next up here on the Fantasy Flex is a news

971
00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:16,279
Speaker 2: segment that we call a week Entries, where Sean and

972
00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:18,480
Speaker 2: I dive into the Prize Picks app and compare our

973
00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:21,759
Speaker 2: player projections to the props to build some entries. For

974
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:24,960
Speaker 2: listeners unfamiliar with Prize Picks, it's a super simple way

975
00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:28,440
Speaker 2: to play DFS. Prize Picks offers a bunch of fantasy

976
00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:32,040
Speaker 2: and player prop over under markets for both daily and

977
00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:36,320
Speaker 2: season long, such as Zeke Elliott rushing yards this season

978
00:48:36,400 --> 00:48:38,400
Speaker 2: or Josh Allen Week one Fantasy score.

979
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 3: You choose the pixie like you build your entry.

980
00:48:41,600 --> 00:48:43,720
Speaker 2: You can go at two, three, four, or even five

981
00:48:43,840 --> 00:48:46,840
Speaker 2: picks in an entry, and your payout is based on

982
00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:51,080
Speaker 2: how big your lineup is and how much risks. So

983
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:53,800
Speaker 2: let's say you choose two props. You go under on

984
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:56,880
Speaker 2: Zeke rushing and over on Josh Allen Fantasy points. If

985
00:48:56,920 --> 00:48:59,760
Speaker 2: they both hit, you'd win three times your entry fee,

986
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:01,759
Speaker 2: and if you build an entry with four props, you

987
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:03,919
Speaker 2: can win as much as ten x your entry See.

988
00:49:04,080 --> 00:49:07,040
Speaker 2: So Sean and I like to use our projections to

989
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:12,600
Speaker 2: identify the prize picks markets that we like. So today

990
00:49:13,080 --> 00:49:17,840
Speaker 2: we're going to look at four props Sean Europe First,

991
00:49:18,160 --> 00:49:21,400
Speaker 2: which is the first prize pick line that you're putting

992
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:21,959
Speaker 2: in your entry.

993
00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:25,440
Speaker 1: I'm going with Austin Eckler under fifty seven and a

994
00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:29,880
Speaker 1: half rushing yards. You know, this Washington defense, especially the

995
00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:33,040
Speaker 1: defensive line, is no joke, so I think they're going

996
00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:35,520
Speaker 1: to struggle running the ball here. And you know, the

997
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:38,359
Speaker 1: Chargers offensive line should be much much better this year,

998
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:40,319
Speaker 1: but it's still a new unit. They have a lot

999
00:49:40,320 --> 00:49:42,200
Speaker 1: of new pieces, so it could take a couple of

1000
00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:44,839
Speaker 1: games of GEL. So I think they might get off

1001
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:47,280
Speaker 1: to a slow start with the running game. And honestly,

1002
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:49,560
Speaker 1: the best way to use Eckler is probably to dump

1003
00:49:49,600 --> 00:49:51,759
Speaker 1: it off and use them in the receiving game as

1004
00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:53,880
Speaker 1: an extension of the running game, So I think that

1005
00:49:53,960 --> 00:49:56,239
Speaker 1: kind of eats into his rushing yards as well. I'm

1006
00:49:56,239 --> 00:49:58,360
Speaker 1: projecting this closer like forty nine and a half.

1007
00:49:58,640 --> 00:50:00,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that call. I think think that as

1008
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 2: I mentioned before, that Washington defense is not one that

1009
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,480
Speaker 2: you want to mess with this year. For me, my

1010
00:50:07,600 --> 00:50:11,520
Speaker 2: first Prize Picks entry, I am going with DeAndre Swift

1011
00:50:11,680 --> 00:50:14,120
Speaker 2: under fifty three and a half rushing yards.

1012
00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:17,600
Speaker 3: I know he's good to go for Week one, but this.

1013
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 2: San Francisco defense is another one we shouldn't play with.

1014
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:25,600
Speaker 2: Detroit is more than a touchdown underdog, and when you

1015
00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:28,759
Speaker 2: look at the forty nine ers, they were top ten

1016
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:31,640
Speaker 2: in rushing DVOA on defense last year and that was

1017
00:50:31,640 --> 00:50:33,640
Speaker 2: with a ton of injuries. So I think this is

1018
00:50:33,680 --> 00:50:36,560
Speaker 2: going to be a real tough front to run against.

1019
00:50:36,600 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 2: And I think the game script is going to shift

1020
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 2: to where Swift's He's more in the passing game. So

1021
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 2: like the under fifty three and a half rushing yards

1022
00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:49,520
Speaker 2: for DeAndre Swift, who is your second.

1023
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:51,320
Speaker 3: In our third prize picks.

1024
00:50:51,160 --> 00:50:54,760
Speaker 1: Weit entry Sean, So I'm going with Miles Gaskin over

1025
00:50:55,080 --> 00:50:58,239
Speaker 1: forty four and a half rushing yards. You know, the

1026
00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:02,160
Speaker 1: Patriots defense isn't as easy of a matchup this year.

1027
00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:05,920
Speaker 1: I think it's going to be improved, but I do

1028
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:08,600
Speaker 1: think Miles Gaston should be the lead back this week.

1029
00:51:08,680 --> 00:51:11,560
Speaker 1: You know, I've stressed some concern that, you know, Malcolm

1030
00:51:11,600 --> 00:51:14,560
Speaker 1: Brown or Salvin Akhmed may Eden whose carries at some

1031
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:16,719
Speaker 1: point this year where they play the hot hand, not

1032
00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:19,480
Speaker 1: week one. I think week one he is the lead back.

1033
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:22,600
Speaker 1: This should be a low scoring, kind of run heavy game,

1034
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:25,359
Speaker 1: so I love Miles Gaston to go over forty four

1035
00:51:25,360 --> 00:51:28,160
Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards. I have this projecting culture

1036
00:51:28,200 --> 00:51:28,919
Speaker 1: to fifty five.

1037
00:51:30,239 --> 00:51:32,359
Speaker 2: Yep, I have it right at fifty four, So we're

1038
00:51:32,400 --> 00:51:35,240
Speaker 2: in line there. We're both on the over Miles gaskin

1039
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:37,680
Speaker 2: forty four and a half the rushing yards at prize ficks,

1040
00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:40,320
Speaker 2: and I'm going to close it out with another under,

1041
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:43,800
Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor under eighty one and a half rushing yards.

1042
00:51:44,000 --> 00:51:45,799
Speaker 2: That is a big number for any back. I know

1043
00:51:45,920 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 2: Taylor had a great quotes to the season, but a

1044
00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:50,600
Speaker 2: lot of it came against teams like Jacksonville and whatnot.

1045
00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:53,800
Speaker 3: Seattle not too bad on run defense.

1046
00:51:54,520 --> 00:51:59,640
Speaker 2: They were actually seventh in run defense DVOA, so one of.

1047
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:01,719
Speaker 3: The better run defense is kind of sneaky there.

1048
00:52:01,800 --> 00:52:06,960
Speaker 2: Last year. I have Taylor closer to seventy yards rushing

1049
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:11,000
Speaker 2: in this game, so I like the under with him

1050
00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:11,960
Speaker 2: against Seattle.

1051
00:52:12,200 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 3: All right, So that is our elit entry for today.

1052
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:19,000
Speaker 2: To recap, we're going with Austin Eckler under fifty seven

1053
00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:22,439
Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards. DeAndre Swift under fifty three

1054
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:25,719
Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards Miles Gaskin over forty four

1055
00:52:25,760 --> 00:52:30,080
Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards and Jonathan Taylor under eighty

1056
00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:33,960
Speaker 2: one and a half rushing yards. That's our Prize Picks

1057
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:38,440
Speaker 2: Elit entry. As a reminder, Prize Picks markets do move,

1058
00:52:38,800 --> 00:52:42,040
Speaker 2: so you want to be nimble locking those numbers before

1059
00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:45,319
Speaker 2: they shift. If you haven't created a prize Pix account yet,

1060
00:52:45,600 --> 00:52:48,400
Speaker 2: check out the link in our episode description and they'll

1061
00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:53,239
Speaker 2: match your first deposit up to one hundred dollars. Or

1062
00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:56,040
Speaker 2: you can visit prize picks dot com and use the

1063
00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:59,640
Speaker 2: promo code Action one zero for a one hundred dollar

1064
00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:07,520
Speaker 2: deposit bonus. Okay, now back to the fantasy flex. All right,

1065
00:53:08,239 --> 00:53:12,080
Speaker 2: let's go to another what at least for one side,

1066
00:53:12,200 --> 00:53:15,000
Speaker 2: But that's maybe because I've been well on the other

1067
00:53:15,120 --> 00:53:18,319
Speaker 2: side for most of the offseason. But so for our

1068
00:53:18,320 --> 00:53:25,719
Speaker 2: next game, let's go Seattle Indianapolis. In Indianapolis, the home

1069
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:27,719
Speaker 2: team is a two and a half point underdog. The

1070
00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:31,800
Speaker 2: total is forty nine and a half t Y Hilton

1071
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:36,000
Speaker 2: going to start the year on the shelf Sean. So

1072
00:53:36,080 --> 00:53:39,120
Speaker 2: the prop I'm gonna throw out here is Michael Pittman

1073
00:53:39,280 --> 00:53:41,719
Speaker 2: over under fifty six and a half receiving yards at

1074
00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:43,080
Speaker 2: prize picks.

1075
00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:46,360
Speaker 1: Who I'm in line with this prop that I will

1076
00:53:46,520 --> 00:53:50,080
Speaker 1: say I leaned towards the under. You know, he's a

1077
00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:52,800
Speaker 1: guy where I do think he was cheap in drafts

1078
00:53:53,480 --> 00:53:56,520
Speaker 1: heading into the season, and you know this week he's

1079
00:53:56,520 --> 00:53:59,799
Speaker 1: wide receiver forty five, So I wouldn't suggest starting him.

1080
00:53:59,840 --> 00:54:03,080
Speaker 1: He wait and see kind of guy he should end

1081
00:54:03,200 --> 00:54:05,799
Speaker 1: up being Carson Wentz's number one target. But I think,

1082
00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:08,560
Speaker 1: you know, this first game, they could spread the ball out,

1083
00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:11,560
Speaker 1: So I think he has a lower floor then I

1084
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:13,799
Speaker 1: think people realize going in a week one, So I'm

1085
00:54:13,800 --> 00:54:16,399
Speaker 1: gonna go with under here. I think, you know, guys

1086
00:54:16,440 --> 00:54:21,359
Speaker 1: like Paris Campbell, Zach Pascal could step up. So I

1087
00:54:21,360 --> 00:54:23,680
Speaker 1: think his floor is much much lower than people realize.

1088
00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 1: So I'm going under here. And he's a guy that

1089
00:54:25,520 --> 00:54:27,880
Speaker 1: I think his fancy value might be if he becomes

1090
00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:30,520
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz, you know, red zone target. I think he

1091
00:54:30,560 --> 00:54:33,200
Speaker 1: does have touchdown upside. That's kind of the appeal with him.

1092
00:54:33,280 --> 00:54:35,800
Speaker 1: So I think when it comes to his receiving props,

1093
00:54:36,400 --> 00:54:38,520
Speaker 1: anything over fifty five seems a bit high.

1094
00:54:39,000 --> 00:54:42,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have him right at fifty five. Him four

1095
00:54:42,080 --> 00:54:44,839
Speaker 2: and a half catches for fifty five yards. So I

1096
00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:48,200
Speaker 2: do like him in DFS as a cheap kind of

1097
00:54:48,200 --> 00:54:52,520
Speaker 2: play because he still projects to run the most routes

1098
00:54:52,560 --> 00:54:55,240
Speaker 2: on a team. I think Pascal and Campbell will be

1099
00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:57,640
Speaker 2: pretty much close to full time guys as well, but

1100
00:54:58,840 --> 00:55:01,040
Speaker 2: Pittman is still you know, he could be the air

1101
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:03,920
Speaker 2: yards guy. He could be he could be the leading target,

1102
00:55:03,920 --> 00:55:07,759
Speaker 2: the leading route runner. So and Seattle, you know, I

1103
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 2: know they got a Quillie Witherspoon, but there's still some

1104
00:55:10,160 --> 00:55:13,520
Speaker 2: questions about that cornerback group in Seattle, and this could

1105
00:55:13,520 --> 00:55:17,480
Speaker 2: be one where Seattle, unlike most teams who face Indianapolis,

1106
00:55:17,480 --> 00:55:20,080
Speaker 2: Seattle's actually capable of running up to score on this defense.

1107
00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:24,000
Speaker 2: So I'm interested in Pittman even though I'm right on

1108
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:26,279
Speaker 2: right on his prop. I think that's a good line

1109
00:55:26,280 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 2: by Prize Picks. But who do you like for DFS

1110
00:55:29,520 --> 00:55:30,040
Speaker 2: in this one?

1111
00:55:30,239 --> 00:55:33,080
Speaker 1: So my cheak code I mentioned him is Zach Pascal,

1112
00:55:33,640 --> 00:55:36,160
Speaker 1: and he's one of those guys nobody wants to play

1113
00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:39,120
Speaker 1: him like. This isn't even like Tyler Conklin hate. Nobody

1114
00:55:39,160 --> 00:55:41,359
Speaker 1: loves playing Zach Pascal. He's one of those guys that's

1115
00:55:41,360 --> 00:55:45,480
Speaker 1: always annoyingly productive. I mean, he led the team in

1116
00:55:45,560 --> 00:55:48,800
Speaker 1: receiving yards in twenty nineteen, and then he was second

1117
00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:51,399
Speaker 1: in receiving yards last year. It's like they never want

1118
00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:54,440
Speaker 1: him to be a top two white out, but it

1119
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,040
Speaker 1: always turns out to be that way. So, like you said,

1120
00:55:57,120 --> 00:55:59,520
Speaker 1: he should be a full time player. As long as

1121
00:55:59,520 --> 00:56:01,400
Speaker 1: t y Elton's out, he.

1122
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:04,359
Speaker 3: Always has buying the Mike Stratch Michael Straight, I.

1123
00:56:04,360 --> 00:56:07,719
Speaker 1: Do, well, Yeah, I've watched every preseason game. I think

1124
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:10,239
Speaker 1: he does have some sneaky upside. Maybe not Week one,

1125
00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:13,800
Speaker 1: but I think Pascal like he always has that sneaky

1126
00:56:13,840 --> 00:56:16,360
Speaker 1: touch up side. He's the guy in DFS where you

1127
00:56:16,360 --> 00:56:19,839
Speaker 1: can get a basically men price across the industry, and

1128
00:56:20,080 --> 00:56:22,640
Speaker 1: you know he's gonna be rostered on so few teams

1129
00:56:22,640 --> 00:56:24,799
Speaker 1: that I think he does have that upside you look for.

1130
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:27,240
Speaker 1: That's why he's my cheat code for this matchup.

1131
00:56:28,040 --> 00:56:34,279
Speaker 2: I let's go Chargers at Washington. The Chargers are one

1132
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:37,360
Speaker 2: point road favorites to total forty four and a half.

1133
00:56:38,080 --> 00:56:42,560
Speaker 2: Tough matchup though, for Justin Herbert, coming off that Rookie

1134
00:56:42,560 --> 00:56:47,800
Speaker 2: of the Year performance, his passing line at Prize Picks

1135
00:56:47,880 --> 00:56:49,680
Speaker 2: is two hundred and seventy four and a half passing

1136
00:56:49,760 --> 00:56:52,040
Speaker 2: yard you going over or under, Shawn.

1137
00:56:52,040 --> 00:56:54,839
Speaker 1: I love this under. Love love love the under. I'm

1138
00:56:54,840 --> 00:56:57,520
Speaker 1: closer to two sixty and even that I can make

1139
00:56:57,560 --> 00:57:00,759
Speaker 1: a case why he might go under that. You know,

1140
00:57:00,800 --> 00:57:04,960
Speaker 1: this Washington defense is no joke. Herbert could start off

1141
00:57:05,000 --> 00:57:06,480
Speaker 1: a bit rusty. I mean, he didn't play all in

1142
00:57:06,480 --> 00:57:10,279
Speaker 1: the preseason. This is his first game under this new

1143
00:57:10,520 --> 00:57:14,560
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator, Joe Lombardi's scheme, so you know, it might

1144
00:57:14,600 --> 00:57:16,760
Speaker 1: take a couple of times. You know, I think Herbert's

1145
00:57:16,760 --> 00:57:18,720
Speaker 1: can have a fantastic season, but it might take a

1146
00:57:18,720 --> 00:57:21,600
Speaker 1: couple games to sort of jel with the offense. Same

1147
00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 1: thing with the offensive line. The offensive line should be

1148
00:57:23,880 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 1: much much better, but you know, a lot of new pieces.

1149
00:57:26,760 --> 00:57:28,680
Speaker 1: It could take up a couple of games to gel.

1150
00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:32,840
Speaker 1: This Washington defensive front is not the first game you'd

1151
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:34,400
Speaker 1: like to see on your schedule. So I think that

1152
00:57:34,480 --> 00:57:38,160
Speaker 1: he gets off to slow start. Love the under, and

1153
00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:41,800
Speaker 1: you know, with all of these negative things, he's still

1154
00:57:41,760 --> 00:57:43,920
Speaker 1: in my quarterback twelve. I think that's a good sign

1155
00:57:43,960 --> 00:57:46,800
Speaker 1: for a season long prospects that he's still QB twelve.

1156
00:57:46,840 --> 00:57:48,840
Speaker 1: But he's one of those guys where he's sort of

1157
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:51,040
Speaker 1: on the fringe to start this week just because of

1158
00:57:51,080 --> 00:57:53,600
Speaker 1: how brutal this matchup is. Where do you have him

1159
00:57:53,680 --> 00:57:54,040
Speaker 1: right now?

1160
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:57,080
Speaker 2: I have him at QB thirteen, so I'm right there,

1161
00:57:57,080 --> 00:57:59,600
Speaker 2: but I'm two fifty three for the passing yardage. And

1162
00:58:00,280 --> 00:58:04,040
Speaker 2: you know, one of those things where I said this,

1163
00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:06,920
Speaker 2: you know, in our season long pods, but we might

1164
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:09,760
Speaker 2: look at look back at like did we really draft

1165
00:58:09,920 --> 00:58:13,760
Speaker 2: Justin Herbert well ahead of Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers

1166
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:17,600
Speaker 2: and and Jalen Hurts And if you drafted Herbert at

1167
00:58:17,600 --> 00:58:20,080
Speaker 2: that QB seven, Uh, you.

1168
00:58:20,000 --> 00:58:20,520
Speaker 3: Know it's not.

1169
00:58:20,640 --> 00:58:22,439
Speaker 2: It probably is gonna be a little ugly in week

1170
00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:24,720
Speaker 2: one because you're gonna you're gonna have Tom Brady going

1171
00:58:24,760 --> 00:58:28,840
Speaker 2: against Dallas, You're gonna have Rogers against New Orleans, and

1172
00:58:28,920 --> 00:58:33,720
Speaker 2: you're going to have who is it, Jalen Hurts in

1173
00:58:33,760 --> 00:58:36,760
Speaker 2: that in that matchup against the Falcons. So uh not,

1174
00:58:36,840 --> 00:58:39,600
Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised if that starts out a little rough. Still,

1175
00:58:39,680 --> 00:58:42,680
Speaker 2: still do expect a great season for Herbert, but uh,

1176
00:58:43,440 --> 00:58:47,480
Speaker 2: Washington front is nothing to play with that front seven,

1177
00:58:47,880 --> 00:58:49,680
Speaker 2: and I think they'll be decent on the back end.

1178
00:58:50,760 --> 00:58:52,480
Speaker 2: I know they're gonna change some things up scheme while

1179
00:58:52,560 --> 00:58:54,920
Speaker 2: play a little more man to kind of, you know,

1180
00:58:55,040 --> 00:58:57,280
Speaker 2: maximize that the value of that front even more.

1181
00:58:57,360 --> 00:58:57,520
Speaker 1: So.

1182
00:58:58,440 --> 00:59:00,760
Speaker 2: I'm interested in this Washington team and what they're going

1183
00:59:00,800 --> 00:59:01,960
Speaker 2: to be doing, but I don't think this is a

1184
00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:05,320
Speaker 2: matchup that you want to play around with with your quarterback.

1185
00:59:05,440 --> 00:59:10,080
Speaker 2: Like definitely would look to find a better option than

1186
00:59:10,160 --> 00:59:15,160
Speaker 2: Herbert this week for DFS. I like Antonio Gibson. He's

1187
00:59:15,200 --> 00:59:19,400
Speaker 2: in that mid range pricing tier, you know, not too much,

1188
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:22,240
Speaker 2: and we expect a big year from him. I know

1189
00:59:22,400 --> 00:59:25,400
Speaker 2: we like Jarrett Patterson as kind of that number three

1190
00:59:25,480 --> 00:59:28,560
Speaker 2: back there, but we were here in their whispers. You know,

1191
00:59:28,800 --> 00:59:31,400
Speaker 2: maybe they'll try to turn Gibson into McCaffrey, maybe he

1192
00:59:31,440 --> 00:59:33,880
Speaker 2: gets a few more passing down snaps, But either way,

1193
00:59:33,960 --> 00:59:37,360
Speaker 2: I think he's too cheap in DFS at home in

1194
00:59:37,400 --> 00:59:39,960
Speaker 2: Week one, I don't I don't know that the Chargers

1195
00:59:39,960 --> 00:59:42,040
Speaker 2: should really be a favorite on the road here. So

1196
00:59:42,720 --> 00:59:44,920
Speaker 2: Gibson's kind of like I treat him kind of like

1197
00:59:44,960 --> 00:59:46,320
Speaker 2: a home favorite back in this spot.

1198
00:59:47,400 --> 00:59:49,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love that call, and you know, I do

1199
00:59:49,440 --> 00:59:52,720
Speaker 1: think just his ceiling is through the roof because you know,

1200
00:59:52,760 --> 00:59:54,920
Speaker 1: we saw him limited when it comes to you know,

1201
00:59:55,840 --> 00:59:58,600
Speaker 1: passing down work last year. But He's a former receiver,

1202
00:59:58,720 --> 01:00:00,760
Speaker 1: so we know he can handle that. The question is

1203
01:00:00,800 --> 01:00:04,200
Speaker 1: can he handle twenty plus touches a game. Obviously that'd

1204
01:00:04,200 --> 01:00:06,640
Speaker 1: be the only concern with him. But love attacking him

1205
01:00:06,680 --> 01:00:09,240
Speaker 1: early on, So love that cheat code. I'm going a

1206
01:00:09,240 --> 01:00:12,280
Speaker 1: little bit off the map with my cheat code. I'm

1207
01:00:12,320 --> 01:00:15,200
Speaker 1: going with Josh Palmer. And we got to see Josh

1208
01:00:15,240 --> 01:00:18,720
Speaker 1: Palmer score a touchdown in a meaningly meaningless preseason game.

1209
01:00:19,160 --> 01:00:21,160
Speaker 1: But I think that he's ready to step in and

1210
01:00:21,200 --> 01:00:23,560
Speaker 1: sort of be, you know, the true number three wide

1211
01:00:23,600 --> 01:00:25,960
Speaker 1: receiver for the Chargers. They didn't really have that last

1212
01:00:26,040 --> 01:00:28,400
Speaker 1: year with Jalen Geiton. You know, he still ran a

1213
01:00:28,480 --> 01:00:30,760
Speaker 1: route over eighty percent of the time every week, he

1214
01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:34,920
Speaker 1: just did nothing with his usage. So I think Josh Palmer,

1215
01:00:35,880 --> 01:00:37,800
Speaker 1: he's a fourth round pick out of Tennessee. I think

1216
01:00:37,840 --> 01:00:40,440
Speaker 1: he's way more talented than it, you know, Jalen Guiten is.

1217
01:00:41,520 --> 01:00:43,480
Speaker 1: You know, I think Jared Cook's going to be very

1218
01:00:43,480 --> 01:00:45,120
Speaker 1: good at tight end, but he's not going to command

1219
01:00:45,160 --> 01:00:47,920
Speaker 1: the same target share that say Hunter Henry did. So

1220
01:00:48,000 --> 01:00:51,439
Speaker 1: I think there are targets for Palmer out of the gate.

1221
01:00:51,840 --> 01:00:53,439
Speaker 1: Am I taking him a couple of games to really

1222
01:00:53,480 --> 01:00:56,320
Speaker 1: break out this. Like we've said, this is a tough matchup,

1223
01:00:56,360 --> 01:00:58,520
Speaker 1: but these rookie receivers, I kind of want to get

1224
01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:01,160
Speaker 1: in early. So I'm gonna have a few Josh Palmer

1225
01:01:01,240 --> 01:01:05,600
Speaker 1: lineup sprinkled throughout my builds. I'm not going all in

1226
01:01:05,640 --> 01:01:07,200
Speaker 1: this week, but just put him on your radar. I

1227
01:01:07,200 --> 01:01:08,520
Speaker 1: think he's gonna break out this year.

1228
01:01:09,480 --> 01:01:12,520
Speaker 2: I just I hope you're ready to go, like, you know,

1229
01:01:12,720 --> 01:01:14,920
Speaker 2: all or nothing next week when like you're going in

1230
01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:17,240
Speaker 2: on all these rookies. And I know in the past

1231
01:01:17,280 --> 01:01:18,840
Speaker 2: I remember you saying like, ah, I was like a

1232
01:01:18,880 --> 01:01:21,600
Speaker 2: week too early, and so like you gotta be ready

1233
01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:23,600
Speaker 2: to go right back in on this guys even if

1234
01:01:23,640 --> 01:01:27,480
Speaker 2: they like gooseg Yeah, if they goose Egg, I will

1235
01:01:27,520 --> 01:01:34,200
Speaker 2: absolutely be next week. All right, let's go to Jets

1236
01:01:34,240 --> 01:01:39,720
Speaker 2: at Panthers, and this is the revenge game for Sam Darnold.

1237
01:01:40,040 --> 01:01:42,520
Speaker 2: You have the Panthers five point favorites, the total at

1238
01:01:42,520 --> 01:01:46,080
Speaker 2: forty five. I'm gonna start with another former Jet in

1239
01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:48,840
Speaker 2: a spot, Robbie Anderson over under sixty three and a

1240
01:01:48,880 --> 01:01:50,479
Speaker 2: half receiving yards a prize pick.

1241
01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:55,680
Speaker 1: I can never go against Robbie Anderson, but I am

1242
01:01:55,800 --> 01:01:58,520
Speaker 1: under this number. So it's a pass for me. I

1243
01:01:58,600 --> 01:02:02,120
Speaker 1: have them closer to six steyards, which is actually pretty

1244
01:02:02,160 --> 01:02:05,680
Speaker 1: high because with that projection, he's my wide receiver twenty

1245
01:02:05,720 --> 01:02:09,560
Speaker 1: three and DJ Moore is my wide receiver twenty one.

1246
01:02:10,360 --> 01:02:12,360
Speaker 1: So I've always said that, you know that the eighty

1247
01:02:12,760 --> 01:02:15,480
Speaker 1: p gap between these receivers is probably too big. I

1248
01:02:15,560 --> 01:02:18,800
Speaker 1: consider these guys almost identical when it comes to, you know,

1249
01:02:18,880 --> 01:02:22,439
Speaker 1: fantasy projection. So I'm high on Robby Anderson this week.

1250
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:25,880
Speaker 1: This is a double revenge game for he and Sam Darnold.

1251
01:02:26,760 --> 01:02:28,920
Speaker 1: You know, they already have that chemistry. This is a good,

1252
01:02:29,080 --> 01:02:33,400
Speaker 1: good matchup for the Panthers passing offense. You know, this

1253
01:02:33,680 --> 01:02:37,840
Speaker 1: Jets secondary is really rough on paper. I'm not a

1254
01:02:37,920 --> 01:02:40,600
Speaker 1: huge believer in Sam Darnald, but if they're ever week

1255
01:02:41,000 --> 01:02:44,000
Speaker 1: to plan, it'd be this week. So I do like

1256
01:02:44,080 --> 01:02:47,200
Speaker 1: Robby Anderson this week. This line is very high. I

1257
01:02:47,240 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 1: wish I could go over, but this is a pass

1258
01:02:49,240 --> 01:02:49,480
Speaker 1: for me.

1259
01:02:51,760 --> 01:02:54,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have it. Yeah, I have it at like

1260
01:02:54,080 --> 01:02:56,560
Speaker 2: fifty five. So and that's probably because I'm a little

1261
01:02:56,560 --> 01:02:59,480
Speaker 2: more down on Donald but and also because the Panthers

1262
01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:01,720
Speaker 2: our favorite. You know, they may not need to throw

1263
01:03:01,760 --> 01:03:05,480
Speaker 2: it around the yard, you know, I do. I do

1264
01:03:05,560 --> 01:03:07,680
Speaker 2: have Anderson as I have more as twenty one, but

1265
01:03:07,720 --> 01:03:09,520
Speaker 2: Anderson is thirty three, so I have a little more

1266
01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:14,280
Speaker 2: separation between the two guys here. And yeah, I think

1267
01:03:14,360 --> 01:03:16,480
Speaker 2: I think the Jets secondary is really weak. It's just

1268
01:03:17,240 --> 01:03:19,520
Speaker 2: how much do the Panthers need to throw it around

1269
01:03:19,520 --> 01:03:21,440
Speaker 2: in Week one? That's the only thing we don't know.

1270
01:03:22,080 --> 01:03:25,640
Speaker 2: It's a pretty much a low total game. Christian McCaffrey's back.

1271
01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:28,520
Speaker 2: So although the Jets, you know, they've i mean, their

1272
01:03:28,560 --> 01:03:30,720
Speaker 2: defensive line has been getting decimated, but they have been

1273
01:03:31,000 --> 01:03:33,840
Speaker 2: decent and run defense in years past. It's just there's

1274
01:03:33,880 --> 01:03:36,800
Speaker 2: a lot going on here at Carolina. So fifty five

1275
01:03:36,840 --> 01:03:39,280
Speaker 2: for me, so I am under the number although the

1276
01:03:39,320 --> 01:03:42,440
Speaker 2: matchup is good. But that's the thing when you're betting props,

1277
01:03:42,480 --> 01:03:44,520
Speaker 2: you know a lot of times people look at these

1278
01:03:44,600 --> 01:03:46,920
Speaker 2: numbers and they're like, oh, yeah, you know, good matchup,

1279
01:03:47,000 --> 01:03:49,880
Speaker 2: definitely going to bang the over, but that's accounted for

1280
01:03:50,200 --> 01:03:54,120
Speaker 2: in the number, right. So yeah, sixty three and a half, Yeah,

1281
01:03:54,160 --> 01:03:56,680
Speaker 2: that is really high even for a guy that I

1282
01:03:56,680 --> 01:03:59,760
Speaker 2: think we do like the matchup. Would you before you

1283
01:04:00,080 --> 01:04:04,280
Speaker 2: to DFS cheekos, would you stream Sam Donald this week?

1284
01:04:05,200 --> 01:04:07,840
Speaker 1: I think I would, and I'm writing my streamers article

1285
01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:11,240
Speaker 1: after this, and he might be my streamer, which goes

1286
01:04:11,280 --> 01:04:15,320
Speaker 1: to show how brutal Week one is for streamers. But

1287
01:04:15,640 --> 01:04:18,400
Speaker 1: you know, he's he's the highest ranked guy that I

1288
01:04:18,440 --> 01:04:22,040
Speaker 1: have that's rostered on fewer than fifty percent of teams.

1289
01:04:22,560 --> 01:04:23,960
Speaker 1: But I do like this matchup.

1290
01:04:24,360 --> 01:04:27,480
Speaker 3: Huh seventeen, I have him twenty three, So yeah.

1291
01:04:27,400 --> 01:04:30,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, So again it's it's not a good week for streamers.

1292
01:04:30,760 --> 01:04:33,720
Speaker 1: Usually that's the case to begin the season for streamers.

1293
01:04:33,720 --> 01:04:35,760
Speaker 1: We just hope we end up on a Justin Herbert

1294
01:04:36,040 --> 01:04:38,680
Speaker 1: or Jalen Hurts at some point. But you know, this

1295
01:04:38,760 --> 01:04:42,560
Speaker 1: secondary is a disaster. I mean, we don't really know

1296
01:04:42,600 --> 01:04:45,200
Speaker 1: who's lining up across from Brice Hall. They have a

1297
01:04:45,280 --> 01:04:47,920
Speaker 1: fifth round rookie, sixth round rooie, and an undrafted rookie

1298
01:04:48,360 --> 01:04:52,160
Speaker 1: that could potentially start outside and in the slot. So

1299
01:04:52,240 --> 01:04:54,960
Speaker 1: this is a really good matchup. If Sam Donald can't

1300
01:04:55,000 --> 01:04:58,480
Speaker 1: put up QB two numbers in this matchup, then you

1301
01:04:58,480 --> 01:05:00,640
Speaker 1: know all that's are off on him. So I'm just

1302
01:05:00,680 --> 01:05:02,800
Speaker 1: saying that this if there were ever matchup to play

1303
01:05:02,840 --> 01:05:05,840
Speaker 1: Sam Donald, it's this week. But you know, how can

1304
01:05:05,880 --> 01:05:09,240
Speaker 1: you ever feel confident streaming Sam Donald. But I happen

1305
01:05:09,280 --> 01:05:11,680
Speaker 1: to think that out of all the options, out of

1306
01:05:11,680 --> 01:05:14,320
Speaker 1: all the crappy options right now, Sam Donald's probably one

1307
01:05:14,360 --> 01:05:15,000
Speaker 1: of the better ones.

1308
01:05:15,560 --> 01:05:17,400
Speaker 3: You wouldn't rather stream like a Jimmy G.

1309
01:05:18,680 --> 01:05:21,680
Speaker 1: Like, Oh, we'll have to see what happens with Trey Lance.

1310
01:05:22,280 --> 01:05:25,600
Speaker 1: If Trey Lance ends up missing because of his finger,

1311
01:05:26,840 --> 01:05:28,840
Speaker 1: I would be surprised if Trey Lance has a goal

1312
01:05:28,840 --> 01:05:32,480
Speaker 1: line package or something, you know, gets a couple snaps.

1313
01:05:33,360 --> 01:05:37,240
Speaker 1: You know, I'm considering Jimmy G a high floor play.

1314
01:05:38,320 --> 01:05:41,440
Speaker 1: But I think, well, we're talking about these streaming quarterbacks.

1315
01:05:41,440 --> 01:05:42,960
Speaker 1: I don't think you go wrong with any of these

1316
01:05:42,960 --> 01:05:45,360
Speaker 1: guys really, but none of them really stick out as

1317
01:05:45,400 --> 01:05:48,680
Speaker 1: a great play. Again Week one streaming, I'm telling you

1318
01:05:48,720 --> 01:05:51,840
Speaker 1: it's a disaster this week. It's there's no like slam

1319
01:05:51,920 --> 01:05:54,800
Speaker 1: dunk play like there usually is. So you can't go

1320
01:05:54,840 --> 01:05:56,440
Speaker 1: wrong with any of these guys. Sort Of in this

1321
01:05:56,520 --> 01:05:58,400
Speaker 1: QB twenty range, could.

1322
01:05:58,240 --> 01:05:59,560
Speaker 2: You play Donald over Herbert?

1323
01:05:59,600 --> 01:05:59,680
Speaker 1: No?

1324
01:05:59,840 --> 01:06:06,000
Speaker 2: Right, hell no, no, even though within like five spots, well, even.

1325
01:06:05,840 --> 01:06:09,080
Speaker 1: Though Herbert has all these negative things, he's still in

1326
01:06:09,080 --> 01:06:13,000
Speaker 1: my Quarterback twelve. Okay, so if you know Herbert happened

1327
01:06:13,000 --> 01:06:15,800
Speaker 1: to be like QB eighteen. Just under Donald, I would

1328
01:06:15,800 --> 01:06:18,680
Speaker 1: still say play Herbert, like you still want to trust

1329
01:06:18,760 --> 01:06:20,720
Speaker 1: the better quarterback when it's closed like that.

1330
01:06:22,800 --> 01:06:23,280
Speaker 2: DFS.

1331
01:06:23,320 --> 01:06:24,480
Speaker 3: I like Corey Davis.

1332
01:06:24,600 --> 01:06:27,280
Speaker 2: I think he'll be the lead route runner, lead air

1333
01:06:27,400 --> 01:06:31,200
Speaker 2: yard a crewer for this Jets team under Zach Wilson,

1334
01:06:31,200 --> 01:06:34,640
Speaker 2: who kind of already trust more than Sam Donald in

1335
01:06:35,160 --> 01:06:37,680
Speaker 2: a sense. But I do think you know the Jets

1336
01:06:37,960 --> 01:06:40,280
Speaker 2: will be playing, you know, from behind in this one

1337
01:06:40,280 --> 01:06:44,000
Speaker 2: a little bit. So Jamison Crowder banged up Corey Davis,

1338
01:06:44,040 --> 01:06:46,640
Speaker 2: puts Corey Davis in a good spot. And I know

1339
01:06:46,680 --> 01:06:49,439
Speaker 2: I think you probably like Elijah Moore as well.

1340
01:06:49,520 --> 01:06:53,000
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, I was gonna have you guess which rookie

1341
01:06:53,040 --> 01:06:57,160
Speaker 1: wide receiver is my cheat code, because we have Terrence Marshall,

1342
01:06:57,160 --> 01:06:59,480
Speaker 1: who I'm high on, but the cat is out of

1343
01:06:59,480 --> 01:07:02,560
Speaker 1: the bag on him because he you know, he scored

1344
01:07:02,800 --> 01:07:05,480
Speaker 1: a bunch of touchdowns in preseason. But Elijah Moore is

1345
01:07:05,520 --> 01:07:08,640
Speaker 1: my cheek code this week. And a big part of

1346
01:07:08,680 --> 01:07:10,560
Speaker 1: that is, you know, honestly, we didn't see him playing

1347
01:07:10,600 --> 01:07:13,680
Speaker 1: the preseason, so I don't think people are really bullsh

1348
01:07:13,720 --> 01:07:16,640
Speaker 1: on him quite yet. People tend to need to see

1349
01:07:16,720 --> 01:07:19,080
Speaker 1: him in action or need to see rookies in action

1350
01:07:19,160 --> 01:07:21,720
Speaker 1: before they buy in, and that's why I want to

1351
01:07:21,720 --> 01:07:24,400
Speaker 1: buy in early on him. Jamison Crowder is banged up,

1352
01:07:24,440 --> 01:07:26,200
Speaker 1: so he might be limited this week. That's one of

1353
01:07:26,200 --> 01:07:28,720
Speaker 1: the things that has been holding Elijam Moore back in

1354
01:07:28,760 --> 01:07:32,520
Speaker 1: my season long projections is Jamison Crowder. So I think

1355
01:07:32,840 --> 01:07:36,000
Speaker 1: Moore's gonna to hit the ground running this week. And

1356
01:07:36,120 --> 01:07:38,040
Speaker 1: you know last year when it came to like Justin

1357
01:07:38,120 --> 01:07:41,760
Speaker 1: Jefferson and Chase Claypool, those are two ride receivers, I

1358
01:07:41,800 --> 01:07:44,480
Speaker 1: was a bit early on and I was taking their

1359
01:07:44,520 --> 01:07:47,919
Speaker 1: over under like there's you know, their weekly player prop

1360
01:07:48,040 --> 01:07:49,919
Speaker 1: was like eighteen and a half yards for each one

1361
01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:52,080
Speaker 1: the week where they just went off, so I was

1362
01:07:52,120 --> 01:07:54,160
Speaker 1: able to get them. So like Elijah Moore is in

1363
01:07:54,160 --> 01:07:57,640
Speaker 1: that camp. I think last year Justin Jefferson, Chase Claypool,

1364
01:07:57,680 --> 01:07:59,760
Speaker 1: I'm super high on him. So that's why I want

1365
01:07:59,800 --> 01:08:02,680
Speaker 1: to take him week one. Where's Terrence Marshall. We've talked

1366
01:08:02,680 --> 01:08:05,280
Speaker 1: about this. He probably does need an injury to say

1367
01:08:05,360 --> 01:08:08,560
Speaker 1: DJ Moore Robbie Anderson to really have fancy value. Whereas

1368
01:08:08,600 --> 01:08:11,560
Speaker 1: Elijah More, I don't really see much stopping him out

1369
01:08:11,560 --> 01:08:14,440
Speaker 1: of the eight. So he's a guy I'm all in

1370
01:08:14,480 --> 01:08:16,519
Speaker 1: on for week one as my chief code.

1371
01:08:17,080 --> 01:08:20,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he's been playing some outside in camp two.

1372
01:08:20,320 --> 01:08:23,120
Speaker 2: So even though you know he projects more as a

1373
01:08:23,120 --> 01:08:25,840
Speaker 2: slat guy, I think he's one of their three best receivers,

1374
01:08:26,520 --> 01:08:28,840
Speaker 2: so he'll be on the field a ton this year.

1375
01:08:28,880 --> 01:08:34,160
Speaker 2: I think let's go to Jacksonville Houston. The Jaguars are

1376
01:08:34,400 --> 01:08:39,240
Speaker 2: favored on the road against the Texans by three points,

1377
01:08:39,240 --> 01:08:44,080
Speaker 2: the total forty five, and Jacksonville has three receivers that

1378
01:08:44,320 --> 01:08:47,559
Speaker 2: should get quite a bit of action. Now, I know

1379
01:08:47,640 --> 01:08:49,799
Speaker 2: Marvin Jones has banged up, but his prop is fifty

1380
01:08:49,800 --> 01:08:53,280
Speaker 2: four and a half receiving yards at prize picks. Are

1381
01:08:53,280 --> 01:08:54,040
Speaker 2: you over under?

1382
01:08:55,160 --> 01:08:58,400
Speaker 1: I'm in line with this. I'm at fifty three, But

1383
01:08:58,600 --> 01:09:01,800
Speaker 1: there's just so much uncertainty with these three receivers that

1384
01:09:02,000 --> 01:09:05,240
Speaker 1: I'd probably lean under. He probably has a lower floor

1385
01:09:05,640 --> 01:09:07,960
Speaker 1: than we realize. I think the sure thing out of

1386
01:09:07,960 --> 01:09:12,280
Speaker 1: this trio receivers is Levis Causchenault. I think he's he's

1387
01:09:12,360 --> 01:09:16,040
Speaker 1: the lock to see, you know, seven plus targets. Potentially,

1388
01:09:16,720 --> 01:09:19,880
Speaker 1: where's Marvin Jones. He might be a little bit more inconsistent,

1389
01:09:20,760 --> 01:09:23,000
Speaker 1: but he he is sort of the veteran of this trio,

1390
01:09:23,040 --> 01:09:25,320
Speaker 1: and I think Trevor Lawrence has leaned on him. He

1391
01:09:25,439 --> 01:09:28,120
Speaker 1: tends watching these preseason games. He tends to be in

1392
01:09:28,160 --> 01:09:30,920
Speaker 1: the right place at the right time, and Trevor Lawrence

1393
01:09:30,960 --> 01:09:34,400
Speaker 1: knows that. So he's been one of Trevor Lawrence's favorite

1394
01:09:34,400 --> 01:09:36,960
Speaker 1: targets at times. So, you know, I think Marvin Jones

1395
01:09:37,040 --> 01:09:39,600
Speaker 1: is a great play long term for season long Like,

1396
01:09:39,640 --> 01:09:41,040
Speaker 1: he's a good He's a guy I like to have

1397
01:09:41,080 --> 01:09:43,599
Speaker 1: on my bench. But three week one, I'm probably under

1398
01:09:43,640 --> 01:09:45,080
Speaker 1: on this due to the uncertainty.

1399
01:09:46,920 --> 01:09:51,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have Jones at fifty four, so I'm actually

1400
01:09:51,240 --> 01:09:51,719
Speaker 2: right there.

1401
01:09:52,280 --> 01:09:52,439
Speaker 1: One.

1402
01:09:52,920 --> 01:09:56,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good it's a good one. But he's

1403
01:09:56,240 --> 01:09:59,360
Speaker 2: my wide receiver thirty nine. So if you're in a

1404
01:09:59,400 --> 01:10:02,200
Speaker 2: three a twelve team league, I could see starting him

1405
01:10:02,240 --> 01:10:05,559
Speaker 2: in a flex, but uh, he's kind of on that fringe.

1406
01:10:05,560 --> 01:10:08,240
Speaker 2: Like I wouldn't start him as a wide receiver three

1407
01:10:08,360 --> 01:10:11,719
Speaker 2: even with the uh with the good matchup this week,

1408
01:10:11,800 --> 01:10:15,519
Speaker 2: so I think he you know, just like you said,

1409
01:10:15,640 --> 01:10:19,920
Speaker 2: uncertainty there. For DFS, I would like James Robinson is

1410
01:10:19,920 --> 01:10:22,080
Speaker 2: a mid range guy, you know, top eight running back

1411
01:10:22,120 --> 01:10:26,080
Speaker 2: for me this week, and I believe most DFS pricing

1412
01:10:26,120 --> 01:10:31,160
Speaker 2: came out when Robinson was still presumed to be sharing

1413
01:10:31,200 --> 01:10:34,519
Speaker 2: the backfield with Travis Etn who, of course got injured

1414
01:10:34,840 --> 01:10:38,160
Speaker 2: in the preseason down for the year unfortunately. How about

1415
01:10:38,160 --> 01:10:41,679
Speaker 2: you do you like in DFS Jacksonville. So James Robinson

1416
01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:43,960
Speaker 2: great call? I have him RB six this week where

1417
01:10:44,080 --> 01:10:50,519
Speaker 2: you have him? I have James ra I think seven. Yeah,

1418
01:10:50,600 --> 01:10:55,879
Speaker 2: so he's absolutely the cheat coded this matchup. I concur however,

1419
01:10:56,320 --> 01:10:58,840
Speaker 2: and I promise this is my last one. I'm going

1420
01:10:58,840 --> 01:11:03,599
Speaker 2: with a rookie wide receiver, Nico Collins, baby, and he's

1421
01:11:03,600 --> 01:11:05,880
Speaker 2: a guy. Wait wait, before we go into this, did

1422
01:11:05,880 --> 01:11:07,680
Speaker 2: you see that Anthony Miller practiced?

1423
01:11:08,560 --> 01:11:09,479
Speaker 1: He did practice.

1424
01:11:09,560 --> 01:11:12,599
Speaker 3: Okay, they might take it.

1425
01:11:12,520 --> 01:11:14,800
Speaker 2: Easy with him because that was a separated shoulder. So

1426
01:11:15,240 --> 01:11:15,840
Speaker 2: I don't know if you.

1427
01:11:15,840 --> 01:11:16,720
Speaker 1: Can take contact.

1428
01:11:17,000 --> 01:11:17,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think.

1429
01:11:17,640 --> 01:11:21,240
Speaker 1: I don't think it matters in this situation. Because Nico

1430
01:11:21,280 --> 01:11:22,040
Speaker 1: Collins is a guy.

1431
01:11:22,520 --> 01:11:24,960
Speaker 2: I thought I might try to start the hype train

1432
01:11:25,040 --> 01:11:27,800
Speaker 2: on by like week eight, week nine, But then they

1433
01:11:27,840 --> 01:11:31,080
Speaker 2: trade away Randall Cobb, and then they cut Kiki QT

1434
01:11:32,120 --> 01:11:35,679
Speaker 2: and then the guy they traded for, Anthony Miller separated shoulder.

1435
01:11:35,800 --> 01:11:38,320
Speaker 1: Now he might play this week again, he might be limited,

1436
01:11:38,360 --> 01:11:41,120
Speaker 1: but either way, I think Neocollins is going to see

1437
01:11:41,840 --> 01:11:44,920
Speaker 1: what over eighty percent of the rest run this week

1438
01:11:44,960 --> 01:11:47,439
Speaker 1: out of the gate, So I think we need to

1439
01:11:47,479 --> 01:11:50,600
Speaker 1: get on Nico Collins before the hype train leaves the

1440
01:11:50,600 --> 01:11:54,160
Speaker 1: station again. Don't put him in all your lineups, but

1441
01:11:54,240 --> 01:11:57,040
Speaker 1: sprinkle him in a couple of your lamups this week.

1442
01:11:57,280 --> 01:11:59,320
Speaker 1: He's one of those you know, he's six foot four,

1443
01:11:59,360 --> 01:12:04,519
Speaker 1: He's a big body receiver, a potential great deep downfield threat.

1444
01:12:04,960 --> 01:12:07,719
Speaker 1: He's sort of like the Chase Claypool kind of guy

1445
01:12:07,760 --> 01:12:11,160
Speaker 1: this season. I think he has that kind of upside. Unfortunately,

1446
01:12:11,200 --> 01:12:14,400
Speaker 1: Tyrod Taylor won't really unlock his true ceiling this year,

1447
01:12:14,400 --> 01:12:16,160
Speaker 1: but he's a guy I definitely want to have some

1448
01:12:16,200 --> 01:12:18,479
Speaker 1: shares of this week. What are your thoughts on Nico

1449
01:12:18,520 --> 01:12:19,080
Speaker 1: Collins for.

1450
01:12:19,280 --> 01:12:21,800
Speaker 2: I need you to help me project these routes because like,

1451
01:12:21,880 --> 01:12:24,639
Speaker 2: I don't know what to do. So I have Cooks

1452
01:12:24,680 --> 01:12:27,000
Speaker 2: ninety two and a half percent, like I do it

1453
01:12:27,040 --> 01:12:32,240
Speaker 2: in two point five increments, Collins seventy five, Connley seventy five,

1454
01:12:32,360 --> 01:12:36,760
Speaker 2: Miller twenty five, Roberts five Like is that? Like, where

1455
01:12:36,800 --> 01:12:39,000
Speaker 2: do you have these guys? Because I have no idea

1456
01:12:39,040 --> 01:12:40,400
Speaker 2: where to put anyone behind.

1457
01:12:40,160 --> 01:12:46,840
Speaker 1: Cooks I'm similar, so I have Yeah, Cook's run ninety

1458
01:12:46,920 --> 01:12:51,720
Speaker 1: ninety five percent, Nico Collins and Chris Connelly. That that's

1459
01:12:51,800 --> 01:12:55,040
Speaker 1: kind of the interesting part of this where I don't

1460
01:12:55,080 --> 01:12:56,240
Speaker 1: know how those are going to give you up. So

1461
01:12:56,240 --> 01:13:00,400
Speaker 1: I think anywhere between sixty five and seventy five. Okay, guys,

1462
01:13:01,280 --> 01:13:04,160
Speaker 1: I think Anthony Miller. I think twenty five percent sounds

1463
01:13:04,200 --> 01:13:06,360
Speaker 1: about right. That could be zero, yeah, that's why.

1464
01:13:06,479 --> 01:13:09,040
Speaker 2: But so like if he's out though, that would increase

1465
01:13:09,080 --> 01:13:10,840
Speaker 2: Collins and Conley because Cooks can't really.

1466
01:13:10,720 --> 01:13:12,840
Speaker 1: Go any exactly, That's what I'm saying.

1467
01:13:13,200 --> 01:13:15,240
Speaker 2: And Connedy, I mean, he doesn't really get targeted.

1468
01:13:15,479 --> 01:13:17,880
Speaker 1: I am forcing this issue with Nico Collins because I'm

1469
01:13:17,920 --> 01:13:21,760
Speaker 1: assuming Anthony Miller. You know, he'll probably sit this week. Again,

1470
01:13:21,800 --> 01:13:25,439
Speaker 1: it's a separate shoulder, so it seems like that's, you know,

1471
01:13:25,600 --> 01:13:27,720
Speaker 1: likely for an in game aggravation. There's no reason to

1472
01:13:28,280 --> 01:13:30,679
Speaker 1: force him. And Andre Roberts is more of a special

1473
01:13:30,720 --> 01:13:33,640
Speaker 1: teams guy and he's banged up. I don't think he

1474
01:13:33,680 --> 01:13:35,880
Speaker 1: could put him for over five percent.

1475
01:13:35,960 --> 01:13:38,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm just I'm just putting him is

1476
01:13:38,160 --> 01:13:39,840
Speaker 2: like five because I know we'll be active and like

1477
01:13:39,920 --> 01:13:40,840
Speaker 2: if somebody gets hurt.

1478
01:13:41,000 --> 01:13:43,920
Speaker 1: He's got that's his ceiling though. But either way, I

1479
01:13:43,920 --> 01:13:47,559
Speaker 1: think Nico Collins could see eighty percent very easily. Yeah,

1480
01:13:47,640 --> 01:13:50,799
Speaker 1: this week Chris Conley could rain on that Nico Collins parade.

1481
01:13:51,280 --> 01:13:54,720
Speaker 1: But either way, you know, I don't think enough people

1482
01:13:54,760 --> 01:13:56,479
Speaker 1: are gonna have Collins this week. So that's that's why

1483
01:13:56,479 --> 01:13:57,760
Speaker 1: I'm bullsh on him.

1484
01:13:58,000 --> 01:14:00,640
Speaker 3: All right, Let's go to Cleveland at k See.

1485
01:14:01,000 --> 01:14:03,760
Speaker 2: This is an interesting one for fantasy purposes because you

1486
01:14:03,760 --> 01:14:07,240
Speaker 2: have a high total fifty three, you have the Chiefs.

1487
01:14:07,000 --> 01:14:07,679
Speaker 3: Favored by six.

1488
01:14:07,720 --> 01:14:10,200
Speaker 2: Of course, it was a low scoring game in the

1489
01:14:10,240 --> 01:14:12,639
Speaker 2: postseason last year, hotal let me bring up the score.

1490
01:14:13,720 --> 01:14:15,519
Speaker 2: Of course it was a twenty two to seventeen low

1491
01:14:15,560 --> 01:14:18,160
Speaker 2: scoring game. Patrick Mahomes was banged up in the postseason

1492
01:14:18,200 --> 01:14:21,560
Speaker 2: matchup between these two last year. But you know a

1493
01:14:21,600 --> 01:14:23,840
Speaker 2: lot of times when you look at you're looking for

1494
01:14:23,840 --> 01:14:27,120
Speaker 2: a streamer, you look at these high total games against

1495
01:14:27,120 --> 01:14:28,680
Speaker 2: the team that you know is going to force the

1496
01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:30,759
Speaker 2: other team to throw. Now, I know Case is historically

1497
01:14:30,760 --> 01:14:32,719
Speaker 2: at a bad rundy, but you figure at some point

1498
01:14:32,720 --> 01:14:34,400
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield is going to have to air it out.

1499
01:14:34,600 --> 01:14:36,200
Speaker 2: Two hundred and fifty one and a half is his

1500
01:14:36,240 --> 01:14:40,599
Speaker 2: passing yard line at prize picks, are you over or under?

1501
01:14:41,400 --> 01:14:44,519
Speaker 1: I think this game script favors the over here. I

1502
01:14:44,520 --> 01:14:46,439
Speaker 1: think it should be closer to the two fifty five

1503
01:14:47,080 --> 01:14:50,240
Speaker 1: two sixty range. I think, you know, Baker is going

1504
01:14:50,280 --> 01:14:52,719
Speaker 1: to be forced to throw to keep up with Mahomes

1505
01:14:52,720 --> 01:14:54,920
Speaker 1: and the Chiefs offense. I mean, I think we saw

1506
01:14:54,920 --> 01:14:56,360
Speaker 1: it d end of last year. You know, Baker was

1507
01:14:56,400 --> 01:14:59,320
Speaker 1: pretty comfortable, you know, airing it out. I think it

1508
01:14:59,320 --> 01:15:01,360
Speaker 1: probably took him half the season to kind of get

1509
01:15:01,520 --> 01:15:06,320
Speaker 1: familiar with Kevin Stefanski's new scheme. Odell Beckham is back.

1510
01:15:06,360 --> 01:15:08,840
Speaker 1: I know people like to say that Baker was worse

1511
01:15:08,880 --> 01:15:12,400
Speaker 1: with Odell Beckham, but I'm fading that noise. I think,

1512
01:15:12,479 --> 01:15:16,040
Speaker 1: you know he's gonna hit the ground running with Odell Landry.

1513
01:15:17,240 --> 01:15:19,280
Speaker 1: You know, all three tight ends could see the field.

1514
01:15:19,280 --> 01:15:20,920
Speaker 1: So I think this will be a more pass heavy

1515
01:15:21,240 --> 01:15:23,080
Speaker 1: game plan that we're used to sing with the Browns.

1516
01:15:23,120 --> 01:15:24,240
Speaker 1: So I do like the over here.

1517
01:15:25,960 --> 01:15:29,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm at like two sixty four, So yeah, I'm

1518
01:15:29,520 --> 01:15:32,760
Speaker 2: I'm over by quite a bit there. Well, I mean

1519
01:15:32,800 --> 01:15:37,120
Speaker 2: for quarterbacks, it's never a lot. You know, there's kind

1520
01:15:37,160 --> 01:15:39,400
Speaker 2: of a spread there. So it's like about a pass

1521
01:15:39,560 --> 01:15:43,800
Speaker 2: past attempt and a half, then I'm over. But for DFS,

1522
01:15:43,840 --> 01:15:46,840
Speaker 2: I mean Travis Kelsey, Yeah, it's hard not to like him.

1523
01:15:46,840 --> 01:15:49,120
Speaker 2: He's just in such another tier than all the other

1524
01:15:49,160 --> 01:15:52,280
Speaker 2: tight ends, even though he's the most expensive. I think

1525
01:15:52,280 --> 01:15:54,640
Speaker 2: there's less worry you know, he gets his you know,

1526
01:15:54,680 --> 01:15:58,000
Speaker 2: regardless of the game script, whereas San Francisco, you know, Kittle,

1527
01:15:59,280 --> 01:16:02,120
Speaker 2: you do get a dish count there, but you just

1528
01:16:02,200 --> 01:16:03,760
Speaker 2: worry about them running so much.

1529
01:16:04,080 --> 01:16:06,240
Speaker 3: Whereas you know, we know Casey's gonna throw it.

1530
01:16:06,400 --> 01:16:08,360
Speaker 2: What about you? What do you what are you doing

1531
01:16:08,400 --> 01:16:10,519
Speaker 2: for DFS here? Well, I can't really compete with the

1532
01:16:10,640 --> 01:16:15,559
Speaker 2: Kelsey cheek got there. My guy is very contrarian. I

1533
01:16:15,560 --> 01:16:18,280
Speaker 2: think he has a ton of upside. Not enough people

1534
01:16:18,280 --> 01:16:21,200
Speaker 2: will have him this week, and that's the best backup

1535
01:16:21,320 --> 01:16:25,520
Speaker 2: running back in the NFL Cream Hunt. I think this matchup,

1536
01:16:26,240 --> 01:16:28,040
Speaker 2: if there ever a game script for a cream Hunt,

1537
01:16:28,040 --> 01:16:30,320
Speaker 2: it could be this one. We already talked about it,

1538
01:16:30,360 --> 01:16:32,439
Speaker 2: where you know the Browns will probably have to throw more,

1539
01:16:33,000 --> 01:16:36,439
Speaker 2: probably trailing most of the time. So I think, you know,

1540
01:16:36,479 --> 01:16:38,479
Speaker 2: it does set up for cream Hunt game And he's

1541
01:16:38,520 --> 01:16:40,439
Speaker 2: the kind of running back where honestly he doesn't need

1542
01:16:40,479 --> 01:16:43,760
Speaker 2: to see that many touches to hit his ceiling. We've

1543
01:16:43,800 --> 01:16:46,200
Speaker 2: seen him in the past, you know, put up big

1544
01:16:46,200 --> 01:16:49,160
Speaker 2: scores of just you know, about twelve touches. So this

1545
01:16:49,240 --> 01:16:51,120
Speaker 2: is a game where I think everybody's going to be

1546
01:16:51,160 --> 01:16:55,559
Speaker 2: loading up on Chiefs players, the Browns passing attack.

1547
01:16:55,680 --> 01:16:58,599
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb. You know, I'm the biggest Nick Chubb fan

1548
01:16:58,640 --> 01:17:01,280
Speaker 1: in the world. But I think that this does set

1549
01:17:01,320 --> 01:17:03,040
Speaker 1: up better for Kareem Hunt. I don't think he's gonna

1550
01:17:03,120 --> 01:17:06,680
Speaker 1: owned enough in this game, and as always, I think

1551
01:17:06,680 --> 01:17:08,960
Speaker 1: he always has that massive upside that we're looking for

1552
01:17:09,160 --> 01:17:10,400
Speaker 1: in GPPs.

1553
01:17:11,360 --> 01:17:15,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a revenge game for Kareem Hunt. Yep, both

1554
01:17:15,240 --> 01:17:18,400
Speaker 2: of them were somewhat quiet in the postseason matchup.

1555
01:17:18,760 --> 01:17:20,160
Speaker 3: That's why I ended up going Kelsey.

1556
01:17:20,200 --> 01:17:23,639
Speaker 2: But yeah, I think Hunt will be the guy that's lower,

1557
01:17:23,960 --> 01:17:27,559
Speaker 2: you know, lower rostered because Chubb. I think everyone kind

1558
01:17:27,560 --> 01:17:30,840
Speaker 2: of knows that Casey invites the run, so I think

1559
01:17:30,960 --> 01:17:34,760
Speaker 2: Chubb will get his. In terms of rostership, Let's go

1560
01:17:34,760 --> 01:17:39,760
Speaker 2: to Miami at New England the New England Patriots in

1561
01:17:40,120 --> 01:17:44,480
Speaker 2: game one of the Mac Jones era, the rookie quarterback

1562
01:17:44,680 --> 01:17:48,040
Speaker 2: wins the job from Cam Newton, who was the least

1563
01:17:48,360 --> 01:17:51,519
Speaker 2: The Patriots are three point favorites in Foxborough against the Dolphins.

1564
01:17:51,520 --> 01:17:54,680
Speaker 2: The total is forty three. We saw a pretty low

1565
01:17:54,720 --> 01:17:57,360
Speaker 2: scoring game in Week one with this matchup. Last year,

1566
01:17:57,439 --> 01:18:01,400
Speaker 2: of course it was Ryan Fitzpatrick and Cam Newton, so

1567
01:18:02,240 --> 01:18:04,400
Speaker 2: I still think we're going to see running games on

1568
01:18:04,439 --> 01:18:07,800
Speaker 2: both sides. Damian Harris sixty three and a half is

1569
01:18:07,800 --> 01:18:11,599
Speaker 2: his rushing line at Prize picks you over and under that.

1570
01:18:12,080 --> 01:18:14,639
Speaker 2: Let me say it again, are you over or under that?

1571
01:18:15,479 --> 01:18:19,120
Speaker 1: I am over that barely, but I do like everything

1572
01:18:19,439 --> 01:18:22,240
Speaker 1: that you know contributes an over environment for this prop,

1573
01:18:22,520 --> 01:18:25,720
Speaker 1: so I have him at sixty six yards. But you

1574
01:18:25,720 --> 01:18:30,960
Speaker 1: know they trade away Sony Michelle huge for Damian Harris

1575
01:18:31,200 --> 01:18:33,439
Speaker 1: and then naming Mac Jones the Week one starter. That

1576
01:18:33,520 --> 01:18:36,200
Speaker 1: was huge for a stock. So I'm bullish on Harris

1577
01:18:36,200 --> 01:18:39,639
Speaker 1: going into the season. They're a slight home favorite. They

1578
01:18:39,640 --> 01:18:41,679
Speaker 1: have one of the best O lines in the game,

1579
01:18:42,320 --> 01:18:45,599
Speaker 1: so this is a perfect spot, perfect game script for Harris,

1580
01:18:45,720 --> 01:18:48,479
Speaker 1: so I think his ceiling is much much higher. So

1581
01:18:48,479 --> 01:18:51,840
Speaker 1: I'm leaning the over here. And you know, Ramandre Stevenson

1582
01:18:52,040 --> 01:18:54,519
Speaker 1: is a guy that may eat into, you know, his

1583
01:18:54,600 --> 01:18:56,639
Speaker 1: running share later in the season, but I think early

1584
01:18:56,640 --> 01:18:59,559
Speaker 1: on they're they're going to lean on Harris even more so,

1585
01:18:59,600 --> 01:19:01,880
Speaker 1: even though I projecting just a couple of yards higher,

1586
01:19:01,880 --> 01:19:03,320
Speaker 1: I do love the over here.

1587
01:19:04,600 --> 01:19:07,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just under fifteen carries for sixty six yards,

1588
01:19:07,800 --> 01:19:12,040
Speaker 2: so I'm over too. I think this could be just

1589
01:19:12,080 --> 01:19:14,720
Speaker 2: a great situation for everyone involved in the Patriots because

1590
01:19:14,720 --> 01:19:17,559
Speaker 2: you're gonna get the running backs more usage around the

1591
01:19:17,560 --> 01:19:21,240
Speaker 2: goal line. Cam Newton was getting, you know, forty percent

1592
01:19:21,360 --> 01:19:24,280
Speaker 2: plus of the red zone carries last year, so and

1593
01:19:24,320 --> 01:19:27,000
Speaker 2: also you're gonna have less scrambling. You're going to have

1594
01:19:27,400 --> 01:19:29,080
Speaker 2: a more accurate passes. So I think it helps the

1595
01:19:29,080 --> 01:19:31,559
Speaker 2: pass catches as well. But in week one, I do

1596
01:19:31,720 --> 01:19:35,839
Speaker 2: like Harris and for DFS, I will.

1597
01:19:35,600 --> 01:19:37,360
Speaker 3: Throw out somebody here.

1598
01:19:37,520 --> 01:19:41,920
Speaker 2: I'll finally go with a rookie, ye jew Wattles is

1599
01:19:42,560 --> 01:19:46,360
Speaker 2: pretty cheap. And remember will Fuller is missing week one,

1600
01:19:46,400 --> 01:19:50,240
Speaker 2: so we could be getting a ninety percent snap guy

1601
01:19:50,439 --> 01:19:54,200
Speaker 2: in Wattle. Now remains to be seen what role Albert

1602
01:19:54,280 --> 01:19:57,920
Speaker 2: Wilson has, What role Preston Williams is he gonna play.

1603
01:19:58,000 --> 01:20:02,200
Speaker 2: Is he like feels like he's never healthy. I think

1604
01:20:02,200 --> 01:20:05,240
Speaker 2: he's supposed to play yeah much right, so you know,

1605
01:20:05,880 --> 01:20:08,200
Speaker 2: remains to be seen. Exactly what the roles will be

1606
01:20:08,680 --> 01:20:10,920
Speaker 2: for some of these other receivers. But the way I'm

1607
01:20:10,920 --> 01:20:13,040
Speaker 2: looking at it is DeVante, Parker, and jam and Wattle

1608
01:20:13,120 --> 01:20:16,000
Speaker 2: their top two as long as Will Fuller's out and

1609
01:20:16,040 --> 01:20:18,960
Speaker 2: he's out in week one, finishing up that suspension. So

1610
01:20:19,520 --> 01:20:22,720
Speaker 2: do like Wato, how about you? First off, I'm very

1611
01:20:22,720 --> 01:20:25,400
Speaker 2: proud of you for being a rookie receiver, and I

1612
01:20:25,439 --> 01:20:28,519
Speaker 2: can't believe I let you essentially take the most talented

1613
01:20:28,520 --> 01:20:30,280
Speaker 2: one out of this entire class.

1614
01:20:30,560 --> 01:20:32,800
Speaker 1: Love that call. And you know we were talking I

1615
01:20:32,800 --> 01:20:37,280
Speaker 1: think it was the Final Rankings podcast about like one

1616
01:20:37,280 --> 01:20:40,679
Speaker 1: of these Dolphins receivers is probably undervalued because they're adp

1617
01:20:41,080 --> 01:20:43,840
Speaker 1: all of them are outside of the top forty. And

1618
01:20:44,200 --> 01:20:46,200
Speaker 1: the reason is because any given week we don't really

1619
01:20:46,200 --> 01:20:48,280
Speaker 1: know which one's going to step up. You kind of

1620
01:20:48,320 --> 01:20:50,120
Speaker 1: need one of these guys the miss time for them

1621
01:20:50,120 --> 01:20:53,320
Speaker 1: to step up. Well, you know, will Fuller's out week one,

1622
01:20:53,600 --> 01:20:57,120
Speaker 1: so you know, Parker and Waddle it's their time to shine.

1623
01:20:57,280 --> 01:20:59,800
Speaker 1: Love the Wattle call. I'm letting you take the rookie

1624
01:20:59,840 --> 01:21:03,200
Speaker 1: for this one. I'm going the boring rounde. I'm sticking

1625
01:21:03,240 --> 01:21:06,760
Speaker 1: with Damien Harris here again. I love all the reasons

1626
01:21:07,680 --> 01:21:10,800
Speaker 1: for him to go over his rushing total. I think

1627
01:21:10,840 --> 01:21:14,519
Speaker 1: he is thinking GPPs because yes, he's limited when it

1628
01:21:14,520 --> 01:21:16,880
Speaker 1: comes to receiving work. I can't really project them more

1629
01:21:16,920 --> 01:21:19,439
Speaker 1: than one catch for this game, but I think he

1630
01:21:19,479 --> 01:21:23,799
Speaker 1: does have you know, two touchdown upside in this matchup,

1631
01:21:23,920 --> 01:21:27,519
Speaker 1: especially since Cam Newton's gone. You know, he is now

1632
01:21:27,760 --> 01:21:31,479
Speaker 1: potentially the goal line back. And again they trade away

1633
01:21:31,520 --> 01:21:35,000
Speaker 1: Tony Michelle another guy that would siphoned away a goal

1634
01:21:35,040 --> 01:21:38,519
Speaker 1: line carry here there. Rex Burkehead another guy that probably

1635
01:21:38,560 --> 01:21:40,439
Speaker 1: would have siphoned away a goal line carry here there.

1636
01:21:40,479 --> 01:21:42,840
Speaker 1: So Damien Harris, I think, you know, he's not a

1637
01:21:42,840 --> 01:21:45,160
Speaker 1: lock for two touchdowns, but he does have that upside

1638
01:21:45,160 --> 01:21:47,760
Speaker 1: that you're looking for in GPPs where I think he

1639
01:21:47,840 --> 01:21:49,439
Speaker 1: is a cheek code this week, just based on the

1640
01:21:49,479 --> 01:21:52,799
Speaker 1: game script, everything going in, this is a Damien Harris

1641
01:21:52,960 --> 01:21:53,439
Speaker 1: game for me.

1642
01:21:54,120 --> 01:21:56,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's one of the you know, select few backs

1643
01:21:56,840 --> 01:21:59,439
Speaker 2: that I have projected over half a rushing touchdown. I

1644
01:21:59,479 --> 01:22:03,080
Speaker 2: have him at point four for this one. So yeah,

1645
01:22:03,160 --> 01:22:05,759
Speaker 2: that's that's pretty rare that a guy, you know, especially

1646
01:22:05,800 --> 01:22:07,880
Speaker 2: aside from like a Derek Henry and a Dalvin Cook.

1647
01:22:08,360 --> 01:22:11,840
Speaker 2: You know, it's hard to get above that per game,

1648
01:22:12,880 --> 01:22:15,720
Speaker 2: just on a weekly basis. So Harris is in a

1649
01:22:15,720 --> 01:22:18,920
Speaker 2: good spot. Let's go to Green Bay, New Orleans. The

1650
01:22:18,920 --> 01:22:22,400
Speaker 2: Packers are four and a half point favorites. Of course,

1651
01:22:22,439 --> 01:22:25,200
Speaker 2: this game is being played in Jacksonville, not the super Dome,

1652
01:22:25,840 --> 01:22:31,160
Speaker 2: so the total still is fifty and I'm going to

1653
01:22:31,240 --> 01:22:35,240
Speaker 2: start it with a Marquez Cowaway prop fifty two and

1654
01:22:35,280 --> 01:22:36,679
Speaker 2: a half receiving yards.

1655
01:22:37,760 --> 01:22:40,200
Speaker 1: Oh man, this is this is a tough one. I'm

1656
01:22:40,200 --> 01:22:42,840
Speaker 1: at fifty seven, but I would say the median is

1657
01:22:42,840 --> 01:22:47,720
Speaker 1: probably closer to fifty two. Do we know if he's

1658
01:22:47,720 --> 01:22:50,320
Speaker 1: facing j R. Alexander like I'm assuming he is, so

1659
01:22:50,400 --> 01:22:53,000
Speaker 1: this this could be a very tough matchup for him.

1660
01:22:53,000 --> 01:22:56,479
Speaker 1: And I know everybody was targeting him and season long drops.

1661
01:22:56,520 --> 01:22:58,320
Speaker 1: I thought he was a good late round value. But

1662
01:22:59,160 --> 01:23:01,479
Speaker 1: he's my wide receiver for thirty nine this week, so

1663
01:23:02,120 --> 01:23:05,040
Speaker 1: you know, unless you know you're really weak at receiver,

1664
01:23:05,160 --> 01:23:08,280
Speaker 1: I don't know if he's a play this week just

1665
01:23:08,280 --> 01:23:10,519
Speaker 1: because I think that he will. I don't know who

1666
01:23:10,520 --> 01:23:13,760
Speaker 1: else Alexander would need to pay attention to. So the

1667
01:23:13,800 --> 01:23:17,760
Speaker 1: matchup does scare me away here and the prop the

1668
01:23:17,800 --> 01:23:20,680
Speaker 1: prop is about right, But where where do you have

1669
01:23:20,720 --> 01:23:21,800
Speaker 1: him projected, I.

1670
01:23:21,760 --> 01:23:23,599
Speaker 2: Have him at twenty eight, so I actually have him

1671
01:23:23,600 --> 01:23:29,559
Speaker 2: at wait TWI yeah him at I'm at sixty two. Yeah,

1672
01:23:29,600 --> 01:23:32,840
Speaker 2: so I'm at sixty two. Yeah, and I'm actually made.

1673
01:23:32,880 --> 01:23:35,519
Speaker 2: That's a good point on Alexander early in the week.

1674
01:23:35,560 --> 01:23:36,960
Speaker 2: I tried to, especially in week one.

1675
01:23:37,160 --> 01:23:37,479
Speaker 1: I check.

1676
01:23:37,800 --> 01:23:41,120
Speaker 2: I don't usually like make crazy adjustments for matchups, but

1677
01:23:41,680 --> 01:23:43,320
Speaker 2: I may lower him a couple of ticks. I still

1678
01:23:43,320 --> 01:23:46,240
Speaker 2: think he's startable and playable. I mean, that's just too

1679
01:23:46,520 --> 01:23:50,120
Speaker 2: He's too cheap in DFS at nearly mind price for

1680
01:23:50,160 --> 01:23:52,320
Speaker 2: a guy that should wead his team and routes and

1681
01:23:52,360 --> 01:23:52,840
Speaker 2: air yards.

1682
01:23:53,200 --> 01:23:54,080
Speaker 3: Uh, you know, even in.

1683
01:23:54,040 --> 01:23:57,519
Speaker 2: A tough matchup. So like it's it's tough for me

1684
01:23:57,560 --> 01:23:59,280
Speaker 2: to say fade him. I think if you have him,

1685
01:23:59,439 --> 01:24:01,800
Speaker 2: I think you do play him in week one. And

1686
01:24:02,560 --> 01:24:04,040
Speaker 2: you know, I mean at the end of it's because

1687
01:24:04,120 --> 01:24:06,880
Speaker 2: James Winston, right, it's you'll give him some shots. Like

1688
01:24:06,920 --> 01:24:10,840
Speaker 2: it's not like it's it's not Drew Well yeah, because

1689
01:24:10,840 --> 01:24:13,400
Speaker 2: I think would never target. I think Drew Brees will

1690
01:24:13,439 --> 01:24:16,080
Speaker 2: be smart and like you know, if it's like, okay,

1691
01:24:16,200 --> 01:24:20,080
Speaker 2: unproven second year guy against good cornerback, Yeah, let's let's

1692
01:24:20,120 --> 01:24:23,880
Speaker 2: go somewhere else. But this is James Winston, so I'm

1693
01:24:23,960 --> 01:24:24,880
Speaker 2: not as concerned.

1694
01:24:25,720 --> 01:24:27,519
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm I'm all in on Cali. That's my

1695
01:24:27,600 --> 01:24:28,280
Speaker 3: DFS guy.

1696
01:24:28,400 --> 01:24:30,439
Speaker 1: How about you? Well that that was the point I

1697
01:24:30,479 --> 01:24:33,000
Speaker 1: was gonna make, like the matchups tough, but who who

1698
01:24:33,080 --> 01:24:35,720
Speaker 1: the hell cares off? Jamis throws a couple of picks, Alexander,

1699
01:24:35,760 --> 01:24:37,960
Speaker 1: if you have callaway, it doesn't matter, right, He'll still

1700
01:24:38,000 --> 01:24:40,559
Speaker 1: force the issue. Yeah, but he's still he's still in

1701
01:24:40,560 --> 01:24:43,160
Speaker 1: that fringe, you know, wide receiver thirty six where I

1702
01:24:43,160 --> 01:24:45,080
Speaker 1: think he has a stark call this week. It's a

1703
01:24:45,120 --> 01:24:48,760
Speaker 1: it's a tough call. But my my cheek cod for

1704
01:24:48,800 --> 01:24:52,719
Speaker 1: this matchup if Adam Troutman doesn't suit up this week

1705
01:24:52,840 --> 01:24:56,000
Speaker 1: is Juwan Johnson. I think if there were a time

1706
01:24:56,080 --> 01:24:59,519
Speaker 1: to play him, maybe this week. I mean, I believe

1707
01:24:59,520 --> 01:25:03,760
Speaker 1: he's been ice across industry, but you know he's converting

1708
01:25:03,800 --> 01:25:06,840
Speaker 1: over from wide receiver to tight end. Honestly, they don't

1709
01:25:06,840 --> 01:25:09,880
Speaker 1: really have anybody else right now. Nick vanettess on I

1710
01:25:10,080 --> 01:25:13,040
Speaker 1: r Adam Trumman, who I mentioned, is banged up. I

1711
01:25:13,080 --> 01:25:15,080
Speaker 1: don't know if he's gonna play this week, so he

1712
01:25:15,120 --> 01:25:18,320
Speaker 1: could end up being Jamis Winzon's number three target this week,

1713
01:25:18,360 --> 01:25:20,880
Speaker 1: so that's that's worth a flyer and at least a

1714
01:25:20,920 --> 01:25:24,360
Speaker 1: few lineups. I do think he has upside, and again

1715
01:25:24,479 --> 01:25:26,639
Speaker 1: it's it's as long as Trupman is out. I think

1716
01:25:27,040 --> 01:25:28,840
Speaker 1: Juwan Johnson has a pretty high ceiling.

1717
01:25:30,320 --> 01:25:30,519
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1718
01:25:30,560 --> 01:25:31,679
Speaker 3: I like Juwan Johnson.

1719
01:25:32,160 --> 01:25:34,040
Speaker 2: I think you know, I mean a hype has gotten

1720
01:25:34,080 --> 01:25:37,400
Speaker 2: a little crazy with him, uh you know, with like

1721
01:25:37,920 --> 01:25:40,240
Speaker 2: actually I think we saw him go shouts to our

1722
01:25:40,280 --> 01:25:43,120
Speaker 2: guy Raheem Palmer. But where did he go like round

1723
01:25:43,200 --> 01:25:44,599
Speaker 2: ten in our in our action.

1724
01:25:44,400 --> 01:25:46,839
Speaker 1: Week right after it took Dallas Goddard.

1725
01:25:47,520 --> 01:25:50,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'm down on Goddard, but I still take Goddard.

1726
01:25:51,320 --> 01:25:53,559
Speaker 2: But you know, I see the appeal here. I mean,

1727
01:25:53,600 --> 01:25:58,160
Speaker 2: somebody's got to fill. Somebody's gonna get targeted in New Orleans.

1728
01:25:58,200 --> 01:26:01,400
Speaker 2: And you know, the report out of camp was that

1729
01:26:01,760 --> 01:26:05,080
Speaker 2: Johnson was inheriting that Jared Cook role. And that's really

1730
01:26:05,080 --> 01:26:07,360
Speaker 2: one of the reasons why I was down on Troutman too.

1731
01:26:07,360 --> 01:26:09,960
Speaker 2: It's he's not a real high target, per route run

1732
01:26:10,000 --> 01:26:12,040
Speaker 2: guy as it is, and then if he's not going

1733
01:26:12,120 --> 01:26:14,160
Speaker 2: to be that main receiving titan, which there's a chance,

1734
01:26:14,280 --> 01:26:17,200
Speaker 2: like I didn't really see the point on Troutman. He

1735
01:26:17,240 --> 01:26:21,080
Speaker 2: was in the top one fifty at times in certain eightyp's.

1736
01:26:21,160 --> 01:26:25,360
Speaker 2: But yeah, I think trout Johnson is an interesting one.

1737
01:26:25,360 --> 01:26:28,040
Speaker 2: I mean one of those two, one of those two

1738
01:26:28,080 --> 01:26:29,960
Speaker 2: guys should hit in week one, ye know, if both

1739
01:26:30,000 --> 01:26:32,160
Speaker 2: don't hit, one of the two should hit.

1740
01:26:32,040 --> 01:26:35,559
Speaker 1: Week And I'm still like monitoring Deonta Harris. I think

1741
01:26:35,560 --> 01:26:38,360
Speaker 1: he's a sneaky candidate to get like eight eight targets

1742
01:26:38,439 --> 01:26:40,439
Speaker 1: or so. You know, He's a low a dot high

1743
01:26:40,479 --> 01:26:44,120
Speaker 1: volume guy. I'm not sure he fits Jamis Winston's playing style,

1744
01:26:44,200 --> 01:26:46,160
Speaker 1: but he's the guy to keep an eye on as

1745
01:26:46,200 --> 01:26:48,360
Speaker 1: long as Michael Thomas is out of the lineup anyway,

1746
01:26:48,520 --> 01:26:51,160
Speaker 1: and if Callaway starts getting you know, the top cornerback,

1747
01:26:51,200 --> 01:26:54,400
Speaker 1: Deonta Harris could be a high target kind of guy.

1748
01:26:54,520 --> 01:26:57,160
Speaker 2: All right, let's let's go fast through these last few

1749
01:26:57,960 --> 01:27:01,479
Speaker 2: Denver at New York. The Ronk is a three point favorite,

1750
01:27:01,479 --> 01:27:03,120
Speaker 2: a total forty two and a half, one of the

1751
01:27:03,120 --> 01:27:05,599
Speaker 2: lowest of the week. Noah Fense kind of on that

1752
01:27:05,600 --> 01:27:07,920
Speaker 2: fringe at tight end right along with god It forty

1753
01:27:07,960 --> 01:27:09,559
Speaker 2: three and a half receiving yards is the wine at

1754
01:27:09,560 --> 01:27:11,040
Speaker 2: Prize Pictewan. You're going over under.

1755
01:27:11,560 --> 01:27:14,599
Speaker 1: I'm going under here could be limit this week, so

1756
01:27:14,640 --> 01:27:18,519
Speaker 1: we could see Albert uku Wa nam to that ten

1757
01:27:18,560 --> 01:27:22,080
Speaker 1: times fast have an increased role this week, and I

1758
01:27:22,160 --> 01:27:24,360
Speaker 1: think he is really talented, so that this could be

1759
01:27:24,400 --> 01:27:27,000
Speaker 1: more of a tight end share this week. So you know,

1760
01:27:27,040 --> 01:27:29,680
Speaker 1: there's too many targets there or too many weapons in

1761
01:27:29,680 --> 01:27:32,200
Speaker 1: this offense to really love the over on any of

1762
01:27:32,200 --> 01:27:34,680
Speaker 1: these guys. But I especially love the under on Fan

1763
01:27:34,880 --> 01:27:36,160
Speaker 1: just because he could be limited.

1764
01:27:37,439 --> 01:27:41,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I like it too. And for DFS, I'm

1765
01:27:41,040 --> 01:27:43,759
Speaker 2: going in another rookie. I'll go with the rookie Javonte Williams.

1766
01:27:44,439 --> 01:27:48,080
Speaker 2: He is mid price, are close to it, and I

1767
01:27:48,240 --> 01:27:50,240
Speaker 2: think this is another Arizona situation.

1768
01:27:50,240 --> 01:27:51,320
Speaker 3: I don't think you're going to see the.

1769
01:27:51,240 --> 01:27:55,960
Speaker 2: Third back because they let Royce Friedman go, so they're

1770
01:27:56,080 --> 01:27:58,960
Speaker 2: envisioning that kind of Lindsay Gordon split even with Williams.

1771
01:27:59,000 --> 01:28:01,200
Speaker 2: But I actually think they Williams in the past game,

1772
01:28:01,320 --> 01:28:04,160
Speaker 2: so I could see Williams having a big role and

1773
01:28:04,479 --> 01:28:07,200
Speaker 2: even coming close to Gordon right off the bat in

1774
01:28:07,240 --> 01:28:09,880
Speaker 2: week one. So going Williams, how about you?

1775
01:28:10,120 --> 01:28:13,040
Speaker 1: I'm going Sterling Shepherd here. He's like the only healthy

1776
01:28:13,280 --> 01:28:18,000
Speaker 1: chance player, so you know, Galladay, Slayton, Tony Ingraham, Rudolph Barkley.

1777
01:28:18,000 --> 01:28:20,120
Speaker 1: They're all geonic and andrees. They're probably all going to

1778
01:28:20,200 --> 01:28:23,280
Speaker 1: be limited if they do play. So Shepherd, I think

1779
01:28:23,439 --> 01:28:26,760
Speaker 1: should lead the team in targets this week. He's a

1780
01:28:26,760 --> 01:28:28,800
Speaker 1: bit pricey and it's a tough matchup, but I think

1781
01:28:28,800 --> 01:28:32,000
Speaker 1: he'll be He won't be roster on enough teams this week,

1782
01:28:32,040 --> 01:28:33,559
Speaker 1: so I think he's a good contrarian play.

1783
01:28:34,000 --> 01:28:36,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, you think, I bet for like five catches. Just

1784
01:28:36,200 --> 01:28:38,200
Speaker 2: kind of getting the end zone, I think is the

1785
01:28:38,280 --> 01:28:44,200
Speaker 2: question with him. But what's to last two here? The

1786
01:28:44,280 --> 01:28:49,800
Speaker 2: Sunday night game is Chicago at the Rams. The Rams

1787
01:28:49,840 --> 01:28:51,960
Speaker 2: are seven and a half point favorites.

1788
01:28:52,280 --> 01:28:55,320
Speaker 3: The total is forty five and a half.

1789
01:28:56,080 --> 01:28:58,560
Speaker 2: We saw the Bears really struggle to score against the

1790
01:28:58,640 --> 01:29:02,360
Speaker 2: Rams in this matchup. Don't have any props up at

1791
01:29:02,360 --> 01:29:05,400
Speaker 2: prize picks for this game yet, so throw out a

1792
01:29:05,439 --> 01:29:08,639
Speaker 2: prop that you think is key for this one. Chicago

1793
01:29:08,680 --> 01:29:09,480
Speaker 2: at the Rams.

1794
01:29:09,760 --> 01:29:15,320
Speaker 1: So Alan Robinson total receiving yards going against Jalen Ramsey.

1795
01:29:16,120 --> 01:29:18,160
Speaker 1: Where do you have him? I have is over under

1796
01:29:18,240 --> 01:29:19,000
Speaker 1: at sixty and.

1797
01:29:19,000 --> 01:29:22,520
Speaker 2: A half, So I have him as the wide receiver

1798
01:29:23,280 --> 01:29:29,240
Speaker 2: twenty four. I have his why his I still have

1799
01:29:29,280 --> 01:29:32,800
Speaker 2: his receiving yards at what you said, fifty nine and

1800
01:29:32,800 --> 01:29:34,920
Speaker 2: a half sixty and a half. Oh yeah, I have,

1801
01:29:35,080 --> 01:29:36,960
Speaker 2: I have sixty six. I'm over by I guess like

1802
01:29:36,960 --> 01:29:39,240
Speaker 2: half of catch or something like that. But I do

1803
01:29:39,280 --> 01:29:41,800
Speaker 2: have a wide receiver twenty four and half PPR. So

1804
01:29:42,960 --> 01:29:45,280
Speaker 2: not too high on him as compared to where he

1805
01:29:45,360 --> 01:29:48,160
Speaker 2: was going in season long. But yeah, he's like a

1806
01:29:48,200 --> 01:29:50,800
Speaker 2: fringe wide receiver too for me this week, where do

1807
01:29:50,800 --> 01:29:51,479
Speaker 2: you have him ranked?

1808
01:29:51,840 --> 01:29:55,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, wide receiver twenty four, and just for clarity, I

1809
01:29:55,320 --> 01:29:58,519
Speaker 1: have his projection at sixty four. I docked about four

1810
01:29:58,600 --> 01:30:01,479
Speaker 1: yards you know, to be close his median And it

1811
01:30:01,600 --> 01:30:04,439
Speaker 1: is a tough matchup that I'm curious to see where

1812
01:30:04,520 --> 01:30:08,200
Speaker 1: price Picks sets this, but it's it's tough to feel

1813
01:30:08,240 --> 01:30:11,160
Speaker 1: comfortably either way. This will be the lowest Alan Robinson

1814
01:30:11,240 --> 01:30:14,320
Speaker 1: is ranked all year long, right, like twenty four, I.

1815
01:30:14,280 --> 01:30:17,960
Speaker 2: Mean, unless things go disastrously wrong in Chicago for Darnel

1816
01:30:18,000 --> 01:30:21,280
Speaker 2: Mooney really makes that leap a lot quicker than we think,

1817
01:30:21,320 --> 01:30:23,840
Speaker 2: and like over from which I mean I doubt that

1818
01:30:23,840 --> 01:30:24,599
Speaker 2: would never happen.

1819
01:30:24,640 --> 01:30:28,360
Speaker 1: But yeah, yeah, and he's still he's still startable, I mean,

1820
01:30:28,720 --> 01:30:31,840
Speaker 1: wide receiver twenty four is low, but you probably don't

1821
01:30:31,880 --> 01:30:35,280
Speaker 1: have other options over him. But yeah, don't expect much

1822
01:30:35,280 --> 01:30:36,439
Speaker 1: from Alan Robinson this week.

1823
01:30:36,640 --> 01:30:40,120
Speaker 2: Okay, who are you looking at in DFS in this

1824
01:30:40,280 --> 01:30:41,559
Speaker 2: Rams Bears one game?

1825
01:30:42,040 --> 01:30:45,640
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford for me. You know, they bubble wrapped him

1826
01:30:45,720 --> 01:30:48,240
Speaker 1: in preseason, didn't play at all, So I think, you know,

1827
01:30:48,360 --> 01:30:51,479
Speaker 1: we we haven't really seen how good this Rams offense

1828
01:30:51,800 --> 01:30:54,200
Speaker 1: could be under him, but you know it's possible we

1829
01:30:54,200 --> 01:30:56,400
Speaker 1: see them be much closer to what we saw in

1830
01:30:56,439 --> 01:31:00,320
Speaker 1: twenty eighteen. You know, this is absolutely lethal passing it attack,

1831
01:31:00,439 --> 01:31:02,800
Speaker 1: so I kind of want to get in on Stafford early.

1832
01:31:03,520 --> 01:31:05,479
Speaker 1: It does. You know, it is a tough matchup on

1833
01:31:05,560 --> 01:31:09,160
Speaker 1: paper and reality, but if anything, the Bears are Week

1834
01:31:09,200 --> 01:31:11,919
Speaker 1: at Corner, so I think the Rams could exploit this matchup.

1835
01:31:12,640 --> 01:31:15,240
Speaker 1: Sean McVay is going to unleash Matthew Stafford, so I

1836
01:31:15,320 --> 01:31:18,240
Speaker 1: kind of want to get him before everybody catches up

1837
01:31:18,240 --> 01:31:20,599
Speaker 1: to just how good this offense could be this year.

1838
01:31:21,439 --> 01:31:22,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'm going kind of in the se with

1839
01:31:22,920 --> 01:31:26,479
Speaker 2: the same mindset Bears Week at Corner. Things we haven't

1840
01:31:26,479 --> 01:31:29,439
Speaker 2: seen in a while. DeShawn Jackson should be healthy this week.

1841
01:31:29,640 --> 01:31:33,200
Speaker 2: He might not be healthy much longer. So it's got

1842
01:31:33,200 --> 01:31:35,720
Speaker 2: to gotta be Deshaun for me. We could see a

1843
01:31:35,720 --> 01:31:38,120
Speaker 2: deep bomb from from DeShawn.

1844
01:31:38,320 --> 01:31:42,480
Speaker 1: He'll be the wide receiver six after two games and unfortunately.

1845
01:31:42,360 --> 01:31:44,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is this is the time you want to

1846
01:31:44,560 --> 01:31:48,120
Speaker 2: play DeShawn Jackson like you know, if you if you

1847
01:31:48,160 --> 01:31:50,639
Speaker 2: need a dart throw in season long or you need

1848
01:31:50,720 --> 01:31:56,320
Speaker 2: you know, DFS low low rostered, low priced guy Jackson

1849
01:31:56,479 --> 01:32:00,840
Speaker 2: is it? He's it? Man, all right, let's go to

1850
01:32:00,880 --> 01:32:04,360
Speaker 2: the last game Monday night, Baltimore at Vegas. Baltimore four

1851
01:32:04,360 --> 01:32:07,800
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite in that one and the

1852
01:32:07,960 --> 01:32:10,920
Speaker 2: total fifty one and a half, so on the higher

1853
01:32:11,080 --> 01:32:15,719
Speaker 2: end and also early in the weeks, and no props

1854
01:32:15,720 --> 01:32:17,720
Speaker 2: to this one, but I'm curious, where do you have

1855
01:32:17,840 --> 01:32:22,760
Speaker 2: Gus Edwards? Give me Gus Edwards rushing prop? Oh man,

1856
01:32:22,920 --> 01:32:25,439
Speaker 2: So I have it at seventy two and a half.

1857
01:32:27,040 --> 01:32:29,320
Speaker 2: And this is assuming they don't sound like a I

1858
01:32:29,320 --> 01:32:31,639
Speaker 2: don't know, Le'Veon Bell or somebody. I think either way,

1859
01:32:31,680 --> 01:32:34,760
Speaker 2: they probably won't even be active this week. So I

1860
01:32:34,760 --> 01:32:37,040
Speaker 2: don't know if I should have a caveat where there

1861
01:32:37,080 --> 01:32:39,280
Speaker 2: should only be two running backs active this week, but

1862
01:32:39,680 --> 01:32:41,519
Speaker 2: right now I have it seventy two and a half.

1863
01:32:42,560 --> 01:32:45,160
Speaker 2: I'm at I'm still under so I'm at sixty six,

1864
01:32:46,360 --> 01:32:52,920
Speaker 2: but he's still my RB nine. So yeah, damn, he's

1865
01:32:52,960 --> 01:32:55,360
Speaker 2: one of those guys that I think you're starting this week,

1866
01:32:55,360 --> 01:32:57,519
Speaker 2: no questions against Vegas.

1867
01:32:58,800 --> 01:33:00,519
Speaker 3: I do have him at sixty six, So.

1868
01:33:00,840 --> 01:33:03,400
Speaker 1: You must have a massive touchdown projection.

1869
01:33:03,080 --> 01:33:04,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, White five to five.

1870
01:33:05,800 --> 01:33:05,960
Speaker 1: Yep.

1871
01:33:06,439 --> 01:33:07,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, so a.

1872
01:33:07,120 --> 01:33:10,400
Speaker 1: Little bit lower than that, but not a bad number

1873
01:33:10,400 --> 01:33:13,479
Speaker 1: because yeah, like he's going to be the goal line back.

1874
01:33:13,600 --> 01:33:17,600
Speaker 2: So yeah, and they, you know, they like him in Baltimore, Like,

1875
01:33:17,680 --> 01:33:20,240
Speaker 2: this is a guy who I think everyone there should

1876
01:33:20,280 --> 01:33:23,080
Speaker 2: be no question about, you know, should I should I

1877
01:33:23,120 --> 01:33:24,679
Speaker 2: start him? I know he was kind of a weight

1878
01:33:25,240 --> 01:33:28,479
Speaker 2: weight riser in drafts after JK. Dobbins went down, but

1879
01:33:29,080 --> 01:33:31,559
Speaker 2: he's a guy that started before and he's averaged sixty

1880
01:33:31,640 --> 01:33:36,040
Speaker 2: nine yards per start, you know. So you know that

1881
01:33:36,200 --> 01:33:38,760
Speaker 2: number that you threw out with the seventy whatever, it's

1882
01:33:38,840 --> 01:33:40,800
Speaker 2: this right in line. You know, I have him sixty six,

1883
01:33:40,880 --> 01:33:42,719
Speaker 2: you have him seventy two. That's that's right in line

1884
01:33:42,720 --> 01:33:45,080
Speaker 2: with that sixty nine that he's average per start on

1885
01:33:45,160 --> 01:33:48,879
Speaker 2: around fourteen carries. So this is and this is Vegas.

1886
01:33:49,200 --> 01:33:51,920
Speaker 2: We don't expect the defense. The defense to be great.

1887
01:33:52,439 --> 01:33:57,440
Speaker 2: So yeah, this is a smash spot for Gus Edwards.

1888
01:33:58,439 --> 01:34:02,680
Speaker 2: I don't know how else to put it. For DFS,

1889
01:34:03,040 --> 01:34:06,840
Speaker 2: I think, yeah, I'll let you throw out the DFS guy.

1890
01:34:06,840 --> 01:34:07,880
Speaker 2: I think I'm on the same page.

1891
01:34:07,960 --> 01:34:10,800
Speaker 1: I think they're the same guy. But it's Tyson Williams.

1892
01:34:11,160 --> 01:34:14,760
Speaker 1: You know. I think now that Justice Hill is out

1893
01:34:14,760 --> 01:34:16,640
Speaker 1: for the season, I think the Cats out of the

1894
01:34:16,640 --> 01:34:18,800
Speaker 1: bag with Tyson Williams. I think he's going to be

1895
01:34:19,240 --> 01:34:22,400
Speaker 1: rostered by way more people now. But I loved him

1896
01:34:22,439 --> 01:34:26,400
Speaker 1: before the Justice Hill injury. And again it remains to

1897
01:34:26,439 --> 01:34:28,600
Speaker 1: be seen if they add somebody before we went I

1898
01:34:28,600 --> 01:34:31,559
Speaker 1: think either way, whoever they add might not even be active.

1899
01:34:31,640 --> 01:34:34,840
Speaker 1: So love Tyson this week. The coaching staff believes in him.

1900
01:34:34,840 --> 01:34:36,800
Speaker 1: I think he's part of the reason why they didn't

1901
01:34:36,800 --> 01:34:39,960
Speaker 1: really at anybody after JK. Dobbins went down. You know,

1902
01:34:40,000 --> 01:34:42,599
Speaker 1: they believed in Gus Edwards. Like you mentioned, the coaching

1903
01:34:42,640 --> 01:34:44,920
Speaker 1: staff loves him, but I think they also it was

1904
01:34:44,960 --> 01:34:48,200
Speaker 1: an endorsement for Tyson Williams. So now that Justice Hill

1905
01:34:48,240 --> 01:34:50,799
Speaker 1: is out, I think, unfortunately they have to add somebody,

1906
01:34:51,520 --> 01:34:53,680
Speaker 1: But I think he is the number two back and

1907
01:34:53,720 --> 01:34:56,240
Speaker 1: the gap between him and Gus Edwards might not be

1908
01:34:56,439 --> 01:34:58,840
Speaker 1: as big as people think. So and you know, season

1909
01:34:58,920 --> 01:35:02,040
Speaker 1: long leagues make sure he's available. He should. You know,

1910
01:35:02,120 --> 01:35:05,920
Speaker 1: he's the direct handcuffed. Potentially he could take over Gus

1911
01:35:06,040 --> 01:35:08,479
Speaker 1: Edwards at some point. We don't know, but I'm a

1912
01:35:08,479 --> 01:35:10,360
Speaker 1: big believer in him going into the season.

1913
01:35:10,760 --> 01:35:12,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, there was talk out of camp that Williams might

1914
01:35:12,680 --> 01:35:15,040
Speaker 2: have created a little role for himself, you know, even

1915
01:35:15,040 --> 01:35:17,160
Speaker 2: if Dobbins was healthy, you know, maybe as that third

1916
01:35:17,160 --> 01:35:21,200
Speaker 2: back over Justice Hill anyway, So uh yeah, it's it's

1917
01:35:21,280 --> 01:35:23,439
Speaker 2: it's a smash bock for Edwards, who was essentially what

1918
01:35:23,520 --> 01:35:25,839
Speaker 2: you would you know, wherever you would have had Dobbins,

1919
01:35:26,360 --> 01:35:28,760
Speaker 2: Edwards is in that spot. And then Edwards, you know,

1920
01:35:28,800 --> 01:35:31,080
Speaker 2: he was kind of a fringe flex guy and that's

1921
01:35:31,120 --> 01:35:35,080
Speaker 2: where Williams is now. And again, good matchup against the Raiders. Uh,

1922
01:35:35,160 --> 01:35:38,760
Speaker 2: you know, start your Ravens this week. I think it

1923
01:35:38,840 --> 01:35:42,000
Speaker 2: should be should be a good one for them offensively.

1924
01:35:42,040 --> 01:35:44,599
Speaker 2: I know, Gus Bradley's there in Vegas and they signed

1925
01:35:44,640 --> 01:35:47,240
Speaker 2: kJ right and did some things, but that defense has

1926
01:35:47,280 --> 01:35:50,280
Speaker 2: been you know, bottom bottom of the league twentieth or

1927
01:35:50,280 --> 01:35:55,200
Speaker 2: worse since seven. So we'll see if the Raiders can

1928
01:35:55,240 --> 01:35:57,479
Speaker 2: turn it around. But I wouldn't bet on it in

1929
01:35:57,560 --> 01:36:01,560
Speaker 2: week one. Uh that is that's gonna do it? Man,

1930
01:36:01,160 --> 01:36:04,840
Speaker 2: that was a wow. That was a pod Man week.

1931
01:36:04,920 --> 01:36:08,879
Speaker 2: WI Yeah, feels good. Hope you guys enjoyed the Fantasy

1932
01:36:08,880 --> 01:36:14,160
Speaker 2: Flex presented by Prize Picks. You can listen to the

1933
01:36:14,200 --> 01:36:17,160
Speaker 2: feed all week long. We have five episodes per week

1934
01:36:17,920 --> 01:36:20,160
Speaker 2: coming to you for you know, from here on out

1935
01:36:20,160 --> 01:36:23,439
Speaker 2: for the regular season. You can follow Sean on Twitter

1936
01:36:23,439 --> 01:36:25,360
Speaker 2: at the Underscore Odds Maker. You can find me at

1937
01:36:25,439 --> 01:36:28,200
Speaker 2: Chris Raymond, and you can find us both at those

1938
01:36:28,240 --> 01:36:32,680
Speaker 2: same handles in the award winning Action Network app. Be

1939
01:36:32,840 --> 01:36:36,880
Speaker 2: sure to subscribe to the feed, leave us a rating

1940
01:36:36,920 --> 01:36:39,240
Speaker 2: and review on the Fantasy Flex feed.

1941
01:36:39,280 --> 01:36:40,160
Speaker 3: It really helps us out.

1942
01:36:40,200 --> 01:36:41,960
Speaker 2: We move to the new feeds so we can start

1943
01:36:42,439 --> 01:36:45,400
Speaker 2: giving you guys more episodes every week. So hope you

1944
01:36:45,400 --> 01:36:48,000
Speaker 2: guys enjoy them and good.

1945
01:36:47,960 --> 01:36:48,839
Speaker 3: Luck this weekend.

1946
01:36:49,560 --> 01:36:52,120
Speaker 2: We'll be back a little later in the week with

1947
01:36:52,360 --> 01:36:57,519
Speaker 2: our whole episode dedicated to player props, so be sure

1948
01:36:57,640 --> 01:37:00,320
Speaker 2: to tune in for that and until next time, get

1949
01:37:00,360 --> 01:37:00,960
Speaker 2: his Money